Viking Supporters Co-operative

Viking Chat => Off Topic => Topic started by: Filo on October 07, 2017, 11:18:48 am

Title: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on October 07, 2017, 11:18:48 am
Regardless of which way anyone voted I get the feeling that the negotiations are a farce, I feel the EU negotiating team are trying to be very obstructive (probably from instructiins from France and Germany). Every week we get negative comments from the lead negotiator regarding no progress being made
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: not on facebook on October 07, 2017, 11:48:02 am
I have allways had that impression due to fact that I have only ever seen negative comments from whatever EU politician.

I don't know if our PM will do a good job or not throu the brexit issues,but at least she talks  a plus plus view at times.

Many times i hear what that junker has to say and I get a childish impression from him ,which is ok if your a piss head but not when your in his office of work.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on October 07, 2017, 12:24:54 pm
I know it's harping back a lot of years, but I think France forgets the debt of gratitude it owes to the UK in liberating them from a Country they now cosy up to. And also Germany, when insisting we pay our divorce bill should remeber that they never fully repaid their war debts, especially to Greece, who they screwed over fairly recently as well
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 07, 2017, 01:30:27 pm
The sooner that people start to see past the lie they were fed (and the expectations it generated) that the EU would fall over themselves to give us what we wanted because it was in their own best interests to do so the better. It was never the case and it still isn't.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: not on facebook on October 07, 2017, 03:52:44 pm
Suppose it was a massive cock up when the U.K. Joined the eu back in 1974 I think it was ,that there was no blue print to work off should the U.K. or any other country want to leave the eu.

I get the impression that the European Union are making it up as they go along sometimes .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 07, 2017, 05:28:39 pm
Filo

The EU negotiators are not being obstructive. They have simply set three very clear and obvious Big Points which need to be dealt with as priorities before we can get down to discussing things like trade relations.

The points are:
1) Irish border.
2) Money that we legally owe to the EU for agreements that we have already signed up to.
3) Rights of EU citizens who are domicilled in the UK, and UK citizens domicilled in the EU.

These are matters of fundamental principle and have to take priority over anything else. The UK might wish to park them (because they are f**king hard to solve) and get on with talking about things that will benefit us. But the EU cannot possibly accept that. They have a responsibility to prioritise ensuring that our decision doesn't rebound spectacularly onto the EU budget, the Irish border and EU citizens who, in good faith, set up their families in the UK.

The EU negotiators are not being slippery here, or changing the terms. They've been entirely consistent in this all the way through. And these three points were spelled out clearly as major issues by many anti-Brexiters before the referendum.

Johnson and Gove told us that "it wasn't beyond the wit of man" to figure out what to do about the Irish border. Well they've had nearly 16 months to use their wit and there is still nothing remotely like a realistic plan from the UK Govt.

And that's the issue. The Govt has no rational plans for how to address any of these issues. The problem is that the Tory party has nothing to negotiate with. There's no answer to the Ireland problem that doesn't lead to a potential catastrophe. They can't be seen to accept a (fair) bill from Europe for what they themselves signed up to, because that would look weak. And they can't allow the ECJ to have any say in the rights of EU citizens in the UK, post-Brexit, because they've spent 20 years painting the ECJ as the enemy.

It's a right f**king mess. What's killing the talks is the fact that the Govt's aim is not sorting out the talks. Its priority is avoiding dealing with those three points because the choice is between solutions that don't work and solutions that the Tory party won't accept. So the real priority is prevaricating and stopping the Tory party from descending into civil war. Meantime, we charging at full speed towards a No Agreement Brexit. Then you'll see what a disaster you've voted for.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: IDM on October 07, 2017, 07:04:27 pm
Something I have been saying both before and after the vote, is that no one knew what Brexit actually means in detail, hence no one knew what they were voting for when voting to leave.

Had the key exit points been defined and approved by the government before the vote, the result may not have been different but it would have made much more sense.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on October 07, 2017, 07:26:32 pm
One of the main reasons people said they voted to leave was to take back sovereignty from the huge bureaucratic entity with its complex maze of laws that is the EU. So why are they now surprised that it is acting like a complex bureaucratic entity - because that's what it is!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 07, 2017, 07:45:23 pm
Here you go by the way. This is a very straightforward way of getting a long way towards sorting out the Irish border issue.

http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2017/10/07/what-could-the-uk-say-on-the-border-before-getting-to-the-second-stage/

I wonder why the Govt won't do it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 07, 2017, 07:52:55 pm
No Wilts. It's not acting like that at all in this situation.

The EU has set out perfectly clear and well-defined issues on which the negotiations hang. They have said, "YOU have chosen to leave. The result of your choice is, potentially, some very seriously negative consequences for EU citizens. If you want to start talking about our future relationship, we need some indication that you are serious about minimising these negative impacts."

There's no Byzantine manoeuvring going on. No bureaucratic intrigue. They are just saying, "Now you've had your emotional spasm, let's start talking like grown-ups about the consequences."

But there's been nothing of any substance from the Govt for 16 months on how to deal with those consequences. Because this Govt is stuck on the horns of a dilemma. Be sensible in the discussions and tear the Tory party apart. Or appease the Tory party and give the EU nothing. So it's the UK negotiators who are playing games. Threatening that we'll stop collaborating on security issues. Threatening that we'll be prepared to leave with no deal. Given that intransigence andbad faith, why should the EU fall over itself to start talking about the things that WE want to discuss?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on October 07, 2017, 08:05:45 pm
Thing is, besides the odd smarmy comment in the press (which, given the  amount of time their reps have been sat at a table with David Davis and co, is an admirably restrained response), the EU haven't been overly obstructive at all. The conditions of leaving have always been the same. Why should the EU budge on their red lines - they've been consistent the whole time. It's our government who've had more positions that the kama sutra. The EU said they wouldn't budge, and now they aren't budging. Simple really.

Before the vote, this was seen as fearmongering. Now it's seen as the EU obstructing our glorious red white and blue Brexit. When we get shafted in the deal a few years down the line I'm sure the government will spin it as that nasty anti-British Juncker and co trying to hold us down, but it won't be true then either.

Doesn't help that our Govt negotiating team would probably end up paying full price for a DFS sofa, to quote Frankie Boyle, but Brexit was always going to be this way regardless of who was sat at the table.

There's lots about the EU to dislike but they can't be blamed for this shitshow.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on October 08, 2017, 02:20:36 am
I know it's harping back a lot of years, but I think France forgets the debt of gratitude it owes to the UK in liberating them from a Country they now cosy up to. And also Germany, when insisting we pay our divorce bill should remeber that they never fully repaid their war debts, especially to Greece, who they screwed over fairly recently as well

Jesus the " debt of gratitude " argument - Filo is really the best argument you can come up with . Pathetic man, I suppose the Poles could make that same argument regarding their post Brexit vilification using the ' is that all the thanks we get for our help in winning the battle of Britain and kick-starting your industry during and after WW2 ' argument ?

At least try not to sound so xenophobic !!
You and wilts sound like two spoilt brats that have been firmly told they can't have those sweets but still keep screaming in the hope that the parent changes it's mind.
The only obstruction I can see is that coming from the British team,  who can't have their cake and eat it. Stop reading the alt Right press ffs it's stopping you from seeing the truth in this whole sad affair.

Incidentally we did NOT lose sovereignty otherwise you would never had this ridiculous vote in the first place .
 I understand that this wasn't brought up by you in the thread but seems to be consistently raised by Brexiters on these threads   
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 08, 2017, 07:39:10 am
It's a right f**king mess. What's killing the talks is the fact that the Govt's aim is not sorting out the talks. Its priority is avoiding dealing with those three points because the choice is between solutions that don't work and solutions that the Tory party won't accept. So the real priority is prevaricating and stopping the Tory party from descending into civil war. Meantime, we charging at full speed towards a No Agreement Brexit. Then you'll see what a disaster you've voted for.

And that is the only reason why nobody who wants to take Theresa May's job will knife her in the back now - they want her to stay there and take all the blame for Brexit so they can walk into the job with clean hands afterwards. In the meantime, we're stuck with a useless lame duck PM in charge of what are laughably called negotiations.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on October 08, 2017, 08:01:46 am
I know it's harping back a lot of years, but I think France forgets the debt of gratitude it owes to the UK in liberating them from a Country they now cosy up to. And also Germany, when insisting we pay our divorce bill should remeber that they never fully repaid their war debts, especially to Greece, who they screwed over fairly recently as well

Jesus the " debt of gratitude " argument - Filo is really the best argument you can come up with . Pathetic man, I suppose the Poles could make that same argument regarding their post Brexit vilification using the ' is that all the thanks we get for our help in winning the battle of Britain and kick-starting your industry during and after WW2 ' argument ?

At least try not to sound so xenophobic !!
You and wilts sound like two spoilt brats that have been firmly told they can't have those sweets but still keep screaming in the hope that the parent changes it's mind.
The only obstruction I can see is that coming from the British team,  who can't have their cake and eat it. Stop reading the alt Right press ffs it's stopping you from seeing the truth in this whole sad affair.

Incidentally we did NOT lose sovereignty otherwise you would never had this ridiculous vote in the first place .
 I understand that this wasn't brought up by you in the thread but seems to be consistently raised by Brexiters on these threads   

Labeling someone pathetic for not agreeing with your views rather shows who the pathetic one is
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on October 08, 2017, 09:07:24 am
I know it's harping back a lot of years, but I think France forgets the debt of gratitude it owes to the UK in liberating them from a Country they now cosy up to. And also Germany, when insisting we pay our divorce bill should remeber that they never fully repaid their war debts, especially to Greece, who they screwed over fairly recently as well

Jesus the " debt of gratitude " argument - Filo is really the best argument you can come up with . Pathetic man, I suppose the Poles could make that same argument regarding their post Brexit vilification using the ' is that all the thanks we get for our help in winning the battle of Britain and kick-starting your industry during and after WW2 ' argument ?

At least try not to sound so xenophobic !!
You and wilts sound like two spoilt brats that have been firmly told they can't have those sweets but still keep screaming in the hope that the parent changes it's mind.
The only obstruction I can see is that coming from the British team,  who can't have their cake and eat it. Stop reading the alt Right press ffs it's stopping you from seeing the truth in this whole sad affair.

Incidentally we did NOT lose sovereignty otherwise you would never had this ridiculous vote in the first place .
 I understand that this wasn't brought up by you in the thread but seems to be consistently raised by Brexiters on these threads   

Labeling someone pathetic for not agreeing with your views rather shows who the pathetic one is

Labeling someone a spolit brat for quoting what the Brexit campaign said reinforces Filo's point. Which I think is the first time ever I have been labelled on the same side as Filo in anything to do with the EU. So yes that is truly a pathetic post Hoola and only one person is screaming.

In fact Billy and Macho posts above only reinforce my point about how bureaucratic and inflexible the EU is, because it has to be to run at all.

Davis was on tv a couple of weeks ago saying why the talks were stalled and nothing was being agreed 'Oh dont worry, its all because of the German elections, once they are out the way, it will all be fine'. And I thought 'Oh yeah'. Then he was on a couple of weeks later saying 'Don't worry, once Mrs May has given her speech in Florence, it will all be fine'. 'Oh yeah'. Barnier has his role and remit which are the discussions around the table - Davis seems to be looking for some magic fairy with some magic words to make him change his mind.

And this should be the easy bit. We haven't got onto the 'cake and eat it' discussions yet.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: glosterred on October 08, 2017, 09:13:57 am
I know it's harping back a lot of years, but I think France forgets the debt of gratitude it owes to the UK in liberating them from a Country they now cosy up to.

Let's not forget, De Gaulle didn't want Britain to joined the EEC so why would they show us any gratitude?

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on October 08, 2017, 09:25:38 am
I know it's harping back a lot of years, but I think France forgets the debt of gratitude it owes to the UK in liberating them from a Country they now cosy up to.

Let's not forget, De Gaulle didn't want Britain to joined the EEC so why would they show us any gratitude?



Which reinforces my point, the French were quick to forget what the UK sacrificed for their freedom
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Dagenham Rover on October 08, 2017, 11:25:38 am
Perhaps instead of treating it as a long painful divorce requiring lots of negotiations and lawyers making a
 fortune, we ought to treat it as a one night stand  grab a taxi and feck off in the middle of the night, gone before they realised  :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 08, 2017, 11:51:24 am
I know it's harping back a lot of years, but I think France forgets the debt of gratitude it owes to the UK in liberating them from a Country they now cosy up to.

Let's not forget, De Gaulle didn't want Britain to joined the EEC so why would they show us any gratitude?



Which reinforces my point, the French were quick to forget what the UK sacrificed for their freedom

Almost as quickly as forgetting what the Free French Forces and Free French Navy sacrificed fighting on the British side all over the world, eh?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on October 08, 2017, 12:12:20 pm
I know it's harping back a lot of years, but I think France forgets the debt of gratitude it owes to the UK in liberating them from a Country they now cosy up to.

Let's not forget, De Gaulle didn't want Britain to joined the EEC so why would they show us any gratitude?



Which reinforces my point, the French were quick to forget what the UK sacrificed for their freedom

Almost as quickly as forgetting what the Free French Forces and Free French Navy sacrificed fighting on the British side all over the world, eh?

Without the UK the free french would n't have been free very long
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 08, 2017, 12:21:32 pm
I know it's harping back a lot of years, but I think France forgets the debt of gratitude it owes to the UK in liberating them from a Country they now cosy up to.

Let's not forget, De Gaulle didn't want Britain to joined the EEC so why would they show us any gratitude?



Which reinforces my point, the French were quick to forget what the UK sacrificed for their freedom

Almost as quickly as forgetting what the Free French Forces and Free French Navy sacrificed fighting on the British side all over the world, eh?

Without the UK the free french would n't have been free very long

Without the French, Poles, Belgians, Dutch, Czechs, Canadians, Indians, Australians, etc., neither would we. What's our debt of gratitude?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on October 08, 2017, 04:51:56 pm
Filo mate, if your argument for Brexit boils down to "two world wars and one world cup" then you should probably just pack in.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on October 11, 2017, 01:56:41 am
Filo mate, if your argument for Brexit boils down to "two world wars and one world cup" then you should probably just pack in.

Unfortunately that is the xenophobic argument used by far too many people .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on October 11, 2017, 02:09:09 am
I know it's harping back a lot of years, but I think France forgets the debt of gratitude it owes to the UK in liberating them from a Country they now cosy up to. And also Germany, when insisting we pay our divorce bill should remeber that they never fully repaid their war debts, especially to Greece, who they screwed over fairly recently as well

Jesus the " debt of gratitude " argument - Filo is really the best argument you can come up with . Pathetic man, I suppose the Poles could make that same argument regarding their post Brexit vilification using the ' is that all the thanks we get for our help in winning the battle of Britain and kick-starting your industry during and after WW2 ' argument ?

At least try not to sound so xenophobic !!
You and wilts sound like two spoilt brats that have been firmly told they can't have those sweets but still keep screaming in the hope that the parent changes it's mind.
The only obstruction I can see is that coming from the British team,  who can't have their cake and eat it. Stop reading the alt Right press ffs it's stopping you from seeing the truth in this whole sad affair.

Incidentally we did NOT lose sovereignty otherwise you would never had this ridiculous vote in the first place .
 I understand that this wasn't brought up by you in the thread but seems to be consistently raised by Brexiters on these threads   

Labeling someone pathetic for not agreeing with your views rather shows who the pathetic one is

Don't be ridiculous man , I'm calling you pathetic not because you disagree with my views or me with yours but using the WW11 argument constantly. I have noto asserted that we that  the French should show any gratitude.
What has the bloody WW2 got to do with this ? Every nation died winning that war , most of all the Russians and it was 80 years ago .

It's that very fact that matters and my only  view on it bearing in mind these are facts is you using them to justify your argument somehow- they are not relevant to the question in hand.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on October 11, 2017, 07:39:38 am
I know it's harping back a lot of years, but I think France forgets the debt of gratitude it owes to the UK in liberating them from a Country they now cosy up to. And also Germany, when insisting we pay our divorce bill should remeber that they never fully repaid their war debts, especially to Greece, who they screwed over fairly recently as well

Jesus the " debt of gratitude " argument - Filo is really the best argument you can come up with . Pathetic man, I suppose the Poles could make that same argument regarding their post Brexit vilification using the ' is that all the thanks we get for our help in winning the battle of Britain and kick-starting your industry during and after WW2 ' argument ?

At least try not to sound so xenophobic !!
You and wilts sound like two spoilt brats that have been firmly told they can't have those sweets but still keep screaming in the hope that the parent changes it's mind.
The only obstruction I can see is that coming from the British team,  who can't have their cake and eat it. Stop reading the alt Right press ffs it's stopping you from seeing the truth in this whole sad affair.

Incidentally we did NOT lose sovereignty otherwise you would never had this ridiculous vote in the first place .
 I understand that this wasn't brought up by you in the thread but seems to be consistently raised by Brexiters on these threads   

Labeling someone pathetic for not agreeing with your views rather shows who the pathetic one is

Don't be ridiculous man , I'm calling you pathetic not because you disagree with my views or me with yours but using the WW11 argument constantly. I have noto asserted that we that  the French should show any gratitude.
What has the bloody WW2 got to do with this ? Every nation died winning that war , most of all the Russians and it was 80 years ago .

It's that very fact that matters and my only  view on it bearing in mind these are facts is you using them to justify your argument somehow- they are not relevant to the question in hand.

If that were the case you would have typed pathetic argument, not pathetic man
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 11, 2017, 07:50:01 am
I know it's harping back a lot of years, but I think France forgets the debt of gratitude it owes to the UK in liberating them from a Country they now cosy up to. And also Germany, when insisting we pay our divorce bill should remeber that they never fully repaid their war debts, especially to Greece, who they screwed over fairly recently as well

Jesus the " debt of gratitude " argument - Filo is really the best argument you can come up with . Pathetic man, I suppose the Poles could make that same argument regarding their post Brexit vilification using the ' is that all the thanks we get for our help in winning the battle of Britain and kick-starting your industry during and after WW2 ' argument ?

At least try not to sound so xenophobic !!
You and wilts sound like two spoilt brats that have been firmly told they can't have those sweets but still keep screaming in the hope that the parent changes it's mind.
The only obstruction I can see is that coming from the British team,  who can't have their cake and eat it. Stop reading the alt Right press ffs it's stopping you from seeing the truth in this whole sad affair.

Incidentally we did NOT lose sovereignty otherwise you would never had this ridiculous vote in the first place .
 I understand that this wasn't brought up by you in the thread but seems to be consistently raised by Brexiters on these threads   

Labeling someone pathetic for not agreeing with your views rather shows who the pathetic one is

Don't be ridiculous man , I'm calling you pathetic not because you disagree with my views or me with yours but using the WW11 argument constantly. I have noto asserted that we that  the French should show any gratitude.
What has the bloody WW2 got to do with this ? Every nation died winning that war , most of all the Russians and it was 80 years ago .

It's that very fact that matters and my only  view on it bearing in mind these are facts is you using them to justify your argument somehow- they are not relevant to the question in hand.

If that were the case you would have typed pathetic argument, not pathetic man

I think he should have put 'It's' before 'pathetic'.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: rtid88 on October 11, 2017, 08:52:17 am
Brilliant points made my BST, great to see him contributing again. Every1 else as usual just need to put their handbags away.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on October 11, 2017, 11:06:10 am
When we voted out Junker said that there would be major changes to the EU meaning he obviously saw deficiencies in the set up.
The other week he stated aims to make the EU even more of a federal state which is what most Brexiters voted against. I suppose if we had voted remain these measures might have been mentioned even earlier.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on October 12, 2017, 08:50:19 am
I KNOW this can never happen (and will probably open another can of worms) BUT if it were possible to ask this question of all today's electorate ....

..... do you wish to continue with an exit from the EU having seen all what has unfolded since the original vote was held and where we are currently ?

I reckon personally that it would be much higher that the original "Remain" vote was but as I say that is just my own very humble opinion ! It cant happen !

I cant also imagine what the News would have been talking about if we had voted Remain in the Referendum. Unless of course it was the infighting amongst the "losing" Politicians who were pressing for a second Referendum having been at it since we joined the Common Market

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on October 12, 2017, 09:14:44 am
Exactly that DW - now the pro's and con's are black and white, and the facts are that we will still be under most EU rules for years even after Brexit and it's going to cost us millions (not save us millions), there should be another referendum. And it doesn't have to be drawn out; do it next month!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on October 13, 2017, 12:13:02 am
The best way to think about the role of Davis and his team is that they are there to play to a domestic gallery.
 
Their job is to obscure the fact that the cupboard is bare when it comes to negotiation. They cannot negotiate because the cards they hold are not a winning hand.

An extended piece of theatre......with the intention of persuading the weak minded that they have fought their corner like lions.

Thats it.....kick the can down the road and hope something turns up.
Grand eh!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on October 13, 2017, 02:14:25 am
I know it's harping back a lot of years, but I think France forgets the debt of gratitude it owes to the UK in liberating them from a Country they now cosy up to. And also Germany, when insisting we pay our divorce bill should remeber that they never fully repaid their war debts, especially to Greece, who they screwed over fairly recently as well

Jesus the " debt of gratitude " argument - Filo is really the best argument you can come up with . Pathetic man, I suppose the Poles could make that same argument regarding their post Brexit vilification using the ' is that all the thanks we get for our help in winning the battle of Britain and kick-starting your industry during and after WW2 ' argument ?

At least try not to sound so xenophobic !!
You and wilts sound like two spoilt brats that have been firmly told they can't have those sweets but still keep screaming in the hope that the parent changes it's mind.
The only obstruction I can see is that coming from the British team,  who can't have their cake and eat it. Stop reading the alt Right press ffs it's stopping you from seeing the truth in this whole sad affair.

Incidentally we did NOT lose sovereignty otherwise you would never had this ridiculous vote in the first place .
 I understand that this wasn't brought up by you in the thread but seems to be consistently raised by Brexiters on these threads   

Labeling someone pathetic for not agreeing with your views rather shows who the pathetic one is

Don't be ridiculous man , I'm calling you pathetic not because you disagree with my views or me with yours but using the WW11 argument constantly. I have noto asserted that we that  the French should show any gratitude.
What has the bloody WW2 got to do with this ? Every nation died winning that war , most of all the Russians and it was 80 years ago .

It's that very fact that matters and my only  view on it bearing in mind these are facts is you using them to justify your argument somehow- they are not relevant to the question in hand.

If that were the case you would have typed pathetic argument, not pathetic man

Quite right yes the argument not the man - sorry about the misunderstanding Filo.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Yargo on October 14, 2017, 11:13:38 am
Jesus H  Christ,so Frankenstein's monster is thrashing around in the lab having already killed off one of its co-creators,Greece,ya know the country that gave us the word Democracy (or that ridiculous vote as Foola would have it),and left most others badly damaged,well having elected the kind of government i suspect most on here would like to see they then had to dance to the EU tune.Paul Mason that arch Corbynite, incidentally is Labour pro or anti EU this week i've lost track, explained years ago that if the Syriza government had to implement the hardline Thatcherite economic and financial policies demanded by the EU it would keep that country in decline for his lifetime,the EU insisted that by now it would be in good shape,how did that turn out?
Now you do know that VAT falls disproportionally on the poor,what would happen if a government wanted to eliminate it or put the level so low as to not count,what would the EU do?
Seems all pro EU'ers on here are arch Thatcherites now,tell me how this http://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/joining-euro-area/convergence-criteria/ (http://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/joining-euro-area/convergence-criteria/) is not institutional Thatcherism?The kind Greece has no chance of escaping.
You would've voted in favour of Ever Closer Union in the referendum,if you voted stay,it is the first principal of the EU
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 14, 2017, 11:44:20 am
Reverend Jim's back.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on October 14, 2017, 03:47:57 pm
One of the main reasons people said they voted to leave was to take back sovereignty from the huge bureaucratic entity with its complex maze of laws that is the EU. So why are they now surprised that it is acting like a complex bureaucratic entity - because that's what it is!

A lot of remainers don't think we lost our sovereignty to the EU in the first place.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on October 14, 2017, 05:07:45 pm
One of the main reasons people said they voted to leave was to take back sovereignty from the huge bureaucratic entity with its complex maze of laws that is the EU. So why are they now surprised that it is acting like a complex bureaucratic entity - because that's what it is!

That's because we didn't BB or did you miss the Government explanation that '' our people felt as if they had lost sovereignty

see :- The Brexit White Paper

Parliament has “remained sovereign throughout our membership to the EU” despite people “not always feeling like that”, the Brexit White Paper says.

The statement contradicts a key message from the campaign to leave the European Union, which argued ending the UK’s membership to the EU would "bring back sovereignty" to Parliament and end Brussels' control over national laws.

But in a section titled “taking control of our own laws”, the White Paper states: “The sovereignty of Parliament is a fundamental principle of the UK constitution. Whilst Parliament has remained sovereign throughout our membership of the EU, it has not always felt like that.” 

A lot of remainers don't think we lost our sovereignty to the EU in the first place.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/brexit-white-paper-uk-parliament-remian-sovereign-eu-membership-referendum-campaign-brussels-article-a7559556.html

BB I suggest you keep your alternative facts to yourself as the Government doesn't agree with you !

Stop flogging a dead horse - Brexit will shortly be all but dead the pendulum is swinging .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on October 14, 2017, 06:13:34 pm
One of the main reasons people said they voted to leave was to take back sovereignty from the huge bureaucratic entity with its complex maze of laws that is the EU. So why are they now surprised that it is acting like a complex bureaucratic entity - because that's what it is!

A lot of remainers don't think we lost our sovereignty to the EU in the first place.

And thats why the negotiations have failed so far is it? Or are you just saying something you think will wind people up just for the sake of it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on October 14, 2017, 06:55:50 pm
Wilts. Do you think that we lost sovereignty to the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on October 14, 2017, 07:34:30 pm
What a truely pointless question Bentley. What side of the road do we drive on? What currency do we use? Its not the EU who have closed my local hospital or made two teachers redundant at my local school. Why should I care who decides what the size of holes in fishing nets, air quality, river pollution or quality of beaches should be?

Why are you still trying to fight the referendum? Who cares if we did or didnt lose sovereignty in 1973, 1992 2016. What is important now are these negotiations and the end result of them. So I repeat again, why have they failed Bentley? And what should the UK do now?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on October 14, 2017, 07:52:52 pm
Ha ha ha ha ha! Since when have I been an expert on the outcome of leaving the EU?!!!! That's why I was relying on you to tell me!!!!

Why am I still trying to fight the referendum? Are you serious? You're having a laugh, aren't you? You are, aren't you!!!!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on October 15, 2017, 11:12:51 am
Ha ha ha ha ha! Since when have I been an expert on the outcome of leaving the EU?!!!! That's why I was relying on you to tell me!!!!

Why am I still trying to fight the referendum? Are you serious? You're having a laugh, aren't you? You are, aren't you!!!!

You mentioned " sovereignty " - I hope the Government's White Paper has cleared that up or can't you admit it was a moot point BB ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on October 15, 2017, 12:35:33 pm
Ha ha ha ha ha! Since when have I been an expert on the outcome of leaving the EU?!!!! That's why I was relying on you to tell me!!!!

Why am I still trying to fight the referendum? Are you serious? You're having a laugh, aren't you? You are, aren't you!!!!

I am the one asking questions about what is taking place today - you are the one asking questions about 18 months ago. What has sovereignty got to do with Brexit negotiations today?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on October 15, 2017, 04:28:24 pm
Some people believe that we will still be under most EU rules for years even after Brexit. Maybe they are concerned about this affecting the country's chances of regaining sovereignty should  Brexit negotiations go against us.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on October 15, 2017, 05:04:02 pm
Ah, so they are willing to risk, jobs, investment, movement of people, customs control, intelligence sharing, police co-operation, academic and scientific alliances and the lack of legal certainty for any project or contract that we have with Europe for that.

Which are these dangerous EU laws that these people object too, so I can watch out for them being thrown out when Parliament brings all the other EU law into British law as they said they would?

I wonder if these same people are the ones clamoring for the government to publish the data they have commissioned to show what the effect of no deal will be? Or what they have to say to the former leading civil servant of the trade department who said the government were being dishonest by not setting out what the repercussions of this no deal would be?

Maybe you could enlighten me as you appear to know about them?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on October 15, 2017, 05:32:47 pm
What are you talking about?!!! You asked me "What has sovereignty got to do with Brexit negotiations today"? I answered by saying "Some people believe that we will still be under most EU rules for years even after Brexit. Maybe they are concerned about this affecting the country's chances of regaining sovereignty should  Brexit negotiations go against us".

I suggest you ask them, not me. I only answered your question of what has Sovereignty got to do with negotiations today!

Remember Mr Wilts, You seem to be the expert on everything about everything. I've always insisted that predicting the result of Brexit would be complete conjecture. I've NEVER, EVER tried to imply otherwise.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 15, 2017, 06:12:51 pm
Tell us who they are then.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 15, 2017, 08:24:57 pm
Thing is BB, it's NOT complete conjecture. That was what Gove wanted you to believe when he said that people were fed up with listening to experts.

He said that because economists overwhelmingly believe that Brexit will cause a long-term hit to our economic performance. Because it will make trade with our nearest and biggest markets much harder. There are few things that economists from across the political spectrum are so united on.


It is also commonly agreed by economists that the worst effects could be mitigated by remaining in he single market and the customs union. But, for reasons known only to her, May has rejected that option. Even Farage was touting the Norway Option last June. We've chucked that option away. For political reasons. I'll guarantee you that the vote would have gone the other way if that had been made clear at the time.

Now, the economists may be wrong. It's doubtful, but possible. I'd feel a good bit more comfortable if someone on the Brexit side was giving concrete reasons why. Instead of what we've got at the moment, which is vague "it'll be alright" and "nobody knows anyway."
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on October 15, 2017, 08:41:07 pm
What are you talking about?!!! You asked me "What has sovereignty got to do with Brexit negotiations today"? I answered by saying "Some people believe that we will still be under most EU rules for years even after Brexit. Maybe they are concerned about this affecting the country's chances of regaining sovereignty should  Brexit negotiations go against us".

I suggest you ask them, not me. I only answered your question of what has Sovereignty got to do with negotiations today!

Remember Mr Wilts, You seem to be the expert on everything about everything. I've always insisted that predicting the result of Brexit would be complete conjecture. I've NEVER, EVER tried to imply otherwise.

You have certainly more than implied that the Brexit negotiations have broken down because of 'sovereignty' or is writing it not implying it?

It makes me an expert because I answer your questions does it? Seems everybody is an expert these days Mr Bentley.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: not on facebook on October 15, 2017, 09:40:34 pm
It certianly looks like that when this vote was put out that X amount did not really take on board what they was voting for as they was not fully informed,wrong or right.

I could be wrong here but many would have voted out due to concerns over immigration which UKIP was pushing to its hilt back then.UKIP are now finished as a party but they did what try set out to do.

What strikes me is the amount of paragraphs after paragraphs of facts or figures that are typed out on here either for or against  the brexit vote > result > situation > predictions > .

I have to ask > what % of the voters actually take time to read whatever info is out there before they mark X into whatever box ?

Back in 1974 ,how was the cross over to the EU accepted back then ? Was the country fully informed as to what the road ahead was all about.

I know norway have had two yes or no votes to join the EU in the 20 years since I have been here ,and I be a massive mistake if they ever voted for a yes from what I see ,as it would be a massive mistake for norway to enter the EU .

To many voters who voted for brexit ,I go all in with my chips on the table that they voted out because they saw/see the EU  top table as bully’s and far too liberal .

Hence why you have a 31 year old right wing candidate making waves and a name for himself in the Austrian political scene.he wants to cut benafits to all non Austrians  in Austria ,which goes against what the EU are pushing.

Slowly but surely the tide is turning



Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on October 16, 2017, 12:56:46 am
NOF- Norway is a completely different economy to our own with huge resources and little squandering of their oil money windfall as far as I can see. Far from it - they have set money aside for their futures when the oil revenues have run out .

When you have a population slightly over 5,000,000 and are running an annual trade surplus of some  £ 27 billion p.a. . It's not hard to see that with few overheads on defense  etc. The people there are comparatively rich and haven't been running a huge deficit and debt for year after year.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on October 16, 2017, 09:36:26 am
What are you talking about?!!! You asked me "What has sovereignty got to do with Brexit negotiations today"? I answered by saying "Some people believe that we will still be under most EU rules for years even after Brexit. Maybe they are concerned about this affecting the country's chances of regaining sovereignty should  Brexit negotiations go against us".

I suggest you ask them, not me. I only answered your question of what has Sovereignty got to do with negotiations today!

Remember Mr Wilts, You seem to be the expert on everything about everything. I've always insisted that predicting the result of Brexit would be complete conjecture. I've NEVER, EVER tried to imply otherwise.

You have certainly more than implied that the Brexit negotiations have broken down because of 'sovereignty' or is writing it not implying it?

It makes me an expert because I answer your questions does it? Seems everybody is an expert these days Mr Bentley.

Mr Wilts, where have I implied that Brexit negotiations have broken down, because of sovereignty or otherwise? I don't even know if negotiations have broken down!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 16, 2017, 11:03:04 am
Because of its oil wealth and small population, Norway is one of the richest per capita countries in the world. It could trade with anywhere in the world. Yet it chooses to be in the Single Market.

We are leaving the Single Market. Despite a constant line from Leave campaigners last year (including Farage) that we could leave the EU then model ourselves on Norway.

As John Lydon said: ever get the feeling you've been had?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on October 16, 2017, 11:05:50 am
Thing is BB, it's NOT complete conjecture. That was what Gove wanted you to believe when he said that people were fed up with listening to experts.

He said that because economists overwhelmingly believe that Brexit will cause a long-term hit to our economic performance. Because it will make trade with our nearest and biggest markets much harder. There are few things that economists from across the political spectrum are so united on.


It is also commonly agreed by economists that the worst effects could be mitigated by remaining in he single market and the customs union. But, for reasons known only to her, May has rejected that option. Even Farage was touting the Norway Option last June. We've chucked that option away. For political reasons. I'll guarantee you that the vote would have gone the other way if that had been made clear at the time.

Now, the economists may be wrong. It's doubtful, but possible. I'd feel a good bit more comfortable if someone on the Brexit side was giving concrete reasons why. Instead of what we've got at the moment, which is vague "it'll be alright" and "nobody knows anyway."

BST, so after getting their prediction of an immediate recession following the vote to leave wrong, the experts are much wiser on the subject now and can definitely be relied on from now on?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 16, 2017, 11:10:30 am
What we've seen since June last year is something that was depressingly predictable. The Referendum was only ever about one thing. Dealing with the issue that has torn the Tories apart for a generation. It was never about what was best for the UK. It was about where the balance of power lies in the Tory party. Because there's a majority of Tory supporters and MPs who want us to cut loose from Europe, that is where we are heading. Regardless of the consequences for the economy. But there was never a majority in Parliament, or in the country for this kind of Hard Brexit. Because the economic consequences will be dire.

It's no coincidence that the main Cabinet minister trying to rein back the Hard Brexit approach is the Chancellor. He's got no chance of becoming PM because he's seen by the Tory party as not being hard enough on Europe. But he's the one who has to deal with making the finances stack up. And he knows that the current plans will be devastating to the nation's finances.

But never mind eh? When May falls sometime in the next 18 months, we'll get PM Boris. And that was what the referendum was always about. His personal ego.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 16, 2017, 11:10:56 am
BB

Which economists predicted an immediate recession?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 16, 2017, 11:16:11 am
They predicted an immediate devaluation. And a long-term slow decline in our economic growth relative to the rest of Europe.

We got an immediate devaluation. So, the day after the referendum, we as a country were immediately 15-20% poorer than we were the day before.

And prior to June 2016, our GDP growth had been  significantly stronger than the EU average for most of the previous 6 years. Since then, ours has dropped from 1.8% to 1.4%. The EU's has grown from 1.7% to 2.3%.

This isn't about point scoring. This is about us heading for a significantly weaker and poorer future. It's happening. Now.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on October 16, 2017, 11:23:24 am
BB

Which economists predicted an immediate recession?

BST, I don't know any economists by name, but I know a few 'experts' by name, some on this forum, who predicted immediate doom and gloom following the vote to leave.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 16, 2017, 11:26:13 am
You think an immediate 15-20% devaluation was a good outcome?

And the consequent jump in inflation that we've seen over the past 12 months?

And the massive drop in Foreign Direct Investment that the Telegraph has reported today?

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2017/10/15/britains-missing-billions-revised-figures-reveal-uk-490bn-poorer/amp/

You can say that no-one can predict perfectly. You're right. Some of the predictions of the effects of Brexit were overdone. Mainly by Osborne who was trying to put the very big frighteners on. But on balance, the predictions of the negative effects of Brexit are coming true. And there's still no sign of what the benefits are, other than vague "it'll be alright" stuff.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on October 16, 2017, 11:30:00 am
No, but the absence of the predicted recession made it not such a bad one.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 16, 2017, 11:34:52 am
BB

Our drop in performance relative to the EU over the past 16 months has left us, relatively, about £30bn poorer than we would have been if we'd grown as quickly as them. Not an official recession no. But the point is, the rest of the developed world has seen big increases in growth since last summer. We have seen a drop in growth. And no sign of it bottoming out.

If you're happy with that, then grand. Me, I'm really concerned about how this adds up over 5-10-15 years.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on October 16, 2017, 11:44:07 am
I'm not happy with that. But I'd be even less happy if I fully believed the doom and gloom mongers and started to be as negative as them.

Besides, what can you or I do about it, other than hope the 'experts' have got it wrong, again?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 16, 2017, 12:00:17 pm
If the next GDP figures show growth less than 1.5% then we will be in a recession.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 16, 2017, 12:55:21 pm
BB

What can "we" do?

I gave you an analogy 18 months back.

Imagine you're on a plane. There's a big nasty thunderstorm ahead. One pilot wants to fly through it. One wants to go round it.

There are aeronautical engineers on board. They say that if you fly through the storm, the structure of the plane will be endangered. The bullish pilot argues passionately that everything will be fine. And that he'll try to avoid the worst of the storm anyway. The more cautious one says he's worried that there will be problems.

The passengers have a vote and decide to ignore the experts and fly through.

You start flying through. At first there's no massive sign of trouble. Then the plane starts vibrating. Bits start falling off. Not the precise bits that were predicted. But some.

Meantime, the bullish pilot actually ignores what he said about avoiding the worst of the storm, and flies straight into the worst of the wind.

That is an almost perfect analogy for what has happened.

So. As a passenger, do you sit there and say, "well the experts didn't get it right. Let's just carry on." Or do you start to think that the original vote was rather iffy. That things are turning out pretty bad. And that it might be worth pushing for a change of plan?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on October 16, 2017, 12:59:22 pm
BB

What can "we" do?

I have you an analogy 18 months back.

Imagine you're on a plane. There's a big nasty thunderstorm ahead. One pilot wants to fly through it. One wants to go round it.

There are aeronautical engineers on board. They say that if you fly through the storm, the structure of the plane will be endangered. The bullish pilot argues passionately that everything will be fine. And that he'll try to avoid the worst of the storm anyway. The more cautious one says he's worried that there will be problems.

The passengers have a vote and decide to ignore the experts and fly through.

You start flying through. At first there's no massive sign of trouble. Then the plane starts vibrating. Bits start falling off. Not the precise bits that were predicted. But some.

Meantime, the bullish pilot actually ignores what he said about avoiding the worst of the storm, and flies straight into the worst of the wind.

That is an almost perfect analogy for what has happened.

So. As a passenger, do you sit there and say, "well the experts didn't get it right. Let's just carry on." Or do you start to think that the original vote was rather iffy. That things are turning out pretty bad. And that it might be worth pushing for a change of plan?


Did the plane survive the storm?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 16, 2017, 01:36:06 pm
Dunno Filo. It hasn't got to the worst part yet. But the "experts'" predictions are broadly coming true.

Still, the pilot says it'll be alright if we just shut up and let him/her deal with it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on October 16, 2017, 01:52:01 pm
Dunno Filo. It hasn't got to the worst part yet. But the "experts'" predictions are broadly coming true.

Still, the pilot says it'll be alright if we just shut up and let him/her deal with it.

You said he had got to the worse bit

"Meantime, the bullish pilot actually ignores what he said about avoiding the worst of the storm, and flies straight into the worst of the wind"

😀
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on October 16, 2017, 02:30:45 pm
BST, Is our drop in performance entirely down to Brexit or do you think the general election result could have contributed to it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 16, 2017, 03:42:40 pm
Filo
Right then, if that's the level we've got to.  Flying TOWARDS the worst. As in, we were told that we could leave the EU without leaving the Single Market. Now we're heading towards leaving the single market. We've seen a drop in economicl performance and a massive drop in foreign investment just because of the threat of that. We haven't hit the worst part yet.

BB. Not unless the markets predicted the election result. Our GDP growth rate relative to that of the EU has been slipping ever since June last year. And the latest figures only go up to the end of July. So there's only 1 post General Election month in that 13 month slippage.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on October 16, 2017, 04:49:01 pm
What are you talking about?!!! You asked me "What has sovereignty got to do with Brexit negotiations today"? I answered by saying "Some people believe that we will still be under most EU rules for years even after Brexit. Maybe they are concerned about this affecting the country's chances of regaining sovereignty should  Brexit negotiations go against us".

I suggest you ask them, not me. I only answered your question of what has Sovereignty got to do with negotiations today!

Remember Mr Wilts, You seem to be the expert on everything about everything. I've always insisted that predicting the result of Brexit would be complete conjecture. I've NEVER, EVER tried to imply otherwise.

You have certainly more than implied that the Brexit negotiations have broken down because of 'sovereignty' or is writing it not implying it?

It makes me an expert because I answer your questions does it? Seems everybody is an expert these days Mr Bentley.

Mr Wilts, where have I implied that Brexit negotiations have broken down, because of sovereignty or otherwise? I don't even know if negotiations have broken down!

Mr Bentley, I asked 'what has sovereignty got to do with Brexit negotiations today. You answered

Some people believe that we will still be under most EU rules for years even after Brexit. Maybe they are concerned about this affecting the country's chances of regaining sovereignty should  Brexit negotiations go against us.

So if you answer a question about Brexit negotiations breaking down with a reply about people being concerned about sovereignty what does that imply?

I am surprised you dont know they broke down last week. I would post you a link to the news stories about them but I know you dont like people putting sources on their information. Maybe you need to rub your crystal ball harder.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on October 16, 2017, 04:54:00 pm
Mr Wilts, where have I implied that Brexit negotiations have broken down, because of sovereignty or otherwise? I don't even know if negotiations have broken down!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on October 16, 2017, 06:29:30 pm
Mr Bentley I refer you to the answer given above.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on October 16, 2017, 06:33:31 pm
I think you've got your wires crossed Mr Wilts. Maybe you've blown a fuse?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on October 16, 2017, 07:31:31 pm
  I voted to stay in, knowing that a vote to come out would be disruptive.Neither Cameron(the  fool) or Bojo (the bafoon)  put up much of a credible arguement why we should stay in or leave,and the E.U. giving next to nothing to Cameron,and  scaremongering, and the influx of Syrian and economic immigrants from Africa being at its height swayed the electorate.
  Endless debates with second class M.Ps. mostly with very little substance in debate  except to slag each other off, let quick thinking Farage make them look fools,he had an answer to all their quips because of Camerons failure,and the repetitive nature of the remainers arguement.
  Now the die is cast,the remainers are being seen as to be people who think that the common people are not to be trusted to make such an important decision,and in my opinion have succeeded in alienated even more of the electorate against staying in the E.U.
  Never before has the electorate been more divided,but the latest polls have shown a widening of the vote to leave, as more resentment against the E.U. leaders of the negotiations play hard ball,and ours try to turn it into a battle of the generations,pitting  young against old.
  Me, I would now vote out,I do not like to be took for granted,nor do I like being threatened,what I do want, and expect, is for our M.Ps. to start doing their best for this country instead of looking after themselves.
   If they can do that then maybe,after a few years, we will come out of the other end of this mess in a better position as a country.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on October 16, 2017, 08:03:38 pm
Not sure why you think my wires are crossed Mr Bentley. I was you who introduced sovereignty into a discussion about the Brexit negotiations - which since this topic started have broken down/come to stalemate. Maybe you are just dreaming it all.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on October 16, 2017, 08:08:56 pm
One of the main reasons people said they voted to leave was to take back sovereignty from the huge bureaucratic entity with its complex maze of laws that is the EU. So why are they now surprised that it is acting like a complex bureaucratic entity - because that's what it is!

Na Mr Wilts, it was this fella above.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on October 16, 2017, 08:14:52 pm
We all hope that Selby (even Bentley and myself) but there are some very different views on how we might get there - and how long it will take.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on October 16, 2017, 08:22:18 pm
One of the main reasons people said they voted to leave was to take back sovereignty from the huge bureaucratic entity with its complex maze of laws that is the EU. So why are they now surprised that it is acting like a complex bureaucratic entity - because that's what it is!

Na Mr Wilts, it was this fella above.

Yeah thats the argument that was was given for the referendum for leaving the EU because the EU is bureaucratic. And when the EU proves to be bureaucratic during the negotiations why are people surprised the negotiations are in flexible/break down/come to a stalemate.

So I repeat once again - what has sovereignty got to do with the negotiations? The only time I used it was in referring back to the referendum?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on October 16, 2017, 08:27:31 pm
Wilts. You said it was me who introduced sovereignty into a discussion about the Brexit negotiations. I didn't - You did!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on October 17, 2017, 01:59:46 am
  I voted to stay in, knowing that a vote to come out would be disruptive.Neither Cameron(the  fool) or Bojo (the bafoon)  put up much of a credible arguement why we should stay in or leave,and the E.U. giving next to nothing to Cameron,and  scaremongering, and the influx of Syrian and economic immigrants from Africa being at its height swayed the electorate.
  Endless debates with second class M.Ps. mostly with very little substance in debate  except to slag each other off, let quick thinking Farage make them look fools,he had an answer to all their quips because of Camerons failure,and the repetitive nature of the remainers arguement.
  Now the die is cast,the remainers are being seen as to be people who think that the common people are not to be trusted to make such an important decision,and in my opinion have succeeded in alienated even more of the electorate against staying in the E.U.
  Never before has the electorate been more divided,but the latest polls have shown a widening of the vote to leave, as more resentment against the E.U. leaders of the negotiations play hard ball,and ours try to turn it into a battle of the generations,pitting  young against old.
  Me, I would now vote out,I do not like to be took for granted,nor do I like being threatened,what I do want, and expect, is for our M.Ps. to start doing their best for this country instead of looking after themselves.
   If they can do that then maybe,after a few years, we will come out of the other end of this mess in a better position as a country.

" a widening of the vote to leave "  - really Selby then I take it you haven't seen the latest YouGov survey  :-

 https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/oct/13/labour-flags-up-brexit-poll-which-suggests-public-regret-decision&ved=0ahUKEwj1t5OgufbWAhXHVRoKHak6DUMQFghVMAQ&usg=AOvVaw1v1DDombQ20EwBXK_pCsPS

Selby , I respect your views and understand to some extent why you think as you do. However you are a lonely light in the darkness travelling the opposite way to the general direction of travel .
The pendulum has started to swing.........

To use the BST analogy of the pilot flying in the storm ; whilst the passengers have persuaded the pilot to fly into less turbulent airspace - you have said feck it let's turn back into the storm and see if this old plane stays together knowing that no-one is likely to survive the plane crash. Save the half dozen or so who will parachute out landing gently on their tax free havens below. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on October 17, 2017, 10:32:00 am
The supposed original navigator who set up the referendum and then ran a less than helpful remain campaign then left the plane. Despite assurances that he would lead the country through whatever the outcome.
He's now happily swanning around the USA.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on October 17, 2017, 11:01:12 am
I wonder if he and his mate George got any parachute payments?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: keith79 on October 17, 2017, 11:02:40 am
I believe brexit is like a marriage. One person ask to other to change. They said no. Should the unhappy one be expected to stay? Or leave?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on October 17, 2017, 11:06:36 am
Do you mean the EU is acting like a spoilt Barbie doll and the UK is like poor old Ken?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 17, 2017, 12:44:46 pm
I believe brexit is like a marriage. One person ask to other to change. They said no. Should the unhappy one be expected to stay? Or leave?

More like a swingers commune of 28 couples.

One man asked if he could keep on comin to the orgies without bringing his wife along.


Seriously Keith, your post does say a lot. This attitude that there's an equality of power and leverage between the UK (one state with about 70million people and a GDP of about $2.5tr) and the rest of the EU (27 states with a population of about 450million and a GDP of about $14tr.

Look at those numbers. And then ask yourself why THEY should bend over backwards to accommodate US.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on October 17, 2017, 01:01:50 pm
Of course they shouldn't bend over backwards to accommodate us, I'm not sure who is expecting them to. I would imagine our aim is to prevent an unfair divorce settlement which has been designed to discourage other EU countries from wanting to separate.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on October 17, 2017, 01:03:19 pm
  Hoola,I do not know which poll I saw showing that the vote was widening the opposite way to your poll,and realise polls mean nothing dependant on the area you take the poll in.
  The fact is the disruption we knew would happen is now with us,so everyone can now watch the goings on of the poor set of idiots fronting both sides,and realine their thoughts on what now is going on.
   While ever the E.U. project their side of the arguement to be about money they run the risk of getting the back up of the British electorate,and risk them backing the walk away tories.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on October 17, 2017, 01:30:21 pm
  Hoola,sorry to be a pain,my gut feeling is that we would be better off in the E.U. that reforms from the inside,but with people like Barnier,and drunkard fronting their case it will not happen.
   The leading Tory Brexiteers are from the same gangs of Tories that have never done the likes of me a favour all my life,and that goes for everyone who is not in the top 5% of earners in this country.The majority of us have had to live off the crums the top table left us,they let us own our own property,but now want us to use them to fund our care,an industry where they make billions out of.
  Never ever underestimate the ruling class in this country,when we do leave the E.U. within 3yrs they will have turned it to their advantage,we will be  a low wage deregulated industrial island off Europe,and if the E.U. think they will get their hands on the banking system in London they are living in dream land.
   If we get a bad deal,I would take a bet that within a couple of years there will be a run on the Euro,Barnier may have his day in the sunshine,but he and his mates will forever be  watching their backs from then on.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 17, 2017, 02:18:07 pm
Of course they shouldn't bend over backwards to accommodate us, I'm not sure who is expecting them to. I would imagine our aim is to prevent an unfair divorce settlement which has been designed to discourage other EU countries from wanting to separate.

BB. I would also like to imagine that our aim is to get a fair deal. Do you think the EU doesn't also have that aim?

But here's the problem. The EU have consistently (and in my view, very correctly) said that there are three potentially hugely negative consequences of Brexit for the 450million EU citizens who aren't from the UK.
Irish Border
Rights of EU citizens domicilled in the UK
Our responsibility for the many commitments that we made to the EU budget which extent beyond March 2019.


The EU has (quite fairly in my opinion) said, "YOU have decided to leave. What are your plans for addressing these three issues. Until we get a resolution to those issues, we're not prepared to discuss the things that would be beneficial to you."

I cannot see anything vindictive or penalising or unfair in that stance. They are basically telling us that these are the real-world consequences which may potentially hurt a lot of people who had no say in our vote. We have a responsibility to ensure that we are going to be grown up and find solutions.

And that's the problem:
On the Irish Border, the key Brexiteers said it would be an easy problem to sort. But 16 months on, we've not proposed a remotely feasible solution.

On EU citizens, we are saying "You will have to trust us to be fair." Really? Would YOU trust Johnson, Gove, Davies, Grayling, Redwood, Fox and the string of others who lied through their teeth during the referendum, and who have painted the EU people living in the UK as feckless scroungers?

On the budget commitments, we have a Foreign Secretary saying that the EU can go whistle. That he wants us to have our cake and eat it. You have Rees-Mogg, a serious contender for next PM saying we should leave and pay not a penny after March 2019. They are like people who sign a contract to by a car on HP over 7 years, get 5 years down the line and decide that they don't want to pay anymore.

Look at it from the EU position. Ask who is negotiating in good faith.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on October 17, 2017, 02:30:11 pm
So basically what the EU are saying is what they want is non negotiable and what we want is very much negotiable?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on October 17, 2017, 02:54:01 pm
I think what people forget is that the EU is made up of all it's member countries; it's not really a case of the UK v the EU, its the UK v all the countries in the EU.
Theresa, Boris and it seems most brexiteers expect to get what is best for the UK over all these countries within the EU; it's simply not going to happen, and nor should it.

This whole f*ckig situation is appalling; the Brexit vote litereally came about so Cameron (remember him?) could consolidate his leadership within his own party and whip his backbenchers into line; that is it! That is the sole reason! There wasn't an apetite for it across the country; I'd never heard anyone in my family or social circle mention anything to do with leaving the EU, yet when the referendum came most of them voted leave? It's a ridiculous situation and one that could still be stopped if this PM had courage and conviction to follow what she originally believed in.... but she doesn't.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 17, 2017, 03:08:12 pm
Filo

No. What the EU is saying is: "We have a responsibility to 450million people. YOUR choice to leave is potentially going to have some very, very seriously negative consequences for some of those. Leaving is YOUR choice, not ours. If there are seriously negative consequences for you Brits, then we're very sorry about that. Maybe you should have considered that before you voted to leave. Now, let's sort out how we are going to mitigate the worst outcomes for the EU citizens. And then we'll be perfectly happy to talk about how to help your economy not fall off a cliff in 16 months time."

Is that unreasonable? I think it's perfectly reasonable.

If my neighbour decided to smash all his windows, chuck the glass over the hedge, then ask me to help him replace his windows, I think I'd be within my rights to ask him to sort out the mess in my garden first. If he complained that he hadn't realised how cold he was going to be in the winter, and I was being unfair, I doubt I'd change my stance.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 17, 2017, 03:19:49 pm
There's also a whispered sub-text.

"What's that Mrs May? You say we can't come to any agreement on the Big Three issues? Because if you give any ground whatsoever, it'll tear apart the Tory party? Oh dear! That's a shame isn't it? We thought the whole idea of the Referendum was to sort out this split in your Tory Party. Hey! Maybe you should call a General Election and get a strong mandate in Parliament to face down your mad right wing? What's that? You tried it and you utterly f**ked it up by being unable to function like an adult in public? Oh dear!

"What's that Mrs May? You want us to forget about those three issues for now, and start talking about how WE are going to help YOU? That's a good one Mrs May. You British and your sense of humour! Ha-ha-ha-ha!"
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wesisback on October 17, 2017, 04:57:13 pm
There's also a whispered sub-text.

"What's that Mrs May? You say we can't come to any agreement on the Big Three issues? Because if you give any ground whatsoever, it'll tear apart the Tory party? Oh dear! That's a shame isn't it? We thought the whole idea of the Referendum was to sort out this split in your Tory Party. Hey! Maybe you should call a General Election and get a strong mandate in Parliament to face down your mad right wing? What's that? You tried it and you utterly f**ked it up by being unable to function like an adult in public? Oh dear!

"What's that Mrs May? You want us to forget about those three issues for now, and start talking about how WE are going to help YOU? That's a good one Mrs May. You British and your sense of humour! Ha-ha-ha-ha!"
Remember when you were calling for Corbyns head?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on October 17, 2017, 05:37:55 pm
Filo

No. What the EU is saying is: "We have a responsibility to 450million people. YOUR choice to leave is potentially going to have some very, very seriously negative consequences for some of those. Leaving is YOUR choice, not ours. If there are seriously negative consequences for you Brits, then we're very sorry about that. Maybe you should have considered that before you voted to leave. Now, let's sort out how we are going to mitigate the worst outcomes for the EU citizens. And then we'll be perfectly happy to talk about how to help your economy not fall off a cliff in 16 months time."

Is that unreasonable? I think it's perfectly reasonable.

If my neighbour decided to smash all his windows, chuck the glass over the hedge, then ask me to help him replace his windows, I think I'd be within my rights to ask him to sort out the mess in my garden first. If he complained that he hadn't realised how cold he was going to be in the winter, and I was being unfair, I doubt I'd change my stance.
Maybe if the EU had tried harder to make us stay when negotiating with Cameron the referendum would have had a different outcome.
The whole EU policy seems to be melding into a federal state.
That is what I voted against but seems to be growing even more likely now.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on October 17, 2017, 05:44:11 pm
There's also a whispered sub-text.

"What's that Mrs May? You say we can't come to any agreement on the Big Three issues? Because if you give any ground whatsoever, it'll tear apart the Tory party? Oh dear! That's a shame isn't it? We thought the whole idea of the Referendum was to sort out this split in your Tory Party. Hey! Maybe you should call a General Election and get a strong mandate in Parliament to face down your mad right wing? What's that? You tried it and you utterly f**ked it up by being unable to function like an adult in public? Oh dear!

"What's that Mrs May? You want us to forget about those three issues for now, and start talking about how WE are going to help YOU? That's a good one Mrs May. You British and your sense of humour! Ha-ha-ha-ha!"

I agree that the Govenment and people witin the Government are putting their own interests above the intersts of the Country
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 17, 2017, 06:02:41 pm
Idler
So you've not seen Macron proposing a multi-grouping for Europe? A well-integrated inner core set of countries, with others around the periphery opting out of various aspects?

Why care what Juncker says? He's utterly irrelevant.

Filo. Yes. Exactly. So they are no negotiating in good faith. So what do you expect the EU to do? Negotiate in their terms?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on October 17, 2017, 06:46:36 pm
Idler
So you've not seen Macron proposing a multi-grouping for Europe? A well-integrated inner core set of countries, with others around the periphery opting out of various aspects?

Why care what Juncker says? He's utterly irrelevant.

Filo. Yes. Exactly. So they are no negotiating in good faith. So what do you expect the EU to do? Negotiate in their terms?

Irrelevent of which way anyone voted, I think we can all agree that it's a right old mess of the Governments making
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on October 18, 2017, 10:17:01 pm
Just reading that the EU leaders are going to refuse Theresa's attempts to talk trade (again) tomorrow but talk her up in the press because she's so weak domestically she won't make any concessions in the negotiations.

She's so weak she literally can't do her job.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on October 19, 2017, 01:56:18 am
Ironic that the weakness of the current Tory Party far from thrilling the EU leaders actually has them confused as to how to deal with the wounded animal. 
Like any individual or organisation they prefer to deal with certainty rather than the pathetic animal that they see before it.

What they feel is that anyou deal thrashed out now could be reneged on in the near future .
Personally I think and hope that Brexit will be somehow cancelled before innocent people's lives are tossed upside down.
Macron's vision of a 2/3 or even 4 tier :laugh: Europe could have some mileage in it yet- after all we already have opt-,outs a plenty
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on October 27, 2017, 04:37:24 pm
When the EU talk about the UK paying the divorce bill, maybe they should take a leaf out of their own book

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-41774817
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 27, 2017, 05:12:51 pm
When the EU talk about the UK paying the divorce bill, maybe they should take a leaf out of their own book

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-41774817

Are you actually thinking the divorce bill is going to be paid all in one go and not over several years like that is??
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on October 27, 2017, 06:14:47 pm
When the EU talk about the UK paying the divorce bill, maybe they should take a leaf out of their own book

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-41774817

And when Brexitiers told us how much money we were going to get back - they forgot to mention it would be in 30 years time!!!!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: keith79 on October 27, 2017, 07:26:41 pm
We should ask them for money. Part of the divorce bill.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on October 27, 2017, 07:38:14 pm
You have no idea how things like this work if you think that's what we can do.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 27, 2017, 08:20:30 pm
Filo

This is the reality. Did you think that Leave was just something that we could click our fingers and arrange? There are complex contractual obligations which we have entered into and which now have to be unpicked.

The EIB is a brilliant concept for funding infrastructure improvements across Europe. It pools risk between countries and provides fundingat much lower rates than commercial banks would provide. It's a perfect example of the benefits that we get from working together. It means that big investment projects from like roads, railways, water systems etc can get funding at rates which make them viable. One example, close to home: EIB funding has underpinned the new high speed trains that will be on the East Coast Main Line next year.

The EIB is not trying to impose penalties on us by saying we'll not get all our investment back for 40 years. WE have entered into long-term contractual agreements about its funding. We can't just turn round and say, "changed our minds. Can we have our money back please?" Contracts don't work like that.

These things were never discussed last summer. There was no grown up debate about what the real benefits were from our connection with Europe. Or that unpicking them would take generations and a lot of effort.

You voted for Brexit. You're getting Brexit. This is what it entails.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on October 29, 2017, 08:06:55 am
I'm currently helping my daughter sort out her Erasmus + study abroad applications - she wants to spend a year in Copenhagen. Try as we might , it seems that all these funding arrangements are " up in the air " too . She is graduating from a top Russell Group uni and basically it appears they haven't got a clue how all this will effect this programme let alone the huge capital projects that were going to make not only Oxbridge but other unis such as Leeds , Sheffield, York etc . the envy of the world in terms of research and development.

Unless we are careful all the great strides we have made to not only to be the financial but also one of THE best centres for R & D will be lost. Our universities were about to enter a golden age - when the funding is pulled what then ? Just like the EIB, another pooled EU strength will be lost.

No doubt like the financial services sector , we will see R & D moved out to  say the unis @ Copenhagen, Mannheim, Zurich etc . along with the brightest tutors, researchers, students . I'm still looking for a positive in all this - oh yes I forgot we will regain the sovereignty we NEVER lost .

This IS reality and try as I might it ALL  seems like the worst of outcomes - where are the positives Brexiters  ?

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 01, 2017, 07:39:32 am
$600 quid this year and things have hardly started, how much next year and the next..............

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/01/brexit-vote-cost-niesr-economic-growth
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 01, 2017, 10:38:25 am
$600 quid this year and things have hardly started, how much next year and the next..............l

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/01/brexit-vote-cost-niesr-economic-growth

It doesn't make good reading does it , come March 2019 - " Project Fear " will pale into insignificance when Project Reality starts to bite - thanks Brexiters .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 02, 2017, 06:09:32 pm
The Bank of England isn't pulling any punches with these comments today.
https://mobile.twitter.com/ChrisGiles_/status/926057736151945216/photo/1

-Brexit has resulted in inflation which is why interest rates are now going up.
-Brexit has led to our economy slowing, just as the rest of the world is picking up.
-Brexit means that any future growth is going to lead to more inflation which means higher interest rates which means less growth.

Still, in a recent poll, 40% of pensioners who voted Leave said they would do so again. even if it resulted in a family member losing their job.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 03, 2017, 10:41:52 pm
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/03/no-deal-brexit-could-add-930-a-year-to-uk-shopping-bills-say-experts
The evidence is mounting daily and coming from normally very sober conservative sources and unless the people of Britain have their say and demand another vote.......................
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Dagenham Rover on November 03, 2017, 11:07:00 pm
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/03/no-deal-brexit-could-add-930-a-year-to-uk-shopping-bills-say-experts
The evidence is mounting daily and coming from normally very sober conservative sources and unless the people of Britain have their say and demand another vote.......................

Is there any conservatives or Labour or whoever for that matter going to be left in Parliment after the next week or so :):)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 03, 2017, 11:32:26 pm
Sydney

Thing is, none of those arguments are getting through. We're in an age of entrenched opinions. No-one wants to listen to information which suggests that they might be wrong.

We're all guilty of it.

In that sense, Michael Gove almost hit the nail on the head when he said that people had had enough of listening to experts. What he really should have said was that people had hade ouch oflistening to experts who challenge their deep-seated beliefs.

On this subject, you have to go a long, long way to find an expert economist who things there's anything positive to come out of Brexit. We're already seeing the initial negative effects. Weaker pound. Higher inflation. Weaker economic growth.

Most economists aren't predicting a sudden cliff-edge collapse because of Brexit. Instead, they are predicting a long, slow reduction in economic performance relative to the rest of Europe and the World. That will hurt hugely over time. If our GDP growth drops by 1% per year (which is the general average prediction) then by the late 2030s, we'll be £2-3trn poorer than we should have been. That's a lot of doctors and hospitals and teachers and schools and roads and railways. Moreto theooint, that sort of long, slow decline would put us on a much lower economic standard than currently, where, person for person, we are roughly level with Japan, Germany, France, USA, Canada etc. We won't be in their league in 20 years time if those prijections are right. We'll have taken our country back, but it will be a significantly weaker and poorer country.

But there's enough people who are prepared to ignore those predictions. Prepared to ignore experts who say things that make them uncomfortable.



Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 04, 2017, 12:24:51 am
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/03/no-deal-brexit-could-add-930-a-year-to-uk-shopping-bills-say-experts
The evidence is mounting daily and coming from normally very sober conservative sources and unless the people of Britain have their say and demand another vote.......................

Is there any conservatives or Labour or whoever for that matter going to be left in Parliment after the next week or so :):)

Probably not John , I suspect the bar has gone higher too . Small indiscretions will soon be treated as major issues.
However I suspect that sexism has been rampant as much if not more so there as in every other workplace. I am concerned that fairly innocent transgressions , forgiven by victims, can come back to haunt not only the transgressors but the poor female that might rather forget and have moved on rather than be on some circulated list ?
Hope everything OK Daggers btw as not heard much from you recently ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 04, 2017, 06:50:48 am
Sydney

Thing is, none of those arguments are getting through. We're in an age of entrenched opinions. No-one wants to listen to information which suggests that they might be wrong.

We're all guilty of it.

In that sense, Michael Gove almost hit the nail on the head when he said that people had had enough of listening to experts. What he really should have said was that people had hade ouch oflistening to experts who challenge their deep-seated beliefs.

On this subject, you have to go a long, long way to find an expert economist who things there's anything positive to come out of Brexit. We're already seeing the initial negative effects. Weaker pound. Higher inflation. Weaker economic growth.

Most economists aren't predicting a sudden cliff-edge collapse because of Brexit. Instead, they are predicting a long, slow reduction in economic performance relative to the rest of Europe and the World. That will hurt hugely over time. If our GDP growth drops by 1% per year (which is the general average prediction) then by the late 2030s, we'll be £2-3trn poorer than we should have been. That's a lot of doctors and hospitals and teachers and schools and roads and railways. Moreto theooint, that sort of long, slow decline would put us on a much lower economic standard than currently, where, person for person, we are roughly level with Japan, Germany, France, USA, Canada etc. We won't be in their league in 20 years time if those prijections are right. We'll have taken our country back, but it will be a significantly weaker and poorer country.

But there's enough people who are prepared to ignore those predictions. Prepared to ignore experts who say things that make them uncomfortable.
I see a steady decline in personal wealth and over a couple of generations a continued drift into poverty for more and more people coupled with controls of freedom. The UK is already one of the most monitored societies at every opportunity in the name of terrorism laws are changed to allow the police and other agencies to access data that allows them to see whom you contact where you spend your money and where you travel and none of these laws have sunset clauses as far as I'm aware. Go back 20 years and I'd have thought that we were in a cycle where those in lower socioeconomic positions would be able to claw themselves out and to build/rebuild lives but nowadays this is much more difficult. Sorry to paint a picture of gloom but where and how does someone that has fallen on hard times go to resurrect their lives.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on November 04, 2017, 09:54:39 am

Still, in a recent poll, 40% of pensioners who voted Leave said they would do so again. even if it resulted in a family member losing their job.

I cant find the actual numbers of votes cast but saw that the percentage split for my age group 65 + was 36 Stay 64 Leave

So if 40 % of that 64 would still vote Leave that would be (call it 26) and 38 of them therefore would presumably vote Stay if given another choice

So "now" we would have that same Group who would vote 74 Remain to 26 to Leave and obviously this "back of a fag packet " Maths is pure speculation but that represents a big swing

If there were 5 million Pensioners who original voted their votes would have produced :

Remain 1,800,000
Leave   3,200,000

If there were now the same 5 Million voting the vote now would produce :

Remain 3,700,000
Leave   1,300,000

Only 1,300,000 Million separated Leave from Remain in the overall Vote but of course I am estimating everything
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 04, 2017, 11:31:47 am
Wolf

Remember the context of the question.

What would you vote if you knew that leaving the EU would result in a family member losing their job.

That's the point. If people KNOW that leaving the EU wil be seriously detrimental to the economy, even the majority of pensioner Leavers would change their mind (although I do wonder what is in the heads of that 40%...)

The point is that there's been enough muddying of the waters for a lot of the Leave supporters to be able to convince themselves that the economy will be alright. In poll after poll, a majority of Leave supporters still think that the economy will get better or stay the same after Brexit. That opinion is shared by only about 1 economist in 10.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 04, 2017, 04:45:27 pm
Exactly , respect to the way that the Brexiters have managed to sell their losing hand to their adoring fans. Anyone thinking this is a strong economy wants their head examining - we have 100'000s of kids leaving colleges with near worthless degrees that would otherwise be sat on  the dole queue but instead share shit jobs, working crap hours for poor wages . Meanwhile they wonder how they are going to get on the housing ladder whilst staring at their student loan debt update.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on November 05, 2017, 10:55:13 am
Wolf

Remember the context of the question.

What would you vote if you knew that leaving the EU would result in a family member losing their job.

That's the point. If people KNOW that leaving the EU wil be seriously detrimental to the economy, even the majority of pensioner Leavers would change their mind (although I do wonder what is in the heads of that 40%...)

The point is that there's been enough muddying of the waters for a lot of the Leave supporters to be able to convince themselves that the economy will be alright. In poll after poll, a majority of Leave supporters still think that the economy will get better or stay the same after Brexit. That opinion is shared by only about 1 economist in 10.

Yeah you were right. I only saw the figures and not the attached criteria

I keep having a look at this Thread but in truth I don't know why as I am so thoroughly disenchanted with the whole EU Referendum / the Result thereof / and the action(s) and blather before during and after the process !

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 05, 2017, 11:40:10 am
Wolf

I'd guess you're disenchanted for the same reason I am. That holding a referendum in this topic was stupid beyond description. It is a fiendishly complex topic and the "debate" that we had last summer barely sharpened the knife, let alone scratched the surface.

The problem was (and it was criminal stupidity of Cameron not to understand this) once you accept that it is impossible to properly analyse the overwhelming complexity of the issues in a referendum, you have to accept that the decision will be made, more or less on gut instinct. And the Leave side had a far stronger hand there.

The Leave side coined a brilliant phrase: Take Our Country Back! That chimed with people on an instinctive level. Underneath that, they had this line that the worst consequences wouldn't happen because we are a big economy that can trade with the rest of the world, and that the EU would want to give us a decent deal anyway. And finally, the money. Leave had the simple fact that, on basic accounting, we pay more than we directly received back.

Those were powerful arguments. Grossly over-simplistic, but that's what you need in a referendum.

Reamisn's case had to be much more complex. Less instinctively appealing. It had to accept that the EU wasn't perfect. That the decision to remain should be one on balance between two less than perfect alternatives. That the economic case to remain (which is utterly overwhelming) required complex analysis to understand.

The Remain campaign never developed its equivalent of Take Our Country Back! Corbyn took thisto an extreme, openly criticising the EU and saying the case to remain was 7/10. As though that would inspire people to vote Remain.

That's why I'm so f**ked off with the whole process. A decision that was way too complex to have a referendum over. That's not being condescending. It's backed up by evidence. An opinion poll in the week after the vote found that 47% of people believed that the £350m a week claim was true. THAT was the environment in which we made the biggest decision in 3 generations.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on November 05, 2017, 01:04:56 pm
 :that: 100 Per Cent  :that:

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 05, 2017, 11:43:15 pm
100% + we can do better than this, are we brave enough to test the waters? We can start a "Reverse Brexit Now" petition, we just need 5 people to kick it off.

https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/check

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on November 06, 2017, 01:21:31 am
Brexit for most people was never about money for the nhs it's about immigration, it's about if you say something about someone foreign your a racist, this country has gone mad,you have lawyers for Muslims lawyers for blacks which in it's self is racist, nothing is for the white British( it shouldn't be everyone should be equal) but there not everyone has rights bar the British white person, no doubt my post is racist but it's how I feel
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 06, 2017, 05:05:08 am
Reverse Brexit Now

http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/remembrance-sunday-ww1-ww2-government-whitewash-indian-polish-french-soldiers-a8035521.html

"So on Remembrance Sunday the same military contingents will play the same tunes as ever, as we rightly remember the sacrifices British people made in successive conflicts, while ignoring the contributions made by others. And the public will go home or switch off their televisions, secure in their beliefs that Poles are taking our jobs, Belgians have never fought for anything, the French left us alone in 1940, and Indians are unwelcome immigrants – and that none of them have played a positive part in Britain’s island story. No wonder that popular euroscepticism, and belief in the uniqueness of British sovereignty, are so entrenched. That’s the message that our unchanging national ceremony conveys"
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 06, 2017, 07:49:09 am
Sad Sydney but so very true - how we remain so deeply entrenched in our " exceptional  " past is the undoing of this country and prevents us from addressing the needs of our future ; we simply gloss over our weaknesses with our past deeds of daring do .

How we must be painting a sorry picture of our nation to the rest of the world with our penchant for both our  isolationist and pseudo-nationalistic tendencies. Basically we are painting ourselves into a corner on the international stage and becoming more and more ridiculous . Time we woke up and smelled the coffee before it ends up bubbling over and scalding us completely.
We are going the way of all '' lost ''  empires slowly and inexorably into decay unless of course we can wake up from our slumbers , be realistic and look for a national usp more befitting of our resources and our current not past influence in the world.

The list of lost empires is endless and rarely do they recover - Mongol, Assyrian, Mesopotamian,  Roman, Ottoman, Portuguese, Spanish, Greek, Austro- Hungarian etc. Rarely if ever do their people manage to keep a strong economy going notable exceptions are possibly The Netherlands and Austria who have managed against the odds to keep the incomes of their populations relatively intact with GDP of £ 41,485 and 39,985 respectively . Some will be astounded now to see the wealth of our Irish neighbours  at £56,674. So much for the basket case neighbours with their ' bail out ' from the EU  !

Above us in terms of living standards in Europe are : Norway, Belgium, Denmark, Iceland , Sweden, Ireland, Germany , Austria, Switzerland, The Netherlands ........is there a common thread here perhaps ? France and Finland are due to overtake us too this year.
Seemingly we are due to join the basket cases ( Spain, Italy , Portugal and Greece ) of the EU at least in the short term
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on November 06, 2017, 07:59:10 am
100% + we can do better than this, are we brave enough to test the waters? We can start a "Reverse Brexit Now" petition, we just need 5 people to kick it off.

https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/check



Agreed - but there must be such a move underway - surely ?

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 06, 2017, 08:59:28 am
100% + we can do better than this, are we brave enough to test the waters? We can start a "Reverse Brexit Now" petition, we just need 5 people to kick it off.

https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/check



Agreed - but there must be such a move underway - surely ?



I think that's about to happen the current UK Government can be likened to an old , shaky table - a small tug on one of the legs and it's gone completely,
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 06, 2017, 09:20:37 am
100% + we can do better than this, are we brave enough to test the waters? We can start a "Reverse Brexit Now" petition, we just need 5 people to kick it off.

https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/check



Agreed - but there must be such a move underway - surely ?
A petition has to be unique to be accepted and although my quick search found there are some that want to take certain paths if negotiations break down I couldn't find one that just stated "Reverse Brexit" without any conditions
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 06, 2017, 09:34:14 am
A reversed Brexit with all our UNIQUE opt-outs intact  from an obviously intransigent EU. 

Which other club do you know with rules for all that allow some ( I. E. US ) to break them with impunity . A " no jeans " policy in the dining room of the golf club we walk in dressed head to toe in denim . A " no smoking " policy and we walk around  blowing smoke into other member's faces etc........no wonder they didn't offer Cameron a further deal
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 06, 2017, 10:09:16 am
Brexit for most people was never about money for the nhs it's about immigration, it's about if you say something about someone foreign your a racist, this country has gone mad,you have lawyers for Muslims lawyers for blacks which in it's self is racist, nothing is for the white British( it shouldn't be everyone should be equal) but there not everyone has rights bar the British white person, no doubt my post is racist but it's how I feel

Alright. I'll take your grievances on as honest and firmly held ones.

But what Brexit does is to make you and your kids and your grandkids poorer into the foreseeable future, whilst doing nothing about black lawyers. Or about your ability to say what you want about someone of a different ethnicity.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 06, 2017, 10:45:36 am
100% + we can do better than this, are we brave enough to test the waters? We can start a "Reverse Brexit Now" petition, we just need 5 people to kick it off.

https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/check



Agreed - but there must be such a move underway - surely ?



I think that's about to happen the current UK Government can be likened to an old , shaky table - a small tug on one of the legs and it's gone completely,

Hoola
Given the recent news about Damian Green, I'd rather not think about anything old and shaky in the Tory party getting a tug.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: GazLaz on November 06, 2017, 10:57:34 am
Wolf

I'd guess you're disenchanted for the same reason I am. That holding a referendum in this topic was stupid beyond description. It is a fiendishly complex topic and the "debate" that we had last summer barely sharpened the knife, let alone scratched the surface.

The problem was (and it was criminal stupidity of Cameron not to understand this) once you accept that it is impossible to properly analyse the overwhelming complexity of the issues in a referendum, you have to accept that the decision will be made, more or less on gut instinct. And the Leave side had a far stronger hand there.

The Leave side coined a brilliant phrase: Take Our Country Back! That chimed with people on an instinctive level. Underneath that, they had this line that the worst consequences wouldn't happen because we are a big economy that can trade with the rest of the world, and that the EU would want to give us a decent deal anyway. And finally, the money. Leave had the simple fact that, on basic accounting, we pay more than we directly received back.

Those were powerful arguments. Grossly over-simplistic, but that's what you need in a referendum.

Reamisn's case had to be much more complex. Less instinctively appealing. It had to accept that the EU wasn't perfect. That the decision to remain should be one on balance between two less than perfect alternatives. That the economic case to remain (which is utterly overwhelming) required complex analysis to understand.

The Remain campaign never developed its equivalent of Take Our Country Back! Corbyn took thisto an extreme, openly criticising the EU and saying the case to remain was 7/10. As though that would inspire people to vote Remain.

That's why I'm so f**ked off with the whole process. A decision that was way too complex to have a referendum over. That's not being condescending. It's backed up by evidence. An opinion poll in the week after the vote found that 47% of people believed that the £350m a week claim was true. THAT was the environment in which we made the biggest decision in 3 generations.

I said at the time that I wouldn’t be voting because it’s far too complex of a process to be able to make an informed decision.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 06, 2017, 11:36:59 am
I voted remain because of the risk involved in leaving because it meant going into unknown territory. It's still unknown territory as far as I know, but the negativity of other remain voters seems to be relentless.

I wonder if that negativity is actually making matters worse?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 06, 2017, 12:03:43 pm
BB

Aye. I'm sure the heads of multinational firms read this blog and think: f**k! Maybe it really IS going to be bad. Maybe we shouldn't make that investment we were planning.

I'm sure that within hours of the vote, the international currency markets decided that the Poud had lost 15% of its value because Hoola and me would be a bit upset.

What is making matters bad is plain, simple, textbook econcomics. If you deliberately choose to make it much harder to trade with a market of 450million, mostly relatively well off people, right on your doorstep, no amount of positive thinking is going to stop you being significantly poorer in future.

You keep saying its unknown territory. But its becoming far clearer now, 18 months on.

The currency dropped in value. Just as was predicted.
Inflation has jumped as a result. Just as was predicted.
Our economic growth has slowed significantly, when the rest of the developed world is picking up speed. Just as was predicted.

At what point does the territory become known and the consequences clear? When we've had 2 years of doing worse than the rest of the OECD? 5? 10?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 06, 2017, 12:14:49 pm
So what do we do then? Have another vote? Go about our business telling each other we're doomed? Lay down and die? 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 06, 2017, 12:24:48 pm
We could start by pressurising our representatives in Parliament to account for why the Govt has decided to withdraw us from the Customs Union and the Single Market, when we were expressly told during the referendum campaign that "Leave" didn't mean doing that.

That decision has been made by May because she fears that if she doesn't go down that route, there'll be a rebellion on the Hard Brexit wing of the Tory Party. But that outcome was not remotely supported by a majority last June. And it's not supported by anywhere near a majority of elected MPs. We've been stitched up by the Hard Brexit side of the Tory Party. Some of them genuinely believe that its the right thing to do (Rees-Mogg, Fox). Some of them don't really give a damn because its not about the country, its about their careers (Johnson, Gove). But whatever the driver, the simple fact is that there is no democratic mandate for the direction that we're heading in. This is a effectively a cabal of maybe 30% of MPs, supported by maybe 30% of the electorate (judging by opinion polls) who have hijacked the result of a stupidly called referendum and are driving us along a very destructive path. And they are doing it in the name of "The Will of the People".

If you genuinely care about democracy and the future of the country, you should be supporting anyone who is trying to stop this crazy plan.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 06, 2017, 01:07:06 pm
Doesn't Corbyn also want to leave the single market? Who would represent the argument for us?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 06, 2017, 02:42:43 pm
Yes. He does. He always has done for ideological reasons. He voted against the Single Market when it was first created and he now throws up red herrings like the "fact" (sic) that the Single Market would prevent us from taking the railways into private ownership. (It won't: SNCF is 100% owned by the French Govt. Deutsch Bahn is 100% owned by the German Govt.)

But Corbyn's personal ideological position isn't really the point here. The Labour PARTY doesn't share his ideology.

https://www.theguardian.com/global/2017/aug/26/labour-calls-for-lengthy-transitional-period-post-brexit

Labour's official position is that we should have a long "transition" period where nothing much changes on the Signle Market and Customs Union front. Labour's unofficial position (but the most sensible one of anyone who stops and thinks about this) is that the "transition" period could just go on and on into the hazy future. In other words, in March 2019, we say we have left the EU formally, but to avoid the worst economic consequences, we're going to remain in the SM and CU for as long as it takes to sort out a future arrangement where we could leave and not have economic disaster. And it might just turn out that we find it impossible to sort out that future arrangement. So the "transition" becomes permanent.

I'd say that's the least damaging situation we can hope to end up with. It'll make Boris Johnson and Liam Fox and Jacob Rees-Mogg howl that we're not carrying out the democratic will of the people. But f**k them, frankly.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 06, 2017, 05:32:38 pm
There is an interesting series of tweets on what the EU officials think of the UK's negotiations and objectives here:
https://twitter.com/jonlis1?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theguardian.com%2Fpolitics%2Fblog%2Flive%2F2017%2Fnov%2F06%2Fcbi-tells-may-that-business-needs-clarity-over-brexit-transition-by-christmas-politics-live%3Fpage%3Dwith%253Ablock-5a005a3ef1498906b779dfd4
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 06, 2017, 08:59:39 pm
Doesn't Corbyn also want to leave the single market? Who would represent the argument for us?

Thanks Bentley - thats a perfect opening for me to post this.

Jeremy Corbyn and Theresa May both spoke to the CBI today. Which one of them said:

“Like you .... I want the certainty of the customs union and the single market.”

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/06/jeremy-corbyn-theresa-may-cbi-conference-brexit
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 06, 2017, 09:06:48 pm
Wilts

You are being rather disingenuous there, as I'm sure you know.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 06, 2017, 09:16:55 pm
Careful Billy, his mate will be along soon!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 06, 2017, 09:19:25 pm
If there was any good news at all in the Brexit assessments you would think the government would release them with urgency, no?

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/06/speaker-gives-government-until-tuesday-to-publish-brexit-assessments
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on November 06, 2017, 09:24:13 pm
Donning the old tinfoil hat, I wonder if the latest bout of leaks surrounding offshore tax havens sheds any light as to why certain very wealthy, influential figures ploughed so much into the Leave campaign, considering the EU's talk of clamping down on tax havens?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 06, 2017, 09:39:56 pm
MM
I don't doubt it. It's never been about "Taking our Country Back" for them bas**rds. It's always been about them being able to do what the hell they want, without anyone reeling them in. It needs a strong international effort to make them pay what they should.

BB. How old are you?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 06, 2017, 09:57:36 pm
That's rather ageist of you, BST.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 06, 2017, 10:21:34 pm
Wilts

You are being rather disingenuous there, as I'm sure you know.

I know - I took the 'he said' bit out.

Marxists these days aren't what they used to be. I remember when it used to be the dictatorship of the proletariat and nationalising your front garden - now its canapes at the CBI and common ground with big business interests.

Its a funny old world.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 06, 2017, 10:32:15 pm
Yes. And now you're dissembling.

As you well know, Corbyn's position is that he wants us OUT of the Single Market but with tariff-free access to it.

Which won't happen.

Period.

He's walking a bit of a tightrope. He has to reconcile two fundamentally opposed positions.

His own ideological stance which demands that we leave the Single Market for all the reasons that he's preached for 30 years.

And the position of the overwhelming majority of the Labour Party, which wants us to stay in.

It's this tightrope act that led to Corbyn, the principled democrat that he is, preventing there being a vote on the Single Market at the Labour Conference.

But then, you know all that because you're a clever lad.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 07, 2017, 12:18:01 am
100% + we can do better than this, are we brave enough to test the waters? We can start a "Reverse Brexit Now" petition, we just need 5 people to kick it off.

https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/check



Agreed - but there must be such a move underway - surely ?



I think that's about to happen the current UK Government can be likened to an old , shaky table - a small tug on one of the legs and it's gone completely,

Hoola
Given the recent news about Damian Green, I'd rather not think about anything old and shaky in the Tory party getting a tug.

Nice one  how very true .....
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 07, 2017, 09:25:50 am
Brexit for most people was never about money for the nhs it's about immigration, it's about if you say something about someone foreign your a racist, this country has gone mad,you have lawyers for Muslims lawyers for blacks which in it's self is racist, nothing is for the white British( it shouldn't be everyone should be equal) but there not everyone has rights bar the British white person, no doubt my post is racist but it's how I feel

I am sorry to read your post but do hope you find the time to meet some of these people in their environment too. It seems you would deny black immigrants a lawyer from the same ethnic background should they need it - I hope you never find yourself in a tricky position when abroad and hope you would get access to a British lawyer versed in both the local customs and the ability to converse in the necessary foreign language.

Incidentally , we have been able to control the numbers of 'extra' EU immigrants since we have been members of the Common Market / EU........expect more of them to replace the individuals that are leaving this country back to their respective countries . You see basically we are going to get a different type of immigrant whilst losing all the socio- economic benefits that our membership gave us .
So much for sovereignty eh .........? Yes it is racist but get used to it , it will be part of what you voted for !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 07, 2017, 10:04:37 am
Hoola, I don't know anybody who is against immigrants coming into the country to work and not rip the system off. Not wanting immigrants who are here to rip the system off isn't racism. The same people don't want British people ripping the system off either.

In my humble, and unqualified opinion, I reckon that's the main reason why the vote went tits up.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 07, 2017, 10:37:57 am
Hoola, I don't know anybody who is against immigrants coming into the country to work and not rip the system off. Not wanting immigrants who are here to rip the system off isn't racism. The same people don't want British people ripping the system off either.

In my humble, and unqualified opinion, I reckon that's the main reason why the vote went tits up.
It's hard to know where to start when faced with such misrepresentation of facts, it's not the people you seek to blame for the problems in the UK but those listed in the Paradise Papers, those that control the money and power, those that allow zero hours contracts etc etc, these rent seekers do far more damage than any number of immigrants.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 07, 2017, 05:18:13 pm
Hoola, I don't know anybody who is against immigrants coming into the country to work and not rip the system off. Not wanting immigrants who are here to rip the system off isn't racism. The same people don't want British people ripping the system off either.

In my humble, and unqualified opinion, I reckon that's the main reason why the vote went tits up.

Bentley there is NO evidence to support the idea that masses of EU immigrants are leaching on this country - unless you read and believe the claptrap being fed to you and others daily in the The Sun / Ex press and more especially The fecking Mail . Quite simply our own Home Office has sat on their hands and not used the powers they have under EU rules to get rid of those that aren't or weren't prepared to work.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 07, 2017, 05:22:07 pm
I voted remain because of the risk involved in leaving because it meant going into unknown territory. It's still unknown territory as far as I know, but the negativity of other remain voters seems to be relentless.

I wonder if that negativity is actually making matters worse?


Pleased you had the common sense
Yes huge risks for little return
It should be
No its not as the experts ( not the Far Right ) know.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: big fat yorkshire pudding on November 07, 2017, 05:28:39 pm
I voted remain because of the risk involved in leaving because it meant going into unknown territory. It's still unknown territory as far as I know, but the negativity of other remain voters seems to be relentless.

I wonder if that negativity is actually making matters worse?


Pleased you had the common sense
Yes huge risks for little return
It should be
No its not as the experts ( not the Far Right ) know.

With risk comes potential - granted it's not being managed well to unleash potential but it's there.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 07, 2017, 05:35:45 pm
Donning the old tinfoil hat, I wonder if the latest bout of leaks surrounding offshore tax havens sheds any light as to why certain very wealthy, influential figures ploughed so much into the Leave campaign, considering the EU's talk of clamping down on tax havens?

Of course it was always to do with protecting themselves . Fortunes were pouring into various " Leave " campaigns , even from the DUP  to be used in English papers .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 07, 2017, 05:58:29 pm
I voted remain because of the risk involved in leaving because it meant going into unknown territory. It's still unknown territory as far as I know, but the negativity of other remain voters seems to be relentless.

I wonder if that negativity is actually making matters worse?


Pleased you had the common sense
Yes huge risks for little return
It should be
No its not as the experts ( not the Far Right ) know.

With risk comes potential - granted it's not being managed well to unleash potential but it's there.

You don't take huge risks from a point of weakness -  surely an Accountant would never advise that .

Virtually all our Services are over- stretched because of lack of funding, our national debt has almost reached £ 2 trillion and counting. We have few natural resources and a non- productive industrial Base at its weakest for aeons why would you take risks bfyp ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 07, 2017, 06:38:55 pm
BFYP

Aye. If you jump off a cliff, you might find you have the potential to fly.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 07, 2017, 06:40:16 pm
Donning the old tinfoil hat, I wonder if the latest bout of leaks surrounding offshore tax havens sheds any light as to why certain very wealthy, influential figures ploughed so much into the Leave campaign, considering the EU's talk of clamping down on tax havens?

Of course it was always to do with protecting themselves . Fortunes were pouring into various " Leave " campaigns , even from the DUP  to be used in English papers .

It wasn't from the DUP, it was through the DUP. ie laundered to deliberately avoid the spending rules in the rest of the UK.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on November 07, 2017, 07:07:24 pm
I voted leave and stand by it to an extent.
I didn't want a more federal Europe. David Cameron got no offers of any value to keep us there.
The EU ar now re-thinking it's stance after our vote but would it have done so if we voted remain? I don't think so.
Both sides contributed to the vote but if the EU had or did make concessions them maybe progress would be quicker.
Surely a hard Brexit benefits neither side and no right minded person on either side wants it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 07, 2017, 07:36:56 pm
Idler

Good post until the final sentence.

Have a look at page 5 here.

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/4y1e1sdlwa/InternalResults_171024_VI.pdf

30% of the electorate, 52% of Tory supporters and 58% of Leave voters think that if we have a Hard Brexit without an agreement on our future relationship with the EU, it will either have no consequence or it will be a good/very good thing. Oh aye, and Liam Fox said last week that it wouldn't be a disaster if we left without a deal. And May keeps parroting that line that No Deal Is Better Than A Bad Deal.

As things currently stand, there is a very real, and increasing chance that we WILL leave without an agreement. Because, as I posted back up the thread, the Tories cannot agree to the EU terms in the three pre-requisites (money we owe, Irish border and the status of UK-based EU citizens) without tearing themselves apart.

I hope I'm wrong, but there's nothing happened in the last 16 months to suggest that we are anywhere near sorting those things out. And even if we did so tomorrow, we only have 6-8 months left to sort out all the very complex details about what our future relationship with the EU will be.

Finally, there was a massive problem raised last week, which has had virtually no news coverage. Both May and Corbyn say that they want us out of the Single Market, but with tariff-free access to it. But the EU has just signed trade deals with Canada and S Korea, which include the undertaking that the EU will not sign a trade deal with any other non-Single Market country that gives that country a better deal than Canada and S Korea have got. But they haven't got tariff-free access so we can't.

So, at best, any deal we get will involve tariffs on a huge proportion of our imports and exports. Which really WOULD be a major problem.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 07, 2017, 10:11:08 pm
These are people are just the tip of the iceberg and they are the ones that should be on the receiving end of our wrath because they are doing the most harm:Jimmy Carr, Lewis Hamilton, Lord Ashcroft, Rupert Murdoch, Mike Ashley, Philip Green the list is endless and they are taking the British public for a ride. If these people were brought into line and subject to the same scrutiny of the taxman as is the average paye citizen there would be plenty for all.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on November 08, 2017, 08:09:09 am
Idler

Good post until the final sentence.

Have a look at page 5 here.

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/4y1e1sdlwa/InternalResults_171024_VI.pdf

30% of the electorate, 52% of Tory supporters and 58% of Leave voters think that if we have a Hard Brexit without an agreement on our future relationship with the EU, it will either have no consequence or it will be a good/very good thing. Oh aye, and Liam Fox said last week that it wouldn't be a disaster if we left without a deal. And May keeps parroting that line that No Deal Is Better Than A Bad Deal.

As things currently stand, there is a very real, and increasing chance that we WILL leave without an agreement. Because, as I posted back up the thread, the Tories cannot agree to the EU terms in the three pre-requisites (money we owe, Irish border and the status of UK-based EU citizens) without tearing themselves apart.

I hope I'm wrong, but there's nothing happened in the last 16 months to suggest that we are anywhere near sorting those things out. And even if we did so tomorrow, we only have 6-8 months left to sort out all the very complex details about what our future relationship with the EU will be.

Finally, there was a massive problem raised last week, which has had virtually no news coverage. Both May and Corbyn say that they want us out of the Single Market, but with tariff-free access to it. But the EU has just signed trade deals with Canada and S Korea, which include the undertaking that the EU will not sign a trade deal with any other non-Single Market country that gives that country a better deal than Canada and S Korea have got. But they haven't got tariff-free access so we can't.

So, at best, any deal we get will involve tariffs on a huge proportion of our imports and exports. Which really WOULD be a major problem.
Thanks for that Billy.
I just find it hard to believe that supposedly very intelligent people cannot see the benefit of a mutual agreement. It's like getting divorced, the more acrimonious it is the more that the lawyers take out of the pot.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: big fat yorkshire pudding on November 08, 2017, 08:52:29 am
BFYP

Aye. If you jump off a cliff, you might find you have the potential to fly.

Someone had to try it once...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: big fat yorkshire pudding on November 08, 2017, 08:54:40 am
I voted remain because of the risk involved in leaving because it meant going into unknown territory. It's still unknown territory as far as I know, but the negativity of other remain voters seems to be relentless.

I wonder if that negativity is actually making matters worse?


Pleased you had the common sense
Yes huge risks for little return
It should be
No its not as the experts ( not the Far Right ) know.

With risk comes potential - granted it's not being managed well to unleash potential but it's there.

You don't take huge risks from a point of weakness -  surely an Accountant would never advise that .

Virtually all our Services are over- stretched because of lack of funding, our national debt has almost reached £ 2 trillion and counting. We have few natural resources and a non- productive industrial Base at its weakest for aeons why would you take risks bfyp ?

Actually some (not all, many are very risk averse) accountants would advise taking an element of risk as playing too safe can get you nowhere.  I'm not sure many would have risked Brexit though.

We could go round in circles, but you kind of answer my point there, if it's so bad then trying something different isn't necessarily a bad thing is it?  But it's all about the application.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 08, 2017, 10:04:09 am
Donning the old tinfoil hat, I wonder if the latest bout of leaks surrounding offshore tax havens sheds any light as to why certain very wealthy, influential figures ploughed so much into the Leave campaign, considering the EU's talk of clamping down on tax havens?

Of course it was always to do with protecting themselves . Fortunes were pouring into various " Leave " campaigns , even from the DUP  to be used in English papers .

It wasn't from the DUP, it was through the DUP. ie laundered to deliberately avoid the spending rules in the rest of the UK.

Of course it was and the source of the money .....Russia ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 08, 2017, 10:47:24 am
BFYP

Aye. If you jump off a cliff, you might find you have the potential to fly.

I think we will end up hovering over the cliff- far poorer, more divided and even less influence than we currently enjoy.

However we will eventually run out of fuel.....
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 08, 2017, 12:48:23 pm
BFYP

Aye. If you jump off a cliff, you might find you have the potential to fly.

Someone had to try it once...

Aye. Glad it was someone else who tried that out, not me.

Reminds me of a comment by the Conservative Transport Minister back in the 90s. He puffed out his chest and boasted that Britain was leading the way in privatising railways. No other country in the world had done it how we were doing it. Breaking up the nationalised monopoly into a company who would run the track and several companies who would run the trains.

That turned out well...

Within half a decade, we had a string of fatal accidents due to poor track/signal maintenance. Railtrack being re-nationalised. Seversl years of the network being a catastrophe as a crash programme of emergency repairs was instigated by the nationalised Network Rail. Meanwhile the train operating companies were set up as mini, local monopolies. With the result that we have the most over crowded and expensive trains in Western Europe.

With the trains, so with Brexit. It's not smart to be the first one to do something utterly stupid. There's a reason why sane people prefer not to take stupid risks. I'm all for taking risks. But if you do, you want to have some idea what the consequence of it going wrong will be. And that there is a potential prize worth the risk.

Otherwise you're just f**king irresponsible.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 08, 2017, 01:27:15 pm
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-41908302

Head of the NHS

"Trust in democratic politics will not be strengthened if anyone now tries to argue, 'You voted Brexit, partly for a better funded health service. But precisely because of Brexit, you now can't have one."


Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 08, 2017, 01:37:56 pm
Donning the old tinfoil hat, I wonder if the latest bout of leaks surrounding offshore tax havens sheds any light as to why certain very wealthy, influential figures ploughed so much into the Leave campaign, considering the EU's talk of clamping down on tax havens?

Of course it was always to do with protecting themselves . Fortunes were pouring into various " Leave " campaigns , even from the DUP  to be used in English papers .

It wasn't from the DUP, it was through the DUP. ie laundered to deliberately avoid the spending rules in the rest of the UK.

Of course it was and the source of the money .....Russia ?

It's not what I've heard. It was more the rich home-grown Brexiteers who don't want their finances scrutinised very much.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 08, 2017, 01:39:37 pm
BFYP

Aye. If you jump off a cliff, you might find you have the potential to fly.

Someone had to try it once...

Did they take 60 million people with them?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 08, 2017, 03:25:30 pm
Donning the old tinfoil hat, I wonder if the latest bout of leaks surrounding offshore tax havens sheds any light as to why certain very wealthy, influential figures ploughed so much into the Leave campaign, considering the EU's talk of clamping down on tax havens?

Of course it was always to do with protecting themselves . Fortunes were pouring into various " Leave " campaigns , even from the DUP  to be used in English papers .

It wasn't from the DUP, it was through the DUP. ie laundered to deliberately avoid the spending rules in the rest of the UK.

Of course it was and the source of the money .....Russia ?

It's not what I've heard. It was more the rich home-grown Brexiteers who don't want their finances scrutinised very much.

That's very true however - many of those involved in the Trump fiasco with fb and twitter manipulating public perceptions with alt facts are involved in this . Farage , Bannon,  Trump etc are all intertwined only our Parliament would prefer not to see what I think is about to unfold from the FBI investigations . There's plenty of dirty Russian money washing through the City
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 10, 2017, 05:39:20 am
Barnier asks May a very fundamental question and the answer will affect us all. It goes to the heart of Brexit

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/09/germany-leading-push-stricter-eu-line-brexit-talks-uk-chief-negotiator-financial-settlement
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 10, 2017, 07:11:31 am
While we're talking about Putin bankrolling politicians who want to weaken the UK...

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-41934399
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 10, 2017, 08:21:42 am
While we're talking about Putin bankrolling politicians who want to weaken the UK...

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-41934399
Lots of ex politicians have no shame.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 10, 2017, 09:33:34 am
I know a lot of people think most if not all politicians are self serving Kitsons but Salmond is pretty much right at the top of the list.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 10, 2017, 11:10:06 am
There is still plenty of room to move!

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/10/brexit-date-is-not-irreversible-says-man-who-wrote-article-50-lord-kerr
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on November 10, 2017, 03:09:10 pm
I watched the new episode of South Park last night. It was one of the best pieces of satire I've seen in years, focusing on the regretful Trump voter and the sycophants in government who support him against their better judgement and morals. It compares the Trump presidency to an abusive relationship, where the abused party constantly faces questions about why they're sticking it out, which in turn makes them feel stupid and causes them to double down, becoming overly defensive even in the face of all logic and reason. I couldn't help thinking how much of it applied to Brexit too. The Brexit voters are the abused ones here, they're the ones who will feel the effects of this and will get dicked over the most while Johnson, Rees-Mogg, Farage and co get the big tax breaks and feather their own nests.

Definitely do seek it out even if you're not a fan of the show. There is more to it that I didn't mention above, but it offers a lot of food for thought for such a scatological show.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 11, 2017, 03:32:18 am
"Who is really destroying this country? People who don’t wear poppies or people who don’t pay their taxes so we can fund public services?"

http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/eu-leave-vote-remembrance-sunday-dont-bother-wearing-a-poppy-a8043711.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 14, 2017, 09:04:38 pm
How do you like your steak?
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/14/sex-slang-steak-views-leave-remain-worlds-apart
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 19, 2017, 04:38:12 pm
Here's a thorny little problem.

https://mobile.twitter.com/JeanneBartram/status/931940574529249280/photo/1

Or maybe this.

https://mobile.twitter.com/RettopNoj/status/919087078469722112/photo/1

Still. Never mind. Boris reckons it's not beyond the wit of man to sort it out, so I'm sure it's all in hand.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 19, 2017, 07:52:48 pm
Might not be beyond the wit of man, but if it isn't, it's probably beyond the extent of his wits.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 20, 2017, 08:31:03 am
Here's a thorny little problem.

https://mobile.twitter.com/JeanneBartram/status/931940574529249280/photo/1

Or maybe this.

https://mobile.twitter.com/RettopNoj/status/919087078469722112/photo/1

Still. Never mind. Boris reckons it's not beyond the wit of man to sort it out, so I'm sure it's all in hand.

Boris' logic is beyond the wit of man. I can't see a solution other than N.Ireland being part of the Customs Union - perhaps we could pair it up with the I.O.M making a super tax haven . We need bigger,  better and yet more  tax havens to shelter all those millionaires from paying even a small iota of the extra monies they will be pocketing from Rees- Smug's alternative budget.
It's only a matter of time before a leading Brexiter gets his hands on the keys to no.11 and looks after all his buddies at the expense of our country .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 20, 2017, 03:49:09 pm
https://amp.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/01/brexit-vote-cost-niesr-economic-growth

Hey-ho. 16 months ago, there were plenty saying they wouldn't judge the effect of the Brexit vote on the economy because economists were predicting different things.

Well, this isn't a prediction. It's a measurement of what's already happened. The drop in economic growth has already left the country poorer to the tine of £600 per household. On top of that, higher inflation due to the drop in the value of the pound means that the cost of living is higher by £400 per household.

And the predictions of the ones who were right last Summer are that this lower performance will be a long-term problem. And it builds, year on year. If their predictions are right, by 2020 we'll be £3-4000 per household worse off per year. But when you add the effects together over 4 years, it'll mean a sum of maybe £8-10,000 per household that we've lost.

Still, we took back control, eh?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 20, 2017, 05:41:21 pm
Donning the old tinfoil hat, I wonder if the latest bout of leaks surrounding offshore tax havens sheds any light as to why certain very wealthy, influential figures ploughed so much into the Leave campaign, considering the EU's talk of clamping down on tax havens?

Of course it was always to do with protecting themselves . Fortunes were pouring into various " Leave " campaigns , even from the DUP  to be used in English papers .

It wasn't from the DUP, it was through the DUP. ie laundered to deliberately avoid the spending rules in the rest of the UK.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42055523
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on November 20, 2017, 08:45:18 pm
https://amp.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/01/brexit-vote-cost-niesr-economic-growth

Hey-ho. 16 months ago, there were plenty saying they wouldn't judge the effect of the Brexit vote on the economy because economists were predicting different things.

Well, this isn't a prediction. It's a measurement of what's already happened. The drop in economic growth has already left the country poorer to the tine of £600 per household. On top of that, higher inflation due to the drop in the value of the pound means that the cost of living is higher by £400 per household.

And the predictions of the ones who were right last Summer are that this lower performance will be a long-term problem. And it builds, year on year. If their predictions are right, by 2020 we'll be £3-4000 per household worse off per year. But when you add the effects together over 4 years, it'll mean a sum of maybe £8-10,000 per household that we've lost.

Still, we took back control, eh?
"Fearmongering"
"Fed up of listening to experts"
"They need us more than we need them"
Today:
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/20/london-loses-european-medicines-agency-amsterdam-brexit-relocation
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 20, 2017, 10:04:15 pm
zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Still waiting for any good news stories about Brexit at all from any verifiable source on any subject at all regarding those that intend living in the UK for the next 100 years.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 22, 2017, 01:04:49 am
Donning the old tinfoil hat, I wonder if the latest bout of leaks surrounding offshore tax havens sheds any light as to why certain very wealthy, influential figures ploughed so much into the Leave campaign, considering the EU's talk of clamping down on tax havens?

Of course it was always to do with protecting themselves . Fortunes were pouring into various " Leave " campaigns , even from the DUP  to be used in English papers .

It wasn't from the DUP, it was through the DUP. ie laundered to deliberately avoid the spending rules in the rest of the UK.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42055523

Far more behind your quote Glyn for those that haven't read it AggregateIQ = Cambridge Analytica = the same people involved in the Trump campaign .
"The campaign paid £625,000 to clear bills allegedly run up by university student Darren Grimes with a digital agency days ahead of last June's vote.
A separate group, Veterans for Britain, received £100,000 from Vote Leave.
The campaign denies attempting to get round spending limits - the Electoral Commission initially accepted this but now says it has new information."

This is going to be a can of worms .......linking us to the Russians too . Brexit was a test run in hijacking western democracy . It worked against the odds not once but twice and it doesn't influence referenda/ elections ......my arse it doesn't !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 22, 2017, 01:11:01 am
So we have lost , The Medicines Agency, Passport ing Rights, the  place we have held on the International Court of Justice so far this week . Not bad for a country that's regaining it's place in the world - feck me Brexiters and you still remain unconvinced ?

It's better to be poorer as well is it too  ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 22, 2017, 11:24:47 pm
https://amp.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/01/brexit-vote-cost-niesr-economic-growth

Hey-ho. 16 months ago, there were plenty saying they wouldn't judge the effect of the Brexit vote on the economy because economists were predicting different things.

Well, this isn't a prediction. It's a measurement of what's already happened. The drop in economic growth has already left the country poorer to the tine of £600 per household. On top of that, higher inflation due to the drop in the value of the pound means that the cost of living is higher by £400 per household.

And the predictions of the ones who were right last Summer are that this lower performance will be a long-term problem. And it builds, year on year. If their predictions are right, by 2020 we'll be £3-4000 per household worse off per year. But when you add the effects together over 4 years, it'll mean a sum of maybe £8-10,000 per household that we've lost.

Still, we took back control, eh?

I see the Treasury's own projections have confirmed this f**king catastrophe in the Budget today.

In November 2015, before the Brexit campaign started, they were expecting us to grow at about 2.5% a year from 2016-2020.

Now the Treasury is saying that growth last year was about 2.0% and it will be between 1.3-1.5% until 2021.

This is horrific. The rest of the world is experiencing a growth spurt. America is growing at around 3%. The rest of Europe is growing at faster than 2%. It's only us that is seeing growth choked back.

If we lose 1% growth per year for 5 years, which is what the Treasury is saying, the results are terrifying. It means that by 2021, we'll have lost something like £300-350 billion of potential wealth.


THREE HUNDRED BILLION POUNDS.

That'd pay for maybe 3 million social houses.

Or the tuition fees for 10million students on 3 year degrees.

Or 10,000 miles of motorway.

Or maybe 500 big hospitals.

It is utterly f**king staggering, the future that we are in the process of throwing away.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 23, 2017, 02:20:21 am
How many " lost " £ 350 million a week to the NHS " do you make that too Billy - seems like a lot of lost weeks to me . Where is Filo by the way , perhaps he can explain all this expert opinion away ?

As for me I'm fecked off with the lot of it now .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 23, 2017, 07:29:22 am
Ah, but you're forgetting Hoola, the standard way of explaining away what experts say these days is "what the feck do they know anyway?".
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 23, 2017, 07:46:44 am
Ah, but you're forgetting Hoola, the standard way of explaining away what experts say these days is "what the feck do they know anyway?".

True the spoils from the Empire will more than cover any shortfall and don't forget we did win the war " all on our own " as well !

Fascinating fact here about WW2 Losses as a proportion of the population :-

Poland lost....... 17.2%
Soviet Union..... 14.2%

Quick quiz question what proportion of our population did we lose in WW 2 ?

Have a guess first then I will see who is the closest . Slightly macabre I know but interesting nevertheless.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 23, 2017, 08:03:27 am
UK contribution to EU in 2016 was £ 8.6 billion. Now BST predicted losses of £ 300 - 350 billion by 2021.

Now I make that on the lowest estimate equal to just short of 35 years of contributions  !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on November 23, 2017, 08:13:52 am
How many " lost " £ 350 million a week to the NHS " do you make that too Billy - seems like a lot of lost weeks to me . Where is Filo by the way , perhaps he can explain all this expert opinion away ?

As for me I'm fecked off with the lot of it now .

Still here, just sick of reading you bleat about the result of a democratic vote that you don't like. And just to clarify, I am not an expert, have never professed to be. You need to stop calling people because they voted in a different way to you, look at other remain voters in this thread and you'll see that none of them use the same vitriol as you
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 23, 2017, 08:22:59 am
Filo.

Your comment about "bleating" is disappointing. Yes, you're right, I didn't like the result of the vote. But not because it's a dick waving competition.

I would LOVE to be wrong about Brexit. I'd love it to turn out to be a fantastic opportunity for the country to bloom and grow. I'd love the economic forecasts to be wrong. Because I don't want my kids to grow up in a poorer country.

But the predictions haven't been wrong so far. They've been right on the money. We went into the Brexit vote with strong economic growth and stronger forecasts than almost anywhere in Western Europe. 18 months on, we've got the worst growth and the worst forecasts in Western Europe.

This is a calamity the like of which we've not seen in our lifetimes. That's why I didn't like the result. And those who voted for it need reminding of it every f**king day. It's YOU who have put us here.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 23, 2017, 08:28:43 am
How many " lost " £ 350 million a week to the NHS " do you make that too Billy - seems like a lot of lost weeks to me . Where is Filo by the way , perhaps he can explain all this expert opinion away ?

As for me I'm fecked off with the lot of it now .

Still here, just sick of reading you bleat about the result of a democratic vote that you don't like. And just to clarify, I am not an expert, have never professed to be. You need to stop calling people because they voted in a different way to you, look at other remain voters in this thread and you'll see that none of them use the same vitriol as you

Believe me there's no vitriol just facts , facts from experts, facts from the Govt., obvious facts and still you turn your head away as you gleefully pissed our country away  .
This is not bleating Filo ....this is anger . Seems you are not aware of the difference and you are and were quite prepared to argue your case pre and post  the vote in June 2016 when YOU thought it suited.

Democracy did not stop then and you still haven't demonstrated what you see as the future for our country. If you choose not to continue the debate then fine as for me ; I am nailing my colours firmly to the mast.



Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 23, 2017, 08:48:30 am
" Well I'm in the leave camp and all this doom and gloom propaganda from the stayers, especially Cameron and his arse licker Osbourne is only strengthening my resolve, aparently after the referendum date if we vote to leave the world will end! 😀 "   -  May 24 2016

Well the world isn't ending Filo but it doesn't look to rosy for us now does it ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on November 23, 2017, 08:57:36 am
Steve, why do you keep sarcastically bringing up the point that we won the war on our own?
Anybody with any sense knows how much we needed allies to win the the war. By the same token, had we capitulated in 1940 there would have been nobody to stop Hitler. Russia would have been facing far more German troops and armour even earlier.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 23, 2017, 09:28:34 am
Because I hear and read about it on here and elsewhere so often . Incidentally we lost 0.8% of our population in WW 2 - I just want to put the record straight there are many youngsters on here that may not know their history properly .

It's important to stress how much " the allies " lost in both wars . Surely you must read the same comments on here inferring that it was we alone that won the war, lost men, women and children.

Call me old fashioned but I don't want another generation growing up hating other Europeans merely because we carry on chucking false facts around in the belief that it's patriotic.

I am fully aware that we held Hitler and the Japanese for that matter at bay whilst we waited for allies to arrive in numbers .

The same applied at the Battle of Waterloo when facing the might of Napoleon ; on that occasion the might of Napoleon was beaten back and defeated with the arrival of Blücher's German ( Prussian ) army.

I'm just putting the record straight , history is poorly taught to our youngsters these days :(
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 23, 2017, 09:44:42 am
Steve, why do you keep sarcastically bringing up the point that we won the war on our own?
Anybody with any sense knows how much we needed allies to win the the war. By the same token, had we capitulated in 1940 there would have been nobody to stop Hitler. Russia would have been facing far more German troops and armour even earlier.

Idler,
I apologise for my post it does have an unintended sarcastic tone it was meant to be of interest . Unfortunately it was too close to another post of mine on the same subject matter.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on November 23, 2017, 12:07:58 pm
No probs Steve. We are all entitled to our opinions and sometimes it feels like that we are all tarred with the same brush.
I don't think that most Brexiters necessarily hate foreigners and want total isolation. That is a stupid stance.
Had Cameron sorted his remain campaign correctly and the EEU been a little less arrogant these conversations would probably not be taking place.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 23, 2017, 12:48:38 pm
Idler.

You've kind of hit the nail on the head by talking about what Brexit supporters want.

I'm quite certain that most Brexit voters didn't vote for the kind of Brexit we're steamrollering into . The kind that makes us poorer and weaker into the distant future. But that is precisely what we are head towards. Yes Cameron f**ked up royally. But you know as well as I do what the result would have been if the Brexit campaign had ditched that £350m lie (which 48% of people believed in a poll in the week of the vote) and instead campaigned on a ticket that said, "Vote Leave and over the next 5 years the UK economy will lose £300bn."

Folk have been had on a barely imaginable scale.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 23, 2017, 01:29:04 pm
Most of the people that i know who voted in favour of brexit told me that the biggest influencing factor in them voting to leave was that "we have to be able to have control of our borders and stop foreigners coming in as they please".

My guess is that they never gave a thought to the financial grief that we are now facing.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on November 23, 2017, 03:34:13 pm
.... ditto

I just hope that in the future there is another Referendum based solely on the facts i.e. what the deal has secured / produced and all its implications

Then we will know what leaving would entail and the general population could give a more informed and definitive opinion.

If at that point they decide to vote OUT then at least we all will have to accept the decision but at least everyone will be acting upon facts NOT "presumptions" such as were "mooted" in he first Referendum by both sides - and in each case ridiculed as "scaremongering" by the opposite camps

Was that really a good basis for such a far reaching and critical Referendum. I think not
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 23, 2017, 03:36:11 pm
Most of the people that i know who voted in favour of brexit told me that the biggest influencing factor in them voting to leave was that "we have to be able to have control of our borders and stop foreigners coming in as they please".

My guess is that they never gave a thought to the financial grief that we are now facing.

What do they think now?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 23, 2017, 03:45:18 pm
Most of the people that i know who voted in favour of brexit told me that the biggest influencing factor in them voting to leave was that "we have to be able to have control of our borders and stop foreigners coming in as they please".

My guess is that they never gave a thought to the financial grief that we are now facing.

What do they think now?




Some of them have said that had they known more then about the probable issues that are coming our way that they would have voted to remain.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 23, 2017, 06:28:08 pm
You remember all those scare stories about how companies wouldn't invest in UK because of concerns about Brexit? How the Leave campaign said it was scaremongering and we'd be fine?

This is a list of investment in each country as a % of GDP for 2016.

https://mobile.twitter.com/JoMicheII/status/933726759303958528/photo/1

At least we're doing better than Burundi.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 23, 2017, 09:16:37 pm
You remember all those scare stories about how companies wouldn't invest in UK because of concerns about Brexit? How the Leave campaign said it was scaremongering and we'd be fine?

This is a list of investment in each country as a % of GDP for 2016.

https://mobile.twitter.com/JoMicheII/status/933726759303958528/photo/1

At least we're doing better than Burundi.

I'm sure things will pick up when we find the pen to sign all those free trade agreements - we will leave Burundi for dead.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: glosterred on November 24, 2017, 07:37:51 am
IMO to many people would rather see BREXIT fail than the UK succeed.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 24, 2017, 09:14:06 am
Personally would love to see the idea of Brexit fail and the UK back on track and succeeding . Seems we aren't that far apart .

However I would prefer that Brexiters put the country first and park daft ideologies more befitting of the 18/19th centuries where they belong in those centuries.
Great Britain is a superb country when it puts it's mind to it but Brexit is a huge distraction that we could well do without whilst we address  the real priorities in the NHS,  Education, Policing,  etc?

Come on Brexiters , be patriotic and back the country against a few right wing loonies asap before you vote our country further down the global pecking order. You know it now makes sense and let's talk sensibly to the EU about necessary reforms that are needed.
Are you with us Glosterred ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 24, 2017, 09:27:49 am
IMO to many people would rather see BREXIT fail than the UK succeed.



One liners from Farage no longer cut it in the face of the huge difficulties we find ourselves in .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 24, 2017, 10:19:10 am
IMO to many people would rather see BREXIT fail than the UK succeed.



I don’t know who these “many people” are mate but I’m not one.

In or out of Europe, I want to see us as a successful, welcoming, open, tolerant country.

I have just never seen anything remotely suggesting that we will be that country outside Europe.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 24, 2017, 11:32:51 am
IMO to many people would rather see BREXIT fail than the UK succeed.



I don’t know who these “many people” are mate but I’m not one.

In or out of Europe, I want to see us as a successful, welcoming, open, tolerant country.

I have just never seen anything remotely suggesting that we will be that country outside Europe.

I second that.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on November 24, 2017, 04:04:08 pm
Brexiteers,

What I don't get is why you are not in a rage about being misled?

In any other walk of life, folk would be upset about the mis-selling, the £350m for the NHS claim.
Not only are Gove and Johnson NOT in jail for fraud, and conspiracy to undermine the democratic process, but they are rewarded with seats in the Cabinet.

Now if you had bought a consumer item on the basis of a false claim, you would expect your money back. Trading standards would step in and bring the wrong uns to book.

It appears that voters have no recourse to political misinformation, so "fake news" is OK as long as it deals in the deceit of ideas.

That can't be right, can it, Brexiteers?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on November 24, 2017, 04:54:40 pm
IMO to many people would rather see BREXIT fail than the UK succeed.



I don’t know who these “many people” are mate but I’m not one.

In or out of Europe, I want to see us as a successful, welcoming, open, tolerant country.

I have just never seen anything remotely suggesting that we will be that country outside Europe.

To be completely fair to him, I did post an opinion poll on some thread or other that showed 1 in 5 Remain voters would be happy for Brexit to fail if it taught Leavers a lesson. It was the same poll that showed over half of pensioners who voted Leave would be happy for a family member to lose a job if it meant delivering Brexit.

I agree though that no rational thinking person wants Brexit to fail, but there just doesn't seem to be another possible outcome at the moment. I do not understand the Leavers who refuse to even entertain the thought they might have been lied to, that what they were promised just wasn't possible. In a hundred years or so this is going to make for some interesting A Level History essays.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 24, 2017, 08:49:18 pm
Brexiteers,

What I don't get is why you are not in a rage about being misled?

In any other walk of life, folk would be upset about the mis-selling, the £350m for the NHS claim.
Not only are Gove and Johnson NOT in jail for fraud, and conspiracy to undermine the democratic process, but they are rewarded with seats in the Cabinet.

Now if you had bought a consumer item on the basis of a false claim, you would expect your money back. Trading standards would step in and bring the wrong uns to book.

It appears that voters have no recourse to political misinformation, so "fake news" is OK as long as it deals in the deceit of ideas.

That can't be right, can it, Brexiteers?

The impression I got at the time of the referendum is that they were happy to have lies spread because it got them the result they wanted and that everybody else should 'get over it'.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 25, 2017, 01:17:52 am
Brexiteers,

What I don't get is why you are not in a rage about being misled?

In any other walk of life, folk would be upset about the mis-selling, the £350m for the NHS claim.
Not only are Gove and Johnson NOT in jail for fraud, and conspiracy to undermine the democratic process, but they are rewarded with seats in the Cabinet.

Now if you had bought a consumer item on the basis of a false claim, you would expect your money back. Trading standards would step in and bring the wrong uns to book.

It appears that voters have no recourse to political misinformation, so "fake news" is OK as long as it deals in the deceit of ideas.

That can't be right, can it, Brexiteers?

The impression I got at the time of the referendum is that they were happy to have lies spread because it got them the result they wanted and that everybody else should 'get over it'.

Hmm that's about the size of it , along the lines of  " Remoaners time to suck it up ."

Should read more like " Leavers over to you time  to F**k it up ." 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 25, 2017, 10:11:06 am
Can someone remind me, what was it that the Brexiters were telling us about how countries would be falling over themselves to have trade deals with a post-EU Britain..?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42121442
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 25, 2017, 12:36:54 pm
I wonder if the Leave voters realise just how little thought was given to the practical details of things like trade negotiations.

The likes of Johnson and Gove are famously light on attention to detail. They were very good at patronisingly putting down anyone who pointed out that it took over a decade for Switzerland to reach a trade deal with the EU. They did what they always do - encouraged Leave supporters to not think too hard about it and just assume that all would be fine because...we’ll because we’re British and we are special.

I’m slowly coming to the conclusion that I want one of those two Kitsons to become PM. They have created this disaster. They need to be made to own it and be associated with it forever.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 25, 2017, 01:20:17 pm
IMO to many people would rather see BREXIT fail than the UK succeed.

I don't think many, if any, people want to see BREXIT fail.  However, many of us can already see it failing.
 
I learned a new word today, BREALITY.  Something that people in the UK will have to come to terms with in time.
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 25, 2017, 02:26:39 pm
By the way. Those forecasts about the effect that Brexit will have on the economy. Unfortunately, there’s every reason to think that they will actually be overly optimistic. They are based on an assumption that productivity, which has flatlined now for a decade, will suddenly bounce back to the kind of growth that was standard between the 50s and the Great Financial Crash

Trouble is, the OBR has been predicting this productivity improvement continuously for 7 years and its never happened.

https://mainlymacro.blogspot.co.uk/2017/10/the-obr-productivity-and-policy-failures.html?m=1

Put simply, if productivity doesn’t improve, we don’t get richer, except by having to work longer hours. And the first graph in that article shows what a catastrophic effect the two great policy disasters of the last decade have had.

Productivity was rising after the crash, until it was throttled off by the boneheaded idiocy of Austerity from 2010. And then, when it looked like we’d finally started, by 2015-16 to put the effect of that f**king stupidity behind us, we vote to leave the EU and productivity stagnates again because no f**ked is investing anything in Britain.

The numbers are staggering. If productivity had continued to rise at the 2010 rate (which it had done every decade before, since the War) we’d have made an extra £20,000 over the past 7 years for every single man, woman and child in the country. Or, looking at it another way, we could be as wealthy as we are today, whilst having 3 day weekends.

It truly defies belief how stupid we have been to consistently vote to make ourselves, our kids and our grandkids poorer.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 25, 2017, 02:40:03 pm
I wonder if the Leave voters realise just how little thought was given to the practical details of things like trade negotiations.

The likes of Johnson and Gove are famously light on attention to detail. They were very good at patronisingly putting down anyone who pointed out that it took over a decade for Switzerland to reach a trade deal with the EU. They did what they always do - encouraged Leave supporters to not think too hard about it and just assume that all would be fine because...we’ll because we’re British and we are special.

I’m slowly coming to the conclusion that I want one of those two Kitsons to become PM. They have created this disaster. They need to be made to own it and be associated with it forever.

But even they aren't stupid enough to make a move until the Brexit disaster - not to mention the exit deal - has been irrevocably pinned onto Theresa May and they can then make a play for PM so their hands won't be tainted with it. As far as I can see it's this that's keeping May in her job, nothing else.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on November 25, 2017, 06:20:37 pm
I don't know if this forecast will prove accurate, but it does look like the real costs to public services like the NHS have been seriously underplayed;
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-nhs-boris-johnson-philip-hammond-budget-open-britain-chancellor-a8075691.html

Heidi Alexander thinks Boris should apologise..... Like that is good enough!

No-one seems to think that the corruption of democracy is a serious matter.
Where is this all going?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: keith79 on November 25, 2017, 06:53:03 pm
Britex everyone's an expert. But no one knows anything.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 25, 2017, 06:56:26 pm
Keith

Aye. Like those economists who said 18 months ago that Brexit would lead to a a reduction in investment, a drop in the pound and slower economic growth.

They know nothing do they?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: keith79 on November 25, 2017, 06:57:44 pm
Long term no
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 25, 2017, 08:15:19 pm
And you do, I take it, based on blind faith?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 25, 2017, 09:14:39 pm
Britex everyone's an expert. But no one knows anything.

But you're an expert on other people not knowing anying are you? :silly:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 25, 2017, 10:34:48 pm
Long term no

OK Keith back up your pipedream or should I say wet dream with something more concrete because you aren't arguing against Osborne's " supposedly " nonsensical Project Fear here.

You are burying your head in the sand when faced with Project Reality. Come on educate us ......
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on November 25, 2017, 11:12:21 pm
Seems like the most coherent arguments for Brexit now are coming from Yargo, and even he seems to have given up!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 26, 2017, 05:31:09 am
What would it take for brexiters to accept that they were mugged used and abused for political gain by a small number of people that want to take Britain back in time. Still waiting for any good news about brexit, don't be shy, don't hold back.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/25/vote-leave-dominic-cummings-online-guru-mystery-letter-dark-ads
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 26, 2017, 07:20:07 am
What would it take for brexiters to accept that they were mugged used and abused for political gain by a small number of people that want to take Britain back in time. Still waiting for any good news about brexit, don't be shy, don't hold back.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/25/vote-leave-dominic-cummings-online-guru-mystery-letter-dark-ads

Eventually there are  going to be some big names that won't be able to conceal their unpatriotic and potentially catastrophic past behaviour for much longer.
Bojo,  Grovel and Garage will  be dragged in front of Parliamentary committees to explain their actions .

It would not surprise me if this lot were deep in cahoots with the Trump campaign and their Russian connections. ( the same names keep appearing Cambridge Analytica , Bannon,  Russia etc. )
The stone will be lifted - let's see what crawls out.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: auckleyflyer on November 26, 2017, 08:55:42 am
Ffs your embarrassing! I voted remain for me it was to maintain the status quo because I feared for my children's futures. The remain campaign was based on fear? Nothing positive about staying just the catastrophe if we dared to leave. A very bad tactic as they didn't understand that in every city, town, and village the general public thought how much worse can it get?! The leave campaign had the job of convincing people of change (always harder) so did embellish and run a positive campaign thats why we ended up with the result. Remain lost what should have been an easy victory because they were basically out of touch. Just like subsequently with the election campaign. Their more savvy now and this result wouldn't happen again.
We will be ok there wont be u boats in the channel and dig for victory campaigns.
Its a shit state of affairs but the best option is the one being taken ; stall stall stall and hope the eu disassembles in the meantime or they offer what we they want (as we are dressed up in another name)
For every leave exaggeration there was a leader from another nation telling us to stay. You can't pontificate about the state of mindof the leave voters its divisive, elitist and as helpful as 2nd anus.
Analyse,understand and add. Get better not bitter!!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on November 26, 2017, 09:25:44 am
I voted leave because I saw the EU becoming a far more federal body which wasn't what I wanted. I also resented the threats from politicians and Obama getting involved. It wasn't a matter of being 100% convinced but on balance leave just shaded it. I was on holiday so as usual had a postal vote. The best argument for staying came from my eldest grandson which says a lot for the remain campaign although they were convinced that they would win easily until the last week or so. I expect the politicians/experts to get us the best deal possible to take us forward, that's maybe too much to ask now. I think that auckley has hit the nail on the head we need to act like adults with the EU and get the best deal for both sides.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 26, 2017, 10:44:31 am
I voted leave because I saw the EU becoming a far more federal body which wasn't what I wanted. I also resented the threats from politicians and Obama getting involved. It wasn't a matter of being 100% convinced but on balance leave just shaded it. I was on holiday so as usual had a postal vote. The best argument for staying came from my eldest grandson which says a lot for
the remain campaign although they were convinced that they would win easily until the last week or so. I expect the politicians/experts to get us the best deal possible to take us forward, that's maybe too much to ask now. I think that auckley has hit the nail on the head we need to act like adults with the EU and get the best deal for both sides.

Unfortunately Idler the politicians doing the deal are being duplicitous and keeping the worst of the bad news out of sight. This piece from the Independent again shows how the UK is having to suck it up and accept the crumbs being offered. We'll only get the deal that they offer we are not in a position to demand anything. From your comment it appears you could have voted either way are you willing to risk the loss of trade and living standards brexit will bring for a vote that you made where you made on a "shade"
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-transition-period-leak-michel-barnier-theresa-may-boris-johnson-a8067841.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 26, 2017, 11:19:26 am
At this point I think it is worth reminding people that no talks have yet started on the deal for the future relationship between us and the EU. All that has been going on are the talks about when the talks should start which was supposed to be the easy bit.

People clearly voted leave for various different reason, idler there with concerns over federalism, other people said it was the money we gave to the EU, control of immigration, sovereignty etc. It's only now we are having a proper debate on what the overall consequences of those single issues will be.

My thought on the referendum has always been how poor the Remain campaign was, concentrating on Project Fear rather than how we benefit from being a member of the EU. Shame on Cameron and Osborne for it - for it was their campaign. The shame on this government is the lack of vision or plan for the negotiations or this future arrangement.

As auckely said, analyse, add and understand. If the government believe that public opinion is behind something (or against them) thats when things change.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on November 26, 2017, 11:41:19 am
The problem is Wilts that very few politicians of any persuasion inspire any confidence at the moment.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 26, 2017, 12:03:42 pm
Wilts.

No blame on Corbyn? The man who could have put some fire in the bellies of left-wing remainers, but spent the night before the vote navel-gazing and explaining on an obscure left-wing American internet channel that “while there’s a principled left-wing argument for leaving the EU, and I understand that,”[1] on balance we’re better off in because (and I shit you not) “plastic bags dropped in the sea off Colombia can end up in the North Pacific.”

No failings of leadership there?

[1] Well, he WOULD understand the argument, wouldn’t he? He made it passionately and eloquently on a regular basis for 40 years before he was elected Labour leader.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 26, 2017, 12:29:31 pm
Quote
Its a shit state of affairs but the best option is the one being taken ; stall stall stall and hope the eu disassembles in the meantime or they offer what we they want

Auckley

We’re not stalling as part of some brilliant negotiating strategy. We’re stalling for one reason. There is no sensible agreement we can come to with the EU that will be acceptable to the Tory party membership.

It’s that simple.

The EU isn’t going to fall apart over this. We’re not that important. The EU has been ruthlessly consistent in its negotiating approach and will continue to be so.

May is in a horrific political trap. Any deal that would be acceptable to the EU and to Parliament would see her kicked out by the Tory party. Any deal that is acceptable to the Tory party would either not be acceptable to the EU or would pass a vote in Parliament.

But that’s of no concern to the EU. That’s the problem of the UK and the Tory party.

This ends in one of two ways. There’s a political crisis in this country, leading to the Govt falling and the Tory party being sidelined so that we can have adult discussions with Europe. Or the hardline wing of the Tory party wins out, and we go for the hardest of Brexits. There isn’t any alternative outcome.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on November 26, 2017, 12:39:30 pm
Funny thing is the places where people voted Leave probably did best with the funding. Even Doncaster. Just look at the news over the last few months they're more interested in London transport links than the Norths links.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 26, 2017, 12:49:49 pm
Donny
Here’s another funny thing.

Immigration was seen as a key factor in the minds of Leave voters. But in poll after poll over the past few years, a clear trend has been present. Those who have the strongest feelings on immigration live in the areas of Britain with the fewest immigrants. The correlation is astonishing. The more immigrants in your immediate locality, the less you are likely to see immigration as an important issue.

Raises all sorts of questions, that does.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on November 26, 2017, 12:58:49 pm
Apart from Boston where (without looking it up) I am sure they had the largest "Leave" vote. They are perceived to be over run there

Wisbech may be another as last time I went there it was hard to hear any English spoken.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 26, 2017, 01:26:34 pm
Apart from Boston where (without looking it up) I am sure they had the largest "Leave" vote. They are perceived to be over run there

Wisbech may be another as last time I went there it was hard to hear any English spoken.

That's because Holland and Kesteven have a very high concentration of the agricultural jobs that they come over for that the locals don't want to do but moan about when foreigners 'steal their jobs'.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on November 26, 2017, 04:41:18 pm
Funny thing is the places where people voted Leave probably did best with the funding. Even Doncaster. Just look at the news over the last few months they're more interested in London transport links than the Norths links.
Spot on that. Most of the regeneration in Donny has been funded by the EU.
Can you imagine a Tory Government funding it when they've got to spend trillions on that theer London.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: auckleyflyer on November 26, 2017, 05:32:55 pm
Bst, I know its not going to fall apart because of us, its never far away from a crisis and the feeling is that no one dare have a referendum like ours because the result would be too close to call.
As a financial union its on the edge every month (but does seam to have weathered the worst)
Since the result we've moved from Donny to Cornwall and you know what its so poor down here there's abject poverty, theres lots of European funding too but again it was a strong leave county. The crux seams to be that any amount of eu money wouldn't fix decades of neglect. Think central government got the kicking they deserved and most I talk too enjoy seeing the members of parliament struggling to make sense of it, lile they struggle to make sense of daily life!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 26, 2017, 06:55:08 pm
Nail on head Auckley.

Many folk voted Leave because it was an opportunity to lash out at “The Elite”.

The crying shame is, it’s precisely those voters and their kids who will suffer most from Brexit.

If we do lose this £300bn+ wealth over the next 6 years, where do you think the cuts will bite? Folk who think that things couldn’t be worse than they are now have got a very, very nasty shock coming. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on November 26, 2017, 08:04:16 pm
The major problem with the Remain campaign was that it was never really allowed to address any of the bullshit, because Cameron didn't want Tory MPs calling other Tory MPs liars. So we never got a proper debate, we never had any proper fact checking, and when anyone tried, we got told we were "fed up of experts". But Cameron would rather have that than his Tory party looking weak or divided. This was a Tory slap fight that ended up hijacking the whole country. The whole thing is a f**king shame.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 26, 2017, 09:25:31 pm
Macho

So. No failings from Corbyn then? Excellent, clear, passionate campaigning from him?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on November 26, 2017, 10:11:10 pm
Macho

So. No failings from Corbyn then? Excellent, clear, passionate campaigning from him?

I'm really not sure what he could have done. The opposing forces of Cameron and Boris controlled the narrative and the way Cameron chose to frame the "debates" shaped the entire campaign. I'm not sure that Corbyn answering 10 out of 10 instead of 7.5 out of 10 would have changed very much with the people who voted Brexit.

From memory around 2/3rds of Labour voters voted Remain anyway, which was, I believe, comparable to the SNP support at the higher end of the Remain voting spectrum. What should that number have been?

Maybe Corbyn could've made more speeches, or been more enthusiastic when he gave them, but he still wouldn't have been able to force himself into the narrative in a meaningful way, because Cameron didn't want to be seen allying himself to the Opposition, nor did he want to give the Opposition leader the chance to have a pop at prominent Tory MPs. Cameron was fully expecting to win the vote and have business as usual the day after, without realising that his Austerity measures had created a perfect storm where Brexit was almost inevitable, in hindsight. If you spend years telling people there's f**k all money, and you can't do owt about it because of Labour, because of foreigners, because of the EU and the EEC, then members of your own party - who you refuse to ever directly challenge - say you can just vote Leave and change all that, of course they're going to vote Leave. Corbyn could have tattooed "VOTE REMAIN" on his knackers. It would've made no difference, not really.

None of this takes into account the possibility of dodgy election spending, Russian interference and the rise of fake news. But in the middle of that maelstrom, it's Corbyn's fault? If you want to make an argument that Corbyn is part of Labour's inconsistent position on leaving since the vote, I might actually agree with you. But to blame him for the result in the first place doesn't make sense to me.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 26, 2017, 10:39:08 pm
Macho.

You’re not sure what more he could have done? ‘

Honestly?

This is the Corbyn who exploded into the 2017 election campaign as a passionate and persuasive speaker. One who persuaded several million people who hadn’t voted Labour in 2010 or 2015 that they should vote for Labour.

One who toured the country speaking to massed crowds and filling them with zeal?

Couldn’t he have found a fraction of that the previous year? Enough to convince another 1/2million working class people that they were going to have their economic prospects blighted by Brexit?

No. No he couldn’t could he. On the eve of the poll, hours before voting started, whilst Boris was on the national news bashing a table and shouting “Let’s take back control”, this is what Corbyn was doing. If you really want to engage on this topic, you need to watch this and think hard about it.

https://www.democracynow.org/2016/6/21/jeremy_corbyn_why_i_am_voting

PS. I know that Momentum were quick to secure that SNP example in people’s heads. I heard it from 7 Momentum friends of mine within 3 days of the vote.

But it’s bullshit. Of course a lot of SNP supporters voted for Brexit. I would have done too had I been an SNP member. It’s bloody obvious why if you stop and think about it. Any SNP member who DIDN’T vote for Brexit was actively acting in a manner which was in conflict with the first Aim in the Party’s constitution. I’d be amazed if Sturgeon, Salmond and the like voted Remain. Brexit was the one and only chance left in their lifetimes to secure another independence vote. And there is nothing more important to the SNP.

What the SNP wanted above all was for Scotland to vote Remain but the UK as a whole to vote Leave. Poll after poll showed a massive majority in Scotland wanting Remain. Labour voters, LD voters, some Tories, the majority of SNP voters. So that meant that any zealot SNP supporters (and God knows there are plenty) could vote Leave, hoping to tip the UK balance whilst safe in the knowledge that they wouldn’t tip the Scottish balance.

So comparing Labour supporters’ votes with those of the SNP is meaningless. There were entirely different dynamics at work.  You make tvatcimparison only if you’ve either not thought deeply about the issue, or you are trying to spin a political line. And since Momentum leaders do think very deeply about politics, you can draw your own conclusion. They knew that Corbyn was vulnerable after his performance in the referendum campaign. They’d expected Remain to just win, in which case Corbyn’s performance[1] wouldn’t have mattered. After the result it was all hands to the pump writing the political narrative.

[1] And come on. You’re a smart lad. I’m a smart lad. Let’s call a spade a spade. Everyone who thinks about this knows that Corbyn has spent his life wanting us out of the EU. No way on earth did his views change into support for the EU by the time of the referendum. He knew that he couldn’t openly campaign for Leave as leader of the party. But Leave was what he’s wanted his whole political life. He was up at sparrowfart on 24/6/16 in his first public interview after the vote saying that we should invoke Article 50 “now”.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=pBmuIHfFWdM

And if you watch the whole of that video, it sums up why he inspired no-one to Support Remain. He consistently implies that the EU is responsible for Austerity and inequality in Britain. Call it incompetence. Call it mendacity. Whatever you call it, you cannot possibly say that he couldn’t have done better.

PPS.
You’re right that about 67% of people who voted Labour in 2015 voted Remain. If that number had been 73%, Remain would have won. It was that close. A firm and unequivocal lead from the Leader would have made that difference.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Akinfenwa on November 27, 2017, 12:00:15 am
Was that ever realistic though given that even the Lib Dems, who have been the most committed pro-EU party in the country for decades, only managed to get ~70% of their voters for remain?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 27, 2017, 12:12:56 am
Ffs your embarrassing! I voted remain for me it was to maintain the status quo because I feared for my children's futures. The remain campaign was based on fear? Nothing positive about staying just the catastrophe if we dared to leave. A very bad tactic as they didn't understand that in every city, town, and village the general public thought how much worse can it get?! The leave campaign had the job of convincing people of change (always harder) so did embellish and run a positive campaign thats why we ended up with the result. Remain lost what should have been an easy victory because they were basically out of touch. Just like subsequently with the election campaign. Their more savvy now and this result wouldn't happen again.
We will be ok there wont be u boats in the channel and dig for victory campaigns.
Its a shit state of affairs but the best option is the one being taken ; stall stall stall and hope the eu disassembles in the meantime or they offer what we they want (as we are dressed up in another name)
For every leave exaggeration there was a leader from another nation telling us to stay. You can't pontificate about the state of mindof the leave voters its divisive, elitist and as helpful as 2nd anus.
Analyse,understand and add. Get better not bitter!!.

I'm not quite sure whether you are attacking me directly with your use of " Ffs your embarrassing " Auckleyflyer or is it a  more general attack on those that are attacking the reasoning of those that voted to Leave and more importantly their generals ?

Your post makes it unclear as to whether I should do you the courtesy of a long and detailed reply as to my reasoning on the matter and what I as a poster have drawn from your interesting post. How for interests sake do you suggest I , or others for that matter go about getting  " better rather than bitter " ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 27, 2017, 12:14:42 am
The LDs were down to a rump party by 2015-16. In the 2015 election, they had the lowest support that a centre party had received since we’d had decimal coinage. And many of the ones who left them in 2015 were the centre-left types who had mistakenly believed that the LDs were a kind of cuddly Blairite party without the nasty bits. So it’s difficult to compare the 2015 LD supporters with the “recently traditional” view of the party supporters.

By the way, I was wrong about 67% of 2015 Labour voters supporting Remain in 2016.

(http://lordashcroftpolls.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/LR-by-party.jpg)

It was 63%. If it had been 69%, we’d still be in.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 27, 2017, 12:37:49 am
Was that ever realistic though given that even the Lib Dems, who have been the most committed pro-EU party in the country for decades, only managed to get ~70% of their voters for remain?

Would that have had any relevance had there been proper safeguards put on the referendum in the 1st place . Giving an easy win to those that voted for less than 40% either way was utter madness . Those parameters should have been properly  set by  Parliament in the first place and there shouldn't have been this arguable " advisory " nature to the referendum. Other interesting omissions were the rights of ' longstanding ' European tax - paying immigrants being denied the rights of a say over their futures living in this country and of course our own people living abroad but of course travelling to and from the UK , having family here, affected by exchange rate drops in the £ and possible future health and pension arrangements. Perhaps there was also an argument for 16/17 year. olds to be also given a vote as they had  in the Scottish Referendum for Independence. Arguable I know granted that the Scottish Parliament had granted them it not Westminster .
Both would have effects on the future of the UK as a a whole but why the disparity ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on November 27, 2017, 12:42:30 am
Fair points BST, and I do think it's fair to say Corbyn's enthusiasm for the Remain campaign was significantly less than the 2017 GE, no prizes for guessing why that was the case. However, the thrust of my post was based on the argument that the entire referendum was a Tory garden party that no one else was invited to, with Cameron controlling the way the debates were held. This inadvertently created a vacuum where bullshit flourished. Corbyn could jump up and down outside the party all he liked, he wouldn't have gotten in even if he wanted to. Why is Corbyn the key to all this?

I phrased that opening sentence poorly, but what I meant was that it didn't matter what Corbyn did. He had f**k all to campaign with besides a Labour Party divided, many wanting out because that's what their constituents were saying, and many wanting in but rubbing their hands waiting to knife Corbyn. He certainly wasn't going to get any time on the substantive issues from the real Remain campaign, for reasons outlined in my last post. So, I'll phrase it better now - given the above mitigating circumstances, plus the shitstorm of Russian interference, illicit spending and fake news seeking to tip the balance - what more could he have done? How could a man in that position get another few hundred thousand votes, bearing in mind the average age of the Brexit voter, and the average age of the voter who still thinks Labour wrecked the economy in 2009 and should never be trusted again? Comparing his GE performance isn't relevant as he campaigned in an entirely different set of circumstances on a completely different platform - in THAT situation, in 2016, how could he have done it? By saying he was 10 out of 10 Remain a few times? I'm not convinced.

Also: you mention the Labour/SNP stat is Momentum spin. But the facts are there. The Lib Dems, who as a party campaigned fervently and as a united front for campaign, only managed to get 70% of their supporters to vote in. They presumably only had about 5 voters to reach out to as well. So is it really fair to expect 73% of Labour voters to vote Remain, bearing in mind the party was not united, and why does all this fall solely on Corbyn? Surely the bulk of the blame lies with Cameron, who orchestrated the whole shitshow to begin with and still only managed to pull 42% of Tory voter support for Remain. Would it be fair to say that your argument could be turned on its head, and that it was the PLP chomping at the bit to remove Corbyn who spun 2/3 Labour voters voting with Corbyn as "not good enough"?

There were so many factors in the referendum result that to peg Corbyn as the deciding one seems a little odd.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 27, 2017, 12:46:10 am
The LDs were down to a rump party by 2015-16. In the 2015 election, they had the lowest support that a centre party had received since we’d had decimal coinage. And many of the ones who left them in 2015 were the centre-left types who had mistakenly believed that the LDs were a kind of cuddly Blairite party without the nasty bits. So it’s difficult to compare the 2015 LD supporters with the “recently traditional” view of the party supporters.

By the way, I was wrong about 67% of 2015 Labour voters supporting Remain in 2016.

(http://lordashcroftpolls.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/LR-by-party.jpg)

It was 63%. If it had been 69%, we’d still be in.

So basically a Tory/ Brexit .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Akinfenwa on November 27, 2017, 12:53:37 am
I'd like to meet these 4% of UKIPs who voted remain. Maybe they didn't get the memo or something.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 27, 2017, 12:59:55 am
Macho

I’m not saying Corbyn was entirely to blame. That would be daft. Of course it was a Cameron-inspired catastrophe.

But I’m simply not buying the pass that has been given to Corbyn. I don’t accept this”he couldn’t get heard”  line. He showed in 2017 that he could electrify people on the stump. When he wanted to.

Regardless of Cameron’s shortcomings, had Corbyn wanted to, he could have found the passion to turn a few hundred thousand votes.

Did you watch that Democracy Now! video?

If so, what were your thoughts on it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 27, 2017, 09:20:07 am
I just think it's hilarious that 4% of UKIP supporters voted Remain.

I mean I know they're not the most intelligent among us but what the f**k was that all about?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 27, 2017, 10:20:19 am
I just think it's hilarious that 4% of UKIP supporters voted Remain.

I mean I know they're not the most intelligent among us but what the f**k was that all about?

You got it with your last line.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 27, 2017, 10:34:32 am
Lord Blue Righty Right Right Heseltine says "the best thing the UK could do to boost growth and productivity would be to stop brexit"

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2017/nov/27/heseltine-says-best-industrial-stragegy-would-be-to-stop-brexit-politics-live

Lord Heseltine, the former Conservative deputy prime minister and a lifelong champion of the need for industrial policy (an original Heathite, not like May), was on BBC Radio 4’s Westminster Hour last night and he had no qualms about answering this question. The best thing the UK could do to boost growth and productivity would be to stop Brexit, he told the programme. Asked what he would do to tackle failing growth, he said:

There is no simple solution to that but the first and most obvious one is to stop the Brexit initiative. Our country is facing years of stagnation, and what is a principal cause of that? It’s that anyone who has got to take an investment decision today is saying, ‘Well how do I know what to invest in? What’s going to happen about Britain and its biggest market of Europe?’ and so they’re hesitating. Whether they’re British companies or overseas companies investing here, they’re hesitating. And as long as we have this Brexit shadow going over us, that will remain. And what do we get in the Budget? A £3bn bill in order to prepare for this Brexit disaster.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on November 27, 2017, 12:23:22 pm
I just think it's hilarious that 4% of UKIP supporters voted Remain.

I mean I know they're not the most intelligent among us but what the f**k was that all about?
Why is it hilarious?
Maybe they listened to debates or read articles and then decided Brexit was not in their best interests. Possibly some UKIP voters only voted for the party tactically to keep someone else out in their constituency.
Just my opinion obviously but voters regularly change their minds when push comes to shove.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 27, 2017, 01:59:56 pm
I just think it's hilarious that 4% of UKIP supporters voted Remain.

I mean I know they're not the most intelligent among us but what the f**k was that all about?
Why is it hilarious?
Maybe they listened to debates or read articles and then decided Brexit was not in their best interests.

Well considering it's a single issue party...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on November 27, 2017, 04:11:46 pm
I did watch the video and read the transcript. He looks and sounds knackered, presumably because he's been traipsing round the country for quite some time. I seem to remember him popping up in DTC around then. I imagine a few hours stood outside The Works in town would suck the life out of most people. Anyway, the contents of what he said were largely what he stuck to during the campaign, which was remain and reform. No, it wasn't an emotional argument for staying, but then no one was really making that emotional argument. Naively, we all thought that facts would edge emotion. With hindsight, of course that was wrong, and a big red bus of bullshit would of course resonate more than nebulous plans about tax avoidance and environmental protection. Maybe Corbyn should have had the foresight to know that, maybe he didn't care. But those were arguments that weren't made by many on the Remain side.

I see the point you're making though. Why drag yourself to an obscure American blog nobody's heard of on the eve of the vote? It ties into the point I've been making really, which is that Corbyn was an irrelevance during the Brexit campaign, and I'm not seeing how the guy could swing several hundred thousand votes from the position that he and the other party leaders were very deliberately put in by Cameron. Of course Boris was on the news. He was the face of the Leave campaign. Corbyn, and the other party leaders for that matter, were never going to be in an equivalent position. Are you implying Corbyn would've been able to get a prime spot on BBC and Sky news on the eve of the vote, but decided not to in favour of exclusively talking to this obscure blog from across the Atlantic? Again, I'm not seeing the logic there. Surely being able to put the boot in to the Tory Brexit on the Beeb would be something Corbyn would relish, even if it meant making a case for Remain that he wasn't convinced by?

I'm not saying you think Corbyn is the ONLY reason for the result, but I'm not seeing the argument that he's a deciding factor of any importance. If you want to put the boot in about Corbyn's stances on Brexit after the result, I might join in with you. But the result itself was Cameron's mess. A mess that he helpfully f**ked off from the first chance he got.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on November 27, 2017, 06:28:57 pm
The point is Corbyn himself is and always has been anti EU.
If he had been a commited remainer and put his weight behind it then his influence MAY have swung the balance the other way.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 27, 2017, 06:47:15 pm
You mean if he driven around in a bus with 'Don't believe that other bus with £350m to the NHS and lies about Turkey' written on it everything would have been alright?

It's a fantasy and shows more about people's wishes to knock Corbyn than it does an understanding over why people voted Leave. People were looking for an excuse to vote Leave - they weren't looking for one to vote Remain.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 27, 2017, 07:09:22 pm
Macho

Yes, that was the point I was making. I do find it incomprehensible that on the eve of the most important vote in our lifetimes, the Leader of the Opposition wasn’t spending every waking hour campaigning for the result that his party wanted.

Because I did and I do believe that with a clear message and a bit of zeal, enough Labour voters could have been persuaded. Yes it was Cameron’s primary responsibility but Corbyn did nothing of substance to tip the balance. If he had done, even given Cameron’s performance, we might not be facing the calamity that’s coming.

And I understand your point about Corbyn being irrelevant in the campaign. But I think it came from a different angle. He made himself irrelevant because he had nothing to say on the subject. He was in a (personal) nightmare of a position, being expected to campaign for something he fundamentally disagreed with. So he umm-ed and ahh-ed and ignored the really big issues (immigration and the economy) and concentrated on ones where he could give grudging support to the EU (tax havens and the environment). But no one gave a shite about tax havens and the environment in the referendum campaign. What people wanted to talk about was:
- sovereignty
-  money.
 
Corbyn showed 12 months later that he was a consummate campaigner and could demand attention. He could have done so in 2016 if he’d really wanted to.

Which brings us to Tommy Toes. I agree with you that Corbyn was, is and probably always will be anti-EU. The logical conclusion of that is that he was hypocritical in the referendum campaign. Strange then that he’s lauded as some kind of new politician who never compromises and it’s always truthful. Paul Mason, for example, said later that summer “I’m voting for Corbyn because the man is incapable of lying.”

Wilts. You’re better than that mate. Try a bit harder.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on November 27, 2017, 08:06:57 pm
Wilts
You may recall that I am a firm Corbyn supporter and have travelled to see him speak.
I was perhaps the only one on here who predicted a Labour surge at the last election and was ridiculed at the time by BST and others.

Ps
I agree with BST however that his non participation in the Referendum was disappointing as Labour policy was to Remain
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 27, 2017, 08:11:45 pm
Tommy

Agreed. I was wrong. I was basing my assumptions on the way Corbyn had campaigned in the Brexit vote and I didn’t expect May to be incapable of finding the connection between brain and mouth when asked a question.

Trouble is, despite his excellent campaign last year, we’ve still got a Tory Govt and a Hard Brexit on the way.

You might also remember me saying, regularly that I agreed with most of Corbyn’s policies, but I doubted that he’d win over enough people to put Labour in power. Well, even faced with the worst PM in getting on for 100 years, who presides over a party in which discipline seems to mean only slapping your assistants’ arses, Corbyn is still seen as the best PM by fewer people than May.
https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/t7a4lpcsdh/TimesResults_171108_VI_Trackers.pdf

Inconvenient fact, I know, but a fact nevertheless.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on November 27, 2017, 08:52:32 pm
BST.
No I clearly recall you basing your assumptions on what happened to Labour in the 1980's when they lurched to the left.
Anyway as you say Corbyn didn't win so very little has changed.
I just wish that stupid tw*t Cameron had had the sense not to offer a referendum and then let the Brexiteers have free rein in the debate.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 27, 2017, 10:06:26 pm
Tommy

I obviously didn’t make myself clear previously. There’s no contradiction.

I agree with most of Corbyn’s policies. Most, not all. I think his foreign policy approach is based on a knee-jerk anti-Americanism which means that he turns a blind eye to some very dangerous threats to us. And I think his take on the military is deeply naive (when asked what he’d do if Russia invaded a NATO member he said “I’d work to make sure it didn’t come to that”. As if everyone else is working to make sure it does come to that...) But I agree with most other policies.

But just because I agree with the policies, that doesn’t mean I think they can win an Election. I’ve always thought that Labour has to be cannier than that and appeal to a broad church.  My take was and is that if you position yourself as an out-and-out left winger, you’d better be an utterly superb politician if you want to win power. I never thought Corbyn was good enough to do that. That was what I meant about the mistakes of the 80s AND the limitations of Corbyn.

He performed much better than I expected, no question. But at the end of the day, faced with an opponent which had tipped the country into a crisis and the worst-performing PM imaginable, Labour still lost by 60 seats.

And I know that Momentum were quick to set up the meme about the historic increase in the Labour vote and how that meant that the country loved Corbyn. But that was rather economical with the truth. Yes the Labour vote went up by 3.5million. But the Tory vote went up by nearly 2.5million. Did that mean that May was a brilliant campaigner too? Both those figures had to be seen in the light of the total collapse of UKIP which was the real first-order feature of the Election, with Corbyn’s energising of younger voters being a distant second.

You want my take? If Labour can’t be significantly ahead of a Tory party as clueless and riven with splits as this one is now, I don’t see Corbyn ever becoming PM. He impressed me in his ability to attract the young vote. I didn’t expect that and it was quite something. But in doing so, he’s also hardening up support for the Tories as the anti-Corbyn vote because there are many, many people in this country who would vote for anyone if it meant keeping out someone as far to the left as Corbyn.

And, he got away with a brilliant sleight of hand this summer. Somehow, he managed to convince southern soft left-ists that he was anti-Brexit, whilst convincing Northern red-UKIPers that he was pro-Brexit. He can’t pull that one again next time. Brexit will have gone to a vote in Parliament by then. He’ll have either scuppered it or supported it. Then he has a real electoral problem.

Goes without saying that I hope I’m wrong.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 27, 2017, 10:48:49 pm
Brexit will have gone to a vote innParliament by then. He have either scuppered it or supported it. Then he has a real electoral problem.

Don't be surprised if there's a three-line whip for abstention, on the basis that Labour can't support whatever the proposed deal is (obviously, because as this Government is such an omnishambles it's going to be dead easy to paint any deal they cobble together as a bad deal), but that Labour won't vote against it and risk stopping Brexit as that is the will of the people. And with one bound he is free!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 28, 2017, 12:30:17 am
Glyn

Aye, but given Corbyn’s history, why should the (predominantly anti-Brexit) PLP pay a blind bit of notice to his three line whip?

He’s spent a career claiming that conscience trumps party loyalty. He’ll get that argument back in spades if he tries the approach that you suggest.

I’ll be honest, I haven’t got a Scooby how the eventual Brexit Deal Vote will pan out. But I can’t see a huge number of MPs in the current PLP being prepared to vote for the kind of Brexit that we seem to be heading towards. So it would be a “Brave” move for Corbyn to try to use the whip.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 28, 2017, 07:32:54 am
I would be surprised if Corbyn used the whip too, it would be personally embarrassing and would give the appearance that the " split " in the Labour Party is no nearer being resolved .
He would appear to be the villain of the piece to the majority PLP as well as and more importantly to the electorate that he needs to keep on side in any upcoming elections - he needs to take those seats currently held by Tories in areas that 1) Have a substantive Remain electorate and / or 2) in constituencies where the Tory vote was more or less finely balanced but will be heavily affected by any bad deal/ cliff edge scenario.

It is important that attacks on other Parties in Opposition stop wherever possible unless there is a direct electoral advantage in doing so . For instance why keep attacking the SNP or Lib/ Dems when they are in a position to take seats AWAY from the Tories ? It seems to me that deals can be struck and candidates withdrawn in areas where the Labour Party has no chance of a win I. E. Where they have ' trailed in ' a distant 3rd or even 4th . I know they have a principle whereby they fight EVERY and ANY seat - that to me is madness and a waste of resources. In many cases there would be an argument for the momentum army to '' assist " one of the oppo sides where a non-Tory Party is clearly in a precarious 1st place or a strong 2nd place. Obviously that probably wouldn't be needed in practice.

The 2 to 8000 " wasted " votes could then be used to topple a Tory thereby bringing down further the target needed to at least becoming the largest Party .
The electoral maths would make it almost impossible for Labour to win an outright majority currently let alone if the number of seats end up being decreased to 600 in future . An " anyone but a Tory " way of thinking and acting is the only way forward imo to bring about a future Labour Govt. However it is important that they win the economic argument and don't appear any more radical than they currently are !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 28, 2017, 07:56:40 am
Glyn

Aye, but given Corbyn’s history, why should the (predominantly anti-Brexit) PLP pay a blind bit of notice to his three line whip?

Because they'll want their constituents to re-elect them, and they'll want the Labour Party to bankroll them at a General Election. Sure there'll be a few rebels but as long as the official Labour Party line is as I've described it it puts Corbyn on the moral high ground, even more so when the post-Brexit reality bites and Labour can say 'it was nothing to do with us, we knew it was a bad deal'.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on November 28, 2017, 09:10:04 am
Anyone see the documentary where they followed 3 Labour MPs through the last campaign?
One of them was Kinnock mk2.
The most telling part when it became obvious at the exit poll that Labour were doing far better than expected was the look on his face. He didn't know whether to laugh or cry as the realisation dawned that the anti Corbyn PLP were stuffed.
Fact is it's Momentum who now run the party and for good or ill they, Corbyn and McDonald will design Labour policy.
Whether Momentum can keep the momentum going is anyone's guess but perhaps Corbyn fever has cooled a little, especially as he has shown he can duck and dive and be as duplicitous as the rest of em when he wants; and it might be a long time before there's another election.
My own take is that when the fall out from the disaster that is Brexit takes hold, Labour better win the next election coz if they dont the split might be terminal.
 Despite this i really hope Corbyn is given the chance to govern as there is far more good than bad in his ideas.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 28, 2017, 11:07:57 am
Glyn

I made a mistake in my earlier post. The vote in March 2019 won't be about Brexit or no-Brexit. It'll be on the deal that Davis has managed to secure.

That's the key thing. Brexit is going to happen in 2019. There will be a day when we will officially leave the EU. the question is, what's the situation thereafter?

If Corbyn is complicit in allowing a Hard Brexit deal through Parliament (which is what your approach would mean in practice) then he has a real problem with the soft-left middle-class voters who supported him this year. I suspect there'd be a haemmorrhaging of votes to the Greens and newly-enthused LD, as well as huge problem in Scotland, where Labour has been slowly dragging itself back.

If he rejects a strong Brexit and supports a very extended transistion deal where very little actually changes (which is the least-disastrous outcome for the country as far as I can see) then he's in danger of being painted as denying Brexit by the back door and pissing off the working class Red-UKIPers. It's not impossible to see Farage come riding back over the horizon to re-invigorate UKIP in those circumstances.
 

It's a problem and I don't see an easy way out. In politics, if you try to be all things to all people, you can do it for as long as you don't have to make a decision. But eventually you have to come down on one side or the other and you piss off an awful lot of people who thought you were on their side. As Clegg discovered in 2010.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 28, 2017, 05:46:00 pm
Trying to guess what is going to happen in 2018 never mind 2019 is beyond Nostradamus never mind a political commentator in these times. But as for the 'Brexit deal' vote this is why the debate that is about to come up over putting the leaving date in the Repeal Bill is so important.

If the government state a date and time for when we leave the EU, thats it, thats when we leave deal or no deal. If no date is in the Bill then parliament is able to vote on whatever the deal is on offer, reject it, and tell the government to go back and negotiate a better one. And there are enough Tory 'mutineers' to want that to happen.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 28, 2017, 08:37:34 pm
Davies refuses to hand over documents that spell out the full impact of wrexit despite the parliament voting to release them.
On top of this the totally hypocritical bunch of tory eurosceptics are trying to hold a second vote, it's unbelievable (well not really)

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/david-davis-brexit-impact-papers-release-contempt-parliament-charge-latest-a8080991.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 28, 2017, 09:18:36 pm
Davies refuses to hand over documents that spell out the full impact of wrexit despite the parliament voting to release them.
On top of this the totally hypocritical bunch of tory eurosceptics are trying to hold a second vote, it's unbelievable (well not really)

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/david-davis-brexit-impact-papers-release-contempt-parliament-charge-latest-a8080991.html

Yes apparently they can just ride a coach and horses through what was agreed with a simple amendment. That's democracy for you ....
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 28, 2017, 09:50:01 pm
This is extremely serious.

There is a very important point in our political system, which is that PARLIAMENT is sovereign. Not the PM. Not the Cabinet. Not Ministers. If Parliament passes a vote, Ministers are compelled to abide by it. The fact that a minister thinks that abiding by that decision might cause a problem is of no importance whatsoever.

The bizarre thing is that we were told one reason for voting Leave was to bring sovereignty back from the EU. The very people who said that arenow sticking two fingers up at the ultimate sovereign body in the country.

The black comedy continues...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on November 28, 2017, 09:55:14 pm
Reports in the Graun suggest we have agreed to pay the EU a net bill of £50bn-£58bn. One issue down, only took us 18 months to get there eh?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 28, 2017, 10:09:59 pm
So that’s the first 3 years’ worth of £350m/week gone up in smoke...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on November 28, 2017, 10:32:26 pm
He must hand them over. Parliament has voted and that's all there is to it.
If he was Charles 1 he'd be beheaded in the morning.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on November 28, 2017, 10:49:42 pm
Any MP of any persuasion that votes for their own or their party's gain as opposed to the good of the nation is guilty of treason in my eyes.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 28, 2017, 11:13:45 pm
Surely MPs defying the will of the parliament can be stopped from taking part in it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 29, 2017, 07:18:34 am
This is disgraceful and the appointed civil servant in charge of collating all these documents should be ordered to turn over the originalso unredacted  to the Speaker immediately . This Government is clearly incapable and unwilling to do so

Surely any decent Brexiter didn't foresee a Party barely in power riding roughshod over every Parliamentary convention in front of them ; did you foresee a one Party State ?

It's high time that the slippery fool that is Davis is brought to book and held in contempt of Parliament along with the complicit idiots in his Department.
The arrogance of this Tory Party knows no bounds and it's time that the Opposition and those on its own benches said " ENOUGH " !!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 29, 2017, 08:22:36 am
Davies refuses to hand over documents that spell out the full impact of wrexit despite the parliament voting to release them.
On top of this the totally hypocritical bunch of tory eurosceptics are trying to hold a second vote, it's unbelievable (well not really)

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/david-davis-brexit-impact-papers-release-contempt-parliament-charge-latest-a8080991.html

What...they didn't get the result they wanted from a vote but don't want to 'suck it up'? Disgraceful! :silly:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 29, 2017, 11:08:23 am
Jesus wept, I'm watching IDS on the news right now saying we don't owe the EU any money unless we get a trade deal we like.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on November 29, 2017, 04:26:53 pm
Verhofstadt today: EU expect "more on citizens' rights and much more on the Irish border question". Sounds like progress has been made on the money, but not on anything else.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on November 29, 2017, 04:30:27 pm
Well, the hits just keep on coming;
https://is.gd/K9cjhf

It looks more and more like a bloodless coup......I suppose the bleeding will all take place off camera, and down the years.

Given that we do not have a written constitution, the principle that parliament has the last word over the (temporary) executive is crucial.

Disregard the vote of parliament, and you have moved into autocratic mode. So much for the entire basis of governance in the UK.

The costs outlined in the Indy link are for the right to agree terms to continue to trade with the EU. Those terms will be less advantageous than full members enjoy, so we will be paying for the prospect of a poorer deal.

The thought that occurs to me is that the economic appraisel should have been available to inform the vote. All this rot under the floorboards is clearly the reason DD cannot release the redacted papers.

Lets be honest, if it showed a clean bill of health for Leave, then we would all know already. The only reason for holding back is that it there is information that will reflect badly on the government.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 29, 2017, 06:02:04 pm
It has to come to a point where people realise this is f**king lunacy.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on November 29, 2017, 06:09:38 pm
This 50 billion. It's like going to buy a car and paying top whack but you've no idea what car you'll get. Could be a 1985 Lada.
Absolute madness.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 29, 2017, 06:41:04 pm
Well, the hits just keep on coming;
https://is.gd/K9cjhf

It looks more and more like a bloodless coup......I suppose the bleeding will all take place off camera, and down the years.

Given that we do not have a written constitution, the principle that parliament has the last word over the (temporary) executive is crucial.

Disregard the vote of parliament, and you have moved into autocratic mode. So much for the entire basis of governance in the UK.

The costs outlined in the Indy link are for the right to agree terms to continue to trade with the EU. Those terms will be less advantageous than full members enjoy, so we will be paying for the prospect of a poorer deal.

The thought that occurs to me is that the economic appraisel should have been available to inform the vote. All this rot under the floorboards is clearly the reason DD cannot release the redacted papers.

Lets be honest, if it showed a clean bill of health for Leave, then we would all know already. The only reason for holding back is that it there is information that will reflect badly on the government.

It's the only assumption to take out of DD's reticence to release the real price of Brexit .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 29, 2017, 07:01:54 pm
Another assumption you might make Hoola is that this thorough and in depth analysis of how Brexit might affect 58 critical sectors of the British economy that Davies promised he had are not quite so thorough and in depth as he made them out to be?

But no, you can't belive the man leading our negotiations doing that can you?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Muttley on November 29, 2017, 07:32:54 pm
This 50 billion. It's like going to buy a car and paying top whack but you've no idea what car you'll get. Could be a 1985 Lada.
Absolute madness.


Actually it's more like going to buy a car and the garage saying "I'd love to sell you a car, but first you need to finish paying for the last car I sold you. Only then can we discuss a deal for a new car."
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 29, 2017, 08:21:49 pm
This 50 billion. It's like going to buy a car and paying top whack but you've no idea what car you'll get. Could be a 1985 Lada.
Absolute madness.


The thing is we've already bought the car. This is haggling about how little we can get away with coughing up for it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 30, 2017, 12:58:44 am
This 50 billion. It's like going to buy a car and paying top whack but you've no idea what car you'll get. Could be a 1985 Lada.
Absolute madness.

There is no car! it's an illusion, there never has been a car the car never existed. Wrexit is costing the UK economy 300,000,000 per week, on top of this 50 Billion (50,000,000,000) and then loss of trade, can't wait for the wrexiteers side of the story.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on November 30, 2017, 07:35:46 am
This 50 billion. It's like going to buy a car and paying top whack but you've no idea what car you'll get. Could be a 1985 Lada.
Absolute madness.

There is no car! it's an illusion, there never has been a car the car never existed. Wrexit is costing the UK economy 300,000,000 per week, on top of this 50 Billion (50,000,000,000) and then loss of trade, can't wait for the wrexiteers side of the story.

I would like to think that the loss to the economy of £ 300,000,000 a week is the maximum the economy will haemorrhage but I doubt it stops there and I see little hope of finding £ 650,000,000 + a week to subsidise the loss and all that extra money for the NHS.

What a bloody mess and of course there's the final bill which will be largely hidden from the public much like a football transfer fee.

Over to you Brexiters to tell us how wonderful life will be once we are a newly formed state of Trump's  USA - you need it as you cough your way through your breakfast cereal whilst reading your Daily Mail/ Express/ Sun. A " special friend " indeed !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 01, 2017, 02:56:45 pm
Well, there's another week of £350m that Boris owes us.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-42194382
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 01, 2017, 03:59:08 pm
Well, there's another week of £350m that Boris owes us.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-42194382

I can't help but wonder whose pockets that extra £133mill fell into.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on December 01, 2017, 04:32:07 pm
David Davis has reportedly threatened to quit if Damian Green is sacked for having porn on his work computer. What a bizarre hill to die on. Strikes me that Davis is looking for any way to get out of Dodge while saving face. Good luck with that Dave.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 01, 2017, 04:56:27 pm
And May is so weak she can do bugger all about it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Hounslowrover on December 01, 2017, 07:16:47 pm
David Davis has reportedly threatened to quit if Damian Green is sacked for having porn on his work computer. What a bizarre hill to die on. Strikes me that Davis is looking for any way to get out of Dodge while saving face. Good luck with that Dave.

Agree with this, especially as he needs to provide the Brexit Committee with his economic assessment papers, which may not exist in the detail he has previously mentioned or even boasted about.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donny Dub on December 01, 2017, 08:30:00 pm
Well now there’s been a meeting in Dublin today between Leo Varadkar (Irish PM) and Donald Tusk (EU Brusselsj that has really put a spanner in the works.  If Ireland is not happy with the Ireland border arrangements offered by UK as part of the Brexit process, Ireland can veto the negotiations with the full support of the EU.  This is a major dilemma for the British because Dublin does not want a return of the hard border between the jurisdictions that was removed following the Good Friday Agreement but it’s hard to see NI leaving the customs union with the rest of the UK without proper border controls in place.  This could undo the entire process and lead to an abandonment of the Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on December 01, 2017, 09:51:01 pm
Well now there’s been a meeting in Dublin today between Leo Varadkar (Irish PM) and Donald Tusk (EU Brusselsj that has really put a spanner in the works.  If Ireland is not happy with the Ireland border arrangements offered by UK as part of the Brexit process, Ireland can veto the negotiations with the full support of the EU.  This is a major dilemma for the British because Dublin does not want a return of the hard border between the jurisdictions that was removed following the Good Friday Agreement but it’s hard to see NI leaving the customs union with the rest of the UK without proper border controls in place.  This could undo the entire process and lead to an abandonment of the Brexit.

...and the DUP will have a massive say in the outcome(s) on the Border question and of course they "prop up" the Tories who cant get a vote on anything through Parliament without them. All that power with so little share of the vote (I seem to have read that before somewhere)

Oh yes .... I remember (just the top post)
https://www.drfc-vsc.co.uk/index.php?topic=262636.msg709588#msg709588

I hope the entire process does ultimately fail and B****t (sorry I never type / use / speak that word if I can avoid it) is abandoned

However there may be a simpler path. All those who preached democracy and said " we have voted to leave the EU - get over it " would surely not mind if there were suddenly another democratic movement which amassed 18 Million people who all signed a petition (or similar) wishing to abandon the move to leave the EU with immediate effect

I am convinced (guessing) that at least that many of the current electorate - who were lied to by Boris's Bus initially - voted to get control of our borders etc - and have watched as this car crash has evolved day by day since would now just say f**k it !


 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Pancho Regan on December 01, 2017, 10:21:40 pm
I confess I haven’t read all the many posts on this thread, but one simple question screams out at me.

If those who voted to leave the EU had been told we would face a bill of £50 Billion for leaving, would this have affected their decision?

Surely it would have?

I don’t recall the prospect of an exit bill of this magnitude ever being part of the discussions during the referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 01, 2017, 10:48:29 pm
I confess I haven’t read all the many posts on this thread, but one simple question screams out at me.

If those who voted to leave the EU had been told we would face a bill of £50 Billion for leaving, would this have affected their decision?

Surely it would have?

I don’t recall the prospect of an exit bill of this magnitude ever being part of the discussions during the referendum.

They were told about the financial obligations. But then they were also told that this was 'Project Fear' and to ignore it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on December 01, 2017, 11:10:21 pm
These were the people that were fed up of listening to the experts, remember.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on December 02, 2017, 08:51:25 am
You are deluding yourself chaps. A good percentage of Brexiteers were and still are ideological obsessives with little or no interest in economic well being of the country. A survey last year found that 61% of people who voted leave thought having a significantly worse economy was a price worth paying for Brexit.

https://www.newstatesman.com/2017/08/yougov-research-brexit-proves-baby-boomers-hate-their-own-children
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 02, 2017, 09:42:08 am
You are deluding yourself chaps. A good percentage of Brexiteers were and still are ideological obsessives with little or no interest in economic well being of the country. A survey last year found that 61% of people who voted leave thought having a significantly worse economy was a price worth paying for Brexit.

https://www.newstatesman.com/2017/08/yougov-research-brexit-proves-baby-boomers-hate-their-own-children

Ah, but how many of those were happy for other people to reap the effects of a worse economy and didn't think it would affect them? I wonder what they think now that reality is finally here?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 02, 2017, 10:24:57 am
You are deluding yourself chaps. A good percentage of Brexiteers were and still are ideological obsessives with little or no interest in economic well being of the country. A survey last year found that 61% of people who voted leave thought having a significantly worse economy was a price worth paying for Brexit.

https://www.newstatesman.com/2017/08/yougov-research-brexit-proves-baby-boomers-hate-their-own-children

So follow that to its logical conclusion. 20% of Leave voters said that leaving the EU wouldn’t be the right thing to do if it meant significant damage to the economy, with a further 19% saying Don’t Know (and they STILL have a vote...)

One assumes that all the Remain voters think it would be madness to leave the EU if it meant the economy would tank.

So that would mean that, of those who voted last year, 58% would think we shouldn’t leave the EU if it badly damaged the economy, 32% think we should with 10% unable to act as sentient beings.

Outside Patrick Minford’s flat-earth domain, there’s barely a serious economist who thinks that Brexitvwill do anything other than cause seriously weaker economic performance. It’s clearly already started. Those facts need ramming into people’s heads everytime you speak to them. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 02, 2017, 02:50:26 pm
You are deluding yourself chaps. A good percentage of Brexiteers were and still are ideological obsessives with little or no interest in economic well being of the country. A survey last year found that 61% of people who voted leave thought having a significantly worse economy was a price worth paying for Brexit.

https://www.newstatesman.com/2017/08/yougov-research-brexit-proves-baby-boomers-hate-their-own-children

Like BST , I too cannot see how you have made a reasonable argument for leaving from what you have presented to us as statistical evidence for Brexiting. ?

I'm bemused that the devastation that Brexit will cause to every sector of our society , especially the crazy economics that is espoused by the foolish to the foolish is getting through to you as well. I always thought of you as someone that makes " reasoned " arguments - why on this nonsense do you disagree with obvious common sense ?

Brexit has turned people, from both sides incidentally, into strange human beings. Those that wanted and voted for Brexit - will get damaged the most - it's fecking bizarre !

Welcome to the start of ....Project REALITY
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on December 02, 2017, 05:31:35 pm
Br-eality .....  as it is now known as !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 02, 2017, 06:18:02 pm
Will it still be a .........BRE-EZE ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 03, 2017, 08:17:13 am
David Davis has reportedly threatened to quit if Damian Green is sacked for having porn on his work computer. What a bizarre hill to die on. Strikes me that Davis is looking for any way to get out of Dodge while saving face. Good luck with that Dave.

Davis and Boris are intellectual microbes and it's time for those in Britain to voice their opposition to the appalling governance that will see the country as a European outsider cut off from the richest vein of trade and culture in the world. We are edging ever closer to the point where Europe will take the decision out of our hands and make it for us.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on December 03, 2017, 08:52:59 am
You are deluding yourself chaps. A good percentage of Brexiteers were and still are ideological obsessives with little or no interest in economic well being of the country. A survey last year found that 61% of people who voted leave thought having a significantly worse economy was a price worth paying for Brexit.

https://www.newstatesman.com/2017/08/yougov-research-brexit-proves-baby-boomers-hate-their-own-children

Like BST , I too cannot see how you have made a reasonable argument for leaving from what you have presented to us as statistical evidence for Brexiting. ?


Sorry Hoola & BST, why do you think my post is a reasoned argument for leaving? It's a link to a UGov survey about people's attitudes on Brexit and has no argument from me about leaving in it whatsoever - reasoned or otherwise.

This is the actual poll, again apologies it was August 2017 not last year. https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/08/01/britain-nation-brexit-extremists/

People are saying because of the economic forecasts that those who voted leave are changing their mind or regretting the situation. A more recent UGov poll does show that, but its very small, most people who voted leave would still vote leave however catastrophic the economic consequences. Perhaps they are bluffing or deluding themselves - or a looking forward to a low regulated, tax haven, I don't know, but thats what the polls show.

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/10/27/there-has-been-shift-against-brexit-public-still-t/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 03, 2017, 09:52:21 am
You are deluding yourself chaps. A good percentage of Brexiteers were and still are ideological obsessives with little or no interest in economic well being of the country. A survey last year found that 61% of people who voted leave thought having a significantly worse economy was a price worth paying for Brexit.

https://www.newstatesman.com/2017/08/yougov-research-brexit-proves-baby-boomers-hate-their-own-children

Like BST , I too cannot see how you have made a reasonable argument for leaving from what you have presented to us as statistical evidence for Brexiting. ?


Sorry Hoola & BST, why do you think my post is a reasoned argument for leaving? It's a link to a UGov survey about people's attitudes on Brexit and has no argument from me about leaving in it whatsoever - reasoned or otherwise.

This is the actual poll, again apologies it was August 2017 not last year. https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/08/01/britain-nation-brexit-extremists/

People are saying because of the economic forecasts that those who voted leave are changing their mind or regretting the situation. A more recent UGov poll does show that, but its very small, most people who voted leave would still vote leave however catastrophic the economic consequences. Perhaps they are bluffing or deluding themselves - or a looking forward to a low regulated, tax haven, I don't know, but thats what the polls show.

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/10/27/there-has-been-shift-against-brexit-public-still-t/
The number of people required to change their vote in a new referendum is a pretty small %age and I don't think they are bluffing or deluding themselves I don't think the majority of those that voted for Wrexit have read or cared to understand what the vote would really mean and the downward spiral that Britain is now facing.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 03, 2017, 10:35:11 am
Wilts.

Why do you think I think your post is a reasoned argument for leaving?

I was simply following the logic of the link that you posted.

It pretty clearly shows that, if people understand that Brexit will cause the country serious economic harm, there is a large majority in the country against Brexit.

The fact that 60% of Leave voters would still support Brexit is irrelevant. There’s no need for EVERY Leave supporter to see the light. Just enough of them. And so your opening gambit “You are deluding yourself chaps(sic)” doesn’t make sense.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on December 03, 2017, 12:01:53 pm
Have a look at todays Daily Fail - because although NOT a Referendum but a "snap shot" the majority "polled" would support a second Referendum once the "deal" has been done and a list of "what it means for us" has been produced

I personally hope that an independent body issues the 10 or so major points rather that all the s**t we put up with before the Referendum and that IF and it is a big IF the people have changes their minds after seeing "the facts" that if the second vote says stay IN the EU that the original Leavers see that that decision TOO has been democratically arrived at.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 03, 2017, 03:29:51 pm
You are deluding yourself chaps. A good percentage of Brexiteers were and still are ideological obsessives with little or no interest in economic well being of the country. A survey last year found that 61% of people who voted leave thought having a significantly worse economy was a price worth paying for Brexit.

https://www.newstatesman.com/2017/08/yougov-research-brexit-proves-baby-boomers-hate-their-own-children

Like BST , I too cannot see how you have made a reasonable argument for leaving from what you have presented to us as statistical evidence for Brexiting. ?


Sorry Hoola & BST, why do you think my post is a reasoned argument for leaving? It's a link to a UGov survey about people's attitudes on Brexit and has no argument from me about leaving in it whatsoever - reasoned or otherwise.

This is the actual poll, again apologies it was August 2017 not last year. https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/08/01/britain-nation-brexit-extremists/

People are saying because of the economic forecasts that those who voted leave are changing their mind or regretting the situation. A more recent UGov poll does show that, but its very small, most people who voted leave would still vote leave however catastrophic the economic consequences. Perhaps they are bluffing or deluding themselves - or a looking forward to a low regulated, tax haven, I don't know, but thats what the polls show.

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/10/27/there-has-been-shift-against-brexit-public-still-t/

Still can't see how you haven't accounted for the 39% of Leavers who feel the price is not worth paying for the economic collapse or at best slow decline.

Do you seriously think that we would still leave the EU ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on December 03, 2017, 04:11:10 pm
You are deluding yourself chaps. A good percentage of Brexiteers were and still are ideological obsessives with little or no interest in economic well being of the country. A survey last year found that 61% of people who voted leave thought having a significantly worse economy was a price worth paying for Brexit.

https://www.newstatesman.com/2017/08/yougov-research-brexit-proves-baby-boomers-hate-their-own-children

Like BST , I too cannot see how you have made a reasonable argument for leaving from what you have presented to us as statistical evidence for Brexiting. ?


Sorry Hoola & BST, why do you think my post is a reasoned argument for leaving? It's a link to a UGov survey about people's attitudes on Brexit and has no argument from me about leaving in it whatsoever - reasoned or otherwise.

This is the actual poll, again apologies it was August 2017 not last year. https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/08/01/britain-nation-brexit-extremists/

People are saying because of the economic forecasts that those who voted leave are changing their mind or regretting the situation. A more recent UGov poll does show that, but its very small, most people who voted leave would still vote leave however catastrophic the economic consequences. Perhaps they are bluffing or deluding themselves - or a looking forward to a low regulated, tax haven, I don't know, but thats what the polls show.

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/10/27/there-has-been-shift-against-brexit-public-still-t/

Still can't see how you haven't accounted for the 39% of Leavers who feel the price is not worth paying for the economic collapse or at best slow decline.

Do you seriously think that we would still leave the EU ?

When have I ever said we should leave the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 03, 2017, 05:17:18 pm
You are deluding yourself chaps. A good percentage of Brexiteers were and still are ideological obsessives with little or no interest in economic well being of the country. A survey last year found that 61% of people who voted leave thought having a significantly worse economy was a price worth paying for Brexit.

https://www.newstatesman.com/2017/08/yougov-research-brexit-proves-baby-boomers-hate-their-own-children

Like BST , I too cannot see how you have made a reasonable argument for leaving from what you have presented to us as statistical evidence for Brexiting. ?


Sorry Hoola & BST, why do you think my post is a reasoned argument for leaving? It's a link to a UGov survey about people's attitudes on Brexit and has no argument from me about leaving in it whatsoever - reasoned or otherwise.

This is the actual poll, again apologies it was August 2017 not last year. https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/08/01/britain-nation-brexit-extremists/

People are saying because of the economic forecasts that those who voted leave are changing their mind or regretting the situation. A more recent UGov poll does show that, but its very small, most people who voted leave would still vote leave however catastrophic the economic consequences. Perhaps they are bluffing or deluding themselves - or a looking forward to a low regulated, tax haven, I don't know, but thats what the polls show.

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/10/27/there-has-been-shift-against-brexit-public-still-t/

Still can't see how you haven't accounted for the 39% of Leavers who feel the price is not worth paying for the economic collapse or at best slow decline.

Do you seriously think that we would still leave the EU ?

When have I ever said we should leave the EU?

When have I ever suggested that is what you want personally , we are debating whether we are '' deluded '' not whether you voted Leave hence your quote of mine ....... '' Do you seriously think that we would still leave the EU ? ''. You were trying to back up the argument based on those statistics, did you ever think of those that NEVER voted last time probably wouldn't be so blase about chucking their vote away this time ?

Wilts I'm not interested in what YOU voted, however there is a huge difference between WOULD and SHOULD isn't there ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on December 03, 2017, 08:56:11 pm
Personally I can't see a Second Referendum happening. For one thing, it would require a change of Government and for another it would require Labour to change policy and commit to a second referendum in their manifesto. I think they are unlikely to do that because they would consider it too much of a risk (also I don't think Corbyn would be in favour.)

The one issue that could bring down this Government is the Irish Border, and at the moment there appears to be no solution that suits all parties. It is possible that if we move to Trade Talks in January then that might provide a solution, but I'm not sure how likely that is.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 03, 2017, 10:09:47 pm
TRB

There ISN’T a solution to the Irish Border issue. That’s the point. Davies is dissembling by saying that we need to know what the trade deal looks like before we can know how to deal with the Irish border. That’s Grade A bullshit, hiding the fact that no-one on the British side has a clue what to do.

Here’s the problem.

May has announced (her own decision - nothing in the Referendum or in any Parliamentary vote forced her) that we will leave both the Currency Union and the Single Market.

Since Ireland will stay in both, that means that there has to be customs and trade borders between the UK and Ireland.

But that will cause chaos in movement of goods and people between NI and Rep Ire, which now have strongly integrated economies.

So, you could make a special case of NI. Let it effectively stay inside the CU and SM. Then it could trade freely with Rep Ire. And the Customs and trade border would be between the island of Ireland and the island of Great Britain.

But the DUP won’t wear that because it hints at a slippery slope towards a United Ireland. And the DUP is shoring up this apology of a Govt.

Conclusion? The moment May announced we were leaving the CU and SM, she burned any chance of sorting out the Irish border question. Nothing that could possibly emerge from trade negotiations with the EU can alter the facts above.

An utter, stupid, avoidable mistake made by a Prime Minister who totally misunderstood how weak her position was.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 03, 2017, 10:10:08 pm
It's the Irish Border problem that should highlight to everybody just how complicated these negotiations really are.

Here is a situation where absolutely everybody agrees with each other about what they want (ie a soft border) but still nothing has been decided upon after...how many months has it been?

And yet some people expect the negotiations where everybody actually disagree with other to be resolved by the end of two years.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 03, 2017, 10:13:34 pm
By the way. There ARE two possible solutions to this.

1) Remain in the SM and CU. The Irish border issue then evaporates. As do most of the negative economic consequences of Brexit. It is a no-brainer. Except that May has painted herself into a corner and can’t do it. Of course, when her Govt collapses because the Irish veto any deal due to the Irish border problem being unresolved...

2) Face down the DUP and go for the united Irish market solution. And that is a direct line to para-military action from the Unionists returning with a vengeance.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 03, 2017, 10:18:29 pm
TRB

There ISN’T a solution to the Irish Border issue. That’s the point. Davies is dissembling by saying that we need to know what the trade deal looks like before we can know how to deal with the Irish border. That’s Grade A bullshit, hiding the fact that no-one on the British side has a clue what to do.

Here’s the problem.

May has announced (her own decision - nothing in the Referendum or in any Parliamentary vote forced her) that we will leave both the Currency Union and the Single Market.

Since Ireland will stay in both, that means that there has to be customs and trade borders between the UK and Ireland.

But that will cause chaos in movement of goods and people between NI and Rep Ire, which now have strongly integrated economies.

So, you could make a special case of NI. Let it effectively stay inside the CU and SM. Then it could trade freely with Rep Ire. And the Customs and trade border would be between the island of Ireland and the island of Great Britain.

But the DUP won’t wear that because it hints at a slippery slope towards a United Ireland. And the DUP is shoring up this apology of a Govt.

Conclusion? The moment May announced we were leaving the CU and SM, she burned any chance of sorting out the Irish border question. Nothing that could possibly emerge from trade negotiations with the EU can alter the facts above.

An utter, stupid, avoidable mistake made by a Prime Minister who totally misunderstood how weak her position was.

Although May made the decision, I think it was the hard Brexiters in the Tory party twisting her arm behind the scenes and she had to announce it to keep them quiet, unite the party (*hollow laughter*) and get them to support her as Prime Minister.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 03, 2017, 10:21:27 pm
2) Face down the DUP and go for the united Irish market solution. And that is a direct line to para-military action from the Unionists returning with a vengeance.

Who would the pro-Union paramilitaries target though? Surely they wouldn't be idiot enough to target those who didn't make the decision?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 03, 2017, 10:45:28 pm
Glyn

You’re assuming there’s an economic logic to Unionism. At the bottom line, Unionism will always put sovereignty before economics. And so it would be horrific for the Unionists to see an Ireland that was economically unified and separate from GB working successfully. History suggests that the Unionists would take (Carson’s old threat) “all means possible” to thwart that outcome.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 04, 2017, 10:35:06 am
Meanwhile, back on to the topic of what Brexit is REALLY about...

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/politics/2017/dec/01/jacob-rees-mogg-held-meeting-with-steve-bannon-in-london
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 04, 2017, 11:30:47 am
Glyn

You’re assuming there’s an economic logic to Unionism. At the bottom line, Unionism will always put sovereignty before economics. And so it would be horrific for the Unionists to see an Ireland that was economically unified and separate from GB working successfully. History suggests that the Unionists would take (Carson’s old threat) “all means possible” to thwart that outcome.

There may be a canny way out of this though: say that there's no way of agreeing a soft border with things as they are. The only way to have a soft border is for NI to be part of the Single Market (there'd still be a hard border with just the Customs Union) or even full memebers of the EU. So, in order for NI to be able to that, threaten the DUP with a referendum in NI. Either (a) things stay as they are and there's a hard border, or (b) NI becomes independent (although with the Queen still Head Of Stare, like Australia etc.) and can join the SM/EU on it's own terms and there's a soft border.

Either the DUP calls the bluff and there's the potential for the first break from the UK being put into the electorate's hands and not theirs; or they start to be more flexible and possibly agree to the hard border being between NI and the rest of the UK.

Then whatever happens it can be spun that the DUP are the villians of the piece and not Westminster.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 04, 2017, 12:31:59 pm
But that ignores the paramilitary aspect Glyn. That is at least as important as the conventional political fallout.

Both sides have historically seen Northern Ireland as a zero-sum game. If you are winning, we are losing. The genius of the Good Friday Agreement was that it gave just enough to each side to keep an equilibrium. The moment you tip that either way, you have destroyed the balance and given one side the potential to feel that they are losing out.

So if there's a hard border in Ireland, the Republican's will be pissed off and if there's a hard border in the Irish Sea, the Unionists will be pissed off. Either one of those outcomes disturbs the balance of the GFA and runs the risk of the men with guns coming back to argue the case for the side that feels it has lost out.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on December 04, 2017, 12:32:52 pm
Glyn

You’re assuming there’s an economic logic to Unionism. At the bottom line, Unionism will always put sovereignty before economics. And so it would be horrific for the Unionists to see an Ireland that was economically unified and separate from GB working successfully. History suggests that the Unionists would take (Carson’s old threat) “all means possible” to thwart that outcome.

There may be a canny way out of this though: say that there's no way of agreeing a soft border with things as they are. The only way to have a soft border is for NI to be part of the Single Market (there'd still be a hard border with just the Customs Union) or even full memebers of the EU. So, in order for NI to be able to that, threaten the DUP with a referendum in NI. Either (a) things stay as they are and there's a hard border, or (b) NI becomes independent (although with the Queen still Head Of Stare, like Australia etc.) and can join the SM/EU on it's own terms and there's a soft border.

Either the DUP calls the bluff and there's the potential for the first break from the UK being put into the electorate's hands and not theirs; or they start to be more flexible and possibly agree to the hard border being between NI and the rest of the UK.

Then whatever happens it can be spun that the DUP are the villians of the piece and not Westminster.

I think Scotland would be wanting whatever NI get in concessions
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 04, 2017, 12:49:57 pm
But that ignores the paramilitary aspect Glyn. That is at least as important as the conventional political fallout.

Both sides have historically seen Northern Ireland as a zero-sum game. If you are winning, we are losing. The genius of the Good Friday Agreement was that it gave just enough to each side to keep an equilibrium. The moment you tip that either way, you have destroyed the balance and given one side the potential to feel that they are losing out.

So if there's a hard border in Ireland, the Republican's will be pissed off and if there's a hard border in the Irish Sea, the Unionists will be pissed off. Either one of those outcomes disturbs the balance of the GFA and runs the risk of the men with guns coming back to argue the case for the side that feels it has lost out.

If the vote is to stay the same, there's nothing for the paramilitary to get annoyed about. If NI vote for independence, it's not the UK's problem any more, it'll be the DUP's assuming they still hold power. And what would the paramilitary hope to expect to get out of the DUP?

It won't be the UK tipping anything one way or the other, it'll be the NI electorate themselves.

Win-win for the UK it seems to me.

Besides, I didn't say have a referendum, I said threaten the DUP with one.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 04, 2017, 12:51:57 pm
Glyn

You’re assuming there’s an economic logic to Unionism. At the bottom line, Unionism will always put sovereignty before economics. And so it would be horrific for the Unionists to see an Ireland that was economically unified and separate from GB working successfully. History suggests that the Unionists would take (Carson’s old threat) “all means possible” to thwart that outcome.

There may be a canny way out of this though: say that there's no way of agreeing a soft border with things as they are. The only way to have a soft border is for NI to be part of the Single Market (there'd still be a hard border with just the Customs Union) or even full memebers of the EU. So, in order for NI to be able to that, threaten the DUP with a referendum in NI. Either (a) things stay as they are and there's a hard border, or (b) NI becomes independent (although with the Queen still Head Of Stare, like Australia etc.) and can join the SM/EU on it's own terms and there's a soft border.

Either the DUP calls the bluff and there's the potential for the first break from the UK being put into the electorate's hands and not theirs; or they start to be more flexible and possibly agree to the hard border being between NI and the rest of the UK.

Then whatever happens it can be spun that the DUP are the villians of the piece and not Westminster.

I think Scotland would be wanting whatever NI get in concessions

They might do, but there isn't a soft/hard border problem with Scotland. If they went independent they'd be creating a hard border, not solving it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 04, 2017, 12:54:24 pm
Glyn

But how on earth can this Govt threaten the DUP with anything?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Dutch Uncle on December 04, 2017, 12:58:29 pm
Win-win for the UK it seems to me.

Unfortunately it would be a Win-win for 'the UK minus Northern Ireland', and therein lies the problem. You are sounding like someone who wants Northern Ireland to leave the UK, and if the UK Government were ever to sound like that then that would certainly stoke the paramilitaries.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on December 04, 2017, 01:03:02 pm
But that ignores the paramilitary aspect Glyn. That is at least as important as the conventional political fallout.

Both sides have historically seen Northern Ireland as a zero-sum game. If you are winning, we are losing. The genius of the Good Friday Agreement was that it gave just enough to each side to keep an equilibrium. The moment you tip that either way, you have destroyed the balance and given one side the potential to feel that they are losing out.

So if there's a hard border in Ireland, the Republican's will be pissed off and if there's a hard border in the Irish Sea, the Unionists will be pissed off. Either one of those outcomes disturbs the balance of the GFA and runs the risk of the men with guns coming back to argue the case for the side that feels it has lost out.

If the vote is to stay the same, there's nothing for the paramilitary to get annoyed about. If NI vote for independence, it's not the UK's problem any more, it'll be the DUP's assuming they still hold power. And what would the paramilitary hope to expect to get out of the DUP?

It won't be the UK tipping anything one way or the other, it'll be the NI electorate themselves.

Win-win for the UK it seems to me.

Besides, I didn't say have a referendum, I said threaten the DUP with one.

But there won't be a referendum on independence. Nobody (well, apart from a tiny minority of Ulster nationalists, which is an odd concept) wants Northern Irish independence. Some want Irish unification, the majority (for now anyway) want to remain part of the Union.

Which then leads right back to the paramilitaries.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Dutch Uncle on December 04, 2017, 01:05:50 pm
Exactly right RedJ. I was just about to add that very point.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 04, 2017, 01:07:19 pm
Glyn

But how on earth can this Govt threaten the DUP with anything?

Do you really think the DUP would trust the electorate to make the decision? Because they'd have to go along with whatever the piublic votes for, and no politician really trusts the electorate to do what they want them to.

Also, whichever way the result went would be bad for the DUP because they are pro-Union and anti-EU and would have to campaign on that basis.

If the vote went 'stay the same' then it's a hard border, and they get the blame for the economic consequences by everyone who loses out because of it.

If the vote went the other way, they'd get two thing they as a party are against. And the Unionist core would blame them for not being flexible and forcing the referendum. And if the paramilitary cause trouble, again it's now the DUP's problem, not ours.

Lose-Lose for the DUP. That's why the threat should be enough.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 04, 2017, 01:08:39 pm
But that ignores the paramilitary aspect Glyn. That is at least as important as the conventional political fallout.

Both sides have historically seen Northern Ireland as a zero-sum game. If you are winning, we are losing. The genius of the Good Friday Agreement was that it gave just enough to each side to keep an equilibrium. The moment you tip that either way, you have destroyed the balance and given one side the potential to feel that they are losing out.

So if there's a hard border in Ireland, the Republican's will be pissed off and if there's a hard border in the Irish Sea, the Unionists will be pissed off. Either one of those outcomes disturbs the balance of the GFA and runs the risk of the men with guns coming back to argue the case for the side that feels it has lost out.

If the vote is to stay the same, there's nothing for the paramilitary to get annoyed about. If NI vote for independence, it's not the UK's problem any more, it'll be the DUP's assuming they still hold power. And what would the paramilitary hope to expect to get out of the DUP?

It won't be the UK tipping anything one way or the other, it'll be the NI electorate themselves.

Win-win for the UK it seems to me.

Besides, I didn't say have a referendum, I said threaten the DUP with one.

But there won't be a referendum on independence. Nobody (well, apart from a tiny minority of Ulster nationalists, which is an odd concept) wants Northern Irish independence. Some want Irish unification, the majority (for now anyway) want to remain part of the Union.

Which then leads right back to the paramilitaries.

If nobody wants independence then they won't vote for it. And the hard border isn't Westminster's fault any more.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on December 04, 2017, 01:21:04 pm
Theres agreement concerning the Island of Ireland, the DUP won't be happy, we may well have a General Election very soon
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Dutch Uncle on December 04, 2017, 01:29:53 pm
You may well be right Filo. The DUP will be opposed to anything that makes Northern Ireland look different from the rest of the UK. Makes you wonder if May did this without consulting them.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 04, 2017, 02:57:27 pm
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42217735

Well this is going to be fun. Either May is firing off without consulting with the DUP, in which case all hell is about to break loose. Or she's cut some sort of deal with the DUP. But I can't for the life of me imagine what deal with the DUP would cause them to accept a border in the Irish Sea.

Unless...

Quote
Belgian MEP Philippe Lamberts told the BBC's Laura Kuenssberg that the UK had made a concession on the Irish border.

The BBC's political editor said Mr Lamberts had said the UK was prepared to accept that Northern Ireland may remain in the EU's customs union and single market in all but name. But, she stressed, the BBC has not seen the draft document nor has it been signed off.

Is this a Yes Minister way of ignoring reality to kick the can down the road? It sounds like they are going to smile at the cameras and say that they are having it both ways. Officially, NI is OUT of the CU and SM. But in practice, the border with Ireland won't be enforced?

There is no way on earth that can work in practice. it would be a smuggler's paradise - get round the customs issues of getting stuff from Europe to the UK by taking it to Ireland, over the porous "border" into NI and then you're in the the UK. That would make the NI/Ireland border like the Wild West, with every gangster and barrow boy in Europe, NI and GB taking advantage of it.

Sounds to me like a convenient way of pretending the problem doesn't exist to get May out of the shit pot of her own making. But storing up a far bigger problem down the line.

EDIT: Arlene's Foster's reply.
https://www.derryjournal.com/news/politics/in-full-arlene-foster-statement-on-irish-border-after-brexit-1-8275020

Quote
“We note the speculation emanating from the European Union exit talks regarding the Republic of Ireland and United Kingdom border.

"We have been very clear. Northern Ireland must leave the EU on the same terms as the rest of the United Kingdom.

"We will not accept any form of regulatory divergence which separates Northern Ireland economically or politically from the rest of the United Kingdom."

Aye. That sounds to me like "Did you not think to consult with us first Mrs May?"
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on December 04, 2017, 03:31:20 pm
I would be surprised if they hadn't run it past the DUP. Then again, nothing would surprise me.

I think it is an attempt to kick the can down the road. Neither side wants to be seen to be walking away from the Brexit talks, and unless they find some way of moving forward there would be nothing to talk about in January.

My gut feeling is that the UK will remain in the SM and CU. I predict an awful row about it, but I now think that is where we will end up.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Dutch Uncle on December 04, 2017, 03:42:20 pm
My gut feeling is that the UK will remain in the SM and CU. I predict an awful row about it, but I now think that is where we will end up.

As a resident in Northern Ireland, I really hope so TRB. Also for our prospects of a trade deal.

So in that case will all the financial pain we will take/are taking (which will drown the 350M per week minus rebate, minus infrastructure projects, and minus educational funding) be just to lose the ECJ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on December 04, 2017, 03:52:42 pm
Is there any possibility that if the UK remains in the customs union and single market it might actually prosper more out of the EU than in it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on December 04, 2017, 04:00:42 pm
It seems rumours of a deal have been exaggerated. Nothing agreed today. It will be interesting to hear where we go now.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 04, 2017, 04:02:09 pm
Is there any possibility that if the UK remains in the customs union and single market it might actually prosper more out of the EU than in it?

It'll attract all the transhipment traffic bypassing the real border that's for sure, so all the trucker's greasy spoons will do a roaring trade.

And all the illegal immigrants wanting to get into the UK will head to Ireland too.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 04, 2017, 04:02:53 pm
It seems rumours of a deal have been exaggerated. Nothing agreed today. It will be interesting to hear where we go now.

My guess is it's May seeing what the reaction will be without committing to anything.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 04, 2017, 04:16:24 pm
I would be surprised if they hadn't run it past the DUP. Then again, nothing would surprise me.

I think it is an attempt to kick the can down the road. Neither side wants to be seen to be walking away from the Brexit talks, and unless they find some way of moving forward there would be nothing to talk about in January.

My gut feeling is that the UK will remain in the SM and CU. I predict an awful row about it, but I now think that is where we will end up.

TRB. In any sane world we would.

1) It solves the Irish problem at a stroke.
2) It removes the worst of the immediate economic downsides.
3) There is a majority in the country and in Parliament for that outcome.

The one and only reason that we're even in the current situation is that May chose to interpret "Brexit means Brexit" in that way, to appease her right wing.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 04, 2017, 04:19:25 pm
Is there any possibility that if the UK remains in the customs union and single market it might actually prosper more out of the EU than in it?

No.

We'd have to pay for membership of both and we'd have no say whatsoever in the rules that are drawn up. And we'd be de-barred from making our own trade deals with the rest of the world.

Just like Norway.

Economically, it would be significantly better than being out of the SM/CU. But significantly worse than being in the EU.

Politically, it would be a catastrophe for May. And it would unleash another Civil War in the Tory party.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on December 04, 2017, 04:24:47 pm
The biggest bollock dropped is triggering article 50 without having a clear and detailed plan worked out
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 04, 2017, 04:31:15 pm
The biggest bollock dropped is triggering article 50 without having a clear and detailed plan worked out

No, the biggest bollock was letting the general public vote on something without knowing what they voting for.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on December 04, 2017, 04:36:23 pm
I would be surprised if they hadn't run it past the DUP. Then again, nothing would surprise me.

I think it is an attempt to kick the can down the road. Neither side wants to be seen to be walking away from the Brexit talks, and unless they find some way of moving forward there would be nothing to talk about in January.

My gut feeling is that the UK will remain in the SM and CU. I predict an awful row about it, but I now think that is where we will end up.

TRB. In any sane world we would.

1) It solves the Irish problem at a stroke.
2) It removes the worst of the immediate economic downsides.
3) There is a majority in the country and in Parliament for that outcome.

The one and only reason that we're even in the current situation is that May chose to interpret "Brexit means Brexit" in that way, to appease her right wing.

My view is that May won't be around as PM a lot longer. In fact, I'm not sure this Government will survive for more than six months. If the "deal" they discussed in Brussels today pisses off the DUP, then it could be less than six months.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 04, 2017, 04:41:37 pm
I would be surprised if they hadn't run it past the DUP. Then again, nothing would surprise me.

I think it is an attempt to kick the can down the road. Neither side wants to be seen to be walking away from the Brexit talks, and unless they find some way of moving forward there would be nothing to talk about in January.

My gut feeling is that the UK will remain in the SM and CU. I predict an awful row about it, but I now think that is where we will end up.

TRB. In any sane world we would.

1) It solves the Irish problem at a stroke.
2) It removes the worst of the immediate economic downsides.
3) There is a majority in the country and in Parliament for that outcome.

The one and only reason that we're even in the current situation is that May chose to interpret "Brexit means Brexit" in that way, to appease her right wing.

My view is that May won't be around as PM a lot longer. In fact, I'm not sure this Government will survive for more than six months. If the "deal" they discussed in Brussels today pisses off the DUP, then it could be less than six months.

Have the DUP got all of their bribe - sorry, monetary incentive to support the government - money yet?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 04, 2017, 04:48:29 pm
It's ok folks.

May says there's only things to be resolved "on a couple of issues".

Course, there were only 3 issues to resolve 18 months ago, so I guess there's been some progress. At a guess, I'd say that we've "resolved" the fact that we're legally and morally obliged to pay what we owe for agreements that we entered into years ago, and we've still got no progress on the Irish border and the guarantees of fair treatment for EU citizens in the UK.

If this was an episode of The Thick of It, I'd have turned it off months ago as too stupid to laugh at.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on December 04, 2017, 04:58:43 pm
Well it appears to me that May is that weak she is saying yes to everyones demands, and now she's backed into a corner by the DUP, who were very wiling to take the bribe to keep her in power
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Dutch Uncle on December 04, 2017, 05:08:27 pm
I would be surprised if they hadn't run it past the DUP. Then again, nothing would surprise me.

I think it is an attempt to kick the can down the road. Neither side wants to be seen to be walking away from the Brexit talks, and unless they find some way of moving forward there would be nothing to talk about in January.

My gut feeling is that the UK will remain in the SM and CU. I predict an awful row about it, but I now think that is where we will end up.

TRB. In any sane world we would.

1) It solves the Irish problem at a stroke.
2) It removes the worst of the immediate economic downsides.
3) There is a majority in the country and in Parliament for that outcome.

The one and only reason that we're even in the current situation is that May chose to interpret "Brexit means Brexit" in that way, to appease her right wing.

My view is that May won't be around as PM a lot longer. In fact, I'm not sure this Government will survive for more than six months. If the "deal" they discussed in Brussels today pisses off the DUP, then it could be less than six months.

Have the DUP got all of their bribe - sorry, monetary incentive to support the government - money yet?

As far as I know I think very little (50M?) has been paid so far.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 04, 2017, 05:46:34 pm
https://mobile.twitter.com/bbclaurak/status/937728693010649088?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet

No shit Sherlock?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on December 04, 2017, 05:54:22 pm
Remember the Tory election slogan "Coalition of Chaos"


How that one liner has come home to roost eh?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on December 04, 2017, 06:07:56 pm
This morning it was widely assumed that the DUP had bought into the plan, albeit reluctantly. However it is clear they haven't. As the DUP has been pretty clear in its position, how did May think she could get away with what was being proposed?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 04, 2017, 06:08:49 pm
I love this line from Downing St which is supposed to be positive.

“It’s not ONLY the Irish border that prevented agreement.”

Whoopee f**king doo. That’s alright then. I was worried that it was ONLY the fact that the Govt hasn’t got a clue what to do about Ireland that was holding stuff up. But we’ve got no f**king idea what to do about EU citizens as well. What a relief!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 04, 2017, 06:26:38 pm
TRB

I suspect future historians will ponder greatly over the question “how did May think?”

I’m wondering if her neurons are conversing with each other about anything.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: i_ateallthepies on December 04, 2017, 06:29:34 pm

"they'd have to go along with whatever the public votes for, and no politician really trusts the electorate to do what they want them to"

David Cameron anyone?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on December 04, 2017, 06:31:05 pm
TRB

I suspect future historians will ponder greatly over the question “did May think?”

I’m wondering if her neurons are conversing with each other about anything.

Fixed.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 04, 2017, 06:41:53 pm

"they'd have to go along with whatever the public votes for, and no politician really trusts the electorate to do what they want them to"

David Cameron anyone?

Cameron had the referendum for party political reasons, not because he trusted the electorate or wanted their opinion. He was just hoping the status quo would prevail.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on December 04, 2017, 07:05:10 pm
Someone had it right earlier. If this was a Sit com you would turn it off as it was / is "too daft to laugh at" !

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: i_ateallthepies on December 04, 2017, 07:32:50 pm
I wasn't commenting on his reasons for calling the referendum, there's no doubt as to his reasons.  Cameron made one big stupid assumption of the outcome and called the referendum, which, if that wasn't 'trusting' the electorate, what on earth was it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 04, 2017, 08:22:06 pm
I wasn't commenting on his reasons for calling the referendum, there's no doubt as to his reasons.  Cameron made one big stupid assumption of the outcome and called the referendum, which, if that wasn't 'trusting' the electorate, what on earth was it?

I don't think Cameron trusted the electorate, I think he took them for granted. But I can see how someone else might think differently.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 04, 2017, 08:23:16 pm
There's one thing that seems to have been overlooked....how will today's omnishambles have been viewed by the EU and their negotiators?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 04, 2017, 08:38:08 pm
But that ignores the paramilitary aspect Glyn. That is at least as important as the conventional political fallout.

Both sides have historically seen Northern Ireland as a zero-sum game. If you are winning, we are losing. The genius of the Good Friday Agreement was that it gave just enough to each side to keep an equilibrium. The moment you tip that either way, you have destroyed the balance and given one side the potential to feel that they are losing out.

So if there's a hard border in Ireland, the Republican's will be pissed off and if there's a hard border in the Irish Sea, the Unionists will be pissed off. Either one of those outcomes disturbs the balance of the GFA and runs the risk of the men with guns coming back to argue the case for the side that feels it has lost out.

If the vote is to stay the same, there's nothing for the paramilitary to get annoyed about. If NI vote for independence, it's not the UK's problem any more, it'll be the DUP's assuming they still hold power. And what would the paramilitary hope to expect to get out of the DUP?

It won't be the UK tipping anything one way or the other, it'll be the NI electorate themselves.

Win-win for the UK it seems to me.

Besides, I didn't say have a referendum, I said threaten the DUP with one.
The biggest bollock dropped is triggering article 50 without having a clear and detailed plan worked out

That just about sums it up Filo and that was said right from  the start - it was triggered early because the Tory backbenchers and the media were getting  jumpy about any lack of progress as they saw it.  Of course Farage was becoming unduly restless too and saw this debacle slipping away and unable to advantage his American mates. A lifetime's shite would have gone up in flames and of course there would have been some evil bas**rds ready to point the finger at  him Bannon, Flynn, Trump etc......it is now beginning to unfold .

The links between Putin, Cambridge "Anal"yitica, Brexiters and the Trump crew are now being made .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 04, 2017, 08:42:59 pm
I love this line from Downing St which is supposed to be positive.

“It’s not ONLY the Irish border that prevented agreement.”

Whoopee f**king doo. That’s alright then. I was worried that it was ONLY the fact that the Govt hasn’t got a clue what to do about Ireland that was holding stuff up. But we’ve got no f**king idea what to do about EU citizens as well. What a relief!

PMSL,  it's so serious but I couldn't help it - need to clean mesen up now.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Muttley on December 04, 2017, 08:46:47 pm
There's one thing that seems to have been overlooked....how will today's omnishambles have been viewed by the EU and their negotiators?

I don't think they will have been overly surprised given what's gone before.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donny Dub on December 04, 2017, 08:58:03 pm
Interesting times indeed.
No one mentions the role of the ROI in all this.  ROI of course are members of the EU and have been told by Brussels that they have a veto on these negotiations.  They will not accept the imposition of a ‘hard’ border with the north.  Most of the public here in the ROI are enjoying the drama, they like to see DUP angry and frustrated and the humiliation and exploitation of the UK.  Many see these impasse eventually leading to a united 32 County Ireland governed from Dublin.  Anathema to the DUP but they are aware that their majority is declining and would be very disinclined to accept a NI only referendum on this issue, especially as the majority in NI voted remain in the UK Brexit referendum
There’s no doubt Mrs May and her advisors seem to be being led up the garden path by Brussels, the DUP and the Irish government.  What on earth led her to make that €50 billion opening gambit last week?  It put the UK in a very weak position straight away.  These three parties feel they have her and the UK government wrapped around the little finger.   I am very surprised the British have not put forward a stronger more determined position.  Where are your poker players?
The main stumbling block is the Irish border question and there seems be a solution.  North and South are already efficiently cooperating on many cross border administrative issues.  Sweden and Norway share an EU border that is complicated by Norway’s NAFTA membership and they make it work. 
If the UK does not come out of the CU, single market and European Court of Justice you might as well forget the Brexit!
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on December 04, 2017, 09:03:14 pm
Here's an interesting piece of news that appears to have got lost among the other interesting news that has come out today.

Not only didn't she have the backing of the DUP but May didn't actually have the backing of the cabinet to put that deal to the EU. What will the repercussions for that be?
https://www.facebook.com/pestonitv/posts/1958015007856568
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on December 04, 2017, 09:07:43 pm
Sounds like she's gone and rammed a Samurai sword up her foof.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on December 04, 2017, 09:14:05 pm
I understand there is the requisite number of signatures of Tory MPs to demand a leadership contest. They just haven't pushed the button... Yet!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on December 04, 2017, 09:19:04 pm
May has been an utter car crash of a PM, calling an election she did n't have or need to call and then triggering article 50 totally unprepared
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 04, 2017, 09:24:20 pm
DD

Go on then. I’ll bite. What cards does the Govt have to play?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 04, 2017, 09:27:10 pm
TRB

Aye. And The Honorable Member for the 18th Century met with Steve Bannon the other day.

Just to exchange ideas on strategy for modern conservatives, you understand. Absolutely no way whatsoever was he looking for Breitbart to support him by pinging out dogwhistle messages to the Tory membership when the leadership election comes.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on December 04, 2017, 09:29:16 pm
DD

Go on then. I’ll bite. What cards does the Govt have to play?

Ace High

The DUP had a pair of 2's
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Akinfenwa on December 04, 2017, 09:46:55 pm
Staying in both the single market and customs union pretty much means the UK retains inferior, passive membership of the EU whilst not gaining the supposed benefits of leaving. It's quite obvious then, why no other country has this sort of pointless arrangement when you can apply to become a full member.

Anything else however, appears unworkable due to the sensitive situation in Ireland, the weakness of the goverment and their reliance on DUP support.

Any special arrangements won't go unnoticed by the SNP and the likes.

Brexit has the potential to end the so-called United Kingdom.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on December 04, 2017, 09:52:30 pm
You can tell when the Tories are in the DUP's bad books because they start calling themselves "The Conservative and Unionist Party" again.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 04, 2017, 10:13:26 pm
Here's an interesting piece of news that appears to have got lost among the other interesting news that has come out today.

Not only didn't she have the backing of the DUP but May didn't actually have the backing of the cabinet to put that deal to the EU. What will the repercussions for that be?
https://www.facebook.com/pestonitv/posts/1958015007856568

Good piece, that one Wilts.

There’s a tiny part of me that feels a little for May, having to deal with the flat-earth Little Englanders who make up her party membership, and the ego-maniacs of Johnson and Gove. Maybe she’s genuinely been trying to steer the country towards a less than catastrophic Brexit whilst knowing that she has to bring her rabid right wing along. Maybe Peston’s right and that’s the tightrope she’s walking. It’s a supremely difficult task and you’d be less than human not to understand her difficulty.

Actually, b*llocks to that. She’s spent a decade pandering to the worst of the xenophobic, Europhobic side of the Tory party. Like her classic Conference speech when she said, “I am not making this up, the ECHR won’t let us deport an illegal immigrant because he has a cat.” Except she WAS making it up.

So, frankly, she can arseholes. She is as responsible as anyone for this calamity and I hope it takes her down into the shit tip of history.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 04, 2017, 10:30:46 pm
DD

Go on then. I’ll bite. What cards does the Govt have to play?

Ace High

The DUP had a pair of 2's

Aye and the EU is sat smiling with a Royal Flush - what has this country come to . Taking back control my arse ........out of control for sure.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donny Dub on December 04, 2017, 10:34:04 pm
Hello DD according to news tonight DUP and UK both held winning  cards dealt by Brussels.  They were allowed to compare their hands but neglected to do so and the DUP folded the best cards they’re likely to get again.  Mrs May and the DUP hadn’t communicated and the game is blown.

It appears that NI were to be allowed a special arrangement to prevent a hard border.  Continuing membership of single market and CU was available to them alone but  the DUP rejected it, they insisted that they would reject any arrangement different to any other part of the UK.  Scotland, Wales and it seems even London would have loved to get this deal.

You probably all know that the devolved Stormont government has not met for the past few months because DUP and SinnFeinn refuse to communicate.  There’s no proper discussion being held about this in the north anyway

We’re watching history being made here that’s for sure.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 04, 2017, 10:45:31 pm
Hoola.

To be fair, I don’t think anyone on the EU side is smiling. Nothing good is going to come out of this for anyone.

But they are absolutely right to stick to the demand that the three pre-requisites are dealt with. The EU didn’t call or lose this vote. We did it and we have to face up to the consequences, not simply ignore them and then say “Can we have a REALLY good deal to make us well off please.”
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 04, 2017, 10:47:21 pm
DD

Yes. Of course the DUP rejected that. As anyone who thinks about the raison d’etre of the DUP for a moment would know that they would. It’s all on here back up the thread.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 04, 2017, 11:00:59 pm
Tell you what. I suspect there’s some fascinating back room discussions going on at Westminster tonight.

May to DUP: Right. I’m in your side but you’ve got to grow up. We have to have the soft border or the whole shebang collapses. I’ll call an Election. You’ll get Adams’s mate, Corbyn as PM.

And if Labour’s got any sense, they’ll be saying to the DUP: That’s all in the past. Time for us ALL to be grown ups. You want NI to have the same deal as UK? Fine. We’ll all stay in the SM and CU.

But the Tories would say: We’re giving you £2bn for NI. You lose that if the Govt falls.

And Labour would say: What’s £2bn? We’re planning to invest £500bn on infrastructure. I’m sure we could see our way to letting NI get a decent wedge of that.   

I’d give my left bollock to be a fly on the wall. This is what politics actually is.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 04, 2017, 11:08:22 pm
There's one thing that seems to have been overlooked....how will today's omnishambles have been viewed by the EU and their negotiators?

I don't think they will have been overly surprised given what's gone before.

Surely they'll be asking themselves why they're even bothering to waste their time negotiating with the UK Government team about the Irish border when it looks from this that it's the DUP making the decisions, not Teresa May's people.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 04, 2017, 11:41:56 pm
Hoola.

To be fair, I don’t think anyone on the EU side is smiling. Nothing good is going to come out of this for anyone.

But they are absolutely right to stick to the demand that the three pre-requisites are dealt with. The EU didn’t call or lose this vote. We did it and we have to face up to the consequences, not simply ignore them and then say “Can we have a REALLY good deal to make us well off please.”

Nah sorry Billy a few of them will be grinning especially as they gain the jobs we lose, the businesses we lose and the standing in both Europe and on the International stage we finally lose.

They take the pot....you don't think the French for instance aren't grinning from ear to ear ? The EU will survive and we will still be paying in £ billions to access what we will still need with little influence bar that which our  military capability can gain for us in  Poland, Romania and the Baltic States.

It's no fun seeing our country being humiliated but we or rather our leading Brexiters had it coming only sadly  it will be at  expense of the poorest and weakest in our society.

No more opt--outs , no more games or attempts to play big Billy Bollox- we just have to see the game out and rescue what we can. Perhaps someone has dropped a couple of chips on the way out allowing us at least the luxury of a taxi back home. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 05, 2017, 05:57:04 am
My guess is we will ALL end up in the CU with regulatory divergence
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on December 05, 2017, 07:41:25 am
There's one thing that seems to have been overlooked....how will today's omnishambles have been viewed by the EU and their negotiators?

I don't think they will have been overly surprised given what's gone before.

Surely they'll be asking themselves why they're even bothering to waste their time negotiating with the UK Government team about the Irish border when it looks from this that it's the DUP making the decisions, not Teresa May's people.

Aye - as I have said previously a really low ratio of Votes at the General Election compared to say The Green Party (Greens got twice as many votes ish) and DUP got 10 times more Seats - which allow them to hold the balance of power and demand anything they fancy and May has to jump

Lib Dems got 10 times the votes of the DUP and 2 more Seats - and no say whatsoever

Can anyone see The Greens demanding anything with their 1 MP or the Lib Dems with their 12 Seats and not being laughed at ?

Roll on PR (AGAIN although this is not exactly the thread for it I concede)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on December 05, 2017, 09:10:48 am
My guess is we will ALL end up in the CU with regulatory divergence
Still living in blind hope that we'll just say f**k it and give it up as a bad job.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on December 05, 2017, 09:37:03 am
My guess is we will ALL end up in the CU with regulatory divergence
Still living in blind hope that we'll just say f**k it and give it up as a bad job.

It could happen, but you'll need a GE early next year, a change of Government and probably a second referendum.

I still think a kind of Norway arrangement is the most likely outcome, although I can see that upsetting a lot of people on both sides.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on December 05, 2017, 09:44:15 am
And dead on cue...

https://mobile.twitter.com/RuthDavidsonMSP/status/937972391577341952

Presumably "regulatory alignment" is the current code phrase for  "we stay in the SM and CU."
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 05, 2017, 10:13:02 am
And dead on cue...

https://mobile.twitter.com/RuthDavidsonMSP/status/937972391577341952

Presumably "regulatory alignment" is the current code phrase for  "we stay in the SM and CU."

Dominic Grieve wascsaying the same thing on R4 last night. Whilst of course Rees-Mogg is saying that we should cut ourselves off the continental shelf and sail for Amerika.

Grand eh? “Taking back control of our country” really did mean that. But the “our” referred only to a handful of Tory MPs.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donny Dub on December 05, 2017, 11:10:27 am
Look on the bright side.  Ireland and the DUP have saved the UK €50 billion and a diluted Brexit that would have bound you still with trading regulations.  The whole deal will now be renegotiated, the EU would like you to have another referendum like they did for us in Ireland with Nice and Lisbon!  Hopefully at some stage in the future you may find a better negotiator than Mrs May.  That is unless of course she’s fooled everyone and is about to play her master stroke!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 05, 2017, 11:16:17 am
DD

How has £50bn been saved? We are still going to have to pay that or something close to it. We’re contractually bound. The whole point of the current negotiation was to fix what the Sun was that we owe.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 05, 2017, 12:28:29 pm
When are people going to realise that if we try and walk away without coughing up what we're contracted to, then the list of countries that will be 'lining up to have a trade deal' with a country that unilaterally breaks deals at the drop of a hat is going to be very short.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donny Dub on December 05, 2017, 12:45:46 pm
Surely your country would not be daft enough to pay the €50 billion if there is no deal?  I am referring to the distinct possibility that everything will be renegotiated now.

Unless Mrs May has an ace up her sleeve the EU May insist you have another referendum.  You might face another GE or a change of Tory leadership at the very least.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 05, 2017, 12:58:01 pm
Surely your country would not be daft enough to pay the €50 billion if there is no deal?  I am referring to the distinct possibility that everything will be renegotiated now.

Unless Mrs May has an ace up her sleeve the EU May insist you have another referendum.  You might face another GE or a change of Tory leadership at the very least.

Yet another person who fails to realise that a trade deal is NOTHING to do with Brexit. It's (hopefully) something that can be negotiated to replace what we currently have with the EU, but it is in no way obligatory as part of the UK leaving the EU. The EU can quite legally demand the money we're contracted to paying without even bothering to consider a new trade deal.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on December 05, 2017, 01:10:48 pm
Glyn

As far as I know no-one on either side has spelled out exactly what our obligations are- an itemised bill, if you like. Until you get that (if ever) the  "Divorce Bill" is a matter for negotiations.

I suspect if we get into the "No Deal" scenario that the money the UK pays will be considerably less than £50bn. Although we are a long way from that.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 05, 2017, 01:21:09 pm
DD

What do you think the £50bn is for?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donny Dub on December 05, 2017, 01:53:02 pm
Well BST no one really knows why €50bilion or any other figure or indeed a rebate for that matter because Brussels have not ever shown any proper accounts.  It appears, in the absence of any public information from either side,  that this would certainly be a matter of negotiation.  It seemed Mrs May and her team just pulled that amount from her hat before any proper talks had even started.

The British public and indeed the rest of Europe must be getting very annoyed at this procrastination and delay after their vote to was leave the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 05, 2017, 02:08:58 pm
Well BST no one really knows why €50bilion or any other figure or indeed a rebate for that matter because Brussels have not ever shown any proper accounts.  It appears, in the absence of any public information from either side,  that this would certainly be a matter of negotiation.  It seemed Mrs May and her team just pulled that amount from her hat before any proper talks had even started.

The British public and indeed the rest of Europe must be getting very annoyed at this procrastination and delay after their vote to was leave the EU.

How do the accounts get audited and signed off each year if they don't show them to anyone?

Anyway, that's nothing to do with what the UK owe anyway so stop trying to chuck a red herring into matters.

It's nothing to do with a rebate either.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 05, 2017, 02:13:11 pm
Glyn

As far as I know no-one on either side has spelled out exactly what our obligations are- an itemised bill, if you like. Until you get that (if ever) the  "Divorce Bill" is a matter for negotiations.

I suspect if we get into the "No Deal" scenario that the money the UK pays will be considerably less than £50bn. Although we are a long way from that.

The EU has done an itemised bill. We're trying to haggle with them, that's what the 'negotiations' amount to.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 05, 2017, 03:02:49 pm

The British public and indeed the rest of Europe must be getting very annoyed at this procrastination and delay after their vote to was leave the EU.

I'm sure the rest of Europe ARE very annoyed about it. Certainly the people I speak to professionally are somewhere on the scale between incredulous and furious.

But your comment kind of sums up the problem. You DO regularly hear people in Britain saying "We voted OUT, why don't we get on with it?" As though you just push a button and leave. As though there is one final state that we will obviously be in after the separation.
People were told it was binary decision. We either stay in or we get out.

As I've said before, the single most stupid comment made in this whole debate has been "Brexit means Brexit." Does it hell. Brexit means an infinite number of possible outcomes, and an infinite number of different ways of getting to those outcomes. What's happening is that many of those issues that were ignored or belittled during the Referendum campaign are turning out to be horrifically complex. And, on top of it all, there is no consensus in the country about what sort of Brexit we want and what we're prepared to sacrifice and risk to get it. So yeah, I can understand why Europe is rather pissed of with us careering into this situation with no idea of what we wanted the outcome to be. I've less sympathy with people who voted Leave without doing that thinking first.
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on December 05, 2017, 04:45:29 pm
Glyn

As far as I know no-one on either side has spelled out exactly what our obligations are- an itemised bill, if you like. Until you get that (if ever) the  "Divorce Bill" is a matter for negotiations.

I suspect if we get into the "No Deal" scenario that the money the UK pays will be considerably less than £50bn. Although we are a long way from that.

The EU has done an itemised bill. We're trying to haggle with them, that's what the 'negotiations' amount to.

No they haven't. They have waited for the UK to make an offer. The initial one wasn't enough, which is what you'd expect in a negotiation. The more recent offer was close enough to what the EU wanted to move forward.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on December 05, 2017, 04:51:23 pm
When they said it was the will of the people I didn't realise they meant just 10 of them.  Ah, BREALITY.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 05, 2017, 06:17:29 pm
Glyn

As far as I know no-one on either side has spelled out exactly what our obligations are- an itemised bill, if you like. Until you get that (if ever) the  "Divorce Bill" is a matter for negotiations.

I suspect if we get into the "No Deal" scenario that the money the UK pays will be considerably less than £50bn. Although we are a long way from that.

TRB

Just because you haven’t seen an itemised bill doesn’t mean it doesn’t exist. There are many things that are kept only to the negotiating parties in a negotiation.

Do you think the UK has just made a number up to see if the EU will buy it?

Or do you reckon the several hundred civil servants on both sides who have been working for over a year on this might have been sorting out the numbers and passing them back to their respective sides?

But regardless. Think about this. The “Divorce Bill” (silly name - it’s actually a recognition of obligations) amounts to about 2.5% of our GDP

Once.

If we leave without a deal with the EU and our trade with the EU goes into WTC rules, that amount will look like a gnat’s fart at the side of an elephant’s dung heap compared to what our economy will lose.

Year after year.

Rees-Mogg and Johnson can wrap themselves up in their best Britannia Waives the Rules cloaks and tell the EU to go whistle, but apart from a mad monetarist who gave us the catastrophe of the 1981 recession, you’ll not find an economist who thinks that a no-deal Brexit will be anything less than an economic catastrophe. We’ve already lost £20bn of economic output since the votejust on the worry about how badly a good deal will impact on us.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 05, 2017, 08:54:40 pm
Post Wrexit, after all the talking, after all the negotiations.............Britain will revert to something like Gibraltar, bad food bad service few jobs and a smattering of old British shops just waiting around for the next coach or cruise liner to dock.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 06, 2017, 12:55:38 am
When are people going to realise that if we try and walk away without coughing up what we're contracted to, then the list of countries that will be 'lining up to have a trade deal' with a country that unilaterally breaks deals at the drop of a hat is going to be very short.

North Korea , Russia......we could tie up with Russia they are already the no.1 Brexiter's friend.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 06, 2017, 12:57:05 am
My guess is we will ALL end up in the CU with regulatory divergence
Still living in blind hope that we'll just say f**k it and give it up as a bad job.

You too as well Red J - great to see you have come round to the idea.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on December 06, 2017, 09:19:46 am
My guess is we will ALL end up in the CU with regulatory divergence
Still living in blind hope that we'll just say f**k it and give it up as a bad job.

You too as well Red J - great to see you have come round to the idea.

I've always been against the entire thing. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 06, 2017, 11:40:47 am
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42249854

This is quite simply beyond belief.

We’re more than half way through the most important national negotiation since WWII and the Govt hasn’t conducted an assessment of the consequences of different outcomes?

How in God’s name do you negotiate if you don’t know the possible outcomes?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on December 06, 2017, 12:04:40 pm
Committee chairman Hilary Benn challenged Mr Davis as to whether the documents received constituted impact assessments on whether toys would be delivered this Christmas, or whether the assessments on toy delivery had been undertaken.

Mr Davis said: "There's nothing...there's no such systematic impact assessments that I'm aware of."

Pressing the issue, Mr Benn responded: "So the answer to the question is no?

After Mr Davis signalled his agreement, Mr Benn went on:"So, there is no Santa Claus?"

The Brexit secretary said: "Not that I'm aware of".

Asked whether there is an assessment on the existence of the Three Wise men or whether shepherds were present at the Nativity, he added: "The answer is going to be ´no' for all of them."
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on December 06, 2017, 02:03:43 pm
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42249854

This is quite simply beyond belief.

We’re more than half way through the most important national negotiation since WWII and the Govt hasn’t conducted an assessment of the consequences of different outcomes?

How in God’s name do you negotiate if you don’t know the possible outcomes?

Probably using the same blase "rationale" as Cameron who obviously called the referendum never considering one of the choices would lead us to this point

Never mind though - even though he has gone his wife SamCam still owns" a bit of a field somewhere near Scunthorpe" so they will be ok
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 06, 2017, 02:13:22 pm
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42249854

This is quite simply beyond belief.

We’re more than half way through the most important national negotiation since WWII and the Govt hasn’t conducted an assessment of the consequences of different outcomes?

How in God’s name do you negotiate if you don’t know the possible outcomes?

Even more pertinent as far as I'm concerned is why didn't he say this in the first place when Parliament asked for the data, and why has it then had to be dragged out of him in Committee.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on December 06, 2017, 02:50:23 pm
Somehow, our Governments complete lack of forward planning and impact assesment reminds me of this....
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cWDdd5KKhts
 
Brexit seems likely to have a similar ending.
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on December 06, 2017, 03:00:05 pm
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42249854

This is quite simply beyond belief.

We’re more than half way through the most important national negotiation since WWII and the Govt hasn’t conducted an assessment of the consequences of different outcomes?

How in God’s name do you negotiate if you don’t know the possible outcomes?

Even more pertinent as far as I'm concerned is why didn't he say this in the first place when Parliament asked for the data, and why has it then had to be dragged out of him in Committee.

Schrodinger's Cat appears to have the answer Glyn
 
http://newsthump.com/2017/12/06/david-davis-schrodingers-brexit-impact-assessments-simultaneously-exist-and-dont-exist/
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Copps is Magic on December 06, 2017, 03:21:14 pm
Is it fair to summarise the situation as no one really knows what we're doing apart from agreeing to pay the EU what we'd already previously agreed to pay the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 06, 2017, 04:03:48 pm
I cannot for a moment imagine that even a Government as dysfunctional as this one would be so incompetent as to not think about having economic assessments done.

Which leads me to one of two conclusions.

1) Davis is telling the truth - they haven't had the assessments  done because they don't want to hear what they would say.[1]

2) Davis is lying. They HAVE had the assessments done and they don't want YOU to know what they say.

[1] Davis's actual defence this morning "I am not a fan of economic models because they have all proven wrong," is bullshit of the highest order. ALL Governments have economic assessments done to check what effect policy is likely to have. That's why the Govt is the biggest employer of economists in the country. https://www.faststream.gov.uk/government-economic-service/ with the Government Economics Service putting "economics at the heart of the policy-making process, to influence and shape the government’s response to some of the key issues of the day".

We are totally through the looking glass here aren't we, into a world where lying is now so ingrained that it just comes as standard.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on December 06, 2017, 04:17:47 pm
All comedy aside, a serious question, why are we putting up with this shit?

Are all expectations so low that no-one can be bothered to even protest when the crooks running the show give up even pretending to care for anything at all, where they make a virtue of their own phenomenal incompetence?

Public life and discourse has become separated from ethical values, and it is seen as odd to think that we should strive for expertise and quality in process and personnel.

So we end up with the likes of Davis, who is basically a used car dealer operating above his pay grade.
Here he is on Andrew Marr in June;
https://youtu.be/0XR-FwfdOos

No surprise then that it is not going to work out well for us.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Copps is Magic on December 06, 2017, 05:27:43 pm

1) Davis is telling the truth - they haven't had the assessments  done because they don't want to hear what they would say.[1]

2) Davis is lying. They HAVE had the assessments done and they don't want YOU to know what they say.

For number one to be the case he had to be lying at an earlier point.

https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/staggers/2017/12/many-times-david-davis-talked-about-brexit-analysis-he-says-doesn-t-exist
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on December 06, 2017, 05:30:06 pm
All comedy aside, a serious question, why are we putting up with this shit?


We've had 18 months of being told anyone asking critical questions about the Brexit process is a traitor, a saboteur, a negative Remoaner who's holding the country down. If only we weren't so negative, voicing our opinion as the shitshow falls apart, Brexit would be going great. Be patriotic. Don't ask questions. Keep calm and carry on.

That kind of language has an effect when it's constantly parroted for 18 months. It keeps Britain divided. Surely most Brexiters now know, somewhere deep inside, they've been had, but rather than admit they were wrong, they'll just double down. Don't want to be a traitor and get death threats like that slag Gina Miller. Don't want to prove them smug Remoaners right. Maybe when we are actually peering over the cliff edge, the anger will spike again and something will be done. Until then, the shitshow will continue unchecked.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 06, 2017, 05:42:18 pm
True Copps.

It really did not used to be like this. Politicians have always dissembled and meandered around the facts. They have always used what Churchill called "terminological inexactitudes". But there was a certain linguisitic skill in doing that and it was usually obvious to anyone who knew the business.

Th current climate is something totally different. It is simply being prepared to bluntly say "yes" when you know the answer is "no". And then, shortly afterwards, being prepared to say "no" about the same issue and to do both because a) it suits your case at the time and b) you are confident that no-one cares enough about it to pull you up.

This is a very bad path. As Hannah Arendt (who knew a thing or two about the consequences of allowing people to invent their own truth) put it:
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DQN9n5oVQAA47rX.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on December 06, 2017, 08:41:51 pm
The Brexit Committee finds that David Davis should not face contempt proceedings and he didn't mislead parliament by withholding full impact documents. These are the documents from a few weeks ago, I don't think the nonexistent documents from today had any bearing on this. Or did they? Who f**king knows anything anymore?

10 Tory MPs and 1 DUP MP found Davis was not in contempt. 8 Opposition MPs found he was. Shocking, eh?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 06, 2017, 10:06:11 pm
My guess is we will ALL end up in the CU with regulatory divergence
Still living in blind hope that we'll just say f**k it and give it up as a bad job.

You too as well Red J - great to see you have come round to the idea.

I've always been against the entire thing. 

Thought you had ......phew .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 06, 2017, 10:19:08 pm
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42249854

This is quite simply beyond belief.

We’re more than half way through the most important national negotiation since WWII and the Govt hasn’t conducted an assessment of the consequences of different outcomes?

How in God’s name do you negotiate if you don’t know the possible outcomes?

It does beggar belief but so does the committee's decision NOT to press for him to be held in contempt . Mind like every Select committee it is stacked with Unionists- they are going to drive this through whatever the cost as no-one really protests  against them.

We are doomed , Govt.departments are doing what the hell they like, important committees are totally biased, the young inhibited from fighting for their futures as they think that St. Jezza wouldnt like it etc., and finally no amendments are being accepted on the withdrawal Bill.

Welcome to the " One Party " state. It certainly appears at the moment that there isn't a way of derailing them. Basically they can do what they want without fear or favour.
Depressed tonight about whats been happening over the last 48 hours in British politics.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 07, 2017, 04:55:51 am
The sentiment seems to be exasperated anger and that there are no legs left to stand on is evident by the not slightest peep from any wrexiteers in the current conversation. We are not sliding to financial anarchy but actually accelerating towards it is beyond belief. We are in this position from due to an incompetent leader of an incompetent government that then legs it to leave a rabble fighting for their self interests rather than for the needs of Britain is truly breathtaking.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/dec/06/uk-has-48-hours-to-agree-potential-deal-or-brexit-talks-cannot-progress.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 07, 2017, 06:27:23 am
However Sydney this begs the question where is the Opposition in all this .....seemingly in as much disarray.
Does the population of this country care anymore about their future declining living standards, their jobs or even their ability to travel and work freely ?

Why are the opponents NOT getting together and  making their voices heard ? Why are they not marching on the capital as they would in every other country given the decisions taken on their behalf ?

Where the feck is Momentum and the Labour movement in all this ? They boast of a young and politically aware group but even they aren't stirring !

Wtf is wrong with our people ...........?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 07, 2017, 07:15:04 am
However Sydney this begs the question where is the Opposition in all this .....seemingly in as much disarray.
Does the population of this country care anymore about their future declining living standards, their jobs or even their ability to travel and work freely ?

Why are the opponents NOT getting together and  making their voices heard ? Why are they not marching on the capital as they would in every other country given the decisions taken on their behalf ?

Where the feck is Momentum and the Labour movement in all this ? They boast of a young and politically aware group but even they aren't stirring !

Wtf is wrong with our people ...........?

Maybe it's the constant battle just to survive that wearies people, how long has "austerity" gone on, how long have people suffered from employers being allowed to retain them on zero hours contracts, how long have those unable to find meaningful work been attacked as lazy, it takes its toll.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on December 07, 2017, 04:23:29 pm
And just when Brexit appears to be in increasing difficult, along comes a Eurocrat to give it a helping hand.

https://mobile.twitter.com/MartinSchulz/status/938748811375271936?p=v

No UK Government could ratify a constitution for a  "United States of Europe." It would be electoral suicide. So in effect we'd be expelled from the club. Not that I think we'd be on our own.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 07, 2017, 05:05:55 pm
TRB

He's positioning himself for the likely new election in Germany.

There is no possibility whatsoever in our lifetimes of a United States of Europe. Certainly not a "You join or you're out altogether" type. All the momentum is for a multi-layer Europe.

Bogeymen. They're not real.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on December 07, 2017, 06:29:18 pm
But those sort of statements are meat and drink to Brexiteers and I can't imagine them going down well in Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic etc.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 07, 2017, 06:58:56 pm
Well aye. Thing is, we’re not the only ones who have internal politics going on which piss off other countries. The trick is to be intelligent about our response and not make such things into problems that aren’t warranted.

If there’d been a more rational debate last year (or for the past 30 years) instead of people lapping up Johnson and Farage’s knowing lies about 80 million Turks getting the right to enter Britain, we wouldn’t be in the shit pot that we have dived into.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 07, 2017, 09:00:01 pm
And just when Brexit appears to be in increasing difficult, along comes a Eurocrat to give it a helping hand.

https://mobile.twitter.com/MartinSchulz/status/938748811375271936?p=v

No UK Government could ratify a constitution for a  "United States of Europe." It would be electoral suicide. So in effect we'd be expelled from the club. Not that I think we'd be on our own.

Utter nonsense - this man is a fool and should be ignored.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 07, 2017, 10:02:53 pm
And just when Brexit appears to be in increasing difficult, along comes a Eurocrat to give it a helping hand.

https://mobile.twitter.com/MartinSchulz/status/938748811375271936?p=v

No UK Government could ratify a constitution for a  "United States of Europe." It would be electoral suicide. So in effect we'd be expelled from the club. Not that I think we'd be on our own.

I've never heard of him, what is he in the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 08, 2017, 06:34:45 am
He's a FORMER  President of the EU and is pressing ( in his dreams ) to be the leader in Germany. I can see no reason at all why his words would be " meat and drink for Brexiters " . A  ' United States of Europe ' is certainly not the dream of most EU citizens - like I said he is to be ignored and treated as a fool.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on December 08, 2017, 08:51:48 am
He's a FORMER  President of the EU and is pressing ( in his dreams ) to be the leader in Germany. I can see no reason at all why his words would be " meat and drink for Brexiters " . A  ' United States of Europe ' is certainly not the dream of most EU citizens - like I said he is to be ignored and treated as a fool.

I'd agree it isn't a dream of most citizens. But it is of most Eurocrats. And the history of the EU over the last quarter century has been a concentration of power in the centre. Had anything happened to reverse that trend, we may not have ended where we are now.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 08, 2017, 09:05:16 am
He's a FORMER  President of the EU and is pressing ( in his dreams ) to be the leader in Germany. I can see no reason at all why his words would be " meat and drink for Brexiters " . A  ' United States of Europe ' is certainly not the dream of most EU citizens - like I said he is to be ignored and treated as a fool.

I'd agree it isn't a dream of most citizens. But it is of most Eurocrats. And the history of the EU over the last quarter century has been a concentration of power in the centre. Had anything happened to reverse that trend, we may not have ended where we are now.



We continually blame the EU  for their current " One size fits all " stance in most areas , however our own Government attempts and succeeds to do exactly the same with the 4 countries within it's  direct sphere of influence.........against their will !

The days of old  Empires  and different nations like the United Kingdom, Spain, Belgium, Canada and even the USA held together more or less against the will of their constituent parts are  numbered. Loose coalitions within trading blocs , pooling resources on R & D, Transport even, dare I say it , Defense are the way forward.

We kept asking for further opt -outs and basically weren't pulling our weight in certain areas.

However that said there have to be basic tenets agreed upon not thrust upon nations working together.....we wanted all the gain and none of the pain especially in regard to mass migration.   
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 08, 2017, 10:07:51 am
This from today’s report from May and Juncker.

“49. The United Kingdom remains committed to protecting North-South cooperation and to its guarantee of avoiding a hard border. Any future arrangements must be compatible with these overarching requirements. The United Kingdom's intention is to achieve these objectives through the overall EU-UK relationship. Should this not be possible, the United Kingdom will propose specific solutions to address the unique circumstances of the island of Ireland. In the absence of agreed solutions, the United Kingdom will maintain full alignment with those rules of the Internal Market and the Customs Union which, now or in the future, support North-South cooperation, the all-island economy and the protection of the 1998 Agreement. ”

There’s the timebomb. They’ve rushed this through so that they can move onto trade negotiations.

I’ll translate from Bullshit into English:

“We don’t really know how to get a situation where UK is out of SM and CU but there’s no hard border in Ireland. So we’ll give ourselves time to think about it. And if we can’t come up with a solution (which we won’t be able to do) then NI will stay inside the SM and CU. Which means GB will stay inside the SM and CU. Which will tear the Tory party apart. Or GB doesn’t stay inside. Which means there’ll be a border in the Irish Sea. Which will tear NI apart. So. As you were. No nearer sorting this out. We’ve put the inevitable crisis off for 18 months. But it’ll come...”
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on December 08, 2017, 10:16:21 am
I see Sturgeon has piped up demanding the same for Scotland, and claiming if they left the UK there's no way we could tell them there'd be no hard border, totally ignoring the historical context of the Irish problem. God I hate that woman. Wilfully ignorant of anything that doesn't suit her sole cause.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on December 08, 2017, 10:45:29 am
BST

I had a feeling that a massive fudge would be cooked up, since both sides (maybe secretly in the case of the EU negotiators) are desperate to get onto trade talks.

I'll tell you what, I wish I'd had a bet that the UK will end up staying in the SM and CU. Because that's the direction this points in. I'm a bit surprised that the Tory Brexiteers haven't thrown their toys out, although they are probably keeping their powder dry.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 08, 2017, 11:00:58 am
So it appears that everyone living outside of England Scotland and Wales has a better deal?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on December 08, 2017, 11:53:44 am
I see Sturgeon has piped up demanding the same for Scotland, and claiming if they left the UK there's no way we could tell them there'd be no hard border, totally ignoring the historical context of the Irish problem. God I hate that woman. Wilfully ignorant of anything that doesn't suit her sole cause.

Someone should tell her that the Independence Referendum voted to stay as part of the UK . Tell her and the others "its democracy get over it" .

That's what the people who voted to leave the EU keep telling those who voted to remain "get over it its democracy" However the ones pushing for the EU Referendum in the first place kept going going going as indeed will the SNP till they get the result that they desire
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 08, 2017, 01:27:02 pm
I see Sturgeon has piped up demanding the same for Scotland, and claiming if they left the UK there's no way we could tell them there'd be no hard border, totally ignoring the historical context of the Irish problem. God I hate that woman. Wilfully ignorant of anything that doesn't suit her sole cause.

Why do you hate her , it's her belief - disagree with her I understand but hate her that's a bit strange Red J.

I would hope our leader would explore every angle to advantage us wherever possible - I'm not sure we can say that with the leader (?) We have ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 08, 2017, 01:37:40 pm
I see Sturgeon has piped up demanding the same for Scotland, and claiming if they left the UK there's no way we could tell them there'd be no hard border, totally ignoring the historical context of the Irish problem. God I hate that woman. Wilfully ignorant of anything that doesn't suit her sole cause.

Someone should tell her that the Independence Referendum voted to stay as part of the UK . Tell her and the others "its democracy get over it" .

That's what the people who voted to leave the EU keep telling those who voted to remain "get over it its democracy" However the ones pushing for the EU Referendum in the first place kept going going going as indeed will the SNP till they get the result that they desire

Wolfie she is a proud Scot trying to get an "edge" out of all this - I have a lot of sympathy with the SNP because a lot of my family support independence.

If Scotland doesn't get " freedom of movement " it will slowly decline economically. It needs people and it needs the SM and the CU .

We all argue that the UK needs both these things but moan when the leader of Scotland wants the same ?
I am not a Unionist , Scotland is a country with it's own history and it's own right to exist or have people who want to be separate.  What is everyone's problem with this desire ? We moan that we have to subsidise them ......so cut them free when and if they decide they want it . The last time everyone and everybody was reeled out to persuade them they would lose the benefits of being in the EU !

Oh the irony and how pissed off many of them are now.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 08, 2017, 01:54:54 pm

I’ll translate from Bullshit into English:

“We don’t really know how to get a situation where UK is out of SM and CU but there’s no hard border in Ireland. So we’ll give ourselves time to think about it. And if we can’t come up with a solution (which we won’t be able to do) then NI will stay inside the SM and CU. Which means GB will stay inside the SM and CU. Which will tear the Tory party apart. Or GB doesn’t stay inside. Which means there’ll be a border in the Irish Sea. Which will tear NI apart. So. As you were. No nearer sorting this out. We’ve put the inevitable crisis off for 18 months. But it’ll come...”

Excellent translation so it's as we were then nothing really agreed yet.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 08, 2017, 03:29:57 pm
TRB

Very simple why the Tory Brexiters haven’t kicked up a stink.

There is no alternative.

They have postured about being prepared to go for a no deal Brexit, but they know like anyone who has looked at the issue knows, that would be an economic catastrophe.

And they know that if they reject this act of can-kicking, the EU cannot move on to trade negotiations. So we’d be heading for a no deal Brexit.

Their bluff has been called. Plain and simple, and actually, well done to May for making a right call on that aspect.

But the problem is, May is only deferring the moment of crisis for the Tory party. The Brexiters are holding their tongues for now, but eventually they will let rip.

My take?

We WILL be staying in the CU and SM because there is patently no alternative. Whether that’s staying in officially or tying ourselves so tightly to it that we have no room for independent action really makes no odds.

Accept that and everything becomes relatively manageable (at least the least-awful outcomes become possible). But doing that will mean that the Brexiters will shout “Betrayal” (once the deal is done) and the whole f**king mess will continue for another generation.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on December 08, 2017, 04:51:16 pm
I don't hate her for her belief. I hate her because she's a grievance monkey. For her, it's independence at all costs, and she - as Salmond did before her - tries to be all things to all people. Yet she's head of a movement that has a very nasty element to it that south of the border we don't hear much about. And absolutely anything, she'll use to get independence. Regardless of whether or not it's actually good for the people she represents. Even they're getting sick of her, she's lost their majority at Holyrood, she's losing ground at Westminster... All of which is no doubt, to her, grounds for another referendum.

In fact the SNP are an awful lot like the Brexiteers. Tried to sell people a dream that just didn't add up - only the people of Scotland were smart enough not to buy it. Salmond was Scotland's answer to Nigel Farage.

That's not me saying they should never be independent (though I don't particularly want it to happen as I intend to move there in the coming years), but the Yes movement was a crock of shit, just like the Leave campaign.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on December 08, 2017, 05:57:56 pm
https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2017/12/nick-clegg-is-right-we-need-a-second-brexit-referendum/

I have to say I can appreciate the writer's sentiments. If we are going to end up staying in the SM and CU (and given the outcome of Phase 1 I think that is likely, you have to question what the benefit is of leaving the EU at all.

We won't be able to control immigration from the EU, we'll still be paying in large sums every year and we won't be able to cut our own trade deals.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on December 08, 2017, 05:59:57 pm
Yes I fully agree call the whole thing off.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 08, 2017, 06:35:12 pm
TRB

Aye. There’s a depressing air of inevitability about the whole thing.

You can make the case that we’d be better off out of the CU and SM (although no one has done beyond blithe assertions that it’ll be alright).

But there is absolutely no alternative that doesn’t wreck the Good Friday Agreement. Which many folk pointed out 18 months ago and were told that we were scaremongering.

By the way, I’ve just been listening to PM on R4. Three people commenting on today’s agreement. A Hard Brexiteer. A Remainer. A BBC correspondent. All three called this agreement “a fudge”.

What a f**king mess. An emotional spasm encouraged by political bullshit merchants which has led us into an utter shambles.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: IDM on December 08, 2017, 06:45:52 pm
So 18 months after the referendum and we still don't know what we were actually voting for..

the expression "rolling goat f**k" springs to mind..
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 08, 2017, 07:24:35 pm
Nah IDM

Brexit means Brexit.

https://mobile.twitter.com/krishgm/status/939052269093388288
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on December 08, 2017, 07:36:43 pm
So just to summarise today's announcement - we have promised to pay the EU £40 billion pounds and agreed that NI will follow their rules forever (if we can't agree anything different) all for the privilege of being allowed to enter into talks about a trade deal with them.

And that took 6 months!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on December 08, 2017, 08:43:06 pm
What about all the people who claim joint NI/Irish citizenship? Will we have 2 separate laws to decide what to do with them? Will British law be applied first if it doesn't match up exactly with ROI/EU law? You'd assume so, given taking back control and all that, but I'd also imagine having 2 sets of laws to govern one person could get very messy. Will they be classed as EU  citizens living in the UK now?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on December 08, 2017, 08:48:43 pm
This could very well be the first step along the road to a united Ireland.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 08, 2017, 09:37:47 pm
This could very well be the first step along the road to a united Ireland.

Not a chance of that happening in my lifetime. You underestimate how implacably opposes the Unionists are if you think we’re remotely close to that outcome.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on December 08, 2017, 09:44:54 pm
I didn't say it was close though. Just that it could potentially, ultimately lead us down that path.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 08, 2017, 09:57:06 pm
TRB

Very simple why the Tory Brexiters haven’t kicked up a stink.

There is no alternative.

They have postured about being prepared to go for a no deal Brexit, but they know like anyone who has looked at the issue knows, that would be an economic catastrophe.

And they know that if they reject this act of can-kicking, the EU cannot move on to trade negotiations. So we’d be heading for a no deal Brexit.

Their bluff has been called. Plain and simple, and actually, well done to May for making a right call on that aspect.

But the problem is, May is only deferring the moment of crisis for the Tory party. The Brexiters are holding their tongues for now, but eventually they will let rip.

My take?

We WILL be staying in the CU and SM because there is patently no alternative. Whether that’s staying in officially or tying ourselves so tightly to it that we have no room for independent action really makes no odds.

Accept that and everything becomes relatively manageable (at least the least-awful outcomes become possible). But doing that will mean that the Brexiters will shout “Betrayal” (once the deal is done) and the whole f**king mess will continue for another generation.

Perhaps they'll shout for a new referendum? Or perhaps not, now people have a much better idea of what it really means! :lol:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on December 09, 2017, 12:58:14 am
One glaring statement that got swept under the rug in all the fuss about this deal...

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DUP-'We cautioned the Prime Minister about proceeding with this agreement in its present form given the issues which still need to be resolved and the views expressed to us by many of her own party colleagues.  However, it was ultimately a matter for the Prime Minister to decide'

So the DUP aren't happy about it, presumably because of the whole NI citizens remaining in the EU part. Consider the can firmly kicked down the road, then.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 09, 2017, 06:43:32 am
Here's a weird one:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42291191

Is Gove saying the negotiations still won't have been concluded when the next election happens, or is he thinking the electorate will still swallow his b*llocks and that the UK can suddenly welsh on any deal him and his omnishambles chums have cobbled together and signed in the meantime?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 09, 2017, 07:10:15 am
Young people might like to question the older generations as to why they are so keen to turn their back on the high principles of the Treaty of Rome

..............................................................

The Preamble to the 1957 Treaty of Rome.

DETERMINED to lay the foundations of an ever-closer union among the peoples of Europe,

RESOLVED to ensure the economic and social progress of their countries by common action to eliminate the barriers which divide Europe,

AFFIRMING as the essential objective of their efforts the constant improvement of the living and working conditions of their peoples,

RECOGNISING that the removal of existing obstacles calls for concerted action in order to guarantee steady expansion, balanced trade and fair competition,

ANXIOUS to strengthen the unity of their economies and to ensure their harmonious development by reducing the differences existing between the various regions and the backwardness of the less favoured regions,

DESIRING to contribute, by means of a common commercial policy, to the progressive abolition of restrictions on international trade,

INTENDING to confirm the solidarity which binds Europe and the overseas countries and desiring to ensure the development of their prosperity, in accordance with the principles of the Charter of the United Nations,

RESOLVED by thus pooling their resources to preserve and strengthen peace and liberty, and calling upon the other peoples of Europe who share their ideal to join in their efforts


Who in their right mind in Britain or the EU would put their trust in assurances from Treeza May, Boris, Gove, IDS, or any of her gang of Brexit Ministers ?


What exactly are their principles and where is the evidence ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 09, 2017, 07:18:26 am
If Remain orientated politicians got together to design a brexit that would make it seem that they were trying to leave in order to appease their leave factions - this would be it.
As a guarantor of the GFA, the  UK needed to avoid a hard border. Failure to do so would cost them hugely in future trade talks with the US where some seem to suggest all the answers to our failing economy lie.

This framework is Remain in all but name. The ' Open ' border will allow freedom of movement. (Not to work or claim benefits just to make sure that UK/EU couples can travel unimpeded). Note the wording has moved from 'regulatory convergence' to 'full regulatory alignment'. This means that the UK will not deviate from EU trade law without permission, and will implement EU law changes without having any more say in them.

Also, for the first time ever the words '' level playing field '' are in this agreement. This means that the UK cannot ' diverge ' on tariffs or engage in practices like produce/ product dumping etc.

It is the SOFTEST  of soft brexit. I'm not surprised that Farage and his buddies are fuming. It leaves the door wide open for the UK to return.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on December 09, 2017, 07:49:13 am
To your last sentence - GOOD !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 09, 2017, 07:54:50 am
Nah IDM

Brexit means Brexit.

https://mobile.twitter.com/krishgm/status/939052269093388288

Well you certainly get a sense of Brexit , as Farage envisioned it from those tweets........NOT ! PMSL.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 09, 2017, 08:00:13 am
They will try but there's no way committed Brexiters can put a spin on this being what they wanted Wolfie. I detest the man and hopefully, but I doubt it , we should see him slowly marginalised as the dream disappears in a puff off smoke. This is just the end of the beginning ........ The real fun and games are to come !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 09, 2017, 09:36:53 am
What Gove says means exactly what you want it to mean. Objective reality is not his strong point. He’s all about convincing people that they can live in blissful ignorance and not worry about the reality.

Like his mate Johnson.

https://mobile.twitter.com/jdportes/status/939144471966633984
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on December 09, 2017, 09:53:08 am
Young people might like to question the older generations as to why they are so keen to turn their back on the high principles of the Treaty of Rome

..............................................................

The Preamble to the 1957 Treaty of Rome.

DETERMINED to lay the foundations of an ever-closer union among the peoples of Europe,

RESOLVED to ensure the economic and social progress of their countries by common action to eliminate the barriers which divide Europe,

AFFIRMING as the essential objective of their efforts the constant improvement of the living and working conditions of their peoples,

RECOGNISING that the removal of existing obstacles calls for concerted action in order to guarantee steady expansion, balanced trade and fair competition,

ANXIOUS to strengthen the unity of their economies and to ensure their harmonious development by reducing the differences existing between the various regions and the backwardness of the less favoured regions,

DESIRING to contribute, by means of a common commercial policy, to the progressive abolition of restrictions on international trade,

INTENDING to confirm the solidarity which binds Europe and the overseas countries and desiring to ensure the development of their prosperity, in accordance with the principles of the Charter of the United Nations,

RESOLVED by thus pooling their resources to preserve and strengthen peace and liberty, and calling upon the other peoples of Europe who share their ideal to join in their efforts


Who in their right mind in Britain or the EU would put their trust in assurances from Treeza May, Boris, Gove, IDS, or any of her gang of Brexit Ministers ?


What exactly are their principles and where is the evidence ?

UK was not a signatory to the Treaty of Rome
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 09, 2017, 10:14:33 am
Young people might like to question the older generations as to why they are so keen to turn their back on the high principles of the Treaty of Rome

..............................................................

The Preamble to the 1957 Treaty of Rome.

DETERMINED to lay the foundations of an ever-closer union among the peoples of Europe,

RESOLVED to ensure the economic and social progress of their countries by common action to eliminate the barriers which divide Europe,

AFFIRMING as the essential objective of their efforts the constant improvement of the living and working conditions of their peoples,

RECOGNISING that the removal of existing obstacles calls for concerted action in order to guarantee steady expansion, balanced trade and fair competition,

ANXIOUS to strengthen the unity of their economies and to ensure their harmonious development by reducing the differences existing between the various regions and the backwardness of the less favoured regions,

DESIRING to contribute, by means of a common commercial policy, to the progressive abolition of restrictions on international trade,

INTENDING to confirm the solidarity which binds Europe and the overseas countries and desiring to ensure the development of their prosperity, in accordance with the principles of the Charter of the United Nations,

RESOLVED by thus pooling their resources to preserve and strengthen peace and liberty, and calling upon the other peoples of Europe who share their ideal to join in their efforts


Who in their right mind in Britain or the EU would put their trust in assurances from Treeza May, Boris, Gove, IDS, or any of her gang of Brexit Ministers ?


What exactly are their principles and where is the evidence ?

UK was not a signatory to the Treaty of Rome

Yes we were, on 22 January 1972. You don't get into the EU without signing it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on December 09, 2017, 10:55:27 am
The post mentioned 1957
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 09, 2017, 11:26:20 am
The post mentioned 1957

So what? That's when it was first written. We signed it in 1972. Are you saying that because we didn't sign it in 1957 it means we didn't agree with everything that's in it that Hoola quoted when we did sign it? Perhaps we signed it with our fingers crossed behind our back!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on December 09, 2017, 11:43:53 am
The post mentioned 1957

So what? That's when it was first written. We signed it in 1972. Are you saying that because we didn't sign it in 1957 it means we didn't agree with everything that's in it that Hoola quoted when we did sign it? Perhaps we signed it with our fingers crossed behind our back!

Perhaps we did, but theres no need to be clever about it, which is symptomatic of many of your condescending posts. I was pointing out that in 1957 we were not a signatory of it, in fact we were n't allowed to join until De Gaulle died, they did n't want us to join and now they don't want us to leave


The facts are, the UK never did and never have signed the Treaty of Rome.

In 1972 the UK signed the Treaty of Accesion
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 09, 2017, 12:05:01 pm
The post mentioned 1957

So what? That's when it was first written. We signed it in 1972. Are you saying that because we didn't sign it in 1957 it means we didn't agree with everything that's in it that Hoola quoted when we did sign it? Perhaps we signed it with our fingers crossed behind our back!

Perhaps we did, but theres no need to be clever about it, which is symptomatic of many of your condescending posts. I was pointing out that in 1957 we were not a signatory of it, in fact we were n't allowed to join until De Gaulle died, they did n't want us to join and now they don't want us to leave


The facts are, the UK never did and never have signed the Treaty of Rome.

In 1972 the UK signed the Treaty of Accesion

So Parliament's got it's facts wrong has it?

http://www.parliament.uk/about/living-heritage/transformingsociety/tradeindustry/importexport/overview/europe/

As I said, you can't join the EU without signing the Treaty Of Rome.

And you never said anything about 1957, you flatly stated the UK were not a signatory of the Treaty Of Rome.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on December 09, 2017, 02:35:06 pm
The post mentioned 1957

So what? That's when it was first written. We signed it in 1972. Are you saying that because we didn't sign it in 1957 it means we didn't agree with everything that's in it that Hoola quoted when we did sign it? Perhaps we signed it with our fingers crossed behind our back!

Perhaps we did, but theres no need to be clever about it, which is symptomatic of many of your condescending posts. I was pointing out that in 1957 we were not a signatory of it, in fact we were n't allowed to join until De Gaulle died, they did n't want us to join and now they don't want us to leave


The facts are, the UK never did and never have signed the Treaty of Rome.

In 1972 the UK signed the Treaty of Accesion

So Parliament's got it's facts wrong has it?

http://www.parliament.uk/about/living-heritage/transformingsociety/tradeindustry/importexport/overview/europe/

As I said, you can't join the EU without signing the Treaty Of Rome.

And you never said anything about 1957, you flatly stated the UK were not a signatory of the Treaty Of Rome.

I think you need to read that again, it is clearly about signing the Treaty of Accesion, which accepts the terms of the Treaty of Rome, you cannot be a signatory of a Treaty if you were n't present at that Treaty, which was my initial comment, the UK was not a signatory of the Treaty of Rome, sometimes Glyn you need to step down from that know it all high horse you ride very often!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 09, 2017, 02:53:04 pm
I see David Davis’s Department has had a Male-over.

https://mobile.twitter.com/ProfKAArmstrong/status/939239631735967744/photo/1
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 09, 2017, 06:58:59 pm
Young people might like to question the older generations as to why they are so keen to turn their back on the high principles of the Treaty of Rome

..............................................................

The Preamble to the 1957 Treaty of Rome.

DETERMINED to lay the foundations of an ever-closer union among the peoples of Europe,

RESOLVED to ensure the economic and social progress of their countries by common action to eliminate the barriers which divide Europe,

AFFIRMING as the essential objective of their efforts the constant improvement of the living and working conditions of their peoples,

RECOGNISING that the removal of existing obstacles calls for concerted action in order to guarantee steady expansion, balanced trade and fair competition,

ANXIOUS to strengthen the unity of their economies and to ensure their harmonious development by reducing the differences existing between the various regions and the backwardness of the less favoured regions,

DESIRING to contribute, by means of a common commercial policy, to the progressive abolition of restrictions on international trade,

INTENDING to confirm the solidarity which binds Europe and the overseas countries and desiring to ensure the development of their prosperity, in accordance with the principles of the Charter of the United Nations,

RESOLVED by thus pooling their resources to preserve and strengthen peace and liberty, and calling upon the other peoples of Europe who share their ideal to join in their efforts


Who in their right mind in Britain or the EU would put their trust in assurances from Treeza May, Boris, Gove, IDS, or any of her gang of Brexit Ministers ?


What exactly are their principles and where is the evidence ?

UK was not a signatory to the Treaty of Rome

Are you serious ? We accepted All the tenets of the Treaty of Rome on Accession - failure to do so would have meant we could never have turned our country around on the back of the EU .

Thought you were unnecessarily harsh on GW  when you clearly knew what I meant and what we stand to lose.

The ambitions of the T of R have largely been obtained haven't they ? I drive round Donny and think " that was built with allocated EU money "", " that's on going " etc. Much of that round our County would NEVER  have been allocated Central government funding .

See point 5 above .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on December 09, 2017, 07:46:46 pm
Young people might like to question the older generations as to why they are so keen to turn their back on the high principles of the Treaty of Rome

..............................................................

The Preamble to the 1957 Treaty of Rome.

DETERMINED to lay the foundations of an ever-closer union among the peoples of Europe,

RESOLVED to ensure the economic and social progress of their countries by common action to eliminate the barriers which divide Europe,

AFFIRMING as the essential objective of their efforts the constant improvement of the living and working conditions of their peoples,

RECOGNISING that the removal of existing obstacles calls for concerted action in order to guarantee steady expansion, balanced trade and fair competition,

ANXIOUS to strengthen the unity of their economies and to ensure their harmonious development by reducing the differences existing between the various regions and the backwardness of the less favoured regions,

DESIRING to contribute, by means of a common commercial policy, to the progressive abolition of restrictions on international trade,

INTENDING to confirm the solidarity which binds Europe and the overseas countries and desiring to ensure the development of their prosperity, in accordance with the principles of the Charter of the United Nations,

RESOLVED by thus pooling their resources to preserve and strengthen peace and liberty, and calling upon the other peoples of Europe who share their ideal to join in their efforts


Who in their right mind in Britain or the EU would put their trust in assurances from Treeza May, Boris, Gove, IDS, or any of her gang of Brexit Ministers ?


What exactly are their principles and where is the evidence ?

UK was not a signatory to the Treaty of Rome

Are you serious ? We accepted All the tenets of the Treaty of Rome on Accession - failure to do so would have meant we could never have turned our country around on the back of the EU .

Thought you were unnecessarily harsh on GW  when you clearly knew what I meant and what we stand to lose.

The ambitions of the T of R have largely been obtained haven't they ? I drive round Donny and think " that was built with allocated EU money "", " that's on going " etc. Much of that round our County would NEVER  have been allocated Central government funding .

See point 5 above .


Harsh?

He said in his demeaning manner of posting that we had signed the Treaty of Rome, when we clearly have n't
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 09, 2017, 10:20:34 pm
Young people might like to question the older generations as to why they are so keen to turn their back on the high principles of the Treaty of Rome

..............................................................

The Preamble to the 1957 Treaty of Rome.

DETERMINED to lay the foundations of an ever-closer union among the peoples of Europe,

RESOLVED to ensure the economic and social progress of their countries by common action to eliminate the barriers which divide Europe,

AFFIRMING as the essential objective of their efforts the constant improvement of the living and working conditions of their peoples,

RECOGNISING that the removal of existing obstacles calls for concerted action in order to guarantee steady expansion, balanced trade and fair competition,

ANXIOUS to strengthen the unity of their economies and to ensure their harmonious development by reducing the differences existing between the various regions and the backwardness of the less favoured regions,

DESIRING to contribute, by means of a common commercial policy, to the progressive abolition of restrictions on international trade,

INTENDING to confirm the solidarity which binds Europe and the overseas countries and desiring to ensure the development of their prosperity, in accordance with the principles of the Charter of the United Nations,

RESOLVED by thus pooling their resources to preserve and strengthen peace and liberty, and calling upon the other peoples of Europe who share their ideal to join in their efforts


Who in their right mind in Britain or the EU would put their trust in assurances from Treeza May, Boris, Gove, IDS, or any of her gang of Brexit Ministers ?


What exactly are their principles and where is the evidence ?

UK was not a signatory to the Treaty of Rome

Are you serious ? We accepted All the tenets of the Treaty of Rome on Accession - failure to do so would have meant we could never have turned our country around on the back of the EU .

Thought you were unnecessarily harsh on GW  when you clearly knew what I meant and what we stand to lose.

The ambitions of the T of R have largely been obtained haven't they ? I drive round Donny and think " that was built with allocated EU money "", " that's on going " etc. Much of that round our County would NEVER  have been allocated Central government funding .

See point 5 above .


Harsh?

He said in his demeaning manner of posting that we had signed the Treaty of Rome, when we clearly have n't

However whatever the year we have signed up for all of the above and on that they have so far largely delivered. Glyn was only pointing out you were being picky with me and you were.

There is far more that binds us together than separates us all and on this one single issue emotions are and have run high ; time we cut each other some slack.

I'm sure you agree that I wasn't trying to mislead anyone ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 10, 2017, 11:28:18 am
They say it the sign of a good friend that they stand by you when you’re in trouble. What does that say about Ireland then?

https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/fintan-o-toole-ireland-has-just-saved-the-uk-from-the-madness-of-a-hard-brexit-1.3320096?mode=amp&__twitter_impression=true

And where is the journalism in THIS country that is informing the population of the reality of these momentous decisions?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Dutch Uncle on December 10, 2017, 12:43:37 pm
Love that article BST. Just a shame that its inescapable logic to the collapse of Brexit excludes one important factor - the combination of incompetence, personal agendas and egoes of some politicians who we have already seen put their own short term futures above the country's long term future.  :headbang: 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 10, 2017, 12:49:07 pm
Love that article BST. Just a shame that its inescapable logic to the collapse of Brexit excludes one important factor - the combination of incompetence, personal agendas and egoes of some politicians who we have already seen put their own short term futures above the country's long term future.  :headbang: 

Exhibit Number 1:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42298971

If I was the EU I'd refuse to carry on negotiating with this buffoon after this latest spout of BS of trying to tie Brexit terms to a trade deal that has nothing to do with Brexit, especially as - unlike John Profumo - he hasn't got the honour or integrity to resign after being caught lying to Parliament.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 10, 2017, 07:32:02 pm
They say it the sign of a good friend that they stand by you when you’re in trouble. What does that say about Ireland then?

https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/fintan-o-toole-ireland-has-just-saved-the-uk-from-the-madness-of-a-hard-brexit-1.3320096?mode=amp&__twitter_impression=true

And where is the journalism in THIS country that is informing the population of the reality of these momentous decisions?

Great article and I can't see where there can be a fault line  in any of the arguments for Brexiters to exploit.
Brexiters have been kippered . Lol
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 10, 2017, 07:34:06 pm
Love that article BST. Just a shame that its inescapable logic to the collapse of Brexit excludes one important factor - the combination of incompetence, personal agendas and egoes of some politicians who we have already seen put their own short term futures above the country's long term future.  :headbang: 

Exhibit Number 1:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42298971

If I was the EU I'd refuse to carry on negotiating with this buffoon after this latest spout of BS of trying to tie Brexit terms to a trade deal that has nothing to do with Brexit, especially as - unlike John Profumo - he hasn't got the honour or integrity to resign after being caught lying to Parliament.

His goose is cooked and about time the lying t**t.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on December 10, 2017, 08:23:59 pm
An interesting report that escaped out with very little notice last week. People must have been busy with something else.

People are more pessimistic about Brexit and the governments' handling of negotiations, yet they still want it to happen as control of immigration is more important to them than trade and economic consequences.

http://natcen.ac.uk/news-media/press-releases/2017/december/voters-more-pessimistic-about-the-outcome-of-brexit,-but-have-not-changed-their-minds-about-what-brexit-should-mean/

Nice piece on it in the Guardian which is summed up by 'what happens when people realise they have been conned'.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/dec/10/brexit-mirage-brussels-talks-theresa-may
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on December 11, 2017, 07:25:50 am
Anyone with any sense that voted leave cannot be happy with the way this situation has progressed. The politicians in the main on both sides were pathetic before the vote and haven't improved since. It brings incompetence to a whole new level.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 11, 2017, 08:20:59 am
I agree that the politicians’ performances were appalling.

Out and out lies from Farage, Johnson and Gove.

Arrogance from Cameron. Over-inflated fear (which obscured the REAL threat) from Osborne. Corbyn sitting on his hands because he fundamentally wanted us out but couldn’t say so.

It says something that John Major seemed like the only statesman in the referendum debate. Every single one of his predictions has been vindicated.

But I’m not having any of those failings as excuses for individuals’ votes. Information WAS out there if people really wanted to look for it. There was one overwhelming point which made it clear what the differences were between the two sides. Every major world leader was advising us to vote Remain. Apart from 3 - Le Pen, Trump and Putin.

Anyone who cared enough to think about it could have asked themselves what those three had to gain from Brexit.

But people preferred to ignore those points and any other information that suggested Brexit would be a problem. On the week of the vote, a poll said more than 50% still believed the £350m claim. Those people simply did not engage with the debate because it was very easy to learn that was a lie. If you wanted to hear it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: i_ateallthepies on December 11, 2017, 05:30:17 pm
An interesting report that escaped out with very little notice last week. People must have been busy with something else.

People are more pessimistic about Brexit and the governments' handling of negotiations, yet they still want it to happen as control of immigration is more important to them than trade and economic consequences.

http://natcen.ac.uk/news-media/press-releases/2017/december/voters-more-pessimistic-about-the-outcome-of-brexit,-but-have-not-changed-their-minds-about-what-brexit-should-mean/

Nice piece on it in the Guardian which is summed up by 'what happens when people realise they have been conned'.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/dec/10/brexit-mirage-brussels-talks-theresa-may


You have to hand it to the Brexiteers, genius strategy.  Make the country an economic basket case and no f**ker will want to come.  Job done!!!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 11, 2017, 11:46:14 pm
I watched the debate today , all the supposed rebel Tories seemed to be fully behind this nonsense . The Soubrys, Morgan's ect. all there patting her on the back .

Corbyn missed a real trick today even Hilary Benn forgot to mention the missing impact assessments . It was poor from Labour at what was or should have been sitting targets .

Little or nothing was achieved by any of the Opposition Parties except the SNP 's ian Blackford who at least makes Treeza work at it .

This has to be the worst bunch of Parliamentarians of my lifetime - they are pathetic!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 12, 2017, 05:44:52 am
"People are more pessimistic about Brexit and the governments' handling of negotiations, yet they still want it to happen as control of immigration is more important to them than trade and economic consequences"

Irrational, it's the propaganda about economic associations of immigration that have been used to wind people up, "they'll take my job, my house, my dole money" mainly by UKIP.
Maybe cos they don't work in London they don't believe that there will be a serious knock on effect.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/dec/11/brexit-city-of-london-jobs-ey-dublin-frankfurt

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on December 12, 2017, 07:44:09 am

This has to be the worst bunch of Parliamentarians of my lifetime - they are pathetic!


I think you are right. There have been bad Government before and when the Tories got routed and Tony Blair and Labour got in the Tories looked like they would never regain power for years

However their "crime" was looking old and out of touch - a totally different matter to the idiots we have at the moment (on both sides). They seem devoid of any morals whatsoever and have brought a new "art" to not answering any question that might prove tricky for them
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 12, 2017, 08:58:07 am

This has to be the worst bunch of Parliamentarians of my lifetime - they are pathetic!


I think you are right. There have been bad Government before and when the Tories got routed and Tony Blair and Labour got in the Tories looked like they would never regain power for years

However their "crime" was looking old and out of touch - a totally different matter to the idiots we have at the moment (on both sides). They seem devoid of any morals whatsoever and have brought a new "art" to not answering any question that might prove tricky for them

Just old and out of touch? What about all the sleaze and continual infighting?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on December 12, 2017, 08:59:25 am
I am astonished that anyone is surprised that politicians (of all parties) don't tell the truth or give straight answers to questions.

As for infighting, well that has always been the case hasn't it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 12, 2017, 09:14:53 am
Yes hound but the banding about of different statistics to somehow prove that more is being spent on this or that than 2010 has become ridiculous. There should be a body to dispute and hold those to account that blatantly and continuously lie a statistical watchdog if you like.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on December 12, 2017, 09:19:19 am
Yes hound but the banding about of different statistics to somehow prove that more is being spent on this or that than 2010 has become ridiculous. There should be a body to dispute and hold those to account that blatantly and continuously lie a statistical watchdog if you like.




Hoola, come on mate, we all know that this is what all politicians do all the time.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 12, 2017, 09:29:18 am
There is a huge imbalance between young and old in Parliament . It needs addressing fast as decisions can't always be made by the old for the young- there is a disconnect and a misunderstanding of youth cultures, needs etc.
Personally it's time that we limited the years spent in Parliament by individuals ......i.e. 30/40 + years is far too long to ' nurse ' the politics of yesteryear and impede the policies required for the ever-evolving needs of the here and now and of course plan for the future.

Yes by all means learn from yesterday but to still live there is a crime in politics and that  has brought us into this mess. A group of 60 + year old men have been nursing an ideology that simply held us back in Europe . Rather than shape it they continuously fought against it .
 The rest will be the future history written about the downfall of the UK brought about by these old , grey men in suits. Those who who fo years plotted and eventually destroyed the futures of generations to come .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 12, 2017, 09:37:54 am
Yes hound but the banding about of different statistics to somehow prove that more is being spent on this or that than 2010 has become ridiculous. There should be a body to dispute and hold those to account that blatantly and continuously lie a statistical watchdog if you like.

Of course I know that hound I'm not naive but who gives a feck if xyz % more is being spent on say the NHS than was spent in 2010 when the money is STILL insufficient . Tit for tat 2 Party politics is killing this country and that needs sorting out if we are to proceed as a modern democracy. Money is forever being wasted simply reversing the way the " other " lot did things .......We don't move on . No wonder we are getting left behind compared to many other leading countries in the areas where key indicators can be compared.




Hoola, come on mate, we all know that this is what all politicians do all the time.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on December 12, 2017, 11:36:41 am
I watched the debate today , all the supposed rebel Tories seemed to be fully behind this nonsense . The Soubrys, Morgan's ect. all there patting her on the back .

Corbyn missed a real trick today even Hilary Benn forgot to mention the missing impact assessments . It was poor from Labour at what was or should have been sitting targets .

Little or nothing was achieved by any of the Opposition Parties except the SNP 's ian Blackford who at least makes Treeza work at it .

This has to be the worst bunch of Parliamentarians of my lifetime - they are pathetic!

Of course Soubry, Morgan and Ken Clarke like it because they can see the direction of travel. They know that the fudge on the border on Ireland means that ultimately the UK will stay in the CU and SM. That will, of course, beg the question of what the point is of leaving the EU. No wonder they are happy.

As for Labour, they have two problems. Most probably like the direction of travel too, but can't be seen to praise May.  The other problem is the leader, who is probably secretly disappointed.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 12, 2017, 11:37:20 am
I am astonished that anyone is surprised that politicians (of all parties) don't tell the truth or give straight answers to questions.

As for infighting, well that has always been the case hasn't it?


A majority government deliberately making itself into a minority government because it's own MPs weren't willing to follow their own leader smacks of a different level of infighting though.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on December 12, 2017, 11:42:45 am
Yes hound but the banding about of different statistics to somehow prove that more is being spent on this or that than 2010 has become ridiculous. There should be a body to dispute and hold those to account that blatantly and continuously lie a statistical watchdog if you like.

There is a watchdog, the ONS, which does from time to time pull up individual politicians (BoJo on more than one occasion) although the politicians usually bluster their way out. Naturally as a government body they have to be careful not to be seen to be getting involved in party politics.

The Government is spending more on the NHS: The issue is whether it is enough to meet demand. The evidence is that it isn't.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on December 12, 2017, 11:44:19 am
I am astonished that anyone is surprised that politicians (of all parties) don't tell the truth or give straight answers to questions.

As for infighting, well that has always been the case hasn't it?


A majority government deliberately making itself into a minority government because it's own MPs weren't willing to follow their own leader smacks of a different level of infighting though.

Not sure what you mean. The Tories lost their majority because May miscalculated and then fought a wretched campaign.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on December 12, 2017, 11:58:34 am
There is a huge imbalance between young and old in Parliament . It needs addressing fast as decisions can't always be made by the old for the young- there is a disconnect and a misunderstanding of youth cultures, needs etc.
Personally it's time that we limited the years spent in Parliament by individuals ......i.e. 30/40 + years is far too long to ' nurse ' the politics of yesteryear and impede the policies required for the ever-evolving needs of the here and now and of course plan for the future.

Yes by all means learn from yesterday but to still live there is a crime in politics and that  has brought us into this mess. A group of 60 + year old men have been nursing an ideology that simply held us back in Europe . Rather than shape it they continuously fought against it .
 The rest will be the future history written about the downfall of the UK brought about by these old , grey men in suits. Those who who fo years plotted and eventually destroyed the futures of generations to come .

Thats why I hope ultimately that PR will be realised to be the way to go electorally

I used to laugh at the Libs and others weeping because they wanted PR - and I used to think "hah that's cos you cant win - bad losers"

However I can say when I became more aware I could see exactly what they want(ed) and they could count on my vote if anyone has the b***s to call it.

More people especially the younger voters may actually vote in greater numbers rather than thinking (for example) that the Tories will win the Constituency in which they are to vote by 10,000 so there is no point voting.

They could in future vote for the Green Party or Lib Dems and really affect the outcomes of Elections and ultimately the Country they get to live in
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on December 12, 2017, 12:22:51 pm
Agreed, DW. I have become a convert to PR because of the failure of Two Party politics.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 12, 2017, 01:25:59 pm
I am astonished that anyone is surprised that politicians (of all parties) don't tell the truth or give straight answers to questions.

As for infighting, well that has always been the case hasn't it?


A majority government deliberately making itself into a minority government because it's own MPs weren't willing to follow their own leader smacks of a different level of infighting though.

Not sure what you mean. The Tories lost their majority because May miscalculated and then fought a wretched campaign.

I was replying to Donnywolf, who was talking about the Major government, as was I.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on December 12, 2017, 01:43:15 pm
I am astonished that anyone is surprised that politicians (of all parties) don't tell the truth or give straight answers to questions.

As for infighting, well that has always been the case hasn't it?


A majority government deliberately making itself into a minority government because it's own MPs weren't willing to follow their own leader smacks of a different level of infighting though.

Not sure what you mean. The Tories lost their majority because May miscalculated and then fought a wretched campaign.

I was replying to Donnywolf, who was talking about the Major government, as was I.

In that case, my apologies.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Dutch Uncle on December 12, 2017, 03:12:48 pm
Yet another report on the likely effects of Brexit.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-42315280

This one caught my eye because it is by Rand, an organisation I know well and which is internationally well respected. Despite significant US Government funding it is fiercely independent, and studies and reports by them are often commissioned by national and international bodies outside of the US. For example the Dutch Government, far from strangers to the subject, commissioned a large report on Inland Waterway Management. Rand also wrote the most important independent defence papers on new world order and potential new roles for NATO after the collapse of the Warsaw Pact in 1989.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 12, 2017, 04:01:21 pm
I am astonished that anyone is surprised that politicians (of all parties) don't tell the truth or give straight answers to questions.

As for infighting, well that has always been the case hasn't it?


There is a qualitative difference between evading giving a truthful answer and simply flat lying.

In times past, Ministers who were caught lying to Parliament were expected to resign. No questions asked. It was taken as read that Parliament couldn’t operate if there was no sanction on liars.  John Profumo was a classic example. He wasn’t sacked for having an affair with a woman who was also sleeping with a Soviet spy.  He resigned when he was caught lying to Parliament about it.

Today, no-one seems to give a shite if David Davis lies about Brexit documents, then shrugs it off when his lie is exposed.

It’s not a laughing matter. Lose control on objective truth and we’re on a very slippery slope.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Dutch Uncle on December 12, 2017, 04:08:05 pm
It has often been said over the years that we follow trends set in the USA. I worry that the Trump new normality of saying what you like and never mind if it is true or not, combined with calling anything critical 'fake news' is gaining a foothold over here.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 12, 2017, 04:16:38 pm
It has often been said over the years that we follow trends set in the USA. I worry that the Trump new normality of saying what you like and never mind if it is true or not, combined with calling anything critical 'fake news' is gaining a foothold over here.

His mate Nige led the way though.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 12, 2017, 05:52:00 pm
And it works on both sides of the political debate.

John Harris published a careful piece a few months ago, pleading for the Left not to go down the same route as the Right, in sacrificing objective truth on the altar of partisan propaganda.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/oct/06/journalists-takes-sides-truth-to-power-activists

Some of the responses were, frankly, scary. Intelligent people making the argument "But the Sun/Mail/Express have been doing it for years - we've got to fight fire with fire." Utterly oblivious that this argument is as stupid as those who claim that we should defend our heritage and liberties by locking up suspects without trial and torturing them.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 12, 2017, 09:50:43 pm
The ABC introduced Fact Check some time ago and puts politicians on notice that they will/can be found out when making dubious claims, the public are encouraged to report dubious claims for scrutiny.

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-12-13/fact-check-kristina-keneally-education-spending/9228574

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 12, 2017, 10:18:43 pm
Yeah but who reads those web sites?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 13, 2017, 01:48:53 am
And in the meantime, THIS is where we’re heading 

http://edition.cnn.com/2017/12/12/politics/partisanship-alabama/index.html

Final paragraph:

Quote
The Point: This is the new reality in our politics, a reality ushered in by Trump's 2016 victory. Facts are fungible -- and subject to the partisan lens through which you see the world. No matter which lens that is, a world without agreed-upon facts should terrify you.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 13, 2017, 02:13:04 am
Yeah but who reads those web sites?
The ABC is the Australian national broadcaster and has similar reach and influence across Australia as does the BBC across Britain, it would be an effective tool to counter mis-claims and would have been a great tool to counter rubbish such as the NHS will get 350 million pounds/wk with Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 13, 2017, 02:15:24 am
And in the meantime, THIS is where we’re heading 

http://edition.cnn.com/2017/12/12/politics/partisanship-alabama/index.html

Final paragraph:

Quote
The Point: This is the new reality in our politics, a reality ushered in by Trump's 2016 victory. Facts are fungible -- and subject to the partisan lens through which you see the world. No matter which lens that is, a world without agreed-upon facts should terrify you.

I agree BST the future of politics is not good but it can be countered with good journalism, if not on all fronts.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 13, 2017, 08:55:21 am
There is a huge imbalance between young and old in Parliament . It needs addressing fast as decisions can't always be made by the old for the young- there is a disconnect and a misunderstanding of youth cultures, needs etc.
Personally it's time that we limited the years spent in Parliament by individuals ......i.e. 30/40 + years is far too long to ' nurse ' the politics of yesteryear and impede the policies required for the ever-evolving needs of the here and now and of course plan for the future.

Yes by all means learn from yesterday but to still live there is a crime in politics and that  has brought us into this mess. A group of 60 + year old men have been nursing an ideology that simply held us back in Europe . Rather than shape it they continuously fought against it .
 The rest will be the future history written about the downfall of the UK brought about by these old , grey men in suits. Those who who fo years plotted and eventually destroyed the futures of generations to come .

Thats why I hope ultimately that PR will be realised to be the way to go electorally

I used to laugh at the Libs and others weeping because they wanted PR - and I used to think "hah that's cos you cant win - bad losers"

However I can say when I became more aware I could see exactly what they want(ed) and they could count on my vote if anyone has the b***s to call it.

More people especially the younger voters may actually vote in greater numbers rather than thinking (for example) that the Tories will win the Constituency in which they are to vote by 10,000 so there is no point voting.

They could in future vote for the Green Party or Lib Dems and really affect the outcomes of Elections and ultimately the Country they get to live in

I'm with you too on this Wolfie , the disparities in our current FPTP system have led to us wasting year after year 'unpicking' one or the other's policies especially in the Economy, Health, Education, Policing and Security .
No wonder we have been left so far  behind in Productivity, Educational attainment , Health programmes to name but a few areas affected by bi- partisan politics. Would austerity have continued this long under a Coalition ( although I admit it started under a Coalition ) ? - I doubt it . Undoubtedly in this context the Lib/Dems simply had neither the numbers (57) to influence nor enough in common with the Tory Party to take a full and active role in a full- blooded coalition . They simply caved in to pressure however small and had insufficient in common with what became their Tory masters

Had they been better led and had the numbers commensurate with their vote share i.e. 23% and in PR terms some 150 MPs then things would have turned out somewhat differently. They would have in fact probably joined forces with a limping Labour Party and rejuvenated it to an extent whereupon austerity probably would never have existed at all . UKIP would  have died by now and the Referendum would never have happened  ! How history and the lack of a decent PR system has now shaped us and put us on a precipice is yet to fully define our futures but it's not looking grand .

The problem is that minor parties in any coalition in this country Would usually have far fewer MPs than their vote share and therefore influence on the senior partner - the current DUP / Tory situation being an unusual exception. Here a Party with only 0.9 % of the national vote share and 10 MPs is propping up May's government. An anomaly I doubt would ever exist given the nature of hundreds of years of bi - partisan politics under any decent PR system.

Incidentally here are the 2017 election results converted by direct PR vote share and comparisons with Actual :-
                 PR      ACTUAL
Tory        276          318
Labour   260          262
L/Dem      48            12
SNP           20            35
UKIP          12              0
Greens      10              1
DUP             6             10
S/F              5               7
Plaid C        3               4
Others       10               1

This once again suggests that we still have " rainbow " politics at large that isn't reflected in our FPTP  system . If people remember these PR results are consistent with the ACTUAL  results of the 2010 election .

However commanding and holding a majority under straight PR is just as difficult . What is alarming is the disparity between the number of seats the Torys now hold and their % share of the vote. If they are to disadvantage further both the Labour and the L/ Dem  Parties we virtually will have a one party state going forward.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 17, 2017, 03:51:38 am
The worm has turned & compared to the original vote the margin is massive. Bremainers lead Wrexiters by 10 points.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-second-referendum-latest-poll-remain-ten-points-leave-bmg-a8114406.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on December 17, 2017, 12:28:48 pm
Aye but this pollster had Remain to win by 7 points and the Tories to win the last election too.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 17, 2017, 01:26:03 pm
Aye but this pollster had Remain to win by 7 points and the Tories to win the last election too.

Referendum.
Not really correct RedJ. BMG consistently had Leave in front throughout the campaign. They DID have one phone poll the week before the vote which had Remain 6 points ahead. But on the same day, they had an on-line poll which had Leave 10 points ahead.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on December 17, 2017, 01:54:37 pm
Ah. Laziness on my part, I'd just read that 'fact' in a reply to a tweet with that link in this morning.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 17, 2017, 02:23:01 pm
That’s the Zeitgeist RedJ.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 18, 2017, 11:09:14 am
Ah. Laziness on my part, I'd just read that 'fact' in a reply to a tweet with that link in this morning.

Fair enough Red J , I have noticed that you can hold your hands up when wrong - a rare trait these days on this subject
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 21, 2017, 06:19:12 am
What the hell more does anyone need to know about Wrexit to know that it is going to be very very bad for the majority of British people and mainly those in areas of low economic growth and low socioeconomic circumstances.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/imf-christine-lagarde-brexit-uk-economy-assessment-forecasts-eu-referendum-forecasts-a8119886.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 21, 2017, 10:07:44 am
What the hell more does anyone need to know about Wrexit to know that it is going to be very very bad for the majority of British people and mainly those in areas of low economic growth and low socioeconomic circumstances.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/imf-christine-lagarde-brexit-uk-economy-assessment-forecasts-eu-referendum-forecasts-a8119886.html

Leavers basically don't care even if their own jobs are on the line .....which it is .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 21, 2017, 08:35:14 pm
What the hell more does anyone need to know about Wrexit to know that it is going to be very very bad for the majority of British people and mainly those in areas of low economic growth and low socioeconomic circumstances.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/imf-christine-lagarde-brexit-uk-economy-assessment-forecasts-eu-referendum-forecasts-a8119886.html

Leavers basically don't care even if their own jobs are on the line .....which it is .
Maybe they don't Hoola, but if they have any humanity thet should care about the circumstances of others.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 21, 2017, 08:44:45 pm
Well this has absolutely be the final straw:

http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/food-and-drink/uk-wine-prices-rise-brexit-latest-updates-drinknig-alcohol-eu-withdrawal-a8122216.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on December 21, 2017, 09:50:10 pm
What the hell more does anyone need to know about Wrexit to know that it is going to be very very bad for the majority of British people and mainly those in areas of low economic growth and low socioeconomic circumstances.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/imf-christine-lagarde-brexit-uk-economy-assessment-forecasts-eu-referendum-forecasts-a8119886.html

Leavers basically don't care even if their own jobs are on the line .....which it is .
Maybe they don't Hoola, but if they have any humanity thet should care about the circumstances of others.

Shall we remind ourselves of this survey. 61% of Leave voters dont care if Brexit leads to serious economic damage and 50% of Leave voters aged over 65 are willing to see a family member loose their job for Brexit to go ahead.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-latest-leave-voters-uk-economy-damage-yougov-older-pensioners-losing-jobs-income-taxes-a7870871.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on December 21, 2017, 09:52:15 pm
Well this has absolutely be the final straw:

http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/food-and-drink/uk-wine-prices-rise-brexit-latest-updates-drinknig-alcohol-eu-withdrawal-a8122216.html

Yes it has an Aussie getting upset because we might have to pay more for French wine!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on December 21, 2017, 09:55:50 pm
What the hell more does anyone need to know about Wrexit to know that it is going to be very very bad for the majority of British people and mainly those in areas of low economic growth and low socioeconomic circumstances.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/imf-christine-lagarde-brexit-uk-economy-assessment-forecasts-eu-referendum-forecasts-a8119886.html

Leavers basically don't care even if their own jobs are on the line .....which it is .
Maybe they don't Hoola, but if they have any humanity thet should care about the circumstances of others.

Shall we remind ourselves of this survey. 61% of Leave voters dont care if Brexit leads to serious economic damage and 50% of Leave voters aged over 65 are willing to see a family member loose their job for Brexit to go ahead.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-latest-leave-voters-uk-economy-damage-yougov-older-pensioners-losing-jobs-income-taxes-a7870871.html
I don't know of any leavers that share these views, so are the leavers I know not typical leavers or is the poll not a true reflection?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 21, 2017, 10:02:42 pm
Yeah. I agree that that poll is suspect. Not in that people didn’t say that. But I simply do not believe that people really think that. The issue is that there was and is a concerted approach telling people that there will not be economic downsides to Brexit. And I suspect there is a big chunk of the population who hear that and refuse to even seriously countenance that the opposite might be true.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 21, 2017, 10:06:06 pm
What the hell more does anyone need to know about Wrexit to know that it is going to be very very bad for the majority of British people and mainly those in areas of low economic growth and low socioeconomic circumstances.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/imf-christine-lagarde-brexit-uk-economy-assessment-forecasts-eu-referendum-forecasts-a8119886.html
Not sure I.dler, to me they are pretty repugnant views.

Leavers basically don't care even if their own jobs are on the line .....which it is .
Maybe they don't Hoola, but if they have any humanity thet should care about the circumstances of others.

Shall we remind ourselves of this survey. 61% of Leave voters dont care if Brexit leads to serious economic damage and 50% of Leave voters aged over 65 are willing to see a family member loose their job for Brexit to go ahead.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-latest-leave-voters-uk-economy-damage-yougov-older-pensioners-losing-jobs-income-taxes-a7870871.html
I don't know of any leavers that share these views, so are the leavers I know not typical leavers or is the poll not a true reflection?
Not sure Idler, to me they are pretty repugnant views.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on December 21, 2017, 10:16:17 pm
What the hell more does anyone need to know about Wrexit to know that it is going to be very very bad for the majority of British people and mainly those in areas of low economic growth and low socioeconomic circumstances.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/imf-christine-lagarde-brexit-uk-economy-assessment-forecasts-eu-referendum-forecasts-a8119886.html
Not sure I.dler, to me they are pretty repugnant views.

Leavers basically don't care even if their own jobs are on the line .....which it is .
Maybe they don't Hoola, but if they have any humanity thet should care about the circumstances of others.

Shall we remind ourselves of this survey. 61% of Leave voters dont care if Brexit leads to serious economic damage and 50% of Leave voters aged over 65 are willing to see a family member loose their job for Brexit to go ahead.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-latest-leave-voters-uk-economy-damage-yougov-older-pensioners-losing-jobs-income-taxes-a7870871.html
I don't know of any leavers that share these views, so are the leavers I know not typical leavers or is the poll not a true reflection?
Not sure Idler, to me they are pretty repugnant views.

Hmm stories like this tend to ncrease News paper sales!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on December 21, 2017, 10:24:44 pm
What the hell more does anyone need to know about Wrexit to know that it is going to be very very bad for the majority of British people and mainly those in areas of low economic growth and low socioeconomic circumstances.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/imf-christine-lagarde-brexit-uk-economy-assessment-forecasts-eu-referendum-forecasts-a8119886.html
Not sure I.dler, to me they are pretty repugnant views.

Leavers basically don't care even if their own jobs are on the line .....which it is .
Maybe they don't Hoola, but if they have any humanity thet should care about the circumstances of others.

Shall we remind ourselves of this survey. 61% of Leave voters dont care if Brexit leads to serious economic damage and 50% of Leave voters aged over 65 are willing to see a family member loose their job for Brexit to go ahead.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-latest-leave-voters-uk-economy-damage-yougov-older-pensioners-losing-jobs-income-taxes-a7870871.html
I don't know of any leavers that share these views, so are the leavers I know not typical leavers or is the poll not a true reflection?
Not sure Idler, to me they are pretty repugnant views.
Was the survey carried out in a fair cross section of remain/leave areas or concentrated on staunch leave areas?
Ask people from all areas to get a more honest opinion.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 21, 2017, 10:26:23 pm
Judging by the company who conducted the survey, it will have been as fair and balanced as it’s reasonably possible to achieve.

But as I say, I don’t believe that it really reflects the actual views of people.

At least I hope to God that it doesn’t.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on December 21, 2017, 10:31:52 pm
That's fair enough then Billy but the reason that I voted leave and most or all leavers that I know are not represented by these people.
I don't and never have associated with racists,xenophobes and bigots but these are the way a lot of remainers envisage leavers.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on December 21, 2017, 10:38:36 pm
This is the link to the actual survey. A further link at the bottom of the page will take you  to the questions asked and the results. It was 5000 people spread across the country btw

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/08/01/britain-nation-brexit-extremists/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 21, 2017, 10:43:36 pm
Idler. Yes. But you also need to accept that there ARE racists and xenophobes amongst the Leave supporters.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on December 21, 2017, 10:58:52 pm
I agree Billy but voting remain doesn't mean you can't also be one or the other. You can't tar everyone with the same brush.
I go on holiday and risk missing out on a vote. At Brexit I was in Rhodes so had already registered my postal vote. I spent a lot of time deliberating and by the time of the voting date felt actually closer to Europe than possibly before. The shootings in Paris and then the international between England and France at Wembley made me feel proud that we were a united front against terrorism and an affinity with the French nation.  The other side of this was the arrogance of Cameron, Osborne and Junkers. Their vision of the EU didn't match mine and I couldn't see them listening to any other views.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 21, 2017, 11:25:12 pm
I agree Billy but voting remain doesn't mean you can't also be one or the other. You can't tar everyone with the same brush.
I go on holiday and risk missing out on a vote. At Brexit I was in Rhodes so had already registered my postal vote. I spent a lot of time deliberating and by the time of the voting date felt actually closer to Europe than possibly before. The shootings in Paris and then the international between England and France at Wembley made me feel proud that we were a united front against terrorism and an affinity with the French nation.  The other side of this was the arrogance of Cameron, Osborne and Junkers. Their vision of the EU didn't match mine and I couldn't see them listening to any other views.

Have you regretted your vote to leave since idler based on those former strong reasons to be a Europhile and those latter feelings which influenced your vote i.e. the 3 knobheads you mentioned ; who ironically enough will ALL be finished in politics within 5 years ?

Brexit will adversely affect us for decades long after these 3 are dead, buried and largely forgotten.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 22, 2017, 12:26:16 am
I agree Billy but voting remain doesn't mean you can't also be one or the other. You can't tar everyone with the same brush.
I go on holiday and risk missing out on a vote. At Brexit I was in Rhodes so had already registered my postal vote. I spent a lot of time deliberating and by the time of the voting date felt actually closer to Europe than possibly before. The shootings in Paris and then the international between England and France at Wembley made me feel proud that we were a united front against terrorism and an affinity with the French nation.  The other side of this was the arrogance of Cameron, Osborne and Junkers. Their vision of the EU didn't match mine and I couldn't see them listening to any other views.

Have you regretted your vote to leave since idler based on those former strong reasons to be a Europhile and those latter











feelings which influenced your vote i.e. the 3 knobheads you mentioned ; who ironically enough will ALL be finished in politics within 5 years ?

Brexit will adversely affect us for decades long after these 3 are dead, buried and largely forgotten.

Good question Hoola, in fact it would be good to hear the views of anyone that has changed their mind since the vote, either way.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 22, 2017, 12:45:19 am
I agree Billy but voting remain doesn't mean you can't also be one or the other. You can't tar everyone with the same brush.
I go on holiday and risk missing out on a vote. At Brexit I was in Rhodes so had already registered my postal vote. I spent a lot of time deliberating and by the time of the voting date felt actually closer to Europe than possibly before. The shootings in Paris and then the international between England and France at Wembley made me feel proud that we were a united front against terrorism and an affinity with the French nation.  The other side of this was the arrogance of Cameron, Osborne and Junkers. Their vision of the EU didn't match mine and I couldn't see them listening to any other views.

Have you regretted your vote to leave since idler based on those former strong reasons to be a Europhile and those latter











feelings which influenced your vote i.e. the 3 knobheads you mentioned ; who ironically enough will ALL be finished in politics within 5 years ?

Brexit will adversely affect us for decades long after these 3 are dead, buried and largely forgotten.

Good question Hoola, in fact it would be good to hear the views of anyone that has changed their mind since the vote, either way.

There will be millions but  it will take a huge swing in public opinion to save the country from what is looking inevitable. People have got to get off their arses and make themselves heard otherwise all is lost .

The future well- being of our country is at stake
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 22, 2017, 07:18:28 am
Interesting survey by experts Sydney :-

A new report from the Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism reveals that UK press coverage in the weeks leading up to the EU Referendum was dominated by pro-Leave articles. The report, UK press coverage of the EU Referendum, examines how the UK press covered the EU Referendum story, and looks at what the key arguments, spokespeople, tone of articles and areas of focus were in the weeks leading up to the nationwide vote.Produced in partnership with media insight specialists PRIME Research, the report includes analysis of two days of press coverage each week for the London editions of nine national newspapers over the four months of the campaign. Dr David Levy, Director of the Reuters Institute and one of the report’s authors says: “The research reveals a picture of highly polarised press coverage, reliant on a narrow range of voices, and where coverage was more focused on personalities than the more complex issues at stake. In that sense, in spite of some notable exceptions, the press was generally better at reinforcing the views of decided voters than in giving undecided voters, seeking broad facts and high-quality information, the evidence to make up their own minds.” Key findings from the report include: A dominant pro-Leave bias Of the articles focused on the referendum, 41% were pro-Leave, while 27% were pro-Remain, creating a dominant pro-Leave presence. (See Fig 4.1) After factoring in the reach of different newspapers, the pro-Brexit dominance is further accentuated, with 48% of all referendum-focused articles pro-Leave and just 22% pro-Remain. Six out of the nine newspapers followed this pro-Leave dominance, with the strongest positions in the Daily Express, followed by the Daily Mail and the Sun. The Daily Mirror had the highest share of pro-Remain articles, followed by the Guardian and the Financial Times A focus on the economy – from both sides The economy was the most cited referendum issue covered in articles, followed by sovereignty and migration. (See Fig. 5.3) The economy was cited in both pro-Leave and Remain articles, but sovereignty and migration skewed heavily to pro-Leave articles. Enough of experts? Almost half of spokespeople cited in articles were either UK politicians or campaign representatives, while analysts/experts made up 11% of spokespeople cited, and academics just 2%. Foreign politicians made up 5% of spokespeople cited. (See Fig. 6.1) Of the small number of academics quoted, one, Professor Patrick Minford, heavily associated with the Leave campaign, accounted for a fifth of all quotes on our sample days. Blue on blue 64% of UK politicians cited in articles were Conservative, and 17% Labour. (See Fig 6.3) The most quoted politicians during the campaign period were former PM David Cameron (quoted in approximately 14% of articles) and Boris Johnson (10%). Current PM Theresa May kept a relatively low profile as the eleventh most cited politician. Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn was the eighth most cited politician, quoted in just 3% of articles. This trend was true even in the left-leaning press; he was quoted in 3-4% of articles in The Guardian and Mirror, about a third as many times as David Cameron or Boris Johnson. The report finds marked differences in tone between the Leave and Remain arguments in the press. While the pro-Remain articles focused largely on the single issue of the economy, they adopted a generally very negative tone, apparently reluctant to use positive language, and gave pessimistic forecasts of a pro-Brexit future. In contrast, pro-Leave articles adopted a more positive tone, balancing criticism of the status quo with hopeful messages for a pro-Brexit future. Pro-Leave articles did play to fears, notably around migration and sovereignty, but their future-oriented messages were more optimistic. Diego Bironzo, Account Director at PRIME Research and one of the report’s authors says: “The granular topic analysis performed for this study shows that the winning campaign adopted a broader range of topics and tones. The Leave camp’s more varied and often emotive messaging not only proved effective in gaining media traction: ultimately, by approaching different issues (such as controlling migration, regaining sovereignty, using EU budget contributions for the UK) at different times, it resonated with different news audiences.” Read the report, and find a full press release with images here View a presentation of the key findings from the launch event held at the European Parliament Offices UK on the 20th September 2016.

I apologise for posting this in full but I think it would risk being overlooked otherwise .

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 22, 2017, 12:27:24 pm
Thanks Hoola, it just goes to show how valuable truly independent media really is as evidenced by any tin pot dictator as one of the first things to go is media freedom.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on December 22, 2017, 02:24:38 pm
I agree Billy but voting remain doesn't mean you can't also be one or the other. You can't tar everyone with the same brush.
I go on holiday and risk missing out on a vote. At Brexit I was in Rhodes so had already registered my postal vote. I spent a lot of time deliberating and by the time of the voting date felt actually closer to Europe than possibly before. The shootings in Paris and then the international between England and France at Wembley made me feel proud that we were a united front against terrorism and an affinity with the French nation.  The other side of this was the arrogance of Cameron, Osborne and Junkers. Their vision of the EU didn't match mine and I couldn't see them listening to any other views.

Have you regretted your vote to leave since idler based on those former strong reasons to be a Europhile and those latter feelings which influenced your vote i.e. the 3 knobheads you mentioned ; who ironically enough will ALL be finished in politics within 5 years ?

Brexit will adversely affect us for decades long after these 3 are dead, buried and largely forgotten.
I reluctantly voted leave because I didn't like the way that the EU was going. Maybe the UK leaving might change the EU to something more like my idea of what it should be. I didn't expect the omnishambles that it has become involving politicians of all parties. When I cast my postal vote it looked like a majority to remain but enough leavers to maybe influence MEPs somewhat.
What we don't know of course is how we were to be treated had we voted remain. Would we have been punished for even having the referendum to dissuade others from going down that route?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 24, 2017, 11:38:28 am
Is there a charity to help knackered old MPs who have lost their marbles?

http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2017/12/23/little-red-white-and-blue-riding-hood-a-topical-christmas-story/

f**k me sideways...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on December 24, 2017, 12:09:52 pm
I don't know how anybody in their right mind can see any value in those words to anyone of any persuasion.  April 1st might have been the right date to release this.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 24, 2017, 12:33:38 pm
And yet...

There’s no less hard intellectual content in that piece than in anything else I’ve every read about the so called benefits of Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on December 24, 2017, 03:19:56 pm
Is there a charity to help knackered old MPs who have lost their marbles?

http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2017/12/23/little-red-white-and-blue-riding-hood-a-topical-christmas-story/

f**k me sideways...

That is f**king awful there is summat wrong with that t**t seriously wrong. " EU The big bad wolf " indeed - he and his foolish buddies need to grow up pronto . To think he once ran for the leadership of these pillocks !!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 31, 2017, 01:48:08 pm
Dear God Almighty.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-42527750

I thought we were supposed to saving millions from leaving the EU so that we could fund things like this properly?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on December 31, 2017, 03:57:29 pm
Dear God Almighty.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-42527750

I thought we were supposed to saving millions from leaving the EU so that we could fund things like this properly?
Oh I don't know. It could lead to an up to date version of Dad's Army.
Private Walker could make a fortune on the black market. Godfrey's sister Dolly could open a tea shop on the border while Jones runs around shouting 'Don't panic those Jerries don't like it up em now we've Brexiterered and Sgt Wilson when asked about Brexit sez 'Do you think that's wise' as Cpt Mainwaring berates Pike as a 'Stupid Boy' for believing all the guff the Brexiteers fed him.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on January 01, 2018, 06:21:19 pm
Dear God Almighty.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-42527750

I thought we were supposed to saving millions from leaving the EU so that we could fund things like this properly?

It's getting beyond ridiculous now .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on January 01, 2018, 06:44:30 pm
Dear God Almighty.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-42527750

I thought we were supposed to saving millions from leaving the EU so that we could fund things like this properly?

It's getting beyond ridiculous now .

Oh no its not, there's a lot more ridiculous yet to come believe me! For a start all these countries queing up for new trade deals to replace the ones we are about to loose....

http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/fox-nodeal-ministers_uk_5a3bc79ae4b06d1621b2589c
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 03, 2018, 03:19:19 pm
I think I may have spotted why the EU negiators are playing hardball against us trying to implement “The Will of the People”.

https://mobile.twitter.com/bopanc/status/948497516630298625/photo/1
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on January 03, 2018, 04:46:45 pm
I think I may have spotted why the EU negiators are playing hardball against us trying to implement “The Will of the People”.

https://mobile.twitter.com/bopanc/status/948497516630298625/photo/1


I believe it's called the 'having your cake and eating it strategy'.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on January 03, 2018, 06:39:30 pm
My friend once told me a driving instructor he knew told him the best way to deal with the 'magic roundabout' in Swindon was to close your eyes, put your foot down and pray.

That's effectively what we're doing with this at the moment.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 03, 2018, 07:12:35 pm
Up until 2013 the UK has been a net contributor to the EU budget in 39 out of its 40 years of membership (the exception being 1975), contributing a total of £401bn in real terms gross, and £134bn net of receipts and the budget rebate. The UK has received an abatement, or rebate, on its budget contribution since 1984, worth £3.2bn in 2012 and £103bn (in real terms) since it was first agreed.

The pound being stronger than the euro has repeatedly led to cheaper imports and difficulty exporting which has contributed to a decline in industry in this country.

I really can't see how the EU has benefited Britain at all; if anybody is in doubt look out of your window and ask yourself what has improved since our membership commenced.

I personally can't wait for us to leave, particularly with progress being managed by a labour government. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Muttley on January 03, 2018, 07:47:21 pm
Up until 2013 the UK has been a net contributor to the EU budget in 39 out of its 40 years of membership (the exception being 1975), contributing a total of £401bn in real terms gross, and £134bn net of receipts and the budget rebate. The UK has received an abatement, or rebate, on its budget contribution since 1984, worth £3.2bn in 2012 and £103bn (in real terms) since it was first agreed.

The pound being stronger than the euro has repeatedly led to cheaper imports and difficulty exporting which has contributed to a decline in industry in this country.

I really can't see how the EU has benefited Britain at all; if anybody is in doubt look out of your window and ask yourself what has improved since our membership commenced.

I personally can't wait for us to leave, particularly with progress being managed by a labour government. 

I looked out of my window but it's a bit too dark to see anything so I thought I'd do a bit of desk based research (aka googling).

Here's how the Yorkshire & Humber region benefitted from EU funding from 2007-2013:

https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/511951/Beneficary_List-_Feb_2016.pdf

Not to mention the fact that we've had unrestricted to the access to the world's largest trading bloc - how much is that worth to UK in sales/profits that they wouldn't otherwise have made?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 03, 2018, 08:04:22 pm
Up until 2013 the UK has been a net contributor to the EU budget in 39 out of its 40 years of membership (the exception being 1975), contributing a total of £401bn in real terms gross, and £134bn net of receipts and the budget rebate. The UK has received an abatement, or rebate, on its budget contribution since 1984, worth £3.2bn in 2012 and £103bn (in real terms) since it was first agreed.

The pound being stronger than the euro has repeatedly led to cheaper imports and difficulty exporting which has contributed to a decline in industry in this country.

I really can't see how the EU has benefited Britain at all; if anybody is in doubt look out of your window and ask yourself what has improved since our membership commenced.

I personally can't wait for us to leave, particularly with progress being managed by a labour government. 

I looked out of my window but it's a bit too dark to see anything so I thought I'd do a bit of desk based research (aka googling).

Here's how the Yorkshire & Humber region benefitted from EU funding from 2007-2013:

https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/511951/Beneficary_List-_Feb_2016.pdf

Not to mention the fact that we've had unrestricted to the access to the world's largest trading bloc - how much is that worth to UK in sales/profits that they wouldn't otherwise have made?

The fact it is so dark outside is probably as a result of your local authority spending cuts and lack of street lighting brought on by the amount of national debt we have accrued.

EU funding? we are a net contributor. You wouldn't put £100 in a bandit with the hope of getting £10 out, with no guarantee and consider yourself a winner would you? why would you take that approach with the EU?

Also  do you have any idea how much the region has contributed the EU in the same period?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on January 04, 2018, 06:32:15 am
I think I may have spotted why the EU negiators are playing hardball against us trying to implement “The Will of the People”.

https://mobile.twitter.com/bopanc/status/948497516630298625/photo/1


No wonder we are a confused nation. When Ken Clarke surmised that Brexit reminded him of Alice dropping down the hole  into  Wonderland ; it's not hard to see what he was envisaging in Brexit . It's full of weird ideas, muddled wishful thinking and he certainly wasn't joking when he thought of this whole exercise as some form of ' Mad Hatter's tea party ' . The whole thing is full of mad contradictions, ideas and dreams of an end result that is so   far from becoming a reality it's a joke .

We are about to embark on a second set of negotiations when those thorniest issues from the first set have yet to be resolved .
Now we want everything we want from some mysterious bespoke deal with scant regard for the future well- being of our country and its citizens and apparently for the other EU27 and tgeir citizens. There is no ' cake and eat it ' , there are  no simplistic resolutions to both the N.Ireland and Gibraltar issues or any of the economic/social desires of the lunatics running this nonsense. There are so many hurdles yet we still persist to pick at the running sore that is Brexit in some vainglorious  hope that " it will all work out in the end ".

What really worries me is when I read article after article in both the Express and Mail already praising this government for pulling down the trousers of the EU27 in Phase 1.  It's as if they think their  readership have all taken some form of date rape drug and perhaps they ( the owners/editors) know that they can now peddle any myth in the knowledge that it will be swallowed by the people of this country . Perhaps they are right, maybe I am now an " enemy of the people " too and I should have bought into all the myths surrounding Brexit by now .
However , perhaps I and many like me are destined to be in a separate part of thus divided nation for ever  because we  refuse to endorse the ludicrous ideas or the vision espoused by the numpties running this shitshow .

I fear there are yet more weird ideas and results to come out of this mess as our leaders throw our country to the wolves and we are all invited to throw ourselves off some cliff edge or other screaming - " for Britain and St. George. " God help us all especially the poor, homeless,  weak and disabled  !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on January 04, 2018, 08:09:20 am
You are right in all that.

Its become a complete mess / joke and I can see even more and more mess as "we" try to get the best for us and they try to ensure we get the worst deal(s) to deter any other Countries who might want to jump ship

At the end of the day (and I could be wildly wrong) it will go on till we have a "deal" after which there will be either a public outcry or the Remainer MPs and Lords will demand a vote on the deal (or both of course) and we will kick it out (democratically of course) and then we will stay in the EU and all wonder what the hell was that all about and why did we waste all that time and billions and billions of words on that

Note : I recently had a Post called "the incoherent ramblings of a complete Buffoon" and that was on Football. I thought my view was quite lucid , easy to understand and was just a matter of opinion.

In this I hope to have been coherent and lucid and I accept my "conclusion" which is a guess not even an opinion might be wildly inaccurate. I just hope it is not
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on January 04, 2018, 10:46:58 am
Up until 2013 the UK has been a net contributor to the EU budget in 39 out of its 40 years of membership (the exception being 1975), contributing a total of £401bn in real terms gross, and £134bn net of receipts and the budget rebate. The UK has received an abatement, or rebate, on its budget contribution since 1984, worth £3.2bn in 2012 and £103bn (in real terms) since it was first agreed.

The pound being stronger than the euro has repeatedly led to cheaper imports and difficulty exporting which has contributed to a decline in industry in this country.

I really can't see how the EU has benefited Britain at all; if anybody is in doubt look out of your window and ask yourself what has improved since our membership commenced.

I personally can't wait for us to leave, particularly with progress being managed by a labour government. 

I looked out of my window but it's a bit too dark to see anything so I thought I'd do a bit of desk based research (aka googling).

Here's how the Yorkshire & Humber region benefitted from EU funding from 2007-2013:

https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/511951/Beneficary_List-_Feb_2016.pdf

Not to mention the fact that we've had unrestricted to the access to the world's largest trading bloc - how much is that worth to UK in sales/profits that they wouldn't otherwise have made?

The fact it is so dark outside is probably as a result of your local authority spending cuts and lack of street lighting brought on by the amount of national debt we have accrued.

EU funding? we are a net contributor. You wouldn't put £100 in a bandit with the hope of getting £10 out, with no guarantee and consider yourself a winner would you? why would you take that approach with the EU?

Also  do you have any idea how much the region has contributed the EU in the same period?
This link should put some meat on the bones of payments and returns to the EU. It is difficult to look at figut=res in isolation and say we didn't get this but we paid that. The UK economy is one of the largest therefore you would imagine we pay more, but the gains of being part of the wealthiest trading block in the world has many advantages.
http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/67030/1/Begg_EU%20budget.pdf
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 04, 2018, 11:55:51 am
So the net payment works out at about the price of a Starbucks coffee per person per week. And that’s before you consider the benefits that we get from free and unfettered trade with the largest trading bloc in the history of mankind.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 04, 2018, 01:33:34 pm
So the net payment works out at about the price of a Starbucks coffee per person per week. And that’s before you consider the benefits that we get from free and unfettered trade with the largest trading bloc in the history of mankind.

Trading with a strong pound against a weak euro, ie difficult to export and cheaper to import.  Again it is one of the reasons we have no manufacturing industry in the U.K. and another reason to be out the eu.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on January 04, 2018, 01:49:13 pm
Do you think it will make much difference to the average person if we are in or out of the eu? I was thinking back to when labour were in power other day and to be honest it's no different from now, apart from a few quid either way I'm not sure it makes any difference
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 04, 2018, 01:57:27 pm
Do you think it will make much difference to the average person if we are in or out of the eu? I was thinking back to when labour were in power other day and to be honest it's no different from now, apart from a few quid either way I'm not sure it makes any difference

Which labour government are you referring to?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 04, 2018, 02:19:10 pm

So the net payment works out at about the price of a Starbucks coffee per person per week. And that’s before you consider the benefits that we get from free and unfettered trade with the largest trading bloc in the history of mankind.

Trading with a strong pound against a weak euro, ie difficult to export and cheaper to import.  Again it is one of the reasons we have no manufacturing industry in the U.K. and another reason to be out the eu.

Aidanstu

I don’t know where you get your facts from, but this is simply nonsense.

Here’s a graph of £ vs DeutschMark from the mid 70s to the mid 90s. During that period, our manufacturing industry collapsed and that of Germany went from strength to strength.

(https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/confs/1993/images/artis-figure-3.gif)

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 04, 2018, 02:24:30 pm
Also:

1) By What measure do you consider the pound to be strong against the Euro?

2) What on earth has this got to do with our membership of the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on January 04, 2018, 03:40:49 pm
The last 1 stu, it's not about labour it's about any party, what they do is give a bit in 1 hand take it out the other but when all is done not much changes whichever party is in power
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 04, 2018, 04:54:19 pm
Also:

1) By What measure do you consider the pound to be strong against the Euro?

2) What on earth has this got to do with our membership of the EU?

Euro has always been cheaper than the pound, which because of the dictated trade arrangements within the EU mean it is cheaper to buy from the EURO zone and import and more difficult to sell British goods.
 
https://www.pounds2euro.com/Charts

https://group.atradius.com/publications/economic-research-weakening-euros-effect-uk-market-2015.html

i'm really unclear why you have chosen to use a graph which pre-dates the euro zone coming into effect? Unless your relying on Germany's Economic Miracle which related to Eucken's theories and banking structure and has nothing to do with the argument I was making. 

I know your obviously pro Europe, and you may have some valid arguments for being so, but this isn't one of them.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 04, 2018, 05:06:14 pm
This site shows that manufacturing as a percentage of GDP has fallen not because it has declined in value, but because other sectors have grown much greater in comparison to take a larger share of the total output. The value of the manufacturing sector has kept fairly stable over the past 40-odd years.

https://fullfact.org/economy/did-labour-decimate-manufacturing/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 04, 2018, 05:13:06 pm
Also:

1) By What measure do you consider the pound to be strong against the Euro?

2) What on earth has this got to do with our membership of the EU?

Euro has always been cheaper than the pound, which because of the dictated trade arrangements within the EU mean it is cheaper to buy from the EURO zone and import and more difficult to sell British goods.
 
https://www.pounds2euro.com/Charts

https://group.atradius.com/publications/economic-research-weakening-euros-effect-uk-market-2015.html

i'm really unclear why you have chosen to use a graph which pre-dates the euro zone coming into effect? Unless your relying on Germany's Economic Miracle which related to Eucken's theories and banking structure and has nothing to do with the argument I was making. 

I know your obviously pro Europe, and you may have some valid arguments for being so, but this isn't one of them.


The fact that the Euro has always been less valuable than the pound is irrelevant. It's like saying the penny has always been less valuable than the pound. The differences happen when the exchange rates skew greatly one way or the other due to the sudden strength or weaknesses of one of the currencies concerned - businesses can cope with short term ups and downs as long as it is relatively stable so that they can plan long-term. Your own graph shows that the range of fluctuation over the last six months is about 7 cents, a range of movement over that period of about 6%, which I wouldn't say is particularly unstable for the currency market.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 04, 2018, 05:24:05 pm
This site shows that manufacturing as a percentage of GDP has fallen not because it has declined in value, but because other sectors have grown much greater in comparison to take a larger share of the total output. The value of the manufacturing sector has kept fairly stable over the past 40-odd years.

https://fullfact.org/economy/did-labour-decimate-manufacturing/

Are you seriously arguing that there hasn't been a decline in manufacturing and industry? Coal, Steel, british car making industries have been decimated because of cheap foreign imports, in part, from other EU states and because of the cheaper euro.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 04, 2018, 05:31:14 pm
This site shows that manufacturing as a percentage of GDP has fallen not because it has declined in value, but because other sectors have grown much greater in comparison to take a larger share of the total output. The value of the manufacturing sector has kept fairly stable over the past 40-odd years.

https://fullfact.org/economy/did-labour-decimate-manufacturing/

Are you seriously arguing that there hasn't been a decline in manufacturing and industry? Coal, Steel, british car making industries have been decimated because of cheap foreign imports, in part, from other EU states and because of the cheaper euro.

No, I'm saying they are arguing that. Presumably the decline in those industries you mention have been matched by increases in other areas of manufacturing otherwise the value of manufacturing wouldn't have stayed as stable as it has.

As for cheap foreign imports from the EU, the biggest factor in creating that cheapness has been the Single Market, not the value of the Euro. And the Single Market works both ways, it makes our exported goods cheaper in the EU too.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 04, 2018, 05:42:17 pm
This site shows that manufacturing as a percentage of GDP has fallen not because it has declined in value, but because other sectors have grown much greater in comparison to take a larger share of the total output. The value of the manufacturing sector has kept fairly stable over the past 40-odd years.

https://fullfact.org/economy/did-labour-decimate-manufacturing/

Are you seriously arguing that there hasn't been a decline in manufacturing and industry? Coal, Steel, british car making industries have been decimated because of cheap foreign imports, in part, from other EU states and because of the cheaper euro.

No, I'm saying they are arguing that. Presumably the decline in those industries you mention have been matched by increases in other areas of manufacturing otherwise the value of manufacturing wouldn't have stayed as stable as it has.

As for cheap foreign imports from the EU, the biggest factor in creating that cheapness has been the Single Market, not the value of the Euro. And the Single Market works both ways, it makes our exported goods cheaper in the EU too.

The single market would work if there was parity between the pound and the euro but there isn't. The euro zone has been an absolute disaster for Europe and the uk.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 04, 2018, 05:49:02 pm
AS

1) I showed a graph of £/DM for two reasons.
i) It covered the period when our manufacturing industry collapsed.
ii) It showed that, during that period, as our manufacturing industry was collapsing and Getmany’s was going from strength to strength, the DM was progressively getting stronger against the pound. Which means the pound was getting weaker against the DM. But the weak pound didn’t save our manufacturing economy. And the string DM didn’t kill Germany’s.

2) You’re not REALLY saying that because one pound is worth more than one Euro, that the pound is stronger than the Euro? What about back when you got 3000 Italian Lire to the pound? You surely don’t think that meant that the pound was 3000 times stronger than the Lira?

3) Once again, what on earth does our membership of the EU have to do with the strength of the pound?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on January 04, 2018, 05:54:21 pm
This site shows that manufacturing as a percentage of GDP has fallen not because it has declined in value, but because other sectors have grown much greater in comparison to take a larger share of the total output. The value of the manufacturing sector has kept fairly stable over the past 40-odd years.

https://fullfact.org/economy/did-labour-decimate-manufacturing/

Are you seriously arguing that there hasn't been a decline in manufacturing and industry? Coal, Steel, british car making industries have been decimated because of cheap foreign imports, in part, from other EU states and because of the cheaper euro.

Rubbish. Those industries were deliberately run down under Margret Thatcher. In part as a deliberate attack to break the power of the unions in heavy industry but also to reorientate the economy away from manufacturing onto one based on financial services in the City of London and the profits from North Sea Oil. They had all gone before the euro was invented.

The car industry in particular has seen a huge benefit from being in the EU. It was the abilty to sell into the EU that led to Nissan and Toyota building factories here.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 04, 2018, 06:31:22 pm
This site shows that manufacturing as a percentage of GDP has fallen not because it has declined in value, but because other sectors have grown much greater in comparison to take a larger share of the total output. The value of the manufacturing sector has kept fairly stable over the past 40-odd years.

https://fullfact.org/economy/did-labour-decimate-manufacturing/

Are you seriously arguing that there hasn't been a decline in manufacturing and industry? Coal, Steel, british car making industries have been decimated because of cheap foreign imports, in part, from other EU states and because of the cheaper euro.

Rubbish. Those industries were deliberately run down under Margret Thatcher. In part as a deliberate attack to break the power of the unions in heavy industry but also to reorientate the economy away from manufacturing onto one based on financial services in the City of London and the profits from North Sea Oil. They had all gone before the euro was invented.

The car industry in particular has seen a huge benefit from being in the EU. It was the abilty to sell into the EU that led to Nissan and Toyota building factories here.


Check out point three which refers to the role of the eu in the decline of British steel manufacturing
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on January 04, 2018, 07:13:09 pm

Check out point three which refers to the role of the eu in the decline of British steel manufacturing

If I can refer you to this post I made a couple of months ago in a discussion with wing commander on the same topic:
http://www.drfc-vsc.co.uk/index.php?topic=263514.msg730167#msg730167

I paraphrase my main point here for continuity.

In the 1970's, British Steel employed over 250 000 people (many in my family). By 1981 after Thatcher and McGregor had closed closed Shotton, Corby, Normanby Park and others it was down to 88 000. Then after privatisation they closed Rotherham and Ravenscraig so that by 1997 it was down to 28 000. When Tata took over in 2007 it was 23 000.

So how was this the fault of the EU and not Tory government policies?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 04, 2018, 07:40:04 pm

Check out point three which refers to the role of the eu in the decline of British steel manufacturing

If I can refer you to this post I made a couple of months ago in a discussion with wing commander on the same topic:
http://www.drfc-vsc.co.uk/index.php?topic=263514.msg730167#msg730167

I paraphrase my main point here for continuity.

In the 1970's, British Steel employed over 250 000 people (many in my family). By 1981 after Thatcher and McGregor had closed closed Shotton, Corby, Normanby Park and others it was down to 88 000. Then after privatisation they closed Rotherham and Ravenscraig so that by 1997 it was down to 28 000. When Tata took over in 2007 it was 23 000.

So how was this the fault of the EU and not Tory government policies?


If you reconsider my argument I say in part it was due to the EU. As a socialist I am fully aware of the damage Thatcherism and tory policies have caused to this country.

The European Union and China are two of the biggest traders in the world. China is now the EU's second-biggest trading partner behind the United States and the EU is China's biggest trading partner.

The EU is committed to open trading relations with China. The weakened YEN and this trading agreement has put the final nail in the coffin of British steel and therein you have an example of how the EU has weakened the British economy.



 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 04, 2018, 07:47:11 pm

Check out point three which refers to the role of the eu in the decline of British steel manufacturing

If I can refer you to this post I made a couple of months ago in a discussion with wing commander on the same topic:
http://www.drfc-vsc.co.uk/index.php?topic=263514.msg730167#msg730167

I paraphrase my main point here for continuity.

In the 1970's, British Steel employed over 250 000 people (many in my family). By 1981 after Thatcher and McGregor had closed closed Shotton, Corby, Normanby Park and others it was down to 88 000. Then after privatisation they closed Rotherham and Ravenscraig so that by 1997 it was down to 28 000. When Tata took over in 2007 it was 23 000.

So how was this the fault of the EU and not Tory government policies?


If you reconsider my argument I say in part it was due to the EU. As a socialist I am fully aware of the damage Thatcherism and tory policies have caused to this country.

The European Union and China are two of the biggest traders in the world. China is now the EU's second-biggest trading partner behind the United States and the EU is China's biggest trading partner.

The EU is committed to open trading relations with China. The weakened YEN and this trading agreement has put the final nail in the coffin of British steel and therein you have an example of how the EU has weakened the British economy.

Here's the EU's current commitment to open trading with China but I can't see anything that would have an adverse effect on British steel. Can you point me to it?

http://eeas.europa.eu/archives/docs/china/docs/joint_communication_to_the_european_parliament_and_the_council_-_elements_for_a_new_eu_strategy_on_china.pdf
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 04, 2018, 07:49:15 pm

Check out point three which refers to the role of the eu in the decline of British steel manufacturing

If I can refer you to this post I made a couple of months ago in a discussion with wing commander on the same topic:
http://www.drfc-vsc.co.uk/index.php?topic=263514.msg730167#msg730167

I paraphrase my main point here for continuity.

In the 1970's, British Steel employed over 250 000 people (many in my family). By 1981 after Thatcher and McGregor had closed closed Shotton, Corby, Normanby Park and others it was down to 88 000. Then after privatisation they closed Rotherham and Ravenscraig so that by 1997 it was down to 28 000. When Tata took over in 2007 it was 23 000.

So how was this the fault of the EU and not Tory government policies?


If you reconsider my argument I say in part it was due to the EU. As a socialist I am fully aware of the damage Thatcherism and tory policies have caused to this country.

The European Union and China are two of the biggest traders in the world. China is now the EU's second-biggest trading partner behind the United States and the EU is China's biggest trading partner.

The EU is committed to open trading relations with China. The weakened YEN and this trading agreement has put the final nail in the coffin of British steel and therein you have an example of how the EU has weakened the British economy.

Here's the EU's current commitment to open trading with China but I can't see anything that would have an adverse effect on British steel. Can you point me to it?

http://eeas.europa.eu/archives/docs/china/docs/joint_communication_to_the_european_parliament_and_the_council_-_elements_for_a_new_eu_strategy_on_china.pdf

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/industry/11844952/Cheap-Chinese-imports-hits-profits-at-Britains-biggest-steel-maker.html

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-34581945

Cheap Chinese steel imports would not be possible without the EU trade agreement with China. Can you point to where that agreement protects the the UK from cheap imports from China and in turn the British steel industry? If that was even considered during the drawing up of that policy it has failed significantly.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 04, 2018, 07:56:11 pm

Check out point three which refers to the role of the eu in the decline of British steel manufacturing

If I can refer you to this post I made a couple of months ago in a discussion with wing commander on the same topic:
http://www.drfc-vsc.co.uk/index.php?topic=263514.msg730167#msg730167

I paraphrase my main point here for continuity.

In the 1970's, British Steel employed over 250 000 people (many in my family). By 1981 after Thatcher and McGregor had closed closed Shotton, Corby, Normanby Park and others it was down to 88 000. Then after privatisation they closed Rotherham and Ravenscraig so that by 1997 it was down to 28 000. When Tata took over in 2007 it was 23 000.

So how was this the fault of the EU and not Tory government policies?


If you reconsider my argument I say in part it was due to the EU. As a socialist I am fully aware of the damage Thatcherism and tory policies have caused to this country.

The European Union and China are two of the biggest traders in the world. China is now the EU's second-biggest trading partner behind the United States and the EU is China's biggest trading partner.

The EU is committed to open trading relations with China. The weakened YEN and this trading agreement has put the final nail in the coffin of British steel and therein you have an example of how the EU has weakened the British economy.

Here's the EU's current commitment to open trading with China but I can't see anything that would have an adverse effect on British steel. Can you point me to it?

http://eeas.europa.eu/archives/docs/china/docs/joint_communication_to_the_european_parliament_and_the_council_-_elements_for_a_new_eu_strategy_on_china.pdf

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/industry/11844952/Cheap-Chinese-imports-hits-profits-at-Britains-biggest-steel-maker.html

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-34581945

Cheap Chinese steel imports would not be possible without the EU trade agreement with China.

Both of those pre-date the document I linked to and are speculation at best anyway. That's why I went to the source document. Link to something in that.

Looking at your links say nothing about the EU's intentions with regards to Chinese imports anyway and absolutely nothing about the agreement you're talking about.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 04, 2018, 08:01:29 pm

Check out point three which refers to the role of the eu in the decline of British steel manufacturing

If I can refer you to this post I made a couple of months ago in a discussion with wing commander on the same topic:
http://www.drfc-vsc.co.uk/index.php?topic=263514.msg730167#msg730167

I paraphrase my main point here for continuity.

In the 1970's, British Steel employed over 250 000 people (many in my family). By 1981 after Thatcher and McGregor had closed closed Shotton, Corby, Normanby Park and others it was down to 88 000. Then after privatisation they closed Rotherham and Ravenscraig so that by 1997 it was down to 28 000. When Tata took over in 2007 it was 23 000.

So how was this the fault of the EU and not Tory government policies?


If you reconsider my argument I say in part it was due to the EU. As a socialist I am fully aware of the damage Thatcherism and tory policies have caused to this country.

The European Union and China are two of the biggest traders in the world. China is now the EU's second-biggest trading partner behind the United States and the EU is China's biggest trading partner.

The EU is committed to open trading relations with China. The weakened YEN and this trading agreement has put the final nail in the coffin of British steel and therein you have an example of how the EU has weakened the British economy.

Here's the EU's current commitment to open trading with China but I can't see anything that would have an adverse effect on British steel. Can you point me to it?

http://eeas.europa.eu/archives/docs/china/docs/joint_communication_to_the_european_parliament_and_the_council_-_elements_for_a_new_eu_strategy_on_china.pdf

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/industry/11844952/Cheap-Chinese-imports-hits-profits-at-Britains-biggest-steel-maker.html

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-34581945

Cheap Chinese steel imports would not be possible without the EU trade agreement with China.

Both of those pre-date the document I linked to and are speculation at best anyway. That's why I went to the source document. Link to something in that.

Whats your point? Can you point to where that agreement protects the the UK from cheap imports from China and in turn the British steel industry? If that was even considered during the drawing up of that policy it has failed significantly.

The point i was making is that EU policies have damaged our manufacturing industry, you see to be suggesting that the EU is innocent of this because of a policy brought about in 2016, long after the damage has been done.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 04, 2018, 08:08:02 pm

Check out point three which refers to the role of the eu in the decline of British steel manufacturing

If I can refer you to this post I made a couple of months ago in a discussion with wing commander on the same topic:
http://www.drfc-vsc.co.uk/index.php?topic=263514.msg730167#msg730167

I paraphrase my main point here for continuity.

In the 1970's, British Steel employed over 250 000 people (many in my family). By 1981 after Thatcher and McGregor had closed closed Shotton, Corby, Normanby Park and others it was down to 88 000. Then after privatisation they closed Rotherham and Ravenscraig so that by 1997 it was down to 28 000. When Tata took over in 2007 it was 23 000.

So how was this the fault of the EU and not Tory government policies?


If you reconsider my argument I say in part it was due to the EU. As a socialist I am fully aware of the damage Thatcherism and tory policies have caused to this country.

The European Union and China are two of the biggest traders in the world. China is now the EU's second-biggest trading partner behind the United States and the EU is China's biggest trading partner.

The EU is committed to open trading relations with China. The weakened YEN and this trading agreement has put the final nail in the coffin of British steel and therein you have an example of how the EU has weakened the British economy.

Here's the EU's current commitment to open trading with China but I can't see anything that would have an adverse effect on British steel. Can you point me to it?

http://eeas.europa.eu/archives/docs/china/docs/joint_communication_to_the_european_parliament_and_the_council_-_elements_for_a_new_eu_strategy_on_china.pdf

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/industry/11844952/Cheap-Chinese-imports-hits-profits-at-Britains-biggest-steel-maker.html

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-34581945

Cheap Chinese steel imports would not be possible without the EU trade agreement with China.

Both of those pre-date the document I linked to and are speculation at best anyway. That's why I went to the source document. Link to something in that.

Whats your point? Can you point to where that agreement protects the the UK from cheap imports from China and in turn the British steel industry? If that was even considered during the drawing up of that policy it has failed significantly.

The point i was making is that EU policies have damaged our manufacturing industry, you see to be suggesting that the EU is innocent of this because of a policy brought about in 2016, long after the damage has been done.

No, because it doesn't talk about it at all. It mentions nothing about changing the current rules, including imposition of Anti-Dumping Duty. That's my point. What's your point about it, or are you just blaming it without knowing anything about it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 04, 2018, 08:12:04 pm

Check out point three which refers to the role of the eu in the decline of British steel manufacturing

If I can refer you to this post I made a couple of months ago in a discussion with wing commander on the same topic:
http://www.drfc-vsc.co.uk/index.php?topic=263514.msg730167#msg730167

I paraphrase my main point here for continuity.

In the 1970's, British Steel employed over 250 000 people (many in my family). By 1981 after Thatcher and McGregor had closed closed Shotton, Corby, Normanby Park and others it was down to 88 000. Then after privatisation they closed Rotherham and Ravenscraig so that by 1997 it was down to 28 000. When Tata took over in 2007 it was 23 000.

So how was this the fault of the EU and not Tory government policies?


If you reconsider my argument I say in part it was due to the EU. As a socialist I am fully aware of the damage Thatcherism and tory policies have caused to this country.

The European Union and China are two of the biggest traders in the world. China is now the EU's second-biggest trading partner behind the United States and the EU is China's biggest trading partner.

The EU is committed to open trading relations with China. The weakened YEN and this trading agreement has put the final nail in the coffin of British steel and therein you have an example of how the EU has weakened the British economy.

Here's the EU's current commitment to open trading with China but I can't see anything that would have an adverse effect on British steel. Can you point me to it?

http://eeas.europa.eu/archives/docs/china/docs/joint_communication_to_the_european_parliament_and_the_council_-_elements_for_a_new_eu_strategy_on_china.pdf

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/industry/11844952/Cheap-Chinese-imports-hits-profits-at-Britains-biggest-steel-maker.html

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-34581945

Cheap Chinese steel imports would not be possible without the EU trade agreement with China.

Both of those pre-date the document I linked to and are speculation at best anyway. That's why I went to the source document. Link to something in that.

Whats your point? Can you point to where that agreement protects the the UK from cheap imports from China and in turn the British steel industry? If that was even considered during the drawing up of that policy it has failed significantly.

The point i was making is that EU policies have damaged our manufacturing industry, you see to be suggesting that the EU is innocent of this because of a policy brought about in 2016, long after the damage has been done.

No, because it doesn't talk about it at all. It mentions nothing about changing the current rules, including imposition of Anti-Dumping Duty. That's my point. What's your point about it, or are you just blaming it without knowing anything about it?

My point is the EU's trade deal with China has, due to the ability for the Chinese to import chap steel, damaged the UK's steel industry. I take it you don't have a counter argument based on any thing other than the trade deal doesn't speak about the steel industry directly?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 04, 2018, 08:13:54 pm
Cheap Chinese steel imports would not be possible without the EU trade agreement with China.

I missed this gem from earlier.

There IS no EU trade agreement with China, yet your links blames cheap imports from China on one. Imports from China are currently - and have been for several years, based on the WTO rules that Brexit looks like hurtling us towards.

So it rather obviously IS possible to have cheap imports without a non-existent trade agreement.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 04, 2018, 08:15:10 pm
My point is the EU's trade deal with China has, due to the ability for the Chinese to import chap steel, damaged the UK's steel industry. I take it you don't have a counter argument based on any thing other than the trade deal doesn't speak about the steel industry directly?

What EU trade deal?

There is no EU trade deal with China.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 04, 2018, 08:15:33 pm
Although we all have different opinions, many which I don't agree with, it is nice to be able to have a reasoned debate about leaving the EU without people claiming I'm a racist.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 04, 2018, 08:25:06 pm
My point is the EU's trade deal with China has, due to the ability for the Chinese to import chap steel, damaged the UK's steel industry. I take it you don't have a counter argument based on any thing other than the trade deal doesn't speak about the steel industry directly?

What EU trade deal?

There is no EU trade deal with China.


The document you posted, if you had bothered to read it, talks about the EU adopted a new strategy on China mapping out the European Union's relationship with China for the next five years. The strategy also includes a trade agenda with a strong focus on improving market access opportunities.

Without a trade deal we couldn't trade with china full stop.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 04, 2018, 08:29:28 pm
My point is the EU's trade deal with China has, due to the ability for the Chinese to import chap steel, damaged the UK's steel industry. I take it you don't have a counter argument based on any thing other than the trade deal doesn't speak about the steel industry directly?

What EU trade deal?

There is no EU trade deal with China.


The document you posted, if you had bothered to read it, talks about the EU adopted a new strategy on China mapping out the European Union's relationship with China for the next five years. The strategy also includes a trade agenda with a strong focus on improving market access opportunities.

Without a trade deal we couldn't trade with china full stop.

Yes, I know, but it that's just general objectives without any actual propositions. 'market access' can mean a lot of things, it doesn't just relate to tariffs.

And, as it's talking about the future, how exactly has a non-extent trade agreement between the EU and China meant us importing cheap steel in the past as you have repeatedly claimed?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 04, 2018, 08:34:15 pm
My point is the EU's trade deal with China has, due to the ability for the Chinese to import chap steel, damaged the UK's steel industry. I take it you don't have a counter argument based on any thing other than the trade deal doesn't speak about the steel industry directly?

What EU trade deal?

There is no EU trade deal with China.


The document you posted, if you had bothered to read it, talks about the EU adopted a new strategy on China mapping out the European Union's relationship with China for the next five years. The strategy also includes a trade agenda with a strong focus on improving market access opportunities.

Without a trade deal we couldn't trade with china full stop.

Yes, I know, but it that's just general objectives without any actual propositions. 'market access' can mean a lot of things, it doesn't just relate to tariffs.

And, as it's talking about the future, how exactly has a non-extent trade agreement between the EU and China meant us importing cheap steel in the past as you have repeatedly claimed?

Its not a claim, its a fact. So what happened is the YEN crashed and the Chinese started selling steel to the uk at ridiculously low prices. This  contributed the difficulties in the britain's ability to sell their own steel and the death nail in the industry this is well documented.

The EU and China do have a trade deal.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/755139.stm

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/755139.stm

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 04, 2018, 08:45:24 pm
My point is the EU's trade deal with China has, due to the ability for the Chinese to import chap steel, damaged the UK's steel industry. I take it you don't have a counter argument based on any thing other than the trade deal doesn't speak about the steel industry directly?

What EU trade deal?

There is no EU trade deal with China.


The document you posted, if you had bothered to read it, talks about the EU adopted a new strategy on China mapping out the European Union's relationship with China for the next five years. The strategy also includes a trade agenda with a strong focus on improving market access opportunities.

Without a trade deal we couldn't trade with china full stop.

Yes, I know, but it that's just general objectives without any actual propositions. 'market access' can mean a lot of things, it doesn't just relate to tariffs.

And, as it's talking about the future, how exactly has a non-extent trade agreement between the EU and China meant us importing cheap steel in the past as you have repeatedly claimed?

Its not a claim, its a fact. So what happened is the YEN crashed and the Chinese started selling steel to the uk at ridiculously low prices. This  contributed the difficulties in the britain's ability to sell their own steel and the death nail in the industry this is well documented.

The EU and China do have a trade deal.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/755139.stm

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/755139.stm



That was to get China to join the WTO and have bi-lateral trade on the same rules as everybody else - the rules the UK will default to if we have a hard Brexit. Most of those measures were the same sort of thing I meant when I said that 'market access' doesn't necessarily relate to tariff levels. The EU did not change one tariff on imports from China - in fact the only tariff reductions were on goods from the EU to China! So I'd still like to know how you blame the EU for the cheap imports of Chinese steel.

The Chinese sell steel at ridiculously low prices because it is state-subsidised. EU rules prevent member states from doing this. Do you really think that the EU is suddenly going to go soft on state-subsidised imports from outside the EU and allow them in cheaper when they don't allow it from their own members? Because I certainly don't.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 04, 2018, 08:55:11 pm
AS

1) The Chinese currency is the Yuan. The Yen is Japan’s currency.

2) The Yuan hasn’t collapsed against either the Euro or the Pound. It has gradually got stronger over the past decade and is about 30% stronger against both than it was 10 years ago.


This is really worrying. You obviously think hard about this and have strong, passionate opinions. But your facts are consistently miles off the mark. If you’re really making your mind up on these manifestly wrong “facts”, don’t you think you ought to stop and have a think?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 04, 2018, 09:04:41 pm
I was wondering what the Yen had to do with anything...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 04, 2018, 09:06:18 pm
AS

1) The Chinese currency is the Yuan. The Yen is Japan’s currency.

2) The Yuan hasn’t collapsed against either the Euro or the Pound. It has gradually got stronger over the past decade and is about 30% stronger against both than it was 10 years ago.


This is really worrying. You obviously think hard about this and have strong, passionate opinions. But your facts are consistently miles off the mark. If you’re really making your mind up on these manifestly wrong “facts”, don’t you think you ought to stop and have a think?

My mistake re yen, if we are being pedantic renminbi is the official currency of the people's republic of china and yuan is the basic unit of renminbi.  I'm sure you didn't intend to be as patronising as that came across but would you care to explain why you think we import Chinese steel and whether you think this has contributed to the lack of steel industry in the UK. It seems to me that you are just blind to some of the problems the EU has caused the UK economically.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 04, 2018, 09:11:32 pm
BST

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-36099043

This article explains that due to the EU we have had problems raising the trade tariff on china. Now tell me again how the EU doesn't have a negative impact on British industry.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 04, 2018, 09:33:06 pm
AS

I wasnt trying to be patronising. It’s not patronising to point out errors. It’s the only way reasoned debate works.

My concern for a long time now is that people are tending to make their minds up first, look for “facts” or arguments which support that decision, then still stick to the original decision even when the “facts” or arguments are comprehensively shown to be erroneous. I do worry how democracy is supposed to operate in that sort of situation.

In this thread, I’ve pointed out half a dozen or more things in your arguments which are unquestionably wrong. But you haven’t once given any indication that this undermines your basic argument. Please don’t think it’s patronising to point this out. But it’s kind of pointless discussing anything if the basic premises of the discussion are simply wrong.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 04, 2018, 09:38:14 pm
AS

No. No, no, NO! That article does NOT say that the reason we cannot increase tariffs is because of the EU. Go and read it properly.

What you are doing is PRECISELY what I said in the previous post. You start off by deciding that the EU is the problem. Then you read into everything you see that theEU is the problem. Even when there’s no evidence that the EU is the problem. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 04, 2018, 09:47:18 pm
i could level the same accusations at you but in reverse. i have provided evidence which contradicts your arguments, you don't comment and maintain your view regardless of what is presented. You have formed a rationale the EU is gods gift to europeans, presumable including the greeks, Spanish, Italians and Portuguese and then find facts, and ignore others to maintain your view. That fine but I don't think we are ever going to agree.

You are clearly a bright guy so, out of interest, how would you say the UK could recover economically inside the EU with the constraints and bureaucracy that would entail?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 04, 2018, 09:56:39 pm
AS

Which arguments of mine have you shown to be wrong?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 04, 2018, 09:57:48 pm
BST

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-36099043

This article explains that due to the EU we have had problems raising the trade tariff on china. Now tell me again how the EU doesn't have a negative impact on British industry.

It does nothing of the sort. It only says that it's a difficult decision because of the possible implications of retaliatory action, not that there are any problems raising tariffs. And it doesn't mention the EU once. No evidence whatsoever.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 04, 2018, 10:27:07 pm
BST

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-36099043

This article explains that due to the EU we have had problems raising the trade tariff on china. Now tell me again how the EU doesn't have a negative impact on British industry.

It does nothing of the sort. It only says that it's a difficult decision because of the possible implications of retaliatory action, not that there are any problems raising tariffs. And it doesn't mention the EU once. No evidence whatsoever.

Firstly it does mention the EU, second of all who do you think manages the european/ china tariffs from the european side of business? Its not individual countries as we aren't allowed to do that are we?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on January 04, 2018, 10:29:14 pm
AS

Your persevernce in your arguments is admirable but I am afraid your arguments themselves are less the pursusive.

In October 2016 the EU imposed a tariff of 22% on the import of Chinese steel to stop dumping.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/oct/07/european-union-import-duties-chinese-steel-port-talbot-tata

In April 2017 it further raised these to 36%.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/oct/07/european-union-import-duties-chinese-steel-port-talbot-tata

This angered the Chinese who argued that this was against WTO rules and they would lodge a case with the WTO for compensation unless these were dropped. Thus in October 2017 the EU revised their tariffs and rules to avoid this case (which is your Telegraph story)
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/business/china-goes-public-in-wto-dispute-with-eu-and-us/articleshow/62088521.cms
https://thediplomat.com/2017/12/eus-new-anti-dumping-rules-threaten-trade-relations-with-china/

Of course there was one country in the EU that has always opposed raising tariffs on Chinese goods including steel - the UK.
https://fullfact.org/europe/is-uk-calling-for-lower-eu-duties-chinese-steel/

At no point in any of the Brexit negotiations have I ever heard anyone (other than you) say that it will allow us in the future to put barriers on trading with China. In fact all I have heard is that it will allow us to get a better free trade deal with China and more cheap Chinese imports.

Which is why Cameron has been appointed some sort of trade ambassador to China and ministers have been out there last week. I have no idea if these will lead to more imports of cheap Chinese steel but it certainly wont lead to less. And there is no way we could impose the extra tarrifs you want - it's illegal under WTO rules as that DT article shows.

Give it up. There is no economic argument for leaving the world's largest trading block. There is an ideological one but that's another story/argument on the lines of Farage.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 04, 2018, 10:30:03 pm
AS

Which arguments of mine have you shown to be wrong?

I really don't have the time, or the energy to go back through all of the posts but we can agree to disagree and I for one have enjoyed a healthy debate. I am still interested though on how you envisage the UK recovering economically inside the EU with the constraints and bureaucracy that would entail.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 04, 2018, 10:47:34 pm
AS

Your persevernce in your arguments is admirable but I am afraid your arguments themselves are less the pursusive.

In October 2016 the EU imposed a tariff of 22% on the import of Chinese steel to stop dumping.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/oct/07/european-union-import-duties-chinese-steel-port-talbot-tata

In April 2017 it further raised these to 36%.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/oct/07/european-union-import-duties-chinese-steel-port-talbot-tata

This angered the Chinese who argued that this was against WTO rules and they would lodge a case with the WTO for compensation unless these were dropped. Thus in October 2017 the EU revised their tariffs and rules to avoid this case (which is your Telegraph story)
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/business/china-goes-public-in-wto-dispute-with-eu-and-us/articleshow/62088521.cms
https://thediplomat.com/2017/12/eus-new-anti-dumping-rules-threaten-trade-relations-with-china/

Of course there was one country in the EU that has always opposed raising tariffs on Chinese goods including steel - the UK.
https://fullfact.org/europe/is-uk-calling-for-lower-eu-duties-chinese-steel/

At no point in any of the Brexit negotiations have I ever heard anyone (other than you) say that it will allow us in the future to put barriers on trading with China. In fact all I have heard is that it will allow us to get a better free trade deal with China and more cheap Chinese imports.

Which is why Cameron has been appointed some sort of trade ambassador to China and ministers have been out there last week. I have no idea if these will lead to more imports of cheap Chinese steel but it certainly wont lead to less. And there is no way we could impose the extra tarrifs you want - it's illegal under WTO rules as that DT article shows.

Give it up. There is no economic argument for leaving the world's largest trading block. There is an ideological one but that's another story/argument on the lines of Farage.

I think your post highlights some of the difficulties with the EU, being the time and complexity of putting safeguards, such as the aforementioned trade agreements in place. To try and put in a trade agreement to stem the flow of steel after the industry has already been destroyed is frustrating and ludicrous. Too little too late. How many times will the EU let this happen?

The weakness of the euro compared to the strength of sterling also led to the steel contract for Hinkley Point being made off shore at the very point our plants were going under.

I am not, and have not directly advocated higher tariffs with the Chinese in any of my posts, there are other protective measures that can be incorporated into trade agreements without the need for higher tariffs. As for Cameron and co I would check the lining of there pockets upon any agreement being reached. There will be no trade deal unless her personally benefits massively from it. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 04, 2018, 10:50:45 pm
AS

You wanted my take? Here’s my take.

1) I think the EU has been a phenomenal success in knitting together the most fractious, divided and dangerous region on earth into a grouping that sees its better off working together than working against each other. Consider this. From 100AD until 1945, on average an army crossed the Rhine to do battle every 37 years. Prior to the Treaty of Rome, that had happened 4 times in the previous 86 years. That is utterly unthinkable today. Ask yourself why.

2) I think that the EU has been a phenomenal success in securing democracy in countriestgat didn’t have a strong tradition of it. Spain, Portugal, Greece, Germany, Italy, Poland, Romania, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czechia, Slovakia,Hungary, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania had all been ruled by non-democratic, (often violently non-democratic) regimes a few years prior to joining the EEC/EC/EU. Ask yourself why it’s unthinkable that most of those will go back to those situations in the medium term (granted, Hungary is slipping).

3) I think the EU has been a phenomenal success in bringing economically backward regions up to higher standards. Italy had an economic miracle in the1960s in the EEC. Spain, Portugal and Ireland were decades behind Germany and France when they joined, as were the ex-Soviet bloc countries. All of them have made massive strides within the EU. That’s vitally important. I don’t want to live in a wealthy country next door to dirt poor people scraping a living. Partly because I’m a socialist and I hate imposed inequality. Partly because it leads to frictions and fractures and makes us all less safe.

4)I think the Euro, or, more specifically, the ECB’s response to the Euro crisis, was an unmitigated disaster which caused a lost of utterly unnecessary economic decline and suffering. If you’re really interested, you could have a look at what I said on the issue in here between 2011 and 2015. But I think many of those lessons have been learned. And in any case, that has nothing whatsoever to do with our membership of the EU.

5) I would accept a slightly poorer, weakefUK just for the benefits of the first 3 points. But membership of the EU has not made us poorer or weaker. Prior to the madness of Austerity, we had done better inside the EU than we had in the period between WWII and joining the EEC.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 04, 2018, 10:54:23 pm
Quote
The weakness of the euro compared to the strength of sterling also led to the steel contract for Hinkley Point being made off shore at the very point our plants were going under.

Jesus wept! How many times? By what measures I you consider the pound to be strong against the Euro? And what on Earth has any of that to do with our membership of the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 04, 2018, 10:54:44 pm
BST

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-36099043

This article explains that due to the EU we have had problems raising the trade tariff on china. Now tell me again how the EU doesn't have a negative impact on British industry.

It does nothing of the sort. It only says that it's a difficult decision because of the possible implications of retaliatory action, not that there are any problems raising tariffs. And it doesn't mention the EU once. No evidence whatsoever.

Firstly it does mention the EU, second of all who do you think manages the european/ china tariffs from the european side of business? Its not individual countries as we aren't allowed to do that are we?

Oh yes, sorry I missed the line that said the EU's output has fallen 12%. But that wasn't anything in the context of trade or imports/exports, which must be why I missed it.

As for everything else, this article that is supposed to prove something says nothing about what you say after your first comma - so why do you think that article proves anything you say at all? I really cannot see why you posted it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 04, 2018, 10:55:35 pm
Quote
The weakness of the euro compared to the strength of sterling also led to the steel contract for Hinkley Point being made off shore at the very point our plants were going under.

Jesus wept! How many times? By what measures I you consider the pound to be strong against the Euro? And what on Earth has any of that to do with our membership of the EU?

On what basis don't you?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 04, 2018, 10:57:26 pm
I think your post highlights some of the difficulties with the EU, being the time and complexity of putting safeguards, such as the aforementioned trade agreements in place. To try and put in a trade agreement to stem the flow of steel after the industry has already been destroyed is frustrating and ludicrous. Too little too late. How many times will the EU let this happen?

The weakness of the euro compared to the strength of sterling also led to the steel contract for Hinkley Point being made off shore at the very point our plants were going under.

I am not, and have not directly advocated higher tariffs with the Chinese in any of my posts, there are other protective measures that can be incorporated into trade agreements without the need for higher tariffs. As for Cameron and co I would check the lining of there pockets upon any agreement being reached. There will be no trade deal unless her personally benefits massively from it. 

Which ones are you thinking of? The only one I can think of is quotas but that includes protectionist tariffs anyway.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 04, 2018, 10:58:09 pm
Quote
The weakness of the euro compared to the strength of sterling also led to the steel contract for Hinkley Point being made off shore at the very point our plants were going under.

Jesus wept! How many times? By what measures I you consider the pound to be strong against the Euro? And what on Earth has any of that to do with our membership of the EU?

On what basis don't you?

Is the US dollar weaker than the pound because it has a lower exchange rate?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 04, 2018, 11:01:11 pm
Quote
The weakness of the euro compared to the strength of sterling also led to the steel contract for Hinkley Point being made off shore at the very point our plants were going under.

Jesus wept! How many times? By what measures I you consider the pound to be strong against the Euro? And what on Earth has any of that to do with our membership of the EU?

On what basis don't you?

On the basis that, over the past decade, the pound has on average been worth about 10-20% less against the Euro than it was in the period leading up to the start of the Euro. Currently it’s worth more than 30% less.

Back when we joined the EEC, £1 was worth about US$2.4, DM5.5 and 10 French Francs. Today (converting back to the DM and FF currencies for the current £/€ exchange rate) £1 is worth about US$1.35, DM2.25 and FF7.4. So whatever membership of the EE /EU has done, it hasn’t strengthened the pound.

If you truly believe that the fact that £1 buys more than €1 means that the pound is stronger than the Euro then further discussion is pointless.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on January 05, 2018, 02:16:31 am
The last 1 stu, it's not about labour it's about any party, what they do is give a bit in 1 hand take it out the other but when all is done not much changes whichever party is in power

bpool this is not about a temporary change in governance but a complete change in the way we live and trade - a huge huge change to our circumstances. 
A change in Government could be compared to changing suits ; coming out of the EU will mean we can no longer afford a suit and instead will have to strut our stuff on the world's stage with only our boxers/ knickers on !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on January 05, 2018, 03:06:54 am
AS

Your persevernce in your arguments is admirable but I am afraid your arguments themselves are less the pursusive.

In October 2016 the EU imposed a tariff of 22% on the import of Chinese steel to stop dumping.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/oct/07/european-union-import-duties-chinese-steel-port-talbot-tata

In April 2017 it further raised these to 36%.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/oct/07/european-union-import-duties-chinese-steel-port-talbot-tata

This angered the Chinese who argued that this was against WTO rules and they would lodge a case with the WTO for compensation unless these were dropped. Thus in October 2017 the EU revised their tariffs and rules to avoid this case (which is your Telegraph story)
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/business/china-goes-public-in-wto-dispute-with-eu-and-us/articleshow/62088521.cms
https://thediplomat.com/2017/12/eus-new-anti-dumping-rules-threaten-trade-relations-with-china/

Of course there was one country in the EU that has always opposed raising tariffs on Chinese goods including steel - the UK.
https://fullfact.org/europe/is-uk-calling-for-lower-eu-duties-chinese-steel/

At no point in any of the Brexit negotiations have I ever heard anyone (other than you) say that it will allow us in the future to put barriers on trading with China. In fact all I have heard is that it will allow us to get a better free trade deal with China and more cheap Chinese imports.

Which is why Cameron has been appointed some sort of trade ambassador to China and ministers have been out there last week. I have no idea if these will lead to more imports of cheap Chinese steel but it certainly wont lead to less. And there is no way we could impose the extra tarrifs you want - it's illegal under WTO rules as that DT article shows.

Give it up. There is no economic argument for leaving the world's largest trading block. There is an ideological one but that's another story/argument on the lines of Farage.

Yes AS fascinating as this whole debate has been and I must say taken in  good- spirit WITHOUT anyone being patronising . This final quote is the most interesting and unhinged your fine attempts to make a good fist out of weak facts. I do wish you had the grace to concede when you are clearly fighting a losing battle though as difficult as that is .

Fact is the EU has had a negligible effect on our Steel Industry and you haven't proven your case in the least.
Anyway here's the quote I was referring to and perhaps you can enlighten me as to our actions ......

" Of course there was one country in the EU that has always opposed raising tariffs on Chinese goods including steel - the UK. "

Finally there are many Remainers on here and all have expressed some concern or another with the structure and day to day workings  of the EU - however it is the best out there " warts and all  " for us as a leading European country and certainly a better option than chasing trade deals with China ( strangely ) , USA , India and Turkey. There are many other ties we have with the bloc too and it has been proven beyond all reasonable doubt that the benefits of our being a member far outweighed the costs.

Still Brexit has killed the goose that lay the golden egg and that won't be replaced with inferior trade deals with any combination of the above countries . There are so many costs, more than anyone voting in that Referendum could ever know or perhaps admit to. It's not too late AS , oh and that decision NOT to put tariffs on Chinese goods anything to do with keeping the Chinese happy with their investment in Hinckley B or a future trade deal ?

I am still waiting for a Leaver to say anything positive about our 40 + years in the EU . Can you think of anything Aidanstu ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 05, 2018, 01:01:16 pm
AS

Your persevernce in your arguments is admirable but I am afraid your arguments themselves are less the pursusive.

In October 2016 the EU imposed a tariff of 22% on the import of Chinese steel to stop dumping.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/oct/07/european-union-import-duties-chinese-steel-port-talbot-tata

In April 2017 it further raised these to 36%.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/oct/07/european-union-import-duties-chinese-steel-port-talbot-tata

This angered the Chinese who argued that this was against WTO rules and they would lodge a case with the WTO for compensation unless these were dropped. Thus in October 2017 the EU revised their tariffs and rules to avoid this case (which is your Telegraph story)
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/business/china-goes-public-in-wto-dispute-with-eu-and-us/articleshow/62088521.cms
https://thediplomat.com/2017/12/eus-new-anti-dumping-rules-threaten-trade-relations-with-china/

Of course there was one country in the EU that has always opposed raising tariffs on Chinese goods including steel - the UK.
https://fullfact.org/europe/is-uk-calling-for-lower-eu-duties-chinese-steel/

At no point in any of the Brexit negotiations have I ever heard anyone (other than you) say that it will allow us in the future to put barriers on trading with China. In fact all I have heard is that it will allow us to get a better free trade deal with China and more cheap Chinese imports.

Which is why Cameron has been appointed some sort of trade ambassador to China and ministers have been out there last week. I have no idea if these will lead to more imports of cheap Chinese steel but it certainly wont lead to less. And there is no way we could impose the extra tarrifs you want - it's illegal under WTO rules as that DT article shows.

Give it up. There is no economic argument for leaving the world's largest trading block. There is an ideological one but that's another story/argument on the lines of Farage.

Yes AS fascinating as this whole debate has been and I must say taken in  good- spirit WITHOUT anyone being patronising . This final quote is the most interesting and unhinged your fine attempts to make a good fist out of weak facts. I do wish you had the grace to concede when you are clearly fighting a losing battle though as difficult as that is .

Fact is the EU has had a negligible effect on our Steel Industry and you haven't proven your case in the least.
Anyway here's the quote I was referring to and perhaps you can enlighten me as to our actions ......

" Of course there was one country in the EU that has always opposed raising tariffs on Chinese goods including steel - the UK. "

Finally there are many Remainers on here and all have expressed some concern or another with the structure and day to day workings  of the EU - however it is the best out there " warts and all  " for us as a leading European country and certainly a better option than chasing trade deals with China ( strangely ) , USA , India and Turkey. There are many other ties we have with the bloc too and it has been proven beyond all reasonable doubt that the benefits of our being a member far outweighed the costs.

Still Brexit has killed the goose that lay the golden egg and that won't be replaced with inferior trade deals with any combination of the above countries . There are so many costs, more than anyone voting in that Referendum could ever know or perhaps admit to. It's not too late AS , oh and that decision NOT to put tariffs on Chinese goods anything to do with keeping the Chinese happy with their investment in Hinckley B or a future trade deal ?

I am still waiting for a Leaver to say anything positive about our 40 + years in the EU . Can you think of anything Aidanstu ?

Hoola first of all there are some positives about the EU, i think any idiot can see that. Just because I am a euro sceptic doesn't mean I am blind to the attempts by the EU to improve life i.e.; emergency healthcare in other EU countries (although many countries still continue to attempt to charge British citizens for such), equal consumer rights across the EU (if your able to enforce them) and the "protection" of there Human Rights ct (which isn't fit for purpose and is frequently abused. Sorry I'm being facetious.

The paragraph you refer to above is an example of the EU inability to respond in a timely manner in regards to the threat of international trade, (it started to respond in 2014, way after the Chinese steel industry and exploited Europe. it was argued that the deal the EU was trying to enforce and which the UK was trying to avoid was one that simply throwing the baby out with the bath water and did nothing to protect British steel but was going to damage other trade links.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-35951108

The whole Hinkley Point agreement is an embarrassment to the Conservative party and has little benefit to britain other then May and her cronies.

https://cleantechnica.com/2016/09/19/theresa-may-approve-biggest-white-elephant-british-history-hinkley-point-c-nuclear-project/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on January 05, 2018, 07:17:36 pm
Smashing AS I anticipated a reply that gave some positives about the EU followed by reasons why they were probably worthless so therefore to your way of thinking a complete waste of time to the average Joe Bloggs out there.

How you have missed the many many  other positives that this country has received by being a member of this trading bloc shows you up . The way our people move , work, educate, retire and holiday seamlessly for the last 40 + years seems to have gone completely unnoticed by you . Where have you been or rather where have you NOT  been during this time astounds me ?
It is obvious from your posts that you are a bright chap , able to wriggle your way out of the blind alleys that you yourself find yourself in ; so I find myself wondering whether you are being deliberately awkward ( a denier) or perhaps you have been brainwashed . My hope is that it is the former rather than the latter and at some stage you will finally drop the pretence and admit that you actually enjoy taking on a group of intellectuals on the  back foot from the start . If so you deserve my admiration for making a really good fist in defending an extremely weak standpoint.

I'm not going to sit and list all the Treaties between the 28 as I suspect you yourself already know them all off by heart. Giving links to argument after argument and fact after fact about the prosperity that being a member of this club has bought us would I fear be lost on you anyway judging by what I've seen in this thread.

Finally just one final thought , I do have to declare an interest here with my daughter going to study at the University of Copenhagen next year with the financial support of the Erasmus + programme . She is not alone locally , kids from our area could never have dreamed of these opportunities in the 70's or for that matter afford them even now. In much the same way as the European Re-generation projects have propelled this region forward out of the ashes of Thatcher's Britain - these are two specific policies that our people have enjoyed the benefit of and sadly you failed to mention . Please open your eyes or at least drop the pretence. 

Sorry I failed to address your final point on Hinckley B, yes it is a vanity project , like HS 2/3  - all persued to provide cover for what is to come . Yet another pretence to con the peoples of the Midlands and the North of England that all is well when quite clearly it won't be either affordable or sensible to persue projects that will be wildly out of date by the time of completion and providing of course the money lasts.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 05, 2018, 08:03:26 pm
Smashing AS I anticipated a reply that gave some positives about the EU followed by reasons why they were probably worthless so therefore to your way of thinking a complete waste of time to the average Joe Bloggs out there.

How you have missed the many many  other positives that this country has received by being a member of this trading bloc shows you up . The way our people move , work, educate, retire and holiday seamlessly for the last 40 + years seems to have gone completely unnoticed by you . Where have you been or rather where have you NOT  been during this time astounds me ?
It is obvious from your posts that you are a bright chap , able to wriggle your way out of the blind alleys that you yourself find yourself in ; so I find myself wondering whether you are being deliberately awkward ( a denier) or perhaps you have been brainwashed . My hope is that it is the former rather than the latter and at some stage you will finally drop the pretence and admit that you actually enjoy taking on a group of intellectuals on the  back foot from the start . If so you deserve my admiration for making a really good fist in defending an extremely weak standpoint.

I'm not going to sit and list all the Treaties between the 28 as I suspect you yourself already know them all off by heart. Giving links to argument after argument and fact after fact about the prosperity that being a member of this club has bought us would I fear be lost on you anyway judging by what I've seen in this thread.

Finally just one final thought , I do have to declare an interest here with my daughter going to study at the University of Copenhagen next year with the financial support of the Erasmus + programme . She is not alone locally , kids from our area could never have dreamed of these opportunities in the 70's or for that matter afford them even now. In much the same way as the European Re-generation projects have propelled this region forward out of the ashes of Thatcher's Britain - these are two specific policies that our people have enjoyed the benefit of and sadly you failed to mention . Please open your eyes or at least drop the pretence. 

Sorry I failed to address your final point on Hinckley B, yes it is a vanity project , like HS 2/3  - all persued to provide cover for what is to come . Yet another pretence to con the peoples of the Midlands and the North of England that all is well when quite clearly it won't be either affordable or sensible to persue projects that will be wildly out of date by the time of completion and providing of course the money lasts.

Hoola differences apart I am aware of some of the positives Europe brings, although overall I still want out. That said I wish your daughters well for their studies.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on January 05, 2018, 08:04:30 pm
The paragraph you refer to above is an example of the EU inability to respond in a timely manner in regards to the threat of international trade, (it started to respond in 2014, way after the Chinese steel industry and exploited Europe. it was argued that the deal the EU was trying to enforce and which the UK was trying to avoid was one that simply throwing the baby out with the bath water and did nothing to protect British steel but was going to damage other trade links.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-35951108


It's a shame that you didnt read the links in the article you posted. This is what the steel industry said at the time (March 2016) needed to be done to save the industry:

"We need much further action taking place to tackle the imports, the flood of Chinese steel into the UK and the European economy. We need to see government and the European Commission tackling that head on and quickly," says Gareth Stace, director of UK Steel.

"Ministers can also do more by reforming business rates to exclude some of the penalties steel companies and others face if they invest in plant and machinery," says Terry Scuoler, chief executive of EEF, the manufacturers' organisation.

"Alongside this, the UK has one of the highest electricity costs for the energy intensive industries in Europe because of hindering domestic policy. We need to see a level playing field with our European competitors to ensure a positive future for the steel sector," he says.

See nothing in there about the EU policy or tariffs. The industry themselves place both the fault and remedy on the British government. It was the failure of domestic policy that made the industry uncompetitive.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on January 06, 2018, 01:21:15 am
Smashing AS I anticipated a reply that gave some positives about the EU followed by reasons why they were probably worthless so therefore to your way of thinking a complete waste of time to the average Joe Bloggs out there.

How you have missed the many many  other positives that this country has received by being a member of this trading bloc shows you up . The way our people move , work, educate, retire and holiday seamlessly for the last 40 + years seems to have gone completely unnoticed by you . Where have you been or rather where have you NOT  been during this time astounds me ?
It is obvious from your posts that you are a bright chap , able to wriggle your way out of the blind alleys that you yourself find yourself in ; so I find myself wondering whether you are being deliberately awkward ( a denier) or perhaps you have been brainwashed . My hope is that it is the former rather than the latter and at some stage you will finally drop the pretence and admit that you actually enjoy taking on a group of intellectuals on the  back foot from the start . If so you deserve my admiration for making a really good fist in defending an extremely weak standpoint.

I'm not going to sit and list all the Treaties between the 28 as I suspect you yourself already know them all off by heart. Giving links to argument after argument and fact after fact about the prosperity that being a member of this club has bought us would I fear be lost on you anyway judging by what I've seen in this thread.

Finally just one final thought , I do have to declare an interest here with my daughter going to study at the University of Copenhagen next year with the financial support of the Erasmus + programme . She is not alone locally , kids from our area could never have dreamed of these opportunities in the 70's or for that matter afford them even now. In much the same way as the European Re-generation projects have propelled this region forward out of the ashes of Thatcher's Britain - these are two specific policies that our people have enjoyed the benefit of and sadly you failed to mention . Please open your eyes or at least drop the pretence. 

Sorry I failed to address your final point on Hinckley B, yes it is a vanity project , like HS 2/3  - all persued to provide cover for what is to come . Yet another pretence to con the peoples of the Midlands and the North of England that all is well when quite clearly it won't be either affordable or sensible to persue projects that will be wildly out of date by the time of completion and providing of course the money lasts.

Hoola differences apart I am aware of some of the positives Europe brings, although overall I still want out. That said I wish your daughters well for their studies.

Thanks for your wishes AS and of course fella you are entitled to your opinion - as long as you don't start supporting Leeds that is  . RTWD  and let's look forward to a great Cup win tomorrow or should I now say today.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on January 06, 2018, 06:39:47 am
Do you think it will make much difference to the average person if we are in or out of the eu? I was thinking back to when labour were in power other day and to be honest it's no different from now, apart from a few quid either way I'm not sure it makes any difference
http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/67030/1/Begg_EU%20budget.pdf

Page 7, chart shows that of the 4 largest economies Britains contributions are the lowest.

"UK household is £3,000 per year better off through belonging to the EU. This may or may not be a well-founded statistic, but it is derived from an assessment that includes the effects of lower prices
attributable to the more competitive business environment of the single market and various"

If I have read correctly Britain's contributions work out to be 1% of the GNI, and as BST stated earlier the cost of a coffee/wk/person.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on January 06, 2018, 08:38:48 am
Do you think it will make much difference to the average person if we are in or out of the eu? I was thinking back to when labour were in power other day and to be honest it's no different from now, apart from a few quid either way I'm not sure it makes any difference
http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/67030/1/Begg_EU%20budget.pdf

Page 7, chart shows that of the 4 largest economies Britains contributions are the lowest.

"UK household is £3,000 per year better off through belonging to the EU. This may or may not be a well-founded statistic, but it is derived from an assessment that includes the effects of lower prices
attributable to the more competitive business environment of the single market and various"

If I have read correctly Britain's contributions work out to be 1% of the GNI, and as BST stated earlier the cost of a coffee/wk/person.



Which people are £3000 better off? The average jo in the street? I think not. Both the London school of economics is part funded by the EU, is based in Westminster and benefit from the tuition fees of European students. What other motivation would they need to turn out such a report in any event. Hardly independent.

All of the references used in the report predate 2010 so the research is not either recent or relevant. Nice try though.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 06, 2018, 11:19:52 am
AS

Your cynicism is depressing. The assumption that everyone is on the fiddle and trying to lie to you means that you can find a reason to reject anything that goes against your pre-set opinions.

For your info, that wasn’t a “report”. It was a peer-reviewed research paper, published in a major economics journal which has been publishing in this field for half a century.

The peer review process means that every fact and claim in the paper is checked by leading experts on the subject. If they are not happy, they can demand that changes are made to the article before it is published. Or, they can recommend to the Editor of the journal that the article is unfit for publication.

Trust me, that process is usually very detailed and very arduous. Journals make their reputation by publishing work which stands up to scrutiny. Journals which publish shit quickly die off.

This is how truth and facts get established. This is how society develops and matures. Not by folk on the internet chucking out “facts” which are not actually facts but which support a pre-determined opinion and then shouting “Not interested” when anything comes along which challenges that belief. But by establishing genuine facts which stand up to scrutiny and which can then be used to draw solid conclusions.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on January 07, 2018, 12:56:03 am
Do you think it will make much difference to the average person if we are in or out of the eu? I was thinking back to when labour were in power other day and to be honest it's no different from now, apart from a few quid either way I'm not sure it makes any difference
http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/67030/1/Begg_EU%20budget.pdf

Page 7, chart shows that of the 4 largest economies Britains contributions are the lowest.

"UK household is £3,000 per year better off through belonging to the EU. This may or may not be a well-founded statistic, but it is derived from an assessment that includes the effects of lower prices
attributable to the more competitive business environment of the single market and various"

If I have read correctly Britain's contributions work out to be 1% of the GNI, and as BST stated earlier the cost of a coffee/wk/person.



Which people are £3000 better off? The average jo in the street? I think not. Both the London school of economics is part funded by the EU, is based in Westminster and benefit from the tuition fees of European students. What other motivation would they need to turn out such a report in any event. Hardly independent.

All of the references used in the report predate 2010 so the research is not either recent or relevant. Nice try though.

I am absolutely fascinated by the way you are so dismissive of such an extensive set of research as this from the LSE . It may have escaped your notice but ALL  our major universities have benefited for years from EU money - does that mean that you can just dismiss any report on virtually any subject on that premise ? You are so ill- informed and dismiss any material that doesn't meet your pre-conceived nonsense aren't you ; why are  you so quick to level these claims at a piece of research that fits in neatly with your own strange thoughts .... I give in with you !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on January 09, 2018, 05:10:08 pm
It would appear David "smoke and mirrors" Davis has been a bit more informative in private than his public statements admit, according to this leak reported in the Canary;
https://www.thecanary.co/?p=95309

Obfuscation as a political strategy has its limits.
Empire viagra is not a sufficient rationale other than to those using it to harvest votes from the dispossessed.

The idea that the UK should just blunder on to March 2019 without pause for thought looks increasingly shambolic.

There are fundamental questions about the nature of modern political governance behind this clusterf**k.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on January 10, 2018, 12:12:36 am
Seems to tie in with his now official concerns about the EU  preparing for a " no deal " scenario and the possibility of legal action .

You simply can't make this stuff up ....we threaten them with a " no deal " ,  they prepare for a " no deal " and that's the EU then scaring our companies to invest in the option that we in the first instance put on the table .

This is NOT going well , there are still unresolved matters from Phase1 To fight over yet . It is indeed a clusterf**k of the highest order . This man is both lazy and stupid .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 10, 2018, 12:20:19 am
They obviously believed May when she kept on parroting 'no deal is better than a bad deal'!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on January 10, 2018, 10:18:33 am
They obviously believed May when she kept on parroting 'no deal is better than a bad deal'!

The Government and certainly the Maybot gave them ample reason to prepare for such an eventuality with the constant parroting of " no deal is better than a bad deal "  - really who decides whether it is a bad deal ?
Why wouldn't they prepare for it  - signs of really poor bluffs from a poker player holding a pair of deuces. 
" No deal " it is then with this orchestrated manoeuvre or we back down big time and do more u turns . I fancy the latter and a fall of government by the summer.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 10, 2018, 08:43:23 pm
'Why wouldn't they prepare for it'...you're asking the question the wrong way round - why should they prepare anything? They didn't vote for Brexit, we did and dumped it on them and now apparently expect them to sort it out for us!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DevilMayCry on January 11, 2018, 11:47:53 am
Brexit: Nigel Farage says 'maybe' there should be a second referendum on EU membership

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-nigel-farage-second-referendum-eu-membership-wright-stuff-video-ukip-maybe-leader-a8153106.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 11, 2018, 12:26:55 pm
People moaning about the result?

That’ll be the Farage who said in May 2016:”If we were to lose narrowly, there'd be a large section, particularly in the Conservative Party, who'd feel the prime minister is not playing fair, that the Remain side is using way more money than the Leave side and there would be a resentment that would build up if that was to be the result.”

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36306681

Still, what do expect from him? The Kitson who said on the morning after the vote, “we did it without a shot being fired.” A week after Jo Cox had been shot dead by a maniac shouting “This is for Britain. Britain will always come first.”
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 11, 2018, 06:26:16 pm
People moaning about the result?

That’ll be the Farage who said in May 2016:”If we were to lose narrowly, there'd be a large section, particularly in the Conservative Party, who'd feel the prime minister is not playing fair, that the Remain side is using way more money than the Leave side and there would be a resentment that would build up if that was to be the result.”

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36306681

Still, what do expect from him? The Kitson who said on the morning after the vote, “we did it without a shot being fired.” A week after Jo Cox had been shot dead by a maniac shouting “This is for Britain. Britain will always come first.”

It's also the Farage who's seeing the dosh from the job that he sees as a sinecure disappearing into the distance.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on January 11, 2018, 06:32:20 pm
AND he wants another Vote to emphasise how much we really want to leave because we (the people) would vote in higher numbers to Leave

Im not an expert in Politics but can have an opinion and it is this. If another Referendum was held now the result would be massively in favour of Remain

I will settle though for a Vote when we have "some meat on the bones" whenever that comes along
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on January 11, 2018, 06:57:15 pm
Brexit: Nigel Farage says 'maybe' there should be a second referendum on EU membership

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-nigel-farage-second-referendum-eu-membership-wright-stuff-video-ukip-maybe-leader-a8153106.html

As Metternich said on learning of the death of Talleyrand, "what did he mean by that?" Farage seems to think that Leave would win another In / Out referendum, but I'm not so sure.

I do think his call will strengthen the hand of those who want a referendum on the terms of the final deal. I think that also might not produce the result he thinks it will.

Very odd.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 11, 2018, 07:05:05 pm
TRB

Maybe Putin’s changed his mind about Brexit...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 11, 2018, 08:16:08 pm
...or he's needing the cash now his bessie mate Donald's not given him a nice cushy well-paid job..!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on January 11, 2018, 08:57:49 pm
Methinks this maybe insurance by Farage so that the long suffering British publish don't have drawn and quartered and the pieces sent to the far corners of the earth.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: i_ateallthepies on January 12, 2018, 07:24:06 pm
The result of the referendum didn't surprise me, I thought from the start it would be a leave result.  Nor do I believe another referendum would overturn the result.  I can just see it now, Boris, Farage and their mates banging the drum of how the Eurocrats have behaved like total C**ts not giving us a fair deal and the sooner we're shut of the lot of them the better.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: graingrover on January 14, 2018, 10:51:46 am
Since the referendum ( I was not qualified to vote because I have lived on the European mainland too long) the EU has ;
 Agreed to build an army ( presumably a navy and airforce )
 Failed to comment on the imprisonment of politicians in Spain
  Taken a number of POLITICAL decisions within the Eurozone for the benefit of the common currency but not in the interests of non Eurozone members .   
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on January 14, 2018, 11:48:14 am
Since the referendum ( I was not qualified to vote because I have lived on the European mainland too long) the EU has ;
 Agreed to build an army ( presumably a navy and airforce )
 Failed to comment on the imprisonment of politicians in Spain
  Taken a number of POLITICAL decisions within the Eurozone for the benefit of the common currency but not in the interests of non Eurozone members .   
I think you'll have give a bit more detail so I/we can understand the point of your comment.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on January 14, 2018, 01:24:11 pm
Since the referendum ( I was not qualified to vote because I have lived on the European mainland too long) the EU has ;
 Agreed to build an army ( presumably a navy and airforce )
 Failed to comment on the imprisonment of politicians in Spain
  Taken a number of POLITICAL decisions within the Eurozone for the benefit of the common currency but not in the interests of non Eurozone members .   

This is because over time the EU Commission has become far too powerful. Don't forget that Commissioners are unelected and so not accountable to an electorate. And the Parliament is too weak and divided to hold them in check.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 14, 2018, 02:22:41 pm
Since the referendum ( I was not qualified to vote because I have lived on the European mainland too long) the EU has ;
 Agreed to build an army ( presumably a navy and airforce )
 Failed to comment on the imprisonment of politicians in Spain
  Taken a number of POLITICAL decisions within the Eurozone for the benefit of the common currency but not in the interests of non Eurozone members .   

This is because over time the EU Commission has become far too powerful. Don't forget that Commissioners are unelected and so not accountable to an electorate. And the Parliament is too weak and divided to hold them in check.

Our civil service are unelected and not accountable to an electorate either.

I agree that the EU Parliament needs to have more muscle - in lots of areas - though.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on January 14, 2018, 03:09:53 pm
Since the referendum ( I was not qualified to vote because I have lived on the European mainland too long) the EU has ;
 Agreed to build an army ( presumably a navy and airforce )
 Failed to comment on the imprisonment of politicians in Spain
  Taken a number of POLITICAL decisions within the Eurozone for the benefit of the common currency but not in the interests of non Eurozone members .   

Sorry but aren't points one and three contradictory? The idea behind 'building an army' is that with US foreign policy being somewhat flexible at present and the uncertainty this gives to NATO, the western Eurozone countries are showing commitment to defending the eastern non-Eurozone countries against any Russian aggression.

As for point two - are you saying it's a good or bad thing that the EU did the same as the British government?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on January 14, 2018, 04:28:49 pm
Since the referendum ( I was not qualified to vote because I have lived on the European mainland too long) the EU has ;
 Agreed to build an army ( presumably a navy and airforce )
 Failed to comment on the imprisonment of politicians in Spain
  Taken a number of POLITICAL decisions within the Eurozone for the benefit of the common currency but not in the interests of non Eurozone members .   

This is because over time the EU Commission has become far too powerful. Don't forget that Commissioners are unelected and so not accountable to an electorate. And the Parliament is too weak and divided to hold them in check.

Our civil service are unelected and not accountable to an electorate either.

I agree that the EU Parliament needs to have more muscle - in lots of areas - though.

In theory they are supposed to be civil servants. In reality they appear to think of themselves as ministers in an EU government.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on January 14, 2018, 05:09:14 pm
Since the referendum ( I was not qualified to vote because I have lived on the European mainland too long) the EU has ;
 Agreed to build an army ( presumably a navy and airforce )
 Failed to comment on the imprisonment of politicians in Spain
  Taken a number of POLITICAL decisions within the Eurozone for the benefit of the common currency but not in the interests of non Eurozone members .   

Politicians were imprisoned in Spain because they illegally declared independence after a referendum that was illegally held.

Funny that, that people who committed illegal acts were put in prison.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on January 14, 2018, 08:53:53 pm
Since the referendum ( I was not qualified to vote because I have lived on the European mainland too long) the EU has ;
 Agreed to build an army ( presumably a navy and airforce )
 Failed to comment on the imprisonment of politicians in Spain
  Taken a number of POLITICAL decisions within the Eurozone for the benefit of the common currency but not in the interests of non Eurozone members .   

Deary me i have read your post and can see why there is do much confusion out there .
If an intelligent person like you thinks it's a great idea for the EU to potentially cede most of central and Eastern Europe and probably even Western Europe to a resurgent Russia worries me no end. This point people keep raising about an EU army is ridiculous ; we have worked hand in glove with all our European friends since the end of WW 2. Units in Poland, Germany, Latvia etc . Is not only necessary for their protection but also us . Norway , Sweden , Denmark , France etc .help us to protect our waters. Where the hell have you been ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on January 14, 2018, 09:37:30 pm
Military co-operation in Europe is via NATO. IMO the talk of an EU army is dangerous because it plays into the hands of Trump and other isolationists in the USA.

I think it is unlikely to happen but it is another symptom of Commissioners getting too much power.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 15, 2018, 01:09:51 am
Since the referendum ( I was not qualified to vote because I have lived on the European mainland too long) the EU has ;
 Agreed to build an army ( presumably a navy and airforce )
 Failed to comment on the imprisonment of politicians in Spain
  Taken a number of POLITICAL decisions within the Eurozone for the benefit of the common currency but not in the interests of non Eurozone members .   

This is because over time the EU Commission has become far too powerful. Don't forget that Commissioners are unelected and so not accountable to an electorate. And the Parliament is too weak and divided to hold them in check.

Our civil service are unelected and not accountable to an electorate either.

I agree that the EU Parliament needs to have more muscle - in lots of areas - though.

In theory they are supposed to be civil servants. In reality they appear to think of themselves as ministers in an EU government.

That's because Ministers are part of the executive, as are EU Commissioners. And it's Ministers that are a government, so the Commissioners are quite right to think in those terms.

It's Britain that has the anomaly here as our Ministers are not only in the Executive but also in the Legislature. Most countries follow the Separation Of Powers as first delineated by Montesquieu in that they keep the Executive, Legislature and Judiciary completely separate as part of the checks and balances of government, in order to safeguard democracy.

The problem is then, that a lot of British people, who have only known the UK system and don't have any understanding of how other countries use the Separation Of Powers, then look at the EU - which uses that same model too - and decide that because it's not the same as the UK that it's wrong. Because most Britons think of the government as being Parliament, which it isn't.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on January 15, 2018, 01:10:58 am
Military co-operation in Europe is via NATO. IMO the talk of an EU army is dangerous because it plays into the hands of Trump and other isolationists in the USA.

I think it is unlikely to happen but it is another symptom of Commissioners getting too much power.

Sweden, Austria, Cyprus, Finland, Ireland and Malta are the only EU states which are not also Nato members. Historically, Sweden stayed out of Nato in solidarity with its neighbour Finland, which stayed out in order not to antagonise Russia. Sweden also has a tradition of neutrality going back to World War II.

So basically virtually ALL EU countries are in NATO , where is the danger when the USA doesn't sound all that reliable currently ?
What is dangerous about co-ordinating the following :-

Active Manpower - 1,823,000
Ships                      -  546
Aircraft                   -  2448
Battle tanks           -  7490
( all figures 2014 )

Organised with 2 nuclear powers ; we should be able to defend ourselves mutually and exclusively.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on January 15, 2018, 11:27:00 am
Since the referendum ( I was not qualified to vote because I have lived on the European mainland too long) the EU has ;
 Agreed to build an army ( presumably a navy and airforce )
 Failed to comment on the imprisonment of politicians in Spain
  Taken a number of POLITICAL decisions within the Eurozone for the benefit of the common currency but not in the interests of non Eurozone members .   

This is because over time the EU Commission has become far too powerful. Don't forget that Commissioners are unelected and so not accountable to an electorate. And the Parliament is too weak and divided to hold them in check.

Our civil service are unelected and not accountable to an electorate either.

I agree that the EU Parliament needs to have more muscle - in lots of areas - though.

In theory they are supposed to be civil servants. In reality they appear to think of themselves as ministers in an EU government.

That's because Ministers are part of the executive, as are EU Commissioners. And it's Ministers that are a government, so the Commissioners are quite right to think in those terms.

It's Britain that has the anomaly here as our Ministers are not only in the Executive but also in the Legislature. Most countries follow the Separation Of Powers as first delineated by Montesquieu in that they keep the Executive, Legislature and Judiciary completely separate as part of the checks and balances of government, in order to safeguard democracy.

The problem is then, that a lot of British people, who have only known the UK system and don't have any understanding of how other countries use the Separation Of Powers, then look at the EU - which uses that same model too - and decide that because it's not the same as the UK that it's wrong. Because most Britons think of the government as being Parliament, which it isn't.

I'm glad that you agree with me that EU Commissioners see themselves as ministers not Civil Servants. So the question is then... when did we vote for this "EU Government?"
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Dutch Uncle on January 15, 2018, 12:39:41 pm
Military co-operation in Europe is via NATO. IMO the talk of an EU army is dangerous because it plays into the hands of Trump and other isolationists in the USA.

I think it is unlikely to happen but it is another symptom of Commissioners getting too much power.

Unfortunately the EU setting up its own Military Structure is not new, although cooperation with NATO is part of its policy.

The European Defence Agency (EDA) is an agency of the EU based in Brussels. Set up on 12 July 2004, it is a Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) body reporting to the Council of the European Union. Its primary role is to foster European defence cooperation.

They have a number of HQs and units (Land, Air and Maritime) including The European Corps, often shortened as Eurocorps, is an army corps of approximately 1,000 soldiers stationed in Strasbourg, France. Based in the French city of Strasbourg, the corps had its headquarters established in May 1992, activated in October 1993 and declared operational in 1995. The nucleus of the force is the Franco-German Brigade, established in 1987.

More here:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_of_the_European_Union

IMHO these initiatives reduce the political unity and effectiveness of NATO if not its Operational value.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 15, 2018, 04:07:14 pm
I'm glad that you agree with me that EU Commissioners see themselves as ministers not Civil Servants. So the question is then... when did we vote for this "EU Government?"

Ministers are part of the Executive, like the civil servants in this country. When did we vote for our civil servants? The fact that the top Ministers in this country just happen to be MPs means that it's the UK system where the Ministers face the electorate that's the anomaly, not the EU. system.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 15, 2018, 06:51:30 pm
Glyn’s bang on. We are an anomaly.

Look at the USA. Who voted in Rex Tillerson as Secretary of State? Or Steve Mnuchin as Treasury Secretary?

EU Cimmissioners are selected by the heads of RU national governments. If you don’t like the Commissioner(s) that your country chooses, vote for a different national Govt. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 15, 2018, 07:25:30 pm
Glyn’s bang on. We are an anomaly.

Look at the USA. Who voted in Rex Tillerson as Secretary of State? Or Steve Mnuchin as Treasury Secretary?

EU Cimmissioners are selected by the heads of RU national governments. If you don’t like the Commissioner(s) that your country chooses, vote for a different national Govt. 

The proposed Commissioners are only nominated by the various governments. The nominations are scrutinised and confirmed by the EU Parliament...who we vote for.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on January 15, 2018, 07:27:02 pm
Glyn’s bang on. We are an anomaly.

Look at the USA. Who voted in Rex Tillerson as Secretary of State? Or Steve Mnuchin as Treasury Secretary?

EU Cimmissioners are selected by the heads of RU national governments. If you don’t like the Commissioner(s) that your country chooses, vote for a different national Govt. 

That's rather different from being able to vote for the President of the USA, who then appoints ministers. And I hardly think people in any country think "this government appointed X as an EU Commissioner- so I'm voting for the other lot."
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 15, 2018, 07:44:34 pm
Apart from the electorate of Maidenhead, we don't even get to vote for the person who appoints our Ministers!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on January 15, 2018, 07:48:47 pm
Apart from the electorate of Maidenhead, we don't even get to vote for the person who appoints our Ministers!

Those ministers are much more accountable to MPs than EU Commissioners appear to be. Indeed, the EU Parliament appears to have done a very poor job of preventing the Commission from acquiring greater power. Of course, a lot of MEPs might think that was a good thing...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 15, 2018, 07:52:31 pm
Well, they really brought that bare-faced liar David Davis to account, didn't they!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 15, 2018, 10:10:02 pm
Talking about ministers being accountable for their actions, looks like there’s one here trying to walk back the clusterf**k that he’s led us into.

http://uk.businessinsider.com/boris-johnson-brexit-stay-eu-soft-brexit-farage-2018-1
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on January 16, 2018, 10:04:16 am
Well, they really brought that bare-faced liar David Davis to account, didn't they!

That's because the Opposition is useless. You only have to look at the opinion polls. With the Government in trouble on so many fronts, Labour should be streets ahead.

They've missed more open goals than Rovers strikers have this season!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on January 16, 2018, 10:09:59 am
Talking about ministers being accountable for their actions, looks like there’s one here trying to walk back the clusterf**k that he’s led us into.

http://uk.businessinsider.com/boris-johnson-brexit-stay-eu-soft-brexit-farage-2018-1

While it doesn't sit well coming from one of the main protagonists in the Leave campaign, I actually agree with the point made here. If we're going to end up staying in the SM and CU we might as well go the whole hog and stay in the EU. Perhaps that's where Referendum 2 comes in?

Although if he really thinks May is incapable of securing a decent deal, shouldn't he resign from her government?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 16, 2018, 10:46:57 am
Well, they really brought that bare-faced liar David Davis to account, didn't they!

That's because the Opposition is useless. You only have to look at the opinion polls. With the Government in trouble on so many fronts, Labour should be streets ahead.

They've missed more open goals than Rovers strikers have this season!

WTF are you talking about? The Select Committee which supposedly holds Ministers to account is made up of MPs of all parties!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on January 16, 2018, 11:32:13 am
The House of Commons also holds ministers to account. Davis got off lightly because the Opposition, for whatever reason, chose not to pursue the issue.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 16, 2018, 05:09:24 pm
Labour didn’t pursue it because Corbyn is still riding both horses. Hes managed to persuade Remainers that he’s anti Brexit and Leavers that he’s pro Brexit.

That worked spectacularly well last June, but sooner or later he’s going to have to come down on one side or the other.

It’ll be interesting...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on January 16, 2018, 09:11:45 pm
Well if he does Billy he has this to consider.

If all the GE constituencies that had voted leave in the 2016 referendum voted Tory in the 2017 GE and all those who voted remain voted Labour - the Tories would have a majority of 150 seats.

Focuses the mind if you are looking to win the next election - and you think it might be happening in the next few months.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 16, 2018, 09:20:09 pm
Wilts

I don’t doubt that there’s sense behind Corbyn’s stance. For now.

Labour will take a hit whichever side he finally comes down on. For now, it makes sense for him to keep schtum and avoid the issue. But that won’t wash in the next Election (if it happens pre March 2019).  And it won’t wash if there’s no Election before then, because he’ll have a vote in the House to handle.

Of course though, Corbyn, being a man of principle rather than an evasive politician will be relishing the moment when he tells us what he really thinks about the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on January 17, 2018, 10:52:17 am
Wilts

I don’t doubt that there’s sense behind Corbyn’s stance. For now.

Labour will take a hit whichever side he finally comes down on. For now, it makes sense for him to keep schtum and avoid the issue. But that won’t wash in the next Election (if it happens pre March 2019).  And it won’t wash if there’s no Election before then, because he’ll have a vote in the House to handle.

Of course though, Corbyn, being a man of principle rather than an evasive politician will be relishing the moment when he tells us what he really thinks about the EU.

I agree but would you risk the hit now by persuing further that soft Lib/Dem and Tory " Remain " vote now whilst you and your Party are riding relatively  high or would you hope that the Maybot Government collapses spectacularly 6/9 or even 12 months down the line ?

I suspect it will be far too late by then , that the window of opportunity will be gone and Labour will be held in as much contempt as the Tory Party when our country tilts on the edge of the cliff .
Will it be all about rescuing the economy by then and would the Tories still be considered the best party to make the best out of the nuclear economic winter that the nation will be faced with ?
Standing on that edge will be what remains of the Union movement and our students/young  who all seem to have taken an " it will be alright in the end " pill though they will bear the brunt,.
 These people would be taking to the streets in any other country but no they all sit on their hands whilst this government drives through not only the monster that is Brexit but ......austerity too with its total disregard for the safety and well-being of our weak, deprived, disabled and desperately poor . What society have we got here and what are we trying to keep in place ?
1 just 1 bloody amendment has been lost as the Brexit Bill floats inexorably on through Parliament to the Lords. Now perhaps I'm missing something here but when can anyone of us oldies on here remember a bill of such complexity floating through the Commons so easily and swiftly by a government with such a slim majority. Not ONE sectoral impact has been available to be thrashed out in detail !

Have our politicians given up completely , do they just wave things through.....Henry V111 powers , loopholes here and there on working practises, rights of our citizens, restitution of devolved government powers from Brussels to Westminster ( the power grab )  in fact the fooking lot  ! 
What have we as a nation become and where has there been any effective opposition in numbers ?
" Leavers " - you too should be angry at the lack of openness and what's more  preparedness in this whole exercise it's beyond pathetic .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 26, 2018, 06:30:31 pm
And the evidence of the effect of Brexit continues to mount.

https://mobile.twitter.com/jdportes/status/956824679213404160
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on January 26, 2018, 09:20:15 pm
Brexit should be view as black ice can't see it but you know there's going to be a mess if you drive into it. The tide is turning and it makes sense to vote on something along with the facts.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jan/26/britons-favour-second-referendum-brexit-icm-poll
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on January 26, 2018, 11:42:05 pm
And the evidence of the effect of Brexit continues to mount.

https://mobile.twitter.com/jdportes/status/956824679213404160

Yes it's all going swimmingly , anyone for a 2nd Referendum yet ? Seems the tide is finally turning.......

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jan/26/britons-favour-second-referendum-brexit-icm-poll#img-1

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on January 27, 2018, 09:43:57 am
It's interesting looking at the responses to the survey questions. Overwhelmingly people think Brexit will be bad for the economy - but still very few have changed their minds on it. There has been a very small change in most areas towards remain (54 - 46 in the north, that did surprise me) but not that any reverse of referendum would be a given.

This piece on people's attitudes is worth reading:
https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/remainers-need-to-tell-better-story-brexit-european-union
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on January 27, 2018, 10:14:59 am
And the evidence of the effect of Brexit continues to mount.

https://mobile.twitter.com/jdportes/status/956824679213404160

Like someone replied on that tweet, it would be interesting to see every other individual country vs OECD growth, that way a better comparison could be made
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on January 27, 2018, 11:09:56 am
The longer this saga drags on the more I tilt towards leave,I just love it when a French /Belgian Politician tells us How we are going to be punished.
Some of those EU countries are bricking themselves since they have come to see the Headlights of the Car looming towards them and they will have to stump up £ Billions to fill the void wen we leave.
Oh by the way Russia is not a threat to the UK, lets reduce the Army by half and use the savings to fund health.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 27, 2018, 11:14:30 am
Filo

All of ten seconds on Google.

http://www.oecd.org/std/na/QNA-GDP-Growth-Q317-Eng.pdf

It would be interesting if people, when they see data that they don’t like, would look into the issue themselves, instead of saying “it’d be interesting to see other data which supports what I think.”

That OECD report (with the detailed info that the person on Twitter said it would be “interesting” to see) is out there for anyone to find. And the results ARE interesting.

In summer 2016, our growth was, and had been for a while, higher than USA, France, Italy, Japan, Canada, the OECD as a whole and the Euro Area. We were just about on a par with Germany.

Between summer 2016 and winter 2017, EVERY SINGLE ONE of those countries and groups saw their growth increase, strongly in most cases. Because the global economy is going through a boom. We saw our economic growth drop.

Have a think why. It’s interesting.

You can keep on sticking your head in the sand and hoping that it’s not happening Filo. But it IS happening. Now. Indisputably. We are not doing anywhere near as well as the rest of the developed world since the Brexit vote. We (actually, “you”) have chosen to make us poorer than we should have been.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on January 27, 2018, 11:59:16 am
BST, I think you misunderstood what I was saying, you posted a graph to back up what you have been saying, to support that you should have also posted graphs of everyother individual major country vs OECD Growth to provide balance to your arguement
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 27, 2018, 01:28:52 pm
Filo

The data for all the other major countries is there in that second link I posted. Page 2. It’s not graphed up but you can read it for yourself.

And here’s the problem. That comment implies that the way the original data was presented is trying to pull the wool over your eyes. That’s the Zeitgeist at the moment. If folk see someone present data that contradicts my opinions, they assume that they are dissembling and being economical with the truth and putting the best spin on that data. So they discount it.

But this is a perfect example of what you COULD do. In the time it took that person to write the “wouldn’t it be interesting” tweet, they could have gone on Google and found the OECD report that I posted. Which clearly shows a common trend. EVERY major economy is seeing its growth strengthen over the past 18 months - apart from the UK which has seen its growth rate go from top of the list to bottom.

10 second’s effort to find the information you need. Assuming you actually DO want to see that information, because it makes VERY “interesting” reading for Brexit supporters.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on January 28, 2018, 01:43:37 am
Filo

The data for all the other major countries is there in that second link I posted. Page 2. It’s not graphed up but you can read it for yourself.

And here’s the problem. That comment implies that the way the original data was presented is trying to pull the wool over your eyes. That’s the Zeitgeist at the moment. If folk see someone present data that contradicts my opinions, they assume that they are dissembling and being economical with the truth and putting the best spin on that data. So they discount it.

But this is a perfect example of what you COULD do. In the time it took that person to write the “wouldn’t it be interesting” tweet, they could have gone on Google and found the OECD report that I posted. Which clearly shows a common trend. EVERY major economy is seeing its growth strengthen over the past 18 months - apart from the UK which has seen its growth rate go from top of the list to bottom.

10 second’s effort to find the information you need.
Assuming you actually DO want to see that information, because it makes VERY “interesting” reading for Brexit supporters.

Isn't that the problem A) Brexiters don't want to recognise these statistics at all *OØ8
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 28, 2018, 08:29:33 am
Inconvenient truths just get the immediate label of 'Project Fear'.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on January 28, 2018, 08:56:30 am
Well thats three of you that have suggested something that was n't there. All I was saying is if you posted a graph supporting your stance you should back that up with similar data from other Countries, the trouble was taken to find that graph, surely a couple of seconds more could have produced other graphs to enhance your stance
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 28, 2018, 10:21:39 am
Filo

I don’t understand your issue about a graph. A graph shows data in graphical form. The data you are asking for is in that OECD link, in the second table of page 2. Why does it matter whether it’s in a graph?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 28, 2018, 09:59:16 pm
https://www.buzzfeed.com/amphtml/alexspence/heres-a-leaked-whatsapp-chat-showing-tory-leavers-confusion?utm_term=4ldqpgm&bftwuk=&__twitter_impression=true

Jesus f**king wept! Here’s a prominent Brexit-supporting Tory MP admitting that she hasn’t got a f**king clue on one of THE fundamental issues connected with Brexit.

Even by the standards of this Govt and the Brexit side, this is almost beyond farcical.
What the f**k WAS she arguing for when she was thumping the tub for Brexit 19 months back?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on January 28, 2018, 11:14:37 pm
I see trump has said he would have played hardball with the eu in the negotiations, is he right?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 28, 2018, 11:26:42 pm
If you’re going to play hardball, you’d better
a) have a really good hand or
b) be a fantastic bluffer.

We have got a shit hand. As we’ll find out through the rest of 2018.

Trump is a shit bluffer. As we’ll find out in the rest of 2018.

Save this and check it this time next year.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 29, 2018, 07:42:33 am
It's easy to play hardball when you've got an economy as big as the US has though.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 29, 2018, 06:00:12 pm
Filo

Here's a graph summarising the data in that OECD report. It's a bit messy to show all the data on one grpah (happy to do so if you want it). So what I've done, to cut to the chase is to look at the differences in growth rates between mid 2016 (date of the Brexit vote) and the last data in that report (summer or autumn 2017).

(https://i.imgur.com/2E6owgA.png)

Quite a story, no? Every single major economy and economic grouping in the world is seeing a major boost in economic growth. Apart from us, which has seen our economic growth decline.

But nevermind, eh? We were right not to trust all those economics experts who predicted this back in Spring 2016.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on January 29, 2018, 07:11:35 pm
Well the most powerful man on the planet, somebody who does happen a bit about the generation of wealth thinks Brexit is a good idea, unlike his predecessor Obama who had tried bullying tactics to try and make us stay in.
Mark my words if Trump had said anything negative about Brexit all of the amateur statististions on here would have been bellowing like Castrated Hippos !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on January 29, 2018, 07:33:48 pm
Depends if Trump had made a researched and informed point about Brexit, but that wasn't very likely now was it?

You've just made BST's point for him, Sproty. Can you not see that? You didn't actually offer any rebuttal, pivoted and dissembled the point into something about Trump, and threw in a nice ad hominem at the end for good measure. Instead of looking at the argument, you just looked at the people making it and decided they must be talking shit because it's not what you wanted to hear.

People are more wedded to the points they make than the facts backing them up, and it's a worrying time.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 29, 2018, 07:35:25 pm
Sproty

The most powerful man on the planet also believes or has believed:
- that humans have a finite amount of energy and therefore we shouldn’t exercise,
- that Barack Obama wasn’t born in the USA
- that “negative polls are fake news”
- that he is a stable genius
- that he is 6’3”.

I think we can safely ignore what he believes if we’re trying to establish facts.

But why raise what Trump thinks? Does what Trump thinks mean that the graph above is wrong?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on January 29, 2018, 08:41:45 pm
Why is it that Trump dislikes the EU?

It's not because he wants individual states to 'reclaim their sovereignty'. It's certainly not because he is promoting a future of free trade. Or that there are prospects for joint military action among EU states. Nope.

It's because he has had difficulty building golf courses in Europe. That's what swung the great political thinker of our day to supporting Brexit - he doesn't like the EU because they stopped him wrecking the countryside.

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/jan/29/brussels-prepared-for-trade-war-with-us-if-it-restricts-eu-imports
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on January 29, 2018, 08:44:41 pm
Billy, sorry I wasn't attacking you, I was merely pointing out that not a word has been said about our probably greatest trading partner post Brexit being keen to engage as I said earlier if Trump had said something to the detriment of Brexit , stayers would have been shouting from the roof tops.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on January 29, 2018, 08:53:33 pm
I wish someone would make that bloody B****t word behave like a swear word when it was typed in any post on here

Looking forward to BBC News in 9 months time as they might just MIGHT be a single news item in their 6 o clock news that does not "cross reference" B****t and blame it or not blame it for the item they are talking about - no matter HOW obscure or unrelated to the item it is

Example

There was nearly one today as a man caught a 65 Pound Pike in the River Don at Donny. Ah said the Reporter - it would not have been possible last year but now all the Eastern Europeans can earn more money at home due to the uncertainty of B****t they are not catching fish in great numbers any more

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 29, 2018, 10:00:59 pm
Sproty.

No worries. I don’t take personally.

But two points of fact.

1) According to the ONS, in 2016 (last year for which there are data) 18% of our exports went to the USA and 43% to the EU.

If you’re thinking that the USA will be our biggest trading partner after Brexit, then either we’re going to have to find a way to export £200bn per year more to them (impossible) or we’re going to export £200bn less to the EU (catastrophe).

Despite what the Brexiters would like you to think, the EU is, and will remain our biggest trading partner by a long, long way. It’s just that the way we’re going, that trade is going to be very much more problematic. 

2) If Trump told me he’d wiped his arse, I’d want to see the fecal matter on the toilet paper before I believed him.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on January 29, 2018, 10:24:28 pm
Billy I don't doubt that Europe will still be our major trading partner, but once we are free of the shackles we won't have to worry about Proping up all of those Banana republics east and south of Berlin, plus the PIGS.which are already struggling due to events in the Southern Mediterranean.
Russia is not a threat to us it is an opportunity
 
By the way they already can control our Air space with their ss500 missiles.

Let the Poles and Germans worry about Russia, its about time they put their Shoulders to the cart.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 29, 2018, 10:41:14 pm
Sproty

Right. So by what logic can it benefit us to make it significantly harder for us to do trade with a group of countries with whom we do about half a trillion quids worth of business every year?

Will we make up the difference by trading with Putin and his gangsters?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 29, 2018, 11:55:51 pm
Here we go.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42861496

Davis says “the UK wanted a "right to object" to new laws passed by the EU during the transition phase over which it had no say and disagreed with“.

Barnier says, “Get to f**k. If you want to leave but you haven’t got your shit in a sock by March 2019, you will do what you are told. WE will make the decisions. YOU will keep on paying and abide by those decisions without any say in them.”

That’s what I call “taking back control.”

Cue Brexiters’ moans that the EU isn’t being fair...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on January 30, 2018, 02:15:01 am
Good longer article in Open Democracy on the doings of the coup plotters;
https://www.opendemocracy.net/uk/adam-ramsay/tory-ministers-taxpayer-cash-hard-Brexit-erg

You don't need tanks in the streets anymore to grab power!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on January 30, 2018, 02:20:26 am
Well the most powerful man on the planet, somebody who does happen a bit about the generation of wealth thinks Brexit is a good idea, unlike his predecessor Obama who had tried bullying tactics to try and make us stay in.
Mark my words if Trump had said anything negative about Brexit all of the amateur statististions on here would have been bellowing like Castrated Hippos !
I'm not sure quoting trump does your credibility any favours

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/uk-worse-off-brexit-scenarios-leaked-government-analysis-eu-david-davis-theresa-may-a8184471.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on January 30, 2018, 09:22:58 am
Robert Peston sums up quite well what these leaked papers show for our negotiating position:

May’s Brexit choice, according to government’s own economists: rich vassal state or poor independent country?
https://www.facebook.com/pestonitv/posts/1990184464639622
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on January 30, 2018, 02:32:08 pm
Isn't this leaked stuff the exact thing David Davis denied existed?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on January 30, 2018, 04:09:07 pm
Ah yes ... but the weasel will say it was not available then because it hat not been done

Now its done so it would be available !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on January 31, 2018, 10:53:24 am
The Government starts to wibble over brexit and if Corbyn doesn't get with the turning tide he may be left stranded.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-today-live-updates-pmqs-theresa-may-china-eu-withdrawal-bill-trade-lords-government-emily-a8186596.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 31, 2018, 01:03:03 pm
Superbly incisive as ever from Simon Wren-Lewis

https://mainlymacro.blogspot.co.uk/2018/01/brexit-is-fantastic-project.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Feed:+MainlyMacro+(mainly+macro)&m=1

Anyone who still supports Brexit needs to look at these two paragraphs and think really, REALLY hard about the pup they have been sold. If you haven’t got a rebuttal to these points (and Johnson, Gove, Davis, Rees-Mogg and Fox haven’t, beyond “We’re British. It’ll be fine,”) then you cannot look yourself in the mirror and say that your opinion is logical and rational.

Quote
In the end, the economics is key to how the Brexit fantasy will end. No sane government or parliament will allow an outcome that makes people on average 8% worse off. That is why we have to make a deal with the EU, and the only deal the EU will allow is one that prevents a hard Irish border. That means staying in the Customs Union and much, possibly all, of the Single Market. Brexit will end with the UK becoming what Rees-Mogg describes as a vassal state. It will not be the fantasy people voted for, nor the fantasy the Brexiters had in mind.

When reality bites, almost no one who voted Leave will be happy with the result. So should Remainers stay quiet and just wait for this disappointment to sink in, just for the sake of a particularly partial concept of democracy? To allow peoples lives to be impoverished and their opportunities to be diminished because of a referendum based on lies? There are democratic ways out of this fantasy turned nightmare, and we should take them.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on January 31, 2018, 02:04:01 pm
Billy I don't doubt that Europe will still be our major trading partner, but once we are free of the shackles we won't have to worry about Proping up all of those Banana republics east and south of Berlin, plus the PIGS.which are already struggling due to events in the Southern Mediterranean.
Russia is not a threat to us it is an opportunity
 
By the way they already can control our Air space with their ss500 missiles.

Let the Poles and Germans worry about Russia, its about time they put their Shoulders to the cart.

Is there a nation that you do have respect for Sproty ? You have been demeaning to 6  in this post alone .
As for Germany doing it's fair share , you display a complete lack of knowledge of EU economics.

PIGS indeed.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on January 31, 2018, 03:02:01 pm
He shows respect for the UK, which is refreshing these days.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 31, 2018, 05:47:22 pm
BB

I have tonnes of respect and love for the UK. It's one of the best places in the world to live and it has given huge amounts to the world (as well as taking a fair bit, admittedly). Why do you think I'm so incensed at the people who, for their own career purposes, have taken us into a situation where we are going to be significantly poorer and less influential in the future? If I didn't have love and respect for the UK, I wouldn't give a shite about Johnson et al making a mess of our future.

What I don't have much respect for is people who don't show much respect for other countries. You can love your own country without insulting or hating other people's countries.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 31, 2018, 06:07:38 pm
Sproty

I was planning to ignore your stupid comment about banana republics, but I WILL pick you up on the Mediterranean countries.

Greece, Italy, Spain and Portugal all currently have higher GDP growth than we do, and are forecast by the OECD to do so for the rest of the decade.

https://data.oecd.org/gdp/real-gdp-forecast.htm

Have a closer look at that table. It lists the recent economic growth and the OECD's predictions of growth over the next couple of years.

There are 45 countries listed. In 2015, our GDP growth was 24th highest on the list. By 2017, we were equal 40th. The prediction is that by 2019, we'll be 44th, with only Japan below us.

From the time of the Brexit vote, to 2019, those figures say that 37 countries will have seen their GDP growth rate increase. We are one of just 8 who will have seen ours decrease. The world is entering a period of strong economic growth which will make people all across the globe wealthier. We've decided to jump off that bus.

But never mind eh? They might be getting richer, but at least we're British and we can chuck insults at them.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on January 31, 2018, 06:17:32 pm
BST, who hates other countries? Surely you don't think Brexit was voted in because all leavers hate other countries, do you? It's getting that ridiculous these days that you can't favour your own country for fear of being racist.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on January 31, 2018, 06:21:37 pm
He shows respect for the UK, which is refreshing these days.

If you say that calling the UK an enemy of America is showing respect than it looks likes more things have changed these days than I realised.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/state-of-the-union-latest-updates-donald-trump-enemies-america-un-recognise-jerusalem-a8186561.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on January 31, 2018, 07:38:36 pm
Wilts You have wasted 5 minutes of my life by posting that article,
I'm trying to work out what we have been doing with the handouts from the US, no doubt Billy will pull another graph out of his pocket to show us!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 31, 2018, 07:40:25 pm
BB
Go back and have a look at this thread. You responded to a post that said nothing positive about the UK, but instead cast aspersions on other EU countries by saying “He shows respect for this country.”

Mynpiint was that you CAN live your country without abusing other ones. I assume that you agree with me. In which case, I’m not sure why you felt the need to post.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on January 31, 2018, 07:44:01 pm
Well I guess  I better get back to  plotting the conquest of the world!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on January 31, 2018, 08:22:13 pm
BST, Hoolahoop asked Sproty, "Is there a nation that you do have respect for Sproty"?

I said "He shows respect for the UK, which is refreshing these days".
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on January 31, 2018, 08:58:00 pm
BB

Why is it refreshing? Don’t you meet many people who show respect for Britain these days? I know loads. And none of them show any particular interest in slagging off other places.

As it happens, I had a meeting in Milan last week with three Italians and a guy from Amsterdam. They all think the UK is a fantastic place. And they think Italy and Holland are pretty good too. It’s not mutually exclusive.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on January 31, 2018, 09:53:46 pm
BST, I know loads of people who respect all countries, including the UK. That doesn't mean they wouldn't 'slag any of them off' if they disagreed with their policies. This forum seems rather biased in comparison, though. In here, it seems to me there's a reluctance to do this unless the slagging off is aimed at the UK.

That is why I said Sproty's post was a refreshing change. I also found the comment about your love for the UK quite refreshing too.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 01, 2018, 07:35:25 am
He shows respect for the UK, which is refreshing these days.

Are you suggesting that we don't value our country, are somehow not being patriotic because you couldn't be further from the truth .
I/We don't want to see the country I/ We  love become isolated , poorer, weak and turning on itself and its neighbours. There couldn't have been a more divisive act of our government than to split this country clearly  down the middle turning one against the other. Historians will look back at these times and say why didn't they the people or MPs  / Lords think things  through properly  before rushing headlong into the abyss.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 01, 2018, 07:56:46 am
BST, Hoolahoop asked Sproty, "Is there a nation that you do have respect for Sproty"?

I said "He shows respect for the UK, which is refreshing these days".


How or why did you assume that I don't love my country from the contents of my post ?
 Like Billy and others,  if we didn't give a fook about our country , then why are we so desperately trying to maintain its position in the world ? We dont want it to be poorer, we dont want our friends and allies around the world thinking we dont care about ALL our people , we want to work properly with others for a brighter , safer, fairer and more prosperous future.

That certainly , in my view anyway, can't be done shackled to the USA, 
who incidentally want to put trade barriers up with our new friends in China , have sanctions already imposed on Russia ( mentioned above )  and want to build walls along the  Mexican border In addition they  want to renege on the trade deal they have signed with Mexico and Canada . Currently the USA are far from " sound " allies except when it suits them and only them . Finally there is the USA 's attitude on NATO, their foreign aid to bribe countries to vote with them and  their attitude to global warming and the fact that they are the ONLY  country to sign up to the Paris Accord but then once again renege on that agreement.

It doesn't bode well surely does it ?  By the way I love the USA and most of the Americans I have met in my life
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 01, 2018, 08:39:42 am
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_the_largest_trading_partners_of_Germany

This is an interesting stat showing that we don't need to be outside the EU to trade with China - Germany seems to have little problem .
Interesting that the Germans exports almost equal those to us demonstrate clearly that being a member of the EU was never considered a barrier to them instead we make excuses or few goods ! Yet again another lie exposed from the Leave campaign . 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 01, 2018, 04:41:48 pm
BST, Hoolahoop asked Sproty, "Is there a nation that you do have respect for Sproty"?

I said "He shows respect for the UK, which is refreshing these days".


How or why did you assume that I don't love my country from the contents of my post ?
 Like Billy and others,  if we didn't give a fook about our country , then why are we so desperately trying to maintain its position in the world ? We dont want it to be poorer, we dont want our friends and allies around the world thinking we dont care about ALL our people , we want to work properly with others for a brighter , safer, fairer and more prosperous future.

That certainly , in my view anyway, can't be done shackled to the USA, 
who incidentally want to put trade barriers up with our new friends in China , have sanctions already imposed on Russia ( mentioned above )  and want to build walls along the  Mexican border In addition they  want to renege on the trade deal they have signed with Mexico and Canada . Currently the USA are far from " sound " allies except when it suits them and only them . Finally there is the USA 's attitude on NATO, their foreign aid to bribe countries to vote with them and  their attitude to global warming and the fact that they are the ONLY  country to sign up to the Paris Accord but then once again renege on that agreement.

It doesn't bode well surely does it ?  By the way I love the USA and most of the Americans I have met in my life

You clearly don't have much respect for our neighbours in Sheffield judging by what I have just pulled you up for on another thread!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 02, 2018, 01:09:53 am
BST, Hoolahoop asked Sproty, "Is there a nation that you do have respect for Sproty"?

I said "He shows respect for the UK, which is refreshing these days".


How or why did you assume that I don't love my country from the contents of my post ?
 Like Billy and others,  if we didn't give a fook about our country , then why are we so desperately trying to maintain its position in the world ? We dont want it to be poorer, we dont want our friends and allies around the world thinking we dont care about ALL our people , we want to work properly with others for a brighter , safer, fairer and more prosperous future.

That certainly , in my view anyway, can't be done shackled to the USA, 
who incidentally want to put trade barriers up with our new friends in China , have sanctions already imposed on Russia ( mentioned above )  and want to build walls along the  Mexican border In addition they  want to renege on the trade deal they have signed with Mexico and Canada . Currently the USA are far from " sound " allies except when it suits them and only them . Finally there is the USA 's attitude on NATO, their foreign aid to bribe countries to vote with them and  their attitude to global warming and the fact that they are the ONLY  country to sign up to the Paris Accord but then once again renege on that agreement.

It doesn't bode well surely does it ?  By the way I love the USA and most of the Americans I have met in my life

You clearly don't have much respect for our neighbours in Sheffield judging by what I have just pulled you up for on another thread!

Of course not that is Sheffield - I believe in a united Yorkshire and devolution.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on February 02, 2018, 03:54:16 pm
It's official, the government don't know what they are doing, they don't know what each other are doing within the government and they can't explain what they are doing to the British public.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/feb/02/liam-fox-no-customs-union-eu-brexit
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 02, 2018, 08:14:59 pm
It’s exactly as I said a couple of months back. May has one aim in these negotiations. That is to avoid making a decision. Because she knows that any decision which will not lead to economic harakiri will be totally unacceptable to the majority of the Tory party.

So she goes into MayBot mode and keeps parroting the line that her SpAds have come up with; that we are aiming to both leave the EU AND keep all the benefits of trade with the EU. Even though the EU has said consistently and forcefully that that cannot happen.

She keeps talking about the Will of the People but they don’t give a shite about the Will of the People. The Will of the People wasn’t to make themselves poorer to the tune of £10k per family which is what the Govt figures leaked this week said would be the result of a Hard Brexit. So if this was about The Will of the People, Hard Brexit would be off the agenda.

But it’s not about The Will of the People. It’s about the fact that there are a few tens of thousands of Tory Party members, and a couple of hundred Tory MPs who are ideologically obsessed with Hard Brexit. And the moment she kicks Hard Brexit into touch, they will knife her.

It’s like a really bad episode of The Thick of It, with all the humour taken out and the main character looking like a malfunctioning Japanese toy robot when asked questions in public.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 03, 2018, 07:19:42 am
Excellent post Billy but why has it taken them so long to reach that conclusion and more importantly why are people both here on the forum and in the country so steadfastly stuck to this great idea of Brexit ?
As I see it the question for these Brexiters is either lose face or lose money , jobs and all the advantages of being in the EU - its a no brainer surely !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on February 03, 2018, 07:29:46 am
Camerons legacy. Give the people a say and that will shut the Euro sceptics up for a generation after which I will be gone anyway

Instead he presented us the compete mess we have now * and one which (whether we Leave or not) will probably "haunt us" for many years to come

Cheers Cameron - * but you are ok as Sam has a field somewhere in Scunthorpe !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 03, 2018, 08:53:17 am
Camerons legacy. Give the people a say and that will shut the Euro sceptics up for a generation after which I will be gone anyway

Instead he presented us the compete mess we have now * and one which (whether we Leave or not) will probably "haunt us" for many years to come

Cheers Cameron - * but you are ok as Sam has a field somewhere in Scunthorpe !

True the damage has been done not only with the relationships we have with our European " friends" ( who won't forget the way we have disrespected them) but also with the way the whole world sees us now and - it's not pretty.

However like those that would continue to keep a to erag like Trump in power ; we continue to be ruled by this lot . Have you ever seen such a parcel of rogues in a nation - hellbent on destroying the economy and by the very nature the future infrastructure of our country and the wellbeing of our citizens.

Yet still they and the Brexiter millions who now apparently represent all the "will " of ALL  the people contrary to the majority of opinion plough on with their destructive furrows .
However I sense the tide is slowly turning ........
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 04, 2018, 07:17:38 pm
Genius, the current line from the Tories.

May says we will be leaving THE customs union.

Hammond says we will need to stay in A customs union.

Fox says we will not be in ANY customs union after Brexit.

Rees-Mogg says anyone whose predictions disagree with what happens in Rees-Moggland is fiddling the figures.

Well that’s clear then. Obviously the Govt is pulling together to deliver exactly the Brexit that the Will of the People clearly and unambiguously demanded in June 2016.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 04, 2018, 07:29:07 pm
Genius, the current line from the Tories.

May says we will be leaving THE customs union.

Hammond says we will need to stay in A customs union.

Fox says we will not be in ANY customs union after Brexit.

Rees-Mogg says anyone whose predictions disagree with what happens in Rees-Moggland is fiddling the figures.

Well that’s clear then. Obviously the Govt is pulling together to deliver exactly the Brexit that the Will of the People clearly and unambiguously demanded in June 2016.

Did you see Andy Zaltzman on Unspun this week about 'the will of the people'? Well worth a watch. The whole programme is, actually.

Oh, and you missed out Gove and Johnson from your list...who don't care what happens regarding Brexit but will say anything about it that they think is good for their political careers at the time they say it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 04, 2018, 08:53:20 pm
This is how badly the Tories are mis-Managing Brexit.

https://amp.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/feb/04/brexit-mess-theresa-may-tories?

Note that this is not from a raving lefty. Matthew d’Ancona has been at the heart of the Tory establishment for two decades. And he says this:

Quote
“...the present arrangement is a hideous international embarrassment. It seems to me painfully obvious that we need an extension of the negotiating period set by article 50 – entirely possible under its section 3 – if only to replace panic with some semblance of deliberation. And, sooner rather than later, there should be another general election.

“I am scarcely Jeremy Corbyn’s greatest fan, but the notion that the status quo must be preserved simply to thwart his chances of becoming prime minister is not only democratically contemptible but morally outrageous. Indeed, the prospect of a fresh election would force Labour, at last, to spell out its plans for Brexit, and embrace the risks of clarity.

“Yes, I know the voters are fed up of trudging to the polling booths. But they’ll be even more fed up if Britain sleepwalks into a second-rate status, with all that implies, because a clinically dead government was permitted by a mixture of squeamishness and boredom to remain on life support. Time to flick the switch and see what happens.”

I’m old enough to have seen 4 or 5 governments run out of ideas, energy and any collective sense of purpose. When people who are at the very core of your party start publicly saying that the game is up, there’s really no way back. I suspect we’ll be at the polls again before thr end of the year.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on February 04, 2018, 10:10:53 pm
Sorry Billy. Just to prove that the govs position really does change every five minute the news this evening is that May has ruled out ANY Custom Union.

Which will not doubt come as a shock to her Home Secretary who was on the BBC earlier today saying that people are going to be surprised how united the Cabinet is to be in one. Surprise, surprise Amber.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/feb/04/cabinet-united-brexit-trade-strategy-amber-rudd-theresa-may-customs-union

Another couple of good articles worth reading (for the 3 of us who are not bored rigid by Brexit yet) that touch on hoola's point of why people voted for Brexit - and why quite a lot of them haven't changed their minds - are Gary Younge's piece on nostalgia for a glorious past, 'two world wars and one world cup'
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/feb/03/imperial-fantasies-brexit-theresa-may

and the interviews with people in two strong Leave voting areas, Bracknell (where they might change they their mind) and Redcar (where they certainly wont)
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/feb/03/brexit-redcar-bracknell-steel
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 04, 2018, 10:19:44 pm
Wilts

At least it looks like there’s some serious negotiating going on in the upper eschelons of the Cabinet.

I say “negotiating”. I mean:
“This is how the deal is going to be PM.”
“Err, Err, Err, Yes Boris, of course I fully agree with anything that means you won’t challenge me for the leadership.”

The most gloriously stupid phrase in d’Ancona’s piece was where he said that May was trying to run a policy of “constructive ambiguity”. As in, trying to say nothing of any substance on anything for fear of upsetting someone or other. Looks like that’s out the window now if the Hard Brexiters have pushed her into a no-CU position.

Course, how that stance squares with the Irish Wuestion is a sticky issue...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 04, 2018, 11:20:23 pm
It's like two undertakers arguing about which of them can make a corpse look more lifelike.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on February 05, 2018, 07:18:02 am


I’m old enough to have seen 4 or 5 governments run out of ideas, energy and any collective sense of purpose. When people who are at the very core of your party start publicly saying that the game is up, there’s really no way back. I suspect we’ll be at the polls again before thr end of the year.
[/quote]



I do too. I honestly do ! Could then be all up for "grabs" again !

There may be (well there are) Groups pushing for us to Remain in / have another vote for various reasons / have another Vote once agreement has been reached and can be "tabled for us to vote on - and I think those Groups and many others would have a focus point and there would be Parties pitching for their support - and that of those who still want to leave

If it happens it could be the most INTERESTING Election I will have been able to vote in. Bring it on I say
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on February 05, 2018, 05:19:38 pm
Me and you are old enough to have seen at least 10 governments run out of steam John!
I think it's fair enough to offer the country a referendum once everything has been decided and set in stone and we know for certain what we were voting for.
Hopefully then (given a second vote)the leavers will come to their senses and vote to STAY IN.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 05, 2018, 06:21:40 pm
It just gets to be more and more of a farce, and an unfunny one at that. Number Ten confirms this morning that we're definitely leaving the Customs Union. Later today Barnier confirms that this means we'll lose the benefits of being in the Customs Union...and then David Davis - sat next to Barnier! - says we want to still have all the benefits of being in the Customs Union but not be members of it! You couldn't make it up. I can't believe people are willing to trust this bunch of amateurs to negotiate loads of free trade deals after we leave the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on February 05, 2018, 08:31:23 pm
I cant believe any of it ... you could not write it as a Book as it would be too farcical to be believed
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 06, 2018, 06:52:55 am
It just gets to be more and more of a farce, and an unfunny one at that. Number Ten confirms this morning that we're definitely leaving the Customs Union. Later today Barnier confirms that this means we'll lose the benefits of being in the Customs Union...and then David Davis - sat next to Barnier! - says we want to still have all the benefits of being in the Customs Union but not be members of it! You couldn't make it up. I can't believe people are willing to trust this bunch of amateurs to negotiate loads of free trade deals after we leave the EU.

I watched that too, frankly Barnier looked as though he had given up on Davis and our Government - he/ they simply refuse to look at the position of the 27 it's almost as if they don't hear/ recognise it . We are going to hell in a handcart  with this lot unless  Corbyn and the Tory " Remainers " get together with the SNP and Lib/Dems to stop this destruction.
Corbyn and Momentum are now the key .....Or MPs must defy their respective whips .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 06, 2018, 09:26:25 am
It’s beyond farce now.

In December, in order to close Stage 1 of the talks, we effectively agreed to stay in, or very closely aligned with the CU and SM in order to solve the Irish border issue.

This weekend, after weeks of prevarication, May has caved in to the swivel eyed loony wing of her party and said that we’re not doing that. 24 hours before sitting down with Barnier to discuss the way forward.

Can you begin to imagine how disrespectful, chaotic, mendacious and dysfunctional we appear to those on the other side of the table. We spend months negotiating. We get an agreement, then, sat right in front of Barnier on TV, we say, “Nope. Not doing that. We want to leave the CU and SM and be able to trade seamlessly with you anyway. Even though we know that you’ve been saying for two years that’s not technically or politically possible. And even though we publicly agreed with you in that just 8 weeks back.”
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 06, 2018, 10:33:25 am
If I were the EU I'd give Britain a 'take it or leave it' option then stand back and let all the squabbling happen inside the British Cabinet instead of being pratted about in whatever passes for 'negotiations'.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: i_ateallthepies on February 06, 2018, 08:34:09 pm
Perhaps the EU still think there's a chance that the momentum switches back toward remain and by whatever means a new vote could be had, but fear that any strong-arm tactics by them would only serve to cement any wavering brexiters back firmly in the 'leave' camp.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 06, 2018, 09:56:03 pm
Would no-nonsense hardliner Jacob Rees-Mogg handle the negotiations better?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 06, 2018, 10:07:40 pm
Perhaps the EU still think there's a chance that the momentum switches back toward remain and by whatever means a new vote could be had, but fear that any strong-arm tactics by them would only serve to cement any wavering brexiters back firmly in the 'leave' camp.

What 'strong-arm tactics'? Waiting for the British negotiators to come up with something sensible - and consistent?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on February 06, 2018, 10:12:31 pm
Would no-nonsense hardliner Jacob Rees-Mogg handle the negotiations better?

What do you think Bentley?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 06, 2018, 10:20:52 pm
“No nonsense”?

Good one B.B.  All I’ve ever heard come out of his mouth is nonsense.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 06, 2018, 10:34:57 pm
You never let me down wilts!

Like I've always said before regarding anything Brexit, I don't know! After all, it's never happened before, so anything I say would only be conjecture. That's why I'm interested in the views of those who deem themselves capable of accurately predicting the outcome of it.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 06, 2018, 10:54:38 pm
I don't think Rees-Mogg would be any good in the negotiations as he'd rather torpedo them than take them seriously.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 06, 2018, 11:01:13 pm
So approving everything they say is the way forward?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 06, 2018, 11:05:32 pm
BB

Lots of things happen every year that haven’t happened before.

No one had ever flown before the first flight. No one had climbed Everest before the first people climbed Everest. No one had gone to the Moon before the first people went to the Moon.

Sensible folk who were doing those things for the first time didn’t stick their thumb in their mouth and their cock in their hand and hope it’d be alright. They thought about the most logical outcome given the facts that they did know. They discussed with experts who knew something about the issues. They anticipated scenarios and considered risk-benefit cases.

What they didn’t do was listen to a bell end like Rees-Mogg.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 06, 2018, 11:13:32 pm
Billy, some folk don't believe we even landed on the moon.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 06, 2018, 11:18:08 pm
Aye well. Some folk still think we’re going to be better off out of the EU.

As a great man once said, you can’t argue with idiocy.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 06, 2018, 11:20:31 pm
Why not? I am!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 06, 2018, 11:46:44 pm
I forgot the second line.

Unless you’re an even bigger idiot.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 06, 2018, 11:52:32 pm
They discussed with experts who knew something about the issues. They anticipated scenarios and considered risk-benefit cases.

What they didn’t do was listen to a bell end like Rees-Mogg.

Who have you discussed it with Billy? What if you'd have discussed it with Rees-Mogg?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 06, 2018, 11:54:12 pm
So approving everything they say is the way forward?

If you say so. Nobody else on here has suggested it though.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 07, 2018, 12:21:07 am
If I’d discussed it with Rees-Mogg?

Well, I wouldn’t have been the Wright Brothers. That’s for sure. I’d have ended up like the blokes who dressed up as chickens and jumped off Margate pier in an attempt to prove that man could fly.

I said that people who want to assess what will happen in hitherto unencountered scenarios listen to EXPERTS. Not gobshites and snake oil salesmen.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 07, 2018, 12:21:56 am
So approving everything they say is the way forward?

If you say so. Nobody else on here has suggested it though.

I didn't say so. I asked a question. Either answer the question without distorting it or don't get involved.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 07, 2018, 12:24:16 am
If I’d discussed it with Rees-Mogg?

Well, I wouldn’t have been the Wright Brothers. That’s for sure. I’d have ended up like the blokes who dressed up as chickens and jumped off Margate pier in an attempt to prove that man could fly.

I said that people who want to assess what will happen in hitherto unencountered scenarios listen to EXPERTS. Not gobshites and snake oil salesmen.

So what experts have you discussed it with then, Billy?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 07, 2018, 12:34:46 am
I’ve not discussed it with any. What I have done is read around the subject. A lot. From all sides.

And a theme emerges.

There are predictions from eminent economists of the effects of Brexit. Most of them have been proved right. None of them are positive about Brexit. I’ve posted several up on here.

On the other side, there are no prominent economists predicting good things about Brexit. Just a bunch of self-serving politicians with track records of lying and dissembling.

Kind of makes the decision about which side you support quite easy.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 07, 2018, 12:46:11 am
Obviously not though, seeing as most people voted to leave. Isn't it a case of believing who you want to believe?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 07, 2018, 01:00:25 am
So approving everything they say is the way forward?

If you say so. Nobody else on here has suggested it though.

I didn't say so. I asked a question. Either answer the question without distorting it or don't get involved.

You started the distorting when you asked the question, I was just following your lead. Ask a silly question and all that...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on February 07, 2018, 09:34:31 am
Obviously not though, seeing as most people voted to leave. Isn't it a case of believing who you want to believe?

Many of those who voted brexit will not be fully informed; they probably didn't have the time to fully research the issues, were misled by politicians that should/do know better and were let down by the journos and media that they do follow - most of my friends fall into this category and none of them are idiots. It's an appalling situation and one that we could still pull out of, but unfortunately we won't
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 07, 2018, 09:35:16 am
Talking of leads, BST, can you put Wigley the Yorkie's on him and put him in the back garden if we are to continue this chat? He's snapping at me again!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 07, 2018, 09:44:22 am
Obviously not though, seeing as most people voted to leave. Isn't it a case of believing who you want to believe?

Many of those who voted brexit will not be fully informed; they probably didn't have the time to fully research the issues, were misled by politicians that should/do know better and were let down by the journos and media that they do follow - most of my friends fall into this category and none of them are idiots. It's an appalling situation and one that we could still pull out of, but unfortunately we won't

BJW, what a refreshing change from the normal opinion of this thread to say leavers aren't idiots.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 07, 2018, 09:58:26 am
I don’t think Leave voters were idiots. I DO think that a good proportion of them have been prepared to listen only to what suited them and to ignore the wider discussion.

Example.
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp.uk.businessinsider.com/one-in-four-brexit-voters-believe-they-were-misled-by-the-leave-campaign-2017-8

26% of Leave voters in that poll think they were misled by the £350m a week claim.

So. Let’s get this right. That claim was known to be a lie at the time of the vote. It has been comprehensively discussed up and down the country since and there isn’t a shred of truth to support it. Garage and Johnson have both disowned it. But 74% of Leave voters don’t seems to think they were misled by it.

That’s three-quarters of Leave voters who are either unaware of or totally impervious to a clear, unambiguous and definitive discussion on a vitally important point of fact.

If you don’t see this as a bit of a problem then you don’t really respect the concept of democracy.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on February 07, 2018, 10:00:27 am
Obviously not though, seeing as most people voted to leave. Isn't it a case of believing who you want to believe?

Many of those who voted brexit will not be fully informed; they probably didn't have the time to fully research the issues, were misled by politicians that should/do know better and were let down by the journos and media that they do follow - most of my friends fall into this category and none of them are idiots. It's an appalling situation and one that we could still pull out of, but unfortunately we won't
That description is very accurate of the Brexiteers that I know. To be banded together with the racists,xenophobes and far right doesn't do justice to many.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 07, 2018, 10:26:13 am
Of course, there were lies, on both sides. Lies are still being told now. For instance, people are still saying the £350m a week NHS claim was down to Farage.

What really has shown a disrespect for the aspect of democracy is the attitude of many of the remainers, before and after the vote. I for one almost changed my vote to leave after hearing them constantly patronising the 'idiotic, foolish, racist, xenophobic leavers'.

I didn't then and still don't now want to be associated with them.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 07, 2018, 11:46:06 am
What were the lies on the Remain side?

The key themes of Remain were that if we left, we’d take a big economic hit and there’d be big problems sorting out Ireland.

The big themes on the Leave side were that if we left, we’d be able to get whatever deal we wanted with the EU, we’d be better off and Ireland? No problem.

Given how the past 18 months has planned out, do you think there were equal amounts of honesty and deception on both sides?

As for xenophobia, of course not every Leave voter is a racist. Not even close. But equally, it’s mendacious to suggest that none are. Why else would, for example, Johnson lie about 80million Turks being lined up to have the right to move to the UK. Why else would Farage unveil a menadicious poster of queueing migrants on the very same day that a man shouting “Britain First!” shot dead an MP.

There’s nothing correct and noble about ignoring the fact that SOME people are racist bas**rds.

Equally, if one side is correct about a very important issue and the other side is wrong, it’s not suitable to respect the wrong point of view. You have to demolish it. Point out to them time after time after time that they are wrong. There’s nothing correct or noble about being even handed when one side is clearly right and the other side is clearly wrong.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on February 07, 2018, 03:22:11 pm
I fact-checked most things that were side by either side in the run up to the referendum, and the different in % of "un-truths" being spouted was staggering! I would say there were no significant lies told by the remain side at all, although there were a lot of vague theories but that couldn't be helped. The leave side were spreading their vague theories as facts on many occasions though, such as the £350 million a week we would save...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 07, 2018, 05:31:37 pm
The key problems with Brexit highlighted by the Remain side have all been demonstrated to be broadly correct.

- We have had a significant economic slowdown, just as predicted. Not a recession, true, but that's because the entire world economy has hit an upslope, whilst we are one of the very few countries that has seen growth fall off. If the world economy hadn't picked up, we would likely be officially in recession now. The Leave side said that we would be richer by leaving. That's already been shot out of the water. We've already lost several tens of billions of pounds of economic output. And that loss is going to accumulate over the next few years.

- We did see an immediate and significant fall in the value of the  Pound. That has led to higher inflation, further eroding living standards, because it is the worst kind of inflation. If the inflation was down to a booming economy and rising wages, which is the problem that the rest of the world is now looking at, that would be much better. But it's not. It's because all our exports are more expensive than they were in 2016.

- The Irish border HAS turned out to be a major problem. The Remain side tried to point that out during the campaign. The Leave side said it was ridiculous scaremongering, and would be easy to solve.

- Remain said that it wasn't realistic for us to opt out of the EU but still retain all the benefits of easy trade with the EU. Leave said that was nonsense, the EU would be falling over themselves to offer us a gold plated deal to ensure trade continued unaffected. 18 months on there's absolutely no sign of anything remotely resembling the deal that the Leave side predicted.

To suggest that both sides lied as BB says simply doesn't tally with the facts. One side got its predictions broadly correct and perhaps got some of the details wrong. The other side's arguments have all been shown to be hopelessly incorrect. It's incontrovertible that the case that was put to the electorate by the Leave side has entirely fallen apart.  Leave voters were sold a great big right-wing pup. You can't ignore that because it might hurt the feelings of Leave voters. Those facts should be pointed out on a daily basis.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: turnbull for england on February 07, 2018, 06:56:18 pm
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42977967  and now ignore the report of what will happen as it doesn't include the guesswork outcome of what we most likely can't have
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on February 07, 2018, 07:48:49 pm
Billy I accept everything you say about people being misled, and that's part of the problem, there are older generations that feel they  were misled into voting to join something that morphed into something completely different to what they voted to join.
   They are the ones that were lied to, and have had to accept everything since, not all bad admittedly, but not what they voted for.
   The big difference is , their generation respected the vote once declared, something this generation seem incapable of doing.
  And the politicians  who disagreed, joined forces in parliament to make joining work, something else the present generation could learn.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 07, 2018, 07:49:12 pm
No you’re wrong Turnbull.

John Redwood says these assessments are all nonsense. So it’s alright then. After all, he’s an economics expert. Back in 2010, he was absolutely certain that Austerity would lead to a resurgent economy.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 07, 2018, 07:50:39 pm
Selby.

I’m sorry but that is wrong. Politicians disagreeing over Europe destroyed the Labour Party in 1981 and wrecked the Tory Govt in 92-97.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on February 07, 2018, 08:06:42 pm
You never let me down wilts!

Like I've always said before regarding anything Brexit, I don't know! After all, it's never happened before, so anything I say would only be conjecture. That's why I'm interested in the views of those who deem themselves capable of accurately predicting the outcome of it.

Thanks Bentley, always glad to help.

I dont believe its conjecture to answer your question about how Rees-Mogg would get on with Brexit negotiations once you know what it is he actually stands for.

Rees-Mogg has consistentaly said that what he would like to see is Britain as a low tax, deregulated, free-trade society with Brexit being the first step towards that. A large tax haven for the rich competing with Belize, Panama, the Channel Islands and the Isle of Man for hedge funds, global company headquarters, oligarchs and investment funds (such as the one he owns) if you like, importing goods as cheaply as possible. This will benefit already rich people but is projected to have 'devastating' effect on industry, agriculture and working class communities (which he has never denied) and is the complete opposite of why people such as aidanstu (and those in Redcar in the link above) who said they voted Leave to protect/rebuild industry.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/14/jacob-rees-mogg-hard-brexit-would-boost-uk-by-135bn-over-5-years
https://www.rt.com/uk/418116-brexit-rees-mogg-money/

The EU has always been quite clear it is opposed to this vision/plan and what it would mean for the EU to have an unregulated tax haven 20 miles away from its border. So clearly any negotiations between them would be very short as they have nothing to negotiate about.

It does worry me that people support Rees-Mogg with actually knowing what it is he wants. It worries me even more when they do know what sort of country he wants. Mosley, Powell, Thatcher, Rees-Mogg, different generations, same ideas.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 07, 2018, 09:12:43 pm
Billy I accept everything you say about people being misled, and that's part of the problem, there are older generations that feel they  were misled into voting to join something that morphed into something completely different to what they voted to join.
   They are the ones that were lied to, and have had to accept everything since, not all bad admittedly, but not what they voted for.
   The big difference is , their generation respected the vote once declared, something this generation seem incapable of doing.
  And the politicians  who disagreed, joined forces in parliament to make joining work, something else the present generation could learn.

The people who voted in the 1975 referendum didn't vote to join anything, they voted for the status quo as it was at that time, which is what they got. Where the UK went in the EU after that was decided by the successive UK governments that were also voted for by the British public.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on February 07, 2018, 09:19:37 pm
We need Politicians that have principles that they believe in and will stick to.

REAL Politicians - not some prat(s) that go on Telly Quiz Shows and act like buffoons allowing people to take the p**s out of them - whilst knowing it is part of their master plan to seem "a nice bloke" or "normal" or god help us PM material
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on February 07, 2018, 09:24:14 pm
The SNP, Plaid Cymru, and the Ulster Unionists all wanted out in the 1975 referendum, how times change
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on February 07, 2018, 09:27:18 pm
Billy I accept everything you say about people being misled, and that's part of the problem, there are older generations that feel they  were misled into voting to join something that morphed into something completely different to what they voted to join.
   They are the ones that were lied to, and have had to accept everything since, not all bad admittedly, but not what they voted for.
   The big difference is , their generation respected the vote once declared, something this generation seem incapable of doing.
  And the politicians  who disagreed, joined forces in parliament to make joining work, something else the present generation could learn.

The people who voted in the 1975 referendum didn't vote to join anything, they voted for the status quo as it was at that time, which is what they got. Where the UK went in the EU after that was decided by the successive UK governments that were also voted for by the British public.

I am not sure that I agree with that but maybe I misunderstand what you are saying

In 75 I voted against joining the Common Market (quite ironic given I am a remainer now) but it seemed that the Vote was largely made on Party Lines and so it was YEARS and I do mean YEARS till I ever met anyone that voted YES to joining

So I believe I voted NOT to join the Common Market. Ironically the Tories won that Vote and since then half of them have pulled themselves apart time and again trying to get us back out and finally they have done it - and again ironically a lot of Labour Party voters helped them as they voted "Leave"
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 07, 2018, 09:50:05 pm
Billy I accept everything you say about people being misled, and that's part of the problem, there are older generations that feel they  were misled into voting to join something that morphed into something completely different to what they voted to join.
   They are the ones that were lied to, and have had to accept everything since, not all bad admittedly, but not what they voted for.
   The big difference is , their generation respected the vote once declared, something this generation seem incapable of doing.
  And the politicians  who disagreed, joined forces in parliament to make joining work, something else the present generation could learn.

The people who voted in the 1975 referendum didn't vote to join anything, they voted for the status quo as it was at that time, which is what they got. Where the UK went in the EU after that was decided by the successive UK governments that were also voted for by the British public.

I am not sure that I agree with that but maybe I misunderstand what you are saying

In 75 I voted against joining the Common Market (quite ironic given I am a remainer now) but it seemed that the Vote was largely made on Party Lines and so it was YEARS and I do mean YEARS till I ever met anyone that voted YES to joining

So I believe I voted NOT to join the Common Market. Ironically the Tories won that Vote and since then half of them have pulled themselves apart time and again trying to get us back out and finally they have done it - and again ironically a lot of Labour Party voters helped them as they voted "Leave"


We joined on Jan 1st 1973 so you certainly didn't vote not to join anything, we were already in it.

And it certainly wasn't fought on party lines - it was the only time I can remember that Cabinet Collective Responsibility was suspended, so that Government Ministers were able to stand on opposing sides of the argument and disagree with one another. Members of other parties were allowed to stand on opposing sides too - it was as far removed from being on party lines as you could get.

How do you make it that the Tories 'won' the vote? Both Wilson and Heath were on the 'Yes' side, and Wilson was PM at the time.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 07, 2018, 11:27:17 pm
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42977967  and now ignore the report of what will happen as it doesn't include the guesswork outcome of what we most likely can't have

Bloody hell! I’ve just realised that when this information was leaked last week, the wrong spin was put on it. They said that the Treasurey analysis was that by 2030, we’d have lost 2-8% of cumulative economic output by 2030 depending on the exact Brexit relationship.

That was wrong. What the data actual says is that our GDP PER YEAR will be 2-8% lower by 2030.

That’s a totally different sum. That means that we’ll have lower GDP EVERY YEAR and getting steadily worse from now to 2030.

Fag packet numbers. This means that over the next 12 years, we’ll lose £250bn of output even if we get a good deal with the EU. If we get a bad deal and go into WTO rules, which is what Rees-Mogg, Redwood and Johnson have said we should do, we’ll lose ONE TRILLION POUNDS of economic output by 2030.

One trillion f**king quid. That’s the equivalent of a cheque for £40,000 pushed through the letterbox of every door in the country.

Ever get the feeling you’ve been had, Brexiters?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on February 08, 2018, 07:33:54 am
Billy I accept everything you say about people being misled, and that's part of the problem, there are older generations that feel they  were misled into voting to join something that morphed into something completely different to what they voted to join.
   They are the ones that were lied to, and have had to accept everything since, not all bad admittedly, but not what they voted for.
   The big difference is , their generation respected the vote once declared, something this generation seem incapable of doing.
  And the politicians  who disagreed, joined forces in parliament to make joining work, something else the present generation could learn.

The people who voted in the 1975 referendum didn't vote to join anything, they voted for the status quo as it was at that time, which is what they got. Where the UK went in the EU after that was decided by the successive UK governments that were also voted for by the British public.

I am not sure that I agree with that but maybe I misunderstand what you are saying

In 75 I voted against joining the Common Market (quite ironic given I am a remainer now) but it seemed that the Vote was largely made on Party Lines and so it was YEARS and I do mean YEARS till I ever met anyone that voted YES to joining

So I believe I voted NOT to join the Common Market. Ironically the Tories won that Vote and since then half of them have pulled themselves apart time and again trying to get us back out and finally they have done it - and again ironically a lot of Labour Party voters helped them as they voted "Leave"


We joined on Jan 1st 1973 so you certainly didn't vote not to join anything, we were already in it.

And it certainly wasn't fought on party lines - it was the only time I can remember that Cabinet Collective Responsibility was suspended, so that Government Ministers were able to stand on opposing sides of the argument and disagree with one another. Members of other parties were allowed to stand on opposing sides too - it was as far removed from being on party lines as you could get.

How do you make it that the Tories 'won' the vote? Both Wilson and Heath were on the 'Yes' side, and Wilson was PM at the time.

Well thanks for the reminders. I was unclear about how we got where we got and when but reading up I see now we were blocked from entering twice by De Gaulle (yes remember that) but that we then went "in" without a Referendum in 73 BUT with the proviso that we would be allowed a Referendum in 2 years to see whether we wanted to remain ...and of course we did ! Hence my mis remembering. We were IN as you say but got the Referendum to ask whether we wanted to "Stay"

When I said split on Party Lines I meant that the ordinary voters I spoke to at the time at the time and every person I ever spoke to for maybe 10 years said they voted to "leave". This is also borne out by the fact that only something like 6 of 47 Union Block Votes wanted to remain - so the rank and file ordinary "joes" (like I was and am) were mostly split on Party Political lines

The Labour Party were the only Party who did not have a fixed position. The Tories supported the "Stay" option as did the Liberals and the likes of Plaid Cymru and the others were in the "Leave" camp

The Labour Membership at the Labour Conference of 75 actually voted "almost" 2 to 1 to nail their "Leave" colours to the mast and force the Party to stand in the "Leave" camp but as this item shows it was not quite enough. So when I said the Tories "won" I meant they supported "Stay" and carried the day and although there was a massive majority within the Labour Party to "leave" they stayed neutral as a  Party so did not carry the Day

    ========================================================================================



Conservative and Liberal Party conferences consistently supported EC membership for several years up to 1975. At a Labour Party conference on 26 April 1975, the Labour membership rejected continuing EC membership by almost a 2:1 margin. Tony Benn said, ‘We have had a conference and the decision is clear ... It is very clear that there now must be a move for the Labour Party to campaign’. The majority of the Labour Party leadership was strongly for continuing membership, and the margin of the party vote was not a surprise, since only seven of forty-six trade unions present at the conference supported EC membership. Prior to the conference, the party had decided that if the conference voted by a margin of 2:1 or more in favour of a particular option, it would then support that position in the referendum campaign. Otherwise, the ‘party machine’ would remain neutral. Therefore, the Labour Party itself did not campaign on either side.

=============================================================================================

Anyway the whole thing bores the hell out of me but was interesting to see the Tories took us in and have been fighting about our Membership of "Europe" ever since and will do after we have left - and yet the rank and file Labour voters seem to have voted to leave in 1975 and in the latest Referendum as well (whereas I was totally opposed to Joining and Staying in in my early days but bucked the trend by voting remain this time round)

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on February 08, 2018, 09:42:56 am
  It is not worth getting your knickers in a twist about, the only certain result of all this,is that we cannot alter anything, it is up to the politicians to make sense of it all from now on.
  History will mark Cameron down as the worst decision maker we ever had as a prime minister.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on February 08, 2018, 11:43:19 am
I have never been a Tory voter but voted remain in 1975 and stay in a trading block. I voted out of a federal looking Europe last time.
A debate on the lines of the one in 75 might have brought a lot more clarity and possibly a different outcome.
It didn't take Cameron long to crawl out of the hole that he had dug himself into and go back on his promise to see the job through whatever the outcome. Him and George certainly helped the Brexit campaign with their austerity brainwave.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 09, 2018, 08:12:29 pm
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43001931

Jesus wept. Barnier and Davis are like an exasperated parent and a child who is slow on the uptake then has a tantrum.

How many times does Barnier have to state the bleeding obvious?

1) If Britain wants a transition period where we retain all the benefits of trade with Europe, then Europe insists that we keep our side of the deal in the rights of people coming from the EU to Britain.

2) If Britain wants a Hard Brexit then there are going to be serious implications for the Irish border.

These things aren’t hard to grasp. They are bleeding obvious to anyone who spends 5 minutes looking at the issues. Yet Barnier is having to repeat them week after week after week, while Davis moans that he’s not being fair and WHY, WHY, WHY can’t we have the deal that WE want and I HATE YOU!!!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 09, 2018, 08:41:01 pm
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43001931

Jesus wept. Barnier and Davis are like an exasperated parent and a child who is slow on the uptake then has a tantrum.

How many times does Barnier have to state the bleeding obvious?

1) If Britain wants a transition period where we retain all the benefits of trade with Europe, then Europe insists that we keep our side of the deal in the rights of people coming from the EU to Britain.

2) If Britain wants a Hard Brexit then there are going to be serious implications for the Irish border.

These things aren’t hard to grasp. They are bleeding obvious to anyone who spends 5 minutes looking at the issues. Yet Barnier is having to repeat them week after week after week, while Davis moans that he’s not being fair and WHY, WHY, WHY can’t we have the deal that WE want and I HATE YOU!!!

The EU have been consistent on the consequences of the UK leaving the Single Market and the Customs Union all along, making it clear well before the referendum. I myself kept repeating it on this forum but kept being told by the Brexiteer's on here that because they didn't know what was going to happen I couldn't possibly know either. Well, guess what?

Why do people still continue to believe the Brexiteer's fairy stories about only having to wave a magic wand and we'll get whatever we want just because we want it? It gets more and more transparent and flimsy every time it's trotted out. We were told the EU would fall over themselves to give us what we want because they need our trade more than we need theirs. If that was true, we'd surely have had some mutually beneficial agreements by now instead of the feck all we've currently got!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Dagenham Rover on February 09, 2018, 11:25:52 pm
Barnier  my way or the highway.  I will punish you if you don't agree to everything I demand theres no negotiation this idiot just demands   :whistle:   
 wait for it................
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 10, 2018, 01:22:23 am
Dagenham

As I’ve said before, the art of negotiating is knowing your hand and playing it as hard as you can.

What do you want Barnier to do? See it from our side?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on February 10, 2018, 08:37:45 am
I realise Barnier is trying to concentrate minds in the UK Government, but I can't help thinking his public utterances are playing into the hands of the Hard Brexiteers. Perhaps he should stick to negotiating behind closed doors.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 10, 2018, 08:51:15 am
Or perhaps he’s the only grown up telling the UK public what the situation actually is.

Have a think about where we are TRB. You are saying that Barnier making public statements of blindingly obvious facts is playing into the hands  of idiots and fantasists who would do irreparable harm to the country. Just have a think about what that comment implies.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on February 10, 2018, 09:35:33 am
It would help matters a great deal if the Government was to spell out what it is expecting to achieve. I thought they were planning to do that this week but nothing seems to be forthcoming.

To that extent, I can understand Barnier's frustrations. But he is giving the impression that the EU wants to make no concessions. That plays to those who say "if they won't make any, why should we?"
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: turnbull for england on February 10, 2018, 09:54:26 am
Surely it's because we are leaving them?  Or is that over simplifying things(genuine question)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on February 10, 2018, 10:08:20 am
Errr, Barnier has already made a concession. We said we were going to leave the EU in March 2019 but wanted a transition/implementation period for some time after it. He said fair enough.

Why Davies has now decided that this mean the UK can have different rules accessing the EU to the 27 remaining members seems bonkers to me - and very worrying to many people in Northern Ireland - so perhaps someone can explain it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on February 10, 2018, 10:14:54 am
Errr, Barnier has already made a concession. We said we were going to leave the EU in March 2019 but wanted a transition/implementation period for some time after it. He said fair enough.

Why Davies has now decided that this mean the UK can have different rules accessing the EU to the 27 remaining members seems bonkers to me - and very worrying to many people in Northern Ireland - so perhaps someone can explain it?

He also said that any new laws implemented during that transition period we had to abide by, but have no say, and also we can't enter any trade deals with anyone else during that period.

Looks to me like he wants to stick the boot in any way he can
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on February 10, 2018, 10:39:54 am
What, he wants us to stick to rules that something we want to be a part of and benefit from for a while longer will be implementing? the bas**rd.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 10, 2018, 10:46:59 am
What, he wants us to stick to rules that something we want to be a part of and benefit from for a while longer will be implementing? the bas**rd.

Exactly. The EU has been consistent from the beginning that the rules of the existing infrastructure will be adhered to and that if we left, we left. The UK might get EC Preference status, the same as some other non-EU countries get  (if we don't completely piss them off by the way we're going about this). Why the hell should the EU create brand new procedures that they don't give to existing non-members of the EU just for a country that has stuck two fingers up to them? We voted for the UK to leave, not them. It's up to us to work things out, not them.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 10, 2018, 10:49:43 am
Barnier  my way or the highway.  I will punish you if you don't agree to everything I demand theres no negotiation this idiot just demands   :whistle:   
 wait for it................

Really? What's Barnier demanding then? I haven't heard of any demands he's made at all, so I'd really like to know what you've heard.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 10, 2018, 11:40:30 am
TRB

1) The Government CANNOT publicly state what its aim is in the negotiation. Because it’s aim is to keep the Tory party from splitting. No more no less. Everything else is secondary. So it pushes this line that we want all the benefits of trade with the EU whilst also taking back control from the EU. But that’s not a negotiating aim. It is a pie in the sky statement to appease both wings of the Tory party.

2) Negotiating is not necessarily about conceding anything. It’s about playing hard for your side. Barnier holds ALL the cards in this negotiation. Why the hell should he concede anything? If we are so ignorant and stupid that we see that as a provocation to jumpnoff the cliff into a Hard Brexit, that’s not his fault. Or his problem.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on February 10, 2018, 11:44:27 am
Whilst politicians put their own or their parties interests before those of the country we have no chance.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 10, 2018, 11:46:26 am
Filo.

It’s that attitude that is what I’m talking about, confusing hard negotiating with provocation.

We want something out of the Transition.  That is the benefit of continued totally free and inferred access to European markets.

Isn’t fair for Barnier to say, “Ok. If that’s what you want, we’ll give you that. But we want you to abide by ALL the rules of the Single Market and Customs Union.”

That’s not sticking the boot in. It’s setting out bleeding obvious rules. It’s a sign of the rampant anti-EU spirit among Brexiteers that this is seen as somehow unfair.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 10, 2018, 11:54:58 am
Filo. On the new rules, AARRRGH!

It’s really simple. WE have decided to leave the EU next March. US. Not the EU.

WE have decided to opt out of being involved in setting the EU rules. But we want all the benefits of trade with the EU. Therefore the EU will expect us to follow ALL the rules of the SM. Including the ones that will be set during the Transition period after WE have decided to leave the EU.

What is so difficult to accept about that? It’s intelligent people like you being unable to see the logic from the other side that has driven us into this clusterf**k of a situation. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 10, 2018, 11:55:47 am
It looks to me like the EU is exploiting the fact that our country is split, with almost half of the voters having spat the dummy out because of the result, and many of them actually sympathising with the EU more than the UK!

A successful Brexit might be impossible because of such a divided approach.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 10, 2018, 11:59:41 am
Yes B.B.  of course. Clever boy.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 10, 2018, 12:02:46 pm
Thanks BST, always glad to help.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 10, 2018, 12:08:46 pm
The one thing Barrnier and his cronies has hugely underestimated is the British People, who are well and truly naffedd off at some bourgeoisie Twit from Benelux telling us off like a school master. apart from a few 'Coffee Aunities' such as those on this website I think he will find the general consensus of British opinion is 'F**k em.
It's time to get the Artillery boots out and kick ass.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 10, 2018, 12:23:35 pm
Sporty.

Yeah. What a Kitson that Barnier is. Telling us there might be some rules that we’ll need to follow if we’re going to be able to trade with the EU after we leave. Who the f**k does he think he is?

If only we had an aircraft carrier with some planes on it, we should invade the bas**rds and put them in their place.

Mind, the Benelux countries would be a bit pissed off if we invaded them, given that Barnier is French. Still, the f**kers are all the same aren’t they?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 10, 2018, 01:14:43 pm
Sporty.

Yeah. What a Kitson that Barnier is. Telling us there might be some rules that we’ll need to follow if we’re going to be able to trade with the EU after we leave. Who the f**k does he think he is?

If only we had an aircraft carrier with some planes on it, we should invade the bas**rds and put them in their place.

Mind, the Benelux countries would be a bit pissed off if we invaded them, given that Barnier is French. Still, the f**kers are all the same aren’t they?

We have an armoured Division in Germany we don't have to do any Invading
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 10, 2018, 01:21:28 pm
And an Armoured Brigade in Estonia and armoured units in Poland.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 10, 2018, 01:33:20 pm
Oh it’s Germany as well now is it? Not just Benelux and France?  Anyone else?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 10, 2018, 01:34:15 pm
Well then. What on Earth are we bothering to negotiate for?

Gentlemen! To the trenches!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 10, 2018, 01:36:42 pm
You forgot that we’ve got Akrotiri and Dhekelis in too, do that’s Cyprus sorted an all.

Let’s get on with it!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 10, 2018, 04:50:21 pm
You forgot that we’ve got Akrotiri and Dhekelis in too, do that’s Cyprus sorted an all.

Let’s get on with it!


That's great!

Mind you, what will we do when the US tramples us underfoot when we invade their NATO allies? I think it might just scupper our chances of a cosy trade deal with 'em as well!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 10, 2018, 10:52:23 pm
Well it would seem that quite a few other EEC counties share my views on Barnier.
We should pull our troops out of Europe and walk away from the EEC,and just watch then poop their pants,they can't hurt us without hurting themselves, Barnier is an idiot, I can't believe that some of the posters on here actually support his views.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on February 10, 2018, 11:13:22 pm
By his views do you mean reality?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 11, 2018, 01:26:40 am
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42977967  and now ignore the report of what will happen as it doesn't include the guesswork outcome of what we most likely can't have

Bloody hell! I’ve just realised that when this information was leaked last week, the wrong spin was put on it. They said that the Treasurey analysis was that by 2030, we’d have lost 2-8% of cumulative economic output by 2030 depending on the exact Brexit relationship.

That was wrong. What the data actual says is that our GDP PER YEAR will be 2-8% lower by 2030.

That’s a totally different sum. That means that we’ll have lower GDP EVERY YEAR and getting steadily worse from now to 2030.

Fag packet numbers. This means that over the next 12 years, we’ll lose £250bn of output even if we get a good deal with the EU. If we get a bad deal and go into WTO rules, which is what Rees-Mogg, Redwood and Johnson have said we should do, we’ll lose ONE TRILLION POUNDS of economic output by 2030.

One trillion f**king quid. That’s the equivalent of a cheque for £40,000 pushed through the letterbox of every door in the country.

Ever get the feeling you’ve been had, Brexiters?

Unfortunately you are right , I too misread or at least misunderstood those numbers - they are devastating sums of money.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 11, 2018, 06:07:45 am
Barnier  my way or the highway.  I will punish you if you don't agree to everything I demand theres no negotiation this idiot just demands   :whistle:   
 wait for it................

Problem is this man is not an idiot for he holds all the cards and knows exactly when to play them .

He is literally steering our negotiation team and setting out the boundaries that we always should have known existed.
Fact is this whole premise of a beautiful afterlife post- Brexit was never achieveable . I can give you analogy after analogy why and how the Brexit '' dream of sunlit uplands and frollicking unicorns " was NEVER going to be possible but fact is John you STILL even when confronted with all this evidence want to make us ALL poorer economically, socially and morally. How much worse will it have to be before you concede that Brexit is the worst of ideas for the future prosperity  of our children ?

Bear in mind that we lag behind all the other economies currently whilst we STILL remain a member. We have little or no industry, few  resources are virtually bankrupt and yet you want us to take on the likes of the USA, China, India and of course the EU itself ! It's impossible , the world has moved on but sadly like a punch - drunk old lightweight boxer we want to challenge the top heavyweights in the world ; like him we are sadly going to hit the canvas in Round 1 . The glories of the Industrial Revolution and an Empire are long gone even Churchill would weep at our pathetic attempts to land a punch.
Give it up , let us retire gracefully, like all the Empires of the past Persian, Byzantine, Roman, Ottoman and Austro- Hungarian .
We are like an old house that needs attention in every area with a leaking roof, tired furniture, poor decor , mouldy walls and borrowing a couple £ here and there trying to rescue it .

Every area of public life  is stretched to the limit, our infrastructure has failed , our defence and policing budgets shrink and education is failing our youngsters yet you would rather impoverish us more and call half our nation traitorous for not wanting to jump off the cliff with you . Time this mess/ mistake was bought to a halt before it goes any further.....I don't want to be ruled by 30-50 Right wing ideologues who would burn this country for a quick buck. It's not about punishment if you aren't granted " special status " by the way . That's reality but you would berate this man for playing his cards ; do you think that the rest of Europe would choose an " idiot " to represent their interests ; he is clever and plays the hand he holds rather than chucking them back into the stack as you would wish. While our fool grinning away continues to bluff with a pair of Aces trying to  pretend he holds a Royal Flush that Barnier knows he  actually holds and is going " all in " on. 

Now ask yourself once again who is the idiot ? Apologies for all the analogies ......

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 11, 2018, 06:29:44 am
Well it would seem that quite a few other EEC counties share my views on Barnier.
We should pull our troops out of Europe and walk away from the EEC,and just watch then poop their pants,they can't hurt us without hurting themselves, Barnier is an idiot, I can't believe that some of the posters on here actually support his views.

Sporty I usually read your posts expecting something interesting to emerge but sadly you badly disappointed me with this one . What is your thought process here ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 11, 2018, 07:40:52 am
Well it would seem that quite a few other EEC counties share my views on Barnier.
We should pull our troops out of Europe and walk away from the EEC,and just watch then poop their pants,they can't hurt us without hurting themselves, Barnier is an idiot, I can't believe that some of the posters on here actually support his views.

Pull our troops out? When did we have the referendum for pulling out of NATO? I must have missed that one.

As for 'they can't hurt us without hurting themselves', we knew what pulling out of the EU entailed yet still we voted to hurt ourselves and now you're trying to blame them for it!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 11, 2018, 08:38:03 am
Judging by the moans about the EUs negotiators it's enough to make anyone think that what we were continually told about the EU being so desperate for a trade deal that they'd give us everything we wanted might actually have been a lie.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 11, 2018, 11:10:00 am
Well it would seem that quite a few other EEC counties share my views on Barnier.
We should pull our troops out of Europe and walk away from the EEC,and just watch then poop their pants,they can't hurt us without hurting themselves, Barnier is an idiot, I can't believe that some of the posters on here actually support his views.

Sporty I usually read your posts expecting something interesting to emerge but sadly you badly disappointed me with this one . What is your thought process here ?

If we pull our troops out of Europe it will cause a massive consternation and much panic amongst the EEC suddenly Germant and several other
 countries will have to spend billions more on their defence,Germany in particular will have to fund a full armoured Division,every EEC country east of. Germany will have to fund their armed forces properly instead of enjoying a free ride on our backs.
No I'm not advocating pulling out of NATO we will still commit our Navy Airforce,Marines and Air Mobile Brigade to NATO. But the Cost impact will cause a lot of those countries to squeal!
All MAY has to do is merely suggest it and I think we will see a change in attitude.

That's a cracking way to get some sense out of them.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on February 11, 2018, 11:30:30 am
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43021291

Looks like we might be getting some clarity on the Government's position. We'll see...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 11, 2018, 11:55:10 am
So the Hard Brexiters have won the Cabinet fight then TRB. We’re on the slope to the cliff edge.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 11, 2018, 11:59:54 am
Sproty

Be consistent. You’ve been telling us for years that Putin is a friend to all and we should embrace him. Why should European countries panic then if we withdraw a few hundred troops from Estonia and a couple of thousand from Germany? Presumably there’s no threat to protect against?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 11, 2018, 12:32:31 pm
Well it would seem that quite a few other EEC counties share my views on Barnier.
We should pull our troops out of Europe and walk away from the EEC,and just watch then poop their pants,they can't hurt us without hurting themselves, Barnier is an idiot, I can't believe that some of the posters on here actually support his views.

Sporty I usually read your posts expecting something interesting to emerge but sadly you badly disappointed me with this one . What is your thought process here ?

If we pull our troops out of Europe it will cause a massive consternation and much panic amongst the EEC suddenly Germant and several other
 countries will have to spend billions more on their defence,Germany in particular will have to fund a full armoured Division,every EEC country east of. Germany will have to fund their armed forces properly instead of enjoying a free ride on our backs.
No I'm not advocating pulling out of NATO we will still commit our Navy Airforce,Marines and Air Mobile Brigade to NATO. But the Cost impact will cause a lot of those countries to squeal!
All MAY has to do is merely suggest it and I think we will see a change in attitude.

That's a cracking way to get some semester out of them.

Erm...our troops are there as part of our NATO commitments. But you want us to 'cause consternation' to all of our NATO allies and unilaterally remove our troops? 

If May suggests it, she'll get a change in attitude all right. From Trump for starters.

EDIT And the change in attitude from Germany would be 'you're getting f**k all out of the EU in Brexit.'
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 11, 2018, 01:34:30 pm
Sproty

Be consistent. You’ve been telling us for years that Putin is a friend to all and we should embrace him. Why should European countries panic then if we withdraw a few hundred troops from Estonia and a couple of thousand from Germany? Presumably there’s no threat to protect against?

Billy there is no threat to us from Russia,we don't Need to keep troops in Germany unless they are stationed there to keep the Germans down.
Germany however has a tiny army 60,000. They have to have the ability to defend themselves from the nearest perceived threat...Russia, the Americans under Trump are pulling forces out of Europe as he has said they need to start funding their own defence and not having a ride on the backs of the US.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 11, 2018, 01:48:43 pm
Sproty.

There’s 500 channels out there apart from Yesterday...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 11, 2018, 02:09:25 pm
The Ukraine didn't think Russia was a threat either.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 11, 2018, 02:09:59 pm
Sproty.

There’s 500 channels out there apart from Yesterday...
Sproty.

There’s 500 channels out there apart from Yesterday...

You like playing about with graphs I like History...we are both Rovers supporters!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on February 11, 2018, 02:32:33 pm
So the Hard Brexiters have won the Cabinet fight then TRB. We’re on the slope to the cliff edge.

If that's the case it will be interesting to see if there are any resignations from the Government. Unless there has been a genuine compromise on certain issues.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: German Rover on February 11, 2018, 04:56:21 pm
Sporty.

Yeah. What a Kitson that Barnier is. Telling us there might be some rules that we’ll need to follow if we’re going to be able to trade with the EU after we leave. Who the f**k does he think he is?

If only we had an aircraft carrier with some planes on it, we should invade the bas**rds and put them in their place.

Mind, the Benelux countries would be a bit pissed off if we invaded them, given that Barnier is French. Still, the f**kers are all the same aren’t they?

We have an armoured Division in Germany we don't have to do any Invading

Half a brigade in Germany the division left years ago and are now based in york
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: German Rover on February 11, 2018, 04:59:34 pm
And an Armoured Brigade in Estonia and armoured units in Poland.

Armoured infantry battle group in Estonia. The Estonians can only field a brigade and the 1 royal Welsh battle group is part of that brigade.

Your support of the army by inflating numbers is admirable but 2 minutes on Wikipedia would have saved you being fact checked like this.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on February 11, 2018, 05:42:43 pm
Latest you gov poll has tories 4 points ahead bit surprised, but think it shows if correct labour will struggle to get in power with Corbyn in charge
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on February 11, 2018, 06:06:03 pm
Latest you gov poll has tories 4 points ahead bit surprised, but think it shows if correct labour will struggle to get in power with Corbyn in charge

The Tories have had small leads in three polls this week. Says a lot about Labour because even under normal circumstances you'd expect the Opposition to have a poll lead at this stage of a Parliament.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 11, 2018, 06:26:04 pm
Then it's time for Corbyn and his team to get off the fence - the " Remainers " that they attracted at the last election are beginning to walk.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 11, 2018, 06:36:48 pm
So the Hard Brexiters have won the Cabinet fight then TRB. We’re on the slope to the cliff edge.

Looks like it but as Teresa has said in the recent past......." nothing has changed, nothing has changed ! "

The same problems need to be resolved whoever makes a speech.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 11, 2018, 06:39:25 pm
And an Armoured Brigade in Estonia and armoured units in Poland.

Armoured infantry battle group in Estonia. The Estonians can only field a brigade and the 1 royal Welsh battle group is part of that brigade.

Your support of the army by inflating numbers is admirable but 2 minutes on Wikipedia would have saved you being fact checked like this.

I looked at Wiki it said 5,500 in Germany which I assume is 45% of an armoured division,i.e. A cadre which is brought up to operational strength by flying troops in to man the kit in storage.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: German Rover on February 11, 2018, 07:03:44 pm
Nope. It's nowhere near that one armoured regiment, one armoured infantry battalion. One regiment of engineers soon to be a squadron, one regiment of artillery and a field hospital. A couple of independent companies, doing police and intelligence. Add in a couple of headquarters.

The units out there are massively undermanned. I'm currently serving at the minute and have to deal with an ever increasing list of tasks and an ever shrinking list of soldiers to do them.

As for the flying troops in, not a chance would this work, there aren't the numbers to do it and the RAF don't have enough airframe to do it. Britain doesn't have the capability to do it alone any more. We would rely on a huge influx of Americans to help shore up Europe. NATO is the best thing going for us, as is the EU.

Brexir has down discord between us and the rest of Europe and this can only be bad for NATO. Not only that my wages are worth less now than they were before the brexit vote. My own morale is at an all time low never mind the lads who work for me.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 11, 2018, 07:52:03 pm
Latest you gov poll has tories 4 points ahead bit surprised, but think it shows if correct labour will struggle to get in power with Corbyn in charge

Well, they're coming out with so many conflicting statements it's no wonder that they hit a wider spread of the electorate!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 11, 2018, 08:04:57 pm
Nope. It's nowhere near that one armoured regiment, one armoured infantry battalion. One regiment of engineers soon to be a squadron, one regiment of artillery and a field hospital. A couple of independent companies, doing police and intelligence. Add in a couple of headquarters.

The units out there are massively undermanned. I'm currently serving at the minute and have to deal with an ever increasing list of tasks and an ever shrinking list of soldiers to do them.

As for the flying troops in, not a chance would this work, there aren't the numbers to do it and the RAF don't have enough airframe to do it. Britain doesn't have the capability to do it alone any more. We would rely on a huge influx of Americans to help shore up Europe. NATO is the best thing going for us, as is the EU.

Brexir has down discord between us and the rest of Europe and this can only be bad for NATO. Not only that my wages are worth less now than they were before the brexit vote. My own morale is at an all time low never mind the lads who work for me.

8 Globemaster,24 Hercules,60 chinook......that's 4,000 troops easily over to Germany in 2 hours.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 11, 2018, 08:09:55 pm
Well this has gone off in an odd direction.

We were discussing Brexit. Now we appear to be observers to Sproty’s fantasies of World War Yet To Come. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on February 11, 2018, 08:28:53 pm
Latest you gov poll has tories 4 points ahead bit surprised, but think it shows if correct labour will struggle to get in power with Corbyn in charge

The Tories have had small leads in three polls this week. Says a lot about Labour because even under normal circumstances you'd expect the Opposition to have a poll lead at this stage of a Parliament.

So much for all those scare stories about 'the rebels' not destabilising May or they would let Corbyn in. Each time she has had a problem her ratings have gone up! So there is obviously no problem in 'the dream team' kicking her out and calling a GE to legitimise their view of Brexit -as McDonnell called for on the tv this morning. That would show him!

It is really strange how every time that May has had a problem - hre ratings have gone up. It's almost as if Labour had told their supporters that if they were asked by the pollsters who they would vote for then say Tory - as no way would there be an early election if Labour had a lead. But who could think that, its the sort of thing that only happens on tv dramas.

Still if they are deserting Labour its not because they want a party that promises remain, the Lib Dems have hardly increased.

Isn't Yougov owned by Nadhim Zahawi btw, one of the arch-Breixteers in cabinet? Hmmm.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: German Rover on February 11, 2018, 08:36:56 pm
Nope. It's nowhere near that one armoured regiment, one armoured infantry battalion. One regiment of engineers soon to be a squadron, one regiment of artillery and a field hospital. A couple of independent companies, doing police and intelligence. Add in a couple of headquarters.

The units out there are massively undermanned. I'm currently serving at the minute and have to deal with an ever increasing list of tasks and an ever shrinking list of soldiers to do them.

As for the flying troops in, not a chance would this work, there aren't the numbers to do it and the RAF don't have enough airframe to do it. Britain doesn't have the capability to do it alone any more. We would rely on a huge influx of Americans to help shore up Europe. NATO is the best thing going for us, as is the EU.

Brexir has down discord between us and the rest of Europe and this can only be bad for NATO. Not only that my wages are worth less now than they were before the brexit vote. My own morale is at an all time low never mind the lads who work for me.

8 Globemaster,24 Hercules,60 chinook......that's 4,000 troops easily over to Germany in 2 hours.

Wouldn't work, how many of those airframes are taskworthy at any one time. Its not even half id venture.

Also 2 hours? Do you think the army are sat on their Bergens waiting for the nod. Nope they're on leave, they're on courses. They're on exercise. They're on the sick injured. They're anywhere but sat in the barracks waiting to go.

Where are they going to leave from? The airfields will be targeted by strategic bombers immediately as will all the ports.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 11, 2018, 09:03:06 pm
Wilts

Course it couldn’t be that, prior to this weekend, nothing has been seen of Corbyn and McDonnell for 6 months?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on February 11, 2018, 09:46:30 pm
We'll see at the next GE wont we Billy - although the May Council elections may give us a pointer.

Back on topic I found these two polls far more interesting:
20% of people think the Brexit negotiations will have no effect at to the final outcome, 18% think it will be bad whatever whilst 17% think it will be a success whatever.
https://yougov.co.uk/news/2018/02/02/what-do-public-want-brexit-negotiations/

While 74% of people think the government's plan are unclear - 17% think they are clear:
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-poll-new-public-dont-know-theresa-may-government-ideas-goals-brussels-negotiations-a8203291.html

What a strange time we are living in....
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 11, 2018, 09:53:21 pm
Now I’m struggling Wilts. Is that poll from the same YouGov that you were hinting might be less than trustworthy in your previous post?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 11, 2018, 10:22:58 pm
Nope. It's nowhere near that one armoured regiment, one armoured infantry battalion. One regiment of engineers soon to be a squadron, one regiment of artillery and a field hospital. A couple of independent companies, doing police and intelligence. Add in a couple of headquarters.

The units out there are massively undermanned. I'm currently serving at the minute and have to deal with an ever increasing list of tasks and an ever shrinking list of soldiers to do them.

As for the flying troops in, not a chance would this work, there aren't the numbers to do it and the RAF don't have enough airframe to do it. Britain doesn't have the capability to do it alone any more. We would rely on a huge influx of Americans to help shore up Europe. NATO is the best thing going for us, as is the EU.

Brexir has down discord between us and the rest of Europe and this can only be bad for NATO. Not only that my wages are worth less now than they were before the brexit vote. My own morale is at an all time low never mind the lads who work for me.

8 Globemaster,24 Hercules,60 chinook......that's 4,000 troops easily over to Germany in 2 hours.

Wouldn't work, how many of those airframes are taskworthy at any one time. Its not even half id venture.

Also 2 hours? Do you think the army are sat on their Bergens waiting for the nod. Nope they're on leave, they're on courses. They're on exercise. They're on the sick injured. They're anywhere but sat in the barracks waiting to go.

Where are they going to leave from? The airfields will be targeted by strategic bombers immediately as will all the ports.



Probably all are airworthy they ain't got the life of a Monarch airlines jet!
Which seem to be in the air for 20 hours a day every day. Military kit is built to an even higher standard. In any case we wouldn't even need a strategic airlift to get 20 k troops to Germany we merely commandeer the civil fleet, aka Atlantic conveyor.

The biggest issue for Hm Forces would be getting a second Armoured division across the North Sea, that would be hard work.

If we have the equipment on site staffing. An armoured Division with personnel from the uk can be achieved in 48 hours. Provided we are in a situation where we have time to react A pre emotive strike is a different matter.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on February 11, 2018, 10:24:47 pm
To a war that nobody other than you is even contemplating...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 11, 2018, 10:27:03 pm
Sproty

Is this invasion before or after we pull out of the Custom’s Union?

If it’s after, the troops wouldn’t be able to get to Dover for trucks backing up the M2.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 11, 2018, 10:42:19 pm
Nope. It's nowhere near that one armoured regiment, one armoured infantry battalion. One regiment of engineers soon to be a squadron, one regiment of artillery and a field hospital. A couple of independent companies, doing police and intelligence. Add in a couple of headquarters.

The units out there are massively undermanned. I'm currently serving at the minute and have to deal with an ever increasing list of tasks and an ever shrinking list of soldiers to do them.

As for the flying troops in, not a chance would this work, there aren't the numbers to do it and the RAF don't have enough airframe to do it. Britain doesn't have the capability to do it alone any more. We would rely on a huge influx of Americans to help shore up Europe. NATO is the best thing going for us, as is the EU.

Brexir has down discord between us and the rest of Europe and this can only be bad for NATO. Not only that my wages are worth less now than they were before the brexit vote. My own morale is at an all time low never mind the lads who work for me.

8 Globemaster,24 Hercules,60 chinook......that's 4,000 troops easily over to Germany in 2 hours.

Wouldn't work, how many of those airframes are taskworthy at any one time. Its not even half id venture.

Also 2 hours? Do you think the army are sat on their Bergens waiting for the nod. Nope they're on leave, they're on courses. They're on exercise. They're on the sick injured. They're anywhere but sat in the barracks waiting to go.

Where are they going to leave from? The airfields will be targeted by strategic bombers immediately as will all the ports.



Probably all are airworthy they ain't got the life of a Monarch airlines jet!
Which seem to be in the air for 20 hours a day every day. Military kit is built to an even higher standard. In any case we wouldn't even need a strategic airlift to get 20 k troops to Germany we merely commandeer the civil fleet, aka Atlantic conveyor.

The biggest issue for Hm Forces would be getting a second Armoured division across the North Sea, that would be hard work.

If we have the equipment on site staffing. An armoured Division with personnel from the uk can be achieved in 48 hours. Provided we are in a situation where we have time to react A pre emotive strike is a different matter.

I can't believe I'm reading all this and who is to hold the Russians up then - they could have 500k men pouring over the border in the first 12 hours with back--up oh and the nuclear arsenal in Kaliningrad could hold us up .
London would be in ashes before that imaginary 2 hours was over . No wonder we have a problem and a vote like that with such muddled thinking !!

All this talk of a " war cabinet " is messing our perceptions up - some think we will be at war soon ; wtf is going on here ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 11, 2018, 11:00:36 pm
Sproty

Is this invasion before or after we pull out of the Custom’s Union?

If it’s after, the troops wouldn’t be able to get to Dover for trucks backing up the M2.

Nah, they'll all be needed patrol the Irish border instead.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on February 12, 2018, 02:06:35 pm
Hmm. Unironically posting about pulling troops out of Europe, and invading. But it's remainers who are spitting the dummy out.

This thread is weird.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on February 12, 2018, 02:45:12 pm
I wouldn't call caring about the future prosperity of this country and the welfare of future generations due to this ridiculous decision to leave the EU spitting the dummy out. Read BST's recent contributions to see what the impact may well be.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 13, 2018, 01:32:24 am
Hmm. Unironically posting about pulling troops out of Europe, and invading. But it's remainers who are spitting the dummy out.

This thread is weird.

Well well well you have been following all of this closely haven't you . " spitting dummies out " the best you can come out with MM about the biggest decision this country has faced for nigh on a century ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 13, 2018, 08:34:43 am
Hmm. Unironically posting about pulling troops out of Europe, and invading. But it's remainers who are spitting the dummy out.

This thread is weird.

Well well well you have been following all of this closely haven't you . " spitting dummies out " the best you can come out with MM about the biggest decision this country has faced for nigh on a century ?

Not only that, I'd have thought the thought of pulling our troops out of EU countries in an act of petulance by a Brexiteer who wasn't getting what they wanted was the biggest dummy being spat.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 13, 2018, 12:05:15 pm
Hmm. Unironically posting about pulling troops out of Europe, and invading. But it's remainers who are spitting the dummy out.

This thread is weird.

More than that it is quite pathetic and doesn't acknowledge current circumstances at all. Brexiters grow up .


Well well well you have been following all of this closely haven't you . " spitting dummies out " the best you can come out with MM about the biggest decision this country has faced for nigh on a century ?

Not only that, I'd have thought the thought of pulling our troops out of EU countries in an act of petulance by a Brexiteer who wasn't getting what they wanted was the biggest dummy being spat.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 13, 2018, 02:19:39 pm
Lads.

I think you've mis-read MM's comments...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on February 13, 2018, 02:43:25 pm
sarcasm
/ˈsɑːkaz(ə)m/
noun
the use of irony to mock or convey contempt.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 13, 2018, 02:50:49 pm
sarcasm
/ˈsɑːkaz(ə)m/
noun
the use of irony to mock or convey contempt.

How do you convey sarcasm in the written word?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 13, 2018, 04:04:05 pm
Bloody 'ell, a clique tiff!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on February 13, 2018, 04:18:21 pm
sarcasm
/ˈsɑːkaz(ə)m/
noun
the use of irony to mock or convey contempt.

How do you convey sarcasm in the written word?
A question for the ages, that one Glyn. Far cleverer than us have pondered it and got nowhere. Still, yes, I was using sarcasm to point out the ridiculousness of a Brexiteer accusing others of spitting the dummy out while simultaneously talking about invading Europe, or some other such nonsense.

BB, it's almost as if there isn't a single "remainer" mindset and people are free to agree, disagree, and interpret things differently. As a remain voter yourself I imagine you know that though and are just being a mischievous little tyke again.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 13, 2018, 04:48:11 pm
sarcasm
/ˈsɑːkaz(ə)m/
noun
the use of irony to mock or convey contempt.

How do you convey sarcasm in the written word?

Right you morons when I have I said we would invade Europe?
A question for the ages, that one Glyn. Far cleverer than us have pondered it and got nowhere. Still, yes, I was using sarcasm to point out the ridiculousness of a Brexiteer accusing others of spitting the dummy out while simultaneously talking about invading Europe, or some other such nonsense.

BB, it's almost as if there isn't a single "remainer" mindset and people are free to agree, disagree, and interpret things differently. As a remain voter yourself I imagine you know that though and are just being a mischievous little tyke again.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 13, 2018, 05:00:47 pm
That got lost in the quote....Right you Morons when did I say out about invading Europe?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 13, 2018, 05:17:37 pm
That got lost in the quote....Right you Morons when did I say out about invading Europe?

Quote
or some other such nonsense
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on February 13, 2018, 05:24:44 pm
That got lost in the quote....Right you Morons when did I say out about invading Europe?

What you mean its off? I was just getting my gear ready...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 13, 2018, 05:48:49 pm
Wilts I just PMSL. I'm sorry if you got hold of the wrong end of the stick.
I made an assumption that all of that spare kit we now have since downsizing the army is in storage in Germany so we could hastily mobilise an Armoured division.
It looks like we are on the cusp of totally pulling out of Germany by 2020.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 13, 2018, 08:32:04 pm
sarcasm
/ˈsɑːkaz(ə)m/
noun
the use of irony to mock or convey contempt.

How do you convey sarcasm in the written word?
A question for the ages, that one Glyn. Far cleverer than us have pondered it and got nowhere. Still, yes, I was using sarcasm to point out the ridiculousness of a Brexiteer accusing others of spitting the dummy out while simultaneously talking about invading Europe, or some other such nonsense.

BB, it's almost as if there isn't a single "remainer" mindset and people are free to agree, disagree, and interpret things differently. As a remain voter yourself I imagine you know that though and are just being a mischievous little tyke again.


Sorry MM missed that , I thought you had joined SprotyRover in his war bunker. He's been working out how easily we can get 50,000 troops barracked and supplied onto presumably the Polish and German borders. Think he's getting our Spitfires and Hurricanes out of mothballs quickly as well ?
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on February 13, 2018, 08:43:07 pm
Sorry too MM. ☝What hoola just said.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on February 14, 2018, 07:49:49 am
sarcasm
/ˈsɑːkaz(ə)m/
noun
the use of irony to mock or convey contempt.

How do you convey sarcasm in the written word?

The convention a while back was to colour such comments purple and in italics BUT - like my attempts at humour the convention seems to have died a death
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 14, 2018, 09:06:25 am
The purple for sarcasm idea was a great one, and whoever thought of it should take great credit. I still use it, and would have done on this occasion, but there's too much proximity between sarcasm and the truth on this occasion.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on February 14, 2018, 11:20:02 am
The purple for sarcasm idea was a great one, and whoever thought of it should take great credit.

Give the inventor a Medal  :lol:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 14, 2018, 11:37:12 am
Besides, I daren't use it on this thread for fear of being colour prejudiced.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 14, 2018, 03:52:50 pm
sarcasm
/ˈsɑːkaz(ə)m/
noun
the use of irony to mock or convey contempt.

How do you convey sarcasm in the written word?

The convention a while back was to colour such comments purple and in italics BUT - like my attempts at humour the convention seems to have died a death

I've never heard of that, and even if I'd had done I've no idea how to change text colour anyway!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on February 14, 2018, 03:59:06 pm
Easy just type message as I am now - then when you have finished click "Preview" below right

Then click Change Colour - Top right - and select Colour you want and invoke any other features such as "Italics" or "Move" or both and you should get the above !

Simpler than B****t (the word I will never use on principle and whose Thread I have ambushed !)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 14, 2018, 04:00:43 pm
Should be the law really for every right-minded poster.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on February 14, 2018, 04:47:21 pm
Should be the law really for every right-minded poster.

Thanks, hope you are not including me in that...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 14, 2018, 04:52:37 pm
Should be the law really for every right-minded poster.

Thanks, hope you are not including me in that...

No mate, you're usually wrong...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on February 14, 2018, 06:48:03 pm
Should be the law really for every right-minded poster.

Thanks, hope you are not including me in that...

No mate, you're usually wrong...

Thanks Bentley, in these uncertain times its good to know that somethings are still reliable - and that Boris Johnson and I have more than one thing in common..
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 14, 2018, 06:58:56 pm
What, do you mean that he's going through a Purple patch too?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on February 14, 2018, 07:15:10 pm
Easy just type message as I am now - then when you have finished click "Preview" below right

Then click Change Colour - Top right - and select Colour you want and invoke any other features such as "Italics" or "Move" or both and you should get the above !

Simpler than B****t (the word I will never use on principle and whose Thread I have ambushed !)

Hmmmmmmmm, that doesn't seem to work for me using Microsoft Edge browser.  In fact, I can't even add smileys!  Is it browser specific? Or browser limited?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on February 14, 2018, 09:34:46 pm
An apology on the internet - never had that happen to me before. And no I'm not being sarcastic this time!

Not to worry gents, it's a discussion forum so it doesn't really matter, but appreciated all the same. If Sproty gets his wish we'll all be in the trenches together soon anyway so we'd best all get along.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 15, 2018, 12:59:11 am
Bags I get posted to Slovenia then , I've heard it's positively " Alpine " there . It  seems safer  than Germany, Poland or the Baltics.

Anyway Sproty when are you thinking of starting it - I wouldn't want it to interfere with my Quiz night or meal out at the local Tapas bar ? 
I wonder if you will beat Bojo the clown to it ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 15, 2018, 10:22:25 pm
Bags I get posted to Slovenia then , I've heard it's positively " Alpine " there . It  seems safer  than Germany, Poland or the Baltics.

Anyway Sproty when are you thinking of starting it - I wouldn't want it to interfere with my Quiz night or meal out at the local Tapas bar ? 
I wonder if you will beat Bojo the clown to it ?


Slovenia???.....no no no Hoola you will have a special mission on the RUSSIAN front, digging  latrines with a soup spoon!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 16, 2018, 12:25:25 pm
Bags I get posted to Slovenia then , I've heard it's positively " Alpine " there . It  seems safer  than Germany, Poland or the Baltics.

Anyway Sproty when are you thinking of starting it - I wouldn't want it to interfere with my Quiz night or meal out at the local Tapas bar ? 
I wonder if you will beat Bojo the clown to it ?


Slovenia???.....no no no Hoola you will have a special mission on the RUSSIAN front, digging  latrines with a soup spoon!

Not that again , I do that with my battle hardenened WW11 alter ego already . Didn't you know that we are still at war with Germany oh and Churchill lives ?

Of course you did - you and many like you are still fighting this war ! 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 16, 2018, 03:57:23 pm
What’s this “Russian Front” jive? I thought Putin was our best mate Sproty.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 16, 2018, 05:03:32 pm
Liebenraum we need some Liebensraum!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 16, 2018, 05:34:54 pm
Liebenraum?

You want a Loving Space Sproty? I reckon you’re on the wrong website mate!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 16, 2018, 06:17:11 pm
Anschluss was soon to happen too Sproty ? 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 16, 2018, 07:05:47 pm
Liebenraum?

You want a Loving Space Sproty? I reckon you’re on the wrong website mate!
[/quote

Billy Your name is in the BOOK
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 18, 2018, 09:16:35 pm
Ahem.

https://mobile.twitter.com/Jonnyhibberd/status/964904050599788544
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 19, 2018, 06:50:58 am
Good point, 18 months on a lot of water has gone under the bridge,some of the impoverished parts of the UK which mainly voted out have certainly realised that a Tory Govt won't be replacing the EEC handouts they have seen in the past.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 19, 2018, 09:11:43 am
Brexit supporters. If you have a spare 15 mins, read this. And have a think how you’ve been played by a small group of extremely motivated, very intelligent and well connected right wing activists.

https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2017/01/dominic-cummings-brexit-referendum-won/

From the mouth of the Vote Leave head himself:
“Would we have won without £350m/NHS? All our research and the close result strongly suggests No. ”

Very skilful, very deliberate lying from these folk.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 19, 2018, 05:46:17 pm
Ahem.

https://mobile.twitter.com/Jonnyhibberd/status/964904050599788544

True whatever happened to Bolton means Bolton ?haha.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 19, 2018, 06:03:33 pm
Brexit supporters. If you have a spare 15 mins, read this. And have a think how you’ve been played by a small group of extremely motivated, very intelligent and well connected right wing activists.

https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2017/01/dominic-cummings-brexit-referendum-won/

From the mouth of the Vote Leave head himself:
“Would we have won without £350m/NHS? All our research and the close result strongly suggests No. ”

Very skilful, very deliberate lying from these folk.

Yes unfortunately unlike the past where deliberate lies unravelled and the leaders would be lynched  - this lot have been allowed to get away with it .

I'm surprised that Leavers aren't pulling these charlatans up ....mind the BBC ( Brexit Broadcasting Corporation ) have ensured they were let off the hook !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on February 20, 2018, 05:21:50 pm
Brexit supporters. If you have a spare 15 mins, read this. And have a think how you’ve been played by a small group of extremely motivated, very intelligent and well connected right wing activists.

https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2017/01/dominic-cummings-brexit-referendum-won/

From the mouth of the Vote Leave head himself:
“Would we have won without £350m/NHS? All our research and the close result strongly suggests No. ”

Very skilful, very deliberate lying from these folk.

Interesting that in the next para Boris and Gove were prepared to follow through, at least in part, with the pledge if Boris came into power.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on February 20, 2018, 07:56:22 pm
There has been a lot more following through since.😉
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 20, 2018, 10:44:08 pm
Heard the latest? The hardline Brexiters want to rewrite the Good Friday Agreement - that over 70% of Northern Ireland voted for in a (guess what?) referendum! - because it doesn't fit in with what they want!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on February 21, 2018, 04:43:18 am
The conservatives are in open warfare and using the populace as cannon fodder, kick them out.

https://www.theguardian.com/uk?INTCMP=CE_UK
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 22, 2018, 12:21:04 am
Heard the latest? The hardline Brexiters want to rewrite the Good Friday Agreement - that over 70% of Northern Ireland voted for in a (guess what?) referendum! - because it doesn't fit in with what they want!

We are treading some dangerous water at the moment - we' re almost trying to do it with both lower limbs chopped off . Something has got to give  and I think the Tories are starting to run out of road .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on February 22, 2018, 06:37:55 pm
Interesting news today (no not that the EU have already ruled out May's preferred future option before the Chequers meeting has decided whether or not they agree with it!) but McDonnell signalling that Labour will support the Tory rebels amendment to the Trade Bill forcing the government to negotiate to stay in the Customs Union.

 Which could lead to May loosing a vote on the one point she has been very definate about...well then what?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on February 22, 2018, 07:24:36 pm
Politics is in a very bad place atm. Neither main party is fit to govern or has any credible politicians in my humble opinion
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 22, 2018, 07:37:22 pm
Then Brexit will mean Brex something else.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 22, 2018, 07:46:17 pm
Interesting news today (no not that the EU have already ruled out May's preferred future option before the Chequers meeting has decided whether or not they agree with it!) but McDonnell signalling that Labour will support the Tory rebels amendment to the Trade Bill forcing the government to negotiate to stay in the Customs Union.

 Which could lead to May loosing a vote on the one point she has been very definate about...well then what?

Then what? David Davies will half-heartedly ask Barnier if they the UK can stay in the Customs Union but neither pay for the privilege nor be bound by any of the rules. Barnier will quite rightly tell him to bugger off, so then Davies will say 'Well, I negotiated.'
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 23, 2018, 07:37:58 am
A few papers including the Telegraph claiming the EU has hinted that British Driving licences may not be recognised in Europe after Brexit.
A bit silly if it's true and a very childish negative attitude on their part.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DevilMayCry on February 23, 2018, 08:13:08 am
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h1StxuA3pCI
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 23, 2018, 08:13:31 am
A few papers including the Telegraph claiming the EU has hinted that British Driving licences may not be recognised in Europe after Brexit.
A bit silly if it's true and a very childish negative attitude on their part.

This is what people who voted leave wanted, isn't it?

Brexit means Brexit!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on February 23, 2018, 08:20:49 am
Politics is in a very bad place atm. Neither main party is fit to govern or has any credible politicians in my humble opinion

PR anyone for a more representative way to Govern / be Goverened ? Keeps out extremism either way

I think it is 1931 since the "winning" Party in a General Election got more than 50% of the votes cast and there have been Lanslides when the winning Party have got only 42% of the Votes cast

If its good enough for the majority of modern Democracies why not us as well ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 23, 2018, 08:28:14 am
Politics is in a very bad place atm. Neither main party is fit to govern or has any credible politicians in my humble opinion

PR anyone for a more representative way to Govern / be Goverened ? Keeps out extremism either way

I think it is 1931 since the "winning" Party in a General Election got more than 50% of the votes cast and there have been Lanslides when the winning Party have got only 42% of the Votes cast

If its good enough for the majority of modern Democracies why not us as well ?

But the EU Parliament is just like that, and according to some the EU isn't democratic!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on February 23, 2018, 09:09:20 am
A few papers including the Telegraph claiming the EU has hinted that British Driving licences may not be recognised in Europe after Brexit.
A bit silly if it's true and a very childish negative attitude on their part.


Well we could reciprocate that and create thousands of Lorry Driving jobs


And probably make our roads safer at the same time
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 23, 2018, 12:57:52 pm
Not much point Filo.

Uber and Google will have driverless lorries doing most long distance stuff within a decade. There’s a panic starting to develop in the USA over that. A decent proportion of the workforce there earn their living in jobs related to road transportation. It’s not unrealistic to think that a large proportion of them might not have jobs by 2030.

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp.insurancejournal.com/news/national/2017/03/27/445638.htm

It’s being talked of as being the same level of industrial revolution as the mechanisation of agriculture that put huge numbers of farm labourers out of work in Britain in the 1700-1800s. But that happened over 50 years and occurred as new jobs were becoming available in factories. They are talking about the driverless vehicle revolution happening over a decade with no obvious alternative jobs for people to move into.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 23, 2018, 01:23:15 pm
Sounds like what happened when they shut the pits.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 23, 2018, 01:46:32 pm
True, but the job losses in the mining industry in the 80s totted up to about 0.5% of the U.K. workforce. In the USA, they reckon about 4% of the workforce are drivers.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 23, 2018, 04:03:58 pm
It won't take on here, our roads are such a mess and full of nob heads driving to very low standards
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on February 23, 2018, 04:27:30 pm
It won't take on here, our roads are such a mess and full of nob heads driving to very low standards

I'm not sure it will happen here either, there are big insurance implications if you have an accident with a driverless vehicle, whos to blame? Where does the wittness statement come from driverless vehicles etc.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on February 23, 2018, 05:34:37 pm
It won't take on here, our roads are such a mess and full of nob heads driving to very low standards

You say that but statistically  - and from experience (both of which the speed awareness course agrees with) - we certainly have among the best drivers in Europe and probably beyond.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 23, 2018, 06:43:24 pm
In the UK, there's roughly 1 person in every 40,000 in the country who gets killed in a road crash each year. In the USA it's about 1 in 8000.

So the USA has far more dangerous roads/drivers than we have. And they are not exactly known for having gentle, unaggressive compensation lawyers. Yet driverless vehicles are being pushed very hard over there. Can't see any reason why they won't be pushed hard here also.

Filo. No need for a witness statement. There'll be computer records and all-round video cameras capturing every millisecond of data.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on February 23, 2018, 08:31:45 pm
All the major manufacturers are moving into electric cars. That is happening now.
To future proof those vehicles they will need to include an AI capability.

If autonomous vehicles are safer than human drivers, then the Insurers will ramp up premiums for unsafe drivers (humans) driving unsafe vehicles (petrol/diesel without AI).

By the time electric and AI enabled vehicles are mainstream (say 2022 ish), the alternatives are going to look expensive and obsolete.

This will all happen Brexit or not.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on February 23, 2018, 11:29:59 pm
In the UK, there's roughly 1 person in every 40,000 in the country who gets killed in a road crash each year. In the USA it's about 1 in 8000.

So the USA has far more dangerous roads/drivers than we have. And they are not exactly known for having gentle, unaggressive compensation lawyers. Yet driverless vehicles are being pushed very hard over there. Can't see any reason why they won't be pushed hard here also.

Filo. No need for a witness statement. There'll be computer records and all-round video cameras capturing every millisecond of data.

The high number of deaths on the roads in the US may be due to poor public transport options, more people driving?

This is an artilcle from 2013

https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/poverty-matters/2013/sep/03/bus-public-transport-road-deaths
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 25, 2018, 01:16:56 pm
South Yorkshire roads deaths rose from 24 in 2016 to 60 in 2017. We are starting to pay the price for lack of investment in Roads Policing
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 25, 2018, 01:21:32 pm
Ha... there is a 180 billion euro shortfall in the EEC Green budget which must be achieved by 2020 and the EEC expects the UK to contribute more on defence spending, Border controls and the Policing  of illegal immigration.

No wonder they are crapping themselves and making childish threats to the UK about banning UK driving licences!

Pah!,  the sooner we cut ourselves free of this Deadman the Better.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 25, 2018, 05:18:09 pm
Ha... there is a 180 billion euro shortfall in the EEC Green budget which must be achieved by 2020 and the EEC expects the UK to contribute more on defence spending, Border controls and the Policing  of illegal immigration.

No wonder they are crapping themselves and making childish threats to the UK about banning UK driving licences!

Pah!,  the sooner we cut ourselves free of this Deadman the Better.

FFS!! We voted to leave the EU and now you're whinging that the EU are going to treat us the same as they treat every other non-EU country after we leave! And yet it's the Remainers who get labelled as moaners!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on February 25, 2018, 06:19:18 pm
I can't see car hire companies and hotels and gite owners welcoming such a move.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 25, 2018, 06:44:59 pm
I can't see car hire companies and hotels and gite owners welcoming such a move.


Then they should 'get over it' like the rest of us!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 25, 2018, 06:45:18 pm
Sweet Jesus Sproty this infantile story about the EU “threatening” to ban our driving licences.

Have some pride man! Read beyond the headlines and look at the truth of the story. What’s happened is that the EU has commissioned reports into the potential consequences of us leaving. One of the issues set out was that, ascthings currently stand, Brexit means that, “...all current EU law-based rights, obligations and benefits [would] cease” which means the “end of mutual recognition of driving licences, vehicle registration documents and certificates of professional competence for drivers”.

That s not a childish threat. It’s a statement if the bleeding obvious that will happen inevitably as a result of our decision to leave.

If you do nothing but read slanted and twisted stories from people who want you to believe the EU are cheating devious bas**rds, then you’ll believe the EU are cheat devious bas**rds.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 25, 2018, 07:47:40 pm
What do you expect Billy, when Brexiters been lied to from the start and told to expect the EU to lie down and let us have whatever we want 'because the EU needs us more than we need them', even though the reality has been there for all to see from way before the referendum took place? And now that the reality of what Brexit really means is coming home to roost, it's all the fault of the 'evil EU'.

PS If you want to have a good (but hollow) laugh, go on BBC iplayer and watch Liam Fox's pitiful attempts to avoid answering a direct question about this very subject on this morning's Andrew Marr show. He even trotted out the 'EU needs us so they must give us what we want' line on that, too.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 25, 2018, 08:20:21 pm
I saw it this morning. It was like being in a time warp back to May 2016. As though nothing had happened in the past 12 months.

Biggest issue for the country in 75 years and its being handle by a third-rate serial failure of a politician like Fox. God help us.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 25, 2018, 08:28:54 pm
Ok ladies just to let you know Fox hasn't got a clue, the are conventions governing driving licences and Motor Insurance that pre date Our Membership of the EEC which will facilitate a smooth and seamless Brexit on this issue.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 25, 2018, 08:37:15 pm
 If You doubt me Google "Can I drive in the uk with a Canadian Driving licence or can I drive in the Uk with a Pakistan Driving Licence,
For the EEC crackpots to make such shallow threats is beyond infantile.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 25, 2018, 08:49:01 pm
Sproty

Aye. So you’ll just need to pay £6, get two passport photos taken and get an IDP whenever you want to hire a car in the EU.

But regardless of that minor inconvenience, that’s not the point is it. The point is that once again, you are parroting bullshit fed to you by the Brexit Press, who tell you that the EU are being horrible, unfair, nasty bullies, when all the EU is actually doing is setting out the simple consequences of this stupid decision that you have taken.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 25, 2018, 09:02:01 pm
Ok ladies just to let you know Fox hasn't got a clue, the are conventions governing driving licences and Motor Insurance that pre date Our Membership of the EEC which will facilitate a smooth and seamless Brexit on this issue.

So what the f**k are the Telegraph - and then you - getting your knickers in a twist about then?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 25, 2018, 09:10:04 pm
He’s getting his knickers in a twist about the EU “banning British driving licences.”

Except no-one from the EU has mentioned “banning British driving licences.”

An official from the European Commission pointed out, correctly, that if there’s no ratified agreement on road transport issues then existing agreements would lapse and the EU and Britain would, by default, not recognise each other’s licences.

When that became public, some U.K. papers presented this as EU threatening to ban U.K. drivers.
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.express.co.uk/news/politics/922647/Brexit-latest-news-UK-driving-licences-Europe-driver-ban/amp

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/684147/UK-driving-licence-banned-EU-Brexit-insurance-hire-car-department-of-transport/amp

For the record, no-one (that’s NO-ONE) from the EU has mentioned U.K. drivers or licences being banned. But Sproty has parroted this shite being peddled by the mendacious f**kers who run the right-wing media.

This is the culture in which we are dealing with Brexit.
https://mainlymacro.blogspot.co.uk/2018/02/the-persuasive-power-of-uk-right-wing.html?m=1
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 25, 2018, 09:14:29 pm
I knew that, I'm trying to find out whether he does or whether he just regurgitates any old crap. He can obviously find the info, but apparently only after he's posted the original claim and got in a froth about it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on February 25, 2018, 09:41:41 pm
Ok ladies just to let you know Fox hasn't got a clue, the are conventions governing driving licences and Motor Insurance that pre date Our Membership of the EEC which will facilitate a smooth and seamless Brexit on this issue.

So what the f**k are the Telegraph - and then you - getting your knickers in a twist about then?

There are - but unfortunately there is no one treaty that the UK and all the EU counties are signed up to. Which is why we have sign up to the Geneva Road Traffic Convention - and have it with the UN by 29 March this year as it takes 12 months to implement - in case there is no deal with the EU.

Not to mention the extra paperwork for hauliers over cabotage rights.
https://www.politico.eu/article/brexit-driving-license-london-racing-to-avoid-roadblock/

Still I dont think there is any need to worry I'm sure Liam can sort it out no problem, Sproty did, it's the easiest trade deal in history.....
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on February 25, 2018, 10:40:50 pm
I knew that, I'm trying to find out whether he does or whether he just regurgitates any old crap. He can obviously find the info, but apparently only after he's posted the original claim and got in a froth about it.

Well at least it's a step up from Oslo who spouts completely unsubstantiated shite then challenges anyone to disagree with his made up facts to prove him wrong...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 26, 2018, 11:12:02 am
I knew that, I'm trying to find out whether he does or whether he just regurgitates any old crap. He can obviously find the info, but apparently only after he's posted the original claim and got in a froth about it.

Well at least it's a step up from Oslo who spouts completely unsubstantiated shite then challenges anyone to disagree with his made up facts to prove him wrong...

However Red J,  he IS  spouting completely slanted and incorrect stories. This demonizing of the EU  is childish and gets us nowhere.
Sporty these are possible consequences/ impact assessments if you liked and it is the duty of both sides to not only find these sort of weaknesses but hopefully go on to resolve them.

This ant- EU demonizing shit doesn't help us to create a deep and special partnership with our friends now does it ?

Sporty please come on here with good hard , well - researched facts rather than slanted opinion designed to create more enmity and an incorrect illusion of both the EU and neighbouring countries that have had a good relationship for centuries with us . Are the papers trying to create a war going beyond a trade one . If so we will all be losers. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on February 26, 2018, 11:29:42 am
Admittedly I didn't hear Corbyn's speech and only seen reports, but for me there is a huge difference between  "a customs union" and  "THE Customs Union."

Since the speech seems to point to the former, which is something that will have to be negotiated with the EU, I can't see that Labour's position is that much different to the Government's.

EDIT. This just seems like more cherry-picking to me.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43189878
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 26, 2018, 12:12:25 pm
Admittedly I didn't hear Corbyn's speech and only seen reports, but for me there is a huge difference between  "a customs union" and  "THE Customs Union."

Since the speech seems to point to the former, which is something that will have to be negotiated with the EU, I can't see that Labour's position is that much different to the Government's.

EDIT. This just seems like more cherry-picking to me.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43189878



More political fantasising:

Quote
Labour would seek a final deal that gives full access to European markets and maintains the benefits of the single market and the customs union

The only position where they match with the government is that they think all of us out here are thick enough to believe any old PR stunt and swallow their crap.

EDIT: Just to clarify, the only way to avoid a hard border in Ireland is to do away with Customs declarations between the two territories. Only the Single Market does that. A Customs Union - even one with no Customs Duties levied - would still require Customs declarations and physical examinations to ensure those declarations are true. Which is what a hard border is.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 26, 2018, 12:16:20 pm
TRB

I couldn’t agree more. I listened to the speech on the radio whilst working on a report  so I might not have got all the subtleties. But from what I can see, he’s asking for:

1) A bespoke CU that gives us all the benefits of trade with the EU and all the flexibility that we want for external trade.
2) Leaving the SM in terms that leave us no worse off.
3) The right to re-work freedom of movement agreements.
4) Nothing that affects the GFA.

It doesn’t stack up. There are massive internal contradictions in that stance. But it’s not REALLY about Brexit anyway. This is about appealing to current and actual Labour supporters. He’s still in the mode of telling the pro- and anti-Brexit Labour supporters that he’s in both of their sides. Because he needs them both to vote Labour in the General Election that we’re likely to have in the next 12 months.

IF he wins the GE, THEN he’ll have to formulate a credible Brexit strategy. This speech isn’t a credible Brexit strategy. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on February 26, 2018, 12:47:59 pm
TRB

I couldn’t agree more. I listened to the speech on the radio whilst working on a report  so I might not have got all the subtleties. But from what I can see, he’s asking for:

1) A bespoke CU that gives us all the benefits of trade with the EU and all the flexibility that we want for external trade.
2) Leaving the SM in terms that leave us no worse off.
3) The right to re-work freedom of movement agreements.
4) Nothing that affects the GFA.

It doesn’t stack up. There are massive internal contradictions in that stance. But it’s not REALLY about Brexit anyway. This is about appealing to current and actual Labour supporters. He’s still in the mode of telling the pro- and anti-Brexit Labour supporters that he’s in both of their sides. Because he needs them both to vote Labour in the General Election that we’re likely to have in the next 12 months.

IF he wins the GE, THEN he’ll have to formulate a credible Brexit strategy. This speech isn’t a credible Brexit strategy. 

Those bullet points, phrased a little differently, could almost be the same negotiation position as the Government. Except of course the Government will not use the phrases "Customs Union" and "Single Market" directly.

I agree that I think Corbyn may be talking to the Tory "awkward squad" who have been using the same formula around "A customs union." But if he does succeed on forming a Parliamentary majority capable of toppling the Government on this issue (a big if) the problem will then land in Corbyn's own lap.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on February 26, 2018, 01:07:42 pm
The Corbyn speech and Labour's new position is designed purely to get Tory rebels onside with the aim of bringing down the Maybot and hopefully paving the way for an election this year, with the added bonus of keeping all Labour voters in the fold.
Clever stuff imo whether or not it's a feasible plan with regard to any  Brexit deal.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 26, 2018, 01:45:32 pm
The Corbyn speech and Labour's new position is designed purely to get Tory rebels onside with the aim of bringing down the Maybot and hopefully paving the way for an election this year, with the added bonus of keeping all Labour voters in the fold.
Clever stuff imo whether or not it's a feasible plan with regard to any  Brexit deal.


The problem is, if I've seen through the complete infeasibility of it in five seconds flat, I won't be the only one. All he's done is made Labour policy as big a fantasy as that of the government.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on February 26, 2018, 05:19:50 pm
The Corbyn speech and Labour's new position is designed purely to get Tory rebels onside with the aim of bringing down the Maybot and hopefully paving the way for an election this year, with the added bonus of keeping all Labour voters in the fold.
Clever stuff imo whether or not it's a feasible plan with regard to any  Brexit deal.


I'm sure the prospect of toppling the Government is a major consideration. My point would be, are his rather vague aspirations (which the EU may well reject anyway) enough to persuade the Tory rebels to take the huge step of bringing down their own Government?

A Labour leader promising to stay in the Single Market and THE Customs Union, and/ or promising a second referendum might just persuade the likes of Anna Soubry that a Labour government might be a price worth paying. I'm not sure this is anywhere near enough, because on close analysis it doesn't look a long way from the Government's position.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on February 26, 2018, 07:27:52 pm
I find it interesting that people think 'being in a customs union' is the same as 'under no circumstances will we be in a customs union', but there you go.

Another major point that came out of the speech today was Corbyn saying he wanted to stay in several European regulatory bodies, Medicines Agency, Aviation Safety Agency which the Tories say we are leaving as they are under ECJ rules.

In my view where the parties are now diverging is that Labour is seeing that having a negotiated deal with Europe is their priority aim, whilst the Tories it is being able to negotiate with the rest of the world which is their aim.

How will it play out in the commons, who knows? How will it play out with Labour Leave voters if there were an election, who knows? But I think we might get to find out later this year.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 26, 2018, 09:15:45 pm
Wilts

The point is, as Corbyn well knows, we’re not going to get a deal that involves:

1) Having a pick and mix Customs Union.
2) Having significant restrictions on freedom of movement.
3) Leaving the Single Market.
4) Having a day in CU/SM decisions affecting Britain.
4) Having an economic result which is at least as beneficial as the status quo ante.

Which is, in a nutshell, what he said his aim was today. He’s still essentially saying that we want all the benefits and none of the things we don’t like. There’s zero chance of the EU agreeing to that. I’m sure he knows that (at least I bloody well hope he knows that because it’s bleeding obvious to anyone who studies the issue in any detail). That’s why I said that this isn’t really a credible Brexit stance.

Yes, of course, the more sensible approach to other European agreements and agencies is infinitely preferable to the idiocy of May’s approach, but that’s a pretty low standard by which to judge anyone.

But as I said before, this isn’t about Brexit. It’s about the next GE and it might well work.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on February 26, 2018, 09:24:18 pm
Wilts

The point is, as Corbyn well knows, we’re not going to get a deal that involves:

1) Having a pick and mix Customs Union.
2) Having significant restrictions on freedom of movement.
3) Leaving the Single Market.
4) Having a day in CU/SM decisions affecting Britain.
4) Having an economic result which is at least as beneficial as the status quo ante.

Which is, in a nutshell, what he said his aim was today. He’s still essentially saying that we want all the benefits and none of the things we don’t like. There’s zero chance of the EU agreeing to that. I’m sure he knows that (at least I bloody well hope he knows that because it’s bleeding obvious to anyone who studies the issue in any detail). That’s why I said that this isn’t really a credible Brexit stance.

Yes, of course, the more sensible approach to other European agreements and agencies is infinitely preferable to the idiocy of May’s approach, but that’s a pretty low standard by which to judge anyone.

But as I said before, this isn’t about Brexit. It’s about the next GE and it might well work.

Political party in spouting popular b*llocks to snare idiots votes shocker. All parties are the same
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 26, 2018, 09:40:37 pm
Ldr

In fairness, both main political parties are in horrendous situations.

Tory supporters are overwhelmingly and vehemently anti-EU. So May has little option (if she wants to remain leader) but to play to that. As does anyone else in the Tory party who has leadership pretensions. Whether May or Johnson or Rees-Mogg or whoever actually understand how economically disastrous a hard Brexit will be is irrelevant. They couldn’t argue for a soft-Brexit anyway because there party would have them.

Corbyn’s situation is even tougher. 1/3rd of Labour supporters are anti-EU. 2/3rds are strongly pro-EU. But he needs all of them to have a chance of winning power. Oh aye,and he himself has been strongly against the EU throughout his political lifetime. But the majority of his Parliamentary colleagues are pro-EU. So, despite having won the leadership as a straight-talking politician with strong beliefs who doesn’t engage in grubby stuff like dissembling and avoiding the core of issues he’s...well, dissembling and avoiding the core issue.

I don’t massively blame either of them. That’s what politics is. It’s not noble. It’s not pure. Unfortunately it IS necessary to act this way if you are going to be able to attain and remain in power to do the things you actually believe in.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on February 26, 2018, 09:43:15 pm
Aye, and you also attacked Corbyn before as a poor leader because he wouldn't be able to put aside his principles to achieve power....politicians eh.

But of course you are right it is not aimed as negotiating stance to the EU (how could it be, he's not the one in negotiations) but at a domestic audience to show he is a credible leader. The CBI seem to like it, so there you are, Labour the party of business.

I am not so sure that any future GE is a guarantee for Labour tho. There were a lot of leave voters on the radio and tv saying he had betrayed them. He needs to win a few of them round first.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on February 26, 2018, 10:06:59 pm
Aye, and you also attacked Corbyn before as a poor leader because he wouldn't be able to put aside his principles to achieve power....politicians eh.

But of course you are right it is not aimed as negotiating stance to the EU (how could it be, he's not the one in negotiations) but at a domestic audience to show he is a credible leader. The CBI seem to like it, so there you are, Labour the party of business.

I am not so sure that any future GE is a guarantee for Labour tho. There were a lot of leave voters on the radio and tv saying he had betrayed them. He needs to win a few of them round first.



I wouldn't take much notice of the CBI. In the same breath they were quick to confirm that they are anti-Nationalization.

I agree with your last point though. If you held a GE tomorrow, or I'll venture any time in 2018, the result is likely to be a Hung Parliament. The only question would be who has most seats.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 26, 2018, 10:15:01 pm
Wilts

Aye. I called it wrong didn’t I? I was assuming all this New Politics stuff where people said what they really meant and took the people with them was genuine. I didn’t realise Corbyn had it in him to be Harold Wilson.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on February 26, 2018, 10:27:11 pm
Ldr

In fairness, both main political parties are in horrendous situations.

Tory supporters are overwhelmingly and vehemently anti-EU. So May has little option (if she wants to remain leader) but to play to that. As does anyone else in the Tory party who has leadership pretensions. Whether May or Johnson or Rees-Mogg or whoever actually understand how economically disastrous a hard Brexit will be is irrelevant. They couldn’t argue for a soft-Brexit anyway because there party would have them.

Corbyn’s situation is even tougher. 1/3rd of Labour supporters are anti-EU. 2/3rds are strongly pro-EU. But he needs all of them to have a chance of winning power. Oh aye,and he himself has been strongly against the EU throughout his political lifetime. But the majority of his Parliamentary colleagues are pro-EU. So, despite having won the leadership as a straight-talking politician with strong beliefs who doesn’t engage in grubby stuff like dissembling and avoiding the core of issues he’s...well, dissembling and avoiding the core issue.

I don’t massively blame either of them. That’s what politics is. It’s not noble. It’s not pure. Unfortunately it IS necessary to act this way if you are going to be able to attain and remain in power to do the things you actually believe in.

BST

I think if Jeremy Corbyn's speech has performed one useful purpose, it is to demonstrate that there isn't a Soft Brexit, at least not one that is acceptable to the EU Commission and to the UK.

I do think the EU could live with a UK position where we remain members of the SM and CU, but give up our voting rights. In other words, the Norway position. I don't think that any party could sell that on the doorstep, because it's a worse deal than we have now.

The only alternative is a Hard Brexit, on WTO terms and all the implications for the Irish border. And because the Government believed they could achieve a bespoke deal, which is basically what Labour now also wants, they have not prepared for. That was a critical mistake IMO.

Unfortunately for Brexiteers, and this is a key point, the people with whom we are negotiating don't particularly care if Volkswagen can't sell their cars to us Brits after March 2019. Basically, they are determined to protect the EU as a political project at all costs and the fact that Germany has no Government plays into their hands perfectly. We basically have three options:

1. Stay in on the same terms.
2. Norway option - membership of SM and CU but no voting rights.
3. Hard Brexit.

None of those particularly appeal to me, I have to say.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 26, 2018, 10:47:31 pm
TRB

I’d say it’s a bit more nuanced/complex than that.

Given the choice between a Hard Brexit and a Soft Brexit as you describe it, I’d hazard a guess that there'd be a 60/40 majority in the country in favour of that. The 60 being made up of the 48% who voted Remain plus a group of Leavers who didn’t think they were voting to make themselves significantly worse off into the far distant future. What there absolutely isn’t and never was is a majority in the country for a Hard Brexit.

Problem is, neither main party can win power on that Soft Brexit case. Tories obviously. Labour because it has a small rump if Hard Brexit supporters. The 60% that I suggestceoukd support Soft Brexit are spread between lots of parties - maybe 40% of them Labour voters, 8% LD, 8% Soubry-type Tories and the rest SNP supporters.

So there’s no way we could get a Soft Brexit that:
-is acceptable to the EU
-avoids the worst economic consequences and
-could get either main party elected.

So the main parties insist on pushing lines that either will hammer us economically or just simply can’t happen in reality.

What a f**king mess eh?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on February 27, 2018, 07:36:20 am
It really IS a total mess - and I say that as one who Voted "Remain"

I think that a lot of Leave voters probably feel the same way but cant speak for them. They might feel it is messy and much too slow but it could never be acted upon "the next day" as they will now understand (and probably most knew that at the time of voting)

Wish someone would ask the woman seen on TV when the result was announced (and often still seen) celebrating on someones shoulders dressed in a Red T Shirt how she feels now. Will the wait be worth it - are things going as she hoped etc etc

Ultmimately history will judge whether "we" went the right way in the Vote and the negotiations that followed and it will be long long after I have gone


Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on February 27, 2018, 11:15:02 am
I fear that a lot of leave voters are completely aware that leaving is now proving to be a bad idea but are too afraid of looking stupid to admit it. Which makes them the more stupid in the end as it's themselves and their families they will be hurting by their stance.
 
When I hear leavers saying such things as "yes, it's going to be bad for a while, but we're British, we'll get through it", without a clue as to how we'll get through it or what it will be like on the other side; then I really do feel for the future of my grandchildren as it's quite apparent that these people don't care about the future for theirs.
 
What did Sir Martin Donnely say... Brexit is like giving up a 3 course meal for the promise of a packet of crisps....  I don’t think he's far wrong either, but I do wonder how many of those leave voters will enjoy their crisps.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 27, 2018, 12:44:28 pm
What did Sir Martin Donnely say... Brexit is like giving up a 3 course meal for the promise of a packet of crisps....  I don’t think he's far wrong either, but I do wonder how many of those leave voters will enjoy their crisps.

They'll say but at least we get to choose what flavour crisps we have and that's more important than having a full belly. :silly:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 27, 2018, 12:52:15 pm
According to some, it's going to be that bad we're gonna need food banks.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on February 27, 2018, 01:31:15 pm
What did Sir Martin Donnely say... Brexit is like giving up a 3 course meal for the promise of a packet of crisps....  I don’t think he's far wrong either, but I do wonder how many of those leave voters will enjoy their crisps.

They'll say but at least we get to choose what flavour crisps we have and that's more important than having a full belly. :silly:

Until the only choice is plain or salt & vinegar; then we'll see some right whining!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 27, 2018, 05:51:01 pm
Breaking news!

Liam Fox’s brain explodes as he tries to make a rational case for leaving the Customs Union.

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/02/27/brexit-bulletin-fox-doesnt-quaver-crisp-customs-row/amp/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on February 27, 2018, 06:14:44 pm
I'll see your Liam Fox and raise it with Boris Johnson believing the Irish border is like the London congestion charge zone!
http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/boris-johnson_uk_5a952465e4b02cb368c56016?utm_hp_ref=uk-homepage
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 27, 2018, 07:33:07 pm
This is beyond parody.

This!
https://www.liamfox.co.uk/news/dr-fox-mail-sunday

From Liam Fox’s own bleeding website!

An article of his from 2012. Get past the throwaway comments on why he hates the EU (because the evil bas**rds insist on regulations to protect workers against exploration and to reduce pollution).

Go to the fourth last paragraph and see what he says, on his own website, is the sort of relationship that we should have with the EU.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 27, 2018, 09:11:26 pm
I'll see your Liam Fox and raise it with Boris Johnson believing the Irish border is like the London congestion charge zone!
http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/boris-johnson_uk_5a952465e4b02cb368c56016?utm_hp_ref=uk-homepage

f**k me, he'll explode when the Irish put border checks on their side of the frontier...or does he think they'll not bother for some reason?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 27, 2018, 09:21:07 pm
I'm going to make a prediction...we'll end up getting a Preference Agreement - which has always been the most likely outcome  of anything over and above a straight Brexit from Day 1. The government will claim it's a Free Trade agreement (which it's not), Labour will claim it's a Customs Union (which it's not), they'll disagree with each other about what it is; and the public will make all sorts of weird claims about what it is because the vast majority of them don't have a real clue what a Preference Agreement, a Free Trade Agreement or a Customs Union really are.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 27, 2018, 09:54:03 pm
I know it seems a daft idea, but I would PMSL if We saw a United Eire come out of all this.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on February 28, 2018, 12:24:46 am
My prediction is we won't leave, we'll just spend millions going through the whole charade for 2 years
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on February 28, 2018, 09:39:17 am
I know it seems a daft idea, but I would PMSL if We saw a United Eire come out of all this.

Yeah, the thought of paramilitaries coming back - which they almost certainly would - is hilarious isn't it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on February 28, 2018, 10:16:00 am
I'm going to make a prediction...we'll end up getting a Preference Agreement - which has always been the most likely outcome  of anything over and above a straight Brexit from Day 1. The government will claim it's a Free Trade agreement (which it's not), Labour will claim it's a Customs Union (which it's not), they'll disagree with each other about what it is; and the public will make all sorts of weird claims about what it is because the vast majority of them don't have a real clue what a Preference Agreement, a Free Trade Agreement or a Customs Union really are.

There certainly is a huge misunderstanding about the Customs Union and the Single Market. As you correctly pointed out the other day, if we stayed in the CU (or formed a new one with the EU) there is still the likelihood that some form of border checks would be needed if we left the SM.

Admittedly the checks would probably be on the Irish side, at the behest of the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 28, 2018, 12:30:03 pm
I'm going to make a prediction...we'll end up getting a Preference Agreement - which has always been the most likely outcome  of anything over and above a straight Brexit from Day 1. The government will claim it's a Free Trade agreement (which it's not), Labour will claim it's a Customs Union (which it's not), they'll disagree with each other about what it is; and the public will make all sorts of weird claims about what it is because the vast majority of them don't have a real clue what a Preference Agreement, a Free Trade Agreement or a Customs Union really are.

There certainly is a huge misunderstanding about the Customs Union and the Single Market. As you correctly pointed out the other day, if we stayed in the CU (or formed a new one with the EU) there is still the likelihood that some form of border checks would be needed if we left the SM.

Admittedly the checks would probably be on the Irish side, at the behest of the EU.

Its not a 'likelihood', it's a certainty. There's no getting round it except by being in the Single Market so there are no internal borders.

And don't forget - there'll need to be checks on both sides of the border because every import is also an export, so there'll be two declarations to verify; an import declaration and an export declaration.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 28, 2018, 01:35:02 pm
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43224785

And so the pantomime drags on.

December 2017, May agreed with the EU that there must be no barrier for goods and people between Ireland and Northern Ireland. She had to do that because it was a fundamental precondition to get onto trade talks.

That meant there were only two options for us.

1) We stay in the Single Market and Customs Union. That makes it all easy to deal with the Irish Border.

2) We decide to leave the CU and SM. But if WE leave the CU and SM, NI can only have africtionless border with Ireland if there is a border between NI and the rest of the U.K.  That’s just simple logic.

In January, May announced that we are leaving the CU and SM. So, Option 2 above.

The EU today publish the agreement that May agreed to in December.

May says that no UK PM could possibly agree to that because it means a border between NI and the rest of the U.K. 

It really is like trying to reason with a 5 year old. No sense of consequence or responsibility for actions. Just acting on impulse and then wailing when the rest of the world doesn’t fall into place.

It’s quite overwhelmingly embarrassing to deal with European work contacts who are getting THIS impression of what we in Britain think and believe.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on February 28, 2018, 05:54:50 pm
... and all the while the propper uppers (DUP) of the Tories will be waiting to drop them if they dont get what THEY want (AGAIN)

It just stinks and can be sorted to a degree by implementing PR of some sort. See First Pie Chart

https://twitter.com/MakeVotesMatter (https://twitter.com/MakeVotesMatter)

Hope the DUP give back the massive Grant they were given to "save " the Tories if they DO dump them cos it might go some way to helping the NHS and/or other good causes
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on February 28, 2018, 07:13:30 pm
Only one thing forrit....
Resurrect Isambard and Alec Guinness and get them to build blidge QUICK.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on February 28, 2018, 09:32:41 pm
 Sportyrover, If that did happen the last people to be pissing themselves would be the E.U.
  They would have a civil war on their hands within six months and no British army or undercover agents to help them out.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 01, 2018, 12:39:12 am
This is beyond parody.

This!
https://www.liamfox.co.uk/news/dr-fox-mail-sunday

From Liam Fox’s own bleeding website!

An article of his from 2012. Get past the throwaway comments on why he hates the EU (because the evil bas**rds insist on regulations to protect workers against exploration and to reduce pollution).

Go to the fourth last paragraph and see what he says, on his own website, is the sort of relationship that we should have with the EU.



Haha that is so funny - the knobhead hangs himself once again .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 01, 2018, 12:54:28 am
... and all the while the propper uppers (DUP) of the Tories will be waiting to drop them if they dont get what THEY want (AGAIN)

It just stinks and can be sorted to a degree by implementing PR of some sort. See First Pie Chart

https://twitter.com/MakeVotesMatter (https://twitter.com/MakeVotesMatter)

Hope the DUP give back the massive Grant they were given to "save " the Tories if they DO dump them cos it might go some way to helping the NHS and/or other good causes

I am totally with you on this one Wolfie , the current system and the way it has broken down now proves it's not fit for purpose.
When the Tories manage to reduce the seats to 600 as they propose ; I fear the problem will only get worse much worse.
We have 10 MPs calling all the shots especially as they have a massive  vested interest in the biggest decision this country has taken for 79 years .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 01, 2018, 12:57:02 am
Sportyrover, If that did happen the last people to be pissing themselves would be the E.U.
  They would have a civil war on their hands within six months and no British army or undercover agents to help them out.

Why don't they have troops or a security organisation. Is it all on us and the protection of the whole of Europe too ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on March 01, 2018, 02:07:45 pm
According to some, it's going to be that bad we're gonna need food banks.

Maybe....
 
(https://i.imgur.com/RkieBXH.jpg)
 
Back to the future with BREXIT.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on March 01, 2018, 09:34:47 pm
According to some, it's going to be that bad we're gonna need food banks.

I take it the big sticks are for Whacking any 'Urchin' they may have encountered?
 
Maybe....
 
(https://i.imgur.com/RkieBXH.jpg)
 
Back to the future with BREXIT.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 02, 2018, 08:48:26 am
German Economy 2016

Total Exports (2016): $1,340,752,046,170
Trade Balance (2016): $280,080,028,941
Total Imports (2016): $1,060,672,017,229

$   280 billion trade surplus ffs
( More than twice our NHS budget )

Why don't we learn from them , work with them instead of trying to fight WW2 again with them ? Our exports are less than 50% of that , even little Netherlands exports more than us to the world ! Yes only 17,000,000 people produce more than us - yet supposedly the EU IS DYING . We have a British Leyland economy.
The EU is not the problem it should be the fix given an end to austerity and proper investment in " New cutting edge " industries and proper detailed planning for the future rather than ad hoc patching up.

Instead today we have a " propped up " PM who is about to piss away the future prosperity of this country . We are already bit part players in a dystopian Mad Max film set and still far too many people who can't or will not see through this dangerous charade.

Welcome to Fool Britannia .....

Finally there is little evidence of any difficulty for Germany when their 2 largest export destinations are you guessed it ......the USA and China. When I last looked neither of them were in the EU.
So why our problem then - perhaps one of our resident Leavers can answer some of my questions  ?

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on March 02, 2018, 09:16:00 pm
The Germans have a totally different attitude to work than the British,they se their work as contributing to the welfare of the Nation,i.e. Their attitude to sick leave,"If I take leave it's w working day lost to the Nation,just think of the cost to the economy if 10,000 knock sick for no reason!
Imagine that attitude in Britain!
They also take pride in their work ,I always say that if British Leyland had employed German quality controllers it would never have gone bust.
We as a Nation also have a bit of an attitude towards Germans and anything German,Any German ideas that work well we look upon with scorn, we can learn so much from the Germans.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on March 02, 2018, 10:11:44 pm
Why tar everybody with the same brush Sproty?
My nephew is married to a German girl and when we went over for the wedding in 2000 we were all treated like royalty. There are good and bad in all nationalities.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on March 03, 2018, 12:25:24 am
If it had stayed the eec and the political side had never reared its head do you think there would even have been a need for the referendum?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 03, 2018, 09:04:14 am
Ldr

I’ll turn the question around.

If we didn’t have the Mail, Sun and Express, , do you think there would have even been a need for a referendum?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on March 03, 2018, 09:19:51 am
There is a good piece in todays Guardian on who and what may be to blame for Brexit and the chaos it is proving to be. From Thatcher's deindustrialisation, to Blair's open door immigration via 'cultural dementia' the playing fields of Eton and the Dam Busters!

Worth a read (whether you agree with it or not)
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/03/brexit-immigration-jobs-eton-europe
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on March 03, 2018, 09:26:29 am
Probs not BST but the media in this country is yet another issue to face.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 03, 2018, 09:33:10 am
Probs not BST but the media in this country is yet another issue to face.

And they've just announced that Leveson 2 has been dropped. Shows how much will there really is to do something about it. Or more likely how much power the newspaper owners still hold over politicians.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on March 05, 2018, 09:23:42 am
There is a good piece in todays Guardian on who and what may be to blame for Brexit and the chaos it is proving to be. From Thatcher's deindustrialisation, to Blair's open door immigration via 'cultural dementia' the playing fields of Eton and the Dam Busters!

Worth a read (whether you agree with it or not)
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/03/brexit-immigration-jobs-eton-europe
Thanks Wilts, well worth reading
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on March 05, 2018, 11:14:32 am
The election in Italy appears to be another blow to the EU and it's superstate ambitions
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 05, 2018, 12:13:12 pm
The election in Italy appears to be another blow to the EU and it's superstate ambitions

I don't see how it's going to affect the EU, neither of the biggest parties have campaigned to leave it.

Are you thinking of any 'superstate ambitions' in particular that you think have been thwarted or is that just a buzzphrase you've chucking into the mix?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on March 05, 2018, 12:28:47 pm
The election in Italy appears to be another blow to the EU and it's superstate ambitions

I don't see how it's going to affect the EU, neither of the biggest parties have campaigned to leave it.

Are you thinking of any 'superstate ambitions' in particular that you think have been thwarted or is that just a buzzphrase you've chucking into the mix?

Just a buzzphrase at the moment, but it's pretty clear that the General population of Europe are not keen on closer links. I'm not teally in the know about Italian politics, but from what I've read the two parties with the largest share of the vote campaigned on curbing immigration and revising treaties with the EU, with a very to protecting made in Italy products
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 05, 2018, 02:25:46 pm
Filo

http://www.pewglobal.org/2017/06/15/eu-back-in-favor-but-brussels-handling-of-economy-and-refugees-still-questioned/

Have a look at the figures on here. Many people moan about the EU in Europe, but on balance, there are big majorities in most countries saying that they are in favour of the EU and want to stay in the EU.

That will only increase when they see the clusterf**k that we are stumbling into.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 05, 2018, 02:36:08 pm
I am always fascinated by the fascination that Brexiters have for the EU project collapsing. I wonder whether they ever think about the possible consequences.

Consider this. In one lifetime before each country joined the EEC/EU, the following had happened.

Germany had precipitated a World War.

France, Belgium, Germany, UK, Malta, Netherlands, Italy, Greece, Romania, Bulgaria, Denmark, Finland and the states that became Poland, Hungary, Czechia, Slovakia, Croatia, Slovenia, Estonia, Lithuania, and Latvia  had been attacked or invaded by other European states, some of them more than once.

Spain, Ireland, Cyprus, Croatia and Slovenia had had civil wars.

Portugal, Spain, Germany, Italy and Greece had been ruled by fascist military dictatorships.

Poland, Czechia, Slovakia, Croatia, Hungary, Slovenia, Romania, Bulgaria, Estonia, Lithuania, and Latvia had all been ruled by Communist dictatorships.

It’s not just geo-politics either. It’s personal. 25 years before I was born, and 30 years before we joined the EEC, one of my kids’ great grandfathers was in an Italian army fighting against a British Army that included the brothers of another one of my kids’ great grandfathers.

Since joining the EU, not one single country has gone to war against a neighbour, or been ruled by anything other than a democratic system (admittedly, Orban’s neo-fascists in Hungary are pushing the boundary on this one.)

The fact that that those sort of events are unthinkable today didn't come about because everyone suddenly decided not to be bad again.  What do you think the glue is that holds these countries in trading partnerships, rather than encouraging nationalistic and militaristic animosities? And do you really want to live on the edge of a continent where those animosities might be let off the leash again?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 05, 2018, 03:06:04 pm
Is the clusterf**k being created by the EU in order to dissuade other countries from wanting to leave? Those figures seem to suggest so, although the French 56% in favour of remain against 44% leave is a similar figure to the UK's prior to the referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on March 05, 2018, 04:09:27 pm
The EU can't be blamed for clusterf**k. they are doing what the need to do to protect the member countries. the side-affect / optics is, of course, it's better to stay in, which us remainers have been saying all along.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 05, 2018, 04:17:22 pm
But we're NOT staying in! What we have to do now is make sure they don't get away with making an example of us as a deterrent for other countries who have the audacity to leave.

If Churchill was alive today he'd be turning in his grave.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 05, 2018, 04:38:50 pm
And how exactly do you think they're trying to 'get away with' in an attempt to 'make an example of us' in a way that wasn't explained to everybody (before the referendum) would be a consequence of Brexit?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 05, 2018, 04:49:30 pm
BB

In what way are they making an example of us?

They have said consistently that there are three major issues that have to be resolved.

Irish border
Us paying a for agreements that we have already entered into.
The rights of EU people who have settled in the UK.

If we sort those out, then we can start discussing what can be done to minimise the economic cost of us deliberately choosing to make it harder to do trade with half a billion of the richest people in the world who live on our doorstep.

It is this government which has decided to make that trade difficult. Not the EU. We have chosen to leave the Single Market and customs union. The consequence of that is that we will do less business with the EU and the business we do will be more expensive. The EU haven’t imposed that on us. Apparently it was the Will of the British people (although I don’t recall it being discussed much during the referendum campaign but never mind).

So I don’t understand this line about the EU making an example of us. Can you explain what you mean?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 05, 2018, 05:33:08 pm
BST, I said we have to make sure they don't get away with making an example of us as a deterrent for other countries who have the audacity to leave. Whether this is the case or not we still have to make sure it doesn't happen.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 05, 2018, 06:04:45 pm
Right. So how do we go about making sure they don’t do something they’ve not shown any sign of doing?

See, the way things are going at the moment, we are doing a brilliant job of demonstrating to the rest of the EU how stupid it is to leave the EU. We’ve chosen to make ourselves poorer over the next decade. The EU hadn’t decided to boot us out of the SM and CU. We’ve chosen to leave. The EU would be delighted for us to stay in the SM and CU.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 05, 2018, 06:12:45 pm
How do you know they haven't shown any sign of doing it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 05, 2018, 06:22:56 pm
How do you know they haven't shown any sign of doing it?

Because either the Government, their negotiating team and/or the secretive European Research Group via their mouthpiece Rees-Smugg would be instantly jumping up and down bleating about it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 05, 2018, 06:34:45 pm
https://news.sky.com/story/leaked-eu-document-shows-brexit-punishment-plan-11239487
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on March 05, 2018, 06:49:31 pm
Do you agree with Rees-Mogg that the document is a punishment plan BB?

If so what should it say so 'they don't get away with making an example of us as a deterrent'?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on March 05, 2018, 06:52:22 pm
Do you agree with Rees-Mogg that the document is a punishment plan BB?

If so what should it say so 'they don't get away with making an example of us as a deterrent'?

It's not just Rees-Mogg is it?

Quote
Mr Umunna, a leading supporter of the pro-EU Open Britain campaign, said: "The EU's leaked position paper underlines one thing: all the proposed transition does is push the cliff-edge out a little bit further.

"Transition increasingly looks less like building a bridge and more like being made to walk the plank. We should not leave the EU until we know where we are going."
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on March 05, 2018, 06:56:47 pm
1000(1) posts just on this one small Forum ! Emotive or what ?

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on March 05, 2018, 07:02:38 pm
Fascinating stuff with those statistics Billy and sort of following on from BB's point about other countries leaving the EU.

The next country threatened with leaving the EU is Poland, not through their own choice but by being expelled for their domestic policies. And yet the Poles are the country happiest at being in the EU!

So if BB is correct. The EU wish to stop a country, that voluntarily wants to leave because its people & parliament voted that way, from leaving yet, have warned they may expel the country whose people and parliament are happiest at being in it! Its a funny old world.

And just to prove that point, I suppose you will have all seen or will soon see the counter-proposals that Mrs May has come up with today for the Ireland border. She thinks that a good example of how a frictionless border with no infrastructure between Northern Ireland and the Republic is that between the USA and Canada. Which has massive border posts and armed customs guards! Plot.....lost...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 05, 2018, 07:27:10 pm
BB

Do keep up.

The EU was setting out in legal documents the fact that there are penalties for any nation which breaks the agreed rules of the Single Market. The document stated that if the UK didn’t stick to these rules during the transition period, there would be penalties applied as a consequence.

That tends to happen if you sign up to an agreement then break the rules.

The fact that a gobshite like Rees-Mogg with a track record of spouting b*llocks on the EU as long as the M1 [1] goes running to Nanny claiming that they aren’t being fair is neither here nor there. But it obviously did it’s job of convincing intelligent people like you that the EU is out to get us. 

[1] Here’s a more recent example.
https://mobile.twitter.com/jdportes/status/969203541561823232
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 05, 2018, 07:29:53 pm
Filo

Umunna isn’t criticising the EU. He’s pointing out the fact that our Govt hasn’t got a scooby what the end game is.

I’m surprised at you falling for bullshit spin like that from Murdoch.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 05, 2018, 07:33:17 pm
Do you agree with Rees-Mogg that the document is a punishment plan BB?

If so what should it say so 'they don't get away with making an example of us as a deterrent'?

Whether I agree with it or not isn't the problem, Wilts. The problem is if Rees-Mogg is right.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 05, 2018, 07:41:18 pm
BB

Here’s a challenge for you. Go and see if you can find anything Rees-Mogg has said about the EU that stands up to scrutiny.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 05, 2018, 07:47:10 pm
I've already shared a link about 10 posts up BST. Scrutinise that if you like.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 05, 2018, 08:24:50 pm
I've already shared a link about 10 posts up BST. Scrutinise that if you like.

It looks like I've scrutinised it more than you. Nowhere does anybody mentioned in that article call anything a 'punishment'. Sky does, in an attempt to put words into the the mouths of others and make the gullible splutter into their tea with outrage.

So I'm still waiting for something from the Government, the negotiating team or the ERG. Back to you.

PS Did the fact that this is all about the transition period the EU has agreed to - which they had no need to agree to at all so in fact represents the very opposite of them 'punishing' us - escape you?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on March 05, 2018, 08:25:52 pm
Was he right when he said in a tv interview last week that Jeremy Corbyn had voted against the Good Friday Agreement?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 05, 2018, 08:29:17 pm
BB

Aye. It was b*llocks.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 05, 2018, 08:46:47 pm
Re Mogg and his veracity, I remembered a little snippet from a Private Eye of last November....
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 05, 2018, 09:13:22 pm
By the way. That link I posted earlier of Rees-Mogg pushing a story from The S*n claiming that many things will cost less when we leave the CU.

The S*n has accepted that EVERY SINGLE FIGURE was exaggerated. They have deleted their tweet and will be publishing an apology in the paper.

Hundreds of people have contacted Rees-Mogg asking him to delete his tweet and post an apology for misleading the thousands of people who read and re-tweeted his post.

He hasn’t done so.

That’s the measure of the man.

If you’re interested, this is a simple explanation why the figures that The S*n posted and Rees-Mogg propagated are total b*llocks.

https://mobile.twitter.com/StevePeers/status/968775024017625088
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 05, 2018, 09:40:55 pm
By the way. That link I posted earlier of Rees-Mogg pushing a story from The S*n claiming that many things will cost less when we leave the CU.

The S*n has accepted that EVERY SINGLE FIGURE was exaggerated. They have deleted their tweet and will be publishing an apology in the paper.

Hundreds of people have contacted Rees-Mogg asking him to delete his tweet and post an apology for misleading the thousands of people who read and re-tweeted his post.

He hasn’t done so.

That’s the measure of the man.

If you’re interested, this is a simple explanation why the figures that The S*n posted and Rees-Mogg propagated are total b*llocks.

https://mobile.twitter.com/StevePeers/status/968775024017625088

The funniest one of those has to be the packet of fags. The majority of the price of cigarettes is Excise Duty, which has absolutely zilch to do with importing them and even less to do with the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 05, 2018, 09:53:39 pm
BST, I refer you to the answer I gave to the honourable disciple of yours in an earlier post.
"Whether I agree with it (Rees-Mogg's claim) or not isn't the problem, Wilts. The problem is if Rees-Mogg is right".

Now, I only mentioned Mogg after another one of your disciples suggested that if there had been any signs of the EU making an example of the UK for Brexit, "that mouthpiece Rees-Smugg would be instantly jumping up and down bleating about it". Alas, when I produced some evidence that he was, it was rejected!

Now it seems I'm a fan of Rees-Mogg!

BST, you seem a reasonable bloke. Can't you see why people get pissed off with the treatment they sometimes get for offering an alternative view?

To me, it's water off a duck's back, that's why I revisit the thread from time to time. But I'm sure there would be far more contributions of differing views if it wasn't for the frequent use of twisting and distorting tactics towards those who dare to offer an alternative opinion.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on March 05, 2018, 10:00:26 pm
The last one is the most worrying one. 'Vote Leave Economist Admits Brexit Would Mostly Eliminate Manufacturing In The UK' - now THAT is what would happen if Jacob Rees-Mogg is right.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on March 05, 2018, 10:04:05 pm
Thanks for your answer BB. You appear to have missed this question however:

If so what should it say so 'they don't get away with making an example of us as a deterrent'?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 05, 2018, 10:10:37 pm
https://youtu.be/IO4Yyd8t0P8
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 05, 2018, 10:30:07 pm
Now, I only mentioned Mogg after another one of your disciples suggested that if there had been any signs of the EU making an example of the UK for Brexit, "that mouthpiece Rees-Smugg would be instantly jumping up and down bleating about it". Alas, when I produced some evidence that he was, it was rejected!

It was rejected because Mogg nether said 'punishment' (which was your original assertion and what I asked for but didn't get), NOR that he considered it the EU making an example of the UK, which is what you're now wanting us to believe I asked you for (which I didn't but didn't get either anyway)!

And you trot out the 'twisting and distorting' b*llocks yet again after doing that!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on March 05, 2018, 10:31:33 pm
Well it looks like the Sun got plenty of publicity today!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 05, 2018, 10:33:12 pm
Yep, it's Hillsborough all over again. I hope it does them just as much good.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on March 06, 2018, 10:09:24 am

If Churchill was alive today he'd be turning in his grave.

Despite the idiomatic nature of that statement, you do realise that Churchill was a firm believer in the EU, and indeed a 'United States of Europe', don't you?
 
Here's his Zurich speech of 1946.  http://www.goldmercury.org/news-and-multimedia/winston-churchills-united-states-of-europe/   It is well worth taking the time to listen/read it as it's as true today as it was back in 1946.
 
Given his firm beliefs and what is happening in respect of BREXIT I rather suspect he's turning in his grave right now!
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on March 06, 2018, 10:33:12 am
So there are no excuses now about not knowing what's around the corner, it's a sledge hammer ready to smack British trade. Hands up those that are happy to accept a lower standard of living.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2018/mar/06/brexit-david-davis-eu-scrutiny-committee-eu-firms-more-worried-about-protecting-single-market-than-maintaini
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 09, 2018, 01:48:32 am
Bentley Bullet and Filo perhaps as they are dedicated   disciples of Brexit, Rees- Mogg and the Sun  , once I would have said Sprotyrover but the penny seems to have dropped judging by recent posts - welcome to Project Reality .

The Project that keeps on giving ......or perhaps takes away !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on March 09, 2018, 08:13:47 am
Bentley Bullet and Filo perhaps as they are dedicated   disciples of Brexit, Rees- Mogg and the Sun  , once I would have said Sprotyrover but the penny seems to have dropped judging by recent posts - welcome to Project Reality .

The Project that keeps on giving ......or perhaps takes away !

I would n't wipe my arse with the Sun, and Rees- Mogg is a cock, but it's the insulting jibes like yours that sometimes harden peoples stance, you can't make a post without having a pop because someone disagrees with you
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 09, 2018, 11:17:00 am
Bentley Bullet and Filo perhaps as they are dedicated   disciples of Brexit, Rees- Mogg and the Sun  , once I would have said Sprotyrover but the penny seems to have dropped judging by recent posts - welcome to Project Reality .

The Project that keeps on giving ......or perhaps takes away !

I would n't wipe my arse with the Sun, and Rees- Mogg is a cock, but it's the insulting jibes like yours that sometimes harden peoples stance, you can't make a post without having a pop because someone disagrees with you

Why harden your stance in the face of an incoming torrent of crap coming our way . If and only if you lot conceeded just the smallest point now and again as we do when we point out the weaknesses in the EU project constantly ; then and only then would I stop making comments backed up with evidence after evidence that goes ignored .
That's not abuse , that's merely pointing out the damage that Leaving and advocating leaving is doing to this country.
Filo why are  you " insulted " by my post , I have merely called you a disciple of Leave and Smug . I grant that I shouldn't have associated you with that disgusting rag that is pumping out Leave propaganda and blatant lies daily. It could have been worse I could have made you guilty by association with the Express/ Mail or Telegraph !

Incidentally you have made " having a pop at someone " into an artform over the years .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on March 09, 2018, 04:36:21 pm
Don't count me in Hoola I would vote out of Europe I there was another vote,
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on March 09, 2018, 05:23:36 pm
   Hoola, a serious question, do you think that the country as a whole (England and Wales that is) voted out because of immigration as the main reason, or the fact that whole swaiths of the country felt they were being left behind  by the south east corner of Britain, that was benefiting from cross channel links and their close proximity to the continent.
   The closing of major employers, the lack of investment, the lack of infrastructure, the centralising of most things towards London and the south east, caused more resentment than immigration. And it is still happening at every level, from sports facilities, transport, and money per head being invested in communities.
   That is your problem for people voting to leave, they are being left behind, and you will not change their mind, in fact because of the EUs leaders aloofness and preaching to the British people by unelected bureaucrats, the leave lobby will get stronger.
   And do not discount people like myself who voted to stay, but if an unlikely second vote were cast would now vote out on principle.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 09, 2018, 05:44:37 pm
Selby

I’m sure it’s a combination of people feeling left behind in some cases and concerns about immigration in other cases. I said back in 2010 when Austerity started that this was a very dangerous game. Depressing people’s living standards for a long time does make people, understandably, want to hit out. It’s happened throughout history and it was utterly predictable.

But I’m baffled by you saying that you’d now vote Leave out of principle. What principle is that? Surely you accept that all the main arguments put forward by the Leave campaign have been shown to be based on lies? No one credible now claims that we’re going to be better off. The very head of the Leave campaign has gone on record stating that the £350m lie was central to Leave winning. The economic hit that the Remain side predicted is already happening. Our economic growth has fallen behind that of almost every developed country since June 2016, with the rest of the world enjoying a boom. Inflation has gone up, as predicted. The Irish problem has proved to be every bit as tough as the Remain side predicted. The Govt has said that there is not going to be a substantive change to immigration policies over the foreseeable future.

What principle would you be defending by changing your vote?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 09, 2018, 09:41:03 pm
Bentley Bullet and Filo perhaps as they are dedicated   disciples of Brexit, Rees- Mogg and the Sun  , once I would have said Sprotyrover but the penny seems to have dropped judging by recent posts - welcome to Project Reality .

The Project that keeps on giving ......or perhaps takes away !

Hoolahoop. If the above post is an indication of your judgement there's no wonder why some people would suspect your opinions are open to scrutiny.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on March 09, 2018, 10:18:44 pm
Selby

I’m sure it’s a combination of people feeling left behind in some cases and concerns about immigration in other cases. I said back in 2010 when Austerity started that this was a very dangerous game. Depressing people’s living standards for a long time does make people, understandably, want to hit out. It’s happened throughout history and it was utterly predictable.

But I’m baffled by you saying that you’d now vote Leave out of principle. What principle is that? Surely you accept that all the main arguments put forward by the Leave campaign have been shown to be based on lies? No one credible now claims that we’re going to be better off. The very head of the Leave campaign has gone on record stating that the £350m lie was central to Leave winning. The economic hit that the Remain side predicted is already happening. Our economic growth has fallen behind that of almost every developed country since June 2016, with the rest of the world enjoying a boom. Inflation has gone up, as predicted. The Irish problem has proved to be every bit as tough as the Remain side predicted. The Govt has said that there is not going to be a substantive change to immigration policies over the foreseeable future.

What principle would you be defending by changing your vote?
Are they enjoying a boom! In Italy?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 09, 2018, 10:29:12 pm
Sproty

Relative to us, yes they are. Their recent, current and projected near-future GDP growth figures are all higher than ours.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 10, 2018, 09:37:27 am
Is there any positivity to be taken from this?

https://www.economist.com/blogs/economist-explains/2018/01/economist-explains-8
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on March 10, 2018, 10:42:15 am
Is there any positivity to be taken from this?

https://www.economist.com/blogs/economist-explains/2018/01/economist-explains-8

What this bit:
The question is whether this unexpectedly good performance can continue. As Britain’s departure from the EU in March 2019 nears, businesses may start to get more jittery, especially if they fear that a deal with the EU will not be reached. If investment spending is cut, then consumers will eventually start to feel the pinch. And Brexit itself, which is likely to leave Britain with severely reduced access to its largest export market, will have profoundly negative long-term economic consequences. For now, however, the British economy continues to sail blissfully into the unknown.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 10, 2018, 10:58:30 am
There you go in typical fashion Mr Wilts. I asked if there were any positives to be taken from the article and you responded by taking the one paragraph warning about a possible negative scenario!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on March 10, 2018, 11:15:45 am
OK then Bentley. What the article says is that there hasn't yet been any dangerous fallout from Brexit but as the exit date gets closer and no deal with the EU has been reached there is a real fear of severe economic consequences ahead.

Now you tell me what the positives from that are.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 10, 2018, 11:29:20 am
Wilts, what are your views on the positive statements such as house prices are steady, unemployment has dropped, recession has been avoided?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 10, 2018, 12:55:48 pm
BB

Yes there is a big positive to be taken from it. I’ve mentioned it several times in here but you never respond which makes me think you’re not really that interested in discussing this, just scoring points and ignoring well-considered arguments on the other side. I’ll mention it again and I’ve no doubt that you’ll ignore it again.

The big positive is mentioned in that article. It is that the entire world economy is experiencing an economic boom. Most developed countries have seen their economic growth surge over the past 2 years. Ours has slipped.

http://www.oecd.org/economy/gdp-growth-third-quarter-2017-oecd.htm
Quote
Year-on-year GDP growth for the OECD area accelerated to 2.6% in the third quarter of 2017, compared with 2.4% in the previous quarter. The United Kingdom recorded the slowest growth (1.5%) among the Major Seven economies, slipping from second highest in mid-2016.

Our GDP growth is now 1.1% lower than the OECD average. That equates to us losing about £20bn per year of potential wealth. And it compounds. If it doesn’t improve (and no predictions expect it to) then by the end of this year we’ll have lost £60bn. By the end of next year £120bn.

So the Economist writer is being a bit disingenuous when he says
Quote
The global economy has also helped. The Brexit vote coincided with the beginning of the first worldwide economic upswing in years. Global trade volumes have grown decently, despite Donald Trump’s scary rhetoric. Firms from Seattle to Shanghai have recovered some of their animal spirits and are willing to invest once again. Britain, an economy highly dependent on international trade, has been swept along with everyone else.

What he ought to say is that we’ve been swept along much less vigorously than everyone else. And if he was being a proper investigative journalist, he probably ought to spend a bit of time wondering what big issue may have led to us slipping from 2nd to 7th in the Big Seven economic performance over the past 2 years. I wonder what could have caused that?

So, yes, there is some very good news. The global boom is saving us from the worst consequences of our own stupidity. Without it, we’d be teetering on the edge of a recession. But booms never last. Eventually the downturn comes. What you make in the boom insulates you from the worst of the downturn. Problem is, we’re not getting the boom. But we’ll be swept along in the downturn like everyone else.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on March 10, 2018, 06:06:23 pm
Wilts, what are your views on the positive statements such as house prices are steady, unemployment has dropped, recession has been avoided?

I am happy about it (although the stats last week about the fall in house price and all the job losses since Christmas are worrying). What are your views Bentley on the author's opinion that those measures and the economy in general is at risk by an no deal Brexit?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on March 10, 2018, 06:10:45 pm
Sproty

Relative to us, yes they are. Their recent, current and projected near-future GDP growth figures are all higher than ours.

Oh dear things are bad for us then as all the data I have seen shows 0% growth in Italy over the past 20 years and currently 33% of all Italians under the age of 30 are long term unemployed.
Plus they are plagued with mass illegal immigration from the south,things are that good that 50 % of the voters voted for right wing parties.

Der Graf Von Billy lis very prone to mistakes in accuracy of information!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 10, 2018, 06:36:21 pm
Wilts, what are your views on the positive statements such as house prices are steady, unemployment has dropped, recession has been avoided?

I am happy about it (although the stats last week about the fall in house price and all the job losses since Christmas are worrying). What are your views Bentley on the author's opinion that those measures and the economy in general is at risk by an no deal Brexit?

Wilts, I think the author is right to declare there is a possibility that the economy is at risk. There is bound to be uncertainty in the future as the British economy continues to sail "blissfully into the unknown".
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 10, 2018, 06:58:40 pm
Sproty.

I’ve never denied how awful things have been in Italy over the past 20 years. I’ve seen the effects first hand in my wife’s family. That’s what happens when you elect a self-serving prick like Berlusconi as PM...

But back to what I was actually talking about which was the “recent, current and projected near-future GDP growth“.

Before 2016, Italy’s annual GDP growth rate was typically <1%. Ours was a little above 2%.

For 2017, ours had dropped to 1.5% while Italy’s had risen to 1.7%.

So the global boom has been so strong that even a long term basket case like Italy is seeing improved growth. Whereas our growth rate is falling away. And the projections are that their growth will remain stronger than ours over the next couple of years at least.

And PS. If you’re going to accuse someone of getting facts wrong, it usually helps to address what they are actually talking about, not what you want them to be talking about.)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on March 10, 2018, 07:01:29 pm
I agree with your points there Bentley. Do you also agree with the author when the say that Brexit will have profoundly negative long-term economic consequences? It's the same conclusion that the governments own impact assessments came to btw.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 10, 2018, 07:19:34 pm
I agree that it could have profoundly negative long-term consequences. I couldn't argue otherwise because we are sailing into the unknown.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 10, 2018, 07:43:31 pm
BB

So surely the sensible thing to do is to listen to experts who devote their lives to analysing macro economic issues and who have a consistent track record of getting predictions right?

Surely you don’t manage your personal finances on the principle that the future is unknowable so any possible decision is as valid as any other one?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 10, 2018, 07:57:45 pm
Experts in the unknown? Do you mean as in most economists getting it wrong when they believed that a recession was imminent?

I did listen to them! That's why I voted remain!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 10, 2018, 08:21:52 pm
BB

And so we go round the hamster wheel again.

Our GDP growth rate has dropped by about 1% since the Brexit vote. The growth rate of the other OECD countries has risen by over 1%. Had the rest of the world not experienced a boom and led to an unexpected increase in global economic activity from which we have benefitted, we WOULD have slipped into recession.

You’re not thick, but this now must be 5 or 6 times that I’ve made this point to you and you’ve never once addressed it. You just come back with variations on the same argument every time.

You’re really not thick but you are doing a good job of trying to convince me that you are so I’ll break it down into really simple steps.

1) Before June 2016, the overwhelming majority of economists predicted that a Brexit vote would lead to a significant weakening in economic performance compared to that of other countries.

2) The given the then state of the world economy, the conclusion was that we would therefore tip into recession.

3) After the Brexit vote we’ve had a significant weakening in economic performance. Our GDP growth rate has dropped by about 1% compared to what it was in early 2016 whilst the growth rate in EVERY OTHER one of the OECD Big 7 has increased and average OECD growth rate has gone up by about 1%.

4) The fact that the world economy (apart from us) is hitting a boom has prevented us from tipping into outright recession.

5) But, our economy which was doing reasonably well in 2015/16 now has a growth rate which is 41st out of the 44 richest countries in the world.

6) Consequently, whilst we’re not in a technical recession, we are missing out on the boom that the rest of the world is experiencing and we are getting progressively poorer compared to almost every other developed nation in the world. Just as the economists predicted we would.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on March 10, 2018, 09:21:24 pm
BB

And so we go round the hamster wheel again.

Our GDP growth rate has dropped by about 1% since the Brexit vote. The growth rate of the other OECD countries has risen by over 1%. Had the rest of the world not experienced a boom and led to an unexpected increase in global economic activity from which we have benefitted, we WOULD have slipped into recession.

You’re not thick, but this now must be 5 or 6 times that I’ve made this point to you and you’ve never once addressed it. You just come back with variations on the same argument every time.

You’re really not thick but you are doing a good job of trying to convince me that you are so I’ll break it down into really simple steps.

1) Before June 2016, the overwhelming majority of economists predicted that a Brexit vote would lead to a significant weakening in economic performance compared to that of other countries.

2) The given the then state of the world economy, the conclusion was that we would therefore tip into recession.

3) After the Brexit vote we’ve had a significant weakening in economic performance. Our GDP growth rate has dropped by about 1% compared to what it was in early 2016 whilst the growth rate in EVERY OTHER one of the OECD Big 7 has increased and average OECD growth rate has gone up by about 1%.

4) The fact that the world economy (apart from us) is hitting a boom has prevented us from tipping into outright recession.

5) But, our economy which was doing reasonably well in 2015/16 now has a growth rate which is 41st out of the 44 richest countries in the world.

6) Consequently, whilst we’re not in a technical recession, we are missing out on the boom that the rest of the world is experiencing and we are getting progressively poorer compared to almost every other developed nation in the world. Just as the economists predicted we would.


All of you doom and gloom pals had predicted we would disappear down the pan and that it would happen months ago. When we leave we will see the EEC in turmoil the gaping hole left in their budget won't get fixed, Italy the 8 th largest economy in the world will be their undoing. How the crisis in illegal immigration pans out will have a direct effect on the other members, Policing that Southern region will cost hundreds of billions, don't be surprised to see a Right wing government in Germany within the next few years. It's not about economics it's about the politics of uncertainty.
I really believe Cameron and co saw it coming and that's why they pushed this somewhat bizarre agenda with gusto.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 10, 2018, 09:41:48 pm
Gaping hole in the EU budget? Even by your standards of overinflating our importance, that’s a spectacularly daft comment.

Our net contribution for 2017 according to the ONS works out at about £8bn.

The GDP of the EU minus the U.K. was about £12trillion.

So our contribution was about 0.06-0.07% of the EU’s total output.

Put it another way, our contribution equates to about half the price of a packet of chewing gum per week for every person in the EU. (Population of EU minus UK is about 450million. £8bn/450million/52 week=34p per person per week.)

Put it yet another way, since the Brexit vote, the EU economy has grown by about 0.5% per year faster than ours. That 0.5% per year over 21 months equates to about 13 times our annual net contribution. (0.5% x £12tr x 21/12 = £105bn.) Just from the extra growth that they’ve had over and above our economy.

I suspect they’ll cope.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on March 11, 2018, 12:57:34 am
  Billy, the whole country had been lied to by Cameron, Clegg, and Osborne for eight years, all while they had a great smug smile on their face, and rubbed everyone else's face in the proverbial, especially the areas in the  midlands, the north, Wales,  and south west, all areas where there were large majorities for out.
  That was the real reason for the out vote, not the easy target bus, that is a bigger issue now than when the voting process started. the die was cast long before then. Plus the out side had a much better platform, put their argument across better, and debated better in the media. 
  All that in spite of the remain side spending millions more in advertising and getting backing from the government with pamphlets through the post etc. and noises from Brussels.
  They lost a referendum vote, I lost, you lost, we only get one chance, we were told and it was to be a binding vote. Everyone was informed  of this before the vote. It is time some people, such as Saubry, and Clegg who spouted contempt of the great uneducated minutes after the result, and in so doing alienated even more people, stopped carping on and on, and accepted this fact, something they were quite willing to accept before the vote, not contemplating they would lose until the last minute, and were gobsmacked at how far the electorate had moved away from them.
   The government leaders, and the so called political elite were miles off the mark. They and they alone are responsible for this situation, not the Brexiteers who voted, and it was their lies over a long period, while being seen to feather their own nests, resulted in the out vote, not that bloody bus excuse. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 11, 2018, 09:50:50 am
Selby

I agree with all you say about the f**king mess that the Coalition Govt made of things. Have a look at what I was saying in here back in 2010. I despise Cameron and Osborne and Clegg (the latter most of all because he could have prevented Austerity but he signed up for it).

But I’m frankly baffled about how you draw a conclusion that this means that the Referendum vote was some sort of democratic triumph. You simply cannot say that the Leave side’s lies didn’t matter. That is patent, demonstrable nonsense. In the very week of the vote, a poll said that nearly 50% of the population believed that we would get £350m a week back from the EU if we left. Dominic Cumming who was running the Leave campaign has said that that lie was the clincher (he’s really, REALLY pleased with himself that he focussed voters’ minds on that lie and he’s written extensively on how he convinced the main Leave spokesmen to hammer on that point.) And just this week, a poll showed that 42% of voters think we will be better off economically once we leave.

Ask yourself this. If Johnson, Gove and Farage has repeatedly said that the £350m was a lie and that the consensus among the overwhelming majority of economists was that by the end of the 2020s, Brexit will cost us something between £4000-£12000 each, do you really believe that 52% would have voted Leave?

Leave voters were conned by a very sophisticated group of right wingers into making a choice that will have awful consequences for the very people who voted Leave. THEY are the ones who will bear the brunt of the result (or actually, no: the highest Leave voters were over 65. They are not going to be here in a few years and it’s their drandkids in Denaby and Sunderland who are going to be left with the consequences.) Saying that the result was a binding democratic choice makes a mockery of democracy.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on March 11, 2018, 10:46:50 am
Gaping hole in the EU budget? Even by your standards of overinflating our importance, that’s a spectacularly daft comment.

Our net contribution for 2017 according to the ONS works out at about £8bn.

The GDP of the EU minus the U.K. was about £12trillion.

So our contribution was about 0.06-0.07% of the EU’s total output.

Put it another way, our contribution equates to about half the price of a packet of chewing gum per week for every person in the EU. (Population of EU minus UK is about 450million. £8bn/450million/52 week=34p per person per week.)

Put it yet another way, since the Brexit vote, the EU economy has grown by about 0.5% per year faster than ours. That 0.5% per year over 21 months equates to about 13 times our annual net contribution. (0.5% x £12tr x 21/12 = £105bn.) Just from the extra growth that they’ve had over and above our economy.

I suspect they’ll cope.

They are looking for members to stump up £180 billion towards the Green agenda by 2020 ,they want members to cough up 30 billion extra in contributions a year to cover increased defence spending and Policing the gaping hole which is the threat of mass illegal immigration via the south.
Put the graphs away and start reading the news!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 11, 2018, 11:50:52 am
Sproty.
I give up. You are beyond hopeless.

The EU didn’t invent global warming. The need to invest in de-carboning won’t vanish when we leave the EU.

The €30bn increase in defence funding across Europe is the sum of decisions being made by individual bloody Governments, not a dictat from Brussels. Us leaving the EU doesn’t make a blind bit of difference to the ability of other countries to pay for either the defence costs or the green costs because we’re not paying for it, other than for the decisions that our own Govt has taken.

You’re constantly firing out these comments about what happens in Europe, attributing every one of them to the EU and then claiming that Europe will go bust when we leave. It’s so far beyond stupid, that there is literally no possible way of having a meaningful discussion with you. It is horrifying that people like you whose view of Europe is based on such utter clueless nonsense have tipped us into Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 11, 2018, 12:28:10 pm
Put the graphs away and start reading the news!

Yeah, the Sun, Daily Mail, Telegraph, Times and Express are always right and never lie about the EU!! Each and every one of their EU scare stories have come true!!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on March 11, 2018, 03:14:55 pm
Us leaving the EU doesn’t make a blind bit of difference to the ability of other countries to pay for either the defence costs or the green costs because we’re not paying for it, other than for the decisions that our own Govt has taken.

That's  Spot on Billy you're beginning to see some sense.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on March 11, 2018, 05:09:11 pm
So you're fine if we make the same decisions as long as were making them and they aren't? Even if it costs us billions extra?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 11, 2018, 05:38:25 pm
Sproty

I see plenty of sense. Just none of it coming from you. What in the name of holy hell are you blathering on about this time?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on March 11, 2018, 05:52:59 pm
Sproty you clearly know more about this than I do so a question for you.

This extra defence and green policy spending by the EU governments - where is it going to be spent? For example is there more or less likelihood that British defence companies will benefit from this £30 billion once we have left the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 11, 2018, 05:54:35 pm
A mate of mine studies the horses. There's nothing, it seems, he doesn't know about them. His knowledge of horse racing is remarkably impressive. His whole life is dedicated to studying the form of horses involved in forthcoming races. Fellow punters are frequently asking him for tips.

I bought him a pint the other day - He was skint.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on March 11, 2018, 07:20:07 pm
Sproty you clearly know more about this than I do so a question for you.

This extra defence and green policy spending by the EU governments - where is it going to be spent? For example is there more or less likelihood that British defence companies will benefit from this £30 billion once we have left the EU?
I doubt British companies would benefit, Leo 2 tanks are German ,we produce Apcs under licence,Raptors from the US seem to the the flavour of the day. Except for France who have their own Military Aircraft builder in Dasault.as for the stuff needed to patrol the south it would be Italy and France that would be building light Patrol asserts.
What they would expect is that we commit at least a third of our existing fleet to protect their shores and that costs billions in wear and tear and man hours.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on March 11, 2018, 08:24:46 pm
So you would disagree with the findings in this https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR1700/RR1786/RAND_RR1786.pdf report then that concluded:

Financial concerns are important for both the UK and the EU. The UK MOD allocates 2.9 per cent of its budget  to  R&D,  equivalent  to  around  £1bn,  of  which  approximately  £0.4bn  goes  on  science  and  technology.  This  compares  to  total  European  defence  R&D  of  only  €2bn,  with  some  92  per  cent  of  that R&D occurring in France, Germany and the UK.

Looking more widely beyond defence, the UK possesses  a  prestigious  and  successful  academic  sect
or,  along  with  innovative  private-sector  firms  and  SMEs.  The  UK  is  dependent  on  the  EU  for  a  quarter 
of  all  public  research  funding:  some  £967m  in  2015,  or  over  £8.04bn  in  the  past  decade,  exceeded  only  by  the  £8.34bn  allocated  to  Germany.  This  includes  some  62  per  cent  of  funding  for  UK  nanotechnology  research,  for  instance.

The  UK  also  received €95m (12.5 per cent) of the €790m on offer for security funding in 2011–13, as well as €116m of  grants  for  aerospace  research  in  2007–12.

Indeed,  the  UK  has  overall  been  the  most  successful  member of the European Research Council (ERC) by
number of grants awarded, winning around a fifth of grants since 2007, some 636 compared to 441 in Germany.

Where Germany spends 2.85 per cent of its GDP on research, however, the UK only spends 1.63 per cent, meaning that its research institutes are more reliant on EU funding than German equivalents.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on March 12, 2018, 10:03:56 am
  Billy, a lot has been made by Cable and his cronies about the split in voting in or out by the different age groups, and how people have been swayed by lies spread especially by the out brigade, swaying the older generations to vote out.
   What has not been pointed out, is they are the young generation that were sold a lie in 1975 and were not going to make the same mistake again.
   We voted for a common market, were refused another vote on two occasions to stop it morphing into something completely different, and now are faced with people shouting from the rooftops foul.
   Cake and eat it comes to mind.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on March 12, 2018, 11:27:02 am
Wilts why would I feel the need to read a 250 page tome on a subject I already am expert in.
So we get £400 million per annum for public research, where did you get the assumption from that the uk Government would not be honouring such grant post Brexit?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 12, 2018, 01:13:49 pm
Wilts why would I feel the need to read a 250 page tome on a subject I already am expert in.
So we get £400 million per annum for public research, where did you get the assumption from that the uk Government would not be honouring such grant post Brexit?

According to the big red bus it's going to the NHS, not the MOD.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 12, 2018, 03:01:18 pm
Selby

I still don't get it.

1) You voted Remain two years ago, but you are now saying that you'd vote Leave on principle if there was another referendum. I don't get what that principle is.

2) The Leave vote has effectively been hijacked by the right wing of the Tory party and interpreted as saying that we are now leaving the Single Market and Custom's Union which were the entirely logical extension of the original Common Market. That wasn't explicitly what people voted for in 2016. Even Nigel Farage was saying during the campaign that we could have the Norway option (Norway being effectively members of the Single Market, paying for that access, following the SM rules determined by the EU).

If there is a principle involved it is this. That we voted in 2016 with no idea of what we were voting for. We were told by many prominent Leave supporters that we could leave and have a Norway type arrangement. But what has happened since is that a small group of leading Tory politicians have decided that no such deal will be countenanced and Brexit will mean what they interpret it to mean. THAT is a massive breach of trust.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on March 12, 2018, 04:27:46 pm
  Billy, I had an idea what I was voting for, and I understood that it was to be a one off vote.
  Both sides told lies in equal measure, it is no good now picking out the lies that fall into line with your arguments and ignoring the ones told by the stay side, and the then government leaders, to strengthen your argument.
  I think I was intelligent enough to vote at the time for the result that I thought would be the best for my investments in property and shares, and the future wellbeing of my family, That's it I was following my instinct to be selfish.
   I took a surprising big hit the day after the vote, from a 19% profit to a 38% loss on that week alone in one day, followed by a period right up to the present day when it has never been easier to deal shares at a profit.   
   Again quite a surprise considering the profits of doom that were bandied around following the result.
   That's it mate, an honest admission of guilt for wanting to look after myself, and what I have worked hard for.
   But I lost the vote, a one off vote, a statement that the government kept repeating, because they and I never contemplated losing, and if you can't accept that the result went against us, and are not willing to work hard to make the best of it, and stand by the result, you don't understand what democracy stands for.
   To have another vote would be the worst thing this country  could ever do, whichever way the result went. It would open up politics to the mob that shouted the loudest, the politics of the Nazi party and the Bolsheviks, and I want no part of that.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 12, 2018, 04:58:13 pm
Selby

I’ve no problem with anyone voting in their best interests. We all do that to some extent.

I do take issue with the claim that both sides lied in equal measure. That is demonstrably wrong. The key argument was about whether we as a country would be better or worse off outside the EU. And no-one outside a small group of right wing economists who gave you the 1981 recession, and a small group of right wing politicians is now claiming we’ll be better off. We’re already significantly worse off than we should be because our economy is stalling while the rest of the world is surging. And it’s that global surge which has boosted share prices. But as I said a few days ago, global booms never last. And we’ll see the full effect when that dies off.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on March 12, 2018, 07:59:38 pm
  Billy,so project feer, a government backed project I might add, was not based on lies then.
  And don't give me the battle bus theory, that was,  and was treated as a joke from day one.
  Not even the great unwashed would believe that a Tory government would spend any money on the N.H.S.
   Cable and Sourbrys constantly blaming the older generation is just antagonising the older generation to dig their heels in, and it was hardly their fault that the younger generation were not that bothered to vote, and went to a pop concert.
   Now they want to vote in theory, would they be bothered to is another matter.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 12, 2018, 08:29:52 pm
Selby

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/nearly-half-of-britons-believe-vote-leaves-false-350-million-a-week-to-the-eu-claim-a7085016.html%3famp
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: auckleyflyer on March 12, 2018, 09:32:06 pm
Voted remain out of fear, if it happens again im out this time.
Let the bleeding hearts have another vote I think they'd be even more surprised this time! The angry mob convinces themselves its a travesty and surely any one with common sense will see it now!!?!!!? "Emperors new clothes"
If project fear failed what chance now!!!? Be careful what you wish for! Its a project that is doomed to failure and the eu will be consigned to history within a decade?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 12, 2018, 09:37:46 pm
Auckley

Serious question. You voted Remain out of fear. Fear of what?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on March 12, 2018, 11:32:22 pm
Auckley

Serious question. You voted Remain out of fear. Fear of what?

Indeed Billy.  I think a few people on here should seriously question the newspaper they're currently reading as most of the 'sound bites' they postulate come from ....
 
The Sun
The Mail
The Express
The Star
The Times
 
(tick as appropriate)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 12, 2018, 11:49:00 pm
NNK. What 'truth' paper do you read?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 13, 2018, 07:32:07 am
NNK. What 'truth' paper do you read?

Read this and make your own mind up.

https://blogs.ec.europa.eu/ECintheUK/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on March 13, 2018, 09:52:27 am
  I, would say that, anyone who is willing to vote out at the moment is showing a bit of individuality, and free thinking, seeing as they are voting against the propaganda and bias shown on T.V. every day by the B.B.C.
   I think I can make my own mind up, and have the one reason for changing my vote, if in the unlikely event there is another vote.
  That's in spite of reading the Telegraph, and occasionally the Financial Times online and watching the B.B.C. news.
   It was a one off vote, a statement made repeatedly by the then government, which both Cable had been a minister in and saubry was a member of that side of the house, a statement accepted by all parties and made clear to the electorate.
  To go back on that statement, would make every decision and every election look stupid. As i said before it would be the politics of the Nazi party and the Bolsheviks, have a vote and overturn it by threats and bullying.
  That statement " it is a one off vote" encouraged the biggest electorate turnout ever, The majority in England was over 2 million for out, Wales voted out, Scotland and N.Ireland in, but with a smaller electorate.
   The statement it is a one off vote was bandied about because the powers that be did not contemplate an out vote. It would not even be an issue if the stay vote had won.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on March 13, 2018, 10:09:51 am
How is changing your mind when facts come to light making you look stupid, or every election before it look stupid? what rubbish that is.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on March 13, 2018, 10:24:50 am
NNK. What 'truth' paper do you read?

None of the above BB.  Whilst all papers have a bias of some sort, those above consistently distort the truth to a significant extent that is tantamount to lying to their readers.  Then again, you only have to look who owns them to see the 'hidden agenda'.  Sadly, many people don't and take what they print as fact.  When called to book they will happily print a retraction, usually in small print somewhere on or around page 7 - unlike the original distorted exaggerated headline on the front page.
 
Believe what you want in the above papers at your peril.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 13, 2018, 11:13:07 am
With respect NNK, I didn't ask what papers you don't read, I asked what 'truth' paper do you read.

What's your view on the BBC pro-EU bias?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on March 13, 2018, 11:56:14 am
I don't read any daily newspapers as it happens BB, they all deceive to a greater or lesser extent, those I mentioned earlier in the thread tend to 'distort' the truth more than others IMO.
 
I do however follow events on the internet, which means regularly reading and comparing articles on the same subject from a number of on-line newsfeeds including papers such as the Telegraph, Guardian, Independent and especially the Financial Times.
 
I don't often bother with those I listed earlier in the thread as, from past experience, they are culpable for deliberately misleading articles with especially silly 'soundbite' headlines geared to get people emotive on a subject prior to them reading the article itself - a practice designed to avoid people questioning the content as they've already been led in a particular direction with said soundbites.  That these same soundbites are oft repeated in threads like this is testament to their effectiveness - then again, as Joseph Goebbels said
Quote
“If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it. The lie can be maintained only for such time as the State can shield the people from the political, economic and/or military consequences of the lie. It thus becomes vitally important for the State to use all of its powers to repress dissent, for the truth is the mortal enemy of the lie, and thus by extension, the truth is the greatest enemy of the State.”

As for the BBC pro EU bias, I see that as some form of balance or alternative view to the anti EU bias expressed in the Sun, Mail, Times, Express etc.
 
The truth is out there if you bother to go and look for it.  Sadly, most people like to get their 'truth' from the newspaper they read.  I have a very good friend who, when discussing such important issues as Immigration, the NHS, politics etc frequently starts out by saying "my paper says.....".  He reads the Mail by the way.
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 13, 2018, 12:07:34 pm
Go on then. I’ll have a weary sigh and ask what this pro-EU bias is at the BBC?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Copps is Magic on March 13, 2018, 12:28:58 pm
The BBC doesn't have a pro-EU bias.

https://www.opendemocracy.net/uk/brexitinc/peter-geoghegan-adam-ramsay/whos-paying-for-these-reports-on-bbc-brexit-coverage

In fact, what the research of David Keighley (hard-line brexit supporter who's producing all this research that the Murdoch press are reproducing, and financing) actually shows (if you read it) is that the BBC didn't really much discuss brexit from 1999. He basically analysed one programme (the today show on BBC radio 4 with the odd other) and found there were less anti-EU voices heard on there (which shouldn't be a surprise to anyone because there are not many experts, professionals, or those qualified enough to talk on the radio who think brexit is a good idea).

Rigorous, peer-reviewed academic research has shown there was a bias towards showing pro-leave figures in BBC media leading up to the vote.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: auckleyflyer on March 13, 2018, 12:31:08 pm
Billy, I feared that it was a decision the public were being asked to make, that no government would/could ever push through.
Much is made of the boris bus
But project fear was real, I and many others felt it. There would be an immediate and catastrophic collapse in the economy, house prices, pensions. You may argue that there has been, but wasnt immediate and it hasnt been a catastrophe. Therefore all bets are off and I think as the clock ticks the eu will turn and realize what they are loosing. You cannot surly say the eu was fit for purpose, and the change/influance from within argument has worked over the last 40 year!!!!
The leave vote would be higher im convinced. Remaiers are best off focusing on the closeness of the vote and softening the exit?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 13, 2018, 12:32:03 pm
Go on then. I’ll have a weary sigh and ask what this pro-EU bias is at the BBC?

Whatever 'bias' he thinks there is, I bet it doesn't outweigh the barefaced lies in the link I posted.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on March 13, 2018, 12:33:06 pm
  Thanks for thinking I am not stupid then Red J, I have looked at the facts, have decided that another vote is stupid, and against the democratic standing of this country, and will vote out the next time instead of in, if a completely undemocratic vote is taken, which it will not.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 13, 2018, 12:52:38 pm
What's an undemocratic vote?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on March 13, 2018, 01:09:00 pm
  Thanks for thinking I am not stupid then Red J, I have looked at the facts, have decided that another vote is stupid, and against the democratic standing of this country, and will vote out the next time instead of in, if a completely undemocratic vote is taken, which it will not.

So, people not getting what they voted for is democratic?  The mind boggles!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on March 13, 2018, 01:25:22 pm
  The trouble with those who called therefurendum, and those who want another hoping for a different result, was and is, to believe they could, and can change minds. They did not, and cannot, and the ensuing chaos has left the government with limited authority.
  There is a realistic prospect of a radical Marxist chancellor could serve a socialist P.M. with a raft of worrying views and positions.
 On the other side is an extreme ideological faction vying for control of the Tories.
  We will find out who was right about Brexit in due time, but if you believe that the purpose of our political system is to promote stability, the referendum has not bolsted that, but unleashed a factional free for all that has not improved democracy, but has the potential to imperil it.
  Glynn apologies, lets say another stupid  vote on the same subject, will that do you?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 13, 2018, 01:33:44 pm
All I would say is that if another referendum was held once the terms of exit were known it wouldn't be exactly the same subject.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on March 13, 2018, 01:49:42 pm
  Face it Glynn, there won't be one, a short transitional period for the big hitters to get their house in order, and that's it, out into the big new world.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 13, 2018, 01:59:52 pm
Auckley.

Yes it was predicted that there would be a major economic hit if we voted out.

Have you heard this afternoon’s Treasury statement by Philip Hammond? The economic growth figures are horrendous.

In Spring 2016, it was predicted that economic growth over the next 5 years would be about 2.3% per year. Today Hammond has said that growth will be as follows:
2018: 1.5%
2019: 1.3%
2020: 1.3%
2021: 1.4%
2022: 1.5%

An average of 1.4% compared to 2.3% which we were expecting before the Brexit vote.

These are the Govt’s own figures.

Just stop and think what that means. Our economy will grow by about £18bn less than expected in every one of the next 5 years. And that comes on top of figures for 2016 and 2017 which were already lower than expected.

And these figures compound. If you lose £18bn in 2017, you’re starting 2018 £18bn lower. Your economy is therefore also £18bn weaker in 2018. Then you lose £18bn on top of that in 2018 because of lower growth in that year. So you’re now £54bn worse off. And so it goes on.

That means that by 2022, we’ll have lost something like £3-400bn compared to what we had been expecting in 2016 before the vote.

THREE-FOUR HUNDRED BILLION QUID!

That’s about £12-15,000 for every single household in the country! Lost. Gone. Forever.

Think about what that means. For that money, we could rip up every single mile of motorway in the country and replace them brand new.

Four times over.

We could build 1.5-2million new houses and give them away for free.

We could build 600 brand new big infirmaries.

We could pay the defence budget for 10 years.

We could build 10,000 new comprehensive schools.

That’s gone. Forever. Because of the Brexit vote.

And it’s actually even worse than that. Because the predictions in 2016 were made before the world economy went into a boom period which has kept the U.K. economy afloat to the level that it already is. Given the fact that pretty much every other developed country has seen its growth predictions INCREASE by about 1% whilst ours have dropped by 0.9%, it’s not unreasonable to say that the money we’ve actually lost is more than twice the amount I’ve said.

You still reckon “Project Fear” exaggerated? This is an absolute, unmitigated catastrophe. That we’ve chosen to impose on ourselves.

That’s the consequence of Brexit. Not a sudden collapse but a major long-term weakness that adds up to horrific losses over 5-10 years. So pensions and living standards don’t get hit immediately. But over a decade, we will be far, far poorer than we should be.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 13, 2018, 02:07:08 pm
  Face it Glynn, there won't be one, a short transitional period for the big hitters to get their house in order, and that's it, out into the big new world.

I know there won't be one, but if there was it couldn't be as big a 'stupid vote' as the one we've already had in ignorance of the exit terms.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 13, 2018, 02:55:59 pm
"Because the predictions in 2016 were made before the world economy went into a boom period which has kept the U.K. economy afloat to the level that it already is".

Why didn't the experts predict a world economy boom?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 13, 2018, 04:02:37 pm
BB

That’s not how macro economics works. The global economy relies on the decisions made in many, many countries all interacting. It’s far too complex to predict. You don’t know how decisions made in China and America and Germany and U.K. and Japan and India and Indonesia and everywhere else will interact. That’s why no-one can predict with any accuracy when a global boom or a global crash is coming.

Macro-economics can and does look at the effects of big decisions on single economies. They can predict with relatively good accuracy what the effect will be on a single country of that country deciding to spend more or less. Or the effect on that country of a decision to make trading easier or harder. Those predictions work relatively well. That’s why the vast majority of economists predicted back in 2010 that Austerity would lead to an extended period of sub-par growth in the UK. Which it did. The same economists predicted that a Brexit vote would make it harder for us to trade with the biggest free market in the world and that that would lead to less investment in the U.K. and less economic growth. They were bang on.

They WERE predicting back in 2016 that the effect of this would be to tip us into negative growth or, in other words, a recession. That hasn’t happened because the global economy has unexpectedly boomed.

But. While the rest of the world is booming and other countries and getting significantly richer, our growth has dropped massively.

We’re missing out on a boom and Hammond has said today that we’re going to keep missing out until we’ll into the 2020s.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 13, 2018, 04:39:11 pm
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43380212
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 13, 2018, 04:40:35 pm
BB.

Your point being?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 13, 2018, 04:54:28 pm
It just shows a bit of positivity and suggests that things may not be so bad. Hammond says the UK economy had reached a turning point and there is light at the end of the tunnel.

OBR chief Robert Chote said: "Overall the referendum vote does seem to have weakened the economy as we and most other forecasters expected, but not quite as much as we forecast back in November 2016.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Copps is Magic on March 13, 2018, 05:07:43 pm
I'm starting to believe the EU debate has been a welcome distraction for the Tory party for the terrible economic damage their austerity policies have done. When you've got people labeling Labour's broadly Keynesian economic policies, Marxist, it also has to be an indication their propaganda machine is still in motion.

For the record, 1.4% GDP growth is not really good for a capitalist economy as a whole; and take out immigration of the productive young people who come to this country (as apparently some brexiteers want to do) economic growth is close to zero over the last 10 years.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 13, 2018, 05:15:04 pm
Sweet Jesus it’s like hammering nails into your head.

Where to start?

1) Of course Hammond says there’s light. He’s a politician. He’s not going to stand up in front of Parliament and say the Govt has f**ked up.

2) November 2016 figures. Two points.
i) What really matters is not whether the economy is looking better now than it was expected to do immediately after the vote. It’s how it’s looking compared to the predictions BEFORE the vote. In the Spring 2016 Budget, the expectation was that we’d have growth of well over 2% for the foreseeable future. Now the prediction is that growth will be under 1.5%. That’s how you lose £300-400bn over 5 years.

ii) Chote seems to have forgotten his own figures from November 2016. Back then, the Autumn Statement growth predictions were:

2018 1.7%
2019 2.1%
2020 2.1%
2021 2.0%
(Figures here: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-38075649 )

Today they are
2018 1.5%
2019 1.3%
2020 1.3%
2021 1.4%
(Figures here: https://www.gov.uk/government/news/spring-statement-2018-what-you-need-to-know# )

How you get a conclusion that the economy is doing better than we expected in November 2016 is anyone's guess, but it's obviously done the trick of convincing you BB.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 13, 2018, 05:32:48 pm
I'm not convinced by any forecasts, owd lad, but I find the positive ones more appealing. Whether my optimism is to no avail remains to be seen. Only time will tell.

I'll definitely get back to you in 2020 ish!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 13, 2018, 05:33:36 pm
It just shows a bit of positivity and suggests that things may not be so bad. Hammond says the UK economy had reached a turning point and there is light at the end of the tunnel.

OBR chief Robert Chote said: "Overall the referendum vote does seem to have weakened the economy as we and most other forecasters expected, but not quite as much as we forecast back in November 2016.

"We're still in the shit but not as deep as we thought." Incredible positivity.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on March 13, 2018, 05:56:22 pm
It's worthwhile remembering of course that those growth figures are best scenario figures. We have all seen the Government's own Brexit Impact Assessment figures and the consequences of no deal - 8% lower.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 13, 2018, 06:27:16 pm
BB

I’m not sure what you DO listen to. You don’t like predictions about what will and you also ignore data about what HAS happened. Our economic performance HAS already slumped over the past two years while the rest of the world is surging. Just like economists were predicting it would if we voted Leave. Those predictions are no longer predictions. They are established facts.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 13, 2018, 10:04:01 pm
BST, predictions about what will happen? Don't you mean predictions about what might happen? What about the George Osborne prediction of tax rises and spending cuts being implemented instantly if we voted out? Likewise, what about the immediate recession that was predicted? Or what about Cameron turning his back on the country after promising he'd see the job through if we voted out?

See me, I like to wait a bit longer before reaching for the anti-depressants. You just never know exactly what is going to happen.

Like I said previously, I'll get back to you in 2020 ish.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 13, 2018, 10:22:09 pm
BB

I’m struggling to count how many times I’ve said this now. We’ve already had 18 months of significantly reduced economic performance following the Brexit vote. That WAS predicted but it’s no longer a prediction. It’s a fact.

You have never once acknowledged that fact. Which makes me think you don’t really have any interest in discussing this seriously.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 13, 2018, 10:33:50 pm
So tiresome....... But we're STILL not in a recession as was predicted more than a year and a half ago!

I've never denied that our performance has been reduced since the vote. I even asked you several posts ago if you thought the general election could be partly blamed for it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 13, 2018, 11:05:37 pm
BB

How many times is it now that I’ve pointed this out? I’ll try just one more time to spell it out. Read it. It’s REALLY simple.

Economists predicted that the Leave vote would produce a sharp drop in economic growth. Back in 2016, we were growing at 2-2.5% or so. They said that the effect of a Leave vote could, all other things bring equal, tip us into recession. Or, in other words, knock 2-2.5% off GDP growth.

Since then, our economic growth has fallen by about 1% in the past 20 months whilst most of the G7’s has gone up by well over 1%. So it’s pretty clear that we’ve lost something like 2-2.5% of GDP growth.

We’ve been saved from going into recession because there was an unexpected surge in global growth. But we HAVE lost 2-2.5% of growth relative to the rest of the world. Just as predicted.

As for the General Election. No. I answered you on that weeks ago. Our GDP growth has already slipped rapidly before June 2017. It’s stabilised since then. So there is no evidence whatsoever that the Election has an effect. Just as I explained previously.

See. It’s really not that hard. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 13, 2018, 11:32:44 pm
So, because of global growth, we haven't gone into recession, as was predicted by the experts. The fact of that is, despite your claim of unforeseeable circumstances (global growth) the experts got it wrong.

That in itself proves they're not infallible, so how can you claim that they have been right so far and will be infallible with their predictions for the future?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 13, 2018, 11:50:44 pm
Sorry I’m slow replying. I’ve just been banging my head against a wall.

No the economists did NOT get it wrong when you look at what they were actually predicting.

Their predictions have been correct for our performance ALL OTHER THINGS BEING EQUAL.

If the rest of the world hadn’t had a boom, we WOULD be in recession. The boom has happened so we’ve avoided recession because we’ve been swept along.

Now, if the rest of the world continues to enjoy a boom that gets even stronger then yes, we’ll get pulled along in the slipstream and we’ll do a bit better than the current predictions suggest.

BUT

We’ll still end up poorer relative to everyone else AND RELATIVE TO HOW WE WOULD HAVE DONE WITHOUT BREXIT.

THAT is what they have predicted. The effect of Brexit compared to Not-Brexit. The RELATIVE effect of Brexit. Relative to the rest of the world, and to our pre-vote performance, we have had precisely the hit that they predicted.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 14, 2018, 12:08:18 am
BST. Why don't you answer my questions?

You said; "You have never once acknowledged that fact that we've had reduced economic performance following the Brexit vote".

I pointed out that I have, and you confirmed it in your penultimate post. Is an apology warranted?


Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 14, 2018, 12:11:51 am
Yep. I apologise.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 14, 2018, 12:17:14 am
So, with that in mind, my only fault (in your view) is to have a positive attitude towards the inevitable occurrence of us leaving the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 14, 2018, 12:44:43 am
No. Your fault is to consistently say that you don’t trust predictions whilst not engaging with the evidence that previous predictions have been correct.

See, because Brexit is only “inevitable” if people maintain this idea that it might all turn out OK and ignore the facts in front of them. If people knew that the result of Brexit was that we’re all going to be much, MUCH poorer than we otherwise would be, there’d be riots.

Think about it. If I told you that you personally could decide whether to be £12,000 better off in 2022 without you having to lift a finger, or to choose to forego that, what would you choose?

Honestly.

Right. I assume you made the right decision on that one. Now, the economists who were RIGHT on Austerity and RIGHT on the immediate effects of the Brexit vote are telling you that you, YOU personally, WILL lose £12-15k over the next 5 years. If Brexit goes ahead.

That is still the choice that you have. Because it’s very likely that we’ll have an election before we actually inflict the very worst damage on ourselves.

But it’s not a choice if people like you decide to stick their fingers in their ears and say “I don’t believe predictions. Even when the people doing the predictions have been right consistently. It might turn out alright.”

And it’s not a choice if you say, “It’s going to happen anyway: might as well be optimistic about it.”

That’s what you are doing BB.

I reckon that is a very big fault.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 14, 2018, 12:50:24 am
So Brexit might not be inevitable? What do you suggest?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 14, 2018, 12:54:10 am
I suggest talking with people about the consequences. Challenging lazy assumptions and slamming the facts into people’s faces.

Get people to realise that, when the inevitable General Election comes along, this isn’t a done deal. This is still live and the worst can still be avoided.

At the moment, in the latest poll, there are still 42% of people who think that we will be better off after Brexit. That is why I get so f**king angry about this. NO expert now thinks we’ll be better off. But the people who are going to get hit hardest have been bullshitted for years by the press into thinking that Europe is the enemy. That can only be remedied by constantly pointing out the truth.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 14, 2018, 12:55:08 am
And then what?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 14, 2018, 12:56:24 am
See my edit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 14, 2018, 01:01:58 am
Ah, so vote for Jezza! This f**king nightmare will be over! A genuine EU Remainer will take the reins!



f**k ME!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 14, 2018, 01:17:22 am
Corbyn will not win a majority when the next election comes. Not a chance in hell. He would need SNP and/or LD support to get into No. 10.

Go figure.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 14, 2018, 01:21:44 am
Do you know what we need Billy? We need someone with some B0llocks. Someone like Winnie. Not Winnie the Pooh (Corbyn), Winnie the Churchill.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 14, 2018, 07:45:56 am
Someone with the b*llocks to listen to the economists and understand what they're saying.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Metalmicky on March 14, 2018, 08:00:31 am
The last thing I want is to see JC in No 10..... now that would be a calamity for the country. 

Nobody really knows how Britain will fair post Brexit and if you rolled out 100 'experts' you would inevitably find they all had differing opinions - and therefore many would be wrong. 

Brexit may mean that we will all be poorer in monetary terms, but perhaps we will become richer as a nation...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: auckleyflyer on March 14, 2018, 08:32:07 am
If we listened to experts all the time we'd be in the economic union! Experts arnt higher level beings, their prone to naval gazing and get upperty^^^^^^when there wisdom isnt obeyed.
Best informed yes, but when dealing in predicting that's all they are, not factual! In fact they were wrong on the vote and its immediate consequences.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on March 14, 2018, 09:16:42 am
Do you know what we need Billy? We need someone with some B0llocks. Someone like Winnie. Not Winnie the Pooh (Corbyn), Winnie the Churchill.


A man who was in favour of a United States of Europe? (which I'm fairly sure has actually been pointed out and ignored further back in the thread).
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Copps is Magic on March 14, 2018, 09:16:52 am
Metalmicky.

It's comments like that why we're in the mess we're in*. The fact you display an unfaltering faith that you have the ability to predict the future of a Corbyn government but a complete absence of faith in the future predictions of experts. It displays a failure of people in my profession (academia) to engage, and displays a complete lack of understanding on your part on what 'experts' are. They aren't a sea of individuals making stabs in the dark about the future (in fact, when they do they get called out heavily). It works on things like consensus, collaborative work, rigour, peer-review, extremely stringent ethical procedures, criticism, an enduring openness, and an often unrewarding motivation to analyse things that others don't.

IF you want to disregard and disrespect those things in society then let me tell you we will be a lot poorer, rather than your stab in the dark about Corbyn. But as someone who also worked briefly in the civil service for one of the UK governments, let me tell you 99% of all policies are thankfully taken on evidence and reason and following the guidance of experts.

Your last sentence about becoming 'richer as nation', it's hard for me to comprehend how a crazy vote that's split the nation bang down the middle and created enduring rifts is, or will make us, any richer.


* And by mess I partly mean brexit but also the austerity killing public services and leaving large sections of this country behind the SE
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 14, 2018, 09:44:49 am
Do you know what we need Billy? We need someone with some B0llocks. Someone like Winnie. Not Winnie the Pooh (Corbyn), Winnie the Churchill.


A man who was in favour of a United States of Europe? (which I'm fairly sure has actually been pointed out and ignored further back in the thread).

I was thinking more of the man who had some boll0cks and who would never surrender to unfair demands, even in a United States of Europe.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 14, 2018, 09:47:06 am
The last thing I want is to see JC in No 10..... now that would be a calamity for the country. 

Nobody really knows how Britain will fair post Brexit and if you rolled out 100 'experts' you would inevitably find they all had differing opinions - and therefore many would be wrong. 

Brexit may mean that we will all be poorer in monetary terms, but perhaps we will become richer as a nation...

100 economists? Pah! How about 639?

That’s the number that we’re polled a month before the vote. Here’s what they said.

https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/economists-views-brexit

88% of them said that a Leave vote would lead to a hit in the economy over the subsequent 5 years. We’re nearly 2 years into that 5 years and it’s panning out just like they said.

I am genuinely astonished where this near-hatred for expert opinion comes from. They HAVE called it right and there AREN’T major difference of opinion amongst them.  Why are people so determined to ignore this?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 14, 2018, 09:49:36 am
And what are those unfair demands BB?

While we’re at it, since you got all uppity about me not answering your questions last night, I notice you never replied when I asked you in what way the BBC had a pro-Brexit bias.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 14, 2018, 09:56:58 am
If we listened to experts all the time we'd be in the economic union! Experts arnt higher level beings, their prone to naval gazing and get upperty^^^^^^when there wisdom isnt obeyed.
Best informed yes, but when dealing in predicting that's all they are, not factual! In fact they were wrong on the vote and its immediate consequences.

Auckley. I assume you mean the monetary union?

The reason we didn’t join the Euro is PRECISELY because Gordon Brown listened long and hard to expert economists. They said that it would only be in Britain’sinterests to join the Euro if 5 key economic conditions were met.

We didn’t meet them. We didn’t join.

On the immediate effects of the vote, I still don’t get what you mean. They predicted a big economic hit. Since 2016, our economy has dropped by about £35bn per year relative to Germany, France and the USA. That means we’re now poorer to the time of the entire Defence budget. And Hammond said yesterday that this is hard-baked in for at least 5 years. What’s that if not a big economic hit?


I’ll ask again. Where does this contempt fit exoerts who get predictions consistently right come from? Do you ever refuse to go on holiday because an expert designed the bridges you’ve got to drive over or the plane you have to fly in?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on March 14, 2018, 10:07:37 am
 Billy stop picking the facts that suit your argument, I deal stock most days.
  The consensus is ho expert has been proven right over project fear.
  Our net contribution is about £9 billion a year currently, but Brussels were looking at cutting our rebate, and putting contributions up.
  The day of the vote stirling crashed a bit, but is back against the dollar, in fact in some instances we are better off because we pay for commodities in dollars and sell into a preferential euro rate.
   If there ever were another vote I would make it a three way choice.
                 Leave ( a straight walk away )
                 Stay
                 Leave with a deal
   But I cannot see us having another vote.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 14, 2018, 10:07:53 am
I reckon Churchill wouldn't have stood for any demands he deemed unfair even if he had taken us into a United States of Europe, and he would conduct Brexit talks in the same way.

As far as BBC bias, do you watch Question Time?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 14, 2018, 10:18:53 am
Selby

Picking facts? Who the hell are you accusing of picking facts. I’ve talked consistently about GDP. Always have. I was talking about it back in 2010 when I said that Austerity would lead us into a bad place. I talk about GDP because when you strip away the other bullshit, it is the only thing that matters. It’s our income. GDP growth rate is our annual pay rise. In the long run, there is nothing else that matters. If your pay rise drops by 2% a year (our GDP growth rate was 1% above that of our competitors in 2016. Now it is 1% lower and predicted to stay there for half a decade) then you end up with a lot less mo ey in your pocket. And nothing else really matters.

You claim that no expert has been proven right over the predictions about the effect of Brexit? Look at the bloody numbers man! The experts almost unanimously said our growth would be hit hard. It’s been hit hard. How do you assess that to be an inconclusive prediction?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 14, 2018, 10:22:11 am
BB

So, you don’t have any examples of unfair demands then? Or examples of BBC bias?

I watch Question Time. I regularly see the likes of Peter Hitchens or Melanie Phillips and Quentin Letts on there. Earlier this month, Nigel Farage was on for the 32nd time. Remind me what your point was.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 14, 2018, 11:07:57 am
No BST, unfortunately, I haven't been invited to any of the talks.

Now then, of all those Farage appearances, how many times has the panel, and audience been set up to alienate him? 32?

And, how many times has Farage appeared since the EU referendum? Twice?

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 14, 2018, 11:19:51 am
BB

So you were being a bit daft and wasting everyone's time talking about hypothetical unfair demands then?

Right. Work calling. I've had enough of this.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 14, 2018, 11:29:22 am
BST

In any negotiations, there are demands made by both sides, with an aim to reach an amicable agreement.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on March 14, 2018, 12:38:44 pm
  Billy I am a nobody. sorry to upset you.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 14, 2018, 01:13:09 pm
Selby

Apologies if I have caused offence. I get annoyed at people accusing me of twisting facts and cherry picking information to make a point. I've consistently talked about GDP and I genuinely cannot fathom how anyone can look at those numbers and see anything but a long-term disaster panning out. But what I'm tending to see is people either ignoring those figures or saying it'll be either wrong or alright, and people saying "well they all lie anyway." The central issue in the Referendum was whether we were going to be better off in or out. There's no-one seriously arguing now that we're not going to take a huge economic hit. And the figures are already showing that it's happening.

But it seems that most folk are not that bothered about the  prospect of us losing £12,000 per head by 2022 and more to come after that. So I'm obviously wasting my time.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 14, 2018, 01:19:00 pm
No BST, unfortunately, I haven't been invited to any of the talks.

Now then, of all those Farage appearances, how many times has the panel, and audience been set up to alienate him? 32?

And, how many times has Farage appeared since the EU referendum? Twice?



How about you tell us the answer to those instead of expecting other people to do your bloody spadework for you all the time? You made the accusation of bias, it's down to you to produce the evidence. Give.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on March 14, 2018, 03:46:36 pm
  Billy, I accept your facts, but the thing is although you are right about GDP. the  result of the downturn up to press is nowhere as bad as the doomsayers were predicting.
   The insinuation was that we would immediately dive into negative growth, and that negative growth would continue over the time scale now shown as a growth period. Admittedly we are losing pace with other economies, but not at the pace or depth the so called experts predicted.
   And when we do leave, the terms and conditions will determine how the economy will perform. My instinct says that the EU politicians, when the die is cast will be told to reign in their hard stance.
    The City has long tentacles, and they may find they are not the only ones who can damage others interests.
   We will have to wait and see.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 14, 2018, 04:10:01 pm
Selby.

No. I'm sorry but you're just not reading this right at all.

In early 2016, we had the highest growth rate of all the leading developed economies (UK, USA, Canada, Japan, France, Germany, Italy). Since 2016, every one of those other six has seen big increases in growth. We alone have seen a big fall. Now we have the second lowest growth, marginally above Japan who are expected to overtake us imminently.

So we DID have a very big negative hit. We have IMMEDIATELY lost something between 2-2.5% of GDP growth compared to the pre-vote expectations. That's made up of about 0.8% of actual lost growth and something north of 1-1.5% of increased growth that the rest of the world has experienced and we haven't.

That's the point I've been getting increasingly exasperated at trying to get across. We WOULD now be in recession if there hadn't been an unexpected global boom which has bailed us out. The economist who predicted a big hit TO OUR ECONOMY were absolutely bang on the money. It has been exactly as bad as they were saying.

We've avoided a recession because we've been saved by the good fortune of the rest of the world booming. But that doesn't change the fact that we've lost something like £20-40bn per year of wealth creation relative to where we would have been if we'd seen our economy boom over the past 18 months like every other developed nation has.

I think what you are saying is "we haven't had a recession therefore the predictions of Project fear were wrong." But that that entirely misses the point. We are missing out on £20-40bn of growth compared to what we could have reasonably expected had the vote gone the other way. That's unarguable from the figures that have been set out in this thread. That's the sort of hit that was predicted to happen. Had the world economy not picked everyone up, that hit WOULD have tipped us into recession. The fact that the boom did happen doesn't make those predictions wrong. Or the amount of money that we are losing any less. And that amount of lost wealth compounds, year on year into appallingly high loses. It's not just a nerdy obsession. Loss of 1-2% growth for a long time turns you from a leading economy into an also-ran.

You might also say, "Well as long as we're not tipping into recession, then I can cope with less growth than we might have had." That also misses the point. We've had a horrifically bad recovery from the 2008 crash. We've lost an enormous amount of potential wealth. That is why wages have stagnated. That is why public services are creaking. That is why it's going to have taken 7 years longer than planned to get the deficit down to zero. This is how bad our recovery has been.

https://mobile.twitter.com/TheIFS/status/973867086480060417/photo/1

And it's even worse if you look at GDP per head.

https://mobile.twitter.com/RichardALJones/status/973559409606619136/photo/1

That grew at an almost constant 2.3% per year from the 1950s until 2008. Since then it has flat-lined. That's why were all working harder without feeling any better off.  (BB: If you're listening, most of that is established fact, not prediction.)

The ONLY way that we can ever start to recover that horrifying amount of lost ground is to have a prolonged period of growth above the long-term trend. That's what's now happening in Germany. In France. In America. In Canada. Even in Italy. But it's not happening here and we're forecast to fall further and further behind over the next 5 years.

So, frankly, you're wrong to say that the consequence of Brexit on the economy hasn't been bad. It's been appallingly bad.

And then the comment about the EU hard stance? What is their hard stance? They WANT us to stay part of the Single Market and Customs Union. They have said that they'll welcome us with open arms. It is US that have chosen to leave them and deliberately make it far harder for us to trade with the EU. Complaining about a hard stance from the EU is like you punching yourself repeatedly in the face then complaining to your mate from Brussels that your face it hurting and it's his fault because just standing there watching you do it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on March 14, 2018, 06:42:44 pm
Do you know what we need Billy? We need someone with some B0llocks. Someone like Winnie. Not Winnie the Pooh (Corbyn), Winnie the Churchill.


A man who was in favour of a United States of Europe? (which I'm fairly sure has actually been pointed out and ignored further back in the thread).

I was thinking more of the man who had some boll0cks and who would never surrender to unfair demands, even in a United States of Europe.

Sorry Bentley but just for clarity which unfair demands are you referring to?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Metalmicky on March 14, 2018, 06:49:20 pm
Metalmicky.

It's comments like that why we're in the mess we're in*. The fact you display an unfaltering faith that you have the ability to predict the future of a Corbyn government but a complete absence of faith in the future predictions of experts. It displays a failure of people in my profession (academia) to engage, and displays a complete lack of understanding on your part on what 'experts' are. They aren't a sea of individuals making stabs in the dark about the future (in fact, when they do they get called out heavily). It works on things like consensus, collaborative work, rigour, peer-review, extremely stringent ethical procedures, criticism, an enduring openness, and an often unrewarding motivation to analyse things that others don't.

IF you want to disregard and disrespect those things in society then let me tell you we will be a lot poorer, rather than your stab in the dark about Corbyn. But as someone who also worked briefly in the civil service for one of the UK governments, let me tell you 99% of all policies are thankfully taken on evidence and reason and following the guidance of experts.

Your last sentence about becoming 'richer as nation', it's hard for me to comprehend how a crazy vote that's split the nation bang down the middle and created enduring rifts is, or will make us, any richer.


* And by mess I partly mean brexit but also the austerity killing public services and leaving large sections of this country behind the SE

You don't have to flag me up to spout your political propaganda mate.  I have my opinions and in a democracy I'm entitled to say it as I see it - IMO JC is not a leader this country needs and his diminishing popularity shows this.... For the record I'm ex forces - which might also give you a hint as to why I dislike JC so much

And don't patronize me about your high end opinion of experts mate. I am in no way stating they are baloney - merely pointing out that there are differing opinions - from different experts - who all claim to know the future.  The same so called experts failed to see the 2007/8 financial crisis and many denied it could happen....  and similar experts failed to see JC's influence on the last election - and yet he proved many wrong...

I won't mention the civil service - other than I have and do work with plenty of them, and many struggle to form a joint consensus, let alone come up with a formed decision.  I'm not saying that the team you worked in were of a similar ilk btw... 

I think you'll find that the 'crazy' vote you refer to wasn't 'bang down the middle'.  I say that as we appear to be in the process of exiting the EU - unless of course you have had a team of experts check out those stats and come out with a different result...? :)

FTR, I don't exactly agree with how Theresa May is handling the countries affairs either - we all have opinions and none of us are experts.......even if they try and push their opinions on you.   
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Metalmicky on March 14, 2018, 07:56:44 pm
The last thing I want is to see JC in No 10..... now that would be a calamity for the country. 

Nobody really knows how Britain will fair post Brexit and if you rolled out 100 'experts' you would inevitably find they all had differing opinions - and therefore many would be wrong. 

Brexit may mean that we will all be poorer in monetary terms, but perhaps we will become richer as a nation...

100 economists? Pah! How about 639?

That’s the number that we’re polled a month before the vote. Here’s what they said.

https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/economists-views-brexit

88% of them said that a Leave vote would lead to a hit in the economy over the subsequent 5 years. We’re nearly 2 years into that 5 years and it’s panning out just like they said.

I am genuinely astonished where this near-hatred for expert opinion comes from. They HAVE called it right and there AREN’T major difference of opinion amongst them.  Why are people so determined to ignore this?

I haven't got the time (or inclination) to have a bun fight with you.... however, for the purposes of showing a balanced view - which are not necessarily mine either - there are other viewpoints out there...

https://www.economist.com/blogs/economist-explains/2018/01/economist-explains-8

and it's a post brexit article...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 14, 2018, 07:59:55 pm
Do you know what we need Billy? We need someone with some B0llocks. Someone like Winnie. Not Winnie the Pooh (Corbyn), Winnie the Churchill.


A man who was in favour of a United States of Europe? (which I'm fairly sure has actually been pointed out and ignored further back in the thread).

I was thinking more of the man who had some boll0cks and who would never surrender to unfair demands, even in a United States of Europe.

Sorry Bentley but just for clarity which unfair demands are you referring to?

Wilts, I don't know whether or not there have been any. I haven't been present in the talks! I reckon there's a possibility that there could be unfair demands though, such as silly settlement figures, if we had a weak negotiator.

 I said Winnie (The Churchill) wouldn't put up with any of that, and his sheer presence would have deterred any attempts to do so.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 14, 2018, 08:37:16 pm
MM

Yeah, BB posted that link the other day.

Given that the article is anonymous, it’s impossible to tell whether it’s written by an economist, a journalist or whoever. But there’s a couple of things in it, a couple of big things that make me think the writer is trying to...let’s say, be economical with the...ahh, f**k it, no, let’s call a spade a spade: bullshit the reader.

1) The article itself says that we’ve been pulled along by a stronger than expected global economy. But, that we’ve slipped down the world growth rankings. What it doesn’t say is that we’ve slipped from 1st in the G7 in 2015 to 6th (and about to go 7th and bottom) of the G7. That’s quite a slip.

2) In the very same sentence he says, “but growth in both 2016 and 2017 still averaged around 2%, roughly similar to 2015.“

That’s a bit naughty.

Here’s the Office for National Statistics figures for those three years.

2015: 2.3%
2016: 1.9%
2017: 1.7%

So he gives the impression that we’ve sailed on through 2016-17 just like we were in 2015. In fact, that dip, just in those two years cost us about £25bn.

And if the writer was really looking to inform readers rather than bullshit them, he’d have gone on to write that GDP growth is expected to stay below 1.5% for the next 5 years, while Germany, France, USA, Canada etc are having growth twice as strong as that.

I’m not interested in a bunfight MM. I just don’t like seeing people being hoodwinked. If you take your cue from that article and use it to think that there hasn’t been a profoundly negative Brexit effect already, you’re being hoodwinked.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 14, 2018, 08:56:14 pm
BB

Trouble is, Churchill was f**king useless when it came to issues relating to the economy, business and finance. His term at the Treasury was one of the most catastrophic of the 20th century. So I’m not sure I’d put a right lot of faith in him to know his arse from his elbow in negotiations about our future economic relations with Europe.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Copps is Magic on March 14, 2018, 09:17:58 pm
MM, I could write a long response addressing point by point but won't in the interest of it not degenerating.

It's very much the opposite mate, any 'expert' in their field who tightly follows the principles I listed in my first post will not be making predictions about the future. They very much deal with the past because that's where the evidence comes from.

I'm getting the impression that what you imagine is there is 100 experts in a room and a certain percentage will be saying different things to the rest and therefore you should by cynical of the whole lot? But that's really not how it works either, it works on consensus; paradigms that they all broadly agree on barring the fine points.

Part of the problem is this figure of the 'expert' created by the media is filled by the kind of the ideologically driven 'research' that people like David Keighley (few pages earlier) produce. You're never gunna hear a reasoned expert discussing the pros and cons because they don't want it.

on the civil service - as a young man I was probably very much anti-bureaucracy but as I get older I increasingly find myself thinking thank f**k they are there.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 14, 2018, 09:25:02 pm
BB

Trouble is, Churchill was f**king useless when it came to issues relating to the economy, business and finance. His term at the Treasury was one of the most catastrophic of the 20th century. So I’m not sure I’d put a right lot of faith in him to know his arse from his elbow in negotiations about our future economic relations with Europe.

Is that why he was in favour of a United States of Europe?  ;)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 14, 2018, 09:38:17 pm
He was in favour of it for the very reason that the EEC and eventually the EU came into being. As a way of taming and directing the imperial forces in Germany. As in most things though, Churchill wasn’t much cop when it came to the details. And details are very much what the discussions with the EU are all about.

Details like how we are going to sort out the Irish border. Remember Gove and Johnson saying it would be an easy one to solve and calling people who said otherwise troublemakers and prophets of doom? They are keeping that plan well under wraps aren’t they?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on March 14, 2018, 10:03:38 pm

Wilts, I don't know whether or not there have been any. I haven't been present in the talks! I reckon there's a possibility that there could be unfair demands though, such as silly settlement figures, if we had a weak negotiator.

 I said Winnie (The Churchill) wouldn't put up with any of that, and his sheer presence would have deterred any attempts to do so.

Sorry Bentley I hadn't read far enough down the thread when I posted my question as I see you answered it further on.

The thing about Churchill as a negotiator during WW2 (its best to ignore most of the rest of his career) is he knew what was achievable and when to compromise - even if it was unpopular with the British public.
https://www.winstonchurchill.org/publications/finest-hour/finest-hour-123/teaching-the-next-generations-the-bermuda-essays-churchill-s-art-of-negotiation/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 14, 2018, 10:13:52 pm
Sorry Wilts. Perhaps I should have gone into more detail in my desire for a Churchill type negotiator. I was referring more to the size of his boll0cks than his brain.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 15, 2018, 07:17:41 am
The only negotiations I can remember Churchill being personally involved in were the wartime ones with the US and USSR. I can only imagine just how grateful eastern Europe was for where the size of his b*llocks left them after his negotiations with Stalin.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 15, 2018, 07:34:20 am
I reckon Churchill wouldn't have stood for any demands he deemed unfair even if he had taken us into a United States of Europe, and he would conduct Brexit talks in the same way.

As far as BBC bias, do you watch Question Time?

Yes I do religiously and pull my hair out at the consistent audience and panel bias for Leave . Even in a heavily Remain constituency area we seem to have the same old rabid Brexiters shouting down those Remainers even prepared to put their head up over the parapet.
It makes me seethe with anger to see " big hitters " from the Leave side pitted against " weak at best" Remainers on his selected panel. Week after week we get this , last week was a perfect example where in a heavy Remain constituency of Westminster - they barely discussed Brexit .

I take it you look at the carefully crafted but  hugely biased vids on the Express/ Mail online to cement this impression in your mind further. They are wholly unrepresentative of the debate in general and infuriating .
Finally what annoys me most is that you see it as a pro- Remain programme is the propaganda online in the Mail/ Express etc that effective ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Metalmicky on March 15, 2018, 08:09:08 am
MM, I could write a long response addressing point by point but won't in the interest of it not degenerating.

It's very much the opposite mate, any 'expert' in their field who tightly follows the principles I listed in my first post will not be making predictions about the future. They very much deal with the past because that's where the evidence comes from.

I'm getting the impression that what you imagine is there is 100 experts in a room and a certain percentage will be saying different things to the rest and therefore you should by cynical of the whole lot? But that's really not how it works either, it works on consensus; paradigms that they all broadly agree on barring the fine points.

Part of the problem is this figure of the 'expert' created by the media is filled by the kind of the ideologically driven 'research' that people like David Keighley (few pages earlier) produce. You're never gunna hear a reasoned expert discussing the pros and cons because they don't want it.

on the civil service - as a young man I was probably very much anti-bureaucracy but as I get older I increasingly find myself thinking thank f**k they are there.

I guess it's how we define 'expert'.  As BST said within his earlier post - where he states that of 639 economists (I'm guessing experts in their field..?) 88% of them had said that a Leave vote would lead to a hit in the economy - my point was that a similar band of experts had failed to predict the 2007/8 financial crisis... in fact some suggested it couldn't happen - how is this possible given their collective expertise?

I think we should digest what these 'experts' say, but not go 'all in' based on their thoughts and predictions - after all 'experts' are still people and also have individual thoughts and opinions... aren't they?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 15, 2018, 08:56:15 am
 "Corbyn will not win a majority when the next election comes. Not a chance in hell. He would need SNP and/or LD support to get into No. 10.

Go figure."

It is currently impossible for Labour or Corbyn to ever run the country without support from the SNP / Lib/Dems/ Greens  so I wonder at which stage do Labour reach out to other Opposition Parties , choose the best suited  Party to fight the Tories in each and every constituency and form an electoral pact . It is no good  any of the above taking a relaxed and selfish attitude to the next election otherwise they will get buried alive . The system is now stacked against Labour and it's impossible to achieve 50 % or more of the seats in England and Wales . The ONLY way they can ever be in power over the next decade or so is with the help of the smaller parties . Hopefully Corbyn wont insist on fighting every seat where Labour are in a weak 3rd or even 4th place as he did in the last 2 elections . The Opposition HAS to work in concert despite their obvious differences . The weaker Parties have got to get it together or we will have a rabid far right Tory Party in power for generations to come . That on top of the costs of Brexit will spell doom for the weak , the poor  and for ALL regions outside of London and the South- East . Someone has to pay for this Clusterf**k.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 15, 2018, 09:13:22 am
I reckon Churchill wouldn't have stood for any demands he deemed unfair even if he had taken us into a United States of Europe, and he would conduct Brexit talks in the same way.

As far as BBC bias, do you watch Question Time?

Yes I do religiously and pull my hair out at the consistent audience and panel bias for Leave . Even in a heavily Remain constituency area we seem to have the same old rabid Brexiters shouting down those Remainers even prepared to put their head up over the parapet.
It makes me seethe with anger to see " big hitters " from the Leave side pitted against " weak at best" Remainers on his selected panel. Week after week we get this , last week was a perfect example where in a heavy Remain constituency of Westminster - they barely discussed Brexit .

I take it you look at the carefully crafted but  hugely biased vids on the Express/ Mail online to cement this impression in your mind further. They are wholly unrepresentative of the debate in general and infuriating .
Finally what annoys me most is that you see it as a pro- Remain programme is the propaganda online in the Mail/ Express etc that effective ?

Yet again, Hoola, you take it wrong.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 15, 2018, 10:24:49 am
It never ceases to amaze me what a bright bunch of people we have amongst us when reading through the 39 pages of debate we have had on this subject and on a football forum too.

I guess others , like me, have gained more information from this thread than watching hours of pre and post Brexit debate on the television . Facts , figures, opinions from opposite sides of the debate make this thread " the thread of ALL Off Topic " threads and a ' must go to ' daily fix .
I think that this thread has hopefully benefited others as it has me, I now understand what in practise enables the Brexit mind to dream of a bright future filled with prancing unicorns in England's green and pleasant land . I have learnt that you can trade outside the EU ( see German exports extra the EU ) . It has also surprised me to learn that the exports made to the UK € 93 billion p.a. only represented  less than   7 % of their total exports in 2017 of €1,348 billion - so much for the claims that Germany will struggle without free and unfettered access to our market that's on gross sales not profit.

In 2017 despite being in the EU,  Germany still managed to export € 107 billion of goods  to the USA . How can that be as the USA isn't in the EU - I'm told we can't do our own deals outside the EU whilst being in the Customs Union can one of you Leavers please explain how Germany is in a position to  do such an impossible thing ?
I would love to know and the failure of  Remainers to point out such anomalies worries me. It would certainly have been pointed out by a Brexiter had the reverse been the case !

Isn't the real reason why our economy struggles in the way that it does is really because we have little to sell to the USA currently anyway regardless of any CU arrangement ?  That we don't have a balanced economy and regardless of the vote either way we were set to struggle in the future but perhaps far more so now our competitive edge has gone and of course our access in terms of Services is gravely at risk.

What now , to continue down an " isolationist " path based on a country that has little respect for economic truths staring it in the face or the disdain for our " experts ", judiciary, half the population et al  OR  another path NOT  based on sunny uplands with unicorns grazing blissfully in the breeze. A path based clearly in facing up to reality that we have to work harder and more wisely in close conjunction with our European partners.
These last few days alone have shown up our frailty in isolation and our desperate need for both geo- political as well as socio- economic partners with our immediate neighbours . Time is running out and this country needs to take a long, hard look at the decision it has made and decide whether it will benefit our young in  both the medium and long term or will leave them a legacy based on social, moral and economic catastrophic failure ?

Cue the usual why don't you go and live in Germany posts if it's that good from Brexiters. I have for 7 years and no my home is here this is my country too .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 15, 2018, 10:36:13 am
I reckon Churchill wouldn't have stood for any demands he deemed unfair even if he had taken us into a United States of Europe, and he would conduct Brexit talks in the same way.

As far as BBC bias, do you watch Question Time?

Yes I do religiously and pull my hair out at the consistent audience and panel bias for Leave . Even in a heavily Remain constituency area we seem to have the same old rabid Brexiters shouting down those Remainers even prepared to put their head up over the parapet.
It makes me seethe with anger to see " big hitters " from the Leave side pitted against " weak at best" Remainers on his selected panel. Week after week we get this , last week was a perfect example where in a heavy Remain constituency of Westminster - they barely discussed Brexit .

I take it you look at the carefully crafted but  hugely biased vids on the Express/ Mail online to cement this impression in your mind further. They are wholly unrepresentative of the debate in general and infuriating .
Finally what annoys me most is that you see it as a pro- Remain programme is the propaganda online in the Mail/ Express etc that effective ?

Yet again, Hoola, you take it wrong.

Why have I misunderstood your post you seem to point out a pro - Remain bias  and YET AGAIN you seem to ignore what others have to say . What did you mean that QT showed a pro Brexit stance as your post is not clear taken in isolation but contextually it seemed reasonable that was the case you were pointing out .
What's this condescending " yet againery " about and why did you feel it necessary to be rude ? There is no personal attack on you and your constant remarks about what would Churchill think etc .........The war has long gone and he was for a United Europe but one I'm sure he would have wanted us to be foresquare at the front of , leading it , ......not leaving it . Who knows the mind of Churchill the great man could be both great and poor . Would he have wanted us to leave it in a dangerous period that we have now ....I guess not

Finally if I have misunderstood the direction of travel intended in your post about QT then I apologise.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 15, 2018, 10:42:29 am
MM

I replied to BB in a similar theme a couple of days ago. There are certain things that are simply too complicated for economists to predict. Other things are relatively easy.

No one predicted the 2007/08 crash. Some people claim they saw something coming but there’s no prediction that really stacks up. That’s because it was due to a fiendishly complex set of circumstances. The key complexity was how the shadow banking system had taken in far more risk than anyone properly understood, and how vulnerable it was to a loss of confidence caused by the collapse of the American housing bubble. Even then, the crash would not have been anything like as severe as it was if the US Govt had bailed out Lehman Brothers. Letting them go bust opened up the trap door under the confidence that was supporting the whole banking system.

No one could have predicted the systemic effect of that because the interplay of effects was too poorly understood and too complex. Many people were worried about the housing bubble but there have been many bubbles which have deflated without crippling the global financial system.

The effect of Brexit is totally different. Academic economists understand very well the effect of open or closed trading arrangements on countries’ economies. This is nowhere near as complex an issue or as dimly understood an issue as the factors that led to the Great Crash. So they can relatively accurately model the effect of us choosing to make it harder to trade with 450million generally wealthy people on our doorstep.

Here’s an analogy. Trying to predict the outcome of the global economy is like trying to predict the result of a football match between two very well matched sides. Every pundit will have an opinion, but none of them really know. There are too many interacting variables to accurately predict the outcome.

Predicting the effect of Brexit is like trying to predict the result of a long distance race between a bunch of well matched runners, but where one of the runners has chosen to hang a 1kg weight round his waist. You can’t predict exactly what time that runner will do, but you can be fairly certain that they’ll be slower than they would have been without the weight.

So it is with Brexit. Yes there will be some uncertainty. Yes the models will give different answers. Yes the precise outcome will depend on what arrangements we can get with other trading partners. But even taking all those things into account, pretty much every expert expected and still expects the effect of Brexit to be profoundly negative on our economy.

And unfortunately, we’re in the middle of seeing those predictions come true. Believe me, I wish with all my heart that they were wrong because I’m f**ked if I want my kids growing up in the sort of country that we are going to be when we realise what we’ve pissed away and start looking for someone to blame.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 15, 2018, 11:33:25 am
Hoola, I wasn't being rude when I said you'd taken it wrong regarding your suggestion that I get my BBC Brexit bias info from the Mail/Express. I was merely correcting you because, although those tabloids do claim BBC pro-EU bias, I couldn't use their examples in this forum because they would simply be disregarded as lies.

It's a pity really that my personal opinion can't be accepted as just that, but it seems that until I can show links as evidence of several other like-minded people who share my observations, my opinion is disrespected, sometimes to the point of ridicule. Rude even!

In an attempt at evidence that will be accepted as proof that my personal opinion is shared, here's a link. I won't hold my breath.

http://bbccomplaints.com/





Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 15, 2018, 11:46:10 am
" I’m f**ked if I want my kids growing up in the sort of country that we are going to be when we realise what we’ve pissed away and start looking for someone to blame."

Fortunately my kid has gained her place at Copenhagen University to study and learn the language for a year. International degrees are going to be helpful for our youngsters going forward . She and her circle of friends at Leeds University are looking for that way out .....They know they have been sold out and are getting out , working abroad is an option they must look at . It was devastating talking to a group of them just a few weeks ago - fortunately they are amongst the last to gain certain Erasmus + places with EU  financial help too .
Never mind our failure to get the brightest and the best in , many of our own are looking at their options to leave.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 15, 2018, 12:04:17 pm
Hoola, I wasn't being rude when I said you'd taken it wrong regarding your suggestion that I get my BBC Brexit bias info from the Mail/Express. I was merely correcting you because, although those tabloids do claim BBC pro-EU bias, I couldn't use their examples in this forum because they would simply be disregarded as lies.

It's a pity really that my personal opinion can't be accepted as just that, but it seems that until I can show links as evidence of several other like-minded people who share my observations, my opinion is disrespected, sometimes to the point of ridicule. Rude even!

In an attempt at evidence that will be accepted as proof that my personal opinion is shared, here's a link. I won't hold my breath.

http://bbccomplaints.com/







BB I'm sure you didn't intend to be rude but I watch this programme " stuffed with old leavers " with disdain,  unfortunately those that would probably apply for this programme would tend to come from an older age group and ergo would be more likely to be Brexiters. It seems that generally the younger ( under 45 ) people in the audience tend to express pro- Brexit views .
It is a ' personal ' opinion just like your opinion and I acknowledge your right to hold an opinion and express it here . Indeed it's hard to get substantive proof either way and of course I will look at any evidence that you post .
That's the whole point of debate isn't it , to look at both sides of an argument and base your opinion on  what you read and hear  ?

Obviously both of us are entrenched in our position and that will alter both our perspectives. Theres a long way to go yet ...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 15, 2018, 12:30:29 pm
Hoola, just to clarify I didn't vote to leave. My present stance is that we have to all move forward together. This won't be achieved if almost half the nation doesn't want to move forward. How can others have confidence in our country if we haven't got any ourselves?

The least us Remainers can do is stop splitting the country with derogatory remarks and hatred towards the leave voters. The conduct of some will have persuaded other Remainers to change allegiance in a show of disassociation. I've been tempted, especially after witnessing media bias and insults, such as has been seen on BBC TV for instance.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 15, 2018, 12:46:28 pm
BB

Problem is, what are we supposed to be moving forward together on?

We were told 2 years ago that we could leave with a Norway type deal.

We were told 2 years ago that Ireland wouldn’t be a problem if we voted Leave.

Now all that has been hijacked by a small group of senior Tory MPs. They have interpreted Brexit in a very different way. They have decided that Brexit means something much harder than we were told before the vote.

There would not have been a majority for Leave if we’d been told what Leave meant in early 2016. The head of the Leave campaign has said as much himself. Personally, I find that an affront to democracy. And I think that pointing that out is not the thing that is splitting the country.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on March 15, 2018, 02:02:52 pm
Hoola
Interesting point regarding your daughter.
My daughter is a trained nurse. I'm encouraging her to move to Australia as due to this ridiculous decision this country is f***ed. If I was younger I'd be off too.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on March 15, 2018, 02:40:11 pm
  On the subject of our exit payments, if we pay yearly, could we say that we will pay for a year when they show us the audited accounts for that year.
   It could be a way of reducing our payments or at least spreading them over a longer term.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: auckleyflyer on March 15, 2018, 02:59:54 pm
Firstly we appear to be a bunch of remainers in here arguing amongst ourselves!! Ironic?
Billy your analogy of two premier league teams up against one another is valid, but why as a footballing world do we love cup competitions???!! Even the experts get these wrong.
I do agree with you but bad analogy old pal.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 15, 2018, 03:28:22 pm
Auckley. I think you missed the point I was making mate.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on March 15, 2018, 05:32:41 pm
Hoola why has your offspring picked a small very economically vulnerable
Country to do her degree, by vulnerable isn't their main export Bacon, followed by butter, to us.?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 15, 2018, 05:35:14 pm
Sproty.

Maybe...
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/world-43414145


You’re way off the mark on exports by the way. You really out to read more widely.
http://www.worldstopexports.com/denmarks-top-10-exports/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Metalmicky on March 15, 2018, 06:28:02 pm
MM

I replied to BB in a similar theme a couple of days ago. There are certain things that are simply too complicated for economists to predict. Other things are relatively easy.

No one predicted the 2007/08 crash. Some people claim they saw something coming but there’s no prediction that really stacks up. That’s because it was due to a fiendishly complex set of circumstances. The key complexity was how the shadow banking system had taken in far more risk than anyone properly understood, and how vulnerable it was to a loss of confidence caused by the collapse of the American housing bubble. Even then, the crash would not have been anything like as severe as it was if the US Govt had bailed out Lehman Brothers. Letting them go bust opened up the trap door under the confidence that was supporting the whole banking system.

No one could have predicted the systemic effect of that because the interplay of effects was too poorly understood and too complex. Many people were worried about the housing bubble but there have been many bubbles which have deflated without crippling the global financial system.

What we needed in 2007/8 were some of those experts CIM has referred to.... :whistle:

............................ just ribbing CIM  :silly:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Metalmicky on March 15, 2018, 06:44:52 pm

The effect of Brexit is totally different. Academic economists understand very well the effect of open or closed trading arrangements on countries’ economies. This is nowhere near as complex an issue or as dimly understood an issue as the factors that led to the Great Crash. So they can relatively accurately model the effect of us choosing to make it harder to trade with 450million generally wealthy people on our doorstep.

Here’s an analogy. Trying to predict the outcome of the global economy is like trying to predict the result of a football match between two very well matched sides. Every pundit will have an opinion, but none of them really know. There are too many interacting variables to accurately predict the outcome.

Predicting the effect of Brexit is like trying to predict the result of a long distance race between a bunch of well matched runners, but where one of the runners has chosen to hang a 1kg weight round his waist. You can’t predict exactly what time that runner will do, but you can be fairly certain that they’ll be slower than they would have been without the weight.

So it is with Brexit. Yes there will be some uncertainty. Yes the models will give different answers. Yes the precise outcome will depend on what arrangements we can get with other trading partners. But even taking all those things into account, pretty much every expert expected and still expects the effect of Brexit to be profoundly negative on our economy.

And unfortunately, we’re in the middle of seeing those predictions come true. Believe me, I wish with all my heart that they were wrong because I’m f**ked if I want my kids growing up in the sort of country that we are going to be when we realise what we’ve pissed away and start looking for someone to blame.

My only point to your above is.............. when was all this sorted out? - I thought we were still in discussions with our EU friends, and now I find it's all sorted and we are all doomed....... :(  I would also say that the EU will also want to find a solution that enables them to trade easily also - so I might want to wait before I jump ship... The fact that they currently import a great deal more to the UK that we export out to them would suggest that a reciprocal arrangement would be favourable. 

I'm not suggesting that you are wrong BTW and I understand the premise of a harder trading area post Brexit - I just don't see it as totally negative and I think as one door closes others may/will open...

As Hoola alluded to earlier, it is good to talk and debate and I learn new stuff, both pro and con Brexit every time I visit this thread...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 15, 2018, 07:08:25 pm
MM

It’s all sorted because of the following:

1) May, under pressure from Johnson, Fox, Rees-Mogg etc decided back in January that Brexit meant we have to leave the Single Market and Customs Union. (Note: On Liam Fox’s own website there is a blog article written by him before the vote saying that what we need led to do was leave the EU but stay in the SM and CU - your guess is as good as mine why he’s changed his mind.)

2) May, Johnson etc all claim that we can do this and still have as easy a trading relationship with the EU as we had before.

3) Nobody actually believes that. Why on earth would the EU allow us alone to drop out of all the obligations and responsibilities of the SM and CU while still keeping all the benefits? It’s infantile to even think that the other EU nations would accept that. One EU negotiator summed it up. He said Davis was acting like someone who wanted to be invited to a wife-swapping party without having to bring his wife.


So it’s is US who have decided to make our economic life harder. Or rather it’s a small group of Tory MPs who are all jockeying for the top jobs who are playing with the future of the rest of us. And we’re told this is the Will of the People.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Metalmicky on March 15, 2018, 07:20:49 pm
MM

It’s all sorted because of the following:

1) May, under pressure from Johnson, Fox, Rees-Mogg etc decided back in January that Brexit meant we have to leave the Single Market and Customs Union. (Note: On Liam Fox’s own website there is a blog article written by him before the vote saying that what we need led to do was leave the EU but stay in the SM and CU - your guess is as good as mine why he’s changed his mind.)

2) May, Johnson etc all claim that we can do this and still have as easy a trading relationship with the EU as we had before.

3) Nobody actually believes that. Why on earth would the EU allow us alone to drop out of all the obligations and responsibilities of the SM and CU while still keeping all the benefits? It’s infantile to even think that the other EU nations would accept that. One EU negotiator summed it up. He said Davis was acting like someone who wanted to be invited to a wife-swapping party without having to bring his wife.


So it’s is US who have decided to make our economic life harder. Or rather it’s a small group of Tory MPs who are all jockeying for the top jobs who are playing with the future of the rest of us. And we’re told this is the Will of the People.

Oh good - glad it's all done and dusted......... :thumbsup:  I just hope no fooker decides to change their mind or reach some other decision based on common sense - that would really balls it up..... :crying:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 15, 2018, 07:38:22 pm
MM
Think about it. How on earth can the EU agree to let us leave the SM and CU, then negotiate a deal that gives us all the benefits of the SM and CU without paying the costs of the SM and CU?

Just think about it and it’s bleeding obvious that if we choose to leave the SM and CU, we HAVE to take an economic hit. No amount of negotiation can alter that.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on March 15, 2018, 08:03:51 pm
Sproty.

Maybe...
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/world-43414145


You’re way off the mark on exports by the way. You really out to read more widely.
http://www.worldstopexports.com/denmarks-top-10-exports/

Billy I have conducted my own macro economic study  of the Danish economy As through experience I gravely doubt the veracity of the Graphs and figures you pull out of your Top Hat? Food, dairy, meat and fish products make up 18.7% of Denmarks gross National product, half of which goes to the uk.
The Danes guestimate the damage to those exports could be in the region of 48%.in particular the Fishing industry could lose 85% of its catch as a worst case scenario and 50% in a best case.
Now in my book loosing 9% of your economy and 85% of your fishing catch is a big risk.
Particularly when you look to the colossus immediately south of Denmark, which is 24 times larger, counting The German language Countries/regions of Austria, Switzerland,Lichtenstein,and Slovenia.Alsace and Lorraine.
I was just wondering why Denmark?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 15, 2018, 09:01:32 pm
Sproty

Right. Fingers out and ready to count on them.

You reckon 9% of Denmark’s GDP is made up of exports of food to us? Really?

Their total exports of EVERYTHING to EVERYBODY in 2026 was 30% of GDP ($93bn out of a GDP of $306). Exports to the U.K. made up 8.1% of that 30%. So EVERYTHING they exported to us rotted up to 2.5% of their GDP. Of that everything, all foodstuffs totted up to 25%. So their total foodstuff export to the U.K. is about 0.6% of GDP.

Even for a Little Englander like you Sproty, that’s a bit of an over estimate of the importance of the U.K. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on March 15, 2018, 09:53:29 pm
Sproty

Right. Fingers out and ready to count on them.

You reckon 9% of Denmark’s GDP is made up of exports of food to us? Really?

Their total exports of EVERYTHING to EVERYBODY in 2026 was 30% of GDP ($93bn out of a GDP of $306). Exports to the U.K. made up 8.1% of that 30%. So EVERYTHING they exported to us rotted up to 2.5% of their GDP. Of that everything, all foodstuffs totted up to 25%. So their total foodstuff export to the U.K. is about 0.6% of GDP.

Even for a Little Englander like you Sproty, that’s a bit of an over estimate of the importance of the U.K. 

I am a Yorkshireman,British and proud to be so!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 15, 2018, 10:03:51 pm
Yeah but how much bacon do you eat?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on March 15, 2018, 10:08:30 pm
Yeah but how much bacon do you eat?
I like it but it's usually a once a week treat. Yorkshire ham now that's a different story,and Black Forest ham,Spanish Jambon etc, most German and Polish pork products!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 15, 2018, 10:12:31 pm
Right. Only if bacon exports to us made up 9% of Danish GDP, I reckon that would mean we imported off them about 1500 rashers per year for every man woman and child in the U.K. 

Now, I like a fry up, but there’s limits. And anyway, everybody knows that half the population here now are Muslims, so summation doesn’t really stack up.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 15, 2018, 10:18:45 pm
Goodbye Lurpak - Hello six-pack.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on March 15, 2018, 10:33:07 pm
Right. Only if bacon exports to us made up 9% of Danish GDP, I reckon that would mean we imported off them about 1500 rashers per year for every man woman and child in the U.K. 

Now, I like a fry up, but there’s limits. And anyway, everybody knows that half the population here now are Muslims, so summation doesn’t really stack up.
I notice you did a bit of cherry picking with your reply Billy, just been watching the Danish Primeminister on the News they are a bit worried about their fishing industry by all accounts but not yours!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on March 15, 2018, 10:40:42 pm
Billy, I cannot see what all the fuss is over the Irish border, when the Isle of Man and the Channel Isles are not considered as part of the territory of the EU. but have no internal borders, and neither imposes VAT on goods.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 15, 2018, 11:01:48 pm
Selby

Give Boris a ring then. It’s obviously never dawned on him.

Seriously, the point is that they are in a Customs Union with us and we are in a Customs Union with the EU. And whilst they are not in the SM, in practice, they operate as though they were. So, and because they are so small and so little trade goes through them, effectively the EU turns a blind eye to the exact legal situation.

That can’t work with Ireland because there is a far, far bigger trade in goods across the border. So if NI is outside the SM then every items of goods that goes over the border to the RoI would need paperwork ensuring that it was compliant with the requirements of the SM. And if NI was outside the CU, every shipment of goods would in practice be liable to customs checks. The ignoring those checks, with so much trade going on over the Irish border would effectively destroy the credibility of the CU and SM. If a UK company wanted to make stuff and sell it to the EU but not have to prove that it met the requirements of the SM, it could just set up a factory in NI, ship wagon loads of non-confirming widgets over the border then have them distributed through the EU.

You can’t really abuse the system like that through the Channel Islands and IoM because a) they are too small and b) they don’t have a land border with the EU.

So, if new leave the SM and CU, there HAS to be one of the following two options:

1) a hard border between NI and RoI. That would destroy the freedom of movement that has been enjoyed for a generation. It would be back to checkpoints. It would hammer the NI economy. And it would provide nice targets for disaffected bad guys.

or

b) you leave the NI/RoI border open. NI stays within the CU and SM. And we have a hard customs and market border in the Irish Sea between the islands of Ireland and Great Britain. Goes without saying that the DUP have said, “over our dead bodies.”

But if a bleeding mess if you ask me. But never mind. Boris told us 2 years back that it wasn’t beyond the wit of man to solve so I’m sure he’s got it cracked.

Of course, we could solve the whole f**king mess by the entire U.K. staying inside the CU and SM, but this Govt have decided that wasn’t what the people voted for.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 16, 2018, 12:01:15 am
If we had another vote and voted to remain, would the EU have a much stronger hold on our decision making than prior to the referendum, even resulting in us converting to the Euro?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 16, 2018, 12:02:35 am
No and no.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 16, 2018, 12:20:29 am
By the way, this shiws much more clearly what I was ranting on about this afternoon. That the was no clarity whatsoever about the kind of Brexit that was voted for.

https://mobile.twitter.com/EmporersNewC/status/974373411165270017
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 16, 2018, 12:22:15 am
Hoola, I wasn't being rude when I said you'd taken it wrong regarding your suggestion that I get my BBC Brexit bias info from the Mail/Express. I was merely correcting you because, although those tabloids do claim BBC pro-EU bias, I couldn't use their examples in this forum because they would simply be disregarded as lies.

It's a pity really that my personal opinion can't be accepted as just that, but it seems that until I can show links as evidence of several other like-minded people who share my observations, my opinion is disrespected, sometimes to the point of ridicule. Rude even!

In an attempt at evidence that will be accepted as proof that my personal opinion is shared, here's a link. I won't hold my breath.

http://bbccomplaints.com/







Incidentally I accept there was a pro - Remain bias ( apart from the knob from RT)  on the panel tonight - and despite this being in a Brexit constituency ( 62% voted for Brexit and a similar % in Kent as a whole ) . However I didn't feel the usual hostility , booing etc as I have witnessed before ......Is the mood changing and what's more is the reality of a possible 29 mile tail- back snaking it's way through Kent sharpening people's brains ? Of course Chris Grayling said that " the UK will wave vehicles through and that won't happen " - don't we want control of our borders any longer ?

Moreover he seemed to indicate that similar things would happen between N.ireland and Eire ? It gets stranger by the minute , I was waiting for him to get a fag packet out to explain his workings out !!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 16, 2018, 12:32:33 am
Hoola
Interesting point regarding your daughter.
My daughter is a trained nurse. I'm encouraging her to move to Australia as due to this ridiculous decision this country is f***ed. If I was younger I'd be off too.

I wish her all the best TT , I'm sure that would be a wonderful opportunity for her and it's great to see you are looking after her interests even if it means you won't be able to see her as often. The holidays sound better than Denmark though ( a tad warmer ) if you like you can spend our winters down there in your dotage  and eventually move there if she grabs that sort of chance.
I know they are always looking for nurses and of course there's always NZ too.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 16, 2018, 01:04:57 am
Sproty.

Maybe...
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/world-43414145


You’re way off the mark on exports by the way. You really out to read more widely.
http://www.worldstopexports.com/denmarks-top-10-exports/

Thanks BST seems you have answered the question fully . Believe me Sproty Denmark kicks way above its weight being the 29th highest exporter in the world. No mean feat by a population numbering only 5.73 million . If only our exports pro rata were as high.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 16, 2018, 01:52:38 am
Sproty.

Maybe...
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/world-43414145


You’re way off the mark on exports by the way. You really out to read more widely.
http://www.worldstopexports.com/denmarks-top-10-exports/

Billy I have conducted my own macro economic study  of the Danish economy As through experience I gravely doubt the veracity of the Graphs and figures you pull out of your Top Hat? Food, dairy, meat and fish products make up 18.7% of Denmarks gross National product, half of which goes to the uk.
The Danes guestimate the damage to those exports could be in the region of 48%.in particular the Fishing industry could lose 85% of its catch as a worst case scenario and 50% in a best case.
Now in my book loosing 9% of your economy and 85% of your fishing catch is a big risk.
Particularly when you look to the colossus immediately south of Denmark, which is 24 times larger, counting The German language Countries/regions of Austria, Switzerland,Lichtenstein,and Slovenia.Alsace and Lorraine.
I was just wondering why Denmark?

exports from Denmark.

Germany: US$14.1 billion (15% of total Danish exports)
Sweden: $10.7 billion (11.4%)
Norway: $5.8 billion (6.2%)
United Kingdom: $5.6 billion (6%)
United States: $4.7 billion (5%)
Netherlands: $4.3 billion (4.5%)
China: $3.3 billion (3.6%)
France: $2.8 billion (3%)
Poland: $2.6 billion (2.7%)
Italy: $2.3 billion (2.4%)
Finland: $2.1 billion (2.2%)
Spain: $1.8 billion (1.9%)
Japan: $1.5 billion (1.6%)
Belgium: $1.4 billion (1.5%)
Ireland: $989 million (1%)


Now you have me puzzling at your analysis . These are the figures for 2016 showing a total share of all products to the UK @ 6% .

Are you suggesting that the 6% in my list is actually 9% and why would it all be lost ?

Exports by sector : -
exports from Denmark.2016

Machinery including computers: US$12.8 billion (13.6% of total exports)
Pharmaceuticals: $12.5 billion (13.3%)
Electrical machinery, equipment: $8.8 billion (9.4%)
Mineral fuels including oil: $4 billion (4.2%)
Optical, technical, medical apparatus: $3.9 billion (4.2%)
Meat: $3.6 billion (3.9%)
Furniture, bedding, lighting, signs, prefab buildings: $2.8 billion (3%)
Fish: $2.6 billion (2.8%)
Vehicles: $2.4 billion (2.6%)
Dairy, eggs, honey: $2.4 billion (2.5%)

Your figures and potential  hit on the Danish economy simply doesn't add up. Especially the fish bit - I'm really puzzled as to how assuming an 85%  drop in the fish catch would be an alarming problem to a 2.8% export sector ?

Please someone tell me I'm missing summat here , it's early in the morning and I just don't know what point you are trying to get across Sproty ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 16, 2018, 02:11:10 am
Sproty

Right. Fingers out and ready to count on them.

You reckon 9% of Denmark’s GDP is made up of exports of food to us? Really?

Their total exports of EVERYTHING to EVERYBODY in 2026 was 30% of GDP ($93bn out of a GDP of $306). Exports to the U.K. made up 8.1% of that 30%. So EVERYTHING they exported to us rotted up to 2.5% of their GDP. Of that everything, all foodstuffs totted up to 25%. So their total foodstuff export to the U.K. is about 0.6% of GDP.

Even for a Little Englander like you Sproty, that’s a bit of an over estimate of the importance of the U.K. 

I am a Yorkshireman,British and proud to be so!

So are the majority of us too and patriotic ( that remark is not aimed at you ) and I,  like many, really object to being called " moaners " , unpatriotic and are asked constantly if this is the right country for me to be living in when making comparisons with the EU or at least one of its countries , " get behind the country some  cry " - well guess what I am solidly behind my country .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 16, 2018, 08:27:45 am
Hoola, I wasn't being rude when I said you'd taken it wrong regarding your suggestion that I get my BBC Brexit bias info from the Mail/Express. I was merely correcting you because, although those tabloids do claim BBC pro-EU bias, I couldn't use their examples in this forum because they would simply be disregarded as lies.

It's a pity really that my personal opinion can't be accepted as just that, but it seems that until I can show links as evidence of several other like-minded people who share my observations, my opinion is disrespected, sometimes to the point of ridicule. Rude even!

In an attempt at evidence that will be accepted as proof that my personal opinion is shared, here's a link. I won't hold my breath.

http://bbccomplaints.com/







Incidentally I accept there was a pro - Remain bias ( apart from the knob from RT)  on the panel tonight - and despite this being in a Brexit constituency ( 62% voted for Brexit and a similar % in Kent as a whole ) . However I didn't feel the usual hostility , booing etc as I have witnessed before ......Is the mood changing and what's more is the reality of a possible 29 mile tail- back snaking it's way through Kent sharpening people's brains ? Of course Chris Grayling said that " the UK will wave vehicles through and that won't happen " - don't we want control of our borders any longer ?

Moreover he seemed to indicate that similar things would happen between N.ireland and Eire ? It gets stranger by the minute , I was waiting for him to get a far packet out to explain his workings out !!

I'd like to know whether Grayling thinks the French are just going to wave traffic through at their end too...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 16, 2018, 08:41:29 am
Billy, I cannot see what all the fuss is over the Irish border, when the Isle of Man and the Channel Isles are not considered as part of the territory of the EU. but have no internal borders, and neither imposes VAT on goods.


But when goods are moved to and from the Isle Of Man and Channel Islands there are Customs  Declarations and they are subject to physical checks. ie it IS a hard border, just like any movements with any other non-Single Market territory.

Other non-EU countries don't impose VAT on their imports either (it's an EU tax after all), so I don't understand the significance in mentioning it. When goods are exported from the IOM and CI to the rest of the UK, VAT is levied on those goods. That's because although the IOM and CI are in the Customs Union they're not in the Fiscal Union.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on March 16, 2018, 10:18:12 am
  Glyn, They are crown dependencies, unlike Gibraltar the C.I & the I.O.M. are not part of the territory of the EU. However protocol 3 of the 1972 treaty of accession provides for their treatment as if they were in the customs union for free movement of industrial goods and agricultural produce, and for equal treatment of all union citizens within their jurisdictions.
  However,Eu legislation in many other areas, such as free movement of people and services, competition, and taxation policies, and the operation of structural funds does not apply to the IOM and the CI, nor are they represented in the European Parliament.
  As a result of these arrangements Jersey and Guernsey have chosen not to introduce VAT, the former levying a domestic 3% domestic sales tax , and the latter nothing at all.
   Which rather makes a nonsense of the EU stance the integrity of the market.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on March 16, 2018, 10:28:13 am
  Just a thought, why don't we let The IOM invade us, in a sort of reverse take over. Or we could say we are the undiscovered  Channel Isle, call ourselves Britanica or something similar.
  What do you think?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on March 16, 2018, 10:40:10 am
No and no.

Absolutely BST.  However, if we do leave the EU and then later want to rejoin the answers would likely be Yes and Yes.
 
Leaving the EU continues to be a bad move for Britain.  It isn't taking back control, it's giving away control!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 16, 2018, 11:36:08 am
By the way, this shiws much more clearly what I was ranting on about this afternoon. That the was no clarity whatsoever about the kind of Brexit that was voted for.

https://mobile.twitter.com/EmporersNewC/status/974373411165270017

There isn't a clear position there at all. I can understand the argument for the SM but the CU was left vaguely open and rarely if ever mentioned.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 16, 2018, 12:31:40 pm
  Glyn, They are crown dependencies, unlike Gibraltar the C.I & the I.O.M. are not part of the territory of the EU. However protocol 3 of the 1972 treaty of accession provides for their treatment as if they were in the customs union for free movement of industrial goods and agricultural produce, and for equal treatment of all union citizens within their jurisdictions.
  However,Eu legislation in many other areas, such as free movement of people and services, competition, and taxation policies, and the operation of structural funds does not apply to the IOM and the CI, nor are they represented in the European Parliament.
  As a result of these arrangements Jersey and Guernsey have chosen not to introduce VAT, the former levying a domestic 3% domestic sales tax , and the latter nothing at all.
   Which rather makes a nonsense of the EU stance the integrity of the market.

1. I know they are not in the EU.

2. Being in the Customs Union does not mean free movement of goods as in the Single Market, Customs Union means unified Duty rates and (usually) a zero-rate of Customs Duty on goods moved between countries in a Customs Union. Even when there is no Customs Duty levied Customs Declarations still have to be made, because they are NOT in the Single Market. Why can't people get the difference between Customs Union and Single Market?

3. As I said, VAT is an EU tax. The CI are not in the EU, so why would they impose VAT? And why would it make a mockery of the integrity of the EU market when any goods exported from the CI to any member state of the EU (including the UK) has VAT levied on it when it crosses the border?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 16, 2018, 12:36:36 pm
By the way, this shiws much more clearly what I was ranting on about this afternoon. That the was no clarity whatsoever about the kind of Brexit that was voted for.

https://mobile.twitter.com/EmporersNewC/status/974373411165270017

There isn't a clear position there at all. I can understand the argument for the SM but the CU was left vaguely open and rarely if ever mentioned.

Probably because people (including the politicians who are supposed to know better) conflate the two as if they were the same thing.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 16, 2018, 01:51:10 pm
By the way, this shiws much more clearly what I was ranting on about this afternoon. That the was no clarity whatsoever about the kind of Brexit that was voted for.

https://mobile.twitter.com/EmporersNewC/status/974373411165270017
ñjThere isn't a clear position there at all. I can understand the argument for the SM but the CU was left vaguely open and rarely if ever mentioned.

Probably because people (including the politicians who are supposed to know better) conflate the two as if they were the same thing.

I know , all this time down the line and STILL some politicians prefer to blur the two . They STILL pretend that we can't trade outside the EU whilst being in it . Germany exported € 107 billion to the USA in 2016 and € 76 billion to China . Amazing what you can do inside the EU isn't it ?   

The figures for the UK are € 51 and € 20 billions respectively . We are not even  at the races . How come we have completely neglected both markets.

Anyway it's all academic now because the knob from LBC Iain Dale says it's all but sorted out now or words to that effect.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on March 19, 2018, 12:07:30 pm
 Brexit deal looming, the £ up against the euro and the Dollar, a nice little trade, lets hope the evening game goes as well.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on March 19, 2018, 01:57:43 pm
Still a long way to go by the looks
 
https://uk.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu/eu-agrees-brexit-transition-uk-renews-irish-border-vow-idUKKBN1GV16R
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on March 19, 2018, 02:26:37 pm
Less uncertainty more positivity?

https://www.poundsterlinglive.com/gbp-live-today/8721-gbp-to-eur-and-usd-brussels-press-conference
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 19, 2018, 02:40:12 pm
So we (UK) have no solution to the Irish border issue and we’ve kicked it into the long grass by agreeing to the EU backstop solution which May, Reed-Mogg and the DUP have said is absolutely unacceptable.

Massive problem deferred.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on March 19, 2018, 03:04:43 pm
Billy, whatever happens now, the market makers will take the opportunity to make money, whether what happens is good or bad for the rest of us.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 19, 2018, 03:13:10 pm
Of course. But that’s an entirely secondary point. The issue is that we’re still no closer to sorting out a massive constitutional problem. It’s just been fudged for today. But it’s not gone away.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 19, 2018, 08:19:58 pm
So we (UK) have no solution to the Irish border issue and we’ve kicked it into the long grass by agreeing to the EU backstop solution which May, Reed-Mogg and the DUP have said is absolutely unacceptable.

Massive problem deferred.

Still the BBC and other commentators ''spin'' this garbage like it's a hard-won deal .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 19, 2018, 09:51:00 pm
So we (UK) have no solution to the Irish border issue and we’ve kicked it into the long grass by agreeing to the EU backstop solution which May, Reed-Mogg and the DUP have said is absolutely unacceptable.

Massive problem deferred.

Still the BBC and other commentators ''spin'' this garbage like it's a hard-won deal .

The BBC aren't spinning it, they're just reporting the spin others have put on it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on March 20, 2018, 10:10:07 am
  Cac(Paris) down Dax( Frankfurt) down Ftse up slightly
Dow ( down 300+ points)  euro down against the pound this morning again, begs the question is something going off?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 20, 2018, 08:51:21 pm
So we (UK) have no solution to the Irish border issue and we’ve kicked it into the long grass by agreeing to the EU backstop solution which May, Reed-Mogg and the DUP have said is absolutely unacceptable.

Massive problem deferred.

Still the BBC and other commentators ''spin'' this garbage like it's a hard-won deal .

The BBC aren't spinning it, they're just reporting the spin others have put on it.

You mean their own political reporters Glyn - perhaps it's me I must be stupid .

As I see it - little seems resolved and as Billy said earlier a total fudge now if the BBC can't or won't see through what DD is putting out then someone should be asking why ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 20, 2018, 10:03:38 pm
So we (UK) have no solution to the Irish border issue and we’ve kicked it into the long grass by agreeing to the EU backstop solution which May, Reed-Mogg and the DUP have said is absolutely unacceptable.

Massive problem deferred.

Still the BBC and other commentators ''spin'' this garbage like it's a hard-won deal .

The BBC aren't spinning it, they're just reporting the spin others have put on it.

You mean their own political reporters Glyn - perhaps it's me I must be stupid .

As I see it - little seems resolved and as Billy said earlier a total fudge now if the BBC can't or won't see through what DD is putting out then someone should be asking why ?

Nobody on Daily Politics said anything other than it solved nothing. I don't know what BBC output you were watching.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 20, 2018, 10:59:37 pm
The BBC has a generation of very poor quality senior editors.

Kuenssberg is very lightweight as Political Editor. More interested in politics as a clever chess game than really delving into detail. Kamal Ahmed as Economics Editor is utterly f**king useless. Ive got no professional reason to be particularly interested in economic debates but I am interested as an amateur observer. And it’s clear that he has either little comprehension of the key issues in economics today, or is utterly unable to communicate them to laypeople. He trots out the worst trite comments and still drones on about the importance of the deficit, years after the economic debate onbtat was settled.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 21, 2018, 08:45:39 pm
So we (UK) have no solution to the Irish border issue and we’ve kicked it into the long grass by agreeing to the EU backstop solution which May, Reed-Mogg and the DUP have said is absolutely unacceptable.

Massive problem deferred.

Still the BBC and other commentators ''spin'' this garbage like it's a hard-won deal .

The BBC aren't spinning it, they're just reporting the spin others have put on it.

You mean their own political reporters Glyn - perhaps it's me I must be stupid .

As I see it - little seems resolved and as Billy said earlier a total fudge now if the BBC can't or won't see through what DD is putting out then someone should be asking why ?

Nobody on Daily Politics said anything other than it solved nothing. I don't know what BBC output you were watching.

Glyn I'm sure you're not picking up on me deliberately but I watched the Daily Politics and every broadcast on that day in the hope that someone would point out to the British people that the can had been really kicked down the road a long long way ...... the answers to how current freedom of movement questions had been answered going forward, the Irish question where, how and what the border would look like now and in the future and also what those outstanding issues actually were on the board behind them and how they might affect us .
Amazing how it all dropped into place so quickly ....Ireland , Gibraltar , trade, tariffs etc etc. wasn't it ? The whole lot has been kicked down the road with concessions a plenty with as Billy said Neil, Kuennsberg, Coburn and a bunch of others welcoming the news of a Transition deal like Moses had walked down from the mountain with the tablets. Yes I've been watching the news and it has had very little of the usual BBC neutrality about it for nigh on 2 years.
The " deal " if you can call it that was always going to be Transitional and we were always going to have to swallow some pride , in fact a lot of pride. Notice a great deal wasn't made on it today in PMQs - with good reason . Some of the population think that we have ticked 2 out of the 3 boxes off to Brexit whereas we have barely reached 1 yet .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 21, 2018, 08:53:51 pm
The BBC has a generation of very poor quality senior editors.

Kuenssberg is very lightweight as Political Editor. More interested in politics as a clever chess game than really delving into detail. Kamal Ahmed as Economics Editor is utterly f**king useless. Ive got no professional reason to be particularly interested in economic debates but I am interested as an amateur observer. And it’s clear that he has either little comprehension of the key issues in economics today, or is utterly unable to communicate them to laypeople. He trots out the worst trite comments and still drones on about the importance of the deficit, years after the economic debate onbtat was settled.

Agreed entirely especially about Kamal Ahmed, the man does seem to trot out the same crap and doesnt seem to grasp the bigger picture at all. I'm not a Labour supporter but i would have started to give up on appearing on the BBC long before now - the odds are stacked heavily against them getting a fair hearing these days on a very disappointing BBC .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on March 21, 2018, 09:06:04 pm
I think you are being a bit harsh there Hoola, all this deal and ever was are the terms that will apply between Britain and the EU from March 2019 to December 2020 - should a formal agreement on the terms of our leaving be agreed by then.

In reality this means October this year when it will be put to Parliament for a vote. This is deal that is important and will set down the terms for Ireland, future trade, Euroatem, Fishing Rights etc - and if this isn't agreed then the transition agreement is worthless. Kuenssberg was very quick to emphasis that and 'nothing is agreed until everything is agreed'.

Do people on here listen to Radio5's Brexitcast? It can be a bit posh kids larking about at times but they have some very insightful guests on, the guy from the Board of Trade is well worth listening to:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p05299nl
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 22, 2018, 01:43:56 am
I don't think I'm being harsh at all , my only surprise is that both the Brexiters and the BBC seemed to push this idea that there should be room for negotiation on a number of issues . Why i dont know and why Rees- mogg and other members were trying to force issues on what was  purely a Transitional period rather than anything that was up for being altered i just dont understand .
Art 50 clearly states that this period should be granted by the other members if they felt fit and could agree that it was in their interests to grant it to the UK , therefore nothing was up for grabs this " Implementation " claptrap always was designed to infer something different entirely I.e. you are implementing different arrangements than previously existed before the invokation of Art 50.

It was a clever use of language designed to breathe more life into this group of ardent Brexiters , the BBC should have called it out from day 1 - they didn't hence the stupidity of Farage  and JRM on HMS Brexit today along with the extensive and most bizarre coverage that went along with it. Instead all we kept hearing about was the " selling out of fishermen " - if they felt sold out it was because this Govt. along with the BBC continued to peddle the line that something else could be implemented .
Frankly we haven't really resolved many issues that I am aware of since the negotiations started. I get the feeling that the EU are sick to the back teeth of it all now and want to move on
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 22, 2018, 06:21:24 am
I don't think I'm being harsh at all , my only surprise is that both the Brexiters and the BBC seemed to push this idea that there should be room for negotiation on a number of issues . Why i dont know and why Rees- mogg and other members were trying to force issues on what was  purely a Transitional period rather than anything that was up for being altered i just dont understand .
Art 50 clearly states that this period should be granted by the other members if they felt fit and could agree that it was in their interests to grant it to the UK , therefore nothing was up for grabs this " Implementation " claptrap always was designed to infer something different entirely I.e. you are implementing different arrangements than previously existed before the invokation of Art 50.

It was a clever use of language designed to breathe more life into this group of ardent Brexiters , the BBC should have called it out from day 1 - they didn't hence the stupidity of Farage  and JRM on HMS Brexit today along with the extensive and most bizarre coverage that went along with it. Instead all we kept hearing about was the " selling out of fishermen " - if they felt sold out it was because this Govt. along with the BBC continued to peddle the line that something else could be implemented .
Frankly we haven't really resolved many issues that I am aware of since the negotiations started. I get the feeling that the EU are sick to the back teeth of it all now and want to move on
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on March 22, 2018, 10:29:22 am
The whole thing is so ludicrous now it would be funny if it wasn't something that is going to affect every single one of us in at least one negative way.

Farage and his fishermen friends were throwing dead fish into the Thames in protest (errrr wtf?) and yet when we leave the EU we'll be scaring off our biggest fish customers with the inevitable tariffs?? He claims the fishing industry will be "gutted due to the EU", yet as an MEP on the European Parliament Fisheries Committee he only attended one out of 42 meetings where he could actually have made a f*cking difference! He talks about the cost of EU bureaucracy - MEP's like him were part of the problem!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 23, 2018, 05:49:48 am
The whole thing stinks like the fish no doubt.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 23, 2018, 12:43:11 pm
Classic......re. the passport

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=http://www.lbc.co.uk/radio/presenters/james-obrien/caller-maroon-passport-makes-me-less-opposed-nazis/&ved=2ahUKEwiDzPn424TaAhXGGuwKHautCaEQFjABegQIBxAB&usg=AOvVaw37mFr6MKkatRSnGHgrReuP
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 29, 2018, 01:17:05 pm
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43581729

Grand eh?

All that bullshit about how leaving the EU would allow our economy to flourish because we could make our own trade agreements with other countries, and here’s Dr Fox telling us that he’s secured a great victory. After Brexit, we’ll keep using the agreements that the EU has already negotiated with 70 countries.

So, we’re going to leave the SM and CU which will make trading far more difficult and less profitable with 450million of the richest people in the world right on our doorstep. But the upside is that we’ll keep trading exactly as we have done before with everyone else.

Any Brexit supporters getting just a little bit nervous that you’ve been had by a bunch of clueless shysters?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on March 29, 2018, 02:17:48 pm
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43581729

Grand eh?

All that bullshit about how leaving the EU would allow our economy to flourish because we could make our own trade agreements with other countries, and here’s Dr Fox telling us that he’s secured a great victory. After Brexit, we’ll keep using the agreements that the EU has already negotiated with 70 countries.

So, we’re going to leave the SM and CU which will make trading far more difficult and less profitable with 450million of the richest people in the world right on our doorstep. But the upside is that we’ll keep trading exactly as we have done before with everyone else.

Any Brexit supporters getting just a little bit nervous that you’ve been had by a bunch of clueless shysters?

But I don't think they are  exactly the same as the Preference agreements are the EU with another non-EU country which means that any goods of EU origins can be exported to one of the trade deal countries outside the EU, be worked on and re-imported into a different EU country but because the goods are of 'EU origin' are not liable to Duty and VAT on that re-importation. For example, cloth of German origin can be exported to, say, Morocco, to be CMTed into garments and then shipped into France, all without Duty and VAT.

When the UK is no longer be a an EU country this kind of duty/VAT triangulation free movement will no longer be open to us.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on March 29, 2018, 08:22:06 pm
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43581729

Grand eh?

All that bullshit about how leaving the EU would allow our economy to flourish because we could make our own trade agreements with other countries, and here’s Dr Fox telling us that he’s secured a great victory. After Brexit, we’ll keep using the agreements that the EU has already negotiated with 70 countries.

So, we’re going to leave the SM and CU which will make trading far more difficult and less profitable with 450million of the richest people in the world right on our doorstep. But the upside is that we’ll keep trading exactly as we have done before with everyone else.

Any Brexit supporters getting just a little bit nervous that you’ve been had by a bunch of clueless shysters?

Yes I heard him on the radio this morning saying that and thought, is that right as I am sure I had read something recently about some of the countries not being willing to just roll the trade deals over but instead wanted to renegotiate with the UK to get better terms? Hmmm.

https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-trade-partners-object-to-brexit-transition-roll-over/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on March 29, 2018, 09:50:08 pm
Worth a watch
 
https://vimeo.com/252854131
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on March 29, 2018, 11:30:15 pm
Worth a watch
 
https://vimeo.com/252854131
 


Interesting why aren't the BBC  doing such things for the general public instead of " whitewashing " all these factors out.  Again the general public is being lied to and are unable to see the complexity of all this with all the willy waving instead.

How's Treeza's Tour de Grand Bretagne coming along btw .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on March 30, 2018, 10:28:12 am
 
Just released.  A pre-production sample of our new, French produced, BLUE Passport....
 
(https://i.imgur.com/oflW5KR.jpg)
 

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Metalmicky on March 31, 2018, 12:43:42 am
It's going to end in a huge mad willy rub off - and I bet we all end up cuddling.....

Unless BST manages to impregnate us all beforehand....  :ohmy:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on April 03, 2018, 11:22:12 am
Liar, liar, your tongues on fire
 
http://www.politics.co.uk/blogs/2016/12/06/very-quietly-liam-fox-admits-the-brexit-lie
 
The longer it goes on the worse it gets.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on April 03, 2018, 11:27:16 am
 :facepalm:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 03, 2018, 03:23:19 pm
You couldn't make this clusterf**k up could you what a bloody mess !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on April 03, 2018, 04:34:12 pm
And yet, people don't seem to be absolutely livid that they've been completely deceived...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 03, 2018, 11:55:01 pm
And yet, people don't seem to be absolutely livid that they've been completely deceived...

It's not a surprise when the BBC don't give coverage to the 2 marches that the anti- Brexit campaigns did over the weekend . One of them was on Satdi only 3 miles from the Salford studios ! MSM also couldn't even be bothered to take the piss out of them they were busy de- constructing Corbyn and the Labour Party as were the BBC  - all carefully orchestrated for in time for the May Local elections and to cover up Phase 2 inadequacies.

They have played a blinder, it's straight out of the Neo - Con handbook. They just won't let it drop.

Just what has happened to the BBC though ??
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on April 05, 2018, 05:13:21 pm
  They may have changed sides Hoola, in exchange for leaving them alone oa self employment and Tax? or just keep the "names" out of it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on April 05, 2018, 07:40:39 pm
Meanwhile, back on the Irish Question

Look, there are only 5 options

1. A hard border between the North and South.
2. A hard border between the North and the UK.
3. A technology border between the North and South
4. No border between the North and South, just turn a blind eye to everything
5. The UK stays in the Customs Union and Single Market


Come on Leaver Negotiators, it can't be that hard. Pick one.

I can't understand why this is taking so long, I mean, what could possibly go wrong with any of those options?...............
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 06, 2018, 01:25:47 am
Meanwhile, back on the Irish Question

Look, there are only 5 options

1. A hard border between the North and South.
2. A hard border between the North and the UK.
3. A technology border between the North and South
4. No border between the North and South, just turn a blind eye to everything
5. The UK stays in the Customs Union and Single Market


Come on Leaver Negotiators, it can't be that hard. Pick one.

I can't understand why this is taking so long, I mean, what could possibly go wrong with any of those options?...............
 


(1) Impossible as breaches the Good Friday Agreement.
(2) Unacceptable to both the UK and especially the DUP - breaches red lines
(3) Unworkable - in practise breaches WTO Regulations .
(4) Unworkable - again breaches WTO rules and encourages smuggling , gunmen and a return to pre GFA days.
(5) Workable - and the existing system  - financially in the interests of all parties.

ONLY (5) works but we have made it clear we no longer want to be in hock to the evil empire that is the ECJ. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on April 06, 2018, 09:30:09 am
Steve, I think that most detractors would say that at times over the years it has been corrupt,dysfunctional and unwieldy rather than evil.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 06, 2018, 09:52:28 am
Steve, I think that most detractors would say that at times over the years it has been corrupt,dysfunctional and unwieldy rather than evil.

I think you're right a bit like our own Government , it might have helped if we had tried to change some of that rather than ignoring that fact - check out what our MEPs haven't been up to over the last 15  - 20 years. Half the time they couldn't even be bothered to attend :

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/ukip-meps-attend-the-fewest-european-parliament-votes-of-any-party-in-the-eus-28-countries-10316962.html&ved=2ahUKEwickrOcoqXaAhVFzqQKHeybCdoQFjAAegQICRAB&usg=AOvVaw0qv1t8R5xFZLtVD-FygW6U

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Copps is Magic on April 06, 2018, 11:53:22 am
What a time to break away and make your own trade arrangements amidst an international trade war.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on April 06, 2018, 04:24:44 pm
Meanwhile, back on the Irish Question

Look, there are only 5 options

1. A hard border between the North and South.
2. A hard border between the North and the UK.
3. A technology border between the North and South
4. No border between the North and South, just turn a blind eye to everything
5. The UK stays in the Customs Union and Single Market


Come on Leaver Negotiators, it can't be that hard. Pick one.

I can't understand why this is taking so long, I mean, what could possibly go wrong with any of those options?...............
 


(1) Impossible as breaches the Good Friday Agreement.
(2) Unacrceptable to both the UK and especially the DUP - breaches red lines
(3) Unworkable - in practise breaches WTO Regulations .
(4) Unworkable - again breaches WTO rules and encourages smuggling , gunmen and a return to pre GFA days.
(5) Workable - and the existing system  - financially in the interests of all parties.

ONLY (5) works but we have made it clear we no longer want to be in hock to the evil empire that is the ECJ. 

We better get a move on before you have a heart attack
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on April 06, 2018, 04:57:45 pm
Meanwhile, back on the Irish Question

Look, there are only 5 options

1. A hard border between the North and South.
2. A hard border between the North and the UK.
3. A technology border between the North and South
4. No border between the North and South, just turn a blind eye to everything
5. The UK stays in the Customs Union and Single Market


Come on Leaver Negotiators, it can't be that hard. Pick one.

I can't understand why this is taking so long, I mean, what could possibly go wrong with any of those options?...............
 


(1) Impossible as breaches the Good Friday Agreement.
(2) Unacrceptable to both the UK and especially the DUP - breaches red lines
(3) Unworkable - in practise breaches WTO Regulations .
(4) Unworkable - again breaches WTO rules and encourages smuggling , gunmen and a return to pre GFA days.
(5) Workable - and the existing system  - financially in the interests of all parties.

ONLY (5) works but we have made it clear we no longer want to be in hock to the evil empire that is the ECJ. 

We better get a move on before you have a heart attack

So which option would YOU choose Sproty? And how would YOU make it work?
 
If we can't come to an agreement with the EU and we end up with a hard BREXIT we've still go to pick one of those options - and somehow make it work....
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on April 06, 2018, 05:26:03 pm
Meanwhile, back on the Irish Question

Look, there are only 5 options

1. A hard border between the North and South.
2. A hard border between the North and the UK.
3. A technology border between the North and South
4. No border between the North and South, just turn a blind eye to everything
5. The UK stays in the Customs Union and Single Market


Come on Leaver Negotiators, it can't be that hard. Pick one.

I can't understand why this is taking so long, I mean, what could possibly go wrong with any of those options?...............
 


(1) Impossible as breaches the Good Friday Agreement.
(2) Unacrceptable to both the UK and especially the DUP - breaches red lines
(3) Unworkable - in practise breaches WTO Regulations .
(4) Unworkable - again breaches WTO rules and encourages smuggling , gunmen and a return to pre GFA days.
(5) Workable - and the existing system  - financially in the interests of all parties.

ONLY (5) works but we have made it clear we no longer want to be in hock to the evil empire that is the ECJ. 

We better get a move on before you have a heart attack

So which option would YOU choose Sproty? And how would YOU make it work?
 
If we can't come to an agreement with the EU and we end up with a hard BREXIT we've still go to pick one of those options - and somehow make it work....

Where there is no way we will make one! (Hannibal at the foot of the Alps)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 06, 2018, 06:31:22 pm
Meanwhile, back on the Irish Question

Look, there are only 5 options

1. A hard border between the North and South.
2. A hard border between the North and the UK.
3. A technology border between the North and South
4. No border between the North and South, just turn a blind eye to everything
5. The UK stays in the Customs Union and Single Market


Come on Leaver Negotiators, it can't be that hard. Pick one.

I can't understand why this is taking so long, I mean, what could possibly go wrong with any of those options?...............
 


(1) Impossible as breaches the Good Friday Agreement.
(2) Unacrceptable to both the UK and especially the DUP - breaches red lines
(3) Unworkable - in practise breaches WTO Regulations .
(4) Unworkable - again breaches WTO rules and encourages smuggling , gunmen and a return to pre GFA days.
(5) Workable - and the existing system  - financially in the interests of all parties.

ONLY (5) works but we have made it clear we no longer want to be in hock to the evil empire that is the ECJ. 

We better get a move on before you have a heart attack

Chilled fella don't worry - have a lot invested in all this with my 20 year old going away for a year with a view to living and working in the EU . I just don't want her to be one of the millions ( 5, 000,000 ) whose lives will be made difficult because they work here or we work there. The cost of flights will go up , travel insurance will go up ( EHIC cards no longer valid ) and of course adverse currency fluctuations have not been to the benefit of our citizens finally there's the spectre of visas potentially. Incidentally 80 % of our people living and working in the 27 are of working age contrary to the impression given that they are all retired.
There's a veritable shitstorm looming and soon we will be dragged into the eye of it .

Sproty you sound like some old git that believes nothing will change and we will all be singing " Rule Britannia " in Dr. Liam Fox's choir . Please tell me you don't think like that as im still waiting for you to tell us all about the Brexit " dividend " - you know the reality of all that is going to be well in post- Brexit Britain ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on April 06, 2018, 06:55:11 pm
Meanwhile, back on the Irish Question

Look, there are only 5 options

1. A hard border between the North and South.
2. A hard border between the North and the UK.
3. A technology border between the North and South
4. No border between the North and South, just turn a blind eye to everything
5. The UK stays in the Customs Union and Single Market


Come on Leaver Negotiators, it can't be that hard. Pick one.

I can't understand why this is taking so long, I mean, what could possibly go wrong with any of those options?...............
 


(1) Impossible as breaches the Good Friday Agreement.
(2) Unacrceptable to both the UK and especially the DUP - breaches red lines
(3) Unworkable - in practise breaches WTO Regulations .
(4) Unworkable - again breaches WTO rules and encourages smuggling , gunmen and a return to pre GFA days.
(5) Workable - and the existing system  - financially in the interests of all parties.

ONLY (5) works but we have made it clear we no longer want to be in hock to the evil empire that is the ECJ. 

We better get a move on before you have a heart attack

So which option would YOU choose Sproty? And how would YOU make it work?
 
If we can't come to an agreement with the EU and we end up with a hard BREXIT we've still go to pick one of those options - and somehow make it work....

Where there is no way we will make one! (Hannibal at the foot of the Alps)

Pity Hannibal is dead, we don't have 37 Elephants and that we're looking across 21 miles of water without a mountain in sight then Sproty.
 
I just love the 'leavers' approach to all this - "It'll be all right on the night" without a clue as to WHAT will be all right and HOW we can make it all right. Somebody else will sort it out, (didn't you think about any of these issues before you voted?); yer right!
 
But don't worry, in spite of the Ireland and Gibraltar issues we're going to give £350 Million a week to the NHS and send all these 'bloody foriners' home.  Oh, and we're taking back control of something we already had control over.  Isn't that what you leavers voted for?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 06, 2018, 07:14:47 pm
Meanwhile, back on the Irish Question

Look, there are only 5 options

1. A hard border between the North and South.
2. A hard border between the North and the UK.
3. A technology border between the North and South
4. No border between the North and South, just turn a blind eye to everything
5. The UK stays in the Customs Union and Single Market


Come on Leaver Negotiators, it can't be that hard. Pick one.

I can't understand why this is taking so long, I mean, what could possibly go wrong with any of those options?...............
 


(1) Impossible as breaches the Good Friday Agreement.
(2) Unacrceptable to both the UK and especially the DUP - breaches red lines
(3) Unworkable - in practise breaches WTO Regulations .
(4) Unworkable - again breaches WTO rules and encourages smuggling , gunmen and a return to pre GFA days.
(5) Workable - and the existing system  - financially in the interests of all parties.

ONLY (5) works but we have made it clear we no longer want to be in hock to the evil empire that is the ECJ. 

We better get a move on before you have a heart attack

So which option would YOU choose Sproty? And how would YOU make it work?
 
If we can't come to an agreement with the EU and we end up with a hard BREXIT we've still go to pick one of those options - and somehow make it work....

Where there is no way we will make one! (Hannibal at the foot of the Alps)

Genius! Let’s get exports over the Irish border on battle-hardened elephants!

Anybody got Boris’s phone number?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 06, 2018, 07:36:02 pm
Meanwhile, back on the Irish Question

Look, there are only 5 options

1. A hard border between the North and South.
2. A hard border between the North and the UK.
3. A technology border between the North and South
4. No border between the North and South, just turn a blind eye to everything
5. The UK stays in the Customs Union and Single Market


Come on Leaver Negotiators, it can't be that hard. Pick one.

I can't understand why this is taking so long, I mean, what could possibly go wrong with any of those options?...............
 


(1) Impossible as breaches the Good Friday Agreement.
(2) Unacrceptable to both the UK and especially the DUP - breaches red lines
(3) Unworkable - in practise breaches WTO Regulations .
(4) Unworkable - again breaches WTO rules and encourages smuggling , gunmen and a return to pre GFA days.
(5) Workable - and the existing system  - financially in the interests of all parties.

ONLY (5) works but we have made it clear we no longer want to be in hock to the evil empire that is the ECJ. 

We better get a move on before you have a heart attack

So which option would YOU choose Sproty? And how would YOU make it work?
 
If we can't come to an agreement with the EU and we end up with a hard BREXIT we've still go to pick one of those options - and somehow make it work....

Where there is no way we will make one! (Hannibal at the foot of the Alps)

Ah the cliff edge we have all been told about it is then

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 06, 2018, 07:39:28 pm
Meanwhile, back on the Irish Question

Look, there are only 5 options

1. A hard border between the North and South.
2. A hard border between the North and the UK.
3. A technology border between the North and South
4. No border between the North and South, just turn a blind eye to everything
5. The UK stays in the Customs Union and Single Market


Come on Leaver Negotiators, it can't be that hard. Pick one.

I can't understand why this is taking so long, I mean, what could possibly go wrong with any of those options?...............
 


(1) Impossible as breaches the Good Friday Agreement.
(2) Unacrceptable to both the UK and especially the DUP - breaches red lines
(3) Unworkable - in practise breaches WTO Regulations .
(4) Unworkable - again breaches WTO rules and encourages smuggling , gunmen and a return to pre GFA days.
(5) Workable - and the existing system  - financially in the interests of all parties.

ONLY (5) works but we have made it clear we no longer want to be in hock to the evil empire that is the ECJ. 

We better get a move on before you have a heart attack

So which option would YOU choose Sproty? And how would YOU make it work?
 
If we can't come to an agreement with the EU and we end up with a hard BREXIT we've still go to pick one of those options - and somehow make it work....

Where there is no way we will make one! (Hannibal at the foot of the Alps)

Genius! Let’s get exports over the Irish border on battle-hardened elephants!

Anybody got Boris’s phone number?

Hannibal was smart , now Sproty thinks the fools in charge of this clusterf**k can be compared to probably one if not THE greatest generals of all time. I've heard it all now !! Pmsl
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on April 06, 2018, 08:59:02 pm
Meanwhile, back on the Irish Question

Look, there are only 5 options

1. A hard border between the North and South.
2. A hard border between the North and the UK.
3. A technology border between the North and South
4. No border between the North and South, just turn a blind eye to everything
5. The UK stays in the Customs Union and Single Market


Come on Leaver Negotiators, it can't be that hard. Pick one.

I can't understand why this is taking so long, I mean, what could possibly go wrong with any of those options?...............
 


(1) Impossible as breaches the Good Friday Agreement.
(2) Unacrceptable to both the UK and especially the DUP - breaches red lines
(3) Unworkable - in practise breaches WTO Regulations .
(4) Unworkable - again breaches WTO rules and encourages smuggling , gunmen and a return to pre GFA days.
(5) Workable - and the existing system  - financially in the interests of all parties.

ONLY (5) works but we have made it clear we no longer want to be in hock to the evil empire that is the ECJ. 

We better get a move on before you have a heart attack

So which option would YOU choose Sproty? And how would YOU make it work?
 
If we can't come to an agreement with the EU and we end up with a hard BREXIT we've still go to pick one of those options - and somehow make it work....

Where there is no way we will make one! (Hannibal at the foot of the Alps)

Genius! Let’s get exports over the Irish border on battle-hardened elephants!

Anybody got Boris’s phone number?

I can't believe you have got that so wrong Billy! Of course they are not going to use elephants to transport goods across the border, how stupid and slow would that be, they are going to be used to patrol the border. Put cameras on their trunks and they can lift them up in the air so you can see a good way - and there is no way you could call an elephant a hard border. Of course they wouldn't be needed all the time, only when its foggy, dark, windy or raining and the blimps cant fly (so just most of the time).

Genius.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on April 06, 2018, 09:54:59 pm
Meanwhile, back on the Irish Question

Look, there are only 5 options

1. A hard border between the North and South.
2. A hard border between the North and the UK.
3. A technology border between the North and South
4. No border between the North and South, just turn a blind eye to everything
5. The UK stays in the Customs Union and Single Market


Come on Leaver Negotiators, it can't be that hard. Pick one.

I can't understand why this is taking so long, I mean, what could possibly go wrong with any of those options?...............
 


(1) Impossible as breaches the Good Friday Agreement.
(2) Unacrceptable to both the UK and especially the DUP - breaches red lines
(3) Unworkable - in practise breaches WTO Regulations .
(4) Unworkable - again breaches WTO rules and encourages smuggling , gunmen and a return to pre GFA days.
(5) Workable - and the existing system  - financially in the interests of all parties.

ONLY (5) works but we have made it clear we no longer want to be in hock to the evil empire that is the ECJ. 

We better get a move on before you have a heart attack

Chilled fella don't worry - have a lot invested in all this with my 20 year old going away for a year with a view to living and working in the EU . I just don't want her to be one of the millions ( 5, 000,000 ) whose lives will be made difficult because they work here or we work there. The cost of flights will go up , travel insurance will go up ( EHIC cards no longer valid ) and of course adverse currency fluctuations have not been to the benefit of our citizens finally there's the spectre of visas potentially. Incidentally 80 % of our people living and working in the 27 are of working age contrary to the impression given that they are all retired.
There's a veritable shitstorm looming and soon we will be dragged into the eye of it .

Sproty you sound like some old git that believes nothing will change and we will all be singing " Rule Britannia " in Dr. Liam Fox's choir . Please tell me you don't think like that as im still waiting for you to tell us all about the Brexit " dividend " - you know the reality of all that is going to be well in post- Brexit Britain ?

Hoola

How does your mind work, I am willing to chance the jump off of beachy  head for the long term protection of my country, I don't care about the short term economic hit, mark my words in 10 years time there will be extreme Govt sin Italy Germany and  France , because they can't Secure the southern border.
We will be far better off and I don't give a dam if we have another million migrants in the country, they will be the ones we want, not the ones dumped on us by failed Policies in other Eu states.

You on the other hand a totally against change , you are deeply entrenched in your Luddite beliefs that this Brexit will end in distater and as you freely admit your own self interest.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on April 06, 2018, 10:45:08 pm
Who are the migrants we want? The ones propping up the NHS, who are currently f**king off in high numbers? What about the ones who work in the fields, propping up the farming industry? Who's going to replace them?

By the way, it's been pointed out many times that we CAN refuse immigrants if we want to. Any EU state can refuse anyone right of residence if we deem them to be a burden on the member state. Look it up - its written down in EU law and everything! We're already letting in the ones we want. So why are we jumping off the beachhead again?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 06, 2018, 11:00:09 pm
Meanwhile, back on the Irish Question

Look, there are only 5 options

1. A hard border between the North and South.
2. A hard border between the North and the UK.
3. A technology border between the North and South
4. No border between the North and South, just turn a blind eye to everything
5. The UK stays in the Customs Union and Single Market


Come on Leaver Negotiators, it can't be that hard. Pick one.

I can't understand why this is taking so long, I mean, what could possibly go wrong with any of those options?...............
 


(1) Impossible as breaches the Good Friday Agreement.
(2) Unacrceptable to both the UK and especially the DUP - breaches red lines
(3) Unworkable - in practise breaches WTO Regulations .
(4) Unworkable - again breaches WTO rules and encourages smuggling , gunmen and a return to pre GFA days.
(5) Workable - and the existing system  - financially in the interests of all parties.

ONLY (5) works but we have made it clear we no longer want to be in hock to the evil empire that is the ECJ. 

We better get a move on before you have a heart attack

Chilled fella don't worry - have a lot invested in all this with my 20 year old going away for a year with a view to living and working in the EU . I just don't want her to be one of the millions ( 5, 000,000 ) whose lives will be made difficult because they work here or we work there. The cost of flights will go up , travel insurance will go up ( EHIC cards no longer valid ) and of course adverse currency fluctuations have not been to the benefit of our citizens finally there's the spectre of visas potentially. Incidentally 80 % of our people living and working in the 27 are of working age contrary to the impression given that they are all retired.
There's a veritable shitstorm looming and soon we will be dragged into the eye of it .

Sproty you sound like some old git that believes nothing will change and we will all be singing " Rule Britannia " in Dr. Liam Fox's choir . Please tell me you don't think like that as im still waiting for you to tell us all about the Brexit " dividend " - you know the reality of all that is going to be well in post- Brexit Britain ?

Hoola

How does your mind work, I am willing to chance the jump off of beach head for the long term protection of my country, I don't care about the short term economic hit, mark my words in 10 years time there will be extreme Govt sin Italy Germany and  France , because they can't Secure the southern border.
We will be far better off and I don't give a dam if we have another million migrants in the country, they will be the ones we want, not the ones dumped on us by failed Policies in other Eu states.

You on the other hand a totally against change , you are deeply entrenched in your Luddite beliefs that this Brexit will end in distater and as you freely admit your own self interest.

My mind ? Pot and kettle you are an utter jerk Sproty, unlike you my family aren't afraid of adventure - we couldn't be further from your crazy assertion that we are Luddites. I'm certainly not having lived, travelled or worked in over 30 countries at the last count and yes numpty we are ALL driven by self- interest  - I want a country that is outward looking , economically strong and somewhere to be proud to live in for the younger members of my family especially. My whole life has been about change and managing it.

You on the other hand want to chain  my family to you in your leap of faith over the edge of your cliff .....and I have the problem of being motivated by self- interest. The only dinosaur here is you.

You still haven't told me what it is we are all jumping off into and of course you haven't explained to me why that choice wasn't in your self- interest too ? Still you want to piss everyone's futures away regardless of the consequences.

As a final point don't throw the influx of North Africans as your reason for your ' leap of faith' - we've all seen the Farage poster of snaking non- Europeans coming to ravage us . Finally we all know too that decent people forced that to be dropped and you well know that we aren't part of Schengen. " Long-term protection of my country " my arse.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 06, 2018, 11:08:21 pm
Who are the migrants we want? The ones propping up the NHS, who are currently f**king off in high numbers? What about the ones who work in the fields, propping up the farming industry? Who's going to replace them?

By the way, it's been pointed out many times that we CAN refuse immigrants if we want to. Any EU state can refuse anyone right of residence if we deem them to be a burden on the member state. Look it up - its written down in EU law and everything! We're already letting in the ones we want. So why are we jumping off the beachhead again?

Of course we could / can but don't let that fact get in the way of Sproty's false arguments. We had Sovereignty and gilt-edge controls of our borders. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on April 06, 2018, 11:35:58 pm
Am I right in saying that the UK refuses only a tiny fraction of EU nationals who want to come here because it has to have very good grounds to do so, and in the case of criminality, for example, a conviction even for a serious crime is not good enough unless the individual poses a current risk?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 07, 2018, 12:16:30 am
Am I right in saying that the UK refuses only a tiny fraction of EU nationals who want to come here because it has to have very good grounds to do so, and in the case of criminality, for example, a conviction even for a serious crime is not good enough unless the individual poses a current risk?

But, unlike EU members in the Schengen Area, the UK does have full control of its borders. Officials carry out security-related checks on anyone, including EU nationals, entering the UK.

Under EU law (Art. 27), the UK has the right to refuse admission to any EU citizen on the grounds of “public policy, public health or public security”. Proportionality applies, which means previous criminal convictions do not in themselves constitute grounds for refusal. However, those who “commit serious or persistent crimes” and are seen as a “genuine, present and sufficiently serious threat” can be refused entry to the UK.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on April 07, 2018, 12:22:20 am
Hoolahoop, how does all that bullshit apply as 'a current risk'?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 07, 2018, 12:37:45 am
BB

I don’t know where you were educated but at my school I had a choleric English teacher who would have bawled me out until my ears bled if I hadn’t realised that “genuine, present...serious threat” was something close to a synonym for “current risk”.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on April 07, 2018, 12:42:20 am
So Billy. Your Daughter meets a boy who hasn't raped anyone for ten years. Would you welcome him in your family and take him for a pint at your local?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 07, 2018, 10:13:41 am
Apologies. I mis-read your post. Out of interest, are there examples of rapists being allowed into the country?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on April 07, 2018, 01:02:13 pm
There's a difference between right of residence and right to enter (which admittedly wasn't clear in my post). So any EU worker can come here for up to 3 months with no formalities aside from a passport if they're looking for work, unless they've got some bad form, as Hoola said. After that we have every right to refuse them permanent residence if we think they'll be a financial burden on the state. The actual law is as below:

Quote
"For stays of over three months: the right of residence is subject to certain conditions. EU citizens and their family members — if not working — must have sufficient resources and sickness insurance to ensure that they do not become a burden on the social services of the host Member State during their stay. Union citizens do not need residence permits, although Member States may require them to register with the authorities. Family members of Union citizens who are not nationals of a Member State must apply for a residence permit, valid for the duration of their stay or a five-year period."

"Sufficient resources" is quite vague, because what that term means is up to us - or any EU member state. We can deny and revoke existing residence permits if we think the applicant isn't going to contribute. I always hear from Leavers that they don't mind immigrants coming here looking for work - they're the ones we want, as Sproty put it. It's the ones who come over here and sit on benefits and use the NHS for years on end who are the problem. If those immigrants are such a problem - and all data you'll find suggests they're a tiny, tiny minority to begin with - we already have the power to turf them out under existing EU law! So again, why are we jumping off the beachhead to get something we already had all along?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 07, 2018, 02:38:36 pm
You wiĺl be waiting for a long time to get just one coherent argument or one selective set of stats that a leaver can find from Leaver Central to back up their position.
Excellent post Macho Madness by the way .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 07, 2018, 02:42:39 pm
Apologies. I mis-read your post. Out of interest, are there examples of rapists being allowed into the country?

Don't be silly there are thousands of them and murderers and loads more committing the most heinous of crimes.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on April 07, 2018, 03:18:16 pm
Apologies. I mis-read your post. Out of interest, are there examples of rapists being allowed into the country?

Don't be silly there are thousands of them and murderers and loads more committing the most heinous of crimes.

What...taking away jobs from our good honest home-grown rapists and murderers? bas**rds!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on April 07, 2018, 04:45:20 pm
Our rapists and murderers shouldn't have jobs to give away, should they?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on April 07, 2018, 07:26:46 pm
Apologies. I mis-read your post. Out of interest, are there examples of rapists being allowed into the country?
Yes we have let dozens an dozens in , mainly hardened criminals from the Baltic states.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 07, 2018, 07:28:08 pm
Do you have a source for that Sproty?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on April 07, 2018, 07:35:26 pm
Approx 5 years ago an English girl got rapped and murdered by a EEC citizen from the Baltic, it transpired he had 2 previous rape convictions in his own country.
As a result we now have a system whereby every Foreigner arrested in the uk is checked with immigration service who have an information sharing agreement under Shengen with all EEC countries. If it transpires they have convictions they are deported there are several hundred awaiting deportation at the moment.
There ar probably 20/30,000 of them still here at the moment.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on April 07, 2018, 07:38:47 pm
Billy it was the case of Victor Domboskis in 2006.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 07, 2018, 09:14:14 pm
Billy it was the case of Victor Domboskis in 2006.

Sproty there are upwards of 3,000,000 of these furriners here at any one time and you have as your statistic 1 child rapist from Lithuania. Whilst this man and his crimes were horrendous are you seriously saying there are hundreds more in the country already ? Not doubting your sincerity and fear about this but who says that there are " 20/30,000 " hardened criminals awaiting return " ? If so why the f**k haven't we been doing our jobs here. 
That's a serious amount of bad boys and girls !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on April 07, 2018, 09:30:39 pm
Billy it was the case of Victor Domboskis in 2006.

Sproty there are upwards of 3,000,000 of these furriners here at any one time and you have as your statistic 1 child rapist from Lithuania. Whilst this man and his crimes were horrendous are you seriously saying there are hundreds more in the country already ? Not doubting your sincerity and fear about this but who says that there are " 20/30,000 " hardened criminals awaiting return " ? If so why the f**k haven't we been doing our jobs here. 
That's a serious amount of bad boys and girls !

You're right Hoola all of those foreigners are here and until they get arrested we haven't got a clue as to their antecedents.
And prior to the case of Dombodkis we were doing nothing about checking up on them.
In fact we had peeps turning up on the motorway hard shoulder, being taken to a Police station fingerprinted and then being released and told to make their own way to Liverpool to register.
Hardly a satisfactory state of affairs isn't it, oh and by the way when Have I ever belittled you in a Post?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on April 07, 2018, 09:47:30 pm
Source interview with Queen Margareth of Denmark re her book, she showed a Saxo instituent i.e. Distinct change in attitude towards the immigrants in Denmark who now make up 8% of the population, example 11% of Somali males have acquired a criminal conviction since their arrival in Denmark, compared to the national average conviction rate for Danish men which is 1.29% figure provide by the Danish ministry for intergration,
If I were you Hoola I would be very worried about my vulnerable daughter going to live in Denmark!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on April 07, 2018, 10:02:16 pm
Since I have taken heed of Billy der grafts quest for sources I have been looking at a few, and boy it's all going tits up in Hoola Utopian state of Denmark,a bit like Sweden really.
10 % of the population now immigrants, half of them mainly male from you know where, 3 times more likely to commit crime, the crimes they commit are far more violent in nature. And they are a major drain on the Danish economy .
Happy days ahead for Denmark.

The sooner we leave the better.!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 07, 2018, 10:29:04 pm
You didn’t actually give a source for anything you’ve written so far Sproty. I’m not saying it’s wrong. I’m sure there are some examples. But Google throws nowt up for Victor Domboskis.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on April 07, 2018, 11:43:11 pm
Source interview with Queen Margareth of Denmark re her book, she showed a Saxo instituent i.e. Distinct change in attitude towards the immigrants in Denmark who now make up 8% of the population, example 11% of Somali males have acquired a criminal conviction since their arrival in Denmark, compared to the national average conviction rate for Danish men which is 1.29% figure provide by the Danish ministry for intergration,
If I were you Hoola I would be very worried about my vulnerable daughter going to live in Denmark!

Ahhh that brilliant EU country that is Somalia. Denmark should have their own Brexit then they'll not have anymore of those dodgy Somalians.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 08, 2018, 12:32:45 am
Billy it was the case of Victor Domboskis in 2006.

Sproty there are upwards of 3,000,000 of these furriners here at any one time and you have as your statistic 1 child rapist from Lithuania. Whilst this man and his crimes were horrendous are you seriously saying there are hundreds more in the country already ? Not doubting your sincerity and fear about this but who says that there are " 20/30,000 " hardened criminals awaiting return " ? If so why the f**k haven't we been doing our jobs here. 
That's a serious amount of bad boys and girls !

You're right Hoola all of those foreigners are here and until they get arrested we haven't got a clue as to their antecedents.
And prior to the case of Dombodkis we were doing nothing about checking up on them.
In fact we had peeps turning up on the motorway hard shoulder, being taken to a Police station fingerprinted and then being released and told to make their own way to Liverpool to register.
Hardly a satisfactory state of affairs isn't it, oh and by the way when Have I ever belittled you in a Post?

Why do you feel you were belittled . The current prison population in the UK is only 85, 000 but you want us to believe that whilst EU immigrants only represent some 4-5 % of the general population ; they would represent 25- 40 % of our current prison population given your 20-30k figure.

That's why I challenged your figures - what you are in essence suggesting is that Europeans are 6 or even 8 times as likely to be serious criminals than us Brits . Basically that sort of figure came from where ....The Daily Express ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 08, 2018, 12:39:04 am
You didn’t actually give a source for anything you’ve written so far Sproty. I’m not saying it’s wrong. I’m sure there are some examples. But Google throws nowt up for Victor Domboskis.

He is a Lithuanian immigrant that was convicted in 2012 of raping children I think presume that's similar to paedophilia only much more violent . Basically relevant checks weren't done on him. We had one we exported that we only know half the tale of and that was Gary Glitter in Thailand.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 08, 2018, 12:44:46 am
" If I were you Hoola I would be very worried about my vulnerable daughter going to live in Denmark! "


Thank you for that Sproty , it's worrying enough for a father to see his teenager living and working abroad only for you to feel the necessity to write that . You have sown seeds of doubt in my mind now ....feel better about supposedly being belittled now ? Pretty shit thing you felt that you had to write eh !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 08, 2018, 01:00:26 am
Source interview with Queen Margareth of Denmark re her book, she showed a Saxo instituent i.e. Distinct change in attitude towards the immigrants in Denmark who now make up 8% of the population, example 11% of Somali males have acquired a criminal conviction since their arrival in Denmark, compared to the national average conviction rate for Danish men which is 1.29% figure provide by the Danish ministry for intergration,
If I were you Hoola I would be very worried about my vulnerable daughter going to live in Denmark!

Prison figures per 100,000 :-

Denmark -   61
UK            - 146

On that basis seems she would be safer there notwithstanding the higher % of immigrants compared to Danish people getting into serious problems. Offending is always higher in an underclass that is a) poor in general terms and b) is adjusting to western society's mores.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on April 08, 2018, 08:45:17 am
Since I have taken heed of Billy der grafts quest for sources I have been looking at a few, and boy it's all going tits up in Hoola Utopian state of Denmark,a bit like Sweden really.
10 % of the population now immigrants, half of them mainly male from you know where, 3 times more likely to commit crime, the crimes they commit are far more violent in nature. And they are a major drain on the Danish economy .
Happy days ahead for Denmark.

The sooner we leave the better.!

People from Somalia wont have any more or less right to enter this country after Brexit as they have now!

In fact revise that. If the negotiations with India are anything to go by, revising our trade deals with the rest of the world after Brexit will see a condition from that being countries asking for a relaxation of visa conditions for their nationals to enter the UK.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on April 08, 2018, 10:35:34 am
But surely there will be fewer wanting to come to a country that's on its knees in poverty after Brexit?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on April 08, 2018, 10:45:43 am
But we dont know what is going to happen after Brexit?

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on April 08, 2018, 10:52:30 am
No wilts, I don't, but you do don't you?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 08, 2018, 11:33:20 am
Bentley

Just reflect on this for a moment. Have you ever, at any time before or after the Brexit vote heard anyone from the Remain side say pour scorn on the consensus of opinion from expert economists about what the likely outcome will be?

Then have a think about how many times you’ve heard Brexit supporters claim that we can’t hope to predict what will happen.

Then ask yourself why the two sides have these very different approaches to expert analysis.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on April 08, 2018, 12:40:06 pm
Bentley

Just reflect on this for a moment. Have you ever, at any time before or after the Brexit vote heard anyone from the Remain side say pour scorn on the consensus of opinion from expert economists about what the likely outcome will be?

Yes, me, for one.


Then have a think about how many times you’ve heard Brexit supporters claim that we can’t hope to predict what will happen.

Then ask yourself why the two sides have these very different approaches to expert analysis.

Some people don't believe there's such a thing as 'expert' analysis of something that has never happened before. Some do.

Now I've answered you, Billy, perhaps you can answer my question to Wilts which was;  surely there will be fewer wanting to come to a country that's on its knees in poverty after Brexit?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on April 08, 2018, 01:14:39 pm
Bentley

Just reflect on this for a moment. Have you ever, at any time before or after the Brexit vote heard anyone from the Remain side say pour scorn on the consensus of opinion from expert economists about what the likely outcome will be?

Yes, me, for one.


Then have a think about how many times you’ve heard Brexit supporters claim that we can’t hope to predict what will happen.

Then ask yourself why the two sides have these very different approaches to expert analysis.

Some people don't believe there's such a thing as 'expert' analysis of something that has never happened before. Some do.

Now I've answered you, Billy, perhaps you can answer my question to Wilts which was;  surely there will be fewer wanting to come to a country that's on its knees in poverty after Brexit?

Depends on the difference between how much worse off they are staying where they are than coming here.
 
Having been to India I am hardly surprised that a key condition of any trade deal with them has to include some form of freedom of movement.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on April 08, 2018, 01:21:54 pm
Even so, surely they will consider the alternative of relocating to one of the remaining thriving countries still in the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DevilMayCry on April 08, 2018, 01:27:28 pm
(http://oi64.tinypic.com/zji4ib.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 08, 2018, 01:55:07 pm
Bentley.

All other things being equal, it’s pretty much nailed on that we will be a less attractive country for migrants if our economy performs less well than the rest of Europe. What was your point?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on April 08, 2018, 02:11:53 pm
My point is that Wilts' claim that leaving the EU won't affect the rights of foreigners entering the country is hypothetical, based on the assumption that they won't want to come to a country on its knees in poverty.

What do you think, Billy?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 08, 2018, 02:14:37 pm
I think your obtuseness and insistence on arguing for the sake of arguing with no real interest in finding a sensible conclusion is very wearing and depressing. But I’m sure you get something out of it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on April 08, 2018, 02:29:27 pm
Well, I'd have preferred an answer to my question rather than being insulted but it's par for the course I suppose.

Someone on the main forum once asked why Rovers attendances were down. As a supporter who still attended matches, I gave my opinion based on what I was told by people I knew who had stopped going. As a result, I was promptly told that I wasn't a proper fan, and should go and support  Man Utd! Talk about shooting the messenger!

A very similar scenario has occurred on the referendum result. Someone asked why people voted Brexit. As a remain voter, I gave my opinion based on what I was told by people who voted Brexit. As a result, I'm a waste of time talking to because I was one of them!

Third division football forums eh!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 08, 2018, 02:39:24 pm
It’s not an insult B.B., it’s an observation. Based on the hamster-wheel we went on for weeks where you said we couldn’t predict the effect of Brexit, I said that the effects were panning out exactly as predicted and you said we couldn’t predict the effect of Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on April 08, 2018, 02:55:05 pm
BST, and I didn't disagree with you! It was expected by BOTH sides that there would be an initial negative reaction to the leave vote, although not to the extent of the lies told by Cameron and Gideon, the result of which were nowhere near exactly as predicted.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 08, 2018, 03:08:52 pm
BB

I’ve explained to you times without number that the economic effect has been PRECISELY that indicated by economists. We’re already £60-80bn down as a result of the vote. When I first told you that, you didn’t say ANYTHING about both sides having expected that. You blathered about the effect of the General Election.

When I pointed out that the economic hit had set in well before the election, you went back to saying that we can’t oreduct the effect of Brexit.

When I reiterated that we can and have done, you whined about Osborne predicting a recession.

When I pointed out that we would be in recession if the rest of the world hadn’t gone into an unexpected boom, you said that showed that economists can’t preduct the future.

When I pointed out that opinion betrayed a misunderstanding of how economics works, you said nothing, then later repeated the point about Osborne saying there’s be a recession.

When I then say that you seem more interested in arguing than engaging with a grown up discussion, you say I’m insulting you.
And then you say that BOTH sides said there would be problems, although I doubt anyone would remember Farage on the hustings bellowing “Vote Leave and the UK economy will lose £60-80bn by early 2018.” Maybe I wasn’t paying attention. 

Have fun because I’ve got more important shit to deal with than indulge your obtuseness.

And the same economists are predicting that
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on April 08, 2018, 03:09:37 pm
Even so, surely they will consider the alternative of relocating to one of the remaining thriving countries still in the EU?

You miss the point BB.  India doesn't have a freedom of movement agreement with the EU, they can't consider going there; but they are insisting on it being part of any trade deal with us.
 
When this is part of your daily life, even a poor Britain is an attraction....
 
(https://i.imgur.com/47TTMhs.jpg)
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on April 08, 2018, 03:28:41 pm
BB

I’ve explained to you times without number that the economic effect has been PRECISELY that indicated by economists. We’re already £60-80bn down as a result of the vote. When I first told you that, you didn’t say ANYTHING about both sides having expected that. You blathered about the effect of the General Election.

When I pointed out that the economic hit had set in well before the election, you went back to saying that we can’t oreduct the effect of Brexit.

When I reiterated that we can and have done, you whined about Osborne predicting a recession.

When I pointed out that we would be in recession if the rest of the world hadn’t gone into an unexpected boom, you said that showed that economists can’t preduct the future.

When I pointed out that opinion betrayed a misunderstanding of how economics works, you said nothing, then later repeated the point about Osborne saying there’s be a recession.

When I then say that you seem more interested in arguing than engaging with a grown up discussion, you say I’m insulting you.
And then you say that BOTH sides said there would be problems, although I doubt anyone would remember Farage on the hustings bellowing “Vote Leave and the UK economy will lose £60-80bn by early 2018.” Maybe I wasn’t paying attention. 

Have fun because I’ve got more important shit to deal with than indulge your obtuseness.

And the same economists are predicting that

Well if that's the case why the f**k did you answer my question to Wilts?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 08, 2018, 03:58:18 pm
Fair point. I guess it’s because I’m an argumentative t**t.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 08, 2018, 04:48:15 pm
I think your obtuseness and insistence on arguing for the sake of arguing with no real interest in finding a sensible conclusion is very wearing and depressing. But I’m sure you get something out of it.

I'm sure the coming reality will reduce that need to be quite so obtuse and argumentative. I'm sure from reading comments from BB over the years that he is enjoying playing devil's advocate.....at least I hope so.

I am waiting for the time when he, as a Remainer, says Anything positive about the Remain argument or the EU for that matter  - it feels like we have cuckoo in the nest
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on April 08, 2018, 06:12:46 pm
You don't like 'cuckoos in the nest' do you Hoolahoop? You just want to find comfort from a handful of like-minded Mr Angries. With that in mind, I'll leave you to it!

Oh, and just for the record, as far as I'm concerned there's no need to say anything positive about the Remain argument. We are ALL leavers now and our positivity should be directed at leaving.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 08, 2018, 07:37:48 pm
BB

And as we’ve discussed a thousand times, there are an infinite number of different ways of leaving. Saying that we’re all leavers now is pointless unless you know what we are leaving. That was never set out before the vote. So I reverse my right to argue like f**k that we shouldn’t have a Hard Brexit, and to point out why it would be a disaster.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on April 08, 2018, 08:18:20 pm
BB

And as we’ve discussed a thousand times, there are an infinite number of different ways of leaving. Saying that we’re all leavers now is pointless unless you know what we are leaving. That was never set out before the vote. So I reverse my right to argue like f**k that we shouldn’t have a Hard Brexit, and to point out why it would be a disaster.

No, don't do that, BST. You have every right to continue to fight for what you believe in. Don't let insults deter you.  ;)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 08, 2018, 08:36:50 pm
Ba-dum.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on April 08, 2018, 08:39:14 pm
Thank you. I'm here all week.  :aok:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on April 08, 2018, 10:35:15 pm
Billy it was the case of Victor Domboskis in 2006.

Sproty there are upwards of 3,000,000 of these furriners here at any one time and you have as your statistic 1 child rapist from Lithuania. Whilst this man and his crimes were horrendous are you seriously saying there are hundreds more in the country already ? Not doubting your sincerity and fear about this but who says that there are " 20/30,000 " hardened criminals awaiting return " ? If so why the f**k haven't we been doing our jobs here. 
That's a serious amount of bad boys and girls !

You're right Hoola all of those foreigners are here and until they get arrested we haven't got a clue as to their antecedents.
And prior to the case of Dombodkis we were doing nothing about checking up on them.
In fact we had peeps turning up on the motorway hard shoulder, being taken to a Police station fingerprinted and then being released and told to make their own way to Liverpool to register.
Hardly a satisfactory state of affairs isn't it, oh and by the way when Have I ever belittled you in a Post?

Why do you feel you were belittled . The current prison population in the UK is only 85, 000 but you want us to believe that whilst EU immigrants only represent some 4-5 % of the general population ; they would represent 25- 40 % of our current prison population given your 20-30k figure.

That's why I challenged your figures - what you are in essence suggesting is that Europeans are 6 or even 8 times as likely to be serious criminals than us Brits . Basically that sort of figure came from where ....The Daily Express ?

Evening Hoola , the prison population doesn't have a 30% foreign element because we now deport them very rapidly I am a personal friend of the Governer of one such Prison establishment and Eu Offenders are rarely kept for longer than 6 weeks before being deported, there are approx 3,000 in the system so we deport about 30 k a year.
Good riddance to bad rubbish.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 08, 2018, 11:36:42 pm
We deport 30,000 EU citizens a year really ? -however you never seem to supply the relevant attachments do you to back up your assertions . Only what someone you know tells you. To listen to you , you would think that,  every European but the British is nothing more than a scumbag. Is that really what you believe ?  You have taken xenophobia to new heights .

It's your sort that spreads fear about foreigners , why do you do it .....you've even tried doing it with me ffs about MY OWN DAUGHTER !!

Do you realise how that makes me feel as I prepare her to work for nearly  2 months working in Spain followed by a further year in Denmark . You have started that little irrational fearful thought,  just like an itch that won't go away,  in the back of my mind ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on April 09, 2018, 08:47:38 am
We deport 30,000 EU citizens a year really ? -however you never seem to supply the relevant attachments do you to back up your assertions . Only what someone you know tells you. To listen to you , you would think that,  every European but the British is nothing more than a scumbag. Is that really what you believe ?  You have taken xenophobia to new heights .

It's your sort that spreads fear about foreigners , why do you do it .....you've even tried doing it with me ffs about MY OWN DAUGHTER !!

Do you realise how that makes me feel as I prepare her to work for nearly  2 months working in Spain followed by a further year in Denmark . You have started that little irrational fearful thought,  just like an itch that won't go away,  in the back of my mind ?

That's because he's talking b*llocks.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-latest-eu-citizens-deportations-rise-uk-home-office-referendum-a7935266.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on April 09, 2018, 09:22:59 am
                                         SWITZERLAND
       NOT in the EU still in EUROPE
       Has its own TAILORED EU DEAL
       Has FREE TRADE DEALS with China Japan THE EU and many more
       Exports FIVE TIMES more than the UK to THE EU
       Adopts 0% of the EU RULES
       Has the HIGHEST WAGES IN EUROPE
       Is the 2nd RICHEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD by nominal GDP PER HEAD
       RANKS 1st in the WORLD in the global innovation index
       Is NOT in the EU
       DOING RATHER WELL DON'T YOU THINK

   It can be done, but both sides need to want to do it, and stop playing silly buggers.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on April 09, 2018, 09:36:46 am
                                         SWITZERLAND
       NOT in the EU still in EUROPE
       Has its own TAILORED EU DEAL
       Has FREE TRADE DEALS with China Japan THE EU and many more
       Exports FIVE TIMES more than the UK to THE EU
       Adopts 0% of the EU RULES
       Has the HIGHEST WAGES IN EUROPE
       Is the 2nd RICHEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD by nominal GDP PER HEAD
       RANKS 1st in the WORLD in the global innovation index
       Is NOT in the EU
       DOING RATHER WELL DON'T YOU THINK

   It can be done, but both sides need to want to do it, and stop playing silly buggers.

It took me ten seconds to prove that wrong.

"Switzerland has agreed to take over certain aspects of EU legislation in exchange for accessing part of the EU's single market."

http://ec.europa.eu/trade/policy/countries-and-regions/countries/switzerland/index_en.htm
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on April 09, 2018, 09:41:24 am
                                         SWITZERLAND
       NOT in the EU still in EUROPE
       Has its own TAILORED EU DEAL
       Has FREE TRADE DEALS with China Japan THE EU and many more
      Exports FIVE TIMES more than the UK to THE EU
       Adopts 0% of the EU RULES
       Has the HIGHEST WAGES IN EUROPE
       Is the 2nd RICHEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD by nominal GDP PER HEAD
       RANKS 1st in the WORLD in the global innovation index
       Is NOT in the EU
       DOING RATHER WELL DON'T YOU THINK

   It can be done, but both sides need to want to do it, and stop playing silly buggers.

And now another bit of rubbish:

Switzerland exported about £240 billion in goods and services to the EU in 2016. The UK exported £240 billion too.

https://fullfact.org/europe/uk-eu-trade/


How much more of that is rubbish?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on April 09, 2018, 09:48:53 am
                                         SWITZERLAND
       NOT in the EU still in EUROPE
       Has its own TAILORED EU DEAL
       Has FREE TRADE DEALS with China Japan THE EU and many more
       Exports FIVE TIMES more than the UK to THE EU
       Adopts 0% of the EU RULES
       Has the HIGHEST WAGES IN EUROPE
       Is the 2nd RICHEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD by nominal GDP PER HEAD
       RANKS 1st in the WORLD in the global innovation index
       Is NOT in the EU
       DOING RATHER WELL DON'T YOU THINK

   It can be done, but both sides need to want to do it, and stop playing silly buggers.


Ooops!

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(PPP)_per_capita

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 09, 2018, 09:51:25 am
Selby

They sure converted you didn’t they?

Both to believing in Brexit AND believing the lies that the Brexiters peddle.

That post is so shot through with wrongness it’s tough to know where to start.

1) Switzerland does not export 5 times as much to the EU as we do. Not remotely close.

2) Yes Switzerland is very rich but not BECAUSE it stayed out of the EU. It was already very rich before the EU started, primarily because it stayed out of the two World Wars that the rest of us indulged in (and that the EU was set up to avoid happening again). It is a fact that since we joined the EEC, our GDP has risen at a faster rate than that of Switzerland. So the gap between our wealth and that of Switzerland is now significantly less than it was in 1973.

3) Switzerland DOES have to take on MANY EU laws. That is the price that it pays for access to the Single Market. The laws include fully accepting freedom of movement.

4) Switzerland does have a trade deal with the EU. It took over ten years to negotiate.

Do you not see this? It is bullshit peddled by people who don’t want you to know the effect of Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 09, 2018, 10:05:02 am
Glyn

Actually, he’s correct on nominal GDP per head. You’re posting PPP figures which are the commonly used ones because they take into account the very high cost of living in Switzerland. You wouldn’t expect a Brexit supporter to tell the world that Switzerland has a ferociously high cost of living, would you? I was in Lugano 7 years ago. We had a couple of pizzas and two pints of beer in a bog standard trattoria. The bill was nearly £80.

You also wouldn’t expect a Brexit supporter to tell you that the one country in the world with a higher nominal GDP per head than Switzerland is in the EU, would you? Or that Ireland which was an economic basket case in the 1970s now has a higher PPP GDP per head than Switzerland?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on April 09, 2018, 10:08:15 am
Glyn

Actually, he’s correct on nominal GDP per head. You’re posting PPP figures which are the commonly used ones because they take into account the very high cost of living in Switzerland. You wouldn’t expect a Brexit supporter to tell the world that Switzerland has a ferociously high cost of living, would you? I was in Lugano 7 years ago. We had a couple of pizzas and two pints of beer in a bog standard trattoria. The bill was nearly £80.

You also wouldn’t expect a Brexit supporter to tell you that the one country in the world with a higher nominal GDP per head than Switzerland is in the EU, would you? Or that Ireland which was an economic basket case in the 1970s now has a higher PPP GDP per head than Switzerland?

Ah, by nominal you need to read 'massaged'? I get it. It hadn't escaped my notice either that the three lists I linked to had Ireland and Luxembourg ranked above Switzerland in all three.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 09, 2018, 10:21:58 am
No. To be fair “nominal” is the straightforward figure. Total output, converted into dollars and divided by the population. It IS the simplest measure. And Switzerland does do very well at that. But not BECAUSE they are outside the EU. They are rich because they were rich well before the EU started. As I say, the UK’s wealth and wealth per capita have grown faster than Switzerland’s while we’ve been inside the EEC/EU.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on April 09, 2018, 10:50:59 am
  No Billy, I am not converted, narrowly, very narrowly, I would stay in. if we were having the vote tomorrow I would still vote to stay in.
   But we have had that vote and I lost. there should not be another vote, if there is it is just opening every election on any subject to be challenged, and reversed, the politics of the gutter, exploited by the Nazi and Bolsheviks.
   Which ever way it goes for the two sides, it is now all about the big bucks to be made, and just who makes them, you and I and the rest of the population are the pawns in the game.
  My game is to now watch the markets, get in or out as the trends go, and try and make a pitance. This forum and the Rovers are my relaxation to get away from the screen for a few minutes.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on April 09, 2018, 10:53:42 am
What made you post that load of spurious tosh without checking it first then? Want to tell us where you got it from?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 09, 2018, 10:57:18 am
Selby

As Glyn says, what you posted is very typical of the sort of stuff that was being poured out by the Leave side during the referendum campaign. It is, at very best misleading and out of context. Most of it is plain wrong. it seems odd for an avowed Remain supporter to be peddling this tripe, but then there's been a lot that has been very odd about the whole Brexit issue.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on April 09, 2018, 11:12:25 am
  A bit of fun, I saw it posted on a site,knew some of it was make believe, and thought getting hammered by yourselves would be a bit funny, SORRY.
   But what some of you who are much more clued  up than me on this subject have to realise, is that in both camps there are some very big world class companies who do exert a lot of influence on governments. And when push comes to shove  their interests will be taken into consideration.
  The talks are now heading towards their interests, I expect the tone to change and a more level headed approach to the negotiations, and more agreement.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 09, 2018, 11:36:59 am
Selby

Problem is that there's also a lot of very powerful politics involved. In order for the EU to retain any credibility, it cannot give an inch on the Irish border question. And nor should it. The people of Ireland didn't have a say in Brexit, so it is priority number 1 for the EU that the people of Ireland are not punished because of Brexit.

So the Irish border question is not going to go away. And as we've discussed in post after post, there is no solution to this which doesn't either hammer the Irish economy (not acceptable to the EU), put up a border between NI and GB (not acceptable to the DUP) or mean that the whole UK remains inside the Single Market and Customs Union (not acceptable to the Tory Govt).

It's a right old f**king pickle and there's no indication that anyone has a solution to it. Which is probably because there's no solution to it. And so you're assumption that the negotiations are going to turn out just fine and dandy is built on very shaky foundations.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on April 09, 2018, 03:09:41 pm
  Billy, even the Irish border means that there is big bucks in it for someone, when that someone comes to the table it will get sorted.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on April 09, 2018, 03:20:58 pm
  Billy, even the Irish border means that there is big bucks in it for someone, when that someone comes to the table it will get sorted.

There's been big bucks riding on it since day one and we're no nearer an acceptable solution because there isn't one.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on April 09, 2018, 05:14:34 pm
  A bit of fun, I saw it posted on a site,knew some of it was make believe, and thought getting hammered by yourselves would be a bit funny, SORRY.
   But what some of you who are much more clued  up than me on this subject have to realise, is that in both camps there are some very big world class companies who do exert a lot of influence on governments. And when push comes to shove  their interests will be taken into consideration.
  The talks are now heading towards their interests, I expect the tone to change and a more level headed approach to the negotiations, and more agreement.
Shelby:You have never been Trolling,Billy,Hoola and Glynn have you..Shame on you!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on April 09, 2018, 09:03:23 pm
Tears at the Cock-a-Hoop Tavern.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 10, 2018, 12:54:10 am
Quote from: Sprotyrover link=topic=263860.msg771014#msg771014 date=1523290474
[quote author=selby link=topic=263860.msg770964#msg770964 date=1523268745
  A bit of fun, I saw it posted on a site,knew some of it was make believe, and thought getting hammered by yourselves would be a bit funny, SORRY.
   But what some of you who are much more clued  up than me on this subject have to realise, is that in both camps there are some very big world class companies who do exert a lot of influence on governments. And when push comes to shove  their interests will be taken into consideration.
  The talks are now heading towards their interests, I expect the tone to change and a more level headed approach to the negotiations, and more agreement.
Shelby:You have never been Trolling,Billy,Hoola and Glynn have you..Shame on you!
[/quote]

Time you grew up .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on April 12, 2018, 06:44:50 pm
  An Article economist  Mathew Lynn,  " The eurozone is facing a new recession" may be of interest to some of you guys.
  Centred on the fact that the powerhouse of europe (Germany) is slowing down sharply,which may be only a blip, but that's how recessions start.
   No progress on reforms has been made, policy responses are limited, and electorates are exhausted by austerity.
  Inspite of the populist idea that everything is getting better, there are some suspcious numbers that don't quite fit the narrative.
   Last week we learnt that retail sales had dropped 0.7% in Feb and had dropped six of the last eight months, and all the last three. Industrial output was down1.6% last month, the largest fall in three years , construction numbers down and factory ordres up only 0.3% after dropping 3.6% in January.
  Most employment growth is in low paid  jobs going to immigrants, and suggests that the economic cycle has topped out in spite of stimulus  to the Euro.
  Across the eurozone  as a whole the outlook is little better with France especially week with retail stagnant and a 1.9% fall in household real income for January and for the year as a whole.
   All this when 2.2 trillion of new Euros have been chucked in at near zero % interest.
   It may not happen but another recession could be terminal for the Euro, THe markets are ignoring the figures at the moment,as a few rogue figures,and forecasters predict a swift recovery, but it does not mean the figures are not real, and if they are the eurozone is heading for big  trouble.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on April 12, 2018, 07:46:39 pm
Why could a recession be terminal for the Euro? Every currency has been through recessions and I've never heard of a currency being killed by one yet.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on April 12, 2018, 08:02:50 pm
  Don't take it up with me Glynn, ask Mathew Lynn, he is the economist who thinks it could happen.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 12, 2018, 08:46:34 pm
That’ll be the Matthew Lynn who has made a career forecasting disaster in the EU will it?

Not exactly the most even-handed commentator. In the past couple of years he’s written articles entitled:

Europe is intent on regulating business out of existence.

Eurozone all at sea over root causes of downturn.

The eurozone crisis is back 

Why Brexit is worse for Europe’s economy than it is for ours 

If you quote commentators, you really out to stop and think about where they are coming from and what their track record of previous predictions is.

Oh aye. Most revealing of all. He’s also written a book lauding the rise of Nigel Farage.

For someone who says he supported Remain, you choose odd people to agree with Selby.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 12, 2018, 08:48:49 pm
Selby. He’s NOT an economist by the way. He’s a journalist and fiction writer.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on April 12, 2018, 09:17:12 pm
  Billy I was sent a circular by my bank I invest with, I copied a brief article which I thought might be of interest, which was also published in the Telegraph, You are shooting the messenger.
   I might add in the past, information from the same source has been very useful with regards to investments in the past. You can dismiss it, I can't afford to off hand, without doing a bit more research.
  I have no doubt the figures quoted are correct, and if the trend continues, as the song says "there may be trouble ahead".
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 12, 2018, 09:31:13 pm
Understood Selby. But it is a fact that he’s been predicting problems for the EU economies for a long time, while they’ve actually grown strongly over the past couple of years - far stronger than we have.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on April 13, 2018, 12:45:14 am
  Don't take it up with me Glynn, ask Mathew Lynn, he is the economist who thinks it could happen.

In that case he's talking b*llocks.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 13, 2018, 01:04:46 am
  Billy I was sent a circular by my bank I invest with, I copied a brief article which I thought might be of interest, which was also published in the Telegraph, You are shooting the messenger.
   I might add in the past, information from the same source has been very useful with regards to investments in the past. You can dismiss it, I can't afford to off hand, without doing a bit more research.
  I have no doubt the figures quoted are correct, and if the trend continues, as the song says "there may be trouble ahead".

Thanks for the warning .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on April 15, 2018, 03:21:35 pm
But, but, but, we're taking back control, Boris and Nigel said so....
 
https://ec.europa.eu/transport/sites/transport/files/legislation/brexit-notice-to-stakeholders-aviation-safety.pdf
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 16, 2018, 12:45:40 am
  Billy I was sent a circular by my bank I invest with, I copied a brief article which I thought might be of interest, which was also published in the Telegraph, You are shooting the messenger.
   I might add in the past, information from the same source has been very useful with regards to investments in the past. You can dismiss it, I can't afford to off hand, without doing a bit more research.
  I have no doubt the figures quoted are correct, and if the trend continues, as the song says "there may be trouble ahead".

Selby do you think it's wise doing business with Russian banks ?  ;)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 16, 2018, 12:55:54 am
But, but, but, we're taking back control, Boris and Nigel said so....
 
https://ec.europa.eu/transport/sites/transport/files/legislation/brexit-notice-to-stakeholders-aviation-safety.pdf
 


Nah that's just the opinion of experts , nothing to look at here.....move on .

Things are gonna get dearer from hereonin  unless you have a bus pass that is . Yrs back in control eh
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on April 16, 2018, 10:59:23 am
  Unless they have taken over one in a large western city NO.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on April 16, 2018, 11:02:34 am
  Hoola, I will give you a tip, get out of the Yorkshire Penny Bank you were in at school.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on April 16, 2018, 06:02:59 pm
I still wonder if they had left well alone and stayed as an economic area rather than try and move to political integration whether the vote would have been different, mine probs would have been
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 17, 2018, 06:19:20 am

  Hoola, I will give you a tip, get out of the Yorkshire Penny Bank you were in at school.

Don't be an arse Selby.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 17, 2018, 06:45:42 am
I still wonder if they had left well alone and stayed as an economic area rather than try and move to political integration whether the vote would have been different, mine probs would have been

Have you read the original intentions of the EEC as it was - it was intended to have greater political as well as economic integration right from the start .

Many in this country STILL blame our social and economic decline on the EU . I have news for you and any others who think like that - WE or rather OUR own Governments were in charge of that how do you think we became the 6th largest economy after needing repeated " bale outs " in the late 1960's  and early 1970's ? Yes it was on the back of the EU - now do you see the problem and it wasn't a loss of any sovereignty ( that was a lie ) or the imposition of Regulations ( that was also a lie ) or for that matter Immigration ( although we did fail to manage that - that was also a lie ). It was the failure of successive Govts . to govern and handle the wealth created instead THEY  not the EU pissed away the proceeds of North Sea oil or all that new found wealth - a fair chunk of that sits untaxed in Off Shore accounts by the same people who persuaded you to help them perpetuate that sleight of hand. It never reached your pocket then and neither will it going forward .

Still if  even after the last few weeks/ months we have endured you haven't realised the benefits to be gained from being as close as possible to our neighbours ; then how will you ĺever realise it . Until of course - its gone !!

The Treaty of Rome 1957.

" The Treaty establishing the EEC affirmed in its preamble that signatory States were  "determined to lay the foundations of an ever closer union among the peoples of Europe". In this way, the member States specifically affirmed the political objective of a progressive political integration.

In fact, the brand new institution was a customs union. As a consequence, the EEC was colloquially known as "Common Market". The member countries agreed to dismantle all tariff barriers over a 12-year transitional period. In view of the economic success that freer commercial exchanges brought about, the transitory term was shortened and in July 1968 all tariffs among the EEC States were abrogated. At the same time, a common tariff was established for all products coming from third countries.

As a matter of fact, the common market meant exclusively free circulation of goods. Free movement of persons, capitals and services continued to be subject to numerous limitations. "

As I hope you can see from the parts I have highlighted that is was NEVER just intended as a Common Market . Again that was a lie ......but it worked didnt it !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on April 17, 2018, 09:26:26 am
The Pound doing rather well this morning.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 17, 2018, 11:11:42 am
Hmm i dont want it doing too well - a weak £ is better for my investments . It needs to fall
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on April 17, 2018, 11:54:26 am
The Pound doing rather well this morning.

Another currency doing badly doesn't mean the pound is getting stronger.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on April 17, 2018, 12:14:22 pm
No but it does help if you are buying some of the other currency.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Muttley on April 17, 2018, 01:27:11 pm
The Pound doing rather well this morning.

Because now that wage increases are above inflation it means that interest rates are likely to rise in the near future - great news for all those with mortgages!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 18, 2018, 01:00:29 am
No but it does help if you are buying some of the other currency.

Stay off that crypto shite idler - reminds me I need some €uros and Danish Kroner. Now do i wait ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 18, 2018, 06:32:49 am
Each Brexit scenario will leave Britain worse off, study finds :-

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/apr/18/each-brexit-scenario-will-leave-britain-worse-off-study-finds.

This makes grim reading !! Forget what you have heard about the strong £ because it's useless if you don't have them in the 1st place.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on April 18, 2018, 09:58:51 am
   Hoola, its them with the pounds who will look after themselves, the rest of us don't really have a say in it.
  As for investments, a mix of world wide companies is the best. Whatever geographical area you put your money in, there are some world class companies which will flourish eventually no matter what. Its picking them out that is the problem.
  If you are confident, do your research, look at the underlying trends,how dividends are covered, and recent results, have a dabble yourself, or put money into well managed funds with a track record of growth and a diverse portfolio spread ( less risk but more expensive).
   But only put money in you can afford to lose and don't need for day to day living, over time you should be better off than  putting it in a bank.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on April 19, 2018, 12:44:40 am
   Hoola, its them with the pounds who will look after themselves, the rest of us don't really have a say in it.
  As for investments, a mix of world wide companies is the best. Whatever geographical area you put your money in, there are some world class companies which will flourish eventually no matter what. Its picking them out that is the problem.
  If you are confident, do your research, look at the underlying trends,how dividends are covered, and recent results, have a dabble yourself, or put money into well managed funds with a track record of growth and a diverse portfolio spread ( less risk but more expensive).
   But only put money in you can afford to lose and don't need for day to day living, over time you should be better off than  putting it in a bank.

Thanks Selby now I do hate banks although they are useful for day to day transactions. I do invest in much the same way as you suggest . 

You are right Brexit is not a lower working class or even middle class thing - which surprised me why fools voted for it . You are quite correct it is only good for the moneyed in our societyhence the reason why these Brexiters are trying to drive it through at express speeds before the hue and cry starts . It surely will once a difficult trading future comes with all its problems and they are endless.

Incidentally it isn't impossible to stop it in its tracks - its going to cost a fortune and will be difficult to sort out even in non-economical areas.
We simply are not geared up for it and the world will spit in our face over it ; it's foolish at best .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on May 01, 2018, 09:00:46 am
The CBI have intervened now, saying Liam Fox's plans are unworkable and that even if they were, his department isn't set up to deal with with them. The CBI report is full of troubling little nuggets, like how the trade dept is reluctant about getting help and advice from anyone else. Probably because they're worried other people will catch on to their back-of-a-fag-packet strategy.
http://uk.businessinsider.com/cbi-warns-liam-foxs-trade-dealrollover-plan-risks-a-cliff-edge-brexit-2018-4
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wesisback on May 01, 2018, 12:16:52 pm
His interview with Humphrys was nothing shy of a disgrace. Deliberately inflammatory words referring to the House of Lords vote which aside from being simply not true fans the flames of division that is already rife in the current climate.
If the deal is as good as it's gonna get you would fully expect it would pass the commons, so why is this government so insistent on wriggling out of its democratic duty?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on May 01, 2018, 08:52:37 pm
It's because they haven't got a clue Wes.
this isn't the Brexit that most people voted for.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on May 02, 2018, 10:09:15 am
  I bet a lot of share dealers are wanting this to go on forever, anyone shorting or going long has not had it this easy for years.
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on May 02, 2018, 11:09:07 am
Yep TM now has the choice of being blackmailed by the 60 or so members of the European Reform ( not forgetting the Legatum Institute headed up by  Chandler a NZ  billionaire with links to Russia ) OR  being sensible and following the advice of virtually every expert and body in the country CBI, TUC etc.

" Cliff - edge " versus common sense Custom Union  , Party versus country,  Rich versus Poor, ' Pie in the sky/ Unicorns versus European neighbours etc etc .- you can be sure she will choose the former rather than the latter and sell us all out .

All the time justifying her actions by quoting those words that will weaken this country " the will of the people have spoken " . Oh how we will come to regret how we handed them the ways and means to destroy this country on a silver platter  for decades to come . Oh how the Tory Party must be chortling at how they have pulled off such deception .
How we , ourselves,  sold out not only our own but our children's futures for a few weak promises that could never ever be realised. A few wet dreams of an unachievable economic future, lies based around Johnny furriners taking over the country.

This country we love will be weaker economically, socially and morally going forward and all that we have managed to gain over the last 40+ years will be tossed away for nothing unless sanity is regained somehow....

This needs to be rejected

https://www.opendemocracy.net/uk/peter-geoghegan/legatum-who-are-brexiteers-favourite-think-tank-and-who-is-behind-them

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: foxbat on May 14, 2018, 04:30:56 pm
After Brexit, British companies simply won't be able to compete. Why would you think otherwise? Can't even get Brits to pick apples or mend the potholes in the roads. Nearly half of England is obese; 50% of 18-25year olds cannot read a standard clock. No doubt the dumbed down Brexit voters will see this as project fear, or remoaning, but look at the facts. WHAT NEW DEALS?? Michael Gove said "we'll export pigs' ears to China' and he was serious. 25% DROP in UK exports to the USA since Trump got in - BILLIONS OF POUNDS LOST
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on May 14, 2018, 05:45:46 pm
We've got potholes in the road because we've had a government unwilling to spend the money necessary for even basic road maintenance since 2010.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on May 14, 2018, 08:22:59 pm
I've paid road tax since 1966 and it has never fully been used for roads and traffic problems.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Muttley on May 14, 2018, 08:26:46 pm
I've paid road tax since 1966 and it has never fully been used for roads and traffic problems.

You actually pay Vehicle Excise Duty which goes into the central tax pot -  it hasn't been dedicated to maintaining the roads since 1937!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on May 17, 2018, 08:15:31 pm
  Italy maybe about to approach the European Central Bank about writing off 250 billion euro of debt.
   Now that could be interesting.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on May 17, 2018, 10:21:46 pm
Another interesting development I have just been guided in the direction off.

Earlier this week YouGov published a poll that showed 36% of people regarding leaving the EU as a priority against the 29% who thought keeping NI in the UK should be.

Today one taken among people in NI shows 48% favouring a united Ireland rather than a hard border against 45.5% opting to stay in the UK.

https://www.buzz.ie/news/poll-n-irish-rather-united-ireland-stay-uk-hard-brexit-279038

Now take a moment to think of the implications of all that....
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on May 18, 2018, 07:52:33 am
Cut off a limb so we there's no easy way them pesky Europeans can sneak in to our great country.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on May 21, 2018, 05:28:00 am
Cut off a limb so we there's no easy way them pesky Europeans can sneak in to our great country.

Sadly that is how some think without thinking of any of the dangers in what they are proposing - dangers many of us thought had gone forever.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on May 21, 2018, 07:57:52 am
Just a thought? Is anything actually happening?

We had all this fevered activity around Christmas to get Phase One completed (or rather fudged). Since then nothing seems to have been actually agreed nor any progress made.

I think the Commission has (wisely) decided to stop chivvying the UK and wait and see if anything emerges from what appears to be deadlock at all levels.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on May 21, 2018, 08:30:38 am
Oh, there's plenty happening. But most of it seems to be the Tories arguing amongst themselves instead of the with the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on May 21, 2018, 09:06:32 am
  Italy becoming more of a problem for the EU. Europe's fourth largest economy is mostly a basket case, Their Banks have Billions of debt that cannot be repaid, lots of business are bankrupt but are being kept afloat to stop mass unemployment adding to the debt, all this in spite of the E.U. continuing quantitative easing of the euro area.
   Add to this they are on the forefront of mass emigration from Africa, and the coalition government is proposing to expel 500,000,where to god knows, and like Greece you have a ticking time bomb, but this time a big one. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on May 21, 2018, 09:55:52 am
TRB

As some of us have been saying for 2 years now, there is no solution to the Irish border problem that involves us being out of the CU and SM. That’s the key problem. There’s a turf war going on in the Tory party between those who realise this and want a sensible solution, and those who realise this and want a pie in the sky solution.

There’s no progress to be made until the Tory party decides what it wants, or the Govt falls.

What the f**k the EU negotiators think of this rabble, God only knows.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on May 21, 2018, 10:06:58 am
  Billy, I watched a programme the other day about this subject, the port of Harwich does £86 billion of trade with the Eu every year all electronically surveyed, and very few customs officers evident at all.
  The cross border trade amounts to £3 billion per year.
    Just what would be the problem and the difference in your eyes?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on May 21, 2018, 10:30:40 am
Selby

Just stop and have a think about the blindingly obvious flaw in your argument there.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on May 21, 2018, 11:18:19 am
  Billy I asked you the question, they will both be physical border crossings, one dealing with much more trade than the other.
  There has been no talk of the systems at the ports being not acceptable to either side, it is a proven system that works.
  I am asking you, what do you see as a problem?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on May 21, 2018, 11:27:05 am
The crossing from Harwich to the continent is taking place within a Customs Union! That is precisely why there is so little active intervention at the crossing. They don’t have to check that’s whats going in and out is acceptable to the other side because we’re all playing by the same rules on standards. And there are no tariffs for goods going between us and the Continent. That’s the whole point!

If we leave the Customs Union, the 250 crossing points between NI and Republic of Iteland will each become a crossing point between the UK and the EU Customs Union. Checks will be required. That will gum up the border and destroy a key principle of the Good Friday Agreement.

If there was a simple solution, don’t you think we’d have found it by now? Instead, 23 months on, we still haven’t got a f**king clue how to leave the CU without the Irish border being a disaster.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on May 21, 2018, 11:38:58 am
  Billy, the same system can still be implemented if both sides want to agree to it.
  The fact is it is not seen as as acceptable for political reasons, mostly from the EU's point of view, economically it is small beer, and would hit the economy of Southern Ireland.
  Fun and games to be had down the line I think, but time to bang heads together and get on with it.
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on May 21, 2018, 12:25:46 pm
  Billy, the same system can still be implemented if both sides want to agree to it.
  The fact is it is not seen as as acceptable for political reasons, mostly from the EU's point of view, economically it is small beer, and would hit the economy of Southern Ireland.
  Fun and games to be had down the line I think, but time to bang heads together and get on with it.
 
It would hit the economy of Southern Ireland, who didn't vote for Brexit and are part of the EU. Why should the EU f**k over its own citizens to give us what we want? We're the ones who want to leave, and we will bear the consequences, but the EU cannot allow those consequences to affect its own citizens living in ROI. I'm sure people will think I'm anti-British for saying this, but I don't think that's an unreasonable position for the EU to take. We'd do exactly the same, I'm sure.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on May 21, 2018, 12:28:31 pm
No! The same system CANNOT be implemented unless WE accept the terms of the CU. That’s the whole point! If we want the flexibility of being outside the CU then BY DEFINITION we will not be abiding by the rules of the CU.

Is it that hard to follow? It is nothing to do with the EU making it hard for us. It’s all about us having no rational approach other than saying “let us have all the benefits of membership and all the benefits of non-membership.” Do you see why the EU is so exasperated with us?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on May 21, 2018, 12:40:08 pm
  Billy, the same system can still be implemented if both sides want to agree to it.
  The fact is it is not seen as as acceptable for political reasons, mostly from the EU's point of view, economically it is small beer, and would hit the economy of Southern Ireland.
  Fun and games to be had down the line I think, but time to bang heads together and get on with it.
 

Not sure I'd call the potential return of the men with the guns "fun and games"
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on May 21, 2018, 12:57:44 pm
  Billy, the same system can still be implemented if both sides want to agree to it.
  The fact is it is not seen as as acceptable for political reasons, mostly from the EU's point of view, economically it is small beer, and would hit the economy of Southern Ireland.
  Fun and games to be had down the line I think, but time to bang heads together and get on with it.
 

No it bloody can't and it has never been a possibility. When we leave the Single Market and the Customs Union EVERY consignment crossing the newly restored trade border will require a Customs Declaration on BOTH sides of the border (An export declaration in the country of exit and an import declaration in the country of entry). That applies even when there is no Duty or VAT to collect. And every consignment will be liable to a physical examination at any time the consignment is in Customs Control in order to verify that the Declaration isn't false. Exactly as it was before we joined the Single Market in 1992. Nothing to do with 'politics' at all, it is how things are and always were. We're just going back to 'the good old days'. Apparently it's what the people voted for.

That is what a hard border is. And as Billy says, there is no way round that without staying in the Single Market and Customs Union i.e. everything staying the same as it is now.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on May 21, 2018, 01:03:39 pm
  Billy, the same system can still be implemented if both sides want to agree to it.
  The fact is it is not seen as as acceptable for political reasons, mostly from the EU's point of view, economically it is small beer, and would hit the economy of Southern Ireland.
  Fun and games to be had down the line I think, but time to bang heads together and get on with it.
 
It would hit the economy of Southern Ireland, who didn't vote for Brexit and are part of the EU. Why should the EU f**k over its own citizens to give us what we want? We're the ones who want to leave, and we will bear the consequences, but the EU cannot allow those consequences to affect its own citizens living in ROI. I'm sure people will think I'm anti-British for saying this, but I don't think that's an unreasonable position for the EU to take. We'd do exactly the same, I'm sure.

On top of ordinary trade, an open border between NI and Eire will instantly attract fraudulent CAP movements and the EU (quite rightly) ain't going to allow that to happen.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on May 21, 2018, 02:44:45 pm
Michael Gove is giving a wonderful speech about how Britain is now more welcoming to migrants after the Brexit vote. Great banter.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on May 21, 2018, 05:07:06 pm
  Billy, I watched a programme the other day about this subject, the port of Harwich does £86 billion of trade with the Eu every year all electronically surveyed, and very few customs officers evident at all.
  The cross border trade amounts to £3 billion per year.
    Just what would be the problem and the difference in your eyes?

The problem is not inter-Europe trade but goods arriving in Europe from the rest of the world.

Currently all goods from whatever country of origin are subject to the relevant EU customs duty at their port of entry into Europe. Late last year it was announced that the UK has been failing to collect the correct duty on many Chinese goods, depriving the EU of around £2.4 billion in lost revenue and most likely to end up in a court case at the ECJ.

So with Northern Ireland after Brexit, how can the EU be assured that goods wont come into Belfast tariff free and then be transferred across the border to the Republic without paying EU taxes? If we can't collect/are subject to fraud, when we are in the same customs area is it no wonder they are suspicious of what might happen outside of it?


https://www.politico.eu/article/uk-faces-e2-billion-eu-payment-for-china-fraud-trade/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on May 22, 2018, 04:55:44 pm
And so the gentle downward spiral continues.

https://amp.theguardian.com/politics/2018/may/22/brexit-vote-cost-uk-mark-carney-bank-of-england?CMP=share_btn_tw&__twitter_impression=true

Still. We took back control, eh?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on May 23, 2018, 12:24:58 pm
  Not every household Billy, I refer you to my previous post about the dealers(market makers).
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on May 23, 2018, 01:09:20 pm
The latest in the Brexit sitcom:
Boris has said the negotiations would go much easier if he had his own Foreign Office plane. So Brexit might be a success, but only if we spend a few million quid on a private jet for BoJo. Nice one.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on May 23, 2018, 04:23:59 pm
Selby. Agreed, it’s not every household. But it is the average figure. And as ever, it’ll be the poorest who will be being hit hardest. Sad thing is, they were very much the ones who were talked into voting for this.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on May 23, 2018, 04:33:58 pm
Sorry Macho I am afraid you are behind the times.

The latest in the Brexit sitcom is that the Government has said that its own figures for one of it's own customs options are 'just speculation'. Or to be more accurate No.10 has contradicted HMRC when they say (in answer to No.10 asking them to estimate the cost) that 'maxfac' will cost £20billion.

A well known phrase involving 'arse' and 'elbow' comes to mind.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on May 24, 2018, 10:09:02 am
Good job the big red bus is on its way.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-44230033
 
Oh how the people fell for the lies!  And the least well off fell for it most and will be the worst to suffer....
 
Still, when people finally realise what a big mistake it's been we can always reapply for membership to get back what we already had. There'd only be a few concessions to make, like our special status, the rebates and, of course, having to accept the Euro.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on May 24, 2018, 09:52:05 pm
It's amazing how Brexiteers can use so many words to say absolutely nothing of substance!
 
https://www.andreajenkyns.co.uk/news/my-decision-resign-my-pps-role-government
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on May 30, 2018, 12:00:10 am
   Looks like the Italians have started a little ripple in the markets as forecast. I can see this becoming more of a wave as time goes on.
  The mediterranean countries are getting fed up with Germany pulling the strings, and Hungary, Poland etc. are not having being told who to accept in their country.
  An interesting summer on the  horizon? The EU have more than one problem on their hands.
  The only way the euro can succeed, is for their to be one federal entity, powered by Germany and France, I cannot see the other regions voting to accept that, in fact they are becoming more nationalistic.
  Government bonds in Italy are at 3% over two years, way below the 7% that triggered the Greece fiasco, but borrowing is 130% of GDP, so the money  men are not happy, and their banks are in big trouble.
  Still recoverable, but if politically they mess up, it could be the straw that broke the camel's back.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on May 30, 2018, 06:25:14 pm
An interesting new EU law...

https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/eu-brexit-uk-labour-laws-migrant-workers-a8375836.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on May 30, 2018, 07:21:23 pm
  Becoming a problem in Germany and France, that's why.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on June 01, 2018, 11:21:28 am
Do As I Say, Not As I Do | Former U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer Nigel Lawson, a longtime advocate of Brexit who chaired the Vote Leave campaign, has set out how he’s preparing for Britain’s departure from the EU: He’s applying for French residency, to allow him to continue living in southwest France. He told Connexion he was finding the bureaucracy “tiresome.”
 
https://www.theguardian.com/politics...ncy-vote-leave
 
In the article he goes on to say "I love Europe! That’s why I live in France."
 
You couldn't make it up.... And some people still can't see that they've been conned!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on June 01, 2018, 12:48:52 pm
I struggle to take a man who named his daughter f**king Nigella seriously.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on June 01, 2018, 01:42:25 pm
  Most of the rich English people who lived in London have moved away, there are too many foreigners living there now for them.
   It is easier to buy a pad in the south of France, and rent their pads out in London at exorbitant rents.
  Buy in the nice parts of France and your neighbours are most likely British as well.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 01, 2018, 02:09:22 pm
  Most of the rich English people who lived in London have moved away, there are too many foreigners living there now for them.
   It is easier to buy a pad in the south of France, and rent their pads out in London at exorbitant rents.
  Buy in the nice parts of France and your neighbours are most likely British as well.

So they move to France to get away from foreigners? That makes perfect sense! :silly:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DevilMayCry on June 01, 2018, 03:46:27 pm
Quote
An interesting new EU law...

https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/eu-brexit-uk-labour-laws-migrant-workers-a8375836.html 

Becoming a problem in Germany and France, that's why.

My father worked for years in constructions in Germany. Everytime he was payed exactly the same as the germans. When I was there and searched for a job, I would have been payed like the germans (the problem at me was that I don't speak fluent german). Believe me, Germany don't have any problem with this. They want migrants to come and do their dirty jobs, because many germans don't want to do it.

That law is about discrimination, that for the same work everybody has to be paid the same, even if he english, german or romanian (and this is something normal).
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on June 01, 2018, 09:00:55 pm
  DMC, it must be only us that have gang masters , and a black economy then.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on June 05, 2018, 11:35:33 pm
Are you suggesting he is lying then Selby ?
DMC has been a member of this forum for some time now and I for one don't feel he would have reason to lie to us , do you ?
Perhaps his experiences don't quite fit  with the daft ideology you would much prefer to believe in . Plus que ça change and all that
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on June 05, 2018, 11:54:18 pm
Selby for the record , I lived in Germany for 7 years when I was younger - I simply don't recognise these sweeping comments I hear all the time about Germany and especially Germans themselves not from you in particular but more generally.

High time that many of our people stopped fighting a war with the current population 73 years on from the end of that war , frankly its childish, ridiculous and dangerous.

We need to move on , we were struggling to do just that right up until we joined the Common Market whereupon our finances and our country as a whole made massive steps to recovery ; only for Brexit to happen and here we go again bickering with our neighbours and threatening to shatter our economy. All this whilst all around us our infrastructure is crumbling and the start of a socio- economic war on the horizon with our European supposed " bezzie " mates.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DevilMayCry on June 06, 2018, 04:52:21 pm
Are you suggesting he is lying then Selby ?
DMC has been a member of this forum for some time now and I for one don't feel he would have reason to lie to us , do you ?
Perhaps his experiences don't quite fit  with the daft ideology you would much prefer to believe in . Plus que ça change and all that
I've joined this forum in 2014, before I came there to live in Barnsley (April 2014). I was interested in this team since I heard that Tamas joined the club (Tamas wasn't and isn't my favorite player), and I was curious about the club and the supporters...I've always loved english football, your history and tradition.

I'm an honest man, I don't like lies. What I told about Germany is what I know about them from my father (he started to work there in 1999, when I had 11 years old) and from my experience when I lived there (it was much longer than I lived in UK) and talked with germans.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 06, 2018, 06:28:30 pm
If there's any truth in this I'll allow myself a wry smile... :lol:

https://twitter.com/Far_Right_Watch/status/1004390467675541505
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 06, 2018, 07:34:38 pm
I've just seen this posted elsewhere and I thought it might be worth sharing...

Quote
Surely we all remember the promises made during the referendum campaign: We all know the “Land of Unicorns and Rainbows” that was promised: The EU would roll over and give us a “Cake And Eat It” deal, all the foreigners would be shoved over the white cliffs of Dover at the point of a pitchfork and the NHS would be rolling in cash.

But of course, none of those things has happened. And we all know now that they’re not going to. Leave campaign knew this from the very start, but enough people swallowed their lies to get them their 52% and that was what really mattered to them…… was the ONLY thing that mattered to them.

Now their message has changed in a very fundamental way. The message now is about finding a way to de-couple the VOTE to leave the EU from the CONSEQUENCES of leaving and this is being done in six distinct ways.


IT’S TOO LATE NOW
Pretty simple, this one. “The vote’s been held and we’ve got to live with it so get with the programme.” In this narrative, all debate ended with the referendum. Pro Brexit journalist Julia Hartley recently tweeted in response to a question on the lack of foreign investment since the vote: “Look mate, I really don’t care. This question was answered two years ago. Move on with your life.” A typical Brexiter statement.

But politics doesn’t work like that. Winning the vote was just the first – and easiest - part of a process which is going to have consequences for generations to come.


IT’S NOT UP TO US
This is the denial of responsibility. This says that those who led the Leave campaign have done their bit by simply delivering a majority to leave the EU and its up to everybody else now to make it work. But in a way, winning the vote was a disaster for Brexiters because it meant that they became responsible for what happened next.

They were warned over and over of the consequences but insisted that those warnings were not only wrong, but were malevolent, EU motivated fear mongering so Leavers now claim that the current mess is all the Remainers fault and they must now change their attitude. But this is a red herring. In reality it is up to Leavers to make Brexit work, not Remainers who have always insisted that the whole thing would end badly.


IT HASN’T BEEN DONE PROPERLY
This argument tells us that there was nothing wrong with the decision… that all the faults lie with the government. Firstly, Leavers argue that they never specified how Brexit was to be undertaken in a way that doesn’t damage the UK economically, politically or strategically. However, every mis-step of the government has been as a result of pressure from, and cheered on by, “Brexit Ultras” like the Tories favourite panto toff, Jacob Rees-Mogg, and this includes the dogmatic “Red Lines”, the premature triggering of Article 50 and the subsequent premature calling of a General Election to (according to the Daily Mail) “Crush The Saboteurs.”

This narrative often happens in failed businesses where any and every failed management decision is defended by its advocates who claim it would have worked brilliantly if it wasn’t for “inadequate implementation.”

This takes us back to “It’s Not Up To Us” in that Brexiters claim victimhood at the hands of the elite, refusing to accept that having won the referendum and having a government pursuing what they campaigned for, it’s not their fault because they’re not the ones implementing it.

And then, of course, we come to the inevitable……


IT’S ALL THE REMAINERS FAULT
Of course, everything would have been just fine and dandy if it wasn’t for all those dreadful Remoaners who are vacuously accused of sabotage, treachery and talking Brexit down. Depending on the situation, the failure of Brexit is blamed on the Civil Service, the BBC, the CBI, the House of Lords but not, mysteriously, ex-Public Schoolboys, multi millionaires, Hedge Fund speculators, right-wing politicians and media moguls, and newspaper owners who support Brexit. Sometimes, the fault lies with each and every individual of the 48% who voted Remain. Wow..!!

But hold on a minute…… if Brexit had been the wonderful thing its proponents claimed, then it wouldn’t have mattered what the Remainers did or said, would it..?


IT’S ALL THE EU’S FAULT
This is the most dominant of the post referendum excuses made by Brexiters. They claim that the EU has decided to “punish” Britain for leaving. Such claims are nonsense since they ascribe to the EU the consequences of Britain leaving and as such are just another form of denial of responsibility.

For instance, Brexiters blame the EU for the Irish border crisis as something created by the EU, but it isn't. It is the ineluctable legal consequence of leaving the single market and customs union.

The problem with the punishment narrative is that the Brexiters said during the referendum campaign that Britain “Holds all the cards” and that “The EU needs us more than we need them.” If those things were true then no punishment would have been possible. If it was wrong then Vote Leave must indeed have known of the consequences embedded in the lie, consequences that they concealed from the public.


IT’S NOT ABOUT PRACTICAL CONSEQUENCES, IT’S ABOUT PHILOSOPHICAL PRINCIPLES
The last, desperate throw of the dice to give some justification for getting us into this mess, Vote Leave claim a commitment to “sovereignty” in the abstract. This is the “Take Back Control” argument.

This enables them to argue that consequences don’t matter because the referendum was a philosophical vote. But instead of arguing that case on its own, instead they made arguments about immigration and NHS funding…. Arguments which would not have had to be made if they had a pure sovereignty agenda.

As the practical consequences of Brexit mount up and can no longer be dismissed as Project Fear, Brexiters now attempt to counter the Remain argument that “Nobody voted to be poorer.” The real reason behind the sovereignty argument is that it is intended to deflect discussion away from practical consequences.

The sovereignty red herring is used to ignore practical consequences to the extent that many Brexiters now argue that the hardships looming on the horizon are actually desirable because they will create a renewal of national spirit by bringing about a return of the “Dunkirk Spirit.” Whaaaaaat…??

There was a reason they didn’t put this on the big red bus though….. because nobody would have voted for it.



In summary, because the vote to leave the EU was the beginning of a process, not the end of it, the way that Brexiters are now trying to de-couple the vote from the consequences is crucial to them. The benefits promised by Brexit simply haven’t happened and actually look more distant now than ever before.

Immigration hasn’t been halted and they knew it never would be. The day after the referendum, Daniel Hannan stated the Leave campaign “Never said there was going to be some radical decline” (in immigration) and in March 2018 David Davis said that immigration is bound to rise.

Both have now subtly altered their position and say that what really matters is that Britain has its own immigration policy rather than the EU’s. Numbers don’t matter….. we can have as much immigration as (possibly more than) the EU but that will be OK because it would be us allowing it rather than being ordered to by Brussels. Does that sound to you like what we were told during the referendum campaign..? No..? I thought not.

As for free trade, many Brexiters now argue that this was the central argument in favour of Brexit. But it wasn’t. Immigration was and we all know it. And even if free trade had been, it wasn’t explained that any trade policy would involve the relaxation of immigration controls.



So, this is where Brexiters are now. All the referendum swagger has gone, all the promises made have evaporated and in their place are a series of absurd and indefensible arguments which, even if they run together make two fundamentally different claims. One is that whatever happens now is not the fault of Brexiters. The other is that the referendum gave them a blank cheque to do whatever they please… that 23 June 2016 is a frozen in time moment that denotes either the end of their responsibility or the beginning of their freedom to define the consequences.

Both are linked to their boundless dishonesty since neither claim was entertained, let alone endorsed by the referendum.

But they are both profoundly unrealistic because politics did NOT end on 23 June 2016. On the contrary, it began a period of political dislocation in this country that will likely last for decades to come.

Brexiters seem to think that by winning the vote that would be an end to it and it is already obvious that this is not so. If Brexit does go ahead then Brexiters will – quite rightly – be held responsible for every consequence that flows from it.

That is the significance of the excuses they are putting forward to deny that the vote had any consequences. It’s not just that they don’t want to take the blame, they don’t want to take responsibility either.

The ultimate truth about Brexit is that it started as a protest movement with wholly un-thought out, unrealistic and disastrous policies and became – against the odds - a government set on delivering them.

The Brexiters are now running away from the consequences as fast as they can. The tragedy for our country is that in one way or another, the entire population – including the 48% who didn’t want anything to do with it - are stuck with having to live with them.

Today, Theresa May refused to commit to the “detailed, ambitious and precise” paper on Brexit, as promised, ahead of the Summit scheduled for the end of this month. This is just the latest failure of a government who cannot - and doesn't want to - take responsibility for the thing that has come to define it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on June 06, 2018, 08:52:23 pm
Any chance of a TL;DR summary?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wesisback on June 06, 2018, 11:15:16 pm
Fairly strong rumours that David Davis is set to quit tomorrow. It's becoming more and more obvious to even those who want it to work that unfortunately it's set to be an unmitigated disaster.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 07, 2018, 01:06:17 am
Threatening to resign is about the only thing he’s done for the past6 months.

https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2018/06/all-times-david-davis-has-threatened-resign-over-brexit-didn-t#amp

What a f**king shower. And they’re STILL ahead in the polls.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on June 07, 2018, 02:00:20 am
Are you suggesting he is lying then Selby ?
DMC has been a member of this forum for some time now and I for one don't feel he would have reason to lie to us , do you ?
Perhaps his experiences don't quite fit  with the daft ideology you would much prefer to believe in . Plus que ça change and all that
I've joined this forum in 2014, before I came there to live in Barnsley (April 2014). I was interested in this team since I heard that Tamas joined the club (Tamas wasn't and isn't my favorite player), and I was curious about the club and the supporters...I've always loved english football, your history and tradition.

I'm an honest man, I don't like lies. What I told about Germany is what I know about them from my father (he started to work there in 1999, when I had 11 years old) and from my experience when I lived there (it was much longer than I lived in UK) and talked with germans.

That was exactly why I supported what you said DMC  - long may you stay with the mighty Rovers too friend
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on June 07, 2018, 02:14:45 am
Any chance of a TL;DR summary?

Basically not only is the idea of  C.R.A.P. Not a good one neither is the whole fecking shambles of Brexit . Oh and it looks like  Farage is in the shit . Haha
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on June 07, 2018, 02:18:20 am
Fairly strong rumours that David Davis is set to quit tomorrow. It's becoming more and more obvious to even those who want it to work that unfortunately it's set to be an unmitigated disaster.

There's going to be a lot of Doncastrians crying into their beer soon at this rate - Brexit is the gift that carries on giving ....
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 07, 2018, 08:13:56 am
Threatening to resign is about the only thing he’s done for the past6 months.

https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2018/06/all-times-david-davis-has-threatened-resign-over-brexit-didn-t#amp

What a f**king shower. And they’re STILL ahead in the polls.

If he DOES finally go, if May has any gumption she'll immediately offer the job to Rees-Mogg to hobble him and his crazy ideas. And make sure everybody knows about it when he turns it down, so that his credibility gets a good kicking.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on June 07, 2018, 02:44:30 pm
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DfFel4VW4AAKe9N.png:small)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 07, 2018, 05:12:23 pm
Threatening to resign is about the only thing he’s done for the past6 months.

https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2018/06/all-times-david-davis-has-threatened-resign-over-brexit-didn-t#amp

What a f**king shower. And they’re STILL ahead in the polls.

And so yet another threat to resign comes to nought. And yet another pointless fudge is put forward.

I rarely have much time for Laura Kuenssberg's take on things but she got it bang on yesterday. The Tory party is tearing itself apart over the details of proposals that will not be acceptable to the EU anyway.

And still they are ahead in the polls.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on June 08, 2018, 12:51:07 am
There is an elephant in the room, and everyone is ignoring it.

An orange coal pandering elephant in the White House, set on introducing trade barriers to support domestic US industry.

These barriers to trade, and the tit for tat responses that come in their wake, are a fly in the ointment of all those who think we will be able to easily set up free trade agreements with all and sundry.

So the Brexit farce staggers on with the rationale behind the revival cast into the shade.
Nobody says anything.

Treeza kicks the can down the road to hold back the threat of Rees-Smug for another day.
The emperors new clothes show, aboard the Marie Celeste.

Post-ironic comedy at the cutting edge of delusion.
Champion!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Hounslowrover on June 08, 2018, 08:05:07 am
We are fortunate to be in a trading bloc that can counter Trump's protectionism. Once out, we will have no clout against his trade deals, utter madness.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Pancho Regan on June 08, 2018, 10:16:19 pm
Trump being aggressive and belligerent at the G7 Summit;

He suggests Russia should be welcomed back, to make a G8;

Boris Johnson being secretly recorded tonight stating that Trump would make a better job than May of negotiating Brexit;

Europe on the back foot in the face of US trade sanctions due to lack of unity;

We are going to hell in a hand cart.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on June 09, 2018, 12:09:37 am
Trump being aggressive and belligerent at the G7 Summit;

He suggests Russia should be welcomed back, to make a G8;

Boris Johnson being secretly recorded tonight stating that Trump would make a better job than May of negotiating Brexit;

Europe on the back foot in the face of US trade sanctions due to lack of unity;

We are going to hell in a hand cart.

We are but still our leaders ( joke) and many of our people remain delusional. I watch Question Time each week and wonder where/ when  the argument for remaining in the EU will come from the audience . It doesn't seem to matter how pro-EU the town is the camera still seems to zoom into the most vehement " leaver " in the audience for lo and behold they get picked out by Dimbleby to spout out more of their ' Mail inspired '  (n)utter rubbish. He can be relied on to do it week in week out !

I swear they could do one in Gibraltar and the audience would be packed to the rafters with white 50 + year old bald- headed  males clutching their Rees- Smug  amulets chanting " Brexit means Brexit " for all their worth.

 Indeed " we are going to hell in a handcart "
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 09, 2018, 08:18:38 am
Trump being aggressive and belligerent at the G7 Summit;

He suggests Russia should be welcomed back, to make a G8;

Boris Johnson being secretly recorded tonight stating that Trump would make a better job than May of negotiating Brexit;

Europe on the back foot in the face of US trade sanctions due to lack of unity;

We are going to hell in a hand cart.

Even May would do a better job if she had the economic strength of the US to bully others with. I'd like to see Trump try the same tactics without it and see how far he gets...

PS Funny how Boris says that when he seems to be trying to make himself come across like Trump more and more...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on June 09, 2018, 08:36:36 am
Not being a political expert I keep out of this thread but it strikes me that for the people who are involved in the Brexit negotiations, well they face an almost impossible task in trying to get us a decent deal.

Whatever they do is deemed to be wrong by their detractors.
A chance for political points scoring.

It is kind of like being involved in a car crash, then berating the emergency services for not doing their jobs properly when they come to help you.

You dont want to be in the car crash in the first place of course but there you are.

The people we should be pointing the finger of blame at are the voters who put us in this position.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on June 09, 2018, 08:43:42 am
I stopped watching Question Time (and Newsnight) a long time ago - its just propoganda for a particular view the BBC want to push. But I do listen to a lot of the radio phone-ins and yes there are a lot of angry Brexiteers out there. And you can see why.

This latest backstop proposal, which you notice the EU has problems with but has not outright rejected. It essentially says that if nothing else can be agreed - the whole of the UK will stay in the customs union and (parts of) the single market. Why would the EU want to negotiate anything less than that?

They have been done up like 'Kippers. Welcome to the Hotel California.

https://www.politico.eu/article/how-brexiteers-lost-control-of-brexit/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on June 09, 2018, 08:56:36 am
Not being a political expert I keep out of this thread but it strikes me that for the people who are involved in the Brexit negotiations, well they face an almost impossible task in trying to get us a decent deal.

Whatever they do is deemed to be wrong by their detractors.
A chance for political points scoring.

It is kind of like being involved in a car crash, then berating the emergency services for not doing their jobs properly when they come to help you.

You dont want to be in the car crash in the first place of course but there you are.

The people we should be pointing the finger of blame at are the voters who put us in this position.



Thats very judgemental Hound if I may say so and just a little arrogant. Have you every considered it may turn out to be a wise choice (it may not but seems you haven't even considered it)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on June 09, 2018, 09:51:00 am
Not being a political expert I keep out of this thread but it strikes me that for the people who are involved in the Brexit negotiations, well they face an almost impossible task in trying to get us a decent deal.

Whatever they do is deemed to be wrong by their detractors.
A chance for political points scoring.

It is kind of like being involved in a car crash, then berating the emergency services for not doing their jobs properly when they come to help you.

You dont want to be in the car crash in the first place of course but there you are.

The people we should be pointing the finger of blame at are the voters who put us in this position.



Thats very judgemental Hound if I may say so and just a little arrogant. Have you every considered it may turn out to be a wise choice (it may not but seems you haven't even considered it)





Again, as a self declared non expert, yes, I agree it may be a good thing in the long run.
I don’t know either way, but then again, nor does anyone else.
We will just have to wait and see.

I am not sure which part of my post you see as arrogant.
I was simply putting my take on what I see and hear on the tv when whatever is said about the negotiations, someone pops up and Pooh Pooh’s it and tells us why it is not right, but generally without telling us what would be right.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 09, 2018, 10:18:54 am
Not being a political expert I keep out of this thread but it strikes me that for the people who are involved in the Brexit negotiations, well they face an almost impossible task in trying to get us a decent deal.

Whatever they do is deemed to be wrong by their detractors.
A chance for political points scoring.

It is kind of like being involved in a car crash, then berating the emergency services for not doing their jobs properly when they come to help you.

You dont want to be in the car crash in the first place of course but there you are.

The people we should be pointing the finger of blame at are the voters who put us in this position.



Almost right Hound. Except that the people responsible for negotiating the deal (Davis, Johnson, Fox) were three of the most vociferous ones in the Referendum campaign telling us that negotiating a deal with the EU would be easy.

They deserve the stick they are getting. And 100 times more.

Somehow, the most odious little f**ker of the lot of them, Gove, has got away with facing his responsibility. I’d have him buggered for all eternity by the three headed hound of Hell if I had my way.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on June 09, 2018, 02:03:35 pm
This absolutely takes the cake:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-latest-nigel-farage-theresa-may-uk-worse-off-tough-brussels-a8390796.html

Farage and Cameron should go into the wrecking business.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 09, 2018, 03:13:49 pm
I thought that tosspot would rear his head again this weekend.

The intellectual vacuousness of the Brexit tub-thumpers is spectacularly depressing. They continually harp on about needing a “vision” for post-Brexit Britain but they never EVER propose a vision. Because they know there isn’t one that won’t leave us significantly poorer and weaker. What that t**t is doing is preparing the way for post-Brexit blame. In two years time, when our economy is tanking because of him and his like leading us into voting for a disaster, he’ll claim that the real problem is that May et al didn’t have a vision and everything would have been alright if we did.

I hope the bas**rd rots in Hell.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on June 09, 2018, 05:51:27 pm
You can't just blame someone for not having a policy if you don't have one yourself. Of course it keeps him in the news.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on June 09, 2018, 06:21:20 pm
Not being a political expert I keep out of this thread but it strikes me that for the people who are involved in the Brexit negotiations, well they face an almost impossible task in trying to get us a decent deal.

Whatever they do is deemed to be wrong by their detractors.
A chance for political points scoring.

It is kind of like being involved in a car crash, then berating the emergency services for not doing their jobs properly when they come to help you.

You dont want to be in the car crash in the first place of course but there you are.

The people we should be pointing the finger of blame at are the voters who put us in this position.



Thats very judgemental Hound if I may say so and just a little arrogant. Have you every considered it may turn out to be a wise choice (it may not but seems you haven't even considered it)

It's also very accurate.  Pray tell me, HOW will 'leave' turn out to be a wise choice?  I've seen nothing but rhetoric from leavers so far, meanwhile jobs are leaving the UK and the lot of the worse off in the country, (a large proportion of whom voted leave), are becoming worse off; the situation re the Irish border is no where nearer a solution than when we started, and the deal that was to be so easy as to take no more than ten minutes has hardly progressed at all!
 
The people of this country deserve the BREXIT they think they voted for!  But they won't be happy with it!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on June 09, 2018, 07:13:00 pm
I thought that tosspot would rear his head again this weekend.

The intellectual vacuousness of the Brexit tub-thumpers is spectacularly depressing. They continually harp on about needing a “vision” for post-Brexit Britain but they never EVER propose a vision. Because they know there isn’t one that won’t leave us significantly poorer and weaker. What that t**t is doing is preparing the way for post-Brexit blame. In two years time, when our economy is tanking because of him and his like leading us into voting for a disaster, he’ll claim that the real problem is that May et al didn’t have a vision and everything would have been alright if we did.

I hope the bas**rd rots in Hell.





Isn’t that more or less what I posted earlier, well without the last line.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on June 09, 2018, 07:39:20 pm
Not being a political expert I keep out of this thread but it strikes me that for the people who are involved in the Brexit negotiations, well they face an almost impossible task in trying to get us a decent deal.

Whatever they do is deemed to be wrong by their detractors.
A chance for political points scoring.

It is kind of like being involved in a car crash, then berating the emergency services for not doing their jobs properly when they come to help you.

You dont want to be in the car crash in the first place of course but there you are.

The people we should be pointing the finger of blame at are the voters who put us in this position.



Thats very judgemental Hound if I may say so and just a little arrogant. Have you every considered it may turn out to be a wise choice (it may not but seems you haven't even considered it)

It's also very accurate.  Pray tell me, HOW will 'leave' turn out to be a wise choice?  I've seen nothing but rhetoric from leavers so far, meanwhile jobs are leaving the UK and the lot of the worse off in the country, (a large proportion of whom voted leave), are becoming worse off; the situation re the Irish border is no where nearer a solution than when we started, and the deal that was to be so easy as to take no more than ten minutes has hardly progressed at all!
 
The people of this country deserve the BREXIT they think they voted for!  But they won't be happy with it!

Yeah but they're all too busy going ner ner we won get over it and singing Rule Britannia to actually think about any of that.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 10, 2018, 12:17:56 am
Oh.

f**king.

Dear.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jun/09/arron-banks-russia-brexit-meeting

The man who bankrolled Farage’s Brexit campaign was up to his b*llocks in Russian contacts.

Well. Who would have expected that?

Still. We took back control, eh?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on June 10, 2018, 02:22:33 am
What a fecking mess - someone's going to jail here . Well done The Observer , that team deserve honours once we are through this mess and onto the other side, 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on June 10, 2018, 10:08:49 am
Oh.

f**king.

Dear.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jun/09/arron-banks-russia-brexit-meeting

The man who bankrolled Farage’s Brexit campaign was up to his b*llocks in Russian contacts.

Well. Who would have expected that?

Still. We took back control, eh?
A good link Billy. I did end up chipping in a £5 donation to the guardian but it does make you wonder how much there is to come out.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on June 10, 2018, 10:19:06 am
Oh.

f**king.

Dear.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jun/09/arron-banks-russia-brexit-meeting

The man who bankrolled Farage’s Brexit campaign was up to his b*llocks in Russian contacts.

Well. Who would have expected that?

Still. We took back control, eh?
A good link Billy. I did end up chipping in a £5 donation to the guardian but it does make you wonder how much there is to come out.

A  £5 well spent , I've found it a really interesting read these last couple of years . The forum , at times, seems to be inundated with rabid Corbynistas but that makes it all the more interesting.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on June 10, 2018, 11:59:55 am
Britain needs a Royal Commission into Brexit, to examine all the players involved and to dig into the possible options open to make a deal with Europe and what the ramifications will be.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Dutch Uncle on June 10, 2018, 12:31:34 pm
Just look how successful Putin has been:

- Annex Crimea
- US strongly polarised and divided internally
- UK strongly polarised and divided internally
- US detaching itself from main allies (G7/Trade, Iran deal, Climate Change, Middle East)
- UK detaching itself from main allies (EU)

Then as a bonus the preferred leader of the US isolating themselves even more by wanting to invite Russians back to G7

Most successful leader ever?


Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 10, 2018, 12:53:35 pm
Dutch

Unquestionably. Trouble is, what is the endgame that he’s leading the world to? The world that he’s crafting, with democracy undermined, demagogues who dispense with facts promoted and divisions stoked up is not stable. I’d put decent money on some Western country which has been a stable democracy, collapsing into civil war over the next decade.


Or worse...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on June 10, 2018, 01:04:32 pm
That's one way of looking at it Dutch - another is we are now seeing the failure, fallout and consequences of global capitalism. Maybe Putin enabled the campaigns but it was the people of the UK & US who voted for them.

If you want someone to blame, Cameron & Clinton would be nearer the top of my list.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on June 10, 2018, 01:09:05 pm
Is there an endgame? Doesn't history go in cycles? Actions and consequences?

I can foresee climate change leading to environmental disaster across the globe before I can foresee a civil war in a western democracy - but thats probably just me.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 10, 2018, 01:22:52 pm
Aye Wilts. Because we don’t blame Putin do we? Because that deflects attention.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on June 10, 2018, 01:23:30 pm
That's one way of looking at it Dutch - another is we are now seeing the failure, fallout and consequences of global capitalism. Maybe Putin enabled the campaigns but it was the people of the UK & US who voted for them.

If you want someone to blame, Cameron & Clinton would be nearer the top of my list.

I don't disagree with the main thrust of your argument not do I seek to defend either of them. But I think the blame goes much deeper than Cameron and Clinton (Hill or Bill btw?)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 10, 2018, 01:34:57 pm
Wilts. Of course history goes in cycles. Just not always smooth ones. Berlin and Hiroshima 1945 were rather abrupt changes of circumstance. The term “endgame” for Hitler and for Japanese militarism is perfectly apt in those circumstances.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on June 11, 2018, 04:05:35 am
The main instigators of Brexit slink off using weasel words changing their stances and leave Britons to deal with the mess with a government you couldn't trust to buy a round of drinks without
it closing down before they got to the bar. Instead of governing the UK for all and bringing everyone together they have divided, alienated and ensured that the country is just/almost as bad as when the miners were striking. Remind me which party were in charge then?

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jun/10/arron-banks-leaked-emails-what-do-they-show
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 11, 2018, 04:54:06 pm
https://mobile.twitter.com/Nigel_Farage/status/1006193583567835137

So, the man who brought you Brexit is going to use his programme to interview the two people who funded his campaign about their links with Russia and the extent to which Russia paid them to fund him, and why they spent two years forgetting to tell the truth about the number of times they met with the Russian Ambassador.

That should sort it all out. I’m sure it’s just an honest misunderstanding.

Meanwhile, the journalist who has spent the past two years digging into this story was stonewalled when she asked to go on Farage’s programme yesterday.

https://mobile.twitter.com/carolecadwalla/status/1005779842661605376
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on June 11, 2018, 06:02:49 pm
  Hounslow, the USA, and Russia have got all the EU including us in the cusp of their hand.
  Russia provides the gas  for quite  a few continental countries including Germany, the price of oil and Gas is going up.
  The state of the biggest banks in Germany, Greece, Spain and most notably Italy means that the investment banks in the US can bring them to their knees if they wanted to.
  We have gone from the only country in western Europe with a surfeit of energy to being an importer. If the Us stopped wood pellets to Drax thats 11% of our energy requirements gone.
  I think things will go OK with the US and settle down, but don't dismiss the damage to Europe if it gets nasty.
 P.S.
      The oil is the main reason Scotland will not get independence quickly, in fifty years let them go, mountains are no good to anyone except on holiday.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on June 11, 2018, 09:36:43 pm
"Let them go"? they don't want to go, what a stupid remark.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on June 12, 2018, 11:12:30 am
   RJ, it's not a new idea, and the Romans did it with a wall he he. When the oil goes there is nothing worth keeping, and the locals don't like us.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on June 12, 2018, 11:55:23 am
I suppose you missed that referendum they had where they voted to remain part of the United Kingdom then? you can't just cut them adrift and f**k them off cos we can't use their stuff anymore. That attitude is precisely why some of them hate us English. :laugh:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on June 12, 2018, 03:43:06 pm
   RJ, it's not a new idea, and the Romans did it with a wall he he. When the oil goes there is nothing worth keeping, and the locals don't like us.


You don't like Single Malt then?
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on June 12, 2018, 05:50:32 pm
  Yes,the Welsh version.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: German Rover on June 13, 2018, 08:52:06 am
  Yes,the Welsh version.

Pendaryn? Lovely single malt that
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on June 13, 2018, 12:34:09 pm
  That's the one, I also have a very good English one I think is brewed in Norfolk, I will have to hunt it out for the name.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on June 14, 2018, 09:03:50 am
  Chapter 16 from the old English Brewery in Norfolk, I think I will have a tasting while watching the game tonight.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 14, 2018, 09:53:08 am
Meanwhile, yet another negative result of Brexit.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-44474569

But hey, never mind eh? Some minister that no one has ever heard of says that even when we get booted out of the efficient and effective EU Sat-Nav system, “we are a proud and confident nation and will be looking at all alternatives.”

Which, when translated from the original Little Englander Bullshit, means, “f**k! That’s another £5bn we’re going to have to find to build our own Sat-Nav system when there was a perfectly good one developed by the EU which, because the costs were shared across 27 nations, we could have used at a fraction of the price. Still, we took back control, eh?”

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on June 14, 2018, 11:24:41 am
It's those little details that make you think that maybe, just maybe, the people in charge of this shitshow don't have a f**king clue what they're doing.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 14, 2018, 01:06:57 pm
So this is why the Government give the impression of going in all directions at once but never getting anywhere..!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on June 14, 2018, 07:04:22 pm
  Eu growth forecast cut from 2.7 to 2.4  Inflation forecast up from 1.4 to 1.7 value of the euro down, but hey that news can be forgotten.
  And still they carry on with Quantitative Easing. Yeh everything is rosy over there.
   Meanwhile in La  La land over the Atlantic things look very rosy.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 14, 2018, 07:17:55 pm
  Eu growth forecast cut from 2.7 to 2.4  Inflation forecast up from 1.4 to 1.7 value of the euro down, but hey that news can be forgotten.
  And still they carry on with Quantitative Easing. Yeh everything is rosy over there.
   Meanwhile in La  La land over the Atlantic things look very rosy.

Compared to our actual growth rate of 2.3% and actual inflation rate of 2.3%? Yeah, they're in the shit alright!

And the La La Land has growth of 2.2% and inflation of 2.8%!

I'd have thought you'd want to keep that news forgotten!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on June 14, 2018, 07:36:53 pm
Glyn, both the GB and the USA have announced improved figures of late without QE, the EU are still printing money to support the economy.
  The tariff situation is no good to anybody, but is one that the EU cannot win, and Trump knows it, and it is at a time the EU are on the back foot.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 14, 2018, 08:22:17 pm
Is UK GDP flatlining at 0.1% growth for the first quarter one of the improved figures that has been announced?

Even so, it's amazing how the EU figures are still better than those of the UK and US...and that after quantative easing! How much better would they have been without it??
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 14, 2018, 08:33:51 pm
Selby

Points of fact.

1) We still have massive QE here in the UK.
https://m.uk.investing.com/economic-calendar/boe-qe-total-665

2) I don’t know where you get your news from, but your claim that we have posted improved economic figures recently could not be further from the truth.

http://www.cityam.com/286429/uk-gdp-suffers-worst-rate-growth-six-years

3) Our recent economic performance, since the Brexit vote, has been nothing short of appalling, compared to that of the EU.
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp.uk.businessinsider.com/the-uk-economy-grew-slower-than-europe-for-the-first-time-since-2010-2018-2

4) Yes, the EU economy is not currently growing as quickly as it did in 2017. But their 2.4% growth rate is more than double ours. This means that, in the two years since the vote, we’re about £100bn poorer as a nation than we would have been if our growth had matched that of the EU (which it was doing in 2016).

Just read those points. Take them in. Think about them. They are all verifiable facts. Personally, they scare the f**king shite out of me. I assume they would do the same to anyone who really thinks about them.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 14, 2018, 08:37:08 pm
Is UK GDP flatlining at 0.1% growth for the first quarter one of the improved figures that has been announced?

Even so, it's amazing how the EU figures are still better than those of the UK and US...and that after quantative easing! How much better would they have been without it??

And even THAT level of growth is only due to the fact that the working population is still growing. If you take that into account, our GDP growth per head, which is what really matters, was negative in the last quarter. While the rest of the world is going through a boom, we’re actually getting poorer per capita.

Who could have predicted that, eh?

Apart from...let me think...every f**ker on the planet who thought about it apart from Johnson, Gove and Farage.

Still. We took back control, eh?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on June 15, 2018, 12:08:05 am
Bit off topic, but wondered if anyone who voted yes would change there vote? They have done it on a couple of messageboards of late and have found 1 maybe and no1 that has said they would, speaking to mates ive also not found anyone either.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 15, 2018, 12:11:06 am
What do you mean by “yes”?

Yes to remain or yes to leave?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on June 15, 2018, 12:13:10 am
When large listed companies make forecasts of growth and put down plans for the future not only for their shareholders but for the stock exchange and economists, when they sit down to discuss this and look at where the next growth phase will come from and what they have to do to achieve it, what will they think?. Wow Britain is well placed, under stable management and ready to take on the world or will they be thinking what the f**k is going on who's in charge and do they have a map? Should we risk it and stay here or hop across the channel and take a punt there?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on June 15, 2018, 12:45:30 am
It might be bit dodgy taking a punt across the channel.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on June 15, 2018, 08:32:47 am
  Unemployment in the single currency countries is at twice the level in the UK, and higher in the under 25 year olds according to a report published yesterday.
  Bpoolrover I would now change my vote from staying in in the original vote. Earlier on in this thread myself and Billy discussed it months ago.
   I have my opinion, but admire and respect Billy and the other posters who think differently to me, it's their right to have their opinion, they put it over well, and debating the big issues is the right thing to do, if it can be done in the right manner.
  This board and the Barnsley Bulletin Board has the best debates, probably because of the makeup of the area we are from, The Bulletin Board and ours have the best comedy posts as well.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on June 15, 2018, 09:10:30 am
   RJ, it's not a new idea, and the Romans did it with a wall he he. When the oil goes there is nothing worth keeping, and the locals don't like us.

Not been on for a while, I see you still write the most ridiculous comments though  - just f**k off part of the Union because they have outlived their usefulness do we do that with N.Ireland too ? In the dark recesses of your mind, I'm sure you have other areas of the UK you are ready to hive off too the South West, the North East perhaps even dare I say it Yorkshire ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on June 15, 2018, 10:59:43 am
What do you mean by “yes”?

Yes to remain or yes to leave?
sorry bst, yes to leave, I know some people say have another vote but I have a feeling it would be the same outcome
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 15, 2018, 11:42:26 am
Bpool

Thepoint about a second vote (which we should have, but we won’t) is that back in 2016, no one who voted Leave had any idea what they were actually voting for.

That’s not having a go at Leave voters. It’s just a fact that there are a million and one different forms of Brexit. Back in 2016, Farage was saying that we should have an arrangement like Norway. That sounded like not such a bad idea. Bin sure many Leave voters agreed with him. But Nirway has freedom of movement of people from the EU, and is in the Single Market. May has decided that we will NOT have freedom of movement and will not stay in the Single Market.

As I say, there are many different ways we could split from the EU. Some would hardly make a difference. Some would make a massive change. There is no such thing as a single form of “Brexit”. So, it seems perfectly reasonable to have a second vote next year, when we know what form of Brexit has finally been agreed.

Here’s a couple of questions for you. Why did YOU vote to Leave? What did YOU think our relationship with the EU would be after we left? What effect did YOU think that leaving would have on our economy?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on June 15, 2018, 12:17:52 pm
Thanks for reply bet, I'm not going to get into the main reason I voted leave as I'm not very good at getting my point across on a message board and will prob be called racist,which I'm not I would and will happily chat at a game 1 day thou, as far as the economy goes it will make little if any difference to me what happens in fact any low earning workers will find the same, mark carney reckons on average people are 980 pound worse off since the vote, ive yet to find 1 person in my large circle of friends that has noticed any difference and I'm sure that will continue,as far as the relationship with the eu goes once we have left and the games stop I'm sure it will benifit all parties to have the best relationship possible as in the end to most people money talks
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 15, 2018, 12:30:14 pm
Bpool

No one has noticed any difference.

That is PRECISELY the point. The rest of the world has had a nice little boom over the past 2 years. We are the only leading economy who has seen our economic growth decline during that time. The rest of the world has been getting significantly richer. We haven’t. We’ve stood still. That’s exactly the point.

We’ve been desperate for a boom since the Great Recession. Everyone has seen wages stagnate and understandably, people are pissed off with it. We had that chance over the past two years, but our economy has slipped because of the Brexit vote.

Overall, we’ve lost about £60-100bn of economic growth over the past two years. That’s where the £1000 per person that Carney talks about comes from. It’s not that you’re poorer than you were. It’s that you should have been that much richer.

You who voted for Brexit have voted to miss out on that increase in wealth. And the economic projections (from people who very accurately predicted the slowdown over the past two years) is that this is not going to improve over the foreseeable future. The projections are that by the mid-2020s, we’ll have lost somewhere north of £5000 of growth for every man, woman and hold in the country.

If you’re happy with the country losing out on that amount of wealth ten you’re a more relaxed man than me. I am f**king livid about it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 15, 2018, 12:39:13 pm
So anyway. You’ve kind of answered my question Bpool. You expected that there would be little economic difference for us whether we stayed or left.

But there IS a massive economic difference. And it’s happening NOW. And it’s going to continue happening for the foreseeable future.

Now, there IS a way for us to come up with a Brexit that minimises these negative effects. It’s very simple. We stay inside the Single Market and the Customs Union. There is not a single serious analyst who thinks we can do better than that.

So, if you are assuming that money will talk and they’ll come up with the best deal to minimise the problems, presumably you expect us to stay in the SM and CU?

So, here’s the obvious question. Let’s assume you’ve got a Prime Minister who knows all this, but who is only clinging onto power by her fingernails because the majority of her MPs want a harder Brexit, even if that will hurt the economy. So she negotiated a Brexit that takes us out of the SM and CU to satisfy them. Even though she and every other person who looks at this issue knows that this will hit our economy hard.

What do you think then? Would that be the Bre it that you voted for?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on June 15, 2018, 03:43:54 pm
 Hoola, Westminster, and make all the MP's go with it, by the way where do you live?
   You take things too seriously, I don't even have to bait the hook.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on June 15, 2018, 05:32:41 pm
   RJ, it's not a new idea, and the Romans did it with a wall he he. When the oil goes there is nothing worth keeping, and the locals don't like us.

Not been on for a while, I see you still write the most ridiculous comments though  - just f**k off part of the Union because they have outlived their usefulness do we do that with N.Ireland too ? In the dark recesses of your mind, I'm sure you have other areas of the UK you are ready to hive off too the South West, the North East perhaps even dare I say it Yorkshire ?

I'd f**k the Lancastrians off in a heartbeat if we could, to be fair. :laugh:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on June 15, 2018, 06:05:22 pm
  When you think about it, that's why the Scots want independence, we are no use to them any more, the money box is getting empty.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on June 15, 2018, 06:34:52 pm
No use to them other than the massive fiscal transfers from UK gov. to Scot gov. then?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 15, 2018, 07:15:17 pm
   RJ, it's not a new idea, and the Romans did it with a wall he he. When the oil goes there is nothing worth keeping, and the locals don't like us.

Not been on for a while, I see you still write the most ridiculous comments though  - just f**k off part of the Union because they have outlived their usefulness do we do that with N.Ireland too ? In the dark recesses of your mind, I'm sure you have other areas of the UK you are ready to hive off too the South West, the North East perhaps even dare I say it Yorkshire ?

I'd f**k the Lancastrians off in a heartbeat if we could, to be fair. :laugh:

But if Lancashire wasn't there, what'd keep the rain off Yorkshire? :silly:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on June 16, 2018, 07:54:28 am
Hoola, Westminster, and make all the MP's go with it, by the way where do you live?
   You take things too seriously, I don't even have to bait the hook.

Not at all because this is a serious subject . In  August we are  going to fly with our daughter to Copenhagen where she will then study for a year on the Erasmus + programme for her international degree. She needs health cover and enough money to live on with our help all at these poor exchange rates. On top of that , we will have to travel over to see that she is ok and as I have lots of medication for my cancer treatment ; I have a vested interest in health and insurance cover.  Now I know that I'm covered albeit, at a higher cost rate than normal, if we go into a formal transition covering flights , insurance and health . However if these talks break down , then we are all at risk - you see Selby all this sharpens the mind . Because this isn't funny although I grant that some of the antics of the Government and Parliament are amusing - to see and hear holders of great offices of State bickering like schoolgirls ( apologies to schoolgirls here ) can be highly amusing as are the subsequent discussions on here.

As we all, as a family, currently make at least 4-6 ( yes 12-18 In total )  trips over various borders in the EU each year we can't help but be concerned by the talk of cliff edges ; we should be don't you think  ?

 I know of quite a few other forum members that need that ease of access, cover and of course reasonably stable cost elements for  their arrangements too I.e. every time the exchange rate falls even slightly the £ 000's each year we need or choose o spend abroad is adversely affected.

This is THE  worst decision this country has made over the last couple of hundred years and still I am yet to see the positives that outweigh the dozens of negatives not only economically ( yes I realise there is money to be made on the stock market/ currency etc ) but socially , scientifically ( Galileo etc ) and morally ( environment controls ) .

Finally you asked where I live - in Doncaster of course. Did you want to meet for a beer as I certainly wouldn't mind more help with my investments to mitigate for my future losses ? Perhaps you might think that Doncastrians have little need of the EU or think perhaps the area was damaged by the EU or even that we don't need to travel  for  work, leisure or study abroad ? I would be interested why you have asked that particular question and hope you realise that for all the amusement there is in this exercise there is also a very human element and costs involved in the execution of Brexit ( whatever that means ) .

Incidentally I realise you are playing devil's advocate and enjoy yanking peoples chain from time to time . That's all fine and dandy and I often chuckle at your posts but still I hope you realise why this is a very serious subject to me and others and probably for yourself if the truth is known.

There you go lots of personal stuff I would rather not have shared but hopefully that will help you to understand why I personally feel so strongly about this subject. Im sure if you asked you would find forum members with alternative reasons ....

Of course if I lived/ retired abroad or intended to as I do shortly then you can see this would then involve the exchange of £ 100,000s that then really sharpens the mind as does the potential lack of health cover given my situation. In other words selby , all we  have worked for, for over 40 years is at risk.....
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on June 16, 2018, 08:47:21 am
   RJ, it's not a new idea, and the Romans did it with a wall he he. When the oil goes there is nothing worth keeping, and the locals don't like us.

Not been on for a while, I see you still write the most ridiculous comments though  - just f**k off part of the Union because they have outlived their usefulness do we do that with N.Ireland too ? In the dark recesses of your mind, I'm sure you have other areas of the UK you are ready to hive off too the South West, the North East perhaps even dare I say it Yorkshire ?

I'd f**k the Lancastrians off in a heartbeat if we could, to be fair. :laugh:

But if Lancashire wasn't there, what'd keep the rain off Yorkshire? :silly:

Nah with Selby on this one f**k Lancastrians off , it would be worth a few more inches of rain each year
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Hounslowrover on June 16, 2018, 12:09:38 pm
On a serious note here are two interesting quotes:

" I am absolutely clear that I cannot countenance parliament being able to overturn the will of the British people". Theresa May this week ai PMQs.

" There is no possibility for parliamentary interference to obliterate and render ineffective the execution of the nation's will".  Joseph Goebbels in May 1933.

So much for regaining the sovereignty of Parliament!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on June 16, 2018, 12:32:33 pm
On a serious note here are two interesting quotes:

" I am absolutely clear that I cannot countenance parliament being able to overturn the will of the British people". Theresa May this week ai PMQs.

" There is no possibility for parliamentary interference to obliterate and render ineffective the execution of the nation's will".  Joseph Goebbels in May 1933.

So much for regaining the sovereignty of Parliament!


The similarity is very worrying as is this massive shift to the Right - taking political advantage of all- comers who currently seem to be tied up with " the will of the 37% " preservation of their own seats and internal wrangling .

My MP  Caroline Flint seems to be completely unaware  of the dangers to all her constituents whilst bleating " I voted for Remain but it's the " will " binding and blinding me from the fallout of this clusterf**k.  Does she fear for her seat , where 92% of her British - born constituents are either having all their jobs taken away from them by an influx of '000s of imaginary people under - cutting their hourly rates ?
So much so that she  votes WITH the Government ! Flint if you or people you know ever come on these boards then i suggest you open your eyes and see what EU  not Government money continues to do for the area. Everywhere you go there are still EU Re- Development boards stuck in the ground !!
Hounslow - I presume you are based somewhere near Heathrow but I wish you could see this - the Government has done sweet fa for decades and people here vote for money to be spent on myriads of projects in the South-East !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Hounslowrover on June 16, 2018, 01:02:39 pm
Hoola, you're right abut the lack of investment projects in the north, I'm sure this was some of the reason why people voted no to the EU, everything goes to the south east, though I've heard some Londoners say that the south east is the economic driver for the country, so why not. 

On another point, Caroline Flint used to attend the Labour Party meetings in Brentford and Isleworth when I used to go, she hardly spoke at these meetings and lands a safe seat up north.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on June 16, 2018, 01:27:17 pm
For you hoola yes it is a bad decision but many people who won’t be going abroad and have no investment don’t think the same, parts of Blackpool are in the poorest in the country and most jobs are taken by polish Romanians etc. With little chance of any change, what would you say to them people why it’s the worst choice, while it is certainly not the only reason it is 1 of the reasons, it might not make any difference anyway but they certainly didn’t gain from being in the eu and won’t be any worse off out of it
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on June 16, 2018, 10:45:19 pm
Bpool.  Have you stopped to think why so many of the low paid jobs in your area are taken by Eastern Europeans?  Is it because local employers prefer to employ Eastern Europeans?  Or is it because local UK people won't do those jobs for the pay offered?
 
Leaving the EU won't persuade UK people to do the jobs they won't do now, so nothing changes except jobs that bring wealth to an area and increase taxes paid disappear and the area is the worse for it.  If you think Blackpool is a poor area now just wait till we leave the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 16, 2018, 11:23:58 pm
I understand the argument.
Three facts.
Times are hard.
Wages are depressed.
There’s a lot of foreigners around.

Conclusion: Times are hard and wages are depressed because there’s a lot of foreigners around. So if we vote to take back control, things at the very worst can’t get any worse.

Except things will get worse. A lot worse. Not a big shock, but a long, slow, lingering decline compared to the rest of the world.

You might not notice it Bpool. But the next generation will.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on June 17, 2018, 02:03:01 am
Kato your right to a point I worked at the pleasure beach on games stalls so was not employed by the pleasure beach, there main aim was to employ polish who would work 7 days a week 12 hours a day, in blackpool a seansonal town this is standard practice, soon as the season has finished they go home to Poland, great lads get on well with them but is that right?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 17, 2018, 07:21:16 am
On a serious note here are two interesting quotes:

" I am absolutely clear that I cannot countenance parliament being able to overturn the will of the British people". Theresa May this week ai PMQs.

" There is no possibility for parliamentary interference to obliterate and render ineffective the execution of the nation's will".  Joseph Goebbels in May 1933.

So much for regaining the sovereignty of Parliament!


Hmph. When they make a film about Brexit (a black comedy, naturally), those two quotes give me the idea for what it should be called:

'Triumph Of The Will Of The People'.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 17, 2018, 07:24:51 am
Kato your right to a point I worked at the pleasure beach on games stalls so was not employed by the pleasure beach, there main aim was to employ polish who would work 7 days a week 12 hours a day, in blackpool a seansonal town this is standard practice, soon as the season has finished they go home to Poland, great lads get on well with them but is that right?

Was there something stopping local people from doing exactly the same as the Polish were willing to do?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on June 17, 2018, 11:09:59 am
Kato your right to a point I worked at the pleasure beach on games stalls so was not employed by the pleasure beach, there main aim was to employ polish who would work 7 days a week 12 hours a day, in blackpool a seansonal town this is standard practice, soon as the season has finished they go home to Poland, great lads get on well with them but is that right?

Was there something stopping local people from doing exactly the same as the Polish were willing to do?

Unfortunately some of our fellow citizens are too idle to work ,apparently the number of job vacancies in this country virtually match the unemployed. However there is the percentage who not conform and won't work. They make their money doing things that will if caught get them a hefty prison sentence,you also have a group of people who quite rightly think that an 80 hour week deserves 40 hours at an enhanced rate (and they are right) The Eastern European workers have slowed down because of the exchange rates and also why work an 80 hour week and get taxed at a higher rate when you can do 40 hours and get benefit payments to make up your crap wage.thats why we have multi occupancy houses,in Hexthorpe, Eastwood and Fir Vale,they come here and in order to save money to buy homes in Poland, Slovakia etc, they will rent a room, live minimally and use the system to make up their wages to save.
As a result we are exploiting the Foriegn workers and also our own workforce who have to compete with them.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on June 17, 2018, 12:10:21 pm
Kato your right to a point I worked at the pleasure beach on games stalls so was not employed by the pleasure beach, there main aim was to employ polish who would work 7 days a week 12 hours a day, in blackpool a seansonal town this is standard practice, soon as the season has finished they go home to Poland, great lads get on well with them but is that right?
Yes places like the pleasure beach, wpo
Kato your right to a point I worked at the pleasure beach on games stalls so was not employed by the pleasure beach, there main aim was to employ polish who would work 7 days a week 12 hours a day, in blackpool a seansonal town this is standard practice, soon as the season has finished they go home to Poland, great lads get on well with them but is that right?

Was there something stopping local people from doing exactly the same as the Polish were willing to do?
Was there something stopping local people from doing exactly the same as the Polish were willing to do?
a lot of people don't want to work 90 hours a week Glynn they have families and lives bed
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 17, 2018, 01:02:47 pm
Kato your right to a point I worked at the pleasure beach on games stalls so was not employed by the pleasure beach, there main aim was to employ polish who would work 7 days a week 12 hours a day, in blackpool a seansonal town this is standard practice, soon as the season has finished they go home to Poland, great lads get on well with them but is that right?
Yes places like the pleasure beach, wpo
Kato your right to a point I worked at the pleasure beach on games stalls so was not employed by the pleasure beach, there main aim was to employ polish who would work 7 days a week 12 hours a day, in blackpool a seansonal town this is standard practice, soon as the season has finished they go home to Poland, great lads get on well with them but is that right?

Was there something stopping local people from doing exactly the same as the Polish were willing to do?
Was there something stopping local people from doing exactly the same as the Polish were willing to do?
a lot of people don't want to work 90 hours a week Glynn they have families and lives bed

If that's their choice they have no right to moan about people who do choose to do it 'stealing their jobs', wherever they are from. Blackpool is a seasonal employment town, what other sort of work do they expect to get there?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on June 17, 2018, 02:01:42 pm
Why should people have to work 90 hours a week glynn,they have no choice but to live in a seasonal town thou so it makes no difference what they expect
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 17, 2018, 02:26:06 pm
Bpool

I agree 100% with you about those working conditions.

But. You are living in cloud cuckoo land if you think that Brexit is going to put that right. What the Brexiters want is to get out of the aspects of the EU that protect workers’ rights. This Govt could stop the sort of exploitation that you describe because it is against EU regulations. But they don’t enforce it. Do you think they’ll put an arm around UK workers after Brexit?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 17, 2018, 03:12:09 pm
Why should people have to work 90 hours a week glynn,they have no choice but to live in a seasonal town thou so it makes no difference what they expect

That's funny. I had the choice to leave the seasonal town I grew up in. It must be really bad in Blackpool if the EU has taken that choice away from people.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on June 17, 2018, 03:13:35 pm
Your just looking to argue, where when they have no jobs and no money would you like them to move? Are you going put a few up at your place
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 17, 2018, 03:15:44 pm
Your just looking to argue, where when they have no jobs and no money would you like them to move? Are you going put a few up at your place

There are jobs if they want to earn money. Do you really think leaving the EU is going to change the nature of what jobs are on offer? Really??

In fact, it's the EU that want to limit the number of hours people have to work. Leaving the EU is really going to help, isn't it?

Oh, and I managed to get out of the seasonal town I grew up in by finding a job elsewhere - in Doncaster, as it happens. In the 1980s. When unemployment was over three million. Are you telling me it's harder to do that now than it was then?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on June 17, 2018, 10:04:41 pm
Interesting news.

Apparently May made a big point of the Brexit dividend in her NHS funding announcement (which is clearly untrue and will be funded by tax rises & borrowing) because she wanted to placate Boris & her Brexiteers before she gives in to the EU & makes some major concessions ahead of the June summit.

Interesting few days ahead then.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on June 17, 2018, 10:48:44 pm
I read somewhere today that Tory rebels are prepared to bring the government down after their agreement last week to avoid a government defeat was ammended later
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on June 17, 2018, 10:53:09 pm
Doubt they'll have the balls.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on June 17, 2018, 11:04:01 pm
Your just looking to argue, where when they have no jobs and no money would you like them to move? Are you going put a few up at your place

There are jobs if they want to earn money. Do you really think leaving the EU is going to change the nature of what jobs are on offer? Really??

In fact, it's the EU that want to limit the number of hours people have to work. Leaving the EU is really going to help, isn't it?

Oh, and I managed to get out of the seasonal town I grew up in by finding a job elsewhere - in Doncaster, as it happens. In the 1980s. When unemployment was over three million. Are you telling me it's harder to do that now than it was then?
[/quote yes it’s a lot harder years ago you could find a flat very easily and needed hardly any deposit, now they want at least a month rent in advance and deposit of the same again, no doubt you were a single guy with no worries so you could just up and leave, your other point is probably not but as they have nothing to lose it’s worth ago
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on June 18, 2018, 07:36:55 am
I read somewhere today that Tory rebels are prepared to bring the government down after their agreement last week to avoid a government defeat was ammended later

I think the original amendment about a "meaningful vote" in Parliament has been resubmitted in the Lords which means it will probably come back to the Commons. As the Tory rebels didn't feel they got what they wanted they may vote against the Government this time. The question then is whether the Government is prepared to up the ante and make it a vote of confidence. Given May's record of avoiding or delaying showdowns, whether with Parliament or the EU itself, I think that is unlikely.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 18, 2018, 08:51:53 am
Last week in Parliament was a shambles, the line of which I have never seen.

May had to offer something to get inside the Tory MPs who (quite rightly) want Parliament to have the final say on the Brexit deal.

But she couldn’t offer them anything because that would upset the rabid Brexit-supporting MPs who she relies on to keep her in position.

So the Govt told the first lot they would offer concessions. Then when they’d win the vote, they publicly announced that they’d offered nothing of any substance.

There is no way out of this nightmare for May. And something has to give, soon.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on June 18, 2018, 10:58:40 am
There is no way out of this nightmare for May. And something has to give, soon.

Indeed, it just gets worse for her....
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iEnb0_86YdQ
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 18, 2018, 11:37:54 am
Corbyn, of course, is a lucky chap in that he’s not having to deal with the nuts and bolts of Brecit, because his own position wouldn’t stand scrutiny.

He’s been dragged kicking and screaming by Kier Starmer into accepting some form of customs union, but he’s insisting that we must be out of the Single Market. Yet, somehow, magically, he’s claiming that we’ll be no worse off.


Shite times. We’re heading into a f**king disaster with neither side giving a vision on how to avoid it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 18, 2018, 02:06:16 pm
I presume this £20mil 'Brexit dividend' is supported by the economic reports that David Davis first claimed had been done, then claimed hadn't been done when someone had the temerity to ask to look at them. Have they suddenly found them down the back of the sofa?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on June 18, 2018, 02:36:08 pm
I presume this £20mil 'Brexit dividend' is supported by the economic reports that David Davis first claimed had been done, then claimed hadn't been done when someone had the temerity to ask to look at them. Have they suddenly found them down the back of the sofa?

This is getting farcical , why not just let Boris Johnson own Brexit as after all he seems to be calling all the shots.

Billy said earlier that this is heading for a disaster .....I certainly can't see a way out of it . I must admit though I'm just as mystified by the Labour position as others are . Yes they are in Opposition and playing that card but at the same time pushing to take over - they must hold a solid position and ensure that everyone knows exactly what it is . Labour politicians seem to be briefing just as much against the leadership as the Tories - it's ridiculous. A Government and an Opposition with battle lines drawn everywhere.

Incidentally watched the Tory MP Trevelyan earlier on the Daily " Tory " Politics - she was still peddling the " Brexit divishit " argument  it's pathetic and insulting to the general public.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on June 18, 2018, 02:40:40 pm
I got to say, I voted leave, I don't regret it, but the way this has been handled by the complete idiots in charge, and the opposition has convinced me that we should just reset and start again. Any other time Mays career would have been finished, but somehow she manages to cling to power
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 18, 2018, 02:45:46 pm
I got to say, I voted leave, I don't regret it, but the way this has been handled by the complete idiots in charge, and the opposition has convinced me that we should just reset and start again. Any other time Mays career would have been finished, but somehow she manages to cling to power

She's clinging to power because all those wanting to knife her in the back want all the stench of Brexit to cling to her and not to them afterwards. Why do you think they don't want Parliament to have a vote on it - because then it'll be on public record that they voted for the sorry mess rather than take over from May with a clean slate and saying 'Nowt to do wiv me, mate'.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on June 18, 2018, 03:51:25 pm
I got to say, I voted leave, I don't regret it, but the way this has been handled by the complete idiots in charge, and the opposition has convinced me that we should just reset and start again. Any other time Mays career would have been finished, but somehow she manages to cling to power

She's clinging to power because all those wanting to knife her in the back want all the stench of Brexit to cling to her and not to them afterwards. Why do you think they don't want Parliament to have a vote on it - because then it'll be on public record that they voted for the sorry mess rather than take over from May with a clean slate and saying 'Nowt to do wiv me, mate'.


Indeed.  The puzzlement is that somehow the MayBot is so stupid she can't see it herself.
 

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on June 18, 2018, 07:34:23 pm
Or maybe she can but has no idea how to claw her way out of the situation and doesn't want to give up her position.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 18, 2018, 07:43:17 pm
Or maybe she can but has no idea how to claw her way out of the situation and doesn't want to give up her position.

'Strong and stable'. Strong indecision and stable immobility!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on June 19, 2018, 04:34:52 am
Bst no I don’t think brexit will
Fix anything, but brexit will
Make no difference to anyone who has very little money the only people brexit will
Affect either way are people
With at least abit of money
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on June 19, 2018, 04:37:58 am
It like voting tories or labour to the people with no money it makes no difference, tories put minimum wage up and let you earn more tax,if your on working tax credits like most low earners it makes no difference as once you earn so much they take it off your benefits, vote labour they will make it 10 pound a hour then they do the same, so no matter who you vote for you end up with the same amount of money
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on June 19, 2018, 05:37:35 am
It like voting tories or labour to the people with no money it makes no difference, tories put minimum wage up and let you earn more tax,if your on working tax credits like most low earners it makes no difference as once you earn so much they take it off your benefits, vote labour they will make it 10 pound a hour then they do the same, so no matter who you vote for you end up with the same amount of money

In which case there is never seems to be a reason for you to vote then ever. I'm left wondering whether you voted in the Referendum or for that matter any elections at all ?
You seem to have strong opinions for someone who is not affected by whatever economic programme is inflicted on them be it Labour/Tory. Why is it you believe in the " Alice in Wonderland " Brexit  nonsense put forward by Brexiters then ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 19, 2018, 08:49:27 am
Bst no I don’t think brexit will
Fix anything, but brexit will
Make no difference to anyone who has very little money the only people brexit will
Affect either way are people
With at least abit of money

You are in for a very, very big shock. You’ve clearly no idea the extent to which the EU has buttressed the economies of the poorer parts of this country. When that goes, do you think a Tory Govt will give a f**k about your area?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Akinfenwa on June 19, 2018, 12:17:47 pm
People should elect someone who does then. Isn't that how it works?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on June 19, 2018, 08:32:08 pm
Is it not time to bring some folk to account;
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/jun/16/arron-banks-nigel-farage-leave-brexit-russia-connection?CMP=share_btn_tw

Now what is treason these days?

Is it acceptable to undermine the basic democratic process to secure the outcome you advocate?
When is this shit going to end.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 19, 2018, 08:44:07 pm
The shit never ends, only the depth varies.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 19, 2018, 11:26:51 pm
People should elect someone who does then. Isn't that how it works?

Well aye. Except I doubt that the socio-economic state of the Fylde Coast will be on the minds of many voters in the Home Counties.

Whereas the socio-economic condition of areas of the EU that have been left behind has been very much on the minds of the EU Eurocrats for many years. Which is why we had a shit load of European money poured into South Yorkshire after it had been left to rot by Maggie.

And then we turned round and voted to take back control.

Odd, isn’t it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on June 20, 2018, 02:05:35 am
Well bst 67.5 percent voted leave in blackpool so not everyone shares your views
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on June 20, 2018, 04:59:00 am
Well bst 67.5 percent voted leave in blackpool so not everyone shares your views
Do you still believe that after all you have read on here that the decision to Leave was right ?

Sent from my SM-G800F using Tapatalk

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 20, 2018, 08:23:51 am
Well bst 67.5 percent voted leave in blackpool so not everyone shares your views

That is making the massive assumption that 67.5 per cent of Blackpool knows as much about the EU as BST but still disagree with him.

As I say, it's a massive assumption.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on June 20, 2018, 04:08:18 pm
Looks like the rebels shat it again.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on June 20, 2018, 05:09:26 pm
  Admitted off topic slightly, and ignoring Brexit, but in my 50yrs of actually voting ( I had to be 21 yrs old) I am hard pushed to think of anything good any Tory government has done for the Doncaster area, and very little for Yorkshire as a whole.
   Only parts of North Yorkshire and probably the Leeds area are significantly more prosperous than when I was a kid at school.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on June 20, 2018, 06:19:56 pm
Looks like the rebels shat it again.

I'm old enough to remember the shenanigans surrounding the votes on the Maastricht Treaty when the Major Government had a wafer-thin majority. In that instance the rebels were the Eurosceptics, but basically the same thing happened. Each time there was a crucial vote enough rebels were bought off with concessions and the Government eventually got its way.

Looks like history is repeating itself.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on June 20, 2018, 06:31:05 pm
  Yes TRB, and we were not deemed good enough to vote on that at all, we should demand a vote on it now, if only it seems to be the thing to do, and then the Lisbon treaty.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on June 20, 2018, 09:30:21 pm
  Yes TRB, and we were not deemed good enough to vote on that at all, we should demand a vote on it now, if only it seems to be the thing to do, and then the Lisbon treaty.

I actually think it was a pity that we never got a referendum on Maastricht.

It was the key EU treaty which moved the organisation towards more centralisation. I think there would have been an overwhelming vote against in the UK, but it wouldn't have meant we left the EU. The ball would have been back in the EU's court and they would have had to think again.

In comparison the Lisbon Treaty was quite a minor affair, but the Government of the time had promised a referendum and then reneged on that.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 20, 2018, 11:08:03 pm
Not much anti-Maastricht sentiment in this 1991 poll TRB.

https://ems.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/poll.aspx?oItemId=2948
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on June 20, 2018, 11:49:51 pm
Not much anti-Maastricht sentiment in this 1991 poll TRB.

https://ems.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/poll.aspx?oItemId=2948

Exactly on that basis , the pro- EU vote would have pissed it contrary to all the things you hear I.e. - " Well if we had been allowed a vote on Maastricht  ; we would have been long gone out of the EU " .

Perhaps on a vote based on lies and exaggerations , Russian money and Cambridge Analytica , AIQ, false electoral funding and expenditure ........they might well have been right.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 21, 2018, 07:52:41 am
Not much anti-Maastricht sentiment in this 1991 poll TRB.

https://ems.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/poll.aspx?oItemId=2948

Exactly on that basis , the pro- EU vote would have pissed it contrary to all the things you hear I.e. - " Well if we had been allowed a vote on Maastricht  ; we would have been long gone out of the EU " .

Perhaps on a vote based on lies and exaggerations , Russian money and Cambridge Analytica , AIQ, false electoral funding and expenditure ........they might well have been right.

There hadn't been the years of the constant drip, drip drip, of endless 'Barmy Brussels' bullshit headlines then either.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on June 21, 2018, 10:05:18 am
  Admitted off topic slightly, and ignoring Brexit, but in my 50yrs of actually voting ( I had to be 21 yrs old) I am hard pushed to think of anything good any Tory government has done for the Doncaster area, and very little for Yorkshire as a whole.
   Only parts of North Yorkshire and probably the Leeds area are significantly more prosperous than when I was a kid at school.
Technically they're sponsoring the Rovers now!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 21, 2018, 01:28:15 pm
Maybe 6 months since I posted on this Thread - was determined NOT to but speaking of Maastricht I am always reminded that the Vote finally finished all square

The (then) Speaker Betty Boothroyd MP for the Constituency of West Bromwich (a former Labour MP but "neutralised" by becoming Speaker) had to vote in favour of the Bill as is traditional / protocol

So if she could have voted conscience wise the Bil would have been defeated. Dont you just love Politics

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/the-maastricht-debate-former-mp-firm-in-casting-vote-the-speaker-rare-intervention-keeps-boothroyd-1486494.html (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/the-maastricht-debate-former-mp-firm-in-casting-vote-the-speaker-rare-intervention-keeps-boothroyd-1486494.html)

Bye for another 6 months

You really ought to read your own link. Boothroyd didn't vote in favour of the Bill, she voted against an Amendment to the Bill.

Nor does it say she voted against her own conscience at all.

Also, when they checked afterwards it was found that they had miscounted the votes and the Government had actually won by one vote, so there was no need for Boothroyd's casting vote anyway.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on June 21, 2018, 04:56:25 pm
  Billy, as I remember, the Treaty was passed without a big public discussion, it was put  through by the back door without much of a public discussion on it's merits, and certainly apart from one or two politicians of the time trying to publicise how it would affect us, it was certainly low key in the UK.
  Eire voted against it and then were threatened and had a revote as I remember, which they were told they would do until accepting it, or that was how it was publicised.
  No way was the effect Brussels would have on our laws etc. explained to the population.
    Can we have a vote to accept it now, if we have another vote on Brexit? and if not why not?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 22, 2018, 09:24:29 am
Someone was saying here the other day that Brexit will work out alright because businesses will make it work.

Aye. Businesses will obviously make it work. For them.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-44570931
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on June 22, 2018, 10:56:08 am
  Leaves it open to build Boeing's Or Lockheed Billy, or even throw in our lot with the Chinese, who will be big players soon in this sphere, and would jump at our expertise.
  We will not leave without an agreement, I like the discussion Billy, and do see your points, but you project every negative subject you can like project fear, and then take umbrance and say everything the brexiteers say is fantasy and lies.
   It will get sorted, and then there will be a period of adjustment, and there is I suppose still a very very small chance of the whole thing being scrapped altogether, which would be fun.
   I don't know anybody who I talk to whether original remainer or brexiteer who have changed their minds about the subject matter, I do know a couple of mates who like me voted to remain, but if there was another vote would vote out now, on the principle that the original vote should be respected.
   
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 22, 2018, 11:15:09 am
   I don't know anybody who I talk to whether original remainer or brexiteer who have changed their minds about the subject matter, I do know a couple of mates who like me voted to remain, but if there was another vote would vote out now, on the principle that the original vote should be respected.   

That reminds of what Spike Milligan, in one of his war diaries, said about the Army approach:

'If a man dies when you hang him, keep on hanging him till he gets used to it.'
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on June 22, 2018, 11:37:53 am
I've said it before and I'll say it again. That's b*llocks. What an absolutely ridiculous way to decide on how you'd vote.

So say you've been a die hard Labour voter, but your seat returns a Tory MP. Do you then decide in all future elections to vote Conservative because that's what everyone else said before?

The rest of your post is pure fantasy "it'll be alright on the night" stuff.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DaveDRFC on June 22, 2018, 01:01:14 pm
One of my mates said he wanted to Remain but voted Leave as he wanted to be a bit of a rebel and didn't think Leave would ever win. I just shook my head at him when he told me that. One of many reasons why Joe Public should have never even been given the decision to make.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on June 22, 2018, 02:37:55 pm
Lets be real, no one (not even the great BST) can tell the future. We have all voted on gut feeling and what we want to happen. Both sides did (and supporters continue to) spew bile and rumour. Not one of you on here can know what is going on in the negotiations for real as we are fed shit and half truths from the UK and EU side of this now (despite how many articles from so called experts ppl post)

Vote leave or vote remain. It is happening. Ppl can spend their time with self righteous "I know best" posts or we can all get on with life and deal with what comes when it comes
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on June 22, 2018, 02:47:41 pm
I like to think some of us voted based on facts and not gut feeling Ldr.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on June 22, 2018, 02:50:43 pm
When I look back I cannot remember many "facts" been truthful tbh
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on June 22, 2018, 03:01:36 pm
Economy slowing in line with what they predicted? Companies bailing out? Tory government more interested in infighting and building up their own CVs than sorting out a deal for the country? The Ireland border seemingly unsolvable under the current course? All of this was predicted before the vote, and all of it's happened.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on June 22, 2018, 03:07:33 pm
Doesn't change what I am trying to say. Its happening. You can feel sorry for yourself about it or make the best of it
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on June 22, 2018, 04:09:44 pm
For some of us, speaking out about the country being hoodwinked by foreign investors and British millionaires trying to line their own pockets is making the best of it. Some people interpret that as talking the country down, but really, it's quite the opposite. I want my country to be f**king great, I don't want it pickpocketing by shysters.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on June 22, 2018, 04:24:58 pm
Id agree with that
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 22, 2018, 04:34:34 pm
Ldr.

I agree with what you say. Brexit is happening. That’s certain.

The important point is though, that there’s a multitude of different ways in which it can happen.

This Govt has CHOSEN to make it happen in a very particular way that is much harder than many of the Leave side said it would be. Farage, back in 2016, was touting a Norway-style arrangement for us post-Brexit. But we are actually going for a much bigger separation from the EU than Norway has. They are members of the EEA and the Single Market. May has CHOSEN not to go for that approach. She has done so, not in the country’s best interests but because there is a majority in the Tory party (not in the country) for a hard Brexit and she wouldn’t survive as PM if she went for a softer Brexit.

What has happened is that the vote to leave was made with no clarity whatsoever about what leaving meant. It’s pretty well nailed on that if the choice in 2016 had been between Remain and THIS type of leaving, the vote would have gone the other way.

You say we should make the best of it. I agree 100%. That means arguing against THIS type of Brexit because it will have very serious negative consequences for us.

You say both sides have spouted lies and no-one can predict the future. But as MM says, the key predictions of the Remain side ARE coming true. And there is nothing being out forward by the hard Brexiters other than assurances that it’ll be alright. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 22, 2018, 04:56:22 pm
Lets be real, no one (not even the great BST) can tell the future. We have all voted on gut feeling and what we want to happen. Both sides did (and supporters continue to) spew bile and rumour. Not one of you on here can know what is going on in the negotiations for real as we are fed shit and half truths from the UK and EU side of this now (despite how many articles from so called experts ppl post)

Vote leave or vote remain. It is happening. Ppl can spend their time with self righteous "I know best" posts or we can all get on with life and deal with what comes when it comes

It's been a while since we've seen the good old 'I don't know about it so no-one knows about it' defence.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on June 22, 2018, 06:19:46 pm
  Another thing a few on here should learn, is that saying people's thoughts are fantasy, b*llocks, and ridiculing the way they vote is counter productive, and is not a discussion they will win.
   It is far more likely to make people more entrenched to vote the opposite to what you want.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on June 22, 2018, 06:53:30 pm
Even when they are fantasy and b*llocks?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on June 22, 2018, 06:56:16 pm
What makes your opinion any more valid than someone else's?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on June 22, 2018, 06:58:07 pm
  You see, when politics come from the gutter Rj, that's where they will end up.
  No doubt you will be a great leader one day.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 22, 2018, 08:27:15 pm
What makes your opinion any more valid than someone else's?

Knowledge, experience and wisdom tend to give validity. Just saying no-one knows anything - or as selby puts it, calling other peoples' thoughts b*llocks - gives no validity at all.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on June 22, 2018, 08:56:17 pm
Yeah but Glyn, unless you are party to the negotiations you know nothing. I doubt you are daft enough to believe the media
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 22, 2018, 09:23:33 pm
Yeah but Glyn, unless you are party to the negotiations you know nothing. I doubt you are daft enough to believe the media

I don't need to know what's happening in the negotiations. If you think it revolves around them, you really don't know anything.

My working life of being an International Trade Officer with Customs, of day-to-day working with EC and UK Law regarding Customs procedures, regulations, relief schemes and how the Single Market works means I know exactly what the implications of leaving the Customs Union and the Single Market are - and I also know that nothing that happens in the negotiations that you place so much store upon is going to change those implications. And yet you think your opinion of 'I know feck all about it' is just as valid as my opinion that is backed up by my years of knowledge and experience. If you want to believe that, then fine, live in your own little bubble of 'ignorance means equality'. But I'm not joining you there.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 22, 2018, 09:54:16 pm
The Airbus warning about Brexit has also been backed up by BMW today. That’s the biggest news of the day regarding Brexit.

Have a look how much prominence The Express gives it.
https://www.express.co.uk

Or The Sun when you search their site for “Brexit”
https://www.thesun.co.uk/?s=Brexit

Or The Mail.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/index.html

Why do you think they are not telling their readers about this?


Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 22, 2018, 10:48:53 pm
Selby

I’ve only just fully read your post at the top of this page.

A couple of responses.
1) You trot out the Project Fear line. What I do is to post facts. Demonstrable facts. Facts like the fact that our economic growth has fallen way behind that of the rest of the developed world since the vote. Facts like the fact that Airbus (and now BMW) are on record as seriously considering their future in the UK because of Brexit.

It is childish and frankly, a bit embarrassing for you to say that this is projecting negatives. I’m projecting facts. If you have issues with those then by all means counter them. If you say, “Ner, ner! Project Fear!” then you kind of make point 2 for me.

2) You accuse me of accusing Brexiters of being fantasists and liars. You say that it’ll all get sorted out. Well here’s the thing. It’s been 2 years since the vote. We leave in 9 months. We have seen nothing from the Brexiters to indicate what sort of deal we’re going to get. We’ve seen nothing concrete about how they solve the Irish issue. What we have seen is vague hand waving “it’ll be alright, some hitherto nonexistent technology will sort it all out” claims. And we’ve seen every prediction of problems dismissed as Project Fear. And when those predictions come from the Govt’s own analyses, we’ve seen lies about the very existence of the predictions. So, to be frank, I’m struggling to see how the terms “fantasy” and “lies” are in anyway inappropriate.

Finally, here’s a thing. There’s been a string of Hard Brexit Tories in the trenches today, accusing Airbus of being part of Project Fear. Not one of them has explained how on Earth it would be in Airbus’s interests to invent or exaggerate the negatives of Brexit. If Brexit wasn’t going to cause them a problem, why on Earth should they have issued the report they did today, which says it WILL cause them an enormous problem?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on June 22, 2018, 11:06:12 pm
What makes your opinion any more valid than someone else's?

It isn't just my opinion though is it? There's nothing to suggest that things will "be alright". Everything he's said is purely based on what he thinks will happen, not what the evidence actually points towards happening. But then I suppose we're tired of hearing from experts, eh...

I notice he didn't bother to address what I said about his voting intentions though. Because he knows that it is absolute nonsense.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on June 23, 2018, 12:08:18 am
  Glyn, just to make one thing clear, I have not called anyones thoughts on any subject B*ll*cks,I responded to that language being used about my post.
   I do not have a problem people thinking it, but I will respond  to it on here.
   I accept your point of view, I enjoy the debate          ( although sometimes it feels like being preached to ) and I agree with many of the points being raised, but some people use the wrong language.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on June 23, 2018, 12:34:57 am
  Rj, I am quite open about my voting,In general elections I have never voted anything else but Labour in my life.
   On brexit I voted to stay in, in the unlikely event of another vote on brexit, I would vote to come out of the EU.
  The present leadership of the labour party, and the way the party is heading would make it hard for me at present to vote for any of the parties in a general election.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on June 23, 2018, 01:00:19 am
  Rj, I am quite open about my voting,In general elections I have never voted anything else but Labour in my life.
   On brexit I voted to stay in, in the unlikely event of another vote on brexit, I would vote to come out of the EU.
  The present leadership of the labour party, and the way the party is heading would make it hard for me at present to vote for any of the parties in a general election.
So you would vote to put us out of Europe and pretty much isolated in the middle of the richest trading block in the world and condemn Briton to a continued slide in growth and GDP for the foreseable future on the view of a party that is not in power with a leadership that may only be temporary?
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on June 23, 2018, 08:32:52 am
Yeah but Glyn, unless you are party to the negotiations you know nothing. I doubt you are daft enough to believe the media

I don't need to know what's happening in the negotiations. If you think it revolves around them, you really don't know anything.

My working life of being an International Trade Officer with Customs, of day-to-day working with EC and UK Law regarding Customs procedures, regulations, relief schemes and how the Single Market works means I know exactly what the implications of leaving the Customs Union and the Single Market are - and I also know that nothing that happens in the negotiations that you place so much store upon is going to change those implications. And yet you think your opinion of 'I know feck all about it' is just as valid as my opinion that is backed up by my years of knowledge and experience. If you want to believe that, then fine, live in your own little bubble of 'ignorance means equality'. But I'm not joining you there.

You may have more experience in customs related things but are you honestly so far up yourself that you think it makes your opinion more valid than someone who hasn't worked the same path as you. That air of superiority sickens me
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on June 23, 2018, 08:49:50 am
Ldr.

I agree with what you say. Brexit is happening. That’s certain.

The important point is though, that there’s a multitude of different ways in which it can happen.

This Govt has CHOSEN to make it happen in a very particular way that is much harder than many of the Leave side said it would be. Farage, back in 2016, was touting a Norway-style arrangement for us post-Brexit. But we are actually going for a much bigger separation from the EU than Norway has. They are members of the EEA and the Single Market. May has CHOSEN not to go for that approach. She has done so, not in the country’s best interests but because there is a majority in the Tory party (not in the country) for a hard Brexit and she wouldn’t survive as PM if she went for a softer Brexit.

What has happened is that the vote to leave was made with no clarity whatsoever about what leaving meant. It’s pretty well nailed on that if the choice in 2016 had been between Remain and THIS type of leaving, the vote would have gone the other way.

You say we should make the best of it. I agree 100%. That means arguing against THIS type of Brexit because it will have very serious negative consequences for us.

You say both sides have spouted lies and no-one can predict the future. But as MM says, the key predictions of the Remain side ARE coming true. And there is nothing being out forward by the hard Brexiters other than assurances that it’ll be alright. 

And thats indicitive of the stupid way the process has worked out. Leave / Remain campaigns were very independent from party lines, now the whole broken westminster system has to conduct the exit and parties are more interested in party politics than whats the best Brexit achieveable

For what its worth to Glyn et al. I voted out (shock) if the vote was again I would vote out again. If you don't think I have second guessed myself every day for the last 2 years you are kidding yourselves.  What I won't do is look down on people who have a different opinion or claim superiority or greater validity because of my background as I value all opinions even if mine differ. Do I think all the EU is bad? no, do I subscribe to the thought process that some have that coming out of the EU means the scrapping of all EU safeguards that currently apply, I do not. I do think we can set such things in the UK parliament without the need to be part of what is fast becoming a federal europe.

To those that are concerned about money. I share the concern. I would however like your opinion on the massive fiscal bail outs on EU countries
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on June 23, 2018, 09:26:15 am
Yeah but Glyn, unless you are party to the negotiations you know nothing. I doubt you are daft enough to believe the media

I don't need to know what's happening in the negotiations. If you think it revolves around them, you really don't know anything.

My working life of being an International Trade Officer with Customs, of day-to-day working with EC and UK Law regarding Customs procedures, regulations, relief schemes and how the Single Market works means I know exactly what the implications of leaving the Customs Union and the Single Market are - and I also know that nothing that happens in the negotiations that you place so much store upon is going to change those implications. And yet you think your opinion of 'I know feck all about it' is just as valid as my opinion that is backed up by my years of knowledge and experience. If you want to believe that, then fine, live in your own little bubble of 'ignorance means equality'. But I'm not joining you there.

You may have more experience in customs related things but are you honestly so far up yourself that you think it makes your opinion more valid than someone who hasn't worked the same path as you. That air of superiority sickens me

Well someone whose opinion is backed up by something other than a gut feeling tends to be more valid than someone whose opinion is just that.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on June 23, 2018, 09:29:39 am
Yeah but Glyn, unless you are party to the negotiations you know nothing. I doubt you are daft enough to believe the media

I don't need to know what's happening in the negotiations. If you think it revolves around them, you really don't know anything.

My working life of being an International Trade Officer with Customs, of day-to-day working with EC and UK Law regarding Customs procedures, regulations, relief schemes and how the Single Market works means I know exactly what the implications of leaving the Customs Union and the Single Market are - and I also know that nothing that happens in the negotiations that you place so much store upon is going to change those implications. And yet you think your opinion of 'I know feck all about it' is just as valid as my opinion that is backed up by my years of knowledge and experience. If you want to believe that, then fine, live in your own little bubble of 'ignorance means equality'. But I'm not joining you there.

You may have more experience in customs related things but are you honestly so far up yourself that you think it makes your opinion more valid than someone who hasn't worked the same path as you. That air of superiority sickens me

Well someone whose opinion is backed up by something other than a gut feeling tends to be more valid than someone whose opinion is just that.

More informed does not equate to more valid. Basically you are dismissing the opinion of everyone who then forms it differently as less valid which is not the case. Everyones opinion is valid
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 23, 2018, 10:14:32 am
Ldr

What are these massive fiscal bail outs? How much have we paid? To whom? How much have we got back?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on June 23, 2018, 10:37:34 am
I think we are all aware of the bailouts to italy and especially greece mate.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 23, 2018, 11:46:01 am
Yeah but Glyn, unless you are party to the negotiations you know nothing. I doubt you are daft enough to believe the media

I don't need to know what's happening in the negotiations. If you think it revolves around them, you really don't know anything.

My working life of being an International Trade Officer with Customs, of day-to-day working with EC and UK Law regarding Customs procedures, regulations, relief schemes and how the Single Market works means I know exactly what the implications of leaving the Customs Union and the Single Market are - and I also know that nothing that happens in the negotiations that you place so much store upon is going to change those implications. And yet you think your opinion of 'I know feck all about it' is just as valid as my opinion that is backed up by my years of knowledge and experience. If you want to believe that, then fine, live in your own little bubble of 'ignorance means equality'. But I'm not joining you there.

You may have more experience in customs related things but are you honestly so far up yourself that you think it makes your opinion more valid than someone who hasn't worked the same path as you. That air of superiority sickens me

Well someone whose opinion is backed up by something other than a gut feeling tends to be more valid than someone whose opinion is just that.

More informed does not equate to more valid. Basically you are dismissing the opinion of everyone who then forms it differently as less valid which is not the case. Everyones opinion is valid

You're confusing the concepts of 'entitlement' and 'validity'. Everybody's entitled to have an opinion. That doesn't make every opinion that people have valid. Holocaust deniers have the opinion that the Holocaust never happened. Is their opinion just as valid as those of use who know it happened?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 23, 2018, 12:05:09 pm
Ldr

How much have we paid for those bailouts?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on June 23, 2018, 02:09:08 pm
Ldr

How much have we paid for those bailouts?

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-33407742

With both Ireland and Portugal now out of their bailout programmes, the UK has not lost any money supporting them at the peak of the crisis

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36456277
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on June 23, 2018, 02:14:24 pm
Forgive me for not noticing where I mentioned Ireland or Portugal......
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 23, 2018, 02:32:15 pm
Yep. We made loans to Ireland and Portugal. They were repaid in full with interest.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 23, 2018, 02:59:04 pm
Forgive me for not noticing where I mentioned Ireland or Portugal......

You weren't asked about Ireland and Portugal. You were asked about Greece and Italy.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on June 23, 2018, 03:13:31 pm
Did we loan money to Greece because we were in the EU? Seeing as we lent them slightly less than the USA?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 23, 2018, 05:01:21 pm
Did we loan money to Greece because we were in the EU? Seeing as we lent them slightly less than the USA?

I think the answer - which Ldr seems to be unaware of - is that we didn't loan any money to Greece. But hey, his opinion that we did is still just as valid!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 23, 2018, 05:18:25 pm
Yep. We made loans to Ireland and Portugal. They were repaid in full with interest.

Were they loans from the UK, the EU as a whole, or the Eurozone?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 23, 2018, 05:33:58 pm
The Ireland one was a combination of funding that we made through the EU and a Direct Govt-to-Govt loan.

We were repaid in full for the funding we made through the EU to both Ireland and Portugal.

We haven’t yet been re-paid for the second loan to Ireland. Repayment starts in April ne t year and goes on in batches until March 2021. We have, however, to date been paid over £450m in interest by Ireland.

By the way, far from this second loan being something that we were forced into by our membership of the EU, the Govt’s stayed reason at the time of the loans was.
“The government agreed to provide a bilateral loan to Ireland because it is in the UK’s national interest that Ireland has a successful economy and a stable banking system. The links between our financial systems, particularly in Northern Ireland, mean that there was a strong economic case to provide financial assistance to Ireland. By being part of the international financial package, the UK indirectly supported the very many businesses across the UK that trade with Ireland.”
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on June 23, 2018, 10:00:37 pm
Guys (Glyn "I think I'm superior" Wigley, and all others who are at least respectful) I mean EU bailouts to Greece and Italy NOT direct UK payments (since we contribute to the EU budget) and I reiterate I never raised Ireland OR Portugal.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 23, 2018, 10:24:33 pm
They weren't EU bailouts. They were Eurozone loans - not EU loans -  and as such absolutely nothing to do with the UK. So why you've raised the subject in a thread about the UK's relations with the EU I can't fathom.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on June 23, 2018, 11:12:36 pm
And the loans by the EIB to Greece glyn? Which as you must well know is owned by the eu member states including the UK......
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 23, 2018, 11:38:40 pm
Lrd

Word of advice. Glyn might have been hard work here, but it doesn’t change the fact that you’re on dodgy ground with this argument.

Yesthe EIB has invested in Greece. The key word here is “invested”. And you might want to look at what the EIB has invested in our own economy   
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on June 24, 2018, 06:26:59 am
So here we are again discussing Brexit, and there are known knowns and unknown knowns...........

We are in this position because Cameron didnt do his home work and squibbed by putting a vote to the people instead of thrashing it out with his party and in the parliament and did not expect a yes vote. Cameron has lost all credibility since by resigning and leaving the C-team to clear up the mess. Known.

The those taking an active part in the lead up to the vote were not monitored to ensure everything was fair and above board. Known.

Widespread cheating regarding the truth in statements and funding of the leave vote where the majority of the corruption has been uncovered. Known.

Almost all the news and information from credible souces has painted a scene of bad news for the economy and individuals alike, the individuals most affected are already in the lower socio economic band. Known

There is no credible outcome known to date where Britain will be able to make good the losses to date and the losses that will be incurred for the foreseeable future. Known

Since the vote the government has been dishonest in part and a absolute shambles in negotiating all the possible outcomes of Brexit. Known.







Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on June 24, 2018, 07:39:26 am
Best post yet Sydney. Bst pretty true. All I joined the thread for was to suggest whinging and blaming doesn't help anyone and just get on with the best of the situation like you actually said a few posts back. Easy to get dragging into childish arguments though
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on June 24, 2018, 08:11:55 am
That is an excellent summary of where we are today Sydney - and how we got here.

If I can just add a couple of things to it:

Cameron called the referendum because of UKIP and his fear of them taking votes away from the Tories.

The vote to leave was to a large extent down to immigration. The polls published last week still show that 75% of people prioritise control of immigration above the economy.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 24, 2018, 08:29:09 am
Wilts

And here’s an interesting point. There is an inverse correlation between how many immigrants there are in an area, and how strongly that area voted to Leave.

https://images.theconversation.com/files/129691/original/image-20160707-30710-1hglytw.gif?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&q=45&auto=format&w=1000&fit=clip



The people who most want to send em back don’t actually encounter many immigrants. But they HEAR about them.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 24, 2018, 09:10:28 am
And the loans by the EIB to Greece glyn? Which as you must well know is owned by the eu member states including the UK......

The EIB doesn't loan out because of any economic problems in a country, they are made to finance specific projects such as infrastructure building or helping SMEs. So in no way can you call the loans they make a 'bailout' - unless you think that the E2,143,000,000 the UK got in 2017 was the EU bailing us out? And you are talking about the Greek 'bailout', aren't you?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on June 24, 2018, 09:37:51 am
Not much anti-Maastricht sentiment in this 1991 poll TRB.

https://ems.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/poll.aspx?oItemId=2948

Exactly on that basis , the pro- EU vote would have pissed it contrary to all the things you hear I.e. - " Well if we had been allowed a vote on Maastricht  ; we would have been long gone out of the EU " .

Perhaps on a vote based on lies and exaggerations , Russian money and Cambridge Analytica , AIQ, false electoral funding and expenditure ........they might well have been right.

I actually think if the UK had voted on Maastricht we would have been less likely to have had Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on June 24, 2018, 09:42:34 am
So here we are again discussing Brexit, and there are known knowns and unknown knowns...........

We are in this position because Cameron didnt do his home work and squibbed by putting a vote to the people instead of thrashing it out with his party and in the parliament and did not expect a yes vote. Cameron has lost all credibility since by resigning and leaving the C-team to clear up the mess. Known.

The those taking an active part in the lead up to the vote were not monitored to ensure everything was fair and above board. Known.

Widespread cheating regarding the truth in statements and funding of the leave vote where the majority of the corruption has been uncovered. Known.

Almost all the news and information from credible souces has painted a scene of bad news for the economy and individuals alike, the individuals most affected are already in the lower socio economic band. Known

There is no credible outcome known to date where Britain will be able to make good the losses to date and the losses that will be incurred for the foreseeable future. Known

Since the vote the government has been dishonest in part and a absolute shambles in negotiating all the possible outcomes of Brexit. Known.









You are spot on about Cameron. He didn't have to hold the referendum in June 2016 as he had at least another 12 months leeway. He could have used that time to achieve some concessions on Free Movement that would almost certainly have swung the vote the other way.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 24, 2018, 10:00:45 am
Ldr
I appreciate your intention. Please understand that what I am doing is not whinging or blaming.

And I fervently agree that what we need to do is make the best of the situation. I want our country to be wealthy, comfortable with itself and mature. My abiding fear is that we’ve set ourselves on a path where we are going to be none of those things by the time my kids are my age.

Brexit still does not have to happen in the way that May interpreted it. There is nothing like a Will of the People for the kind of hard Brexit that she is stumbling us into. But it WILL happen if people just shrug their shoulders and say “Let them get in with it.”

Last point. You won’t like this but I suggest you read it. And think hard about the points raised. Don’t see it as partisan tub-thumping. See it as mature, intelligent reflection. Allow yourself to be challenged.
http://chrisgreybrexitblog.blogspot.com/2018/06/two-years-into-brexit-disaster.html?m=1
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on June 24, 2018, 10:10:14 am
A very good read BST and indeed thought provoking
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 24, 2018, 11:56:14 am
I was always told when I was younger that the Tories were the party of business.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-44593095

Seems now that when businesses make strategic plans and announce their results, Tory Cabinet Ministers accuse them of issuing threats.

Can you imagine what it’s like in the Cabinet at the moment? Not one of them expected Leave to win. Only a handful wanted Leave to win. Not one of them has got any idea how to broker a deal that is acceptable to their aging, Little Englander members and to the EU and would not cause immense damage to the UK economy. Everyone of them knows that the history books are going to crucify them as the most disorganised, unstatesman-like rabble who led Britain into a disaster.

What a f**king mess.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on June 25, 2018, 09:37:19 am
Ldr
I appreciate your intention. Please understand that what I am doing is not whinging or blaming.

And I fervently agree that what we need to do is make the best of the situation. I want our country to be wealthy, comfortable with itself and mature. My abiding fear is that we’ve set ourselves on a path where we are going to be none of those things by the time my kids are my age.

Brexit still does not have to happen in the way that May interpreted it. There is nothing like a Will of the People for the kind of hard Brexit that she is stumbling us into. But it WILL happen if people just shrug their shoulders and say “Let them get in with it.”

Last point. You won’t like this but I suggest you read it. And think hard about the points raised. Don’t see it as partisan tub-thumping. See it as mature, intelligent reflection. Allow yourself to be challenged.
http://chrisgreybrexitblog.blogspot.com/2018/06/two-years-into-brexit-disaster.html?m=1

Thank you for all the comments about my earlier post but the link to the blog put up by BST is far more comprehensive.

I would find it difficult to believe that anyone could read it and make claim that any part is untrue (if anyone does please show cause and provide citations), and further knowing that it is true that they would be still be willing to support Brexit.

I concede that everone is his own man (person) and are perfectly entitled to their personal view but knowing all this and yet would still support Brexit, which would be for what? please explain to me why so that I/we may learn something that is not obvious as none of the advantages once forwarded as good reason to support Brexit no longer stand scrutiny.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on June 25, 2018, 04:54:25 pm
Ldr

How much have we paid for those bailouts?

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-33407742







£56 billion was pumped into the 'Celtic tiger' of which £20 was from the Uk, that's three times the total GDP of Eire, We borrowed it at 5.5% and they pay it back at 6.5%. Allegedly!
https://www.telegraph.co.uk


With both Ireland and Portugal now out of their bailout programmes, the UK has not lost any money supporting them at the peak of the crisis

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36456277
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on June 25, 2018, 05:13:19 pm
Looks like the link doesn't work but if you google how much did it cost the uk to bail Eire out you will find that we are probably about £16 billion out of pocket as the last Labour Govt slushed billions over the water to bail em out. £56 billion the total amount borrowed by Eire equates to 3 years worth of the entire GDP of Eire.So no things don't look rosy at all.
So stop patting yersens on the back and get googling!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 25, 2018, 06:37:17 pm
Sproty.

And all that has precisely what to do with our membership of the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on June 25, 2018, 06:39:23 pm
  Stand by Sporty, the air is about to go blue, I hope you realise what you have done.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 25, 2018, 09:31:24 pm
I hope he knows what he’s done too cos I haven’t got a Scooby.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on June 25, 2018, 11:17:16 pm
 :headbang:simple it didnt cost the tax payer a mere £4 billion, it cost us £20 Billion and that's a little taster of what's waiting round the corner if we stay!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 25, 2018, 11:33:29 pm
Well. WE might all be on a path to a poorer future but it’s good to know that some folk made a mint out of the Brexit vote.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2018-06-25/brexit-big-short-how-pollsters-helped-hedge-funds-beat-the-crash

If you can’t be bothered to read it, I’ll summarise it.

Hedge funds had massive polling done in the run up to and on the day of the vote. That led them to expect Leave to win.

Then at 10pm on the night of the vote, official exit polls said that Remain had won.

In fact, both sets of polls had the result within the margin of error. 

The interesting thing for the Hedge funds was...if the idea could be pushed that Remain had won, that would boost the Pound. And if Leave then actually won, the Pound would collapse. So they could potentially make a hell of a lot of money by shorting the Pound. Like...millions. Many, MANY millions.

What the Hedge funds needed was some really sensational moment that would get the markets ignoring the closeness of the official exit poll and buying into Remain having won.

Enter Nigel Farage.

Shortly after the polls closed, he went in front of the cameras and accepted that Remain had won. He said this because of the official exit polls. Within minutes, the Pound had hit a high of $1.50.

Then the real results started coming in. It was clear that Leave had won. The Pound collapsed. As it would, because a Leave vote was disastrous for the economy.

But it wasn’t disastrous for those who shorted the Pound. They made phenomenal profits.

The End.

Oh no. Sorry. Not quite the end. Because, here’s a thing. When Farage went on TV to concede because of the exit polls, he had in his possession the other polls, saying Leave had won.

I’m sure that was just an oversight, and 17million people haven’t been duped into lining the pockets of Farage’s mates.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 25, 2018, 11:35:01 pm
Sproty

I know you struggle with the real world when you take your eyes away from RT, so I’ll explain it simply.

The money you are talking about had nothing, zero, nada to do with our membership of the EU.

Got it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on June 26, 2018, 11:52:45 am
https://www.spectator.co.uk/2016/07/brexit-voters-are-not-thick-not-racist-just-poor/amp/.      Think that is quite a decent link on some people's way of thinking
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on June 26, 2018, 12:31:38 pm
It ignores the obvious that Brexit was masterminded by the elites. Aaron Banks, Nigel Farage, Rupert Murdoch - what do you think their opinions of the working class are? Do you think any of them will feel the negative effects of Brexit? Poor bas**rds like me and you will, though.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 26, 2018, 01:13:58 pm
https://www.spectator.co.uk/2016/07/brexit-voters-are-not-thick-not-racist-just-poor/amp/.      Think that is quite a decent link on some people's way of thinking

I wonder if he's changed his mind in the two years since he wrote it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on June 26, 2018, 01:30:27 pm
Sproty

I know you struggle with the real world when you take your eyes away from RT, so I’ll explain it simply.

The money you are talking about had nothing, zero, nada to do with our membership of the EU.

Got it?
That’s a bit of a condescending remark from you Billy and i’m a bit dismayed by your attitude,
I respect your views And I expect the same courtesy back.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on June 26, 2018, 02:12:04 pm
How about this for a slogan? It's easier to fit on a bus, I have to admit.
https://www.esquire.com/uk/latest-news/a21928762/king-of-diplomacy-boris-johnson-said-fk-business-in-response-to-brexit-fears/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 26, 2018, 03:04:31 pm
https://www.spectator.co.uk/2016/07/brexit-voters-are-not-thick-not-racist-just-poor/amp/.      Think that is quite a decent link on some people's way of thinking

Bpool

I don’t question the fact that many people said “screw you” to the EU as that article says. Many, many people have quite rightly been pissed off with their living standards stagnating or reducing for years.

But the point is that stagnation has nothing to do with the EU. It’s more about decisions made by the Govt for years. I was predicting this sort of situation when we took the utterly mad decision to go for Austerity back in 2010.

Yes, people stuck it to the EU in that vote. But the effect of that WILL be to make those same people a lot poorer.

Meanwhile, you might want to have a look at that author’s track record and ask yourself why he is so strongly anti-EU. He was once upon a time, a member of the Revolutionary Communist Party. Which hated the EU for political reasons. What he’s done over the last generation is to remain as strident in his views, but to become a right-wing ideologue instead.

His opinions are not going to make the future of my kids and your kids any better. But he will be delighted that we’ve left the EU. Because it’s all about ideology, not practical consequences.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on June 26, 2018, 04:25:57 pm
This is worth a read. Not strictly Brexit/EU but related to it via the consequences of austerity and the direction the country is going.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/05/28/world/europe/uk-austerity-poverty.html?fallback=0&recId=16XzdZug50wyYSyoFbWWfq7N76S&geoContinent=NA&geoRegion=NY&recAlloc=thompson_sampling&geoCountry=US&blockId=signature-journalism-vi&action=click&module=editorContent&pgtype=Article&region=CompanionColumn&contentCollection=Trending
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 26, 2018, 07:24:42 pm
Selby.

You’re right about the air going blue.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-44618154

This egomaniac idiot saying “f**k business” and complaining about the opinions of “those who profess to represent business.” By which he means some of the leaders of the biggest companies in the country, who are telling the Govt that Brexit is going to hammer them and they’ll take their business out of the country.

Line up folks. Hands up.

Whose opinion do you trust? Simple choice. The heads of Airbus and BMW UK? Or Johnson, Fox and Rees-Mogg?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: turnbull for england on June 26, 2018, 07:43:42 pm
 Harley Davidson make business decision and are accused of surrender? https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/business-44604280
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 27, 2018, 09:54:17 am
Astonishing. So far down the road, at a time when EVERY credible prediction says that we’re going to be a lot worse off due to Brexit, and fewer than 30% of the public realise this.

https://mobile.twitter.com/AndrewSparrow/status/1011625055116234753/photo/1
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on June 27, 2018, 05:24:12 pm
If you really want to worry yourself - 32% of the public think Brexit will be good for the NHS

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2018/06/23/eu-referendum-two-years/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 27, 2018, 11:00:28 pm
C4 documentary “Inside the Embassy”. Fly on the wall documentary of meetings in the American Embassy in London.

This is economic advisers giving an update to the Ambassador so he’s well informed when he meets with British politicians.

https://mobile.twitter.com/davemacladd/status/1011636382786314240/video/1

Those of you who are wedded to Leave. Watch this. THIS is what the economic experts in the USA are telling their people.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on June 28, 2018, 08:50:02 am
C4 documentary “Inside the Embassy”. Fly on the wall documentary of meetings in the American Embassy in London.

This is economic advisers giving an update to the Ambassador so he’s well informed when he meets with British politicians.

https://mobile.twitter.com/davemacladd/status/1011636382786314240/video/1

Those of you who are wedded to Leave. Watch this. THIS is what the economic experts in the USA are telling their people.

That's astounding when was this aired and if so why hasn't there been any sort of outcry ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 28, 2018, 08:59:36 am
Further to that story about Farage, the polls, the pound collapsing and the hedge fund managers making a fortune.

Here’s how Farage responded to the pound’s collapse on the night of the vote.

https://mobile.twitter.com/mk1969/status/1012086482314711042
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on June 28, 2018, 10:33:41 am
Further to that story about Farage, the polls, the pound collapsing and the hedge fund managers making a fortune.

Here’s how Farage responded to the pound’s collapse on the night of the vote.

https://mobile.twitter.com/mk1969/status/1012086482314711042
Amazing. Literally smirking away as he takes money out of the pockets of every single Briton. Brexiters - why are you angry at the people who point this out for being "condescending", but you're happy to let this slide? This merchant banker who's grinning away as he takes money from you and your family.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 28, 2018, 10:36:21 am
C4 documentary “Inside the Embassy”. Fly on the wall documentary of meetings in the American Embassy in London.

This is economic advisers giving an update to the Ambassador so he’s well informed when he meets with British politicians.

https://mobile.twitter.com/davemacladd/status/1011636382786314240/video/1

Those of you who are wedded to Leave. Watch this. THIS is what the economic experts in the USA are telling their people.

That's astounding when was this aired and if so why hasn't there been any sort of outcry ?

Further than that, if that's the shit the Americans think we're in, who actually thinks we'll get a good trade deal out of them and who thinks they'll royally f**k us over while they can?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 28, 2018, 11:09:29 am
A word about that sliding pound.

The collapse in the value of the pound led DIRECTLY to a rapid increase in inflation (because things we import cost more). That meant that we had two years of inflation outstripping average wages (i.e. on average, people getting poorer).
 
And then of course there's the fact that our economic growth has collapsed since the vote, while the rest of the developed world has been going through a boom.


That's what Farage is celebrating there on Referendum night.

When will you realise? He doesn't give a flying f**k about the people who are going to take the economic hit on Brexit. He's a city spiv and he and his city spiv mates have won massively from the vote. With the help of everyone who voted Leave.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 28, 2018, 11:43:23 am
Project Fear.
https://amp.ft.com/content/8f46b0d4-77b6-11e8-8e67-1e1a0846c475?__twitter_impression=true

I’m sure it’s all nonsense. And anyway, Boris put the Government’s official position out there this week: “f**k business.”
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 28, 2018, 03:09:48 pm
This is a gem.

https://mobile.twitter.com/LordAshcroft/status/1012217151711842305

One of the leading Brexiteers, a City of London billionaire telling other City high rollers (in particular insurance and finance companies) how they can take some of their business out of the UK to avoid the worst of Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on June 28, 2018, 06:25:43 pm
I prefer John Redwood advising his clients to move their money out of the UK, Dominic Lawson applying for French citizenship and Rees-Mogg opening an office in Dublin for my unpatriotic Brexiteers letting the country down after Brexit. But isn't it nice we have the choice:

https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/brexit-ashcroft-rees-mogg_uk_5b34e37be4b0b745f17bbbf8?nzf&utm_hp_ref=uk-homepage
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on June 28, 2018, 06:28:24 pm
There's a "leaked" eyes only letter doing the rounds that they're going to actually offer a vote on the final deal after all since it's turned out to be a clusterf**k.

I don't think it's real but apparently the image of the letter has been checked for being electronically modified i.e. May's signature photoshopped onto it and it checks out. We'll see, I suppose. I don't think she'll climb down like that now as it would be the end of her.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 28, 2018, 08:06:27 pm
There's a "leaked" eyes only letter doing the rounds that they're going to actually offer a vote on the final deal after all since it's turned out to be a clusterf**k.

I don't think it's real but apparently the image of the letter has been checked for being electronically modified i.e. May's signature photoshopped onto it and it checks out. We'll see, I suppose. I don't think she'll climb down like that now as it would be the end of her.

Offer who a vote, Parliament or the public?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on June 28, 2018, 08:11:44 pm
The public. I'm not convinced it's real though.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 28, 2018, 09:13:25 pm
The public. I'm not convinced it's real though.

I'm not so sure. Those eyeing up knifing May in the back and take over don't want the stigmata of a shit Brexit on their hands. Now they'll have to vote for it in Parliameant their fingerprints will be on record as being all over it.

However, if there's a second vote they'll be off the hook. Either Brexit is voted against and the problem goes away completely or it's voted for and they're just carrying out the 'will of the people', "nuffink to do wiv me, mate".
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on June 29, 2018, 04:04:30 am
Selby.

You’re right about the air going blue.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-44618154
BMW have said they won’t
This egomaniac idiot saying “f**k business” and complaining about the opinions of “those who profess to represent business.” By which he means some of the leaders of the biggest companies in the country, who are telling the Govt that Brexit is going to hammer them and they’ll take their business out of the country.

Line up folks. Hands up.

Whose opinion do you trust? Simple choice. The heads of Airbus and BMW UK? Or Johnson, Fox and Rees-Mogg?
bmw have said they will not pull out of the uk even in the event of a no deal, so nothing to see here bar scaremongering, you have seen the independent newspaper print in and take it as gospel
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on June 29, 2018, 09:14:07 am
The public. I'm not convinced it's real though.

I'm not so sure. Those eyeing up knifing May in the back and take over don't want the stigmata of a shit Brexit on their hands. Now they'll have to vote for it in Parliameant their fingerprints will be on record as being all over it.

However, if there's a second vote they'll be off the hook. Either Brexit is voted against and the problem goes away completely or it's voted for and they're just carrying out the 'will of the people', "nuffink to do wiv me, mate".

Well that was the crux of the letter. "We've realised it was a shit show, we can save our arses if we paint it as giving them a say on the deal we get or keeping the status quo and hopefully no one will notice we've shat it."
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 29, 2018, 10:32:00 am
Bpool.

No. What I actually saw were the words of a senior director of BMW:
“We always said we can do our best and prepare everything, but if at the end of the day the supply chain will have a stop at the border, then we cannot produce our products in the UK”

What YOU have seen is a tabloid headline that very much exaggerates what another BMW manager said.

The Express headline for example says:
“BMW's Brexit U-turn: German car giant will NOT quit the UK in no deal scenario”

What the head of BMW UK ACTUALLY said was:
“We are not considering that as an option.” NB: Present tense. ARE not considering. As in, right now. He absolutely and carefully doesn’t say “We WILL NOT leave the UK if the deal ends up being bad,” which is how the Express spun it.

He went on to say:
“We are considering what we would need to have in place to overcome such impediments to border fluidity. That's where we are focused right now.

"It would be foolhardy of any company not to have these contingency ideas under way because we are racing towards March 29 next year.

“As previously stated, the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the Brexit negotiations is not helpful when it comes to making long-term business decisions.

“Clearly if parts cannot physically get to a factory at the expected time, that factory will not run as smoothly and reliably as is desirable.”

So, if the Express has been honest, here is how they would have presented that story.

BMW UK boss says any change to customs and Single Market relationship with EU will cause them significant problems.  They are not actively planning to leave the UK at the moment and hope they won’t gave to do. But a senior BMW director said earlier in tge week that if there is no suitable deal, it may force BMW to leave the U.K.
Clearly, BMW are emphasising that there are no positives and only problems emerging as a result of the route to Brexit that we are taking. It remains to be seen just how bad those problems are.

That would have been fair reporting. What the Express did instead was to put a spin on the headline for people who don’t go past the headlines.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on June 29, 2018, 05:35:51 pm
Or this:

BMW has long warned the British government over the dangers to UK production in the event of a hard Brexit. Group boss Harald Krüger previously stated: "We hope for pragmatism from all parties in the Brexit negotiations. That means no new barriers to trade and free movement for skilled workers. We're planning in terms of scenarios. You know that we make Mini models at VDL Nedcar in the Netherlands; we're flexible."
https://www.autocar.co.uk/car-news/new-cars/bmw-uk-boss-we-will-not-close-uk-factories-post-brexit

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on June 29, 2018, 10:20:49 pm
Watching the news just now. Still no progress on anything and both sides accusing each other of intransigence.
Looking more and more like no deal to me.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 30, 2018, 12:39:25 am
We won’t leave with no deal. Not a chance in a million. Because it would be catastrophic to our economy (and I MEAN catastrophic) and it would be less severe but still damaging to the EU economy.

Where we’re heading to is the endgame where the bullshit and bluster of Johnson, Rees-Mogg and Fox gets exposed for bullshit and bluster. There’s no deal that they can work that would be satisfactory to the EU and not cause severe damage to our economy. May’s bern playing for time, hoping something will come up but there’s no time left now.

So May is going to have two options.
1) Really go for the suicidal No Deal strategy. But that will NOT get through Parliament. Then she would have to resign.

2) Go for the only tenable solution from where we are. An extended transition period in which nothing much changes and we kick the can down the road. And then she faces the wrath of the headjob Brexiteers who will probably bring her down.

It’ll be three years wasted and nothing further on. But at least we might be shut of her.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on June 30, 2018, 05:11:49 am
Watching the news just now. Still no progress on anything and both sides accusing each other of intransigence.
Looking more and more like no deal to me.

No way TT to even think that the " no deal " option is feasible is foolhardy. It would destroy our economy - nobody in the Tory Party will allow that to happen hence all this obfuscation over the ' white paper '.

It would virtually destroy the Tory Party if it were to happen and ensure that they would not enjoy power again for decades. It remains only a crazy threat not a reality.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on June 30, 2018, 07:36:36 am
Selby.

You’re right about the air going blue.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-44618154
BMW have said they won’t
This egomaniac idiot saying “f**k business” and complaining about the opinions of “those who profess to represent business.” By which he means some of the leaders of the biggest companies in the country, who are telling the Govt that Brexit is going to hammer them and they’ll take their business out of the country.

Line up folks. Hands up.

Whose opinion do you trust? Simple choice. The heads of Airbus and BMW UK? Or Johnson, Fox and Rees-Mogg?
bmw have said they will not pull out of the uk even in the event of a no deal, so nothing to see here bar scaremongering, you have seen the independent newspaper print in and take it as gospel

Like others I suggest you either change the newspaper you read or at least go to the source of the headline.
They can and believe me WILL switch their production if they stand to lose money or have delays in their just in time systems . The same applies to other car manufacturers i.e. Toyota, Nissan, Landrover, Jaguar etc .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 30, 2018, 07:41:04 am
Watching the news just now. Still no progress on anything and both sides accusing each other of intransigence.
Looking more and more like no deal to me.

The thing is, the EU were never going to be anything but rock solid in their position. They have to be, in accordance with their own regulations reagrding their agencies. Its us that's changed their position, not them. And this was known all along but now they're being painted as the bad guys because they won't do what we want them to do. Even though they can't.

The only thing that is negotiable is the EU/UK trade relationship AFTER the UK has completely left the EU. And as far as I can see, nothing has been achieved in that area either, mainly because the UK seem to be demanding special treatment. Or can't hold a position long enough to conduct a competent negotiation.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 30, 2018, 07:42:19 am
Selby.

You’re right about the air going blue.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-44618154
BMW have said they won’t
This egomaniac idiot saying “f**k business” and complaining about the opinions of “those who profess to represent business.” By which he means some of the leaders of the biggest companies in the country, who are telling the Govt that Brexit is going to hammer them and they’ll take their business out of the country.

Line up folks. Hands up.

Whose opinion do you trust? Simple choice. The heads of Airbus and BMW UK? Or Johnson, Fox and Rees-Mogg?
bmw have said they will not pull out of the uk even in the event of a no deal, so nothing to see here bar scaremongering, you have seen the independent newspaper print in and take it as gospel

Like others I suggest you either change the newspaper you read or at least go to the source of the headline.
They can and believe me WILL switch their production if they stand to lose money or have delays in their just in time systems . The same applies to other car manufacturers i.e. Toyota, Nissan, Landrover, Jaguar etc .

It's the same for any company. They exist to make profits, not provide jobs in Britain.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on June 30, 2018, 08:17:09 am
We won’t leave with no deal. Not a chance in a million. Because it would be catastrophic to our economy (and I MEAN catastrophic) and it would be less severe but still damaging to the EU economy.

Where we’re heading to is the endgame where the bullshit and bluster of Johnson, Rees-Mogg and Fox gets exposed for bullshit and bluster. There’s no deal that they can work that would be satisfactory to the EU and not cause severe damage to our economy. May’s bern playing for time, hoping something will come up but there’s no time left now.

So May is going to have two options.
1) Really go for the suicidal No Deal strategy. But that will NOT get through Parliament. Then she would have to resign.

2) Go for the only tenable solution from where we are. An extended transition period in which nothing much changes and we kick the can down the road. And then she faces the wrath of the headjob Brexiteers who will probably bring her down.

It’ll be three years wasted and nothing further on. But at least we might be shut of her.

I am pretty much agreed with all that. There are however a couple of other factors to throw into the mix:

1) Johnson and Davies walk out of this 'crunch' meeting at Chequers, resign from the cabinet, and the ERG send their letters to santa. The membership of the Tory party is 80% pro-Brexit, they demand a Brexiteer is put up against her (or she resigns and Javid steps up) and Rees-Mogg gets elected. Or no Brexiteer is put up and the Brexiteers refuse to endorse it.

2) The Trade & Customs Bill vote in late July. The Tory 'rebels' are so disappointed with what comes out of Chequers they find the backbone to rebel and the government is defeated. May calls a General Election.

Neither of this two scenarios may come to pass, but.....
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 30, 2018, 05:02:28 pm
Oh dear! Tinky-Winky’s not happy.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-44668572

Endgame’s coming. I don’t often agree with Matthew Parris but he knows how the Tory party works. He got it spot on in the Times today. Said that there is no deal that will satisfy the Brexit headbangers that is remotely feasible. Said May had been kicking the can down the road hoping fir something to come up. But no time has run out. And the only hope for her is to find some backbone and face down the Brexit headbangers. Let them bring her down if they want to. But at least she’d go down doing the right (or the least wrong) thing.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on June 30, 2018, 06:44:30 pm
If you are interested in what is at stake at the Chequers meeting and how it might play out then Robert Peston's take on it is worth reading.

https://www.facebook.com/1498276767163730/posts/2088631428128258/

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 30, 2018, 07:50:27 pm
Oh dear! Tinky-Winky’s not happy.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-44668572

Endgame’s coming. I don’t often agree with Matthew Parris but he knows how the Tory party works. He got it spot on in the Times today. Said that there is no deal that will satisfy the Brexit headbangers that is remotely feasible. Said May had been kicking the can down the road hoping fir something to come up. But no time has run out. And the only hope for her is to find some backbone and face down the Brexit headbangers. Let them bring her down if they want to. But at least she’d go down doing the right (or the least wrong) thing.

Him doing that, and brazenly confirming it in public, knowing that he is untouchable in his job just underlines that Teresa May must be the weakest Prime Minister in living memory. She now reminds me of a quote from Yes, Minister:

Bernard Woolley: It used to be said there were two kinds of chairs to go with two kinds of Ministers: one sort that folds up instantly, the other sort goes round and round in circles.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 30, 2018, 08:00:09 pm
She’s a catastrophe.

PMs do well by imposing discipline on ministers. Our Govt works through the concept of collective responsibility. They have the bloodletting in private then put on a common front to the external world. Ministers win some and lose some and grit their teeth and bear it either way. She is allowing ministers to say what they want in public and undermine any idea of a common front.

In previous years, Johnson, Williamson and Gove would have been sacked instantly for the way they have humiliated her this week. She’s terrified of having them out of the Cabinet and free to plot against her. But instead, they are inside and STILL openly acting against her. It’s a clusterf**k. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on June 30, 2018, 11:20:05 pm
No need to tell me, Billy, I did Politics at A-level!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on June 30, 2018, 11:53:29 pm
Heh! They wouldn’t let me.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 01, 2018, 10:00:24 am
No need to tell me, Billy, I did Politics at A-level!

You don't need to have studied Politics at all to realise how wrong all this behaviour is though. Anyone studying the subject would have realised that this is the poorest level of man - management witnessed in a PM certainly over the last 50 years . The Maybot fails in so many ways but unfortunately for the Opposition it fails to capitalise on all these areas of weakness .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 01, 2018, 11:31:56 am
I’ve given up trying to discuss this with Momentum members.

This is the worst PM and the most dysfunctional Govt in living memory. Any competent opposition should be 20 points ahead in the polls.

I raised this with a friend of mine who is an extremely intelligent person. Company owner and University Prof. And a Momentum member.

I asked him what he thought about Labour being behind in the polls in these circumstances.
He said, “We’re not. It’s neck and neck.”

So I showed him this page.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election

And I pointed out that there have been 35 polls o et the past 3 months. The Tories have been ahead in 26, Labour in 2, with 7 tied.

His response to that was “Well no-one believed the polls.”

I then pointed out that Labour HAD been at neck and neck, in fact probably slightly ahead for a good while up to March. And in March, Corbyn started sounding like an apologist for Putin post-Salisbury. And that, since then, there’s been a decline of about 4% in Lab support with acommensurate increase in Tory and LD support.

His response was. “No, that’s nonsense.” 

But it isn’t nonsense. It’s there in the data. So I pointed that out. And he went off on a rant about the unfairness of the BBC.

This worries me. A lot. Smart people simply not wanting to see anything that contradicts what they have decided is they way things are. A total refusal to look at the facts.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donny Dub on July 01, 2018, 09:03:30 pm
BREXIT - what a fat Barnsley lass does when she sits on a white plastic garden chair.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 01, 2018, 09:45:54 pm
It's interesting that people who complain about Labour's Brexit stance and polling stats are generally wanting to ignore the referendum result and stay within the EU.

The party that has consistently campaigned to do that has also consistently polled at 7-8%.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 01, 2018, 10:38:07 pm
I’m not sure who you are talking about Wilts, but that’s a classic case of the Whataboutery that I was talking about earlier.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 02, 2018, 10:24:26 pm
If you’re in any doubt of how utterly shambolic this Govt is, read this. All of it.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/uk-politics-44690167?__twitter_impression=true

Two years on since the Vote and not only is the Govt unsure what the plan is going to be, but they are unsure about whether a plan that they announced this morning actually exists or not.

If this wasn’t so horrifically serious, it would be farcical. As I’ve been saying for months: no concept of what is good for the country. It’s all about what can stop the Tory party from descending into Civil War. Even if that means telling one half of the party that they have a plan to soften Brexit, then telling the other half there’s no plan.

And STILL they are ahead in the polls...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Padge_DRFC on July 03, 2018, 03:34:07 am
Of course they are ahead. Jeremy Corbyn is the issue. Attracts extreme left wing lunatics mainly.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 03, 2018, 07:42:50 am
This " supposed " 3rd way looks as though it would be totally unacceptable to the EU , it sounds to me like a cobbled together mess.

Whilst it may at first appear to be seeking some sort of compromise within the Tory Party, it addresses few if any of the objectives of either warring faction - in fact it just pisses off the ardent " cliff edge ERG " Brexiters all the more. Strangely whilst they rant on about how " May has broken her word / is subject to challenge " - this seems to stiffen the resolve of the Remainers to protect and surround their PM.

All this angst and yet the likelihood of any of this being  semi-acceptable to the EU would seem remote.

The pressure and public appetite for a 2nd vote is getting ever stronger. The pivotal point will be reached when Starmer and Corbyn realise that they must change their stance or face losing support . Time to Oppose before it is too late for the Labour Party ; it is now obvious that few if any of their 6 tests can be met.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 03, 2018, 08:04:41 am
Of course they are ahead. Jeremy Corbyn is the issue. Attracts extreme left wing lunatics mainly.

Unfortunately this supposed " will of the people " line that keeps getting trotted out is the main problem .
Is it really the people's will to live in a society that puts barriers up between it's nearest trading partners, makes itself poorer economically, socially, morally and in terms of security.

What " advisory " will of the people ever forced our leaders to inflict all of the above on us all with just the votes of 37% of the electorate.
Many of us are gregarious enough to want to work, holiday and retire abroad now that dream has been made just that much harder for us all to achieve.

We have all become used to exacting standards in our products and conditions in our employment that are now at risk . No genuine Leaver especially from poorer areas  of the country voted to be even poorer or potentially be less secure ; yes they had fears about immigration that wereý whipped up but was that enough ? 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 03, 2018, 11:50:35 am
No genuine Leaver especially from poorer areas  of the country voted to be even poorer or potentially be less secure

Perhaps they were poor enough to think they had now't to lose so voted accordingly.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on July 03, 2018, 02:09:15 pm
For the majority their xenophobia clouded everything else to do with Brexit. It's definitely not gonna help Doncaster.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 03, 2018, 02:36:50 pm
For the majority their xenophobia clouded everything else to do with Brexit. It's definitely not gonna help Doncaster.

So the majority of leave voters were racist?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Padge_DRFC on July 03, 2018, 02:48:06 pm
For the majority their xenophobia clouded everything else to do with Brexit. It's definitely not gonna help Doncaster.

Here we go again. Any deal that stops us being allowed to negotiate our own trade deals with the rest of that big world out there would be terrible and a complete waste of time leaving for me.

Remoaners constantly tagging leave voters as racist gets a bit tedious and boring. Then again most of these far left wing lunatic protesters don’t even know what the EU is. Just jump on a bandwagon go marching around protesting whilst the rest of us go to work.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 03, 2018, 03:02:37 pm
I was undecided which way to vote right up to putting the cross on the paper. I decided to vote remain. I didn't realise how close I was to being a xenophobic racist!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on July 03, 2018, 03:38:04 pm
Xenophobia and racism are two different things. ;)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 03, 2018, 03:45:56 pm
Which one was I very nearly then?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on July 03, 2018, 04:04:31 pm
Find the bit where I said all who voted for Brexit or even mentioned your name.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 03, 2018, 04:19:39 pm
No genuine Leaver especially from poorer areas  of the country voted to be even poorer or potentially be less secure

Perhaps they were poor enough to think they had now't to lose so voted accordingly.

If that’s what they thought then they are in for a VERY nasty shock.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 03, 2018, 04:30:32 pm
For the majority their xenophobia clouded everything else to do with Brexit. It's definitely not gonna help Doncaster.

Here we go again. Any deal that stops us being allowed to negotiate our own trade deals with the rest of that big world out there would be terrible and a complete waste of time leaving for me.

Remoaners constantly tagging leave voters as racist gets a bit tedious and boring. Then again most of these far left wing lunatic protesters don’t even know what the EU is. Just jump on a bandwagon go marching around protesting whilst the rest of us go to work.

Padge

Which of those deals is going to compensate for the money we lose by deliberately making it harder to trade with 450million of the richest people in the world right on our doorstep?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 03, 2018, 04:38:43 pm
No genuine Leaver especially from poorer areas  of the country voted to be even poorer or potentially be less secure

Perhaps they were poor enough to think they had now't to lose so voted accordingly.

If that’s what they thought then they are in for a VERY nasty shock.

What do you think they thought, Billy?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 03, 2018, 06:21:53 pm
No genuine Leaver especially from poorer areas  of the country voted to be even poorer or potentially be less secure

Perhaps they were poor enough to think they had now't to lose so voted accordingly.

If that’s what they thought then they are in for a VERY nasty shock.
You are wasting your breath Billy , no- one said every Leaver was racist but the one sure thing is we will ALL be poorer as you said . The Labour Party need to step up to the plate pronto- they have played the waiting game far too long now - they are being deliberately tarred with the same brush by the Tories with this 84% voted for it argument ! 

Sent from my SM-G800F using Tapatalk

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 03, 2018, 06:36:59 pm
For the majority their xenophobia clouded everything else to do with Brexit. It's definitely not gonna help Doncaster.

Here we go again. Any deal that stops us being allowed to negotiate our own trade deals with the rest of that big world out there would be terrible and a complete waste of time leaving for me.

Remoaners constantly tagging leave voters as racist gets a bit tedious and boring. Then again most of these far left wing lunatic protesters don’t even know what the EU is. Just jump on a bandwagon go marching around protesting whilst the rest of us go to work.

Just for clarity Padge - are you saying that the people campaining to remain in the EU are left-wing lunatics?

Which would be strange as there are other people on here saying the left want a hard Brexit. Surely it can't be both?

But then again if you dont know, and you are reasonably well informed, then how is the country at large supposed to know. Maybe it's all this disinformation going around that is is feeding Billy's opinion polls?

In my opinion, for what that's worth, its the centerists (left and right) who want to Remain, the loony left who want a soft Brexit and the hard right who want a hard Brexit.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 03, 2018, 06:50:39 pm
No genuine Leaver especially from poorer areas  of the country voted to be even poorer or potentially be less secure

Perhaps they were poor enough to think they had now't to lose so voted accordingly.

If that’s what they thought then they are in for a VERY nasty shock.

You would need to be very naive or in denial to believe they didn't though.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/jun/25/brexit-vote-poor-elite
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/commentisfree/2016/jun/24/divided-britain-brexit-money-class-inequality-westminster
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/aug/07/north-poor-brexit-myths
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 03, 2018, 10:59:23 pm
BB.

I think they thought they couldn’t have it any worse.

And I think they are in for a f**king big surprise.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 04, 2018, 10:08:45 am
Wilts
Quote
In my opinion, for what that's worth, its the centerists (left and right) who want to Remain, the loony left who want a soft Brexit and the hard right who want a hard Brexit.

Corbyn wants us out of both the SM and the CU. He’s been dragged kicking and screaming by Keir Starmer to a position where he will accept SOME FORM of customs arrangement, but not the CU.

What’s that if not a Hard Brexit? And where does that put Corbyn on your spectrum?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 04, 2018, 11:04:21 am
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-44704561

Yet another stain on the Leave campaign.

Doubtless there’ll just be more shrugging of shoukders and wisecracking from Boris and we’ll all ignore it.

For the record, BeLeave was a company which campaigned for Brexit. It was set up by some pre-pubescent non-entity and then: Hey! Whaddya know! It gets a £600k donation! Which it uses to link with Cambridge Analytica to send focussed ads on social media.

Vote Leave have always said that Be Leave was nothing to do with them. Even though the spotty Herbert who set it up was a Vote Leave employee.

It was clear as day what had happened. VL had spent the maximum they could by law. But they needed one last target push (that Kitson Cumming had bragged about it). So they set up BL which meant they could (illegally) symphony more funds into the last minute advertising.

Criminality upon criminality. Oh yeah. And wait till you hear where the BL £600k came from...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 04, 2018, 11:12:24 am
https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Backfire_effect
I'll just leave this here.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 04, 2018, 11:16:52 am
Which, in a very real sense, means that Democracy is f**ked.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 04, 2018, 11:56:34 am
The problem is, and this is not directed at you BST, that nobody likes a smartarse, especially the ones who call people xenophobic, racist fools.

I think the attitude of many Remainers has contributed to the determination of many Leavers to remain defiant towards any negative prospects put out by them.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 04, 2018, 12:09:39 pm
"We don't care that democracy has been seriously undermined by a foreign power, the real issue is the smartarses on the other side!"
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 04, 2018, 12:16:59 pm
Thing is if the leavers talk about being undermined by foreign powers they get called xenophobic, racist fools!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 04, 2018, 01:55:35 pm
Definitely the same thing as Russia pretty much rigging the referendum eh.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 04, 2018, 02:25:49 pm
https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Backfire_effect
I'll just leave this here.

Does the backfire effect mean the same as having crapped oneself?.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 04, 2018, 07:44:49 pm
Well THIS is interesting.

https://m.facebook.com/1498276767163730/posts/2093159307675470/

Looks like, after 2 years of stupid, unpleasant posturing, May has finally seen sense. It looks like the new line is: Brexit means...errr...nothing much changes actually because anything else would be f**king lunacy.

Be fun to see how Rees-Mogg and the swivelled eyed loons on the Right of the Tory party respond to this one.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 04, 2018, 10:29:07 pm
Well THIS is interesting.

https://m.facebook.com/1498276767163730/posts/2093159307675470/

Looks like, after 2 years of stupid, unpleasant posturing, May has finally seen sense. It looks like the new line is: Brexit means...errr...nothing much changes actually because anything else would be f**king lunacy.

Be fun to see how Rees-Mogg and the swivelled eyed loons on the Right of the Tory party respond to this one.

This is what Gove ripped up, isn't it? So much for unity!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 05, 2018, 12:38:49 am
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-44704561

Yet another stain on the Leave campaign.

Doubtless there’ll just be more shrugging of shoukders and wisecracking from Boris and we’ll all ignore it.

For the record, BeLeave was a company which campaigned for Brexit. It was set up by some pre-pubescent non-entity and then: Hey! Whaddya know! It gets a £600k donation! Which it uses to link with Cambridge Analytica to send focussed ads on social media.

Vote Leave have always said that Be Leave was nothing to do with them. Even though the spotty Herbert who set it up was a Vote Leave employee.

It was clear as day what had happened. VL had spent the maximum they could by law. But they needed one last target push (that Kitson Cumming had bragged about it). So they set up BL which meant they could (illegally) symphony more funds into the last minute advertising.

Criminality upon criminality. Oh yeah. And wait till you hear where the BL £600k came from...

Then of course there is the money ( raised ?) and  spent by " Veterans for Leave " with AIQ,  the unexplained DUP monies that are from an unknown source but were used on the London Metro advertising for Leave but not in N.Ireland. Was it right that monies ( supposedly raised by NI Unionists ? ) was spent in England.

Believe me we haven't got to the bottom of the Arron Banks funding sources, offers of shares under market value in Russian diamond mines just days after the Referendum result and the lies about further meetings he had with key Russians that he lied to the Parliament Select Committee about but has now subsequently
admitted to having had recently in the Mueller investigation.


All in all a tangled web that will gradually unwind over the coming weeks and demonstrate just how unsafe that " advisory " Referendum result actually was,  sorry still is  !!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on July 05, 2018, 08:14:26 am
Well THIS is interesting.

https://m.facebook.com/1498276767163730/posts/2093159307675470/

Looks like, after 2 years of stupid, unpleasant posturing, May has finally seen sense. It looks like the new line is: Brexit means...errr...nothing much changes actually because anything else would be f**king lunacy.

Be fun to see how Rees-Mogg and the swivelled eyed loons on the Right of the Tory party respond to this one.

They won't be happy, of course, and will make a lot of noise about it. And when the EU turns down May's Third Way, they will say "see, told you so. The only way is a Hard Brexit."

Not saying I agree but that is how I see it playing out.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 05, 2018, 08:51:16 am
TRB
But a Hard Brexit (if by that you mean “no deal”) will not get through Parliament. Not a chance. There are only 80-100 MPs who ideologically want a No Deal Brexit. A few others might vote with them on the Will of the People bullshit principle. But 400+ probably more would vote against because a No Deal exit would be catastrophically damaging to the country.

So here’s the stupidity of the past 5 years.

Cameron called the Referendum to definitively sort out the issue that has torn the Tory Oarty apart for a generation.

He intended it to neuter the swivel-eyed loons.

It actually strengthened the swivel-eyed looms.

We’ve had two years since then of ferocious arguments in the Tory Party over which versions of plans that the EU would never accept should become policy.

The U.K. economy has stagnated while the world economy has boomed so we’ve all become significantly ooorer than we should have been.

The final policy that we seem to be settling in is the one that satisfies nobody (as one bright spark put it, our relationship with the EU will be “Pay, Obey, No Say) but is the least damaging in the circumstances.

And the wounds in the Tory party at the end of this process will be even deeper. The swivel-eyed loons will claim they and the people have been betrayed by the grown ups who stopped them destroying the country.

And the arguments will go on for another generation.


Cameron and May. Two catastrophically bad PMs who have led us into this waking nightmare. The history books will eviscerate them.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on July 05, 2018, 09:54:43 am
BST

I am pretty sure we will end up with the Norway Model, or something very similar. May seems to be inching towards that. Although I don't think what she proposes will be acceptable to the EU, any more than it will be to her own hard liners.

It wouldn't altogether surprise me if we had a General Election in the autumn. Probably with the Tory leader being a Brexiteer. Whether that changes the Parliamentary arithmetic we will have to wait and see. Certainly the polls at the moment point to another Hung Parliament, so it probably won't change much.

By the way, I largely agree with your analysis. The Norway Model will satisfy neither Leavers nor Remainers. The former will see it as a halfway house to getting out altogether. The Remainers will want us to eventually rejoin the EU. The only way to  "settle the issue for a generation" was for Remain to secure a thumping victory in the Referendum. That was never all that likely anyway, and Cameron's botched negotiations and haste to hold the vote made it certain it wouldn't.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 05, 2018, 10:43:51 am
Is it democratic to uphold an election result in which the winning side broke the law? And blatantly so?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on July 05, 2018, 11:24:29 am
In Centuries past the common people who were generally poor and had little to lose would have had an uprising against this lot
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 05, 2018, 01:13:55 pm
Re-reading the story of the Dochester Labourers ..................... in 1834 six agricultural labourers from the village of Topuddle were sentenced to transportation for seven years. Why?

The law said it was because they had administered an oath which was illegal under the mutiny act of 1797.......................

We are sliding inexorably backwards where fewer and fewer people control more and more of the planet's wealth.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 05, 2018, 02:25:10 pm
How long before DD threatens to resign again?
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jul/05/david-davis-says-mays-new-brexit-customs-plan-is-unworkable
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on July 06, 2018, 09:58:05 am
https://mobile.twitter.com/nick_clegg/status/1015152633118625793

For once, I think Cleggy has a point. What appears to be proposed will satisfy no-one. Anyway, the EU will probably kick it into touch so we'll be back to square one.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 06, 2018, 10:30:13 am
May's doing it the wrong way round - trying to get her Cabinet to agree then taking it to the EU. She ought to run her next scenario past the EU first (in private) - and if the EU think it's a workable proposition then take to the Cabinet and give them an ultimatum, 'support this workable solution or resign'.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 06, 2018, 11:14:32 am
If she did that they'd just laugh at her to be fair, especially Johnson.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 06, 2018, 11:29:12 am
If she did that they'd just laugh at her to be fair, especially Johnson.

In which case she should sack them and make it clear publicly why she has.

She's supposed to be a leader. If she started acting like one she might, just might, actually achieve something. The way she's acting at the moment just lets everybody push her around and we all end up going nowhere except in circles.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on July 06, 2018, 01:25:36 pm
Dr. No says no, so everyone back on the bus.

https://mobile.twitter.com/BIUK/status/1015201536211849217
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 06, 2018, 01:47:23 pm
If she did that they'd just laugh at her to be fair, especially Johnson.

In which case she should sack them and make it clear publicly why she has.

She's supposed to be a leader. If she started acting like one she might, just might, actually achieve something. The way she's acting at the moment just lets everybody push her around and we all end up going nowhere except in circles.

Aye, she hasn't got the balls to do it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on July 06, 2018, 06:40:00 pm
If she did that they'd just laugh at her to be fair, especially Johnson.

In which case she should sack them and make it clear publicly why she has.

She's supposed to be a leader. If she started acting like one she might, just might, actually achieve something. The way she's acting at the moment just lets everybody push her around and we all end up going nowhere except in circles.

Aye, she hasn't got the balls to do it.
No need to be sexist about it RedJ.😉
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 06, 2018, 09:04:00 pm
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jul/06/theresa-may-secures-approval-from-cabinet-to-negotiate-soft-brexit
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on July 06, 2018, 09:08:02 pm
Smart decision.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 06, 2018, 09:16:40 pm
Great stuff. It's only taken us 2 f**king years to actually work out what our own position is. Now to get the EU to actually agree to it without the Tory government changing their minds again.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 06, 2018, 09:31:47 pm
Be interesting to see how this holds together. In the past, when she’s agreed a sensible deal with one group, she’s then gone to meet with the swivel-eyed loon backbenchers and told them a totally different story.

Expect to see Rees-Mogg and Jenkin and Bone and the rest slavering at the mouth about betrayal of the Will of the People all through the weekend. And I’d expect them to be on the phone to Johnson and Gove to talk about a leadership challenge.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on July 06, 2018, 09:55:14 pm
The problem is that people voting for Brexit expected a grown up responsible negotiation about leaving not this circus.
The result was immediately hijacked by idiots and hardliners putting words in people's mouths.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 06, 2018, 11:43:11 pm
I think Reece mogg etc. Will agree to this reluctantly any deal to leave the eu will pretty much guarantee they win the next election or if not win be in the same position as they are now, a no  deal would prob see them lose
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 07, 2018, 12:48:55 am
The problem is that people voting for Brexit expected a grown up responsible negotiation about leaving not this circus.
The result was immediately hijacked by idiots and hardliners putting words in people's mouths.

You’re shitting me, right?

You expected a grown up negotiation?

When the people who brought you Brexit had said repeatedly during the campaign:

1) There would be a £350m/week Brexit Bonus.
2) Turkey was about to join the EU and we’d be liable for 80m Turks landing on British shores if we didn’t leave.
3) There’d be no problem sorting out the Irish border problem.
4) The EU wouldn’t bargain hard against us because...well, because.
5) That the UK electorate was tired of listening to experts, and that experts who supported Remain were like 1930s German experts who supported Hitler.

You HEARD them say these things repeatedly. You KNOW that they were bullshit and lies. You knew THEN that they were bullshit and lies.

Why did you expect that the people who had bullshitted and lied to you would suddenly start negotiating like grown-ups?

YOU voted us into this f**k up. You were being told at the time that the Brexit cheerleaders wouldn’t have a f**king clue what to do if they won. And still you voted for them.

This is YOUR mess and the mess of everyone who ignored the grown ups two years ago. Don’t come complaining about it now.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 07, 2018, 03:49:28 am
Great stuff. It's only taken us 2 f**king years to actually work out what our own position is. Now to get the EU to actually agree to it without the Tory government changing their minds again.

Not even that unless one is a conservative voter. All this time for the Cons to agree to disagree & put lipstick on the pig.

Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning

The conservatives are not anywhere near settled on this, its window dressing and internal factions will be involved in heavy hand to hand fighting right up to the point they drive us off a cliff.

This is way before the EU the ones with a royal flush.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 07, 2018, 05:55:56 am
Well said that man - now they were things that needed  to be said .

We knew they had left any semblance of common- sense behind when that bloody bus came round with it's accompanying £350 million NHS lie printed in big letters on the side.

From thereonin we were served up one big Brexit lie after another . Would any sector lose out ? - of course not Project Leave " lies " would ensure that the great UK would cover every loss , set up new agencies with new opportunities blah blah blah. Then there were the secret Nissan deals alongside the secret trans-atlantic trade deals with an increasingly protectionist USA . Not forgetting the cynical usage or attempted usage of Henry V111 powers to circumvent the sovereign Parliament altogether ! The attacks on our judiciary at High and even Supreme Court levels are not to be forgotten . The " Enemies of the People "

So it went on day after day , sector after sector whenever a loss was found it was immediately turned into a dividend of some sort or other. These are not to be trusted .......
Great stuff. It's only taken us 2 f**king years to actually work out what our own position is. Now to get the EU to actually agree to it without the Tory government changing their minds again.

Not even that unless one is a conservative voter. All this time for the Cons to agree to disagree & put lipstick on the pig.

Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning

The conservatives are not anywhere near settled on this, its window dressing and internal factions will be involved in heavy hand to hand fighting right up to the point they drive us off a cliff.

This is way before the EU the ones with a royal flush.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on July 07, 2018, 09:04:10 am
Be interesting to see how this holds together. In the past, when she’s agreed a sensible deal with one group, she’s then gone to meet with the swivel-eyed loon backbenchers and told them a totally different story.

Expect to see Rees-Mogg and Jenkin and Bone and the rest slavering at the mouth about betrayal of the Will of the People all through the weekend. And I’d expect them to be on the phone to Johnson and Gove to talk about a leadership challenge.

All pretty quiet from the usual suspects on the Tory side although plenty of sound and fury from the Kippers. They will, of course, portray this as a Tory Betrayal.

I think the reason the Cabinet Brexiteers didn't choose to fall on their swords is that they don't think May's plan will fly. Once Barnier and his people have had chance to study it in detail they will either reject it out of hand or (more likely) demand further concessions. Meanwhile, of course, the clock is ticking.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on July 07, 2018, 10:00:34 am
The problem is that people voting for Brexit expected a grown up responsible negotiation about leaving not this circus.
The result was immediately hijacked by idiots and hardliners putting words in people's mouths.

You’re shitting me, right?

You expected a grown up negotiation?

When the people who brought you Brexit had said repeatedly during the campaign:

1) There would be a £350m/week Brexit Bonus.
2) Turkey was about to join the EU and we’d be liable for 80m Turks landing on British shores if we didn’t leave.
3) There’d be no problem sorting out the Irish border problem.
4) The EU wouldn’t bargain hard against us because...well, because.
5) That the UK electorate was tired of listening to experts, and that experts who supported Remain were like 1930s German experts who supported Hitler.

You HEARD them say these things repeatedly. You KNOW that they were bullshit and lies. You knew THEN that they were bullshit and lies.

Why did you expect that the people who had bullshitted and lied to you would suddenly start negotiating like grown-ups?

YOU voted us into this f**k up. You were being told at the time that the Brexit cheerleaders wouldn’t have a f**king clue what to do if they won. And still you voted for them.

This is YOUR mess and the mess of everyone who ignored the grown ups two years ago. Don’t come complaining about it now.

I'm not complaining Billy but did expect some semblance of responsible diplomacy by the country's representatives. Cameron and Osborne were hardly the best face for remain.
I was on the fence to an extent but resented being dragged ever nearer to a federal EU as seemed to be the way. I had a postal vote and when I cast my vote remain seemed very likely. At least I did vote unlike a lot of younger voters that then complained about the result.
I didn't vote conservative but had to watch Thatcher decimate our industry. I didn't vote for Blair and the invasion of Iraq or their open door policy.
If history proves me wrong so be it but reflecting on it won't change anything. We are where we are and I expect the people getting paid good wages and pensions to earn their money and get us the best deal possible.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 07, 2018, 10:32:23 am
The problem is that people voting for Brexit expected a grown up responsible negotiation about leaving not this circus.
The result was immediately hijacked by idiots and hardliners putting words in people's mouths.

You’re shitting me, right?

You expected a grown up negotiation?

When the people who brought you Brexit had said repeatedly during the campaign:

1) There would be a £350m/week Brexit Bonus.
2) Turkey was about to join the EU and we’d be liable for 80m Turks landing on British shores if we didn’t leave.
3) There’d be no problem sorting out the Irish border problem.
4) The EU wouldn’t bargain hard against us because...well, because.
5) That the UK electorate was tired of listening to experts, and that experts who supported Remain were like 1930s German experts who supported Hitler.

You HEARD them say these things repeatedly. You KNOW that they were bullshit and lies. You knew THEN that they were bullshit and lies.

Why did you expect that the people who had bullshitted and lied to you would suddenly start negotiating like grown-ups?

YOU voted us into this f**k up. You were being told at the time that the Brexit cheerleaders wouldn’t have a f**king clue what to do if they won. And still you voted for them.

This is YOUR mess and the mess of everyone who ignored the grown ups two years ago. Don’t come complaining about it now.

I'm not complaining Billy but did expect some semblance of responsible diplomacy by the country's representatives. Cameron and Osborne were hardly the best face for remain.
I was on the fence to an extent but resented being dragged ever nearer to a federal EU as seemed to be the way. I had a postal vote and when I cast my vote remain seemed very likely. At least I did vote unlike a lot of younger voters that then complained about the result.
I didn't vote conservative but had to watch Thatcher decimate our industry. I didn't vote for Blair and the invasion of Iraq or their open door policy.
If history proves me wrong so be it but reflecting on it won't change anything. We are where we are and I expect the people getting paid good wages and pensions to earn their money and get us the best deal possible.


What has most of that " decimating " stuff and for that matter your antipathy to the Blair Iraq war got to do with the EU ?

Thatcher's policies of destroying the Northern Power house we still had in the 70/80s were gradually being reversed with the use of EU Re- Development funding for poorer regions . I fail to understand your logic ?

www.thestar.co.uk/news/how-1billion-of-eu-money-has-benefited-south-yorkshire-1-7383999

Of course there is a little bit of racism in the report which I apologise for in advance as racism or at least immigration fears were nothing to do with the reasons to Leave ( or so we keep hearing ).

* The biggest amount of structural funding goes towards ‘less developed’ regions
which have a per capita GDP of less than 75 per cent of the EU average. This
status applies to two UK regions: Cornwall and the Isles of Scilly, and West
Wales and the Valleys.
• ‘Transition regions’ have a per capita GDP between 75 and 90 percent of the EU
average. This status applies to eleven UK regions: Cumbria, Devon, East Yorkshire
and Northern Lincolnshire, Highlands and Islands, Lancashire, Lincolnshire,
Merseyside, Northern Ireland, Shropshire and Staffordshire, South Yorkshire,
Tees Valley and Durham. *

We used to be in the former group thankfully over time - investment from the EU helped move us out of the former group into the latter group. I really think that some people have no idea of the political will ensuring poorer regions of the EU are helped from central funds despite the paucity of funding they might receive from their own central governments .

The UK is a perfect example demonstrating just how much the disparity can be be for investment in different regions e.g. London & SE  v. Yorkshire & the Humber.  )

Did you vote to Leave the EU because of your opposition to such initiatives Or because you wanted to keep this mythical lost sovereignty that allowed you to vote in the 1st place.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on July 07, 2018, 11:31:47 am
Steve, I mentioned in passing that every time there is a vote or election some people vote with the best of intentions but then not exactly what they voted for.
How many that voted fot Thatcher lost their jobs because of her policies?
I'm out into the sun now pre-match so won't be able to reply until later or tomorrow.
Fot what it's worth I expected a remain vote but a large enough leave vote to make the EU change their stance on some of their policies. That outcome would have probably pleased everyone because not all leavers were anti everything about the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 07, 2018, 11:51:45 am
Idler.

If you thought we were going to get sensible, grown up negotiation then I’m afraid you really never understood what the Referendum was about.

It wasn’t about what is best for the country. It never was and it never could be. Because there is no deal we can possibly get that will not leave us poorer than we would be staying in.

The Referendum was about sorting out a power struggle on the Right Wing of British politics. Period. Nothing else.

What you did by voting Leave, was to empower one side of that argument. But it is a side that is full of egomaniacs who don’t actually care to much about the detail (Farage, Johnson, Gove), second rate failures (Davis, Fox) and a bunch of swivel-eyed loon back benchers who just wish we could turn back the clock to the days before we let the coons in.

We’ve not had grown ups negotiating because a) there aren’t any on the Leave side and b) the is no stance that we could take into the negotiations that is acceptable to the EU and the swivel eyed loons.

That was obvious before the Referendum. Who on earth did you think was going to do the grown up negotiating? And what on Earth did you think they were going to negotiate about?

Maybe, just maybe, after 2 years, May might have faced down the loons. Or maybe they will bring her down this week. Either way, we have lost two years of credibility. I’m not sure how much British people realise that we’ve become a laughing stock in Europe. We voted without knowing what we were voting for. We triggered Art. 50 without knowing what deal we wanted. And now we are finally stumbling into a compromise that will make us much poorer and weaker than we are inside the EU. And we get WHAT, precisely, to compensate?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 07, 2018, 11:57:44 am
This from Ian Dunt, sums it up much more pithily.

https://mobile.twitter.com/IanDunt/status/1015220850302377984/photo/1

Those people are the majority of the Tory Party. We’ve all been held to ransom by their fantasies because May couldn’t move against them for fear of being ousted. Until it has got so late and so serious that she’s finally (apparently, we’ll see) snapped and said “You haven’t got a plan that won’t destroy our economy. So we’re going for a shitty, messy compromise that will please no one because we’ve no alternative. Let’s just hope that your Little Englander posturing hasn’t f**ked off the EU so much that they just tell us to b*llocks.”
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on July 07, 2018, 02:39:09 pm
I never posture BST.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 07, 2018, 04:59:05 pm
I wasn’t meaning you Idler. Read it again.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on July 07, 2018, 09:18:47 pm
I wasn’t meaning you Idler. Read it again.
Sorry BST.  I have read it again.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 07, 2018, 10:12:41 pm
No probs. I seem to be getting a lot of folk misreading what I’ve said today.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Padge_DRFC on July 08, 2018, 06:35:47 am
The problem is that people voting for Brexit expected a grown up responsible negotiation about leaving not this circus.
The result was immediately hijacked by idiots and hardliners putting words in people's mouths.

You’re shitting me, right?

You expected a grown up negotiation?

When the people who brought you Brexit had said repeatedly during the campaign:

1) There would be a £350m/week Brexit Bonus.
2) Turkey was about to join the EU and we’d be liable for 80m Turks landing on British shores if we didn’t leave.
3) There’d be no problem sorting out the Irish border problem.
4) The EU wouldn’t bargain hard against us because...well, because.
5) That the UK electorate was tired of listening to experts, and that experts who supported Remain were like 1930s German experts who supported Hitler.

You HEARD them say these things repeatedly. You KNOW that they were bullshit and lies. You knew THEN that they were bullshit and lies.

Why did you expect that the people who had bullshitted and lied to you would suddenly start negotiating like grown-ups?

YOU voted us into this f**k up. You were being told at the time that the Brexit cheerleaders wouldn’t have a f**king clue what to do if they won. And still you voted for them.

This is YOUR mess and the mess of everyone who ignored the grown ups two years ago. Don’t come complaining about it now.

Do leave voters make you this angry in real life or just at your keyboard?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: auckleyflyer on July 08, 2018, 10:15:33 am
I live in one of the 2 lowest gdp areas in the uk(Cornwall and isle of Scilly) guess what? Its leave central here, again in spite of the funding going on via the eu!?
Its this I cant grasp as in Yorkshire, Teesside ect!? What do they want because it certainly wasn't to decimate their own back yards ??!
Answers on a postcard in 20yrs time when the dust has settled
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 08, 2018, 12:57:34 pm
I live in one of the 2 lowest gdp areas in the uk(Cornwall and isle of Scilly) guess what? Its leave central here, again in spite of the funding going on via the eu!?
Its this I cant grasp as in Yorkshire, Teesside ect!? What do they want because it certainly wasn't to decimate their own back yards ??!
Answers on a postcard in 20yrs time when the dust has settled
I think its similar to Stockholm syndrome or a hunger striker, when they get to a certain point they dont have the strength or resources to make rational decisions any more.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 08, 2018, 01:29:08 pm
Revealed: Arron Banks met Russian ambassador 11 times.

He must have been helping the Ruskies with the World Cup?

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/jul/08/arron-banks-met-russian-ambassador-11-times-lucrative-deals
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 08, 2018, 02:14:18 pm
Aye.

First off he insisted he’d only met the Ambassador once.

Then he admitted he’d had two or three booze lunches with him.

Then last week he said maybe it was four times.

Now apparently it’s 11 Times.

Strange thing to lie about. Repeatedly. Why would you lie about it unless you really wanted to cover up the meetings.

And why on Earth would a car insurance salesman who was heading the Leave.EU campaign be of such interest to the representative of the Russian state in the UK?

I’m sure it’s all harmless though. Old Arron looks like a trustworthy sort. He hasn’t been caught lying for nearly 30 minutes now.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on July 09, 2018, 12:08:06 am
  The shit has hit the fan, David Davis has resigned. Interesting times ahead?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 09, 2018, 12:11:40 am
I wasn’t meaning you Idler. Read it again.
Sorry BST.  I have read it again.

He is referring to Ian Dunt who wrote the article surely - thats how I read it Idler.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 09, 2018, 12:35:33 am
I live in one of the 2 lowest gdp areas in the uk(Cornwall and isle of Scilly) guess what? Its leave central here, again in spite of the funding going on via the eu!?
Its this I cant grasp as in Yorkshire, Teesside ect!? What do they want because it certainly wasn't to decimate their own back yards ??!
Answers on a postcard in 20yrs time when the dust has settled

It's simply that they ( The Leavers ) have been told that if anything bad is happening in their town, region, country then it was all the fault of the Common Agricultural/ Fisheries policies inflicted on them by the EU or any other bollox that could be made up to deflect from the deficiencies or forward planning from Westminster.

Perfect example - insufficient schools , hospitals etc . were the fault of EU migrants working and paying not only tax but national insurance for the last 40 + years . Really  It ignores the fact that many did not stay to pensionable age and therefore were not likely to be either a burden on Social benefits or the NHS. That's where the scapegoating starts to begin. It ignores the fact completely that many of these migrants were highly skilled and in all likelihood would have had private health schemes or many would have worked in the bloody NHS  looking after us !!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 09, 2018, 12:47:31 am
The problem is that people voting for Brexit expected a grown up responsible negotiation about leaving not this circus.
The result was immediately hijacked by idiots and hardliners putting words in people's mouths.

You’re shitting me, right?

You expected a grown up negotiation?

When the people who brought you Brexit had said repeatedly during the campaign:

1) There would be a £350m/week Brexit Bonus.
2) Turkey was about to join the EU and we’d be liable for 80m Turks landing on British shores if we didn’t leave.
3) There’d be no problem sorting out the Irish border problem.
4) The EU wouldn’t bargain hard against us because...well, because.
5) That the UK electorate was tired of listening to experts, and that experts who supported Remain were like 1930s German experts who supported Hitler.

You HEARD them say these things repeatedly. You KNOW that they were bullshit and lies. You knew THEN that they were bullshit and lies.

Why did you expect that the people who had bullshitted and lied to you would suddenly start negotiating like grown-ups?

YOU voted us into this f**k up. You were being told at the time that the Brexit cheerleaders wouldn’t have a f**king clue what to do if they won. And still you voted for them.

This is YOUR mess and the mess of everyone who ignored the grown ups two years ago. Don’t come complaining about it now.

Do leave voters make you this angry in real life or just at your keyboard?

Yes Padge when they don't or should I say aren't prepared to listen to the common sense realities of the situation . Facts , experts, statistics all go out of the window for some .
There's a reason why there aren't any lengthy rebuttals against the Remain arguments on here - it's simply that few if any exist !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on July 09, 2018, 07:47:38 am
  The shit has hit the fan, David Davis has resigned. Interesting times ahead?

It just occurred to me that the last time we reached the World Cup semi-final we had a female Conservative Prime Minister. She didn't survive the autumn. I doubt this one will now.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on July 09, 2018, 07:55:36 am
Why not have the people's vote. It at least stops the people saying 17 million voted for a certain kind of Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on July 09, 2018, 07:56:31 am
  The shit has hit the fan, David Davis has resigned. Interesting times ahead?

He's achieved something at last, though it took him about six attempts to get there
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 09, 2018, 08:12:00 am
Why not have the people's vote. It at least stops the people saying 17 million voted for a certain kind of Brexit.

Because now the Brexiteers have 'got our sovereignty back', they want to keep it for themselves!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 09, 2018, 08:56:47 am
He finally sacked up and did it. I can't imagine there'll be too many MPs keen on taking his job, either.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 09, 2018, 09:05:05 am
I wasn’t meaning you Idler. Read it again.
Sorry BST.  I have read it again.

He is referring to Ian Dunt who wrote the article surely - thats how I read it Idler.

I was quoting what May was effectively saying to the headcase Brexiteers.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 09, 2018, 09:13:53 am
Genius.
https://mobile.twitter.com/chunkymark/status/1016035965431894018


What a f**king catastrophe. The Vote that was supposed to sort out the schism in the Tory party once and for all, has only entrenched it, while taking the bloody country off the cliff.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on July 09, 2018, 09:41:53 am
Why not have the people's vote. It at least stops the people saying 17 million voted for a certain kind of Brexit.

I'm coming round to thinking it might be the only way out of the impasse. Trouble is, the Labour leadership is no more in favour than the Government.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 09, 2018, 11:36:32 am
TRB

Here's the problem.

The Referedum vote majority was wafer thin. There is no way on earth that there was a majority in the country for a Hard Brexit.

BUT. There is a majority in the Tory party for a Hard Brexit.

So as soon as we had the vote, it was hijacked by the Hard Brexiter Tories as meaning that we had to go for a big division from Europe.

May felt she had to go along with that, or lose here position as PM.

So she pandered to the Hard Brexiters in the Lancaster House speech, by saying that we would definitely leave the SM, CU and ECJ.

THAT was a strategic mistake of huge proportions. She did that because it was in the interests of keeping HER position intact and the Hard Brexiters on side. But it was NOT in the country's interests. Because it led us into a stance which could not possibly result in an outcome that was acceptable to the EU and wouldn't hammer our economy.

So we've f**ked about for 18 months, hoping something would crop up that would sort it out. And nothing has come up.

So, finally, two bleeding years after the vote, May has faced reality and accepted that we have to have the softest of Brexits.

And now the Hard Brexiters are in revolt.

Two wasted years.

Where we are today is where we should have been in October 2016. May should have faced down the Hard Brexiters back then and forced the issue. If they responded by rebelling and forcing her out, then so be it. THAT would have been what was in the country's interests - sort out a tenable position as early as possible.

Instead, she'd put the Tory party and her position as paramount. That has led us into two years of blunder and wasted time, kicking around options that would either not work, or not be acceptable to the EU.

NOW, after these wasted two years, we have no plan AND open rebellion in the Tory party. And only 2 months to sort our shit out.

This is a catastrophe of historic proportions. We're stumbling into disaster and we're no nearer to sorting out what the Tory party wants than we have been over this past 30 years.

There's only one sensible way forward now. We delay the whole negotiating process until we get a clear and agreed line from the UK Govt. Assuming the EU will play ball. And I f**king wouldn't in their shoes. I'd say, two choices: You either stay in and grow up. Or you leave without a deal. Your choice. Two months to decide. You have f**ked us about for years and we've had enough. We're not talking to you any more until you clearly decide which of those two paths you want to take.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on July 09, 2018, 12:16:33 pm
BST

Interesting that a remain-supporting Tory MP was yesterday suggesting that we ask for a stay of Article 50. Which is pretty much what you are saying. Obviously that would be anathema to the Hard Brexiteers but I can see other MPs thinking the idea had merit.

I don't think May's plan is very likely to survive the scrutiny of Barnier and the Commission anyway and they will demand more concessions. So it seems very unlikely any sort of deal will emerge before the autumn.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 09, 2018, 01:10:15 pm
TRB

Agreed.

The point is that somehow, the boil has got to be lanced in the Tory party. What May has done for the last two years is to avoid this moment. She's tried to placate the Hard Brexiters whilst knowing that their approach was utterly impossible to implement. There wasn't a Hard Brexit DEAL that could be acceptable to the EU. The Hard Brexiters knew this, and wanted us to get to a point where we'd have no option but a No Deal exit. But there's no majority in Parliament for that. Which is why there was such a fight over the right of Parlimanent to have a vote on the final arrangements.

We're now close to the end game. As you say, there is very little chance of getting a sensible deal negotiated with the EU in the time we have left, with the Govt in such disarray. So the only options are to go for a cliff-edge No Deal exit. Or to effectively put the negotiations on hold until we in the UK decide just exactly what sort of Brexit we actually want.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 09, 2018, 01:40:45 pm
A hard Brexit is still on the cards. The EU must accept May's offer or face the consequences.

We are already dealing with the consequences, Britain is on a downhill fiscal trajecTORY, and has been since Cameron wet himself.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/07/09/hard-brexit-still-cards-eu-must-accept-mays-offer-face-consequences/.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 09, 2018, 02:36:14 pm
One thing you can be sure of. While the nation’s entire approach to its future is going to Hell, there’ll be one particular t**t having meetings to see how his career can profit from the chaos.

https://mobile.twitter.com/matt_dathan/status/1016300671270772738?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1016300671270772738&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.bbc.co.uk%2Fnews%2Flive%2Fuk-politics-44762836
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 09, 2018, 03:01:43 pm
BoJo has resigned apparently. What a towering intellect lost from the cabinet.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jul/09/boris-johnson-resigns-as-foreign-secretary-brexit
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 09, 2018, 03:10:40 pm
So May is now in her worst nightmare.

- No possibility of getting Parliamentary support for her Brexit Deal. (Labour have said they won’t support it and with the Tory Hard Brexiteers in open revolt, she hadn’t got the numbers to get it through).

- No possibility of getting EU support for the sort of deal that would appease the Tory Brexiteers.

Struggling to see how she survives this.

I reckon by the end of the week, there’ll be a formal bid to replace her, or she will resign.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 09, 2018, 03:12:24 pm
30 years of in-fighting.

It’s coming home...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 09, 2018, 03:22:17 pm
How lucky for the Tories that if England bring it home everyone will be too pissed to care the government is burning itself to the ground. Dele Alli for foreign sec I reckon.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 09, 2018, 03:23:49 pm
Give it Vardy til the end of the season.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 09, 2018, 04:06:08 pm
Can you begin to imagine what the history books are going to say about May?

She accepted being regularly humiliated by Johnson. She ignored a dozen occasions when she should have sacked him.

Then he sticks up his middle finger at her by resigning.

The worst and weakest PM ever? 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Copps is Magic on July 09, 2018, 04:21:28 pm
I think history will look upon Cameron as the villain of the piece. A man who drove the country to austerity and pandered to small section of is own party to pose a ludicrous question that never made sense as a single vote to the British public.

I'm mildly happy that, even just for a brief moment, Johnson is out of the British government and Gove is not the secretary for brexit as some were suggesting was possible late last night. Thank f**k for that.

Politicians have an incredible talent for self-preservation. I wouldn't underestimate May's ability to navigate this. She's a post ideological politician anyway, she'll floats like the wind, happy to ride a shit storm.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 09, 2018, 04:26:13 pm
Gove will be Foreign Secretary tonight. Possibly PM by this time next week.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 09, 2018, 04:29:20 pm
As for May, yes she believes in nothing, but every person’s pride has its limits.

She has just pinned her colours to the mast of the Brexit deal she wanted. She now cannot get support to go forward with that deal. It would take a Herculean amount of ability to ignore embarrassment to go and try to begitiate a different deal. Knowing that, now dissent is out in the open, no possible deal that the Tory party will support would be accepted by the EU.

Gone by Friday. If not tonight.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 09, 2018, 04:31:39 pm
Beautiful quote from Armando Iannucci on Twitter just now.

"You can always rely on Boris to be second over the parapet."
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 09, 2018, 04:37:06 pm
As for May, yes she believes in nothing, but every person’s pride has its limits.

She has just pinned her colours to the mast of the Brexit deal she wanted. She now cannot get support to go forward with that deal. It would take a Herculean amount of ability to ignore embarrassment to go and try to begitiate a different deal. Knowing that, now dissent is out in the open, no possible deal that the Tory party will support would be accepted by the EU.

Gone by Friday. If not tonight.

The thing is, now we've got to the stage where any PM has to lay their cards on the table and say 'this is the Brexit we're going for' can ANY potential Tory leader get enough support to achieve anything?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Copps is Magic on July 09, 2018, 04:41:57 pm
This was all eminently clear when she lost her majority and mandate at the last election. But shr trundled along regardless.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 09, 2018, 04:47:12 pm
This was all eminently clear when she lost her majority and mandate at the last election. But shr trundled along regardless.

Oh dear God, that makes me think she's stupid enough and desperate enough to call another election to pre-empt her own party ditching her. Eek!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 09, 2018, 04:48:41 pm
This was all eminently clear when she lost her majority and mandate at the last election. But shr trundled along regardless.
That was different. She could continue in Denial Mode. Something might have turned up. Plus, she was a useful lightning conductor for the rest of the party. She had f**ked up tgeir position and no one wanted to be responsible for sorting out the mess.

Now it’s different. There’s no time for anything to turn up to save her. Her pride and her reputation and her position in the history books are all irrevocably destroyed. She thought she could control the destructive centripetal forces in the Tory party but they have destroyed her. She has nothing left.

Word is that as we speak, she’s being given an ultimatum by Brexit supporting MPs: Dutch the Chequers agreement and go for something harder or we are ousting you.

Her authority and her self-respect are in pieces. What is the point in her agreeing to an ultimatum like that, knowing that it would be rejected either by Brussels or by Parliament? Far better to gather what pride you have left and be the mistress of your own destiny.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Pancho Regan on July 09, 2018, 05:00:35 pm
Gove will be Foreign Secretary tonight. Possibly PM by this time next week.

I can't even contemplate the prospect of Gove as PM.
I think I'd do my own version of 'Brexit'.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 09, 2018, 05:15:33 pm
Gove will be Foreign Secretary tonight. Possibly PM by this time next week.

I can't even contemplate the prospect of Gove as PM.
I think I'd do my own version of 'Brexit'.

I can't think of one credible option that could carry the party with them, let alone Parliament or the country.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 09, 2018, 05:20:07 pm
I think history will look upon Cameron as the villain of the piece. A man who drove the country to austerity and pandered to small section of is own party to pose a ludicrous question that never made sense as a single vote to the British public.

I'm mildly happy that, even just for a brief moment, Johnson is out of the British government and Gove is not the secretary for brexit as some were suggesting was possible late last night. Thank f**k for that.

Politicians have an incredible talent for self-preservation. I wouldn't underestimate May's ability to navigate this. She's a post ideological politician anyway, she'll floats like the wind, happy to ride a shit storm.

Oh clearly Cameron will get the stick he deserves - but dont forget he left May with a majority to do what she wanted - and what she wanted was to impose Brexit without involving parliament and had to be taken to court over it. That was planned to be a 'hard' Brexit and it was only the loss of that majority which stopped it. This Chequers' 'soft' Brexit proposal is no more than political opportunism to someone who has run out of options.

If Cameron was the worst Tory leader since Chamberlain - May is the worst Ever!

I reckon she will stick around to see what happens with the Trade & Customs Bills next week - but wouldn't be surprised if she went at the 1922 meeting tonight.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 09, 2018, 05:26:24 pm
The Tory Party membership is about 80% hard Brexiteers so if May does go they will demand a Brexiteer leader. There is no way that a hard Brexit will get through Parliament. There has to be a general election.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 09, 2018, 05:27:50 pm
I think history will look upon Cameron as the villain of the piece. A man who drove the country to austerity and pandered to small section of is own party to pose a ludicrous question that never made sense as a single vote to the British public.

I'm mildly happy that, even just for a brief moment, Johnson is out of the British government and Gove is not the secretary for brexit as some were suggesting was possible late last night. Thank f**k for that.

Politicians have an incredible talent for self-preservation. I wouldn't underestimate May's ability to navigate this. She's a post ideological politician anyway, she'll floats like the wind, happy to ride a shit storm.

Oh clearly Cameron will get the stick he deserves - but dont forget he left May with a majority to do what she wanted - and what she wanted was to impose Brexit without involving parliament and had to be taken to court over it. That was planned to be a 'hard' Brexit and it was only the loss of that majority which stopped it. This Chequers' 'soft' Brexit proposal is no more than political opportunism to someone who has run out of options.

If Cameron was the worst Tory leader since Chamberlain - May is the worst Ever!

I reckon she will stick around to see what happens with the Trade & Customs Bills next week - but wouldn't be surprised if she went at the 1922 meeting tonight.

She won't go because of the 1922 Committee. The rumour is there's enough numbers to instigate a vote of No Confidence but my gut is that she'd survive it because the thought of what the alternative would be is enough to make enough MPs vote for the status quo.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 09, 2018, 05:31:10 pm
The Tory Party membership is about 80% hard Brexiteers so if May does go they will demand a Brexiteer leader. There is no way that a hard Brexit will get through Parliament. There has to be a general election.
And that is why the swivel-eyed loons and the Brexit press were so rabidly against Parliament having a say on the final deal. A tiny number of Tory MPs and Tory members have hijacked Brexit and have tried to drive it in a very specific way that THEY want, but that the country never voted for. This is their last stand.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 09, 2018, 05:43:44 pm
Bloody 'ell. Rees-Smugg has just piped up saying he'd turn down the post of Foreign Secretary. As if May would offer it to him in a million years!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 09, 2018, 07:24:31 pm
The Tory Party membership is about 80% hard Brexiteers so if May does go they will demand a Brexiteer leader. There is no way that a hard Brexit will get through Parliament. There has to be a general election.
if there was a general election now what difference would it make? I doubt the result would be any different as I know so many labour voters that will not vote while Corbyn is leader, and even if they did win we would still be in the same position as we are now, labour have been calling for parliament to give a final say on brexit, unless they got a huge majority the Tory and labour brexiteers would just stop it going thru causing a no deal
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 09, 2018, 07:33:03 pm
BFCx3. You don't lean left? Seriously?
Anyway, it doesn't matter which way you lean as there's no doubt this lot are in a mess. Which unfortunately equates to the country being in a mess.
So we're left with a government who are struggling to govern. And an opposition who would give us John Mcdonnell in charge of the country's finances and Diane Abbott in charge of the country's security.
And that's before you even think about good old Jezza sucking up to terrorists.
So basically we're fcuked.
Can anyone ever remember when this country been so bereft of decent politicians?
I felt sorry for the Americans having the choice of Trump or Clinton.
I'm beginning to think we're in a worse position than them. [xx(] this is off the Blackpool board and I think a very accurate statement
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 09, 2018, 07:53:13 pm
BPool

John McDonnell’s economic policies are textbook economics. There is nothing remotely dangerous about them. They are policies that Harold MacMillan would have been comfortable with.

It’s the Tory Party's Austerity economic which is the bizarre approach, unsupported by either theory or experience and deeply, deeply damaging to the country. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 09, 2018, 09:02:23 pm
Jeremy Hunt new foreign sec. Jesus f**king H Christ.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 09, 2018, 09:07:19 pm
A Kitson followed by a Hunt.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 09, 2018, 09:32:10 pm
I bet the Foreign Office were celebrating until about an hour ago. Jubilation in the NHS though!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 09, 2018, 09:38:18 pm
Bringing his cool, collected, charming PR skills to international diplomacy.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m0PeN3fkzmQ
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 09, 2018, 10:26:40 pm
Bringing his cool, collected, charming PR skills to international diplomacy.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m0PeN3fkzmQ


Even he is better than the tactless gobshite that was his predecessor.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 09, 2018, 10:56:00 pm
True. But somehow I suspect more cabinet reshuffles are in the near future anyway. Starting with the Prime Minister.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 09, 2018, 11:23:42 pm
BPool

John McDonnell’s economic policies are textbook economics. There is nothing remotely dangerous about them. They are policies that Harold MacMillan would have been comfortable with.

It’s the Tory Party's Austerity economic which is the bizarre approach, unsupported by either theory or experience and deeply, deeply damaging to the country. 
not sure he is such a nice person thou bst is he not the same guy that wanted certain ira terrorists honoured and had a plaque of them or something in his office?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 09, 2018, 11:56:14 pm
Shffling the deckchairs ......... has never been a more accurate statement, the situation is beyond funny and is pretty much beyond nightmare. Is it possible to arrest the government under the Treason Act?

Under the law of the United Kingdom, high treason is the crime of disloyalty to the Crown. ... The last treason trial was that of William Joyce, "Lord Haw-Haw", who was executed by hanging in 1946. Since the Crime and Disorder Act 1998 became law, the maximum sentence for treason in the UK has been life imprisonment.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 09, 2018, 11:59:56 pm
Long time ago Bpool.

At the same time, our PM was shaking hands with, and eulogising a Presisent who had presided over the murder, torture and disappearance of thousands in Chile.

You want my take? Labour’s foreign policy scares the living bejaysus out of me. It’s not grown up from 1980s student union debates. But their economic policies are bang on the money. What McDonnell may, or may not have said about terrorists is irrelevant to his competence to do the job of Chancellor.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 10, 2018, 12:13:59 am
He might be great at the job but with views like his he should be nowhere near British politics, but everyone to there own
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 10, 2018, 12:25:46 am
He might be great at the job but with views like his he should be nowhere near British politics, but everyone to there own

So whos views do we look to to run the country? if the hard right take over the government maybe the people will finally take to the streets to demand the obvious, No Hard Brexit, No Soft Brexit, just NO BREXIT.

Cameron & May have run the country like a privately owned company and have made and implemented the rules to suit their own selfish ideals.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 10, 2018, 12:43:25 am
Not someone who thinks a terrorist group who targeted innocent children women and men should be given honours, when in this country have views like this
Been accepted? If I
Praised a terrorist group on here I would be slaughtered and banned, he should not be at the forefront of any political party
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 10, 2018, 12:46:28 am
To the other part of your question Sydney I don't have a answer as the tories are not doing a great job at the minute, but would labour do any better, I'm not sure they would, with people
Like corbyn abbot and macdonald I think not, now if you got rid of them and Andy burnham was in charge he might get my vote
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on July 10, 2018, 07:44:07 am
I wonder how different Britain's policies and future would have been without the untimely death of John Smith.
I'm sure that a lot of the mess would have been avoided.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on July 10, 2018, 07:48:16 am
Brexiteers, what's the ideal realistic Brexit you imagine?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 10, 2018, 08:30:29 am
I wonder how different Britain's policies and future would have been without the untimely death of John Smith.
I'm sure that a lot of the mess would have been avoided.

There you go Idler, its a little out of date but .....................

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/remembering-john-smith-20-years-on-what-would-his-government-have-looked-like-9357017.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 10, 2018, 10:26:51 am
Brexiteers, what's the ideal realistic Brexit you imagine?
We've tried playing nice, with no result from Brussels.
Time to stop talking to them, put the effort into forging new relationships and trade deals with the rest of the globe.
f**k the eu, time for a hard brexit.
It's not the end of the world.

A semi brexit would be much worse.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 10, 2018, 10:29:19 am
How have we been “playing nice” and how has that been rebuffed?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 10, 2018, 10:35:04 am
Brexiteers, what's the ideal realistic Brexit you imagine?
We've tried playing nice, with no result from Brussels.
Time to stop talking to them, put the effort into forging new relationships and trade deals with the rest of the globe.
f**k the eu, time for a hard brexit.
It's not the end of the world.

A semi brexit would be much worse.
How have we been playing nice? We haven't been playing at all yet. We've only just decided what rules we're going to play under and loads of the government resigned over it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on July 10, 2018, 12:35:58 pm
Brexiteers, what's the ideal realistic Brexit you imagine?
We've tried playing nice, with no result from Brussels.
Time to stop talking to them, put the effort into forging new relationships and trade deals with the rest of the globe.
f**k the eu, time for a hard brexit.
It's not the end of the world.

A semi brexit would be much worse.

Just look what you're not being told and are likely to get with your hard Brexit
 
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/jul/09/cabinet-brexiteer-vision-chilling-neo-Thatcherite
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 10, 2018, 01:14:32 pm
Not even gonna bother clicking on the link to that biased rag.

Think months and months of negotiations from our government has been enough.
The eu are just making things difficult, after all if tgey made it easy, everyone would want out.

A semi brexit isn't what the country voted for, can't strike a deal?
Hard brexit then. Simples.

Fair play to johnson and Davies, for sticking to their principles and resigning.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 10, 2018, 01:15:08 pm
Brexiteers, what's the ideal realistic Brexit you imagine?
We've tried playing nice, with no result from Brussels.
Time to stop talking to them, put the effort into forging new relationships and trade deals with the rest of the globe.
f**k the eu, time for a hard brexit.
It's not the end of the world.

A semi brexit would be much worse.

Do you read anything apart from DR programs? do you care about anyone but yourself?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 10, 2018, 01:35:51 pm
Boomstick

How have the EU kept on making things difficult?

Also: how do you know what sort of Brexit people voted for? During the campaign, Farage was telling us that Norway was an example to us of how to operate outside the EU. Yet afterwards he was saying that we need a complete break.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 10, 2018, 02:26:06 pm
Fair play to johnson and Davies, for sticking to their principles
(https://media.giphy.com/media/jQmVFypWInKCc/giphy.gif)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on July 10, 2018, 03:06:21 pm
Not even gonna bother clicking on the link to that biased rag.

Think months and months of negotiations from our government has been enough.
The eu are just making things difficult, after all if tgey made it easy, everyone would want out.

A semi brexit isn't what the country voted for, can't strike a deal?
Hard brexit then. Simples.

Fair play to johnson and Davies, for sticking to their principles and resigning.

The EU aren't making it difficult for anyone, they are applying the rules we helped them formulate and write.  The only people being difficult are our government and the UK negotiators.
 
Have you any clue what type of Brexit people voted for?  I think you'll find that many people were expecting a complete walk way with WTO rules, many expected a Norway type deal, yet others a Swiss type deal; and many more with no real expectation at all.  Hell, I know people who voted leave as a protest vote fully expecting Remain to win!
 
And if you really do want a Hard Brexit then you really really really should read that article to get some idea of what you're going to get; it's actually about what one leading Brexiteer, (and former Thatcher advisor), expects to see from such a Hard Brexit, and it isn't going to be good for anyone except the very wealthy!
 
Of course, you could just dance on in complete ignorance; your choice, but don't complain when you don't like what you get.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on July 10, 2018, 03:44:14 pm
I asked what Brexiteers want because they seem to either not know or want a hard Brexit where everyone in the world is clamouring to procure a trade deal with us. Where we will be a Utopian.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 10, 2018, 04:12:36 pm
Barnier has come out and said the Brexit deal is 80% complete, a pretty transparent attempt to get May to stick to the Chequers plan. So does she bow to pressure from the EU, or from her own back benches?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 10, 2018, 04:15:28 pm
Not even gonna bother clicking on the link to that biased rag.

Think months and months of negotiations from our government has been enough.
The eu are just making things difficult, after all if tgey made it easy, everyone would want out.

A semi brexit isn't what the country voted for, can't strike a deal?
Hard brexit then. Simples.

Fair play to johnson and Davies, for sticking to their principles and resigning.

Johnson hasn't got a single principle in his entire body except the principle of doing what he thinks is best for Boris Johnson.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 10, 2018, 04:36:33 pm
Max Hastings got it right this morning.

He said “Boris has many unique talents but unfortunately he’s let down by the fact that he has no scruples, conscience or principles.”

Nail. Head. An utterly obnoxious man who is interested in nothing but his own advancement.

If he had thought that supporting Remain would have got him closer to the keys of No10, he’d have spent June 2016 ostentatiously smoking Gauloise and singing Deutschland Uber Alles. At the start of the campaign, he wrote two speeches. One vigorously supporting Remain. One vigorously supporting Leave. He then spent two days deciding which way to jump.

A t**t of the very highest order. And how many people fell for his “Let’s Take Back Control” line?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 10, 2018, 04:58:25 pm
Let's be honest most MPS do what's best for themselves, in fact most people in life do what's best for themselves so why would
Boris be any different
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 10, 2018, 05:06:43 pm
I’m glad that I don’t live in your world Bpool.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 10, 2018, 05:10:03 pm
Why what makes you any different than most people bst? Your quite happy to support a Pearson who wants a terrorist organisation honoured that blew up innocent people
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 10, 2018, 05:16:15 pm
You’ve obviously never read my comments in that matter Bpool.

But I fundamentally disagree with you on the premise that all MPs and all people would lie and cheat and be devoid of principles in order to advance themselves. Some do and I despise them. I don’t think most do.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 10, 2018, 05:19:32 pm
I said most MPs do what is best for them as do most people in life I never mentioned lying and cheating
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 10, 2018, 05:23:57 pm
You implied that Boris was no different.

I’m saying he is an unprincipled, amoral, lying t**t. I don’t think most other people or MPs are.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 10, 2018, 05:25:27 pm
That's your opinion then but mine is different to yours MPs have talked crap for years so there party can be in power but I could be wrong of course
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 10, 2018, 05:30:29 pm
https://amp.theguardian.com/politics/2015/may/26/sir-malcolm-bruce-house-of-commons-lying-mps
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 10, 2018, 06:29:25 pm
Thing is, opinions are like arseholes .

No one's opinion on this entire thread is right or wrong.

Just wish remoaners would respect the opinion of brexiteers.
After all, we voted in a democratic referendum.

Brexit means brexit, it was voted for.
If tgat means we have a hard brexit, bring it on.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 10, 2018, 06:31:44 pm
I often look at the Politico website to see what the view from Europe is and how they think Brexit is going. You dont need to look much past the headlines now to see how they view us:

Britain's zombie prime minister refuses to die

https://www.politico.eu/article/theresa-may-boris-johnson-david-davis-brexit-britains-zombie-prime-minister/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 10, 2018, 07:06:19 pm
Thing is, opinions are like arseholes .

No one's opinion on this entire thread is right or wrong.

Just wish remoaners would respect the opinion of brexiteers.
After all, we voted in a democratic referendum.

Brexit means brexit, it was voted for.
If tgat means we have a hard brexit, bring it on.

We respect your right to have an opinion. It doesn't mean that everyone's opinion should be respected. For example, paedophiles have some very lively opinions - do you respect those at all?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 10, 2018, 07:14:32 pm
Not much of
Answer to that
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 10, 2018, 08:00:01 pm
Thing is, opinions are like arseholes .

No one's opinion on this entire thread is right or wrong.

Just wish remoaners would respect the opinion of brexiteers.
After all, we voted in a democratic referendum.

Brexit means brexit, it was voted for.
If tgat means we have a hard brexit, bring it on.

We respect your right to have an opinion. It doesn't mean that everyone's opinion should be respected. For example, paedophiles have some very lively opinions - do you respect those at all?
Not sure what your getting at, are you suggesting if someone voted leave then you automatically won't respect their opinion?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on July 10, 2018, 09:11:36 pm
Brexit means brexit, it was voted for.


What a stupid statement.  When TM said it it was stupid and meaningless, you repeating it is even more stupid and even more meaningless.
 
So come on, what does Brexit actually mean?  Which version of Brexit?  Do you have a clue?  No?  Didn't think so!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 10, 2018, 09:16:36 pm
Thing is, opinions are like arseholes .

No one's opinion on this entire thread is right or wrong.

Just wish remoaners would respect the opinion of brexiteers.
After all, we voted in a democratic referendum.

Brexit means brexit, it was voted for.
If tgat means we have a hard brexit, bring it on.

We respect your right to have an opinion. It doesn't mean that everyone's opinion should be respected. For example, paedophiles have some very lively opinions - do you respect those at all?
Not sure what your getting at, are you suggesting if someone voted leave then you automatically won't respect their opinion?

No, just that nobody's opinion has the automatic right to be respected.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 10, 2018, 09:38:31 pm
Thing is, opinions are like arseholes .

No one's opinion on this entire thread is right or wrong.

Just wish remoaners would respect the opinion of brexiteers.
After all, we voted in a democratic referendum.

Brexit means brexit, it was voted for.
If tgat means we have a hard brexit, bring it on.

We respect your right to have an opinion. It doesn't mean that everyone's opinion should be respected. For example, paedophiles have some very lively opinions - do you respect those at all?
Not sure what your getting at, are you suggesting if someone voted leave then you automatically won't respect their opinion?
All opinions aren't equal. That's just it. You have the right to express it, but when your opinion isn't backed up by anything how can you expect people to respect it? Why should they? If I voice my opinion that Rovers are shit and my argument is because they lost every game that season, you're quite within your rights to point at the league table and prove me wrong. If I carry on voicing that opinion with nothing to back it up, no one would respect that. Especially if all I did was tell everyone they were just moaning and they should get over it.

If it turns out that the "yes" that won out was built on lies (it was) or that it was deliberately pulled off by foreign powers who wanted to weaken the UK (it was) or that it cost you, your kids and your grandkids money (it is and it will), would you still support Brexit at all costs?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 10, 2018, 10:34:05 pm
Or, you could look at America, where the majority of people who vote Republican don't believe in evolution.

They don;t believe in evolution, because they reject scientific theories and evidence, and believe the Bible.

Are their opinions equal to those who put forward scientific hypotheses which can be tested against evidence?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 11, 2018, 02:15:12 am
Thing is, opinions are like arseholes .

No one's opinion on this entire thread is right or wrong.

Just wish remoaners would respect the opinion of brexiteers.
After all, we voted in a democratic referendum.

Brexit means brexit, it was voted for.
If tgat means we have a hard brexit, bring it oposition n.

When you offer a comment worthy of respect you may get it, but up till now zero, zilch nothing just the same old trolling which is an adversarial position without substance.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 11, 2018, 07:24:54 am
Just out of interest Sydney who decides which comments are worth anything?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 11, 2018, 07:43:56 am
Not even gonna bother clicking on the link to that biased rag.

Think months and months of negotiations from our government has been enough.
The eu are just making things difficult, after all if tgey made it easy, everyone would want out.

A semi brexit isn't what the country voted for, can't strike a deal?
Hard brexit then. Simples.

Fair play to johnson and Davies, for sticking to their principles and resigning.

Boomstick-

You obviously don't have a clue what a " cliff edge " Brexit  looks like even after all the warnings from every direction NOT just the Guardian which for some reason you have a problem with. Could it be you just don't like balance or reality ?

Brexit is far too complicated a subject to sit there and ignore the warnings coming from EVERY  direction. If The CBI & The Unions agree about something being potentially catastrophic , then you should sit up and notice . Read what bloody people write, listen to what they say - you may not agree with everything but the warnings are writ large and they are coming from opposite directions ffs man how can you ignore them ?

They don't write or say  these things for fun you know and when people like you ignore the experts, laugh at the statistics, guffaw at the warnings - then they have done their job on you !! The drip drip drip of propaganda from the mainstream press controlled by distant foreign owners with Far Right owners employing newspaper hacks with the same mentality have gradually anaethetised you and others from recognising the truth. All of this is NOT for your benefit but for those friends of theirs with interests only in breaking this country , cherry picking struggling businesses here , breaking down regulations and safety nets for workers and gradually taking a wrecking ball to our society and .......THIS IS WHAT YOU WANT ??

Why , how do you personally benefit ? Even the Tory Party are scared shitless about a hard/ cliff edge Brexit - that alone should make you very worried but does it , does it fook . You happily clap and breathe life into a scenario that can only have one ending disaster.

Incidentally I don't aim all this at you because , unlike others, I think you are thick/ stupid a gammon etc but because I think you have stopped listening to or reading rational arguments, data or statistics from any other source than cheap rags spouting out pure bile against rational people/ experts and groups .

Brexit means Brexit indeed - bloody hell is that all you and others can come up with. It's no disgrace to admit you were wrong and realise Brexit is certainly NOT designed to be in the interests of working men and women - it's for those with plenty of money.
Do you or blackpool have loads of money because this is what this is all about .

Facebook indoctrination enquiry very interesting as well today £ 500,000 fine  - nothing to Facebook but confirms everything that many of us have written about on here for months. The moves to indoctrinate the decent people of this country were many and nefarious. It's not OUR MPs that you now need to worry about but the leaders of far stronger nations that will benefit from your suicidal votes. I hear about how Remoaners aren't patriotic, I've even lost mates over this but I haven't signed over control of my country to Trump, Putin and even the EU ( bizarrely ) - YOU have but we must all suffer
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 11, 2018, 07:58:57 am
Just out of interest Sydney who decides which comments are worth anything?

Well Id have thought that comments worth anything are those supported by common sense, supported by facts, by research done by credible sources, you know that sort of thing.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 11, 2018, 09:29:30 am
Or, you could look at America, where the majority of people who vote Republican don't believe in evolution.

They don;t believe in evolution, because they reject scientific theories and evidence, and believe the Bible.

Are their opinions equal to those who put forward scientific hypotheses which can be tested against evidence?
I'd like to see the proof  of your claim about the majority of republicans not believing in evolution.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 11, 2018, 09:32:22 am
Not even gonna bother clicking on the link to that biased rag.

Think months and months of negotiations from our government has been enough.
The eu are just making things difficult, after all if tgey made it easy, everyone would want out.

A semi brexit isn't what the country voted for, can't strike a deal?
Hard brexit then. Simples.

Fair play to johnson and Davies, for sticking to their principles and resigning.

You obviously don't have a clue what a " cliff edge " Brexit  looks like even after all the warnings from every direction NOT just the Guardian which for some reason you have a problem with .

Brexit is far too complicated a subject to sit there and ignore the warnings coming from EVERY  direction. If The CBI & The Unions agree about something being potentially catastrophic , then you should sit up and notice . Read what bloody people write, listen to what they say - you may not agree with everything but the warnings are writ large and they are coming from opposite directions ffs man how can you ignore them ?

They don't write or say  these things for fun you know and when people like you ignore the experts, laugh at the statistics, guffaw at the warnings - then they have done their job on you !! The drip drip drip of propaganda from the mainstream press controlled by distant foreign owners with Far Right owners employing newspaper hacks with the same mentality have gradually anaethetised you and others from recognising the truth. All of this is NOT for your benefit but for those friends of theirs with interests only in breaking this country , cherry picking struggling businesses here , breaking down regulations and safety nets for workers and gradually taking a wrecking ball to our society and .......THIS IS WHAT YOU WANT ??

Why , how do you personally benefit ? Even the Tory Party are scared shitless about a hard/ cliff edge Brexit - that alone should make you very worried but does it , does it fook . You happily clap and breathe life into a scenario that can only have one ending disaster .
ok, so in your opinion (and that's all that it is)
What would be the worse case would happen with a hard brexit?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 11, 2018, 09:34:07 am
Boomstick

I don’t know who you usually discuss things with, but personally, I don’t make claims without having supporting evidence.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/27847/majority-republicans-doubt-theory-evolution.aspx
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 11, 2018, 09:39:38 am
Not even gonna bother clicking on the link to that biased rag.

Think months and months of negotiations from our government has been enough.
The eu are just making things difficult, after all if tgey made it easy, everyone would want out.

A semi brexit isn't what the country voted for, can't strike a deal?
Hard brexit then. Simples.

Fair play to johnson and Davies, for sticking to their principles and resigning.

You obviously don't have a clue what a " cliff edge " Brexit  looks like even after all the warnings from every direction NOT just the Guardian which for some reason you have a problem with .

Brexit is far too complicated a subject to sit there and ignore the warnings coming from EVERY  direction. If The CBI & The Unions agree about something being potentially catastrophic , then you should sit up and notice . Read what bloody people write, listen to what they say - you may not agree with everything but the warnings are writ large and they are coming from opposite directions ffs man how can you ignore them ?

They don't write or say  these things for fun you know and when people like you ignore the experts, laugh at the statistics, guffaw at the warnings - then they have done their job on you !! The drip drip drip of propaganda from the mainstream press controlled by distant foreign owners with Far Right owners employing newspaper hacks with the same mentality have gradually anaethetised you and others from recognising the truth. All of this is NOT for your benefit but for those friends of theirs with interests only in breaking this country , cherry picking struggling businesses here , breaking down regulations and safety nets for workers and gradually taking a wrecking ball to our society and .......THIS IS WHAT YOU WANT ??

Why , how do you personally benefit ? Even the Tory Party are scared shitless about a hard/ cliff edge Brexit - that alone should make you very worried but does it , does it fook . You happily clap and breathe life into a scenario that can only have one ending disaster .
ok, so in your opinion (and that's all that it is)
What would be the worse tgat would happen with a hard brexit?

No! It’s NOT just about opinions. The Govt (which is leading us to Brexit, and which has said that a no deal Brexit is a possibility) has conducted economic forecasts of the effect. The prediction was that GDP would fall by 8% if we leave without a deal and revert to WTO trading rules.
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/news.sky.com/story/amp/hit-to-northern-ireland-and-north-east-england-gdp-revealed-in-new-brexit-impact-papers-leak-11240254

8* of GDP is about £250bn if lost wealth.

Every year.

Just stop for a moment and take that in.

That’s £4000 for every single person in the country.

Lost.

Every year.

And that’s not an opinion. It is a prediction by the leading Govt economists.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 11, 2018, 10:19:47 am
Boomstick

I don’t know who you usually discuss things with, but personally, I don’t make claims without having supporting evidence.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/27847/majority-republicans-doubt-theory-evolution.aspx
So because republicans go to church , they 'doubt' evolution?
aye right.
still waiting for the proof
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 11, 2018, 10:22:11 am
Not even gonna bother clicking on the link to that biased rag.

Think months and months of negotiations from our government has been enough.
The eu are just making things difficult, after all if tgey made it easy, everyone would want out.

A semi brexit isn't what the country voted for, can't strike a deal?
Hard brexit then. Simples.

Fair play to johnson and Davies, for sticking to their principles and resigning.

You obviously don't have a clue what a " cliff edge " Brexit  looks like even after all the warnings from every direction NOT just the Guardian which for some reason you have a problem with .

Brexit is far too complicated a subject to sit there and ignore the warnings coming from EVERY  direction. If The CBI & The Unions agree about something being potentially catastrophic , then you should sit up and notice . Read what bloody people write, listen to what they say - you may not agree with everything but the warnings are writ large and they are coming from opposite directions ffs man how can you ignore them ?

They don't write or say  these things for fun you know and when people like you ignore the experts, laugh at the statistics, guffaw at the warnings - then they have done their job on you !! The drip drip drip of propaganda from the mainstream press controlled by distant foreign owners with Far Right owners employing newspaper hacks with the same mentality have gradually anaethetised you and others from recognising the truth. All of this is NOT for your benefit but for those friends of theirs with interests only in breaking this country , cherry picking struggling businesses here , breaking down regulations and safety nets for workers and gradually taking a wrecking ball to our society and .......THIS IS WHAT YOU WANT ??

Why , how do you personally benefit ? Even the Tory Party are scared shitless about a hard/ cliff edge Brexit - that alone should make you very worried but does it , does it fook . You happily clap and breathe life into a scenario that can only have one ending disaster .
ok, so in your opinion (and that's all that it is)
What would be the worse tgat would happen with a hard brexit?

No! It’s NOT just about opinions. The Govt (which is leading us to Brexit, and which has said that a no deal Brexit is a possibility) has conducted economic forecasts of the effect. The prediction was that GDP would fall by 8% if we leave without a deal and revert to WTO trading rules.
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/news.sky.com/story/amp/hit-to-northern-ireland-and-north-east-england-gdp-revealed-in-new-brexit-impact-papers-leak-11240254

8* of GDP is about £250bn if lost wealth.

Every year.

Just stop for a moment and take that in.

That’s £4000 for every single person in the country.

Lost.

Every year.

And that’s not an opinion. It is a prediction by the leading Govt economists.
I asked for his opinion.
What's yours?

thought as a leftie, you wouldn't be too concerned with big businesses losing wealth?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 11, 2018, 10:22:50 am
What are you blathering on about.

Just over halfway down that page.

68% of people polled who identified as Republican supporters said they did not believe in evolution. 30% did.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 11, 2018, 10:25:53 am
Then you thought wrong. As you do on pretty much every topic that you post on here.

I am horrified at the thought of us as a country (big businesses, small businesses, all of us) losing money on that scale.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 11, 2018, 10:29:49 am
Then you thought wrong. As you do on pretty much every topic that you post on here.

I am horrified at the thought of us as a country (big businesses, small businesses, all of us) losing money on that scale.

It's strikes me that he's sounding more and more like a Norwegian friend of ours.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 11, 2018, 11:30:53 am
What are you blathering on about.

Just over halfway down that page.

68% of people polled who identified as Republican supporters said they did not believe in evolution. 30% did.
I'm sorry, but what are you blithering on about?
it says nothing of asking republicans, only asking Americans !
it then just says more republicans attend church, and doesn't even justify that claim!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 11, 2018, 11:34:24 am
Boomstick.

Go and look again. It’s there. Bar chart just over halfway down the page.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 11, 2018, 11:35:37 am
Then you thought wrong. As you do on pretty much every topic that you post on here.

I am horrified at the thought of us as a country (big businesses, small businesses, all of us) losing money on that scale.
So how much do you think the individual person would lose ? and how?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 11, 2018, 11:43:04 am
Boomstick.

Go and look again. It’s there. Bar chart just over halfway down the page.
So how did they come to that conclusion when the questions asked weren't specific to any party ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 11, 2018, 12:12:51 pm
Because they asked the respondents which party they supported.

Look. You can convince yourself this is all b*llocks if it makes you feel better, but this is borne out by poll after poll after poll. Different numbers in different polls but always the same take-home - more Republicans believe that God created humans and others in their current form and evolution played no role. Plus a significant number of the ones who DO believe evolution happened think it did because God has been guiding it

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2013/12/why-has-republican-belief-in-evolution-declined-so-much/282730/
http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2014/01/03/republican-views-on-evolution-tracking-how-its-changed/
https://www.alternet.org/news-amp-politics/poll-49-percent-republicans-do-not-believe-evolution

There are similar results for global warming.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2016/oct/06/pew-survey-republicans-are-rejecting-reality-on-climate-change

The picture is clear. A LOT of Republicans don't accept scientific research and instead want to be told that their gut beliefs are correct.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on July 11, 2018, 12:38:10 pm
I got divorced 20 odd years ago and tried to keep it as amicable as possible even though I was the wronged party.
The thought of lawyers making money out of needless arguments was far better than pride costing my savings and pension.
Negotiation is the way forward for any intelligent person.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 11, 2018, 12:44:15 pm
Because they asked the respondents which party they supported.

Look. You can convince yourself this is all b*llocks if it makes you feel better, but this is borne out by poll after poll after poll. Different numbers in different polls but always the same take-home - more Republicans believe that God created humans and others in their current form and evolution played no role. Plus a significant number of the ones who DO believe evolution happened think it did because God has been guiding it

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2013/12/why-has-republican-belief-in-evolution-declined-so-much/282730/
http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2014/01/03/republican-views-on-evolution-tracking-how-its-changed/
https://www.alternet.org/news-amp-politics/poll-49-percent-republicans-do-not-believe-evolution

There are similar results for global warming.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2016/oct/06/pew-survey-republicans-are-rejecting-reality-on-climate-change

The picture is clear. A LOT of Republicans don't accept scientific research and instead want to be told that their gut beliefs are correct.
where does it say they asked the respondents which party they supported ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 11, 2018, 12:52:44 pm
Because they asked the respondents which party they supported.

Look. You can convince yourself this is all b*llocks if it makes you feel better, but this is borne out by poll after poll after poll. Different numbers in different polls but always the same take-home - more Republicans believe that God created humans and others in their current form and evolution played no role. Plus a significant number of the ones who DO believe evolution happened think it did because God has been guiding it

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2013/12/why-has-republican-belief-in-evolution-declined-so-much/282730/
http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2014/01/03/republican-views-on-evolution-tracking-how-its-changed/
https://www.alternet.org/news-amp-politics/poll-49-percent-republicans-do-not-believe-evolution

There are similar results for global warming.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2016/oct/06/pew-survey-republicans-are-rejecting-reality-on-climate-change

The picture is clear. A LOT of Republicans don't accept scientific research and instead want to be told that their gut beliefs are correct.
where does it say they asked the respondents which party they supported ?

There you go Broomstick, this will gove you a handle on it.

http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2014/01/03/republican-views-on-evolution-tracking-how-its-changed/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 11, 2018, 02:31:20 pm
Not even gonna bother clicking on the link to that biased rag.

Think months and months of negotiations from our government has been enough.
The eu are just making things difficult, after all if tgey made it easy, everyone would want out.

A semi brexit isn't what the country voted for, can't strike a deal?
Hard brexit then. Simples.

Fair play to johnson and Davies, for sticking to their principles and resigning.

You obviously don't have a clue what a " cliff edge " Brexit  looks like even after all the warnings from every direction NOT just the Guardian which for some reason you have a problem with .

Brexit is far too complicated a subject to sit there and ignore the warnings coming from EVERY  direction. If The CBI & The Unions agree about something being potentially catastrophic , then you should sit up and notice . Read what bloody people write, listen to what they say - you may not agree with everything but the warnings are writ large and they are coming from opposite directions ffs man how can you ignore them ?

They don't write or say  these things for fun you know and when people like you ignore the experts, laugh at the statistics, guffaw at the warnings - then they have done their job on you !! The drip drip drip of propaganda from the mainstream press controlled by distant foreign owners with Far Right owners employing newspaper hacks with the same mentality have gradually anaethetised you and others from recognising the truth. All of this is NOT for your benefit but for those friends of theirs with interests only in breaking this country , cherry picking struggling businesses here , breaking down regulations and safety nets for workers and gradually taking a wrecking ball to our society and .......THIS IS WHAT YOU WANT ??

Why , how do you personally benefit ? Even the Tory Party are scared shitless about a hard/ cliff edge Brexit - that alone should make you very worried but does it , does it fook . You happily clap and breathe life into a scenario that can only have one ending disaster .
ok, so in your opinion (and that's all that it is)
What would be the worse tgat would happen with a hard brexit?

No! It’s NOT just about opinions. The Govt (which is leading us to Brexit, and which has said that a no deal Brexit is a possibility) has conducted economic forecasts of the effect. The prediction was that GDP would fall by 8% if we leave without a deal and revert to WTO trading rules.
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/news.sky.com/story/amp/hit-to-northern-ireland-and-north-east-england-gdp-revealed-in-new-brexit-impact-papers-leak-11240254

8* of GDP is about £250bn if lost wealth.

Every year.

Just stop for a moment and take that in.

That’s £4000 for every single person in the country.

Lost.

Every year.

And that’s not an opinion. It is a prediction by the leading Govt economists.
I asked for his opinion.
What's yours?

thought as a leftie, you wouldn't be too concerned with big businesses losing wealth?

Broomstick- I'm not wasting any more time answering your 2 line sentences - we have in this the longest thread ever statistic after statistic , from Govt. sources. It's plain to see that you don't consider anything that might contradict your opinions - look through these pages I and many others have supplied you with all the relevant material for you to consider. I believe you haven't looked at even 1 of them properly.

Now if you don't want to be treated like a village idiot - explain to me what you mean by ..........
BREXIT MEANS BREXIT ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 11, 2018, 02:39:57 pm
Why are you Broomstick arguing about evolution is it  to avoid " the Brexit means Brexit " question perhaps ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 11, 2018, 02:49:52 pm
Why are you Broomstick arguing about evolution is it avoid " the Brexit means Brexit " question perhaps ?

Reading Boomstick makes me doubt evolution too! :lol:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 11, 2018, 03:07:30 pm
I wonder how he will explain away the Facebook revelations ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 11, 2018, 03:21:19 pm
Not even gonna bother clicking on the link to that biased rag.

Think months and months of negotiations from our government has been enough.
The eu are just making things difficult, after all if tgey made it easy, everyone would want out.

A semi brexit isn't what the country voted for, can't strike a deal?
Hard brexit then. Simples.

Fair play to johnson and Davies, for sticking to their principles and resigning.

You obviously don't have a clue what a " cliff edge " Brexit  looks like even after all the warnings from every direction NOT just the Guardian which for some reason you have a problem with .

Brexit is far too complicated a subject to sit there and ignore the warnings coming from EVERY  direction. If The CBI & The Unions agree about something being potentially catastrophic , then you should sit up and notice . Read what bloody people write, listen to what they say - you may not agree with everything but the warnings are writ large and they are coming from opposite directions ffs man how can you ignore them ?

They don't write or say  these things for fun you know and when people like you ignore the experts, laugh at the statistics, guffaw at the warnings - then they have done their job on you !! The drip drip drip of propaganda from the mainstream press controlled by distant foreign owners with Far Right owners employing newspaper hacks with the same mentality have gradually anaethetised you and others from recognising the truth. All of this is NOT for your benefit but for those friends of theirs with interests only in breaking this country , cherry picking struggling businesses here , breaking down regulations and safety nets for workers and gradually taking a wrecking ball to our society and .......THIS IS WHAT YOU WANT ??

Why , how do you personally benefit ? Even the Tory Party are scared shitless about a hard/ cliff edge Brexit - that alone should make you very worried but does it , does it fook . You happily clap and breathe life into a scenario that can only have one ending disaster .
ok, so in your opinion (and that's all that it is)
What would be the worse tgat would happen with a hard brexit?

No! It’s NOT just about opinions. The Govt (which is leading us to Brexit, and which has said that a no deal Brexit is a possibility) has conducted economic forecasts of the effect. The prediction was that GDP would fall by 8% if we leave without a deal and revert to WTO trading rules.
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/news.sky.com/story/amp/hit-to-northern-ireland-and-north-east-england-gdp-revealed-in-new-brexit-impact-papers-leak-11240254

8* of GDP is about £250bn if lost wealth.

Every year.

Just stop for a moment and take that in.

That’s £4000 for every single person in the country.

Lost.

Every year.

And that’s not an opinion. It is a prediction by the leading Govt economists.
I asked for his opinion.
What's yours?

thought as a leftie, you wouldn't be too concerned with big businesses losing wealth?

Broomstick- I'm not wasting any more time answering your 2 line sentences - we have in this the longest thread ever statistic after statistic , from Govt. sources. It's plain to see that you don't consider anything that might contradict your opinions - look through these pages I and many others have supplied you with all the relevant material for you to consider. I believe you haven't looked at even 1 of them properly.

Now if you don't want to be treated like a village idiot - explain to me what you mean by ..........
BREXIT MEANS BREXIT ?
still no answer ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 11, 2018, 06:59:33 pm
ok, so in your opinion (and that's all that it is)
What would be the worse case would happen with a hard brexit?

8% drop in GDP and £4000 per person the worst thing that could happen with a hard Brexit, really? Really, are you sure?

It may have escaped people's notice, not surprising seeing as there is a heck of a lot going on, that there has been several nights or rioting in Derry/Londonderry this week. Petrol bombs thrown and then last night shots were fired at the police. There doesn't appear to be any one single reason for the trouble although it appears somebody thinks an old people's home is in he wrong place.

I don't know how old you are or if you remember 'the troubles' Boomstick but there are several ex-service personel on this forum who can tell you what it was like serving there. And whether or not they would like to go back there - or send their or someone else's children there. I could tell you what it is like to find out the train that came into the station after yours was blown up. Or maybe stop and have a read of the memorial in Hartshead services the next time you go along the M62.

What's the worst that can happen with a hard Brexit - a bomb on the mainland is worth 10 in Northern Ireland.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 11, 2018, 07:17:42 pm
The Sphinx makes it all clear..!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 11, 2018, 07:57:49 pm
ok, so in your opinion (and that's all that it is)
What would be the worse case would happen with a hard brexit?

8% drop in GDP and £4000 per person the worst thing that could happen with a hard Brexit, really? Really, are you sure?

It may have escaped people's notice, not surprising seeing as there is a heck of a lot going on, that there has been several nights or rioting in Derry/Londonderry this week. Petrol bombs thrown and then last night shots were fired at the police. There doesn't appear to be any one single reason for the trouble although it appears somebody thinks an old people's home is in he wrong place.

I don't know how old you are or if you remember 'the troubles' Boomstick but there are several ex-service personel on this forum who can tell you what it was like serving there. And whether or not they would like to go back there - or send their or someone else's children there. I could tell you what it is like to find out the train that came into the station after yours was blown up. Or maybe stop and have a read of the memorial in Hartshead services the next time you go along the M62.

What's the worst that can happen with a hard Brexit - a bomb on the mainland is worth 10 in Northern Ireland.
[/        Bad times agreed but not sure brexit will be the only reason, I'm sure john McDonald will want any bombers knighted, what do you think bst?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 12, 2018, 09:07:41 am
Blackpool....
It's obvious however that Sinn Fein and other Irish Parties are agitating after the Brexit result and see an opportunity to realise a united Ireland. Brexit has relit this dream and it only takes hotheads from either side to escalate things , want into any of the smuggling that will inevitably take place to fund their cause and- we are back swiftly to the troubles.
Those troubles inevitably would spill out onto the mainland .

N.Ireland, contrary to what many Brexiteers think, is not easily resolved once that Pandora's box is re-opened. If you, like other Brexiters I speak to,  think it's a tool that the EU are using to screw the UK  then think again. That peace was not won easily and I'm sure McDonnell, as much as I dislike the man, would never countenance the knighting of bombers . What a warped perception of people you have !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 12, 2018, 01:23:11 pm
The smuggling is still going on and has been for years - where do you think the majority of the money raised from selling smuggling fags goes? Across the Irish Sea, that's where. There's been many a time I've listened with interest when I've been in pubs with some of the local hard men talking about 'no surrender' when they were smoking the fags that funded the IRA.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Dutch Uncle on July 12, 2018, 04:16:29 pm
Wilts and Hoola

My opinion for what it is worth.

Having lived in Northern Ireland for 5 years now, and talking to people over here, I don’t think anyone believes that the old troubles will return at the level they were before. It has to be remembered that when the Troubles started in 1969 there was real discrimination and inequality for Catholics, so they had a real cause, and consequently their paramilitaries had wide support from their communities. Loyalist paramilitaries also had similar support from their communities. The drastically improved peaceful situation over the last 20 years means no communities want to go back the the all out violence, and IMHO it  really is a few hotheads unsupported by their communities these days. Also there is always tension in the marching season, not only L/Derry but also Belfast has seen problems. In Belfast bonfires have gotten completely out of hand with respect to size and proximity to residential buildings, and there has been a reaction by other hotheads to the authorities trying to curb this.

Brexit has put political wind in republican’s sails, but the lack of devolved parliament here was due to a row over a botched renewable heating scheme, not Brexit. Also IMHO, a lack of the right personalities in senior positions is letting us down. I never thought I would ever say it, but we miss Martin McGuiness and Ian Paisley Senior and their surprising good personal chemistry.

It is interesting that republicans voted by about 80-20 to remain, keeping the North close to RoI. Most Unionists only thought would have been to vote against anything wanted by Republicans, so voted leave by about 60-40.

I think it is fair to say all parties in NI are worried about Brexit’s negative effect on trade, tourism and investment, all of which are at levels not dreamed about 20 years ago. The film industry, led by Game of Thrones, is now a major factor over here.

Another thing unifying everyone here is that absolutely everyone is annoyed that all Uk politicians have ignored, minimised, underestimated the problem of the continued open border outside of Customs Union and Single market.

Just my own feelings on the ground over here.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 12, 2018, 10:42:49 pm
Blackpool....
It's obvious however that Sinn Fein and other Irish Parties are agitating after the Brexit result and see an opportunity to realise a united Ireland. Brexit has relit this dream and it only takes hotheads from either side to escalate things , want into any of the smuggling that will inevitably take place to fund their cause and- we are back swiftly to the troubles.
Those troubles inevitably would spill out onto the mainland .

N.Ireland, contrary to what many Brexiteers think, is not easily resolved once that Pandora's box is re-opened. If you, like other Brexiters I speak to,  think it's a tool that the EU are using to screw the UK  then think again. That peace was not won easily and I'm sure McDonnell, as much as I dislike the man, would never countenance the knighting of bombers . What a warped perception of people you have !what did he apologise
Blackpool....
It's obvious however that Sinn Fein and other Irish Parties are agitating after the Brexit result and see an opportunity to realise a united Ireland. Brexit has relit this dream and it only takes hotheads from either side to escalate things , want into any of the smuggling that will inevitably take place to fund their cause and- we are back swiftly to the troubles.
Those troubles inevitably would spill out onto the mainland .

N.Ireland, contrary to what many Brexiteers think, is not easily resolved once that Pandora's box is re-opened. If you, like other Brexiters I speak to,  think it's a tool that the EU are using to screw the UK  then think again. That peace was not won easily and I'm sure McDonnell, as much as I dislike the man, would never countenance the knighting of bombers . What a warped perception of people you have !
so the tories are going to ruin the country because of brexit what a warped mind you have!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 12, 2018, 11:00:09 pm
How is that having a warped mind? on what planet is losing 8% of your GDP every single year through a self inflicted act not ruining your country?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on July 12, 2018, 11:01:39 pm
Going to ruin the country?  No they already have...8 years of pointless austerity followed by the Almighty train wreck of Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 12, 2018, 11:33:02 pm
Apart from Idler, I have still not read any other Brexiteer explain their reason or a reason that makes any sense or a reason that stands scrutiny, why Britain should leave the EU.

It's this lack of being able to articulate a sensible position for themselves or the country that makes me wonder if there is an underlying reason they don't wish to openly discuss or that they are embarrassed about being duped and made to look like complete and utter idiots by the likes of Farago and his ilk and they feel they cannot now change their positions.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on July 12, 2018, 11:47:55 pm
You only have to look at the demography of pro Brexit voters to get the gist despite all the protestations to the contrary.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 13, 2018, 12:18:27 am
This was all eminently clear when she lost her majority and mandate at the last election. But shr trundled along regardless.
That was different. She could continue in Denial Mode. Something might have turned up. Plus, she was a useful lightning conductor for the rest of the party. She had f**ked up tgeir position and no one wanted to be responsible for sorting out the mess.

Now it’s different. There’s no time for anything to turn up to save her. Her pride and her reputation and her position in the history books are all irrevocably destroyed. She thought she could control the destructive centripetal forces in the Tory party but they have destroyed her. She has nothing left.

Word is that as we speak, she’s being given an ultimatum by Brexit supporting MPs: Dutch the Chequers agreement and go for something harder or we are ousting you.

Her authority and her self-respect are in pieces. What is the point in her agreeing to an ultimatum like that, knowing that it would be rejected either by Brussels or by Parliament? Far better to gather what pride you have left and be the mistress of your own destiny.

So there was me saying that everyone’s pride has a bottom line and May might resign while she still has a scrap of dignity intact.

And then this. While she’s serving dinner to the most repulsive Kitson on earth and begging him to be nice to her. He regurgitates the bitter cod fed to him by Johnson and Farage.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-44815558

For f**k’s sake woman, just go. Just go and take your f**king inadequacies somewhere where they aren’t associated with our entire national appearance.

History is watching you. You don’t deal with a Kitson like Trump by trying to normalise him. You choose which side you are on. You either get entirely into bed with him and his project. Or you f**king we’ll stand up to him and you don’t invite him for formal visits and you don’t debase yourself by flattering him.

May. You are the worst kind of craven embarrassment. Begging for support while your being played and humiliated by a vicious bully.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 13, 2018, 02:13:58 am
Bst while you may be right as I’ve said in other posts John McDonell wanted a certain people in the ira to be given honours, why don’t you want rid of him? It baffles me while may might be incompetent she is nothing like him, if you can support him thank god I don’t live in your world
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 13, 2018, 02:48:38 am
The smuggling is still going on and has been for years - where do you think the majority of the money raised from selling smuggling fags goes? Across the Irish Sea, that's where. There's been many a time I've listened with interest when I've been in pubs with some of the local hard men talking about 'no surrender' when they were smoking the fags that funded the IRA.

Glyn thanks for that correction it did read as if it would be starting up but what I meant to indicate was that there would be  an acceleration in the process at a time when some might think of pressing for that ultimate dream of a United Ireland . I think they used to label it somewhat affectionately " runs for guns ".

There never has been a better time with some disaffected young Protestants possibly more pro- Remain and perhaps more open to the idea of a " United Ireland " than their Protestant communities would care to admit ! Certainly the Catholics would appear to have the numbers if a push for a Referendum began.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 13, 2018, 03:08:09 am
Wilts and Hoola

My opinion for what it is worth.

Having lived in Northern Ireland for 5 years now, and talking to people over here, I don’t think anyone believes that the old troubles will return at the level they were before. It has to be remembered that when the Troubles started in 1969 there was real discrimination and inequality for Catholics, so they had a real cause, and consequently their paramilitaries had wide support from their communities. Loyalist paramilitaries also had similar support from their communities. The drastically improved peaceful situation over the last 20 years means no communities want to go back the the all out violence, and IMHO it  really is a few hotheads unsupported by their communities these days. Also there is always tension in the marching season, not only L/Derry but also Belfast has seen problems. In Belfast bonfires have gotten completely out of hand with respect to size and proximity to residential buildings, and there has been a reaction by other hotheads to the authorities trying to curb this.

Brexit has put political wind in republican’s sails, but the lack of devolved parliament here was due to a row over a botched renewable heating scheme, not Brexit. Also IMHO, a lack of the right personalities in senior positions is letting us down. I never thought I would ever say it, but we miss Martin McGuiness and Ian Paisley Senior and their surprising good personal chemistry.

It is interesting that republicans voted by about 80-20 to remain, keeping the North close to RoI. Most Unionists only thought would have been to vote against anything wanted by Republicans, so voted leave by about 60-40.

I think it is fair to say all parties in NI are worried about Brexit’s negative effect on trade, tourism and investment, all of which are at levels not dreamed about 20 years ago. The film industry, led by Game of Thrones, is now a major factor over here.

Another thing unifying everyone here is that absolutely everyone is annoyed that all Uk politicians have ignored, minimised, underestimated the problem of the continued open border outside of Customs Union and Single market.

Just my own feelings on the ground over here.


Assuming you are right and you usually are, the difficulty I foresee is if and when the DUP or the Protestant community at large begins to feel there's an inevitable shift to a sell- out by the British Govt. ( not sure how that might happen ) or indeed what feels to them like an agitation for a Referendum on a United Ireland . They  would then most probably not have the numbers to prevent that happening .

Generally a large % of the population want to stay in the EU - there's no escaping that. The longer this mess continues and the people in N.I  feel used as pawns or start to fear for their jobs or more importantly their security then surely a growing majority of them may seek an inevitable medium to long  term goal of a " United " Ireland.

As in Scotland, the clamour to be unshackled from the Union can only grow stronger as this Govt. lurches into ever greater madness . S.O.S.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Dutch Uncle on July 13, 2018, 07:46:31 am
Hi Hools

I think any effect within Unionists that you describe is currently more than counter-balanced by the fact that far from all Catholics want a United Ireland. I’ll see if I can find the source later, but in a recent poll a majority of people in Northern Ireland were against a so called ‘Border Poll’, and surprisingly few Nationalists (less than 70% I think) wanted the poll. Nevertheless there is definitely the feel of a demographic ticking time-bomb.

Right now I am more annoyed at the President of the USA interfering in our politics to an unacceptable degree, whatever the failings of our current leader and party. I wonder where Trump learned that from?


Edit: An article (there are many more) on the Poll I was referring to. Your comments are not wrong in that the type of Brexit is seen as an issue, but indeed not all Nationalists are united on this.

https://sluggerotoole.com/2018/05/21/border-poll-recedes-as-polls-show-nationalist-support-for-unity-hinges-on-brexit-outcome/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 13, 2018, 08:16:30 am
The smuggling is still going on and has been for years - where do you think the majority of the money raised from selling smuggling fags goes? Across the Irish Sea, that's where. There's been many a time I've listened with interest when I've been in pubs with some of the local hard men talking about 'no surrender' when they were smoking the fags that funded the IRA.

They only have to sit tight, it's not going to be long before the Catholics become the majority.

Glyn thanks for that correction it did read as if it would be starting up but what I meant to indicate was that there would be  an acceleration in the process at a time when some might think of pressing for that ultimate dream of a United Ireland . I think they used to label it somewhat affectionately " runs for guns ".

There never has been a better time with some disaffected young Protestants possibly more pro- Remain and perhaps more open to the idea of a " United Ireland " than their Protestant communities would care to admit ! Certainly the Catholics would appear to have the numbers if a push for a Referendum began.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 13, 2018, 09:19:07 am
Bst while you may be right as I’ve said in other posts John McDonell wanted a certain people in the ira to be given honours, why don’t you want rid of him? It baffles me while may might be incompetent she is nothing like him, if you can support him thank god I don’t live in your world

Not really sure how any of this is to do with Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 13, 2018, 10:17:43 am
Apart from Idler, I have still not read any other Brexiteer explain their reason or a reason that makes any sense or a reason that stands scrutiny, why Britain should leave the EU.

It's this lack of being able to articulate a sensible position for themselves or the country that makes me wonder if there is an underlying reason they don't wish to openly discuss or that they are embarrassed about being duped and made to look like complete and utter idiots by the likes of Farago and his ilk and they feel they cannot now change their positions.
So what's your opinion on the worse case scenario when we leave?
also, how and why will this affect the average joe on the street?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 13, 2018, 10:29:41 am
Boomstick

Why are you so obsessed about people’s opinions, and not interested in the predictions by people whose job it is to study these things.

When you get on a plane, do you go round the passengers asking what their opinion is on the airworthiness of the plane? Or do you trust the skills of the people whose job it is to assess it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 13, 2018, 11:19:13 am
Hi Hools

I think any effect within Unionists that you describe is currently more than counter-balanced by the fact that far from all Catholics want a United Ireland. I’ll see if I can find the source later, but in a recent poll a majority of people in Northern Ireland were against a so called ‘Border Poll’, and surprisingly few Nationalists (less than 70% I think) wanted the poll. Nevertheless there is definitely the feel of a demographic ticking time-bomb.

Right now I am more annoyed at the President of the USA interfering in our politics to an unacceptable degree, whatever the failings of our current leader and party. I wonder where Trump learned that from?


Edit: An article (there are many more) on the Poll I was referring to. Your comments are not wrong in that the type of Brexit is seen as an issue, but indeed not all Nationalists are united on this.

https://sluggerotoole.com/2018/05/21/border-poll-recedes-as-polls-show-nationalist-support-for-unity-hinges-on-brexit-outcome/

Thanks DU for that update but 6 nights of rioting in the Bogside would seems to contradict that somewhat - the demographic seems to be shifting and I think there will be moves towards a unified Ireland and retention of EU membership soon.

Like you I'm infuriated by this tw#t and his disgraceful behaviour - seems Farage is pulling his strings ! I don't like her but to suggest that the UK might benefit from a Boris premiership is 1) inappropriate 2) downright ridiculous . We are a sovereign country and we are hosting a President who is clearly hostile not only to the Maybot, but Europe , NATO, Women, Moslems . It's disgraceful !!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 13, 2018, 11:21:34 am
Boomstick

Why are you so obsessed about people’s opinions, and not interested in the predictions by people whose job it is to study these things.

When you get on a plane, do you go round the passengers asking what their opinion is on the airworthiness of the plane? Or do you trust the skills of the people whose job it is to assess it?

Billy he probably parachutes out .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 13, 2018, 11:30:55 am
There’s no question that he’s repeating Farage’s lies about UK politics. They are two peas in a pod and big buddies. Not least because Farage was one of the ones who smoothed the path between Trump and the Russians.

There was an example a few weeks ago of Farage making some outrageous lie about the NHS on Fox News. Within a couple of hours, Trump was repeating the same lie.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 13, 2018, 11:50:43 am
Boomstick

Why are you so obsessed about people’s opinions, and not interested in the predictions by people whose job it is to study these things.

When you get on a plane, do you go round the passengers asking what their opinion is on the airworthiness of the plane? Or do you trust the skills of the people whose job it is to assess it?

Billy he probably parachutes out .

Not without asking everyone for their opinion of the workmanship of the parachute maker!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 13, 2018, 01:05:45 pm
There’s no question that he’s repeating Farage’s lies about UK politics. They are two peas in a pod and big buddies. Not least because Farage was one of the ones who smoothed the path between Trump and the Russians.

There was an example a few weeks ago of Farage making some outrageous lie about the NHS on Fox News. Within a couple of hours, Trump was repeating the same lie.

Farage was on Andrew Neil's flagship programme " This Week " last night and if you watch the interview with him he sort of alludes to exactly that in his usual sneaky way . Neil has been promoting this dangerous prick for years . He ( Farage ) just picks up the phone and the BBC drop their trousers for him to get yet more coverage to persue his Far Right agenda

Question to Farage:- Have you been winding him up about all this ( Brexit ) ?
Answer:- We've had a little chat about all this .

* Farage has his hand all over this *
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 13, 2018, 01:15:04 pm
Boomstick

Why are you so obsessed about people’s opinions, and not interested in the predictions by people whose job it is to study these things.

When you get on a plane, do you go round the passengers asking what their opinion is on the airworthiness of the plane? Or do you trust the skills of the people whose job it is to assess it?

Billy he probably parachutes out .

Not without asking everyone for their opinion of the workmanship of the parachute maker!

Haha
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 13, 2018, 01:17:48 pm
Boomstick

Why are you so obsessed about people’s opinions, and not interested in the predictions by people whose job it is to study these things.

When you get on a plane, do you go round the passengers asking what their opinion is on the airworthiness of the plane? Or do you trust the skills of the people whose job it is to assess it?
why not answer the question?
Just trying to understand the remoaner side of the argument.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 13, 2018, 01:23:12 pm
I TOLD you my take. The worst that can happen is an 8% drop in GDP is we leave without a deal.

The consequences of that? Well it’s difficult to say as there hasn’t been a recession in more than a century that knocked 8% off GDP. But at a minimum:

Massive hike in unemployment.
Massive increase in Govt deficits, leading (under this Govt) to huge decreases in public spending (that’s less money on schools and hospitals and roads and social housing)
Reduction in wages and pensions.
Reduction in defence spending.
Permanently poorer country compared to European neighbours.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 13, 2018, 01:24:39 pm
And unless you want to be treated with contempt, stop using that f**king stupid word “Remoaner”. It immediately marks you as someone who is more interested in abuse and argument than in grown up discussion.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 13, 2018, 01:31:12 pm
so as a remoaner, are you not moaning about the consequences of brexit (whatever they may be?)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 13, 2018, 01:42:09 pm
Almost as if you don't want people to take you seriously...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 13, 2018, 01:47:07 pm
I’m pointing out the consequences of Brexit. They are seriously negative. There isn’t an economist in Britain who questions that.
You want to call that moaning? Fine. Your choice.

Personally, I call it trying to save idiots like you from your own f**king stupidity.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 13, 2018, 02:04:08 pm
Almost as if you don't want people to take you seriously...

You don't think anyone does, do you? :eek:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 13, 2018, 07:01:32 pm
Boomstick

Why are you so obsessed about people’s opinions, and not interested in the predictions by people whose job it is to study these things.

When you get on a plane, do you go round the passengers asking what their opinion is on the airworthiness of the plane? Or do you trust the skills of the people whose job it is to assess it?
why not answer the question?
Just trying to understand the remoaner side of the argument.

Broomstick-
Whataboutery , obfuscation and not one damn idea you can back up with any meaningful statistics. Someone asks you to justify your opinion or come up with up how you see see things panning out for the future you whataboutery every time .

Admit it you are just trolling this topic without a frigging idea of your own . I have told you countless times that in these 62 pages are contained all the statistics you would ever need to realise why Brexit is not a good idea, why it costs, the effects it will have on our Services, our Security, our Students , our Travel, our Health etc etc.

Why people are still wasting time trying to debate with you is beyond me . Personally you are diverting people from debating the real issues. Meanwhile you are like that little kid in the corner that keeps putting his hand up crying " miss, miss, miss , me me me " to the consternation of everyone but when you have your opportunity -  you have nothing to say,
Btw drop the Remoaner shite will you - it's childish , apt but childish
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 13, 2018, 09:17:20 pm
Bst while you may be right as I’ve said in other posts John McDonell wanted a certain people in the ira to be given honours, why don’t you want rid of him? It baffles me while may might be incompetent she is nothing like him, if you can support him thank god I don’t live in your world

Not really sure how any of this is to do with Brexit.

You are quite correct Blackpool in that yes McDonnell did call for for former IRA men to be honoured. What you appear to have missed though is that he has has said he was wrong and has apologised for saying it on several ocassions since.

And yes again you are correct he is very different to May. For instance he has not deported dozens of British pensioners, removing their pensions rights and leaving them with no means of supporting themselves in the process, to countries they never lived or last lived in as infants. Nor has he allowed the sale of munitions in the knowledge they would be passed on to terrorist groups including ISIS.

And yes it does have to do with Brexit in that McDonnell has constantly warned against any sort of Brexit deal (or no-deal) that imposes a border in Ireland. As he knows the possible/probable risks that will bring and he does not want to see a return to violence on the island. Again as you say, he appears to know a bit about what goes on there.

You and Mrs May (lest we forget no deal is still better than a bad deal) appear to think these warnings are fake and there is nothing to worry about. John McDonnell is backed up in his concerns by the Police Service of Northern Ireland - who are you backed up by? Boomstick & Jacob Rees Mogg?

Thanks to Dutch Uncle for your views on the situation. My somewhat more pessimistic point of view is that the there are clearly people in NI who will use any small point of tension for their own gain. It's 6 nights of rioting in Derry now, cars and buses burnt out and a bomb thrown in Belfast. Who knows where that might go?

On a united Ireland, this poll, which is later than your Dutch, appears to suggest more people in the north now support it than they do staying in the UK.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-united-ireland-referendum-northern-border-uk-yougov-poll-a8389086.html


Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 13, 2018, 11:57:28 pm
So saying sorry makes it right does it, innocent people children have been blown up but sorry is ok, he should not be a mp with sick comments like that!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 14, 2018, 01:04:37 am
Bst while you may be right as I’ve said in other posts John McDonell wanted a certain people in the ira to be given honours, why don’t you want rid of him? It baffles me while may might be incompetent she is nothing like him, if you can support him thank god I don’t live in your world

Not really sure how any of this is to do with Brexit.

You are quite correct Blackpool in that yes McDonnell did call for for former IRA men to be honoured. What you appear to have missed though is that he has has said he was wrong and has apologised for saying it on several ocassions since.

And yes again you are correct he is very different to May. For instance he has not deported dozens of British pensioners, removing their pensions rights and leaving them with no means of supporting themselves in the process, to countries they never lived or last lived in as infants. Nor has he allowed the sale of munitions in the knowledge they would be passed on to terrorist groups including ISIS.

And yes it does have to do with Brexit in that McDonnell has constantly warned against any sort of Brexit deal (or no-deal) that imposes a border in Ireland. As he knows the possible/probable risks that will bring and he does not want to see a return to violence on the island. Again as you say, he appears to know a bit about what goes on there.

You and Mrs May (lest we forget no deal is still better than a bad deal) appear to think these warnings are fake and there is nothing to worry about. John McDonnell is backed up in his concerns by the Police Service of Northern Ireland - who are you backed up by? Boomstick & Jacob Rees Mogg?

Thanks to Dutch Uncle for your views on the situation. My somewhat more pessimistic point of view is that the there are clearly people in NI who will use any small point of tension for their own gain. It's 6 nights of rioting in Derry now, cars and buses burnt out and a bomb thrown in Belfast. Who knows where that might go?

On a united Ireland, this poll, which is later than your Dutch, appears to suggest more people in the north now support it than they do staying in the UK.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-united-ireland-referendum-northern-border-uk-yougov-poll-a8389086.html




Thank you wilts that's the poll that try as I might I couldn't lay my hands on earlier hence DU correcting me . Reading his post earlier reminds me that even the eye of our statistician in chief is fallible on occasions . However I do appreciate that he does have his nose to the ground there in a way that I haven't .
As for the opinions of  bpool , boomstick and other Brexiters ( sounds wonderful doesnt it , almost swashbuckling by design of course ) , they seem totally guided and unshakeable even against the huge weight of evidence against them. Eventually the straws they clutch will break but by then it may well be too late .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 14, 2018, 01:25:21 am
So saying sorry makes it right does it, innocent people children have been blown up but sorry is ok, he should not be a mp with sick comments like that!

Move on poolie please , I have a lot of sympathy with your stance on this matter but I think you have now made your point in the strongest  terms .
There are many MPS and MEPS that have far more baggage in terms of previous statements made, beliefs held etc....
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 14, 2018, 04:44:53 am
So saying sorry makes it right does it, innocent people children have been blown up but sorry is ok, he should not be a mp with sick comments like that!

Move on poolie please , I have a lot of sympathy with your stance on this matter but I think you have now made your point in the strongest  terms .
There are many MPS and MEPS that have far more baggage in terms of previous statements made, beliefs held etc....

Agreed, how far would you like this conversation to go back, which wars should we discus and what the various people of those times said? we are all guilty of something.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 14, 2018, 08:07:26 am
So saying sorry makes it right does it, innocent people children have been blown up but sorry is ok, he should not be a mp with sick comments like that!

It didn't stop people voting for him.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 14, 2018, 08:58:45 am
So saying sorry makes it right does it, innocent people children have been blown up but sorry is ok, he should not be a mp with sick comments like that!

You had best tell that to the people who voted for him.

You should also concentrate your mind on matters which are far more important to people in the UK (NI in particular) today and have a good think on what the consequences of your views are.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 14, 2018, 09:40:28 am
So saying sorry makes it right does it, innocent people children have been blown up but sorry is ok, he should not be a mp with sick comments like that!

You had best tell that to the people who voted for him.

You should also concentrate your mind on matters which are far more important to people in the UK (NI in particular) today and have a good think on what the consequences of your views are.

Good point Wilts, all those people on the bread line now due to the purely political austrerity program will be pushed further and further into poverty, Ive never suffered poverty but being poor at time was hard enough, I would never wish that on anyone.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Dutch Uncle on July 14, 2018, 10:38:45 am
Wilts & Hoola

Many thanks for your responses re Northern Ireland, and by the way I was not correcting anyone, just giving an opinion. I hadn’t seen the more recent poll which is indeed alarming from my point of view.

I am by nature easily alarmed by such things, despite all the reassuring by my wife, her family and friends over here. But we live in Bangor, sufficiently far from the current fault lines, and maybe we are a bit complacent.

My gut feeling is that as the spectre of hard or no deal Brexit increases (be it for real or for negotiating purposes) then confidence in an open border and soft Brexit erodes, meaning more people are starting to think a United Ireland is a better idea. Nevertheless I stand by my opinion that the level of community support for province wide coordinated  violence is simply no longer there, and although things can spiral quickly, no-one wants to return to that.

It will be interesting to see what happens after the 12th fortnight marching season disappears in the rear view mirror. If things do not quieten down I will be less complacent for sure.

I would be interested in the views of anyone else on here who lives in or regularly visits Northern Ireland.

Edit: P.S. Many thanks, but I am most definitely not ‘statistician in chief’ on here - in my eyes that title is strictly reserved for The Red Baron.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 14, 2018, 05:44:42 pm
A bit like brexit which is what people voted for but your not saying that's ok?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 14, 2018, 07:24:55 pm
Wilts & Hoola

Many thanks for your responses re Northern Ireland, and by the way I was not correcting anyone, just giving an opinion. I hadn’t seen the more recent poll which is indeed alarming from my point of view.

I am by nature easily alarmed by such things, despite all the reassuring by my wife, her family and friends over here. But we live in Bangor, sufficiently far from the current fault lines, and maybe we are a bit complacent.

My gut feeling is that as the spectre of hard or no deal Brexit increases (be it for real or for negotiating purposes) then confidence in an open border and soft Brexit erodes, meaning more people are starting to think a United Ireland is a better idea. Nevertheless I stand by my opinion that the level of community support for province wide coordinated  violence is simply no longer there, and although things can spiral quickly, no-one wants to return to that.

It will be interesting to see what happens after the 12th fortnight marching season disappears in the rear view mirror. If things do not quieten down I will be less complacent for sure.

I would be interested in the views of anyone else on here who lives in or regularly visits Northern Ireland.

Edit: P.S. Many thanks, but I am most definitely not ‘statistician in chief’ on here - in my eyes that title is strictly reserved for The Red Baron.

I never felt corrected as such as I have always found your contributions over the years erudite and respectful of others points of views.
Your current " insider " knowledge out there on the ground as our Rovering reporter is a real bonus too. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 14, 2018, 09:18:09 pm
No problem Dutch I am glad to be able to pass the information on. If I can echo what Hoola has said it is always good to have first hand information from someone who knows what they are talking about and I have no doubt that NI will be a subject that will be cropping in one form or another in future months.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 15, 2018, 07:44:01 am
A bit like brexit which is what people voted for but your not saying that's ok?

There you go again Blackpool, distorting and twisting the conversation to your own view, we have established beyond doubt that those voting to leave have been deceived and humiliated by various nefarious entities od which gave an honest appraisal of the real picture even if they could. Which is why May doesnt know her arse from her elbow when it comes to which idiot to back in her own party.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 15, 2018, 08:38:52 am
A bit like brexit which is what people voted for but your not saying that's ok?

There you go again Blackpool, distorting and twisting the conversation to your own view, we have established beyond doubt that those voting to leave have been deceived and humiliated by various nefarious entities od which gave an honest appraisal of the real picture even if they could. Which is why May doesnt know her arse from her elbow when it comes to which idiot to back in her own party.

Sadly despite all the warnings , statistics and comments on these 63 pages bpool and others still continue to peddle their nonsense ( rarely if ever  based on facts ) ; what's more they continue when asked a direct question to answer with a daft question. It is obvious what we Remainers would do , we would keep what we've got with a view that our leaders would fight for change where necessary. Those same leaders would actually use the sensible powers they currently don't exercise over our immigration policy and in other areas of contention seeking to resolve these issues with the help of others where possible.

My personal hope, as an avowed Europhile, was ALWAYS that our voice in Europe would be a constructive one at every level , particularly at MEP level - an area of governance that was sadly misused .
Years of poor representation  followed , when increasingly our UKIP MEPs, in particular, sought to fight and destroy  the EU rather than look after the interests of 100%  of their electorate  responsibly .

I 'get' that there were intrinsic weaknesses in the EU  project however those weaknesses were always far far outweighed by all the good that has been brought to the people of Europe - peace, prosperity, stability, ease of trade and movement of people for work, pleasure and retirement.

Underpinning all of the above was a structure no less accountable, democratic  or unwieldy than our own governed by a rule of law and decent standards that we can all recognise .

Against this I ask once again " Leavers " you offer what exactly  ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 15, 2018, 08:52:15 am
A bit like brexit which is what people voted for but your not saying that's ok?

There you go again Blackpool, distorting and twisting the conversation to your own view, we have established beyond doubt that those voting to leave have been deceived and humiliated by various nefarious entities od which gave an honest appraisal of the real picture even if they could. Which is why May doesnt know her arse from her elbow when it comes to which idiot to back in her own party.

Sadly despite all the warnings , statistics and comments on these 63 pages bpool and others still continue to peddle their nonsense ( rarely if ever  based on facts ) ; what's more they continue when asked a direct question to answer with a daft question. It is obvious what we Remainers would do , we would keep what we've got with a view that our leaders would fight for change where necessary. Those same leaders would actually use the sensible powers they currently don't exercise over our immigration policy and in other areas of contention seeking to resolve these issues with the help of others where possible.

My personal hope, as an avowed Europhile, was ALWAYS that our voice in Europe would be a constructive one at every level , particularly at MEP level - an area of governance that was sadly misused .
Years of poor representation  followed , when increasingly our UKIP MEPs, in particular, sought to fight and destroy  the EU rather than look after the interests of 100%  of their electorate  responsibly .

I 'get' that there were intrinsic weaknesses in the EU  project however those weaknesses were always far far outweighed by all the good that has been brought to the people of Europe - peace, prosperity, stability, ease of trade and movement of people for work, pleasure and retirement.

Underpinning all of the above was a structure no less accountable, democratic  or unwieldy than our own governed by a rule of law and decent standards that we can all recognise .

Against this I ask once again " Leavers " you offer what exactly  ?

A rosy view of a Britain that never ever existed.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 15, 2018, 09:44:59 am
One that will never return......
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Padge_DRFC on July 15, 2018, 11:25:16 am
what are remainers thoughts on the EU holding us back from trade deals with the rest of the world?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 15, 2018, 11:42:16 am
what are remainers thoughts on the EU holding us back from trade deals with the rest of the world?
You may have to give us a few more details and try and separate what you mean from what you want. If you want Britain free to do deals with those outside the EU without breaking contracts with the EU then you/we lose everything we now gain from being partners with the richest trading block in the world. Go ahead tell us what you want.

In fact thats a good idea, you tell us what you and the diminishing band of Brexiters want and we will tell you what you will lose or cannot have it will be easier that way.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 15, 2018, 01:03:55 pm
what are remainers thoughts on the EU holding us back from trade deals with the rest of the world?

I'd say it's a shame we're throwing away all those we already have as part of the EU. Sure, we might get them all back - eventually, and years down the road after the damage has already been done to our economy -  but it'll be on worse terms than at present due to the origin status only covering goods from the UK and not from anywhere in the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 15, 2018, 01:26:57 pm
what are remainers thoughts on the EU holding us back from trade deals with the rest of the world?

It's clearly b*llocks as 55% of our trade is already done with the rest of the world! It clearly also doesn't hold other EU countries back as Germany does a huge amount of trade with China for instance. Last year their trade with China was 186 billion euros against our 60 billion euros.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 16, 2018, 01:09:24 am
what are remainers thoughts on the EU holding us back from trade deals with the rest of the world?

It's clearly b*llocks as 55% of our trade is already done with the rest of the world! It clearly also doesn't hold other EU countries back as Germany does a huge amount of trade with China for instance. Last year their trade with China was 186 billion euros against our 60 billion euros.

What is b*llocks Wilts is that you post comments without citations, a lot depends upon what the conditions are when trade is done with non-EU countries, you think an independent Britain alone would have as much clout as the EU in trade negotiations?

https://www.cer.eu/insights/would-britain%E2%80%99s-trade-be-freer-outside-eu
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 16, 2018, 01:19:23 am
what are remainers thoughts on the EU holding us back from trade deals with the rest of the world?

It's clearly b*llocks as 55% of our trade is already done with the rest of the world! It clearly also doesn't hold other EU countries back as Germany does a huge amount of trade with China for instance. Last year their trade with China was 186 billion euros against our 60 billion euros.
It only took a couple of minutes to find these below, knock yourself out and find some articles that say Britain wouod be better off outside the EU


Last week, former trade minister Mark Price tweeted that all of these non-EU countries “have agreed to roll over” their EU agreements with the UK. When trade secretary Liam Fox was questioned about this comment in a select committee hearing on 1st November, he conceded that “it is not quite as simple as rolling them over,”

https://cer.eu/in-the-press/eu-has-36-free-trade-deals-non-eu-countries-will-they-roll-over-britain-after-brexit


Could an EU member state negotiate its own trade deal with the UK after the UK leaves the EU?

https://www.quora.com/Could-an-EU-member-state-negotiate-its-own-trade-deal-with-the-UK-after-the-UK-leaves-the-EU

10 facts about EU trade deals
As a member of the European Union, UK business benefits from easy access to a single
market of 500 million consumers. As well as opening up markets on the UK’s doorstep, the
EU facilitates trade further afield with EU trade deals providing preferential access to
global markets, from South Africa to South Korea.

http://www.cbi.org.uk/business-issues/brexit-and-eu-negotiations/eu-business-facts/10-facts-about-eu-trade-deals-pdf/


The five alternatives to EU single market and customs union would all make UK poorer

http://theconversation.com/the-five-alternatives-to-eu-single-market-and-customs-union-would-all-make-uk-poorer-92228
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 16, 2018, 02:43:21 am
A question about the bottom link Sydney, now those figures might be right I have no idea but how can they be perticulary accurate when no 1 knows what trade deals we will or won’t get?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 16, 2018, 08:36:41 am
A question about the bottom link Sydney, now those figures might be right I have no idea but how can they be perticulary accurate when no 1 knows what trade deals we will or won’t get?

That last link is only about trade between the UK and the EU. The figures may or may not be completely accurate, but whatever trade deal we have with the EU afterwards will mean goods being more expensive to import and our exports being more expensive to our customers. And that will be the result just of the re-imposition of Customs Declarations for UK/EU movements, and not taking any other checks, delays, Duty costs or VAT costs into account.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 16, 2018, 09:18:29 am
Remember this is a man who thinks that giving bits of the NHS to private companies isn't privatisation, Glyn.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on July 16, 2018, 09:56:37 am
An interesting intervention from a Tory Remainer.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-44840154

Although I think her idea of a three-option Referendum is for the birds, I do accept her point that there doesn't appear to be a consensus in Parliament for any option. In that case some kind of Referendum on the final deal agreed with the EU might be the only way to break the log-jam.

Although the options would have to be binary. Leave with the deal or Leave with No Deal or, Leave with the deal or Remain.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 16, 2018, 10:28:09 am
An interesting intervention from a Tory Remainer.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-44840154

Although I think her idea of a three-option Referendum is for the birds, I do accept her point that there doesn't appear to be a consensus in Parliament for any option. In that case some kind of Referendum on the final deal agreed with the EU might be the only way to break the log-jam.

Although the options would have to be binary. Leave with the deal or Leave with No Deal or, Leave with the deal or Remain.

It doesn't have to be binary at all. If the only referendum options were Leave with deal or Leave with no deal, the Remain Movement would tell all remainers to spoil their ballot papers. These have to be accounted for, so what do you think would be the democratic position if the number of spoilt papers was greater than those with a valid vote? A Preference vote should cover all main bases.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on July 16, 2018, 11:45:04 am
If it isn't binary it will cause a lot of confusion and probably will end up with a three-way split. I would have thought Remainers would be more likely to vote for the least-worst option. It's the Leavers who are more likely to call for boycotts (just because it's a second vote that we were told wouldn't happen).

It is probably not going to happen but until there is some sort of consensus in Parliament around what deal is acceptable, I can't see a lot of alternatives. Maybe we will end up with No-Deal Brexit simply because no-one can agree on an alternative.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 16, 2018, 12:52:59 pm
If it isn't binary it will cause a lot of confusion and probably will end up with a three-way split. I would have thought Remainers would be more likely to vote for the least-worst option. It's the Leavers who are more likely to call for boycotts (just because it's a second vote that we were told wouldn't happen).

It is probably not going to happen but until there is some sort of consensus in Parliament around what deal is acceptable, I can't see a lot of alternatives. Maybe we will end up with No-Deal Brexit simply because no-one can agree on an alternative.

You won't have a three-way split using a preference vote, you'll get an option with an overall majority.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 16, 2018, 12:54:34 pm
What would happen if people voted leave with no deal would you accept that thou or demand a 3rd referendum?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 16, 2018, 01:07:51 pm
What would happen if people voted leave with no deal would you accept that thou or demand a 3rd referendum?

Probably as much as you'd accept a remain result.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 16, 2018, 01:11:36 pm
So what's the point then if you won't accept it, and yes if the 1st vote had been remain then so be it
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 16, 2018, 01:43:03 pm
Where have I said I won't accept it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 16, 2018, 01:43:34 pm
Ok mate sorry I must misunderstood, so you would accept it if the public voted to leave with a no deal? Out of interest why would you when you have not the 1st one?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Dutch Uncle on July 16, 2018, 01:46:00 pm
One problem with the referendum was the asymmetry in that everyone voting for remain was in principle able to know what they were voting for - the status quo (forgetting for a minute that the incompetent and lazy leave campaign never actually explained everything EU membership entailed and embarked on a negative project fear). On the other hand how could anyone voting for leave know what they were voting for.

I think a second referendum once the reality of the type of Brexit on offer is known is only reasonable. It should at least be a more educated vote. Some who voted remain may now wish to leave and vice versa.

None of this takes into account any suggestions of breaking of electoral rules and/or outside interference which might cast doubts over the result in some people’s eyes.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 16, 2018, 01:55:04 pm
Where do you draw the line thou Dutch,if it is a vote remain on the 2nd vote are the vote leave then entitled to a final vote?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 16, 2018, 02:00:59 pm
It's quite possible a new vote if was done like greening wanted today could end up in a worse position for the Ones wanting to stay in the eu with a vote for a no deal
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 16, 2018, 02:08:37 pm
Switzerland have regular referendums, even sometimes having ones to undo what they did if they realise they've f**ked up. To the people who say that a second vote would be undemocratic - is Switzerland an undemocratic nation?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 16, 2018, 02:14:27 pm
maybe red, if we have a 2nd referendum and people vote to walk away with no deal is that the end of it or is there to be a 3rd one?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 16, 2018, 02:17:50 pm
If people still vote to leave knowing what's on the table then you can't argue with it. But at the end of the day, some people voted to Leave thinking that we would automatically withdraw the day after the vote if we voted to go, some thought that we would be guaranteed a Norway model, some thought we'd get our own special deal. People had no idea what they were voting for if they voted to leave. If they know what they're voting for, and still vote to leave as a majority, then you can't argue with it.

If people in the future decide they've f**ked up and want to get back in, then you can't really argue with that either, if there's appetite to go back on the decision.  But at the moment the whole negotiation process has been a f**king shambles and if we leave with a shit deal or no deal we'll be in the shit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Dutch Uncle on July 16, 2018, 02:23:41 pm
Where do you draw the line thou Dutch,if it is a vote remain on the 2nd vote are the vote leave then entitled to a final vote?

My point is that a second referendum would not be a re-run of the first. The question for the follow-up referendum should be much more specific and well defined. There should be no need for any more referendums and that should be made clear.

Edit: Of course the result will still be a disappointment for many people, whichever way it might go, but at least we have had more than 2 years to understand what we are voting for.

With wonderful hindsight a more sensible question for the first referendum would have been - do you wish to stay in the EU, or start a process of negotiating a deal to leave?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Dutch Uncle on July 16, 2018, 02:30:21 pm
Switzerland have regular referendums, even sometimes having ones to undo what they did if they realise they've f**ked up. To the people who say that a second vote would be undemocratic - is Switzerland an undemocratic nation?

IIRC Denmark had two referendums to ratify the Maastricht Treaty, the first said no, and the second yes.

Edit: Denmark gained 4 ‘exceptions’ to the treaty, so again the people voted for something different (albeit only slightly) in the second referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 16, 2018, 04:34:23 pm
what are remainers thoughts on the EU holding us back from trade deals with the rest of the world?

It's clearly b*llocks as 55% of our trade is already done with the rest of the world! It clearly also doesn't hold other EU countries back as Germany does a huge amount of trade with China for instance. Last year their trade with China was 186 billion euros against our 60 billion euros.
It only took a couple of minutes to find these below, knock yourself out and find some articles that say Britain wouod be better off outside the EU.

Sydney, if I think that the statement the EU holding us back from trade deals with the rest of the world is b*llocks, why would I think Britain is better off outside the EU?

The EU clearly isn't holding us back from trading with the rest of the world, as we already trade more with the rest of the world than the we do with the EU as a member of the EU - nor does being in the EU hold any other EU country back from trading with the rest of the world, as my example of Germany's trade with China shows.

https://www.ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/internationaltrade/articles/whodoestheuktradewith/2017-02-21
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-germany-economy-trade/china-remains-germanys-biggest-trading-partner-in-2017-idUSKCN1G5213
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on July 16, 2018, 05:05:31 pm
   A second vote could get very messy, I am sure it would be portrayed as a vote whether parliament could overrule the will of the people.
   Whether 600 plus M.P's could overrule 17 million voters. I would be very surprised if that did not become the main topic, or at least portrayed that way by the leave campaigners.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 16, 2018, 05:12:12 pm
What would happen if people voted leave with no deal would you accept that thou or demand a 3rd referendum?

I think this is a really valid question - how many times do we need to re-run a referendum, until will give the answer the government of day wants?

I do think that Padge, Blackpool and the other Brexiteers have a reason to be agrieved, they voted Leave, thought they had won a majority and now see it's not going the way they wanted. The reason for that of course is the other point Greening made, that the government doesnt want a hard Brexit, and even if they did it wouldn't get through parliament.

I cant see how any further referendum will change that. Unless the party that 'win's the referendum gets to carry it out, there will still be an impasse.

There has to be a general election. Each party gets to put their agenda and plan to the public, we all get to vote for the party we think has the best plan. If one part wins a majority so be it, they get to implement that plan. If there is no overall majority (as now) it should be a national coalition.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 16, 2018, 06:20:11 pm
Ok mate sorry I must misunderstood, so you would accept it if the public voted to leave with a no deal? Out of interest why would you when you have not the 1st one?

I would accept whatever result happens. I accepted the last result. You seem to equate 'accept' with 'agree with' or 'Shutting the feck up because you lost'. I'd accept a Leave vote but I won't agree with it, because I have always thought (and still do) that it is not in the best interests of this country. Just the same as last time all the way to now.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 16, 2018, 06:24:02 pm
what are remainers thoughts on the EU holding us back from trade deals with the rest of the world?

It's clearly b*llocks as 55% of our trade is already done with the rest of the world! It clearly also doesn't hold other EU countries back as Germany does a huge amount of trade with China for instance. Last year their trade with China was 186 billion euros against our 60 billion euros.
It only took a couple of minutes to find these below, knock yourself out and find some articles that say Britain wouod be better off outside the EU.

Sydney, if I think that the statement the EU holding us back from trade deals with the rest of the world is b*llocks, why would I think Britain is better off outside the EU?

The EU clearly isn't holding us back from trading with the rest of the world, as we already trade more with the rest of the world than the we do with the EU as a member of the EU - nor does being in the EU hold any other EU country back from trading with the rest of the world, as my example of Germany's trade with China shows.

https://www.ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/internationaltrade/articles/whodoestheuktradewith/2017-02-21
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-germany-economy-trade/china-remains-germanys-biggest-trading-partner-in-2017-idUSKCN1G5213

Wilts, you're confusing 'trading with' with 'having a trade deal with'. They aren't the same thing.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 16, 2018, 08:16:32 pm
what are remainers thoughts on the EU holding us back from trade deals with the rest of the world?

It's clearly b*llocks as 55% of our trade is already done with the rest of the world! It clearly also doesn't hold other EU countries back as Germany does a huge amount of trade with China for instance. Last year their trade with China was 186 billion euros against our 60 billion euros.
It only took a couple of minutes to find these below, knock yourself out and find some articles that say Britain wouod be better off outside the EU.

Sydney, if I think that the statement the EU holding us back from trade deals with the rest of the world is b*llocks, why would I think Britain is better off outside the EU?

The EU clearly isn't holding us back from trading with the rest of the world, as we already trade more with the rest of the world than the we do with the EU as a member of the EU - nor does being in the EU hold any other EU country back from trading with the rest of the world, as my example of Germany's trade with China shows.

https://www.ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/internationaltrade/articles/whodoestheuktradewith/2017-02-21
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-germany-economy-trade/china-remains-germanys-biggest-trading-partner-in-2017-idUSKCN1G5213

Wilts, you're confusing 'trading with' with 'having a trade deal with'. They aren't the same thing.

It's much more your area of expertise than mine Glyn but the deals Germany and China did last week are being called trade deals.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-germany-china/with-raft-of-deals-china-and-germany-swear-to-keep-trade-free-idUSKBN1JZ0VM

As were the deals May came back with in February
https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-china-britain/may-gets-9-billion-pounds-in-china-deals-xi-promises-to-build-on-golden-era-idUKKBN1FM0G0
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 16, 2018, 09:11:22 pm
what are remainers thoughts on the EU holding us back from trade deals with the rest of the world?

It's clearly b*llocks as 55% of our trade is already done with the rest of the world! It clearly also doesn't hold other EU countries back as Germany does a huge amount of trade with China for instance. Last year their trade with China was 186 billion euros against our 60 billion euros.
It only took a couple of minutes to find these below, knock yourself out and find some articles that say Britain wouod be better off outside the EU.

Sydney, if I think that the statement the EU holding us back from trade deals with the rest of the world is b*llocks, why would I think Britain is better off outside the EU?

The EU clearly isn't holding us back from trading with the rest of the world, as we already trade more with the rest of the world than the we do with the EU as a member of the EU - nor does being in the EU hold any other EU country back from trading with the rest of the world, as my example of Germany's trade with China shows.

https://www.ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/internationaltrade/articles/whodoestheuktradewith/2017-02-21
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-germany-economy-trade/china-remains-germanys-biggest-trading-partner-in-2017-idUSKCN1G5213

Wilts, you're confusing 'trading with' with 'having a trade deal with'. They aren't the same thing.

It's much more your area of expertise than mine Glyn but the deals Germany and China did last week are being called trade deals.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-germany-china/with-raft-of-deals-china-and-germany-swear-to-keep-trade-free-idUSKBN1JZ0VM

As were the deals May came back with in February
https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-china-britain/may-gets-9-billion-pounds-in-china-deals-xi-promises-to-build-on-golden-era-idUKKBN1FM0G0

You don't need a trade deal to trade with someone.

Padge was talking about trade deals, you answered by talking about trading with China - which we can, and do, trade with without a trade deal.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 16, 2018, 11:10:21 pm
Blackpool and Wilts stop fudging and asking never ending questions, if you want Brexit tell us what you want, tell us how it will change Britiain.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 17, 2018, 02:25:25 am
What would happen if people voted leave with no deal would you accept that thou or demand a 3rd referendum?

I think this is a really valid question - how many times do we need to re-run a referendum, until will give the answer the government of day wants?

I do think that Padge, Blackpool and the other Brexiteers have a reason to be agrieved, they voted Leave, thought they had won a majority and now see it's not going the way they wanted. The reason for that of course is the other point Greening made, that the government doesnt want a hard Brexit, and even if they did it wouldn't get through parliament.

I cant see how any further referendum will change that. Unless the party that 'win's the referendum gets to carry it out, there will still be an impasse.

There has to be a general election. Each party gets to put their agenda and plan to the public, we all get to vote for the party we think has the best plan. If one part wins a majority so be it, they get to implement that plan. If there is no overall majority (as now) it should be a national coalition.

So Wilts. Yep, let’s have a General Election.

We’ll have a Tory Party led by someone who doesn’t want a Hard Brexit and populated by people who do.

And a Labour Party led by someone who does want a Hard Brexit and populated by people who don’t.

And if the GE is inconclusive (how could there be a conclusive result in those circumstances) you want those immovable objects and irresistible forces to form a National Coalition? On what platform precisely?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 17, 2018, 02:55:44 am
Agree with bst on the general election there is a fair chance the result would be the same as last time so we would be in the same position, maybe people are right have another referendum but just have walk away or remain and whoever wins just accept the result
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Padge_DRFC on July 17, 2018, 08:07:05 am
Yes trade deals. Much lower tariffs or none at all. Making each other’s goods to buy from each other more appealing and paying less for it. Which we cannot do until leaving the EU basically.
I’m not going to lie and hide it I also voted so we could control immigration. There I said it and some people darent because of being called a racist. However having said that it’s harder for the Indian doctor to come to the UK than the jobless Frenchman come to the Uk.
I see that’s one of May’s latest things she will still give preference to EU citizens over the rest of the world.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 17, 2018, 08:31:58 am
Agree with bst on the general election there is a fair chance the result would be the same as last time so we would be in the same position, maybe people are right have another referendum but just have walk away or remain and whoever wins just accept the result

What about those who want a soft Brexit, doesn't their opinion matter?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 17, 2018, 08:50:56 am
what are remainers thoughts on the EU holding us back from trade deals with the rest of the world?

It's clearly b*llocks as 55% of our trade is already done with the rest of the world! It clearly also doesn't hold other EU countries back as Germany does a huge amount of trade with China for instance. Last year their trade with China was 186 billion euros against our 60 billion euros.
It only took a couple of minutes to find these below, knock yourself out and find some articles that say Britain wouod be better off outside the EU.

Sydney, if I think that the statement the EU holding us back from trade deals with the rest of the world is b*llocks, why would I think Britain is better off outside the EU?

The EU clearly isn't holding us back from trading with the rest of the world, as we already trade more with the rest of the world than the we do with the EU as a member of the EU - nor does being in the EU hold any other EU country back from trading with the rest of the world, as my example of Germany's trade with China shows.

https://www.ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/internationaltrade/articles/whodoestheuktradewith/2017-02-21
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-germany-economy-trade/china-remains-germanys-biggest-trading-partner-in-2017-idUSKCN1G5213

I looked at this sequence of posts that was how I read them too. My thinking,  it was just an oversight  by Sydney on what is clearly such an emotive subject.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 17, 2018, 08:52:09 am
Agree with bst on the general election there is a fair chance the result would be the same as last time so we would be in the same position, maybe people are right have another referendum but just have walk away or remain and whoever wins just accept the result

What about those who want a soft Brexit, doesn't their opinion matter?
as they can't come to a agreement after all this time no I think if there was to be a 2nd referendum there should be 2 options otherwise we will be in the same position
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 17, 2018, 09:00:06 am
Also say there was 3 options and 29 percent voted for a hard brexit 31 for a soft brexit and 40 percent for no brexit who would win?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DevilMayCry on July 17, 2018, 09:01:21 am
Vote Leave: Brexit campaign 'broke electoral law' in referendum

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-44856992
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 17, 2018, 09:13:00 am
Overspent by half a million quid. Considering the spending limit was £7m, that's not small potatoes. If you have any experience with Facebook marketing at all, you'll know what half a million quid gets you. Frightening.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on July 17, 2018, 09:22:40 am
Also say there was 3 options and 29 percent voted for a hard brexit 31 for a soft brexit and 40 percent for no brexit who would win?

I presume if you used the model Justine Greening is proposing you would then count second preferences, suitably weighted. Although it might not produce anything more convincing than your scenario.

That is the difficulty with a second referendum. It may well produce a different result to the first one, but the numbers might not be all that different. Anyone for another 52/48 split?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 17, 2018, 10:55:01 am
If people still vote to leave knowing what's on the table then you can't argue with it. But at the end of the day, some people voted to Leave thinking that we would automatically withdraw the day after the vote if we voted to go, some thought that we would be guaranteed a Norway model, some thought we'd get our own special deal. People had no idea what they were voting for if they voted to leave. If they know what they're voting for, and still vote to leave as a majority, then you can't argue with it.

If people in the future decide they've f**ked up and want to get back in, then you can't really argue with that either, if there's appetite to go back on the decision.  But at the moment the whole negotiation process has been a f**king shambles and if we leave with a shit deal or no deal we'll be in the shit.

Good post and by the way you forgot all those that thought it was a foregone conclusion to keep the status quo - we know that much of the work carried out by AIQ  and Cambridge Analytica was a as much about SUPPRESSING  the vote as it was getting the Buccaneers out to vote Leave. I'm sure quite a few of the lethargic would be interested in posting their vote at the ballot box now we know what is really about to happen :-

    12,948,018...12,948,018...12,948,018....

# Will of the people my arse
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 17, 2018, 10:59:22 am
Yes trade deals. Much lower tariffs or none at all. Making each other’s goods to buy from each other more appealing and paying less for it. Which we cannot do until leaving the EU basically.
I’m not going to lie and hide it I also voted so we could control immigration. There I said it and some people darent because of being called a racist. However having said that it’s harder for the Indian doctor to come to the UK than the jobless Frenchman come to the Uk.
I see that’s one of May’s latest things she will still give preference to EU citizens over the rest of the world.

Padge what % of our population are actually foreigners I.e. not born here , do you know ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 17, 2018, 11:28:37 am
Yes trade deals. Much lower tariffs or none at all. Making each other’s goods to buy from each other more appealing and paying less for it. Which we cannot do until leaving the EU basically.
I’m not going to lie and hide it I also voted so we could control immigration. There I said it and some people darent because of being called a racist. However having said that it’s harder for the Indian doctor to come to the UK than the jobless Frenchman come to the Uk.
I see that’s one of May’s latest things she will still give preference to EU citizens over the rest of the world.

Padge you are talking nonsense though we are NOT  prevented from doing deals and trading successfully with countries outside the EU . Where do you get this stuff of nonsense from ?

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://tradingeconomics.com/germany/exports-by-country&ved=2ahUKEwjjgqDT9aXcAhWHCcAKHVD9DsAQFjAMegQIBxAB&usg=AOvVaw3JBNaspZLEQFUY07ymHVdC

It's whether you have ANYTHING to sell other countries that matters not a bloody piece of paper . Fact is we are unproductive ( hence the moves to de- regulate ) and have little in the way of raw materials and a weak industrial base without our Service sector we are sunk as we were in 1972 . However hopefully we are in a better shape to deal with it after our post --EU revival but I doubt it .

Basically we are already uncompetitive and are seeking to be more so ! Why ?

Many questions but rarely do I ever see a real answer only the odd soundbite . I doubt I will this time either .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 17, 2018, 11:43:51 am
Also say there was 3 options and 29 percent voted for a hard brexit 31 for a soft brexit and 40 percent for no brexit who would win?

I presume if you used the model Justine Greening is proposing you would then count second preferences, suitably weighted. Although it might not produce anything more convincing than your scenario.

That is the difficulty with a second referendum. It may well produce a different result to the first one, but the numbers might not be all that different. Anyone for another 52/48 split?

TRB will you really need that when many of those that didn't vote , realise it now matters . It's time the electorate as a whole were encouraged to vote ; there are over 12,000,000 votes not being cast out there. It still has to be a crash out or remain vote - we all know Article 50 could be torn up .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 17, 2018, 01:12:00 pm
Hoola i think if there was another vote and it was stay or walk away, you might still get the same result, ask around and see if  people have changed there mind, not people on a message board thou, I doubt you will find any that would vote any different
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 17, 2018, 02:16:50 pm
bpool believe me there are people who have changed their minds and there are many who never bothered to vote because they thought that the Brexit was NEVER going to happen . Brexit will only benefit those at the top of society , is that whete you are bpool . My daugher a committed Europhile was 17 years old at the time of the vote - she and her friends want to vote especially now they know more about what they are about to lose . Do you ever watch Parliament on your news programmes - if you did then you would KNOW  you will not benefit from Brexit unless you are well off of course ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 17, 2018, 02:35:15 pm
My point is not if be better off mate,if they did another vote in or out and it was the same result would you accept the outcome next time? I just think you will get more people voting in the areas that voted remain, at the same time in the areas that voted leave they will come out even more determined as they feel aggrieved that the 1sy vote counted for nothing,the people I speak to in the pub on social media at work, not 1 has changed there vote if anything the abuse many have received as in been called racist, thick, made to explain why they voted how they did has made them more determined to get this result
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 17, 2018, 03:21:24 pm
In a lot of the areas that voted leave people are on benefits,people then say they will be worse off but it's not true, they will be no better off de no worse off nothing will change, what would you say to them to get them to change there vote? In certain areas like Blackpool south many jobs are taken up by polish ect. Who come to Blackpool for the season then go home in winter, why will voting remain benefit them?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 17, 2018, 03:48:55 pm
Also say there was 3 options and 29 percent voted for a hard brexit 31 for a soft brexit and 40 percent for no brexit who would win?

I said it would be a Preference vote.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 17, 2018, 03:55:34 pm
I'm going off what Justine greening said, have 3 options soft brexit hard brexit remain, I think that's what the idea was unless I'm mistaken
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Iberian Red on July 17, 2018, 03:58:18 pm
In a lot of the areas that voted leave people are on benefits,people then say they will be worse off but it's not true, they will be no better off de no worse off nothing will change, what would you say to them to get them to change there vote? In certain areas like Blackpool south many jobs are taken up by polish ect. Who come to Blackpool for the season then go home in winter, why will voting remain benefit them?

Can you blame them? There's not much reason to go to Blackpool in summer! Do the Polish polish in summer there?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 17, 2018, 04:05:33 pm
You can't blame them no I would do the same in there circumstances
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 17, 2018, 04:07:12 pm
I'm going off what Justine greening said, have 3 options soft brexit hard brexit remain, I think that's what the idea was unless I'm mistaken

She said it would be a Preference vote as well.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 17, 2018, 04:17:48 pm
For me that would not be fair thou as the only 2 outcomes could be a remain or a
soft brexit and as no1 can agree on a soft brexit it would be better a straight in or out that way there can be none of this you don't no what you voted for
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Iberian Red on July 17, 2018, 04:28:56 pm
For me that would not be fair thou as the only 2 outcomes could be a remain or a
soft brexit and as no1 can agree on a soft brexit it would be better a straight in or out that way there can be none of this you don't no what you voted for

So it's huge feck up. From start to finish. Nobody is going to win. When you discover that your local NHS hospital doesn't have enough nurses,Drs,consultants to see a relative with an incurable disease,the fault will be that of those dirty European immigrants and remainers?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 17, 2018, 04:51:59 pm
why who has said stop everyone coming into the country?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 17, 2018, 05:50:24 pm
For me that would not be fair thou as the only 2 outcomes could be a remain or a
soft brexit and as no1 can agree on a soft brexit it would be better a straight in or out that way there can be none of this you don't no what you voted for

Do you understand that a Preference vote is?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 17, 2018, 05:56:17 pm
I think so but you can correct me, you would vote for what you want then make a second choice? So remainers would vote no leave and as a second choice vote soft brexit I could be wrong and am sure you will correct me
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 17, 2018, 05:58:16 pm
At the minute we're going for a soft brexit anyway so if that is a option just carry on as we are now
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 17, 2018, 06:13:50 pm
I think so but you can correct me, you would vote for what you want then make a second choice? So remainers would vote no leave and as a second choice vote soft brexit I could be wrong and am sure you will correct me

Yes, and the option that gets least votes is binned and the second preferences of those that voted for that option are split between the other two options. That way, one of the options gets more than 50% of the vote so there isn't a result with a minority winner.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on July 17, 2018, 06:23:33 pm
This makes interesting reading
 
https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/fintan-o-toole-brexit-white-paper-puts-uk-on-road-to-nowhere-1.3566782
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 17, 2018, 06:24:28 pm
The soft brexit is not going to work as no1 can agree on it so I don't see the need for it, remainers have long said that people didn't no what they were voting for, have a simple
Vote in or out, Surely you would be happy with that compared to where we are now?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 17, 2018, 06:28:40 pm
The soft brexit is not going to work as no1 can agree on it so I don't see the need for it, remainers have long said that people didn't no what they were voting for, have a simple
Vote in or out, Surely you would be happy with that compared to where we are now?

So people vote out, what if people want a soft Brexit? -And I don't give a feck whether you think no-one can agree on it or not. Or, as no-one can agree on a Hard Brexit either after two years, perhaps we should ditch that as an option too!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 17, 2018, 06:31:10 pm
Okay as it's already been voted on let's just leave as it is problem solved
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 17, 2018, 06:38:30 pm
Going by what you have said as we have already had the vote people either want a
Soft brexit or a no deal or does that not count because it does not suit you
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 17, 2018, 07:10:06 pm
Going by what you have said as we have already had the vote people either want a
Soft brexit or a no deal or does that not count because it does not suit you

I don't like the result but I accept it.

Now then,  as the people want either a soft brexit or a hard brexit, which one is it to be?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 17, 2018, 08:22:25 pm
I personally would go hard brexit simply for the fact that there not going to agree on anything, if could they did then I would be open to changing my mind
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 17, 2018, 08:23:39 pm
That's akin to setting fire to the house you want to buy because you're arguing over a few grand's difference.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 17, 2018, 08:35:21 pm
I personally would go hard brexit simply for the fact that there not going to agree on anything, if could they did then I would be open to changing my mind

But the referendum is proposed to be after the EU has agreed to whatever the Soft Brexit option is and everybody knows what that option entails.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 17, 2018, 08:39:42 pm
I was joking glyn If the vote was stay or no deal I would walk away, if the eu had accepted the little things Cameron asked for this could have been avoided
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 17, 2018, 08:58:33 pm
Anyway I will leave this debate until nearer the time as we will never agree mate
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 17, 2018, 09:32:03 pm
Bpool

So, you are saying that you would willingly and consciously vote for a situation where the country will lose 8% of GDP? That’s what the Govt’s own figures say the effect of a no deal Brexit will be.

Have you any comprehension what the effect of that will be? It means the country losing the equivalent of the entire NHS budget. Or the equivalent of the entire Defence, Education and Transport budgets.

It’s an amount of money that would pay for about 1 million houses. Or about 3 HS2s. Or about a thousand infirmaries. EVERY SINGLE YEAR!

You’d choose to make the country that much poorer? Do you really hate immigrants that much?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 17, 2018, 09:59:32 pm
Do I hate immigrants that much lol pretty pathetic bst really not once have I said I hate immigrants, just stick to living your life in your labour bubble bst, a pathetic comment, the answer to the rest of what you say is the minute we stand up and leave the talks are the time the eu will want to talk as a
No deal will cost them more than 500 billion
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 17, 2018, 10:01:12 pm
hahahahaha
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 17, 2018, 11:44:42 pm
Ok then BPool. That was a deliberately provocative comment from me. But it’s because I’m very frustrated by this discussion.

What, precisely DO you think justifies your support for a no deal Brexit?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 18, 2018, 12:20:47 am
That's akin to setting fire to the house you want to buy because you're arguing over a few grand's difference.

Persuing this analogy a tad further the EU/JAP deal swiftly to be followed by the EU/AUS + EU/NZ , EU/TUR, EU/UKR deals it's akin to setting fire to the house you already own too - basically we are as a nation Homeless .

A trade war between China and our " supposed " allies the USA has left us sleeping on someone's spare couch - pure madness !! Where is the insurance ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 18, 2018, 12:34:48 am
I was joking glyn If the vote was stay or no deal I would walk away, if the eu had accepted the little things Cameron asked for this could have been avoided

" if the eu had accepted the little things Cameron asked for this could have been avoided "


They really have lost out haven't they ?
-  See the post above 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 18, 2018, 12:44:16 am
Ok then BPool. That was a deliberately provocative comment from me. But it’s because I’m very frustrated by this discussion.

What, precisely DO you think justifies your support for a no deal Brexit?

Blackpool has never said what he wants nor has Wilts or any of the other Brexiters, not one of them has said what they want and why they want it.

They cant do it because their reasons when examined wouldnt stand up to scrutiny, wouldnt make sense, every time they are asked they either ignore the question or change the subject.

66 pages of Brexit debate and they have still not articulted a reason.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 18, 2018, 12:58:14 am
Ok then BPool. That was a deliberately provocative comment from me. But it’s because I’m very frustrated by this discussion.

What, precisely DO you think justifies your support for a no deal Brexit?

Blackpool has never said what he wants nor has Wilts or any of the other Brexiters, not one of them has said what they want and why they want it.

They cant do it because their reasons when examined wouldnt stand up to scrutiny, wouldnt make sense, every time they are asked they either ignore the question or change the subject.

66 pages of Brexit debate and they have still not articulted a reason.

Absolutely - I have yet to see a reasoned argument on Twitter or any other platform yet but here we go down the rabbit hole to the mad hatter's tea party - will there be any unicorns daddy ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on July 18, 2018, 04:41:48 pm
Also say there was 3 options and 29 percent voted for a hard brexit 31 for a soft brexit and 40 percent for no brexit who would win?

I presume if you used the model Justine Greening is proposing you would then count second preferences, suitably weighted. Although it might not produce anything more convincing than your scenario.

That is the difficulty with a second referendum. It may well produce a different result to the first one, but the numbers might not be all that different. Anyone for another 52/48 split?

TRB will you really need that when many of those that didn't vote , realise it now matters . It's time the electorate as a whole were encouraged to vote ; there are over 12,000,000 votes not being cast out there. It still has to be a crash out or remain vote - we all know Article 50 could be torn up .


I can see that, because no-one really knows what a Soft Brexit would look like (although I could hazard a guess). May's White Paper is a step towards it, although as it will be no more acceptable to the EU than it is to the ERG, it is dead in the water.

A No-Deal Brexit now seems the most likely outcome, not because there is a majority in Parliament for it (far from it), but because there is no consensus on an alternative. So in reality any referendum would probably have the same question as the 2016 one. The main difference, I suppose, is by then we might have more idea of the implications of a No-Deal Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 18, 2018, 05:23:52 pm
Ok then BPool. That was a deliberately provocative comment from me. But it’s because I’m very frustrated by this discussion.

What, precisely DO you think justifies your support for a no deal Brexit?

Blackpool has never said what he wants nor has Wilts or any of the other Brexiters, not one of them has said what they want and why they want it.

They cant do it because their reasons when examined wouldnt stand up to scrutiny, wouldnt make sense, every time they are asked they either ignore the question or change the subject.

66 pages of Brexit debate and they have still not articulted a reason.

Sydney - please show me any post or comment that I have made which says I am a Brexiteer.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 18, 2018, 11:41:56 pm
Ok then BPool. That was a deliberately provocative comment from me. But it’s because I’m very frustrated by this discussion.

What, precisely DO you think justifies your support for a no deal Brexit?

Blackpool has never said what he wants nor has Wilts or any of the other Brexiters, not one of them has said what they want and why they want it.

They cant do it because their reasons when examined wouldnt stand up to scrutiny, wouldnt make sense, every time they are asked they either ignore the question or change the subject.

66 pages of Brexit debate and they have still not articulted a reason.

Sydney - please show me any post or comment that I have made which says I am a Brexiteer.

I apologise if I am incorrect but, where do you stand, what do you want to happen, what is your preferred option?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 19, 2018, 12:03:23 am
Wilts I did warn Sydney further up the thread. Good question do you just play devil's advocate ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 19, 2018, 01:49:23 am
https://youtu.be/PPvRsLWlDXw
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 19, 2018, 09:46:25 am
https://youtu.be/PPvRsLWlDXw

Indeedy .......Farage, Johnson, Gove , Rees Mogg, IDS, Leadsom, the Russians, Gisela Stewart, Redwood, Bill Cash,
The Mail/ Express/ Sun/ Times , DUP,  both Leave campaigns - heavily fined and found to have broken rules, Cambridge Analytica, AIQ. Sky News , Question time , the BBC, Facebook, The European Reform Group

All the above and of course their owners/ campaign leaders roll off the tongue so EASILY  they have enjoyed so much Press and other Media coverage.

Small wonder that those that didn't vote Leave feel disenfranchised. Feel free to add more to the list .....
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 19, 2018, 09:48:12 am
Oh and Filo for starting this 66 page thread.......
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 19, 2018, 06:09:39 pm
Ok then BPool. That was a deliberately provocative comment from me. But it’s because I’m very frustrated by this discussion.

What, precisely DO you think justifies your support for a no deal Brexit?

Blackpool has never said what he wants nor has Wilts or any of the other Brexiters, not one of them has said what they want and why they want it.

They cant do it because their reasons when examined wouldnt stand up to scrutiny, wouldnt make sense, every time they are asked they either ignore the question or change the subject.

66 pages of Brexit debate and they have still not articulted a reason.

Sydney - please show me any post or comment that I have made which says I am a Brexiteer.

I apologise if I am incorrect but, where do you stand, what do you want to happen, what is your preferred option?

Wilts I did warn Sydney further up the thread. Good question do you just play devil's advocate ?

No not devil's advocate Hoola (I leave that to BB he's much better at that than I am!) but I try and comment factually rather than personally. Where I think Sydney has gone wrong is that he has seen me answering Padge's question and taken the question to be my point of view rather than my answer to it.

Where do I stand?
I have worked in Europe (as a bricklayer), been to university in Europe, travelled extensively in Europe, had friends from Europe come over to visit me (and taken them to watch Rovers) and spent a lot of time researching wars in Europe. Why anyone would think that they dont want these advantages for themselves is beyond me. It's madness the whole thing. The problem is you cant stop it and pretend the referendum didn't happen and there is very little evidence of people changing their minds.

What do I want to happen?
What is needed is a deal that most of the country can get behind but unfortunately the way May has gone about the negotiations so far has divided the country more and to date has come up with a deal that hardly anyone can get behind. There is no majority in Parliament for a hard Brexit or to crash out with No Deal but thats where the negotiations seem to be heading. My main concern is how Brexit is leading to the rise of the far-right in British politics and where that might lead.

What is my preferred option?
A General Election with each party stating directly and comprehensively what their position is. Then people know exactly what they are voting for. If one party gets a majority then they get to implement their plans. If they dont then a national government involving all the party's (who win seats) so they are all involved in it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 19, 2018, 06:56:52 pm
Ok then BPool. That was a deliberately provocative comment from me. But it’s because I’m very frustrated by this discussion.

What, precisely DO you think justifies your support for a no deal Brexit?
no deals better than a bad deal.
at least then we can forge alliances and partnerships with the commonwealth and rest of the world.
too insular and protectionist of the eu to deny us this.

remoaners care little about the economics, its purely down to their political beliefs.
it's like believing in Britain isn't allowed, and we need a big brother to help us.

f**k that, I'm excited of what the world has on offer.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 19, 2018, 06:58:01 pm
The lack of substance in that post is astounding.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 19, 2018, 11:46:05 pm
Ok then BPool. That was a deliberately provocative comment from me. But it’s because I’m very frustrated by this discussion.

What, precisely DO you think justifies your support for a no deal Brexit?

Blackpool has never said what he wants nor has Wilts or any of the other Brexiters, not one of them has said what they want and why they want it.

They cant do it because their reasons when examined wouldnt stand up to scrutiny, wouldnt make sense, every time they are asked they either ignore the question or change the subject.

66 pages of Brexit debate and they have still not articulted a reason.

Sydney - please show me any post or comment that I have made which says I am a Brexiteer.

I apologise if I am incorrect but, where do you stand, what do you want to happen, what is your preferred option?

Wilts I did warn Sydney further up the thread. Good question do you just play devil's advocate ?

No not devil's advocate Hoola (I leave that to BB he's much better at that than I am!) but I try and comment factually rather than personally. Where I think Sydney has gone wrong is that he has seen me answering Padge's question and taken the question to be my point of view rather than my answer to it.

Where do I stand?
I have worked in Europe (as a bricklayer), been to university in Europe, travelled extensively in Europe, had friends from Europe come over to visit me (and taken them to watch Rovers) and spent a lot of time researching wars in Europe. Why anyone would think that they dont want these advantages for themselves is beyond me. It's madness the whole thing. The problem is you cant stop it and pretend the referendum didn't happen and there is very little evidence of people changing their minds.

What do I want to happen?
What is needed is a deal that most of the country can get behind but unfortunately the way May has gone about the negotiations so far has divided the country more and to date has come up with a deal that hardly anyone can get behind. There is no majority in Parliament for a hard Brexit or to crash out with No Deal but thats where the negotiations seem to be heading. My main concern is how Brexit is leading to the rise of the far-right in British politics and where that might lead.

What is my preferred option?
A General Election with each party stating directly and comprehensively what their position is. Then people know exactly what they are voting for. If one party gets a majority then they get to implement their plans. If they dont then a national government involving all the party's (who win seats) so they are all involved in it.

Thank you Wilts: It's madness the whole thing! you hit the nail on the head, where we disagree however is your view that it cant be stopped, that all depends on how badly you and I and others want to stop it. If it was France and the people opposed the government they would be out on the streets. Think about the way England played Columbia thats what is required instead of the English way of just accepting it as a foregone conclusion, stand up and fight back.
Its a shame that those that believe that certain things, whatever they may be will improve will only find out they are wrong if and when Brexit happens. What could change so dramatically to improve the lot of people in this nation if we still have the same selfish politicians running the circus.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 20, 2018, 12:04:32 am
Ok then BPool. That was a deliberately provocative comment from me. But it’s because I’m very frustrated by this discussion.

What, precisely DO you think justifies your support for a no deal Brexit?
no deals better than a bad deal.
at least then we can forge alliances and partnerships with the commonwealth and rest of the world.
too insular and protectionist of the eu to deny us this.

remoaners care little about the economics, its purely down to their political beliefs.
it's like believing in Britain isn't allowed, and we need a big brother to help us.

f**k that, I'm excited of what the world has on offer.

I get the impression that German car exporters are also quite chuffed at the opportunities the world has to offer.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 20, 2018, 01:02:56 am
Ok then BPool. That was a deliberately provocative comment from me. But it’s because I’m very frustrated by this discussion.

What, precisely DO you think justifies your support for a no deal Brexit?
no deals better than a bad deal.
at least then we can forge alliances and partnerships with the commonwealth and rest of the world.
too insular and protectionist of the eu to deny us this.

remoaners care little about the economics, its purely down to their political beliefs.
it's like believing in Britain isn't allowed, and we need a big brother to help us.

f**k that, I'm excited of what the world has on offer.

I get the impression that German car exporters are also quite chuffed at the opportunities the world has to offer.

Unfortunately BST most of the manufacturers and bankers etc in Europe will be rubbing their hands together at the thought that Britain is jumping overboard with an old stove tied around the neck.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 20, 2018, 08:50:01 am
Ok then BPool. That was a deliberately provocative comment from me. But it’s because I’m very frustrated by this discussion.

What, precisely DO you think justifies your support for a no deal Brexit?
no deals better than a bad deal.
at least then we can forge alliances and partnerships with the commonwealth and rest of the world.
too insular and protectionist of the eu to deny us this.

remoaners care little about the economics, its purely down to their political beliefs.
it's like believing in Britain isn't allowed, and we need a big brother to help us.

f**k that, I'm excited of what the world has on offer.
We already HAVE those alliances as part of the EU! How are we going to get any better deals than a bloc of 27 other countries with half a billion people in it? Just by crossing our fingers and believing in Britain? Bolded part did make me chuckle though. Have you even made a single economic argument in this thread that wasn't either provably complete b*llocks or just "it'll be alright"?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 20, 2018, 09:07:16 am
I like how he's ignoring the fact that Leave is the one with no economic literate plans and is doing this virtually entirely for ideological reasons and then says that without a hint of irony.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 20, 2018, 09:46:45 am
Yeah.

66 pages of folk pointing out the economic consequences of Brexit and our expert concludes that those who disagree with him aren’t interested in the economics.

What’s that saying? There’s nothing harder than getting someone to engage with facts when those facts will challenge their outlook? f**k me, are we seeing that in spades these days.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 20, 2018, 10:43:36 am
but it's all ifs and buts with you remoaners.
there are no solid facts of what may or may not happen.

It's automatically the worse case economic scenario, to argue your ideology.

I prefer to embrace it, ITS HAPPENING.
the sooner remoaners realise this and come on board, we will all benefit

moaning and throwing your toys out of the pram achieves nothing, and helps no one, it just makes it harder than it should be.

let's look forward and forge a new pathway without the ball and chain of the eu around out necks.

onwards and upwards, rule Britannia.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 20, 2018, 10:45:06 am
but it's all ifs and buts with you remoaners.
there are no solid facts of what may or may not happen.

It's automatically the worse case economic scenario, to argue your ideology.

I prefer to embrace it, ITS HAPPENING.
the sooner remoaners realise this and come on board, we will all benefit

moaning and throwing your toys out of the pram achieves nothing, and helps no one, it just makes it harder than it should be.

let's look forward and forge a new pathway without the ball and chain of the eu around out necks.

onwards and upwards, rule Britannia.



Well then, let's hear all of your solid facts about how much better off we're going to be. Economically.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on July 20, 2018, 10:47:41 am
Do I hate immigrants that much lol pretty pathetic bst really not once have I said I hate immigrants, just stick to living your life in your labour bubble bst, a pathetic comment, the answer to the rest of what you say is the minute we stand up and leave the talks are the time the eu will want to talk as a
No deal will cost them more than 500 billion

Just wondering, why did you vote for Brexit? Was it so the British government had more say on what goes on here? The British government that currently can't organise a piss up in a brewery and is too busy with all the in-fighting.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on July 20, 2018, 10:50:27 am
Ok then BPool. That was a deliberately provocative comment from me. But it’s because I’m very frustrated by this discussion.

What, precisely DO you think justifies your support for a no deal Brexit?
no deals better than a bad deal.
at least then we can forge alliances and partnerships with the commonwealth and rest of the world.
too insular and protectionist of the eu to deny us this.

remoaners care little about the economics, its purely down to their political beliefs.
it's like believing in Britain isn't allowed, and we need a big brother to help us.

f**k that, I'm excited of what the world has on offer.

Any deal is better than no deal.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 20, 2018, 11:02:23 am
but it's all ifs and buts with you remoaners.
there are no solid facts of what may or may not happen.

It's automatically the worse case economic scenario, to argue your ideology.

I prefer to embrace it, ITS HAPPENING.
the sooner remoaners realise this and come on board, we will all benefit

moaning and throwing your toys out of the pram achieves nothing, and helps no one, it just makes it harder than it should be.

let's look forward and forge a new pathway without the ball and chain of the eu around out necks.

onwards and upwards, rule Britannia.



Well then, let's hear all of your solid facts about how much better off we're going to be. Economically.

I have none, just like you have no facts about us being worse.
this whole thread is just remoaners whinging.

all im saying is that it's happening, and the sooner everyone in on board, the sooner we all benefit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 20, 2018, 11:12:30 am
Again, an astounding lack of substance.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 20, 2018, 11:14:30 am
Again, an astounding lack of substance.
agreed, this whole thread is purely moaning and opinions
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 20, 2018, 11:25:33 am
Boomstick

Pointless, I know, since you don’t engage with facts, but there are three really big established facts that HAVE happened as predicted after the vote.

1) The Pound dropped dramatically in value.
2) Inflation went up as a result.
3) GDP growth shrank, while the rest of the world was enjoying a boom.

2) means that we’ve all got poorer because prices have been rising faster than wages.

3) Means that we’ve missed out on a surge of wealth creation. As a result, we’re about £1000 per person poorer than we would have been if we’d seen the economic performance that France, Germany, USA, Holland, Australia etc have done since 2016.   


This aren’t opinions. Dipshit. They are established facts.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 20, 2018, 11:50:25 am
Boomstick

Pointless, I know, since you don’t engage with facts, but there are three really big established facts that HAVE happened as predicted after the vote.

1) The Pound dropped dramatically in value.
2) Inflation went up as a result.
3) GDP growth shrank, while the rest of the world was enjoying a boom.

2) means that we’ve all got poorer because prices have been rising faster than wages.

3) Means that we’ve missed out on a surge of wealth creation. As a result, we’re about £1000 per person poorer than we would have been if we’d seen the economic performance that France, Germany, USA, Holland, Australia etc have done since 2016.   


This aren’t opinions. Dipshit. They are established facts.

id prefer if we continued this in person, and see if you call me dipshit to my face.
I stated my opinion, I'm allowed it.

I wasn't referring to what's gone on before, only what the future holds.

I suggest you calm down and wind your neck in.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 20, 2018, 11:53:45 am
but it's all ifs and buts with you remoaners.
there are no solid facts of what may or may not happen.

It's automatically the worse case economic scenario, to argue your ideology.

I prefer to embrace it, ITS HAPPENING.
the sooner remoaners realise this and come on board, we will all benefit

moaning and throwing your toys out of the pram achieves nothing, and helps no one, it just makes it harder than it should be.

let's look forward and forge a new pathway without the ball and chain of the eu around out necks.

onwards and upwards, rule Britannia.



Well then, let's hear all of your solid facts about how much better off we're going to be. Economically.

I have none, just like you have no facts about us being worse.
this whole thread is just remoaners whinging.

all im saying is that it's happening, and the sooner everyone in on board, the sooner we all benefit.

Wrong. I do have facts about how importers and exporters are going to be worse off. I've already given them plenty of times and I'm not going to go through them yet again just to spoonfeed yet another disbeliever so you'll just have to find them for yourself.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 20, 2018, 11:56:11 am
Boomstick

Pointless, I know, since you don’t engage with facts, but there are three really big established facts that HAVE happened as predicted after the vote.

1) The Pound dropped dramatically in value.
2) Inflation went up as a result.
3) GDP growth shrank, while the rest of the world was enjoying a boom.

2) means that we’ve all got poorer because prices have been rising faster than wages.

3) Means that we’ve missed out on a surge of wealth creation. As a result, we’re about £1000 per person poorer than we would have been if we’d seen the economic performance that France, Germany, USA, Holland, Australia etc have done since 2016.   


This aren’t opinions. Dipshit. They are established facts.

id prefer if we continued this in person, and see if you call me dipshit to my face.
I stated my opinion, I'm allowed it.

I wasn't referring to what's gone on before, only what the future holds.

I suggest you calm down and wind your neck in.

It's the same future as from the second the referendum result was known isn't it? Or are the bad things that have already happened because of the result just to be swept under the carpet as inconvenient facts?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 20, 2018, 12:13:24 pm
Boomstick

Pointless, I know, since you don’t engage with facts, but there are three really big established facts that HAVE happened as predicted after the vote.

1) The Pound dropped dramatically in value.
2) Inflation went up as a result.
3) GDP growth shrank, while the rest of the world was enjoying a boom.

2) means that we’ve all got poorer because prices have been rising faster than wages.

3) Means that we’ve missed out on a surge of wealth creation. As a result, we’re about £1000 per person poorer than we would have been if we’d seen the economic performance that France, Germany, USA, Holland, Australia etc have done since 2016.   


This aren’t opinions. Dipshit. They are established facts.

id prefer if we continued this in person, and see if you call me dipshit to my face.
I stated my opinion, I'm allowed it.

I wasn't referring to what's gone on before, only what the future holds.

I suggest you calm down and wind your neck in.
Tell you what Boomstick. I've got a petrol car. On my way home today, I might stop off and put diesel in it. I know you're not supposed to according to these so-called experts, and all the facts I've learned up until now tell me it'll knacker my car, and most of the risks are obvious. But I'll do it anyway, because despite what's gone on before, you never know what the future holds. Maybe diesel will help my car run better.

This is your argument. "f**k the facts, I know better." And then you wonder why people end up condescending to you.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on July 20, 2018, 12:19:14 pm
Oh and Filo for starting this 66 page thread.......

Not dure I've enjoyed much press and media coverage 😂😂😂😂
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 20, 2018, 12:20:30 pm
Boomstick

A couple of weeks ago, I suggested that you stop using stupid insults in this discussion. You ignored that suggestion and carried on. You started the insults and carried on using them.

Calling you “Dipshit” was very deliberately making a point. It’s frustrating isn’t it? Its insulting and it doesn’t help the discussion. You see?

Right. Shall we agree to discuss this civilly, cut out the stupid infantile insults and engage with facts instead?

It seems your take now is “Doesn’t matter if people made predictions and those predictions came true. I still don’t believe that their analysis is correct.” Great. So give us an argument beyond your belief as to why they are wrong and you are right.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 20, 2018, 12:29:58 pm
Ah, but Billy, you should forget about all of his previous insults as they are in the past, even though he used them after the thread started. And you're no expert so you have no idea about whether he's going to insult you again in the future! :silly:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 20, 2018, 01:01:37 pm
Boomstick

A couple of weeks ago, I suggested that you stop using stupid insults in this discussion. You ignored that suggestion and carried on. You started the insults and carried on using them.

Calling you “Dipshit” was very deliberately making a point. It’s frustrating isn’t it? Its insulting and it doesn’t help the discussion. You see?

Right. Shall we agree to discuss this civilly, cut out the stupid infantile insults and engage with facts instead?

It seems your take now is “Doesn’t matter if people made predictions and those predictions came true. I still don’t believe that their analysis is correct.” Great. So give us an argument beyond your belief as to why they are wrong and you are right.
your nothing but a BULLY that refuses to accept someone else has an opinion.

I'm refusing to stoop to your level, your a non - entity.
you may have a small following on this poxy off topic Donny rovers  forum, but that's it.

I'm off to engage with the real world, and not going to waste a second more of my time on you.

enjoy peddling your tripe to a handful of people on here, I'm off to fry bigger fish.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on July 20, 2018, 01:21:23 pm
 :laugh: :laugh: :laugh:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 20, 2018, 01:36:01 pm
 :crying:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 20, 2018, 01:43:41 pm
Boomstick

A couple of weeks ago, I suggested that you stop using stupid insults in this discussion. You ignored that suggestion and carried on. You started the insults and carried on using them.

Calling you “Dipshit” was very deliberately making a point. It’s frustrating isn’t it? Its insulting and it doesn’t help the discussion. You see?

Right. Shall we agree to discuss this civilly, cut out the stupid infantile insults and engage with facts instead?

It seems your take now is “Doesn’t matter if people made predictions and those predictions came true. I still don’t believe that their analysis is correct.” Great. So give us an argument beyond your belief as to why they are wrong and you are right.
your nothing but a BULLY that refuses to accept someone else has an opinion.

I'm refusing to stoop to your level, your a non - entity.
you may have a small following on this poxy off topic Donny rovers  forum, but that's it.

I'm off to engage with the real world, and not going to waste a second more of my time on you.

enjoy peddling your tripe to a handful of people on here, I'm off to fry bigger fish.


It's not about having an opinion. It's about ignoring everything that is contrary to your opinion - and in your case, nigh on everything IS contrary to your opinion, yet you just close your eyes, stick your fingers in your ears and go lalalalalalalalala I am not listening to you.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 20, 2018, 01:52:51 pm
I see the Hyenas have been out in force again! Well done lads, that's another one gone leaving you all to wallow in the luxury of unopposed opinion.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 20, 2018, 02:11:53 pm
I see the Hyenas have been out in force again! Well done lads, that's another one gone leaving you all to wallow in the luxury of unopposed opinion.
Yep, it's definitely us bloody remoaners that want an unopposed opinion when someone else runs off crying because people disagree with him.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 20, 2018, 02:32:49 pm
It must give a real confidence boost for remoaners to be in the majority on this epic thread. Where else could a handful of people claim such a majority? Maybe the answer is their adversaries can't be arsed, apart from a few who butt in on the love-in every now and again.

Well, either that or they prefer a more even contest in the real world.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 20, 2018, 02:34:15 pm
Right.

Apologies from me about descending to insults. That’s stupid and childish and I shouldn’t have done it.

Regarding opinions, it’s true that I don’t give value to many lay people’s opinions on this. Including my own, because it’s worthless. It’s too complex an issue to rely on opinions. Which is why I look at the worked out predictions of people whose job it is to look at these things. That’s different from an opinion.

If I’ve come across as a bully then I apologise for that too. That’s not the intention. I do get passionate on this because it’s the most important decision we’ll take in my lifetime. And as such, EVERYONE should be arguing and discussing this to make sure we get it right.

 I want this country to be a success and all the indications are that we’re staring down the barrel of a disaster. No-one who studies Brexit seriously disputes that. So yeah, I argue hard. That’s what we should do. If there are strong arguments on the other side, I’ll listen to them. But I haven’t heard any in 2 years. Just vague assurances that it’ll be alright, compared to sober and detailed predictions of why it will not be alright. 

But none of that justifies bullying. We need to be grown up enough to discuss this civilly and if I haven’t done, that’s a mistake.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 20, 2018, 03:58:05 pm
Right.

Apologies from me about descending to insults. That’s stupid and childish and I shouldn’t have done it.

Regarding opinions, it’s true that I don’t give value to many lay people’s opinions on this. Including my own, because it’s worthless. It’s too complex an issue to rely on opinions. Which is why I look at the worked out predictions of people whose job it is to look at these things. That’s different from an opinion.

If I’ve come across as a bully then I apologise for that too. That’s not the intention. I do get passionate on this because it’s the most important decision we’ll take in my lifetime. And as such, EVERYONE should be arguing and discussing this to make sure we get it right.

 I want this country to be a success and all the indications are that we’re staring down the barrel of a disaster. No-one who studies Brexit seriously disputes that. So yeah, I argue hard. That’s what we should do. If there are strong arguments on the other side, I’ll listen to them. But I haven’t heard any in 2 years. Just vague assurances that it’ll be alright, compared to sober and detailed predictions of why it will not be alright. 

But none of that justifies bullying. We need to be grown up enough to discuss this civilly and if I haven’t done, that’s a mistake.
fair enough bst.
appreciate that, and admire your integrity for it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on July 20, 2018, 06:39:56 pm
Monsieur Non, the no-deal Brexiteers' greatest ally.

https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2018/07/michel-barniers-pointed-questions-point-to-no-deal/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 20, 2018, 06:52:03 pm
TRB

John Pienaar hit the nail on the head on R4 this afternoon.

He said it’s becoming clearer that the U.K. doesn’t seem to understand the underlying EU position. It’s that the EU is an organisation. With rules. What the U.K. is assuming is that the rules can and will be bent to accommodate our requirements. But doing that would undermine the purpose of the rules for everyone else.

What we’re doing is similar to someone leaving a golf club, but wanting to still have the right to play, and to use the club house without adhering to the dress code.

Why should that be accommodated? What does the EU gain from that?

PS. I still think the best analogy was the French diplomat who said that Britain’s approach to the Brexit negotiations was like a man who wanted to attend a wife-swapping party but not bring his wife along.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 20, 2018, 08:13:30 pm
Monsieur Non, the no-deal Brexiteers' greatest ally.

https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2018/07/michel-barniers-pointed-questions-point-to-no-deal/

PPS. There won’t be a no-deal Brexit. There is zero chance of that getting through Parliament. Which makes May’s negotiating position impossible.

She’s only just got Parliamentary support for the Chequers proposal.

But the EU won’t accept that, and not should they. They want more movement from us.

But if she moves towards the EU position, she’ll lose the support of the Brexit wing of the Tory party.

So the logical approach to negotiating would be to face the EU down by threatening a no deal scenario which would effectively mean us jumping off a cliff and taking the EU with us.

That should get the EU to go easier on us.

Except Parliament would never support a no deal scenario. And of course they shouldn’t. Because it would be an unmitigated f**king catastrophe.

So. In a nutshell, May is f**ked.

A statesman, in this position, would do what is best for the country. Face up to the fact that we are in a horrendously dangerous position. Admit that you have utterly f**ked things up. Call a second referendum. A binding one. With two possibilities. No deal Brexit or call the whole thing off and remain. And promise to resign before the referendum. And have a General Election in the same day.

Get some f**king clarity about how we get out of this impending disaster.

But May’s not a historic statesman. She’s a county councillor who Rose way beyond her level of competence. And she might yet bring us all down in her insistence of clinging onto power.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on July 20, 2018, 08:26:49 pm
May will call a second referendum...but not just yet.

A second vote gives her a get out of jail card when the negotiations do not offer a hard brexit.

The Rees Smuggers will have the whip hand unless May looks for wider endorsement for the outcome. If a second ref gives a no vote the carpet is pulled out from under the Rees Smuggers. If it shows another yes then its not her fault for what happens next.

The Tories could give her the bums rush.... but risk a general election from a very weak position.

All down to tactics in this poker game.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 20, 2018, 09:33:42 pm
There'll never be a Referendum and a General Election on the same day, because you'd have people campaigning against their party line on the Referendum but campaigning for their party for the General Election at the same, it'd be a complete mess.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 20, 2018, 10:48:21 pm
There’s the question that’s coming over the hill very quickly Glyn. Is Party affiliation more important than Brexit?

If you’re a Europhile Labour supporter, it’s a particularly hard question. Corbyn’s EU policy is a shambles that would collapse at the first step. He says he wants a deal that gets us out of the SM, out of THE CU but part of A CU. And he wants the outcome to be no worse than the current deal.

Baloney. That’s more wishful thinking than May.

So that approach simply doesn’t stand up to scrutiny. Which means that a Labour Govt would be no better able to cut a sensible deal with the EU than a Tory Govt.

So what do you do as a Labour supporting Europhile? Do you support the party or the principle?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on July 20, 2018, 11:22:16 pm
May will call a second referendum...but not just yet.

A second vote gives her a get out of jail card when the negotiations do not offer a hard brexit.

The Rees Smuggers will have the whip hand unless May looks for wider endorsement for the outcome. If a second ref gives a no vote the carpet is pulled out from under the Rees Smuggers. If it shows another yes then its not her fault for what happens next.

The Tories could give her the bums rush.... but risk a general election from a very weak position.

All down to tactics in this poker game.


I agree with you that the second referendum is the trump card, but I doubt May will be the one to play it. Once Barnier has shredded the Chequers Plan she'll be a busted flush and neither wing of the Tory party will be willing to get behind her any more.

Both the EU and the UK Government will play up the possibility / likelihood of No Deal over the coming months. This will make people and businesses on both sides of the Channel very nervous and calls for the second referendum will grow. One area where the EU appears willing to accommodate the UK is over a stay in Article 50, which would be needed now for a second referendum to be held. But it's pretty clear if there is a second referendum then there is no need for more than two options on the ballot paper. It's No Deal or Remain.

RIP Soft Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 20, 2018, 11:53:17 pm
There’s the question that’s coming over the hill very quickly Glyn. Is Party affiliation more important than Brexit?

If you’re a Europhile Labour supporter, it’s a particularly hard question. Corbyn’s EU policy is a shambles that would collapse at the first step. He says he wants a deal that gets us out of the SM, out of THE CU but part of A CU. And he wants the outcome to be no worse than the current deal.

Baloney. That’s more wishful thinking than May.

So that approach simply doesn’t stand up to scrutiny. Which means that a Labour Govt would be no better able to cut a sensible deal with the EU than a Tory Govt.

So what do you do as a Labour supporting Europhile? Do you support the party or the principle?

Its a very important point thats been made here and could possibly be resolved if labour EU supporters have a white knight lurking to challenge Corbyn, because if they do the stay/leave question could all be resolved in a flash. Scenario: Corbyn pretender resolves to stay in EU gets huge support across labour and big parts of non-labour, challenges Corbyn and wins leadership, support for any sort of Brexit collapses, May resigns from parliament a general election is called and won by Labour on back of stay campaign, Britain remains in EU, Ireland is reunited and Doncaster promoted to the Premier League.

Maybe not quite as simple as that but I think a change of leadership in the labour camp would be more sustainable than a change in the conservative camp, as what could a May successor offer an even bigger Brexit?, a new improved Brexit, Brexit with 25% free?.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 21, 2018, 12:05:35 am
Hahahahahahahahahaha!

"Doncaster promoted to the Premier League"!


 :laugh:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 21, 2018, 12:18:38 am
Hahahahahahahahahaha!

"Doncaster promoted to the Premier League"!


 :laugh:

Nervous laugh?.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 21, 2018, 12:34:14 am
Hahahahahahahahahaha!

"Doncaster promoted to the Premier League"!


 :laugh:

Nervous laugh?.

Well, yes. Nervous in the sense that I nearly shat me'sen laughing. How can Doncaster get promoted to the Premier League with such a policy of austerity?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 21, 2018, 10:59:35 am
Brexit: EU chief negotiator Michel Barnier takes apart Theresa May’s Chequers white paper plan.

Well what a surprise, noone saw that coming! well noone in this government.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-latest-eu-uk-chequers-white-paper-michel-barnier-theresa-may-a8456416.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on July 21, 2018, 11:08:50 am
  Resentment will build against such as Barnier and the EU, who will be portrayed in the media as wanting to punish the British People for voting out in the first place, and that if we stay in we  will just be a side show from now on, with France and Germany calling the shots.
 People will become more entrenched, and I do not think the remainers hope of another vote ( which I think we will not have ) will not be the open and shut case the remainers think it will be.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 21, 2018, 12:47:07 pm
Selby

You’re right about the press. The Express was at it again yesterday with an appalling front page.

Which is why there should be a million discussions like this all over the country. You can not rely on Murdoch, Dacre and Desmond to inform you honestly. They are the most devious, deceitful bas**rds in the country. So, if you truly care about where the UK is going, you need to have these vigorous debates and let the truth emerge from there.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 21, 2018, 01:51:31 pm
  Resentment will build against such as Barnier and the EU, who will be portrayed in the media as wanting to punish the British People for voting out in the first place, and that if we stay in we  will just be a side show from now on, with France and Germany calling the shots.
 People will become more entrenched, and I do not think the remainers hope of another vote ( which I think we will not have ) will not be the open and shut case the remainers think it will be.

Why would Britain be just a side show if we stay in Selby? its more likely Britain would be a side show if we leave as we are heading that way now. Your view about another vote is just a guess, and anyone saying the opposite has just as much creedence.

You sound like someone that would like people to believe you and just give in, and who said another vote would be an open and shut case in the first place, where do you get all this from?. Sowing seeds of doubt to support your ever fragile position? The facts are coming thick and fast from the remain group whereas the leave group are a fact free zone and always have been.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 21, 2018, 01:54:58 pm
Yes I think you are right Selby. The Brexiteers will continue to refuse to take the blame for the consequences of their actions and continue to try and blame anyone else but themselves.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/jul/20/brexiteers-betrayal-britain-america
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on July 21, 2018, 04:45:11 pm
I lost interest when he got to quoting the size of speed bumps in Burnley🤔
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 21, 2018, 04:56:50 pm
Yes I think you are right Selby. The Brexiteers will continue to refuse to take the blame for the consequences of their actions and continue to try and blame anyone else but themselves.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/jul/20/brexiteers-betrayal-britain-america

The Guardian!  :laugh:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Cantley Rover on July 21, 2018, 05:43:40 pm
Lets face it a very high proportion of those who voted leave did so purely based on immigration and half of those thick buggers dont know who the EU members are.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 21, 2018, 07:22:08 pm
I don’t follow your logic B.B.  what’s the issue with The Guardian?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 21, 2018, 07:30:59 pm
There will be no issues with it in your eyes, BST. Just like there will be no issues with the Express and the Mail in right-wingers eyes.

I'm simply applying the same tactic of writing off an article because of its source that has been used on this forum previously.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on July 21, 2018, 07:49:51 pm
  What you people do is alienate people, statements like thick buggers and all that.
  As for my fragile position Sydney, I voted to stay in along with the other sides silly buggers and mongs, there again I could always move to my place in Turkey and leave the squabble to sort it out.
  I like to view it as an investment opportunity thick bugger and fragile as I am.
  The day of the Brexit vote I lost probably two years of your income, it has been easy to get that, and more back since. some money people would like this to carry on for ever, they have made millions the thick buggers.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 21, 2018, 08:28:18 pm
Hahahahahahahahahaha!

"Doncaster promoted to the Premier League"!


 :laugh:

There was a time when we were in the Championship when I dreamt that our multi- millionaire directors would just put their hands a little deeper in their pockets and go for the Premiership dividend . Sadly like the Brexit dividend - it never existed ! :(
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 21, 2018, 08:37:59 pm
Yes I think you are right Selby. The Brexiteers will continue to refuse to take the blame for the consequences of their actions and continue to try and blame anyone else but themselves.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/jul/20/brexiteers-betrayal-britain-america

The Guardian!  :laugh:

Thanks BB, I knew someone would criticise the source of the article rather than anything in it, thus giving me the ideal excuse to post this:

This is the stage we have now reached with Brexit. Rhetoric has come toe-to-toe with reality. Those who imagined that Britain is stronger than it is – that the European Union is weaker than it is, the Irish border would matter less than it does, and time would stand still while we worked ourselves out – find their imperial imaginations imploding under the weight of their own hubris. And so they plan to get their accusations of treachery, disappointment and disavowal in early, to avoid the rush.

At this stage it is the government that they claim is failing to deliver the type of Brexit that voters wanted. It’s impossible to tell how they’d know, since the referendum only asked “remain or leave?”, giving no way of knowing precisely what people wanted beyond that. The accusation is also undermined by the fact that for the most part it is Tories accusing other Tories of betrayal. The former could get rid of the prime minister – either by challenging Theresa May internally or backing a vote of no confidence. But they have done neither, making them complicit in whatever “betrayal” now emerges.

Nonetheless, the narrative of betrayal has clear appeal on two fronts. First, it anticipates a life for the Brexit project beyond whatever unsatisfactory outcome is bound to emerge. Betrayal provides a permanent enemy and solid foundations for a longstanding grudge. Just as some white southerners in the US rally around the Confederate “lost cause” more than 150 years after defeat, so some Brexiteers can be galvanised around the noble, and traduced, desire for a monocultural sovereignty for years to come.

Second, it aspires to relieve the instigators of any or all responsibility. The focus of their ire may yet shift to parliament, the media or Whitehall (and nobody ever went broke blaming Jeremy Corbyn for anything), but the logic will remain the same: “Were it not for them [whoever “they” are], this would have been a success.”
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 21, 2018, 09:14:44 pm
 BB

This isn’t about Left vs right. It’s about honesty vs misinformation. The Times and Telegraph are on the Right but I don’t treat them with the contempt I have for the Mail. Because their journalism is honest, even if I don’t agree with their conclusions.

You know why I despise the Mail. I sent you a PM about it a few months ago. I’ll repeat it here for anyone who is interested. When you’ve seen their mendacity close up, it’s truly breathtaking.

3-4 years ago, the company that I run was involved in a major R&D project. The project involved 11 companies, universities and research institutes from across Europe: Italy, Germany, UK, Spain, Netherlands, UK, Greece, Sweden.

The project was part-funded by the EU and was to do with improving aviation security. Basically, we were designing a liner to fit inside the hold of an aircraft so that if a bomb got through security, we could contain the effect of it and give the plane a better chance of surviving.

The project was a great success. We designed a product that was lightweight, cost-effective, and worked. We got a lot of media attention. I was on TV explaining how it worked and showing some of the trials. We put out a press release which was faithfully reported by papers from (literally) Tokyo to Tehran to Tijuana.

And then there was the Mail.

They, alone of all the papers who reported the info in our press release, edited the information.

What did they edit? They removed every mention of the work being a trans-Europe collaboration. They removed every mention of the work being part-funded by the EU. Their edit gave the impression that this was a UK-run and UK-funded project.

That was disgusting. It was deliberately, wilfully and cynically misinforming and misleading their readers. I wrote a letter of complaint. They never answered it.

THAT is why I hate that f**king rag. Because they have manipulated news like that for generations. I’ve seen it close up and it stinks. They are not an honest newspaper. They are a propaganda machine.

The Guardian doesn’t do that. They make mistakes and they correct them. They have a political angle but they don’t deliberately misinform.

You equating the two shows how far down the f**king rabbit hole we are.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 21, 2018, 09:23:02 pm
I lost interest when he got to quoting the size of speed bumps in Burnley🤔

Are you a changed man Sproty , time was when you would have dissected this piece of well written journalism like a silkworm presented with a pile of mulberry leaves ?  Oh what a yarn you might once have spun from it. ( sorry about that 🤗)

I guess " speed bumps in Burnley " is stretching even your incredulity as much as it did mine. However I am reliably informed there is factual evidence to support what would normally be considered absolute nonsense. No doubt as this mess draws to some kind of f**ked up conclusion we will hear more of this stuff .

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 21, 2018, 09:24:35 pm
Lets face it a very high proportion of those who voted leave did so purely based on immigration and half of those thick buggers dont know who the EU members are.

Perhaps the other half have never met an immigrant either . ;)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 21, 2018, 09:30:39 pm
  What you people do is alienate people, statements like thick buggers and all that.
  As for my fragile position Sydney, I voted to stay in along with the other sides silly buggers and mongs, there again I could always move to my place in Turkey and leave the squabble to sort it out.
  I like to view it as an investment opportunity thick bugger and fragile as I am.
  The day of the Brexit vote I lost probably two years of your income, it has been easy to get that, and more back since. some money people would like this to carry on for ever, they have made millions the thick buggers.

Plenty of room there now those 7,000,000 + Turks have moved out I bet as well selby.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 21, 2018, 11:50:53 pm
''The accusers’ inability to rally significant numbers to their cause in parliament is due to the fact that the few proposals they have are even less plausible or popular than May’s. For example, neither David Davis, the former Brexit secretary, nor Boris Johnson, the former foreign secretary, produced a workable alternative in their resignation speeches and letters. “The problem is not that we failed to make the case for a free trade agreement of the kind spelt out at Lancaster House,” Johnson said in the Commons this week. “We haven’t even tried.” Quite what stopped him, as a leave campaigner, prime ministerial contender, or foreign secretary, from spelling out precisely what that case was is not clear''

This para could be applied to any or most brexiteers' positions which is why I keep asking because I'm genuinely interested to hear what drives people to support the leave position.

Unless one adopts the Trump position of not having a fixed position that can change depending what day it is then after all these years those that want Britain to pull the plug should have their facts together right? they have had plenty of time to work it out right? they should, especially those in power have it down on paper what they want and the modeling to show them and more importantly show us what the consequenses will be, right? but do they? and to anyone reading this do you and can you articulate it? The more people that express to others what they want and explain why will be the start of a valid conversation but as in most cases they don't and I'm guessing most of them can't. As in the para above those in power don't have a clue and they have at their disposal the means to be have experts give them a few. Maybe it's frustration that people are reduced to name calling Selby and if I have lowered myself to that position it's probably due to frustration, because brixiters will read this and other's comments asking why and how, genuinely wanting to hear the monumental arguments and reasons that will change Brition forever and what will be the reply? some non-sequitur nonsense extending the conversation further but not answering the bloody question.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on July 22, 2018, 12:32:01 am
Hoola, I don't really know as the property has been rented to a German motor company for the last couple of years for some of their employees.
   Believe it or not I have holidayed in Wales, and it has been great.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 22, 2018, 12:48:43 am
BST, where did I go wrong in accepting that the vote went against my decision and as a result, went in full support of the majority decision? Should I have said f**k democracy and demanded another vote? Should only Guardian readers have been allowed to vote?

What is your view on democracy?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 22, 2018, 01:03:12 am
Go to bed BB
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 22, 2018, 01:04:08 am
No BST, why don't you wake up instead?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 22, 2018, 01:10:58 am
BST, where did I go wrong in accepting that the vote went against my decision and as a result, went in full support of the majority decision? Should I have said f**k democracy and demanded another vote? Should only Guardian readers have been allowed to vote?

What is your view on democracy?
I dont speak for BST but if you did go wrong its not surprising with all the false claims and misinformation that has been peddalled around, and if your favourite media outlet/s the ones you get your information from has let you down by feeding you lies and rubbish it would be foolish to keep supporting them wouldnt you think? especially if they are deliberately attempting to deceive you. As for only The Guardian readers being allowed to vote, thats just another red herring and if by now you dont understand its editorial policy (its been around for 111 years) or dont want to then that is up to you, as many have said in the past, you cant argue with personal preference, but if it is pesonal preference you are claiming then you shouldnt expect others to either understand or agree with with your position.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 22, 2018, 01:13:02 am
What the f**k are you on about?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 22, 2018, 02:13:04 am
What the f**k are you on about?

This is the big question that those wanting to stay in the EU have been asking since the vote, and not a single Brexiteer has made any sense in trying to answer it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 22, 2018, 06:25:51 am
BB

This isn’t about Left vs right. It’s about honesty vs misinformation. The Times and Telegraph are on the Right but I don’t treat them with the contempt I have for the Mail. Because their journalism is honest, even if I don’t agree with their conclusions.

You know why I despise the Mail. I sent you a PM about it a few months ago. I’ll repeat it here for anyone who is interested. When you’ve seen their mendacity close up, it’s truly breathtaking.

3-4 years ago, the company that I run was involved in a major R&D project. The project involved 11 companies, universities and research institutes from across Europe: Italy, Germany, UK, Spain, Netherlands, UK, Greece, Sweden.

The project was part-funded by the EU and was to do with improving aviation security. Basically, we were designing a liner to fit inside the hold of an aircraft so that if a bomb got through security, we could contain the effect of it and give the plane a better chance of surviving.

The project was a great success. We designed a product that was lightweight, cost-effective, and worked. We got a lot of media attention. I was on TV explaining how it worked and showing some of the trials. We put out a press release which was faithfully reported by papers from (literally) Tokyo to Tehran to Tijuana.

And then there was the Mail.

They, alone of all the papers who reported the info in our press release, edited the information.

What did they edit? They removed every mention of the work being a trans-Europe collaboration. They removed every mention of the work being part-funded by the EU. Their edit gave the impression that this was a UK-run and UK-funded project.

That was disgusting. It was deliberately, wilfully and cynically misinforming and misleading their readers. I wrote a letter of complaint. They never answered it.

THAT is why I hate that f**king rag. Because they have manipulated news like that for generations. I’ve seen it close up and it stinks. They are not an honest newspaper. They are a propaganda machine.

The Guardian doesn’t do that. They make mistakes and they correct them. They have a political angle but they don’t deliberately misinform.

You equating the two shows how far down the f**king rabbit hole we are.

It really is a sad indictment of the way our " supposed " free and balanced press has become . I'm not sure that as bad as this newspaper is and has been over the years, that it has come close to The Daily Express. ( or the now defunct News of The World ) .

I think though it's not just the lack of balance and in many cases the downright lies and exaggerations but the glaring omissions that probably annoy me the most. Where are the articles on the positives that the EU, and the Common Market before it, have brought to people's lives ? - there are glaring and deliberate holes in the UK - EU story . That, as BST has already stated, has occurred over 40 + years the drip, drip ,drip of negative press has helped to drive that wedge between our people and the concept

There was and is so much more information that could have been provided by this and the other rag.
Whilst I am typing this I'm surrounded by paperwork prepared by my daughter , her " selvforsørgelseserklaering " documentation in readiness for her year of further studies in Denmark. Erasmus + docs have been prepared to help widen her scope of the world all round the country other daring British youngsters will also be preparing their docs to travel/study in Europe and the World .
The constant " pinging " from her phone as she learns Danish not only reminds me that she will leaving home for 9- 12 months but has even prompted me to join her in her language studies rather than complain about it . Danish is a devil to get your head around - I wished I had started 6 months ago !

Study abroad or Erasmus + in this case has barely had a mention for years yet
why there hasn't been any news of this programme when '000s of our youngsters benefit from it each and every year ? That , like the above ( BST's experience ) is obvious - it has positive benefits for our citizens and for our workforce as these youngsters feed back into our society and to accentuate that positive would be anathema to the Daily Mail .
Yes they get an EU support grant but that money produces more rounded British and Europeans citizens that for many from disadvantaged backgrounds throughout the continent would never have been possible in the past.

The contacts that are made for future potential joint projects and a means to encourage the brightest from the continent to study at our unis are all to obvious. My fear is that she could be forced to come home early next year. My fear is that as we turn in on ourselves we narrow the opportunities for future generations .

That for many is a reality in an increasingly globalised world. However for us as a country " going global " - entails being increasingly isolationist in outlook.
The real sucker punch is that the EU has already beaten us to all those trade deals - if they tick off the USA we are " dead " in the water - the even more left behinds. Who to blame then ?

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 22, 2018, 06:35:20 am
What the f**k are you on about?

What does that mean ? Everyone on here knows that you understand perfectly well " what the f**k " BST was referring to
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 22, 2018, 06:51:50 am
BB

This isn’t about Left vs right. It’s about honesty vs misinformation. The Times and Telegraph are on the Right but I don’t treat them with the contempt I have for the Mail. Because their journalism is honest, even if I don’t agree with their conclusions.

You know why I despise the Mail. I sent you a PM about it a few months ago. I’ll repeat it here for anyone who is interested. When you’ve seen their mendacity close up, it’s truly breathtaking.

3-4 years ago, the company that I run was involved in a major R&D project. The project involved 11 companies, universities and research institutes from across Europe: Italy, Germany, UK, Spain, Netherlands, UK, Greece, Sweden.

The project was part-funded by the EU and was to do with improving aviation security. Basically, we were designing a liner to fit inside the hold of an aircraft so that if a bomb got through security, we could contain the effect of it and give the plane a better chance of surviving.

The project was a great success. We designed a product that was lightweight, cost-effective, and worked. We got a lot of media attention. I was on TV explaining how it worked and showing some of the trials. We put out a press release which was faithfully reported by papers from (literally) Tokyo to Tehran to Tijuana.

And then there was the Mail.

They, alone of all the papers who reported the info in our press release, edited the information.

What did they edit? They removed every mention of the work being a trans-Europe collaboration. They removed every mention of the work being part-funded by the EU. Their edit gave the impression that this was a UK-run and UK-funded project.

That was disgusting. It was deliberately, wilfully and cynically misinforming and misleading their readers. I wrote a letter of complaint. They never answered it.

THAT is why I hate that f**king rag. Because they have manipulated news like that for generations. I’ve seen it close up and it stinks. They are not an honest newspaper. They are a propaganda machine.

The Guardian doesn’t do that. They make mistakes and they correct them. They have a political angle but they don’t deliberately misinform.

You equating the two shows how far down the f**king rabbit hole we are.

It really is a sad indictment of the way our " supposed " free and balanced press has become . I'm not sure that as bad as this newspaper is and has been over the years, that it has come close to The Daily Express. ( or the now defunct News of The World ) .

I think though it's not just the lack of balance and in many cases the downright lies and exaggerations but the glaring omissions that probably annoy me the most. Where are the articles on the positives that the EU, and the Common Market before it, have brought to people's lives ? - there are glaring and deliberate holes in the UK - EU story . That, as BST has already stated, has occurred over 40 + years the drip, drip ,drip of negative press has helped to drive that wedge between our people and the concept

There was and is so much more information that could have been provided by this and the other rag.
Whilst I am typing this I'm surrounded by paperwork prepared by my daughter , her " selvforsørgelseserklaering " documentation in readiness for her year of further studies in Denmark. Erasmus + docs have been prepared to help widen her scope of the world all round the country other daring British youngsters will also be preparing their docs to travel/study in Europe and the World .
The constant " pinging " from her phone as she learns Danish not only reminds me that she will leaving home for 9- 12 months but has even prompted me to join her in her language studies rather than complain about it . Danish is a devil to get your head around - I wished I had started 6 months ago !

Study abroad or Erasmus + in this case has barely had a mention for years yet
why there hasn't been any news of this programme when '000s of our youngsters benefit from it each and every year ? That , like the above ( BST's experience ) is obvious - it has positive benefits for our citizens and for our workforce as these youngsters feed back into our society and to accentuate that positive would be anathema to the Daily Mail .
Yes they get an EU support grant but that money produces more rounded British and Europeans citizens that for many from disadvantaged backgrounds throughout the continent would never have been possible in the past.

The contacts that are made for future potential joint projects and a means to encourage the brightest from the continent to study at our unis are all to obvious. My fear is that she could be forced to come home early next year. My fear is that as we turn in on ourselves we narrow the opportunities for future generations .

That for many is a reality in an increasingly globalised world. However for us as a country " going global " - entails being increasingly isolationist in outlook.
The real sucker punch is that the EU has already beaten us to all those trade deals - if they tick off the USA we are " dead " in the water - the even more left behinds. Who to blame then ?

Anyone that has owned a business, managed a business or been involved with buying ot selling for a business knows that the bigger you are the larger the orders you place the better the prices you get. Thats all you have to know about where British trade is headed and if anyone thinks that another country is going to risk sanctions from Europe by offering Britain a better deal than the EU then you are wrong. Your credit is only as good as your last order.

Thanks Hoola for sharing your personal story, its the connections between countries and peoples that make the world an exiting place to live, work and explore.












Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 22, 2018, 08:50:34 am
Hoola you must have missed May's announcement in December (easily done as they were announcing the figures for the divorce bill & that problem over the Irish border came up) that Britain was commited to staying in the Erasmus programme until at least the end of the transition period, December 2020.
https://inews.co.uk/news/education/theresa-may-commits-britain-erasmus-student-exchange-2020/

Clearly like Euroatem, Europol, European Arrest Warrant, ESA, the Galileo project and the rest, Erasmus is an EU programme the government values and would like to stay part of but no deal means no deal on any of them.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu-education/brexit-may-hurt-popular-erasmus-student-exchange-scheme-officials-say-idUSKBN1FJ2N1
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 22, 2018, 09:33:33 am
What the f**k are you on about?

What does that mean ? Everyone on here knows that you understand perfectly well " what the f**k " BST was referring to

What? Who? I don't understand.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 22, 2018, 10:25:55 am
All vote leavers to be arrested, fake news but maybe not for the vote leave campaign, maybe Boris will get his comeuppance too.

Brexit campaign chief must be hauled before Commons, say MPs.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jul/21/brexit-campaign-chief-dominic-cummings-should-be-forced-to-give-evidence-to-commons
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 22, 2018, 04:15:17 pm
What the f**k are you on about?

What does that mean ? Everyone on here knows that you understand perfectly well " what the f**k " BST was referring to

What? Who? I don't understand.

Yes we know. You not understanding is your default reply.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 22, 2018, 05:46:42 pm
What the f**k are you on about?

What does that mean ? Everyone on here knows that you understand perfectly well " what the f**k " BST was referring to

What? Who? I don't understand.

Yes we know. You not understanding is your default reply.

OK then Mr Wewewewewiggerly, you explain.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 22, 2018, 06:06:14 pm
On the subject of being fed misinformation as a deliberate, long-term political project, this is a fascinating and terrifying read.

https://bigthink.com/paul-ratner/34-years-ago-a-kgb-defector-described-america-today.amp?__twitter_impression=true
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 22, 2018, 08:29:37 pm
Hoola you must have missed May's announcement in December (easily done as they were announcing the figures for the divorce bill & that problem over the Irish border came up) that Britain was commited to staying in the Erasmus programme until at least the end of the transition period, December 2020.
https://inews.co.uk/news/education/theresa-may-commits-britain-erasmus-student-exchange-2020/

Clearly like Euroatem, Europol, European Arrest Warrant, ESA, the Galileo project and the rest, Erasmus is an EU programme the government values and would like to stay part of but no deal means no deal on any of them.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu-education/brexit-may-hurt-popular-erasmus-student-exchange-scheme-officials-say-idUSKBN1FJ2N1

No I didn't miss it but the Daily Mail and Express have certainly missed May's aspirations . However any deal on Erasmus+ , even with a Transition/ Implementation period means that this is the last but one , at best or perhaps the end by March 2019.

I must admit , I had never heard of Euratom, the ESA and Galileo prior to the Referendum vote and very little about the European airspace, Medicines Agency and of course the vexing N.Ireland border conundrum of course I had heard about Erasmus + for personal reasons .

Other things I hadn't thought about were the RAF bases on Cyprus ( raised for the 1st time recently )
and the complexity of Gibraltar
So many unknowns to come out of the woodwork yet but apparently we ALL knew what we were voting for ........REALLY ? Even the campaigners didn't know until some things presented themselves . It's like a rotten apple .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 22, 2018, 09:22:29 pm
What the f**k are you on about?

What does that mean ? Everyone on here knows that you understand perfectly well " what the f**k " BST was referring to

What? Who? I don't understand.

Yes we know. You not understanding is your default reply.

OK then Mr Wewewewewiggerly, you explain.

What, just so you can ignore anything I say and give your default answer of 'I don't understand, explain it to me' yet again? I don't think so.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 22, 2018, 09:25:46 pm
No Mr Wewewiggerly, I want you to explain what Hoolahoop was on about, seeing as you obviously understand more than I do. Now get on with it man.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 22, 2018, 09:57:09 pm
Hoola you must have missed May's announcement in December (easily done as they were announcing the figures for the divorce bill & that problem over the Irish border came up) that Britain was commited to staying in the Erasmus programme until at least the end of the transition period, December 2020.
https://inews.co.uk/news/education/theresa-may-commits-britain-erasmus-student-exchange-2020/

Clearly like Euroatem, Europol, European Arrest Warrant, ESA, the Galileo project and the rest, Erasmus is an EU programme the government values and would like to stay part of but no deal means no deal on any of them.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu-education/brexit-may-hurt-popular-erasmus-student-exchange-scheme-officials-say-idUSKBN1FJ2N1

No I didn't miss it but the Daily Mail and Express have certainly missed May's aspirations . However any deal on Erasmus+ , even with a Transition/ Implementation period means that this is the last but one , at best or perhaps the end by March 2019.

I must admit , I had never heard of Euratom, the ESA and Galileo prior to the Referendum vote and very little about the European airspace, Medicines Agency and of course the vexing N.Ireland border conundrum of course I had heard about Erasmus + for personal reasons .

Other things I hadn't thought about were the RAF bases on Cyprus ( raised for the 1st time recently )
and the complexity of Gibraltar
So many unknowns to come out of the woodwork yet but apparently we ALL knew what we were voting for ........REALLY ? Even the campaigners didn't know until some things presented themselves . It's like a rotten apple .

That's right hoola and when people blindly say No Deal is fine we can trade on WTO rules - No - No Deal is No Deal on all those aspects above and others besides. When Varadaker says No Deal means airplanes can't fly over Ireland then airplanes can't fly over Ireland whatever the Daily Mail says.

Anyone who supports no deal is mad, or is a millionaire with funds in international banking, or both.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 22, 2018, 10:13:42 pm
And I see that illogical runt [1] Dominic Raab has started offf his time as Brexit Secretary by threatening that we won’t pay the “Divorce Bill” if we don’t get a settlement.

But of course:
1) It isn’t a divorce bill. It’s an agreement to pay for things that we have legal signed up to.
2) We agreed last December to pay this.

So. Raab’s tub thumping will

1) Quite understandably put into the minds of the EU negotiators the thought that we can’t be trusted.

2) Out into the minds of the EU negotiators the thought that Raab is actually playing to the Euro-phobic gallery at home rather than being serious about negotiating in good faith.

[1] I’ve had a minor connection with Raab. He was on R5 a couple of years ago promoting his Bill to make strikes illegal unless 50+% of union members voted for strike action, not 50% of the voters.

So I phoned in. And pointed out that in the 2015 Election, only 44.8% of his constituency’s electorate voted for him. And that, according to his logic, he had no legal right to be an MP.

His response was that that was totally different. No explanation why it was totally different. He just decided it was.

So I concluded the man is a gobshite with a tenuous grasp of logic. And he, ladies and gentlemen, is the best one this f**king shower could find to negotiate all our futures.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 23, 2018, 07:24:52 am
No Mr Wewewiggerly, I want you to explain what Hoolahoop was on about, seeing as you obviously understand more than I do. Now get on with it man.

 :zzz:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 23, 2018, 09:04:30 am
Interesting Twitter feed I hadn't noticed before, I hope it works :- please bear with it . Thanks to the author and researcher btw

(link: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1016761275295191040.html) threadreaderapp.com/thread/1016761…

It's perhaps even worth a thread of it's own selby,  bpool and others have a look at this and think before you slag the EU off . It shows how and why you have been totally misled by a small group of people and the newspapers that support their stance .

Did you see any of this reported in the Daily Mail/ Express/ Telegraph/ Times and the Sun ?

What's even more depressing is that our supposedly neutral BBC ( Brexit Broadcasting Corporation) also steered well away from the facts . Constantly we hear " leaving the EU was in both Parties manifestos " but then so were all these ignored facts and aspirations !

The ' energy efficient ' light bulb argument was a small but daft one .

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 23, 2018, 09:48:07 am
No Mr Wewewiggerly, I want you to explain what Hoolahoop was on about, seeing as you obviously understand more than I do. Now get on with it man.

Like me , he knows, from all your contributions on here over the year, that you are far brighter than you pretend to be . We all know that you inject venom into these threads and that's great we recognise that. However you have recently taken up the pretence that you don't understand long and well- reasoned contributions from others.
This is not intended to flatter you only to recognise your intellect .
I'm sure I will get a " what do you mean, " or " who me  ? " reply at some stage
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 23, 2018, 10:07:34 am
Hoola, I don't call questioning the 'we' brigade an act of injecting venom. Neither do I claim to understand things when I don't. I still don't understand your post suggesting that I asked BST what the f**k he was on about. I don't understand it because I never said it.

By the way, who exactly are the 'we' brigade?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 23, 2018, 10:19:47 am
We - are those contributing to the thread ( that includes you of course)
Venom - perhaps I should have explained myself better , you sometimes ask the awkward questions that others hadn't thought about. Also it kick starts the discussion. It wasn't meant to have a negative connotation.
No sometimes you claim NOT  to understand the subject matter or the direction of travel when clearly from experience I think you do ( the very opposite of how you read my post )  . That's healthy for any debate  - it makes people think why they are entrenched etc .
None of the above were meant to be taken as negatives .

I have been reading your contributions on here for years and don't claim to know you because clearly I don't- I have however recognised that your interjections usually are there for good reason . 

I hope that answers all your questions ?
Incidentally it was your post # 2030 that I referred to
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 23, 2018, 11:20:20 am
Well, I'm of the understanding that 'we' refers to the handful of people on this thread who stick together, answering each other's questions in an 'allow me to handle this one, comrade' brotherhood type of way, and often in an arrogant and smarmy way by one of them in particular.

Hyenas spring to mind!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 23, 2018, 11:37:59 am
BB

You’ve had this obsession about there being a back-slapping clique on here for many years.

You clearly don’t see when there are heated arguments between “us”.

People have different opinions on many subjects. Personally, I’ve had many arguments on here with Hoola, Glyn, Wilts, Bob G back in the day and others.

It’s inevitable that, in a grown up exchange of views, there’ll be times when several people agree and times when the same people will disagree. It’s how grown up discussions work and it’s how grown up conclusions are reached. It’s odd that you don’t mention any of the disagreements but you do get upset when several of “us” broadly agree.


Now, regarding your comment on Saturday night that I was too tired to answer (because I was working until 2am). No, of course I don’t think only Guardian readers should be able to vote. I’ve never said anything that remotely justifies that conclusion. What I do think is that if democracy is going to work, we should all be grown up enough to realise when certain organisations are deliberately and systematically trying to mislead and misinform people. And I think we should be grown up enough to consider the implications of that, and not get angry or defensive when someone points it out.

I also think democracy isn’t a moment when someone goes into a polling station and casts a vote. It doesn’t start and end there. A healthy democracy relies on millions of discussions and arguments. It depends on people being prepared to examine information and facts as they emerge. In its own tiny way, that’s a process that is going on in here. I’d hope it’s going on in a million homes and work places and pubs and forums up and down the country. Because we are no clearer about Brexit now than we were two years ago. And saying “There was a vote - leave “them” to get on with it” is not how democracy should work. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 23, 2018, 11:50:10 am
One of the big problems with "the left" at the minute is that they can't seem to agree on owt. See: Corbyn, Sanders, Clinton, etc etc. Even on Brexit a few of the old-school socialists I know down Mexborough voted leave and stand by their vote because they don't like the idea of the EU on a fundamental level, so it's not like there's some big leftie gang that all get together to wear Labour badges and drink shandy.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 23, 2018, 11:54:40 am
BST. Many years ago there were two brothers from Bentley who used to knock several bells of shit out of each other on a regular basis. As a result, they were both as hard as nails.

Now if anybody else were to t**t one of them...............


Brotherhood!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 23, 2018, 02:52:25 pm
BB

Nice story. Explains your view on tribalism. But that’s obviously not what is going on here. It’s frustrating thatvthat is how you see it. And it’s one of the biggest problems we have at the moment.

Think about it. In the US Election for the Alabama Governor recently, the Republican candidate had a track record of sexually molesting teenage girls. A senior local Republican said “It’s not ideal but we’re still supporting him because the alternative is electing a Democrat.

That’s where tribalism takes you. And that’s not what is going on here. What’s happening here is people with different opinions discussing issues. Sometimes they agree. Sometimes they don’t.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 23, 2018, 03:21:35 pm
BST, It's not quite as simple as that. Take for instance your arguments with your fellow 'us' men. How many times did you tell any of them to 'go to bed' despite it being you who was the tired one? How many of them called you thick, or childish? How many of them did you call petulant? How many of them called you a berk?! How many of them called you a thick berk?!!

I'm all for grown-up debate, but I'm not going to resist retaliation when I get childish insults thrown my way.

Have yo ever asked yourself why very few people bother opposing the 'we' clan?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on July 23, 2018, 05:01:14 pm
I lost interest when he got to quoting the size of speed bumps in Burnley🤔

Are you a changed man Sproty , time was when you would have dissected this piece of well written journalism like a silkworm presented with a pile of mulberry leaves ?  Oh what a yarn you might once have spun from it. ( sorry about that 🤗)

I guess " speed bumps in Burnley " is stretching even your incredulity as much as it did mine. However I am reliably informed there is factual evidence to support what would normally be considered absolute nonsense. No doubt as this mess draws to some kind of f**ked up conclusion we will hear more of this stuff .



What you saw as well written journalism I saw as 'drivel'
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 23, 2018, 05:02:38 pm
No Mr Wewewiggerly, I want you to explain what Hoolahoop was on about, seeing as you obviously understand more than I do. Now get on with it man.

Like me , he knows, from all your contributions on here over the year, that you are far brighter than you pretend to be . We all know that you inject venom into these threads and that's great we recognise that. However you have recently taken up the pretence that you don't understand long and well- reasoned contributions from others.
This is not intended to flatter you only to recognise your intellect .
I'm sure I will get a " what do you mean, " or " who me  ? " reply at some stage

Just for any avoidance of doubt can I make it clear that in no way do I associate myself with any group or individuals who think that BB is more intelligent than he pretends to be.

Can I also make it clear that my disagreement with syndey over several posts on the previous page, my long term disagreements with BST over Corbyn, Blair, Syria, Salisbury, etc in no way confirm (or deny) hoola's accusation against me last week that I was playing devil's advocate.

Also if anyone is offended by my not calling them a berk, then please feel free to call yourself a berk.

Thank you for your attention.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 23, 2018, 05:09:45 pm
What's even more depressing is that our supposedly neutral BBC ( Brexit Broadcasting Corporation) also steered well away from the facts . Constantly we hear " leaving the EU was in both Parties manifestos " but then so were all these ignored facts and aspirations !

Interesting you should post that as the Anna Foster show this morning had a 'fact check' on what may or may not happen if there was no deal Brexit. Worth listening to if you didn't hear it, from around 35 minutes in
https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b0bbnfc1
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 23, 2018, 05:54:43 pm
Can I just point out that there is no connection between Wilts and Berks.

Unless you're on about the canal, like.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 23, 2018, 06:32:50 pm
Well, I'm of the understanding that 'we' refers to the handful of people on this thread who stick together, answering each other's questions in an 'allow me to handle this one, comrade' brotherhood type of way, and often in an arrogant and smarmy way by one of them in particular.

Hyenas spring to mind!

Don't be so paranoid - your contributions and your stance is respected as much as any other forum user . I've told you what I meant and hyenas never worried you before.....
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 23, 2018, 06:47:52 pm
BST, It's not quite as simple as that. Take for instance your arguments with your fellow 'us' men. How many times did you tell any of them to 'go to bed' despite it being you who was the tired one? How many of them called you thick, or childish? How many of them did you call petulant? How many of them called you a berk?! How many of them called you a thick berk?!!

I'm all for grown-up debate, but I'm not going to resist retaliation when I get childish insults thrown my way.

Have yo ever asked yourself why very few people bother opposing the 'we' clan?

I'd like to say it's never happened to me but BST and I had a fundamental disagreement a few years ago when he slagged off something I supported - we were at it hammer and nail for months and even now avoid the subject. Glyn and I have had a minor disagreement on another thread which you have probably read recently but it's just debate . That's what " Off Topic " and more especially this particular topic brings about ....healthy but rigorous debate .
I remember arguing with RobtheRover , Sif and BST about some subject or other . I can't remember calling those 3 hyenas but f**k me once they had cornered me on a subject verbally ; they were like 3 pitbulls fighting over a chihuaha. Its not personal, its not bullying if ypu engage you have to back it up on here. You always have had to
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 23, 2018, 07:02:39 pm
BB

I said go to bed the other night because I had set out what I thought was a logical and reasonable argument for why I think it was unreasonable of you to equate the Guardian and the Mail. You responded by bizarrely asking if I thought only Guardian readers should be allowed to vote. Ignoring the fact that I’d listed other newspapers whose political leanings run counter to mine, but whose journalist integrity I don’t usually question.

That seemed like a very odd response from you. So I assumed you were too tired to engage in a sensible debate.

It’s not personal. It’s not about agreeing or disagreeing. It’s about being sensible. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Cantley Rover on July 23, 2018, 07:03:38 pm
Can I just say it is refreshing to see the reasoned?? arguments on here and not some of the childish posts on the chat forum. We might not all agree but it is good to read both sides views.
Maybe it is because some of the kids don't understand what the hell we are talking about on here  :chair:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 23, 2018, 07:42:49 pm
BST, my two brothers situation was, I thought a logical and reasonable comment also, and thought it was unreasonable for you to respond bizarrely by suggesting that it explains my view on tribalism.

If I'm guilty, so are you.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 23, 2018, 07:52:09 pm
BB

No. The gist of your two brothers story is that, when faced with external criticism, the brothers will defend each other no matter what.

That is the very definition of tribalism.

That’s not remotely what happens in here, despite your repeated insistence that it is.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 23, 2018, 08:08:42 pm
......And so will the 'we' men! Even if they don't agree with a fellow 'we' man they will defend him simply by not getting involved, especially if is against one of the venomous posters like me when he has asked an awkward question.

Never, ever has one of the 'we' men took my side against another 'we' man!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 23, 2018, 08:11:57 pm
BB

Maybe it’s because you don’t make arguments that convince them. Just a possibility.

If you put down this obsession and engaged with the salient parts of the argument, maybe you might get a bit further. If you ignore the salient parts of the argument and make daft jibes about only Guardian readers being allowed to vote, it suggests that you don’t really want to engage with the discussion.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 23, 2018, 08:17:13 pm
BST, I don't want to get involved politically about the outcome of Brexit. I only talk about things that I know a bit about, and the outcome of Brexit isn't one of them. I don't believe the Guardian has any greater powers of crystal ball reading than the other rags either.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 23, 2018, 09:15:25 pm
BB

It’s not about the Guardian being able to predict the future. It’s about them and other respectable newspapers reporting facts, reporting the predictions of those whose job it is to predict future outcomes, reporting when people have lied or committed criminal offences and then leaving it up to readers to absorb that information and argue the toss.

That’s what most of this thread is about. It’s reflecting on those issues. Arguing what they mean. Coming to conclusions.

You’re perfectly able to join in that. Or you could sit on the edge and moan about non-existent cliques. Your call.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 23, 2018, 09:25:35 pm
I'll stick to what I know if you don't mind. I'll probably pop back every now and then to keep a check on the 'we' and 'us' brigade. If I can get it down to just one member my mission will be complete.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 23, 2018, 09:52:31 pm
Pretty much what I expected B.B. 

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 24, 2018, 12:46:24 am
......And so will the 'we' men! Even if they don't agree with a fellow 'we' man they will defend him simply by not getting involved, especially if is against one of the venomous posters like me when he has asked an awkward question.

Never, ever has one of the 'we' men took my side against another 'we' man!

You snake in the grass - I thought we had cleared up that venom thing .
Now you wear it like a badge of honour- it's not a promotion you know !
Yours a...... " WE "
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 24, 2018, 02:50:17 am
Maybe its time to consider a divided Britain and separtate those that want to stay in Europe from those that dont, have a second vote and split the wealth (what there is left) per capita. Those that dont want to be part of Europe can live in the bits furthest away as they probably dont need access as much. Those that vote out and own businesses can move them into the new shitzen part of Britain where they can set up borders and custom controls and those in the EU bit can charge them for visas to enter or pass thru. I think this is an option worth considering as despite all the evidence (not rumours or fake news but evidence) that Britains people will be/are much worse because of it some of the hardened Brexiters seem determined to break from the EU, sort of like lemmings really and why should others have to suffer because of this.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-uk-leave-no-deal-what-happens-eu-talks-david-davis-a8460416.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 24, 2018, 03:26:40 pm
So it seems the Brexit department isn't in charge of Brexit anymore. Outstanding stuff. The Thick Of It has nothing on this. https://www.parliament.uk/business/publications/written-questions-answers-statements/written-statement/Commons/2018-07-24/HCWS924
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 24, 2018, 03:35:06 pm
So it seems the Brexit department isn't in charge of Brexit anymore. Outstanding stuff. The Thick Of It has nothing on this. https://www.parliament.uk/business/publications/written-questions-answers-statements/written-statement/Commons/2018-07-24/HCWS924

It doesn't really matter how they shuffle round the responsibilities of the underlings when it's the people at the top who are an incompetent shambles.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 24, 2018, 03:42:59 pm
Maybe its time to consider a divided Britain and separtate those that want to stay in Europe from those that dont, have a second vote and split the wealth (what there is left) per capita. Those that dont want to be part of Europe can live in the bits furthest away as they probably dont need access as much. Those that vote out and own businesses can move them into the new shitzen part of Britain where they can set up borders and custom controls and those in the EU bit can charge them for visas to enter or pass thru. I think this is an option worth considering as despite all the evidence (not rumours or fake news but evidence) that Britains people will be/are much worse because of it some of the hardened Brexiters seem determined to break from the EU, sort of like lemmings really and why should others have to suffer because of this.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-uk-leave-no-deal-what-happens-eu-talks-david-davis-a8460416.html
maybe not such a bad idea, remember the ones who wanted to leave will require a bigger portion of the country thou as there was more of them, the remainers could move London way and leave the rest of us in the north
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 24, 2018, 03:44:34 pm
Maybe its time to consider a divided Britain and separtate those that want to stay in Europe from those that dont, have a second vote and split the wealth (what there is left) per capita. Those that dont want to be part of Europe can live in the bits furthest away as they probably dont need access as much. Those that vote out and own businesses can move them into the new shitzen part of Britain where they can set up borders and custom controls and those in the EU bit can charge them for visas to enter or pass thru. I think this is an option worth considering as despite all the evidence (not rumours or fake news but evidence) that Britains people will be/are much worse because of it some of the hardened Brexiters seem determined to break from the EU, sort of like lemmings really and why should others have to suffer because of this.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-uk-leave-no-deal-what-happens-eu-talks-david-davis-a8460416.html
maybe not such a bad idea, remember the ones who wanted to leave will require a bigger portion of the country thou as there was more of them

They get a bigger slice of the debt too, of course.

They can have the Royal Family too!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 24, 2018, 03:50:11 pm
I just especially like the idea of Dominic Raab getting promoted to lead an obsolete department where he'll presumably be in charge of flicking rubber bands into a bin from across the room and playing games on his phone.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 24, 2018, 04:07:22 pm
So my job but a lot better paid. Lucky bas**rd.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 24, 2018, 04:11:27 pm
Maybe its time to consider a divided Britain and separtate those that want to stay in Europe from those that dont, have a second vote and split the wealth (what there is left) per capita. Those that dont want to be part of Europe can live in the bits furthest away as they probably dont need access as much. Those that vote out and own businesses can move them into the new shitzen part of Britain where they can set up borders and custom controls and those in the EU bit can charge them for visas to enter or pass thru. I think this is an option worth considering as despite all the evidence (not rumours or fake news but evidence) that Britains people will be/are much worse because of it some of the hardened Brexiters seem determined to break from the EU, sort of like lemmings really and why should others have to suffer because of this.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-uk-leave-no-deal-what-happens-eu-talks-david-davis-a8460416.html
maybe not such a bad idea, remember the ones who wanted to leave will require a bigger portion of the country thou as there was more of them

They get a bigger slice of the debt too, of course.

They can have the Royal Family too!yes we can have the royal family up north no problem with that
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 24, 2018, 04:17:51 pm
Maybe its time to consider a divided Britain and separtate those that want to stay in Europe from those that dont, have a second vote and split the wealth (what there is left) per capita. Those that dont want to be part of Europe can live in the bits furthest away as they probably dont need access as much. Those that vote out and own businesses can move them into the new shitzen part of Britain where they can set up borders and custom controls and those in the EU bit can charge them for visas to enter or pass thru. I think this is an option worth considering as despite all the evidence (not rumours or fake news but evidence) that Britains people will be/are much worse because of it some of the hardened Brexiters seem determined to break from the EU, sort of like lemmings really and why should others have to suffer because of this.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-uk-leave-no-deal-what-happens-eu-talks-david-davis-a8460416.html
maybe not such a bad idea, remember the ones who wanted to leave will require a bigger portion of the country thou as there was more of them

They get a bigger slice of the debt too, of course.

They can have the Royal Family too!yes we can have the royal family up north no problem with that

Oh good, if you're taking them up north we get all the Crown Properties that bring in the tourists!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 24, 2018, 04:19:22 pm
Why don't you just go live on your own on a remote island you will probably be lots happier there
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 24, 2018, 04:20:06 pm
Why don't you just go live on your own on a remote island you will probably be lots happier there

Nah, I'd rather move to the more prosperous still-in-the-EU partition. With all the Crown Properties and tourism and you can can have the Royal Family and the true cost of their upkeep. It's what you say you want only a few posts ago!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 24, 2018, 04:21:47 pm
Maybe its time to consider a divided Britain and separtate those that want to stay in Europe from those that dont, have a second vote and split the wealth (what there is left) per capita. Those that dont want to be part of Europe can live in the bits furthest away as they probably dont need access as much. Those that vote out and own businesses can move them into the new shitzen part of Britain where they can set up borders and custom controls and those in the EU bit can charge them for visas to enter or pass thru. I think this is an option worth considering as despite all the evidence (not rumours or fake news but evidence) that Britains people will be/are much worse because of it some of the hardened Brexiters seem determined to break from the EU, sort of like lemmings really and why should others have to suffer because of this.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-uk-leave-no-deal-what-happens-eu-talks-david-davis-a8460416.html
maybe not such a bad idea, remember the ones who wanted to leave will require a bigger portion of the country thou as there was more of them

They get a bigger slice of the debt too, of course.

They can have the Royal Family too!yes we can have the royal family up north no problem with that

Oh good, if you're taking them up north we get all the Crown Properties that bring in the tourists!

Wewewewe  :laugh:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 24, 2018, 04:22:55 pm
Good to see BB being as erudite as usual. :silly:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 24, 2018, 04:28:08 pm
Yes I'm quite happy with the royal family if it costs money so be it
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 24, 2018, 04:41:14 pm
Yes I'm quite happy with the royal family if it costs money so be it

Errr, you do know they are European migrants who have come over here, taken our jobs, live rent free in council houses which are done up at public expense and have a special deal on paying tax don't you?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 24, 2018, 04:42:15 pm
and your point is?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 24, 2018, 04:45:07 pm
f**k this, I'm going in the leave voters section!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 24, 2018, 05:31:27 pm
Well, well, well.

Corbyn's now going against the grain of pretty much every serious economist here. I wonder what he bases his ideas on.

 https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/url-jeremy-corbyn-brexit-economic-labour-party-cheap-labour-migrants-eu-a8460696.html?amp

For clarification, he’s absolutely correct in saying that the devaluation of the Pound should be helping exports. In fact it has done. Our exports flatlined from 2011 to 2016 but are up about 12% since the Referendum.

That’s not the point. The point is the mood music. He’s clearly aligning himself on the “Brexit is an economic opportunity” side of the argument. Which is not supported by any sensible analysis. The increase in exports doesn’t come close to offsetting the rest of the damage that Brexit is already doing and will continue to do way off into the future.

But then he’s wanted us out of the EU for his entire political life. So that’s no surprise. But is does explain a lot of his approach both before and after the vote.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 24, 2018, 08:22:50 pm
Is he, doesn't appear to be in this bit:

Answering questions, Corbyn declined to say whether Brexit would make such policies easier to implement, given EU regulations. But he did say that for many the referendum vote had been “a cry from people saying they felt left behind in many of their communities”.

He added: “Are we promoting economic nationalism? No, what we’re promoting is an investment in manufacturing in this country.”


Or this bit:

Corbyn called for urgent action to keep the UK in some form of customs union. “It’s not often that the Labour party and the Institute of Directors, the CBI and the TUC agree – we need to negotiate a new customs union,” he said.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jul/24/public-contracts-should-go-to-uk-firms-says-jeremy-corbyn

Its strange that you dont support the call to revive British manufacturing, end outsourcing and stimulate growth in the regions outside London. But then again you have always been anti-Corbyn.

According to Paul Mason the ideas are based on this:
https://www.opendemocracy.net/neweconomics/second-trench-forging-new-frontline-war-neoliberalism/

whilst I believe the background is explained here:
https://newleftreview.org/II/111/robin-blackburn-the-corbyn-project

This economist appears to like them (then again he does work for the Guardian)
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/jul/24/corbyn-build-it-in-britain-public-contracts-manufacturing
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 24, 2018, 09:43:00 pm
Wilts

Aaaand once again you veer wildly off course and flatter yourself that you know what I think.

Mason’s and Blackburn’s pieces (neither of them economists) are wonderfully stirring pieces of critique. But I’m struggling to see what on Earth they have to do with my comments on Corbyn’s attitude towards the EU. Equally, Larry Elliott’s piece (by a journalist, not an economist).

For the record, I’m very supportive of Corbyn’s domestic economic policies. I’ve said this many times but I’m guessing you haven’t seen that. So you’re non-sequitur of “You criticised Corbyn! You must be against trying to re-structure our economy to help the areas and the people who have been left behind!” is rather unfortunate.

Nothing you posted in any way addressed my fundamental point. Corbyn has spent a lifetime calling for us to leave the EU. He is ideologically opposed to what the Left has always seen as a Rich Man’s Club. There’s nothing controversial in my saying that. It’s a matter of established fact. Go and have a search for ANYTHING he said in the Referendum campaign about the economic benefits of the EU. You’ll have a long time looking.

Now. I thought the central appeal of Corbyn was that he was ringing a new, honest approach to politics. In which case it is odd that so many of his strongest supporters go all as hominem and whatabout-ish whenever any has the gall to criticise him.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on July 24, 2018, 10:35:47 pm
Shared without comment.

http://www.tuaeu.co.uk/how-the-eu-starves-africa/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 24, 2018, 10:40:12 pm
How dare you post such a thing, wonder how long before the 3 amigos pop up to shoot you down
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on July 24, 2018, 10:44:20 pm
How dare you post such a thing, wonder how long before the 3 amigos pop up to shoot you down

Only one of them has anything to say that I respect
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 24, 2018, 11:34:43 pm
Silly comment Bpool.

There’s a perfectly respectable left-wing argument that says that the EU is a collection of rich countries that look after themselves. Which, to some extent, they do. And yes, Africa often does get a shit deal.

Just two things to add to that discuss from me.

1) Anyone who thinks that Africa would get a better deal from Fox, Raab and May is living on another planet.

2) The Left-wing argument always ignores what the EU has done in Europe over the past 50 years, building up countries that were previously scarcely developed themselves (Ireland, Spain,Portugal, Greece) into solid modern economies. And how it’s currentky in a 50 year programme to do the same to the countries of Eastern Europe (which were impoverished by 50 years of Communist mis-rule). The EU has also helped to cement democratic norms in many countries which were previously ruled by Communist or Fascist dictatorships. I’m astonished how rarely that is mentioned. And how important it is. Democracy is not a given. You have to work damned hard to protect it. The EU has done an amazing job on that front.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Copps is Magic on July 25, 2018, 12:19:16 am
The left-wing case for leaving the European Union (championed by Tony Benn) wasn't even articulated leading up to the referendum. It wasn't heard - it was a piss in the ocean. To draw upon it now would be a bit perverse.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Akinfenwa on July 25, 2018, 01:26:59 am
The left-wing case for leaving the European Union (championed by Tony Benn) wasn't even articulated leading up to the referendum. It wasn't heard - it was a piss in the ocean. To draw upon it now would be a bit perverse.


The left-wing case was articulated but you're correct, it didn't get close to the mainstream and the campaign for it was non-existent.

Despite this millions of Labour voters still voted to leave, suggesting that these issues were considered by many.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on July 25, 2018, 09:14:33 am
So it seems the Brexit department isn't in charge of Brexit anymore. Outstanding stuff. The Thick Of It has nothing on this. https://www.parliament.uk/business/publications/written-questions-answers-statements/written-statement/Commons/2018-07-24/HCWS924

On the face of it, it makes sense for May to lead the negotiations. After all, the Chequers Plan is very much hers and presumably she understands it better than anyone else in the Cabinet.

Then you remember that (1) it is Theresa May we're talking about here and (2) more seriously, it doesn't give her much of a fall-back position if the EU dismisses her plan.

Personally I'd leave the negotiating to those chaps from Watford FC who have just persuaded Everton to part with the thick end of £50m for Richarlison. Those boys could sell sand to Arabs!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on July 25, 2018, 02:18:48 pm
Well, lets hope people do not want their pension if they move abroad, or need any health care for that matter;
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/no-deal-brexit-ex-pat-pensions-illegal-retired-eu-europe-theresa-may-a8461166.html

Not too late yet, of course, but it seems a high price to pay for the benefits we might get.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 25, 2018, 03:00:09 pm
How dare you post such a thing, wonder how long before the 3 amigos pop up to shoot you down

So does that make you part of 'his ' gang or merely unable to comment on what is contained in a thought provoking post. I have issues with it and strangely enough bst has already raised some of them in particular how the EU has helped many Europeans out of the poverty trap but also more secure .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 25, 2018, 03:02:48 pm
Maybe its time to consider a divided Britain and separtate those that want to stay in Europe from those that dont, have a second vote and split the wealth (what there is left) per capita. Those that dont want to be part of Europe can live in the bits furthest away as they probably dont need access as much. Those that vote out and own businesses can move them into the new shitzen part of Britain where they can set up borders and custom controls and those in the EU bit can charge them for visas to enter or pass thru. I think this is an option worth considering as despite all the evidence (not rumours or fake news but evidence) that Britains people will be/are much worse because of it some of the hardened Brexiters seem determined to break from the EU, sort of like lemmings really and why should others have to suffer because of this.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-uk-leave-no-deal-what-happens-eu-talks-david-davis-a8460416.html
maybe not such a bad idea, remember the ones who wanted to leave will require a bigger portion of the country thou as there was more of them

They get a bigger slice of the debt too, of course.

They can have the Royal Family too!yes we can have the royal family up north no problem with that

Oh good, if you're taking them up north we get all the Crown Properties that bring in the tourists!

Wewewewe  :laugh:


You you you bpool's gang ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 25, 2018, 03:04:08 pm
and your point is?

They are furriners
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 25, 2018, 05:05:08 pm
The left-wing case for leaving the European Union (championed by Tony Benn) wasn't even articulated leading up to the referendum.


That's actually a tad unfair. Corbyn himself discussed it on a left-wing American webinar a few hours before the polls opened. In fairness, while he didn't comment on the economic benefits of staying in the EU, he did say that we should Remain, because it's an interconnected world and plastic bags dropped off the coast of Colombia can end up in Japan.

To the barricades Comrades!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 25, 2018, 09:11:37 pm
The left-wing case for leaving the European Union (championed by Tony Benn) wasn't even articulated leading up to the referendum.


That's actually a tad unfair. Corbyn himself discussed it on a left-wing American webinar a few hours before the polls opened. In fairness, while he didn't comment on the economic benefits of staying in the EU, he did say that we should Remain, because it's an interconnected world and plastic bags dropped off the coast of Colombia can end up in Japan.

To the barricades Comrades!

All very good but is that what is best for this country ? Corbyn is all over the place but not actually in any place at the moment. The only " Remain " he understands is to remain politically inept
Take the 6 tests for instance , they are all well and good but until recently no-one one of merit was heard giving real voice to them . Does anyone know what they are ......We all should , 2 years down the line !

Why oh why have the Labour Party not insisted that the broadcasters, especially the BBC, be made to be far more even- handed in the way they have covered Brexit ? They have rarely if ever made BBC, ITV, Sky or any other topical programme ask the difficult questions. If they are asked then the interviewer cuts them off midstream. Question Time , Daily Politics, This Week are just there to advance the Brexit nonsense .

Who is speaking up for the 63% of the electorate that didnt vote to Leave or more simply more than 70 % of the population that didnt vote to be poorer , less secure, less free ?

If I see Farage ( not an MP) , Ian Duncan Smith ( failed leader ) , Suzanne Evans , Peter Bone , John Redwood or any other failed Tory or UKIP  " personality " on my screen ; I swear there will be projectile vomit covering my fecking TV. Oh and that t**t from " Spoons " . There is a complete lack of balance !

There Labour go voting this shit through like it's some magic panacea for the masses - patently it's not . It will hurt people , for some it will wreck their lives completely . It's not a game .

Sorry for the rant.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 25, 2018, 09:58:23 pm
https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/913065/Brexit-news-European-Union-EU-UK-BBC-bias-latest-vote-referendum/amp
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 25, 2018, 11:53:31 pm
If it was this easy why has this government lost a leader and countless others trying to put it all together?

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/07/25/plans-stockpile-food-blood-medicine-case-no-deal-brexit-sensible/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 26, 2018, 12:18:32 am
https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/913065/Brexit-news-European-Union-EU-UK-BBC-bias-latest-vote-referendum/amp

Don't give me quotes/ surveys from  the Express please bpool - they are probably the most pro Brexit of all the newspapers out there . It totally lacks any balance whatsoever frankly it's a shite paper full of extreme views . They chuck these things at the BBC deliberately from their readership to put pressure on the BBC surely you can see that !

Tell them they are biased towards the Remain side so that they re- address the balance towards the Brexit case . It's obvious - don't insult my intelligence,  if not the BBC,  like both High and Supreme Court judges before them become "" ENEMIES OF THE PEOPLE ".
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 26, 2018, 12:31:31 am
If it was this easy why has this government lost a leader and countless others trying to put it all together?

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/07/25/plans-stockpile-food-blood-medicine-case-no-deal-brexit-sensible/

Everyone should take comfort from that  - why shouldn't this generation experience what those in WW2 went through  ! Stockpile indeed there will be a rush to buy the dry food stockpiled too - then we will be told that retail sales  are at an all- time high .

Who will panic the most ?  - the poor , the disabled and of course the sick !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 26, 2018, 08:37:44 am
https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/913065/Brexit-news-European-Union-EU-UK-BBC-bias-latest-vote-referendum/amp

Funny how that 'research' seems to leave out all the rest of the News programme spectrum such as all the individual news bulletins, Newsnight, Daily Politics, Today programme, PM, The World At One, etc. etc. etc., and just talks about two single programmes. Where are the figures for all the rest? It couldn't be selective reporting at all, could it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on July 26, 2018, 09:13:54 am
Come on Glyn, the whole media has bias to its agenda one way or another. A neutral press is an illusion
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 26, 2018, 09:20:12 am
Come on Glyn, the whole media has bias to its agenda one way or another. A neutral press is an illusion

So you'd agree that quoting one news source to prove another news source is biased is doubly pointless?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 26, 2018, 09:54:39 am
Come on Glyn, the whole media has bias to its agenda one way or another. A neutral press is an illusion
While this is true, the BBC is certainly about as neutral as you're going to get. It's often to the detriment of the story, too. Not all topics are balanced. Take climate change - 97% of the world's scientists agree on the matter, the facts are inarguable. But because the Beeb has to be balanced, they're forced to present both sides of the issue equally. So they'll have climate change denying wingnuts given equal platforms alongside respected climate scientists. The angling that the BBC is anti-Brexit isn't something I've found to be true - they were very balanced in their reporting. Look at the TV time Farage, Johnson and the rest got.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on July 26, 2018, 11:43:09 am
I think the proof that the been is fairly balanced (relatively) is that everyone thinks it is biased against them.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on July 26, 2018, 11:45:37 am
Come on Glyn, the whole media has bias to its agenda one way or another. A neutral press is an illusion

So you'd agree that quoting one news source to prove another news source is biased is doubly pointless?

To an extent yes, belive what you see and experience, not what you are told, hear or read. Everything is biased, consciously or subconsciously, it's human nature
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 26, 2018, 01:36:08 pm
The only measurement are verifiable statistics and even those are open to much interpretation. It's better to list those newspapers that folk generally agree are in one group or the other :-

      Pro- Brexit                     Anti- Brexit

       The Sun                       The Guardian
       The Daily Mail            The Observer
       The Daily Express      The Sunday Times
       The Mail on Sunday   The Independent
       The Times                    The Metro
       The Daily Telegraph    The Daily Mirror

As for the broadcasters many would argue that the BBC especially would peddle the Government line  never wanting to have any unpatriotic labels applied to them . Andrew Neil's political team on the BBC now being disbanded - job done .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on July 26, 2018, 02:13:01 pm
I don't know if the MoS has changed its editorial stance since the Referendum, but during the campaign it was very pro-Remain. In stark contrast to its sister Daily paper.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 26, 2018, 02:16:10 pm
I don't know if the MoS has changed its editorial stance since the Referendum, but during the campaign it was very pro-Remain. In stark contrast to its sister Daily paper.

Hmm you could be right on that one , perhaps that should fit in the middle ? That is just my perception of what I read
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 26, 2018, 04:32:09 pm
I don't know if the MoS has changed its editorial stance since the Referendum, but during the campaign it was very pro-Remain. In stark contrast to its sister Daily paper.

The two have been attacking each other for ages, as you'll know if you read Private Eye. It's a battle of egos between Dacre and Greig.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 26, 2018, 05:06:54 pm
https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/913065/Brexit-news-European-Union-EU-UK-BBC-bias-latest-vote-referendum/amp

Funny how that 'research' seems to leave out all the rest of the News programme spectrum such as all the individual news bulletins, Newsnight, Daily Politics, Today programme, PM, The World At One, etc. etc. etc., and just talks about two single programmes. Where are the figures for all the rest? It couldn't be selective reporting at all, could it?

Strange indeed that it is so selective or is it just bending of the news to suit the answer you want to get  ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 26, 2018, 06:23:23 pm
By the way. You might recall me pointing out that the head of Vote Leave is on record as crowing that they paid some clever guys to focus adverts in the final week of the campaign through Facebook to people who they had (illegally) identified as being susceptible to being anti-immigrant. Cummings said they sent 1.5bn adds to 7million people.

Facebook have given Parliament a document with images from those ads.

Here they are.

https://www.parliament.uk/documents/commons-committees/culture-media-and-sport/Fake_news_evidence/Vote-Leave-50-Million-Ads.pdf
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 27, 2018, 12:27:33 am
https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/913065/Brexit-news-European-Union-EU-UK-BBC-bias-latest-vote-referendum/amp

Funny how that 'research' seems to leave out all the rest of the News programme spectrum such as all the individual news bulletins, Newsnight, Daily Politics, Today programme, PM, The World At One, etc. etc. etc., and just talks about two single programmes. Where are the figures for all the rest? It couldn't be selective reporting at all, could it?

Strange indeed that it is so selective or is it just bending of the news to suit the answer you want to get  ?
no hoola I couldn’t find any information on any of the other programmes you said
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 27, 2018, 12:36:05 am
By the way. You might recall me pointing out that the head of Vote Leave is on record as crowing that they paid some clever guys to focus adverts in the final week of the campaign through Facebook to people who they had (illegally) identified as being susceptible to being anti-immigrant. Cummings said they sent 1.5bn adds to 7million people.

Facebook have given Parliament a document with images from those ads.

Here they are.

https://www.parliament.uk/documents/commons-committees/culture-media-and-sport/Fake_news_evidence/Vote-Leave-50-Million-Ads.pdf

Christ Almighty , there is hardly a scintilla of truth amongst any of it .

People still insist that this might not have tipped the balance . If I thought they might have any truth in them I would have voted Leave !!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 27, 2018, 12:39:54 am
https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/913065/Brexit-news-European-Union-EU-UK-BBC-bias-latest-vote-referendum/amp

Funny how that 'research' seems to leave out all the rest of the News programme spectrum such as all the individual news bulletins, Newsnight, Daily Politics, Today programme, PM, The World At One, etc. etc. etc., and just talks about two single programmes. Where are the figures for all the rest? It couldn't be selective reporting at all, could it?

Strange indeed that it is so selective or is it just bending of the news to suit the answer you want to get  ?
no hoola I couldn’t find any information on any of the other programmes you said

Forget that look at the disgusting lies that Facebook have confirmed were selectively picked out specifically to bring about the vote Leave - I'm surprised you haven't commented on that first :(
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 27, 2018, 12:43:02 am
1.5bn ads. In 1 week.

And think about how they were sent.

Not “Look at ME!”

Just the ones that flash up almost subconsciously at the side of the screen when you load a page.

£350m a week for the NHS if we leave Europe.

Millions of Turks and Serbs and Albanians coming here if we stay.

Over and over and over and over again. Directed at people who had been profiled as not being very politically aware, and who were upset about immigration.

George Orwell had no idea...

It’s not done by kicking people in the knackers if they don’t agree with you and having massive posters saying Lies are Truth and imprisoning people if they rebel.

It’s done by imperceptibly whispering into 7 million isolated pairs of ears. In a way that makes them certain that the lies are truth and makes them kick back against anyone who points out that the lies are actually lies.

And that’s not ME being a sanctimonious holier than thou t**t saying that. The Leader of Vote Leave is on You Tube bragging about it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 27, 2018, 12:53:09 am
Be interesting if anyone on here received them  - I certainly don't think I would have been one of their targets
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 27, 2018, 07:03:45 am
Subliminal cuts have been used for donkey's years. They were used in radio broadcasts in WW2. They are now used on bigger audiences like social media.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 27, 2018, 09:04:22 am
Yes. But in the past they weren't directly fired at individuals based on illegally harvested data.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 27, 2018, 09:08:12 am
Subliminal cuts have been used for donkey's years. They were used in radio broadcasts in WW2. They are now used on bigger audiences like social media.

How did they get something subliminal on the radio?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 27, 2018, 09:21:53 am
Subliminal cuts have been used for donkey's years. They were used in radio broadcasts in WW2. They are now used on bigger audiences like social media.

That’s missing the point.

1) If it’s on the radio, EVERYONE can hear it. Therefore people can counter lies. Can’t do that if lies are being whispered into people’s ears on social media. And they were lies. Just look at that link.

2) The adverts were aimed specifically at people who had been profiled as being susceptible to accepting the lies. And the profiling was done illegally. In two ways. Cambridge Analytica and Aggregate IQ broke the law by getting illegal access to people’s Facebook data. And Vote Leave broke the law by creating a fake organisation to channel funding to those companies without declaring it.

This is REALLY important. Can’t you see it? Democracy is being bought.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 27, 2018, 09:30:32 am
This is REALLY important. Can’t you see it? Democracy is being bought.

It's terrifying that the general public just don't seem to care about it, either.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 27, 2018, 09:43:42 am
BST. Of course I can see it. I'm just saying that it's not a new thing!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 27, 2018, 09:45:31 am
But it is a new thing. For the reasons I gave. It’s hidden. And it’s focussed.

And it’s illegal.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 27, 2018, 09:49:02 am
No, it isn't a new thing!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 27, 2018, 09:56:50 am
So when in the past have FOCUSSED, HIDDEN messages been sent specifically to people who have been PROFILED as being susceptible to being receptive to them? In such a way that it’s impossible to counter them?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 27, 2018, 09:59:44 am
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/a-short-history-of-the-rise-fall-and-rise-of-subliminal-messaging/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 27, 2018, 10:21:53 am
That’s similar in that it’s trying to subconsciously influence people, but it’s not what we’re talking about. This is about PROFILING, then sending hidden messages.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 27, 2018, 10:28:11 am
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/a-short-history-of-the-rise-fall-and-rise-of-subliminal-messaging/

I hate myself when I use sarcasm or ridicule people to get a point across, but as has been said before BB you do understand and deliberately refuse to accept the truth, so Ill type this slowly for you, the concept of subliminal messaging has be known and used for years but the ability to tailor and deliver it to individuals has not been accomplished or acheived on such a mamoth scale.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 27, 2018, 10:41:59 am
Now let me say this to you slowly also. I did say that they are now used on bigger audiences like social media. Before that, they were used on the radio and then later on TV.

My point is that it is not new!

Now, tell me where I said anything else.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 27, 2018, 10:44:25 am
BB.

No one is arguing against you on that. It’s just very frustrating that you seem to be determined to ignore the central point.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 27, 2018, 10:54:45 am
No BST, YOU'RE the one ignoring the central point.

You refuse to accept anything I say, and I can live with that, but I wonder how many potential posters are put off by your constant attempts to put words into other posters mouths. Perhaps what's more alarming is those who actually don't realise you do that.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 27, 2018, 10:59:57 am
No BST, YOU'RE the one ignoring the central point.

You refuse to accept anything I say, and I can live with that, but I wonder how many potential posters are put off by your constant attempts to put words into other posters mouths. Perhaps what's more alarming is those who actually don't realise you do that.
[/quote
George Greengrass suddenly came to mind!.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 27, 2018, 11:03:44 am
BB

I ACCEPT that subliminal advertising has gone on for years. I SAID earlier in this thread that what you were talking about was similar in that it aimed at sub-consciously influencing people.

But it is a fact that that what we are talking about differs from that because of the profiling. Do you want me to say “Yes BB. You’re right, they ARE precisely the same thing,” when they aren’t?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on July 27, 2018, 11:05:18 am
 Just a thought, while the leave campaign has been taken to court, has all the funding for the remain campaign ( the large walks etc in London last month ) and the campaign that is still going on two years later that needs funding been added up.
  Someone must be putting in a fair wedge even now, for this sustained effort to keep us in the blessed thing.
   Billies electric bill must be massive, or is he using the firms computer for his own campaign.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 27, 2018, 11:07:56 am
Now let me say this to you slowly also. I did say that they are now used on bigger audiences like social media. Before that, they were used on the radio and then later on TV.

My point is that it is not new!

Now, tell me where I said anything else.
So do you accept that tailored messaging to susceptible individuals playing on their already dodgy views on racism has never been done on such a large scale?.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 27, 2018, 11:11:21 am
By the way. You might recall me pointing out that the head of Vote Leave is on record as crowing that they paid some clever guys to focus adverts in the final week of the campaign through Facebook to people who they had (illegally) identified as being susceptible to being anti-immigrant. Cummings said they sent 1.5bn adds to 7million people.

Facebook have given Parliament a document with images from those ads.

Here they are.

https://www.parliament.uk/documents/commons-committees/culture-media-and-sport/Fake_news_evidence/Vote-Leave-50-Million-Ads.pdf

And there’s all sorts of stuff coming out of the cesspool of Vote Leave Facebook posts.

When MP Jo Cox was murdered by that far right terrorist, who shouted “Britain First” as he shot her in the face, both sides of the campaign agreed to stop campaigning for three days from 16-1@ June as a mark of respect.

Except the Vote Leave Facebook adds went on being sent out. As w now know from the Facebook records released to Parliament.

https://mobile.twitter.com/veritasta/status/1022752615447375872/photo/3

So Vote Leave wasn’t just criminal. It was unethical, immoral and untrustworthy too.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 27, 2018, 11:12:29 am
Yes, BST, I want you to say I'm right in that it's intention to sub-consciously influence people is a donkey's years old process.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 27, 2018, 11:15:02 am
Nobody ever said it wasn't...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 27, 2018, 11:18:20 am
Now let me say this to you slowly also. I did say that they are now used on bigger audiences like social media. Before that, they were used on the radio and then later on TV.

My point is that it is not new!

Now, tell me where I said anything else.
So do you accept that tailored messaging to susceptible individuals playing on their already dodgy views on racism has never been done on such a large scale?.

Whether I accept that or not isn't the point. You're just trying a Billyesque approach to change the subject.

Thinking about it though, wouldn't you have thought they'd have concentrated on influencing more potential remainers rather than those who were already potential leavers?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 27, 2018, 11:20:24 am
BB

Yes. It is. Unquestionably.

It’s also not what we are talking about.

Two blokes in the pub:
First one says, “Have you seen those driverless cars?”

Second one says, “So what? Henry Ford was making cars a hundred years back.”
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 27, 2018, 11:21:58 am
Now let me say this to you slowly also. I did say that they are now used on bigger audiences like social media. Before that, they were used on the radio and then later on TV.

My point is that it is not new!

Now, tell me where I said anything else.
So do you accept that tailored messaging to susceptible individuals playing on their already dodgy views on racism has never been done on such a large scale?.

Whether I accept that or not isn't the point. You're just trying a Billyesque approach to change the subject.

Thinking about it though, wouldn't you have thought they'd have concentrated on influencing more potential remainers rather than those who were already potential leavers?

But it is the point if that what i asked, dont cha think?.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 27, 2018, 11:24:52 am
Now let me say this to you slowly also. I did say that they are now used on bigger audiences like social media. Before that, they were used on the radio and then later on TV.

My point is that it is not new!

Now, tell me where I said anything else.
So do you accept that tailored messaging to susceptible individuals playing on their already dodgy views on racism has never been done on such a large scale?.

Whether I accept that or not isn't the point. You're just trying a Billyesque approach to change the subject.

Thinking about it though, wouldn't you have thought they'd have concentrated on influencing more potential remainers rather than those who were already potential leavers?

No. That’s not how it works. What they were doing was mobilising people who would normally sit on their arses, to get out and vote. It wasn’t about trying to change opinions. It was about making people with a Brexit opinion so scared or angry that they would change the habit of a lifetime and go and vote. Cummings is on record as saying this himself. That was the whole point of the campaign.

That’s the new politics. And that’s where I’m old fashioned. I think democracy is about arguing over facts and coming to a decision. The new politics is about identifying people who aren’t politically savvy, then secretly pouring lies into their ears to tell them that their prejudices and instincts are correct, and if they don’t get out and vote, that other bunch of bas**rds over there will win and everything that you hate and fear will come to pass.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 27, 2018, 12:20:09 pm
How can you put something subliminal on the radio? It's a complete contradiction in terms!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 27, 2018, 12:59:08 pm
The ads on Facebook weren't subliminal, they were either overt or supraliminal, which means you can see them even if you don't explicitly always notice them. Sort of like the FSF logo that's on this very site. Also BB is right that you can technically put subliminal messages in audio and it has been tried out in the past, although its effectiveness is disputed, so whether it counts is up for debate. Not that it has much to do with the discussion at hand!

Isn't it weird how arguments about Brexit tend to get mired in odd tangents about semantics and never address the facts at hand? I wonder why this could be?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 27, 2018, 09:14:29 pm
Just a thought, while the leave campaign has been taken to court, has all the funding for the remain campaign ( the large walks etc in London last month ) and the campaign that is still going on two years later that needs funding been added up.
  Someone must be putting in a fair wedge even now, for this sustained effort to keep us in the blessed thing.
   Billies electric bill must be massive, or is he using the firms computer for his own campaign.

Yes a fair bit I know I have personally put £'00s of my own taxed money into it - that's how much of the money is raised .
It's not like Arron Banks suddenly finding a £ 7/8,000,000 wedge from his own bank account when his own partner admits their business has been struggling and even he " couldnt explain where the money came from " . Apparently it was , according to Banks when interviewed , " from my bank current account of course " . Seems he doesn't need to explain where his donations came from - do I take it that you are 100%  happy with that explanation selby knowing that he had countless meetings with not only the Russian ambassador but other unidentified Russians. Are you more comfortable with his explanation or mine ?

Incidentally why do huge walks cost vast sums of money - costs me nowt to walk ?

Trump/Brexit/ Russians/ Dark money- all seem inter -connected and the rise of populism throughout the West and Anglophone nations is not a coincidence. Preying on folks fears on immigration and the dismissal of experts however has its roots in a far- darker past.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 27, 2018, 09:35:56 pm
By the way. You might recall me pointing out that the head of Vote Leave is on record as crowing that they paid some clever guys to focus adverts in the final week of the campaign through Facebook to people who they had (illegally) identified as being susceptible to being anti-immigrant. Cummings said they sent 1.5bn adds to 7million people.

Facebook have given Parliament a document with images from those ads.

Here they are.

https://www.parliament.uk/documents/commons-committees/culture-media-and-sport/Fake_news_evidence/Vote-Leave-50-Million-Ads.pdf

And there’s all sorts of stuff coming out of the cesspool of Vote Leave Facebook posts.

When MP Jo Cox was murdered by that far right terrorist, who shouted “Britain First” as he shot her in the face, both sides of the campaign agreed to stop campaigning for three days from 16-1@ June as a mark of respect.

Except the Vote Leave Facebook adds went on being sent out. As w now know from the Facebook records released to Parliament.

https://mobile.twitter.com/veritasta/status/1022752615447375872/photo/3

So Vote Leave wasn’t just criminal. It was unethical, immoral and untrustworthy too.

Not quite sure what to make of that - why wtf did they do that for . I'm not sure immoral was quite the word for it .

Noticed that Facebook released all this stuff when the summer recess had started as well . That's not a coincidence , let the hullabaloo die down before Parliament sits again.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 27, 2018, 10:31:20 pm
Cummings is claiming today that the adverts weren’t sent out during the embargo period. They were just uploaded then for subsequent release.

Maybe that’s the truth. But it’s not what the FB data released by Parliament says. And to be honest, he sounds deranged on his blog. Firing off abusive missives at the Select Committee chair, and releasing a Parliamentary report which is supposed to be not published till Sunday with the line “I’ve published the report on my blog, f**k the charlatan embargo.

It’s rather unsettling to be honest. Like watching a public nervous breakdown. The man is hugely intelligent, but seems to have no concept of the responsibilities that go alongside involvement in public life. He seems to consider every person in politics to be beneath him and contemptible (bizarrely, excluding Gove and Johnson). That sort of God complex is unlikely to lead to long term mental stability.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 28, 2018, 09:23:30 am
It wouldn't surprise me that if he gets punished more for publishing the report during the embargo than he does for anything he did on FB.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 28, 2018, 10:56:35 am
He can’t Glyn. It wasn’t officially sent to him. Someone leaked it to him.

There’s a method in his madness though. The press were given advance copies so they could write up articles in the Sunday papers. That’s why it was embargoed. By releasing it early, Cummings has spiked those stories. The news dribbles out with half-completed stories not ready for publication and research by journalists not completed. So it doesn’t command the news agenda to the same extent.

It’s a desperate act though. It won’t win him many friends in Parliament. And it’ll raise questions among the police investigating the criminal acts that Vote Leave engaged in.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on July 28, 2018, 12:18:01 pm
  Hoola if you think the rallies cost nothing you must be from Mars.
  Do you really think that the good and great would speak at them for F**K all, don't think for one minute they would do it for nowt, and it would be plus expenses in the Dorchester.
  It is after all their job getting the unwashed to follow. I bet the best profit  margin would be the placards.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Hounslowrover on July 28, 2018, 02:43:34 pm
Selby, of course rallies cost money, the People's vote crowdfunded nearly £150000 for the June march to pay for staffing, leaflets, advertising and security etc.  They are doing the same for the October march.  The speakers aren't paid, otherwise the MPs who speak would have to declare it.  Where is your evidence that they get paid or stay in expensive hotels?
 Let's have constructive criticism, not meaningless tirades with no basis!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 28, 2018, 07:35:06 pm
  Hoola if you think the rallies cost nothing you must be from Mars.
  Do you really think that the good and great would speak at them for F**K all, don't think for one minute they would do it for nowt, and it would be plus expenses in the Dorchester.
  It is after all their job getting the unwashed to follow. I bet the best profit  margin would be the placards.

Why do you come out with such bollox , people that speak at these sort of rallies do it because they believe in them not for the fat paycheck. Who stayed at the Dorchester or similar 5* hotel , I'm intrigued where you get this stuff from......This is NOT THE 2 Leave campaigns
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 28, 2018, 07:58:50 pm
BB. Bpool. Boomstick.

You’ve been insistent that the economic disaster predicted by the Remain side either didn’t happen as predicted or wouldn’t affect ordinary people.

Look at the graph just down from the top of this page.

https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/nationalaccounts/uksectoraccounts/articles/makingendsmeetarehouseholdslivingbeyondtheirmeans/2018-07-26

f**k me. What a catastrophe.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 28, 2018, 08:20:08 pm
I said there wasn't an immediate recession, as promised by the remain campaigners.

Are you saying now that there was?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 28, 2018, 08:36:57 pm
BB

No. No I’m not. As you well know. I’m saying that there’s been an immediate and very severe economic hit (just as predicted) which for technical reasons didn’t translate into an official recession.

Happy now?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 28, 2018, 09:26:22 pm
In recent polls, 30% of those surveyed said their preferred Brexit outcome was for us to walk away with no deal.

Several folk on here have said the same thing.

If that’s your belief, you really need to be reading this. Every word of it. And then sitting down in the quiet and having a think.


http://www.politics.co.uk/blogs/2018/07/27/this-is-what-no-deal-brexit-actually-looks-like
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 28, 2018, 10:25:31 pm
Or if you dont have time to do that you could instead read this list of 36 things that will happen under no deal:

https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/thirty-six-things-that-will-happen-if-britain-crashes-out-of-europe-with-no-deal
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 28, 2018, 10:34:31 pm
And if you have plenty of time and want an impartial view of where we are now, how we got here and what chance Theresa May has of doing anything about it, this is worth reading:

https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2018/07/30/theresa-mays-impossible-choice
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on July 28, 2018, 10:41:28 pm
I voted leave, I think I would vote remain in a 2nd referendum due to the monumental f**k up of negotiations
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 28, 2018, 10:52:29 pm
Thing is Ldr. There was never any prospect of the negotiations being anything other than a monumental f**k up.

To negotiate, you need a strong bottom line. The one that says “Give is something or we will walk away”. 

That’s what this bunch of f**king idiots is now trying to do with the No Deal threat. But the EU negotiators know that would be Britain cutting our own throat. So they are laughing at the threat.

And that means there’s zero incentive on the EU to give an inch. Why on Earth should they? Would you? Would you say “Yeah go on. You e abused us and lied about us for years. Let’s give you a deal that gives you all the benefits and none of the problems!”

So the EU says in fact. “Here’s the deal. You do what we say or...well or what? You e no alternative.”

And the Right Wing of the Tory Party says “How dare they! We’re British! We’ll bloody well walk away.”

Etc. Etc. Etc.

Round and round the f**king hamster wheel.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on July 28, 2018, 11:02:22 pm
With hindsight I dont doubt it. I still think leaving was the right decision( I am opposed to the thought of a federal europe which is the statied aim of the EU project (cant remember who posted the preamble) but the shite isnt worth it at this stage mate
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 28, 2018, 11:19:44 pm
There’s no chance of a Federal Europe. But I respect your decision. I also think that’s a foolish project. But the way I see it, there’s way too much resistance across the continent for that to happen in our lifetimes. And us committing economic suicide isn’t going to make a jot of difference.

Anyway. It doesn’t matter who was right or wrong beforehand. I’d genuinely be delighted if the Brexiters found a way to guide us through this without crippling our economy. Because this is really f**king serious now. What matters is not winning arguments points, but stopping the country barrelling into the biggest economic catastrophe since WWII.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Ldr on July 28, 2018, 11:20:54 pm
Its a shitstorm of monumental proportions
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 28, 2018, 11:25:46 pm
In my more optimistic moments, I see us stumbling to October with no f**king idea of how to negotiate our way out of the shitstorm. And the EU saying: Right. You know you’ve f**ked up. We know you’ve f**ked up. Two choices now. 1) You Leave with No Deal. Door’s over there. Shut it behind you. Good luck. 2) We have a Transition Period of undefined length during which nothing will change (except you don’t get to vote on anything - we’ll let you know the decisions) and you go away and take as long as you need to figure out what the f**k you want to do with your future as a grown up nation. We’ll dress it up a bit better than that for you, but that’s the choice.


Instead, at the moment, we have May re-hashing ideas that are acceptable to neither her own party nor the EU, then telling the EU that they must give. To which, if I were an EU negotiator, I’d say: Yeah? Or you’ll do WHAT precisely? Go out and parrot “No Deal is better than a Bad Deal” again? Off you go then.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 29, 2018, 01:40:30 am
Its a shitstorm of monumental proportions

Truly a clusterf**k, I've just read the very serious and interesting conversation between the 2 of you sensing there is a need for conciliation between all parties . Until we do work together and start listening to each other we will get further and further bogged down I wish the ideologues from both sides could begin the same process .

Common sense has to prevail now , priorities need to be set and red lines need to become amber one's . We somehow have too rescue as much as possible from a very weak position. Bearing in mind the obstacles we face and the divisions between us ; I can't think how we can bring that about.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 29, 2018, 02:07:12 pm
Cummings is claiming today that the adverts weren’t sent out during the embargo period. They were just uploaded then for subsequent release.

Maybe that’s the truth. But it’s not what the FB data released by Parliament says. And to be honest, he sounds deranged on his blog. Firing off abusive missives at the Select Committee chair, and releasing a Parliamentary report which is supposed to be not published till Sunday with the line “I’ve published the report on my blog, f**k the charlatan embargo.

It’s rather unsettling to be honest. Like watching a public nervous breakdown. The man is hugely intelligent, but seems to have no concept of the responsibilities that go alongside involvement in public life. He seems to consider every person in politics to be beneath him and contemptible (bizarrely, excluding Gove and Johnson). That sort of God complex is unlikely to lead to long term mental stability.

I was prepared to give Cummings the benefit of the doubt over the ads during the no-campaigning period. Seems like he was just lying through his teeth. Here’s an exchange between leading Vote Leave social media managers on the second day of the embargo.

https://mobile.twitter.com/carolecadwalla/status/1023519220271915008

“The ads come back online at 10pm tonight.”

Utterly without morals. The whole thing f**king stinks.

It doesn’t matter that the atmosphere has got so fevered that a far-right terrorist who was obsessed with his country being over run by immigrants has just blown off the face of an MP, a wife and a mother. We’re going to ignore the campaigning embargo and keep on whispering our lies about immigrants and the EU into the ears of people who we’ve illegally identified as being susceptible to this lies
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 29, 2018, 02:56:38 pm
Meanwhile.

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/army-on-standby-for-no-deal-brexit-emergency-dz3359lrf

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/dont-panic-well-deal-with-no-deal-bs7sk5vxg

What was it Gove said? Oh aye. We hold all the cards in the Brexit negotiations.

What was it Fox said? Oh aye. The negotiations will be the easiest ever.

Still, bright side, eh? Many of the pensioner Brexit voters were pining for a Britain that they remembered from the past. Looks like they’ll get what the wanted. No deal Brexit means the shops will be empty, there’ll be rationing and you’ll die from what should be easily treatable I’ll esses because we’ll not have the medicine. Just like the 1940s.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 29, 2018, 04:09:36 pm
I don't see why there will be any food shortages there is enough time to plan ahead, just a scaremongering tactic
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 29, 2018, 04:14:28 pm
It’s the Government that is stockpiling food. It’s the Govt that has decided not to give weekly updates on its contingency plans because they are worried that there will be panic.

As for it being scaremongering, I’m assuming you didn’t read the link I put up last night?

Why don’t YOU think there will be shortages. What have you read or heard that gives you confidence that there won’t be?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 29, 2018, 04:17:49 pm
Not been funny mate but how do countries that are not in the eu manage? There is plenty of time to either sort a deal or have other plans in place, said
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 29, 2018, 04:32:55 pm
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/analysis-and-features/no-deal-brexit-day-one-what-happens-economy-transport-nhs-eu-citizens-a8463636.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 29, 2018, 04:38:47 pm
That's a nice little story glyn
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 29, 2018, 05:10:29 pm
Bpool

They have arrangements which develop. Slowly. Over decades.

If we have a No Deal Brexit, that means that at the end of March, we SUDDENLY have all our agreements with suppliers and customers lapse.

That’s the problem. No one is yanking your chain here. It is THAT serious.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 29, 2018, 05:13:45 pm
https://www.theguardian.com/money/2017/sep/02/economic-forecasting-flawed-science-data
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 29, 2018, 05:24:17 pm
BB

This is pointless. We’ve had this discussion a dozen times. You never, ever engage with the core issue. So there’s no point.

You convince yourself that no one can predict the effect of recession. That’s fine. You can also ignore the fact that the economic effects of Brexit that were predicted to date have come to pass pretty much exactly as predicted. You ignore that. That’s fine. It’s your prerogative. I’m done trying to convince you otherwise.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 29, 2018, 05:27:59 pm
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/jul/29/oh-for-the-days-when-it-was-always-brussels-fault-brexit-jeremy-hunt
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 29, 2018, 05:29:25 pm
http://www1.secam.ex.ac.uk/famous-forecasting-quotes.dhtml
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 29, 2018, 05:32:44 pm
http://www1.secam.ex.ac.uk/famous-forecasting-quotes.dhtml

'If nobody can predict the future, how do bookmakers make a living?'
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 29, 2018, 05:38:46 pm
That's a nice little story glyn

Not 'Project Fear', then?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 29, 2018, 05:49:11 pm
https://www.express.co.uk/comment/expresscomment/994973/food-prices-drop-post-brexit-empthy-supermarket-shelves-britain/amp
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 29, 2018, 05:52:12 pm
https://www.quora.com/How-does-the-betting-system-work-How-does-the-bookie-make-a-profit
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on July 29, 2018, 11:20:54 pm
https://www.express.co.uk/comment/expresscomment/994973/food-prices-drop-post-brexit-empthy-supermarket-shelves-britain/amp

 
If you  believe what you read in the Express then there really is no hope for you.
 
Mind you, it does explain a lot about your logic.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 30, 2018, 01:32:53 am
But at a guess the mirror and the independent will be good papers?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 30, 2018, 02:44:44 am
http://www1.secam.ex.ac.uk/famous-forecasting-quotes.dhtml

https://www.scientology.org.au/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 30, 2018, 02:48:08 am
https://www.express.co.uk/comment/expresscomment/994973/food-prices-drop-post-brexit-empthy-supermarket-shelves-britain/amp

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ross_Clark_(journalist)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 30, 2018, 02:59:24 am
Rightwing UK thinktank 'offered ministerial access' to potential US donors

This could hugely benefit US farmers by lifting the ban on the sale in the UK of beef from cattle treated with growth hormones and chlorine-washed chicken.

M-mmm-southern fried chloriny chicken, would you like some hormones with that?

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jul/29/rightwing-thinktank-ministerial-access-potential-us-donors-insitute-of-economic-affairs-brexit
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 30, 2018, 03:08:39 am
The point I was making Sydney is we’re not going to starve the minute we leave the eu, it’s scaremongering
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 30, 2018, 03:36:27 am
https://www.express.co.uk/comment/expresscomment/994973/food-prices-drop-post-brexit-empthy-supermarket-shelves-britain/amp

Nothing to worry about then think of the time saved  pawing over each and every item when the choice is limited to fewer items . Of course Brexit will have a further dividend in that these items will be so much cheaper at the tills.
What joy - it can't happen soon enough and there was all that other bollox written by people in the trade feck me ....What do they know !
I'm now an Expressiteer.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 30, 2018, 03:57:19 am
This is your man , the Libertarian journalist who writes for the Spectator as well as other right wing rags. Hardly an expert ? 

https://www.revolvy.com/page/Ross-Clark-%28journalist%29

He has collaborated in the past with this particular politician :-

https://www.revolvy.com/page/Neil-O%27Brien

You can draw your own conclusions when You have read his bibliography.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 30, 2018, 07:26:48 am
The point I was making Sydney is we’re not going to starve the minute we leave the eu, it’s scaremongering

Agreed only a fool would say that bpool, but even you would have to admit that things are not going well where ever you look and all these are starting to add up, chiselling away at people's wages and savings and trips abroad. What will happen when regional areas stop getting European development funds, will we go back to feeding the London black hole? These are the things we need our leaders to spell out in blood so if it doesn't happen and they do go back to the bad old days they are forced to resign every f*cking one of them.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 30, 2018, 09:53:48 am
2500 GBP = 23,656.5000 DKK
264.2500 GBP = 2500 DKK
on 06/06/2016

Best current rate is now DKK 20616

This is a perfect example of the loss in the exchange rate , I know because I have just ordered  £ 2500  ready to take my daughter to her new university in Copenhagen. 3040 Danish Kroner less than what it would have been. I would need to spend some £ 2800 now . Now I am sure there are millions of examples out there of people that are out of pocket too on their holidays this year . This is but one example now imagine the problems that our importers of food from the EU are faced with when filling their shelves of every product.
They either have to work on lower profit margins or increase their prices. Evidence is that they have probably done both but for how long . If they make less profits they then will pay less to the Exchequer. All this is purely down to currency exchange rates.

Similarly £ to € , it was 1.29 ( 1/6/16 ) but now is 1.12 leave you to do the maths.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on July 30, 2018, 12:18:12 pm
Thing is Ldr. There was never any prospect of the negotiations being anything other than a monumental f**k up.

To negotiate, you need a strong bottom line. The one that says “Give is something or we will walk away”. 

That’s what this bunch of f**king idiots is now trying to do with the No Deal threat. But the EU negotiators know that would be Britain cutting our own throat. So they are laughing at the threat.

And that means there’s zero incentive on the EU to give an inch. Why on Earth should they? Would you? Would you say “Yeah go on. You e abused us and lied about us for years. Let’s give you a deal that gives you all the benefits and none of the problems!”

So the EU says in fact. “Here’s the deal. You do what we say or...well or what? You e no alternative.”

And the Right Wing of the Tory Party says “How dare they! We’re British! We’ll bloody well walk away.”

Etc. Etc. Etc.

Round and round the f**king hamster wheel.

And that is exactly what I said in my opening post of this thread
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 30, 2018, 12:30:29 pm
Thing is Ldr. There was never any prospect of the negotiations being anything other than a monumental f**k up.

To negotiate, you need a strong bottom line. The one that says “Give is something or we will walk away”. 

That’s what this bunch of f**king idiots is now trying to do with the No Deal threat. But the EU negotiators know that would be Britain cutting our own throat. So they are laughing at the threat.

And that means there’s zero incentive on the EU to give an inch. Why on Earth should they? Would you? Would you say “Yeah go on. You e abused us and lied about us for years. Let’s give you a deal that gives you all the benefits and none of the problems!”

So the EU says in fact. “Here’s the deal. You do what we say or...well or what? You e no alternative.”

And the Right Wing of the Tory Party says “How dare they! We’re British! We’ll bloody well walk away.”

Etc. Etc. Etc.

Round and round the f**king hamster wheel.

And that is exactly what I said in my opening post of this thread

You did indeed Filo and how right you were . Sorry the site went down here but you also said that France owed us a debt going back many years and of course Germany still owed Greece a substantial amount of war reparations.

However those 2 points you raised were never going to compensate the 27 or could they put their principal tenets at risk and risk losing the EU project over us .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 30, 2018, 12:43:28 pm
Filo.

Yes, but that’s not because the EU is trying to be deliberately obstructive. They are just playing their hand. In order to get the best result for them. There’s nothing immoral or unfair about that. It’s how serious negotiations work. We’ve stumbled into a situation where we hold none of the cards. And we are panicking. Despite having been told by Gove and Fox and Johnson that we would be easily able to negotiate a deal.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 30, 2018, 01:06:57 pm
None of us are comfortable with that situation either - how do we get any benefit from losing which was suggested earlier by another poster . It's costing us all a load of money, going " all in " on a pair of deuces.

It's cost me £300  on one currency exchange transaction alone . No doubt the decision has cost us all in different ways .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on July 30, 2018, 01:12:21 pm
Thing is Ldr. There was never any prospect of the negotiations being anything other than a monumental f**k up.

To negotiate, you need a strong bottom line. The one that says “Give is something or we will walk away”. 

That’s what this bunch of f**king idiots is now trying to do with the No Deal threat. But the EU negotiators know that would be Britain cutting our own throat. So they are laughing at the threat.

And that means there’s zero incentive on the EU to give an inch. Why on Earth should they? Would you? Would you say “Yeah go on. You e abused us and lied about us for years. Let’s give you a deal that gives you all the benefits and none of the problems!”

So the EU says in fact. “Here’s the deal. You do what we say or...well or what? You e no alternative.”

And the Right Wing of the Tory Party says “How dare they! We’re British! We’ll bloody well walk away.”

Etc. Etc. Etc.

Round and round the f**king hamster wheel.

And that is exactly what I said in my opening post of this thread

You did indeed Filo and how right you were . Sorry the site went down here but you also said that France owed us a debt going back many years and of course Germany still owed Greece a substantial amount of war reparations.

However those 2 points you raised were never going to compensate the 27 or could they put their principal tenets at risk and risk losing the EU project over us .


This might sound like little Englander, but going back to the WW2 every one of those 27 Countries owes us a great debt for standing up to the Nazis, along with our allies, it cost the UK a substantial amount of money to fight that cause, taking years to repay the debt, and now all it appears to be happening is they all collectivley want to stick the knife in our back and give it a good twist, all be it the situation is of our own making. Many Many of our Countrymen died for their freedom. I still say they want to punish us for voting to leave, nothing has been ceeded by them, negotiation is a process where each pary concedes things to gain in other areas, what is happening now is we are being dictated to, hot negotiation
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 30, 2018, 01:29:58 pm
Meanwhile.

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/army-on-standby-for-no-deal-brexit-emergency-dz3359lrf

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/dont-panic-well-deal-with-no-deal-bs7sk5vxg

What was it Gove said? Oh aye. We hold all the cards in the Brexit negotiations.

What was it Fox said? Oh aye. The negotiations will be the easiest ever.

Still, bright side, eh? Many of the pensioner Brexit voters were pining for a Britain that they remembered from the past. Looks like they’ll get what the wanted. No deal Brexit means the shops will be empty, there’ll be rationing and you’ll die from what should be easily treatable I’ll esses because we’ll not have the medicine. Just like the 1940s.
the eu then has a moral obligation as well as a financial one to stop being f**king awkward and agree on a deal
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on July 30, 2018, 01:38:43 pm
Meanwhile.

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/army-on-standby-for-no-deal-brexit-emergency-dz3359lrf

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/dont-panic-well-deal-with-no-deal-bs7sk5vxg

What was it Gove said? Oh aye. We hold all the cards in the Brexit negotiations.

What was it Fox said? Oh aye. The negotiations will be the easiest ever.

Still, bright side, eh? Many of the pensioner Brexit voters were pining for a Britain that they remembered from the past. Looks like they’ll get what the wanted. No deal Brexit means the shops will be empty, there’ll be rationing and you’ll die from what should be easily treatable I’ll esses because we’ll not have the medicine. Just like the 1940s.
the eu then has a moral obligation as well as a financial one to stop being f**king awkward and agree on a deal

Boomstick, I'll buy your house off you. I'll give you £1 and half a pack of chewing gum for it.

What do you mean no? Stop being so f**king awkward, you've got a moral obligation to agree a deal with me!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 30, 2018, 01:54:12 pm
Meanwhile.

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/army-on-standby-for-no-deal-brexit-emergency-dz3359lrf

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/dont-panic-well-deal-with-no-deal-bs7sk5vxg

What was it Gove said? Oh aye. We hold all the cards in the Brexit negotiations.

What was it Fox said? Oh aye. The negotiations will be the easiest ever.

Still, bright side, eh? Many of the pensioner Brexit voters were pining for a Britain that they remembered from the past. Looks like they’ll get what the wanted. No deal Brexit means the shops will be empty, there’ll be rationing and you’ll die from what should be easily treatable I’ll esses because we’ll not have the medicine. Just like the 1940s.
the eu then has a moral obligation as well as a financial one to stop being f**king awkward and agree on a deal

Why do they? we're the ones telling them where to go by leaving.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 30, 2018, 02:05:44 pm
Thing is Ldr. There was never any prospect of the negotiations being anything other than a monumental f**k up.

To negotiate, you need a strong bottom line. The one that says “Give is something or we will walk away”. 

That’s what this bunch of f**king idiots is now trying to do with the No Deal threat. But the EU negotiators know that would be Britain cutting our own throat. So they are laughing at the threat.

And that means there’s zero incentive on the EU to give an inch. Why on Earth should they? Would you? Would you say “Yeah go on. You e abused us and lied about us for years. Let’s give you a deal that gives you all the benefits and none of the problems!”

So the EU says in fact. “Here’s the deal. You do what we say or...well or what? You e no alternative.”

And the Right Wing of the Tory Party says “How dare they! We’re British! We’ll bloody well walk away.”

Etc. Etc. Etc.

Round and round the f**king hamster wheel.

And that is exactly what I said in my opening post of this thread

You did indeed Filo and how right you were . Sorry the site went down here but you also said that France owed us a debt going back many years and of course Germany still owed Greece a substantial amount of war reparations.

However those 2 points you raised were never going to compensate the 27 or could they put their principal tenets at risk and risk losing the EU project over us .


This might sound like little Englander, but going back to the WW2 every one of those 27 Countries owes us a great debt for standing up to the Nazis, along with our allies, it cost the UK a substantial amount of money to fight that cause, taking years to repay the debt, and now all it appears to be happening is they all collectivley want to stick the knife in our back and give it a good twist, all be it the situation is of our own making. Many Many of our Countrymen died for their freedom. I still say they want to punish us for voting to leave, nothing has been ceeded by them, negotiation is a process where each pary concedes things to gain in other areas, what is happening now is we are being dictated to, hot negotiation

Do they still " owe us " and if they did cave in might the EU collapse and have countries at each others throats again ? This is one of the reasons it was set up ......to ensure  that a war never starts ever again . This is one of the reasons WE held the recent EU  Balkan Summit that our foreign secretary at the time did a " no show " at preferring to put his notice in instead.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 30, 2018, 02:37:25 pm
Thing is Ldr. There was never any prospect of the negotiations being anything other than a monumental f**k up.

To negotiate, you need a strong bottom line. The one that says “Give is something or we will walk away”. 

That’s what this bunch of f**king idiots is now trying to do with the No Deal threat. But the EU negotiators know that would be Britain cutting our own throat. So they are laughing at the threat.

And that means there’s zero incentive on the EU to give an inch. Why on Earth should they? Would you? Would you say “Yeah go on. You e abused us and lied about us for years. Let’s give you a deal that gives you all the benefits and none of the problems!”

So the EU says in fact. “Here’s the deal. You do what we say or...well or what? You e no alternative.”

And the Right Wing of the Tory Party says “How dare they! We’re British! We’ll bloody well walk away.”

Etc. Etc. Etc.

Round and round the f**king hamster wheel.

And that is exactly what I said in my opening post of this thread

You did indeed Filo and how right you were . Sorry the site went down here but you also said that France owed us a debt going back many years and of course Germany still owed Greece a substantial amount of war reparations.

However those 2 points you raised were never going to compensate the 27 or could they put their principal tenets at risk and risk losing the EU project over us .


This might sound like little Englander, but going back to the WW2 every one of those 27 Countries owes us a great debt for standing up to the Nazis, along with our allies, it cost the UK a substantial amount of money to fight that cause, taking years to repay the debt, and now all it appears to be happening is they all collectivley want to stick the knife in our back and give it a good twist, all be it the situation is of our own making. Many Many of our Countrymen died for their freedom. I still say they want to punish us for voting to leave, nothing has been ceeded by them, negotiation is a process where each pary concedes things to gain in other areas, what is happening now is we are being dictated to, hot negotiation

You are making exactly the same points you were making 74 pages ago , since then masses of things have happened . I appreciate your points but you haven't taken into account that they had nothing that they were trying or rather had to gain . Many raise 2 particular points that we had as strengths :

1) Trade - fact is very little would alter on that front so it could never be a trump card and to the other side it was always a shared cost between 27 nations , whose combined economic strength was over 6/7 times bigger.
2) Security - we overplayed our hand on this one forgetting we were as reliant on them as they were on us especially with increasing terrorism on the continent over the last 2 years. Another trump card gone .

Following on from this was the EU - Canada, EU- Japan, EU- South Korea and potential EU- AUS  and EU - NZ deals as well as progress in a Ukrainian and Turkish deals .
Seems to me that on trade that leaves us in the hands of the USA, China and South America . All in all that doesn't sound healthy to me.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 30, 2018, 02:45:13 pm
On the shared
Cost hoola I doubt that will be the case, in theory yes but Some of the countries won't be able to split the cost as have no money
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 30, 2018, 02:50:22 pm
Meanwhile.

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/army-on-standby-for-no-deal-brexit-emergency-dz3359lrf

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/dont-panic-well-deal-with-no-deal-bs7sk5vxg

What was it Gove said? Oh aye. We hold all the cards in the Brexit negotiations.

What was it Fox said? Oh aye. The negotiations will be the easiest ever.

Still, bright side, eh? Many of the pensioner Brexit voters were pining for a Britain that they remembered from the past. Looks like they’ll get what the wanted. No deal Brexit means the shops will be empty, there’ll be rationing and you’ll die from what should be easily treatable I’ll esses because we’ll not have the medicine. Just like the 1940s.
the eu then has a moral obligation as well as a financial one to stop being f**king awkward and agree on a deal

Boomstick, I'll buy your house off you. I'll give you £1 and half a pack of chewing gum for it.

What do you mean no? Stop being so f**king awkward, you've got a moral obligation to agree a deal with me!

funny. although holds no relevance to the point i was making .
suggest you read that first article linked. exactly the type of fear mongering remoaners have wet dreams over.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 30, 2018, 02:51:44 pm
I'll assume you've missed my question rather than ignore it because you can't answer - why does the EU have any obligation to offer us anything?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on July 30, 2018, 02:54:22 pm
I'll assume you've missed my question rather than ignore it because you can't answer - why does the EU have any obligation to offer us anything?
I was referring to the fear mongering article, about mobilising the military to help distribute supplies in the event of the eu refusing a deal.
(this of course won't happen)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 30, 2018, 04:21:06 pm
Thing is Ldr. There was never any prospect of the negotiations being anything other than a monumental f**k up.

To negotiate, you need a strong bottom line. The one that says “Give is something or we will walk away”. 

That’s what this bunch of f**king idiots is now trying to do with the No Deal threat. But the EU negotiators know that would be Britain cutting our own throat. So they are laughing at the threat.

And that means there’s zero incentive on the EU to give an inch. Why on Earth should they? Would you? Would you say “Yeah go on. You e abused us and lied about us for years. Let’s give you a deal that gives you all the benefits and none of the problems!”

So the EU says in fact. “Here’s the deal. You do what we say or...well or what? You e no alternative.”

And the Right Wing of the Tory Party says “How dare they! We’re British! We’ll bloody well walk away.”

Etc. Etc. Etc.

Round and round the f**king hamster wheel.

And that is exactly what I said in my opening post of this thread

You did indeed Filo and how right you were . Sorry the site went down here but you also said that France owed us a debt going back many years and of course Germany still owed Greece a substantial amount of war reparations.

However those 2 points you raised were never going to compensate the 27 or could they put their principal tenets at risk and risk losing the EU project over us .


This might sound like little Englander, but going back to the WW2 every one of those 27 Countries owes us a great debt for standing up to the Nazis, along with our allies, it cost the UK a substantial amount of money to fight that cause, taking years to repay the debt, and now all it appears to be happening is they all collectivley want to stick the knife in our back and give it a good twist, all be it the situation is of our own making. Many Many of our Countrymen died for their freedom. I still say they want to punish us for voting to leave, nothing has been ceeded by them, negotiation is a process where each pary concedes things to gain in other areas, what is happening now is we are being dictated to, hot negotiation

And what did you do in the war that means the 27 EU nations owe you something, Filo?

PS If it's all about bodycount, how much exactly do we and the rest of Europe owe Putin and the rest of Russia?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 30, 2018, 04:28:45 pm
Meanwhile.

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/army-on-standby-for-no-deal-brexit-emergency-dz3359lrf

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/dont-panic-well-deal-with-no-deal-bs7sk5vxg

What was it Gove said? Oh aye. We hold all the cards in the Brexit negotiations.

What was it Fox said? Oh aye. The negotiations will be the easiest ever.

Still, bright side, eh? Many of the pensioner Brexit voters were pining for a Britain that they remembered from the past. Looks like they’ll get what the wanted. No deal Brexit means the shops will be empty, there’ll be rationing and you’ll die from what should be easily treatable I’ll esses because we’ll not have the medicine. Just like the 1940s.
the eu then has a moral obligation as well as a financial one to stop being f**king awkward and agree on a deal

They have no such thing.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on July 30, 2018, 04:36:53 pm
I'll assume you've missed my question rather than ignore it because you can't answer - why does the EU have any obligation to offer us anything?
I was referring to the fear mongering article, about mobilising the military to help distribute supplies in the event of the eu refusing a deal.
(this of course won't happen)

What makes you so certain?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 30, 2018, 04:57:40 pm
Filo

How may times have you negotiated with someone after decades of abusing them and then said: But you’re not being FAIR? Why can’t I have the deal I want which will cause YOU to lose out? My grandad’s generation helped your’s!

And if you have, was it a successful strategy?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 30, 2018, 06:27:25 pm
Interesting polling data out today.

Although what the 14% who believe the government will get a good deal are on is unclear. Unless they want us to crash out with no deal or are just on a wind-up?

https://news.sky.com/story/public-opinion-is-shifting-sharply-against-brexit-sky-data-poll-reveals-11453220
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 30, 2018, 06:38:21 pm
Only 24% are satisfied with the job May is doing as PM in that poll. That's about where Blair sank to in his last year as PM. It;s about where Brown sank to in the depths of the 2008 recession. It's about where Thatcher sank to in the depths of the Poll Tax crisis. It's a bit better than the worst point of John Major's car crash Govt. It's much worse than worst that Jim Callaghan scored in the Winter of Discontent.

In other words, May is seen as being about as bad as the worst any PM has been in the past 40 years.

And STILL more people think she would make the best PM than think Corbyn would.

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2018/07/27/voting-intention-conservatives-38-labour-38-22-23-/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on July 30, 2018, 09:54:15 pm
Well if 48% of hardcore Tories think Corbyn will be the next PM then you can oly suppose it can only be the embittered Blairites running him down again for the polls, quelle suprise.

https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/nearly-half-of-tory-members-think-jeremy-corbyn-will-become-prime-minister-amid-anger-over-mays-brexit-plans-steve-baker-no-deal-conservativehome_uk_5b5f0781e4b0fd5c73d16f28?utm_hp_ref=uk-homepage
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on July 30, 2018, 10:15:51 pm
Thing is Ldr. There was never any prospect of the negotiations being anything other than a monumental f**k up.

To negotiate, you need a strong bottom line. The one that says “Give is something or we will walk away”. 

That’s what this bunch of f**king idiots is now trying to do with the No Deal threat. But the EU negotiators know that would be Britain cutting our own throat. So they are laughing at the threat.

And that means there’s zero incentive on the EU to give an inch. Why on Earth should they? Would you? Would you say “Yeah go on. You e abused us and lied about us for years. Let’s give you a deal that gives you all the benefits and none of the problems!”

So the EU says in fact. “Here’s the deal. You do what we say or...well or what? You e no alternative.”

And the Right Wing of the Tory Party says “How dare they! We’re British! We’ll bloody well walk away.”

Etc. Etc. Etc.

Round and round the f**king hamster wheel.

And that is exactly what I said in my opening post of this thread

You did indeed Filo and how right you were . Sorry the site went down here but you also said that France owed us a debt going back many years and of course Germany still owed Greece a substantial amount of war reparations.

However those 2 points you raised were never going to compensate the 27 or could they put their principal tenets at risk and risk losing the EU project over us .


This might sound like little Englander, but going back to the WW2 every one of those 27 Countries owes us a great debt for standing up to the Nazis, along with our allies, it cost the UK a substantial amount of money to fight that cause, taking years to repay the debt, and now all it appears to be happening is they all collectivley want to stick the knife in our back and give it a good twist, all be it the situation is of our own making. Many Many of our Countrymen died for their freedom. I still say they want to punish us for voting to leave, nothing has been ceeded by them, negotiation is a process where each pary concedes things to gain in other areas, what is happening now is we are being dictated to, hot negotiation

And what did you do in the war that means the 27 EU nations owe you something, Filo?

PS If it's all about bodycount, how much exactly do we and the rest of Europe owe Putin and the rest of Russia?

Did I say I did anything in the war?

Stupid comment!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on July 30, 2018, 10:24:33 pm
Thing is Ldr. There was never any prospect of the negotiations being anything other than a monumental f**k up.

To negotiate, you need a strong bottom line. The one that says “Give is something or we will walk away”. 

That’s what this bunch of f**king idiots is now trying to do with the No Deal threat. But the EU negotiators know that would be Britain cutting our own throat. So they are laughing at the threat.

And that means there’s zero incentive on the EU to give an inch. Why on Earth should they? Would you? Would you say “Yeah go on. You e abused us and lied about us for years. Let’s give you a deal that gives you all the benefits and none of the problems!”

So the EU says in fact. “Here’s the deal. You do what we say or...well or what? You e no alternative.”

And the Right Wing of the Tory Party says “How dare they! We’re British! We’ll bloody well walk away.”

Etc. Etc. Etc.

Round and round the f**king hamster wheel.

And that is exactly what I said in my opening post of this thread

You did indeed Filo and how right you were . Sorry the site went down here but you also said that France owed us a debt going back many years and of course Germany still owed Greece a substantial amount of war reparations.

However those 2 points you raised were never going to compensate the 27 or could they put their principal tenets at risk and risk losing the EU project over us .


This might sound like little Englander, but going back to the WW2 every one of those 27 Countries owes us a great debt for standing up to the Nazis, along with our allies, it cost the UK a substantial amount of money to fight that cause, taking years to repay the debt, and now all it appears to be happening is they all collectivley want to stick the knife in our back and give it a good twist, all be it the situation is of our own making. Many Many of our Countrymen died for their freedom. I still say they want to punish us for voting to leave, nothing has been ceeded by them, negotiation is a process where each pary concedes things to gain in other areas, what is happening now is we are being dictated to, hot negotiation

And what did you do in the war that means the 27 EU nations owe you something, Filo?

PS If it's all about bodycount, how much exactly do we and the rest of Europe owe Putin and the rest of Russia?

Did I say I did anything in the war?

Stupid comment!

Bloody 'ell, and you think dragging a war that finished nearly 75 years ago into the negotiations isn't a stupid comment!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 30, 2018, 11:30:31 pm
Well if 48% of hardcore Tories think Corbyn will be the next PM then you can oly suppose it can only be the embittered Blairites running him down again for the polls, quelle suprise.

https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/nearly-half-of-tory-members-think-jeremy-corbyn-will-become-prime-minister-amid-anger-over-mays-brexit-plans-steve-baker-no-deal-conservativehome_uk_5b5f0781e4b0fd5c73d16f28?utm_hp_ref=uk-homepage

I’ve got a line on my Blairite Insults bingo card.

Let’s see. Oh yes! I win an evening out with Jon Lansman for re-education purposes.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 31, 2018, 04:57:36 am
Haha now that would be interesting, your prize for the full house ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 31, 2018, 09:33:38 am
I'm going to stick my neck out and say that there will be a second referendum of some sort, the government is still in chaos central, May is still hostage to the self promoters, the Britain is in reverse.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/health/brexit-final-say-doctors-harm-nhs-crisis-eu-second-referendum-nurses-study-a8470336.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on July 31, 2018, 10:07:27 am
Thing is Ldr. There was never any prospect of the negotiations being anything other than a monumental f**k up.

To negotiate, you need a strong bottom line. The one that says “Give is something or we will walk away”. 

That’s what this bunch of f**king idiots is now trying to do with the No Deal threat. But the EU negotiators know that would be Britain cutting our own throat. So they are laughing at the threat.

And that means there’s zero incentive on the EU to give an inch. Why on Earth should they? Would you? Would you say “Yeah go on. You e abused us and lied about us for years. Let’s give you a deal that gives you all the benefits and none of the problems!”

So the EU says in fact. “Here’s the deal. You do what we say or...well or what? You e no alternative.”

And the Right Wing of the Tory Party says “How dare they! We’re British! We’ll bloody well walk away.”

Etc. Etc. Etc.

Round and round the f**king hamster wheel.

And that is exactly what I said in my opening post of this thread

You did indeed Filo and how right you were . Sorry the site went down here but you also said that France owed us a debt going back many years and of course Germany still owed Greece a substantial amount of war reparations.

However those 2 points you raised were never going to compensate the 27 or could they put their principal tenets at risk and risk losing the EU project over us .


This might sound like little Englander, but going back to the WW2 every one of those 27 Countries owes us a great debt for standing up to the Nazis, along with our allies, it cost the UK a substantial amount of money to fight that cause, taking years to repay the debt, and now all it appears to be happening is they all collectivley want to stick the knife in our back and give it a good twist, all be it the situation is of our own making. Many Many of our Countrymen died for their freedom. I still say they want to punish us for voting to leave, nothing has been ceeded by them, negotiation is a process where each pary concedes things to gain in other areas, what is happening now is we are being dictated to, hot negotiation

And what did you do in the war that means the 27 EU nations owe you something, Filo?

PS If it's all about bodycount, how much exactly do we and the rest of Europe owe Putin and the rest of Russia?

Did I say I did anything in the war?

Stupid comment!

Bloody 'ell, and you think dragging a war that finished nearly 75 years ago into the negotiations isn't a stupid comment!

No I don't, without that war and eventual victory the EU would not exist today. This Country took a huge finacial and human loss (as did other Countries) to free Europe, the EU is a French/German baby, De Gaul, after all we did to help the French turned his back on Britain and blocked our initial attempts to join the trading bloc, and jumped into bed with the Country that Occupied France. In my opinion we've only been wanted by Europe when we are useful to them
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on July 31, 2018, 11:23:04 am
don't see how the tories can have a 2nd referendum they will lose power immediately
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 31, 2018, 11:38:18 am
don't see how the tories can have a 2nd referendum they will lose power immediately

I think theyll lose power if they dont call one, the dominoes are falling for them.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on July 31, 2018, 11:59:46 am
And then we'll have Corbyn and Abbott. All our problems will be solved!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on July 31, 2018, 12:36:35 pm
May has shown a distinct lack of ability to make any decision at all and Corbyn is refusing to discuss the possibility of staying in, my thinking is that Mays government will implode, there will be a crisis followed by an election and Corbyn will be ousted unless he changes his stance.
There you go, done!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 31, 2018, 12:57:35 pm
Rightwing UK thinktank 'offered ministerial access' to potential US donors

This could hugely benefit US farmers by lifting the ban on the sale in the UK of beef from cattle treated with growth hormones and chlorine-washed chicken.

M-mmm-southern fried chlorine chicken, would you like some hormones with that?

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jul/29/rightwing-thinktank-ministerial-access-potential-us-donors-insitute-of-economic-affairs-brexit

I read it earlier - it's scary what we have signed up for . In addition Jeremy Hunt has gone down like a lead balloon in China ; which " wants to strengthen its ties with the EU to counteract the trade war with the USA,   "...........
we are so last season dear it appears. So no hanging our hat on them.

Seems we are stuck with a big :-McChlorine meal with cheese and fries and a coke............is that one line or two sir ?
Only one please.....ok have a nice day sir
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on July 31, 2018, 01:43:20 pm
Filo

It’s a nice national myth that we “saved Europe” in WWII.

What we did was continue the foreign policy that we’d had for 400 years. Which was to make alliances to make sure that no one got too strong in Europe that they could challenge our Empire.

So we'd allied with Prussia and the Holy Roman Empire and Austria and the Dutch to defeat France in the War of Spanish Succession.

The we worked with Prussia and Portugal to knock back the France/Spain/Russia/Sweden alliance in the Seven Years War

We worked with Prussia and Russia to defeat Napoleon.

Then we worked with France and Turkey in the Crimean War to stop Russia threatening the Suez route.

Then we worked with France and Russia to bat Germany down in WWI.

Then with Soviet Union and America to stop Germany.

Then with America to stop the Soviet Union dominating Europe.

That was common sense. We did it because our ruling elite saw that it was in their interests to do it. Keep Europe divided. Stop a major power dominating. Let us get on with ruling most of the rest of the world.

Trouble is, the Right now see the EU through that lens. They see Europe United and they hate it because that’s their culture. They forget that the Empire no longer exists so we’re in a different situation now. And because they hate the idea of Europe United, they miss the point that it’s better for us to be a part of it instead of fighting against it.

WWII wasn’t some altruistic saving of Europe. It was all about bashing Germany. If it had been in our interests to make a deal with Hitler, we’d have made a deal.

The sooner we disabuse ourselves of this myth, the sooner we’ll be able to see what is REALKY in our interests.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on July 31, 2018, 06:22:36 pm
We are still singing " there were  twelve German bombers overhead.......etc. ". Sigh and  You are right it is a myth , initially the Germans took advantage of the dying Austro- Hungarian Empire slowly building their armed forces up ( particularly their navy ) with a view to threaten our Empire , recover lost lands with and without German speaking peoples in them expand in Europe and Africa and of course free themselves from the shackles that they were put in following WW1  . We all know how it went from thereonin......
There are so many myths about our behaviour in Europe between 1918 and 1974 , that we could spend literally 100s of pages disseminating myths it would make the Brexit debate appear simple by comparison.

However it does seem rather ridiculous our people still banging on about it now

How would you feel Filo if all the countries in the world that we had in our Empire at one  time called in favours, one's where we had blood on our hands ? ( There were far too many so I have just wiped virtually my whole post off - we have enough lengthy posts !)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on August 01, 2018, 02:41:57 am
Rightwing UK thinktank 'offered ministerial access' to potential US donors

This could hugely benefit US farmers by lifting the ban on the sale in the UK of beef from cattle treated with growth hormones and chlorine-washed chicken.

M-mmm-southern fried chlorine chicken, would you like some hormones with that?

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jul/29/rightwing-thinktank-ministerial-access-potential-us-donors-insitute-of-economic-affairs-brexit

I read it earlier - it's scary what we have signed up for . In addition Jeremy Hunt has gone down like a lead balloon in China ; which " wants to strengthen its ties with the EU to counteract the trade war with the USA,   "...........
we are so last season dear it appears. So no hanging our hat on them.

Seems we are stuck with a big :-McChlorine meal with cheese and fries and a coke............is that one line or two sir ?
Only one please.....ok have a nice day sir
hunt made a mistake about his wife but why has he gone down like a balloon? Only ask as I’ve not seen anything about it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on August 01, 2018, 06:16:44 am
Rightwing UK thinktank 'offered ministerial access' to potential US donors

This could hugely benefit US farmers by lifting the ban on the sale in the UK of beef from cattle treated with growth hormones and chlorine-washed chicken.

M-mmm-southern fried chlorine chicken, would you like some hormones with that?

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jul/29/rightwing-thinktank-ministerial-access-potential-us-donors-insitute-of-economic-affairs-brexit

I read it earlier - it's scary what we have signed up for . In addition Jeremy Hunt has gone down like a lead balloon in China ; which " wants to strengthen its ties with the EU to counteract the trade war with the USA,   "...........
we are so last season dear it appears. So no hanging our hat on them.

Seems we are stuck with a big :-McChlorine meal with cheese and fries and a coke............is that one line or two sir ?
Only one please.....ok have a nice day sir
hunt made a mistake about his wife but why has he gone down like a balloon? Only ask as I’ve not seen anything about it?

It's great that you have asked bpool.
Hunt has got a Chinese wife  - some how he mentioned that he had a " Japanese " wife . The Japanese of course are the sworn enemies of the Chinese following the reign of terror unleashed on the Chinese by the Japanese soldiers in WW2 - they raped and pillaged wherever and whenever they wanted .( The siege of Nanking stands out in particular )
Incidentally they did exactly the same to the peoples on the Korean Peninsula.
 
To be fair I'm not sure that once he had acknowledged his mistake that he would have been forgiven. However he also raised the question of the way the people of Hong Kong were being denied their democratic rights , which both countries agreed on handover to maintain.
The Chinese Foreign Minister more or less said mind your own business " Hong Kong is Chinese now ".  In fairness, as I mentioned above, China is persuing the EU somewhat for Trade Agreements to counter the potential losses  in the USA  because of Trump's " America First " policy. Because Trump has applied higher tariffs on goods some Chinese products will be too dear now for the  USA market.

This of course makes it more difficult for us China is persuing the EU, the EU  has signed an agreement with Japan , meaning we may well  be left with just 3 large import / export markets : the USA, Brazil and of course India. Brazil and India are already in a loose arrangement with Russia and China ( BRICs)
It's all very messy for us , irrespective of the size of our economy - it comes down to the size and strengths of our market. There's so many geo- physical forces at play here that currently we are a minnow swimming in a sea of sharks.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on August 01, 2018, 07:35:52 am
Rightwing UK thinktank 'offered ministerial access' to potential US donors

This could hugely benefit US farmers by lifting the ban on the sale in the UK of beef from cattle treated with growth hormones and chlorine-washed chicken.

M-mmm-southern fried chlorine chicken, would you like some hormones with that?

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jul/29/rightwing-thinktank-ministerial-access-potential-us-donors-insitute-of-economic-affairs-brexit

I read it earlier - it's scary what we have signed up for . In addition Jeremy Hunt has gone down like a lead balloon in China ; which " wants to strengthen its ties with the EU to counteract the trade war with the USA,   "...........
we are so last season dear it appears. So no hanging our hat on them.

Seems we are stuck with a big :-McChlorine meal with cheese and fries and a coke............is that one line or two sir ?
Only one please.....ok have a nice day sir
hunt made a mistake about his wife but why has he gone down like a balloon? Only ask as I’ve not seen anything about it?

It's great that you have asked bpool.
Hunt has got a Chinese wife  - some how he mentioned that he had a " Japanese " wife . The Japanese of course are the sworn enemies of the Chinese following the reign of terror unleashed on the Chinese by the Japanese soldiers in WW2 - they raped and pillaged wherever and whenever they wanted .( The siege of Nanking stands out in particular )
Incidentally they did exactly the same to the peoples on the Korean Peninsula.
 
To be fair I'm not sure that once he had acknowledged his mistake that he would have been forgiven. However he also raised the question of the way the people of Hong Kong were being denied their democratic rights , which both countries agreed on handover to maintain.
The Chinese Foreign Minister more or less said mind your own business " Hong Kong is Chinese now ".  In fairness, as I mentioned above, China is persuing the EU somewhat for Trade Agreements to counter the potential losses  in the USA  because of Trump's " America First " policy. Because Trump has applied higher tariffs on goods some Chinese products will be too dear now for the  USA market.

This of course makes it more difficult for us China is persuing the EU, the EU  has signed an agreement with Japan , meaning we may well  be left with just 3 large import / export markets : the USA, Brazil and of course India. Brazil and India are already in a loose arrangement with Russia and China ( BRICs)
It's all very messy for us , irrespective of the size of our economy - it comes down to the size and strengths of our market. There's so many geo- physical forces at play here that currently we are a minnow swimming in a sea of sharks.


So it's OK for you to mention WW2?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on August 01, 2018, 09:17:56 am
Well done on taking the comment massively out of context filo.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on August 01, 2018, 01:02:19 pm
This is interesting. It suggests that the possibility / risk of a No-Deal Brexit is concentrating minds in the EU as well as here.

http://www.eurointelligence.com/public/

It's worth remembering that if a deal is reached although we will formally leave the EU on 29th March 2019 there will be a transition period. That would allow time for things like customs arrangements to be put in place.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on August 01, 2018, 01:29:48 pm
Both sides are playing games at the minute,may is using no deal as a bargaining tool and rightly so, there is to much as stake for a no deal and right at the last minute they will both back down
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on August 01, 2018, 01:55:10 pm
The Trade war has kicked on between the USA and China.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on August 01, 2018, 07:24:38 pm
Rightwing UK thinktank 'offered ministerial access' to potential US donors

This could hugely benefit US farmers by lifting the ban on the sale in the UK of beef from cattle treated with growth hormones and chlorine-washed chicken.

M-mmm-southern fried chlorine chicken, would you like some hormones with that?

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jul/29/rightwing-thinktank-ministerial-access-potential-us-donors-insitute-of-economic-affairs-brexit

I read it earlier - it's scary what we have signed up for . In addition Jeremy Hunt has gone down like a lead balloon in China ; which " wants to strengthen its ties with the EU to counteract the trade war with the USA,   "...........
we are so last season dear it appears. So no hanging our hat on them.

Seems we are stuck with a big :-McChlorine meal with cheese and fries and a coke............is that one line or two sir ?
Only one please.....ok have a nice day sir
hunt made a mistake about his wife but why has he gone down like a balloon? Only ask as I’ve not seen anything about it?

It's great that you have asked bpool.
Hunt has got a Chinese wife  - some how he mentioned that he had a " Japanese " wife . The Japanese of course are the sworn enemies of the Chinese following the reign of terror unleashed on the Chinese by the Japanese soldiers in WW2 - they raped and pillaged wherever and whenever they wanted .( The siege of Nanking stands out in particular )
Incidentally they did exactly the same to the peoples on the Korean Peninsula.
 
To be fair I'm not sure that once he had acknowledged his mistake that he would have been forgiven. However he also raised the question of the way the people of Hong Kong were being denied their democratic rights , which both countries agreed on handover to maintain.
The Chinese Foreign Minister more or less said mind your own business " Hong Kong is Chinese now ".  In fairness, as I mentioned above, China is persuing the EU somewhat for Trade Agreements to counter the potential losses  in the USA  because of Trump's " America First " policy. Because Trump has applied higher tariffs on goods some Chinese products will be too dear now for the  USA market.

This of course makes it more difficult for us China is persuing the EU, the EU  has signed an agreement with Japan , meaning we may well  be left with just 3 large import / export markets : the USA, Brazil and of course India. Brazil and India are already in a loose arrangement with Russia and China ( BRICs)
It's all very messy for us , irrespective of the size of our economy - it comes down to the size and strengths of our market. There's so many geo- physical forces at play here that currently we are a minnow swimming in a sea of sharks.


So it's OK for you to mention WW2?

Filo I was merely answering bpool's question and giving some contextual background. It was a historical response not an opinion. Besides, I've not said it was right or wrong , I havent commented on the Opium Wars, the rights and wrongs of our tenure of Hong Kong etc. Perhaps the Chinese ought to o be given a great deal from us on that basis  who knows ? However the ramping up of armed forces between the two nations is all too obvious and has been for quite some time whereas we have a bilateral mutual - defence deal in place with the French and have for a long long time . That's seems to be very sensible bearing in mind the many things we have in common 1) neighbours 2) similar -sized economies 3) nuclear powers but both nations haven't the resources to compete with China, USA, Russia and probably India too now 4) It's 200 years since we were fully at war with each other.
This idea that we owe each other favours in trade would be nice but not realistic .

However it might mean destroying the very project that they believe in intrinsicly and which by and large has worked in my opinion. You either " get " the idea or you don't and I respect your opinion in that you wish to " reject " it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on August 01, 2018, 08:09:43 pm
I wonder what sort of deal Filo thinks we ought to get from Japan seeing as we thrashed them 75 years ago?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on August 01, 2018, 08:11:27 pm
I wonder what sort of deal Filo thinks we ought to get from Japan seeing as we thrashed them 75 years ago?

Since when was Japan in the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on August 01, 2018, 09:13:46 pm
I wonder what sort of deal Filo thinks we ought to get from Japan seeing as we thrashed them 75 years ago?

Since when was Japan in the EU?

Filo the point that was being made was that we were searching for a Free Trade deal specifically with Japan. Of course Glyn rightly knots the 2 circumstances together.
For what it's worth , I do understand where you are coming from and probably so do the French . Unfortunately they can't destroy the project at least overtly for the other 27 but I'm sure there are many who are trying to sort out this conundrum at least behind the scenes to at least " fudge " the issue.

BST was correct in my opinion , we really must stop believing our own hype, we have loads still to give the world but we should keep it in context.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on August 01, 2018, 11:11:28 pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LK8sxngSWaU
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on August 04, 2018, 11:22:25 am
Meanwhile over in 21st century Europe....Barnier published a piece in the newspapers explaining why May's proposals were unacceptable. The Chequers' deal is dead before it even got going, so where do we go from here?

http://politics.co.uk/comment-analysis/2018/08/03/barnier-has-finally-killed-chequers-and-with-it-the-uk-gover
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on August 04, 2018, 11:51:17 pm
Meanwhile over in 21st century Europe....Barnier published a piece in the newspapers explaining why May's proposals were unacceptable. The Chequers' deal is dead before it even got going, so where do we go from here?

http://politics.co.uk/comment-analysis/2018/08/03/barnier-has-finally-killed-chequers-and-with-it-the-uk-gover

''To be fair to May, it is possible that she did not hear EU leaders when they told her repeatedly for two years that the UK could not implement one freedom of the single market (goods) without implementing the other three (services, capital and people). But that never referred to a specific UK plan. Now it does. And May has no plan B.''

As I said the other day, chaos will bring down the government which will force an election, Corbyn will be deposed if he doesnt change his stance on Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on August 05, 2018, 12:09:08 am
I take it you want him to change it to your way o thinking?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on August 05, 2018, 12:44:28 am
Meanwhile over in 21st century Europe....Barnier published a piece in the newspapers explaining why May's proposals were unacceptable. The Chequers' deal is dead before it even got going, so where do we go from here?

http://politics.co.uk/comment-analysis/2018/08/03/barnier-has-finally-killed-chequers-and-with-it-the-uk-gover

Indeed where to now , we are left with a full reversal against the " will " of the people which appears to be no longer the " will " of the people or to jump off that cliff to deliver on the " will " of the people that has to be delivered whatever the circumstances.
I understand we are also in for quite a few arguments once again fully in the WTO - yep I've heard about all those great advantages too. We already have countries queuing up to disagree about both quotas and tariffs.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on August 06, 2018, 08:36:49 am
This is what a UK ex-EU negotiator has tweeted. Sums it up, really:

"Brexiters believe there’s an ideologically-driven conspiracy that means that economists, trade & EU experts, lawyers, industry assocs, unions, companies, judges, HMT, the Bank of England, Scotland, the Irish, diplomats, EU27 & UKGov itself are all lying about its consequences

Sure, one, or even several of those groups may be mistaken, or they may be playing politics (I’m looking at you UKGov), but really, all of them?

As with climate change deniers, they think that it is more plausible that the vast majority of experts in their fields, who rely on their reputations and credibility for their careers, are all conspiring to lie, than it is that they may have a point.

It’s more plausible that companies and industry associations would simply lie about the dangers they face out of ideological loyalty to the EU, rather than as a result of in-depth studies, analysis and advise as to Brexit’s consequences

More plausible that the Dutch, German and Belgian governments are hiring thousands of customs staff and other EU countries are spending millions on preparations as part of project fear than because they’ve analysed the possible outcomes and decided they’ll be needed.

That hundreds of civil servants and Bank of England staff at every level have colluded to falsify their projections, without any paper trail or leaks, because they love the EU and will do anything to protect it.

It’s now the norm for people to tell people who’ve spent years working in their fields that they’re lying because a handful of crackpots in the ERG, a couple of RW newspaper editors, Patrick Minford, and a bloke down the Dog and Duck say they know better

Brexit is the new climate change denial."

https://twitter.com/GuitarMoog/status/1025910694984785921
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on August 07, 2018, 12:29:27 am
There's more coming out by the minute  - we don't have long to save our country from those that would bleed it dry. The stuff coming out of the BBC is miles away from reporting - they are blatantly steering away from this stuff.

A right wing controlled Government dancing to the tune of outside agencies and fully supportedbb by the MSM and the public broadcaster The Brexit Bullshitting Corporation ably assisted by the Opposition .
We are fecked
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on August 09, 2018, 12:07:05 pm
There is more coming out by the minute Hoola and the latest YouGov poll shows that the tide is turning and if I'm correct is picking up speed.

''The poll – commissioned by the People’s Vote campaign for a fresh referendum – adds that a greater proportion of people want another chance to vote on Brexit, by a margin of 42 per cent to 35 per cent.''

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-support-conservative-seats-uk-region-south-west-eu-referendum-poll-a8483406.html

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on August 09, 2018, 10:40:19 pm
Arise Sir Jim:

Last year documents released by Friends of the Earth revealed Ineos had lobbied the government to roll back environmental regulations if the UK were to leave the EU.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/jim-ratcliffe-brexit-uk-richest-man-monaco-move-tax-haven-eu-leave-a8484211.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on August 11, 2018, 11:24:31 pm
The move is on, more and more people are pushing back against the relentless bad news about Brexit and the way it was handled.

''More than 100 Westminster constituencies that voted to leave the EU have now switched their support to Remain, according to a stark new analysis seen by the Observer.''

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/aug/11/more-than-100-pro-leave-constituencies-switch-to-remain
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on August 14, 2018, 08:54:14 am
The people of Britain may finally have an opportunity to exercise their democratic right to vote in what may turn out to be the most important poll in their entire lives.

''Public backing for a new referendum on Theresa May’s Brexit deal has leapt in the last month, amid deep division over her approach to EU withdrawal.''

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/final-say-brexit-second-referendum-vote-petition-theresa-may-deal-eu-a8490256.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on August 14, 2018, 11:19:46 am
The people of Britain may finally have an opportunity to exercise their democratic right to vote in what may turn out to be the most important poll in their entire lives.

''Public backing for a new referendum on Theresa May’s Brexit deal has leapt in the last month, amid deep division over her approach to EU withdrawal.''

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/final-say-brexit-second-referendum-vote-petition-theresa-may-deal-eu-a8490256.html

I actually think quite a number of pro-Brexit people are warming to the Second Referendum idea, because they don't trust May to deliver what they consider a  "proper" Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on August 14, 2018, 11:52:23 am
TRB

Ans so we come round again to the nub of the problem. No-one knew what sort of Brexit they were voting for. Which made holding a single, binary referendum the height of stupidity.

The history books will not be kind to Cameron. Calling that referendum for party political purposes has tipped the country into both a shocking economic position and an appallingly fractured social position. We elect Governments to be the grown-ups who take the hard decisions. He avoided the job he was supposed to do because he didn't have the balls to face down the Europhobes in his party and in UKIP. And look where he's left us.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on August 14, 2018, 12:32:22 pm
The people of Britain may finally have an opportunity to exercise their democratic right to vote in what may turn out to be the most important poll in their entire lives.

''Public backing for a new referendum on Theresa May’s Brexit deal has leapt in the last month, amid deep division over her approach to EU withdrawal.''

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/final-say-brexit-second-referendum-vote-petition-theresa-may-deal-eu-a8490256.html

I actually think quite a number of pro-Brexit people are warming to the Second Referendum idea, because they don't trust May to deliver what they consider a  "proper" Brexit.

Spot on TRB

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/aug/11/more-than-100-pro-leave-constituencies-switch-to-remain

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on August 14, 2018, 12:37:37 pm
https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/1002254/Brexit-news-uk-business-uk-eu-trade-deal/amp
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on August 14, 2018, 12:47:45 pm
https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/1002254/Brexit-news-uk-business-uk-eu-trade-deal/amp

Its good news Bpool so why doesnt Britain stay in and still trade with these countries and get the benefit of being in the EU?

I would think that a lot of this would be due to the pound nosedivingif it goes back up will these export figures and markets be maintained?, it will be bad news if they are not and we are not in the EU either.

Unfortunately a lot of those in power and business do not have the welfare of the public at heart.

“For air pollution, maximum emissions levels have largely remained unchanged, with the levels of some critical pollutants such as nitrogen oxides and mercury being raised compared to the existing guidance. Sadly, especially for people living near these plants, it’s a clear cut case of one step forward, two steps back.”

http://eeb.org/business-as-usual-for-waste-incineration-as-updated-eu-protections-match-or-weaken-existing-guidelines/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on August 14, 2018, 01:20:29 pm
Bpool

A word of advice. Never trust a headline. It’s a 30 second job to go on Google and find the source material.

https://www.maritimeuk.org/documents/249/Maritime_UK_-_Summary_Document.pdf

The headline says: Britain will be BETTER OFF after Brexit: Poll shows businesses BRIMMING with confidence

But here’s a thing. Nowhere in that poll were the companies asked if they thought business would be stronger after Brexit. Not once. Never.

Nowhere in that poll were the businesses asked if they were confident about the outcome of Brexit. Not once. Never.

There is nothing whatsoever in that poll that shows business brimming with confidence about Brexit.

The journalist has simply made that headline up.

Does that surprise you? Does it shock you? Do you feel that you are being treated like an idiot by that journalist?

The Express and The Mail do that time after time after time. Might be worth asking yourself why.

Also, yes we have had an increase in exports since the Brexit vote. As has pretty much every country in the world. There’s been a global economic boom over the past two years. There’s been a lot more trade going on. We haven’t seen an increase in exports BECAUSE OF the vote, which is what that article implies.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on August 14, 2018, 02:20:42 pm
https://www.lbc.co.uk/radio/presenters/james-obrien/the-van-driver-being-put-out-of-business-by-brexit/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on August 14, 2018, 03:01:43 pm

Does that surprise you? Does it shock you? Do you feel that you are being treated like an idiot by that journalist?


I feel like it might, but the anger will be directed at the people pointing out the lie rather than the people who told the lie in the first place. Strange times.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on August 14, 2018, 03:28:57 pm

Does that surprise you? Does it shock you? Do you feel that you are being treated like an idiot by that journalist?


I feel like it might, but the anger will be directed at the people pointing out the lie rather than the people who told the lie in the first place. Strange times.

Bit like on here, really...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on August 15, 2018, 02:02:59 am

Does that surprise you? Does it shock you? Do you feel that you are being treated like an idiot by that journalist?


I feel like it might, but the anger will be directed at the people pointing out the lie rather than the people who told the lie in the first place. Strange times.

Bit like on here, really...

True and there are so many examples on the James O' Brien LBC  phone in show being played out not only here but throughout the country. Sad days indeed . The Brexiters wonder why we care so much about this too - they won't when the penny or should i say pennies finally drop/ s
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on August 15, 2018, 03:55:28 am

Does that surprise you? Does it shock you? Do you feel that you are being treated like an idiot by that journalist?


I feel like it might, but the anger will be directed at the people pointing out the lie rather than the people who told the lie in the first place. Strange times.

Bit like on here, really...

True and there are so many examples on the James O' Brien LBC  phone in show being played out not only here but throughout the country. Sad days indeed . The Brexiters wonder why we care so much about this too - they won't when the penny or should i say pennies finally drop/ s

Mark Twain has a few things to say about learning.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on August 15, 2018, 06:55:33 pm
An interesting new poll out today (if you are interested in what the public think about Brexit and how that might influence politicians that is).

Despite (or perhaps because of!) Jeremy Hunt et al telling us all how much the EU would be to blame if there were no deal, 41% of the public would blame May & her 'team' whilst only 23% would blame the EU. A further 15% would blame Brexiteer Tories, 8% Tory Remainers and only 6% Labour.

https://leftfootforward.org/2018/08/breaking-theresa-may-would-be-to-blame-for-no-deal-brexit-outcome-say-voters/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on August 17, 2018, 08:22:34 am
https://www.lbc.co.uk/radio/presenters/james-obrien/the-van-driver-being-put-out-of-business-by-brexit/

These are all worth a listen O' Brien although he does talk a little too much , he does deal in facts not opinion and forces his callers to back up their opinions with not only reasoned logic but fact - he doesn't suffer fools gladly
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on August 17, 2018, 12:09:26 pm
https://www.lbc.co.uk/radio/presenters/james-obrien/the-van-driver-being-put-out-of-business-by-brexit/

These are all worth a listen O' Brien although he does talk a little too much does deal in facts not opinion and forces his callers to back up their opinions with not only reasoned logic but fact - he doesn't suffer fools gladly

Have you heard the one with the International Trade expert? It's enough to make you shit your pants when he lays it all out as it really is and not how the Brexiteers fantasise it is.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on August 18, 2018, 10:09:56 am
https://www.lbc.co.uk/radio/presenters/james-obrien/the-van-driver-being-put-out-of-business-by-brexit/

These are all worth a listen O' Brien although he does talk a little too much does deal in facts not opinion and forces his callers to back up their opinions with not only reasoned logic but fact - he doesn't suffer fools gladly

Have you heard the one with the International Trade expert? It's enough to make you shit your pants when he lays it all out as it really is and not how the Brexiteers fantasise it is.

Yeah heard that one Glyn but can't help thinking that James O' Brien's voice is one in a wilderness of oncoming dystopia. The voices for Remain simply arent cutting through despite the fact that they are on the right side of the argument.

JRM, Farage etc seem to have a platform to fend off any logical argument against Brexit and are using it via the MSM, the BBC, Sky News, Fox, RT etc. They have them ALL in their pocket - witness just the lack of any comment from Leavers  on this forum alone to not only the phone- in above but all the facts , arguments etc that have posted on this thread .

There is NOT one agreement , anywhere from any of the Leavers following this thread that they might just be wrong on anything at all . It's beyond sad.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on August 18, 2018, 11:16:17 am
https://www.lbc.co.uk/radio/presenters/james-obrien/the-van-driver-being-put-out-of-business-by-brexit/

These are all worth a listen O' Brien although he does talk a little too much does deal in facts not opinion and forces his callers to back up their opinions with not only reasoned logic but fact - he doesn't suffer fools gladly

Have you heard the one with the International Trade expert? It's enough to make you shit your pants when he lays it all out as it really is and not how the Brexiteers fantasise it is.

Yeah heard that one Gluyn but can't help thinking that James O' Brien's voice is one on a wilderness of oncoming dystopia. The voices for Remain simply arent cutting through despite the fact that they are on the right side of the argument.

JRM, Farage etc seem to have a platform to fend off any logical argument against Brexit and are using it via the MSM, the BBC, Sky News, Fox, RT etc. They have them ALL in their pocket - witness just the lack of any comment from Leavers  on this forum alone to not only the phone- in above but all the facts , arguments etc that have posted on this thread .

There is NOT one agreement , anywhere from any of the Leavers following this thread that they might just be wrong on anything at all . It's beyond sad.

I hope O'Brien gets that bloke in the studio like he wants, answering caller's questions, for a full programme. That'll be something worth listening to, especially if he squashes a lot of the mythology around Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on August 18, 2018, 01:37:51 pm
This just about sums Brexit up and all who sail in her.

https://www.theguardian.com/culture/2018/aug/18/titanic-success-viral-video-satirising-brexit-10m-views
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on August 19, 2018, 10:42:29 am
B.Johnson’s constituency was once 57.9 per cent in favour of leaving the European Union. Now is it 51.3 per cent in favour of remaining.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/boris-johnson-brexit-ruislip-a8495926.html

That's quite a swing right?.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on August 19, 2018, 12:03:43 pm
B.Johnson’s constituency was once 57.9 per cent in favour of leaving the European Union. Now is it 51.3 per cent in favour of remaining.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/boris-johnson-brexit-ruislip-a8495926.html

That's quite a swing right?.

I remember a lot of Brxiteers demanding that MPs ignore their own feelings and instead reflect their constituent's wishes!

Mind you, that would have led to the fascinating scenario of a PM voting against her own government! :lol:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on August 19, 2018, 01:40:18 pm
Funny how the same politicians don’t think that MPs should follow their constituents’ wishes on rail and water nationalisation, Govt spending and NHS funding.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on August 19, 2018, 01:50:52 pm
Will of the people only matters when it suits.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on August 19, 2018, 11:24:53 pm
Will of the people only matters when it suits.

Yes it has many lying, scheming faces .

76 pages and still we await The answer to the question - How will we benefit from Brexit ? ( backed up with supporting evidence ) and a plan.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on August 20, 2018, 09:17:02 am
Will of the people only matters when it suits.

Yes it has many lying, scheming faces .

76 pages and still we await The answer to the question - How will we benefit from Brexit ? ( backed up with supporting evidence ) and a plan

But at least we are inexorably moving in the right direction Hoola.

"We’re already campaigning as if we’re having a second referendum – why not see it through?"

https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/second-referendum-brexit-final-say-julian-dunkerton-peoples-vote-nigel-farage-a8498546.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on August 23, 2018, 10:02:06 am
It all seems to have gone very quiet on the Brexit negotiation front since St Teresa took personal charge, and I would imagine if there had been anything achieved we'd have all heard about it by now...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on August 23, 2018, 01:09:16 pm
Is it just me or do other members feel that Dominic RAABs No Deal announcement today is a catalyst to ensure there is something positive agreed at next weeks Brussels meeting.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on August 23, 2018, 02:19:33 pm
Is it just me or do other members feel that Dominic RAABs No Deal announcement today is a catalyst to ensure there is something positive agreed at next weeks Brussels meeting.

No. Because the terms of exit from the EU were laid out right from the start and non-negotiable. The 'negotiations' are all about life after Brexit and the EU don't owe us anything. And as for 'they need a deal just as much as we need one', that just isn't true.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on August 23, 2018, 03:27:01 pm
"Give us what we want and concede on every one of your red lines or we're completely f**ked" isn't the strongest negotiating position all things considered.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on August 23, 2018, 06:26:10 pm
I like the one for Northern Ireland. The official UK government advice for their citizens in NI in the event of no-deal Brexit is....go ask Dublin what you should do!!!!

If anyone wanted any clearer indication that this government hasn't got a clue what to do, there it is. Resign now the lot of you.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on August 23, 2018, 08:24:45 pm
I like the one for Northern Ireland. The official UK government advice for their citizens in NI in the event of no-deal Brexit is....go ask Dublin what you should do!!!!

If anyone wanted any clearer indication that this government hasn't got a clue what to do, there it is. Resign now the lot of you.

Even better were the parts where he talked about the EU reciprocating. That sounds rather like a 'deal' scenario instead of a 'no deal' one!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on August 24, 2018, 07:29:12 am
Is it just me or do other members feel that Dominic RAABs No Deal announcement today is a catalyst to ensure there is something positive agreed at next weeks Brussels meeting.

No. Because the terms of exit from the EU were laid out right from the start and non-negotiable. The 'negotiations' are all about life after Brexit and the EU don't owe us anything. And as for 'they need a deal just as much as we need one', that just isn't true.

And like it or not the money up front is payable and is nothing to do with The line of " nothing is agreed until everyth ing is agreed " claptrap !

We are still trying to convince the man holding a royal flush that somehow our pair of deuces beats him ,  Illogical or what ?

Whilst I write this I'm conscious of a conversation I had earlier with my Faroese host who it was fair to say couldn't get his head around the idea of our obsession with the fishing industry. He thought it almost appeared to be verging on the dramatic and completely out of all logical context considering the effect it had on our economy !

Here they are just as aware of the dangers of an " open door " policy on immigration however they recognise that their society could potentially  break down eventually not because of them but because of the lack of them in their society. They have in an inimitable Danish way just stabilised their birth and death rates and only 87% are of full or part Danish parentage. Integration is key and they find the same reluctance for both the immigrants themselves to integrate as well as their own own people to allow that integration. The language is seen as key to breaking down the barriers even if , because of the difficulty of speaking Danish, they and their hosts use ....English ! The amount of good " spoken "  English you hear amongst even Danes themselves in conversations is remarkable and the quality of the grammar used  should shame many of us. I suppose having mastered a tongue twisting language of their own ; then ours becomes a piece of piss. :)

What a lovely place this is if you are thinking about where to take a break, then rock on over here - you won't be disappointed.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on August 24, 2018, 09:11:22 am
You'd hope at some point the penny will drop and will realise they've been convinced that Miss Homeless Barnsley is actually Miss World.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on August 24, 2018, 02:20:03 pm
Is it just me or do other members feel that Dominic RAABs No Deal announcement today is a catalyst to ensure there is something positive agreed at next weeks Brussels meeting.

No. Because the terms of exit from the EU were laid out right from the start and non-negotiable. The 'negotiations' are all about life after Brexit and the EU don't owe us anything. And as for 'they need a deal just as much as we need one', that just isn't true.

Nothing's changed , nothing's changed !! Sproty if you think our set of drama queens will change the dynamic just because we have gone into " wartime "  mode then think again .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on August 24, 2018, 02:34:00 pm
https://www.lbc.co.uk/radio/presenters/james-obrien/the-van-driver-being-put-out-of-business-by-brexit/

These are all worth a listen O' Brien although he does talk a little too much does deal in facts not opinion and forces his callers to back up their opinions with not only reasoned logic but fact - he doesn't suffer fools gladly

Have you heard the one with the International Trade expert? It's enough to make you shit your pants when he lays it all out as it really is and not how the Brexiteers fantasise it is.

Yeah heard that one Gluyn but can't help thinking that James O' Brien's voice is one on a wilderness of oncoming dystopia. The voices for Remain simply arent cutting through despite the fact that they are on the right side of the argument.

JRM, Farage etc seem to have a platform to fend off any logical argument against Brexit and are using it via the MSM, the BBC, Sky News, Fox, RT etc. They have them ALL in their pocket - witness just the lack of any comment from Leavers  on this forum alone to not only the phone- in above but all the facts , arguments etc that have posted on this thread .

There is NOT one agreement , anywhere from any of the Leavers following this thread that they might just be wrong on anything at all . It's beyond sad.

I hope O'Brien gets that bloke in the studio like he wants, answering caller's questions, for a full programme. That'll be something worth listening to, especially if he squashes a lot of the mythology around Brexit.

Jason Hunter again, this time educating one of Brexit's 'experts'.

https://twitter.com/IanDunt/status/1032919155882778625

And the most illuminating part of it is the three seconds of dead air when the Brexit 'expert' realises he's just had his ignorance shown up in neon lights and he's got no reply to it. And then has to resort to the usual slogans by default.

Mind you, with 'experts' like their own, it's no wonder Brexiters don't trust any at all.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on August 25, 2018, 01:55:43 am
https://www.lbc.co.uk/radio/presenters/james-obrien/the-van-driver-being-put-out-of-business-by-brexit/

These are all worth a listen O' Brien although he does talk a little too much does deal in facts not opinion and forces his callers to back up their opinions with not only reasoned logic but fact - he doesn't suffer fools gladly

Have you heard the one with the International Trade expert? It's enough to make you shit your pants when he lays it all out as it really is and not how the Brexiteers fantasise it is.

Yeah heard that one Gluyn but can't help thinking that James O' Brien's voice is one on a wilderness of oncoming dystopia. The voices for Remain simply arent cutting through despite the fact that they are on the right side of the argument.

JRM, Farage etc seem to have a platform to fend off any logical argument against Brexit and are using it via the MSM, the BBC, Sky News, Fox, RT etc. They have them ALL in their pocket - witness just the lack of any comment from Leavers  on this forum alone to not only the phone- in above but all the facts , arguments etc that have posted on this thread .

There is NOT one agreement , anywhere from any of the Leavers following this thread that they might just be wrong on anything at all . It's beyond sad.

I hope O'Brien gets that bloke in the studio like he wants, answering caller's questions, for a full programme. That'll be something worth listening to, especially if he squashes a lot of the mythology around Brexit.

Jason Hunter again, this time educating one of Brexit's 'experts'.

https://twitter.com/IanDunt/status/1032919155882778625

And the most illuminating part of it is the three seconds of dead air when the Brexit 'expert' realises he's just had his ignorance shown up in neon lights and he's got no reply to it. And then has to resort to the usual slogans by default.

Mind you, with 'experts' like their own, it's no wonder Brexiters don't trust any at all.

That " 3 seconds of silence " feels like an eternity.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on August 25, 2018, 11:10:10 am
Ian Dunt hits the nail on the head.

"So grimly predictable that after being shown to be wrong on point after point after point, all he has to offer is: He's trying to undermine the result."

Nah nah nah...Will of the People.

Nah nah nah...undermining the democratic decision.

Nah nah nah...suck it up Remoaners, you lost.

That exchange kind of sums up the discussion.

On one side, experts who spend their lives dealing with international trade issues. setting out fact-based arguments.

On the other side, gobshite journalists and barrow boy MPs. Setting out nothing. Literally nothing.


You know what? I'm starting to think the country DESERVES Brexit. If we're so f**king stupid as a country that we are determined to ignore the facts staring us in the face, we DESERVE the consequences. Let the Brexiteers have the country they have voted for.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on August 25, 2018, 11:36:33 am
"The UK could not survive as a trading nation by relying on the WTO"

http://leavehq.com/blogview.aspx?blogno=128

No doubt this will be dismissed as Project Fear.

Until you look at what website it's on.

And you also note that it was written nearly 18 months ago and it still doesn't seem to have sunk in with many Brexiters, especially the ERG.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on August 25, 2018, 12:19:03 pm
Glyn

Good find.

The issue is, of course, that no one other than the most extreme swivel-eyed loon really wants us to have a no deal Brexit.

It's all about the politics. The t**ts on the far right of the Tory party are bigging up No Deal, so that they can knife May when she goes for something less suicidal. They can claim that Brexit has been sold out, without ever having to face the lunacy of what they are purporting to support.

They are f**kers of the highest order. They are pushing the country to the brink and utterly f**king our relationship with Europe for the next half century for one reason alone - for them to gain control of the Tory party.

Every working class person who has been dragged along with this game has been played by the Farages and the Rees-Moggs and the Goves and the Johnsons. They do not give a flying f**k about you. They are using you for their ends.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on August 25, 2018, 12:45:37 pm
No deal wont happen, there are enough Tory MP's determined to prevent it.
https://www.ft.com/content/89982810-a773-11e8-8ecf-a7ae1beff35b

As to what will happen - it should keep us going for another 70 pages I reckon.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on August 25, 2018, 12:56:02 pm
No deal wont happen, there are enough Tory MP's determined to prevent it.
https://www.ft.com/content/89982810-a773-11e8-8ecf-a7ae1beff35b

As to what will happen - it should keep us going for another 70 pages I reckon.

From what it appears there's no deal that might be presented to Parliament to vote on that would get an overall majority for ratification...which would dump us into No Deal territory on Brexit Day by default.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: auckleyflyer on August 25, 2018, 05:56:19 pm
Hang on a minute, there was much fuss about the backstop position that was voted on? This is the default "no deal" position to explicitly prevent a no deal exit???
From memory(dont shoot me!) It was quite a soft brexit position? Maybe its a convoluted way of ending up with the softest exit??
Or have I indeed gone senile?!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on August 26, 2018, 09:04:50 pm
Well. The Brexiteers are finally, after two years, coming up with a solution to the Irish Border issue.

The Minister for the 18th Century thinks we could go back to the arrangements we had during the Troubles. Genius!

https://twitter.com/stephen_rth/status/1033033628303941638
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on August 26, 2018, 09:36:48 pm
Well. The Brexiteers are finally, after two years, coming up with a solution to the Irish Border issue.

The Minister for the 18th Century thinks we could go back to the arrangements we had during the Troubles. Genius!

https://twitter.com/stephen_rth/status/1033033628303941638

I'd love to know what the DUP response is! :lol:

PS Weren't 'the arrangements' during the troubles that the border was patrolled by armed soldiers?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on August 26, 2018, 10:10:50 pm
Aye. I assume Rees-Mogg is picturing them wearing frock coats and carrying muskets.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on August 26, 2018, 10:54:28 pm
Well. The Brexiteers are finally, after two years, coming up with a solution to the Irish Border issue.

The Minister for the 18th Century thinks we could go back to the arrangements we had during the Troubles. Genius!

https://twitter.com/stephen_rth/status/1033033628303941638

Well that twitter feed turned into a complete and utter shambles,posting rubbish like this makes you look thick.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on August 26, 2018, 11:02:27 pm
Sproty.

The rest of the discussion is meaningless. Just concentrate on what the Brexiteer-in-Chief, Rees-Mogg says. Look at the ridiculousness of the content of what he says the post-Brexit situation will be. There is nothing sensible in anything he ever says. His usual approach is a content-free "It'll be fine". Now we know why. Because when he suggests something concrete, it is utterly shambolic.

Point out to me anything that any Brexiteer has ever said in detail about why Brexit will work out well for us.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on August 26, 2018, 11:56:45 pm
Sproty.

The rest of the discussion is meaningless. Just concentrate on what the Brexiteer-in-Chief, Rees-Mogg says. Look at the ridiculousness of the content of what he says the post-Brexit situation will be. There is nothing sensible in anything he ever says. His usual approach is a content-free "It'll be fine". Now we know why. Because when he suggests something concrete, it is utterly shambolic.

Point out to me anything that any Brexiteer has ever said in detail about why Brexit will work out well for us.
BST these idiots just take turns grabbing the spot-light one gaff at a time, back to you Boris?.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on August 27, 2018, 01:32:28 am
Ah so it's okay to quote the Guardian when it suits your point of view but otherwise it's biased?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on August 27, 2018, 02:09:23 am
https://amp.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/jul/06/brexit-britain-property-bubble.        Someone else point of view on it, don’t know why it quoted everyone on last post
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on August 27, 2018, 02:10:59 am
Ah so it's okay to quote the Guardian when it suits your point of view but otherwise it's biased?
I’m not saying he is right it’s just another take on it spadge
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on August 27, 2018, 09:51:32 am
So why even post it if you're not saying he's right, "spadge"?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on August 27, 2018, 10:05:44 am
Because it’s a forum where you can post what you want, u seem to post enough shitty comments to people no problem
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on August 27, 2018, 10:08:18 am
At least have the courage to back up what you're posting. You obviously think he's right if you've posted the link to what he's said, so why not just say that instead of reacting like a child?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on August 27, 2018, 10:47:56 am
https://amp.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/jul/06/brexit-britain-property-bubble.        Someone else point of view on it, don’t know why it quoted everyone on last post

Bpool

You are repeatedly making my point for me.

The only people who support Brexit are ideologically fixated politicians, crooks and journalists who think that they are cleverer than anyone else.

Simon Jenkins falls into the latter category. He has no expertise whatsoever on the economics of Brexit. He offers no solution to the Irish Border question. But he is so convinced of his own infallibility that he regularly pronounces on a whole set of issues, most of which he turns out to be wrong about.

I'll give you my two pennorth. I don't give a flying f**k what opinions journalists and MPs have on Brexit. I'm not interested in their assurances that everything will be OK, or their comments on the Will of the People, or anything else about their opinions. What I DO listen to is the judgement of people who spend their professional life carefully analysing facts about economics and trade. And as I keep saying, I've yet to hear anything from any of those which says that Brexit will be anything less than a very serious problem - most of them say it will be a f**king catastrophe.

You, on the other hand, seem determined to go scavenging round for articles that support your preconceived decision, whilst ignoring anything from anyone who actually has any expertise on the Brexit issues.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on August 27, 2018, 11:08:11 am
Sproty.

The rest of the discussion is meaningless. Just concentrate on what the Brexiteer-in-Chief, Rees-Mogg says. Look at the ridiculousness of the content of what he says the post-Brexit situation will be. There is nothing sensible in anything he ever says. His usual approach is a content-free "It'll be fine". Now we know why. Because when he suggests something concrete, it is utterly shambolic.

Point out to me anything that any Brexiteer has ever said in detail about why Brexit will work out well for us.
BST these idiots just take turns grabbing the spot-light one gaff at a time, back to you Boris?.

Sydney we both have a low opinion of each other
Sproty.

The rest of the discussion is meaningless. Just concentrate on what the Brexiteer-in-Chief, Rees-Mogg says. Look at the ridiculousness of the content of what he says the post-Brexit situation will be. There is nothing sensible in anything he ever says. His usual approach is a content-free "It'll be fine". Now we know why. Because when he suggests something concrete, it is utterly shambolic.

Point out to me anything that any Brexiteer has ever said in detail about why Brexit will work out well for us.

The rest of the feed is meaningless but people will read it as I have done
And then wonder why you even bothered posting it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on August 27, 2018, 11:11:31 am
Sproty.
I posted it because it demonstrates the totally vacuity of thinking about the difficulties of Brexit by those who are leading it. I'd have thought that was obvious, but if you are determined to vanish down the rabbit hole of Twitter opinions, I guess it's inevitable that you will miss the point.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on August 27, 2018, 02:09:07 pm
Sproty.

The rest of the discussion is meaningless. Just concentrate on what the Brexiteer-in-Chief, Rees-Mogg says. Look at the ridiculousness of the content of what he says the post-Brexit situation will be. There is nothing sensible in anything he ever says. His usual approach is a content-free "It'll be fine". Now we know why. Because when he suggests something concrete, it is utterly shambolic.

Point out to me anything that any Brexiteer has ever said in detail about why Brexit will work out well for us.
BST these idiots just take turns grabbing the spot-light one gaff at a time, back to you Boris?.

Sydney we both have a low opinion of each other
Sproty.

The rest of the discussion is meaningless. Just concentrate on what the Brexiteer-in-Chief, Rees-Mogg says. Look at the ridiculousness of the content of what he says the post-Brexit situation will be. There is nothing sensible in anything he ever says. His usual approach is a content-free "It'll be fine". Now we know why. Because when he suggests something concrete, it is utterly shambolic.

Point out to me anything that any Brexiteer has ever said in detail about why Brexit will work out well for us.

The rest of the feed is meaningless but people will read it as I have done
And then wonder why you even bothered posting it.

''Sydney we both have a low opinion of each other[quote author=BillyStubbsTears link=topic=263860.msg800492#msg800492''

Sproty, I had to go back and through the posts to see where this came from & I can only think that my caption following a quote from BST was to blame.

''BST these idiots just take turns grabbing the spot-light one gaff at a time, back to you Boris?.''

Which meant: these idiots Rees-Mogg and Boris, not yourself Sproty, I may disagree with you on occasions but I do not have a low opinion of you. SR

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on August 27, 2018, 07:51:45 pm
https://amp.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/jul/06/brexit-britain-property-bubble.        Someone else point of view on it, don’t know why it quoted everyone on last post

Bpool

You are repeatedly making my point for me.

The only people who support Brexit are ideologically fixated politicians, crooks and journalists who think that they are cleverer than anyone else.

Simon Jenkins falls into the latter category. He has no expertise whatsoever on the economics of Brexit. He offers no solution to the Irish Border question. But he is so convinced of his own infallibility that he regularly pronounces on a whole set of issues, most of which he turns out to be wrong about.

I'll give you my two pennorth. I don't give a flying f**k what opinions journalists and MPs have on Brexit. I'm not interested in their assurances that everything will be OK, or their comments on the Will of the People, or anything else about their opinions. What I DO listen to is the judgement of people who spend their professional life carefully analysing facts about economics and trade. And as I keep saying, I've yet to hear anything from any of those which says that Brexit will be anything less than a very serious problem - most of them say it will be a f**king catastrophe.

You, on the other hand, seem determined to go scavenging round for articles that support your preconceived decision, whilst ignoring anything from anyone who actually has any expertise on the Brexit issues.
the problem is bst the people who have studied the economy and try and predict it are wrong as much as they are right, I won't post links as there are so many of them questioning how accurate they are? So how do you no which 1 of them to trust?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on August 27, 2018, 08:45:57 pm
Bpool

That is nonsense.

There are SOME economists who are frequently wrong. Like the ones who said that Austerity would produce an expansion in the economy in 2010. Or the one who said that massively raising interest rates and cutting Govt spending at the bottom of the recession in 1981 would spur the economy. (That last one is Patrick Minford - the Govt followed is advice in 1981 and it led to unemployment nearly trebling before they quietly ditched him).

Then again, there are economists who predicted that Austerity was a disaster which wold massively delay recovery from the Great Recession. They were bang on.

The same economists predicted that the Brexit vote would lead to a collapse in the Pound and to a sharp slow down in economic growth (and yes BB, before you start again, I KNOW that Osborne sold that as meaning that there would be a recession and there wasn't a recession because the global economy did better than expected but that doesn't mean the economists were wrong.)

The same economists are predicting that Brexit will have a very serious long-term negative effect on our economy. Minford is saying that it could all work out fine (but even he is saying that it could only work out fine if we cut import tariffs to zero and he accepts that this would destroy the British manufacturing industry and he says that the big Northern cities should be handled by "managed decline" as a result).

Now. ask yourself why the likes of Gove encourage you to ignore experts. And why everyone on the Brexit side of the argument poo-poos the idea that anyone can predict the effect of Brexit on the economy (and their poo-pooing has certainly worked on you).

Could it be because they know there is not a single sensible, credible economist who things it will turn out well? Whilst there are literally dozens who have been right on all the major issues of the last decade who are saying that it will be a f**king catastrophe?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on August 27, 2018, 08:51:25 pm
Missing me Billy?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on August 27, 2018, 09:13:28 pm
Aye. Like a hole in an argument.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on August 27, 2018, 09:18:45 pm
Plenty of holes in your arguments without me interfering, owd lad!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on August 27, 2018, 09:43:14 pm
Aye. Like a hole in an argument.

Nice one Billy you discredit Milford and then quote him as an authority on Brexit???
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on August 27, 2018, 09:59:07 pm
No Sproty.

I say that Minford is an ideologically driven menace.

He is one of the right-wing economists (and there are many) who makes a logical case for why right-wing policies CAN work in the long run, but glosses over the fact that in the meantime there will be horrific disolocations to an economy.

I didn't discredit him. I DO say that the one and only time his policies were put into effect (by Thatcher in 1981) the immediate and medium term effects were appalling, especially for areas like South Yorkshire. He may well have been right to claim that, if Thatcher had held her nerve, things would have worked out right in the end. Equally, he may well be right that if we follow his prescription on Brexit, we'd come out with a stronger economy by 2040. But it's all beside the point. Because the effect in the meatime would be horrific, just like it was horrific in the 1980s. And no Govt would go through with that. just like even Thatcher bottled it and binned him in 1982.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on August 27, 2018, 11:46:01 pm
https://amp.theguardian.com/business/2017/jan/05/chief-economist-of-bank-of-england-admits-errors 1 to start with there are hundreds more some on brexit most failing to predict the funicular crash plus much more
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on August 27, 2018, 11:59:22 pm
BPool.

1) Financial crash. There is a big point about crashes. No one can predict them. Because they depend on the interaction between many unpredictable reactions across the world. So in the case of the Great Financial Crash, no one knew how Bush's Govt would react to the failure of a major bank. No one knew just how badly leveraged banks were against a crazy housing bubble.

2) On SPECIFIC issues, like the consequence of a country deciding to make it far harder to trade with half a billion of the richest people on its doorstep, it's much easier to make predictions.

Here's an obvious analogy.

No one can predict exactly where every side will finish in the Premier league this year. There are too many variables that can't be guessed at. Injuries. Form. Stupid managerial decisions. inspired managerial decisions. Investment. lack of investment.

BUT.

If Spurs decide to play every match with three players having their legs tied together, you could pretty accurately predict that they would do much worse than they did last season.

That's the equivalent of trying to predict the effect on the whole world of the Great Financial Crash and trying to predict the effect on our country of Brexit.

And finally, as regards the belief in experts, here's a quote from that article you posted.

"Former Tory ministers, including the former foreign secretary William Hague and the former justice secretary Michael Gove, last year attacked the Bank of England governor, Mark Carney, for predicting a dramatic slowdown in growth if the country voted to leave the EU."

Thing is, we HAVE had a dramatic slowdown in growth since the vote. That is a fact. In 2016 we had the fastest growing economy in the G7. Now we have the slowest growing economy. We've lost about £60bn as a result of that slowdown.

Me, I'm f**king livid at that, because it means that I have to work harder just to stand still. Seems like you don't give a f**k about that. and that you still refuse to accept that the people who predicted that might have had a point.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on August 28, 2018, 05:43:29 am
BPool.

1) Financial crash. There is a big point about crashes. No one can predict them. Because they depend on the interaction between many unpredictable reactions across the world. So in the case of the Great Financial Crash, no one knew how Bush's Govt would react to the failure of a major bank. No one knew just how badly leveraged banks were against a crazy housing bubble.

2) On SPECIFIC issues, like the consequence of a country deciding to make it far harder to trade with half a billion of the richest people on its doorstep, it's much easier to make predictions.

Here's an obvious analogy.

No one can predict exactly where every side will finish in the Premier league this year. There are too many variables that can't be guessed at. Injuries. Form. Stupid managerial decisions. inspired managerial decisions. Investment. lack of investment.

BUT.

If Spurs decide to play every match with three players having their legs tied together, you could pretty accurately predict that they would do much worse than they did last season.

That's the equivalent of trying to predict the effect on the whole world of the Great Financial Crash and trying to predict the effect on our country of Brexit.

And finally, as regards the belief in experts, here's a quote from that article you posted.

"Former Tory ministers, including the former foreign secretary William Hague and the former justice secretary Michael Gove, last year attacked the Bank of England governor, Mark Carney, for predicting a dramatic slowdown in growth if the country voted to leave the EU."

Thing is, we HAVE had a dramatic slowdown in growth since the vote. That is a fact. In 2016 we had the fastest growing economy in the G7. Now we have the slowest growing economy. We've lost about £60bn as a result of that slowdown.

Me, I'm f**king livid at that, because it means that I have to work harder just to stand still. Seems like you don't give a f**k about that. and that you still refuse to accept that the people who predicted that might have had a point.

Excellent post bst, however sadly I think however accurate it's portrayal of current events, it is wasted on those whose refusal to consider, let alone accept any of the points raised. Some would prefer to stay within their mental safety net of lies and propaganda rather than grudgingly accept they have and are still being conned by charlatans out to make a quick and iffy buck at both their and our expense.

As ever it takes a big man / woman to accept they might have been misled and rather than confront these issues, they continue to believe those lies , exaggerations and pipe dreams that the snake oil salesmen are allowed to disseminate to them on a daily basis.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on August 28, 2018, 12:18:52 pm
No Sproty.

I say that Minford is an ideologically driven menace.

He is one of the right-wing economists (and there are many) who makes a logical case for why right-wing policies CAN work in the long run, but glosses over the fact that in the meantime there will be horrific disolocations to an economy.

I didn't discredit him. I DO say that the one and only time his policies were put into effect (by Thatcher in 1981) the immediate and medium term effects were appalling, especially for areas like South Yorkshire. He may well have been right to claim that, if Thatcher had held her nerve, things would have worked out right in the end. Equally, he may well be right that if we follow his prescription on Brexit, we'd come out with a stronger economy by 2040. But it's all beside the point. Because the effect in the meatime would be horrific, just like it was horrific in the 1980s. And no Govt would go through with that. just like even Thatcher bottled it and binned him in 1982.

The antics of the NUM were mainly responsible for the economic decline in South Yorkshire, they took on the Government of the time ,they lost the battle, the Thatcher Goverment then decided to teach us all a lesson and totally neglected the area for almost a decade. Quoting South Yorkshire is a poor example of economic mismanagement it was done on purpose.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on August 28, 2018, 01:18:10 pm
Sproty.

You don't half talk some garbage when you have a ridiculous position to defend. Saying that the NUM was mainly responsible for the problems in South Yorkshire is ridiculous.

South Yorkshire's economy was already in crisis by the time the Miners' Strike started. As was the economy of the entire old Industrial North.

Have a look at the figures in Table 1 here.
https://www.persee.fr/doc/espos_0755-7809_1985_num_3_2_1046

1.5million manufacturing jobs lost between June 1980 and June 1983. And March 1981 was when Thatcher and Howe implemented the suicidal policies advocated by Patrick Minford.

Then look at the figures in Table 2. By 1984 (before anyone had lost their jobs due to the Strike) unemployment in Yorks & Humber was 14.3%. In the North it was 18.1%. In the North West it was 16.0%. In the West Midlands it was 15.2%.

Our entire manufacturing industry and the areas that depended on it were decimated in the early 1980s. Nothing to do with the Strike. Everything to do with the policies of Patrick f**king Minford. The only senior economist who thinks Brexit is a good idea.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on August 28, 2018, 01:43:28 pm
Yep it doesnt read well does it and I wonder just how massaged our " real " underlying unemployment figures are now - Youth in FE , minimum wage and Zero and Part - time  hour contracts notwithstanding.

Just how much of the workforce actually earn decent wages under the present Govts. philosophy ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on August 28, 2018, 05:39:01 pm
No Sproty.

I say that Minford is an ideologically driven menace.

He is one of the right-wing economists (and there are many) who makes a logical case for why right-wing policies CAN work in the long run, but glosses over the fact that in the meantime there will be horrific disolocations to an economy.

I didn't discredit him. I DO say that the one and only time his policies were put into effect (by Thatcher in 1981) the immediate and medium term effects were appalling, especially for areas like South Yorkshire. He may well have been right to claim that, if Thatcher had held her nerve, things would have worked out right in the end. Equally, he may well be right that if we follow his prescription on Brexit, we'd come out with a stronger economy by 2040. But it's all beside the point. Because the effect in the meatime would be horrific, just like it was horrific in the 1980s. And no Govt would go through with that. just like even Thatcher bottled it and binned him in 1982.

The antics of the NUM were mainly responsible for the economic decline in South Yorkshire, they took on the Government of the time ,they lost the battle, the Thatcher Goverment then decided to teach us all a lesson and totally neglected the area for almost a decade. Quoting South Yorkshire is a poor example of economic mismanagement it was done on purpose.

So doubling - if not trebling - unemployment five years before the miner's strike was the NUM's fault was it? Tosh.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on August 29, 2018, 04:09:43 am
Hey Sproty, never say I dont give you a leg up or respect your views, here is a freebie, maybe a first on this thread, something to celebrate, a good news story, something that will bring a warm glow to everyones heart. People will remember this as the turning point, a point in time when the Brexit fairy tale delivered. There are critics but just ignore them and feel the love.

Last year, Britain exported £2.4bn worth of goods to the six African countries included in Ms May’s deal - just 0.7 per cent of the value of its exports to the EU and the rest of the world combined, which were worth £339bn.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GcZAwoip5aY

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/uk-trade-deal-africa-theresa-may-trip-post-brexit-eu-rollover-a8511871.html




Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Muttley on August 29, 2018, 07:19:53 am

Last year, Britain exported £2.4bn worth of goods to the six African countries included in Ms May’s deal - just 0.7 per cent of the value of its exports to the EU and the rest of the world combined, which were worth £339bn.


And Brexiteers will argue that this shows the massive potential of the African market - there's twice as many people in Africa than in the EU, all we need to do is get some of our expensive fruit, veg, meat, cheese and specialty jams on their shelves and trade will boom! ;-)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on August 29, 2018, 10:21:49 am
A trade expert summed it up on Radio 4 this morning.

He said May is visiting South Africa, Nigeria and Kenya. Their collective GDP is less than that of Spain. So whatever trade we do with Africa is not going to compensate for making it harder to trade with the EU. And yes, of course we should be trying to increase trade with Africa. But we could do that whilst remaining members of the EU. Germany currently exports 3 times as much as we do to South Africa. Belgium and The Netherlands between them currently export nearly six times as much as we do to Nigeria. If they can do it whilst retaining all the benefits of the EU, why can't we?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on August 29, 2018, 10:47:44 am
Hey Sproty, never say I dont give you a leg up or respect your views, here is a freebie, maybe a first on this thread, something to celebrate, a good news story, something that will bring a warm glow to everyones heart. People will remember this as the turning point, a point in time when the Brexit fairy tale delivered. There are critics but just ignore them and feel the love.

Last year, Britain exported £2.4bn worth of goods to the six African countries included in Ms May’s deal - just 0.7 per cent of the value of its exports to the EU and the rest of the world combined, which were worth £339bn.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GcZAwoip5aY

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/uk-trade-deal-africa-theresa-may-trip-post-brexit-eu-rollover-a8511871.html






Hey Sydney, interesting to see that an agriculturally backward Nation is planning to take advantage of Brexit and intends sending us such delicacies as burnt Goat Heads and GM Modified meat, a right set of scumbag scoundrels by all accounts!

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-trade-meat-banned-eu-australia-beef-liam-fox-dit-friends-of-the-earth-a8475006.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on August 29, 2018, 01:12:40 pm
Hey Sproty, never say I dont give you a leg up or respect your views, here is a freebie, maybe a first on this thread, something to celebrate, a good news story, something that will bring a warm glow to everyones heart. People will remember this as the turning point, a point in time when the Brexit fairy tale delivered. There are critics but just ignore them and feel the love.

Last year, Britain exported £2.4bn worth of goods to the six African countries included in Ms May’s deal - just 0.7 per cent of the value of its exports to the EU and the rest of the world combined, which were worth £339bn.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GcZAwoip5aY

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/uk-trade-deal-africa-theresa-may-trip-post-brexit-eu-rollover-a8511871.html






Hey Sydney, interesting to see that an agriculturally backward Nation is planning to take advantage of Brexit and intends sending us such delicacies as burnt Goat Heads and GM Modified meat, a right set of scumbag scoundrels by all accounts!

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-trade-meat-banned-eu-australia-beef-liam-fox-dit-friends-of-the-earth-a8475006.html

Mmmmm, I hear you can make a good winter soup from burnt goat heads, cant wait.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on August 29, 2018, 05:56:11 pm
Bpool

That is nonsense.

There are SOME economists who are frequently wrong. Like the ones who said that Austerity would produce an expansion in the economy in 2010. Or the one who said that massively raising interest rates and cutting Govt spending at the bottom of the recession in 1981 would spur the economy. (That last one is Patrick Minford - the Govt followed is advice in 1981 and it led to unemployment nearly trebling before they quietly ditched him).

Then again, there are economists who predicted that Austerity was a disaster which wold massively delay recovery from the Great Recession. They were bang on.

The same economists predicted that the Brexit vote would lead to a collapse in the Pound and to a sharp slow down in economic growth (and yes BB, before you start again, I KNOW that Osborne sold that as meaning that there would be a recession and there wasn't a recession because the global economy did better than expected but that doesn't mean the economists were wrong.)

The same economists are predicting that Brexit will have a very serious long-term negative effect on our economy. Minford is saying that it could all work out fine (but even he is saying that it could only work out fine if we cut import tariffs to zero and he accepts that this would destroy the British manufacturing industry and he says that the big Northern cities should be handled by "managed decline" as a result).

Now. ask yourself why the likes of Gove encourage you to ignore experts. And why everyone on the Brexit side of the argument poo-poos the idea that anyone can predict the effect of Brexit on the economy (and their poo-pooing has certainly worked on you).

Could it be because they know there is not a single sensible, credible economist who things it will turn out well? Whilst there are literally dozens who have been right on all the major issues of the last decade who are saying that it will be a f**king catastrophe?
2 thirds wrong about brexit so far bst, are any of the ones you follow in that 2 thirds ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on August 29, 2018, 09:27:13 pm
I haven't got a scooby what you're on about Bpool. What 2/3rds?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Monkcaster_Rover on August 30, 2018, 01:11:23 am
Seen this thread going for ages so thought I'd have a quick gander.

I'm happy everyone's at each other's throats. I'd be disappointed if it was a proper debate without anyone throwing sly digs at one another.

Carry on, all.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on August 30, 2018, 08:57:46 am
Hey Sproty, never say I dont give you a leg up or respect your views, here is a freebie, maybe a first on this thread, something to celebrate, a good news story, something that will bring a warm glow to everyones heart. People will remember this as the turning point, a point in time when the Brexit fairy tale delivered. There are critics but just ignore them and feel the love.

Last year, Britain exported £2.4bn worth of goods to the six African countries included in Ms May’s deal - just 0.7 per cent of the value of its exports to the EU and the rest of the world combined, which were worth £339bn.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GcZAwoip5aY

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/uk-trade-deal-africa-theresa-may-trip-post-brexit-eu-rollover-a8511871.html






Hey Sydney, interesting to see that an agriculturally backward Nation is planning to take advantage of Brexit and intends sending us such delicacies as burnt Goat Heads and GM Modified meat, a right set of scumbag scoundrels by all accounts!

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-trade-meat-banned-eu-australia-beef-liam-fox-dit-friends-of-the-earth-a8475006.html
Now't new, they've been getting away with sending us that Fosters Lager shite for years.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on August 30, 2018, 09:05:06 am
Seen this thread going for ages so thought I'd have a quick gander.

I'm happy everyone's at each other's throats. I'd be disappointed if it was a proper debate without anyone throwing sly digs at one another.

Carry on, all.

Care to discuss this in the car park?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on August 30, 2018, 09:19:37 am
You forgot the smiley face RedJ.🙂
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on August 30, 2018, 10:06:07 am
Hey Sproty, never say I dont give you a leg up or respect your views, here is a freebie, maybe a first on this thread, something to celebrate, a good news story, something that will bring a warm glow to everyones heart. People will remember this as the turning point, a point in time when the Brexit fairy tale delivered. There are critics but just ignore them and feel the love.

Last year, Britain exported £2.4bn worth of goods to the six African countries included in Ms May’s deal - just 0.7 per cent of the value of its exports to the EU and the rest of the world combined, which were worth £339bn.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GcZAwoip5aY

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/uk-trade-deal-africa-theresa-may-trip-post-brexit-eu-rollover-a8511871.html






Hey Sydney, interesting to see that an agriculturally backward Nation is planning to take advantage of Brexit and intends sending us such delicacies as burnt Goat Heads and GM Modified meat, a right set of scumbag scoundrels by all accounts!

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-trade-meat-banned-eu-australia-beef-liam-fox-dit-friends-of-the-earth-a8475006.html
Now't new, they've been getting away with sending us that Fosters Lager shite for years.

Dear Mr Bullet sorry to inform you that you have the wrong end of said stick again, SY

Foster's Lager is an internationally distributed brand of lager with its origin in Australia. It is owned by the international brewing group AB InBev, and is brewed under licence in a number of countries, including its biggest market, the UK, where the European rights to the brand are owned by Heineken International.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on August 30, 2018, 10:09:35 am
To be fair Foster's being brewed in the EU is as good a reason as any to vote Leave.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on August 30, 2018, 10:19:07 am
I haven't got a scooby what you're on about Bpool. What 2/3rds?
sorry mate link didn't work
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on August 30, 2018, 10:44:12 am
Was this the link Bpool?

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.express.co.uk/finance/city/750641/Brexit-bashing-economists-admit-they-got-it-wrong/amp
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on August 30, 2018, 01:45:02 pm
It's just that, if it was, it's another case of The Express making up headlines.

1) Nowhere in that article does it provide any example of any economist "admitting they got it wrong" on the effect of Brexit.

2) They say that the economy didn't take a hit due to the Brexit vote.

Well here's the data from the OBR. Not predictions. Facts about what has already happened.

https://mobile.twitter.com/MissSVMalone/status/973547900415471616/photo/1


They are lying to you and treating you like a gullible fool.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on August 30, 2018, 11:59:53 pm
It's just that, if it was, it's another case of The Express making up headlines.

1) Nowhere in that article does it provide any example of any economist "admitting they got it wrong" on the effect of Brexit.

2) They say that the economy didn't take a hit due to the Brexit vote.

Well here's the data from the OBR. Not predictions. Facts about what has already happened.

https://mobile.twitter.com/MissSVMalone/status/973547900415471616/photo/1


They are lying to you and treating you like a gullible fool.

Lol I can't help myself sometimes either , the Express is my " go to " place for a good chuckle too. The stuff is getting worse - have you tried perusing their reader's forum too ? Its entertaining to say the least. PMSL

Please tell me you don't go there for serious reading and politics bpool ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on August 31, 2018, 06:23:46 am
To be fair Foster's being brewed in the EU is as good a reason as any to vote Leave.

At last 79 pages in - we have a genuine reason for leaving the EU  ..... it's Fosters lager.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on August 31, 2018, 07:23:46 am
To be fair Foster's being brewed in the EU is as good a reason as any to vote Leave.

At last 79 pages in - we have a genuine reason for leaving the EU  ..... it's Fosters lager.
Except Hoola that its brewed in Britain and drunk by Britons and for good measure (or bad, I cant stand it):

Foster's lager, as we know it in Britain's pubs and supermarkets, is an Australian brand; it is not an Australian beer. "Australian for lager" it may claim to be, but 1.2bn pints of the amber nectar a year are brewed in Manchester, not Melbourne.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on August 31, 2018, 09:07:47 am
It's just that, if it was, it's another case of The Express making up headlines.

1) Nowhere in that article does it provide any example of any economist "admitting they got it wrong" on the effect of Brexit.

2) They say that the economy didn't take a hit due to the Brexit vote.

Well here's the data from the OBR. Not predictions. Facts about what has already happened.

https://mobile.twitter.com/MissSVMalone/status/973547900415471616/photo/1


They are lying to you and treating you like a gullible fool.

Lol I can't help myself sometimes either , the Express is my " go to " place for a good chuckle too. The stuff is getting worse - have you tried perusing their reader's forum too ? Its entertaining to say the least. PMSL

Please tell me you don't go there for serious reading and politics bpool ?

Well by the sounds of it he hasn't even read the article he's posted the link to just seen the headline and decided it fit his argument.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on August 31, 2018, 12:22:31 pm
https://amp.theguardian.com/business/economics-blog/2017/jan/08/economic-forecasts-hardwired-get-things-wrong How about this 1 or I could post hundreds of them saying most get it wrong
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on August 31, 2018, 12:32:53 pm
https://www.ft.com/content/70a2a978-adac-11e7-8076-0a4bdda92ca2
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on August 31, 2018, 01:37:25 pm
Bpool

This is impossible. You are determined to look at 18 month old headlines written by politically motivated journalists and ignore the actual facts.

That Guardian journalist (who is a serial awkward bugger) says.

"The fallback position for those who said the sky would instantly fall in after the referendum is that they were right about everything apart from the timing. Armageddon has been postponed, not cancelled. The consensus is that in the long term there will be a sizable and permanent hit to the economy from Brexit, caused by a loss of trade and inward investment."

He says that with a curl of the lip as if to say "Yeah right".

Well actually, yeah, right. Look what has happened since he wrote that in Jan 2017.

https://mobile.twitter.com/MissSVMalone/status/973547900415471616/photo/1

Every other major industrialised has seen its  GDP growth increase. Even Japan which has been a basket case for years. Even Italy which isn't on that graph. We alone have seen our growth fall. We've missed out on a global boom.

We've-90bn due to a huge downturn that is entirely down to the Brexit vote. Just as the economists that he derided had predicted. Being a journalist he won't tell you that the rest of the world has been booming and we alone have seen our growth collapse.

That's why you no longer see journalists writing stories decrying the economists' predictions with any detail. Because the predictions were right. So the Brexit supporting journalists will move on. And you will keep on parrotting their pontifications that have been comprehensively disproved. 

You seem happy with the fact that we've lost a shed load of money and that we're going to continue on a much poorer path than we should.  I am f**king livid because I want my kids to grow up in a richer country than they are going to do.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: graingrover on August 31, 2018, 03:38:45 pm
German Finance Minister rebutes Macron's proposal for a Eurozone Central budget to share rich country wealth among poor Eu country needs .It will go unmentioned in all but FT and on Bloomberg but it is a huge blow to the fulfillment of the EU dream.

Envoyé de mon EVA-L09 en utilisant Tapatalk

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: graingrover on August 31, 2018, 03:51:52 pm
Just to dispel a myth about single market for Financial services.There was ,a  DIRECTIVE IN 1992 to allow freedom of services across borders but was never fully implemented .So when I tried to introduce some Commercial Union Uk products onto the continent. eg in 1992 Uk already provided cheap rate Life Assurance for non smokers ..the tariffs were refused in Belgium Luxembourg and Holland and we  were unable to enforce despite the above mentioned Directive .Secondly we were refused permission to sell cheaper motor insurance to women(  as exists in  UK) the argument being gender discrimination is not allowed under EU law. The realities of life on the ground bear little relation to to the noise in the media.
Finally Maersk shipping line which is Danish would have an impossible task getting cover for it' s massive fleet without the London market and Lloyds.

Envoyé de mon EVA-L09 en utilisant Tapatalk

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on August 31, 2018, 05:42:49 pm
What amuses me bst is that if someone puts a link up you say there politically motivated etc. Yet if you put 1 up there the best and most independent person in the world, have you thought ever that the people you link to might ever be wrong or be politically motivated abit to the left?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on August 31, 2018, 05:57:10 pm
Well to be fair you didn't even read the link you posted from the Express, so...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on August 31, 2018, 07:40:54 pm
Bpool

It's REALLY simple.

I'm posting established facts or predictions from people with a track record of getting predictions right.  You are posting out of date opinions which have been proved wrong by the facts.

I'm not trying to be a smart t**t but that is the issue. It's not me saying "my stuff is right and yours is wrong" because mine is mine and yours is yours. It's because mine has evidence on its side and yours doesn't.

You've referred to two Express articles in the past couple of weeks. I've pointed out the FACT that both of them had headlines which cannot be described as anything but lies. You haven't commented on that. Doesn't it make you stop and think that someone is taking you for an idiot?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: i_ateallthepies on August 31, 2018, 07:57:51 pm
BST, I've never known a single idiot smart enough to know that he's an idiot.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on August 31, 2018, 08:05:20 pm
Give up BST. You've made the same point very well many many times with watertight research and evidence and still
Certain folk don't believe you and never will.
I've got a reasonably intelligent Brexiteer friend who gets the Daily Mail every day and believes every word in it. I've borrowed some of your stuff to try and argue with him. It's like talking to the wall.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on September 01, 2018, 01:00:47 am
Give up BST. You've made the same point very well many many times with watertight research and evidence and still
Certain folk don't believe you and never will.
I've got a reasonably intelligent Brexiteer friend who gets the Daily Mail every day and believes every word in it. I've borrowed some of your stuff to try and argue with him. It's like talking to the wall.

TT  I too have some friends like that , it's impossible to get through that wall of ignorance . The door is shut and slammed tight - they are frightened to open the door even slightly hence no acknowledgements to bst 's excellent points .

I know Billy means well to help certain individuals to  at least take a proper look for themselves even if they don't accept it openly on here.

However like my friends they are beyond logic, fact - based evidence and statistics and keep coming back for more .
 My patience is  now running out and just like you  - I have tried using perfectly good arguments some of which I take from here. His ( patience that is ) however seems endless.

He cares that much about the subject and the people he is trying to open that door to.........I suppose we must all be seen as difficult to the average Brexiter. As unpatriotic, weak and unadventurous even enemies of the people.
However when looking at his grand-children and in my case the future of my daughter ( at Copenhagen Uni ) and others who have their vested interests in the prosperity, freedoms and well- being of their children/ grand- children
 ; we still feel we have a duty to continue this fight .




Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on September 01, 2018, 06:42:44 am
 https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/articles/2018-08-01/what-are-economists-getting-wrong-today This 1 is this month, which ones do you use?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on September 01, 2018, 06:49:38 am
Give up BST. You've made the same point very well many many times with watertight research and evidence and still
Certain folk don't believe you and never will.
I've got a reasonably intelligent Brexiteer friend who gets the Daily Mail every day and believes every word in it. I've borrowed some of your stuff to try and argue with him. It's like talking to the wall.
he has made his point very well I agree but that does not mean he is always right, you will never find bst saying anything good about the tories for example because that would not suit,no matter what anyone puts up he will say his links come from people that are right every time and the oned  other  people put up are nonsense and we're getting taken for a ride,all you have to do is type in do economists get it wrong more than right and there are thousands of links saying they do, yet there all wrong except bst economist of course
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on September 01, 2018, 08:29:48 am
https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/articles/2018-08-01/what-are-economists-getting-wrong-today This 1 is this month, which ones do you use?
You've not read it have you bpool?
This doesn't back up your argument at all.
Read the last paragraph from your link.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on September 01, 2018, 08:33:14 am
Give up BST. You've made the same point very well many many times with watertight research and evidence and still
Certain folk don't believe you and never will.
I've got a reasonably intelligent Brexiteer friend who gets the Daily Mail every day and believes every word in it. I've borrowed some of your stuff to try and argue with him. It's like talking to the wall.
he has made his point very well I agree but that does not mean he is always right, you will never find bst saying anything good about the tories for example because that would not suit,no matter what anyone puts up he will say his links come from people that are right every time and the oned  other  people put up are nonsense and we're getting taken for a ride,all you have to do is type in do economists get it wrong more than right and there are thousands of links saying they do, yet there all wrong except bst economist of course

Says the bloke who doesn't want Labour in power because 'they will wreck the economy'. Random economic predicitions appear to be fine if it suits one scenario but not others, hmm.

I am certainly no economist but even I know that if you put up barriers to trade, tarrifs, paperwork, bureaucracy, this make things more expensive and you are not going to sell as much. I also know that if the EU say that our service sector, which makes up 80% of our economy, can't operate in the EU after Brexit, this is going to be a problem for those companies.

The government (who are supposed to believe in Brexit because they are carrying it out) have produced their own impact assessments that show the further away from the EU we go after Brexit the worse it will be for the economy. Liam Fox things it will take 30 years to see the benefits, Rees-Mogg thinks it will be 50.

There is no economic case for Brexit unless you are a billionaire looking to take advantage of the tax cuts and deregulation that the Brexiteers like Fox and Rees-Mogg want. There is an emotional and political case that will lower the standard of living for ordinary people, but until you accept that and the consequences of that choice blackpool, no-one is going to take you seriously.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 01, 2018, 09:09:52 am
https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/articles/2018-08-01/what-are-economists-getting-wrong-today This 1 is this month, which ones do you use?

What's that telling you, specifically?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 01, 2018, 09:17:50 am
Give up BST. You've made the same point very well many many times with watertight research and evidence and still
Certain folk don't believe you and never will.
I've got a reasonably intelligent Brexiteer friend who gets the Daily Mail every day and believes every word in it. I've borrowed some of your stuff to try and argue with him. It's like talking to the wall.
he has made his point very well I agree but that does not mean he is always right, you will never find bst saying anything good about the tories for example because that would not suit,no matter what anyone puts up he will say his links come from people that are right every time and the oned  other  people put up are nonsense and we're getting taken for a ride,all you have to do is type in do economists get it wrong more than right and there are thousands of links saying they do, yet there all wrong except bst economist of course
People are capable of representing either side of an argument with equal conviction. When they decide what side to take their level of intelligence dictates how convincing they are. Being convincing doesn't always mean they are right because they are capable of being equally as convincing supporting the other side of the argument.

When the argument is of a political nature their instinctive conviction is to support their own party's stance.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 01, 2018, 09:47:14 am
BB

If one person convincingly argues that it's raining and the other one convincingly argues that it isn't, you don't sit there saying "Well you can make a convincing argument about anything but the truth is unknowable." You look out of the bleeding window and see what the evidence in the real world says.

What you and Bpool are doing, repeatedly, is insisting on keeping the curtains closed, then pouring scorn on the folk who HAVE looked out the window.

That one graph that i have posted up the page should be enough to kill all this discussion. It shows unequivocally how our economic growth has collapsed since the Brexit vote whilst that of every other leading economy has surged.

But you steadfastly refused to engage with that. That is PRECISELY like refusing to look for yourself whether it is raining. If you don't look at factual evidence in front of you, and insists on arguing about the philosophy of arguing, it makes me think that you haven't really got any interest in finding out the truth. You just prefer to argue.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 01, 2018, 10:38:21 am
BST

Looking out of the window and seeing it is raining isn't making a weather forecast. Looking at what tomorrow's weather forecast is predicted to be by weather experts is what people rely on. Short-term forecasts are very accurate these days, but even with all the knowledge gained over donkey's years of research, the expert's predictions still get less accurate the further into the future they go. 

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 01, 2018, 10:42:24 am
BB

And there we go again.

The economy HAS ALREADY TAKEN A HIT.

That's not a prediction. It's a fact.

It's not a forecast. The washing is already soaking wet because you refused to look out the window when it started raining and you preferred to pontificate on whether anyone could every reliably predict that it would rain.


The issue  is, as I've pointed out to you several times before and you've consistently ignored is that there ARE some things that are too hard to accurately predict but that doesn't mean that EVERYTHING is.

So yes. I agree that looks good range weather forecasting is impossible. As is predicting the performance of the global economy over a long period of time.

Agreed. There are too many unknown variables.

But that's not the issue that we are discussing. We're discussing the specific effect of our country choosing to make it far harder to trade with half a billion of the richest oeie on the planet right on our doorstep.

So yeah, you can't predict what the weather will be like in Donny on 1 Jan 2030.

But you CAN say that it you towed the UK 500 miles further north, it's reasonable to predict that the average temperature in Donny would decrease.

And then, a couple of years after you had started towing, you look back a temperature records and - well whaddya know! It's getting cooler! Maybe those who said it would get cooler had a point and those who said it would get warmer were talking ba-baa?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: graingrover on September 01, 2018, 10:56:59 am
I have lived in continental EU countries for 40 years and although I had no voting rights in the referendum I would have voted remain. I worked in Financial services Insurance and Investment banking.There has NEVER been an open borders Market without establishing continental subsidiaries. POST Brexit It will still be possible to establish subsidiaries in EU countries to do business and Llyods Insurance has just set up in Brussels and from it' s Belgian subsidiary will continue to do business as before. DONT despair ..UK and EU will still trade but certain rights of the individual will be compromised .
To illustrate some things that were never freely traded ...you cannot get a mortgage on a house in EU from UK high street banks .EU banks will not give you a mortgage in Uk nor will they insure you.The same refusals apply to Life assurance Motor Insurance etc etc .Lots of myths surrounding this so called European passporting.

 

Envoyé de mon EVA-L09 en utilisant Tapatalk
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 01, 2018, 11:22:12 am
BST

I've never said our economy hasn't taken a hit. It was expected as an initial consequence of voting to leave.

The difference is you are predicting a storm long-term, and I'm not. That doesn't mean to say I'm predicting there won't be one, I'm saying I don't know.

I'm no Michael Fish.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 01, 2018, 12:00:23 pm
BB

No. I'm not predicting anything.

I'm going on the predictions of the economists who were:

Bang on right about Austerity
Bang on right about the effect of the Brexit vote on the pound.
Bang on right about the effect of the Brexit vote on inflation.
Bang on right about the effect of the Brexit vote on our immediate economic performance.

People who have that sort of track record deserve to have their predictions taken seriously.

You are going on...well what? Hope? Belief that Rees-Mogg is right? What exactly?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 01, 2018, 12:06:33 pm
And by the way.

Where has THIS suddenly come from:
"
I've never said our economy hasn't taken a hit. It was expected as an initial consequence of voting to leave."

Only, when I first pointed out last year that our economy was tanking post the Brexit vote, your first response was that it was due to uncertainty because of the General Election, then that it was due to miserable sods like me talking down the country.

Just for the record, are you now saying that you accept that the economic drop that we've already had (£60-90bn and rising fast) IS due to the Brexit vote?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on September 01, 2018, 04:53:33 pm
I cant help thinking you will be waiting a fair while for an answer to that one. .....
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 01, 2018, 05:49:51 pm
BST.

If I remember correctly I asked if it was possible that our economy might have been affected by the General Election. I never personally said that it had. Perhaps you should have another look and apologise accordingly.

As for me accepting there has been an economic drop since the Brexit vote, I've NEVER said otherwise! Everyone, and I mean both Remainers and Leavers expected an initial slump in the economy after the leave vote because of the uncertainty of the future.

Hoola, Some of us have other things to do on a Saturday afternoon. I replied to BST's post as soon as I could. Talking of waiting, I can't help thinking it will be a while before I get my apology from BST, what do you reckon?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 01, 2018, 11:23:01 pm
BB

If I misjudged your old comment and you were really asking me what I thought of the effect of the election on GDP rather than suggesting it yourself as an alternative explanation to Brexit the I apologise profusely. I always do when I get stuff wrong.  Especially to people who seem to set great store on needing apologies.

I'll apologise even more if you can show me where you previously have accepted that Brexit would have a detrimental economic effect, and I'll treble it if you can show me where any leading Brexiter said such  a thing before the vote.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on September 02, 2018, 01:17:50 am
here is a post for all those that say no one posts the good things that tories say and want

“I think it is complete balderdash to say the people have spoken, therefore you can’t go back. The people can speak again – why can’t we have another vote on it,” Robertson told the Observer. “We had a brilliant deal with Europe. We had an opt-out on ever-closer union, we weren’t in the single currency and we were not in Schengen [the EU’s visa-free travel area]. We had a perfect arrangement. We are now going to end up with one where, at the end of things, we won’t have a final say.''

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/sep/01/conservative-party-donor-calls-for-second-brexit-vote
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on September 02, 2018, 02:18:18 am
" Hoola, Some of us have other things to do on a Saturday afternoon. I replied to BST's post as soon as I could. Talking of waiting, I can't help thinking it will be a while before I get my apology from BST, what do you reckon? "

I thought if you were due one you would get one . Are you now beginning to regret your voting to Remain or do you feel vindicated as expose of cheating and lies even possible involvement of a foreign hostile government has been suggested ?

Incidentally , this is not an " initial slump " in the economy - it is far more than that and no- one on the Leave campaign ever suggested that as far as I can remember.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 02, 2018, 08:41:34 am
Surely an 'initial slump' means the first slump of many....so it looks like BB is expecting more slumps after all!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 02, 2018, 10:04:27 am
BST, apology accepted. I wouldn't have asked for one if Hoola hadn't annoyed me with his interfering comment.

As for Brexit having a detrimental economic effect, I never said it really would because I didn't really know. I did, however, say I was concerned:

https://www.drfc-vsc.co.uk/index.php?topic=261703.msg695682#msg695682
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on September 02, 2018, 10:37:26 am
BB don't be ridiculous this is a forum " interfering comment " indeed . It hasn't stopped you from wading into this thread from time to time when others have been talking now has it ? Stop trying to force arguments where none existed in the first place it was merely a harmless remark like many you have made throughout this topic . In fact I wasn't even talking to you.

" Hoola, Some of us have other things to do on a Saturday afternoon. I replied to BST's post as soon as I could. Talking of waiting, I can't help thinking it will be a while before I get my apology from BST, what do you reckon? "

"BST, apology accepted. I wouldn't have asked for one if Hoola hadn't annoyed me with his interfering comment. "

All the above because of this ( my comment )  :-

" I can't help thinking it will be a fair while to you get a reply  "

Jeez you've been bobbing in and out of this thread and people's conversations since it started almost 12 months ago .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on September 02, 2018, 10:44:54 am
Just out of interest who isn't going to call this 2nd referendum you want? None of the main parties want a 2nd referendum so there is no hope it will happen
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 02, 2018, 10:58:01 am
BB
Only too happy to oblige if an apology is so important to you. Forgive me for misreading your comment on the General Election. I hadn't realised it was a genuine inquiry of my opinion, as you didn't respond d when I gave my opinion.

I don't really understand what your pension has to do with Brexite or the topic under discussion if I'm being honest
 We're talking specifically about the actual, confirmed, measurable and prolonged effect that the Brexiter vote is having on the UK economy (which I'm pleased to see you acknowledge). But a) there's little connection between the state of the UK economy and  the level of the UK stock market and  b)if the UK stock market was looking  dodgy, your pension can be invested anywhere in the world.

But anyway, we're making progress. I'm still struggling to see where the Brexiter side made it clear to voters that there would be an immediate economic hit after the vote but at least it's clear that you accept that it was inevitable and it has happened and is happening.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 02, 2018, 11:00:08 am
Hoola, I always answer people who ask a sensible question that is worth spending time on answering. I'll also respond to people who post untruths about things I've said, especially when they are held in high regard and relied upon for factual accuracy like BST is.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 02, 2018, 11:20:34 am
BST, the pension part does play a part in this discussion because it was my reason why I voted remain.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on September 02, 2018, 11:33:07 am
Hey Sproty, never say I dont give you a leg up or respect your views, here is a freebie, maybe a first on this thread, something to celebrate, a good news story, something that will bring a warm glow to everyones heart. People will remember this as the turning point, a point in time when the Brexit fairy tale delivered. There are critics but just ignore them and feel the love.

Last year, Britain exported £2.4bn worth of goods to the six African countries included in Ms May’s deal - just 0.7 per cent of the value of its exports to the EU and the rest of the world combined, which were worth £339bn.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GcZAwoip5aY

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/uk-trade-deal-africa-theresa-may-trip-post-brexit-eu-rollover-a8511871.html






Hey Sydney, interesting to see that an agriculturally backward Nation is planning to take advantage of Brexit and intends sending us such delicacies as burnt Goat Heads and GM Modified meat, a right set of scumbag scoundrels by all accounts!

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-trade-meat-banned-eu-australia-beef-liam-fox-dit-friends-of-the-earth-a8475006.html
Now't new, they've been getting away with sending us that Fosters Lager shite for years.
while apologies are being doled out I think mr bullet of bently owes the people of australia an apology for his offending comment above.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 02, 2018, 11:42:38 am
BB

Then you voted remain on a pretty serious misconception because there's no link between Brexit and your pension.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 02, 2018, 01:07:42 pm
BST. Is this wrong then?

http://www.yourmoney.com/retirement/pension-savers-wary-brexit-average-pot-gone-since-referendum/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 02, 2018, 01:42:02 pm
Is what wrong?

The claim that future pensioners are wary of Brexit or the statement that investments have gone up?

I don't know about the first one because I haven't gone round interviewing future pensioners. The second one is patently correct.

I've no idea whatsoever what either of the have to do with what we were talking about.

If you're pointing out that many pensioners are drawing a link between pensions and Brexit then jolly good for them although again I've no idea what point you are trying to make.

Hey. Here's a thought. Why don't YOU tell ME what you mean? Then I won't have to guess. And then you won't have to get upset when I guess wrong.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 02, 2018, 01:57:03 pm
BST.

This argument is going off course. The link I showed you was in answer to your claim that I have never previously accepted that Brexit would have a detrimental economic effect. The link shows that I did have concern for it. The reason why is irrelevant.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 02, 2018, 02:04:48 pm
Ok. So what on earth did you mean when you just posted that Your Money link with another one of your cryptic questions? Only, I'm not going to assume I know what you mean because clearly I get it wrong.

And yes. This argument IS going way off course isn't it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 02, 2018, 02:08:21 pm
BST.

This argument is going off course. The link I showed you was in answer to your claim that I have never previously accepted that Brexit would have a detrimental economic effect. The link shows that I did have concern for it. The reason why is irrelevant.

How does a two-month old link do that?

And it looked to me as an answer to BST saying that pensions and Brexit aren't linked, but now you're claiming it as an answer to something else entirely. Despite it being about pensions and nothing else.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 02, 2018, 02:12:42 pm
BST. I posted that link in answer to your claim that there is no link between Brexit and my pension.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 02, 2018, 02:15:28 pm
Mr Wiggerly, I was referring to the link I posted in reply 2379.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 02, 2018, 02:32:37 pm
BB.

This is very tiring but one last push.

And what does that article add to the discussion about whether there is any link between Brexit and your pension?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 02, 2018, 02:42:04 pm
It suggests that despite pre-vote warnings that pensions would be hit if we voted to leave, they didn't, and in fact, they increased considerably.

Of course, I can't say that the increase was because of Brexit, but I'd bet my starboard knacker that any decrease would have been used as more evidence of disaster by some of the Remainers.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 02, 2018, 02:52:06 pm
Right.

So.

You said you voted Remain because of fear about your pension.

I said the two are unconnected.

You post a link to an article that supports my argument that they are unconnected with the line, "Is this wrong then?"

Can you see why I struggle to figure out what the f**k you are on about?

As for your obsession with what other people think, it's REALLY unhealthy. It's far better to engage with what they actually say rather than what you think they would say if they were really the person that you think they are. Do it this way and there's a chance that you might engage in a constructive discussion instead of convincing yourself that everyone is deceiving you.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 02, 2018, 03:01:37 pm
How dare you talk about my obsession with what other people think rather that what they actually say when you've just apologised to me for doing the exact same f**king thing?

Regarding pensions and Brexit, the two things may well be unconnected, but I was pointing out the reason why I and presumably many others were swayed to vote remain because of the forecasts of pensions taking a dive.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 02, 2018, 04:48:12 pm
BB

Take a big deep breath and calm down.

I, apparently, misread one of your many cryptic posts and I misjudged what that post meant. I apologised for that.

You, frequently, with no evidence whatsoever, claim to know what people who disagree with you would think in hypothetical situations.

You see the qualitative difference?

Oh aye, and given the importance that you place on apologies, it's odd that you've never apologised for any of these unfounded accusations. But there you go.

Finally, I still don't have a scooby what you're on about regarding that Your Money article and your cryptic "is this wrong" comment. There's nothing whatsoever in that article about any forecasts of pensions diving as a result of Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 02, 2018, 05:14:01 pm
Nice example here of a senior Govt minister choosing to play to the Brexit gallery by deliberately misinforming people.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-45388557

Fox says that it's impossible to predict economic performance years in advance.

Which is right.

But that's not what the Treasury is doing. They are predicting the effect of no deal Brexit compared to the status quo.

What Fox is doing is making precisely the same mistake that I pointed out to BB yesterday. It's not about predicting the weather in 15 years time. It's about predicting whether it would, generally, be cooler if you moved miles to the north.

Of course Fox knows that. Because his job requires him to address these issues in detail.

But he chooses to misrepresent the issue and in doing so, he keeps people who are on his side about Brexit deliberately misinformed about the predictions that are being made by Govt.

And yet we're told it's the Remain side who are arrogantly condescending...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 02, 2018, 05:23:36 pm
What Fox is saying is the precise equivalent of saying:

"Football pundits? Not one of them predicted the final positions of every side in the Premier League last year. So obviously we should ignore them if they say that a team that spends half what everyone else spends is likely to do worse than the other sides on average over the next decade."

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 02, 2018, 06:16:19 pm
BST.
I put that link up to show that I probably wasn't the only who voted to remain on a 'pretty serious misconception'.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on September 02, 2018, 06:24:57 pm
Hoola, I always answer people who ask a sensible question that is worth spending time on answering. I'll also respond to people who post untruths about things I've said, especially when they are held in high regard and relied upon for factual accuracy like BST is.

I'm not quite sure I asked you a question but he -ho when I do have one for you , I will ensure you are aware of it.
Look we all know this subject is highly emotive but this is turning into a massive war of words wherever you go , does it need to be here ?

I know you have had many doubts that you had put your X in the right box - right from your first posts when I thought you had voted Leave . Strangely enough , I had the same fears as you about my pension pots only to find they have increased disproportionately post - Brexit . However as I was planning to use a large amount of that money abroad - I have lost out massively due to the exchange rate and any dreams of retiring abroad probably will have to be shelved .

Double whammy daughter being  at Copenhagen Uni and emigration plans hence my interest in Brexit . Good luck with your pension for now if your circumstances are different to mine. Perhaps you might now understand where I'm coming from
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 02, 2018, 06:59:52 pm
BB

I'm sure there were plenty who did.

I'm less sure what on earth that has to do with what we were talking about.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 02, 2018, 07:06:31 pm
BST. It had nothing to do with what we were talking about other than it was the reason why I voted to remain. The Link I used to prove that I have shown concerns about Brexit contained this, and it was YOU who brought it up.

 I honestly thought about removing that bit of the link so as not to divert the argument but I didn't, and it did.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on September 02, 2018, 07:30:41 pm
Surely BB,  there was far more to your vote than your interest in your pension, what about other considerations ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on September 02, 2018, 11:23:55 pm
Because Cameron & his government set a precedent & had a vote & the vote turned out to be corrupted/misinformed then the only democratic way forward is to have a second vote with all the available information out in the open. It appears that the population is way ahead of the politicians on this score and they cannot be trusted with the future.

Michel Barnier 'strongly opposed' to May's Brexit plan


https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-45389610

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 02, 2018, 11:50:02 pm
Sydney

It's very sole really. This is nothing g to do with democracy or The Will of The People.

It's all to do with trying to hold the Tory party together. A second referendum would tear the Tories apart. So May will fight tooth and nail to prevent it.

If they thought a second d referendum would heal the Tory party rifts, we'd have one tomorrow.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 03, 2018, 12:09:27 am
Who'd have thought it eh? The...err...honourable Liam Fox who this morning was castigating the Chancellor for having the gall to make predictions about OUR economy fifteen years down the line.

Have a guess what he said about the GLOBAL economy a couple of weeks back.

https://mobile.twitter.com/henrymance/status/1036231658603773953

To think. Our future is in the hands of f**king snake oil salesmen like this odious Kitson.

You're being had folks. I still don't fully get why they are doing it, but a handful of right wing MPs are lifting your shirt. Tell you that economic predictions are b*llocks. Except when they support what they want to tell you.

And it's obviously hitting the intended targets with some folk on here.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on September 03, 2018, 12:39:32 am
Who'd have thought it eh? The...err...honourable Liam Fox who this morning was castigating the Chancellor for having the gall to make predictions about OUR economy fifteen years down the line.

Have a guess what he said about the GLOBAL economy a couple of weeks back.

https://mobile.twitter.com/henrymance/status/1036231658603773953

To think. Our future is in the hands of f**king snake oil salesmen like this odious Kitson.

You're being had folks. I still don't fully get why they are doing it, but a handful of right wing MPs are lifting your shirt. Tell you that economic predictions are b*llocks. Except when they support what they want to tell you.

And it's obviously hitting the intended targets with some folk on here.
Lies and cons are so easily forgotten BST like two minute noodles, cheap easily digested by the masses.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 03, 2018, 09:57:40 am
Who'd have thought it eh? The...err...honourable Liam Fox who this morning was castigating the Chancellor for having the gall to make predictions about OUR economy fifteen years down the line.

Have a guess what he said about the GLOBAL economy a couple of weeks back.

https://mobile.twitter.com/henrymance/status/1036231658603773953

To think. Our future is in the hands of f**king snake oil salesmen like this odious Kitson.

You're being had folks. I still don't fully get why they are doing it, but a handful of right wing MPs are lifting your shirt. Tell you that economic predictions are b*llocks. Except when they support what they want to tell you.

And it's obviously hitting the intended targets with some folk on here.

We can't say he didn't give us fair warning of his relationship with the truth though.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/liam-fox-tweet-photo-on-screen-as-tory-minister-denies-sending-it-a7626841.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 03, 2018, 12:04:13 pm
And now we're getting closer to the core of what Brexit is about.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-45392105

Johnson washes his hands of actually dealing with the f**king mess that he has caused and says "Well of COURSE Brexit will be a disaster if you do it YOUR way."

This is what it was always about. That bas**rd manoeuvring to become PM.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 03, 2018, 12:48:09 pm

Unreal isn't it? There used to be big consequences for politicians who lied. Now we just expect it. We shrug our shoulders and move on.


Who'd have thought it eh? The...err...honourable Liam Fox who this morning was castigating the Chancellor for having the gall to make predictions about OUR economy fifteen years down the line.

Have a guess what he said about the GLOBAL economy a couple of weeks back.

https://mobile.twitter.com/henrymance/status/1036231658603773953

To think. Our future is in the hands of f**king snake oil salesmen like this odious Kitson.

You're being had folks. I still don't fully get why they are doing it, but a handful of right wing MPs are lifting your shirt. Tell you that economic predictions are b*llocks. Except when they support what they want to tell you.

And it's obviously hitting the intended targets with some folk on here.

We can't say he didn't give us fair warning of his relationship with the truth though.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/liam-fox-tweet-photo-on-screen-as-tory-minister-denies-sending-it-a7626841.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 03, 2018, 12:49:21 pm
And now we're getting closer to the core of what Brexit is about.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-45392105

Johnson washes his hands of actually dealing with the f**king mess that he has caused and says "Well of COURSE Brexit will be a disaster if you do it YOUR way."

This is what it was always about. That bas**rd manoeuvring to become PM.

All without offering the slightest hint of what proposals he'd put in front of the EU, of course.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on September 03, 2018, 02:16:00 pm
And now we're getting closer to the core of what Brexit is about.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-45392105

Johnson washes his hands of actually dealing with the f**king mess that he has caused and says "Well of COURSE Brexit will be a disaster if you do it YOUR way."

This is what it was always about. That bas**rd manoeuvring to become PM.

All without offering the slightest hint of what proposals he'd put in front of the EU, of course.

If you asked him he would probably be a bit like the man who when asked for directions replied "well, I wouldn't start from here."

And in some respects, he would be right. Chequers has the feeling of a gambit rather than a deal, and that is how the EU appears to be treating it. The whole point is that something should have been put forward much earlier by the UK side, preferably immediately after Article 50 was triggered. As a member of the Government at the time, Boris Johnson has to take responsibility for the fact that it took the best part of 18 months to come up with Chequers, feeble as it is.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 03, 2018, 02:48:14 pm
TRB

But that's the whole point. There is NO deal that is both acceptable to the EU and acceptable to the Tory Brexiters. That's been the reality all along and the Govt has been doing its level best to avoid facing up to this reality.

So first of all they ignored the situation altogether. Then, as the crisis moment approaches, they came up with the Chequers Fudge which is halfway between what is acceptale to both sides, but not actually acceptable to either.

Johnson has been playing HIS game all along. Bang the drum for a Great Britannia approach to the negotiations, knowing damn well that we don't have any cards to play with. Then, when the decision point comes, resign and claim that we're all being sold down the river. So that when May is forced out (and she will be within the next 12 months) and we are faced with a shambles of a Brexit situation, he can roll back in saying, "If only *I* had been in charge all along..."

This article is his first salvo in that coming battle. But it's got sweet FA to do with what's a good Brexit outcome and anyone who rallies to his side is either equally complicit in the deception or is a useful idiot.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on September 03, 2018, 02:53:44 pm
At least she's found a spine now, or at the very least half a vertebrae: https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/sep/03/we-have-gone-into-battle-with-white-flag-fluttering-boris-attacks-mays-chequers-plan

“There’s no new ideas in this article to respond to. What we need at this time is serious leadership with a serious plan. That’s exactly what the country has with this prime minister and this Brexit plan.”
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 03, 2018, 03:08:16 pm
She made a very serious error on judgement in not sacking Johnson when he was inside the cabinet and undermining her.

She accepted his undermining because she feared a leadership challenge. But no-one is going to challenge her this side of the final Brexit deal, because the contenders want HER to be the lightning conductor who takes all the shit about Brexit. The gloves are off once the terms of the deal or the no deal are known. Then they'll knife her and claim that whatever she gets is not as good as they could have got. Of course, they don't actually want to be responsible for the negotiations because they know it's an impossible taks. What they are all doing (Johnson, Rees-Mogg, Gove etc) is positioning themselves for the hot seat once the Brexit shambles that we are heading into has run its course.

Of course, if the economy and the country's reputation get f**ked all over in the meantime, that's just unfortunate collateral damage. It's secondary to the personal ambitions of the Tory Boys.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on September 03, 2018, 04:55:59 pm
At least she's found a spine now, or at the very least half a vertebrae: https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/sep/03/we-have-gone-into-battle-with-white-flag-fluttering-boris-attacks-mays-chequers-plan

“There’s no new ideas in this article to respond to. What we need at this time is serious leadership with a serious plan. That’s exactly what the country has with this prime minister and this Brexit plan.”

Brave talk but too little too late. The Chequers plan has more holes than a Swiss cheese. And when Hilary Benn, Rees-Mogg and Barnier (all from different positions) agree it won't fly it's time to draw a veil over it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 03, 2018, 05:01:41 pm
TRB

Then we're in crisis mode.

Two choices:

1) No deal crash-out Brexit in March.

2) Go cap in hand to the EU and beg for an extension to give us time to get our shit in a sock.

1 will be an unmitigated catastrophe.

2 will lead to the EU saying: "Right. Sit down and shut up. YOU have been a bleeding shambles over the past 2 years. Now WE are going to tell you how it's going to be and it's going to be like THIS."

Or, we could take the grown up Route 3 and have another vote...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on September 03, 2018, 05:42:25 pm
There is absolutely no chance of a no-deal Brexit, for the reasons we have said on here many times.

So for your other two options I would like to add in:

3) the Hotel California scenario, postponing article 50 and staying in for some vague date in the future

4) a general election (which May is reported to have consulted about over the weekend)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on September 03, 2018, 06:16:11 pm
There is absolutely no chance of a no-deal Brexit, for the reasons we have said on here many times.

So for your other two options I would like to add in:

3) the Hotel California scenario, postponing article 50 and staying in for some vague date in the future

4) a general election (which May is reported to have consulted about over the weekend)

I agree with the alternatives and a General Election becomes more likely if May resigns either as a result of the EU formally rejecting Chequers, or losing a vote in Parliament.

I think the Tory MP Nick Boles pointed towards the Hotel California scenario at the weekend. His plan is to be members of the EEA for a period during which negotiations could continue. In practice that arrangement could well become permanent. So far no significant political figure has picked up this particular ball and run with it, but I a feeling they will.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 03, 2018, 06:25:39 pm
The Hotel California outcome is pretty much what I meant by option 2. But anyone thinking we'll have any leverage over the EU on negotiating terms of that is deluding themselves.

As for a General Election, yes I could see one coming but I don't see how that gets us any closer to determining a deal that the EU would accept. Both main parties have stances which are unacceptable to the EU. Labour is just in the relatively fortunate position that its stance hasn't had much scrutiny. But Corbyn's position that he wants a Brexit deal that leaves us no worse off is pie in the sky that disintegrates as soon as you start looking into it.

So, realistically, we're looking at no deal (which no same person wants, but then no same person wanted WWI and politicians blundered into that) or a deferment on terms that will be dictated to us.

Or of course, we go and apologise for our emotional spasm, say we've grown up and ask everyone to forget the last 2 years and pretend they never happened.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 03, 2018, 06:29:09 pm
TRB

Nick Boles said tonight that the odds on them being able to get Chequers through the Commons are as close to zero as makes no difference. And he's a supporter of it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on September 03, 2018, 06:47:47 pm
The Hotel California outcome is pretty much what I meant by option 2. But anyone thinking we'll have any leverage over the EU on negotiating terms of that is deluding themselves.

As for a General Election, yes I could see one coming but I don't see how that gets us any closer to determining a deal that the EU would accept. Both main parties have stances which are unacceptable to the EU. Labour is just in the relatively fortunate position that its stance hasn't had much scrutiny. But Corbyn's position that he wants a Brexit deal that leaves us no worse off is pie in the sky that disintegrates as soon as you start looking into it.

So, realistically, we're looking at no deal (which no same person wants, but then no same person wanted WWI and politicians blundered into that) or a deferment on terms that will be dictated to us.

Or of course, we go and apologise for our emotional spasm, say we've grown up and ask everyone to forget the last 2 years and pretend they never happened.

Your last paragraph can only realistically happen if (a) we have another referendum based on the final deal (b) Remaining in on current terms is one of the options and (c) that Remain option wins the vote convincingly. Can you see all of that happening, because I can't?

I guess that once the reality of No Deal really dawns that finding some way to kick the can down the road will gain more appeal.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on September 03, 2018, 06:50:50 pm
TRB

Nick Boles said tonight that the odds on them being able to get Chequers through the Commons are as close to zero as makes no difference. And he's a supporter of it.

I think he was a supporter of Chequers because although he supported Remain he's been one of the Tory MPs who hoped we'd arrive at a workable Brexit. But now he realises that Chequers won't fly.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on September 03, 2018, 07:52:49 pm
Guilty of Posting on here for 2nd time since April (I deleted the last one)

What would be the odds that Politicians being the turncoats they ALL are cave in and offer we the People a Second Vote after all ONCE the final deal is known

Then if the people accept the Deal and it goes eventually goes t**s up for the Nation(s) (I have to concede nobody knows whether it will or not) they will be able to say. Ah yes but dont forget its what the people wanted. They voted Leave in the Referendum and then when we got the best deal we could for them they confirmed we still wanted to leave

(After all the Major Parties blame each others stretgies and decisions and legacies even years and years later)

However if the People in the Second vote think the deal we have secured is crap and they want none of it and Vote to stay in the EU by whatever margin the Politicians have a great fall back position in that they will say " well we put it to the People and they have voted to stay " thus having an instant "scapegoat" in the people who voted to reject the deal

I hope thats my lot for all time !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 03, 2018, 08:07:45 pm
TRB

I fully appreciate that the 3rd option won't happen in the real world, even though it's the one that would produce the best outcome for the country.

Too many politicians have too much to lose by championing that route.

May and the Tories have gone all in on Hard Brexit and The Will of The People.

Corbyn was up at sparrowfart on the morning after the vote insisting that we must trigger Article 50 immediately.

There's no way any of the current main leaders could possibly row back on that even as it becomes clearer and clearer the effect that Russian money and illegal data harvesting had on the vote.

The only non-catastrophic realistic option is the never-ending transition deal. But that will be far worse than the status quo. And we'll look like bleeding idiots.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on September 03, 2018, 08:56:36 pm
Billy, whatever happens (and we can be sure a lot will) we are going to look like bleeding idiots. We look like bleeding idiots now triggering article 50 without a clue to what we wanted instead until 6 months before leaving - and then coming up with proposals that united everybody, remainers, leavers and the EU, only because they all hated them!

According to the latest polling the majority of constituencies in the UK now support remain. I think if there was an election this autumn that might concentrate a few minds and you might find the main parties adjusting their positions accordingly. Although they do have to be very aware of alienating leave voters and where that might lead.
https://www.bestforbritain.org/map

It should be an interesting party conference season first tho.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 03, 2018, 09:03:53 pm
Agreed on all points Wilts.

A lovely mess we've got ourselves into int it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on September 05, 2018, 01:39:53 am
Agreed on all points Wilts.

A lovely mess we've got ourselves into int it?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0srO4LTzVTE
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 05, 2018, 08:13:01 am
Agreed on all points Wilts.

A lovely mess we've got ourselves into int it?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0srO4LTzVTE

I think this one's a more accurate depiction of Brexit! :lol:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ujxwDKeKSyo
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 05, 2018, 09:24:13 am
https://youtu.be/sxqvwkmTNy8
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 05, 2018, 11:09:04 am
The Will of the People eh?

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKCN1LK2U4

By the way, that is a shockingly unprofessional  headline. As the article makes clear, the poll is NOT saying it would be 59-41 to Remain if there was anotgef vote. The figure would be 54-46. But it does show how opinions have changed markedly.

Fascinating to hear the arguments from the Brexiteers. We can't have another vote because...err...that would be undemocratic.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 05, 2018, 11:19:11 am
Would it be more democratic to have a vote to see if we should have another vote?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 05, 2018, 11:40:19 am
Like for example a General Election with Labour offering a vote on the deal and the Tories saying WE will decide what the deal is?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on September 05, 2018, 04:13:35 pm
Would it be more democratic to have a vote to see if we should have another vote?

One vote for that from the Thorne - its alll that Mrs DW comes out with (oh along with where have you been till now !)

David Davis has a novel definition of what democracy is
 https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/david-davis-countries-democracy-brexit-vote-article-50-second-referendum-a7629636.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on September 05, 2018, 05:35:30 pm
surely the point of democracy is to have a vote if the people want a vote.

I'm still waiting for a single "Brexit MP" to give 1 way in which I, or any other working class man, will benefit from Brexit. Surely they can spell it out?

Not one person on this forum would take a loan without knowing the terms, yet half seem to be happy with pulling out the EU without knowing a single damn positive and being told a shit ton of negatives that will affect us all for generations! It's truly baffling and pretty terrifying.

I just wish I had the funds to set up my own loan shark business - I'd offer you all fantastic loans, the best loans ever, miles better than your current lenders, and I'll tell you all about the deal after we've shook hands on it...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 05, 2018, 06:02:35 pm
Surely the point of democracy is to have a vote if the majority of people want a vote? In this case, should there be a vote on having a vote?

The trouble with democracy is people don't always vote the way you want them to.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 05, 2018, 06:37:36 pm
BB

I'm not sure you understand how our system works.

It's not about what the people want. It's about what Parliament decides. That's how our system works. If enough MPs vote for a second referendum, there will be one. If enough people put enough pressure on enough MPs to vote that way, they will do so.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 05, 2018, 06:54:18 pm
BST

Is our system different from that of any other democratic country in that respect?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on September 05, 2018, 08:22:03 pm
BST

Is our system different from that of any other democratic country in that respect?

Yes we are quite unusual to most developed countries in that most have a form of proportional representation where we still have a first past the post system. That of course makes it easier - and more difficult - for members of the government to change position and the public to have influence.
https://www.fairvote.org/research_electoralsystems_world
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on September 05, 2018, 08:29:59 pm
I think we can stop this thread now as we will never have a better summary of Brexit than this respondent to a mumsnet survey (sounds like the future Mrs Wilts Rover to me):

'We should not have been put in this position, it was a ridiculous miscalculation. Our future has been sold up the river. I envisaged jobs, travel and opportunity, not having a potato delivered by the army'.

https://twitter.com/IanDunt
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 05, 2018, 08:35:52 pm
Systems vary.

Switzerland has a system where they regularly have referendums and the results of those are supposed to be mandatory on their Parliament.

The point in the UK is that our referendums don't mandate Parliament because Parliament is the ultimate holder of sovereign authority in the UK. Referendum results should be taken into account by Parliament but it is Parliament's decision as to what to do in the end.

So the point I'm making is that there is nothing in our system to require us, the people to have a vote on anything, except for MPs every so often.

If Parliament decides to reject any aspect of Brexit, or to order a new vote, they can.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on September 05, 2018, 08:38:48 pm
I don’t often have a look on this thread but having done so, I was was wondering whether someone could put up a poll to see whether vsc people would vote to remain or leave knowing what we know now.
Apologies if this has already been done.

I voted to remain in the original poll by the way and would still vote the same way.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on September 05, 2018, 09:13:17 pm
Like for example a General Election with Labour offering a vote on the deal and the Tories saying WE will decide what the deal is?

Labour would have to change their official position of course. I do sometimes wonder what it actually is, but so far it doesn't seem to include a referendum on the final deal.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on September 05, 2018, 10:07:07 pm
I don’t often have a look on this thread but having done so, I was was wondering whether someone could put up a poll to see whether vsc people would vote to remain or leave knowing what we know now.
Apologies if this has already been done.

I voted to remain in the original poll by the way and would still vote the same way.


You do right not looking. I have been avoiding posting anything and did nowt since April - but like the bloke in Life of Brian who didnt speak for 40 years - I have now done three in 2 days

I only did this one because I did a Poll ages ago - hope you enjoy the results !

https://www.drfc-vsc.co.uk/index.php?topic=266737.0
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 05, 2018, 10:47:21 pm
Like for example a General Election with Labour offering a vote on the deal and the Tories saying WE will decide what the deal is?

Labour would have to change their official position of course. I do sometimes wonder what it actually is, but so far it doesn't seem to include a referendum on the final deal.

Labour would have to change its position. It all comes down to electoral appeal.

Riding both horses sort of made sense in 2017 because Labour was trying to make sure that the ex Lab voters who had gone to UKIP in 2015 would see Lab as sufficiently Brexit supporting that they would return to Lab and not vote Tory.

Things are a bit different now. Tory credibility is going to be shot to bits by March. Chequers can't get through Parliament. And the alternative, a no deal Brexit is an unmitigated disaster. So Labour needs to offer a mild Brexit option (Norway+ deal) then insist on a referendum on that or no deal. They can row back from being as Brexit supporting as they were in 2016 when the Tories are offering an insane no deal Brexit.

Course, all that would require Corbyn the EU-hater to be marginalised but I think there's enough grown ups still in Labour to do that. The first moves need to come at the imminent Conference.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 05, 2018, 10:51:16 pm
If Nigel Farage became the leader of UKIP again could they be a dark horse in a general election?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 05, 2018, 10:53:55 pm
Let him try. He failed to get elected to Parliament half a dozen times before.

It still won't surprise me to see him getting pulled into the Trump/Russia inquiry. Watch this space.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 06, 2018, 08:43:30 am
Farage won't go back to UKIP now Banks has taken his bottomless pockets home. That's the reason UKIP didn't fight every seat last General Election - it wasn't because they didn't want to stand against Brexiters as they said (it never worried them before!), it was because they didn't have the money to do so. Why else would Nige be flying his 'London Mayor' kite without one mention of UKIP being involved, in spite of him presumably still being a member and/or him being their candidate.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 06, 2018, 09:40:38 am
Yeah.

Funny how a not massively successful cowboy insurance salesman had already these spare millions sloshing about to fund UKIP and Leave.EU int it? Surely it's not connected with his extensive contacts in Russia?

https://www.opendemocracy.net/uk/brexitinc/adam-ramsay/how-did-arron-banks-afford-brexit
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on September 06, 2018, 02:27:23 pm
A look at the government's plan for no-deal Brexit - or rather, their plans to plan for a no-deal Brexit. Not like this should have been sorted 2 years ago.
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DmaB96vWwAAsARj.jpg:large)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on September 12, 2018, 12:47:15 am
I despair that that there are no further comments about the ERG announcements earlier today .
Has everyone accepted this now?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 12, 2018, 09:08:28 am
I despair that that there are no further comments about the ERG announcements earlier today .
Has everyone accepted this now?

http://www.politics.co.uk/blogs/2018/09/11/the-garbled-nonsense-of-jacob-rees-mogg-s-new-press-release
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 12, 2018, 10:28:04 am
This gets to the heart of the economic plan that the ERG were pushing yesterday.

https://mobile.twitter.com/DuncanWeldon/status/1039508243335151618

The issue is that a small number of peripheral economists claim that we'd be great under WTO rules.

But a huge number of leading economists think that is utter nonsense.

And the BBC, obsessed with "balance" present the story as "Well one side says A and the other side says B". Like Weldon says, what would the BBC do if Rees Mogg supported a report from a bunch of eccentric geographers who claimed the earth was flat? That's the exact equivalent here.
https://mobile.twitter.com/DuncanWeldon/status/1039518745432010752

And of course the Brexit supporting papers don't even go for "balance". They just push that report as more evidence  that Brexit will be fine without ever mentioning that the overwhelming consensus amongst economists is that that report is utter b*llocks.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1015277/No-deal-Brexit-UK-an-80billion-bonus-Jacob-Rees-Mogg
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on September 13, 2018, 11:59:32 am
Jason Hunter on Twitter took apart the ERG report piece by piece - not that they were many pieces to take apart in the first place. https://twitter.com/JasonJHunter/status/1039927034712150016

Anyone have any answer to these points?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on September 13, 2018, 02:00:26 pm
It is probably a mistake to look for rational explanations to the brexit dilemma.

That is because it is a faith based political project.
It does not exist in the world of cause and effect, nor in the context of expert opinion.

This is important, because many hold to the brexit view because it merges with a pre-existing definition of self. It becomes true because the supporters want it to be true.

Not so different from fans forum debates on the pros and cons of your teams performances. We all see a different game, partly at least because we want our prejudices confirmed.

So it goes!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 13, 2018, 02:45:28 pm
Talking of comparisons with the off-topic political attitudes and those of the football sections of the forum, the very same people who agree with the austerity strategy of our football club owners are dead against our country applying the same policy!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on September 13, 2018, 03:37:19 pm
I imagine you'll find most of the people you're referring to lie between 'austerity' as you put it and chucking money at it and hoping for the best.

And in any case. It's this over simplification of the economic argument that's basically let the government off scot-free with that policy for almost a decade.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 13, 2018, 03:42:58 pm
If Rovers owners were truly following austerity, they'd have slashed the club's expenditure and kept their money in their pocket.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 13, 2018, 03:50:47 pm
I imagine you'll find most of the people you're referring to lie between 'austerity' as you put it and chucking money at it and hoping for the best.

And in any case. It's this over simplification of the economic argument that's basically let the government off scot-free with that policy for almost a decade.

You imagine wrong.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on September 13, 2018, 03:59:31 pm
Talking of comparisons with the off-topic political attitudes and those of the football sections of the forum, the very same people who agree with the austerity strategy of our football club owners are dead against our country applying the same policy!

This has to go down as one of the most dense posts ever on here.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 13, 2018, 04:50:21 pm
It will be clearer to some more than others!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on September 13, 2018, 09:35:36 pm
I imagine you'll find most of the people you're referring to lie between 'austerity' as you put it and chucking money at it and hoping for the best.

And in any case. It's this over simplification of the economic argument that's basically let the government off scot-free with that policy for almost a decade.

You imagine wrong.

I don't though.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 13, 2018, 09:37:50 pm
You do tend to have a very active imagination on things like this BB.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 16, 2018, 10:42:52 pm
 Big wake up call for our Bullying soon to be ex partners in Europe, look east this week and brick yerselves,you'll soon be on your own ,no Uk or Us Military presence to cover you, better dig deep tight wads and pay for your own defence.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 16, 2018, 11:24:53 pm
Od on a bit Sproty.

How many times have you said on here that Putin is no threat to anyone?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 17, 2018, 12:16:40 am
I don't think he is to be honest, but I would have a different view if I was in the company of those fat cats from Brussels.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 17, 2018, 12:17:52 am
Oh and now we have some evidence I think he is behind the Salisbury carry on.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 17, 2018, 12:54:14 am
Sproty

For a man who claims to be interested in history, you've got very little understanding of history.

Putin is doing what every leader of Russia has done since Peter the Great.

Rattle the sabre at the West. Threaten to unleash the hordes. Bully and bluster and see who will be prepared to call your bluff.

None of them has ever seen what Russia could be if it properly partnered with the West. They prefer to paint the West as the devil that can be used to keep the serfs in line.

Unfortunately, they have always been aided in that by various Useful Idiots in the West.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on September 17, 2018, 01:17:16 am
How does this fit in with you ridiculous and frankly childish opinion on the safety of our neighbours  ?

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-france-commit-to-new-defence-cooperation&ved=2ahUKEwj0w6Si4MDdAhWqC8AKHQTHCS0QFjADegQICBAB&usg=AOvVaw1wwoEmYDXeCeLmTuArXhqD

There are others and seeing as though we are still a part of the European continent rather than North America - THEIR  safety is OURS . Do you think we patrol the whole of the North Sea as well as the Channel without help from our European allies ?

We all ensure each others safety ! You watch too many WW11 films with a heavy British slant to them
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 17, 2018, 10:11:05 am
Sproty

For a man who claims to be interested in history, you've got very little understanding of history.

Putin is doing what every leader of Russia has done since Peter the Great.

Rattle the sabre at the West. Threaten to unleash the hordes. Bully and bluster and see who will be prepared to call your bluff.

None of them has ever seen what Russia could be if it properly partnered with the West. They prefer to paint the West as the devil that can be used to keep the serfs in line.

Unfortunately, they have always been aided in that by various Useful Idiots in the West.

You really are out of your depth now, give me some examples of when Peter the great threatened the West, Empress Elizabeth threatened the West,Catherine the great threatened the West.show me some Historical examples of when any Tsar of Russia since Peter the great threatened the West?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 17, 2018, 10:16:40 am
How does this fit in with you ridiculous and frankly childish opinion on the safety of our neighbours  ?

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-france-commit-to-new-defence-cooperation&ved=2ahUKEwj0w6Si4MDdAhWqC8AKHQTHCS0QFjADegQICBAB&usg=AOvVaw1wwoEmYDXeCeLmTuArXhqD

There are others and seeing as though we are still a part of the European continent rather than North America - THEIR  safety is OURS . Do you think we patrol the whole of the North Sea as well as the Channel without help from our European allies ?

We all ensure each others safety ! You watch too many WW11 films with a heavy British slant to them

3 chinooks and 100 troops doesn't make the entente Cordiale! As for Estonia we signal our intention to pull out and leave em to it!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 17, 2018, 10:56:28 am
Sproty

For a man who claims to be interested in history, you've got very little understanding of history.

Putin is doing what every leader of Russia has done since Peter the Great.

Rattle the sabre at the West. Threaten to unleash the hordes. Bully and bluster and see who will be prepared to call your bluff.

None of them has ever seen what Russia could be if it properly partnered with the West. They prefer to paint the West as the devil that can be used to keep the serfs in line.

Unfortunately, they have always been aided in that by various Useful Idiots in the West.

You really are out of your depth now, give me some examples of when Peter the great threatened the West, Empress Elizabeth threatened the West,Catherine the great threatened the West.show me some Historical examples of when any Tsar of Russia since Peter the great threatened the West?

Sproty

By The West, I meant countries to the west of Russia.

Russia has invaded and/or threatened countries to its west on a regular basis for centuries. Putin is the latest in a long line of Tsars with the mindset that the Russia/Europe relationship is a zero sum game. If someone else isn't losing, you can't be winning.

Of course we used to be like that in Western Europe too. The Treaty of Rome --> EU process was always primarily about getting us out of that historical mindset and realising that by working together we all rise.

I re

Interesting that support for Putin seems to go hand in hand with disdain for the EU these days. Almost as if people are pining for the days when generations marched off to war in Europe on a regular basis.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 17, 2018, 11:30:41 am
Sproty

For a man who claims to be interested in history, you've got very little understanding of history.

Putin is doing what every leader of Russia has done since Peter the Great.

Rattle the sabre at the West. Threaten to unleash the hordes. Bully and bluster and see who will be prepared to call your bluff.

None of them has ever seen what Russia could be if it properly partnered with the West. They prefer to paint the West as the devil that can be used to keep the serfs in line.

Unfortunately, they have always been aided in that by various Useful Idiots in the West.

You really are out of your depth now, give me some examples of when Peter the great threatened the West, Empress Elizabeth threatened the West,Catherine the great threatened the West.show me some Historical examples of when any Tsar of Russia since Peter the great threatened the West?

Sproty

By The West, I meant countries to the west of Russia.

Russia has invaded and/or threatened countries to its west on a regular basis for centuries. Putin is the latest in a long line of Tsars with the mindset that the Russia/Europe relationship is a zero sum game. If someone else isn't losing, you can't be winning.

Of course we used to be like that in Western Europe too. The Treaty of Rome --> EU process was always primarily about getting us out of that historical mindset and realising that by working together we all rise.

I re

Interesting that support for Putin seems to go hand in hand with disdain for the EU these days. Almost as if people are pining for the days when generations marched off to war in Europe on a regular basis.

Not good enough! Either give me some evidence or retract your untruthful statement, put up or shut up. You are always the first to ask for sources
Now get some?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 17, 2018, 12:53:23 pm
Evidence of what?
Let me get this right Sproty. You're wanting me to give you evidence of Russia having invaded or threatened countries to its West over the past 300 years?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 17, 2018, 01:50:47 pm
Evidence of what?
Let me get this right Sproty. You're wanting me to give you evidence of Russia having invaded or threatened countries to its West over the past 300 years?

Give me some examples of when any Tsar of Russia since Peter the Great
Invaded a Sovereign European state without prior provocation.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on September 17, 2018, 05:43:06 pm
Blimey, is the reach of the red peril now so invasive that they have hijacked a thread on Brexit!

In my little bit of knowledge of Russian history I thought it was exactly the opposite to what Billy was saying. In that from the mid 19th century up until the revolution the Tzars tried to become more European and involve themselves in European political diplomacy rather than seeing Europe as a threat. Nicholas II marrying Queen Victoria's daughter for instance.

I am struggling to think of any major Russian aggression westward after Nicholas 1? We fought him in Crimea of course but that was us and France invading Russia rather then their aggression westwards? Or maybe you are including the attack on the Hull fishing fleet, but of course they were easily mistaken for the Japanese navy?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on September 17, 2018, 06:00:38 pm
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_wars_involving_Russia
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 17, 2018, 09:14:36 pm
Aye, it has got a bit off line hasn't it.

Regarding Russian aggression, well they  invaded Prussia in the first fortnight of WWI. Incompetently, I'll grant you, but Russia's aim was to push the boundary of Greater Russia deep into Prussia and Galicia, and to finish off Austro-Hungarian authority over the Slavs in the Baltic. I don't know what that was if it wasn't westward aggression.

In that sense, the Soviet expansion after WWII was simply a completion of those aims. And Putin's foreign policy has been very much along the same theme - expanding the circle of influence of Russia.

That is what I mean about the Russian approach being to see foreign policy as a zero-sum game. It's rarely been based on agreement. It's been based on projecting force whenever possible. Yes, there was a hiatus after the defeat in the Crimean War but that was the exception rather than the rule. And it was because they'd been shown to be a feudal busted flush militarily, rather than from a conversion to the cause of world peace.

Sproty's point is a good one about provocation. There is a fair argument that  Russian aggression has at  least partly been justified by fear. But then most aggression is justified by the aggressors as a response to provocation.  Hitler justified occupying the Sudetenland in those terms. America justified invading Iraq on those terms. So bringing provocation into the discussion turns it into an entirely subjective debate. Tsarist Russia justified its regular subjugation of Poland as responding to Western threats. But ask a Pole how they see it.

And even though this has gone miles off course, there is a link to Brexit. It is very much in Putin's interests to see the EU in general and the UK in particular, weakened. That's the reason why Russia worked so closely with Arron Banks's Leave.eu campaign.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 17, 2018, 09:18:31 pm
Meanwhile, back to Brexit.

Wonderful statement of where we are going from May today.

We're either going to have her deal which will mean a lot of damage to the UK economy. Or we're going to have no deal, which will mean a huge amount of damage to the UK economy.

Good to see that we've got a clear choice now.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on September 17, 2018, 09:41:56 pm
Yes I am agreed with you on the Russian influence on Brexit (and Trump) and the reason they have done it is to make the west weaker and thus making themselves stronger.

Isn't it curious though that Putin and his associates funded both LeaveEU and the Tory Party. The wife of his former finance minister wouldn't have paid £150k for a game of tennis if there wasn't something in it for them.

Then again having just watched the Panorama interview it is clear to see that if the idea was to fund chaos, disaster and lack of political leadership through May's government it appears to be money well spent.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 17, 2018, 09:53:17 pm
Seems to be a perfectly logical approach by Putin. 

As you say, he's played on sowing chaos with Brexit. Just like he did by courting Salmond and the SNP.

He's paid for an insurance policy with the funding of the Tory party. That means that the Tory party won't take really serious action against him no matter what he does. In that light, Salisbury is perfectly logical. You have the ruling party in hock to you. Then you demonstrate to them, and to the world, the power that you hold over them. You rub their noses in it by showing how little you fear them. And that ridiculous exhibiting of the two GRU guys last week is the icing on the cake. You have so little fear of the Tory Govt that you troll them in public.

Of course, the unexpected bonus for Putin is that he also now has a Labour leader who will bend over backwards to accommodate his foreign policy.

Looks like job done on the UK as a bar to Putin's plans.

You have to take your hat off to him in one sense. Although you'd only go so far as to welcome it if you're happy with Russia as a kleptocracy/gangster state expanding its influence over Europe.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on September 18, 2018, 06:10:55 am
How does this fit in with you ridiculous and frankly childish opinion on the safety of our neighbours  ?

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-france-commit-to-new-defence-cooperation&ved=2ahUKEwj0w6Si4MDdAhWqC8AKHQTHCS0QFjADegQICBAB&usg=AOvVaw1wwoEmYDXeCeLmTuArXhqD

There are others and seeing as though we are still a part of the European continent rather than North America - THEIR  safety is OURS . Do you think we patrol the whole of the North Sea as well as the Channel without help from our European allies ?


We all ensure each others safety ! You watch too many WW11 films with a heavy British slant to them

3 chinooks and 100 troops doesn't make the entente Cordiale! As for Estonia we signal our intention to pull out and leave em to it!

Don't be daft are you not aware of these agreements :-

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lancaster_House_Treaties

We have both been looking to sign a far- reaching joint agreement of this type for decades - it makes sense and involves far more than 100 troops and 3 Chinooks !

Incidentally Peter the Great' s finest military achievements were against the Swedes

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.biography.com/people/peter-the-great-9542228&ved=2ahUKEwjEm9C45sPdAhVID8AKHeKHBuAQFjANegQIAxAB&usg=AOvVaw0pZRRoajwniymJQMT54c7s


Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on September 18, 2018, 07:45:12 am
How does this fit in with you ridiculous and frankly childish opinion on the safety of our neighbours  ?

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-france-commit-to-new-defence-cooperation&ved=2ahUKEwj0w6Si4MDdAhWqC8AKHQTHCS0QFjADegQICBAB&usg=AOvVaw1wwoEmYDXeCeLmTuArXhqD

There are others and seeing as though we are still a part of the European continent rather than North America - THEIR  safety is OURS . Do you think we patrol the whole of the North Sea as well as the Channel without help from our European allies ?

We all ensure each others safety ! You watch too many WW11 films with a heavy British slant to them

3 chinooks and 100 troops doesn't make the entente Cordiale! As for Estonia we signal our intention to pull out and leave em to it!

You know we're still part of NATO x
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on September 18, 2018, 08:03:57 am
How does this fit in with you ridiculous and frankly childish opinion on the safety of our neighbours  ?

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-france-commit-to-new-defence-cooperation&ved=2ahUKEwj0w6Si4MDdAhWqC8AKHQTHCS0QFjADegQICBAB&usg=AOvVaw1wwoEmYDXeCeLmTuArXhqD

There are others and seeing as though we are still a part of the European continent rather than North America - THEIR  safety is OURS . Do you think we patrol the whole of the North Sea as well as the Channel without help from our European allies ?

We all ensure each others safety ! You watch too many WW11 films with a heavy British slant to them

3 chinooks and 100 troops doesn't make the entente Cordiale! As for Estonia we signal our intention to pull out and leave em to it!

You know we're still part of NATO x

Sproty has a weird vision of what it means to leave the EU . Fact is we work very closely and on occasions inter- changeable with them in many flash points/ disasters  around the globe.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 18, 2018, 08:17:11 pm
How does this fit in with you ridiculous and frankly childish opinion on the safety of our neighbours  ?

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-france-commit-to-new-defence-cooperation&ved=2ahUKEwj0w6Si4MDdAhWqC8AKHQTHCS0QFjADegQICBAB&usg=AOvVaw1wwoEmYDXeCeLmTuArXhqD

There are others and seeing as though we are still a part of the European continent rather than North America - THEIR  safety is OURS . Do you think we patrol the whole of the North Sea as well as the Channel without help from our European allies ?

We all ensure each others safety ! You watch too many WW11 films with a heavy British slant to them

3 chinooks and 100 troops doesn't make the entente Cordiale! As for Estonia we signal our intention to pull out and leave em to it!

You know we're still part of NATO x

Sproty has a weird vision of what it means to leave the EU . Fact is we work very closely and on occasions inter- changeable with them in many flash points/ disasters  around the globe.

Yes we are so close that we have pulled all of our Armour out of Germany, that leaves the 60,000 stroking German Army a bit vulnerable, considering Putin has just put 300,000 troops into the field.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 18, 2018, 08:33:04 pm
How does this fit in with you ridiculous and frankly childish opinion on the safety of our neighbours  ?

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-france-commit-to-new-defence-cooperation&ved=2ahUKEwj0w6Si4MDdAhWqC8AKHQTHCS0QFjADegQICBAB&usg=AOvVaw1wwoEmYDXeCeLmTuArXhqD

There are others and seeing as though we are still a part of the European continent rather than North America - THEIR  safety is OURS . Do you think we patrol the whole of the North Sea as well as the Channel without help from our European allies ?


We all ensure each others safety ! You watch too many WW11 films with a heavy British slant to them

3 chinooks and 100 troops doesn't make the entente Cordiale! As for Estonia we signal our intention to pull out and leave em to it!

Don't be daft are you not aware of these agreements :-

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lancaster_House_Treaties

We have both been looking to sign a far- reaching joint agreement of this type for decades - it makes sense and involves far more than 100 troops and 3 Chinooks !

Incidentally Peter the Great' s finest military achievements were against the Swedes

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.biography.com/people/peter-the-great-9542228&ved=2ahUKEwjEm9C45sPdAhVID8AKHeKHBuAQFjANegQIAxAB&usg=AOvVaw0pZRRoajwniymJQMT54c7s




Yes Charles the 12 th of Sweden was probably one of the best generals of all time. He didn't blink at the thought of Pitting 40,000 Swedes against An Enemy over 100,000 strong. He was Also the victim of  his own men who got fed up and shot him in the head.

The Great Northern War was a clash of 2 superpowers Sweden and Russia
It wasn't Russia picking  on the West it was all about two 
leaders with Very large egos falling out.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on September 18, 2018, 09:21:55 pm
How does this fit in with you ridiculous and frankly childish opinion on the safety of our neighbours  ?

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-france-commit-to-new-defence-cooperation&ved=2ahUKEwj0w6Si4MDdAhWqC8AKHQTHCS0QFjADegQICBAB&usg=AOvVaw1wwoEmYDXeCeLmTuArXhqD

There are others and seeing as though we are still a part of the European continent rather than North America - THEIR  safety is OURS . Do you think we patrol the whole of the North Sea as well as the Channel without help from our European allies ?


We all ensure each others safety ! You watch too many WW11 films with a heavy British slant to them

3 chinooks and 100 troops doesn't make the entente Cordiale! As for Estonia we signal our intention to pull out and leave em to it!

Don't be daft are you not aware of these agreements :-

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lancaster_House_Treaties

We have both been looking to sign a far- reaching joint agreement of this type for decades - it makes sense and involves far more than 100 troops and 3 Chinooks !

Incidentally Peter the Great' s finest military achievements were against the Swedes

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.biography.com/people/peter-the-great-9542228&ved=2ahUKEwjEm9C45sPdAhVID8AKHeKHBuAQFjANegQIAxAB&usg=AOvVaw0pZRRoajwniymJQMT54c7s




Yes Charles the 12 th of Sweden was probably one of the best generals of all time. He didn't blink at the thought of Pitting 40,000 Swedes against An Enemy over 100,000 strong. He was Also the victim of  his own men who got fed up and shot him in the head.

The Great Northern War was a clash of 2 superpowers Sweden and Russia
It wasn't Russia picking  on the West it was all about two 
leaders with Very large egos falling out.


So not Russian aggression then ffs sproty you could say that the aggression by Putin is about ego  using the same logic.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on September 18, 2018, 09:30:03 pm
How does this fit in with you ridiculous and frankly childish opinion on the safety of our neighbours  ?

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-france-commit-to-new-defence-cooperation&ved=2ahUKEwj0w6Si4MDdAhWqC8AKHQTHCS0QFjADegQICBAB&usg=AOvVaw1wwoEmYDXeCeLmTuArXhqD

There are others and seeing as though we are still a part of the European continent rather than North America - THEIR  safety is OURS . Do you think we patrol the whole of the North Sea as well as the Channel without help from our European allies ?

We all ensure each others safety ! You watch too many WW11 films with a heavy British slant to them

3 chinooks and 100 troops doesn't make the entente Cordiale! As for Estonia we signal our intention to pull out and leave em to it!

You know we're still part of NATO x

Sproty has a weird vision of what it means to leave the EU . Fact is we work very closely and on occasions inter- changeable with them in many flash points/ disasters  around the globe.

Yes we are so close that we have pulled all of our Armour out of Germany, that leaves the 60,000 stroking German Army a bit vulnerable, considering Putin has just put 300,000 troops into the field.

186, 431 Troops
432 - combat tanks
4620- armoured fighting vehicles

Do you just pluck figures out of the air in the hope that you won't get caught out  ?

Just for the record how many troops can we put in the field ?

Incidentally I was originally referring to the relationship between France and ourselves.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 18, 2018, 09:42:40 pm
How does this fit in with you ridiculous and frankly childish opinion on the safety of our neighbours  ?

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-france-commit-to-new-defence-cooperation&ved=2ahUKEwj0w6Si4MDdAhWqC8AKHQTHCS0QFjADegQICBAB&usg=AOvVaw1wwoEmYDXeCeLmTuArXhqD

There are others and seeing as though we are still a part of the European continent rather than North America - THEIR  safety is OURS . Do you think we patrol the whole of the North Sea as well as the Channel without help from our European allies ?

We all ensure each others safety ! You watch too many WW11 films with a heavy British slant to them

3 chinooks and 100 troops doesn't make the entente Cordiale! As for Estonia we signal our intention to pull out and leave em to it!

You know we're still part of NATO x

Sproty has a weird vision of what it means to leave the EU . Fact is we work very closely and on occasions inter- changeable with them in many flash points/ disasters  around the globe.

Yes we are so close that we have pulled all of our Armour out of Germany, that leaves the 60,000 stroking German Army a bit vulnerable, considering Putin has just put 300,000 troops into the field.

186, 431 Troops
432 - combat tanks
4620- armoured fighting vehicles

Do you just pluck figures out of the air in the hope that you won't get caught out  ?

Just for the record how many troops can we put in the field ?

Incidentally I was originally referring to the relationship between France and ourselves.
How does this fit in with you ridiculous and frankly childish opinion on the safety of our neighbours  ?

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-france-commit-to-new-defence-cooperation&ved=2ahUKEwj0w6Si4MDdAhWqC8AKHQTHCS0QFjADegQICBAB&usg=AOvVaw1wwoEmYDXeCeLmTuArXhqD

There are others and seeing as though we are still a part of the European continent rather than North America - THEIR  safety is OURS . Do you think we patrol the whole of the North Sea as well as the Channel without help from our European allies ?

We all ensure each others safety ! You watch too many WW11 films with a heavy British slant to them

3 chinooks and 100 troops doesn't make the entente Cordiale! As for Estonia we signal our intention to pull out and leave em to it!

You know we're still part of NATO x

Sproty has a weird vision of what it means to leave the EU . Fact is we work very closely and on occasions inter- changeable with them in many flash points/ disasters  around the globe.

Yes we are so close that we have pulled all of our Armour out of Germany, that leaves the 60,000 stroking German Army a bit vulnerable, considering Putin has just put 300,000 troops into the field.

186, 431 Troops
432 - combat tanks
4620- armoured fighting vehicles

Do you just pluck figures out of the air in the hope that you won't get caught out  ?

Just for the record how many troops can we put in the field ?

Incidentally I was originally referring to the relationship between France and ourselves.


No I merely read the full Wikipedia Article you have just quoted from! in March 2018 there were 61,500 German Soldiers on active service!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 18, 2018, 10:05:06 pm
How does this fit in with you ridiculous and frankly childish opinion on the safety of our neighbours  ?

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-france-commit-to-new-defence-cooperation&ved=2ahUKEwj0w6Si4MDdAhWqC8AKHQTHCS0QFjADegQICBAB&usg=AOvVaw1wwoEmYDXeCeLmTuArXhqD

There are others and seeing as though we are still a part of the European continent rather than North America - THEIR  safety is OURS . Do you think we patrol the whole of the North Sea as well as the Channel without help from our European allies ?

We all ensure each others safety ! You watch too many WW11 films with a heavy British slant to them

3 chinooks and 100 troops doesn't make the entente Cordiale! As for Estonia we signal our intention to pull out and leave em to it!

You know we're still part of NATO x

Sproty has a weird vision of what it means to leave the EU . Fact is we work very closely and on occasions inter- changeable with them in many flash points/ disasters  around the globe.

Yes we are so close that we have pulled all of our Armour out of Germany, that leaves the 60,000 stroking German Army a bit vulnerable, considering Putin has just put 300,000 troops into the field.

186, 431 Troops
432 - combat tanks
4620- armoured fighting vehicles

Do you just pluck figures out of the air in the hope that you won't get caught out  ?

Just for the record how many troops can we put in the field ?

Incidentally I was originally referring to the relationship between France and ourselves.
How does this fit in with you ridiculous and frankly childish opinion on the safety of our neighbours  ?

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-france-commit-to-new-defence-cooperation&ved=2ahUKEwj0w6Si4MDdAhWqC8AKHQTHCS0QFjADegQICBAB&usg=AOvVaw1wwoEmYDXeCeLmTuArXhqD

There are others and seeing as though we are still a part of the European continent rather than North America - THEIR  safety is OURS . Do you think we patrol the whole of the North Sea as well as the Channel without help from our European allies ?

We all ensure each others safety ! You watch too many WW11 films with a heavy British slant to them

3 chinooks and 100 troops doesn't make the entente Cordiale! As for Estonia we signal our intention to pull out and leave em to it!

You know we're still part of NATO x

Sproty has a weird vision of what it means to leave the EU . Fact is we work very closely and on occasions inter- changeable with them in many flash points/ disasters  around the globe.

Yes we are so close that we have pulled all of our Armour out of Germany, that leaves the 60,000 stroking German Army a bit vulnerable, considering Putin has just put 300,000 troops into the field.

186, 431 Troops
432 - combat tanks
4620- armoured fighting vehicles

Do you just pluck figures out of the air in the hope that you won't get caught out  ?

Just for the record how many troops can we put in the field ?

Incidentally I was originally referring to the relationship between France and ourselves.


No I merely read the full Wikipedia Article you have just quoted from! in March 2018 there were 61,500 German Soldiers on active service!

How many German soldiers are there not on active service?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 18, 2018, 10:24:20 pm
 Oh quelle surprise , NOT ! Hello Glynn nice to see the 'Menagerie of four ' all out in Force.

I would say 61,500 the rest of the figure is the service corps,  which we out sourced to private companies, such as Sodexo, Capita and Serco

I'm counting Bayonet Strength the rest are not classed as regular front line infantry.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 19, 2018, 08:08:36 am
Oh quelle surprise , NOT ! Hello Glynn nice to see the 'Menagerie of four ' all out in Force.

I would say 61,500 the rest of the figure is the service corps,  which we out sourced to private companies, such as Sodexo, Capita and Serco

I'm counting Bayonet Strength the rest are not classed as regular front line infantry.

I was just asking out of curiosity because the figures seem to be so disparate, so you can shove your 'Menagerie of four ' conspiracy theory back into whatever orifice it came out of.

As for your answer when you say 'I would say', does that mean a guess? I still don't know how many German soldiers there are not on active service.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on September 19, 2018, 09:36:26 am
Oh quelle surprise , NOT ! Hello Glynn nice to see the 'Menagerie of four ' all out in Force.

I would say 61,500 the rest of the figure is the service corps,  which we out sourced to private companies, such as Sodexo, Capita and Serco

I'm counting Bayonet Strength the rest are not classed as regular front line infantry.

Plus que ça change plus c'est la même chose - same shit, different day.

How apt Sproty that you came out with a French expression to discuss further my original point which referred to our joint self- defence agreements with France not Germany
This is what I refer to :-

"We will develop a Combined Joint Expeditionary Force suitable for a wide range of scenarios, up to and including high intensity operations. It will involve all three Services: there will be a land component comprised of formations at national brigade level, maritime and air components with their associated Headquarters, and logistics and support functions. It will not involve standing forces but will be available at notice for bilateral, NATO, European Union, United Nations or other operations. We will begin with combined air and land exercises during 2011 and will develop the concept before the next UK-France Summit and progress towards full capability in subsequent years. The Force will stimulate greater interoperability and coherence in military doctrine, training and equipment requirements.[2]".

This is from that joint self- defence declaration of 2010 and as we are all including Germany of course part of NATO, then the current standing strength of the German military is irrelevant to your argument . What is our " bayonet strength " currently and do armies still use bayonets ?


Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 19, 2018, 02:59:51 pm
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-45566205

"Don't make unacceptable demands" says May. "Oh, and by the way, we want to wash our hands of all the responsibilities that come with membership of the EU whilst retaining all the benefits"
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on September 19, 2018, 03:27:17 pm
"In an interview with the Daily Express, Mrs May said that going back on the 2016 vote to leave the EU would "destroy trust in politicians".


I think that has already been destroyed
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 19, 2018, 05:45:01 pm
Get Lynn Wigley and I have something in common! We are both puzzled as to how an Army of 180,000 can only have 60,000 front line troops.
I have done some digging and the German army. Is on its Arse!
2 Armoured divisions and an Airbourne division allegedly.
Well according to the SPIEGEL Magazine and the Economist, the German army has only 95 Leo 2 Tanks in operational order out of 244, the rest have been stripped for parts. That not enough for a Division. Only 7 out of 67 Ch 53 Transport Helicopters operational,12 out of 50 Tiger Helicopters operational,39 out of 128 Typhoon Fighters operational,all of its Tornados grounded due to Bolts flying off and no lights in Cockpit. Germany's entire submarine fleet of 6 Subs Not Sea worthy!
A German Officer also managed to claim Benefits and live a double life.
In 2014 A German Battalion went to Norway on excercise, none of their Boxer AFVs had any guns, the German soldiers painted wooden broom handles black and stuck em on to make it look like the vehicles had weapons.
It's a far cry from 1990 when the Bundewher was half a Million strong and had 5,000 AFVs.
It' makes you wonder what sort of a state the French  and others are In?
If Vladimir turned his 300k troops West they would be in Rotterdam in 5 days!
Oh and Hoola I doubt the German army has any bayonets to put onto its Broom handles.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 19, 2018, 06:58:10 pm
Get Lynn Wigley and I have something in common! We are both puzzled as to how an Army of 180,000 can only have 60,000 front line troops.
I have done some digging and the German army. Is on its Arse!
2 Armoured divisions and an Airbourne division allegedly.
Well according to the SPIEGEL Magazine and the Economist, the German army has only 95 Leo 2 Tanks in operational order out of 244, the rest have been stripped for parts. That not enough for a Division. Only 7 out of 67 Ch 53 Transport Helicopters operational,12 out of 50 Tiger Helicopters operational,39 out of 128 Typhoon Fighters operational,all of its Tornados grounded due to Bolts flying off and no lights in Cockpit. Germany's entire submarine fleet of 6 Subs Not Sea worthy!
A German Officer also managed to claim Benefits and live a double life.
In 2014 A German Battalion went to Norway on excercise, none of their Boxer AFVs had any guns, the German soldiers painted wooden broom handles black and stuck em on to make it look like the vehicles had weapons.
It's a far cry from 1990 when the Bundewher was half a Million strong and had 5,000 AFVs.
It' makes you wonder what sort of a state the French  and others are In?
If Vladimir turned his 300k troops West they would be in Rotterdam in 5 days!
Oh and Hoola I doubt the German army has any bayonets to put onto its Broom handles.

I didn't ask about front line, I asked for clarification on the total number of German soldiers, both on active service and not on active service.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 19, 2018, 07:55:32 pm
61,500 what we would call Proper soldiers,41,000 Medical service staff, the rest make up the unique to Germany Joint service corps, Military uniform wearing civilians.
Now I just looked that up in 5 minutes why couldn't you?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 19, 2018, 10:03:59 pm
Because you originally said 61,500 on active service, but I was getting mixed up. I thought 'active service' just meant the soldiers actually deployed and didn't count those not deployed so I thought that meant there were more soldiers than the number you stated. My mistake.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 19, 2018, 10:18:51 pm
Because you originally said 61,500 on active service, but I was getting mixed up. I thought 'active service' just meant the soldiers actually deployed and didn't count those not deployed so I thought that meant there were more soldiers than the number you stated. My mistake.

I think we have both learned a lot about the  German Army in the last 24 hours and none of it is good news Glynn.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on September 19, 2018, 11:42:40 pm
Why does everything revert to a discussion about some fictional coming war with you?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: nightporter on September 20, 2018, 09:14:04 am
Who needs an army?  The next world war will not be fought in the trenches.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 20, 2018, 09:25:55 am
Bang on.

If there is another major conflict, the deciding factor will be which side can most quickly shut down the other's satellites, telecoms and power grid.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 20, 2018, 09:39:16 am
Thank God for that. I'd hate to be stuck in a trench with some of our lot for back up!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on September 20, 2018, 10:38:23 am
Meanwhile, back to Brexit.

Wonderful statement of where we are going from May today.

We're either going to have her deal which will mean a lot of damage to the UK economy. Or we're going to have no deal, which will mean a huge amount of damage to the UK economy.

Good to see that we've got a clear choice now.

Since the Chequers Plan is by and large unacceptable to both the EU and a significant number of Tory backbenchers, and because "No Deal" will never get through Parliament, I think we are close to General Election territory.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on September 20, 2018, 11:14:15 am
Here's Liam Fox doing his best to help that scenario along by making sure May wont get a deal - with the EU & in parliament!

https://www.businessinsider.nl/liam-fox-trade-deal-scrap-european-union-food-standards-after-brexit-2018-9/?international=true&r=US
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 20, 2018, 02:29:04 pm
The problem is, though, that a General Election won't solve anything because either the government sticks to whatever deal Parliament has just rejected or they (and every other party) spout a Deal wish-list that means nothing until the EU agrees to it...in which case we are back to square one ie here.

If Parliament rejects the deal any incoming government, of whatever colour, are still going to have the millstone of Brexit round their necks instead of getting on with the job of running the country. As far as I can see, the only way of getting rid of that millstone is going back to the voters with a specific referendum which ends with either a deal being agreed, no deal default being accepted or Brexit reversed. Anything, just so long as the torture ends.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on September 20, 2018, 02:36:28 pm
I agree with you Glyn that a GE in itself won't solve anything. I think it is likely because I can hardly see how the Government can carry on, even under a different leader, if the deal they offer to Parliament (including No Deal) is rejected.

However, given that the most likely outcome of a GE would be a minority Labour Government rather a minority Conservative one, I think it makes the prospect of a second referendum much more likely.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on September 20, 2018, 03:23:33 pm
Well, Tusk has now said Chequers won't fly. I'm struggling to see how May can stay in the job much longer.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on September 20, 2018, 03:40:57 pm
Well, Tusk has now said Chequers won't fly. I'm struggling to see how May can stay in the job much longer.

She stays in job while ever there is a chance Corbyn could be PM
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on September 20, 2018, 04:14:48 pm
https://m.facebook.com/1498276767163730/posts/2172510166407050/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 20, 2018, 05:11:03 pm
I agree with you Glyn that a GE in itself won't solve anything. I think it is likely because I can hardly see how the Government can carry on, even under a different leader, if the deal they offer to Parliament (including No Deal) is rejected.

However, given that the most likely outcome of a GE would be a minority Labour Government rather a minority Conservative one, I think it makes the prospect of a second referendum much more likely.

Not sure a minority Lab Govt is the favourite. The Tories have been ahead in 12 of the last 16 and all the last 6 polls.

I know Corbyn impressed in the campaign last year, but I'd assume that is now baked in, as is the fact that May is utterly unable to interact with human beings. So I'd be surprised to see anything like the change we got last year. Unless the Tories fell apart over the Brexit deal and attacked each other.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on September 20, 2018, 06:19:10 pm
Who needs an army?  The next world war will not be fought in the trenches.

The only " standing army  " will be the hackers but Sproty still lives in the past .
I'm not quite sure he's even aware that the Berlin wall has come down yet !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 20, 2018, 08:45:16 pm
Who needs an army?  The next world war will not be fought in the trenches.

The only " standing army  " will be the hackers but Sproty still lives in the past .
I'm not quite sure he's even aware that the Berlin wall has come down yet !
Sorry chum to win a war you need to occupy Territoy and for that you need Infantry.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 20, 2018, 08:55:02 pm
Who needs an army?  The next world war will not be fought in the trenches.

The only " standing army  " will be the hackers but Sproty still lives in the past .
I'm not quite sure he's even aware that the Berlin wall has come down yet !
Sorry chum to win a war you need to occupy Territoy and for that you need Infantry.

That makes me wonder why Japan surrendered.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on September 20, 2018, 08:58:05 pm
Who needs an army?  The next world war will not be fought in the trenches.

The only " standing army  " will be the hackers but Sproty still lives in the past .
I'm not quite sure he's even aware that the Berlin wall has come down yet !
Sorry chum to win a war you need to occupy Territoy and for that you need Infantry.
Again... why are you constantly f**king banging on about a war that isn't even on the horizon?...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 20, 2018, 09:06:19 pm
Who needs an army?  The next world war will not be fought in the trenches.

The only " standing army  " will be the hackers but Sproty still lives in the past .
I'm not quite sure he's even aware that the Berlin wall has come down yet !
Sorry chum to win a war you need to occupy Territoy and for that you need Infantry.

Err. 1918?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 20, 2018, 10:45:44 pm
Who needs an army?  The next world war will not be fought in the trenches
The only " standing army  " will be the hackers but Sproty still lives in the past .
I'm not quite sure he's even aware that the Berlin wall has come down yet !
Sorry chum to win a war you need to occupy Territoy and for that you need Infantry.

Err. 1918?

We never won the First World War, there was an Armistice. The Germans were convinced that they had been sold down the river by their Government and that bitterness was one of the most powerful drivers for starting hostilities in 1939.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 20, 2018, 10:52:46 pm
Who needs an army?  The next world war will not be fought in the trenches.


The only " standing army  " will be the hackers but Sproty still lives in the past .
I'm not quite sure he's even aware that the Berlin wall has come down yet !
Sorry chum to win a war you need to occupy Territoy and for that you need Infantry.


That makes me wonder why Japan surrendered.

Okinawa was Japanese territory, and did we not send our troops onto the other Japanese Islands after the surrender ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 20, 2018, 10:56:39 pm
Who needs an army?  The next world war will not be fought in the trenches.

The only " standing army  " will be the hackers but Sproty still lives in the past .
I'm not quite sure he's even aware that the Berlin wall has come down yet !
Sorry chum to win a war you need to occupy Territoy and for that you need Infantry.
Again... why are you constantly f**king banging on about a war that isn't even on the horizon?...
Sorry I have merely been answering points by other forum members,you don't have to read my posts I never read yours!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on September 20, 2018, 10:59:02 pm
Who needs an army?  The next world war will not be fought in the trenches.

The only " standing army  " will be the hackers but Sproty still lives in the past .
I'm not quite sure he's even aware that the Berlin wall has come down yet !
Sorry chum to win a war you need to occupy Territoy and for that you need Infantry.
Again... why are you constantly f**king banging on about a war that isn't even on the horizon?...
Sorry I have merely been answering points by other forum members,you don't have to read my posts I never read yours!

Apart from the one you have just quoted? 😀😀
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 20, 2018, 11:12:11 pm
Germany didn't lose WWI?

We're right through the looking glass now then.

I assume they paid reparations, gave up vast swathes of eastern land and demilitarised the Rhineland on a whim then?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 20, 2018, 11:16:14 pm
Anyway. In a probably vain attempt to keep this thread roughly on topic, how cringingly embarrassing was Salzburg for May?

10 minutes to make her pitch to the Dragons at midnight last night. Then today, Tusk has said the case doesn't stack up and for that reason, we're out.

And before the Brexiters start moaning that the EU is being beastly, what Tusk said today is EXACTLY what the EU has said for more than two years. There will not be a deal for the UK that undermines the principles of the Single Market. Chequers undermines the principles of the Single Market. A child could have followed the logical thread to where we are now.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 20, 2018, 11:22:11 pm
Oh. By the way. This is miles beyond funny now. This is getting REALLY f**king serious.

https://m.facebook.com/1498276767163730/posts/2172510166407050/

Any prospect of a remotely sensible deal has gone. We're now looking at:

1) No deal. Catastrophic for us economically.
2) Deferment of the decision. Catastrophic for us politically as it means we just put off the crisis.
Or
3) A second referendum. Catastrophic for us socially because of the dog whistles to The Will of The People that have been blown regularly for 2 years, stirring up passions.

What an utter, shambolic f**k up.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on September 20, 2018, 11:22:58 pm
Who needs an army?  The next world war will not be fought in the trenches.

The only " standing army  " will be the hackers but Sproty still lives in the past .
I'm not quite sure he's even aware that the Berlin wall has come down yet !
Sorry chum to win a war you need to occupy Territoy and for that you need Infantry.
Again... why are you constantly f**king banging on about a war that isn't even on the horizon?...
Sorry I have merely been answering points by other forum members,you don't have to read my posts I never read yours!

You're the one who keeps randomly bringing up some future war that nothing points towards happening.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 21, 2018, 08:06:19 am
Who needs an army?  The next world war will not be fought in the trenches.


The only " standing army  " will be the hackers but Sproty still lives in the past .
I'm not quite sure he's even aware that the Berlin wall has come down yet !
Sorry chum to win a war you need to occupy Territoy and for that you need Infantry.


That makes me wonder why Japan surrendered.

Okinawa was Japanese territory, and did we not send our troops onto the other Japanese Islands after the surrender ?

Okinawa? That's like saying Britain was defeated when the Germans occupied the Channel Islands! Who cares about after after the surrender, they didn't surrender because of what happened afterwards!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 21, 2018, 10:24:10 am
Who needs an army?  The next world war will not be fought in the trenches.

The only " standing army  " will be the hackers but Sproty still lives in the past .
I'm not quite sure he's even aware that the Berlin wall has come down yet !
Sorry chum to win a war you need to occupy Territoy and for that you need Infantry.
Again... why are you constantly f**king banging on about a war that isn't even on the horizon?...
Sorry I have merely been answering points by other forum members,you don't have to read my posts I never read yours!

Apart from the one you have just quoted? 😀😀

It was a direct question to me, I did recall reading one of his the other day about book keeping accounting  but I only got to the second line before moving on.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 21, 2018, 10:32:18 am
Germany didn't lose WWI?

We're right through the looking glass now then.

I assume they paid reparations, gave up vast swathes of eastern land and demilitarised the Rhineland on a whim then?

Did the Allies take away Germanys ability to fight another war ? Rommel,Guderian, Kesselring,Goring, all felt that their Government in 1918 had let them down.
We are not far off a similar malaise in the country.

A German revanchist movement developed in response to the losses of World War I. Pan-Germanists within the Weimar Republic called for the reclamation of the property of a German state due to pre-war borders or because of the territory's historical relation to Germanic peoples. The movement called for the reincorporation of Alsace-Lorraine, the Polish Corridor and the Sudetenland (see Bohemia, Moravia, Silesia—parts of the Austrian Empire and Austria-Hungary until its dismemberment after World War I). Those claims, supported by Adolf Hitler, led to World War II, with the invasion of Poland. This irredentism had also been characteristic of the Völkisch movement in general and of the Pan-German League (Alldeutsche Verband). The Verband wanted to uphold German 'racial hygiene' and were against breeding with so-called inferior races like the Jews and Slavs.[7]
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on September 21, 2018, 11:43:56 am
Bring on no deal. That is what I thought we had voted for. In or out, plain and simple. Not out but with all the strings attached of staying in. Why does a certain section of the population find it so difficult to accept the fact that they lost the vote.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on September 21, 2018, 11:51:38 am
Because a lot of people voted out based on a vision that was never realistically going to be able to be delivered. Because people were lied to in a vote over the biggest constitutional matter in a generation. Because people had their personal data illegally used to spread these lies.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 21, 2018, 12:57:48 pm
Axholme.

I fully accept that Leave won the vote. I also believe that anyone voting Leave an expecting that to result in a No Deal exit didn't have a clue what that would mean.

Every single rational assessment of the consequences of No Deal has predicted that it would have a catastrophic effect on our economy. And I MEAN catastrophic.

The Govt's own figures say that the result of No Deal will mean that our economy will lose something approaching £1trillion over the next decade. Even the staunchest Brexit supporter accepts that it would take that long until we started to pull round.

Have you any comprehension what losing £1trn would mean?

Thing is. No one really wants No Deal. At least no one who's thought of the consequences. It's being dangled as part of a political game. And if you swallow that, you are being played as part of a few senior politicians' ambitions.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on September 21, 2018, 01:28:18 pm
Every problem between differing parties needs to be solved by negotiation.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on September 21, 2018, 01:36:40 pm
We didn't do too well before joining the EU did we?
We built cars, motorbikes, aeroplanes, ships, tv and radios so on and so forth. All we have now are call centres and a KFC and McDonalds on every street corner, while the Germans flood our country with their vastly over-rated overpriced cars.
We should go to the wire with them, let them blink first and if it's no deal then tax their products off the market.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 21, 2018, 01:37:09 pm
Losing £1 Trillion over a decade? Bit like having Jerenmy Corbyn at the helm!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 21, 2018, 01:42:46 pm
There are a lot of countries in that gang of 26 doing very nicely out of us, including Merkels mob who have been skankng the US and ourselves for the last decade by having a nice little earner in reneging on their Defence budgets, hence Yanks pulling out and us too,I think we have about 1000 military personnel left in Germeny and a Battalion in Estonia.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on September 21, 2018, 01:44:45 pm
The parrot is definitely dead.

''Conservative cabinet minister insists Theresa May’s Brexit deal is alive despite all 27 EU leaders saying it's dead''

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/theresa-may-brexit-deal-james-brokenshire-eu-leaders-chequers-cabinet-conservative-tory-a8548181.html

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4vuW6tQ0218

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on September 21, 2018, 01:49:28 pm
We didn't do too well before joining the EU did we?
We built cars, motorbikes, aeroplanes, ships, tv and radios so on and so forth. All we have now are call centres and a KFC and McDonalds on every street corner, while the Germans flood our country with their vastly over-rated overpriced cars.
We should go to the wire with them, let them blink first and if it's no deal then tax their products off the market.

Just seen that (on average) people when asked think we are the Worlds 27th biggest manufacturer of goods

In fact we are 8th ! BBC today I am sure said 7th ?

https://www.themanufacturer.com/uk-manufacturing-statistics/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on September 21, 2018, 01:49:48 pm
How can you take the likes of Tusk seriously with his childish Instagram post about cherries and cakes. He needs to remember how many Brits died to save his third rate country from his mates in Berlin. Show some respect.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on September 21, 2018, 03:20:20 pm
How can you take the likes of Tusk seriously with his childish Instagram post about cherries and cakes. He needs to remember how many Brits died to save his third rate country from his mates in Berlin. Show some respect.
Spot on, pretty sure they still owe us after ww2 . Certainly morally if not financially
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on September 21, 2018, 03:48:30 pm
How can you take the likes of Tusk seriously with his childish Instagram post about cherries and cakes. He needs to remember how many Brits died to save his third rate country from his mates in Berlin. Show some respect.
I think any respect for our political leaders disappeared when Cameron threw his toys out of the pram, since then we have suffered pure humiliation at the hands of the tories, they couldn't negotiate a round of drinks at Oktoberfest.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on September 21, 2018, 04:30:27 pm
f**king hell we're still banging on about the war. Embarrassing.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on September 21, 2018, 04:41:55 pm
S
H
A
M
B
L
E
S

Thats the least embarrassing thing to be said about the whole thing from Camerons attempt to unite his Party once and for all on ths issue - his great "deal" that he said we would get - his calling of a Referendum - his failure to say we needed a "conclusive" vote in the Referrendum (say 60%) for there to be any change in the status quo

Since then its been the same old s**t day after day. The best thing I have heard was when someone proposed the BBC should have a Channel dedicated to B****t (I try never to speak or type that stupid f*****g word if I can help it). That would be good !

I am fed up of the whole thing AND I really think that we will end up somehow with we the people voting again on whatever deal somebody eventually comes up with and we the people rejecting that deal and remaining in the EU after probably 3 years of what will then have turned out to be hypothetical toing and froing

Roll on another chance to vote just to be rid of the whole bloody shambles

S
H
A
M
L
E

F
R
E
E
Z
O
N
E

P-L-E-A-S-E
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 21, 2018, 05:28:45 pm
We didn't do too well before joining the EU did we?
We built cars, motorbikes, aeroplanes, ships, tv and radios so on and so forth. All we have now are call centres and a KFC and McDonalds on every street corner, while the Germans flood our country with their vastly over-rated overpriced cars.
We should go to the wire with them, let them blink first and if it's no deal then tax their products off the market.

So you obviously have no idea why our manufacturing industry is less important now than it was in the 60s and 70s. It's got sod all to do with EU membership. It's the result of Thatcher's decision to deindustrialise and pitch us as a services economy.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 21, 2018, 05:29:48 pm
How can you take the likes of Tusk seriously with his childish Instagram post about cherries and cakes. He needs to remember how many Brits died to save his third rate country from his mates in Berlin. Show some respect.

And you obviously don't know much about WWII either if you think we saved Poland.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 21, 2018, 06:18:25 pm
How can you take the likes of Tusk seriously with his childish Instagram post about cherries and cakes. He needs to remember how many Brits died to save his third rate country from his mates in Berlin. Show some respect.


And you obviously don't know much about WWII either if you think we saved Poland.

If we're talking numbers of corpses dictating policy here, then he ought to remember the 20 million Russians that died liberating his country and sell his soul to Putin. I doubt that one British soldier died on Polish soil.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 21, 2018, 06:32:31 pm
Poles will never thank Russia for anything, The Russians invaded Poland in 1939. 2 weeks after the Nazis
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 21, 2018, 08:08:41 pm
I was thinking about the Poles who gave their lives in the Battle of Britain. And given the fact that their airmen shot down something like 1 in 10 of all the Luftwaffe planes downed in that battle, and arguably tipped the balance, maybe the thanks should be going the other way.

And before trumpeting anything about our commitment to Polish freedom, you'd be advised to Google Churchill, Stalin and the blue tick.

And that's before you start shaking your head at the stupidity of framing 2018 policy in the light of what happened in WWII. It's farcical that folk are still bringing that up. If you're digging up old history, why should we expect to get a trade deal with the USA when we burned the White House in 1814?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Dutch Uncle on September 21, 2018, 08:34:29 pm
Shhhhhhhhhhhhh BST, Trump thinks it was the Canadians.  :rolleyes:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 21, 2018, 09:04:47 pm
He's doing a decent job of burning the White House's credibility himself.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 21, 2018, 10:17:44 pm
Film just come out about Polish Airmen.
'Hurricane'
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 21, 2018, 11:13:08 pm
I was thinking about the Poles who gave their lives in the Battle of Britain. And given the fact that their airmen shot down something like 1 in 10 of all the Luftwaffe planes downed in that battle, and arguably tipped the balance, maybe the thanks should be going the other way.

And before trumpeting anything about our commitment to Polish freedom, you'd be advised to Google Churchill, Stalin and the blue tick.

And that's before you start shaking your head at the stupidity of framing 2018 policy in the light of what happened in WWII. It's farcical that folk are still bringing that up. If you're digging up old history, why should we expect to get a trade deal with the USA when we burned the White House in 1814?
Unlike you I am well read on the 'Talks' between Churchill and Stalin the information came from books not Wikipedia.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 21, 2018, 11:57:28 pm
Sproty.

Ouch. How spiky.

For the record.

1) I wasn't aiming that comment at you.
2) I first came across the Blue Tick issue when reading Norman Davies's "Europe: A History" nearly a quarter of a century ago.

Have another go.

I heartily recommend that book by the way. Europe (Britain included) has had too many wars but it's not all been confrontation, despite what some folk would have you think. That book covers the wonderful and the horrific.

But anyway, given that you've widely read on the topic, I'm sure you'll agree that Axholme Lion was talking ba-baa.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on September 22, 2018, 09:04:40 am
How can you take the likes of Tusk seriously with his childish Instagram post about cherries and cakes. He needs to remember how many Brits died to save his third rate country from his mates in Berlin. Show some respect.

And you obviously don't know much about WWII either if you think we saved Poland.

Obviously the Soviet Union eventually 'saved' Poland, but had we not continued alone through the dark days of 1940 the war would have been over and Poland would have been consumed into Germania.
Yes, the Poles who died in the RAF were very brave men who I have great respect for, unlike their snidey politicians of today.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 22, 2018, 10:19:18 am
How can you take the likes of Tusk seriously with his childish Instagram post about cherries and cakes. He needs to remember how many Brits died to save his third rate country from his mates in Berlin. Show some respect.

And you obviously don't know much about WWII either if you think we saved Poland.

Obviously the Soviet Union eventually 'saved' Poland, but had we not continued alone through the dark days of 1940 the war would have been over and Poland would have been consumed into Germania.
Yes, the Poles who died in the RAF were very brave men who I have great respect for, unlike their snidey politicians of today.

Axholme The Soviets didn't save Poland they merely inflicted a slightly different oppressive regime on them.
On 17th September 1939 466,516 Soviet Army troops invaded Eastern Poland  including 3,739 Tanks and 380 Armoured Cars.
Poland had withdrawn large formations in the East to take on the Germans in the West whose offensive started on 1 September 1939.
The Soviets captured 99,000 Polish troops but also interred 452,536 Poles such as Government Officials,Teachers,clergy,Postal workers,Police Officers. Basically anybody who represented the old Polish Government, they were all shipped off to Siberia,where they disappeared. 8,0o Polish Officers alone were murdered at Karyn in 1940.
Some of the people we grew up with were the offspring of Poles who were released from Russian camps to make their way via Iran to join the allied cause. Well over 100,000 fought for the allies and died in droves in North Africa,Monte Casino and Arnhem.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on September 22, 2018, 10:59:12 am
I know, that's why I wrote 'saved' to point out the irony of being pulled out of the Nazi frying pan and being dropped into the Soviet fire.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 22, 2018, 10:59:53 am
Axholme.

Have you seen what (some of) our politicians have been saying about Europe for 2 generations?

If folk are then going to get upset about a daft quip about cake, maybe it's the Brexits who are the real snowflakes after all.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on September 22, 2018, 11:18:11 am
BST, do you ever wish you lived in one of the EU countries that have genuine, incorrupt, politicians who seek wealth for the people and not themselves?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on September 22, 2018, 11:40:38 am
Can't see why we joined in the first place. We are an island and never have been and never will be part of their clique. We have more in common with our commonwealth, they are our family.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 22, 2018, 12:03:22 pm
Axholme.

Get down off your Little Englander chair for a minute and have a think.

1) We joined because for the previous 20 years, Germany, France, Italy, Holland and Belgium had all hugely out-performed us economically. Because they were bringing down barriers to trading together.

After joining, we had 40 years of outperforming all them until the f**king stupidity of Austerity followed by the Brexit vote dropped our performance below most of them.

No brainer really.

Your final sentence is illuminating though. I wonder how many Brexit supporters have that at the core of their belief. Doesn't matter how poorer we get as long as we don't have to associate with them foreign speaking folk.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on September 22, 2018, 12:19:52 pm
I had an "interesting" discussion with an old work colleague last night. He's an intelligent bloke; a great graphic designer and is now teaching himself computer programming.

I dared to ask why he voted Brexit, and he gave me 2 examples that made his mind up; a Polish Lorry Driver his wife knows who dares to claim benefits and send the money he earns home to his family in Poland, and those "foreigners" that work at his local car wash that he knows are claiming benefits.

I asked him why shouldn't the Polish Lorry driver claim benefits if he lives and works here legally and pays his taxes like everybody else - no answer.
I asked him if he was sure the car washers were EU migrants and if they were claiming benefits, why shouldn't they claim like any other British person - he said because we can't go over and do the same in their country (he didn't specify what country they were from - I'm guessing they are non-EU migrants working for cash in hand and claiming f*ck all tbh)

I then suggested to him "claims" might "cost" the government a few million in total, whereas the cost to the economy of Brexit is likely to be billions, with businesses going under because of higher tariffs in most industries, and he said "doesn't bother me coz I'll still have my job".

He opened my eyes to what maybe most Brexit votes might actually be thinking. It's quite depressing, and a bit scary.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 22, 2018, 12:26:51 pm
How can you take the likes of Tusk seriously with his childish Instagram post about cherries and cakes. He needs to remember how many Brits died to save his third rate country from his mates in Berlin. Show some respect.

And you obviously don't know much about WWII either if you think we saved Poland.

Obviously the Soviet Union eventually 'saved' Poland, but had we not continued alone through the dark days of 1940 the war would have been over and Poland would have been consumed into Germania.
Yes, the Poles who died in the RAF were very brave men who I have great respect for, unlike their snidey politicians of today.

Yeah, the Soviet Union crushing Germany was nothing at all to do with being invaded by Germany themselves and mobilising their massive army, it was all because Britain stood alone being battered at the other end of the continent.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 22, 2018, 12:30:37 pm
Can't see why we joined in the first place. We are an island and never have been and never will be part of their clique. We have more in common with our commonwealth, they are our family.

Perhaps we should grant Freedom of Movement to all of our family.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 22, 2018, 01:43:54 pm
BJW

The further we've got into Brexit, the clearer it's become that the economy.ic effects are going to be somewhere between bad and horrific.

But none of that seems enough to convince any Brexit supporter to change their minds.

Which makes you wonder...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 22, 2018, 02:01:59 pm
Looks like we're only a couple of steps from "Fight them on the beaches" talk here.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-45611738

Somebody ought to tell Hunt. The EU is not seeing us as having a weak hand because we're polite. They are seeing g us as having a weak hand because we've got a weak hand.

Hunt and May are effectively saying, "How DARE you be beastly to us and it give us what we want? If you don't compromise with us, we'll...err...stamp our feet a lot and then commit economic suicide."
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 22, 2018, 02:14:28 pm
Politeness? Didn't he ever listen to what the person he succeeded as Foreign Secretary kept coming out with? :silly:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 22, 2018, 02:57:25 pm
It's farcical isn't it.

Our right wing populists spend years abusing the EU and EU officials. In very nasty terms. Farage saying the EU president had the charisma of a wet dishcloth. Johnson comparing the EU to Nazi Germany. Rees-Mogg calling EU officials "delusional bullies".

Then when one response as with a really innocuous (and not very good) joke the Brexiters go all snowflake and whine about hurt feelings.

And then there's May's f**king omnishambles this week. The EU spends two years telling us that a deal that undermines the SM won't fly. She suggests the Chequers  deal which would undermine the SM.  They spend weeks  saying that the Chequers deal would undermine the SM. She then marches into Salzburg shouting that it's her Chequers deal or nothing. The EU point out that Chequers is not acceptable because it undermines the SM. And May's response is to go all Robo-Churchillian and say that it is totally unacceptable for the EU to reject our plan.

It's like being led by arsy 5 year olds with learning difficulties and easily bruised egos.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on September 22, 2018, 06:39:26 pm
That stare she did will scare them shitless though - they will be negotiating with us now asap !

Strong and stable Government with scary stary Leader - whats not to like.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 23, 2018, 09:23:59 am
Interesting...

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-45616308
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on September 23, 2018, 01:25:21 pm
Interesting...

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-45616308

That to me looks like preparations for a General Election
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 23, 2018, 01:36:55 pm
Interesting...

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-45616308


That to me looks like preparations for a General Election

Possibly. To me it looks just like a way of the Labour leadership changing policy without Jeremy leaving any fingerprints and therefore losing face.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on September 23, 2018, 07:10:22 pm
BJW

The further we've got into Brexit, the clearer it's become that the economy.ic effects are going to be somewhere between bad and horrific.

But none of that seems enough to convince any Brexit supporter to change their minds.

Which makes you wonder...
what does it make you wonder?

Whether there's anybody at home despite the lights being on, perhaps...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: i_ateallthepies on September 23, 2018, 08:44:48 pm
"prepared to lose some money" sums up how well informed you are and how much credence you have given to the case made on this thread for how we all will be affected by brexit.

When UK based companies cannot sell to their main export markets there will inevitably be unemployment on a scale you clearly haven't considered.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on September 24, 2018, 01:59:26 pm
"prepared to lose some money" sums up how well informed you are and how much credence you have given to the case made on this thread for how we all will be affected by brexit.

When UK based companies cannot sell to their main export markets there will inevitably be unemployment on a scale you clearly haven't considered.
the bulk of the people who voted out were over 65 so that won’t affect many of them and the low incomes so it probably won’t affect them that badly either so my point stands, and we will see how much unemployment goes up won’t we
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on September 24, 2018, 02:15:22 pm
"prepared to lose some money" sums up how well informed you are and how much credence you have given to the case made on this thread for how we all will be affected by brexit.

When UK based companies cannot sell to their main export markets there will inevitably be unemployment on a scale you clearly haven't considered.
the bulk of the people who voted out were over 65 so that won’t affect many of them and the low incomes so it probably won’t affect them that badly either so my point stands, and we will see how much unemployment goes up won’t we
You have no idea what you're talking about if you think that, then.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on September 24, 2018, 03:43:22 pm
"prepared to lose some money" sums up how well informed you are and how much credence you have given to the case made on this thread for how we all will be affected by brexit.

When UK based companies cannot sell to their main export markets there will inevitably be unemployment on a scale you clearly haven't considered.
the bulk of the people who voted out were over 65 so that won’t affect many of them and the low incomes so it probably won’t affect them that badly either so my point stands, and we will see how much unemployment goes up won’t we
You have no idea what you're talking about if you think that, then. Think what?


...the thing that you posted?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 24, 2018, 03:53:02 pm
Bpool

Already (and this is a "fact" not a FACT) Government spending has been reduced running through to 2023, compared to what they were planning before the vote.

That is because we've ALREADY, lost huge amounts of economic wealth and we are projected to lose a lot more.

You know what that means?

Less money going into the NHS than would have done.

Less going into schools.

Less going into road building and rail & bus services.

Less going into house building.

Less going into higher education and research.

In other words, less going into all the things that are supposed to underpin our kids' and grandkids' futures.

Or, for those of you who don't seem to give a shit about any of that, less going into pensions.

It's HAPPENED.

ALREADY.

Every single sensible economic prediction says it's going to keep on happening for the next decade at least.

Oh aye. And no politician is now saying that immigration is going to decline by much either.

So what exactly HAVE you got out of the Brexit vote?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 24, 2018, 04:24:08 pm
Bpool

It's like talking to a wall.

The economic hit HAS ALREADY HAPPENED! And it's STILL happening. And that was based on businesses' reactions assuming we get a reasonably sensible Brexit.

As far as the future is concerned, there is NO-ONE remotely believable who is saying we're going to come out better off over the next decade. Even that t**t Rees-Mogg has said it might take 30 years to see the benefits.

And NO ONE is saying that we are going to see a big reduction in immigration.

What is it you are expecting to see when we DO leave? The clouds parting and a squadron of angels coming down to sort the shit out?

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on September 24, 2018, 05:41:35 pm
That'a not what you asked me thou bst you asked me what I have got out of brexit! I said nothing as we have not left
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on September 24, 2018, 05:44:51 pm
And I'm quite happy to wait before get to wound up over what deal there may or may not be as everything else is just guess work
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 24, 2018, 06:01:54 pm
Bpool

But this is the thing. There is NO ONE saying we can get ANY deal that would t make us a lot poorer.

No one.

Even the Brexit supporting MPs are saying it will be years before we make up the amount we'll lose. And they don't EVER say HOW we will make up the difference.

The only economist who says that we can come out net positive, eventually, freely admits that his approach would mean the end of manufacturing in the UK and what he calls the "managed decline" of the great Northern cities.

So I'll ask a straightforward question. What benefit do YOU think we're going to get?

If you say "wait and see" you're not really fit to be involved in the decision. The information is there for YOU to make a grown up decision. It's not acceptable to close your eyes and ignore it. Because what we decide now will affect tge lives of all of our kids and grandkids. So you have a moral responsibility to address this like a grown up.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 24, 2018, 06:03:47 pm
By the way. Why wait until you see what deal is cut? EVERY SINGLE deal will leave us poorer for years. And there will be no reduction in immigration.

So what information are you waiting for?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on September 24, 2018, 07:07:29 pm
My god you don't half talk shite. And when you realise you haven't got a Scooby Doo you backtrack and change the subject.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 24, 2018, 07:31:02 pm
In the same way bst in labour you have a guy that thinks certain ira bombers to be knighted they could well be bombers that have killed peoples mums dads kids grandkids you have a moral duty to address that surley? But will you?

When did anyone say that? I've never heard of it.

PS What's your moral duty made you do about it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on September 24, 2018, 07:32:05 pm
My god your a knob but that’s life

I'm a knob am I? okay, but you're only saying that cos what I've said is true... :laugh:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on September 24, 2018, 07:50:37 pm
In the same way bst in labour you have a guy that thinks certain ira bombers to be knighted they could well be bombers that have killed peoples mums dads kids grandkids you have a moral duty to address that surley? But will you?

I bet you were gutted when they signed the Good Friday Agreement. All those IRA murderers being let off. If only we had kept fighting and kept the population of Northern Ireland in fear of their lives and brought death and misery to dozens more innocent families including those of British soldiers. And dont you come at me with you don't know what you are talking about either - I have been 3 minutes away from a bomb going off.

If members of the royal family can shake hands with prominent former IRA leaders - who are you to tell anyone what is and isn't moral?

Still someone got shot by paramiliteries over the weekend so if your Brexit does go properly wrong you might get your way of bringing real chaos back to the country.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on September 24, 2018, 07:53:55 pm
Wilts that's fine but in the last few years McDonnell said certain ones should be knighted that is morally wrong
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on September 24, 2018, 07:57:29 pm
And in the same way wilts who is bst to say I should morally change my vote?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on September 24, 2018, 08:25:26 pm
.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 24, 2018, 09:54:16 pm
Wilts that's fine but in the last few years McDonnell said certain ones should be knighted that is morally wrong

I can't find any reference to that anywhere and would like to see it for myself.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 24, 2018, 09:58:10 pm
1) I didn't say you should morally change your vote. I said you had a moral responsibility to engage with facts on an issue as important as this, not ignore them because they don't agree with what you want to be true.

2) McDonnell has never said IRA mbers should be knighted.

3) I've strongly criticised on here several things that Corbyn and McDonnell have said about the IRA. And I've also said that my expectation is that Corbyn will not become PM precisely because of his issues on foreign policy and his history regarding Ireland. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on September 24, 2018, 10:39:36 pm
Wilts that's fine but in the last few years McDonnell said certain ones should be knighted that is morally wrong

I can't find any reference to that anywhere and would like to see it for myself.
https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/staggers/2015/09/what-did-jeremy-corbyn-s-new-shadow-chancellor-really-say-about-ira?amp.   Honoured not knighted but not much difference
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on September 24, 2018, 10:41:51 pm
Wilts that's fine but in the last few years McDonnell said certain ones should be knighted that is morally wrong

I can't find any reference to that anywhere and would like to see it for myself.
https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/staggers/2015/09/what-did-jeremy-corbyn-s-new-shadow-chancellor-really-say-about-ira?amp.   Honoured not knighted but not much difference

Have you even read that link? show me where it says they should be knighted. Jesus wept, this is lazy at best.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on September 24, 2018, 10:57:11 pm
It's says honoured not knighted as I posted above dik head
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 24, 2018, 11:17:35 pm
It's a totally different meaning Bpool.

It was a stupid thing to say. But McDonnell has publicly apologised for it on TV. And times move on. Ian Paisley ended up working with Martin McGuinness.

Meanwhile, how many Tories who said Nelson Mandela was a terrorist who should be shot, or who wore "Hang Nelson Mandela" T shirts have ever apologised.

There's a minister in position today who I personally saw calling Mandela a terrorist at a meeting 30 years ago. I've never heard him apologise for that.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on September 24, 2018, 11:18:54 pm
It's says honoured not knighted as I posted above dik head

What the f**k are you on about? you're the one who said he said they should be knighted, "dik head". Jesus wept.
Wilts that's fine but in the last few years McDonnell said certain ones should be knighted that is morally wrong

There you go.





You do realise honouring someone isn't the same thing as giving them a knighthood? I don't agree with what he said on any level but he's not exactly saying "let's have Sir Gerry Adams" is he? If you're gonna make a point, find some proper evidence.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on September 24, 2018, 11:25:49 pm
Ok spadge
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 24, 2018, 11:37:35 pm
On a related topic, McDonnell's plan unveiled today, to spread company shares into funds for workers is a fantastic idea.

The usual suspects will paint it as a Communist plot. What it actually is, is less radical than the situation they have in Germany, which has been ruled by right wing parties for most of the last generation. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: colincramb on September 25, 2018, 12:22:25 am
And the above passage of conversation highlights precisely why a decision of this magnitude should never have been given to the dumb wits in this country.

I still hear people saying they are pleased we are leaving - even after the realisation must be setting in. Not to worry though, as bpoolrover says “wait and see”. Great philosophy that
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 25, 2018, 12:52:19 am
In the same way bst in labour you have a guy that thinks certain ira bombers to be knighted they could well be bombers that have killed peoples mums dads kids grandkids you have a moral duty to address that surley? But will you?

I bet you were gutted when they signed the Good Friday Agreement. All those IRA murderers being let off. If only we had kept fighting and kept the population of Northern Ireland in fear of their lives and brought death and misery to dozens more innocent families including those of British soldiers. And dont you come at me with you don't know what you are talking about either - I have been 3 minutes away from a bomb going off.

If members of the royal family can shake hands with prominent former IRA leaders - who are you to tell anyone what is and isn't moral?

Still someone got shot by paramiliteries over the weekend so if your Brexit does go properly wrong you might get your way of bringing real chaos back to the country.

Wilts.

I agree with everything you say there.

But if we're talking about people not wanting the GFA to be signed, there was, as you well know, a person who is now very prominent in national politics who said at the time that an Assembly was not what people had laid down their lives for, and that anything less than a United Ireland was unacceptable.

I assume you agree with me that he was wrong. Because he was clearly advocating that the armed struggle should go on. And you're saying that it was right that the armed struggle ended then.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 25, 2018, 07:00:23 am
It's says honoured not knighted as I posted above dik head

You're the d**khead who kept saying knighted.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 25, 2018, 11:30:50 am
It's says honoured not knighted as I posted above dik head

You're the d**khead who kept saying knighted.
lol rent boy

Watch out Oscar Wilde, bpoolrover's here to claim your title!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on September 25, 2018, 04:16:36 pm
I've seen people elsewhere say that the people's vote would be ignoring the will of the people? How? It'll be what people are wanting. It's been a couple of years and we've learnt loads about effects it'll have since, it'll be daft not to vote on something now we have more knowledge on the subject.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 25, 2018, 05:11:57 pm
So if we have another vote and it's 49% for out and 51% for stay, how is that fair?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on September 25, 2018, 05:14:29 pm
In the same way bst in labour you have a guy that thinks certain ira bombers to be knighted they could well be bombers that have killed peoples mums dads kids grandkids you have a moral duty to address that surley? But will you?

I bet you were gutted when they signed the Good Friday Agreement. All those IRA murderers being let off. If only we had kept fighting and kept the population of Northern Ireland in fear of their lives and brought death and misery to dozens more innocent families including those of British soldiers. And dont you come at me with you don't know what you are talking about either - I have been 3 minutes away from a bomb going off.

If members of the royal family can shake hands with prominent former IRA leaders - who are you to tell anyone what is and isn't moral?

Still someone got shot by paramiliteries over the weekend so if your Brexit does go properly wrong you might get your way of bringing real chaos back to the country.

Wilts.

I agree with everything you say there.

But if we're talking about people not wanting the GFA to be signed, there was, as you well know, a person who is now very prominent in national politics who said at the time that an Assembly was not what people had laid down their lives for, and that anything less than a United Ireland was unacceptable.

I assume you agree with me that he was wrong. Because he was clearly advocating that the armed struggle should go on. And you're saying that it was right that the armed struggle ended then.

Sorry Billy I am afraid I dont know who you are referring to? As it must be someone who has the same views as blackpool is it someone in the DUP?

It is clearly not either Corbyn or McDonnell as they both spoke and campaigned for the GFA. McDonnell's speech to a republican meeting where he made the comments blackpool misquoted above were to persuade them to fully implement the GFA (so he said) and Corbyn said he hoped it would bring 'peace, hope and reconciliation in Ireland' when spoke for it in Parliament?

I think you are getting mixed up with with the Thatcher's Anglo-Irish Agreement in 1985 which Corbyn (and others) did oppose. In which case you are Jacob Rees Mogg and I claim my top hat back!

Agreed on everything else you said tho.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/sep/18/john-mcdonnell-apologises-for-ira-comment-labour
https://www.channel4.com/news/factcheck/factcheck-corbyn-on-northern-ireland
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on September 25, 2018, 05:14:58 pm
So if we have another vote and it's 49% for out and 51% for stay, how is that fair?

Best of three?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on September 25, 2018, 05:26:54 pm
So if we have another vote and it's 49% for out and 51% for stay, how is that fair?

It'd be the will of the people. ;)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 25, 2018, 06:37:08 pm
So if we have another vote and it's 49% for out and 51% for stay, how is that fair?

It'll be fairer because this time the Brexiters won't be able to get away with all the same billshut and lies a second time, and people will be more wary of anything new they try to get away with.

And whatever the result is, I assume the Brexiters will again be telling everybody else to 'suck it up'.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on September 25, 2018, 06:40:25 pm
So if we have another vote and it's 49% for out and 51% for stay, how is that fair?
Remain means Remain.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on September 25, 2018, 07:10:10 pm
So if we have another vote and it's 49% for out and 51% for stay, how is that fair?

Best of three?

Do we go on and on it's a nightmare.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on September 25, 2018, 08:05:06 pm
We would have if Leave had lost. Farage basically said he'd not give up until we'd left.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 25, 2018, 10:44:49 pm
Wilts.

I'm not getting mixed up about anything. You on the other hand need to look a little deeper into this.

http://www.anphoblacht.com/contents/3069

1998.

"A council of the Isles and an assembly is not what people have laid down their lives for over thirty years. We want peace, but the settlement must be just and the settlement must be for an agreed and united Ireland.''

I know there's a lot of alternative histories written these days but I don't know how you square that with support for the GFA in 1998.

It's crystal clear in those words. He wanted peace, "but" not on the terms of the GFA in 1998.

Where would we have been now if his vision had won the day in 1998?

You are talking about the stupid thing he said (and apologised for) in 2003. It's a totally different stand at a totally different time. He was right in 2003, but he was wrong, and dangerously so in 1998.



In the same way bst in labour you have a guy that thinks certain ira bombers to be knighted they could well be bombers that have killed peoples mums dads kids grandkids you have a moral duty to address that surley? But will you?

I bet you were gutted when they signed the Good Friday Agreement. All those IRA murderers being let off. If only we had kept fighting and kept the population of Northern Ireland in fear of their lives and brought death and misery to dozens more innocent families including those of British soldiers. And dont you come at me with you don't know what you are talking about either - I have been 3 minutes away from a bomb going off.

If members of the royal family can shake hands with prominent former IRA leaders - who are you to tell anyone what is and isn't moral?

Still someone got shot by paramiliteries over the weekend so if your Brexit does go properly wrong you might get your way of bringing real chaos back to the country.

Wilts.

I agree with everything you say there.

But if we're talking about people not wanting the GFA to be signed, there was, as you well know, a person who is now very prominent in national politics who said at the time that an Assembly was not what people had laid down their lives for, and that anything less than a United Ireland was unacceptable.

I assume you agree with me that he was wrong. Because he was clearly advocating that the armed struggle should go on. And you're saying that it was right that the armed struggle ended then.

Sorry Billy I am afraid I dont know who you are referring to? As it must be someone who has the same views as blackpool is it someone in the DUP?

It is clearly not either Corbyn or McDonnell as they both spoke and campaigned for the GFA. McDonnell's speech to a republican meeting where he made the comments blackpool misquoted above were to persuade them to fully implement the GFA (so he said) and Corbyn said he hoped it would bring 'peace, hope and reconciliation in Ireland' when spoke for it in Parliament?

I think you are getting mixed up with with the Thatcher's Anglo-Irish Agreement in 1985 which Corbyn (and others) did oppose. In which case you are Jacob Rees Mogg and I claim my top hat back!

Agreed on everything else you said tho.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/sep/18/john-mcdonnell-apologises-for-ira-comment-labour
https://www.channel4.com/news/factcheck/factcheck-corbyn-on-northern-ireland

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on September 26, 2018, 07:00:17 am
So if we have another vote and it's 49% for out and 51% for stay, how is that fair?

Best of three?

Do we go on and on it's a nightmare.


However not of the making of any Remainer who bothered unlike some to weigh up the available evidence.
Look I have my 20 year old daughter at uni in Denmark - she is doing what many bright British kids want to do I.e . Get educated abroad and broadenening her horizons . This is the beneficial side of the Eu , however she , like us, are now worried about whether she will be able to carry on after April 2019 - what about her EU funding, her ability to stay and take her exams, her health cover and finally just being able to travel back and forth with ease or finally being able to use her bank card ?

I'm sharing this particularly for bpool's sake as I'm sure he doesn't realise that there are multitudinous areas of our day to day lives, other than the economy, where our society gains much benefit from our being in the EU.

Areas not explored at the time of the Referendum where seemingly the only areas up for discussion were immigration, sovereignty and the CU/SM. Rarely , if ever, were the subjects of education, research and development, the medicines and Euratom agencies mentioned .

We completely ignored the social and moral sides of the argument for staying in the EU whilst concentrating on false arguments on sovereignty, immigration and controls of our money and borders. All 4 of the main arguments were exposed then and have been further exposed since. Immigration won't drop , sovereignty was never lost, Turks were never on their way , there was never to be a European army whilst we had a veto, the NHS were never going to get their Money ( it was never £ 350 million p.w. ) , there are no trade deals just waiting for the ink to dry .

For all of the above , any rational person who even excludes the possibility of overspending, foreign monies and use of fb data should look at this with a fresh eye and come to the conclusion that leaving is not for us . It weakens us in so many areas that it's almost unpatriotic and suicidal to persue such a course for the future of our country and its people .

Time to think again , we have already adversely affected the lives of millions over the last 2 years, why would any sane nation continue down such a path  ?
Yes I know that I have declared a direct interest in the EU project but we all have an interest in it too. It or the lack of it will affect us adversely for decades to come . Why would we want to wait and see bpool ?

A final word on democracy Sproty - why is it not fair for you to have the same vote as before especially if the case for leaving the EU is that strong ? You could of course ignore any facts that are inconvenient and vote Leave  once again . 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on September 26, 2018, 09:12:33 am
Good luck to your daughter hoola,I'm sure they will come to a agreement that means she will be able to stay, you keep saying about the economy yet you vote labour, a nice woman at the conference called for a general strike would that be good for the economy? Would it stop you voting labour?
If you want to drag the conversation back to who/why you vote for then look no further than the brexit mess and austerity, both which have been condemned by experts and neither supported by experts. It is only the fact that the rich and powrful control the media that gets the CONservatives back into power.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 26, 2018, 09:38:36 am
The man who was Foreign Secretary until recently called black  people "grinning picaninnies" and said that Obama supported Remain because he was Kenyan and therefore hated Britain.

Did that stop people voting Tory?

Politicians say stupid things. Especially at Conferences where some of them get carried away. Laura Smith is an inexperienced politician who let her mouth run away with her. There's not going to be a revolution or a General Strike, or even a particularly radical Labour economic policy.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on September 26, 2018, 09:39:27 am
Good luck to your daughter hoola,I'm sure they will come to a agreement that means she will be able to stay, you keep saying about the economy yet you vote labour, a nice woman at the conference called for a general strike would that be good for the economy? Would it stop you voting labour?
If you want to drag the conversation back to who/why you vote for then look no further than the brexit mess and austerity, both which have been condemned by experts and neither supported by experts. It is only the fact that the rich and powrful control the media that gets the CONservatives back into power.
Post deleted so I can't quote Bpool directly so this'll have to do! What has one Labour MPs views on a general strike got to do with the price of fish? Hoola writes an insightful post about how Brexit affects him personally and you start chuntering about Labour. If you can't answer any of his points and have to deflect that obviously, that's probably a good sign that maybe Brexit isn't what you thought it was.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on September 26, 2018, 09:51:31 am
We are approaching the end game and eventually (imo) there will be a Second Vote on the deal we arrange with the EU or worse still we dont agree

Theresa May still playing the patriotic "card" saying a second vote would be dissing the opinions of those who voted to Leave - and saying its undemocratic. Thats fine but how Democratic was it for (mostly) half her Party to go on and on and on through the last 40 years or so until they finally got Cameron to call the Referendum.

It was / is similar to the Independence movement in Scotland. There has been a movement towards it but in the last Referendum dubbed " a once in a generation" Vote the majority have voted to stay within the Union. Has that been respected by those wanting Independence ? Of course not. They will go on and on (its their Democratic right they will say) unless and until they get another Referendum and carry the day. Then they will tell the minority (even if it is 50.5 to 49.5 for Independence) to shut up because its "democracy" get over it

This is what I see in the current EU debacle. We were in and those opposed kept plugging away until they got their chance. We voted to leave by a small majority - and it has been shown to be a very divisive result. It would have been better (apologies for repeating myself again) if Cameron had have stipulated there needed to be a set figure of (lets say) 60% in order to change the Status Quo but he did not

Leave aside now all the how we got where we are now - such as the Battlebus with 350 Million to the NHS the Electoral cheating - and from the Remainers Project fear and other subterfuge (they were both fighting dirty)- because we are where we are.

However it may be the case that for a variety of reasons the "people" may wish to vote on what is or is not agreed by Theresa May on their behalf - after all in the original stages there were no real facts to work on. Even now voting to leave MAY be the best thing we ever decided but equally there are minds eminently more qualified than I am (a lot on here for example) that say quite simply that it will not be.

There are lots of people whose "ambition" or "dream" of what they thought they voting for in saying Leave will not come to fruition and they probably know that it never will - and on the other side of the coin there are people who have taken against the EU more now even though they voted Remain in the original vote because of how they have reacted to our "demands"

I think (and hope) there will be a Second vote because at that moment in time it is what the democratic will of the people was but I a convinced that as people have become sick of the B****t process and all it entails and have had their eyes opened more and more (still without Facts either way) they have begun to swing more to a Second Vote - and though this may be seen as disrespectful to the original Voters times MAY have changed "democratically" and surely it would just simply be better to test it out again in some form rather than just let what may now be a minority (I dont know !) lead us down a path that the majority (again I hypothesise) may not want - and again as I stated earlier it MAY be the best thing we decided (I dont know)

  :chair: Slag me Trash me Ridicule me call me what you will. :chair: Its democratic to have free speech and I hope people can at least accept that !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 26, 2018, 12:08:01 pm
We're certainly coming to crisis point. We are coming to the point of what Brexit was all about - a right-wing coup in the Tory party.

Johnson or Rees-Mogg will be leader this time next year. Meanwhile there is no Brexit deal that doesn't hammer us economically. Question is, when the country realises it's been played and demands another say. Either referendum or General Election. One or the other is coming.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on September 26, 2018, 12:25:20 pm
Good luck to your daughter hoola,I'm sure they will come to a agreement that means she will be able to stay, you keep saying about the economy yet you vote labour, a nice woman at the conference called for a general strike would that be good for the economy? Would it stop you voting labour?
If you want to drag the conversation back to who/why you vote for then look no further than the brexit mess and austerity, both which have been condemned by experts and neither supported by experts. It is only the fact that the rich and powrful control the media that gets the CONservatives back into power.
Post deleted so I can't quote Bpool directly so this'll have to do! What has one Labour MPs views on a general strike got to do with the price of fish? Hoola writes an insightful post about how Brexit affects him personally and you start chuntering about Labour. If you can't answer any of his points and have to deflect that obviously, that's probably a good sign that maybe Brexit isn't what you thought it was.

I think he and I have demonstrated repeatedly he has no idea what he's talking about and when you point it out to him he either backtracks or brings up something totally irrelevant then gets personal about it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on September 26, 2018, 02:35:48 pm
I deleted the post as there is no point going round in circles, your never going to change your opinion and I'm not mine
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 26, 2018, 04:25:43 pm
Bpool

If evidence emerged that there was a sane, logical plan to sort out our post-Brexit economy, and to ensure that we remain a mature, welcoming place, I'd change my mind.

Telling that you don't think people are amenable to changing their minds based on facts emerging.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on September 26, 2018, 04:28:25 pm
Donnywolf let's say there was a second referendum and leave won again we would still be in the same place, do you think anyone would accept the result?

I think they would have to - and especially if a total was put on it such as at least 55% - that would give it creedence - but as I said (as an ordinary bloke) if the Scots did another Referendum tomorrow and they voted to "stay" in the Union again would Sturgeon and Salmond accept that ?

I know we are not talking about the same subject but the principle is the same. The divided Tory Party and Farage and his pals just kept on going and going and can anyone convince me that had the Vote been Remain last time they would have accepted it and let the rest of us get on with it ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on September 26, 2018, 04:35:19 pm
They might not have accepted it mate but I would have and I think most people who voted leave would have ,they certainly would not have demanded another referendum within a year or 2
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 26, 2018, 04:38:01 pm
Wolf

He was saying on the night before the referendum, when he thought they were going to lose, that this wasn't the end. He said Remain had unfairly bought the vote and he'd be campaigning for another.

The irony is wonderful. His mate, the spiv Arron Banks had pumped £8m into Farage's Leave.EU campaign while having no obvious source of funds. Although he DID have a dozen meetings with the Russian Ambassador. Which he regularly denied until the facts emerged.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on September 26, 2018, 04:40:55 pm
They might not have accepted it mate but I would have and I think most people who voted leave would have ,they certainly would not have demanded another referendum within a year or 2

I take it you've ignored my earlier post. FARAGE HIMSELF said if he lost it wouldn't be the end for the Leave campaign.

People are demanding another vote because it's becoming more and more obvious as more time goes by that we're heading for a shit storm.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 26, 2018, 04:46:26 pm
Bpool

What if we'd voted Remain, then it emerged that the Remain side had been bankrolled by Russia and had illegally accessed social media data for millions of voters in order to target them by sending them videos full of lies?

You reckon Johnson and Farage and Rees-Mogg would have said, "No, no. The People have spoken. It's is imperative in the interests of democracy that we respect The Will of The People"?

What do you think?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on September 26, 2018, 05:40:39 pm
No I agree they would not let it go but your average person wouldn't have,if you were to ask anyone's who voted leave on this message board most would say the same
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on September 26, 2018, 06:04:12 pm
If they were to have a second vote and remain win so Be it while I think it would be unfair it is what it is, life is to short to worry what might be what could happen in ten years etc. Whatever the outcome in the end it will work out is has every other time
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 26, 2018, 06:59:12 pm
Life's too short to worry about what might happen in 10 years?

We think about the future all the time. That's what separates humans from animals. We plan long term. We use contraception or choose not to. We put money into mortgages and pensions. We study to give ourselves the chance of a better quality of life down the road. We give up smoking. Most of us choose not to inject drugs, or at least not to share needles if we do.

All of that is taking decisions because of what the consequences might be.

How is this any different?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: big fat yorkshire pudding on September 26, 2018, 07:11:00 pm
Can everyone be happy? No they can't. Is there an answer? No.  The big reason really is the e.u will not let this be a success. It could well be very successful but they will never allow it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on September 26, 2018, 08:16:52 pm
Because which ever result happens we will be fine anyway, it won't make you ill(unless you worry to much) there are many countries not in the eu that are ok and we would be to

f**king hell. So we won't all get life threatening illnesses overnight that means everything will be fine. Heard it all now. Don't worry, that's what'll make this a shit show!

You really do refuse to engage with any of the facts don't you.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 26, 2018, 08:44:28 pm
I'm going to keep on saying it.

The predictions from sensible economists are that we will lose something between £250-750bn by the mid 2020s directly because of Brexit.

The key Brexit supporting economist says that we will be on the upswing by then if we implement his policies. Which include the elimination of manufacturing and the "managed decline" of the Northern cities.

What in the name of holy hell makes you think it'll be alright?

And BFYP. Yeah you're right. It could all be fine if only the EU would let us leave all the responsibilities of the Single Market but keep all the benefits. Like the EU negotiator said, you're like the man who wants to go to the wife swapping party without taking his wife.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 26, 2018, 09:09:25 pm
If they were to have a second vote and remain win so Be it while I think it would be unfair it is what it is, life is to short to worry what might be what could happen in ten years etc. Whatever the outcome in the end it will work out is has every other time

Isn't that what Neville Chamberlain said?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 26, 2018, 09:36:55 pm
This is magnificent.

https://mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2018/09/the-final-deal-referendum-question.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Feed:+MainlyMacro+(mainly+macro)&m=1

Relentless logic. There's no sensible argument against any of this.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on September 26, 2018, 09:44:30 pm
Ah but it's only £400 a year we're worse off. :silly: we'll be alright! lalalalala I am not listening.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on September 26, 2018, 11:08:40 pm
EVERY DEAL WILL LEAVE US WORSE OFF HOW ARE YOU NOT GRASPING THIS.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on September 27, 2018, 09:56:03 am
Had an interesting chat with a couple of dyed in the wool Brexiteers over the weekend.  After all that's gone on they still believe many, (if not all), of the lies they were told; and continue to perpetrate them themselves!
 
Ultimately, the topic got round to the issue of the Northern Ireland/Republic of Ireland border and their view on this was, to say the least, astounding. 'F**K em, who gives a S**T about them anyway'! followed by 'If the EU want a border then let them pay for it, they're the ones who want one, it's not down to us'!
 
Now one of the main tenets of the various leave campaigns was Taking Control of Our Borders and when I pointed out that there was a rather important requirement for us to be able to do so, that is for US to have something called a BORDER to TAKE CONTROL OF their response was 'well, just leave them to get on with it, they're doing that already without a border aren't they?'
 
I almost replied that 'in that case why do we need to have any border controls anywhere between us and the EU following Brexit at all?'  But I thought I'd only be wasting my time.
 
It simply amazes me that so many people are so fixated with leaving that they continue to ignore reality.  Unbelievable really.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on September 27, 2018, 11:06:29 am
I deleted the post as there is no point going round in circles, your never going to change your opinion and I'm not mine

Quite right and incidentally I'm now in my 60s have voted in every election but have never voted for Labour - thank you for your wishes incidentally.

I am now more concerned to hear about her latest trip to Sweden, Finland, Estonia and Russia especially the last one in light of recent events.

However these young people want to experience all that Europe has to offer whilst the country seemingly  pulls away from the continent.

They are naturally Europeans and Europhiles......that's all they know  "Freedom of movement" is a precious thing and will be missed when it's gone - it's all I know too. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on September 29, 2018, 09:59:33 pm
Brexit is already costing the public purse £500m a week, new research has found – a stark contrast to the £350m “dividend” promised by the Leave campaign. The Centre for European Reform’s analysis also suggests that the government’s austerity drive would be on the way to completion had Britain voted to stay in the European Union.

And Boris wants to challenge May to see who can *uck over Britain the most.


https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/sep/29/britain-bill-brexit-hits-500-million-pounds-a-week
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on September 30, 2018, 08:27:06 am
At last, someone on the BBC who asks questions properly. Ben Bradley MP on Stephen Nolan last night:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m0000jd9

It starts about 10 minutes in, then the phones goes down but then go to 33 minutes for the rest of it.

I listened to it live, it's an absolute car crash of an interview from someone backing the 'Boris Plan' but has his arse handed to him on a plate when it's shown he has completely no idea how it's supposed to work in Ireland and he comes up with guess after guess when Nolan doesn't let him get away with it. I bet this interview won't get mentioned much elsewhere in the media!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Dutch Uncle on September 30, 2018, 10:43:09 am
By far the best description I have seen of the realities of the Irish border problem is in a recent twitter stream by Patrick Kielty directed at Boris. Am having  trouble linking to it, but please please google for it and read it. It explains in simple terms what the problem really is and the effects of the Good Friday Agreement.

Edit: Read the original twitter stream, not newspaper selective reports.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on September 30, 2018, 05:14:09 pm
At last, someone on the BBC who asks questions properly. Ben Bradley MP on Stephen Nolan last night:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m0000jd9

It starts about 10 minutes in, then the phones goes down but then go to 33 minutes for the rest of it.

I listened to it live, it's an absolute car crash of an interview from someone backing the 'Boris Plan' but has his arse handed to him on a plate when it's shown he has completely no idea how it's supposed to work in Ireland and he comes up with guess after guess when Nolan doesn't let him get away with it. I bet this interview won't get mentioned much elsewhere in the media!
thanks GW the interviewee is Ben Bradley member for Mansfield, Nolan carved him up, but nicely. Great interview.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on September 30, 2018, 08:50:55 pm
For anyone with an hour and half to spare I went to a talk the other evening with the international trade negotiators Jason Hunter and Stuart Brown discussing what leaving on WTO rules will mean.

Jason's talk is here, about 20 mins.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OtkP3Hkc1cM

There was a Q&A at the end where I get to ask a question but there is a lot of rambling
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZmUJzXYiku8

For those who want a quick summary:
After Brexit everything stops. Everything. 750+ treaties covering areas as varied as docking permissions for cross-channel ferries & aircraft safety certification to veterinary regulation and platform permission for the Euro-Shuttle.

A bloke asked how he could guarantee he would be able to provide and ship an order of drones he had for an event in Belgium next June. The answer - set up a shell company in Estonia.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on September 30, 2018, 09:26:39 pm
For anyone with an hour and half to spare I went to a talk the other evening with the international trade negotiators Jason Hunter and Stuart Brown discussing what leaving on WTO rules will mean.

Jason's talk is here, about 20 mins.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OtkP3Hkc1cM

There was a Q&A at the end where I get to ask a question but there is a lot of rambling
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZmUJzXYiku8

For those who want a quick summary:
After Brexit everything stops. Everything. 750+ treaties covering areas as varied as docking permissions for cross-channel ferries & aircraft safety certification to veterinary regulation and platform permission for the Euro-Shuttle.

A bloke asked how he could guarantee he would be able to provide and ship an order of drones he had for an event in Belgium next June. The answer - set up a shell company in Estonia.
thanks wilts, I will listen when I get a chance, but it appears to confirm what the Nolan interview exposed that the MP from Mansfield conceded that with the Boris plan everything would change but be the same.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on September 30, 2018, 10:18:17 pm
I'll do a bit of crystal ball gazing here.

Everyone knows that any form of Brexit would be damaging to the economy.

Everyone knows that the only reason we had a Referendum was to sort out the issues on the Right of the Tory party.

Everyone knows that Johnson carefully calculated which way to dive in in the Referendum to maximise his chances of becoming PM.

Everyone knows that every shenanigan in the Brexit manoeuvring over the past 2 years has been about who comes out the other side as PM.

Start of from there and the logic of where we are going is bleeding obvious.

1) Johnson needs May to fail. To have Chequers thrown out. To go to the wire of March next year with no deal on the table.

2) Then there is a crisis. May is dead. She resigns if she has any pride. If not she's booted out.

3) Johnson replaces her as PM.

4) But Johnson is not so stupid as to then pitch us into a No Deal scenario. He knows that would be catastrophic and he would go down in history as the man who sent Britain off to a third rate future and destroyed the Union. He doesn't want that.

5) So he concocts some cock and bull story about the negotiations having gone to hell. And how we need a longer period to sort out shit out. And we end up with PM Johnson and not much else changing. Which was always his aim.

6) And yes, that wouldn't satisfy the Europhobes on the Right of the Tory party. But he faces them down by saying, "So sack me then. And go into chaos. And get PM Corbyn."

7) And the issue of UK Vs Europe remains unresolved for another decade.

And the entire f**king country will have been played to satisfy that bas**rd's ego.

Watch it unfold over the next 6 months.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 01, 2018, 08:08:14 am
I don't know about Johnson facing the party down. I'm with Michael Heseltine, who described Johnson as "A man who waits to see which way the crowd is running and then dashes in front and says ‘follow me’."
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 01, 2018, 12:21:41 pm
Wait till he's PM and the Tory party is shattered over Brexit and looking for a leader to rally round.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on October 02, 2018, 12:51:58 pm
I'll do a bit of crystal ball gazing here.

Everyone knows that any form of Brexit would be damaging to the economy.

Everyone knows that the only reason we had a Referendum was to sort out the issues on the Right of the Tory party.

Everyone knows that Johnson carefully calculated which way to dive in in the Referendum to maximise his chances of becoming PM.

Everyone knows that every shenanigan in the Brexit manoeuvring over the past 2 years has been about who comes out the other side as PM.

Start of from there and the logic of where we are going is bleeding obvious.

1) Johnson needs May to fail. To have Chequers thrown out. To go to the wire of March next year with no deal on the table.

2) Then there is a crisis. May is dead. She resigns if she has any pride. If not she's booted out.

3) Johnson replaces her as PM.

4) But Johnson is not so stupid as to then pitch us into a No Deal scenario. He knows that would be catastrophic and he would go down in history as the man who sent Britain off to a third rate future and destroyed the Union. He doesn't want that.

5) So he concocts some cock and bull story about the negotiations having gone to hell. And how we need a longer period to sort out shit out. And we end up with PM Johnson and not much else changing. Which was always his aim.

6) And yes, that wouldn't satisfy the Europhobes on the Right of the Tory party. But he faces them down by saying, "So sack me then. And go into chaos. And get PM Corbyn."

7) And the issue of UK Vs Europe remains unresolved for another decade.

And the entire f**king country will have been played to satisfy that bas**rd's ego.

Watch it unfold over the next 6 months.

I haven't read the article but a headline in The Sun suggests that Johnson would seek a six month delay to Brexit if he became PM. Fascinating.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on October 02, 2018, 02:52:57 pm
The only people at the Tory party conference following Johnson around seems to be that army of Press.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on October 02, 2018, 02:57:20 pm
I was expecting a Tory meltdown this week it hasn’t happened and it seems they have sorted themselves out. Good speech from Home Secretary and quite a nasty attack on Corbyn, and he was quite right Corbyn should never be allowed to become PM.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 04, 2018, 04:05:02 pm
So, after losing one ignorant clown of a Foreign Secretary this year, it looks like we've replaced him with another.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-45750023

How f**king stupid can you get? Comparing the EU to the Soviet Union is beyond idiotic. He suggested that the EU was like the Soviet Union in that the SU stopped countries leaving its influence. The bloody idiot. We can leave the EU whenever we want. There is nothing whatsoever stopping us from doing it. The issue is that Hunt, May and the rest of the jokers in charge have got a strop on because the EU is saying that we cannot have all the benefits of staying in the EU once we've left.

To go from that to a comparison of the EU with the Soviet Union is utterly disgusting.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on October 04, 2018, 04:32:49 pm
Aye the EU didn't want us to leave so they've every right to say: "Right f off and if you want to deal with us in the future it'll be on our terms."
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on October 04, 2018, 04:38:54 pm
As he was told by the leaders, foreign ministers and ambassadors of several eastern european countries who had been under Soviet influence for many years. Including of course Donald Tusk who was beaten-up and imprisoned whilst protesting against Soviet influence in his country so that's really going to help the negotiations.

Then again Hunt did confuse Japan and China on an earlier official visit so he is just confirming that lack of talent is no barrier to progress in May's government.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on October 10, 2018, 09:28:26 pm
For those that think going it alone or throwing up fences is a good idea the photos and stories around the bits of the Berlin Wall that still exist are thought provoking, likewise travelling through Czech Republic where they are commemorating the 68 invasion by the USSR with photos and text from the time being displayed. Unity is strength.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on October 10, 2018, 09:59:51 pm
The Baltic States had their own revolutions of course and did the famous "linking of hands" across all three Countries. Very touching and eventually successful The Baltic Way did the business

https://holeinthedonut.com/2016/12/10/baltic-way-lithuania-latvia-estonia/

Check out the Wishing Tile outside Vilnius Cathedral. It says turn round 3 times as you make your wish and it will come true. My Wife said what did you wish for - and I said cant say it probably wont come true ! I forgot all about it till Trotta hit the Crossbar 10 Months later - so for me a 100% strike rate with that Stone !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on October 11, 2018, 09:38:35 am
That's spooky Wofie.
I had the same experience when I took the kids to Mother Shiptons cave in 1999.
'Dad make a wish at the wishing well' the little scamps implored.
So with us bottom of the Conference I begged the long dead old soothsayer to save us from oblivion and hey presto she did. Bless her.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 14, 2018, 10:25:10 pm
This "Easiest negotiation ever" as one prominent Brexiter put it is going well, I see.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-45857258

5 months away from the trapdoor and we're still no nearer to sorting out the Ireland issue than we were when we voted. Who'd have thought it, eh?

Apart from anyone and everyone who sat down and reflected on it for more than 10 seconds.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 15, 2018, 08:30:07 am
At least Raab gives the impression of trying to solve things instead of the posturing that was all we got from Davis.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: big fat yorkshire pudding on October 15, 2018, 08:50:56 am
He certainly is trying. What surprises.me is that it's our government that are the bad guys. Are the e.u doing the best for everyone? I would suggest not.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 15, 2018, 09:04:12 am
BFYP

The EU are doing the best for the EU. What do you expect someone to do in a negotiation?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on October 15, 2018, 09:09:08 am
Important to bear in mind WE are the ones wanting to leave, of course.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: big fat yorkshire pudding on October 15, 2018, 10:32:37 am
BFYP

The EU are doing the best for the EU. What do you expect someone to do in a negotiation?

Best for whom? Them as an ongoing organisation or best for the person's that they represent?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 15, 2018, 10:56:48 am
The best for them as 27 independent countries with diverse and overlapping interests, as they currently and collectively see it.

The "EU" doesn't exist in that sense. They are still at root a set of independent countries, with different prioritoes. But they compromise because they see the benefit of collective action and strength. They have to agree their stance as a set of countries, negotiating priorities internally. There isn't an "EU" monster that our Press and right-wing (and some left-wing) politicians like to claim.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on October 15, 2018, 11:01:13 am
He certainly is trying. What surprises.me is that it's our government that are the bad guys. Are the e.u doing the best for everyone? I would suggest not.
The EU are quite within their rights to dig their heels in and defend their red lines to stick up for their citizens. This is like having a lodger who suddenly decides they don't want to pay rent anymore, but they still want to sleep in your house, park on the drive, and have you make a cuppa for them every morning. Then for good measure that lodger regularly takes to social media to slag you off and stamp their feet about how unfair you're being. If that happened, you'd stick up for you and yours, wouldn't you?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on October 15, 2018, 12:19:36 pm
Yes the lodger who pays way over what they should do and who keeps you house safe whilst you pi**off to the Bingo every night
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on October 15, 2018, 03:03:55 pm
Yes the lodger who pays way over what they should do and who keeps you house safe whilst you pi**off to the Bingo every night
Well, that's not quite a fair comparison is it. But if you felt that way and you decided to leave, then they still have f**k all obligation to you, do they? It's like me telling my bank I don't fancy paying the mortgage on my house anymore and letting my utilities know I've cancelled their direct debits but expecting to be able to live in it anyway with gas and lecky.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on October 15, 2018, 03:26:36 pm
Yes the lodger who pays way over what they should do and who keeps you house safe whilst you pi**off to the Bingo every night
As RedJ says, if that lodger feels hard done by they can leave but they don't get to stamp their feet about not getting to park on the drive anymore. They've got no obligation to make things easy for us. Of course, we've got no obligation to give them what they want either, but we don't have anything to bargain with.

See, to me, the EU being awkward bas**rds who are willing to dig their heels in and stand up for their citizens in matters like this makes me think you'd want them on your side fighting your corner, particularly when you're competing with that lunatic in the White House.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on October 15, 2018, 05:04:13 pm
Yes the lodger who pays way over what they should do and who keeps you house safe whilst you pi**off to the Bingo every night
Well, that's not quite a fair comparison is it. But if you felt that way and you decided to leave, then they still have f**k all obligation to you, do they? It's like me telling my bank I don't fancy paying the mortgage on my house anymore and letting my utilities know I've cancelled their direct debits but expecting to be able to live in it anyway with gas and lecky.

So smacked yer bitty  over the lodger and now we have to move on to home owners who don't want to pay their mortgage 😂
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 15, 2018, 05:25:23 pm
A bad metaphor repeatedly stretched to the breaking point of meaninglessness.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on October 15, 2018, 05:55:25 pm
Yes the lodger who pays way over what they should do and who keeps you house safe whilst you pi**off to the Bingo every night
Well, that's not quite a fair comparison is it. But if you felt that way and you decided to leave, then they still have f**k all obligation to you, do they? It's like me telling my bank I don't fancy paying the mortgage on my house anymore and letting my utilities know I've cancelled their direct debits but expecting to be able to live in it anyway with gas and lecky.

So smacked yer bitty  over the lodger and now we have to move on to home owners who don't want to pay their mortgage 😂

I'll read that as "I have no actual comeback so let's deflect attention away".
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on October 15, 2018, 06:08:25 pm
Schadenfreude
 
Schadenfreude is the experience of pleasure, joy, or self-satisfaction that comes from learning of or witnessing the troubles, failures, or humiliation of another.
 

Brexit

Make no mistake, watching a tiny island nation undergo a fit of misplaced regressive imperial entitlement, lose all concept of its actual place in the world and then slowly shoot itself in the head to make a badly defined point is the funniest thing to ever happen in all of history. It’s every You’ve Been Framed video rolled into one. Ha ha ha. Ha ha ha ha ha. Oh wait…
 
 
Full article here....  https://www.theguardian.com/global/2018/oct/14/the-secret-joys-of-schadenfreude-why-it-shouldnt-be-a-guilty-pleasure
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on October 15, 2018, 07:10:05 pm
A bad metaphor repeatedly stretched to the breaking point of meaninglessness.
Twits out in force tonite I see
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on October 15, 2018, 08:19:15 pm
Further proof that you have nothing to come back with.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on October 15, 2018, 09:43:54 pm
Theresa May presents Brexit: the third-rate village pantomine

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/oct/15/theresa-may-maybot-presents-brexit-third-rate-village-pantomine
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on October 15, 2018, 10:12:42 pm
More worrying news....  https://m.nasdaq.com/article/astraze...20181015-00734
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 16, 2018, 04:11:16 pm
Further proof that you have nothing to come back with.

Aye. When you've got feck all useful to say, attack the man not the ball.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on October 16, 2018, 09:30:13 pm
Further proof that you have nothing to come back with.

Aye. When you've got feck all useful to say, attack the man not the ball.
But but but I thought it was the Remainers that were mean and snotty?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on October 17, 2018, 11:04:45 am
LEAVER: I want an omelette.

REMAINER: Right. It’s just we haven’t got any eggs.

LEAVER: Yes, we have. There they are. [HE POINTS AT A CAKE]

REMAINER: They’re in the cake.

LEAVER: Yes, get them out of the cake, please.

REMAINER: But we voted in 1974 to put them into a cake.

LEAVER: Yes, but that cake has got icing on it. Nobody said there was going to be icing on it.

REMAINER: Icing is good.

LEAVER: And there are raisins in it. I don’t like raisins. Nobody mentioned raisins. I demand another vote.

DAVID CAMERON ENTERS.

DAVID CAMERON: OK.

DAVID CAMERON SCARPERS.

LEAVER: Right, where’s my omelette?

REMAINER: I told you, the eggs are in the cake.

LEAVER: Well, get them out.

EU: It’s our cake.

JEREMY CORBYN: Yes, get them out now.

REMAINER: I have absolutely no idea how to get them out. Don’t you know how to get them out?

LEAVER: Yes! You just get them out and then you make an omelette.

REMAINER: But how?! Didn’t you give this any thought?

LEAVER: Saboteur! You’re talking eggs down. We could make omelettes before the eggs went into the cake, so there’s no reason why we can’t make them now.

THERESA MAY: It’s OK, I can do it.

REMAINER: How?

THERESA MAY: There was a vote to remove the eggs from the cake, and so the eggs will be removed from the cake.

REMAINER: Yeah, but…

LEAVER: Hang on, if we take the eggs out of the cake, does that mean we don’t have any cake? I didn’t say I didn’t want the cake, just the bits I don’t like.

EU: It’s our cake.

REMAINER: But you can’t take the eggs out of the cake and then still have a cake.

LEAVER: You can. I saw the latest Bake Off and you can definitely make cakes without eggs in them. It’s just that they’re horrible.

REMAINER: Fine. Take the eggs out. See what happens.

LEAVER: It’s not my responsibility to take the eggs out. Get on with it.

REMAINER: Why should I have to come up with some long-winded incredibly difficult chemical process to extract eggs that have bonded at the molecular level to the cake, while somehow still having the cake?

LEAVER: You lost, get over it.

THERESA MAY: By the way, I’ve started the clock on this.

REMAINER: So I assume you have a plan?

THERESA MAY: Actually, back in a bit. Just having another election.

REMAINER: Jeremy, are you going to sort this out?

JEREMY CORBYN: Yes. No. Maybe.

EU: It’s our cake.

LEAVER: Where’s my omelette? I voted for an omelette.

REMAINER: This is ridiculous. This is never going to work. We should have another vote, or at least stop what we’re doing until we know how to get the eggs out of the cake while keeping the bits of the cake that we all like.

LEAVER/MAY/CORBYN: WE HAD A VOTE. STOP SABOTAGING THE WILL OF THE PEOPLE. EGGSIT MEANS EGGSIT.

REMAINER: Fine, I’m moving to France. The cakes are nicer there.

LEAVER: You can’t. We’ve taken away your freedom of movement.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 17, 2018, 12:47:31 pm
Further proof that you have nothing to come back with.

Aye. When you've got feck all useful to say, attack the man not the ball.
But but but I thought it was the Remainers that were mean and snotty?

Ah, but when Brexiteers do it, it's the 'Will Of The People'™
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on October 18, 2018, 09:30:02 am
Listening to Michael Caine on the radio say "I’d rather be a poor master of my fate than be rich and having someone I don’t know running it," was interesting this morning. Not least because he's a multi-millionaire who's lived in Miami for over half his life. Noticing the pattern here? Everyone who says Brexit will be alright are the people who won't be affected by it at all?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 18, 2018, 10:03:28 am
Unfortunately MM, that's not true. Most of the people who are saying Brexiteers will be ok (but who aren't famous) will get f**king hammered by the effects of Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on October 18, 2018, 11:24:58 am
That's probably right on reflection. They're only repeating the lies they've been fed for a generation, from influential figures just like Michael Caine, but at this point I'd wager a lot of Brexit voters know they were lied to. They just don't care, or they handwave it away with "well, all politicians lie!" - anything to avoid looking in the mirror and admitting you've had your pants pulled down.

On another note we had Roger Daltrey on yesterday saying the same thing! One of the blokes behind Quadrophenia siding with Aron Banks, Rees-Mogg, Putin, tax avoiding-millionaires... very odd.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 18, 2018, 11:29:36 am
You ever read Animal Farm?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: foxbat on October 18, 2018, 02:10:03 pm
it's well and truly obvious another vote ( with the facts this time ) is needed.

coachloads of people travelling down to London on Saturday
to protest for a ' People's Vote '

eg.
1.    Manchester for Europe #FBPE#ABTV#WATON  🇪🇺‏ @Mcr4EU
Manchester for Europe #FBPE#ABTV#WATON  🇪🇺 Retweeted Lady Muck
Have you got your placards ready? #RoadTrip #PeopesVoteMarch
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on October 18, 2018, 03:08:30 pm
How many more times must the Maybot kick the can down the road before the Country has had enough? As a leave voter it,s become obvious to me that a decision to leave was more complex then the average man in the street realised. Having said that I still Think the eu are making things as difficult as possible
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on October 18, 2018, 03:25:32 pm
Anyone remember all those free trade agreements we were going to get?
 
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/brexit-us-could-block-trade-with-china-wtms3vc30
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on October 18, 2018, 03:32:35 pm
And an Australian deal doesn't look as if it's going to be too rosy either....
 
https://twitter.com/emporersnewc/status/1052459090151137280
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on October 18, 2018, 03:42:06 pm
How many more times must the Maybot kick the can down the road before the Country has had enough? As a leave voter it,s become obvious to me that a decision to leave was more complex then the average man in the street realised. Having said that I still Think the eu are making things as difficult as possible

What, by sticking to their own rules, as they have done all along? why are people still genuinely surprised by this?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 18, 2018, 03:48:44 pm
How many more times must the Maybot kick the can down the road before the Country has had enough? As a leave voter it,s become obvious to me that a decision to leave was more complex then the average man in the street realised. Having said that I still Think the eu are making things as difficult as possible

What have they done since the referendum to make things difficult that those who bothered to take notice of didn't know before the referendum?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: foxbat on October 18, 2018, 04:31:14 pm
the EU making it difficult ? WE are part of the EU.
for a generation the lying Mail and Sun have been trying to
to make out that the EU is an outside body ' telling us what to do ',
when WE are one of the members of the EU parliament.

as for these negotiations :

Manchester for Europe #FBPE#ABTV#WATON  🇪🇺 Retweeted
Gavin Esler‏ @gavinesler
Gavin Esler Retweeted Ben Bradshaw
Here in Brussels there is bemusement and alarm that a British Government which does not know what it wants keeps asking EU leaders to help them deliver it. Respect has gone. Pity is in evidence. And increasing impatience.

sums it up nicely
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on October 18, 2018, 05:00:11 pm
Having said that I still Think the eu are making things as difficult as possible

TBF Filo, it's in their interest. They do want us to stay, and if they can "help" trigger another referendum or even make Maybot cancel Brexit altogether, they will.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on October 18, 2018, 06:21:56 pm
Its alright we can always trade on WTO terms whilst we wait for the rest of the world to queue up to beg us to do trade deals with them. Oh hang on....

...bl**dy immigrants!

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-10-17/how-tiny-moldova-s-brexit-grudge-could-cost-u-k-1-7-trillion
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on October 18, 2018, 07:49:04 pm
How many more times must the Maybot kick the can down the road before the Country has had enough? As a leave voter it,s become obvious to me that a decision to leave was more complex then the average man in the street realised. Having said that I still Think the eu are making things as difficult as possible

Fair play for coming out and admitting that. If only there were a few more out there with the stones to admit that (and to be honest there might be - most polling shows there are, at least). To be fair though the EU was never going to make things easy - why would they? You don't fold when you've got a royal flush. However I don't think they've made things any harder for us than it needs to be either - our government has done a perfectly good job of that themselves!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on October 18, 2018, 08:13:14 pm
Having said that I still Think the eu are making things as difficult as possible

TBF Filo, it's in their interest. They do want us to stay, and if they can "help" trigger another referendum or even make Maybot cancel Brexit altogether, they will.

... if they did NOT make it difficult / protracted / almost impossible for us to leave "expeditiously" then they feared (I m guessing) that other Nations amongst the "club" of 27 would file for exit as quickly as possible and their whole house would be down like a Pack of Cards
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 18, 2018, 08:29:30 pm
Wolf

You're partly right, but the reality is very simple and not massively Machiavellian.

The EU had systems. Like the Single Market and Customs Union.

When you sign up to them, the same general conditions apply as when you sign up to any club. You get certain benefits, but there's also certain constraints on what you're allowed to do and certain requirements you're expected to meet.

Britain wanted to have freedom to do what it wants, and not to have to do the things that everyone else has to do, but to still get the benefits.

The EU blocked that because if everyone had been given those exceptions then the SM and CU would have ceased to exist. And all the benefits that 450 million people get from them would vanish.

It was bleeding obvious from the start that no rational negotiator from the EU could agree to that. I do not believe that Fox and Johnson and Gove and Farage didn't understand that. But they deliberately mislead voters into thinking that the EU would give us whatever deal we wanted.

Why do you think they did that?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on October 18, 2018, 08:59:54 pm
Macron wants France to i troduce Visas for UK citizens visting and living in France, are we negotiating with individual Countries now, or one block?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 18, 2018, 10:39:33 pm
Macron wants France to i troduce Visas for UK citizens visting and living in France, are we negotiating with individual Countries now, or one block?

How EU member countries handle immigration from non-EU countries (which is what we will be) is entirely up to the country involved, not the EU - so why would we negotiate with the EU about it? Don't believe me? The UK has it's own rules about how non-EU immigration is controlled and has done all the time its been in the EU. The EU has never told the UK how to control non-EU movement of people.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: foxbat on October 18, 2018, 10:50:15 pm
at least those old fools who voted leave ( by post ) from their care homes because we are better than the other European countries because ' we won the war ' won't have to bother with getting a visa every time they go on holiday.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on October 18, 2018, 11:24:27 pm
Interesting

http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2018/10/18/brexit-the-three-key-concessions/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 18, 2018, 11:39:48 pm
Better and more logically argued than most of the piss and wind you hear from Brexiteers. But there's still a kernel of nonsense at the heart of it.

" The Northern Irish problems largely disappear if a comprehensive free-trade arrangement can be agreed."

No. They don't. Because, unless the "comprehensive" treaty is as comprehensive as the SM and CU, the NI/RoI border still becomes a trade border between different systems. Which requires checks and infrastructure.

And why on earth should the EU allow us to have a deal that replicates all the benefits of the SM and CU and have the freedom to sort out own trade elsewhere?

And if we haven't got that freedom, the swivel-eyed right wing loons in the Tory party will vote down any agreement.

That's been the core problem for 2 years. It's still the core problem. There's no sign of it not remaining the core problem.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on October 19, 2018, 07:47:35 am
That is also Robert Peston's conclusion Billy and he goes on further to speculate that this is now the choice May has to make, a Customs Union Brexit or no deal.

https://www.facebook.com/1498276767163730/posts/2189927274665339/

That will get Labour support in Parliament but as she has consistently promised (and Parliament voted) that we would not be in a CU then what it would do to the Tories is anyone's guess.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on October 19, 2018, 07:54:29 am
  Billy, I respect your opinions although I don't agree with lots on this subject, but I would like to know your thoughts on this.
  It was reported this morning that the Republic of Ireland had a meeting with high ranking EU officials and was assured in the event of NO DEAL there  would be NO HARD BORDER with the UK.
  Now come on do a deal and a hard border, no deal and no hard border, that has to be an exposure of putting up a delaying tactic. Add to which because of the different vat and other taxes between the UK and the EU the bloody border already works efficiently already to both sides agreement.
   The cat has been well and truly let out of the bag on this subject mate.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on October 19, 2018, 08:10:12 am
Interestingly I’ve recently spent some time working in the West Midlands. The landlady of the b&b I stayed with was an Italian who had moved to the U.K. with her English husband some years ago. One evening we began talking about Brexit and the EU and she was surprisingly critical of the EU and the influence it’s having on the country.

Apparently there’s a strong feeling in the country that strict financial rules imposed by the EU mean the Italian Government is restricted in its ability to help the country out of its present financial crisis. That, coupled with a distinctly euro sceptic government is driving anti EU sentiment. They fully expect, and hope, that Italy will be the next country to leave the EU.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on October 19, 2018, 09:01:32 am
You are generalising a bit there foxbat. I live in Bradford but have a postal vote as one year I was away when an election took place.
Many more voted leave at the ballot box in the UK than by post.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 19, 2018, 10:19:02 am
Selby

1) Have you got a link to the story about Varadker? I can't find anything on it.

2) Cross-border VAT is co-ordinatrd through the Single Market. The Single Market which we have unilaterally decided to leave. So, without some alternative arrangement, there will be VAT issues to deal with at the NI/RoI border. So I'm struggling to understand what point you're making.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 19, 2018, 10:23:42 am
There is a much bigger point of course. The fact that the Brexiteers have set up leaving the CU and SM as a red line. I've never understood what's going on there. What's driving this obsessive determination to make us significantly poorer for many, many years to come. It's like we're saying to the EU, "We're so fed up of your long term plan to make Europe safer and more prosperous that we're going to insist on our sovereign right to repeatedly punch ourselves and our kids and our grandkids in the face."
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on October 19, 2018, 10:36:01 am
   Billy it was on Talk Radio this morning discussing the meating the Irish foreign minister had this last week about their situation if there is no deal.
  It caused quite a stir, the DUP spokesman dismissed the border problem as just a delaying tactic with no substance behind it, and even the others including the Republic representative tended to agree.
   It will be interesting if there is no deal just how it rolls out, if there is not much change and things carry on as is, who will carry the can for two years of b******s.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on October 19, 2018, 10:43:47 am
   Billy the proposal put forward on the programme was electronic surveyance, pre documentation and only periodical checks at the border with vehicles etc that were suspect, much as it works now, and between Switzerland and other none EU countries on the continent, Not a lot that has not been done before, when there is a will by both parties for it to happen.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 19, 2018, 11:32:24 am
Have you ever driven across the border from Italy or France or Germany into Switzerland? If you have, you'll have seen active customs border infrastructure, lorries being pulled over and checked and queues.

That is PRECISELY what must not happen at the NI/RoI border for all sorts of psychological reasons.

The GFA works because both sides in NI feel that they have a situation that they want. The Unionists are still formally part of the UK because the border exists in principle. The Republicans can feel practically part of the RoI because the border doesn't exist in practice. Bring anything back that upsets that balance and you're off on the road to Hell again.

Which is PRECISELY what some of us were warning about 30 months back. And there's still not been a single realistic idea from the Tory Govt on how to get around this without the entire UK staying in the CU.

It's NOT solvable by technology. It's NOT a bogeyman that's being out up by the EU. It's an impossible problem to solve if you want
a) Peace in NI and
b) The UK out of the CU.

Anyone who tells you otherwise is treating you like a fool.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 19, 2018, 11:42:39 am
Here's what the Swiss-German border looks like by the way.

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://m.youtube.com/watch%3Fv%3DmuMR55L2OGo&ved=0ahUKEwi-_O3Yp5LeAhXOzaQKHUgnD5YQo7QBCBwwAA&usg=AOvVaw2h-719zEbcpHIVx5kCHj8n

Reintroduce that in NI and you are sending out a very strong message to the Republicans. You're saying, "You've lost lads."

The genius of the GFA was that it allowed both sides to feel that they hadn't lost. Only a f**king idiot (or someone who didn't actually give a shit about peace in NI, and I do fear that there are plenty of them about) would start undermining the foundations of the GFA.

Just like some of us were saying 30 months ago, and being dismissed as Project Fear-mongers.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 19, 2018, 11:50:38 am
By the way, the other Big Lie being pushed (and which you are buying into Selby) is that the EU are making the border issue more than it needs to be to punish us.

Absolute b*llocks.

The EU is saying that, if a hard border returns in Ireland, that will have a seriously detrimental effect on an EU member (Ireland) through increased costs and a threat to peace. So, the EU is saying, if you, Britain, insist on a situation where a hard border comes back, we, the EU, will not negotiate any favourable trade terms with you. Because why should WE give YOU benefits when one of our members is going to suffer?

That's how negotiations start. With a clear statement of principles.

The EU has consistently said that there is a simple way out of this: the UK stays in the CU and SM and the problem vanishes. Or, if not, NI stays in the CU and SM and you, UK, sort out what that means for the relationship between NI and the rest of the UK. Or, YOU, UK, come up with a sensible alternative.

It's really that simple. Anyone who tells you otherwise is playing you for an idiot. You might want to stop and ask yourself why they are doing it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on October 19, 2018, 11:56:36 am
The things people will do to get around paying tax.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on October 19, 2018, 11:59:48 am
Better and more logically argued than most of the piss and wind you hear from Brexiteers. But there's still a kernel of nonsense at the heart of it.

" The Northern Irish problems largely disappear if a comprehensive free-trade arrangement can be agreed."

No. They don't. Because, unless the "comprehensive" treaty is as comprehensive as the SM and CU, the NI/RoI border still becomes a trade border between different systems. Which requires checks and infrastructure.

And why on earth should the EU allow us to have a deal that replicates all the benefits of the SM and CU and have the freedom to sort out own trade elsewhere?

And if we haven't got that freedom, the swivel-eyed right wing loons in the Tory party will vote down any agreement.

That's been the core problem for 2 years. It's still the core problem. There's no sign of it not remaining the core problem.
Christ, what are you blithering in about. It wouldn't be called a comprehensive deal, if it wasnt as comprehensive as the CU and SM
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 19, 2018, 12:13:50 pm
Folks. We're in the presence of Genius.

Boomstick is about to explain to us what no one has yet been able to figure out in 2 years of negotiations between Britain and the EU.

How we get a deal that's as comprehensive as the CU and SM whilst allowing Britain all the benefits of not having to abide by the collective responsibilities that come with membership of the CU and SM. And satisfies the nutters on the Right of the Tory party whose heads will explode if anyone so much as hints that we'll stay part of the CU and SM.

We sit in rapt attention, like Kwai Chang Caine at the feet of Blind Master Po.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on October 19, 2018, 12:34:48 pm
Folks. We're in the presence of Genius.

Boomstick is about to explain to us what no one has yet been able to figure out in 2 years of negotiations between Britain and the EU.

How we get a deal that's as comprehensive as the CU and SM whilst allowing Britain all the benefits of not having to abide by the collective responsibilities that come with membership of the CU and SM. And satisfies the nutters on the Right of the Tory party whose heads will explode if anyone so much as hints that we'll stay part of the CU and SM.

We sit in rapt attention, like Kwai Chang Caine at the feet of Blind Master Po.
It wasn't me that wrote that article referring to a comprehensive deal.
I was just calling you out on you constant drivel on this subject.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on October 19, 2018, 12:47:47 pm
By the way, the other Big Lie being pushed (and which you are buying into Selby) is that the EU are making the border issue more than it needs to be to punish us.

Absolute b*llocks.

The EU is saying that, if a hard border returns in Ireland, that will have a seriously detrimental effect on an EU member (Ireland) through increased costs and a threat to peace. So, the EU is saying, if you, Britain, insist on a situation where a hard border comes back, we, the EU, will not negotiate any favourable trade terms with you. Because why should WE give YOU benefits when one of our members is going to suffer?

That's how negotiations start. With a clear statement of principles.

The EU has consistently said that there is a simple way out of this: the UK stays in the CU and SM and the problem vanishes. Or, if not, NI stays in the CU and SM and you, UK, sort out what that means for the relationship between NI and the rest of the UK. Or, YOU, UK, come up with a sensible alternative.

It's really that simple. Anyone who tells you otherwise is playing you for an idiot. You might want to stop and ask yourself why they are doing it.
The EU ARE using it as a bargaining chip. Understandably so.
Afterall, they need to be seen to be playing hardball for 3 reasons.
1. They need to be perceived as a stronger than an individual country. (Also deterring any other country wanting out)
2. It's us that chose to leave, so there making us sweat.
3. They want a good deal just as much as us.

IMO the EU will cave at the 11th hour and there will be a hard boarder. Whilst claiming we gave them concessions elsewhere.
Or we get a no deal Brexit and there's a hard boarder anyway.

Remember they want a deal, just as much as us.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on October 19, 2018, 01:03:29 pm
They want a deal. It's in their interests to get one. But they don't NEED a deal. We do. Remember it's not just us vs the EU, it's us vs 27 other countries. If we crash out without a deal, both sides will be affected, but the EU will be able to spread the impact across 27 countries. We'll have no choice but to bear the brunt of it. Having a slightly better trade deal with Australia in 5 years time won't help that. The EU doesn't want that to happen, but from their point of view us crashing out without a deal is the lesser of 2 evils. The alternative is that we get all the benefits of EU membership while being able to flout all their rules, flood their marketplace with crap, and single-handedly wreck the whole founding principle of the EU forming in the first place! This was all said before the referendum and it's been consistent in the 2 years since, yet the EU are seen as being unreasonable because of it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: foxbat on October 19, 2018, 01:04:13 pm
I accept idler's point that I have generalised ( to make a point ),
about the demographics. The Facts are , however , that come 10 years after the referendum vote approximately 25% of the leave vote will have died off.
now, there are already 1.5 Million new voters , who were unable to vote at the time and who are at least 90% in favour of Europe.

So when the likes of the mail , sun and express ( all owned by people who want to avoid next years EU clampdown on offshore tax dodging) want to talk about,
the ' will of the people' , you have to ask if future generations should be unwillingly tied to the will of dead people.

Many will be in London tomorrow , marching  for ( an essential ! ) People's Vote

Have you got your placards ready? #RoadTrip #PeopesVoteMarch

PS also , previewing the post coming in , don't kid yourself , the leave campaign's ' they need us more than we need them ' is just one of the lies, and the EU are not going to 'cave in '
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 19, 2018, 01:43:18 pm
Boomstick.

The whole issue really is very, very simple. Hold your nose for a moment and go through these points 1 by 1 and tell me which ones you think are unreasonable.

This is the EU's stance on the Irish border issue. It's been their stance for more than 2 years. Tell me which bits you think are unfair.

The EU says this to us:

1) You want a trade deal with us that gives you benefits after you leave. Great. Let's talk. But be aware that we have a big red line. We're not going to agree to a deal that gives YOU benefits but hurts one of US. Fair?

2) If a deal results in a worse border situation between RoI and NI, that will hurt RoI. That's not fair. They didn't vote for Brexit. You did. So we'll not bend over to help you if you don't make sure that RoI doesn't get hurt. Fair?

3) There's a dead easy way to stop the border being an issue. You can stay inside the CU and SM. Fair?

4) Opinion poll after opinion poll tells us that solution is supported by a big majority in the UK. We KNOW it's not supported by the Tory party, but hey, that's your party's problem. Fair?

5) If you're not prepared to accept that solution then it is your responsibility to tell us what alternative ideas you have. Fair?

6) We've had two years now and you've come up with nothing better than shouting "Technology!" "Switzerland!" We need a bit more than that. Fair?

7) Tell you what. We know you're struggling here so here's a deal. Why don't we just let you stay in the CU and park the border question until you sort out what you want to do? Fair?

Go on BS. Tell me what bit of that gets your goat.

EDIT:
I forgot the final point.

8) What's that you say Mrs May? Your swivel-eyed rabid right wing won't accept 7? Oh dear! This is a mess then isn't it?

And what's that Mrs May? Because of this message, YOU want US to compromise further. I'm not sure you've quite got the hang of this negotiation thing Mrs May! YOU want US to take a big hit to get YOU out of a political mess of your own making? I think you know the answer to that one Mrs May.

So. Looks like you've only got two choices then. Go for the No Deal Brexit that you've been talking about for the past 2 years and lose any chance of us giving you any sort of deal in future. Or face down the Johnsons and Rees-Moggs and Redwoods and Foxes that got you into this f**king mess and do what is right for your country.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on October 19, 2018, 05:34:42 pm
 Bloody hell billy, did I start all that, people looking for a problem will usually find one, mind the blood pressure.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 19, 2018, 07:31:39 pm
  Billy, I respect your opinions although I don't agree with lots on this subject, but I would like to know your thoughts on this.
  It was reported this morning that the Republic of Ireland had a meeting with high ranking EU officials and was assured in the event of NO DEAL there  would be NO HARD BORDER with the UK.
  Now come on do a deal and a hard border, no deal and no hard border, that has to be an exposure of putting up a delaying tactic. Add to which because of the different vat and other taxes between the UK and the EU the bloody border already works efficiently already to both sides agreement.
   The cat has been well and truly let out of the bag on this subject mate.

They can work because of the Single Market, it won't with one side of the border not in it. That's why there's no border in the SM.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 19, 2018, 10:12:33 pm
Well yeah. As I was saying earlier.

https://m.facebook.com/1498276767163730/posts/2189927274665339/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on October 19, 2018, 10:24:49 pm
It will be interesting to see which way she goes.
If she truly has the good of the country at heart, as she continually claims,then the Customs Union  it is and to hell  with Rees Mogg and the like.
But I won't be holding my breath.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on October 20, 2018, 02:34:20 am
How many buses of brexiteers will driving to the capital to advance their counter argument today, I hope it does't reflect on the gate for today's game.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on October 20, 2018, 08:23:01 am
If there is a ‘People’s Vote’ and Remain come out winners by a score of 51% against 49%, would they then support a third vote? Where does this end?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on October 20, 2018, 08:31:43 am
Interestingly I’ve recently spent some time working in the West Midlands. The landlady of the b&b I stayed with was an Italian who had moved to the U.K. with her English husband some years ago. One evening we began talking about Brexit and the EU and she was surprisingly critical of the EU and the influence it’s having on the country.

Apparently there’s a strong feeling in the country that strict financial rules imposed by the EU mean the Italian Government is restricted in its ability to help the country out of its present financial crisis. That, coupled with a distinctly euro sceptic government is driving anti EU sentiment. They fully expect, and hope, that Italy will be the next country to leave the EU.



Good luck with that one if the Italians were daft enough to go down that road. If we would struggle ( most if not all would agree that ) , then how do you think the Italian economy would stand up to being extra- the EU . They do not have the financial clout to weather the hit on their economy and I fail to see which markets they could develop and with which export products exactly ? Italy is still failing to address their " shadow " economy - how would leaving improve that !

The dangers for their economy outside the EU wouldn't disappear because that would not address the fundamental weaknesses in the structure of the economy. Unless they address the huge divide between North and South and with that the " shadow " economy - I could only see it carrying on deeper into recession.

How do they see the prospects of a post- EU Italy , how do they think this will improve the socio- economic landscape ?

I acknowledge this economy is the 8th largest economy based on GDP but has a large nay huge youth unemployment figure. Once again this seems to be false sentiment over practical common- sense - only a backward step as the best parts of their economy are " picked off ".

It is probably a surprise to many when reading about Italy's woes that it enjoys both a trade surplus ( unlike the UK ) and currently exports some $ 60 billion or so more to the world than the UK.

Seems to me that it would be an ardent Brexiter's dream should Italy follow the direction of the uk . Bringing with it the hope that a swift dis-integration would follow.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on October 20, 2018, 08:56:56 am
Boomstick.

The whole issue really is very, very simple. Hold your nose for a moment and go through these points 1 by 1 and tell me which ones you think are unreasonable.

This is the EU's stance on the Irish border issue. It's been their stance for more than 2 years. Tell me which bits you think are unfair.

The EU says this to us:

1) You want a trade deal with us that gives you benefits after you leave. Great. Let's talk. But be aware that we have a big red line. We're not going to agree to a deal that gives YOU benefits but hurts one of US. Fair?

2) If a deal results in a worse border situation between RoI and NI, that will hurt RoI. That's not fair. They didn't vote for Brexit. You did. So we'll not bend over to help you if you don't make sure that RoI doesn't get hurt. Fair?

3) There's a dead easy way to stop the border being an issue. You can stay inside the CU and SM. Fair?

4) Opinion poll after opinion poll tells us that solution is supported by a big majority in the UK. We KNOW it's not supported by the Tory party, but hey, that's your party's problem. Fair?

5) If you're not prepared to accept that solution then it is your responsibility to tell us what alternative ideas you have. Fair?

6) We've had two years now and you've come up with nothing better than shouting "Technology!" "Switzerland!" We need a bit more than that. Fair?

7) Tell you what. We know you're struggling here so here's a deal. Why don't we just let you stay in the CU and park the border question until you sort out what you want to do? Fair?

Go on BS. Tell me what bit of that gets your goat.

EDIT:
I forgot the final point.

8) What's that you say Mrs May? Your swivel-eyed rabid right wing won't accept 7? Oh dear! This is a mess then isn't it?

And what's that Mrs May? Because of this message, YOU want US to compromise further. I'm not sure you've quite got the hang of this negotiation thing Mrs May! YOU want US to take a big hit to get YOU out of a political mess of your own making? I think you know the answer to that one Mrs May.

So. Looks like you've only got two choices then. Go for the No Deal Brexit that you've been talking about for the past 2 years and lose any chance of us giving you any sort of deal in future. Or face down the Johnsons and Rees-Moggs and Redwoods and Foxes that got you into this f**king mess and do what is right for your country.
Didn't say anything got my goat old lad. Just said what I think will happen.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on October 20, 2018, 08:59:31 am
If there is a ‘People’s Vote’ and Remain come out winners by a score of 51% against 49%, would they then support a third vote? Where does this end?

Technically youre right this would be a 3rd vote . Bear in mind that the original vote was for a Common Market with further integration and co- operation in all areas as specified in the very 1st agreement. Then of course we have just had this farcical referendum built on lies, exaggerations and omissions as well as major breaches of electoral law.

A win of 37% of the electorate should never have been set for a Referendum in the 1st place . It was naive to think that any result resulting in a less than 50%win could cause a major problem.

The size of the vote is irrelevant, only the margin of victory and that in this case is not clear -  it is infinitesimal . If this had been a horse race , Brexit would have won by a " head " not 5/6 lengths as is inferred in every Brexiters or MSM  comment.

Do I think there should be another vote - yes I believe the original one will be seen to be so tainted that it should have been voided ....irrespective of the numbers . What about the 13,000,000 that didn't vote do they think they should now given the unfolding ( forgive me ) deal . Ffs what a mess and no I don't have any answers.

Where does this end ? Good question - I only know it doesn't look as though there's an easy answer do you ? You would reject another vote on this issue to when..........The time it takes to get in the financial mess we were in the late 60/70s. Have you forgotten those days , believe me they were far from halcyon....the genie of English nationalism is out of the bottle and there's no way I can think of to put it back in . Let's face it that's what all of this has been about - the stats tell us this . It's understandable given that the English have felt largely ignored as a nation - they no longer have the affinity to the Union they once had. There have been separate institutions set up in Scotland, Wales and of course N.Ireland but when have the English had their say on anything but for this one chance whipped up by the Daily rags owned by foreigners spewing out spurious unchallenged facts. The English by and large aren't racist by nature but exceptionalists and have been for a millennia however this was distorted by the constant racist headlines before ,during and after the campaigns.
Indeed even now many English people would cut loose both N.Ireland and Scotland from the " precious " Union if it eased the progress of Brexit.

Personally , without Labour support there won't be a 3rd Referendum. Meanwhile the EU is signing up deals here, there and everywhere
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 20, 2018, 09:53:34 am
Boomstick.

The whole issue really is very, very simple. Hold your nose for a moment and go through these points 1 by 1 and tell me which ones you think are unreasonable.

This is the EU's stance on the Irish border issue. It's been their stance for more than 2 years. Tell me which bits you think are unfair.

The EU says this to us:

1) You want a trade deal with us that gives you benefits after you leave. Great. Let's talk. But be aware that we have a big red line. We're not going to agree to a deal that gives YOU benefits but hurts one of US. Fair?

2) If a deal results in a worse border situation between RoI and NI, that will hurt RoI. That's not fair. They didn't vote for Brexit. You did. So we'll not bend over to help you if you don't make sure that RoI doesn't get hurt. Fair?

3) There's a dead easy way to stop the border being an issue. You can stay inside the CU and SM. Fair?

4) Opinion poll after opinion poll tells us that solution is supported by a big majority in the UK. We KNOW it's not supported by the Tory party, but hey, that's your party's problem. Fair?

5) If you're not prepared to accept that solution then it is your responsibility to tell us what alternative ideas you have. Fair?

6) We've had two years now and you've come up with nothing better than shouting "Technology!" "Switzerland!" We need a bit more than that. Fair?

7) Tell you what. We know you're struggling here so here's a deal. Why don't we just let you stay in the CU and park the border question until you sort out what you want to do? Fair?

Go on BS. Tell me what bit of that gets your goat.

EDIT:
I forgot the final point.

8) What's that you say Mrs May? Your swivel-eyed rabid right wing won't accept 7? Oh dear! This is a mess then isn't it?

And what's that Mrs May? Because of this message, YOU want US to compromise further. I'm not sure you've quite got the hang of this negotiation thing Mrs May! YOU want US to take a big hit to get YOU out of a political mess of your own making? I think you know the answer to that one Mrs May.

So. Looks like you've only got two choices then. Go for the No Deal Brexit that you've been talking about for the past 2 years and lose any chance of us giving you any sort of deal in future. Or face down the Johnsons and Rees-Moggs and Redwoods and Foxes that got you into this f**king mess and do what is right for your country.
Didn't say anything got my goat old lad. Just said what I think will happen.


My mistake.

So when you said this...

"The EU ARE using it as a bargaining chip. Understandably so.
Afterall, they need to be seen to be playing hardball for 3 reasons.
1. They need to be perceived as a stronger than an individual country. (Also deterring any other country wanting out)
2. It's us that chose to leave, so there making us sweat."

...you didn't say it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on October 20, 2018, 10:22:26 am
https://youtu.be/JvDAW5SjdaE

If you have a spare hour this is a very interesting viewpoint on N.Ireland and it's significance in the current talks. Well worth watching.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on October 20, 2018, 11:32:33 am
Boomstick.

The whole issue really is very, very simple. Hold your nose for a moment and go through these points 1 by 1 and tell me which ones you think are unreasonable.

This is the EU's stance on the Irish border issue. It's been their stance for more than 2 years. Tell me which bits you think are unfair.

The EU says this to us:

1) You want a trade deal with us that gives you benefits after you leave. Great. Let's talk. But be aware that we have a big red line. We're not going to agree to a deal that gives YOU benefits but hurts one of US. Fair?

2) If a deal results in a worse border situation between RoI and NI, that will hurt RoI. That's not fair. They didn't vote for Brexit. You did. So we'll not bend over to help you if you don't make sure that RoI doesn't get hurt. Fair?

3) There's a dead easy way to stop the border being an issue. You can stay inside the CU and SM. Fair?

4) Opinion poll after opinion poll tells us that solution is supported by a big majority in the UK. We KNOW it's not supported by the Tory party, but hey, that's your party's problem. Fair?

5) If you're not prepared to accept that solution then it is your responsibility to tell us what alternative ideas you have. Fair?

6) We've had two years now and you've come up with nothing better than shouting "Technology!" "Switzerland!" We need a bit more than that. Fair?

7) Tell you what. We know you're struggling here so here's a deal. Why don't we just let you stay in the CU and park the border question until you sort out what you want to do? Fair?

Go on BS. Tell me what bit of that gets your goat.

EDIT:
I forgot the final point.

8) What's that you say Mrs May? Your swivel-eyed rabid right wing won't accept 7? Oh dear! This is a mess then isn't it?

And what's that Mrs May? Because of this message, YOU want US to compromise further. I'm not sure you've quite got the hang of this negotiation thing Mrs May! YOU want US to take a big hit to get YOU out of a political mess of your own making? I think you know the answer to that one Mrs May.

So. Looks like you've only got two choices then. Go for the No Deal Brexit that you've been talking about for the past 2 years and lose any chance of us giving you any sort of deal in future. Or face down the Johnsons and Rees-Moggs and Redwoods and Foxes that got you into this f**king mess and do what is right for your country.
Didn't say anything got my goat old lad. Just said what I think will happen.


My mistake.

So when you said this...

"The EU ARE using it as a bargaining chip. Understandably so.
Afterall, they need to be seen to be playing hardball for 3 reasons.
1. They need to be perceived as a stronger than an individual country. (Also deterring any other country wanting out)
2. It's us that chose to leave, so there making us sweat."

...you didn't say it?
Aye, it's exactly what I said.
But I'm not pissed off about it. We're not all as cantankerous as you, you know ....
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on October 20, 2018, 01:07:42 pm
https://youtu.be/JvDAW5SjdaE

If you have a spare hour this is a very interesting viewpoint on N.Ireland and it's significance in the current talks. Well worth watching.

Well worth watching indeed, from both the Remain and Leave sides.  Thanks for posting Hoola. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 20, 2018, 06:07:07 pm
BS

Aye, it's a failing of mine. I do tend to get cantankerous when people talk b*llocks about this topic. Given that it's going to do irreparable damage to the country my kids are growing up in. I'm funny like that.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on October 20, 2018, 07:45:00 pm
I have a serious question. After the Referendum (where there was a majority of 3.78% to Leave) the Leavers constantly told the Remain vote to "get over it - its Democracy"

However how long does that "Democracy" last ? I ask because in 1975 when we affirmed our wish to join the Common Market / EEC / EU whatever it was named this is what happened :

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_European_Communities_membership_referendum,_1975

A MASSIVE and I repeat (like Fred Elliott) MASSIVE majority maybe 34 .46% to "join/stay in". So how long does Democracy last ? That MASSIVE majority has NEVER been respected by the Tory Leaver movement so I ask why should any Remainers be "happy" to lose by 3% and just get over it

I have deliberately not gone into the Lies etc on both sides and just wonder what the people think - how long does a vote last for ?

In Scotland for example the once in a lifetime vote on Independence was "won" by the people NOT wanting to leave the Union. Has it or will it be "once in a lifetime" ? Of course not because the SNP are mentioning "it" in every speech so how is that Democratic. Answer IT ISN'T until the Vote where they win - then the other side will be told to "get over it - its Democracy"

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on October 20, 2018, 08:44:27 pm
In a democracy, people can also change their minds. David Davis basically said something along the same lines a few years ago.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 20, 2018, 08:52:34 pm
David Davies said that a democracy in which people aren't able to re-visit and change previous decisions is not a democracy.

But what's the f**king point of raising that, since no other inconvenient facts seem to penetrate the craniums of the Brexit zealots.

Personally, as a patriot, I'm f**king fuming that Russian money was poured into the Leave campaign through a couple of spivs. But the Leavers, many of whom seem to think they are greater patriots than the Remainers don't seem to give a shite about that.

Odd, that, isn't it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on October 20, 2018, 08:54:36 pm
No wonder I couldn't find the quote, I was searching for the wrong Kitson. :laugh:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on October 20, 2018, 10:05:46 pm
David Davies said that a democracy in which people aren't able to re-visit and change previous decisions is not a democracy.

But what's the f**king point of raising that, since no other inconvenient facts seem to penetrate the craniums of the Brexit zealots.

Personally, as a patriot, I'm f**king fuming that Russian money was poured into the Leave campaign through a couple of spivs. But the Leavers, many of whom seem to think they are greater patriots than the Remainers don't seem to give a shite about that.

Odd, that, isn't it?

So surely you can imagine how annoying it is for those who voted to to leave the EU to hear that their vote meant nothing and that we should have further referendums until the ‘right’ vote is delivere?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on October 20, 2018, 10:18:35 pm
David Davies said that a democracy in which people aren't able to re-visit and change previous decisions is not a democracy.

But what's the f**king point of raising that, since no other inconvenient facts seem to penetrate the craniums of the Brexit zealots.

Personally, as a patriot, I'm f**king fuming that Russian money was poured into the Leave campaign through a couple of spivs. But the Leavers, many of whom seem to think they are greater patriots than the Remainers don't seem to give a shite about that.

Odd, that, isn't it?

So surely you can imagine how annoying it is for those who voted to to leave the EU to hear that their vote meant nothing and that we should have further referendums until the ‘right’ vote is delivere?

Farage said he would agitate for another vote if he lost too.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on October 20, 2018, 10:21:19 pm
David Davies said that a democracy in which people aren't able to re-visit and change previous decisions is not a democracy.

But what's the f**king point of raising that, since no other inconvenient facts seem to penetrate the craniums of the Brexit zealots.

Personally, as a patriot, I'm f**king fuming that Russian money was poured into the Leave campaign through a couple of spivs. But the Leavers, many of whom seem to think they are greater patriots than the Remainers don't seem to give a shite about that.

Odd, that, isn't it?

So surely you can imagine how annoying it is for those who voted to to leave the EU to hear that their vote meant nothing and that we should have further referendums until the ‘right’ vote is delivere?

Farage said he would agitate for another vote if he lost too.

Doesn’t really answer the point I’ve raised though does it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on October 20, 2018, 10:24:58 pm
David Davies said that a democracy in which people aren't able to re-visit and change previous decisions is not a democracy.

But what's the f**king point of raising that, since no other inconvenient facts seem to penetrate the craniums of the Brexit zealots.

Personally, as a patriot, I'm f**king fuming that Russian money was poured into the Leave campaign through a couple of spivs. But the Leavers, many of whom seem to think they are greater patriots than the Remainers don't seem to give a shite about that.

Odd, that, isn't it?

So surely you can imagine how annoying it is for those who voted to to leave the EU to hear that their vote meant nothing and that we should have further referendums until the ‘right’ vote is delivere?

Farage said he would agitate for another vote if he lost too.

Doesn’t really answer the point I’ve raised though does it?

But you're making out it's only one side that are supposedly wanting to get the 'right' result.

And completely ignoring the fact that illegally harvested data was used to swing the vote. And that a foreign power has subverted our democracy. Does that not bother you at all?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on October 20, 2018, 10:43:39 pm
David Davies said that a democracy in which people aren't able to re-visit and change previous decisions is not a democracy.

But what's the f**king point of raising that, since no other inconvenient facts seem to penetrate the craniums of the Brexit zealots.

Personally, as a patriot, I'm f**king fuming that Russian money was poured into the Leave campaign through a couple of spivs. But the Leavers, many of whom seem to think they are greater patriots than the Remainers don't seem to give a shite about that.

Odd, that, isn't it?

So surely you can imagine how annoying it is for those who voted to to leave the EU to hear that their vote meant nothing and that we should have further referendums until the ‘right’ vote is delivere?

Farage said he would agitate for another vote if he lost too.

Doesn’t really answer the point I’ve raised though does it?

But you're making out it's only one side that are supposedly wanting to get the 'right' result.

And completely ignoring the fact that illegally harvested data was used to swing the vote. And that a foreign power has subverted our democracy. Does that not bother you at all?

Eh? What are you talking about? Il ask it again. Do you appreciate how annoying it is for those who voted to leave that their opinion is deemed to be invalid? It’s not a hard question. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on October 20, 2018, 11:03:12 pm
David Davies said that a democracy in which people aren't able to re-visit and change previous decisions is not a democracy.

But what's the f**king point of raising that, since no other inconvenient facts seem to penetrate the craniums of the Brexit zealots.

Personally, as a patriot, I'm f**king fuming that Russian money was poured into the Leave campaign through a couple of spivs. But the Leavers, many of whom seem to think they are greater patriots than the Remainers don't seem to give a shite about that.

Odd, that, isn't it?

So surely you can imagine how annoying it is for those who voted to to leave the EU to hear that their vote meant nothing and that we should have further referendums until the ‘right’ vote is delivere?

Farage said he would agitate for another vote if he lost too.

Doesn’t really answer the point I’ve raised though does it?

But you're making out it's only one side that are supposedly wanting to get the 'right' result.

And completely ignoring the fact that illegally harvested data was used to swing the vote. And that a foreign power has subverted our democracy. Does that not bother you at all?

Eh? What are you talking about? Il ask it again. Do you appreciate how annoying it is for those who voted to leave that their opinion is deemed to be invalid? It’s not a hard question. 

It might be annoying, yes. But not half as annoying as realising I've been sold a crock of shit. Or as annoying as realising an actual hostile foreign country had been interfering.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 20, 2018, 11:43:30 pm
Herbert

No one is saying that anyone's vote or anyone's opinion is invalid. I don't know where you get that conclusion from.

What I am saying is that some pretty stark facts have come to light since the vote.

On the week of the vote, an opinion poll showed that FIFTY TWO percent of the electorate believed that we would be getting back £350m a week from the EU. The man who ran the Leave campaign and who made up that lie is on record, on YouTube, crowing about how that tipped the vote. We NOW know categorically that was a lie and categorically that we are going to be (in fact, already are) tens of billions of pounds worse off because of Brexit. The only debate now is precisely how much and whether it will be 10, 20 or 50 years before we make that back.

We also now know categorically that the Leave campaign was being financed by Russian money to fund a web trawling company which illegally identified gullible voters and bombarded their social media feeds with videos spouting lies about the EU (eg videos saying Turkey and Albania are about to join, with pictures of dodgy looking swarthy types and big f**king Dad's Army arrows pointing from their countries to the UK.

We also know that criminal action is being taken against the Vote Leave executive who funnelled a huge wodge of that money across, breaking electoral funding law as he did so.

We also know that the piss and wind that the Leavers told us (Ireland's not a problem, the EU will be desperate to do a deal with us, we'll be much better off outside, this will be the easiest negotiation ever) was...well, piss and wind. Every. Last. Bit. Of. It.

We also know that opinion poll after opinion poll now shows a majority of people believe we were wrong to vote Leave.

We're in a totally different world of fact to where we were in 2016. Wouldn't it be the very essence of Democracy to put this to the vote against in light of these facts? No one says YOU have to change your mind. And if the case for Brexit is still so strong, what possible complaint could you have?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on October 21, 2018, 12:29:54 am
Surely it's not that difficult to see why, when asking the electorate to vote on the single most important referendum in their lifetime, those in charge simply ask "are you sure?"

Most parents know to ask such a simple follow-up question after their kids have chosen what they want for dinner, so I think f*cking Brexit deserves the same!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 21, 2018, 12:58:14 am
The question for Referendum 2 is easy, an all.

"If you have a f**king brain in your head,  you KNOW that the only reason we had Ref1 was to sort out which of the Eton/Bullingdon chaps would come out on top. Ref1 got rid of two of those so now do you want to:
A. Carry on being played by the last one standing and in doing so, f**k up the country for your grandkids?
B. Grow up."
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on October 21, 2018, 01:09:14 am
https://youtu.be/JvDAW5SjdaE

If you have a spare hour this is a very interesting viewpoint on N.Ireland and it's significance in the current talks. Well worth watching.

Well worth watching indeed, from both the Remain and Leave sides.  Thanks for posting Hoola. 

Pleased you stuck with it NNK, I thought it was just yet another one of those " bollox filled " interviews but  it was anything but .

Broomstick you NEED  to watch this , it will open up the whole world of the " backstop " to you and the why's and wherefore's of the Referendum itself.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on October 21, 2018, 06:01:40 am
I suppose you could make the case that having a second vote is like using VAR, it helps make a better decision when you slow things down a get a better view of the facts.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on October 21, 2018, 07:42:51 am
David Davies said that a democracy in which people aren't able to re-visit and change previous decisions is not a democracy.

But what's the f**king point of raising that, since no other inconvenient facts seem to penetrate the craniums of the Brexit zealots.

Personally, as a patriot, I'm f**king fuming that Russian money was poured into the Leave campaign through a couple of spivs. But the Leavers, many of whom seem to think they are greater patriots than the Remainers don't seem to give a shite about that.

Odd, that, isn't it?

So surely you can imagine how annoying it is for those who voted to to leave the EU to hear that their vote meant nothing and that we should have further referendums until the ‘right’ vote is delivere?

Which is why is asked my Question in Reply #2735 above BECAUSE to use your own quote above why did all those 67% who voted to be "IN" in 1975 have their Vote "rubbished" in effect by the Tories and others ever since then

They Voted by a 35% Majority to Join / Stay in the EEC and yet over the years the Leavers banged on and on and on until they got a Referendum granted and got a small 3% decision to Leave
So I ask (anyone) how long does a democratic Vote "have credibility" ?
If we discount the 1975 one because it is too old - that meant all those peoples Vote meant nothing - but if we say we accept the 2 years ago result why not allow another now if it seems (and I dont know) that it may produce a different result (or who knows a confirmation that we still want to Leave)


As an irony I voted Remain in 2016 so was on the losing side - whereas in 1975 I voted against joining / staying in and ended up on the losing side ! I am not a bad loser though except when Rovers are involved
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on October 21, 2018, 08:36:20 am
David Davies said that a democracy in which people aren't able to re-visit and change previous decisions is not a democracy.

But what's the f**king point of raising that, since no other inconvenient facts seem to penetrate the craniums of the Brexit zealots.

Personally, as a patriot, I'm f**king fuming that Russian money was poured into the Leave campaign through a couple of spivs. But the Leavers, many of whom seem to think they are greater patriots than the Remainers don't seem to give a shite about that.

Odd, that, isn't it?

So surely you can imagine how annoying it is for those who voted to to leave the EU to hear that their vote meant nothing and that we should have further referendums until the ‘right’ vote is delivere?

Farage said he would agitate for another vote if he lost too.

Doesn’t really answer the point I’ve raised though does it?

But you're making out it's only one side that are supposedly wanting to get the 'right' result.

And completely ignoring the fact that illegally harvested data was used to swing the vote. And that a foreign power has subverted our democracy. Does that not bother you at all?

Eh? What are you talking about? Il ask it again. Do you appreciate how annoying it is for those who voted to leave that their opinion is deemed to be invalid? It’s not a hard question. 

It might be annoying, yes. But not half as annoying as realising I've been sold a crock of shit. Or as annoying as realising an actual hostile foreign country had been interfering.

Fair point I guess
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 21, 2018, 09:04:16 am
David Davies said that a democracy in which people aren't able to re-visit and change previous decisions is not a democracy.

But what's the f**king point of raising that, since no other inconvenient facts seem to penetrate the craniums of the Brexit zealots.

Personally, as a patriot, I'm f**king fuming that Russian money was poured into the Leave campaign through a couple of spivs. But the Leavers, many of whom seem to think they are greater patriots than the Remainers don't seem to give a shite about that.

Odd, that, isn't it?

So surely you can imagine how annoying it is for those who voted to to leave the EU to hear that their vote meant nothing and that we should have further referendums until the ‘right’ vote is delivere?

Not the 'right' vote, the 'properly informed' vote.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on October 21, 2018, 04:03:06 pm
As I think it's unlikely that any deal that May brings back  (including "no deal") will get through Parliament, a second referendum might be a way out of the impasse. Although a General Election is probably more likely.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on October 21, 2018, 04:05:14 pm
Wonder if selby thinks Mandeville would do a better job... ;)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on October 21, 2018, 04:25:03 pm
Wonder if selby thinks Mandeville would do a better job... ;)

My Dog would do a better job than May, and I haven't even got a dog!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 21, 2018, 04:56:03 pm
TRB

But a GE doesn't get us out of the crisis.

There are only three ways out.

1) No deal
2) Killing the whole process, or watering it down to the whole of the UK remaining in the CU/SM
3) A deal where NI remains in the CU/SM.

There are literally no other viable outcomes.

But...

There will never be a majority in Parliament for 1 because it's insane for all sorts of reasons.

Neither Corbyn nor any realistic Tory leader would go for 2.

3 would destroy the GFA as far as the Unionists are concerned.

So no realistic GE result would get us any closer to sorting this f**king mess out.

Unless. Just possibly. A GE led to a Labour led Govt and Corbyn was forced out by the membership who overwhelmingly want 2. If there was a Lab/LD/SNP coalition and the only thing stopping 2 was the fact that Corbyn couldn't face the ghost of Tony Bennett looking at him...THAT would be an interesting situation. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 21, 2018, 06:11:44 pm
You missed out the possibility of a GE bringing about a goverment who throws the decision back to the people again to bypass the Westminster blockage - which I think is the only way round the problem. Corbyn has moved towards that a bit by saying he'd do it if the Labour membership wanted it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on October 21, 2018, 06:18:35 pm
700,000 people against brexit march in London, 6 people meet up with Cnut in a pub in Harrogate to wax about old times and ways to stop the tide coming in.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on October 21, 2018, 07:22:08 pm
You missed out the possibility of a GE bringing about a goverment who throws the decision back to the people again to bypass the Westminster blockage - which I think is the only way round the problem. Corbyn has moved towards that a bit by saying he'd do it if the Labour membership wanted it.

That's what I think could be the end result of a General Election. I realise the polls can be wrong but at the moment another Hung Parliament looks likely.

I could foresee a situation where Labour is the largest party but can only form a Government with a Confidence and Supply deal with the SNP and/ or the Lib Dems. Both Sturgeon and Cable have thrown their weight behind a second (third) vote, and they make that an absolute condition of propping up a minority Labour Government.

Although for that to become a reality there are two other pre-conditions. Firstly, the GE would have to happen before next March and secondly we would need agreement from the EU that we could put the Article 50 clock on hold. Neither are certain and I the second is only a real possibility if the alternative is No Deal at all.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on October 21, 2018, 07:26:14 pm
  Red J anybody could do a better job. just as an aside, My father as many know was In Burma  during the war,and had a bad time, and came back to this country badly wounded and not knowing what sort of life he had in front of him. But he told me on his way home he had to travel via London, Coventry, and bizarrely through the worst of all Hull, he told me he cried along with others on the train, they realised that things had been just as bad at home.
  The country owed the U.S.A money they didn't pay back until this century, a million men were coming home to what,  a country where the cities were bombed flat, and an unknown future. but the countries leaders formed the NHS, nationalised the coal, steel, transport, docks, railways telephones  gas supplies and water. within seven years he with me and mum in tow moved into a brand new council house in Askern everyone was in work, miners sons had a pathway to university through education, the road infrastructure was being planned, new town centres, bridges, and hospitals built, plus many more things so much so that the prime minister within 12 years could turn to the country and say "You have never had it so good" to the population.
  That was because there was a generational thing to make things better, to improve life, and they also did a lot to rebuild Germany, France , Belgium etc. because they wanted to and could.
  Contrast that with moaning you have stolen my future, while standing on the steps of an aeroplane at the start of their gap year, or laying on the floor bladdered on a Friday and Saturday night. and worst of all, contrast the present politicians with Clement Attlee, Churchill, Bevan, who only did what they thought was the best for the country, they must all be turning in their  graves watching this circus.
  And god knows what happened to the ambition to achieve.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on October 21, 2018, 08:01:12 pm
  Billy the only numbers that count are not the rallies, it is now how the numbers stack up for the money people. Sad I know, but that is the way of the world.
  We have had our say, now they will manipulate it to their best interests, whether that is in or out there will be lots of money to be made, the pieces will be left for the rest of us to pick up.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on October 21, 2018, 08:49:05 pm
93 pages and counting without a credible witness putting forward any advantage to Brexit and references going back to the original vote in 75 wiping out all the arguments about democratic vote results should stand.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on October 21, 2018, 09:51:15 pm
My sentiments entirely. I tried asking yesterday when "democracy" ceases. So if "people" are happy to dispense with the 1975 Vote with its overwhelming 34% Majority to be in / stay in then thats ok

However the same people cannot then say that the only 3% majority produced in 2016 has to be binding surely ? Surely it too can be challenged because that is democracy too

The Tory anti EEC / EU wing never ever respected the 1975 vote and tried and tried and tried to get us out. Farage (UKIP of course) stated openly that if the vote went against him and we voted Remain then he for one would continue to campaign / fight / cajole etc until he got what UKIP wanted (us out of the EU) so surely the people who voted Remain have just as much right to protest and try to overturn the Leave vote a) before it is too late and b) if and when we actually leave. Younger people coming along may want to revisit the question in another 10 years or more.

Thats as democratic as the other scenarios I have outlined above - surely ?

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on October 21, 2018, 09:52:42 pm
Any General Election that is fought between now and the beginning of March will be fought purely on the terms of Brexit. Yes the parties will have other things in their manifestos, but clearly the only thing the public will be interested in is 'What is your plan for Brexit and what do you propose for the future relationship with the EU?'

And clearly this time it will need to be a proper plan, people are much more informed than they were a year ago and 'Brexit means Brexit' wont wash any more.

I doubt that Labour's will change very much from what it is now, in the CU and close to (but not in) the SM. Anyone who saw Starmer on the Marr show this morning would have heard him say that he has discussed his idea to stay in the CU and still do separate trade deals with the EU, and they have said it would work. Clearly if he has done that with the CU element he would done the same with the SM element.

Now what on earth would the Tories manifesto pledge be? Can you really imagine Rees-Mogg and Soubry/Grieve coming up with the same plan? I can sooner see them splitting up into 2 parties. That's why they are desperate not to have an election.

Who knows what will happen. I can't see May getting a deal through parliament and I can't see parliament allowing no-deal, but I could see Brexit being postponed.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on October 21, 2018, 09:56:08 pm
  Sydney I voted to join, I voted to stay in because I new we would fudge it and our leaders are poor. I was fuming at the time and have regretted not having a vote on the Maastricht Treaty, that is when we should have had everything put to us to decide the future.
  Major and Cameron two idiots.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on October 21, 2018, 09:58:14 pm
I agree Wolfie.

People have just as much right to march through London for a new referendum as Farage does to hang about in a pub in Harrogate demanding a 'pure' Brexit. Politicians dont have to listen to them, but they do have to weigh up what ignoring them might do to their chances of re-election in the next GE.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on October 21, 2018, 10:04:42 pm
Thank's for the post above Selby, a good reminder in this dark times of when times were even darker - and then we came up with (some) politicans who had a vision for a brighter time.

Like your dad my grandad was also in Coventry during the war. He was sent to help as a fireman after the bombing.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Akinfenwa on October 21, 2018, 10:24:22 pm
The result of the 1975 referendum was implemented and remained the case for 41 years.

The result of the 2016 referendum would not be implemented at all if the anti-Brexit brigade got their way, let alone for 41 years.

That's the difference.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on October 21, 2018, 11:23:20 pm
  Red J anybody could do a better job. just as an aside, My father as many know was In Burma  during the war,and had a bad time, and came back to this country badly wounded and not knowing what sort of life he had in front of him. But he told me on his way home he had to travel via London, Coventry, and bizarrely through the worst of all Hull, he told me he cried along with others on the train, they realised that things had been just as bad at home.
  The country owed the U.S.A money they didn't pay back until this century, a million men were coming home to what,  a country where the cities were bombed flat, and an unknown future. but the countries leaders formed the NHS, nationalised the coal, steel, transport, docks, railways telephones  gas supplies and water. within seven years he with me and mum in tow moved into a brand new council house in Askern everyone was in work, miners sons had a pathway to university through education, the road infrastructure was being planned, new town centres, bridges, and hospitals built, plus many more things so much so that the prime minister within 12 years could turn to the country and say "You have never had it so good" to the population.
  That was because there was a generational thing to make things better, to improve life, and they also did a lot to rebuild Germany, France , Belgium etc. because they wanted to and could.
  Contrast that with moaning you have stolen my future, while standing on the steps of an aeroplane at the start of their gap year, or laying on the floor bladdered on a Friday and Saturday night. and worst of all, contrast the present politicians with Clement Attlee, Churchill, Bevan, who only did what they thought was the best for the country, they must all be turning in their  graves watching this circus.
  And god knows what happened to the ambition to achieve.

Hmm we have one or two things in common in that my dear old grandad was the father of 7 youngsters in the east end of London. He went to war and like your dad ended up as a proud owner of a Burma Star he eventually received in the 1980s, half a stomach from the deprivation and beatings, malaria and all sorts of skin conditions,  he received after years in a Japanese POW camp . He eventually  came home to a scattered family and a blown-up home.

He not only felt he had been forgotten but that his family had been forgotten for years . Perhaps only when his family had managed to get themselves settled in a 3 bedroom pre-fabricated council house for the 9 of them in early 1951could he breathe freely once  again.

I know little about his experiences despite spending many 1000s of hours in his company. What I do know is he never spent his life " hating " , he wasn't that sort of man - he was strong, brave but a modest man who loved his family , loved his country but recognised both the weaknesses and strengths of our country. He never once "claimed " we won the war or to my knowledge  hated a German or the Japanese though was wary of the former and always avoided talk if possible of the latter Japanese.

They were tough years for the whole world Selby and contrary to popular belief we didn't bail out the world, the world bailed out the world. People's of every nation trying to recover their lives, broken bodies, lost lives, communities lost forever , minorities wiped out by genocidal maniacs, cities blown up by atomic bombs, Dresden, Auschwitz, Burmese railroads, 100,000s of women raped by rampaging soldiers etc etc. Etc

However we not just the English, the British or the Yanks WE ALL  managed to rebuild this world, made it safer, educated , created, liberated, made it fairer, moved forward  all this could only be done by all of us dropping most if not all of our " exceptionalist " or xenophobic , mysogynistic attitudes.

You see my grandad and indeed my dad who served in Malaya during the communist uprisings would be appalled at your sweeping comments about our young people . Indeed my own daughter studies abroad and was In Auschwitz only this last Thursday ..... Do you know why these feckless / gap year kids are there or are trekking around the battlefields of Ypres or standing for services at the The Menon  memorial  ? so they don't go fecking backwards , so they learn from the mistakes of the past, so that they can ensure they DON'T happen again. So they can try and put prejudices aside.

I'm not ashamed to say that my daughter would never be able to afford to go but for the Erasmus + scheme. She's educating herself , I hope that she and her generation will not make the mistakes of the past. Do you know what she rooms with a Dane, Chinese , Italian, Norwegian and some Aussies. They learn to live together , learn from one another not sit in isolation.

I know only that my family, ALL her ancestors would be proud of her and the many like her who want to build a brighter future for everyone based on  the extraordinary people who prepared the path for them. People that swore not once but twice that it would be the last time ....Now it HAS to be the last time !

We should not be looking to blow up the path into the future by taking them back to those dark days. I wish my grandad could have met yours because you never know they may well have been mates and I'm sure they wouldn't want to pull our children back or divide and weaken them. I was loathe to post this as it's so personal but after much thought ; I think any youngsters on here should read a different narrative to the one you have laid before them.

The Empire has gone but not the individuality of our people. Our history is always there, our great people are written about and studied more often than not revered. They were at their most creative when they were at their most free and for some you would only equate that with being outwith our neighbours .
I believe that we are shrinking away from our destiny by following the path that leads to a possible cliff edge. 

" Contrast that with moaning you have stolen my future, while standing on the steps of an aeroplane at the start of their gap year, or laying on the floor bladdered on a Friday and Saturday night. "

Selby , I simply don't recognise the sweeping statements above of our young having met them and their international friends. I simply don't know whether to accept my experience of this young generation or the sweeping " Daily Express " fuelled comments that you seem to think exist.
If you don't mind I will stick with my former rather than your latter viewpoint of our young.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 21, 2018, 11:45:21 pm
Err.

Benn. Not Bennett.

Autocorrect is giggling at this one.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on October 22, 2018, 07:37:54 am
Err.

Benn. Not Bennett.

Autocorrect is giggling at this one.

It's funny that when Corbyn was elected leader I rather unkindly described him as a Tony Benn Tribute Act.

The thought of him doing karaoke versions of "I left my heart in San Francisco" had me in stitches.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on October 22, 2018, 09:12:18 am
https://youtu.be/JvDAW5SjdaE

If you have a spare hour this is a very interesting viewpoint on N.Ireland and it's significance in the current talks. Well worth watching.

Well worth watching indeed, from both the Remain and Leave sides.  Thanks for posting Hoola. 

 
It's a real pity that our media can't publish something as detailed, open and honest - but hey, that's one of the reasons we are where we are - a largely easily manipulated public!
 

Pleased you stuck with it NNK, I thought it was just yet another one of those " bollox filled " interviews but  it was anything but .

Broomstick you NEED  to watch this , it will open up the whole world of the " backstop " to you and the why's and wherefore's of the Referendum itself.

Thanks Hoola.  I've passed it on to quite a few other people, both levers and remainers, and not one of them has disagreed with the points made or criticised Fintan in any way.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on October 22, 2018, 09:14:53 am
The result of the 1975 referendum was implemented and remained the case for 41 years.

The result of the 2016 referendum would not be implemented at all if the anti-Brexit brigade got their way, let alone for 41 years.

That's the difference.

The difference being that the very 1st Referendum in 1975 was clearly laid out accurately for the public to make an " informed " choice when going into the ballot box but this one was muddy, confusing and brought about by lies, exaggerations,  distortions and electoral fraud . When you thought it couldn't get any worse you then found out it was brought about by stealing and distorting individual's personal data and fuelled by huge doses of foreign money. All in all , taking this into account , do you really think this should stand or more importantly Do you really think it was an excellent exercise in democracy ?

The 17.4 million " biggest " vote ever argument is wearing thin, it also had the biggest vote ever against it . The numbers are meaningless, even the narrow margin of victory is rendered meaningless when held up in front of the contextual background.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on October 22, 2018, 09:34:49 am
Following that excellent Fintan O'Tool video Hoola posted, here's another excellent one from a Northern Ireland perspective.
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bQJDoiqBjBE
 
Yes, it's an hour long, but I highly recomend watching, by both sides in the argument.  It even motivated me to take a different approach to a dispute I was having with my next door neighbour.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on October 22, 2018, 09:37:12 am
The result of the 1975 referendum was implemented and remained the case for 41 years.

The result of the 2016 referendum would not be implemented at all if the anti-Brexit brigade got their way, let alone for 41 years.

That's the difference.

The difference being that the very 1st Referendum in 1975 was clearly laid out accurately for the public to make an " informed " choice when going into the ballot box but this one was muddy, confusing and brought about by lies, exaggerations,  distortions and electoral fraud . When you thought it couldn't get any worse you then found out it was brought about by stealing and distorting individual's personal data and fuelled by huge doses of foreign money. All in all , taking this into account , do you really think this should stand or more importantly Do you really think it was an excellent exercise in democracy ?

The 17.4 million " biggest " vote ever argument is wearing thin, it also had the biggest vote ever against it . The numbers are meaningless, even the narrow margin of victory is rendered meaningless when held up in front of the contextual background.


The problem with that argument is that just about everything that the NO side said would happen at the time of the 1975 Referendum came to pass. Something that Leave was not slow to point out of course.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 22, 2018, 11:12:17 am
The result of the 1975 referendum was implemented and remained the case for 41 years.

The result of the 2016 referendum would not be implemented at all if the anti-Brexit brigade got their way, let alone for 41 years.

That's the difference.

The difference being that the very 1st Referendum in 1975 was clearly laid out accurately for the public to make an " informed " choice when going into the ballot box but this one was muddy, confusing and brought about by lies, exaggerations,  distortions and electoral fraud . When you thought it couldn't get any worse you then found out it was brought about by stealing and distorting individual's personal data and fuelled by huge doses of foreign money. All in all , taking this into account , do you really think this should stand or more importantly Do you really think it was an excellent exercise in democracy ?

The 17.4 million " biggest " vote ever argument is wearing thin, it also had the biggest vote ever against it . The numbers are meaningless, even the narrow margin of victory is rendered meaningless when held up in front of the contextual background.


The problem with that argument is that just about everything that the NO side said would happen at the time of the 1975 Referendum came to pass. Something that Leave was not slow to point out of course.

How does that stand up to the comparison that just about everything the Leave side said during the 2016 referendum campaign hasn't come to pass? At least in 1975 the electorate were given good information and then they decided which way to vote based on it. Did that happen in 2016?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on October 22, 2018, 01:30:03 pm
To a degree I’m a ‘Euro Sceptic’ (though I really dislike that phrase) though I can see the obvious merits of an Economic union across Europe. At the time of the referendum I was probably 60-40 in favour of leaving and voted accordingly. However, if there was another referendum tomorrow I’d vote to remain. Not because I’ve suddenly changed my mind on the EU, but more that originally I was naive (or ignorant, take your pick) on the complexities of actually leaving the thing. I also (foolishly) thought we’d have politicians capable of negotiating a reasonable exit. Instead we’re stuck between a rock and a hard place of utterly incompetent politicians who’s priority is to score points within the Tory party and an EU (who’ve always seen the UK as a bit of a liability) who are determined to make an example of us in an effort to keep the union together. Either way, we lose out.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on October 22, 2018, 01:59:01 pm
I voted remain but am undecided about voting remain again should we have another vote. My concern now is that deciding to stay will render us an easy touch and those who thought we had a bad deal in the EU before might not be prepared to get an even worse deal in future. The possibility of having Corbyn as PM intensifies my apprehension.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 22, 2018, 03:00:33 pm
BB
Fine. Let's show how hard we are and not be prepared to be a soft touch.

Let's be prepared to countenance a No Deal Brexit and wait for the EU to blink.

That'll show how tough we are.

Except...

Oh aye. That was precisely what we DID do for 2 years after the vote. And the EU didn't blink. Because THEY have a far, far stronger hand than we do. And they have far more to lose by caving into us than they do by standing up to us.

So, by tge Tories stupidly overplaying their hand and trying to play the tough guys to impress the Bulldog Spirit folks at home, they've blundered us right up to the edge of catastrophe.

It's not about being tough full stop. It's about knowing what hand you've got, knowing your opponent, knowing how far you can push things and knowing when it's actually in your interests to take a step back.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on October 22, 2018, 03:25:32 pm
Thanks for that BST, perhaps you can comment on my post now.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: scawsby steve on October 22, 2018, 05:02:45 pm
  Red J anybody could do a better job. just as an aside, My father as many know was In Burma  during the war,and had a bad time, and came back to this country badly wounded and not knowing what sort of life he had in front of him. But he told me on his way home he had to travel via London, Coventry, and bizarrely through the worst of all Hull, he told me he cried along with others on the train, they realised that things had been just as bad at home.
  The country owed the U.S.A money they didn't pay back until this century, a million men were coming home to what,  a country where the cities were bombed flat, and an unknown future. but the countries leaders formed the NHS, nationalised the coal, steel, transport, docks, railways telephones  gas supplies and water. within seven years he with me and mum in tow moved into a brand new council house in Askern everyone was in work, miners sons had a pathway to university through education, the road infrastructure was being planned, new town centres, bridges, and hospitals built, plus many more things so much so that the prime minister within 12 years could turn to the country and say "You have never had it so good" to the population.
  That was because there was a generational thing to make things better, to improve life, and they also did a lot to rebuild Germany, France , Belgium etc. because they wanted to and could.
  Contrast that with moaning you have stolen my future, while standing on the steps of an aeroplane at the start of their gap year, or laying on the floor bladdered on a Friday and Saturday night. and worst of all, contrast the present politicians with Clement Attlee, Churchill, Bevan, who only did what they thought was the best for the country, they must all be turning in their  graves watching this circus.
  And god knows what happened to the ambition to achieve.

Hmm we have one or two things in common in that my dear old grandad was the father of 7 youngsters in the east end of London. He went to war and like your dad ended up as a proud owner of a Burma Star he eventually received in the 1980s, half a stomach from the deprivation and beatings, malaria and all sorts of skin conditions,  he received after years in a Japanese POW camp . He eventually  came home to a scattered family and a blown-up home.

He not only felt he had been forgotten but that his family had been forgotten for years . Perhaps only when his family had managed to get themselves settled in a 3 bedroom pre-fabricated council house for the 9 of them in early 1951could he breathe freely once  again.

I know little about his experiences despite spending many 1000s of hours in his company. What I do know is he never spent his life " hating " , he wasn't that sort of man - he was strong, brave but a modest man who loved his family , loved his country but recognised both the weaknesses and strengths of our country. He never once "claimed " we won the war or to my knowledge  hated a German or the Japanese though was wary of the former and always avoided talk if possible of the latter Japanese.

They were tough years for the whole world Selby and contrary to popular belief we didn't bail out the world, the world bailed out the world. People's of every nation trying to recover their lives, broken bodies, lost lives, communities lost forever , minorities wiped out by genocidal maniacs, cities blown up by atomic bombs, Dresden, Auschwitz, Burmese railroads, 100,000s of women raped by rampaging soldiers etc etc. Etc

However we not just the English, the British or the Yanks WE ALL  managed to rebuild this world, made it safer, educated , created, liberated, made it fairer, moved forward  all this could only be done by all of us dropping most if not all of our " exceptionalist " or xenophobic , mysogynistic attitudes.

You see my grandad and indeed my dad who served in Malaya during the communist uprisings would be appalled at your sweeping comments about our young people . Indeed my own daughter studies abroad and was In Auschwitz only this last Thursday ..... Do you know why these feckless / gap year kids are there or are trekking around the battlefields of Ypres or standing for services at the The Menon  memorial  ? so they don't go fecking backwards , so they learn from the mistakes of the past, so that they can ensure they DON'T happen again. So they can try and put prejudices aside.

I'm not ashamed to say that my daughter would never be able to afford to go but for the Erasmus + scheme. She's educating herself , I hope that she and her generation will not make the mistakes of the past. Do you know what she rooms with a Dane, Chinese , Italian, Norwegian and some Aussies. They learn to live together , learn from one another not sit in isolation.

I know only that my family, ALL her ancestors would be proud of her and the many like her who want to build a brighter future for everyone based on  the extraordinary people who prepared the path for them. People that swore not once but twice that it would be the last time ....Now it HAS to be the last time !

We should not be looking to blow up the path into the future by taking them back to those dark days. I wish my grandad could have met yours because you never know they may well have been mates and I'm sure they wouldn't want to pull our children back or divide and weaken them. I was loathe to post this as it's so personal but after much thought ; I think any youngsters on here should read a different narrative to the one you have laid before them.

The Empire has gone but not the individuality of our people. Our history is always there, our great people are written about and studied more often than not revered. They were at their most creative when they were at their most free and for some you would only equate that with being outwith our neighbours .
I believe that we are shrinking away from our destiny by following the path that leads to a possible cliff edge. 

" Contrast that with moaning you have stolen my future, while standing on the steps of an aeroplane at the start of their gap year, or laying on the floor bladdered on a Friday and Saturday night. "

Selby , I simply don't recognise the sweeping statements above of our young having met them and their international friends. I simply don't know whether to accept my experience of this young generation or the sweeping " Daily Express " fuelled comments that you seem to think exist.
If you don't mind I will stick with my former rather than your latter viewpoint of our young.

Hoola, it's admirable of you to give great praise to many of today's youngsters who make the most of their education, visit other countries, and learn about different people and different cultures; I admire them as well.

However, if you believe that all of today's young generation are like that, then you're living on a different planet to me; spice-heads, crack-heads, violent chavs, foul mouthed drunken women with tattooed necks wanting to fight everybody; that's the reality I see all around me; and no, I don't read the Daily Express or any other newspaper, because they all have left or right wing political agendas, every one of them. I form my opinions on what I see, and what I feel.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on October 22, 2018, 05:13:34 pm
  Red J anybody could do a better job. just as an aside, My father as many know was In Burma  during the war,and had a bad time, and came back to this country badly wounded and not knowing what sort of life he had in front of him. But he told me on his way home he had to travel via London, Coventry, and bizarrely through the worst of all Hull, he told me he cried along with others on the train, they realised that things had been just as bad at home.
  The country owed the U.S.A money they didn't pay back until this century, a million men were coming home to what,  a country where the cities were bombed flat, and an unknown future. but the countries leaders formed the NHS, nationalised the coal, steel, transport, docks, railways telephones  gas supplies and water. within seven years he with me and mum in tow moved into a brand new council house in Askern everyone was in work, miners sons had a pathway to university through education, the road infrastructure was being planned, new town centres, bridges, and hospitals built, plus many more things so much so that the prime minister within 12 years could turn to the country and say "You have never had it so good" to the population.
  That was because there was a generational thing to make things better, to improve life, and they also did a lot to rebuild Germany, France , Belgium etc. because they wanted to and could.
  Contrast that with moaning you have stolen my future, while standing on the steps of an aeroplane at the start of their gap year, or laying on the floor bladdered on a Friday and Saturday night. and worst of all, contrast the present politicians with Clement Attlee, Churchill, Bevan, who only did what they thought was the best for the country, they must all be turning in their  graves watching this circus.
  And god knows what happened to the ambition to achieve.

Hmm we have one or two things in common in that my dear old grandad was the father of 7 youngsters in the east end of London. He went to war and like your dad ended up as a proud owner of a Burma Star he eventually received in the 1980s, half a stomach from the deprivation and beatings, malaria and all sorts of skin conditions,  he received after years in a Japanese POW camp . He eventually  came home to a scattered family and a blown-up home.

He not only felt he had been forgotten but that his family had been forgotten for years . Perhaps only when his family had managed to get themselves settled in a 3 bedroom pre-fabricated council house for the 9 of them in early 1951could he breathe freely once  again.

I know little about his experiences despite spending many 1000s of hours in his company. What I do know is he never spent his life " hating " , he wasn't that sort of man - he was strong, brave but a modest man who loved his family , loved his country but recognised both the weaknesses and strengths of our country. He never once "claimed " we won the war or to my knowledge  hated a German or the Japanese though was wary of the former and always avoided talk if possible of the latter Japanese.

They were tough years for the whole world Selby and contrary to popular belief we didn't bail out the world, the world bailed out the world. People's of every nation trying to recover their lives, broken bodies, lost lives, communities lost forever , minorities wiped out by genocidal maniacs, cities blown up by atomic bombs, Dresden, Auschwitz, Burmese railroads, 100,000s of women raped by rampaging soldiers etc etc. Etc

However we not just the English, the British or the Yanks WE ALL  managed to rebuild this world, made it safer, educated , created, liberated, made it fairer, moved forward  all this could only be done by all of us dropping most if not all of our " exceptionalist " or xenophobic , mysogynistic attitudes.

You see my grandad and indeed my dad who served in Malaya during the communist uprisings would be appalled at your sweeping comments about our young people . Indeed my own daughter studies abroad and was In Auschwitz only this last Thursday ..... Do you know why these feckless / gap year kids are there or are trekking around the battlefields of Ypres or standing for services at the The Menon  memorial  ? so they don't go fecking backwards , so they learn from the mistakes of the past, so that they can ensure they DON'T happen again. So they can try and put prejudices aside.

I'm not ashamed to say that my daughter would never be able to afford to go but for the Erasmus + scheme. She's educating herself , I hope that she and her generation will not make the mistakes of the past. Do you know what she rooms with a Dane, Chinese , Italian, Norwegian and some Aussies. They learn to live together , learn from one another not sit in isolation.

I know only that my family, ALL her ancestors would be proud of her and the many like her who want to build a brighter future for everyone based on  the extraordinary people who prepared the path for them. People that swore not once but twice that it would be the last time ....Now it HAS to be the last time !

We should not be looking to blow up the path into the future by taking them back to those dark days. I wish my grandad could have met yours because you never know they may well have been mates and I'm sure they wouldn't want to pull our children back or divide and weaken them. I was loathe to post this as it's so personal but after much thought ; I think any youngsters on here should read a different narrative to the one you have laid before them.

The Empire has gone but not the individuality of our people. Our history is always there, our great people are written about and studied more often than not revered. They were at their most creative when they were at their most free and for some you would only equate that with being outwith our neighbours .
I believe that we are shrinking away from our destiny by following the path that leads to a possible cliff edge. 

" Contrast that with moaning you have stolen my future, while standing on the steps of an aeroplane at the start of their gap year, or laying on the floor bladdered on a Friday and Saturday night. "

Selby , I simply don't recognise the sweeping statements above of our young having met them and their international friends. I simply don't know whether to accept my experience of this young generation or the sweeping " Daily Express " fuelled comments that you seem to think exist.
If you don't mind I will stick with my former rather than your latter viewpoint of our young.

Hoola, it's admirable of you to give great praise to many of today's youngsters who make the most of their education, visit other countries, and learn about different people and different cultures; I admire them as well.

However, if you believe that all of today's young generation are like that, then you're living on a different planet to me; spice-heads, crack-heads, violent chavs, foul mouthed drunken women with tattooed necks wanting to fight everybody; that's the reality I see all around me; and no, I don't read the Daily Express or any other newspaper, because they all have left or right wing political agendas, every one of them. I form my opinions on what I see, and what I feel.

I didn't realise it was the bad in Scawsby   :ohmy:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on October 22, 2018, 05:22:09 pm
The result of the 1975 referendum was implemented and remained the case for 41 years.

The result of the 2016 referendum would not be implemented at all if the anti-Brexit brigade got their way, let alone for 41 years.

That's the difference.

The difference being that the very 1st Referendum in 1975 was clearly laid out accurately for the public to make an " informed " choice when going into the ballot box but this one was muddy, confusing and brought about by lies, exaggerations,  distortions and electoral fraud . When you thought it couldn't get any worse you then found out it was brought about by stealing and distorting individual's personal data and fuelled by huge doses of foreign money. All in all , taking this into account , do you really think this should stand or more importantly Do you really think it was an excellent exercise in democracy ?

The 17.4 million " biggest " vote ever argument is wearing thin, it also had the biggest vote ever against it . The numbers are meaningless, even the narrow margin of victory is rendered meaningless when held up in front of the contextual background.


The problem with that argument is that just about everything that the NO side said would happen at the time of the 1975 Referendum came to pass. Something that Leave was not slow to point out of course.

How does that stand up to the comparison that just about everything the Leave side said during the 2016 referendum campaign hasn't come to pass? At least in 1975 the electorate were given good information and then they decided which way to vote based on it. Did that happen in 2016?

You can't really compare the two at all. The 1975 referendum was very restrained in comparison to the hyperbole on both sides (cf George Osborne and Project Fear). My point is that if you look back at the campaign literature the Yes campaign was keen to highlight the EEC (as it then was) as a trading bloc. The No campaign highlighted  the eventual destination of travel towards a federal union.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: scawsby steve on October 22, 2018, 05:24:10 pm
  Red J anybody could do a better job. just as an aside, My father as many know was In Burma  during the war,and had a bad time, and came back to this country badly wounded and not knowing what sort of life he had in front of him. But he told me on his way home he had to travel via London, Coventry, and bizarrely through the worst of all Hull, he told me he cried along with others on the train, they realised that things had been just as bad at home.
  The country owed the U.S.A money they didn't pay back until this century, a million men were coming home to what,  a country where the cities were bombed flat, and an unknown future. but the countries leaders formed the NHS, nationalised the coal, steel, transport, docks, railways telephones  gas supplies and water. within seven years he with me and mum in tow moved into a brand new council house in Askern everyone was in work, miners sons had a pathway to university through education, the road infrastructure was being planned, new town centres, bridges, and hospitals built, plus many more things so much so that the prime minister within 12 years could turn to the country and say "You have never had it so good" to the population.
  That was because there was a generational thing to make things better, to improve life, and they also did a lot to rebuild Germany, France , Belgium etc. because they wanted to and could.
  Contrast that with moaning you have stolen my future, while standing on the steps of an aeroplane at the start of their gap year, or laying on the floor bladdered on a Friday and Saturday night. and worst of all, contrast the present politicians with Clement Attlee, Churchill, Bevan, who only did what they thought was the best for the country, they must all be turning in their  graves watching this circus.
  And god knows what happened to the ambition to achieve.

Hmm we have one or two things in common in that my dear old grandad was the father of 7 youngsters in the east end of London. He went to war and like your dad ended up as a proud owner of a Burma Star he eventually received in the 1980s, half a stomach from the deprivation and beatings, malaria and all sorts of skin conditions,  he received after years in a Japanese POW camp . He eventually  came home to a scattered family and a blown-up home.

He not only felt he had been forgotten but that his family had been forgotten for years . Perhaps only when his family had managed to get themselves settled in a 3 bedroom pre-fabricated council house for the 9 of them in early 1951could he breathe freely once  again.

I know little about his experiences despite spending many 1000s of hours in his company. What I do know is he never spent his life " hating " , he wasn't that sort of man - he was strong, brave but a modest man who loved his family , loved his country but recognised both the weaknesses and strengths of our country. He never once "claimed " we won the war or to my knowledge  hated a German or the Japanese though was wary of the former and always avoided talk if possible of the latter Japanese.

They were tough years for the whole world Selby and contrary to popular belief we didn't bail out the world, the world bailed out the world. People's of every nation trying to recover their lives, broken bodies, lost lives, communities lost forever , minorities wiped out by genocidal maniacs, cities blown up by atomic bombs, Dresden, Auschwitz, Burmese railroads, 100,000s of women raped by rampaging soldiers etc etc. Etc

However we not just the English, the British or the Yanks WE ALL  managed to rebuild this world, made it safer, educated , created, liberated, made it fairer, moved forward  all this could only be done by all of us dropping most if not all of our " exceptionalist " or xenophobic , mysogynistic attitudes.

You see my grandad and indeed my dad who served in Malaya during the communist uprisings would be appalled at your sweeping comments about our young people . Indeed my own daughter studies abroad and was In Auschwitz only this last Thursday ..... Do you know why these feckless / gap year kids are there or are trekking around the battlefields of Ypres or standing for services at the The Menon  memorial  ? so they don't go fecking backwards , so they learn from the mistakes of the past, so that they can ensure they DON'T happen again. So they can try and put prejudices aside.

I'm not ashamed to say that my daughter would never be able to afford to go but for the Erasmus + scheme. She's educating herself , I hope that she and her generation will not make the mistakes of the past. Do you know what she rooms with a Dane, Chinese , Italian, Norwegian and some Aussies. They learn to live together , learn from one another not sit in isolation.

I know only that my family, ALL her ancestors would be proud of her and the many like her who want to build a brighter future for everyone based on  the extraordinary people who prepared the path for them. People that swore not once but twice that it would be the last time ....Now it HAS to be the last time !

We should not be looking to blow up the path into the future by taking them back to those dark days. I wish my grandad could have met yours because you never know they may well have been mates and I'm sure they wouldn't want to pull our children back or divide and weaken them. I was loathe to post this as it's so personal but after much thought ; I think any youngsters on here should read a different narrative to the one you have laid before them.

The Empire has gone but not the individuality of our people. Our history is always there, our great people are written about and studied more often than not revered. They were at their most creative when they were at their most free and for some you would only equate that with being outwith our neighbours .
I believe that we are shrinking away from our destiny by following the path that leads to a possible cliff edge. 

" Contrast that with moaning you have stolen my future, while standing on the steps of an aeroplane at the start of their gap year, or laying on the floor bladdered on a Friday and Saturday night. "

Selby , I simply don't recognise the sweeping statements above of our young having met them and their international friends. I simply don't know whether to accept my experience of this young generation or the sweeping " Daily Express " fuelled comments that you seem to think exist.
If you don't mind I will stick with my former rather than your latter viewpoint of our young.

Hoola, it's admirable of you to give great praise to many of today's youngsters who make the most of their education, visit other countries, and learn about different people and different cultures; I admire them as well.

However, if you believe that all of today's young generation are like that, then you're living on a different planet to me; spice-heads, crack-heads, violent chavs, foul mouthed drunken women with tattooed necks wanting to fight everybody; that's the reality I see all around me; and no, I don't read the Daily Express or any other newspaper, because they all have left or right wing political agendas, every one of them. I form my opinions on what I see, and what I feel.

I didn't realise it was the bad in Scawsby   :ohmy:

Actually, I don't live in Scawsby NNK, not too far away though. Come on mate, you know as well as I do that this country's been heading this way since Thatcher destroyed working class communities.

The sad thing is that no government ever since, of any political persuasion, has done anything about it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: i_ateallthepies on October 22, 2018, 06:13:31 pm
Red Baron, genuine question... what exactly do you consider is wrong with a federation?  It seems to work for the US.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on October 22, 2018, 06:55:16 pm
  Red J anybody could do a better job. just as an aside, My father as many know was In Burma  during the war,and had a bad time, and came back to this country badly wounded and not knowing what sort of life he had in front of him. But he told me on his way home he had to travel via London, Coventry, and bizarrely through the worst of all Hull, he told me he cried along with others on the train, they realised that things had been just as bad at home.
  The country owed the U.S.A money they didn't pay back until this century, a million men were coming home to what,  a country where the cities were bombed flat, and an unknown future. but the countries leaders formed the NHS, nationalised the coal, steel, transport, docks, railways telephones  gas supplies and water. within seven years he with me and mum in tow moved into a brand new council house in Askern everyone was in work, miners sons had a pathway to university through education, the road infrastructure was being planned, new town centres, bridges, and hospitals built, plus many more things so much so that the prime minister within 12 years could turn to the country and say "You have never had it so good" to the population.
  That was because there was a generational thing to make things better, to improve life, and they also did a lot to rebuild Germany, France , Belgium etc. because they wanted to and could.
  Contrast that with moaning you have stolen my future, while standing on the steps of an aeroplane at the start of their gap year, or laying on the floor bladdered on a Friday and Saturday night. and worst of all, contrast the present politicians with Clement Attlee, Churchill, Bevan, who only did what they thought was the best for the country, they must all be turning in their  graves watching this circus.
  And god knows what happened to the ambition to achieve.

Hmm we have one or two things in common in that my dear old grandad was the father of 7 youngsters in the east end of London. He went to war and like your dad ended up as a proud owner of a Burma Star he eventually received in the 1980s, half a stomach from the deprivation and beatings, malaria and all sorts of skin conditions,  he received after years in a Japanese POW camp . He eventually  came home to a scattered family and a blown-up home.

He not only felt he had been forgotten but that his family had been forgotten for years . Perhaps only when his family had managed to get themselves settled in a 3 bedroom pre-fabricated council house for the 9 of them in early 1951could he breathe freely once  again.

I know little about his experiences despite spending many 1000s of hours in his company. What I do know is he never spent his life " hating " , he wasn't that sort of man - he was strong, brave but a modest man who loved his family , loved his country but recognised both the weaknesses and strengths of our country. He never once "claimed " we won the war or to my knowledge  hated a German or the Japanese though was wary of the former and always avoided talk if possible of the latter Japanese.

They were tough years for the whole world Selby and contrary to popular belief we didn't bail out the world, the world bailed out the world. People's of every nation trying to recover their lives, broken bodies, lost lives, communities lost forever , minorities wiped out by genocidal maniacs, cities blown up by atomic bombs, Dresden, Auschwitz, Burmese railroads, 100,000s of women raped by rampaging soldiers etc etc. Etc

However we not just the English, the British or the Yanks WE ALL  managed to rebuild this world, made it safer, educated , created, liberated, made it fairer, moved forward  all this could only be done by all of us dropping most if not all of our " exceptionalist " or xenophobic , mysogynistic attitudes.

You see my grandad and indeed my dad who served in Malaya during the communist uprisings would be appalled at your sweeping comments about our young people . Indeed my own daughter studies abroad and was In Auschwitz only this last Thursday ..... Do you know why these feckless / gap year kids are there or are trekking around the battlefields of Ypres or standing for services at the The Menon  memorial  ? so they don't go fecking backwards , so they learn from the mistakes of the past, so that they can ensure they DON'T happen again. So they can try and put prejudices aside.

I'm not ashamed to say that my daughter would never be able to afford to go but for the Erasmus + scheme. She's educating herself , I hope that she and her generation will not make the mistakes of the past. Do you know what she rooms with a Dane, Chinese , Italian, Norwegian and some Aussies. They learn to live together , learn from one another not sit in isolation.

I know only that my family, ALL her ancestors would be proud of her and the many like her who want to build a brighter future for everyone based on  the extraordinary people who prepared the path for them. People that swore not once but twice that it would be the last time ....Now it HAS to be the last time !

We should not be looking to blow up the path into the future by taking them back to those dark days. I wish my grandad could have met yours because you never know they may well have been mates and I'm sure they wouldn't want to pull our children back or divide and weaken them. I was loathe to post this as it's so personal but after much thought ; I think any youngsters on here should read a different narrative to the one you have laid before them.

The Empire has gone but not the individuality of our people. Our history is always there, our great people are written about and studied more often than not revered. They were at their most creative when they were at their most free and for some you would only equate that with being outwith our neighbours .
I believe that we are shrinking away from our destiny by following the path that leads to a possible cliff edge. 

" Contrast that with moaning you have stolen my future, while standing on the steps of an aeroplane at the start of their gap year, or laying on the floor bladdered on a Friday and Saturday night. "

Selby , I simply don't recognise the sweeping statements above of our young having met them and their international friends. I simply don't know whether to accept my experience of this young generation or the sweeping " Daily Express " fuelled comments that you seem to think exist.
If you don't mind I will stick with my former rather than your latter viewpoint of our young.

Hoola, it's admirable of you to give great praise to many of today's youngsters who make the most of their education, visit other countries, and learn about different people and different cultures; I admire them as well.

However, if you believe that all of today's young generation are like that, then you're living on a different planet to me; spice-heads, crack-heads, violent chavs, foul mouthed drunken women with tattooed necks wanting to fight everybody; that's the reality I see all around me; and no, I don't read the Daily Express or any other newspaper, because they all have left or right wing political agendas, every one of them. I form my opinions on what I see, and what I feel.

I didn't realise it was the bad in Scawsby   :ohmy:

Actually, I don't live in Scawsby NNK, not too far away though. Come on mate, you know as well as I do that this country's been heading this way since Thatcher destroyed working class communities.

The sad thing is that no government ever since, of any political persuasion, has done anything about it.

I know mate, it was said jokingly - hence the smiley.  And you're right, this country has gone to the dogs since Thatcher introduced the Me Me Me culture.  You only need to walk around Doncaster to see what you describe, every day of the week.  And it's not just Doncaster, it's everywhere.  A truly sad state of affairs that will only get worse as we plunge over the cliff edge that is Brexit.
 
The big problem is that the people 'in charge' live in their isolated little cocoons and don't give a damn about anyone but themselves.  So they cut services and freeze/limit pay rises claiming they need to save money but then happily take significantly above inflation pay-rises themselves.  Oh, and fiddle their expenses into the bargain!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on October 22, 2018, 07:50:15 pm
  I wonder if our  political elite would pull together on the same side if we sent a united message that we no longer require their services in parliament or the house of Lords. And cannot see the point of the costs they incur on the taxpayers.
  We are now all quite happy for the EU MP's to represent us in the Eu parliament in Brussels, and for our Laws to be set by the EU courts.
  Do  you think that the parties would speak with one voice.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on October 22, 2018, 08:03:28 pm
  Iateallthepies, there is nothing wrong with this Federation, just ask any German, steer clear of the Greeks and Italians though, and be careful with the Spanish and Portuguese.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on October 22, 2018, 09:26:00 pm
  I wonder if our  political elite would pull together on the same side if we sent a united message that we no longer require their services in parliament or the house of Lords. And cannot see the point of the costs they incur on the taxpayers.
  We are now all quite happy for the EU MP's to represent us in the Eu parliament in Brussels, and for our Laws to be set by the EU courts.
  Do  you think that the parties would speak with one voice.

Of course they would - in self preservation of their own jobs, salaries and directorships!
 
As to our laws being set by Brussels....
 
(https://i.imgur.com/rEr19D8.jpg)
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on October 22, 2018, 10:42:30 pm
For any still wavering or any still dead set on leaving, please read this, please do not dismiss it as ''another guardian'' piece but read it and tell us where it is incorrect or does not stack up.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/oct/22/the-guardian-view-on-the-tories-and-brexit-rage-against-the-facts
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on October 23, 2018, 11:53:58 am
  Sydney I voted to join, I voted to stay in because I new we would fudge it and our leaders are poor. I was fuming at the time and have regretted not having a vote on the Maastricht Treaty, that is when we should have had everything put to us to decide the future.
  Major and Cameron two idiots.

It's an important point about Maastricht. A referendum then would have been about the direction in which the train was travelling and we would have an opportunity to have a say about that. By 2016 it was a case of stay on the train or get off.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on October 23, 2018, 11:55:17 am
Red Baron, genuine question... what exactly do you consider is wrong with a federation?  It seems to work for the US.

States in the USA were never independent nations though. I refer you to Yugoslavia.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on October 23, 2018, 01:39:52 pm
Red Baron, genuine question... what exactly do you consider is wrong with a federation?  It seems to work for the US.

States in the USA were never independent nations though. I refer you to Yugoslavia.

Texas might disagree...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 23, 2018, 02:45:06 pm
TRB

Comparing the EU to Yugoslavia, or to the USSR as Hunt and one idiot on here did recently is really rather silly. It doesn't help the discussion.

Anyone can leave the EU whenever they want. The EU isn't beholden to give them particularly advantageous terms, but that's about the extent of it. The EU is not going to imprison secessionist leaders or send tanks into the capitals of countries who discuss leaving. So making those kind of comparisons is stupid. And doesn't help the tone of the discussion. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on October 23, 2018, 05:33:11 pm
  Red J anybody could do a better job. just as an aside, My father as many know was In Burma  during the war,and had a bad time, and came back to this country badly wounded and not knowing what sort of life he had in front of him. But he told me on his way home he had to travel via London, Coventry, and bizarrely through the worst of all Hull, he told me he cried along with others on the train, they realised that things had been just as bad at home.
  The country owed the U.S.A money they didn't pay back until this century, a million men were coming home to what,  a country where the cities were bombed flat, and an unknown future. but the countries leaders formed the NHS, nationalised the coal, steel, transport, docks, railways telephones  gas supplies and water. within seven years he with me and mum in tow moved into a brand new council house in Askern everyone was in work, miners sons had a pathway to university through education, the road infrastructure was being planned, new town centres, bridges, and hospitals built, plus many more things so much so that the prime minister within 12 years could turn to the country and say "You have never had it so good" to the population.
  That was because there was a generational thing to make things better, to improve life, and they also did a lot to rebuild Germany, France , Belgium etc. because they wanted to and could.
  Contrast that with moaning you have stolen my future, while standing on the steps of an aeroplane at the start of their gap year, or laying on the floor bladdered on a Friday and Saturday night. and worst of all, contrast the present politicians with Clement Attlee, Churchill, Bevan, who only did what they thought was the best for the country, they must all be turning in their  graves watching this circus.
  And god knows what happened to the ambition to achieve.

Hmm we have one or two things in common in that my dear old grandad was the father of 7 youngsters in the east end of London. He went to war and like your dad ended up as a proud owner of a Burma Star he eventually received in the 1980s, half a stomach from the deprivation and beatings, malaria and all sorts of skin conditions,  he received after years in a Japanese POW camp . He eventually  came home to a scattered family and a blown-up home.

He not only felt he had been forgotten but that his family had been forgotten for years . Perhaps only when his family had managed to get themselves settled in a 3 bedroom pre-fabricated council house for the 9 of them in early 1951could he breathe freely once  again.

I know little about his experiences despite spending many 1000s of hours in his company. What I do know is he never spent his life " hating " , he wasn't that sort of man - he was strong, brave but a modest man who loved his family , loved his country but recognised both the weaknesses and strengths of our country. He never once "claimed " we won the war or to my knowledge  hated a German or the Japanese though was wary of the former and always avoided talk if possible of the latter Japanese.

They were tough years for the whole world Selby and contrary to popular belief we didn't bail out the world, the world bailed out the world. People's of every nation trying to recover their lives, broken bodies, lost lives, communities lost forever , minorities wiped out by genocidal maniacs, cities blown up by atomic bombs, Dresden, Auschwitz, Burmese railroads, 100,000s of women raped by rampaging soldiers etc etc. Etc

However we not just the English, the British or the Yanks WE ALL  managed to rebuild this world, made it safer, educated , created, liberated, made it fairer, moved forward  all this could only be done by all of us dropping most if not all of our " exceptionalist " or xenophobic , mysogynistic attitudes.

You see my grandad and indeed my dad who served in Malaya during the communist uprisings would be appalled at your sweeping comments about our young people . Indeed my own daughter studies abroad and was In Auschwitz only this last Thursday ..... Do you know why these feckless / gap year kids are there or are trekking around the battlefields of Ypres or standing for services at the The Menon  memorial  ? so they don't go fecking backwards , so they learn from the mistakes of the past, so that they can ensure they DON'T happen again. So they can try and put prejudices aside.

I'm not ashamed to say that my daughter would never be able to afford to go but for the Erasmus + scheme. She's educating herself , I hope that she and her generation will not make the mistakes of the past. Do you know what she rooms with a Dane, Chinese , Italian, Norwegian and some Aussies. They learn to live together , learn from one another not sit in isolation.

I know only that my family, ALL her ancestors would be proud of her and the many like her who want to build a brighter future for everyone based on  the extraordinary people who prepared the path for them. People that swore not once but twice that it would be the last time ....Now it HAS to be the last time !

We should not be looking to blow up the path into the future by taking them back to those dark days. I wish my grandad could have met yours because you never know they may well have been mates and I'm sure they wouldn't want to pull our children back or divide and weaken them. I was loathe to post this as it's so personal but after much thought ; I think any youngsters on here should read a different narrative to the one you have laid before them.

The Empire has gone but not the individuality of our people. Our history is always there, our great people are written about and studied more often than not revered. They were at their most creative when they were at their most free and for some you would only equate that with being outwith our neighbours .
I believe that we are shrinking away from our destiny by following the path that leads to a possible cliff edge. 

" Contrast that with moaning you have stolen my future, while standing on the steps of an aeroplane at the start of their gap year, or laying on the floor bladdered on a Friday and Saturday night. "

Selby , I simply don't recognise the sweeping statements above of our young having met them and their international friends. I simply don't know whether to accept my experience of this young generation or the sweeping " Daily Express " fuelled comments that you seem to think exist.
If you don't mind I will stick with my former rather than your latter viewpoint of our young.

Hoola, it's admirable of you to give great praise to many of today's youngsters who make the most of their education, visit other countries, and learn about different people and different cultures; I admire them as well.

However, if you believe that all of today's young generation are like that, then you're living on a different planet to me; spice-heads, crack-heads, violent chavs, foul mouthed drunken women with tattooed necks wanting to fight everybody; that's the reality I see all around me; and no, I don't read the Daily Express or any other newspaper, because they all have left or right wing political agendas, every one of them. I form my opinions on what I see, and what I feel.

Yes sorry I do recognise that part of our society but  I hate the way everything seems to have been laid on the doorstep of the EU .
What worries me the most is that when you go on fb, read Twitter,  watch the politics ; it seems that this will all go away once we are impoverished and away from the EU. The two are incompatible totally incompatible . Like Devon/Cornwall, the North East, we in the Yorkshire & Humber Region have benefited from the EU and to my knowledge have not suffered from a  huge influx of foreigners 91.5% White British ( DMBC )

It pisses me off to hear the likes of Caroline Flint saying that " the people of Doncaster have not seen any benefit from their membership of the EU " on Andrew Neil's flagship show last week . Really ? - What were and still are all those blue boards with the European flag all round the DMBC an area recognised as " very poor " and in need of major Re- Development. Typical wtf has she been doing all these years and was it the fault of the Eu that Thatcher decimated our region or that we benefited from little or minimal  government  help in those subsequent Blair years .The reality and the narrative of these supposedly forgotten regions of the EU is picked up by lazy politicians and residents for that matter.

Scawsby, Selby these remarks are a generalisation not necessarily aimed at either of you - anyway we have a team to thrash 2-0 , still it's a night out for the turkey mackems. Yes YOU in the West Stand , I'm standing with you tonight so put the library books down !  :chair:  :scarf:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: i_ateallthepies on October 23, 2018, 05:34:14 pm
Red Baron, genuine question... what exactly do you consider is wrong with a federation?  It seems to work for the US.

States in the USA were never independent nations though. I refer you to Yugoslavia.

I am genuinely interested to know what you consider to be wrong with a federation RB.  Your reply did nothing to answer that.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on October 23, 2018, 06:06:59 pm
Red Baron, genuine question... what exactly do you consider is wrong with a federation?  It seems to work for the US.

States in the USA were never independent nations though. I refer you to Yugoslavia.

I am genuinely interested to know what you consider to be wrong with a federation RB.  Your reply did nothing to answer that.

Yes I'm interested in that too , the folks Stateside our new brethren in t'other 50 States seem to manage to stay proud. Lol
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on October 23, 2018, 06:38:01 pm
TRB

Comparing the EU to Yugoslavia, or to the USSR as Hunt and one idiot on here did recently is really rather silly. It doesn't help the discussion.

Anyone can leave the EU whenever they want. The EU isn't beholden to give them particularly advantageous terms, but that's about the extent of it. The EU is not going to imprison secessionist leaders or send tanks into the capitals of countries who discuss leaving. So making those kind of comparisons is stupid. And doesn't help the tone of the discussion. 

BST

Sorry, but you are missing the point. I was asked in the context of federal unions about the United States. I offered Yugoslavia as a counter example. I wasn't referring to leaving the EU at all. My original point was that if we'd had a referendum on the Maastricht Treaty then at least the EU's moves towards federalism could have been discussed openly.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 23, 2018, 11:00:26 pm
Accepted TRB, but you could have chosen, say, the Federal Republic of Germany. Or The Union of Kalmar. Or Switzerland. Or the Austro-Hungarian Empire.

Those were all highly successful examples of multi-national federations.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on October 24, 2018, 02:39:45 am
Italy and many other countries are pretty much bankrupt, should uk France and Germany keep bailing the poorer counties out? Many countries in the eu have little if any money, at the minute that may be fine but let’s say other very poor countries join the eu, should it be a equal amount they contribute?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on October 24, 2018, 08:41:17 am
Red Baron, genuine question... what exactly do you consider is wrong with a federation?  It seems to work for the US.

States in the USA were never independent nations though. I refer you to Yugoslavia.

Texas might disagree...

Alaska, Hawaii?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on October 24, 2018, 10:09:56 am
Italy and many other countries are pretty much bankrupt, should uk France and Germany keep bailing the poorer counties out? Many countries in the eu have little if any money, at the minute that may be fine but let’s say other very poor countries join the eu, should it be a equal amount they contribute?

Errr Blackpool I think you are getting a bit confused between the EU and the Eurozone. Countries in the EU but not in the Euro don't contribute to any bailouts.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36456277
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on October 24, 2018, 10:17:21 am
https://www.reddit.com/r/ukpolitics/comments/9qrx0n/robert_peston_a_shocked_cabinet_was_today_told_of/
 
[Robert Peston]

A shocked Cabinet was today told of Department of Transport contingency plans to own or lease roll-on roll-off lorry ferries to make sure vital supplies of goods, food and medicines continue to reach these shores if the UK leaves the EU without a deal.

According to work commissioned by Chris Grayling, the transport secretary, a possible French decision to reintroduce customs checks could reduce freight coming into the UK via Dover and the Channel Tunnel by around 85%.

So the UK would in those circumstances have to bring in vital imports to other ports such as the Port of London, Tilbury and Liverpool. The proposed scheme is called GOOL, or Government Owned or Operated Logistics.

“It’s the kind of stuff governments do in a time of war” said one member of the cabinet. “It is as serious as that”.
That said the best precedent for the plan was the creation by Clement Atlee’s Labour government in 1948 of the National Freight Corporation, which was originally known as British Road Services.

In the case of GOOL, three options are being examined: buying ships, leasing them or converting military vessels.
I am told the military option is thought to be the least viable.

“This was the bombshell in a meeting that contained lots of dull stuff” said another minister.

He added that perhaps it would be the “sobering moment” that showed colleagues why a no-deal Brexit would be “so damaging”.

The Cabinet were 'shocked'?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on October 24, 2018, 10:37:21 am
Ah but all that was Project Fear wasn't it? Wasn't it??
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 24, 2018, 11:35:03 am
"A possible French decision to reintroduce Customs checks".

Jesus f**king wept.

WE are leaving the EU.

WE have chosen to leave the Customs Union. 

WE have spent 2 years threatening Europe that we're prepared to leave without any agreement on customs and borders.

Of COURSE there will be customs checks reintroduced at Calais if we don't sort our shit out. That would be a WTO requirement.

This infantile moaning that it's every other f**kers' fault that we're blundering into bloody chaos is unbelievable.

And as you suggest NNK if the Cabinet were shocked, what the f**k have they been expecting to happen?

We are an utter laughing stock.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on October 24, 2018, 11:35:51 am
Italy and many other countries are pretty much bankrupt, should uk France and Germany keep bailing the poorer counties out? Many countries in the eu have little if any money, at the minute that may be fine but let’s say other very poor countries join the eu, should it be a equal amount they contribute?

If the nutjobs in amongst the Tories get there way and push the UK out the UK could quite well be in a similar situation within 1 or decades and if there is another or bigger world recession it could arrive a whole lot sooner. Lots of people on this site would have had a ration book, lots here would not have been ''well off'' in the fifties early sixties, and if it does happen lots are going to have to buy a cap, because you may need to doff it if you want to keep your job under those circumstances.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on October 24, 2018, 11:38:41 am
"A possible French decision to reintroduce Customs checks".

Jesus f**king wept.

WE are leaving the EU.

WE have chosen to leave the Customs Union. 

WE have spent 2 years threatening Europe that we're prepared to leave without any agreement on customs and borders.

Of COURSE there will be customs checks reintroduced at Calais if we don't sort out shit out. That would be a WTO requirement.

This infantile moaning that it's every other f**kers' fault that we're blundering into bloody chaos is unbelievable.

And as you suggest NNK if the Cabinet were shocked, what the f**k have they been expecting to happen?

We are an utter laughing stock.

Goes back to what I’ve said before. Our Government are an utter shambles AND the EU (particularly the French) are determined to make life as difficult as possible for us. The British public are stuck between a rock and a hard place.

Saying that, the French have been known to make life difficult for us while we’re in the EU too.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on October 24, 2018, 11:45:13 am
Italy and many other countries are pretty much bankrupt, should uk France and Germany keep bailing the poorer counties out? Many countries in the eu have little if any money, at the minute that may be fine but let’s say other very poor countries join the eu, should it be a equal amount they contribute?

If the nutjobs in amongst the Tories get there way and push the UK out the UK could quite well be in a similar situation within 1 or decades and if there is another or bigger world recession it could arrive a whole lot sooner. Lots of people on this site would have had a ration book, lots here would not have been ''well off'' in the fifties early sixties, and if it does happen lots are going to have to buy a cap, because you may need to doff it if you want to keep your job under those circumstances.


If they get their way I suspect there won't much longer be a United Kingdom - certainly not one involving more than England and Wales...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on October 24, 2018, 12:13:03 pm
  Sydney I voted to join, I voted to stay in because I new we would fudge it and our leaders are poor. I was fuming at the time and have regretted not having a vote on the Maastricht Treaty, that is when we should have had everything put to us to decide the future.
  Major and Cameron two idiots.

It's an important point about Maastricht. A referendum then would have been about the direction in which the train was travelling and we would have an opportunity to have a say about that. By 2016 it was a case of stay on the train or get off.

Good point TRB, but no one here has really laid out the full case to say what is so bad about being a member, lots get their lines and stories wrong and mostly because of the shit being disgorged by disreputable MPs and media, and still (sorry to keep raising this point) no one with any credibility has ever laid out the advantages of leaving, because there are none that stand up to any scrutiny. One can just say ''I want to leave'' without reason and it would be valid, but what the hell for, just to have an argument?

Unless the way government is run in the UK changes, the government of the day is voted in to make decisions that should benefit the majority and help the country into the future, even if you get to vote on more policy it doesn't mean that you would necessarily like the outcomes, and that's what the govt' of the day did, and as many including me has said later Cameron abrogated responsibility and squibbed it and took a cowardly option. What has been said before the NE of the UK has benefited greatly with funds from the EU, if we leave it will revert to all the money being spent in the Sth East again.

What impresses me greatly is that coming from different points of view all those in this conversation generally discuss it in
a relatively civilised manner and I for one learn a great deal about things long forgotten or missed in the first place.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on October 24, 2018, 08:06:29 pm
Breaking: Theresa May has tonight announced that Tottenham Hotspur have been placed in charge of Brexit negotiations. She believes they will get us out of Europe in next to no time.   ;)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on October 24, 2018, 09:18:39 pm
Some might be interested in the evidence on the export cost so far;
https://theconversation.com/brexit-has-already-hurt-eu-and-non-eu-exports-by-up-to-13-new-research-105334

Given that Leave did not tell voters that this was in prospect even before departure, it does look like a classic mis-selling scam.

We have a Trade Descriptions Act to prevent false marketing propaganda...just saying!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on October 24, 2018, 09:51:08 pm
Im not worried

Whatever is "agreed" there will be trouble in Parliament

In the end there will be a peoples vote on the "agreement".

There may be three options but I expect the third one will ask something like "or lets call the whole thing off"

I expect the Options 1 and 2 will be produce a split vote and that will let Option 3 "in"

We can then return to the place we were 3 years ago and wonder how we squandered all these years and Months and got nowhere

Then we (well not me personally) can get together collectively and push through Proportional Representation as the mainstream Politicians will have failed everyone - and should be replaced by a friendlier model !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on October 28, 2018, 01:12:55 am
Finally the long suffering British public will be able to vote on this with hopefully if not all the facts (you can't help those that don't want to listen) at least most of them and infinitely more than with the first vote.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-eu-referendum-final-say-new-vote-sign-petition-michel-barnier-a8603331.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on October 28, 2018, 02:17:42 pm
1 million sign a petition out of 14 that voted remain and 30 million in total, maybe as many people are not as worried as you would imagine
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on October 28, 2018, 09:45:45 pm
1 million sign a petition out of 14 that voted remain and 30 million in total, maybe as many people are not as worried as you would imagine
No matter what the evidence shows or what is un-covered/reported you never fail to disappoint bpool, 6 people walk into a bar in Harrogate, those that want brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on October 29, 2018, 12:36:41 pm
But it's nothing new Sydney, if I get 2 million people to sign a petition that they want brexit will you agree to it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on October 29, 2018, 01:01:12 pm
But it's nothing new Sydney, if I get 2 million people to sign a petition that they want brexit will you agree to it?

You agree with the tax dodging Etonian millionaires who want to make US poorer. Your opinion isn't valid.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on October 29, 2018, 03:42:37 pm
But it's nothing new Sydney, if I get 2 million people to sign a petition that they want brexit will you agree to it?

You agree with the tax dodging Etonian millionaires who want to make US poorer. Your opinion isn't valid.

Why isn’t his opinion valid?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on October 29, 2018, 03:57:33 pm
But it's nothing new Sydney, if I get 2 million people to sign a petition that they want brexit will you agree to it?

You agree with the tax dodging Etonian millionaires who want to make US poorer. Your opinion isn't valid.

Why isn’t his opinion valid?

I feel like I already said why...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on October 29, 2018, 04:25:06 pm
But it's nothing new Sydney, if I get 2 million people to sign a petition that they want brexit will you agree to it?

You agree with the tax dodging Etonian millionaires who want to make US poorer. Your opinion isn't valid.

Why isn’t his opinion valid?

I feel like I already said why...

No, you said why you didn’t agree with him, not why his opinion is invalid. Are you saying his opinion is invalid because it’s not the same as yours?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: keith79 on October 29, 2018, 04:50:51 pm
We could keep voting till we decide to leave.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on October 29, 2018, 07:35:45 pm
Did you mean stay as we did decide to Leave ?

However as I asked earlier on up the Thread - when in 1975 we decided to join the EEC after a Trial Membership WE the people (not me I voted OUT) Voted by a Majority of 34% (67 ish to 33 ish) to JOIN

That is approx 11 times the Majority that Leave got (ONLY around a 3% Majority)

So I asked the question - when does the Democratic Vote of 1975 end ? For some of the Tory Party that was never respected and they fought again and again to overturn that decision made by a 34% Majority and YET now tell the losers (Remainers) that "the will of the British people"  - based on a 3% Majority - must be respected

Good for them - but I for one hope the Remainers win out in the long run

So I ask again - (anyone) - when does a Vote like 1975 lose its validity ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: i_ateallthepies on October 29, 2018, 07:57:03 pm
John, it ends when you get a spineless Tory politician who puts keeping his job ahead of the good of the people he was elected to represent.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on October 29, 2018, 09:59:44 pm
Are just about all politicians the same, are most people you work with not the same?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on October 29, 2018, 10:30:13 pm
f**king hell the amount of times you've said "all politicians are the same" as if that validates what you're trying to argue in any way.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on October 29, 2018, 10:57:37 pm
f**king hell the amount of times you've said "all politicians are the same" as if that validates what you're trying to argue in any way.
you have nothing to say apart from to swear In every sentence you write, does it make you feel big?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on October 29, 2018, 11:03:11 pm
f**king hell the amount of times you've said "all politicians are the same" as if that validates what you're trying to argue in any way.
you have nothing to say apart from to swear In every sentence you write, does it make you feel big?

I'm right though aren't I. You do always say how all politicians are supposedly the same as if it somehow validates your point.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on October 29, 2018, 11:03:51 pm
Are they not? Am I right that when you swear you feel like a big boy?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on October 29, 2018, 11:14:35 pm
Are they not? Am I right that when you swear you feel like a big boy?

No, they're not. And it is very lazy to say and assume that they are all the same.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on October 29, 2018, 11:19:02 pm
Not all no but the vast majority are, most lie promise what they can't deliver as long as it gets or keeps them in power that's all they are interested in imo.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on October 29, 2018, 11:26:37 pm
Really though? or are you just making a lazy assumption. As usual.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 29, 2018, 11:58:50 pm
Bpool

The very fact that there are huge disagreements between politicians on Brexit pretty much invalidates your point.

There are also huge difference between politicians on issues such as Austerity/public spending, foreign policy, tax policy, private ownership Vs nationalisation, civil liberties, climate change and many other issues.

It is childish to trot out the "they're all the same" line. They are not. Not by any measure.

The fact that most of the electorate don't engage with detailed nuanced argument is the reason why politicians make sweeping simplifications to get points across. So, back in 2010, the Tories won the Austerity debate because lines like "deficit denier" and "maxing out the country's credit card" were easy for people to agree with, while arguments based on Keynesian stimulus at the Lower Bound, or the Paradox of Thrift (although totally correct and of vital importance to the issue at hand and to the future prosperity of the country) take a lot of time and effort to digest.

If you have a gripe with politicians, it's worth reflecting on the thought that we probably get the politicians we deserve. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on October 30, 2018, 01:00:14 am
But it's nothing new Sydney, if I get 2 million people to sign a petition that they want brexit will you agree to it?

The point is bpool you can't, the tide has turned.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on October 30, 2018, 02:57:42 pm
Donny Wolf makes an interesting point about how long should a decision be respected?

Clearly 1975 is too long ago to be relevant in the future.

The issue is the rate of demographic change. The people who will be affected most are the younger voters, so why should they be bound by decisions taken by a generation who have passed?

The churn in the electorate is significant over 5 years.....over 10 years the difference is very important.
As the elderley tend to vote in a similar vein, likewise the young voters coming on to the role.

Renew the mandate every 10 years minimum, with up to 5 years a backstop on matters of great controversy.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on October 30, 2018, 04:15:39 pm
Good reply and I agree with what you say - it seems years ago since that Vote

However we cant surely hold another Referendum on joining the EU again in say 12 years time can we ?

And if we did and voted to re-enter the EU would the same schisms appear with the losing "Politicians" especially the Tory ones disrespecting that 2030 Vote too ?

I will be probably be long gone but a lot on here will have the answer to the question we all have now - have we voted the right way ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on October 30, 2018, 04:31:17 pm
Weird, almost as if it has been years... ;)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on October 30, 2018, 05:22:06 pm
The trouble with a referendum is that the question needs to be clear cut, and the main issues within that set out in an impartial way.

Neither of those criteria applied to the Brexit fiasco. Many folk were not voting for something (eg a Norway option), but just looking to make a protest about the self serving political class. Ironically giving the political opportunists the chance to game the vote for personal advancement.

The EU became a proxy for anger at things nothing to do with Europe.

A referendum can only give you a snapshot at a point in time, even if it was done properly.
Over time opinions change, and new possibilities emerge.

Personally I think a matter like EU membership needed to be presented as part of a developed political strategy, through a palette of options at a general election.

Taking a key decision without knowing the likely format of the new arrangement, let alone costs (and potential benefits) is just like pinning the tail on the donkey, wearing a blindfold.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on October 30, 2018, 11:45:26 pm
''Personally I think a matter like EU membership needed to be presented as part of a developed political strategy, through a palette of options at a general election.

Taking a key decision without knowing the likely format of the new arrangement, let alone costs (and potential benefits) is just like pinning the tail on the donkey, wearing a blindfold''

And you can thank Cameron the Weasel for that one.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on October 31, 2018, 02:26:53 am
But it's nothing new Sydney, if I get 2 million people to sign a petition that they want brexit will you agree to it?

The point is bpool you can't, the tide has turned.
in what way is the tide turning, whatever social media you go on or ask people you know you will find very very few who have changed there mind, all that's happening is the people who voted remain are just becoming more vocal imo of course
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on October 31, 2018, 07:14:28 am
But it's nothing new Sydney, if I get 2 million people to sign a petition that they want brexit will you agree to it?

The point is bpool you can't, the tide has turned.
in what way is the tide turning, whatever social media you go on or ask people you know you will find very very few who have changed there mind, all that's happening is the people who voted remain are just becoming more vocal imo of course

Please respond to my statement that you can't get 2 million signatures.

1 million people have actually signed to say they don't want berkshit and 700,000 got off their backsides to physically show they don't want to go back to serfdom land and 6 people walked into a bar in Harrogate to show the world they mean business and want bullshit, and you bpool make a ''what if'' statement.

Brexit is about as convincing as colonising Mars if we make our world uninhabitable, Mars already is uninhabitable, why bother.

Tell me, as I and others keep asking what are the advantages of leaving the EU.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on October 31, 2018, 07:50:32 am
I agree with Sidney for once this petition is a good thing all it needs now is for another 17 million people to sign it, i.e. A dammed sight more than voted to leave!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on October 31, 2018, 07:59:24 am
I agree with Sidney for once this petition is a good thing all it needs now is for another 17 million people to sign it, i.e. A dammed sight more than voted to leave!
Thanks Sproty I knew you cared, I think it needs a bit of relevance to show the import of such a huge protest and petition, how many other protests and petitions have gained such support?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on October 31, 2018, 08:00:36 am
But it's nothing new Sydney, if I get 2 million people to sign a petition that they want brexit will you agree to it?

The point is bpool you can't, the tide has turned.
in what way is the tide turning, whatever social media you go on or ask people you know you will find very very few who have changed there mind, all that's happening is the people who voted remain are just becoming more vocal imo of course

Please respond to my statement that you can't get 2 million signatures.

1 million people have actually signed to say they don't want berkshit and 700,000 got off their backsides to physically show they don't want to go back to serfdom land and 6 people walked into a bar in Harrogate to show the world they mean business and want bullshit, and you bpool make a ''what if'' statement.

Brexit is about as convincing as colonising Mars if we make our world uninhabitable, Mars already is uninhabitable, why bother.

Tell me, as I and others keep asking what are the advantages of leaving the EU.

Here’s one. Currently, under EU law, the U.K. (and every other member state) is not allowed to carry out wholesale nationalisation of the Railways as it requires governments to open up the rail services to the markets. Leaving the EU will allow us (if Labour win the next election I’d guess) to carry out a renationalisation programme. Something we can’t do presently. In my opinion that’s a tangible advantage of leaving the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 31, 2018, 08:18:46 am
But it's nothing new Sydney, if I get 2 million people to sign a petition that they want brexit will you agree to it?

The point is bpool you can't, the tide has turned.
in what way is the tide turning, whatever social media you go on or ask people you know you will find very very few who have changed there mind, all that's happening is the people who voted remain are just becoming more vocal imo of course

Please respond to my statement that you can't get 2 million signatures.

1 million people have actually signed to say they don't want berkshit and 700,000 got off their backsides to physically show they don't want to go back to serfdom land and 6 people walked into a bar in Harrogate to show the world they mean business and want bullshit, and you bpool make a ''what if'' statement.

Brexit is about as convincing as colonising Mars if we make our world uninhabitable, Mars already is uninhabitable, why bother.

Tell me, as I and others keep asking what are the advantages of leaving the EU.

Here’s one. Currently, under EU law, the U.K. (and every other member state) is not allowed to carry out wholesale nationalisation of the Railways as it requires governments to open up the rail services to the markets. Leaving the EU will allow us (if Labour win the next election I’d guess) to carry out a renationalisation programme. Something we can’t do presently. In my opinion that’s a tangible advantage of leaving the EU.

The UK is the only EU country that doesn't have some form of state-owned passenger rail service company operating. Subsidiaries of the German and Dutch state rail companies actually operate franchises in the UK! And you think the EU won't let British government do it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on October 31, 2018, 10:21:27 am
But it's nothing new Sydney, if I get 2 million people to sign a petition that they want brexit will you agree to it?

The point is bpool you can't, the tide has turned.
in what way is the tide turning, whatever social media you go on or ask people you know you will find very very few who have changed there mind, all that's happening is the people who voted remain are just becoming more vocal imo of course

Please respond to my statement that you can't get 2 million signatures.

1 million people have actually signed to say they don't want berkshit and 700,000 got off their backsides to physically show they don't want to go back to serfdom land and 6 people walked into a bar in Harrogate to show the world they mean business and want bullshit, and you bpool make a ''what if'' statement.

Brexit is about as convincing as colonising Mars if we make our world uninhabitable, Mars already is uninhabitable, why bother.

Tell me, as I and others keep asking what are the advantages of leaving the EU.

Here’s one. Currently, under EU law, the U.K. (and every other member state) is not allowed to carry out wholesale nationalisation of the Railways as it requires governments to open up the rail services to the markets. Leaving the EU will allow us (if Labour win the next election I’d guess) to carry out a renationalisation programme. Something we can’t do presently. In my opinion that’s a tangible advantage of leaving the EU.

The UK is the only EU country that doesn't have some form of state-owned passenger rail service company operating. Subsidiaries of the German and Dutch state rail companies actually operate franchises in the UK! And you think the EU won't let British government do it?

So we could (govt' own) 99% of passenger rail if we wanted?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 31, 2018, 12:26:08 pm
But it's nothing new Sydney, if I get 2 million people to sign a petition that they want brexit will you agree to it?

The point is bpool you can't, the tide has turned.
in what way is the tide turning, whatever social media you go on or ask people you know you will find very very few who have changed there mind, all that's happening is the people who voted remain are just becoming more vocal imo of course

Please respond to my statement that you can't get 2 million signatures.

1 million people have actually signed to say they don't want berkshit and 700,000 got off their backsides to physically show they don't want to go back to serfdom land and 6 people walked into a bar in Harrogate to show the world they mean business and want bullshit, and you bpool make a ''what if'' statement.

Brexit is about as convincing as colonising Mars if we make our world uninhabitable, Mars already is uninhabitable, why bother.

Tell me, as I and others keep asking what are the advantages of leaving the EU.

Here’s one. Currently, under EU law, the U.K. (and every other member state) is not allowed to carry out wholesale nationalisation of the Railways as it requires governments to open up the rail services to the markets. Leaving the EU will allow us (if Labour win the next election I’d guess) to carry out a renationalisation programme. Something we can’t do presently. In my opinion that’s a tangible advantage of leaving the EU.

The UK is the only EU country that doesn't have some form of state-owned passenger rail service company operating. Subsidiaries of the German and Dutch state rail companies actually operate franchises in the UK! And you think the EU won't let British government do it?

So we could (govt' own) 99% of passenger rail if we wanted?

We can have as much state-owned rail as we want, but it has to win a tender for any franchise alongside any other tenders from private companies under competition rules. Which is the best way to do it - it means no compulsory nationalisation and all the costs and negative publicity that entails, and it makes sure that a state-owned company IS the best option. The franchises can be for as many or as few as you want - several regions or one national monopoly - but private companies can't be denied the opportunity to compete for them.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 31, 2018, 12:29:08 pm
Herbert

That old canard keeps getting raised by Left supporters of Brexit.

It's wrong.

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/business/2017/sep/30/experts-reject-labour-leavers-argument-brussels-nationalisation

I wonder why they keep banging on about it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on October 31, 2018, 04:26:59 pm
Herbert

That old canard keeps getting raised by Left supporters of Brexit.

It's wrong.

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/business/2017/sep/30/experts-reject-labour-leavers-argument-brussels-nationalisation

I wonder why they keep banging on about it?

Billy

Under EU rules, the U.K. cannot fully nationalise the railways. It can part nationalise them, but not fully. The management of the infrastructure and the rail services have to be completely separate. This is why, in my original post I said that wholesale renationalisation of the railways is forbidden. Additionally, EU rules dictate that any rail route that has spare capacity or additional time slots for new services must be open to any rail operator to purchase.

These two rules mean that it’s impossible to create a unified and nationalised rail monopoly.

Interestingly, the EU has for sometime held up the UK’s private rail system as the perfect example of a nationwide private rail provision and has encouraged other member states to follow suit.

Also, I don’t believe anything that I read in the newspapers, whether it’s the Guardian or the Mail. They’ve all got their own agendas.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 31, 2018, 04:59:22 pm
Herbert

That old canard keeps getting raised by Left supporters of Brexit.

It's wrong.

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/business/2017/sep/30/experts-reject-labour-leavers-argument-brussels-nationalisation

I wonder why they keep banging on about it?

Billy

Under EU rules, the U.K. cannot fully nationalise the railways. It can part nationalise them, but not fully. The management of the infrastructure and the rail services have to be completely separate. This is why, in my original post I said that wholesale renationalisation of the railways is forbidden. Additionally, EU rules dictate that any rail route that has spare capacity or additional time slots for new services must be open to any rail operator to purchase.

These two rules mean that it’s impossible to create a unified and nationalised rail monopoly.

Interestingly, the EU has for sometime held up the UK’s private rail system as the perfect example of a nationwide private rail provision and has encouraged other member states to follow suit.

Also, I don’t believe anything that I read in the newspapers, whether it’s the Guardian or the Mail. They’ve all got their own agendas.

Two words: Iarnród Éireann
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 31, 2018, 05:12:47 pm
Herbert

That old canard keeps getting raised by Left supporters of Brexit.

It's wrong.

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/business/2017/sep/30/experts-reject-labour-leavers-argument-brussels-nationalisation

I wonder why they keep banging on about it?

Billy

Under EU rules, the U.K. cannot fully nationalise the railways. It can part nationalise them, but not fully. The management of the infrastructure and the rail services have to be completely separate. This is why, in my original post I said that wholesale renationalisation of the railways is forbidden. Additionally, EU rules dictate that any rail route that has spare capacity or additional time slots for new services must be open to any rail operator to purchase.

These two rules mean that it’s impossible to create a unified and nationalised rail monopoly.

Interestingly, the EU has for sometime held up the UK’s private rail system as the perfect example of a nationwide private rail provision and has encouraged other member states to follow suit.

Also, I don’t believe anything that I read in the newspapers, whether it’s the Guardian or the Mail. They’ve all got their own agendas.

If you're talking about that survey they did way back in 2013 - which is all I can find - it was a measure of consumer satisfaction not of the business modelling, and it also predated the rail chaos we've had in Britain since.

Whatever it is you're referring to...doesn't the EU also have it's own agenda..but you believe them?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on October 31, 2018, 05:38:43 pm
Herbert

That old canard keeps getting raised by Left supporters of Brexit.

It's wrong.

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/business/2017/sep/30/experts-reject-labour-leavers-argument-brussels-nationalisation

I wonder why they keep banging on about it?

Billy

Under EU rules, the U.K. cannot fully nationalise the railways. It can part nationalise them, but not fully. The management of the infrastructure and the rail services have to be completely separate. This is why, in my original post I said that wholesale renationalisation of the railways is forbidden. Additionally, EU rules dictate that any rail route that has spare capacity or additional time slots for new services must be open to any rail operator to purchase.

These two rules mean that it’s impossible to create a unified and nationalised rail monopoly.

Interestingly, the EU has for sometime held up the UK’s private rail system as the perfect example of a nationwide private rail provision and has encouraged other member states to follow suit.

Also, I don’t believe anything that I read in the newspapers, whether it’s the Guardian or the Mail. They’ve all got their own agendas.

If you're talking about that survey they did way back in 2013 - which is all I can find - it was a measure of consumer satisfaction not of the business modelling, and it also predated the rail chaos we've had in Britain since.

Whatever it is you're referring to...doesn't the EU also have it's own agenda..but you believe them?

Do I choose to believe who? The EU? Of course I know they have an agenda, however I’m more likely to trust them than a ‘news’paper
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on October 31, 2018, 06:06:18 pm
Herbert

That old canard keeps getting raised by Left supporters of Brexit.

It's wrong.

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/business/2017/sep/30/experts-reject-labour-leavers-argument-brussels-nationalisation

I wonder why they keep banging on about it?

Billy

Under EU rules, the U.K. cannot fully nationalise the railways. It can part nationalise them, but not fully. The management of the infrastructure and the rail services have to be completely separate. This is why, in my original post I said that wholesale renationalisation of the railways is forbidden. Additionally, EU rules dictate that any rail route that has spare capacity or additional time slots for new services must be open to any rail operator to purchase.

These two rules mean that it’s impossible to create a unified and nationalised rail monopoly.

Interestingly, the EU has for sometime held up the UK’s private rail system as the perfect example of a nationwide private rail provision and has encouraged other member states to follow suit.

Also, I don’t believe anything that I read in the newspapers, whether it’s the Guardian or the Mail. They’ve all got their own agendas.

Two words: Iarnród Éireann

I hold my hands up and admit that I’m not 100% certain on this, but I believe that Ireland, along with a number other smaller EU member states, have been arguing that their rail networks are so small in comparison to larger nations, and consequently should be exempt from EU regulations.

So, my argument still stands; as EU members the U.K. cannot fully nationalise it’s railway.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on October 31, 2018, 06:13:46 pm
Herbert

That old canard keeps getting raised by Left supporters of Brexit.

It's wrong.

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/business/2017/sep/30/experts-reject-labour-leavers-argument-brussels-nationalisation

I wonder why they keep banging on about it?

Billy

Under EU rules, the U.K. cannot fully nationalise the railways. It can part nationalise them, but not fully. The management of the infrastructure and the rail services have to be completely separate. This is why, in my original post I said that wholesale renationalisation of the railways is forbidden. Additionally, EU rules dictate that any rail route that has spare capacity or additional time slots for new services must be open to any rail operator to purchase.

These two rules mean that it’s impossible to create a unified and nationalised rail monopoly.

Interestingly, the EU has for sometime held up the UK’s private rail system as the perfect example of a nationwide private rail provision and has encouraged other member states to follow suit.

Also, I don’t believe anything that I read in the newspapers, whether it’s the Guardian or the Mail. They’ve all got their own agendas.

Two words: Iarnród Éireann

I hold my hands up and admit that I’m not 100% certain on this, but I believe that Ireland, along with a number other smaller EU member states, have been arguing that their rail networks are so small in comparison to larger nations, and consequently should be exempt from EU regulations.

So, my argument still stands; as EU members the U.K. cannot fully nationalise it’s railway.



They can if they win all the tenders in open competition.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on October 31, 2018, 10:49:46 pm
I couldn't Sydney no but I'm sure someone could, but a petition means nothing really does it and all the marches they have had mean nothing either, nothing has changed unless I'm missing something
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 01, 2018, 02:19:34 am
Herbert

I'm happy to take your life e that EU membership precludes us from "fully" nationalising our rail network.

So, are you saying that because we cannot fully nationalise our rail network, we should get a half-setter on a big long steel chain and repeatedly smash ourselves in the rest-of-the-economy b*llocks with it?

Because that is precisely what leaving the SM and CU is going to feel like for the rest of the economy.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 01, 2018, 06:38:45 am
Herbert

I'm happy to take your life e that EU membership precludes us from "fully" nationalising our rail network.

So, are you saying that because we cannot fully nationalise our rail network, we should get a half-setter on a big long steel chain and repeatedly smash ourselves in the rest-of-the-economy b*llocks with it?

Because that is precisely what leaving the SM and CU is going to feel like for the rest of the economy.

Billy

The question that was asked was “what are the advantages of leaving the EU?” and I’ve shared one. There are others and, depending on your own personal points of view, there will be many more.

However, there is a much wider point here. The Argument for or against membership has become so aggressive and polarised. Fundamentally we now have two groups of people with opposing views shouting and screaming at each other without actually listening to the arguments of the other side. Consequently we find ourselves in the George W Bush scenario of “you’re either with us or against us”.

The problem with this is that it ignores the fact that EU membership brings advantages and disadvantages, yet because of the referendum and the rhetoric from BOTH sides, we now have one side claiming that membership is a golden ticket for the UK (it isn’t) while the other half claim leaving will deliver utopia (it won’t).


On a radio phone in last week regarding Brexit a lady called in to say that she really doesn’t understand the full implications of membership and yet the debate seems to have turned people into experts on the EU, who before June 2016 couldn’t name one member of the EU council! It’s now become an argument between middle class liberals and champagne socialists on one side and right wing little Englanders on the other, with both telling the rest of the population that they’re stupid! I have some sympathy with that point of view.

Regarding your specific point, I feel that close economic ties with the EU are vital and if that means remaining within the SM and CU then I’ve no problem with that.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 01, 2018, 09:09:35 am
Herbert

I'm happy to take your life e that EU membership precludes us from "fully" nationalising our rail network.

So, are you saying that because we cannot fully nationalise our rail network, we should get a half-setter on a big long steel chain and repeatedly smash ourselves in the rest-of-the-economy b*llocks with it?

Because that is precisely what leaving the SM and CU is going to feel like for the rest of the economy.

Billy

The question that was asked was “what are the advantages of leaving the EU?” and I’ve shared one.

But you haven't really, because we CAN nationalise our railways and anything we like under EU regulations...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 01, 2018, 11:53:44 am
HA:
''However, there is a much wider point here. The Argument for or against membership has become so aggressive and polarised. Fundamentally we now have two groups of people with opposing views shouting and screaming at each other without actually listening to the arguments of the other side. Consequently we find ourselves in the George W Bush scenario of “you’re either with us or against us”. ''

All that is needed is two lists of verifiable facts and predictions from experts and those with cred about the pros and cons of staying or leaving. Leave out the personal reasons.

I put my money on the staying list being infinitely longer, the not having government owned trains argument has already been lost.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 01, 2018, 12:06:31 pm
Herbert

I agree that the level of debate these days is frighteningly polarised.

I don't accept that the blame lies equally on both sides.

There has been a generation-long process on the Right to move away from evidence-based discussion towards where we are now, which is normalisation of outrageous lies.

Yes the other side is not perfect, but there is no equivalence here. There is no one on the Left who comes remotely close to Bannon, or Trump, or Orban, or Farage or The Mail for constant, vicious lying.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 01, 2018, 12:25:03 pm
And talking about nasty, lying bas**rds on the Right...

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-46056337

What timing.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 01, 2018, 12:29:44 pm
HA:
''However, there is a much wider point here. The Argument for or against membership has become so aggressive and polarised. Fundamentally we now have two groups of people with opposing views shouting and screaming at each other without actually listening to the arguments of the other side. Consequently we find ourselves in the George W Bush scenario of “you’re either with us or against us”. ''

All that is needed is two lists of verifiable facts and predictions from experts and those with cred about the pros and cons of staying or leaving. Leave out the personal reasons.

I put my money on the staying list being infinitely longer, the not having government owned trains argument has already been lost.


The "staying list" may be infinitely longer Sydney, that's not the point that I'm making. The point is that the debate (if you can call it that) has descended into a petulant tit for tat screaming match with BOTH sides responsible. In my lifetime I've never seen political debate reduced to such childish petulance. For a country who's mantra is 'Keep Calm and Carry on' we don't seem to be doing a particularly good job of that. Divide and Conquer eh?

BTW, I'm very interested to know why you feel the nationalisation of the railways argument has been lost?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 01, 2018, 12:50:04 pm
f**k me.

Look what he's being referred for.

https://mobile.twitter.com/carolecadwalla/status/1057969796552314880

No evidence that the money he put into the Leave campaign was his. Allegations of criminal behaviour.

This has massive implications for the Brexit situation. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 01, 2018, 01:06:41 pm
Why? We're leaving get over it
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 01, 2018, 01:07:52 pm
Herbert

I agree that the level of debate these days is frighteningly polarised.

I don't accept that the blame lies equally on both sides.

There has been a generation-long process on the Right to move away from evidence-based discussion towards where we are now, which is normalisation of outrageous lies.

Yes the other side is not perfect, but there is no equivalence here. There is no one on the Left who comes remotely close to Bannon, or Trump, or Orban, or Farage or The Mail for constant, vicious lying.

Billy,

I do agree with much of what you say - the right has long taken a more 'populist' approach to achieve its aims. However, specifically within the Brexit debate, my personal experience has been that both sides of the argument have resorted to lies (or misleading information if I were to be charitable). If anyone could be arsed I'm sure that they could find some whoppers; the Nick Clegg description as a 'dangerous fantasy' the claim that Junker wanted to create a European Army. Some months later Junker (with the backing of Germany) called for the EU to push ahead with an EU army. Then of course, you've got the outrageous lies about Turkish membership of the EU. Tory MP, and Brexit supporter Penny Moudaunt claimed that the UK did not have a veto on Turkey joining the EU. This was completely wrong.

You could argue which sides lies caused the most damage but that's a but thats not really the point. They are both guilty of, at best spinning, and at worst lying, to the British people.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 01, 2018, 01:21:31 pm
Herbert

You chose a spectacularly bad example there. I suggest you go back and look specifically at what Clegg said.

He wasn't calling CLAIMS that Juncker wanted an EU army "dangerous fantasies". He was calling Juncker's call for an EU army a dangerous fantasy.

That is a perfect example of the political zeitgeist. The original meaning gets deliberately turned round to mean the precise opposite. And people buy it. And  that approach comes I overwhelmingly from the Right.

There was a perfect example in the US the other day. Nancy Pelosi was explainung how the Republican party works in partnership with right wing media to spread malicious false stories. Part of the video was taken deliberately out of context in a way that made it sound like she was explaining what SHE did to spread false stories. And it went viral with gullible people on social media being taken in and horrified that the Democrats could be so brazen.

And as I say, it comes overwhelmingly from the Right. I'm sick of this "both sides are as bad as each other" argument. They aren't.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 01, 2018, 01:37:53 pm
This is what the Farages and the Trumps and The Mails have done.

They lie and they lie and they lie and they normalised lying. And then they spin it around and say, "of course EVERYONE on the other side is lying to you".

They are evil, corrupting people. And if you swallow it and repeat it, you're being played by them.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 01, 2018, 02:50:18 pm
Herbert

You chose a spectacularly bad example there. I suggest you go back and look specifically at what Clegg said.

He wasn't calling CLAIMS that Juncker wanted an EU army "dangerous fantasies". He was calling Juncker's call for an EU army a dangerous fantasy.

That is a perfect example of the political zeitgeist. The original meaning gets deliberately turned round to mean the precise opposite. And people buy it. And  that approach comes I overwhelmingly from the Right.

There was a perfect example in the US the other day. Nancy Pelosi was explainung how the Republican party works in partnership with right wing media to spread malicious false stories. Part of the video was taken deliberately out of context in a way that made it sound like she was explaining what SHE did to spread false stories. And it went viral with gullible people on social media being taken in and horrified that the Democrats could be so brazen.

And as I say, it comes overwhelmingly from the Right. I'm sick of this "both sides are as bad as each other" argument. They aren't.

Billy,

Not such a spectacularly bad example.

During a TV debate with Farage in 2014, this is what was said in response to a question regarding UK influence on EU foreign policy:

Farage: The whole point of this debate is that 40 years on it was a Common Market, now its a European Union that wants an Army, an Air Force, a Navy to intervene in foreign policy, indeed one of your senior MEP's wanted missile strikes against Syria.

Clegg: This is a dangerous fantasy. The idea that there is going to be a European Air Force, a European Army, this is simply not true. The problem with people like Nigel Farage is they swing at windmills, they see conspracies everywhere. I wouldn't be suprised if he told us that the moon landings were a fake, that Barak Obama isn't American or that Elvis isn't dead! It is not going to happen!

No mention of Junker.It seems to me that he was being quite clear; Farage claimed the EU wants a collective Armed Force, Clegg said that wasn't true. Now, you could be right that this isn't what he meant but if so, it's a pretty bad gaff for someone who, at the time, was Deputy PM.

Again, I stand by my point that neither side are whiter than white.

NB - though looking at the news headlines this afternoon, it seems that there's been some extremely dodgy dealings within the leave campaign


Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 01, 2018, 06:27:54 pm
Herbert.

My apologies. I overstepped that one. I was going on what Clegg said a year later.

https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk/foreign-affairs/news/71123/nick-clegg-eu-army-dangerous-fantas

The core of the issue is still correct though. The EU will never have an army because it would take support from all states to initiate it. It doesn't matter what Juncker says. No way is an Orban or a Tsipras going to vote for that, nevermind Britain. So Farage was and continues to peddle something that he knows there is no substance to.

As for today's news. Well that's a different order of magnitude. When it comes out that Banks's £8m actually came from a hostile foreign power to pay for him peddling lies about the EU in order to clinch the Leave vote, then there'll be fun and games. There's a word for that. Treason.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on November 01, 2018, 07:22:27 pm
Why? We're leaving get over it
So you don't care that our country's democracy was bought by a foreign agent on behalf of a foreign power because you get to thumb your nose at the other side. I thought it was the lefties that were supposed to hate Britain?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on November 01, 2018, 07:47:53 pm
  I think Cameron and Osborne should be tried for treason, or should it be for idiocy.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 01, 2018, 08:16:47 pm
Why? We're leaving get over it
So you don't care that our country's democracy was bought by a foreign agent on behalf of a foreign power because you get to thumb your nose at the other side. I thought it was the lefties that were supposed to hate Britain?

Quite amazing isn't it? These self-coloured patriots don't give a flying f**k about the evidence that a hostile power poured money into Leave.EU to get the specific result they wanted.

With patriots like this, who needs enemies?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Pancho Regan on November 01, 2018, 09:09:59 pm
Why? We're leaving get over it

Unbelievable, but also scary
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 01, 2018, 10:00:37 pm
  I think Cameron and Osborne should be tried for treason, or should it be for idiocy.

If you haven't already read it then 'All Out War', Tim Shipman's book on the referendum campaign is a great read and a good insight into what most of the major players were thinking about during the campaign.

Cameron had his own polling company the running during the campaign. When the national polls were showing a very tight race and reports from campaigners on the doorsteps came back saying there was a lot of support for leave, Cameron was never worried, or changed his campaign tactics, as his polling showed remain well ahead. He was even more confident on referendum night as his poll showed remain with an 11 point lead....

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 01, 2018, 10:46:03 pm
Why? We're leaving get over it
So you don't care that our country's democracy was bought by a foreign agent on behalf of a foreign power because you get to thumb your nose at the other side. I thought it was the lefties that were supposed to hate Britain?

Quite amazing isn't it? These self-coloured patriots don't give a flying f**k about the evidence that a hostile power poured money into Leave.EU to get the specific result they wanted.

With patriots like this, who needs enemies?

What's even more ridiculous is those that were voting Leave because they wanted to 'stick it to the establishment' did so by - so they think - giving them more control over their lives!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 01, 2018, 11:07:16 pm
f**k me.

Look what he's being referred for.

https://mobile.twitter.com/carolecadwalla/status/1057969796552314880

No evidence that the money he put into the Leave campaign was his. Allegations of criminal behaviour.

This has massive implications for the Brexit situation. 
.

Strange. I'd have expected Corbyn to be all over this story. Given that he was in favour of us Remaining, and campaigned so vigorously for us to Remain, I'd have expected him to.be incandescent to learn that a prominent Leave funder is facing a criminal investigation over that funding.

But not a dickie bird from him. How odd.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 01, 2018, 11:57:34 pm
96 pages and counting, look back and see if any leavers actually want to discuss facts or just want to distract and ignore direct questions, I think as the stayers have been supported by most if no all experts and business leaders with examinations of the leave case its myths and distortions that the leavers can have first go.

Name a single credible reason for leaving that would advantage the majority (leave out your personal feelings/reasons puleeese)

When that has been achieved it's the stayers turn.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 02, 2018, 12:49:18 am
96 pages and counting, look back and see if any leavers actually want to discuss facts or just want to distract and ignore direct questions, I think as the stayers have been supported by most if no all experts and business leaders with examinations of the leave case its myths and distortions that the leavers can have first go.

Name a single credible reason for leaving that would advantage the majority (leave out your personal feelings/reasons puleeese)

When that has been achieved it's the stayers turn.

Sydney

I’ve already stated that one advantage of leaving the EU is that the UK will be able to nationalise the railways. Does this meet your criteria of “a single credible reason” for leaving?

BTW, I’m not claiming to be Remain or Brexit, however claiming that there’s no positives to leaving is simply wrong. Whether they outweigh the advantages of remaining Areca different matter.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 02, 2018, 03:08:50 am
96 pages and counting, look back and see if any leavers actually want to discuss facts or just want to distract and ignore direct questions, I think as the stayers have been supported by most if no all experts and business leaders with examinations of the leave case its myths and distortions that the leavers can have first go.

Name a single credible reason for leaving that would advantage the majority (leave out your personal feelings/reasons puleeese)

When that has been achieved it's the stayers turn.

Sydney

I’ve already stated that one advantage of leaving the EU is that the UK will be able to nationalise the railways. Does this meet your criteria of “a single credible reason” for leaving?

BTW, I’m not claiming to be Remain or Brexit, however claiming that there’s no positives to leaving is simply wrong. Whether they outweigh the advantages of remaining Areca different matter.
I'm afraid not HA as many have challenged this to say that being in the EU does not preclude the government owning railway assets, it depends on how its done.

The new EU regulations promote competition for the market between rail operators irrespective of ownership structure, but not privatisation. As far as renationalisation is concerned the reality is that, unless the rules are interpreted in an extreme way, they do not make it any easier or more difficult than the structure in place at the moment. The only thing that the new system will almost certainly rule out is state monopolies that do not have to compete with rivals to win franchises, renationalised or otherwise.
http://theconversation.com/fact-check-do-new-eu-rules-make-it-impossible-to-renationalise-railways-61180

Labour 'could nationalise railways in five years', John McDonnell claims

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/nationalise-railways-labour-john-mcdonnell-renationalise-public-transport-a8549921.html

https://www.ft.com/content/90c0f8e8-17fd-11e8-9e9c-25c814761640

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 02, 2018, 07:18:40 am
f**k me.

Look what he's being referred for.

https://mobile.twitter.com/carolecadwalla/status/1057969796552314880

No evidence that the money he put into the Leave campaign was his. Allegations of criminal behaviour.

This has massive implications for the Brexit situation. 
.

Strange. I'd have expected Corbyn to be all over this story. Given that he was in favour of us Remaining, and campaigned so vigorously for us to Remain, I'd have expected him to.be incandescent to learn that a prominent Leave funder is facing a criminal investigation over that funding.

But not a dickie bird from him. How odd.
Not completely Sure if your being sarcastic there . Are you ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 02, 2018, 06:11:49 pm
f**k me.

Look what he's being referred for.

https://mobile.twitter.com/carolecadwalla/status/1057969796552314880

No evidence that the money he put into the Leave campaign was his. Allegations of criminal behaviour.

This has massive implications for the Brexit situation. 
.

Strange. I'd have expected Corbyn to be all over this story. Given that he was in favour of us Remaining, and campaigned so vigorously for us to Remain, I'd have expected him to.be incandescent to learn that a prominent Leave funder is facing a criminal investigation over that funding.

But not a dickie bird from him. How odd.
Not completely Sure if your being sarcastic there . Are you ?

Well at a guess I would say that Billy wondering why Corbyn, who isn't in power and can pronounce for all he is worth on any subject he wants without it having any effect whatsoever, when there is a story in (some) newspapers that the actual prime minister who has actual power and whose actual pronouncements do matter, apparently blocked the security services from investigating Mr Banks when they thought he was a threat to national security, says a lot more about Mr Stubbs political allegencies and dislike of certain labour politicians than it does about his concern over Aaron Banks. But thats just my guess.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 02, 2018, 08:22:10 pm
That would be a very perceptive analysis Wilts.

Except...

Oh aye. Opposition parties do, and this one does, pronounce on everything from the economy to policy on Palestine to university fees, to the NHS, to ownership of buses. So I'll say again.  It's odd that Corbyn isn't looking to put political pressure on the Govt on THE central issue of the present and the near future.

Regarding May, well yes, she has some very serious questions to answer on Banks. Which makes it even odder that Labour isn't raising this issue.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 02, 2018, 11:16:50 pm
Billy, the people have spoken! BREXIT  means BREXIT! Nobody wants to rock that vote.
 
Whover takes us out of the EU is going to look pretty damn stupid and will go down in history in a very bad way.
 
Corbyn doesn't want that mantle, (just as Gove, Mogg and Johnson don't), so he, (just like them), would rather the country go to the dogs than to upset the 'people'. Sad, very sad, when position becomes more important than people.
 
Just my opinion mind.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on November 03, 2018, 07:34:46 am
There is a lot of merit in what you say.

Just as Camerons legacy (if we actually leave) will be the fool that took us out or allowed the Vote that took us out so will be the PM who presides over it being "thwarted" (if we actually stay)

That is why I am thinking that "they" (probably May for one and Corbyn) are playing a waiting game hoping that the People in the guise of a Second Vote will be the ones that "thwart" the original Vote in which "the people" voted to Leave

"They" can then throw up their arms (mostly in mock horror) and blame the People for denying the People - perfect scenario for escaping the impossible situation for them. Again that is just what I think they might be thinking and in some cases HOPING- and of course it could be a crock of s**t
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 03, 2018, 09:21:51 am
I couldn't Sydney no but I'm sure someone could, but a petition means nothing really does it and all the marches they have had mean nothing either, nothing has changed unless I'm missing something

As I said: ''the tide has turned''

Majority in all Labour seats back second referendum, study says

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/nov/02/majority-in-all-labour-seats-back-second-referendum-study-says

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 04, 2018, 12:43:52 pm
I couldn't Sydney no but I'm sure someone could, but a petition means nothing really does it and all the marches they have had mean nothing either, nothing has changed unless I'm missing something

As I said: ''the tide has turned''

Majority in all Labour seats back second referendum, study says

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/nov/02/majority-in-all-labour-seats-back-second-referendum-study-says



That's nothing...have you heard Arron Banks latest position..?

https://twitter.com/Haggis_UK/status/1059039362644631557

Unf**kingbelievable what some people will say when their collar's being felt!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 04, 2018, 02:02:41 pm
Unless this man has some very powerful protectors, he's going down.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-46089236

He had a chance in this interview to give clear evidence on what was the source of the money that he poured into the Leave campaign. He dissembled, bullshitted and then flipped into claiming it was a Remain plot.

If that's the best he can do, he's in very, very serious trouble.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 04, 2018, 02:09:11 pm
And to be honest, the interview with Marr didn't even scratch the surface of some of the things that he's been accused of.

How a company that made a £250k loss in 2016 could have paid £9m to bankroll the Leave campaign.

What are the extent of his links with Russian diplomats and businessmen that only started when he became a prominent Leave supporter.

Why he has consistently lied about these links, firstly denying they existed, then admitting to only one or two meetings before finally admitting that he'd met the Russian Ambassador more than a dozen times.

Whether and why he was offered lucrative shares in gold and diamond mines owned by Russian companies.

Whether he illegally used the phone centre staff from his insurance company to work on the Leave campaign without declaring this.

Does any Leave supporter look at this and have the slightest worry that they've been played?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 04, 2018, 05:11:21 pm

What are the extent of his links with Russian diplomats and businessmen that only started when he became a prominent Leave supporter.


Here's a mad conspiracy theory for you. Turn that sentence around, did his links with Russian 'businessmen' suddenly lead to him becoming a prominent Leave backer & funder? Was it all just a plot to launder Russian money in British politics that backfired when they actually won against all expectations and now face a lot more scrutiny than they would have done if they had lost?

Or put another way, how did someone who was on the verge of bankrupcy in 2013 suddenly become worth £100 million in 2015? That's a lot of Go Skippy policies.

https://www.opendemocracy.net/uk/brexitinc/adam-ramsay/how-did-arron-banks-afford-brexit
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 04, 2018, 05:17:32 pm
Possibly Wilts.

Still not a word from Corbyn on the matter. Although he has found time to Tweet about a picture that a bairn drew of him. So that's nice.

https://mobile.twitter.com/jeremycorbyn/status/1058856943090049024
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: i_ateallthepies on November 04, 2018, 05:38:19 pm

Does any Leave supporter look at this and have the slightest worry that they've been played?

A few may do BST.  I suspect a great many of them will see him as some sort of folk hero who helped deliver the result they wanted and don't give a flying f**k that it was achieved by criminal means.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 04, 2018, 10:42:57 pm
The plot thickens....
 
https://www.opendemocracy.net/uk/brexitinc/james-cusick-adam-ramsay-crina-boros/revealed-tory-mps-using-taxpayers-cash-to-fund-sec
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 05, 2018, 01:01:48 am
Well.

Here's one strident Brexit supporter who is having pause for thought.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-6348317/amp/PETER-OBORNE-voted-Brexit-claims-Russian-influence-deeply-troubling.html?__twitter_impression=true

And YES, I KNOW it's The Mail.

And YES, I KNOW that I've said I wouldn't wipe my arse on anything that paper said.

This is an Opinion  piece from someone on the Right that I very much respect as a thinker. Not a story by some hack journalist making up facts to fit what the Editor wants.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on November 05, 2018, 10:17:02 am
The Mail seems to have changed quite a bit since Dacre stepped down as Editor. Although Oborne is an independent thinker and is usually one of the better reads among columnists.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 05, 2018, 12:20:35 pm
TRB

It does actually. It shows what a malign influence Dacre was. A hateful man who has done much to poison public debate in this country.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on November 05, 2018, 04:26:47 pm
TRB

It does actually. It shows what a malign influence Dacre was. A hateful man who has done much to poison public debate in this country.

The chap who is now editor used to edit the Mail's sister Sunday paper and that came out for Remain in the Referendum. I wonder if there is some hedging of bets going on from the Mail's owners?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 05, 2018, 04:30:50 pm
Aye well, they'd be in good company.

Kelvin McKenzie regrets stirring up Europhobia whilst at the Sun.

Arron Banks says it would have been better if we'd voted Remain.

Boris Johnson has kept his options open by saying that we'd be better off having no Brexit than a half and half.

Edit.

Did I say "good" company? I meant "utterly repulsive" company.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on November 05, 2018, 08:26:55 pm
The issue with the allegations against Banks is whether if proven, it means the referendum was unlawful.
Some interesting thoughts here;
https://theconversation.com/arron-banks-criminal-investigation-could-evidence-against-him-make-brexit-void-106281

So if Banks is bang to rights, it is not just a question of him getting his come-uppence for the swerve, but if the law will allow the Brexit show to stay on the road?

What then, Theresa?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 05, 2018, 08:43:22 pm
That odious Kitson Banks. THIS is the sort of shite that he facilitated, when acting as a conduit to pour Kremlin money into the Brexit campaign.

http://brexitballs.com/fakes-debunked/arron-banks-leave-eu-fake-exposed-does-anyone-care/

But of course, that didn't influence anyone.

And both sides lied.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 06, 2018, 05:40:56 pm
Bad news for anyone in Doncaster who is sick of Brexit and wishes it was all over, it seems you are going to hear a lot more about it

https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/labour-mps-ready-to-back-brexit-deal-face-hope-not-hate-led-ground-campaign_uk_5bd06f90e4b0a8f17ef2b78b
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on November 06, 2018, 06:25:34 pm
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-46109889

Looks like the Government might have something to try and sell ...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 06, 2018, 06:42:49 pm
Except we're still no nearer having a solution to the Irish border.

The EU won't accept a temporary deal with the entire UK staying in the CU.

The Tory party won't accept a permanent deal.

So, it looks like we're in line for three weeks of piss and wind flannel to convince us that the Great Leader has led us to a historic turning point. When in fact, the core problem still hasn't been solved. Because it's not soluble.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on November 06, 2018, 07:33:28 pm
BST

I suspect Barnier has proposed something in private which the Cabinet has gone over today. The Attorney-General was in Cabinet which suggests he is going over the wording.

The key will be Round 2 of the Cabinet later this week, and whether any of the remaining Brexiteers break ranks. If they do, there will be nothing to sell.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 06, 2018, 08:02:34 pm
TRB

If there is a dealing the offing, it can only be a clever use of language. The two positions are mutually incompatible. But I suppose you should never underestimate politicians' ability to make the same set of words mean two different things.

Any deal will revolve around the EU being able to convince Ireland that the backstop in permanent, while May sells it to the UK as temporary.

Question then is going to be whether any of the Tory Brexit-sceptics have the courage of their convictions, and vote down that deal.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on November 06, 2018, 08:37:15 pm
That's the kind of sleight-of-hand I think is being proposed. They know that a group of Tory backbenchers will vote against it. The PR offensive will be aimed at the DUP, the Lib Dems and Labour backbenchers who are desperate to avoid No Deal.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 06, 2018, 08:53:37 pm
But that's a useless negotiating strategy. Because no one believes that the Govt would go for No Deal.

If Parliament votes down the sham that's coming, the alternative isn't No Deal. The alternative is the end of May and probably a General Election.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on November 06, 2018, 09:09:32 pm
But that's a useless negotiating strategy. Because no one believes that the Govt would go for No Deal.

If Parliament votes down the sham that's coming, the alternative isn't No Deal. The alternative is the end of May and probably a General Election.

I think they will emphasise the lack of time and the risk of No Deal by default. There was a school of thought that WW1 started because no-one could agree on an alternative. Ditto a No Deal Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on November 06, 2018, 09:27:08 pm
But that's a useless negotiating strategy. Because no one believes that the Govt would go for No Deal.

If Parliament votes down the sham that's coming, the alternative isn't No Deal. The alternative is the end of May and probably a General Election.

I think they will emphasise the lack of time and the risk of No Deal by default. There was a school of thought that WW1 started because no-one could agree on an alternative. Ditto a No Deal Brexit.

Not quite RB
At six o’clock in the evening on July 23, 1914, nearly one month after the assassination of Austrian Archduke Franz Ferdinand and his wife by a young Serbian nationalist in Sarajevo, Bosnia, Baron Giesl von Gieslingen, ambassador of the Austro-Hungarian Empire to Serbia, delivers an ultimatum to the Serbian foreign ministry.

Acting with the full support of its allies in Berlin, Austria-Hungary had determined in the aftermath of Franz Ferdinand’s assassination to pursue a hard-line policy towards Serbia. Their plan, developed in coordination with the German foreign office, was to force a military conflict that would, Vienna hoped, end quickly and decisively with a crushing Austrian victory before the rest of Europe—namely, Serbia’s powerful ally, Russia—had time to react. As the German ambassador to Vienna reported to his government on July 14, the [note] to Serbia is being composed so that the possibility of its being accepted is practically excluded.

According to the terms of the ultimatum delivered on July 23, the Serbian government would have to accept an Austro-Hungarian inquiry into the assassination, notwithstanding its claim that it was already conducting its own internal investigation. Serbia was also to suppress all anti-Austrian propaganda and to take steps to root out and eliminate terrorist organizations within its borders—one such organization, the Black Hand, was believed to have aided and abetted the archduke’s killer, Gavrilo Princip, and his cohorts, providing weapons and safe passage from Belgrade to Sarajevo. The Dual Monarchy demanded an answer to the note within 48 hours—by that time, however, anticipating Serbian defiance, Gieslingen had already packed his bags and prepared to leave the embassy.


While the world waited for Serbia’s response, Germany worked diplomatically to contain the effects of the ultimatum, but none of the other great powers, with reason, were inclined to see Austria-Hungary, with its relatively weak military, as acting alone. By 1914, the battle lines had been drawn in Europe: if Germany stood with Austria-Hungary against Serbia (and by extension, Russia) then Russia’s allies, France and Britain, would be likely to step into the fray as well.

The British cabinet, just after receiving the news of the Austrian note to Serbia, held a meeting in London, one that had previously been devoted to discussing Ireland’s desire for independence. This note, as Winston Churchill famously wrote, was clearly an ultimatum, but it was an ultimatum such as had never been penned in modern times. As the reading proceeded it seemed absolutely impossible that any State in the world could accept it, or that any acceptance, however abject, would satisfy the aggressor. The parishes of Fermanagh and Tyrone faded back into the mists and squalls of Ireland, and a strange light beganto fall upon the map of Europe.

On receipt of the ultimatum, Serbia at once appealed to Russia, whose council of ministers met on July 24 to determine a course of action. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Sazonov voiced his belief that Germany was using the crisis over the archduke’s death as a pretext for starting a preventive war to defend its interests in the region. Defying Austro-German expectations that Russia would back down in the case of such a conflict, the council agreed to order four military districts to prepare for mobilization.


Meanwhile, in Belgrade on the afternoon of July 25, convinced that Austria-Hungary was preparing for a fight, Serbian Prime Minister Nicola Pasic ordered the Serbian army to mobilize. Pasic himself delivered the Serbian answer to the ultimatum to Gieslingen at the Austrian embassy, just before the 6 p.m. deadline. Serbia’s response effectively accepted all terms of the ultimatum but one: it would not accept Austria-Hungary’s participation in any internal inquiry, stating that this would be a violation of the Constitution and of the law of criminal procedure. This response did much to appeal Pasic and his country to international observers of the conflict; to Vienna, however, it made little difference. Gieslingen, bags packed and car waiting to drive him to the railroad station, broke the Dual Monarchy’s diplomatic relations with Serbia and left to catch his train. Three days later, on July 28, 1914, Austria-Hungary declared war on Serbia, beginning the First World War.

Citation Information

Article Title
Austria-Hungary issues ultimatum to Serbia
Author
History.com Editors
Website Name
HISTORY
URL
https://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/austria-hungary-issues-ultimatum-to-serbia
Access Date
November 6, 2018
Publisher
A&E Television Networks
Last Updated
August 21, 2018
Original Published Date
October 28, 2009
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 06, 2018, 09:58:27 pm
But that's a useless negotiating strategy. Because no one believes that the Govt would go for No Deal.

If Parliament votes down the sham that's coming, the alternative isn't No Deal. The alternative is the end of May and probably a General Election.

I think they will emphasise the lack of time and the risk of No Deal by default. There was a school of thought that WW1 started because no-one could agree on an alternative. Ditto a No Deal Brexit.

There's a huge difference though between those 2 analogies TRB, if in 1914 people had known what WWI was going to involve would they have started/participated in it? Well we know what No Deal will involve.

A big factor in the Brexit vote is going to be this amendable motion. If Parliament doesn't like it, can they suggest something else - or will it be a take it or leave it?

Still I suggest stocking up on corned beef just in case...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 06, 2018, 10:06:11 pm
But that's a useless negotiating strategy. Because no one believes that the Govt would go for No Deal.

If Parliament votes down the sham that's coming, the alternative isn't No Deal. The alternative is the end of May and probably a General Election.

I think they will emphasise the lack of time and the risk of No Deal by default. There was a school of thought that WW1 started because no-one could agree on an alternative. Ditto a No Deal Brexit.

That analogy doesn't work.

There is a clear majority in Parliament against a No Deal Brexit.

There is absolutely no reason why we should stumble into a No Deal outcome.

If it looked as though the Govt was taking us down that route (which itself would be beyond idiotic, since it would secure the historical position if Teresa May as THE most catastrophic PM ever) then there would be a vote of No Confidence in the Govt, which would pass easily.

May has been trying to pass of No Deal as an outcine that should be taken seriously, in an attempt to bolster her negotiating position. But it's stupid and it's inconceivable. It's the equivalent of saying "Give me what I demand or I'll...or I'll...or I'll blow my head off.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 07, 2018, 09:09:49 am
But that's a useless negotiating strategy. Because no one believes that the Govt would go for No Deal.

If Parliament votes down the sham that's coming, the alternative isn't No Deal. The alternative is the end of May and probably a General Election.

I think they will emphasise the lack of time and the risk of No Deal by default. There was a school of thought that WW1 started because no-one could agree on an alternative. Ditto a No Deal Brexit.

That analogy doesn't work.

There is a clear majority in Parliament against a No Deal Brexit.

There is absolutely no reason why we should stumble into a No Deal outcome.

If it looked as though the Govt was taking us down that route (which itself would be beyond idiotic, since it would secure the historical position if Teresa May as THE most catastrophic PM ever) then there would be a vote of No Confidence in the Govt, which would pass easily.

May has been trying to pass of No Deal as an outcine that should be taken seriously, in an attempt to bolster her negotiating position. But it's stupid and it's inconceivable. It's the equivalent of saying "Give me what I demand or I'll...or I'll...or I'll blow my head off.

Not only that, but if there was going to be a General Election, or even a second referendum (whether after another General Election or not), the EU will almost certainly agree to an Article 50 extension.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on November 07, 2018, 09:51:40 am
I agree there is no majority for No Deal and I don't think there is any way May could get a modified version of the Chequers Plan through Parliament.

I am wondering whether the Government is looking to put a variant of the Norway Model on the table. Stay in the Single Market and also the Customs Union (the latter at least until something workable can be developed to deal with the Irish Border). That would almost certainly be acceptable to the EU. (The contentious bit would be the CU, hence why the Attorney-General has been so involved of late).

May could then present that as the only game in town, other than No Deal. Yes, 40-50 Tory MPs would be dead against, and Farage would do his nut. Her aim would be to persuade enough other MPs to vote for the Deal, and hold up the spectre of No Deal.

If it doesn't work then we probably do have a GE, a Labour Government and maybe a Second Referendum with Remain on the ballot paper. That might even be enough to get a few Tory Brexiteers (not all of course) to think again.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 07, 2018, 03:23:37 pm
TRB.

Here's the mess we're in.

There's no majority for ANY outcome.

But there's a majority AGAINST any outcome.

The Tory party has a majority in favour of a hard Brexit. But Parliament doesn't.

May thinks she can get some sort of wooly wording that could stretch over party boundaries. But Labour wants to use this crisis to bring the Govt down, so won't support any deal.

The majority in the country's now wants us to stay in the EU, but there's no majority in Parliament for that.

The Thick of It script writers would have had a field day with this situation. It is the very definition of a reight f**king mess.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 07, 2018, 04:03:46 pm
Omnishambles!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on November 07, 2018, 05:10:05 pm
... and one of the Architects Cameron is eyeing a comeback as if he aint done enough damage

Let him suffer like the rest of us. After all he kept telling people that Sam Cam was from a working class Town (Scunthorpe) and apparantly has a "field" there somewhere

Yeah Normanby Park no less !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 07, 2018, 05:51:42 pm
... and one of the Architects Cameron is eyeing a comeback as if he aint done enough damage

Let him suffer like the rest of us. After all he kept telling people that Sam Cam was from a working class Town (Scunthorpe) and apparantly has a "field" there somewhere

Yeah Normanby Park no less !

My Aunt Daisy's family used to work for her grandad. She always said he was the most horrible and despicable person she ever met, and she knew a few as she was a nurse in a mental hospital! Just throwing that out there.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 08, 2018, 06:52:22 pm
Our Brexit Secretary says he “hadn’t quite understood” the importance of cross-Channel trade to the UK economy.
 
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-latest-dominic-raab-trade-eu-france-calais-dover-economy-finance-deal-a8624036.html
 
And I though David Davis was bad   :turd:  You just couldn't make this up!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 08, 2018, 07:51:18 pm
I've given my two pennorth about my interaction with Raab before. He is barely on nodding terms with facts.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: i_ateallthepies on November 08, 2018, 08:50:24 pm
Our Brexit Secretary says he “hadn’t quite understood” the importance of cross-Channel trade to the UK economy.
 
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-latest-dominic-raab-trade-eu-france-calais-dover-economy-finance-deal-a8624036.html
 
And I though David Davis was bad   :turd:  You just couldn't make this up!


Completely agree NNK, but my take on it is that it's refreshingly honest for someone, especially a politician to admit not being on top of their brief.  I'd prefer that the the bluster, bullshit and downright lies we get from the likes of BoJo and his ilk.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 08, 2018, 09:24:05 pm
That's one take. But this is such a fundamental issues to be ignorant of. It's like a football manager admitting he doesn't know the offside rule.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 08, 2018, 10:47:42 pm
I think this article sums up the conundrum that is Brexit....
 
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/nov/05/pro-europe-mps-brexit-conmen
 

 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 09, 2018, 01:25:49 pm
Our Brexit Secretary says he “hadn’t quite understood” the importance of cross-Channel trade to the UK economy.
 
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-latest-dominic-raab-trade-eu-france-calais-dover-economy-finance-deal-a8624036.html
 
And I though David Davis was bad   :turd:  You just couldn't make this up!

Might as well ask a herd of geese to negotiate on our behalf...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 09, 2018, 01:31:01 pm
  I think Cameron and Osborne should be tried for treason, or should it be for idiocy.

If you haven't already read it then 'All Out War', Tim Shipman's book on the referendum campaign is a great read and a good insight into what most of the major players were thinking about during the campaign.

Cameron had his own polling company the running during the campaign. When the national polls were showing a very tight race and reports from campaigners on the doorsteps came back saying there was a lot of support for leave, Cameron was never worried, or changed his campaign tactics, as his polling showed remain well ahead. He was even more confident on referendum night as his poll showed remain with an 11 point lead....

Just watch the TV debates again - the Remain camp were utterly and woefully inadequate. Their arguments were based on telling people how terrible things would be if we left the EU rather than advising what the positives are about EU membership. The picture that they were painting was 'we know things are bad now, but this is as good as it gets'. Hardly inspiring stuff. I firmly believe that the remain camp lost the vote rather than the Brexit camp won it...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 09, 2018, 01:52:28 pm
96 pages and counting, look back and see if any leavers actually want to discuss facts or just want to distract and ignore direct questions, I think as the stayers have been supported by most if no all experts and business leaders with examinations of the leave case its myths and distortions that the leavers can have first go.

Name a single credible reason for leaving that would advantage the majority (leave out your personal feelings/reasons puleeese)

When that has been achieved it's the stayers turn.

Sydney

I’ve already stated that one advantage of leaving the EU is that the UK will be able to nationalise the railways. Does this meet your criteria of “a single credible reason” for leaving?

BTW, I’m not claiming to be Remain or Brexit, however claiming that there’s no positives to leaving is simply wrong. Whether they outweigh the advantages of remaining Areca different matter.
I'm afraid not HA as many have challenged this to say that being in the EU does not preclude the government owning railway assets, it depends on how its done.

The new EU regulations promote competition for the market between rail operators irrespective of ownership structure, but not privatisation. As far as renationalisation is concerned the reality is that, unless the rules are interpreted in an extreme way, they do not make it any easier or more difficult than the structure in place at the moment. The only thing that the new system will almost certainly rule out is state monopolies that do not have to compete with rivals to win franchises, renationalised or otherwise.
http://theconversation.com/fact-check-do-new-eu-rules-make-it-impossible-to-renationalise-railways-61180

Labour 'could nationalise railways in five years', John McDonnell claims

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/nationalise-railways-labour-john-mcdonnell-renationalise-public-transport-a8549921.html

https://www.ft.com/content/90c0f8e8-17fd-11e8-9e9c-25c814761640

Sydney,

The UK Government, nor the Government of any member state, is able to pledge or guarantee a wholesale nationalisation of its railways. The delivery of railway services must go through a commercial tendering process which is open to all parties. Additionally, EU rules dictate that the same organisation cannot deliver the services to the Network, Trains Services and Infrastructure. As a consequence, it is impossible for the Government to renationalise the whole rail structure in the UK. It could nationalise part of it (if it won the contract) but not the whole. So, if there was a GE tomorrow and Corbyn became PM he couldn't renationalise the railways.
The comment that you've made regarding John Mcdonnel's comments are slightly misleading. Labour COULD renationlise the railways within a first term in Goverment because, when and if they do come into power we will have left (or be very close to) the EU!


So, my original comment that an advantage of leaving the EU is that we will be able to fully nationalise the railways still stands.


However, what I also find interesting about the EU stance on railway ownership is that the EU actually promote the UK railway ownership system as an example for other member countries to follow! Their original aim was for all railways within the Union to be managed under private ownership. It was only at the intervention of the Germans and, to a lesser extent the French, that this policy was watered down to allow the possibility of some public ownership. The EU seem to be fundamentaly opposed to any form of public ownership, which is why you'll rarely see the UK arguing about this. For anyone who uses the railways regularly in the UK this must be a baffling policy.


Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 09, 2018, 04:50:43 pm
Herbert

That was the problem.

Remain didn't have a Jerusalem to sell. They WERE right that things WILL be bloody awful when we leave. By inference, that means that things would be significantly better if we stayed in. That was effectively the Remain pitch. Highlighting the very serious problems that WILL come from leaving.

Leave, on the other hand were free to promise golden sunlit uplands if we left, with everyone getting a pay rise and a free blowjob on demand. It was all utter b*llocks of course, but it's a much easier pitch to sell.

In a nutshell. Remain had a realistic (and correct) story of a pessimistic outcome if we changed the status quo. Leave had an unrealistic (and wrong) story of an optimistic outcome. Add to the mix that fact that you had shark oil salesmen like Farage and Johnson who have flexible relationships with truth and morals, and it was far easier for them to play to the crowd.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 09, 2018, 05:33:36 pm
Well, well, well.

Be fun at the next Johnson family get together.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-46155403
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 09, 2018, 05:48:43 pm
Herbert

That was the problem.

Remain didn't have a Jerusalem to sell. They WERE right that things WILL be bloody awful when we leave. By inference, that means that things would be significantly better if we stayed in. That was effectively the Remain pitch. Highlighting the very serious problems that WILL come from leaving.

Leave, on the other hand were free to promise golden sunlit uplands if we left, with everyone getting a pay rise and a free blowjob on demand. It was all utter b*llocks of course, but it's a much easier pitch to sell.

In a nutshell. Remain had a realistic (and correct) story of a pessimistic outcome if we changed the status quo. Leave had an unrealistic (and wrong) story of an optimistic outcome. Add to the mix that fact that you had shark oil salesmen like Farage and Johnson who have flexible relationships with truth and morals, and it was far easier for them to play to the crowd.

Billy,

I agree, but you’re slightly missing the point. For many, many people their primary association with EU membership is/was immigration, often in a negative light. Prior to the referendum most people would not have been aware how EU membership benefits the country. The TV debates were an absolutely ideal opportunity to illuminate the nation on what they get from being in the club, to really promote how membership improves everyday life for people...but they didn’t. Instead they tried to shit people up with scare stories and consequently allowed the leave vote to take the initiative on ‘good news’ forecasts. The debate that featured Sadiq Khan and Boris Johnson is a perfect example of this.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 09, 2018, 06:00:38 pm
HA. Yep. I'll agree with you on all those points.

The problem is that there has been a long-term unbalance in the discussions on the EU. Popular media have been heavily anti-EU and this has made it extremely difficult to put a positive story out on everything from overall economic performance (ours had been better from 1975-2016 than either Germany or France) through immigration (study after study has demonstrated that the overall economic effects of immigration from the EU are strongly net-positive - if schools and hospitals are struggling due to immigration, that's because we haven't invested heavily enough in them, not because immigration has cost us economically) to peace and stability in Europe (a core founding principle of the EEC/EC/EU was to make the sort of antagonism that dominated the previous 20 centuries unthinkable - but mention that and you're painted as a "Leaving the EU will results in WWIII"-monger).

I'm not for a minute excusing the performance of  the Leave campaigners, but there was a long-term context to it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 09, 2018, 07:59:18 pm
Meanwhile.

Interesting Twitter thread here.

https://mobile.twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1060869796785467392

I've been saying for a year and more that Corbyn pulled off a brilliant sleight of hand in 2017. He convinced Left-leaning Remain supporters that he would lead opposition to Brexit, and Left-leaning Leavers that he was on their side.

But like I've been saying, that stance couldn't survive the actual run up to the Brexit date. It looks as though his popularity among Remain supporting Labour voters, and young Labour supporters is collapsing.

As was inevitable. Because he isn't and never was against Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 10, 2018, 08:12:08 am
96 pages and counting, look back and see if any leavers actually want to discuss facts or just want to distract and ignore direct questions, I think as the stayers have been supported by most if no all experts and business leaders with examinations of the leave case its myths and distortions that the leavers can have first go.

Name a single credible reason for leaving that would advantage the majority (leave out your personal feelings/reasons puleeese)

When that has been achieved it's the stayers turn.

Sydney

I’ve already stated that one advantage of leaving the EU is that the UK will be able to nationalise the railways. Does this meet your criteria of “a single credible reason” for leaving?

BTW, I’m not claiming to be Remain or Brexit, however claiming that there’s no positives to leaving is simply wrong. Whether they outweigh the advantages of remaining Areca different matter.
I'm afraid not HA as many have challenged this to say that being in the EU does not preclude the government owning railway assets, it depends on how its done.

The new EU regulations promote competition for the market between rail operators irrespective of ownership structure, but not privatisation. As far as renationalisation is concerned the reality is that, unless the rules are interpreted in an extreme way, they do not make it any easier or more difficult than the structure in place at the moment. The only thing that the new system will almost certainly rule out is state monopolies that do not have to compete with rivals to win franchises, renationalised or otherwise.
http://theconversation.com/fact-check-do-new-eu-rules-make-it-impossible-to-renationalise-railways-61180

Labour 'could nationalise railways in five years', John McDonnell claims

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/nationalise-railways-labour-john-mcdonnell-renationalise-public-transport-a8549921.html

https://www.ft.com/content/90c0f8e8-17fd-11e8-9e9c-25c814761640

Sydney,

The UK Government, nor the Government of any member state, is able to pledge or guarantee a wholesale nationalisation of its railways. The delivery of railway services must go through a commercial tendering process which is open to all parties. Additionally, EU rules dictate that the same organisation cannot deliver the services to the Network, Trains Services and Infrastructure. As a consequence, it is impossible for the Government to renationalise the whole rail structure in the UK. It could nationalise part of it (if it won the contract) but not the whole. So, if there was a GE tomorrow and Corbyn became PM he couldn't renationalise the railways.
The comment that you've made regarding John Mcdonnel's comments are slightly misleading. Labour COULD renationlise the railways within a first term in Goverment because, when and if they do come into power we will have left (or be very close to) the EU!


So, my original comment that an advantage of leaving the EU is that we will be able to fully nationalise the railways still stands.


However, what I also find interesting about the EU stance on railway ownership is that the EU actually promote the UK railway ownership system as an example for other member countries to follow! Their original aim was for all railways within the Union to be managed under private ownership. It was only at the intervention of the Germans and, to a lesser extent the French, that this policy was watered down to allow the possibility of some public ownership. The EU seem to be fundamentaly opposed to any form of public ownership, which is why you'll rarely see the UK arguing about this. For anyone who uses the railways regularly in the UK this must be a baffling policy.

''Germany. The earliest railways in the German states were often run by private entrepreneurs. ... After German reunification, DB and DR became Deutsche Bahn AG in 1994. Whilst DB AG is a public limited company, all its shares are presently owned by the government of the Federal Republic of Germany''

Where there's a will?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 10, 2018, 08:50:19 am
96 pages and counting, look back and see if any leavers actually want to discuss facts or just want to distract and ignore direct questions, I think as the stayers have been supported by most if no all experts and business leaders with examinations of the leave case its myths and distortions that the leavers can have first go.

Name a single credible reason for leaving that would advantage the majority (leave out your personal feelings/reasons puleeese)

When that has been achieved it's the stayers turn.

Sydney

I’ve already stated that one advantage of leaving the EU is that the UK will be able to nationalise the railways. Does this meet your criteria of “a single credible reason” for leaving?

BTW, I’m not claiming to be Remain or Brexit, however claiming that there’s no positives to leaving is simply wrong. Whether they outweigh the advantages of remaining Areca different matter.
I'm afraid not HA as many have challenged this to say that being in the EU does not preclude the government owning railway assets, it depends on how its done.

The new EU regulations promote competition for the market between rail operators irrespective of ownership structure, but not privatisation. As far as renationalisation is concerned the reality is that, unless the rules are interpreted in an extreme way, they do not make it any easier or more difficult than the structure in place at the moment. The only thing that the new system will almost certainly rule out is state monopolies that do not have to compete with rivals to win franchises, renationalised or otherwise.
http://theconversation.com/fact-check-do-new-eu-rules-make-it-impossible-to-renationalise-railways-61180

Labour 'could nationalise railways in five years', John McDonnell claims

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/nationalise-railways-labour-john-mcdonnell-renationalise-public-transport-a8549921.html

https://www.ft.com/content/90c0f8e8-17fd-11e8-9e9c-25c814761640

Sydney,

The UK Government, nor the Government of any member state, is able to pledge or guarantee a wholesale nationalisation of its railways. The delivery of railway services must go through a commercial tendering process which is open to all parties. Additionally, EU rules dictate that the same organisation cannot deliver the services to the Network, Trains Services and Infrastructure. As a consequence, it is impossible for the Government to renationalise the whole rail structure in the UK. It could nationalise part of it (if it won the contract) but not the whole. So, if there was a GE tomorrow and Corbyn became PM he couldn't renationalise the railways.
The comment that you've made regarding John Mcdonnel's comments are slightly misleading. Labour COULD renationlise the railways within a first term in Goverment because, when and if they do come into power we will have left (or be very close to) the EU!


So, my original comment that an advantage of leaving the EU is that we will be able to fully nationalise the railways still stands.


However, what I also find interesting about the EU stance on railway ownership is that the EU actually promote the UK railway ownership system as an example for other member countries to follow! Their original aim was for all railways within the Union to be managed under private ownership. It was only at the intervention of the Germans and, to a lesser extent the French, that this policy was watered down to allow the possibility of some public ownership. The EU seem to be fundamentaly opposed to any form of public ownership, which is why you'll rarely see the UK arguing about this. For anyone who uses the railways regularly in the UK this must be a baffling policy.

''Germany. The earliest railways in the German states were often run by private entrepreneurs. ... After German reunification, DB and DR became Deutsche Bahn AG in 1994. Whilst DB AG is a public limited company, all its shares are presently owned by the government of the Federal Republic of Germany''

Where there's a will?

Sydney,

The services of the railways in Germany are owned by the state Government, however rail contracts for local and regional rail services have to be awarded through competitive tendering on the open market meaning the private sector often provide these franchises. The trains and drivers are owned by the private sector organisation.

This is hardly a nationalised, publicly owned railway.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 10, 2018, 10:21:51 am
Soubry is convinced that the deal Theresa May hopes to bring back from Brussels in the next few weeks will be worthless. “The promise was that we would have a deal about our future trading relationship with the European Union,” she says. “Everything would be settled. But we’re not going to get a deal. We’re going to get a withdrawal agreement and our future trading relationship will not be determined until after we’ve left the European Union. That is not what the British people were promised; that is not what they voted for. It is the most terrible betrayal. When the history books are written on this period, it will reflect exceedingly badly on an awful lot of people, who have put their heads in the sand and allowed this terrible mistake to take place.”

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/nov/09/tory-mp-anna-soubry-the-young-will-never-forgive-my-party-brexit
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 10, 2018, 10:31:08 am
96 pages and counting, look back and see if any leavers actually want to discuss facts or just want to distract and ignore direct questions, I think as the stayers have been supported by most if no all experts and business leaders with examinations of the leave case its myths and distortions that the leavers can have first go.

Name a single credible reason for leaving that would advantage the majority (leave out your personal feelings/reasons puleeese)

When that has been achieved it's the stayers turn.

Sydney

I’ve already stated that one advantage of leaving the EU is that the UK will be able to nationalise the railways. Does this meet your criteria of “a single credible reason” for leaving?

BTW, I’m not claiming to be Remain or Brexit, however claiming that there’s no positives to leaving is simply wrong. Whether they outweigh the advantages of remaining Areca different matter.
I'm afraid not HA as many have challenged this to say that being in the EU does not preclude the government owning railway assets, it depends on how its done.

The new EU regulations promote competition for the market between rail operators irrespective of ownership structure, but not privatisation. As far as renationalisation is concerned the reality is that, unless the rules are interpreted in an extreme way, they do not make it any easier or more difficult than the structure in place at the moment. The only thing that the new system will almost certainly rule out is state monopolies that do not have to compete with rivals to win franchises, renationalised or otherwise.
http://theconversation.com/fact-check-do-new-eu-rules-make-it-impossible-to-renationalise-railways-61180

Labour 'could nationalise railways in five years', John McDonnell claims

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/nationalise-railways-labour-john-mcdonnell-renationalise-public-transport-a8549921.html

https://www.ft.com/content/90c0f8e8-17fd-11e8-9e9c-25c814761640

Sydney,

The UK Government, nor the Government of any member state, is able to pledge or guarantee a wholesale nationalisation of its railways. The delivery of railway services must go through a commercial tendering process which is open to all parties. Additionally, EU rules dictate that the same organisation cannot deliver the services to the Network, Trains Services and Infrastructure. As a consequence, it is impossible for the Government to renationalise the whole rail structure in the UK. It could nationalise part of it (if it won the contract) but not the whole. So, if there was a GE tomorrow and Corbyn became PM he couldn't renationalise the railways.
The comment that you've made regarding John Mcdonnel's comments are slightly misleading. Labour COULD renationlise the railways within a first term in Goverment because, when and if they do come into power we will have left (or be very close to) the EU!


So, my original comment that an advantage of leaving the EU is that we will be able to fully nationalise the railways still stands.


However, what I also find interesting about the EU stance on railway ownership is that the EU actually promote the UK railway ownership system as an example for other member countries to follow! Their original aim was for all railways within the Union to be managed under private ownership. It was only at the intervention of the Germans and, to a lesser extent the French, that this policy was watered down to allow the possibility of some public ownership. The EU seem to be fundamentaly opposed to any form of public ownership, which is why you'll rarely see the UK arguing about this. For anyone who uses the railways regularly in the UK this must be a baffling policy.

''Germany. The earliest railways in the German states were often run by private entrepreneurs. ... After German reunification, DB and DR became Deutsche Bahn AG in 1994. Whilst DB AG is a public limited company, all its shares are presently owned by the government of the Federal Republic of Germany''

Where there's a will?

Sydney,

The services of the railways in Germany are owned by the state Government, however rail contracts for local and regional rail services have to be awarded through competitive tendering on the open market meaning the private sector often provide these franchises. The trains and drivers are owned by the private sector organisation.

This is hardly a nationalised, publicly owned railway.

I agree with you, but it does show there are ways the government of the day could/can get involved in running the railways without brexit.

That the rail companies only operated on leases paved the way for the nationalisation of the French rail lines under the socialist government of the 1930s. ... France's railways form a somewhat unusual case in that they have never been privately owned.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on November 10, 2018, 11:29:40 am
Nice to see Jeremy C is now advocating Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 10, 2018, 11:39:38 am
So he does.

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-referendum-jeremy-cobyn-labour-party-eu-leave-remain-a8626871.html%3famp

"We can't stop it. The referendum took place. Article 50 has been triggered."

Factually incorrect and against the wishes of the overwhelming majority of party members. And Labour voters.

This is going to be fun.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 10, 2018, 11:48:50 am
Johnson said yesterday that we are in the worst failure of British diplomacy since Suez.

This, in 1 minute, sums up just how f**king awfully we have approached Brexit.

https://mobile.twitter.com/brexitbroadcast/status/1060116437631680512

Who coukd have predicted that a bunch of utter amateurs trying to do the impossible would lead us into a disaster like this?

Putin must be pissing himself.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on November 10, 2018, 01:50:06 pm
Corbyn is in a no win situation, if may comes back with a deal no matter how bad she will say she delivered on the referendum, labour will then vote it down no matter what the deal is and that then ends his hopes of being pm as there are so many labour voters who want brexit
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on November 10, 2018, 01:56:34 pm
Theresa May as Home Secretary she destroyed the Police force and legal system.As Primeminister she is destroying the country. And the sad thing is that the only decent opposition party is currently being led by three Garden Gnomes!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Copps is Magic on November 10, 2018, 05:22:06 pm
https://www.opendemocracy.net/how-arron-banks-campaign-ambassador-jim-mellon-made-millions-in-russia-nigel-farage
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 11, 2018, 09:11:51 pm
Did the brexit campaign actually have any honest brokers at all?

'The alliance has accepted all the allegations Sanni made during his action claiming unfair dismissal, wrongful dismissal, direct discrimination and “dismissal by reason of a philosophical belief in the sanctity of British democracy”

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/nov/11/brexit-whistleblower-shahmir-sanni-taxpayers-alliance-concedes-it-launched-smears
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 11, 2018, 09:37:17 pm
Plus, of course, as part of the furious character assassination of Sanni, someone from May's backroom staff outed him as gay, knowing full well the problems that would cause him with his Muslim family and community. There was no point in doing that, other than to punish him for whistleblowing.

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/mar/26/brexit-whistleblower-shahmir-sanni-no-10-official-outed-me-to-distract-from-claims

Utterly f**king disgusting behaviour.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on November 11, 2018, 09:46:07 pm
I agree needs to be sacked, it's a sorry time when people resort to these kinds of things to get what they want
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 11, 2018, 11:06:03 pm
And yet people are still not changing their opinions, why not?

https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/a-peoples-vote-would-be-a-scandal-in-stoke-britains-capital-of-brexit-speaks-out_uk_5be2f4b0e4b0769d24c7ce6e?vu&utm_hp_ref=uk-homepage
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 11, 2018, 11:56:00 pm
Bpool

That happened nearly 8 months ago.

May praised her adviser at the time and he's still working for her.

They did the job. They painted Sanni as a spurned gay lover who had gone off on one. So his accusations about seriously illegal activity at the Leave campaign were dismissed by most of the media.

But still. Both sides eh?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on November 12, 2018, 04:53:12 pm
We’ve seen that kind of behavior from our own fans towards our own fans in recent times when opposing sides clash. It has become accepted as normal bevior to some people I’m afraid
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 12, 2018, 05:07:00 pm
Worth reading if you are concerned about the economic effect of Brexit on British business. Best avoided if you refuse to believe it will have any effect:

https://twitter.com/uk_domain_names/status/1061554026284834817
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on November 12, 2018, 08:50:11 pm
Coming up to 100 Pages and still as divisive as ever with opinions entrenched on both sides

2 and a bit years of every news item mentioning B****t in some form or another and no doubt years more of still mentioning it if it goes wrong ! I can hear it all now

Roll on some kind of closure /  an end to the chaos - whichever way it takes us. Just wish I could see how history judges the whole thing in 20 years or sos time !

Again it will be either an inspired move if it goes well or a total b***s up if it goes wrong.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 12, 2018, 11:00:43 pm
Meanwhile in the ongoing clusterf**k.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-46188790

"We're working flat out," says the PM, "to finalise a deal that has got f**k all chance of getting through Parliament."
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 13, 2018, 08:01:53 am
Coming up to 100 Pages and still as divisive as ever with opinions entrenched on both sides

2 and a bit years of every news item mentioning B****t in some form or another and no doubt years more of still mentioning it if it goes wrong ! I can hear it all now

Roll on some kind of closure /  an end to the chaos - whichever way it takes us. Just wish I could see how history judges the whole thing in 20 years or sos time !

Again it will be either an inspired move if it goes well or a total b***s up if it goes wrong.
In the world outside opinions are changing and a second vote appears to be on the cards and I would suggest more likely than not.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: big fat yorkshire pudding on November 13, 2018, 08:14:00 am
Meanwhile in the ongoing clusterf**k.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-46188790

"We're working flat out," says the PM, "to finalise a deal that has got f**k all chance of getting through Parliament."


Indeed and the PM cannot possibly win, she cannot do a deal that will work it just is not possible.

The general public would like our politicians to all find some common ground in some way - not chuffing likely.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on November 13, 2018, 09:49:36 am
We had common ground before the chuffin referendum. The ONLY reason the referendum happened was because the former PM, who is currently not even employed in a political position, wanted to appease a few Tory backbenchers. There is a really obvious, simple way to deal with Brexit - have the 2nd referendum, see that the majority DO NOT now want Brexit, then we forget about this whole mess and watch May resign immediately after.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 13, 2018, 10:29:19 am
We had common ground before the chuffin referendum. The ONLY reason the referendum happened was because the former PM, who is currently not even employed in a political position, wanted to appease a few Tory backbenchers. There is a really obvious, simple way to deal with Brexit - have the 2nd referendum, see that the majority DO NOT now want Brexit, then we forget about this whole mess and watch May resign immediately after.

So, 2 years after a second referendum to decide that, actually we’ve changed our minds and we don’t want to leave, can we have another to see if we’ve changed our minds again?

Almost 17.5 million people voted to leave? Are their votes invalid? Did they make a mistake? We’re they fooled into leaving? We’re they not bright enough to understand what they were voting for?

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 13, 2018, 12:16:28 pm
We had common ground before the chuffin referendum. The ONLY reason the referendum happened was because the former PM, who is currently not even employed in a political position, wanted to appease a few Tory backbenchers. There is a really obvious, simple way to deal with Brexit - have the 2nd referendum, see that the majority DO NOT now want Brexit, then we forget about this whole mess and watch May resign immediately after.
Nope. It was a manifesto promise. He got elected, and delivered on the promise.
The fact that the result wasn't what he wanted is another matter.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 13, 2018, 01:24:53 pm
We had common ground before the chuffin referendum. The ONLY reason the referendum happened was because the former PM, who is currently not even employed in a political position, wanted to appease a few Tory backbenchers. There is a really obvious, simple way to deal with Brexit - have the 2nd referendum, see that the majority DO NOT now want Brexit, then we forget about this whole mess and watch May resign immediately after.

So, 2 years after a second referendum to decide that, actually we’ve changed our minds and we don’t want to leave, can we have another to see if we’ve changed our minds again?

Almost 17.5 million people voted to leave? Are their votes invalid? Did they make a mistake? We’re they fooled into leaving? We’re they not bright enough to understand what they were voting for?

Herbert, lets imagine you want to arrange a family holiday, you usually go to the Balearic Islands, (Ibiza, Mallorca, Menorca), so you know what you get. But then you see an advert for a holiday in another country, promising the holiday of a lifetime. Sun, Sea and Sand, First Class air travel as standard and five star all inclusive accommodation; all for less than you usually pay for half board - all the family bar one says yes, that's where we want to go, it sounds fantastic.
 
The majority chose to go there so you go off to book it.
 
But when you get to the travel agents you find out that they've subbed the flights out to Ryan Air, the hotel is still under construction so now they're going to put you in a one star B&B a 30 minute bus ride from the nearest beach.
 
Do you still book it?  After all, the majority have spoken.
 
Or do you realise that it wasn't going to be what was advertised, go back home to explain it to the family and ask them to have a rethink?
 
That's pretty much where we are with Brexit.  What was promised and what can be delivered are shown to be completely different things.  It really does make sense for the country to take a step back and reconsider if this really is the right thing to do.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 13, 2018, 02:11:42 pm
We had common ground before the chuffin referendum. The ONLY reason the referendum happened was because the former PM, who is currently not even employed in a political position, wanted to appease a few Tory backbenchers. There is a really obvious, simple way to deal with Brexit - have the 2nd referendum, see that the majority DO NOT now want Brexit, then we forget about this whole mess and watch May resign immediately after.

So, 2 years after a second referendum to decide that, actually we’ve changed our minds and we don’t want to leave, can we have another to see if we’ve changed our minds again?

Almost 17.5 million people voted to leave? Are their votes invalid? Did they make a mistake? We’re they fooled into leaving? We’re they not bright enough to understand what they were voting for?

Herbert, lets imagine you want to arrange a family holiday, you usually go to the Balearic Islands, (Ibiza, Mallorca, Menorca), so you know what you get. But then you see an advert for a holiday in another country, promising the holiday of a lifetime. Sun, Sea and Sand, First Class air travel as standard and five star all inclusive accommodation; all for less than you usually pay for half board - all the family bar one says yes, that's where we want to go, it sounds fantastic.
 
The majority chose to go there so you go off to book it.
 
But when you get to the travel agents you find out that they've subbed the flights out to Ryan Air, the hotel is still under construction so now they're going to put you in a one star B&B a 30 minute bus ride from the nearest beach.
 
Do you still book it?  After all, the majority have spoken.
 
Or do you realise that it wasn't going to be what was advertised, go back home to explain it to the family and ask them to have a rethink?
 
That's pretty much where we are with Brexit.  What was promised and what can be delivered are shown to be completely different things.  It really does make sense for the country to take a step back and reconsider if this really is the right thing to do.

NNK,

I understand your point but your example is nothing like the reality of Brexit.

Attitudes to Brexit are stubbornly divided and while there may be a shift towards a slight majority believing that the decision to leave is wrong, it's doubtful that a second vote would provide a significant majority either way. Just imagine if there is a second vote and the anger that this would generate amongst leave voters, it's impossible to see how this could lead to calm and rationale debate! So, how would any new referendum be different from the first? All we'll get, yet again, is competing claims about competing futures.

If there were a second referendum, and the Remain camp won, do you think that everything would settle down to how it was pre June 2016? Absolutely not. It would solve none of the underlying issues that led to the Brexit vote. All of the argument regarding Brexit that is currently being expressed by Remain would be repeated by the Brexit voters. There's no way that they will disappear and accept it. UKIP (or any other anti EU party if they cant sort themselves out) would likley make huge gains in the 2019 European parliment elections, the Tories would be more divided than ever and Brexiters would continue to believe that the dire warnings should we leave the EU were completely fictitous. And thats before we even get into the debate of how it would affect our perception of UK democracy and also our standing within the EU and teh world at large. 

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: big fat yorkshire pudding on November 13, 2018, 02:45:59 pm
We had common ground before the chuffin referendum. The ONLY reason the referendum happened was because the former PM, who is currently not even employed in a political position, wanted to appease a few Tory backbenchers. There is a really obvious, simple way to deal with Brexit - have the 2nd referendum, see that the majority DO NOT now want Brexit, then we forget about this whole mess and watch May resign immediately after.

Common ground so strong 17.4 millions people didn't have it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 13, 2018, 02:48:35 pm
We had common ground before the chuffin referendum. The ONLY reason the referendum happened was because the former PM, who is currently not even employed in a political position, wanted to appease a few Tory backbenchers. There is a really obvious, simple way to deal with Brexit - have the 2nd referendum, see that the majority DO NOT now want Brexit, then we forget about this whole mess and watch May resign immediately after.
Nope. It was a manifesto promise. He got elected, and delivered on the promise.
The fact that the result wasn't what he wanted is another matter.

What do you mean 'nope'? It was only in the manifesto for the reason bjm said.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 13, 2018, 02:52:12 pm
We had common ground before the chuffin referendum. The ONLY reason the referendum happened was because the former PM, who is currently not even employed in a political position, wanted to appease a few Tory backbenchers. There is a really obvious, simple way to deal with Brexit - have the 2nd referendum, see that the majority DO NOT now want Brexit, then we forget about this whole mess and watch May resign immediately after.

So, 2 years after a second referendum to decide that, actually we’ve changed our minds and we don’t want to leave, can we have another to see if we’ve changed our minds again?

Almost 17.5 million people voted to leave? Are their votes invalid? Did they make a mistake? We’re they fooled into leaving? We’re they not bright enough to understand what they were voting for?

Herbert, lets imagine you want to arrange a family holiday, you usually go to the Balearic Islands, (Ibiza, Mallorca, Menorca), so you know what you get. But then you see an advert for a holiday in another country, promising the holiday of a lifetime. Sun, Sea and Sand, First Class air travel as standard and five star all inclusive accommodation; all for less than you usually pay for half board - all the family bar one says yes, that's where we want to go, it sounds fantastic.
 
The majority chose to go there so you go off to book it.
 
But when you get to the travel agents you find out that they've subbed the flights out to Ryan Air, the hotel is still under construction so now they're going to put you in a one star B&B a 30 minute bus ride from the nearest beach.
 
Do you still book it?  After all, the majority have spoken.
 
Or do you realise that it wasn't going to be what was advertised, go back home to explain it to the family and ask them to have a rethink?
 
That's pretty much where we are with Brexit.  What was promised and what can be delivered are shown to be completely different things.  It really does make sense for the country to take a step back and reconsider if this really is the right thing to do.

NNK,

I understand your point but your example is nothing like the reality of Brexit.

Attitudes to Brexit are stubbornly divided and while there may be a shift towards a slight majority believing that the decision to leave is wrong, it's doubtful that a second vote would provide a significant majority either way. Just imagine if there is a second vote and the anger that this would generate amongst leave voters, it's impossible to see how this could lead to calm and rationale debate! So, how would any new referendum be different from the first? All we'll get, yet again, is competing claims about competing futures.

If there were a second referendum, and the Remain camp won, do you think that everything would settle down to how it was pre June 2016? Absolutely not. It would solve none of the underlying issues that led to the Brexit vote. All of the argument regarding Brexit that is currently being expressed by Remain would be repeated by the Brexit voters. There's no way that they will disappear and accept it. UKIP (or any other anti EU party if they cant sort themselves out) would likley make huge gains in the 2019 European parliment elections, the Tories would be more divided than ever and Brexiters would continue to believe that the dire warnings should we leave the EU were completely fictitous. And thats before we even get into the debate of how it would affect our perception of UK democracy and also our standing within the EU and teh world at large. 



That's all very well, but the promises and propaganda of the Leave campaign were nothing like the reality of Brexit either.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 13, 2018, 03:49:32 pm
We had common ground before the chuffin referendum. The ONLY reason the referendum happened was because the former PM, who is currently not even employed in a political position, wanted to appease a few Tory backbenchers. There is a really obvious, simple way to deal with Brexit - have the 2nd referendum, see that the majority DO NOT now want Brexit, then we forget about this whole mess and watch May resign immediately after.

So, 2 years after a second referendum to decide that, actually we’ve changed our minds and we don’t want to leave, can we have another to see if we’ve changed our minds again?

Almost 17.5 million people voted to leave? Are their votes invalid? Did they make a mistake? We’re they fooled into leaving? We’re they not bright enough to understand what they were voting for?

Herbert, lets imagine you want to arrange a family holiday, you usually go to the Balearic Islands, (Ibiza, Mallorca, Menorca), so you know what you get. But then you see an advert for a holiday in another country, promising the holiday of a lifetime. Sun, Sea and Sand, First Class air travel as standard and five star all inclusive accommodation; all for less than you usually pay for half board - all the family bar one says yes, that's where we want to go, it sounds fantastic.
 
The majority chose to go there so you go off to book it.
 
But when you get to the travel agents you find out that they've subbed the flights out to Ryan Air, the hotel is still under construction so now they're going to put you in a one star B&B a 30 minute bus ride from the nearest beach.
 
Do you still book it?  After all, the majority have spoken.
 
Or do you realise that it wasn't going to be what was advertised, go back home to explain it to the family and ask them to have a rethink?
 
That's pretty much where we are with Brexit.  What was promised and what can be delivered are shown to be completely different things.  It really does make sense for the country to take a step back and reconsider if this really is the right thing to do.

NNK,

I understand your point but your example is nothing like the reality of Brexit.

Attitudes to Brexit are stubbornly divided and while there may be a shift towards a slight majority believing that the decision to leave is wrong, it's doubtful that a second vote would provide a significant majority either way. Just imagine if there is a second vote and the anger that this would generate amongst leave voters, it's impossible to see how this could lead to calm and rationale debate! So, how would any new referendum be different from the first? All we'll get, yet again, is competing claims about competing futures.

If there were a second referendum, and the Remain camp won, do you think that everything would settle down to how it was pre June 2016? Absolutely not. It would solve none of the underlying issues that led to the Brexit vote. All of the argument regarding Brexit that is currently being expressed by Remain would be repeated by the Brexit voters. There's no way that they will disappear and accept it. UKIP (or any other anti EU party if they cant sort themselves out) would likley make huge gains in the 2019 European parliment elections, the Tories would be more divided than ever and Brexiters would continue to believe that the dire warnings should we leave the EU were completely fictitous. And thats before we even get into the debate of how it would affect our perception of UK democracy and also our standing within the EU and teh world at large. 



That's all very well, but the promises and propaganda of the Leave campaign were nothing like the reality of Brexit either.

Glynn,

A second referendum will resolve none of the country’s issues. All it will achieve is alternating which 50% of the country is pissed off with the result.

Also, both sides were guilty of utilising post Brexit forecasting to meet their own agendas (and I’m being charitable with my wording). Neither side is in a position to take the morale high ground.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 13, 2018, 05:26:35 pm
We had common ground before the chuffin referendum. The ONLY reason the referendum happened was because the former PM, who is currently not even employed in a political position, wanted to appease a few Tory backbenchers. There is a really obvious, simple way to deal with Brexit - have the 2nd referendum, see that the majority DO NOT now want Brexit, then we forget about this whole mess and watch May resign immediately after.

So, 2 years after a second referendum to decide that, actually we’ve changed our minds and we don’t want to leave, can we have another to see if we’ve changed our minds again?

Almost 17.5 million people voted to leave? Are their votes invalid? Did they make a mistake? We’re they fooled into leaving? We’re they not bright enough to understand what they were voting for?

Herbert, lets imagine you want to arrange a family holiday, you usually go to the Balearic Islands, (Ibiza, Mallorca, Menorca), so you know what you get. But then you see an advert for a holiday in another country, promising the holiday of a lifetime. Sun, Sea and Sand, First Class air travel as standard and five star all inclusive accommodation; all for less than you usually pay for half board - all the family bar one says yes, that's where we want to go, it sounds fantastic.
 
The majority chose to go there so you go off to book it.
 
But when you get to the travel agents you find out that they've subbed the flights out to Ryan Air, the hotel is still under construction so now they're going to put you in a one star B&B a 30 minute bus ride from the nearest beach.
 
Do you still book it?  After all, the majority have spoken.
 
Or do you realise that it wasn't going to be what was advertised, go back home to explain it to the family and ask them to have a rethink?
 
That's pretty much where we are with Brexit.  What was promised and what can be delivered are shown to be completely different things.  It really does make sense for the country to take a step back and reconsider if this really is the right thing to do.

NNK,

I understand your point but your example is nothing like the reality of Brexit.

Attitudes to Brexit are stubbornly divided and while there may be a shift towards a slight majority believing that the decision to leave is wrong, it's doubtful that a second vote would provide a significant majority either way. Just imagine if there is a second vote and the anger that this would generate amongst leave voters, it's impossible to see how this could lead to calm and rationale debate! So, how would any new referendum be different from the first? All we'll get, yet again, is competing claims about competing futures.

If there were a second referendum, and the Remain camp won, do you think that everything would settle down to how it was pre June 2016? Absolutely not. It would solve none of the underlying issues that led to the Brexit vote. All of the argument regarding Brexit that is currently being expressed by Remain would be repeated by the Brexit voters. There's no way that they will disappear and accept it. UKIP (or any other anti EU party if they cant sort themselves out) would likley make huge gains in the 2019 European parliment elections, the Tories would be more divided than ever and Brexiters would continue to believe that the dire warnings should we leave the EU were completely fictitous. And thats before we even get into the debate of how it would affect our perception of UK democracy and also our standing within the EU and teh world at large. 



That's all very well, but the promises and propaganda of the Leave campaign were nothing like the reality of Brexit either.

Glynn,

A second referendum will resolve none of the country’s issues. All it will achieve is alternating which 50% of the country is pissed off with the result.

Also, both sides were guilty of utilising post Brexit forecasting to meet their own agendas (and I’m being charitable with my wording). Neither side is in a position to take the morale high ground.

If a second referendum stopped this country from making the biggest mistake it is ever likely to make, I'd call that resolving the biggest issue facing this country.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 13, 2018, 06:01:10 pm
Herbert

Frankly, I'm sick of hearing this "both sides" argument.

One side lied openly. Committed crimes. Collaborated with a hostile foreign power. Encouraged people to ignore experts and trust their own instinct.

The other side weren't flawless, but their errors pale into insignificance by comparison.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on November 13, 2018, 06:14:46 pm
Well, look who's making friends in high places.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/nov/13/nigel-farage-mueller-russia-investigation-trump-latest-jerome-corsi-claim
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 13, 2018, 06:45:15 pm
Herbert

Frankly, I'm sick of hearing this "both sides" argument.

One side lied openly. Committed crimes. Collaborated with a hostile foreign power. Encouraged people to ignore experts and trust their own instinct.

The other side weren't flawless, but their errors pale into insignificance by comparison.

Billy,

Frankly, I’m sick of hearing the ‘our Lies weren’t as bad as your lies’ argument.

Yes, the leave campaign lied, no doubt about it. But remain also openly lied. Remember being told that leaving the EU will facilitate the end of Western Civilisation? Lead to war? Deliver a year long recession? As for foreign intervention, do you remember Obama telling us that Armageddon awaited us if we left? Do you think that he did it off his own back?  How about the continual intimation that anyone who voted leave was a hate filled xenophobic meat head? Lies or just mistakes?

Politicians lie, make false promises. It’s a fact and has gone on since the beginning of democracy and the EU referendum was no different.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 13, 2018, 07:55:06 pm
Herbert

Frankly, I'm sick of hearing this "both sides" argument.

One side lied openly. Committed crimes. Collaborated with a hostile foreign power. Encouraged people to ignore experts and trust their own instinct.

The other side weren't flawless, but their errors pale into insignificance by comparison.

Billy,

Frankly, I’m sick of hearing the ‘our Lies weren’t as bad as your lies’ argument.

Yes, the leave campaign lied, no doubt about it. But remain also openly lied. Remember being told that leaving the EU will facilitate the end of Western Civilisation? No Lead to war? No Deliver a year long recession? No As for foreign intervention, do you remember Obama telling us that Armageddon awaited us if we left? No Do you think that he did it off his own back?  How about the continual intimation that anyone who voted leave was a hate filled xenophobic meat head? Lies or just mistakes?

Politicians lie, make false promises. It’s a fact and has gone on since the beginning of democracy and the EU referendum was no different.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: turnbull for england on November 13, 2018, 08:25:35 pm
If you decide to buy a house over the Internet because you like the look of it, then when you have the survey done it's about to fall in the sea, should you just continue regardless or revise the decision?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 13, 2018, 08:45:36 pm
Herbert

Frankly, I'm sick of hearing this "both sides" argument.

One side lied openly. Committed crimes. Collaborated with a hostile foreign power. Encouraged people to ignore experts and trust their own instinct.

The other side weren't flawless, but their errors pale into insignificance by comparison.

Billy,

Frankly, I’m sick of hearing the ‘our Lies weren’t as bad as your lies’ argument.

Yes, the leave campaign lied, no doubt about it. But remain also openly lied. Remember being told that leaving the EU will facilitate the end of Western Civilisation? Lead to war? Deliver a year long recession? As for foreign intervention, do you remember Obama telling us that Armageddon awaited us if we left? Do you think that he did it off his own back?  How about the continual intimation that anyone who voted leave was a hate filled xenophobic meat head? Lies or just mistakes?

Politicians lie, make false promises. It’s a fact and has gone on since the beginning of democracy and the EU referendum was no different.


Herbert

Tell you what. Find me examples of where the Remain campaign actually said each of those things, rather than Leave supporters painting their words that way, and I'll agree with you.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 13, 2018, 09:53:31 pm
Well, well, well.

https://amp.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/nov/13/nigel-farage-mueller-russia-investigation-trump-latest-jerome-corsi-claim?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other&__twitter_impression=true

This could be fun.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 13, 2018, 10:47:23 pm
Herbert

Frankly, I'm sick of hearing this "both sides" argument.

One side lied openly. Committed crimes. Collaborated with a hostile foreign power. Encouraged people to ignore experts and trust their own instinct.

The other side weren't flawless, but their errors pale into insignificance by comparison.

Billy,

Frankly, I’m sick of hearing the ‘our Lies weren’t as bad as your lies’ argument.

Yes, the leave campaign lied, no doubt about it. But remain also openly lied. Remember being told that leaving the EU will facilitate the end of Western Civilisation? Lead to war? Deliver a year long recession? As for foreign intervention, do you remember Obama telling us that Armageddon awaited us if we left? Do you think that he did it off his own back?  How about the continual intimation that anyone who voted leave was a hate filled xenophobic meat head? Lies or just mistakes?

Politicians lie, make false promises. It’s a fact and has gone on since the beginning of democracy and the EU referendum was no different.


Herbert

Tell you what. Find me examples of where the Remain campaign actually said each of those things, rather than Leave supporters painting their words that way, and I'll agree with you.

Billy,

Speaking about the EU vote in June 2016, Donald Tusk said:

“Why is it so dangerous? Because no one can foresee what the long-term consequences would be. “As a historian I fear that Brexit could be the beginning of the destruction of not only the EU but also of western political civilisation in its entirety".

In a speech on 9th May 2016, David Cameron said:

"The serried rows of white headstones in lovingly tended Commonwealth war cemeteries stand as silent testament to the price this country has paid to help restore peace and order in Europe.Can we be so sure that peace and stability on our continent are assured beyond any shadow of doubt? Is that a risk worth taking? I would never be so rash as to make that assumption."

On 23rd May 2016, George Osborne published treasury analysis in a speech that said leaving the EU would cause an immediate recession with up to 820,000 jobs lost by 2018. The report also said that sterling would fall by 12%, unemployment rise by 520,000 and average wages fall by 2.8%.

Also, I notice that Merkel has today supported the desire for the EU to have its own army. Something that the remainers said was a myth back in 2016. Another lie, or was that an error?

I won't ask you to provide evidence of the leave camp lying, because I know that they did and in some cases may have been 'worse'. However, the remainers were full of just as much shit as the leavers.

Whilst I dont support a second referendum on leaving the EU, I would support a vote on the deal that May comes back with and if it's not palatable to the UK, then we stay in the EU for now. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 13, 2018, 11:17:18 pm
Herbert

So Cameron wasn't predicting war. He was highlighting the fact that the EU has been instrumental in ensuring European peace. And history shows that European peace is not a given.

Tusk was being rather overblown, but there is a context. It's been clear for years that it is Russian policy to weaken the EU and spread discord between European countries.

Regarding the economy, we effectively HAVE had a 2 year recession. Our GDP growth rate has dropped something like 2% compared to other leading countries since 2016. The reason this hasn't resulted in an out and out recession us that the rest of the world has had a mini boom while we've been unique in having a slump, so we've been isolated from the worst. Predictions of severe economic consequences after the Brexit vote weren't lies. They have been broadly correct. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 13, 2018, 11:45:07 pm
Herbert

So Cameron wasn't predicting war. He was highlighting the fact that the EU has been instrumental in ensuring European peace. And history shows that European peace is not a given.

Tusk was being rather overblown, but there is a context. It's been clear for years that it is Russian policy to weaken the EU and spread discord between European countries.

Regarding the economy, we effectively HAVE had a 2 year recession. Our GDP growth rate has dropped something like 2% compared to other leading countries since 2016. The reason this hasn't resulted in an out and out recession us that the rest of the world has had a mini boom while we've been unique in having a slump, so we've been isolated from the worst. Predictions of severe economic consequences after the Brexit vote weren't lies. They have been broadly correct.

Billy,

It’s all about perceptions isn’t it? You still disagree with me and I with you. I take one thing from a statement, and you another. Everything is seen through Brexit tinged glasses now. I suggest we move on because, apart from your views in Brexit, I like your posts on here and we ain’t going to change the mind of the other I’m sure.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on November 14, 2018, 01:57:11 am
Out of interest bst would you be happy with a decent brexit deal or would you rather the shit hit the fan and there was a labour goverment next?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on November 14, 2018, 06:30:00 am
100 Up
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 14, 2018, 08:39:36 am
Bpool

Define "a decent Brexit deal".

There is no possible Brexit deal that doesn't leave us significantly economically weaker. Full stop.

I don't want my country to choose to be significantly worse off in the future. So I can't see myself supporting any Brexit deal.

In the short term, I'd rather see us stay in the EU with this lot in power than leave and have Labour in power.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 14, 2018, 10:25:46 am
Out of interest bst would you be happy with a decent brexit deal or would you rather the shit hit the fan and there was a labour goverment next?

''Brexit deal: EU says it ‘will retain all control’ under Theresa May’s agreement, leaked note shows''

Is this the deal you want bpool? looks like May has sold everyone a shit sandwich.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-deal-latest-theresa-may-plan-retain-control-eu-sabine-weyand-cabinet-a8632866.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 14, 2018, 10:42:14 am
So the EU did have all control over us after all!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 14, 2018, 10:51:06 am
So the EU did have all control over us after all!
Or these are the regulations agreed to by the 28 countries in the EU, I personally have no problems with regulations that protect workers rights.

''According to new figures recently published by the Health and Safety Executive (HSE), between April 2013 and March 2014, 133 people in Britain died in workplace accidents - 17 less than the previous year, 42 less than 2010/11, 46 less than 2008/09 and the lowest number since records began.Jul 4, 2014''

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 14, 2018, 10:58:46 am
Ah, so "All control" just applies to workers rights. I see.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 14, 2018, 11:06:55 am
Ah, so "All control" just applies to workers rights. I see.
Interpret it as you wish BB, you usually do.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 14, 2018, 11:09:24 am
Correct me if I'm interpreting it wrong then.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 14, 2018, 11:16:55 am
Correct me if I'm interpreting it wrong then.
monty python did a good sketch on how to buy an argument.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 14, 2018, 11:19:50 am
So the EU did have all control over us after all!

I think you're rather missing the point BB.

We currently are member of the EU. The EU currently decides the rules of how the SM and CU work. The EU does that collectively. We are part of that discussion. We (and all the other 27 members) compromise and reach agreement that we can all accept.

When we leave, we will not be part of those discussions. But if we still want the benefits of preferential trade with the EU, we'll have to abide by the rules that they decide.

That is what she means by them retaining control.

If we don't like that, that's fine. We can walk away and be treated like any other country.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 14, 2018, 11:24:08 am
This really is fascinating stuff, they will be talking about it in 100 years !

I can see a no deal Brexit happening.

Astonishing times !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 14, 2018, 11:34:21 am
Correct me if I'm interpreting it wrong then.
monty python did a good sketch on how to buy an argument.
I didn't know you had to pay for an argument, and seeing as I haven't bought one, why are you arguing?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 14, 2018, 11:49:50 am
From what I’ve heard this morning here’s my guess on what will happen.

The deal that May comes back with will please neither side because both sides want a ‘perfect’ Brexit based on their own ideals. Consequently it won’t get voted through parliament which will push us towards a no deal. This will put May under huge pressure to either call a second referendum or a general election. She won’t call a GE because she knows she’ll lose to Labour. As a result a second referendum is the least bad choice for her. We’ll have a second referendum and remain will win by a whisker. Then Christ knows what will happen...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 14, 2018, 11:56:22 am
From what I’ve heard this morning here’s my guess on what will happen.

The deal that May comes back with will please neither side because both sides want a ‘perfect’ Brexit based on their own ideals. Consequently it won’t get voted through parliament which will push us towards a no deal. This will put May under huge pressure to either call a second referendum or a general election. She won’t call a GE because she knows she’ll lose to Labour. As a result a second referendum is the least bad choice for her. We’ll have a second referendum and remain will win by a whisker. Then Christ knows what will happen...
Never gonna be a 2nd refferendum.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 14, 2018, 11:59:08 am
(https://i.imgur.com/xam5GXU.png)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on November 14, 2018, 12:01:42 pm
If we have a second referendum I will change my vote to remain, because that is what appears to be happening now, but without us having a say. We may as well remain and have a say
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 14, 2018, 12:14:53 pm
If we have a second referendum I will change my vote to remain, because that is what appears to be happening now, but without us having a say. We may as well remain and have a say

I’m the same as you Filo. I still believe that we’re better off outside the EU, however our current government is incapable of delivering a positive Brexit AND the EU seem determined to make an example of us, so on that basis I’d vote remain.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: big fat yorkshire pudding on November 14, 2018, 12:38:41 pm
The big problem with a 2nd vote is it's easy for the leavers to state it should be boycotted, thus making a second vote unworkable - that scenario would not surprise me.

A clever Tory politician if playing politics would have put Labour in - they would be just as, if not even more divided than the Tories.  No party can win, it is that much of a change.

The devil is in the detail with the agreement, as yet, we don't know what it is.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 14, 2018, 02:06:07 pm
The big problem with a 2nd vote is it's easy for the leavers to state it should be boycotted, thus making a second vote unworkable - that scenario would not surprise me.

A clever Tory politician if playing politics would have put Labour in - they would be just as, if not even more divided than the Tories.  No party can win, it is that much of a change.

The devil is in the detail with the agreement, as yet, we don't know what it is.

Why would they want to boycott something they keep maintaining Leave would win easily? And how do abstentions make anything unworkable? We keep being told that those who didn't vote at all last time don't count towards maintaining the status quo.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Copps is Magic on November 14, 2018, 02:23:24 pm
If we have a second referendum I will change my vote to remain, because that is what appears to be happening now, but without us having a say. We may as well remain and have a say

Which is basically what Yanis Varoufakis told us before the vote, but it got lost in the shitstorm of lies.

David Cameron will go down as the worst primeminister in British history who posed a paradoxical question to the public and split the country in half.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 14, 2018, 02:47:29 pm
And leavers accused remain of Project Fear..........
 
https://tompride.wordpress.com/2017/12/05/see-20-years-of-fake-news-about-eu-by-uk-press-vote-for-your-favourite-here/
 
 
That, on top of all the lies they peddled during the leave campaigns.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 14, 2018, 02:54:12 pm
Issue is it was never a 2-way decision and it still isn't.

There's no single Brexit. There is a massive difference between a no deal Brexit and a deal Brexit.

Shortly we're going to find out what the deal Brexit is. So we have a three-way decision to make

Remain
Deal Brexit
No deal Brexit.

The problem then is that the largest group of the population prefer Remain and there is no way there will ever be a majority in favour of either of the other 2.

But May wants the decision to be between the other 2.

It's a bit of a problem. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 14, 2018, 04:55:46 pm
If we have a second referendum I will change my vote to remain, because that is what appears to be happening now, but without us having a say. We may as well remain and have a say

I’m the same as you Filo. I still believe that we’re better off outside the EU, however our current government is incapable of delivering a positive Brexit AND the EU seem determined to make an example of us, so on that basis I’d vote remain.





Is there a case to say that a Labour government would have been capable of delivering a positive Brexit deal?

Everyone that I know who voted to leave have told me that they would vote remain if there is a second referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on November 14, 2018, 05:15:10 pm
I would also change my vote and now vote remain.
I still don't want a more federal Europe but the lack of anyone on the leave side to come up with a credible policy for exit beggars belief. I do think that the thought of the U.K. leaving has made the rest of the EU possibly move some views. The spectre of dealing with the likes of Trump,Putin,  China and Saudi Arabia on our own doesn't fill me with confidence either. The benefit of us staying might also be more useful to the EU than us leaving and being punished as an example to other members.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 14, 2018, 05:19:36 pm
If we have a second referendum I will change my vote to remain, because that is what appears to be happening now, but without us having a say. We may as well remain and have a say

I’m the same as you Filo. I still believe that we’re better off outside the EU, however our current government is incapable of delivering a positive Brexit AND the EU seem determined to make an example of us, so on that basis I’d vote remain.





Is there a case to say that a Labour government would have been capable of delivering a positive Brexit deal?

Everyone that I know who voted to leave have told me that they would vote remain if there is a second referendum.

Could Labour have delivered a more positive Brexit? Who knows. However, I’m not sure that they’d have been as aggressively split as the Tory party have been. Mrs May has tried to please both sides of opinions in her party as consequently is pleasing nobody (or so it seems to be fair).

Most leavers who I know would vote the same, however a few would change their vote.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 14, 2018, 06:07:57 pm

Is there a case to say that a Labour government would have been capable of delivering a positive Brexit deal?

Keir Starmer has said (several times) that the deal he has been proposing, staying in the CU and close to the SM, has been received positively by people he has spoken to in the EU. Presumably he is speaking the truth so presumably he could deliver a deal based on that.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 14, 2018, 06:36:34 pm
Has anyone heard when the deal goes before Parliament to be voted on?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 14, 2018, 06:39:39 pm
Glyn

My bet. It will not reach that far.

Either the Cabinet refuses to agree to the deal tonight, or the Brexit wing of the Tory party launches a no-confidence move against May. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 14, 2018, 06:42:10 pm

Is there a case to say that a Labour government would have been capable of delivering a positive Brexit deal?

Keir Starmer has said (several times) that the deal he has been proposing, staying in the CU and close to the SM, has been received positively by people he has spoken to in the EU. Presumably he is speaking the truth so presumably he could deliver a deal based on that.

Fair point
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 14, 2018, 06:47:05 pm
Wilts

That's all correct.

Of course, that would leave us less well off and without a say in either the SM or CU. So it's a considerably worse situation than the status quo. But yes, much better than the May deal or no deal.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 14, 2018, 06:54:23 pm
Wilts

That's all correct.

Of course, that would leave us less well off and without a say in either the SM or CU. So it's a considerably worse situation than the status quo. But yes, much better than the May deal or no deal.

Yes agreed with all that Billy. One other important point worth noting too is that there is a also a clear majority for that sort of deal (CU & close to SM) in Parliament - it would pass easily.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 14, 2018, 07:03:21 pm
The more I’m seeing and reading about this the more I think we should go back to the EU and say “Even though the majority of us wanted leave and many of us don’t like you very much, we can’t get our house in order never mind prise ourselves away from you, so here’s this years £13 Billion, can we come back in please?”

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: big fat yorkshire pudding on November 14, 2018, 07:19:56 pm

Is there a case to say that a Labour government would have been capable of delivering a positive Brexit deal?

Keir Starmer has said (several times) that the deal he has been proposing, staying in the CU and close to the SM, has been received positively by people he has spoken to in the EU. Presumably he is speaking the truth so presumably he could deliver a deal based on that.

Is there a case to say that a Labour government would have been capable of delivering a positive Brexit deal?

Keir Starmer has said (several times) that the deal he has been proposing, staying in the CU and close to the SM, has been received positively by people he has spoken to in the EU. Presumably he is speaking the truth so presumably he could deliver a deal based on that.

Fair point

Rumours have it that's what may has agreed.  Assume labour will vote for it then?

It's the big mess we all expected.  Are many of these Tories etc disagreeing with the position or lions sensing a prey?  Some of them are a joke frankly.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on November 14, 2018, 07:23:30 pm
The more I’m seeing and reading about this the more I think we should go back to the EU and say “Even though the majority of us wanted leave and many of us don’t like you very much, we can’t get our house in order never mind prise ourselves away from you, so here’s this years £13 Billion, can we come back in please?”


I'm not sure that most of us don't like Europeans. There are lots of Brits that I dislike more than our EU cousins.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 14, 2018, 07:37:23 pm
Glyn

My bet. It will not reach that far.

Either the Cabinet refuses to agree to the deal tonight, or the Brexit wing of the Tory party launches a no-confidence move against May. 
Apparently, both are happening... Cabinet agrees to the deal and JRM and his ERG move to remove her, rumoured.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 14, 2018, 08:03:30 pm
The more I’m seeing and reading about this the more I think we should go back to the EU and say “Even though the majority of us wanted leave and many of us don’t like you very much, we can’t get our house in order never mind prise ourselves away from you, so here’s this years £13 Billion, can we come back in please?”


I'm not sure that most of us don't like Europeans. There are lots of Brits that I dislike more than our EU cousins.

Idler,

I didn’t say we don’t like Europeans. I said we don’t like the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: big fat yorkshire pudding on November 14, 2018, 08:28:50 pm
On the face of it the brexiteers will hate this and I can see why.  No deal more likely than not I would think.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on November 14, 2018, 08:44:41 pm
I sometimes can’t believe the sheer brassneck of the Government, it eas n’t that long ago the Maybots mantra was no deal is better than a bad deal, now apparently there are three options, a bad deal, no deal, or no brexit
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 14, 2018, 08:57:31 pm
Hope it ends as no Brexit then.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 14, 2018, 09:08:21 pm
Hope it ends as no Brexit then.
It wont. The government have a duty to uphold a democratic vote.
It will be no deal.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 14, 2018, 09:10:03 pm
No they don't. We live in a Parliamentary democracy. Parliament is sovereign. Referendums are advisory.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 14, 2018, 09:11:18 pm
And there will not be a No Deal outcome. Because that would be e onomic suicide, and us supported by only about 1/4 of the population, and only about 1 in 10 MPs.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 14, 2018, 09:20:58 pm

Is there a case to say that a Labour government would have been capable of delivering a positive Brexit deal?

Keir Starmer has said (several times) that the deal he has been proposing, staying in the CU and close to the SM, has been received positively by people he has spoken to in the EU. Presumably he is speaking the truth so presumably he could deliver a deal based on that.

Is there a case to say that a Labour government would have been capable of delivering a positive Brexit deal?

Keir Starmer has said (several times) that the deal he has been proposing, staying in the CU and close to the SM, has been received positively by people he has spoken to in the EU. Presumably he is speaking the truth so presumably he could deliver a deal based on that.

Fair point

Rumours have it that's what may has agreed.  Assume labour will vote for it then?

It's the big mess we all expected.  Are many of these Tories etc disagreeing with the position or lions sensing a prey?  Some of them are a joke frankly.

I doubt it BFYP. What May seems to have agreed is not full CU & SM as there are different rules for GB and NI and block on state aid. Unlikely that Labour would support that but who knows.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 14, 2018, 09:22:45 pm
TBH I would be surprised if Labour backed any deal proposed by May, even if it was a good one.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 14, 2018, 09:23:59 pm
This deal wont pass through parliament and a people's vote between no deal and remain anyone?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Akinfenwa on November 14, 2018, 09:25:38 pm
To hear of people who voted to leave the EU, and ideally still want to, so resigned to the fact that real change is not possible in Britain and would now vote differently (or not at all), I think, paints a quite depressing picture of where British politics is at. And this is not in any way a criticism of people who have come to hold that view.

So if there's any lesson to be learnt from the past two years it's that even on the rare occasion that you are presented with and vote for significant change, voting is ultimately pointless if the political class does not already support it. This increasingly out-of-touch, estranged political class are simply unwilling (or incapable) to deliver and will conspire to change as little as they can get away with. Those who already thought that voting was pointless and that politicians don't represent them yet turned out to vote for Brexit in the hope of being heard for once have ultimately been proven right.

This ought to concern everyone who isn't a cynical opportunist, regardless of Brexit stance.

During the last general election both parties committed to leaving the single market and customs union as they couldn't get away with anything less. It didn't take them long to ditch those commitments.

It seems like the current political system is not fit for purpose anymore. Absolute shite the lot of them.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 14, 2018, 09:26:32 pm
No they don't. We live in a Parliamentary democracy. Parliament is sovereign. Referendums are advisory.
Yes they do, the referendum showed the will of the people, it's the goverments duty to uphold this.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 14, 2018, 09:30:14 pm
And there will not be a No Deal outcome. Because that would be e onomic suicide, and us supported by only about 1/4 of the population, and only about 1 in 10 MPs.

If it's no deal, or no brexit.
It will be no deal . simple.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 14, 2018, 09:31:49 pm
No they don't. We live in a Parliamentary democracy. Parliament is sovereign. Referendums are advisory.
Yes they do, the referendum showed the will of the people, it's the goverments duty to uphold this.

You clearly have no understanding of how British politics actually works.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 14, 2018, 09:37:38 pm
No they don't. We live in a Parliamentary democracy. Parliament is sovereign. Referendums are advisory.
Yes they do, the referendum showed the will of the people, it's the goverments duty to uphold this.

You clearly have no understanding of how British politics actually works.
The election manifesto had a promise to hold a referendum, they kept this promise.
The public voted leave, the government have a commitment to carry it out.
They tried getting favourable terms, they cant. So no deal it is.
Simple .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on November 14, 2018, 10:07:08 pm
You clearly have no understanding of how British politics actually works.

 :that:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 14, 2018, 10:19:58 pm
To hear of people who voted to leave the EU, and ideally still want to, so resigned to the fact that real change is not possible in Britain and would now vote differently (or not at all), I think, paints a quite depressing picture of where British politics is at. And this is not in any way a criticism of people who have come to hold that view.

So if there's any lesson to be learnt from the past two years it's that even on the rare occasion that you are presented with and vote for significant change, voting is ultimately pointless if the political class does not already support it. This increasingly out-of-touch, estranged political class are simply unwilling (or incapable) to deliver and will conspire to change as little as they can get away with. Those who already thought that voting was pointless and that politicians don't represent them yet turned out to vote for Brexit in the hope of being heard for once have ultimately been proven right.

This ought to concern everyone who isn't a cynical opportunist, regardless of Brexit stance.

During the last general election both parties committed to leaving the single market and customs union as they couldn't get away with anything less. It didn't take them long to ditch those commitments.

It seems like the current political system is not fit for purpose anymore. Absolute shite the lot of them.

Great post
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 14, 2018, 10:33:17 pm
No they don't. We live in a Parliamentary democracy. Parliament is sovereign. Referendums are advisory.
Yes they do, the referendum showed the will of the people, it's the goverments duty to uphold this.

You clearly have no understanding of how British politics actually works.
The election manifesto had a promise to hold a referendum, they kept this promise.
The public voted leave, the government have a commitment to carry it out.
They tried getting favourable terms, they cant. So no deal it is.
Simple .

The government have no commitment to carry out anything based on an advisory referendum.

Arguably, they should, but they have no commitment, no obligation, to do so. Parliament can act of its own accord if it so wishes. Isn't it Parliamentary sovereignty that the Brexiteers were so keen on getting back? :)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 14, 2018, 10:56:42 pm
And there will not be a No Deal outcome. Because that would be e onomic suicide, and us supported by only about 1/4 of the population, and only about 1 in 10 MPs.

If it's no deal, or no brexit.
It will be no deal . simple.

That would be a thoroughly democratic outcome. Go for a solution that only about 1/4 of the population supports.


Will of the People, eh?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 14, 2018, 11:04:03 pm
And there will not be a No Deal outcome. Because that would be e onomic suicide, and us supported by only about 1/4 of the population, and only about 1 in 10 MPs.

If it's no deal, or no brexit.
It will be no deal . simple.

That would be a thoroughly democratic outcome. Go for a solution that only about 1/4 of the population supports.


Will of the People, eh?

'Triumph Of The Will Of The People'. What a shame Leni's not still around to film it. ;)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 14, 2018, 11:21:11 pm
No they don't. We live in a Parliamentary democracy. Parliament is sovereign. Referendums are advisory.
Yes they do, the referendum showed the will of the people, it's the goverments duty to uphold this.

You clearly have no understanding of how British politics actually works.
The election manifesto had a promise to hold a referendum, they kept this promise.
The public voted leave, the government have a commitment to carry it out.
They tried getting favourable terms, they cant. So no deal it is.
Simple .

The government have no commitment to carry out anything based on an advisory referendum.

Arguably, they should, but they have no commitment, no obligation, to do so. Parliament can act of its own accord if it so wishes. Isn't it Parliamentary sovereignty that the Brexiteers were so keen on getting back? :)

I feel that referendums should be used in an advisory context only. However, in the Goverments leaflet sent to all households prior to the vote, the following text was included:

“This is your decision. The Government will implement what you decide.”

Seems quite clear to me. No mention of an advisory referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 14, 2018, 11:50:03 pm
No they don't. We live in a Parliamentary democracy. Parliament is sovereign. Referendums are advisory.
Yes they do, the referendum showed the will of the people, it's the goverments duty to uphold this.

You clearly have no understanding of how British politics actually works.
The election manifesto had a promise to hold a referendum, they kept this promise.
The public voted leave, the government have a commitment to carry it out.
They tried getting favourable terms, they cant. So no deal it is.
Simple .

The government have no commitment to carry out anything based on an advisory referendum.

Arguably, they should, but they have no commitment, no obligation, to do so. Parliament can act of its own accord if it so wishes. Isn't it Parliamentary sovereignty that the Brexiteers were so keen on getting back? :)

I feel that referendums should be used in an advisory context only. However, in the Goverments leaflet sent to all households prior to the vote, the following text was included:

“This is your decision. The Government will implement what you decide.”

Seems quite clear to me. No mention of an advisory referendum.

No mention of it. And I'm not saying the government absolutely shouldn't, even if I think it would be suicidal to do so, but they have no obligation to do so legally.

I'm just being a pedantic bas**rd really.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 14, 2018, 11:59:56 pm
No, you're not being pedantic Red. The Govt had no authority to make such an undertaking. That is not how Parliament works. Parliament has absolute sovereignty and can make whatever decision it likes. And, critically, no Parliament is beholden to uphold ANYTHING that a previous Parliament has decided.

Anyone saying that Parliament has a duty or an obligation to do anything simply doesn't understand how our Govt works.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 12:23:23 am
I was thinking earlier today, after a few posts that seemed based on the idea that there is "an EU" and "a UK" and that the former is hell bent on controlling the latter.

I was wondering where that bizarre idea comes from.

This might help explain it.

https://blogs.ec.europa.eu/ECintheUK/euromyths-a-z-index/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 15, 2018, 07:28:47 am
No, you're not being pedantic Red. The Govt had no authority to make such an undertaking. That is not how Parliament works. Parliament has absolute sovereignty and can make whatever decision it likes. And, critically, no Parliament is beholden to uphold ANYTHING that a previous Parliament has decided.

Anyone saying that Parliament has a duty or an obligation to do anything simply doesn't understand how our Govt works.
The people gave the government authority to carry it out. As per the the manifesto promise, and the promise in the referendum literature.
Somehow I think you wouldn't be saying this, if the result was what you wanted
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 08:03:19 am
That's an odd conclusion to come to BS.
Do you think my understanding of how British government works changes with the situation?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 15, 2018, 08:58:23 am
WTF...Raab's resigned over the deal he's supposed to have negotiated!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 15, 2018, 09:00:54 am
You can download the draft agreement in .pdf format here....
 
https://ec.europa.eu/commission/files/draft-agreement-withdrawal-united-kingdom-great-britain-and-northern-ireland-european-union-and-european-atomic-energy-community-agreed-negotiators-level-14-november-2018_en
 
It makes very interesting reading.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 15, 2018, 09:01:27 am
What an absolute shit show this entire process has been and today it's sent the Cabinet into meltdown.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 15, 2018, 09:05:45 am
No, you're not being pedantic Red. The Govt had no authority to make such an undertaking. That is not how Parliament works. Parliament has absolute sovereignty and can make whatever decision it likes. And, critically, no Parliament is beholden to uphold ANYTHING that a previous Parliament has decided.

Anyone saying that Parliament has a duty or an obligation to do anything simply doesn't understand how our Govt works.
[/quote

Have you ever thought just why the referendum wasn’t promoted as advisory until after the vote? Could it be that the result wasn’t what the Government wanted?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 15, 2018, 09:08:50 am
I was thinking earlier today, after a few posts that seemed based on the idea that there is "an EU" and "a UK" and that the former is hell bent on controlling the latter.

I was wondering where that bizarre idea comes from.

This might help explain it.

https://blogs.ec.europa.eu/ECintheUK/euromyths-a-z-index/

Even by your constant defence of all things EU Billy, that’s an incredibly lop sided and unbalanced view. Do we really need to list areas where the EU does control decision making in the U.K.?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 15, 2018, 09:11:11 am
See my post from earlier this week. A second referendum is even more likely now and that’s going to create even bigger problems. Remainers really do need to be careful what they wish for...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 09:11:32 am
HA
I couldn't possibly claim to know why Cameron's Govt did anything it did.

But that's irrelevant.

The FACT is that we are not a plebiscitary democracy, we are a Parliamentary democracy.

Parliament (not Government) can CHOOSE to be bound by a referendum. Or it can choose to ignore it. And because one Parliament chooses either way, that doesn't bind any later Parliament to stick to that.

It's how we do things.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 09:13:36 am
HA

I think you've missed the point of that website.

It's not a lopsided anything.

It's a factual response to 25 yearsworth of exaggerations and lies from the UK Press.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: GazLaz on November 15, 2018, 09:14:48 am
HA
I couldn't possibly claim to know why Cameron's Govt did anything it did.

But that's irrelevant.

The FACT is that we are not a plebiscitary democracy, we are a Parliamentary democracy.

Parliament (not Government) can CHOOSE to be bound by a referendum. Or it can choose to ignore it. And because one Parliament chooses either way, that doesn't bind any later Parliament to stick to that.

It's how we do things.

Cameron thought Remain was an absolute certainty to win and didn’t even give the consequence of leaving a thought.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 09:18:32 am
I wonder if May has any grasp left on reality.

She stood in front of the nation last night and told us that the Cabinet had agreed this deal. And within 14 hours, the Brexit Secretary resigns. Did she have not even the slightest inkling last night that Raab was a tad dischuffed?

I'll give the woman her due. She's got no ego. Anyone with an ego would be unable to function given the embarrassments she's endured over this last couple of years. But in the interests of humanity, it's time for someone to put her out of her misery.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 09:20:44 am
Gaz

Cameron thought a lot of things that didn't care well when faced with reality.

That's why he's in the too 3 worst PMs we've had at least since the 1920s.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 09:29:21 am
Can you begin to imagine how f**king useless we are looking in the eyes of the rest of the world?

We have bumbled into this without any comprehension of what we wanted from it, still less how to achieve that.

We have a PM who made agreements with the EU last year then immediately told everyone in the Tory party that she hadn't. A Brexit Secretary who negotiates a deal then resigns because he doesn't agree with it.

Who the f**k is ever going to take us seriously in any future negotiations about anything?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 15, 2018, 09:29:32 am
That's an odd conclusion to come to BS.
Do you think my understanding of how British government works changes with the situation?
No, not your understanding. Just what you moan about .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 09:34:13 am
I think you need to re-read what we've been discussing.

I wasn't moaning about anything. Just correcting a misunderstanding.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on November 15, 2018, 09:34:30 am
WTF...Raab's resigned over the deal he's supposed to have negotiated!

You could n’t make some of this shit up 😀😀😀
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 15, 2018, 09:37:11 am
At the end of all this slagging off it should be remembered that it was brought on by the people who voted to leave.
It was never going to be easy for whoever had to sort out the deal to do so.
Things have come up that none us us ever even considered.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 09:40:21 am
Hound

Are you asking us to have sympathy for the Tory Govt that tipped us into this clusterf**k?

And what things have cropped up that were never thought of?

The core problem that has led to this meltdown in the Tory party is Ireland. I've been saying that was insoluble since before the vote.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 15, 2018, 09:41:37 am
See my post from earlier this week. A second referendum is even more likely now and that’s going to create even bigger problems. Remainers really do need to be careful what they wish for...
A 2nd refferendum would be worse than a no deal.
Christ, it could even be civil war
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 15, 2018, 09:44:35 am
I think you need to re-read what we've been discussing.

I wasn't moaning about anything. Just correcting a misunderstanding.
Ok then, what you choose to discuss
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 09:44:45 am
Yeah.

Imagine. We ask people to vote and the ones who lose start shooting people.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 15, 2018, 09:45:32 am
Gaz

Cameron thought a lot of things that didn't care well when faced with reality.

That's why he's in the too 3 worst PMs we've had at least since the 1920s.
In your opinion
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 09:45:55 am
It's not a pendantic debate BS.

Understanding how our Govt works is crucial if you're to understand how you get played.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 15, 2018, 09:47:15 am
Hound

Are you asking us to have sympathy for the Tory Govt that tipped us into this clusterf**k?

And what things have cropped up that were never thought of?

The core problem that has led to this meltdown in the Tory party is Ireland. I've been saying that was insoluble since before the vote.





BST

No I am not suggesting sympathy for anyone.
My views would be the same if Labour were in power.
I am simply saying that whoever was in charge would be in a position where is is virtually impossible to sort out the mess.

Did any of the leavers have thoughts about the Irish border when they cast their vote?
I very much doubt it.

The big issue before the vote was”having control of our borders” which was generally about stopping wholesale immigration and of course the lies spread by Boris and Farage and their crew.

Do you think that a Labour government would have done better than the current one.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 15, 2018, 09:47:33 am
Yeah.

Imagine. We ask people to vote and the ones who lose start shooting people.
Perhaps after a 2nd referrendum, we could have a 3rd and call it best of 3 ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 15, 2018, 09:51:24 am
Yeah.

Imagine. We ask people to vote and the ones who lose start shooting people.
Perhaps after a 2nd referrendum, we could have a 3rd and call it best of 3 ?

Erm, we've already had 3 Boomstick, please keep up.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 09:52:24 am
Well, if you judge PMs by their judgement and on the effect they have on our appearance to the rest of the world, you're going to struggle to find 3 worse ones than Eden, Cameron and May.

And that's before you go into the unmitigated disaster that was Austerity.

Cameron demonstrated that he didn't understand basic undergraduate-level economics.

He was unable to keep the lid on the civil war that has engulfed the Tory party for the past 2 generations.

And in a bid to stop that war, he had the most monumentally wrong headed domestic decision of any PM I can think of. (And I'm not saying that because the side I supported lost. I'm saying that because the side HE supported lost. His decision to hold a referendum led directly to the end of his tenure.)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 15, 2018, 09:55:20 am
Well, if you judge PMs by their judgement and on the effect they have on our appearance to the rest of the world, you're going to struggle to find 3 worse ones than Eden, Cameron and May.

And that's before you go into the unmitigated disaster that was Austerity.

Cameron demonstrated that he didn't understand basic undergraduate-level economics.

He was unable to keep the lid on the civil war that has engulfed the Tory party for the past 2 generations.

And in a bid to stop that war, he had the most monumentally wrong headed domestic decision of any PM I can think of. (And I'm not saying that because the side I supported lost. I'm saying that because the side HE supported lost. His decision to hold a referendum led directly to the end of his tenure.)





BST,   Is that a response to my last post, also addressed to you?

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 15, 2018, 10:09:46 am
Yeah.

Imagine. We ask people to vote and the ones who lose start shooting people.
Perhaps after a 2nd referrendum, we could have a 3rd and call it best of 3 ?

Erm, we've already had 3 Boomstick, please keep up.
No we haven't ..... ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 10:12:32 am
Hound.

Yes I do. Not because of party pitical preference. Because of logic.

Look at the problem.

If we (the entire UK) leaves the CU and SM, we have brought in a hard border between NI and RoI.

That destabilises the GFA. And would badly affect the RoI economy. So, if we go that route, there is no way the EU will give us a beneficial deal.

The solution to that is to stay in (or effectively stay in) the CU and SM. But that is unacceptable to a very large number of Tory MPs.

And THAT is the core of the current clusterf**k. It is not possible to get a deal that gives us good trading arrangements with the EU AND satisfies the Tory party. Full stop.

That's been predictable since before the vote. But we were assured that the Ireland border thing wasn't an issue.

Labour doesn't have that problem because Labour's agreed policy IS to stay tied into the CU and SM. It's still not as sensible a deal as simply remaining, but it does offer the possibility of a not-as-bad-as-it-might-be deal with the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 10:13:02 am
Well, if you judge PMs by their judgement and on the effect they have on our appearance to the rest of the world, you're going to struggle to find 3 worse ones than Eden, Cameron and May.

And that's before you go into the unmitigated disaster that was Austerity.

Cameron demonstrated that he didn't understand basic undergraduate-level economics.

He was unable to keep the lid on the civil war that has engulfed the Tory party for the past 2 generations.

And in a bid to stop that war, he had the most monumentally wrong headed domestic decision of any PM I can think of. (And I'm not saying that because the side I supported lost. I'm saying that because the side HE supported lost. His decision to hold a referendum led directly to the end of his tenure.)





BST,   Is that a response to my last post, also addressed to you?



No. It was aimed at BS.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 15, 2018, 10:14:47 am
Yeah.

Imagine. We ask people to vote and the ones who lose start shooting people.
Perhaps after a 2nd referrendum, we could have a 3rd and call it best of 3 ?

Erm, we've already had 3 Boomstick, please keep up.
No we haven't ..... ?

I'm afraid we have BS.  Maybe you're too young to remember the first two?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on November 15, 2018, 10:16:54 am
And another one resigns!!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 15, 2018, 10:18:36 am
And another one resigns!!

ayep.  Now Esther McVey. There's not going to be many left at this rate!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 10:25:31 am
BS

There's a thing about the 2016 referendum that you don't ever seen to have picked up on, despite it being discussed in here ad nauseum.

I don't mean the lies from the Leave side, the criminal use of social media profiling and the funding from the Kremlin. As a patriot and a democrat, you don't seem concerned about those so there's no point raising them again.

The point is, it was a binary decision on something that wasn't a binary choice.

The choice was Remain or Leave.

But there was never one "thing" called "Leave". There were infinite shades from  No Deal to Brexit in Name Only.

And there's the problem.

There is no majority in the country for any particular type of Brexit. So ant Brexit that we DO get will be opposed by a majority of the population.

Now that we know this Govt is unable to get any deal with the EU that it can support, we have three choices.

1) The Govt resigns and is replaced by a Labour Govt that CAN arrange a deal. But that deal won't satisfy Hard Brexiters or Remainers.

2) The Govt grits it's teeth and leads us into a No Deal Brexit. But that won't satisfy Remainers and Soft Brexiters.

3) We have anitger referendum with a genuine binary decision. No Deal Vs Remain.

Which one of those don't you think is morally the most correct path?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 15, 2018, 10:27:52 am
Two more.... Suella Braveman and Annemarie Trevelyan resign - they're going down like ninepins....


Next?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 10:29:53 am
And another one resigns!!

ayep.  Now Esther McVey. There's not going to be many left at this rate!

I suspect May will be out within a week.

There'll be a vote of no confidence in her this week.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on November 15, 2018, 10:29:59 am
And another one resigns!!

ayep.  Now Esther McVey. There's not going to be many left at this rate!

Horrible woman good riddence
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 15, 2018, 10:31:10 am
Yeah.

Imagine. We ask people to vote and the ones who lose start shooting people.
Perhaps after a 2nd referrendum, we could have a 3rd and call it best of 3 ?

Erm, we've already had 3 Boomstick, please keep up.
No we haven't ..... ?

I'm afraid we have BS.  Maybe you're too young to remember the first two?
Perhaps your too old to realise they have no bearing on the current one.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on November 15, 2018, 10:33:29 am
A General Election must surely be on the horizon now
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 15, 2018, 10:35:05 am
BS

There's a thing about the 2016 referendum that you don't ever seen to have picked up on, despite it being discussed in here ad nauseum.

I don't mean the lies from the Leave side, the criminal use of social media profiling and the funding from the Kremlin. As a patriot and a democrat, you don't seem concerned about those so there's no point raising them again.

The point is, it was a binary decision on something that wasn't a binary choice.

The choice was Remain or Leave.

But there was never one "thing" called "Leave". There were infinite shades from  No Deal to Brexit in Name Only.

And there's the problem.

There is no majority in the country for any particular type of Brexit. So ant Brexit that we DO get will be opposed by a majority of the population.

Now that we know this Govt is unable to get any deal with the EU that it can support, we have three choices.

1) The Govt resigns and is replaced by a Labour Govt that CAN arrange a deal. But that deal won't satisfy Hard Brexiters or Remainers.

2) The Govt grits it's teeth and leads us into a No Deal Brexit. But that won't satisfy Remainers and Soft Brexiters.

3) We have anitger referendum with a genuine binary decision. No Deal Vs Remain.

Which one of those don't you think is morally the most correct path?
Right, I have some sympathy for your point of view.
But I believe out of those choices you presented, the 2nd would be the least terrible.
Although there are other options .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 10:36:56 am
This is naughty, but understandable.
https://mobile.twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1063008449808740352

Interpretation.

"Britain. We've reached a deal. We're approaching these negotiations in  a professional  and organised  way.  We're ready to move onto the next stage.

"Britain? Hello? HELLLLOOO!"
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 10:37:59 am
So you think an outcome that only about 1/4 of the population supports, and which was never discussed as a serious option in the 2016 campaign would be the most democratic outcome BS?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 10:39:09 am
And what other options are there?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 10:45:23 am
And another one.

https://mobile.twitter.com/eucopresident/status/1062974734193823744

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 15, 2018, 10:46:23 am
So you think an outcome that only about 1/4 of the population supports, and which was never discussed as a serious option in the 2016 campaign would be the most democratic outcome BS?
I staunchly believe anyone who voted leave, knew a hard brexit was a possibility, and I dare say many actually would prefer this.
The working class areas that voted leave, cared not for the economic consequences, afterall it will mainly be London that feels the brunt.
They voted leave for 2 reasons .
1.British sovereignty
2. Immigration.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 15, 2018, 10:46:43 am
This is naughty, but understandable.
https://mobile.twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1063008449808740352

Interpretation.

"Britain. We've reached a deal. We're approaching these negotiations in  a professional  and organised  way.  We're ready to move onto the next stage.

"Britain? Hello? HELLLLOOO!"

Pretty much sums up the EU attitude nicely
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on November 15, 2018, 10:51:36 am
And another one resigns!!

ayep.  Now Esther McVey. There's not going to be many left at this rate!

Horrible woman good riddence
Do you think she'll need some help with her Universal Credit application?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 15, 2018, 10:51:53 am
And another one resigns!!

ayep.  Now Esther McVey. There's not going to be many left at this rate!

One good thing from this mess then
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on November 15, 2018, 10:57:00 am
And another one resigns!!

ayep.  Now Esther McVey. There's not going to be many left at this rate!

Horrible woman good riddence
Do you think she'll need some help with her Universal Credit application?

I hope she can explain what she’s being doing to find work since 10am 😀😀
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on November 15, 2018, 11:21:00 am
just watching bbc parliament. not one mp, tory or otherwise, has stood up so far and agreed with her opening speech on the brexit deal. There is no way this agreement will be passed by the house. What a f**king shit show.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 11:21:11 am
BS

But it's not about what you believe is it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 11:22:13 am
HA

Yep. Organised, principled, consistent. That's the way they've approached the negotiation.

Whereas we have been a clusterf**k of shambolic amateurs.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 15, 2018, 11:53:06 am
For the last two years we have listened to this government tell us chapter and verse how they were going to negotiate a deal to leave the eu, while almost everyone else said they couldn't do it, it can't be done. And here we are with a mess far worse than the day after the referendum, I still can't fathom how this mob ever gets into parliament.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 15, 2018, 12:06:31 pm
A General Election must surely be on the horizon now
What would that achieve ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on November 15, 2018, 12:20:23 pm
A General Election must surely be on the horizon now
What would that achieve ?

Probably a change of Government
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: big fat yorkshire pudding on November 15, 2018, 12:24:33 pm
A General Election must surely be on the horizon now
What would that achieve ?

Probably a change of Government

Aye but the opposition would then have to agree to what they want Brexit to be - which they probably couldn't either.  Reight royal mess.

Much more chance of a no deal exit I reckon.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 12:40:33 pm
The only way we have a No Deal outcome is through blundering mistakes.

The number of people in Parliament who want No Deal can be counted on the fingers of not very many fingers. Because, for all their posturing, they are grown-ups who don't, for the most part, want to wreck the country's economy.

No Deal has been flagged up as a negotiating strategy, and as a threat to try to whip MPs into supporting May's half-arsed deal. But there is zero chance of it ever being seriously countenanced as policy. Because no sane person wants an outcome whereby come the early 2020s, we'll have lost the equivalent of the entire NHS budget from our economy.

Not saying we won't stumble into it without intending to do, but that would be a dereliction of duty on a par with tipping us into an unwanted major war. And that's NOT Project Fear. That is the truth of the matter. No-one, and I MEAN no-one who has spent any serious time looking at this issue thinks a No Deal outcome would be anything other than an utter catastrophe.

May hasn't helped the public understanding of this by her inane "No deal is better than a bad deal" soundbite, and listening to BS, it sounds like some people really do believe that No Deal is a desirable outcome. But be under no illusions, to be worse than a no deal, we'd need a deal that involved us shipping boat loads of British virgins to Brussels to be sacrificed every year.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 15, 2018, 12:59:49 pm
Where did I say a no deal is a desirable outcome ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Pancho Regan on November 15, 2018, 01:06:04 pm


We have bumbled into this without any comprehension of what we wanted from it, still less how to achieve that.



Which is the consequence of letting the public decide on such a crucial and complex issue, without anything like a clear explanation of the possible outcomes.

It is a complete and utter shambles.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 01:08:23 pm
Apologies. I obviously misunderstood your 10:35 and 10:46 posts.

What DO you think would be the desirable outcome then?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on November 15, 2018, 01:22:39 pm
It'll either end up a no deal or a People's Vote to see what kind of Brexit the people want which MPs should back whatever outcome. With a GE there will still be splits in parties and nothing will ever get through.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 15, 2018, 01:25:16 pm
Apologies. I obviously misunderstood your 10:35 and 10:46 posts.

What DO you think would be the desirable outcome then?
You mis-intetpreted them to suit you agenda.

To answer your question.
Re-negotiation.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 01:29:06 pm
No BS. I didn't. It was a simple and honest mistake. Why on earth would I try to twist your words to suit some agenda? That would be very silly, because you could point out the correct situation and I'd be left looking stupid.

Anyway. Re-negotiate WHAT?

Re-negotiation is a means to an end, not an end in itself?

What outcome would you want to see?

I'll make it simpler, because that is a very wide question.

Would you be prepared to accept us remaining tied into the structure of the Customs Union, and therefore unable to make independent trade deals with other countries?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on November 15, 2018, 01:33:52 pm
Apologies. I obviously misunderstood your 10:35 and 10:46 posts.

What DO you think would be the desirable outcome then?
You mis-intetpreted them to suit you agenda.

To answer your question.
Re-negotiation.

What deal do you genuinely think would be accepted and win a majority?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 15, 2018, 01:37:40 pm
HA

Yep. Organised, principled, consistent. That's the way they've approached the negotiation.

Whereas we have been a clusterf**k of shambolic amateurs.

Billy,

You cannot be serious!

Even Politicians from Germany and Italy have criticised the EU negotiating stance during the negotiations, so I’m not sure where you’ve got this idea from.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 01:41:07 pm
What criticisms are you referring to?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 15, 2018, 01:45:38 pm
No BS. I didn't. It was a simple and honest mistake. Why on earth would I try to twist your words to suit some agenda? That would be very silly, because you could point out the correct situation and I'd be left looking stupid.

Anyway. Re-negotiate WHAT?

Re-negotiation is a means to an end, not an end in itself?

What outcome would you want to see?

I'll make it simpler, because that is a very wide question.

Would you be prepared to accept us remaining tied into the structure of the Customs Union, and therefore unable to make independent trade deals with other countries?
Fair enough,
And no, I wouldn't accept that in a million years.

I can see the trap your trying to push me into here ..... ;)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 15, 2018, 01:47:00 pm
Here’s my idea of what COULD happen:

From what I can see, the deal won’t get through parliament, so it’s either going to necessitate a general election or 2nd vote. May will avoid a GE because she’ll lose. So 2nd vote it is. Remain will win, she will lose a no confidence vote, this we’ll see Boris as leader. In the meantime the Brexit side will become galvanised, make huge gains in the Euro elections and protest for another referendum. Boris will grant that and the whole sorry cycle begins again.

I wonder at which point the nation accepts the result?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 15, 2018, 01:53:33 pm
I've been watching her statement to the house today. In truth, it was like watching a one legged woman in an arse kicking contest.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 15, 2018, 01:54:48 pm
And another one resigns!!

ayep.  Now Esther McVey. There's not going to be many left at this rate!

Horrible woman good riddence
Do you think she'll need some help with her Universal Credit application?

I hope she can explain what she’s being doing to find work since 10am 😀😀

http://newsthump.com/2018/11/15/esther-mcvey-now-subject-to-benefit-sanctions-after-voluntarily-resigning-from-her-job/
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 15, 2018, 01:55:54 pm
What criticisms are you referring to?

Italian Interior Minister Matteo Salvoni accused the EU of “not conducting Brexit talks in good faith”.

German interior Minister Horst Seehoffer complained to the EU that it’s dogmatic approach to Brexit, particularly around security risked putting lives at risk.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 01:56:18 pm
BS

Its strange to call facing up to facts "a trap", but I'm guessing you've seen your problem.

If you don't accept that, then by definition you've just said you want No Deal.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 01:59:21 pm
HA

Well yes. Two deeply euro-sceptic politicians, one of them a senior member of a quasi-fascist party criticise the EU. Not a massive surprise.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on November 15, 2018, 02:03:04 pm
Treason May didn't even wait a week until after Armistice day before surrendering to the EUSSR.
If this joke gets passed we are doomed forever to be slaves to the EU dictatorship.
The only sane option is to leave with no deal as we voted for two years ago.
If this gets passed then no-one should ever buy any European product ever again.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on November 15, 2018, 02:08:10 pm
Treason May didn't even wait a week until after Armistice day before surrendering to the EUSSR.
If this joke gets passed we are doomed forever to be slaves to the EU dictatorship.
The only sane option is to leave with no deal as we voted for two years ago.
If this gets passed then no-one should ever buy any European product ever again.

You haven't taken your pills today, have you?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 15, 2018, 02:13:53 pm
Treason May didn't even wait a week until after Armistice day before surrendering to the EUSSR.
If this joke gets passed we are doomed forever to be slaves to the EU dictatorship.
The only sane option is to leave with no deal as we voted for two years ago.
If this gets passed then no-one should ever buy any European product ever again.

Don’t buy any European products again? Wouldn’t we all starve?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 15, 2018, 02:14:51 pm
Treason May didn't even wait a week until after Armistice day before surrendering to the EUSSR.
If this joke gets passed we are doomed forever to be slaves to the EU dictatorship.
The only sane option is to leave with no deal as we voted for two years ago.
If this gets passed then no-one should ever buy any European product ever again.

Don’t buy any European products again? Wouldn’t we all starve?

Yep, and we'd all be driving round in Nissan Micra's
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on November 15, 2018, 02:16:35 pm
Treason May didn't even wait a week until after Armistice day before surrendering to the EUSSR.
If this joke gets passed we are doomed forever to be slaves to the EU dictatorship.
The only sane option is to leave with no deal as we voted for two years ago.
If this gets passed then no-one should ever buy any European product ever again.

Don’t buy any European products again? Wouldn’t we all starve?

Here's a revolutionary idea for you; BUY BRITISH! It worked for years and funnily enough we all had jobs...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 15, 2018, 02:17:22 pm
HA

Well yes. Two deeply euro-sceptic politicians, one of them a senior member of a quasi-fascist party criticise the EU. Not a massive surprise.

Billy,

Whatever their political persuasion, they are senior politicians and seem to disagree with your opinion.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 15, 2018, 02:18:04 pm
BS

Its strange to call facing up to facts "a trap", but I'm guessing you've seen your problem.

If you don't accept that, then by definition you've just said you want No Deal.
Nope, I want a good deal. But if the EU are being too awkward, then we should walk away with no deal.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 15, 2018, 02:18:30 pm
Treason May didn't even wait a week until after Armistice day before surrendering to the EUSSR.
If this joke gets passed we are doomed forever to be slaves to the EU dictatorship.
The only sane option is to leave with no deal as we voted for two years ago.
If this gets passed then no-one should ever buy any European product ever again.

Don’t buy any European products again? Wouldn’t we all starve?

Here's a revolutionary idea for you; BUY BRITISH! It worked for years and funnily enough we all had jobs...

Do we produce enough in the UK to only buy British?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 02:19:53 pm
That is some way from providing evidence that the EU negotiators haven't been professional, consistent and principled though.

They set three red lines at the start. They have stuck to them.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on November 15, 2018, 02:21:02 pm
Treason May didn't even wait a week until after Armistice day before surrendering to the EUSSR.
If this joke gets passed we are doomed forever to be slaves to the EU dictatorship.
The only sane option is to leave with no deal as we voted for two years ago.
If this gets passed then no-one should ever buy any European product ever again.

Don’t buy any European products again? Wouldn’t we all starve?

Here's a revolutionary idea for you; BUY BRITISH! It worked for years and funnily enough we all had jobs...

Do we produce enough in the UK to only buy British?

Well if we don't it presents a great opportunity for new businesses going forwards.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 02:24:24 pm
BS

Yes. We all want a good deal.

The problem is that if you leave the CU, you've screwed up the Irish border. And the EU has said consistently that that is a red line and they won't give us preferential terms if that line is crossed.

So, your position is illogical. You can't leave the CU (or something close to it) and get a good deal.

That's fine. You, personally, choose a No Deal outcome (we got there eventually). That's your prerogative. But that is not what was offered in 2016. And it's an outcome supported by a small minority of the UK.

So, as I said, it would be THE most undemocratic outcome.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 15, 2018, 02:26:03 pm
That is some way from providing evidence that the EU negotiators haven't been professional, consistent and principled though.

They set three red lines at the start. They have stuck to them.

Billy,

It’s ample evidence. Leading politicians in Europe, one in probably the most Europhile country in Europe criticised the EU attitude to the negotiation! I’m really not sure what else you want!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 02:29:14 pm
AL

Yep. There'd be great opportunities.

But that takes time. And we'd be starting from a position where we'd just lost about 10% of our economic activity. Immediately.

Do you know what the effect of that would be?

Even the most ardent Hard Brexiters accept that it would take many, many years for us to claw that lost ground back.

Do you want us to lose the entire budget of the NHS for a decade or more? Or the entire Transport, Defence and Education budgets? Do you want us to be £150-200bn poorer every year for the next decade? £20-30k out of pocket for every man woman and child in the country?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 02:30:38 pm
HA

Flip it round. If Boris Johnson and Michael Gove asserted something, would you said that settled the argument?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 15, 2018, 02:34:54 pm
HA

Flip it round. If Boris Johnson and Michael Gove asserted something, would you said that settled the argument?
[/quote

So your stance is that you’ll only accept the views of politicians that you agree with?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 02:38:01 pm
HA.

I think we're arguing at cross-purposes here.

I said that the EU neogiators had been principled, consistent and professional.

They have.

They had a negotiating position agreed by all the other 27 countries. They have negotiated very consistently from that position.

What you are doing is providing two examples of strongly Euro-sceptic politicians who disagree with that position. That is their prerogative, but it is an entirely different argument.

I did also hint that the EU negotiators have some justification in having a little dig at us, when they have been negotiating for two years, had two of their opposite numbers resign, and find out today that the man they've been negotiating with for the past 4 months doesn't agree with the deal he negotiated.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 15, 2018, 02:38:33 pm
BS

Yes. We all want a good deal.

The problem is that if you leave the CU, you've screwed up the Irish border. And the EU has said consistently that that is a red line and they won't give us preferential terms if that line is crossed.

So, your position is illogical. You can't leave the CU (or something close to it) and get a good deal.

That's fine. You, personally, choose a No Deal outcome (we got there eventually). That's your prerogative. But that is not what was offered in 2016. And it's an outcome supported by a small minority of the UK.

So, as I said, it would be THE most undemocratic outcome.
No, a half/semi/soft brexit would be the least democratic.  NOBODY voted for that.
Why would we abide by it and not have a say ?
The EU have used the border purely as a bargaining chip. No other reason.
the most democratic would be a hard brexit, to achieve what we voted for.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 02:47:58 pm
A negotiating chip?

If problems re-emerge with the Irish border (which they will if we leave the CU), that will have hugely detrimental effects on the Irish economy.

Ireland didn't vote for Brexit. So why should they take a hit because of it?

The EU has been consistent all along in saying that their first priority is protecting their members from the worst effects of Brexit. Do you blame them for telling us that if we hurt them, we can't expect a preferential deal in return? Is that not an acceptable position? Is it just playing games in negotiation?

So we go for a No Deal option. Which, as I said, NOBODY was proposing in 2016. Not Johnson (Canada deal!), not Farage (Norway deal! Switzerland deal!) not Fox (easiest negotiation in history!).

You have a strange concept of democracy if you think that's what the country voted for in 2016, or supports now.

Wouldn't the truly democratic path be to say "It was entirely unclear what Brexit meant in 2016. You now have a clear choice - No Deal or Remain"?

Seems to me, your idea of democracy is based on letting Boomstick, Rees-Mogg and Johnson decide what they think people were thinking in 2016, when they were being promised something else.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 15, 2018, 03:01:06 pm
So if we have a second referendum, and the result is remain. Can us brexiteers demand a 3rd referendum and call it best of 3.
Ridiculous.
You can't just demand another vote, and keep doing so until the result you want is achieved.

The people voted leave, were leaving hopefully with a good deal.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on November 15, 2018, 03:06:51 pm
So if we have a second referendum, and the result is remain. Can us brexiteers demand a 3rd referendum and call it best of 3.
Ridiculous.
You can't just demand another vote, and keep doing so until the result you want is achieved.

The people voted leave, were leaving hopefully with a good deal.

Like the one May has got for you x
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 03:07:52 pm
No.

I don't know how many times I have to spell this out.

The whole point is that when the slim majority voted for Leave in 2016, it was entirely unclear what "Leave" meant. As I've just said, NO-ONE on the Leave side was saying that Leave meant No Deal Leave. And when some on the Remain side pointed out the possibility of that, they were (and still are by some people) decried as Project Fear-mongers.

The entire point (as has been pointed out several times on this thread) is that it is stupid and nonsensical to have a binary vote (Remain or Leave) on an issue that is not a binary choice (Remain vs many, many different types of Leave, with people being assured that No Deal Leave is not a realistic choice).

If you have a binary vote on a binary question (Remain vs No Deal Leave...or Remain vs This Specific Deal Leave) then there is far more validity to the choice made by a referendum. So, if we had a second vote on those terms, that would end the discussion for me, once and for all.

By the way, you are a perfect example of the uncertainty on what Leave meant in 2016. You want us out from having to implement EU decisions. But in 2016, Norway and Switzerland were being presented by Leave as shining examples of what we can do outside the EU. And both of those are tied in to various parts of EU regulations.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 15, 2018, 03:12:41 pm
It amazes me how upset Leave seem to get over the thought of a second vote though considering it's still supposedly the will of the people. Surely that means they'll piss it, nowt to fuss about, eh?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: big fat yorkshire pudding on November 15, 2018, 03:14:35 pm
It amazes me how upset Leave seem to get over the thought of a second vote though considering it's still supposedly the will of the people. Surely that means they'll piss it, nowt to fuss about, eh?

I say again, how many bloody votes? Do we just vote on everything?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 15, 2018, 03:15:49 pm
Treason May didn't even wait a week until after Armistice day before surrendering to the EUSSR.
If this joke gets passed we are doomed forever to be slaves to the EU dictatorship.
The only sane option is to leave with no deal as we voted for two years ago.
If this gets passed then no-one should ever buy any European product ever again.

Don’t buy any European products again? Wouldn’t we all starve?

Here's a revolutionary idea for you; BUY BRITISH! It worked for years and funnily enough we all had jobs...

Do we produce enough in the UK to only buy British?

Well if we don't it presents a great opportunity for new businesses going forwards.

And what shall we all eat from March till harvestime? Especially as farmers can't get British workers to do the jobs that the EU workers did.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 15, 2018, 03:19:40 pm
No.

I don't know how many times I have to spell this out.

The whole point is that when the slim majority voted for Leave in 2016, it was entirely unclear what "Leave" meant. As I've just said, NO-ONE on the Leave side was saying that Leave meant No Deal Leave. And when some on the Remain side pointed out the possibility of that, they were (and still are by some people) decried as Project Fear-mongers.

The entire point (as has been pointed out several times on this thread) is that it is stupid and nonsensical to have a binary vote (Remain or Leave) on an issue that is not a binary choice (Remain vs many, many different types of Leave, with people being assured that No Deal Leave is not a realistic choice).

If you have a binary vote on a binary question (Remain vs No Deal Leave...or Remain vs This Specific Deal Leave) then there is far more validity to the choice made by a referendum. So, if we had a second vote on those terms, that would end the discussion for me, once and for all.

By the way, you are a perfect example of the uncertainty on what Leave meant in 2016. You want us out from having to implement EU decisions. But in 2016, Norway and Switzerland were being presented by Leave as shining examples of what we can do outside the EU. And both of those are tied in to various parts of EU regulations.
So what do you want to happen?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 15, 2018, 03:20:28 pm
So if we have a second referendum, and the result is remain. Can us brexiteers demand a 3rd referendum and call it best of 3.
Ridiculous.
You can't just demand another vote, and keep doing so until the result you want is achieved.

The people voted leave, were leaving hopefully with a good deal.

Like the one May has got for you x
That may not get through parliament, then it's renegotiate or no deal
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 15, 2018, 03:25:48 pm
So if we have a second referendum, and the result is remain. Can us brexiteers demand a 3rd referendum and call it best of 3.
Ridiculous.
You can't just demand another vote, and keep doing so until the result you want is achieved.

The people voted leave, were leaving hopefully with a good deal.

Like the one May has got for you x
That may not get through parliament, then it's renegotiate or no deal

Why should the EU renegotiate? The agreement has been made.

This Parliament will not let the UK crash out with no deal, they'll either vote for a second referendum or cancel Article 50.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on November 15, 2018, 03:28:01 pm
It's a shame the death sentence was abolished for treason.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 15, 2018, 03:31:11 pm
So if we have a second referendum, and the result is remain. Can us brexiteers demand a 3rd referendum and call it best of 3.
Ridiculous.
You can't just demand another vote, and keep doing so until the result you want is achieved.

The people voted leave, were leaving hopefully with a good deal.

Like the one May has got for you x
That may not get through parliament, then it's renegotiate or no deal

Why should the EU renegotiate? The agreement has been made.

This Parliament will not let the UK crash out with no deal, they'll either vote for a second referendum or cancel Article 50.
They won't cancel article 50, simply will not happen. Nor will a second referendum, because that will be admitting they ballsed it up.
It's up to the government to renegotiate, but your right the EU don't have to .
It's quite a pickle
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on November 15, 2018, 03:32:10 pm
My take on the 2016 vote is that the vast majority who voted Leave voted just that. Leave. They weren't interested in or aware of CU or SM or the Irish Border issue.
They voted to take back sovereignty, minimise immigration and have a load of our own money to spend on what we like.
Now that the reality has hopefully hit home and the deal is on the table, the only option in my opinion is another referendum and for all to respect the vote, whatever the result
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 03:43:39 pm
It does happen that, when Governments seriously f**k up on policy, there is an admission of failure and a change of policy.

Not very often, and it tends to be in times of national crisis, but it does happen.

Chamberlain resigning in 1940. Asquith in 1916.

If we are seriously faced with having no deal in place as we hurtle towards March 2019, we are going into the very worst national crisis since those moments. And I can't see any option but for Govt to put its hands up and ask for a delay in Article 50. With a whole new set of Government faces  - either from within the Tory party, or following a General Election.

EDIT: Actually, the most recent example was after Black Monday in 1992, when we were hoyed out of the ERM. That wasn't such a big issue that it required a change of PM but it did lead to a pretty much instantaneous 180 degree change in economic policy from high interest rates to support the Pound, to a Keynesian approach to re-flating the economy.

I can't see any way that May can change policy on Brexit and survive. She's argued too many times that it's this way or no way. But when she's booted out over the next few days, the new PM has a blank sheet. And if they are sensible, they say that this is a moment of national crisis, we cannot afford to blunder into next March without any deal, and we need more time to get our shit in a sock.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on November 15, 2018, 03:48:52 pm
It amazes me how upset Leave seem to get over the thought of a second vote though considering it's still supposedly the will of the people. Surely that means they'll piss it, nowt to fuss about, eh?

I say again, how many bloody votes? Do we just vote on everything?

Just one vote with a handful of options. Then we go with that without MPs saying that isn't what the people voted for.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 15, 2018, 04:03:41 pm
HA.

I think we're arguing at cross-purposes here.

I said that the EU neogiators had been principled, consistent and professional.

They have.

They had a negotiating position agreed by all the other 27 countries. They have negotiated very consistently from that position.

What you are doing is providing two examples of strongly Euro-sceptic politicians who disagree with that position. That is their prerogative, but it is an entirely different argument.

I did also hint that the EU negotiators have some justification in having a little dig at us, when they have been negotiating for two years, had two of their opposite numbers resign, and find out today that the man they've been negotiating with for the past 4 months doesn't agree with the deal he negotiated.

Billy,

With all due respect I don’t think we are at cross purposes. You made a statement claiming that EU negotiations were “Principled, Consistant and Professional” and I provided you with evidence where political representatives from EU countries disagree with that statement. As these politicians have political opinions contrary to yours, your choosing not to accept it!

However, here’s something else for you to consider. Did you know that the EU has fundamentally reversed its stance on Gibraltar as part of Brexit? Previously, they had impartiality on the matter, now they support the Spanish position on sovereignty. In April 2017 they allowed Spain to link the position of Gibraltar in Brexit to their sovereignty demands! Even Spain couldn’t accept this and reined in their demands!

Is that a principled approach?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on November 15, 2018, 04:04:54 pm
"A failure to carry out the wishes of the people" OR "we must honour the vote of the British people"  - how many different ways can you say that in 3 hours ? I did not count but it came into nearly every answer trotted out

Out of the same place as "a strong and stable Government" in the General Election Campaign.......Say it often enough and you may just convince yourself
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 15, 2018, 04:22:31 pm
(https://i.imgur.com/uqQKWyQ.jpg)
 

Larry the Cat @Number10cat 5h5 hours ago

“The Prime Minister offered me the position of Secretary of State for Exiting the European Union. After careful consideration for three seconds, I have declined the offer”
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 15, 2018, 04:34:55 pm
The best thing that could happen is for the government to appoint one or two of our vsc posters to sort out the Brexit problems.
Obviously they know what is required better than any of our MPs’ and have all the answers.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 04:39:21 pm
Herbert

No. I'm not having that. You haven't provided anything to contradict what I said.

The EU-27 agreed a negotiating position on the three major issues.

Ireland
Budget
Rights of EU citizens in Britain

They told us at the start that those were red lines and without agreement on those issues, there could be no deal for us to ease the pain of Brexit. That has been very consistently adhered to by the professional, consistent and principled negotiators. There have been no major changes in what the EU told us at the start were red lines, and no other red lines introduced.

We, on the other hand, have been ducking and diving and changing our line on a regular basis.

What you were doing was giving examples of a couple of politicians who disagreed with the EU's negotiating position, not providing evidence that they had used it in an unprincipled, unprofessional or inconsistent way.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 15, 2018, 04:39:31 pm
The best thing that could happen is for the government to appoint one or two of our vsc posters to sort out the Brexit problems.
Obviously they know what is required better than any of our MPs’ and have all the answers.

Get Barnier darn Urban on Friday night and thrash things out over a cheap pint then get him in Biscuit Billy's.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on November 15, 2018, 04:55:26 pm
As others say, an advisory referendum is only relevant if it asks a sensible question.

Given Leave covers No Deal, Canada style, Norway style, Chequers, and all hybrids between, simply voting Leave says nothing about the terms of that deal.

Now that Treeza has something to offer, it is right that opinion is given on whether it will meet expectations.
It has very little chance of passing a vote in Parliament, as the HoC is not bound by an advisory vote.

So the question is whether it is better to canvass opinion via another referendum, or via a general election in which Brexit is located within a broader policy context?

Incidentally, UKIP went into a GE on a Leave ticket, and did not win at the last (or previous GE).
That might be saying something we should hear.

EDIT:
I prefer a "Gangnam style" exit. Here is old Ed Bollox negotiating hard;
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Czqtjk_iGFU

Top action!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 15, 2018, 05:18:26 pm
Who said that the Tories have been lying and just making things up. Of course 80% of the public support May's deal, dont they?

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-deal-news-theresa-may-rory-stewart-public-support-bbc-radio-interview-a8635386.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 05:50:07 pm
Sheesh. Just seen May in that Press Conference. It's like someone who's been stuck in solitary confinement for 48 hours.

Her party is preparing to knife her.

Parliament will not vote for the deal.

The country is in its biggest crisis for 70 years.

And she just says she's going to keep on plugging away. Like Geoff Boycott.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 06:08:51 pm
Wilts

I think young Rory has just inadvertently captured the core of current Conservative politics.

"I'm producing a number to illustrate what I believe."

One couldn't make it up. HE could, obviously, but no one else could.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on November 15, 2018, 06:14:11 pm
She's definitely in the corridor of uncertainty.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on November 15, 2018, 06:17:27 pm
A stubborn Woman, its like watching that Iraqi minister saying there are no Amercans in Bahgdad with the News clips behind him showing the tanks rolling in 😂😂😂
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 15, 2018, 06:31:48 pm
Herbert

No. I'm not having that. You haven't provided anything to contradict what I said.

The EU-27 agreed a negotiating position on the three major issues.

Ireland
Budget
Rights of EU citizens in Britain

They told us at the start that those were red lines and without agreement on those issues, there could be no deal for us to ease the pain of Brexit. That has been very consistently adhered to by the professional, consistent and principled negotiators. There have been no major changes in what the EU told us at the start were red lines, and no other red lines introduced.

We, on the other hand, have been ducking and diving and changing our line on a regular basis.

What you were doing was giving examples of a couple of politicians who disagreed with the EU's negotiating position, not providing evidence that they had used it in an unprincipled, unprofessional or inconsistent way.

Billy,

I didnt expect you to have it! You come across as being completely unwilling to accept any criticism of the EU in any respect!

I’ve given you 3 examples where the EU had been dogmatic and unprincipled and you’re completely dismissing them because they don’t suit your narrative!

For the record I agree that our stance to negotiations had been shambolic, incompetent and not thought through but you really should understand that one side is not completely responsible for this
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 15, 2018, 08:46:19 pm
Herbert

No. I'm not having that. You haven't provided anything to contradict what I said.

The EU-27 agreed a negotiating position on the three major issues.

Ireland
Budget
Rights of EU citizens in Britain

They told us at the start that those were red lines and without agreement on those issues, there could be no deal for us to ease the pain of Brexit. That has been very consistently adhered to by the professional, consistent and principled negotiators. There have been no major changes in what the EU told us at the start were red lines, and no other red lines introduced.

We, on the other hand, have been ducking and diving and changing our line on a regular basis.

What you were doing was giving examples of a couple of politicians who disagreed with the EU's negotiating position, not providing evidence that they had used it in an unprincipled, unprofessional or inconsistent way.

Billy,

I didnt expect you to have it! You come across as being completely unwilling to accept any criticism of the EU in any respect!

I’ve given you 3 examples where the EU had been dogmatic and unprincipled and you’re completely dismissing them because they don’t suit your narrative!

For the record I agree that our stance to negotiations had been shambolic, incompetent and not thought through but you really should understand that one side is not completely responsible for this
Sorry to be a fly in your ointment HA but Britain/Cameron is completely responsible for all of it.

We for whatever reasons up to the referendum joined the EU and continuously negotiated various options and position across a whole host subjects and signed off on the same, contracted locked in.

Now via the referendum we want out all this has to be de-negotiated but as with any broken contract there are penalties and possibly non-negotiable parts. That the government didn't explain (or didn't know, more likely) to the people of Britain the consequences or options pre or post referendum fully at any time speaks volumes about the competency or duplicity or both of this government. It would be spurious/facetious to cry foul about the position of the EU negotiators when their position has been known from the start, if you sold your house/anything to another, condition as-is with a contract setting out the conditions of sale would you then allow the other party to renegotiate the contract after they had taken out an option to buy?




Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 15, 2018, 09:12:36 pm
Well this is interesting.

https://mobile.twitter.com/brexit_sham/status/1063093296887676930

If there was no truth in what Bradshaw was asking, why on earth did May not just say "No"?

Her answer was bizarre. He wasn't asking anything about the current criminal investigation.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 16, 2018, 06:34:09 am
''Nothing could be worse than the Brexit deal struck by Mrs May, the most duplicitous prime minister in my lifetime''

the black black black blackest of jet black kettles calls out the pot.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/11/15/nothing-could-worse-brexit-deal-struck-mrs-may-weakest-duplicitous/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: GazLaz on November 16, 2018, 09:01:24 am
Wilts

I think young Rory has just inadvertently captured the core of current Conservative politics.

"I'm producing a number to illustrate what I believe."

One couldn't make it up. HE could, obviously, but no one else could.

She said “He got the runs in the end”, which is ironic because she is in the shit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 16, 2018, 03:12:26 pm
I think this young lady, explaining the current state of Brexit to deaf people, has it spot on....
 
https://mobile.twitter.com/Pottell/status/1063057301635059717
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 16, 2018, 04:50:28 pm
Nice to see the Govt is keeping up standards.

Six months after Amber Rudd was forced into resigning after the clusterf**k of telling 70-odd year-old Jamaicans that they were going to have to go "home" after 60 years in the UK, she's brought back into the Cabinet.

And I'm quite up on politics, but i have literally never heard of the new Brexit Secretary. It has the feel of a manager being promoted from a National League side to a Champions League side because there was no one else who wanted the job.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 16, 2018, 06:26:11 pm
Quite apt that she has been appointed on the day the UN have critisised the Tory government for their cruel and callous policies - work Amber is perfectly qualified for and entirely able to continue delivering.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 16, 2018, 06:45:29 pm
Aye.

Have to give some credit to Tory MPs though. One of them came out with the quote of the year when he heard that Gove wasn't resigning despite being fully against the Brexit deal.

He said Gove's continuing wrestling match with his conscience constituted the longest unbeaten winning streak in history.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 16, 2018, 08:22:18 pm
Treeza?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zKhEw7nD9C4
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on November 16, 2018, 09:12:41 pm
Ah, Gove!

Now there is a principled man. Prepared to put the country first, and set aside all career considerations.

Turned down the job of Brexit Secretary yesterday, because he could not go back and re-negotiate Treeza's Chequers fudge.

Next day, loyally behind Treez supporting her in her efforts to flog a dead horse to the HoC.

Amber "Gambler" Rudd......or should I say the disgraced Amber Rudd. Today sticking up for the Treeza proposal, then admitting she has not actually read the long document.

Tremendous talent to have an opinion about something you have not read. It's a gift!

What a guy, and what a gal!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 17, 2018, 10:20:42 am
This chap sums it up nicely....    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J0-pW8k9NRk
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 18, 2018, 11:05:23 am
How many brexiteers does it take to change a light bulb?

One to promise a brighter future and the rest to screw it up...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 18, 2018, 03:59:55 pm
If, for whatever reason, the UK does not leave the EU what effect, if any, does this have on the nature of democracy?

Genuine question
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on November 18, 2018, 05:04:20 pm
Joking aside I see that Democracy as I have known and lived through needs revamping. I have banged on about PR for a couple of years and believe it is the way forward because it would remove the extremism that comes either by the Tories and their Capitalism or Labour and their Socialism

Answering your question directly, although this is my (possibly flawed) opinion if there was a rerun or a peoples vote on whatever Agreement they eventually arrive at AND the Vote was reversed there would be "hell on" notably from those who wanted out - but as Mrs DW keeps telling me off for we voted in 1975 by 34% Majority to stay in the EEC / Common Market after a trial 2 year run - so I did ask before how long a period should elapse before the current Electorate "p**s all over the wishes of those people. Remember only about 3% Majority this time round voted to leave so 10 times more voted for "Remain" in 75

What I do think would happen is the Politicians would blame the pressure of the devisive Vote and the call for another Vote and so absolve themselves of all blame (as they always do - think of things like Unemployment rocketing and what do they say - ah that was what we inherited and have put steps in to address it - whichever Party is in power).

May does not want to be the one to get blamed for a Second Vote and stopping us getting out of the EU no more that Corbyn does so imho they will let us have another Vote and if it says "stay" they will blame us for giving them no choice - and they will say it is the will of the People and that needs to be respected
Tosh - get PR in NOW please
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 18, 2018, 05:30:02 pm
If, for whatever reason, the UK does not leave the EU what effect, if any, does this have on the nature of democracy?

Genuine question

If it is done by the people because it is the will of the people - then it confirms the power and legitamcy of democracy

If it done by politicians against the will of the people - then it stores up a lot of trouble that could have very serious consequences

Unhelpful answer...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 18, 2018, 09:50:11 pm
Here is a question for our resident specialist political posters.
I keep hearing that we have three options available to us, one being a new referendum.
If it did go to another vote and somehow turned out to still be “leave” what would the situation be then.
Obviously we would still proceed with leave but what would then happen about a deal or no deal.
Would it be any different from the position it is currently.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 18, 2018, 11:33:56 pm
Here is a question for our resident specialist political posters.
I keep hearing that we have three options available to us, one being a new referendum.
If it did go to another vote and somehow turned out to still be “leave” what would the situation be then.
Obviously we would still proceed with leave but what would then happen about a deal or no deal.
Would it be any different from the position it is currently.


The question wouldn't be just 'Leave' though. It'd be for a specific version of 'Leave'.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 19, 2018, 12:22:35 am
The obvious thing would be to have a transferrable vote.

Three options.

1) Leave with No Deal
2) Leave May's deal
3) Remain.

You put a No 1 at the side of the outcome you most want, and a 2 at the side of your second choice.

All the No1s are totted up. If any option gets 50%, that's it. Otherwise, you eliminate the one with fewest No1s and reallocate all their No2s. Then one of the remaining 2 has won.

I cannot see any possible complaints against that.

It is:
Fair
Simple
Democratic.

So f**king obvious that I can't for the life of me thing why Corbyn was spouting confused bullshit this morning: when asked how he would vote in another referendum, he rambled about how it wasn't clear what the question would be.

Almost like he wants....

...no, that can't be right. He's an honest and principled politician who never ducks and dives.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 19, 2018, 07:27:04 am
Thanks for that reply BST, a good and honest point of view.
I haven’t seen anyone on the political stage suggest anything like that.
As for Mr Corbin, I also haven’t seen him answer properly a question he doesn’t like.

Bearing in mind your suggestion, why is another simple leave or remain referendum being spoken about then.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 19, 2018, 07:49:24 am
A second referendum may be a way of getting us out of this current mess...or it could be the latest opportunity to overturn a democratic vote that’s been under attack since the result was announced
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 19, 2018, 08:02:58 am
A second referendum may be a way of getting us out of this current mess...or it could be the latest opportunity to overturn a democratic vote that’s been under attack since the result was announced






Are you saying that a second vote could get us out of this mess, IF the result was remain and therefore we go back to what we have had as an EU member.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 19, 2018, 08:57:46 am
A second referendum may be a way of getting us out of this current mess...or it could be the latest opportunity to overturn a democratic vote that’s been under attack since the result was announced

Are you trying to tell us a vote by the electorate that has a different result to a previous vote by the electorate is undemocratic...just because it's different?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 19, 2018, 08:59:37 am
HA

Please explain why the vote I suggest would be unfair or undemocratic.

It seems undeniable to me that in the 2016 vote, no-one knew what Brexit meant. I say that, because now, 29 months later, we STILL don't know what Brexiters means. It could be a No Deal Brexit. Or it could be the May Deal Brexit.

But thats the point. The binary vote in 2016 was a false premise. People voted Leave for all sorts of different reasons and wanted all sorts of different outcomes. But, if there's no further opportunity to vote, then each and every one of those Leave votes will have been interpreted as supporting the Leave that we finally get.

How on earth is that some democratic ideal?

NOW, we have far more clarity. We know what the real options are. So it seems to me that NOT having the vote I suggest would be the real undemocratic outrage.

Am I missing something obvious? Is there a reason why this proposed vote would be undemocratic and the 2016 vote is as good as it's ever going to get?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on November 19, 2018, 09:11:11 am
A second referendum may be a way of getting us out of this current mess...or it could be the latest opportunity to overturn a democratic vote that’s been under attack since the result was announced

I refuse to vote at the next General Election because I voted Conservative before and we must stay forever as a Conservative government or its undemocratic!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 19, 2018, 09:12:55 am
I suppose we're STILL ignoring the fact that Russia was meddling with the referendum, and that illegally harvested data was used to try and swing the vote.

But no, you're right, having a second vote is definitely undemocratic in the face of all that.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on November 19, 2018, 09:13:53 am
HA

Please explain why the vote I suggest would be unfair or undemocratic.

It seems undeniable to me that in the 2016 vote, no-one knew what Brexit meant. I say that, because now, 29 months later, we STILL don't know what Brexiters means. It could be a No Deal Brexit. Or it could be the May Deal Brexit.

But thats the point. The binary vote in 2016 was a false premise.

NOW, we have far more clarity. We know what the real options are. So it seems to me that NOT having the vote I suggest would be the real undemicratic outrage.

Am I missing something obvious? Is there a reason why this proposed vote would be undemocratic?

That to me sums it up in a nutshell. The question should never have been asked in the first Place - and should not have been phrased as it was either.

A simple Remain or Leave question when in truth though we had an idea what Remain meant - more of what we had lived through or in some cases "endured" or a chance to Leave. However as we all know and most admit we just did not know and still dont what Leave actually means - what it might cost us - what the upsides and the downsides are. People may have a but better idea but in truth I like facts - and most of what I see and have seen before the vote and since is "guesstimates" and supposition of what might happen

That to be fair is still coming from both sides of the debate and the ones who are supposed to know the answers (our Elected Representatives - MPs etc) threw the decision over to us who (if like me know next to F.A.) who were then supposed to make a logical decision - and I have said before we should never have got a say
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 19, 2018, 09:49:53 am
For right or wrong, a vote is a vote. It always has been. Votes have often turned out to be wrong. Votes are not quizzes where you get asked a two choices question and get told if you were right or wrong after you've handed it in.

My vote is that if we overrule the referendum result it will give democracy a dangerous new direction.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 19, 2018, 09:56:05 am
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36306681

So, Leavers, would a second vote have been undemocratic in these circumstances? because you know they'd have kept agitating.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 19, 2018, 09:57:15 am
BB
But that is entirely avoiding the point I made up the page.

The Referendum WAS a two-choice question on a subject that wasn't a two-choice question.

I'm bemused by how many people are clinging to this as some sort of totem of democracy that must never be questioned.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 19, 2018, 10:04:26 am
Ah, Nigel, Nigel, Nigel.

"But he said there would be resentment, particularly in the Conservative Party, if not, with claims the referendum will not have been a fair contest."

What's that term for the way in which some people most virulently criticise in others what they are most guilty of themselves?

Nigel. Complaining about an unfair vote. When he knew at that time that his Leave.EU organisation was being illegally funded by the Kremlin. AND, we have found out this weekend that Leave.EU was working with Steve Bannon to illegally securing funding from US investors who had an interest in Brexit.

There are laws about preventing foreign funding of political campaigns for very good reasons. To prevent us from being enticed into outcomes that are in the interests of bad actors from overseas. It's crystal clear that Nigel's Leave.EU ride a coach and horses through those laws.

But we mustn't question 2016 vote because that would be utterly undemocratic
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 19, 2018, 10:11:40 am
Farage would have continued to fight against the status quo, had he lost the vote. That is different to the demands for a new vote before the original vote has even been implemented!

"Once in a generation, once in a lifetime" decision, the UK has "referendums not Neverendums".
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 19, 2018, 10:14:25 am
BB
But that is entirely avoiding the point I made up the page.

The Referendum WAS a two-choice question on a subject that wasn't a two-choice question.

I'm bemused by how many people are clinging to this as some sort of totem of democracy that must never be questioned.

BST, you're totally avoiding my points.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 19, 2018, 10:23:49 am
BB

I'll answer your point.

Democracy revolves around being able to change decisions.

Referendums should be held when the electorate are in the best possible position to make a judgment. They should be held when people can view all the arguments for and against and when those arguments have been rigorously tested. In short, referendums should be held when people know exactly what they are getting.

We should not ask people to vote on a blank sheet of paper and tell them to trust MPs to fill in the details afterwards.

For referendums to be fair and compatible with our parliamentary process, we need the electors to be as well informed as possible and to know exactly what they are voting for. Referendums need to be treated as an addition to the parliamentary process, not as a substitute for it.

And a democracy that cannot change its mind ceases to be a democracy.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 19, 2018, 10:34:37 am
Farage would have continued to fight against the status quo, had he lost the vote. That is different to the demands for a new vote before the original vote has even been implemented!

"Once in a generation, once in a lifetime" decision, the UK has "referendums not Neverendums".

Ah, so it's fine to agitate for a vote on the losing side as long as it's the right losing side then?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 19, 2018, 10:36:27 am
BB

I'll answer your point.

Democracy revolves around being able to change decisions.

Referendums should be held when the electorate are in the best possible position to make a judgment. They should be held when people can view all the arguments for and against and when those arguments have been rigorously tested. In short, referendums should be held when people know exactly what they are getting.

We should not ask people to vote on a blank sheet of paper and tell them to trust MPs to fill in the details afterwards.

For referendums to be fair and compatible with our parliamentary process, we need the electors to be as well informed as possible and to know exactly what they are voting for. Referendums need to be treated as an addition to the parliamentary process, not as a substitute for it.

And a democracy that cannot change its mind ceases to be a democracy.
Who says we can't change the decision in future?

All referendums include voters who haven't got a clue what they are voting for in any real depth of reason. That's a huge failing of democracy.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 19, 2018, 11:02:28 am
BB

I'm struggling here.

You accept that 2016 was democratically imperfect because people didn't know what they were voting for. But now that we have much more clarity, you don't think we should re-visit the vote?

So you prefer an entirely imperfect democratic decision to a much less imperfect one?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 19, 2018, 11:28:00 am
A second referendum may be a way of getting us out of this current mess...or it could be the latest opportunity to overturn a democratic vote that’s been under attack since the result was announced

Are you trying to tell us a vote by the electorate that has a different result to a previous vote by the electorate is undemocratic...just because it's different?

Glyn,

The Referendum vote was billed as a one off, a once in a generation referendum. If I recall rightly the remain side were particularly keen to get this point across. Lo and behold, the vote goes the other way and suddenly we need another one, a ‘people’s vote’!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 19, 2018, 11:33:17 am
BST, You've got it!

I accept that ALL elections/referendums are democratically imperfect because people don't really know what they're voting for. Not everyone can be right, unless everyone unanimously votes for one side, and providing everyone has chosen the right side!

The problem with the EU vote is it couldn't have been implemented immediately because the leave result meant a long process of leaving was necessary. This created a gap which has caused widespread whinging not unlike a pleading football team being allowed half an hour to spit the dummy out before their opponents can take a dubious penalty awarded to them.

Had we voted to remain things would have continued as they were and Nigel Farage & co, quite within their democratic right, would have continued with their objective to leave.

In my opinion, the only way to keep any semblance of democracy regarding another vote would be to have another vote on whether we should have another vote.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 19, 2018, 11:59:43 am
A second referendum may be a way of getting us out of this current mess...or it could be the latest opportunity to overturn a democratic vote that’s been under attack since the result was announced

I refuse to vote at the next General Election because I voted Conservative before and we must stay forever as a Conservative government or its undemocratic!

The referendum was supposed to be a one off, remember?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 19, 2018, 12:02:25 pm
I suppose we're STILL ignoring the fact that Russia was meddling with the referendum, and that illegally harvested data was used to try and swing the vote.

But no, you're right, having a second vote is definitely undemocratic in the face of all that.

RedJ,

You’re right of course, but don’t kid yourself that it was all one way. Check out some of the ‘bots’ and fake accounts on Facebook and Twitter that advocated and continue to advocate the remain side.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 19, 2018, 12:21:48 pm
It's absolutely ridiculous to suggest another referendum, it wont happen.
1. it would destroy the public's trust in any future refferendum

2. This silly claim that we didn't know what we would be voting for can be applied to ALL votes, with hindsight.

3. It would make a mockery even more of the uk, 'oh no, this brexit business is hard, let's have another vote and hope for the best'.

4. It basically says the the public, we don't care what you voted for.

5. The remain side vehemently said this was a one off vote, (but only when they believed they would win)

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on November 19, 2018, 12:51:31 pm
A second referendum may be a way of getting us out of this current mess...or it could be the latest opportunity to overturn a democratic vote that’s been under attack since the result was announced

I refuse to vote at the next General Election because I voted Conservative before and we must stay forever as a Conservative government or its undemocratic!

The referendum was supposed to be a one off, remember?
The referendum was also supposed to be run legally, with no money pouring in from foreign powers, and no illegally harvested data being used to target susceptible Facebook users with lies and propaganda, but hey ho. Here we are.

Amazing how Brexiters flatly refuse to engage with this point.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 19, 2018, 01:06:03 pm
A second referendum may be a way of getting us out of this current mess...or it could be the latest opportunity to overturn a democratic vote that’s been under attack since the result was announced

I refuse to vote at the next General Election because I voted Conservative before and we must stay forever as a Conservative government or its undemocratic!

The referendum was supposed to be a one off, remember?
The referendum was also supposed to be run legally, with no money pouring in from foreign powers, and no illegally harvested data being used to target susceptible Facebook users with lies and propaganda, but hey ho. Here we are.

Amazing how Brexiters flatly refuse to engage with this point.

Macho,

Yes, you’re right, and if those things are proven and if they did influence the result then a second vote should be considered, however remainers were beating the drum for a second vote long before any illegalities reared their head.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 19, 2018, 01:10:36 pm
A second referendum may be a way of getting us out of this current mess...or it could be the latest opportunity to overturn a democratic vote that’s been under attack since the result was announced

I refuse to vote at the next General Election because I voted Conservative before and we must stay forever as a Conservative government or its undemocratic!

The referendum was supposed to be a one off, remember?
The referendum was also supposed to be run legally, with no money pouring in from foreign powers, and no illegally harvested data being used to target susceptible Facebook users with lies and propaganda, but hey ho. Here we are.

Amazing how Brexiters flatly refuse to engage with this point.

Macho,

Yes, you’re right, and if those things are proven and if they did influence the result then a second vote should be considered, however remainers were beating the drum for a second vote long before any illegalities reared their head.
Farage was banging the drum before the count even took place!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 19, 2018, 01:41:42 pm
It's absolutely ridiculous to suggest another referendum, it wont happen.
1. it would destroy the public's trust in any future refferendum

2. This silly claim that we didn't know what we would be voting for can be applied to ALL votes, with hindsight.

3. It would make a mockery even more of the uk, 'oh no, this brexit business is hard, let's have another vote and hope for the best'.

4. It basically says the the public, we don't care what you voted for.

5. The remain side vehemently said this was a one off vote, (but only when they believed they would win)





Not all true BS.
I voted to remain, partly because I didn’t know how much of a Pandoras’ Box we would be opening if we left.
I know other people who thought the same at the time, not with hindsight.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 19, 2018, 01:42:26 pm
HA

Please explain why the vote I suggest would be unfair or undemocratic.

It seems undeniable to me that in the 2016 vote, no-one knew what Brexit meant. I say that, because now, 29 months later, we STILL don't know what Brexiters means. It could be a No Deal Brexit. Or it could be the May Deal Brexit.

But thats the point. The binary vote in 2016 was a false premise. People voted Leave for all sorts of different reasons and wanted all sorts of different outcomes. But, if there's no further opportunity to vote, then each and every one of those Leave votes will have been interpreted as supporting the Leave that we finally get.

How on earth is that some democratic ideal?

NOW, we have far more clarity. We know what the real options are. So it seems to me that NOT having the vote I suggest would be the real undemocratic outrage.

Am I missing something obvious? Is there a reason why this proposed vote would be undemocratic and the 2016 vote is as good as it's ever going to get?

Billy,

I’m not sure if you’re misunderstanding or misrepresenting my point.

Allow me to reiterate some points

Firstly, I’d not even mentioned your proposal so it wasn’t a reflection on that.

Secondly, the remainers were advocating a second vote from the moment the result was announced. Before the negotiations with the EU began. A significant proportion have never accepted the result. That’s my point regarding democracy

Thirdly, remainers seem to claim that anyone who voted for Brexit was either too stupid or ignorant to understand what they were voting for. I voted to leave and I knew exactly what I was voting for.

Fourthly, if we do have a second vote I’d vote to remain. Not because I suddenly believe the EU is right for the UK (it isn’t) but because our government are incapable of delivering a Brexit that puts the UK in a better position than it’s in now.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 19, 2018, 02:32:39 pm
HA

Your final point sums up the whole point.

The Leave case in 2016 was based on the twin claims that we could "take back control" and we'd be at the very least, no worse off.

That claim was very difficult to counter at the time. But it's now clear that nothing is on offer or can be on offer which delivers both of those outcomes.

That, to me, is one o erwhelming argument for why a second referendum is essential. (The other one being the overwhelming evidence of the Leave campaign systematically engaging in illegal activity, funded by foreign sources.)

The thoughts I wrote at 10:23 sum up precisely the error in having a referendum on a fundamentally unclear question, which it is now clear that we did in 2016. The point is that if the question wasn't clear, it was inevitable that the result would be hijacked by politicians to push their interpretation of what Brexit actually meant.

And that's what has happened.

Rees-Mogg says Brexit means a hard Leave.

May says it means a soft deal.

Gove says it means a less soft deal than May.

Corbyn says it means a Brexit that allows us to usher in the socialist utopia.

How can ANYONE claim the result was decisive when the outcome, 29 months later, is fundamental disagreements on what Brexit means?


But I was a bit naughty posting that 10:23 post by the way. It wasn't my thoughts. It was a verbatim quote from David Davis. A politician who now tells us that the 2016 vote represented the Will of the People, and to re-visit the question would be profoundly democratic.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 19, 2018, 02:39:42 pm
A second referendum may be a way of getting us out of this current mess...or it could be the latest opportunity to overturn a democratic vote that’s been under attack since the result was announced

Are you trying to tell us a vote by the electorate that has a different result to a previous vote by the electorate is undemocratic...just because it's different?

Glyn,

The Referendum vote was billed as a one off, a once in a generation referendum. If I recall rightly the remain side were particularly keen to get this point across. Lo and behold, the vote goes the other way and suddenly we need another one, a ‘people’s vote’!

I never saw that. Nor, as someone who knows British Politics, would I have believed it. We can have a referendum any time we like.

If you think it was a lie...well, apparently Leave lies can be ignored, do you believe that a Remain lie can be just as easily?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: GazLaz on November 19, 2018, 02:44:08 pm
BST, as someone who is considerably older and considerably wiser than myself I have a question for you, do you think that this crop of politicians (on all sides) are the worst in modern history? So many of them across all parties come across as just inept. It’s understandable though I think, anyone with real ability and knowledge would surely end up doing something where the rewards are far greater.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 19, 2018, 02:52:28 pm
BST, as someone who is considerably older and considerably wiser than myself I have a question for you, do you think that this crop of politicians (on all sides) are the worst in modern history? So many of them across all parties come across as just inept. It’s understandable though I think, anyone with real ability and knowledge would surely end up doing something where the rewards are far greater.

I think  what is more common now is that many more politicians just don't want to give a straight answer.

Now, that always happened to a certain extent, but back in the 70s and 80s it seemed that a lot more politicians had their own convictions and weren't scared of expressing them even if they knew a lot of people wouldn't like them. Just think of Thatcher, Tebbit, Foot and Benn. You might not have liked what they stood for, but by God you did actually know what they stood for. Nowadays, nobody seems to be standing on a solid platform anymore and that all they really stand for is for election.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 19, 2018, 02:59:50 pm
Gaz

Yeah, I think the current ones are of very poor quality across the board.

But to some extent, that's a product of society.

We want our politicians to be entertainers rather than sober judges. We want them to be morally perfect. We want them to be honest but then we crucify them if they say things we don't want to hear. We have spent decades buying newspapers that run the national debate but then we slag off politicians who spin stories. We want perfection but we pay the PM less in a year than Kevin deBruyne gets in a long weekend.

I've always said that society gets the politicians it deserves.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donny Dub on November 19, 2018, 03:04:25 pm
Gazlaz,  it’s the civil service that run the country.  They certainly run this country (Ireland) and our politicians therefore in falling in with bureaucracy from Brussels.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 19, 2018, 03:34:05 pm
Politicians try to gain support by referring to the lack of integrity in the opposition instead of asserting their own. They do this because it is easier to condemn the lack of integrity of others than it is to actually have any themselves.

Sadly, the general public act in the same way. It's at such an epidemic that we no longer condemn lies, but claim smarty points because the opposition have lied most!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 19, 2018, 05:25:54 pm
Or, alternatively, failing to condemn REALLY egregious lies and just saying that both sides are as bad as each other means there's absolutely no incentive for politicians to even try to be honest.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 19, 2018, 05:45:01 pm
What sort of lies were these, Billy.......
https://brexitcentral.com/audacious-lie-referendum-campaign-remainers-claim-immigration/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on November 19, 2018, 06:26:22 pm
BST, as someone who is considerably older and considerably wiser than myself I have a question for you, do you think that this crop of politicians (on all sides) are the worst in modern history? So many of them across all parties come across as just inept. It’s understandable though I think, anyone with real ability and knowledge would surely end up doing something where the rewards are far greater.

I only probably fit one of your BST criteria (older)

IMO the Politicians are worse today than they have ever been unless of course I am more suspicious or cynical than before

I had little interest in Politics up to being 18 and then was naive to say the least but as I became more aware I began to take more interest.

The first thing I really remember was the Referendum in 75 to see if we wanted to Stay in the Common Market after a Trial Membership. Ironically I voted to leave one of only 32% that did. 66 % voted Remain and for years (honestly) I could not find anyone who had Voted Remain !

Then I watched Politicians more and found they were duplicitous and never answered Questions (well mostly they did not) - and of course they manipulated things to a) get re-elected and b) to suit themselves - mostly a).

Coming up for an Election we then had the "cut the Bank Rate" game again and again to create a feelgood factor which lots of people took at face value - although probably knowing once they were re-elected the rates would go back up and probably go even higher

And of course they blame each other even Years after they got back in. Inflation high - well we did inherit this mighty mess from the previous Govt (works either way). I got fed up of it but could do little but cast my Vote knowing it was not worth the same as someone in say Godalming because of the Electoral System we use.

John Cleese used to come on TV pleading with people that we needed Proportional Representation and I used to think (of the Liberals) well you are only saying that because you just cant win .... BUT .... I now know why they were campaigning for it and why we should strive to get it

It will not give us smarter MPs I dont think - I do think though that they would be less extremist (either way) and we would have a fairer Parliament and Society as most things (especially BIG things) would be reached by a concensus which broadly would be more in line with with we the People

Sorry Gaz - dont know how I got there (happens with my 250 Word Reports as well) but I think that the current MPs in general are probably "smarter" intelligence wise that those in recent modern History but are certainly slyer and more devious which in my book makes them the "worst" as per your Question

The current lot have presided over the biggest mess I have ever known in my almost 50 years of voting the EU Question. What a complete joke it has been from start to finish and a Credit to NO-ONE- and once again I was on the losing side in the latest Referendum though this time round I can find loads who supported the winning side !

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 19, 2018, 06:47:38 pm
What sort of lies were these, Billy.......
https://brexitcentral.com/audacious-lie-referendum-campaign-remainers-claim-immigration/

Bit hard to address that one BB.

Your man gives 4 examples of relatively obscure people making that claim on 4 obscure websites. 3 of those links don't work. The other one does make that claim and gives a link supporting that claim to an independent, Oxford University website. But that link doesn't work.


If they willfully and deliberately misled people then of course that is wrong. But as ever, it's a matter of scale and effect.

How does that compare to Boris and Nigel being on the TV night after night telling us Turkey was about to join the EU and that we'd be £350m per week better off?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 19, 2018, 07:33:13 pm
They weren't that obscure. The stories were exposed enough to convince me to vote remain. Well, those along with the threat to my pension along with the punishment budget. They must surely rank not far behind an advert on a bus that suggested money could go to the NHS instead of the EU. When did Nigel Farage claim that by the way?

AS far as Turkey joining the EU, let's wait and see about that and reflect on it in at a later date.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 19, 2018, 08:26:37 pm
BB

How long do you want to wait on Turkey?

I'd happily bet any sum you want that they won't be members while I'm alive.

One of the key successes of the EU has been to make dictatorships unacceptable in Europe, and to support human rights. There is not a chance in a million that a Turkey under the rule of Erdogan and his followers would ever be allowed into the EU. And it would take them a generation to rebuild the democracy that he has destroyed.

As for the punishment Budget, I've lost count of how many times we've been over this now. Brexit HAS utterly f**ked the public finances. That is established. That means that there will be ongoing reductions in real-terms public spending and/or tax increases until way off into the 2020s.

Finally, I'm in awe of you if you really were reading Richard Corbett's web page before the 2016 vote and basing your decision on that. That's some committment to democracy.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 19, 2018, 08:36:39 pm
BB

How long do you want to wait on Turkey?

I'd happily bet any sum you want that they won't be members while I'm alive.

One of the key successes of the EU has been to make dictatorships unacceptable in Europe, and to support human rights. There is not a chance in a million that a Turkey under the rule of Erdogan and his followers would ever be allowed into the EU. And it would take them a generation to rebuild the democracy that he has destroyed.
The suppression of journalism in Turkey is palpable and it is a common denominator when comparing dictatorships:

https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/campaigns/2017/02/free-turkey-media/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 19, 2018, 09:08:51 pm
BST, as I said, the stories were far more in the mainstream and it wasn't Richard Corbett's article that I got them from. Regarding Turkey, I don't know! Let's say 2030 ish!

What about the pension threats?

What about the lie about there being about the same amount of Immigrants living in the UK as British citizens living in Europe?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 19, 2018, 09:28:34 pm
BB

I don't know about your pension fund. Mine's dropped by about 6% this year while the world outside the UK has been in a boom. Same for the savings policies I have for my kids. The entire last year's worth of monthly investments has gone up in smoke and they are worth less than they were this time last year. I sincerely hope you have been more fortunate.

As for this "lie" you keep going on about, I'd have liked to have seen the source that Richard Corbett's was quoting. Forgive me if I don't take as Gospel the opinions of a UKIP MEP on that subject. Given the fact that his leader at the time was barely on nodding terms with the truth, unveiled doctored posters of migrants on the same day that an MP had her head blown off by a far-right terrorist shouting "This is for Britain. Keep Britain Independent!" and ran a campaign directly funded by the Kremlin, you'll forgive me if I treat claims from anyone in that party with a healthy degree of scepticism.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 19, 2018, 09:39:42 pm
Slightly off topic but very relevant all the same.

This evening the DUP abstained on a vote on a Labour amendment to the Finance Bill (Chuka Umunna's call to have the Brexit deal assesments published) thus breaking their confidence and supply arrangement with the Tories.

From tonight we no longer have a government that is able to govern.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 19, 2018, 10:12:40 pm
Your point about pensions has spurred a bit of digging around BB.

The link between pensions and a country's stock market is not perfect because investors can look to other markets. But it is interesting nevertheless to look at stock market performances round the world over the past few years.

Since it started to become clear in late 2016 that May was ruling out a close relationship with Europe, the Dow Jones has risen by about 25%.

The Nikkei  has risen by about 10%

The Dax has risen by

The DAX has risen by about 6%

The Hang Seng has risen by about 15%.

The FTSE100 is pretty much exactly where it was back then.

Go figure.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 19, 2018, 10:20:51 pm
BST, what doctored posters?

Are you insinuating that the poster put up on the same day Jo Cox was murdered was disrespectful to the event? 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 19, 2018, 11:14:04 pm
You see Billy, this is where people perceive different things to suit their own agendas. I never thought that poster was a portrait of immigrants queueing up to get into the UK. I thought it was merely an example of what could happen if we didn't control our borders. The bullshit about suggestions of racism almost made me change my vote to leave.

Are you saying the murder of Jo Cox took place because of that poster?

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 20, 2018, 12:20:51 am
BB

It's difficult to have a grown up discussion if you're going to process what I said and come up with a response like that.

I shouldn't really need to answer that. And I think when you have a think about it, you'll agree.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 20, 2018, 12:43:23 am
OK BST, I've removed the last paragraph which I think is the bit that offended you.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 20, 2018, 12:54:42 am
BB

Thank you. It didn't offend me personally. It's just that it always offends me when intentions get misread.

Regarding your other points, no, of course I'm not saying that specific poster led to Jo Cox's murder. Nothing is as black and white as that.

I'm saying that Farage and UKIP politically weaponised immigration for many years, and history shows us that the consequences of doing that are rarely peaceful. People get agitated. Some people do very unpleasant things.

And I'm saying that, rather than reflect on that after that murder, Farage, Banks and the Leave campaign continued to pour propaganda into the social media feeds of people who they had identified as susceptible to having their head turned by migration stories. I'm saying that is morally disgraceful.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 20, 2018, 07:56:33 am
Here is a question for our resident specialist political posters.
I keep hearing that we have three options available to us, one being a new referendum.
If it did go to another vote and somehow turned out to still be “leave” what would the situation be then.
Obviously we would still proceed with leave but what would then happen about a deal or no deal.
Would it be any different from the position it is currently.


The question wouldn't be just 'Leave' though. It'd be for a specific version of 'Leave'.






Glyn, isn’t that where we are now though.
We currently have leave and various groups are trying to argue their case for a specific version of leave.
No difference as far as I can see.
So back to my question, what would be the difference if a second vote still came up with leave.

Glyn to respond please.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 20, 2018, 08:40:13 am
You see Billy, this is where people perceive different things to suit their own agendas. I never thought that poster was a portrait of immigrants queueing up to get into the UK. I thought it was merely an example of what could happen if we didn't control our borders. The bullshit about suggestions of racism almost made me change my vote to leave.

And Are you saying the murder of Jo Cox took place because of that poster?
I thought it was a the queue for a Justin Bieber concert, turns out I was wrong.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 20, 2018, 08:42:03 am
Nothing unusual there then!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 20, 2018, 09:18:57 am
Nothing unusual there then!
I'm a member of a large club bb
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 20, 2018, 09:36:24 am
Nothing unusual there then!
I'm a member of a large club bb
Aye, Justin Bieber has a decent following.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 20, 2018, 09:41:05 am
Here is a question for our resident specialist political posters.
I keep hearing that we have three options available to us, one being a new referendum.
If it did go to another vote and somehow turned out to still be “leave” what would the situation be then.
Obviously we would still proceed with leave but what would then happen about a deal or no deal.
Would it be any different from the position it is currently.


The question wouldn't be just 'Leave' though. It'd be for a specific version of 'Leave'.






Glyn, isn’t that where we are now though.
We currently have leave and various groups are trying to argue their case for a specific version of leave.
No difference as far as I can see.
So back to my question, what would be the difference if a second vote still came up with leave.

Glyn to respond please.

The difference is that the public would be able to say which of the versions of Leave being argued about (or otherwise) they want. Because the question would the different and therefore it isn't the same referendum being run.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on November 20, 2018, 10:57:58 am
... AND "they" are already discussing not having too many options of "Leave" on the Ballot Paper so as not to split that Vote giving Remain an easier chance to triumph ( :scarf: COYR - subtle maybe ?)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 20, 2018, 11:07:10 am
Here is a question for our resident specialist political posters.
I keep hearing that we have three options available to us, one being a new referendum.
If it did go to another vote and somehow turned out to still be “leave” what would the situation be then.
Obviously we would still proceed with leave but what would then happen about a deal or no deal.
Would it be any different from the position it is currently.


The question wouldn't be just 'Leave' though. It'd be for a specific version of 'Leave'.






Glyn, isn’t that where we are now though.
We currently have leave and various groups are trying to argue their case for a specific version of leave.
No difference as far as I can see.
So back to my question, what would be the difference if a second vote still came up with leave.

Glyn to respond please.

The difference is that the public would be able to say which of the versions of Leave being argued about (or otherwise) they want. Because the question would the different and therefore it isn't the same referendum being run.





Ok, thanks.
However, if the politicians themselves can’t agree on which is the best option how can the less well informed public make a decision on which is best.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on November 20, 2018, 11:13:01 am
Does anyone, anywhere, think that May's deal is better than staying in the EU? Anyone?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on November 20, 2018, 11:54:09 am
Here is a question for our resident specialist political posters.
I keep hearing that we have three options available to us, one being a new referendum.
If it did go to another vote and somehow turned out to still be “leave” what would the situation be then.
Obviously we would still proceed with leave but what would then happen about a deal or no deal.
Would it be any different from the position it is currently.


The question wouldn't be just 'Leave' though. It'd be for a specific version of 'Leave'.






Glyn, isn’t that where we are now though.
We currently have leave and various groups are trying to argue their case for a specific version of leave.
No difference as far as I can see.
So back to my question, what would be the difference if a second vote still came up with leave.

Glyn to respond please.

The difference is that the public would be able to say which of the versions of Leave being argued about (or otherwise) they want. Because the question would the different and therefore it isn't the same referendum being run.





Ok, thanks.
However, if the politicians themselves can’t agree on which is the best option how can the less well informed public make a decision on which is best.

Which was my major gripe when the Cameron Government caved in a called a Ref in the first place.

None of the factions seemed to be operating on facts - merely guessing / estimating / making assumptions / lying / and cheating AND i mean both ways round

So how did they expect people like me to make an informed decision when they were supposedly elected to take the decisions and they have armies of advisors behind the scenes to help them. Instead they took the easy way out and passed the decision to us - and furthermore did not put a Tariff on the Result

I am sure they could have carried a Motion in Parliament to say for The Referendum Result to be binding either way there needs to be a Majority reached by those Voting of (lets say) 60 % or 55%. They failed to do that either and we have therefore fallen into the most devisive and Politically messy period I can ever remember
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 20, 2018, 12:50:17 pm
Here is a question for our resident specialist political posters.
I keep hearing that we have three options available to us, one being a new referendum.
If it did go to another vote and somehow turned out to still be “leave” what would the situation be then.
Obviously we would still proceed with leave but what would then happen about a deal or no deal.
Would it be any different from the position it is currently.


The question wouldn't be just 'Leave' though. It'd be for a specific version of 'Leave'.






Glyn, isn’t that where we are now though.
We currently have leave and various groups are trying to argue their case for a specific version of leave.
No difference as far as I can see.
So back to my question, what would be the difference if a second vote still came up with leave.

Glyn to respond please.

The difference is that the public would be able to say which of the versions of Leave being argued about (or otherwise) they want. Because the question would the different and therefore it isn't the same referendum being run.





Ok, thanks.
However, if the politicians themselves can’t agree on which is the best option how can the less well informed public make a decision on which is best.

Ignorance of the electorate is no objection to the validity of the 2016 vote though, is it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 20, 2018, 01:10:00 pm
Does anyone, anywhere, think that May's deal is better than staying in the EU? Anyone?
Better than remaining . Worse than a no deal.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 20, 2018, 01:17:52 pm
Here is a question for our resident specialist political posters.
I keep hearing that we have three options available to us, one being a new referendum.
If it did go to another vote and somehow turned out to still be “leave” what would the situation be then.
Obviously we would still proceed with leave but what would then happen about a deal or no deal.
Would it be any different from the position it is currently.


The question wouldn't be just 'Leave' though. It'd be for a specific version of 'Leave'.






Glyn, isn’t that where we are now though.
We currently have leave and various groups are trying to argue their case for a specific version of leave.
No difference as far as I can see.
So back to my question, what would be the difference if a second vote still came up with leave.

Glyn to respond please.

The difference is that the public would be able to say which of the versions of Leave being argued about (or otherwise) they want. Because the question would the different and therefore it isn't the same referendum being run.





Ok, thanks.
However, if the politicians themselves can’t agree on which is the best option how can the less well informed public make a decision on which is best.

Ignorance of the electorate is no objection to the validity of the 2016 vote though, is it?





No of course not, but I see that you are avoiding answering the questions.

Are you indeed a politician.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 20, 2018, 01:38:50 pm
Anybody would think that only ignorant people voted to leave. I was ignorant and voted remain!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 20, 2018, 01:43:46 pm
Does anyone, anywhere, think that May's deal is better than staying in the EU? Anyone?
Better than remaining . Worse than a no deal.

lol
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 20, 2018, 01:56:58 pm
Does anyone, anywhere, think that May's deal is better than staying in the EU? Anyone?
Better than remaining . Worse than a no deal.

Boomstick.

John Redwood, who is as passionate an advocate for a Hard Brexit as you will find, accepted on Any Questions on R4 last week that a no deal Brexit would lead to a 7.5% reduction in GDP compared to the alternative of remaining. This will be hard wired into the UK economy permanently.

So tell us. What are the benefits of the No Deal that would balance this loss of national income?

Bear in mind that the 1980-1 recession involved a loss of GDP of about 2% FOR ONE YEAR and that lead to a increase in unemployment of about 2 million which took the rest of the decade to bring down. And the recession of 2008 involved a similar fall in GDP for one year and that led to an increase in unemployment of about 1million and a decade long stagnation of wages.

What are the upsides of No Deal that counterbalance the sort of economic carnage that would come with a 7.5% reduction in GDP?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on November 20, 2018, 02:50:13 pm
One benefit would be to sit back and watch serious harm come to the German car industry.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 20, 2018, 03:00:02 pm
Brilliant.

Set fire to your house and take pleasure from the fact that your neighbour coughs a bit on the smoke.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 20, 2018, 03:04:57 pm
Does anyone, anywhere, think that May's deal is better than staying in the EU? Anyone?
Better than remaining . Worse than a no deal.

Boomstick.

John Redwood, who is as passionate an advocate for a Hard Brexit as you will find, accepted on Any Questions on R4 last week that a no deal Brexit would lead to a 7.5% reduction in GDP compared to the alternative of remaining. This will be hard wired into the UK economy permanently.

So tell us. What are the benefits of the No Deal that would balance this loss of national income?

Bear in mind that the 1980-1 recession involved a loss of GDP of about 2% FOR ONE YEAR and that lead to a increase in unemployment of about 2 million which took the rest of the decade to bring down. And the recession of 2008 involved a similar fall in GDP for one year and that led to an increase in unemployment of about 1million and a decade long stagnation of wages.

What are the upsides of No Deal that counterbalance the sort of economic carnage that would come with a 7.5% reduction in GDP?
I care less for the economic consequences, than I do for the positive impact regaining British sovereignty will have, and the positive impact reduced immigration will have.
Afterall, it will impact big business and banks a hell of alot more than us folks in South Yorkshire. As a lefty I thought that would resonate with you.
Or perhaps as I suspect, your using the weak economic argument as a way of arguing your ideological beliefs. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 20, 2018, 03:06:52 pm
Brilliant.

Set fire to your house and take pleasure from the fact that your neighbour coughs a bit on the smoke.
More like, we would be the ones that coughed.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 20, 2018, 03:23:17 pm
Boomstick

You really haven't got a clue have you? I don't know where you get this comic book concept of what people on the Left believe, but it is infantile in the extreme.

And a weak economic argument? You reckon the projected loss of £150bn economic output every single year is a weak case? You reckon it won't affect South Yorkshire? You are away with the fairies man. South Yorkshire and the post-industrial North will be the first regions to be hit and will be hit harder and for longer than anywhere else. Just as we have been in every economic slump in living memory.

Where do you think our jobs and our livings come from? Why do you think they would be protected from the sort of economic hit that usually only comes from losing a major war?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on November 20, 2018, 03:41:45 pm
I voted leave for the long term benefit of my country, unlike I suspect most remainers who voted for short term perceived benefit in their wallets. True patriots eh?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on November 20, 2018, 04:31:30 pm
Well, at least we'll be able to buy more cheap steel etc from China and put more British workers out of work without fear of the dastardly EU looking after the interest of it's member states...

Are they the sort of long term benefits you mean? Because there are certainly going to be no long-term economic benefits?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on November 20, 2018, 04:39:31 pm
Like the EU helped the British motor industry when BMW screwed over Rover?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on November 20, 2018, 04:50:11 pm
Like the EU helped the British motor industry when BMW screwed over Rover?
[/quot

Oh you mean like when Bayer bought out ICI and then shut all is factories down making us reliant on German produced Medication!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on November 20, 2018, 04:54:43 pm
Like the EU helped the British motor industry when BMW screwed over Rover?


Or when Germany moved the production of Bendicks mint chocolates from Winchester to zer fatterland!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: DonnyOsmond on November 20, 2018, 05:21:16 pm
I voted leave for the long term benefit of my country, unlike I suspect most remainers who voted for short term perceived benefit in their wallets. True patriots eh?

Our country or London? The EU supports farmers, the EU gives funding to areas like ours so we can have developments like Cast. The British government gives us austerity, in turn shit load of homeless people on our streets, the British government gives us the shambles that is Northern Rail.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 20, 2018, 05:24:46 pm
Like the EU helped the British motor industry when BMW screwed over Rover?
[/quot

Oh you mean like when Bayer bought out ICI and then shut all is factories down making us reliant on German produced Medication!

Remind me when that happened.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 20, 2018, 05:31:21 pm
And of course, when we have our Glorious Hard Brexit and sign free-trade agreements with the USA, there'll be no way that hostile takeovers will occur with American companies buying out British institutions and then  immediately closing down factories that they had promised to keep open.

Like....


...errrr...


Kraft taking over Cadbury's for example.

It's business.
It happens.
Unless you want to out machine guns on the South coast and become Fortress Britain, you accept that there are international mergers and takeovers.

Perhaps if our industries were a bit better run, we might be in a position to takeover a few in Germany.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 20, 2018, 06:09:18 pm
Boomstick

You really haven't got a clue have you? I don't know where you get this comic book concept of what people on the Left believe, but it is infantile in the extreme.

And a weak economic argument? You reckon the projected loss of £150bn economic output every single year is a weak case? You reckon it won't affect South Yorkshire? You are away with the fairies man. South Yorkshire and the post-industrial North will be the first regions to be hit and will be hit harder and for longer than anywhere else. Just as we have been in every economic slump in living memory.

Where do you think our jobs and our livings come from? Why do you think they would be protected from the sort of economic hit that usually only comes from losing a major war?
Nothing you ranted on about there has any substance whatsoever, the more you rant won't win you the argument.

Are you saying we should remain in order to protect big business, as they are what creates the jobs?
Surely as a lefty, that is the opposite of your ideoligy, scooby doo was less confused than you.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 20, 2018, 06:15:51 pm
Like the EU helped the British motor industry when BMW screwed over Rover?
[/quot

Oh you mean like when Bayer bought out ICI and then shut all is factories down making us reliant on German produced Medication!

Or when the EU closed our coal mines, railway works and steel works because they could buy cheaper from abroad - oh hang on....

Capitalists don't like the effects of capitalism shock!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 20, 2018, 07:11:36 pm
Boomstick. You really need to get over these infant school stereotypes. Meet some real people. Talk to them. Listen to them. There's a complex world out there.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 20, 2018, 09:14:34 pm
Quote

''Brexiteers are subverting language to obscure the truth, Trump-style''

Nothing new there then?

“A lie can travel halfway around the world while the truth is still putting on its shoes,” Mark Twain is said to have warned. In this era of social media, let’s make that all the way round the world while the truth is still looking for its socks''

''During the recent febrile weeks in London, Brussels bureaucracy has been superseded by “Brussels bullying” and “Brussels blackmail”, two fictional creations invented with a view to dismissing the reasonable compromise negotiated by Theresa May''

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/nov/20/brexiteers-trump-language-fake-news
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 21, 2018, 07:23:55 am
Boomstick. You really need to get over these infant school stereotypes. Meet some real people. Talk to them. Listen to them. There's a complex world out there.
Is that all you can come up with? Pretty sure I've offered to buy you a drink recently ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 21, 2018, 08:01:29 am
Wow it just gets worse-if that's possible!

''The UK will be “frozen out” of EU decisions on no fewer than 182 new rules in the months after Brexit, a new analysis says, including over budget spending, road signs and drinking water.

The full scale of fresh regulations in the pipeline – during Theresa May’s planned 21-month transition period – exposes the blunder of making Britain “a rule-taker, not a rule-maker”, it warns''

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-news-theresa-may-transition-period-deal-rules-meps-eu-council-parliament-a8643461.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on November 21, 2018, 09:02:38 am
I voted leave for the long term benefit of my country, unlike I suspect most remainers who voted for short term perceived benefit in their wallets. True patriots eh?

Our country or London? The EU supports farmers, the EU gives funding to areas like ours so we can have developments like Cast. The British government gives us austerity, in turn shit load of homeless people on our streets, the British government gives us the shambles that is Northern Rail.

Most farmers are greedy, tight fisted 'people' who would rather pay peanuts to Romanians to live ten to a caravan after working all hours, rather than pay a decent wage to our own. I have no sympathy for them.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on November 21, 2018, 09:04:34 am
Unless you want to out machine guns on the South coast and become Fortress Britain, you accept that there are international mergers and takeovers.

At last you speak some sense. That would do nicely.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on November 21, 2018, 09:08:27 am

Perhaps if our industries were a bit better run, we might be in a position to takeover a few in Germany.
[/quote]

Are these the same businesses that we are all supposed to listen to and bow down to because they know best about what Brexit deal we should have?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 21, 2018, 10:07:06 am
Surprise!

Brexit - live: Senior Tories leave door open to new referendum as Theresa May heads to Brussels for last-ditch talks

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-live-latest-update-pmqs-theresa-may-deal-jeremy-corbyn-eu-second-referendum-a8644116.html



Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 21, 2018, 10:25:37 am


Quote
Perhaps if our industries were a bit better run, we might be in a position to takeover a few in Germany.

Are these the same businesses that we are all supposed to listen to and bow down to because they know best about what Brexit deal we should have?

Perhaps you should read this and understand why our industries lag behind France and Germany etc....   http://www.bbc.co.uk/history/british/modern/marshall_01.shtml
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on November 21, 2018, 01:05:44 pm
https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/221747

Get signed up for this.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 21, 2018, 03:49:17 pm
https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/221747

Get signed up for this.

Only the brain dead would sign that.  Seems there's at least 44,526 brain dead people already!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on November 21, 2018, 04:14:07 pm
https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/221747

Get signed up for this.

Only the brain dead would sign that.  Seems there's at least 44,526 brain dead people already!

Are you?

It makes me laugh that you remainiacs seem to believe that your views are held by the majority in the country, when they are clearly not. You have had your EU love in for the past forty odd years, but even that is not enough. you want to inflict even more decades of pain on us.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 21, 2018, 04:30:21 pm
https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/221747

Get signed up for this.

Only the brain dead would sign that.  Seems there's at least 44,526 brain dead people already!

Are you?
 
It makes me laugh that you remainiacs seem to believe that your views are held by the majority in the country, when they are clearly not. You have had your EU love in for the past forty odd years, but even that is not enough. you want to inflict even more decades of pain on us.

Have you got the first clue as to what would happen to the UK if we simply walked away right now?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 21, 2018, 05:10:54 pm
Here is a question for our resident specialist political posters.
I keep hearing that we have three options available to us, one being a new referendum.
If it did go to another vote and somehow turned out to still be “leave” what would the situation be then.
Obviously we would still proceed with leave but what would then happen about a deal or no deal.
Would it be any different from the position it is currently.


The question wouldn't be just 'Leave' though. It'd be for a specific version of 'Leave'.






Glyn, isn’t that where we are now though.
We currently have leave and various groups are trying to argue their case for a specific version of leave.
No difference as far as I can see.
So back to my question, what would be the difference if a second vote still came up with leave.

Glyn to respond please.

The difference is that the public would be able to say which of the versions of Leave being argued about (or otherwise) they want. Because the question would the different and therefore it isn't the same referendum being run.





Ok, thanks.
However, if the politicians themselves can’t agree on which is the best option how can the less well informed public make a decision on which is best.

Ignorance of the electorate is no objection to the validity of the 2016 vote though, is it?





No of course not, but I see that you are avoiding answering the questions.

Are you indeed a politician.

The answer to your question is obvious - the result (whatever it is) of any new vote would supercede the previous vote. Just like votes in any other election or even votes in Parliament.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 21, 2018, 05:15:40 pm
One benefit would be to sit back and watch serious harm come to the German car industry.

Yeah, they'll really get hit hard when the British car industry is more competitive than them in the UK. Perhaps the knowledge that they'll also be more competitive than the British car industry in 27 other countries might help them dry their tears. Some benefit, eh?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 21, 2018, 05:19:31 pm
If there are no BMW's in the UK what will all the t**ts drive?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 21, 2018, 05:24:36 pm
If there are no BMW's in the UK what will all the t**ts drive?

The car in front me, as usual.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 21, 2018, 06:26:56 pm
Only a maniac would believe that there’s no risks to leaving the EU. However I really hoped that, as a country, we would be brave enough and show the endeavour required to make it a success. But we’re not, nowhere near.

Here’s a tangible example

Around a year ago I was doing some work for a SME organisation in the West Midlands and the M.D. of that organisation was telling me how they’re continually being undercut by cheaper rivals in the EU. He was incredibly frustrated that he was unable to substantially extend his market outside of Europe, particularly into the US due to EU competition & trade rules. His opinion was the EU isn’t a level playing field so saw real opportunities once we left.

Unfortunately, it seems that what could have been a fantastic opportunity for UK organisations such as this one, we’re making such a hash of it that nobody is going to benefit! Consequently, if this is the best that our government can do then we’re better off in.

Instead, all we’re getting are two groups of people shouting “I’m right” at each other.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 21, 2018, 07:33:03 pm
Only a maniac would believe that there’s no risks to leaving the EU. However I really hoped that, as a country, we would be brave enough and show the endeavour required to make it a success. But we’re not, nowhere near.

Here’s a tangible example

Around a year ago I was doing some work for a SME organisation in the West Midlands and the M.D. of that organisation was telling me how they’re continually being undercut by cheaper rivals in the EU. He was incredibly frustrated that he was unable to substantially extend his market outside of Europe, particularly into the US due to EU competition & trade rules. His opinion was the EU isn’t a level playing field so saw real opportunities once we left.

Unfortunately, it seems that what could have been a fantastic opportunity for UK organisations such as this one, we’re making such a hash of it that nobody is going to benefit! Consequently, if this is the best that our government can do then we’re better off in.

Instead, all we’re getting are two groups of people shouting “I’m right” at each other.
''Only a maniac would believe that there’s no risks to leaving the EU. However I really hoped that, as a country, we would be brave enough and show the endeavour required to make it a success. But we’re not, nowhere near''

Surely by now HA you understand that any successes gained in leaving (your only one example other this this anecdotal one is about re-nationalising rail, of which most could be achieved now without leaving) would be dwarfed by the benefits of staying.

''Around a year ago I was doing some work for a SME organisation in the West Midlands and the M.D. of that organisation was telling me how they’re continually being undercut by cheaper rivals in the EU. He was incredibly frustrated that he was unable to substantially extend his market outside of Europe, particularly into the US due to EU competition & trade rules. His opinion was the EU isn’t a level playing field so saw real opportunities once we left''

Why if this SME is being undercut by a company within the EU wouldn't it be undercut outside the EU also, is the EU the only place to make theses ''widgets''?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 21, 2018, 07:35:58 pm


Quote
Perhaps if our industries were a bit better run, we might be in a position to takeover a few in Germany.

Are these the same businesses that we are all supposed to listen to and bow down to because they know best about what Brexit deal we should have?

Perhaps you should read this and understand why our industries lag behind France and Germany etc....   http://www.bbc.co.uk/history/british/modern/marshall_01.shtml
Thanks NNK, very interesting read.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 21, 2018, 08:22:54 pm
Only a maniac would believe that there’s no risks to leaving the EU. However I really hoped that, as a country, we would be brave enough and show the endeavour required to make it a success. But we’re not, nowhere near.

Here’s a tangible example

Around a year ago I was doing some work for a SME organisation in the West Midlands and the M.D. of that organisation was telling me how they’re continually being undercut by cheaper rivals in the EU. He was incredibly frustrated that he was unable to substantially extend his market outside of Europe, particularly into the US due to EU competition & trade rules. His opinion was the EU isn’t a level playing field so saw real opportunities once we left.

Unfortunately, it seems that what could have been a fantastic opportunity for UK organisations such as this one, we’re making such a hash of it that nobody is going to benefit! Consequently, if this is the best that our government can do then we’re better off in.

Instead, all we’re getting are two groups of people shouting “I’m right” at each other.
''Only a maniac would believe that there’s no risks to leaving the EU. However I really hoped that, as a country, we would be brave enough and show the endeavour required to make it a success. But we’re not, nowhere near''

Surely by now HA you understand that any successes gained in leaving (your only one example other this this anecdotal one is about re-nationalising rail, of which most could be achieved now without leaving) would be dwarfed by the benefits of staying.

''Around a year ago I was doing some work for a SME organisation in the West Midlands and the M.D. of that organisation was telling me how they’re continually being undercut by cheaper rivals in the EU. He was incredibly frustrated that he was unable to substantially extend his market outside of Europe, particularly into the US due to EU competition & trade rules. His opinion was the EU isn’t a level playing field so saw real opportunities once we left''

Why if this SME is being undercut by a company within the EU wouldn't it be undercut outside the EU also, is the EU the only place to make theses ''widgets''?

Sydney,

The point around EU restrictions around rail renationalisation is fact. The rules imposed by the EU are clear. They don’t allow wholesale nationalisation!! I really don’t know how to put this any other way for you! The examples you have are NOT examples of full nationalisation!

I offered a tangible example of how a business feels that they would benefit by trading outside the EU. I’m sure that there is a possibility that they may be undercut outside the EU too, however, with all due respect to you, I put more credence on their opinion than yours in this matter.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 21, 2018, 08:38:42 pm
So would 90% be ok?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 21, 2018, 08:44:06 pm
Only a maniac would believe that there’s no risks to leaving the EU. However I really hoped that, as a country, we would be brave enough and show the endeavour required to make it a success. But we’re not, nowhere near.

Here’s a tangible example

Around a year ago I was doing some work for a SME organisation in the West Midlands and the M.D. of that organisation was telling me how they’re continually being undercut by cheaper rivals in the EU. He was incredibly frustrated that he was unable to substantially extend his market outside of Europe, particularly into the US due to EU competition & trade rules. His opinion was the EU isn’t a level playing field so saw real opportunities once we left.

Unfortunately, it seems that what could have been a fantastic opportunity for UK organisations such as this one, we’re making such a hash of it that nobody is going to benefit! Consequently, if this is the best that our government can do then we’re better off in.

Instead, all we’re getting are two groups of people shouting “I’m right” at each other.
''Only a maniac would believe that there’s no risks to leaving the EU. However I really hoped that, as a country, we would be brave enough and show the endeavour required to make it a success. But we’re not, nowhere near''

Surely by now HA you understand that any successes gained in leaving (your only one example other this this anecdotal one is about re-nationalising rail, of which most could be achieved now without leaving) would be dwarfed by the benefits of staying.

''Around a year ago I was doing some work for a SME organisation in the West Midlands and the M.D. of that organisation was telling me how they’re continually being undercut by cheaper rivals in the EU. He was incredibly frustrated that he was unable to substantially extend his market outside of Europe, particularly into the US due to EU competition & trade rules. His opinion was the EU isn’t a level playing field so saw real opportunities once we left''

Why if this SME is being undercut by a company within the EU wouldn't it be undercut outside the EU also, is the EU the only place to make theses ''widgets''?

Sydney,

The point around EU restrictions around rail renationalisation is fact. The rules imposed by the EU are clear. They don’t allow wholesale nationalisation!! I really don’t know how to put this any other way for you! The examples you have are NOT examples of full nationalisation!

I offered a tangible example of how a business feels that they would benefit by trading outside the EU. I’m sure that there is a possibility that they may be undercut outside the EU too, however, with all due respect to you, I put more credence on their opinion than yours in this matter.

With all due respect you or anyone else having a chat with a moaning business owner wishing things were better or that business would be better ''if only'' is nothing new and does not prove anything.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 21, 2018, 09:45:19 pm

Here’s a tangible example

Around a year ago I was doing some work for a SME organisation in the West Midlands and the M.D. of that organisation was telling me how they’re continually being undercut by cheaper rivals in the EU. He was incredibly frustrated that he was unable to substantially extend his market outside of Europe, particularly into the US due to EU competition & trade rules. His opinion was the EU isn’t a level playing field so saw real opportunities once we left.


That's a really interesting example HA, I don't suppose you happen to know which EU competition & trade rules that MD is referring to that is stopping him from expanding outside the EU?

I know next to nothing about the rail industry (although that generally doesn't stop me) but I do know people who work at Westinghouse and they are forever off on a new contract somewhere, Holland, Nigeria, Hong Kong, Argentina. Clearly there is something different between selling and installing brakes and signals and whatever your guys does, I just wondered what it was?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 21, 2018, 10:31:25 pm
Only a maniac would believe that there’s no risks to leaving the EU. However I really hoped that, as a country, we would be brave enough and show the endeavour required to make it a success. But we’re not, nowhere near.

Here’s a tangible example

Around a year ago I was doing some work for a SME organisation in the West Midlands and the M.D. of that organisation was telling me how they’re continually being undercut by cheaper rivals in the EU. He was incredibly frustrated that he was unable to substantially extend his market outside of Europe, particularly into the US due to EU competition & trade rules. His opinion was the EU isn’t a level playing field so saw real opportunities once we left.

Unfortunately, it seems that what could have been a fantastic opportunity for UK organisations such as this one, we’re making such a hash of it that nobody is going to benefit! Consequently, if this is the best that our government can do then we’re better off in.

Instead, all we’re getting are two groups of people shouting “I’m right” at each other.
''Only a maniac would believe that there’s no risks to leaving the EU. However I really hoped that, as a country, we would be brave enough and show the endeavour required to make it a success. But we’re not, nowhere near''

Surely by now HA you understand that any successes gained in leaving (your only one example other this this anecdotal one is about re-nationalising rail, of which most could be achieved now without leaving) would be dwarfed by the benefits of staying.

''Around a year ago I was doing some work for a SME organisation in the West Midlands and the M.D. of that organisation was telling me how they’re continually being undercut by cheaper rivals in the EU. He was incredibly frustrated that he was unable to substantially extend his market outside of Europe, particularly into the US due to EU competition & trade rules. His opinion was the EU isn’t a level playing field so saw real opportunities once we left''

Why if this SME is being undercut by a company within the EU wouldn't it be undercut outside the EU also, is the EU the only place to make theses ''widgets''?

Sydney,

The point around EU restrictions around rail renationalisation is fact. The rules imposed by the EU are clear. They don’t allow wholesale nationalisation!! I really don’t know how to put this any other way for you! The examples you have are NOT examples of full nationalisation!

I offered a tangible example of how a business feels that they would benefit by trading outside the EU. I’m sure that there is a possibility that they may be undercut outside the EU too, however, with all due respect to you, I put more credence on their opinion than yours in this matter.

With all due respect you or anyone else having a chat with a moaning business owner wishing things were better or that business would be better ''if only'' is nothing new and does not prove anything.

So I have a chat (admittedly nothing formal, just a quick chat over a coffee) with a business owner who expressed genuine concerns and you simply dismiss this as moaning?

You’ve been keen to mention a few times that nobody has yet given one good reason for leaving the EU...maybe it’s because you’re not listening?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 21, 2018, 10:35:21 pm

Here’s a tangible example

Around a year ago I was doing some work for a SME organisation in the West Midlands and the M.D. of that organisation was telling me how they’re continually being undercut by cheaper rivals in the EU. He was incredibly frustrated that he was unable to substantially extend his market outside of Europe, particularly into the US due to EU competition & trade rules. His opinion was the EU isn’t a level playing field so saw real opportunities once we left.


That's a really interesting example HA, I don't suppose you happen to know which EU competition & trade rules that MD is referring to that is stopping him from expanding outside the EU?

I know next to nothing about the rail industry (although that generally doesn't stop me) but I do know people who work at Westinghouse and they are forever off on a new contract somewhere, Holland, Nigeria, Hong Kong, Argentina. Clearly there is something different between selling and installing brakes and signals and whatever your guys does, I just wondered what it was?

Wilts,

Sorry, I probably didn’t make it clear, but the company that I was speaking with aren’t in the rail industry.

Equally, I can’t shed any light on the specific regulations I’m afraid.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 21, 2018, 11:01:06 pm
Only a maniac would believe that there’s no risks to leaving the EU. However I really hoped that, as a country, we would be brave enough and show the endeavour required to make it a success. But we’re not, nowhere near.

Here’s a tangible example

Around a year ago I was doing some work for a SME organisation in the West Midlands and the M.D. of that organisation was telling me how they’re continually being undercut by cheaper rivals in the EU. He was incredibly frustrated that he was unable to substantially extend his market outside of Europe, particularly into the US due to EU competition & trade rules. His opinion was the EU isn’t a level playing field so saw real opportunities once we left.

Unfortunately, it seems that what could have been a fantastic opportunity for UK organisations such as this one, we’re making such a hash of it that nobody is going to benefit! Consequently, if this is the best that our government can do then we’re better off in.

Instead, all we’re getting are two groups of people shouting “I’m right” at each other.
''Only a maniac would believe that there’s no risks to leaving the EU. However I really hoped that, as a country, we would be brave enough and show the endeavour required to make it a success. But we’re not, nowhere near''

Surely by now HA you understand that any successes gained in leaving (your only one example other this this anecdotal one is about re-nationalising rail, of which most could be achieved now without leaving) would be dwarfed by the benefits of staying.

''Around a year ago I was doing some work for a SME organisation in the West Midlands and the M.D. of that organisation was telling me how they’re continually being undercut by cheaper rivals in the EU. He was incredibly frustrated that he was unable to substantially extend his market outside of Europe, particularly into the US due to EU competition & trade rules. His opinion was the EU isn’t a level playing field so saw real opportunities once we left''

Why if this SME is being undercut by a company within the EU wouldn't it be undercut outside the EU also, is the EU the only place to make theses ''widgets''?

Sydney,

The point around EU restrictions around rail renationalisation is fact. The rules imposed by the EU are clear. They don’t allow wholesale nationalisation!! I really don’t know how to put this any other way for you! The examples you have are NOT examples of full nationalisation!

I offered a tangible example of how a business feels that they would benefit by trading outside the EU. I’m sure that there is a possibility that they may be undercut outside the EU too, however, with all due respect to you, I put more credence on their opinion than yours in this matter.

With all due respect you or anyone else having a chat with a moaning business owner wishing things were better or that business would be better ''if only'' is nothing new and does not prove anything.

So I have a chat (admittedly nothing formal, just a quick chat over a coffee) with a business owner who expressed genuine concerns and you simply dismiss this as moaning?

You’ve been keen to mention a few times that nobody has yet given one good reason for leaving the EU...maybe it’s because you’re not listening?
No, it's because over 2 years (and 110 pages here) not you or anyone else has been able to show why leaving would be better option than staying and I will keep asking until someone does, but as I do listen and read I know that will not happen, it's basic first year economics/sales/marketing being within a large wealthy trading block has to be better than being outside. That you or any other individual does not agree does not concern me because if you haven't understood the ramifications for Britain and it's peoples to leave the EU by now you never will. Plenty of people have listened to both sides of the debate and enough are changing their minds to stay, or at least vote on the options.

Recycling misinformation and anecdotes does nothing for a sensible debate and if that's all you have then I wouldn't be putting my money on Britain being a better place following any form of brexit, however if you do feel so inclined I'm sure a bookie somewhere would be happy to relieve you of your hard earned.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on November 22, 2018, 08:49:57 am
If there are no BMW's in the UK what will all the t**ts drive?

Audis and VWs are the weapons of choice.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on November 22, 2018, 03:55:16 pm
However I really hoped that, as a country, we would be brave enough and show the endeavour required to make it a success. But we’re not, nowhere near.

That right there is the real problem - the fact that so many people who voted Brexit actually believe all we have to do is be "brave" and "show endeavour" to make Brexit a success?!?? No plan, no understanding of the economic predicament we are going to find ourselves in, no estimates for the industries that are most likely to be affecting, or which countries we should (already be) peparing to make trade deals with, just be brave dammit!

What garbage.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on November 22, 2018, 04:37:58 pm
If there are no BMW's in the UK what will all the t**ts drive?

This t**t will carry on driving the one he’s got, just to piss off the rest of the t**ts that haven’t got one
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on November 22, 2018, 04:48:27 pm
If there are no BMW's in the UK what will all the t**ts drive?

This t**t will carry on driving the one he’s got, just to piss off the rest of the t**ts that haven’t got one

I take it you don't go out in ice or snow? :)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on November 22, 2018, 05:03:24 pm
If there are no BMW's in the UK what will all the t**ts drive?

This t**t will carry on driving the one he’s got, just to piss off the rest of the t**ts that haven’t got one

I take it you don't go out in ice or snow? :)

Yes the 4 wheel drive is excellent in those conditions
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 22, 2018, 08:16:51 pm
If there are no BMW's in the UK what will all the t**ts drive?

This t**t will carry on driving the one he’s got, just to piss off the rest of the t**ts that haven’t got one

I take it you don't go out in ice or snow? :)

Yes the 4 wheel drive is excellent in those conditions





Yep, me too Filo.
I think you just pissed off another t**t.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 22, 2018, 08:49:56 pm
Why do some drivers like BMW's?  Because they can spell it.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on November 22, 2018, 11:41:49 pm
Why do some drivers like BMW's?  Because they can spell it.



Because we can afford them 😜
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 23, 2018, 12:16:06 am
However I really hoped that, as a country, we would be brave enough and show the endeavour required to make it a success. But we’re not, nowhere near.

That right there is the real problem - the fact that so many people who voted Brexit actually believe all we have to do is be "brave" and "show endeavour" to make Brexit a success?!?? No plan, no understanding of the economic predicament we are going to find ourselves in, no estimates for the industries that are most likely to be affecting, or which countries we should (already be) peparing to make trade deals with, just be brave dammit!

What garbage.
Yes lets summon up the ghosts of the british bulldog spirit, reform the commonwealth and we'll be alright. Unfortunately the majority of experts in business, finance, unions/workers conditions do not agree.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 23, 2018, 08:51:36 am
However I really hoped that, as a country, we would be brave enough and show the endeavour required to make it a success. But we’re not, nowhere near.

That right there is the real problem - the fact that so many people who voted Brexit actually believe all we have to do is be "brave" and "show endeavour" to make Brexit a success?!?? No plan, no understanding of the economic predicament we are going to find ourselves in, no estimates for the industries that are most likely to be affecting, or which countries we should (already be) peparing to make trade deals with, just be brave dammit!

What garbage.
Yes lets summon up the ghosts of the british bulldog spirit, reform the commonwealth and we'll be alright. Unfortunately the majority of experts in business, finance, unions/workers conditions do not agree.

And if you don't agree, you're a fecking traitor.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 23, 2018, 09:25:03 am
I read this on another web site....
 
Quote
This could be a bit of fun for the Boris fans......

On Saturday 17th November, Boris Johnson MP was notified of private prosecutor Marcus J Ball’s intention to bring a private prosecution case against him. The case is in accordance with section 6(1) of the Prosecution of Offences Act 1985, for the alleged offence of misconduct in public office.

Mr Ball has instructed Bankside Commercial to bring on his behalf, the private prosecution against Mr Johnson MP.

Bankside Commercial has retained the services of three barristers from Church Court Chambers: Mr Lewis Power QC, Colin Witcher and Anthony Eskander.

Lawyers speaking on video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Z_GMmCtckM

The alleged offence of misconduct in public office arises from statements made and or endorsed by Boris Johnson MP in his capacity as an MP and Mayor of London prior to and following the EU Referendum concerning the cost of EU Membership. Mr Ball alleges that the claim that the UK ‘sends £350 million a week to the EU’ was knowingly false.

Also, that Mr Johnson made or endorsed these statements with the intention of persuading the British Public to vote Leave in the EU Referendum.

Mr Johnson MP has been invited to comment.

Marcus J Ball, private prosecutor

Lewis Power QC has made plain that the legal team are “duty bound not to comment upon the guilt or innocence of Mr Johnson as this is a decision that can only be made within a court of law”

Giles Bright, lead solicitor on the case, stated his agreement with Mr Power QC’s comments and added that: ‘…our role as solicitors for Mr Ball, is to consider a set of facts and assess whether they constitute behaviour that ought to be put before a criminal court to consider. The prosecution team instructed are expert criminal lawyers who have experience of complex cases covering war crimes, terrorism, murder, judicial review and serious fraud prosecutions to name a few”
Giles Bright, of Bankside Commercial, lead solicitor on the case

When asked if the case was an attempt to stop Brexit Mr Ball said that: ‘This is about stopping lying in politics; this is not about stopping Brexit, the courts do not have the power to do that. We do need to stop politicians from lying in any future referendums though. The motivation for this prosecution is a desire to bring a beginning to the end of lying in politics’.

The private prosecution case has been crowdfunded by over 7000 people across four separate crowdfunds since it first began in June 2016.

Mr Ball invites all potential backers to read the information presented on his Crowdfund page. https://www.crowdfunder.co.uk/brexitjusticeprosecution 1

Mr Power QC reiterated that ‘Mr Johnson is innocent unless proven guilty within a court of law. The rule of law requires the public and the press to remember this when publishing any comments concerning this case’.

The team awaits comment from Mr Johnson’s lawyers and plan to advance the prosecution with a laying of an information at the Magistrate’s Court at the start of the new year.

Contact info:
Twitter: https://twitter.com/MarcusJBall (#BrexitJustice)
Marcus J Ball
marcusjeball@gmail.com
07917 086231
London
www.BrexitJustice.com

Could be interesting.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on November 23, 2018, 09:36:53 am
If there are no BMW's in the UK what will all the t**ts drive?

This t**t will carry on driving the one he’s got, just to piss off the rest of the t**ts that haven’t got one

I take it you don't go out in ice or snow? :)

Yes the 4 wheel drive is excellent in those conditions

Subaru, even better.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 23, 2018, 10:01:14 am
I read this on another web site....
 
Quote
This could be a bit of fun for the Boris fans......

On Saturday 17th November, Boris Johnson MP was notified of private prosecutor Marcus J Ball’s intention to bring a private prosecution case against him. The case is in accordance with section 6(1) of the Prosecution of Offences Act 1985, for the alleged offence of misconduct in public office.

Mr Ball has instructed Bankside Commercial to bring on his behalf, the private prosecution against Mr Johnson MP.

Bankside Commercial has retained the services of three barristers from Church Court Chambers: Mr Lewis Power QC, Colin Witcher and Anthony Eskander.

Lawyers speaking on video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Z_GMmCtckM

The alleged offence of misconduct in public office arises from statements made and or endorsed by Boris Johnson MP in his capacity as an MP and Mayor of London prior to and following the EU Referendum concerning the cost of EU Membership. Mr Ball alleges that the claim that the UK ‘sends £350 million a week to the EU’ was knowingly false.

Also, that Mr Johnson made or endorsed these statements with the intention of persuading the British Public to vote Leave in the EU Referendum.

Mr Johnson MP has been invited to comment.

Marcus J Ball, private prosecutor

Lewis Power QC has made plain that the legal team are “duty bound not to comment upon the guilt or innocence of Mr Johnson as this is a decision that can only be made within a court of law”

Giles Bright, lead solicitor on the case, stated his agreement with Mr Power QC’s comments and added that: ‘…our role as solicitors for Mr Ball, is to consider a set of facts and assess whether they constitute behaviour that ought to be put before a criminal court to consider. The prosecution team instructed are expert criminal lawyers who have experience of complex cases covering war crimes, terrorism, murder, judicial review and serious fraud prosecutions to name a few”
Giles Bright, of Bankside Commercial, lead solicitor on the case

When asked if the case was an attempt to stop Brexit Mr Ball said that: ‘This is about stopping lying in politics; this is not about stopping Brexit, the courts do not have the power to do that. We do need to stop politicians from lying in any future referendums though. The motivation for this prosecution is a desire to bring a beginning to the end of lying in politics’.

The private prosecution case has been crowdfunded by over 7000 people across four separate crowdfunds since it first began in June 2016.

Mr Ball invites all potential backers to read the information presented on his Crowdfund page. https://www.crowdfunder.co.uk/brexitjusticeprosecution 1

Mr Power QC reiterated that ‘Mr Johnson is innocent unless proven guilty within a court of law. The rule of law requires the public and the press to remember this when publishing any comments concerning this case’.

The team awaits comment from Mr Johnson’s lawyers and plan to advance the prosecution with a laying of an information at the Magistrate’s Court at the start of the new year.

Contact info:
Twitter: https://twitter.com/MarcusJBall (#BrexitJustice)
Marcus J Ball
marcusjeball@gmail.com
07917 086231
London
www.BrexitJustice.com

Could be interesting.

tl;dr
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 23, 2018, 04:54:25 pm
Only a maniac would believe that there’s no risks to leaving the EU. However I really hoped that, as a country, we would be brave enough and show the endeavour required to make it a success. But we’re not, nowhere near.

Here’s a tangible example

Around a year ago I was doing some work for a SME organisation in the West Midlands and the M.D. of that organisation was telling me how they’re continually being undercut by cheaper rivals in the EU. He was incredibly frustrated that he was unable to substantially extend his market outside of Europe, particularly into the US due to EU competition & trade rules. His opinion was the EU isn’t a level playing field so saw real opportunities once we left.

Unfortunately, it seems that what could have been a fantastic opportunity for UK organisations such as this one, we’re making such a hash of it that nobody is going to benefit! Consequently, if this is the best that our government can do then we’re better off in.

Instead, all we’re getting are two groups of people shouting “I’m right” at each other.
''Only a maniac would believe that there’s no risks to leaving the EU. However I really hoped that, as a country, we would be brave enough and show the endeavour required to make it a success. But we’re not, nowhere near''

Surely by now HA you understand that any successes gained in leaving (your only one example other this this anecdotal one is about re-nationalising rail, of which most could be achieved now without leaving) would be dwarfed by the benefits of staying.

''Around a year ago I was doing some work for a SME organisation in the West Midlands and the M.D. of that organisation was telling me how they’re continually being undercut by cheaper rivals in the EU. He was incredibly frustrated that he was unable to substantially extend his market outside of Europe, particularly into the US due to EU competition & trade rules. His opinion was the EU isn’t a level playing field so saw real opportunities once we left''

Why if this SME is being undercut by a company within the EU wouldn't it be undercut outside the EU also, is the EU the only place to make theses ''widgets''?

Sydney,

The point around EU restrictions around rail renationalisation is fact. The rules imposed by the EU are clear. They don’t allow wholesale nationalisation!! I really don’t know how to put this any other way for you! The examples you have are NOT examples of full nationalisation!

I offered a tangible example of how a business feels that they would benefit by trading outside the EU. I’m sure that there is a possibility that they may be undercut outside the EU too, however, with all due respect to you, I put more credence on their opinion than yours in this matter.

With all due respect you or anyone else having a chat with a moaning business owner wishing things were better or that business would be better ''if only'' is nothing new and does not prove anything.

So I have a chat (admittedly nothing formal, just a quick chat over a coffee) with a business owner who expressed genuine concerns and you simply dismiss this as moaning?

You’ve been keen to mention a few times that nobody has yet given one good reason for leaving the EU...maybe it’s because you’re not listening?
No, it's because over 2 years (and 110 pages here) not you or anyone else has been able to show why leaving would be better option than staying and I will keep asking until someone does, but as I do listen and read I know that will not happen, it's basic first year economics/sales/marketing being within a large wealthy trading block has to be better than being outside. That you or any other individual does not agree does not concern me because if you haven't understood the ramifications for Britain and it's peoples to leave the EU by now you never will. Plenty of people have listened to both sides of the debate and enough are changing their minds to stay, or at least vote on the options.

Recycling misinformation and anecdotes does nothing for a sensible debate and if that's all you have then I wouldn't be putting my money on Britain being a better place following any form of brexit, however if you do feel so inclined I'm sure a bookie somewhere would be happy to relieve you of your hard earned.

Sydney,

You seem to be unwilling to accept anything that contradicts your narrative, so no, you're not listening. You asked for advantages of leaving and I gave you the example of railway nationalisation,  you've produced a number of incorrect assertions in an attempt to prove me wrong. I don't pretend to know very much about the EU, but I do know about rail nationalisation and I know that I'm right. I also gave you a tangible example of a business owner who shared with me their frustrations of EU membership and you dismissed this as moaning. Yep, nice one.

Oh, by the way, virtually the whole debate is based on anecdotal evidence, however I’ve probided first hand anecdotal evidence rather than copying and pasting from a third party.

Just for the record, I do understand the benefits of EU membership. I DO want the UK to maintain close economic ties with the EU and I DO appreciate that the if Brexit isn't delivered correctly then this could cause huge hardships. However,I do object to political union with the EU.

Anyway, here's another advantage of leaving the EU for you. Did you know that the EU sets the minimum limits on VAT that a member state can implement? Up until 2010, the last Labour Goverment unsuccessfully attempted on numerous occasions to reduce the 5% UK VAT level on domestic fuel. EU rules meant that this wasn't possible.

So, now you have two advantages to leaving the EU.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 23, 2018, 05:03:11 pm
However I really hoped that, as a country, we would be brave enough and show the endeavour required to make it a success. But we’re not, nowhere near.

That right there is the real problem - the fact that so many people who voted Brexit actually believe all we have to do is be "brave" and "show endeavour" to make Brexit a success?!?? No plan, no understanding of the economic predicament we are going to find ourselves in, no estimates for the industries that are most likely to be affecting, or which countries we should (already be) peparing to make trade deals with, just be brave dammit!

What garbage.

A complete and utter misrepresentation of my point.

Of course I understand that being "brave" and "showing endeavour aren't enough. The point is Brexit CAN provide unique opportunities for the country. Leaving the EU will enable the UK to expand its economic reach around the world. How on earth can that be bad? The world doesn't end at the EU border.

The problem is that, because we had no plan for Brexit, its extremely difficult to develop a long term vision. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 23, 2018, 08:20:05 pm
''Sydney,
You seem to be unwilling to accept anything that contradicts your narrative, so no, you're not listening. You asked for advantages of leaving and I gave you the example of railway nationalisation,  you've produced a number of incorrect assertions in an attempt to prove me wrong. I don't pretend to know very much about the EU, but I do know about rail nationalisation and I know that I'm right. I also gave you a tangible example of a business owner who shared with me their frustrations of EU membership and you dismissed this as moaning. Yep, nice one.

Oh, by the way, virtually the whole debate is based on anecdotal evidence, however I’ve probided first hand anecdotal evidence rather than copying and pasting from a third party.

Just for the record, I do understand the benefits of EU membership. I DO want the UK to maintain close economic ties with the EU and I DO appreciate that the if Brexit isn't delivered correctly then this could cause huge hardships. However,I do object to political union with the EU.

Anyway, here's another advantage of leaving the EU for you. Did you know that the EU sets the minimum limits on VAT that a member state can implement? Up until 2010, the last Labour Goverment unsuccessfully attempted on numerous occasions to reduce the 5% UK VAT level on domestic fuel. EU rules meant that this wasn't possible.

So, now you have two advantages to leaving the EU.''

I am quoting your last reply HA as you or others may not wish to trawl through endless quotes, your first point in the above can be equally applied to yourself that you yourself are not listening, not watching the 700,000 that marched or the more than 1m that have signed the petition, or the endless stream of business, government and economic experts, far more than the leave side that condemn it, and to again use one of your previous statements, I would rather take their word than yours.

So you have come up with one thing, nationalisation of rail and tell me that the government can't do it, well labor say they can, and again following what I have read about your brexit ideas I am rather inclined to believe them than yourself. And yes I do ask for single credible advantages of leaving the EU, but in itself is a single reason for leaving good enough? that I didn't ask.
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-45609604

Also I would ask that any claim you make about vat or anything to be least be supported by some evidence not just your own words to show good faith in the debate so I and others understand there is some basis for what you say and it's not another ''informal chat'', the source and merits can then be discussed better. You don't have to of course as this has been the modus operandi of brexiters from the beginning to make unsubstantiated claims and to use a lot of emotive but meaningless terms such as regaining sovereignty and independence from the EU, totally ignoring the fact that Britain has been involved with all EU negotiations that lead led to the legislation and regulations that are now in place.

I am assuming you didn't read (I may be incorrect) my link about:

''It started with fake news, but now any unpalatable fact is fair game for the ‘thought incinerator’'

Which tends to support the overwhelming evidence that brexiters of any shape/form have distorted truth and made for more unsubstantiated claims (not necessarily you) that those that wish to stay in the EU and be part of modern Europe and not return to some mythical period where Britain was described as great. There are many sides to that argument too.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/nov/20/brexiteers-trump-language-fake-news

If you get tired of the links I provide I do it partly to show that evidence and opinion coming from credible sources far outweighs anything credible coming from the brexit side of the debate and I give you Treeza May, Boris and Reese-Mogg as examples of providers of brexit discourse, and partly because If I see-hear anything of interest about brexit or whatever I can then try and cross check it from another source.

Warm regards SR




Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 23, 2018, 08:47:35 pm
It doesn’t inspire a lot of confidence in May or her negotiators?, but there again this is the party that has seen unprecedented growth in banks …..food. banks that is. Brought to your suburb by the team that gave us ‘Austerity’, making Britain grate again.

‘’She also refused to say that the deal would be better for the UK than the status quo of EU membership’’

’The prime minister was dealt a fresh blow ahead of the summit when Dominic Raab, who resigned as her Brexit secretary last week, said the proposed exit deal was worse than remaining in the EU’’

‘’The prime minister also refused to say definitively that she believes her Brexit deal is better for the UK than remaining in the EU.
She said: “I honestly believe that I’m getting a good deal for the UK’’

‘’Pressed again on whether she was confident the UK would be better off under the terms of her deal than under EU membership, she said only: “I think we will be better off in a situation, which we’ll have outside the European Union, where we have control of all those things and are able to trade around the rest of the world’’

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/theresa-may-brexit-deal-vote-parliament-resign-bbc-5live-radio-interview-phone-in-a8648916.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 24, 2018, 01:11:34 pm
If Theresa May was to say outright that her brexit deal would be better for the UK than the status quo of EU membership then she'd be equally as guilty of future conjecture as you and your mates on here.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 24, 2018, 11:49:59 pm
If Theresa May was to say outright that her brexit deal would be better for the UK than the status quo of EU membership then she'd be equally as guilty of future conjecture as you and your mates on here.
I'll take that as a comment and reply, if following 2 years of high level negotiations with I presume the best team of negotiators at your disposal and a deal consisting of 500 pages that the government should know inside out and she can't or refuses to tell the people of Britain what the effects of this deal will be she then she needs to resign. There is a deal on the table which has been negotiated, there is or should be modelling and recommendations that has guided the government on what the best course of action is to take and what the likely outcomes will be, and again if the government can't tell us then they should call an election and get a fresh mandate from the people to accept or not the deal on the table.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 25, 2018, 07:50:39 am
If Theresa May was to say outright that her brexit deal would be better for the UK than the status quo of EU membership then she'd be equally as guilty of future conjecture as you and your mates on here.

That was one of the questions she was asked by a caller during her Radio 5 piece on Friday lunchtime and she refused to answer it. Three times. How is your deal better than remaining in the EU? Her final answer was something along the lines of 'I can't say it will be better but it will be different'.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 25, 2018, 08:18:47 am
If Theresa May was to say outright that her brexit deal would be better for the UK than the status quo of EU membership then she'd be equally as guilty of future conjecture as you and your mates on here.

That was one of the questions she was asked by a caller during her Radio 5 piece on Friday lunchtime and she refused to answer it. Three times. How is your deal better than remaining in the EU? Her final answer was something along the lines of 'I can't say it will be better but it will be different'.

What more could she say without guessing?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on November 25, 2018, 09:24:21 am
Dianne abbots take on brexit http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-46315250
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 25, 2018, 10:15:39 am
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 25, 2018, 10:27:25 am
If Theresa May was to say outright that her brexit deal would be better for the UK than the status quo of EU membership then she'd be equally as guilty of future conjecture as you and your mates on here.

That was one of the questions she was asked by a caller during her Radio 5 piece on Friday lunchtime and she refused to answer it. Three times. How is your deal better than remaining in the EU? Her final answer was something along the lines of 'I can't say it will be better but it will be different'.

What more could she say without guessing?

Well she has said for the past 2 years that No Deal is better than a Bad Deal. It is now up to her to tell us why this is a good deal rather than a bad one. She negotiated it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 25, 2018, 10:44:49 am
Yes, it is, though I doubt you'll agree with her no matter what she says.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 25, 2018, 11:53:50 am
Yes, it is, though I doubt you'll agree with her no matter what she says.
All those that support Brexit should be able to examine the deal and match it up with their own shopping list of needs and wants, easy.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 25, 2018, 12:03:34 pm
......And what about those who voted to remain?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 25, 2018, 12:08:20 pm
......And what about those who voted to remain?
That's even easier, there will be nothing they want in the doc ..............mmmm, I wonder which page sovereignty is on.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 25, 2018, 12:10:54 pm
So you're gonna go on and on and on and on and on and on etc instead of getting on with it?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 25, 2018, 12:15:40 pm
......And what about those who voted to remain?
That's even easier, there will be nothing they want in the doc ..............mmmm, I wonder which page sovereignty is on.

I voted remain, but there might be something I want in the doc.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 25, 2018, 02:56:30 pm
Our PM really doesn't know what to do....
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1nX1rSlHU6Q&feature=youtu.be
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on November 25, 2018, 03:13:43 pm
No 1 knows what to do labour are as split as the tories
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 25, 2018, 07:24:17 pm
......And what about those who voted to remain?
That's even easier, there will be nothing they want in the doc ..............mmmm, I wonder which page sovereignty is on.

''I voted remain, but there might be something I want in the doc''
Here you are bb, be my guest, let me know how you go.

https://edition.cnn.com/2018/11/15/uk/brexit-draft-agreement-full-text-gbr-intl/index.html

Oh and there is 585 pages not 500, another brexit lie?. If you do read it then you will be likely to be more informed than anyone in the May cabinet.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 25, 2018, 07:26:02 pm
The last I heard Jezza hadn't read it either!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 25, 2018, 07:29:02 pm
Dianne abbots take on brexit http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-46315250





That doesn’t add up right............a bit like Ms Abbott I guess.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 25, 2018, 07:31:32 pm
Dianne abbots take on brexit http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-46315250
That doesn’t add up right............a bit like Ms Abbott I guess./quote]

It's only one quote from the article.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: foxbat on November 26, 2018, 09:16:20 pm
exactly . remain is the best deal , vote remain and put this farce to bed once and for all. the ' we are better than Europe- because we won the war ' brigade are dying off . vote for the future.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on November 26, 2018, 10:06:04 pm
exactly . remain is the best deal , vote remain and put this farce to bed once and for all. the ' we are better than Europe- because we won the war ' brigade are dying off . vote for the future.
So exactly how old are the "We won the war brigade"?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on November 27, 2018, 08:32:34 am
exactly . remain is the best deal , vote remain and put this farce to bed once and for all. the ' we are better than Europe- because we won the war ' brigade are dying off . vote for the future.

Disgusting comment.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 27, 2018, 09:20:41 am
Mike Harding has replied to TM's open letter to the people....
 
Quote
Dear Mrs May
I am in France having a break having come here on the train all the way from Settle. I just read your letter to me and the rest of Britain wanting us all to unite behind the damp squib you call a deal. Unite? I laughed so much the mouthful of frogs legs I was eating ended up dancing all over the bald head of the bloke on the opposite table.
Your party’s little civil war has divided this country irreparably. The last time this happened Cromwell discontinued the custom of kings wearing their heads on their shoulders.
I had a mother who was of Irish descent, an English father who lies in a Dutch graveyard in the village where his Lancaster bomber fell in flames. I had a Polish stepfather who drove a tank for us in WW2 and I have two half Polish sisters and a half Polish brother who is married to a girl from Donegal.
My two uncles of Irish descent fought for Britain in N Africa and in Burma.
So far you have called us Citizens Of Nowhere and Queue Jumpers. You have now taken away our children and grandchildren’s freedom to travel, settle, live and work in mainland Europe.
You have made this country a vicious and much diminished place. You as Home Sec sent a van round telling foreigners to go home. You said “ illegal” but that was b*llocks as the legally here people of the Windrush generation soon discovered.
Your party has sold off our railways, water, electricity, gas, telecoms, Royal Mail etc until all we have left is the NHS and that is lined up for the US to have as soon as Hannon and Hunt can arrange it
You have lied to the people of this country. You voted Remain yet changed your tune when the chance to grab the job of PM came. You should have sacked those lying bas**rds Gove and Bojo but daren’t because you haven’t the actual power.
You have no answer to the British border on the island of Ireland nor do you know how the Gib border with Spain will work once we are out
Mrs May you have helped to divide this country to such an extent that families and friends are now no longer talking to each other, you have managed to negotiate a deal far worse than the one we had and all to keep together a party of millionaires, Eton Bullingdon boys, spivs and WI harridans. Your party conserves nothing. It has sold everything off in the name of the free market.
You could have kept our industries going with investment and development – Germany managed it. But no – The Free Market won so Sunderland, Barnsley, Hamilton etc could all go to the devil
So Mrs May my answer to your plea for unity is firstly that it is ridiculous.
48% of us will never forgive you for Brexit and secondly, of the 52% that voted for it many will not forgive you for not giving them what your lying comrades like Rees Mogg and Fox promised them.
There are no unicorns, there is no £350 million extra for the NHS. The economy will tank and there will be less taxes to help out the poor. We have 350,000 homeless (not rough sleepers – homeless) in one of the richest countries on Earth and you are about to increase that number with your damn fool Brexit.
The bald man has wiped the frogs legs of his head, I’ve bought him a glass of wine to say sorry; I’m typing this with one finger on my phone in France and I’m tired now and want to stop before my finger gets too tired to join the other one in a sailors salute to you and your squalid Brexit, your shabby xenophobia and Little Englander mentality.
Two fingers to you and your unity from this proud citizen of nowhere. I and roughly half the country will never forgive you or your party.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 27, 2018, 10:56:01 am
exactly . remain is the best deal , vote remain and put this farce to bed once and for all. the ' we are better than Europe- because we won the war ' brigade are dying off . vote for the future.

Disgusting comment.

Oh the irony.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Yargo on November 27, 2018, 11:46:10 am
Ah Treason May has handed over shit loads to the EU in return for Sweet Eff All. Genius, who she put in charge of negotiation, Tony Blair?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on November 27, 2018, 01:37:34 pm
The Europeans hate us and this has been proved by what Treason has got out of the so called negotiations. Absolutely nothing.
We should have told them two years ago that we were off, and if they wanted to carrying dealing with us then it was up to them to come up with something good. However the backstabbers and traitors in Government and Civil service went crawling cap in hand to the EUSSR begging for a deal.
I hope they're all very proud of screwing over our country.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 27, 2018, 01:41:05 pm
Alright Jacob how're you doing?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 27, 2018, 03:41:27 pm
Axholme

"We should have told them two years ago that we were off, and if they wanted to carrying dealing with us then it was up to them to come up with something good."

I'm not sure where you've been for the past two years, but we DID try precisely that approach. The EU's response was to say, "Fine. Give us a call when you've had a chance to get over that particular emotional spasm and have sat down and looked soberly at what the consequences of that would be for you."

It was crystalised perfectly when one of David Davis's backroom staff reportedly had a discussion with an EU opposite number. The UK guy said "The predictions are that if we have a No Deal Brexit, trade between the EU and UK will fall by £60bn. That'll be a disaster." To which, the EU official replied, "Yes. That WILL be a disaster for you with a population of 65million and a GDP of about £2trn. The rest of the EU has a population of nearly half a billion and a GDP of about £12trn. It'll be much less of a disaster for us."

And that is the entire point. You have been weaned on the belief that we are Britain. We are special. We are better than the feckless, bone-idle, cheating wasters over the Channel, and when we threaten to leave, they'll shite it and give us whatever deal we want.

Plot spoiler. They aren't and they won't.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on November 27, 2018, 04:05:00 pm
 We are special. We are better than the feckless, bone-idle, cheating wasters over the Channel, and when we threaten to leave, they'll shite it and give us whatever deal we want.

We are better than a bunch of arrogant square heads backed up by their garlic munching, turn coat friends and numerous tin pot, beetroot soup swigging no-hopers.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 27, 2018, 04:15:49 pm
God f**king help us.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on November 27, 2018, 04:32:21 pm
God f**king help us.

You'd better hope so because no-one else will.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 27, 2018, 04:34:44 pm
Mike Harding has replied to TM's open letter to the people....
 
Quote
Dear Mrs May
I am in France having a break having come here on the train all the way from Settle. I just read your letter to me and the rest of Britain wanting us all to unite behind the damp squib you call a deal. Unite? I laughed so much the mouthful of frogs legs I was eating ended up dancing all over the bald head of the bloke on the opposite table.
Your party’s little civil war has divided this country irreparably. The last time this happened Cromwell discontinued the custom of kings wearing their heads on their shoulders.
I had a mother who was of Irish descent, an English father who lies in a Dutch graveyard in the village where his Lancaster bomber fell in flames. I had a Polish stepfather who drove a tank for us in WW2 and I have two half Polish sisters and a half Polish brother who is married to a girl from Donegal.
My two uncles of Irish descent fought for Britain in N Africa and in Burma.
So far you have called us Citizens Of Nowhere and Queue Jumpers. You have now taken away our children and grandchildren’s freedom to travel, settle, live and work in mainland Europe.
You have made this country a vicious and much diminished place. You as Home Sec sent a van round telling foreigners to go home. You said “ illegal” but that was b*llocks as the legally here people of the Windrush generation soon discovered.
Your party has sold off our railways, water, electricity, gas, telecoms, Royal Mail etc until all we have left is the NHS and that is lined up for the US to have as soon as Hannon and Hunt can arrange it
You have lied to the people of this country. You voted Remain yet changed your tune when the chance to grab the job of PM came. You should have sacked those lying bas**rds Gove and Bojo but daren’t because you haven’t the actual power.
You have no answer to the British border on the island of Ireland nor do you know how the Gib border with Spain will work once we are out
Mrs May you have helped to divide this country to such an extent that families and friends are now no longer talking to each other, you have managed to negotiate a deal far worse than the one we had and all to keep together a party of millionaires, Eton Bullingdon boys, spivs and WI harridans. Your party conserves nothing. It has sold everything off in the name of the free market.
You could have kept our industries going with investment and development – Germany managed it. But no – The Free Market won so Sunderland, Barnsley, Hamilton etc could all go to the devil
So Mrs May my answer to your plea for unity is firstly that it is ridiculous.
48% of us will never forgive you for Brexit and secondly, of the 52% that voted for it many will not forgive you for not giving them what your lying comrades like Rees Mogg and Fox promised them.
There are no unicorns, there is no £350 million extra for the NHS. The economy will tank and there will be less taxes to help out the poor. We have 350,000 homeless (not rough sleepers – homeless) in one of the richest countries on Earth and you are about to increase that number with your damn fool Brexit.
The bald man has wiped the frogs legs of his head, I’ve bought him a glass of wine to say sorry; I’m typing this with one finger on my phone in France and I’m tired now and want to stop before my finger gets too tired to join the other one in a sailors salute to you and your squalid Brexit, your shabby xenophobia and Little Englander mentality.
Two fingers to you and your unity from this proud citizen of nowhere. I and roughly half the country will never forgive you or your party.

That’s excellent to be fair
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 27, 2018, 04:39:32 pm
Oh there's plenty of other folk to help us all.

Like my Italian wife's grandad who left school at 11 and put in 12 hour shifts up to his chest in water dredging drainage channels on farms so he could earn enough for his son to go to University and then work in London as a research chemist in the NHS.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 27, 2018, 04:49:56 pm
We are special. We are better than the feckless, bone-idle, cheating wasters over the Channel, and when we threaten to leave, they'll shite it and give us whatever deal we want.

We are better than a bunch of arrogant square heads backed up by their garlic munching, turn coat friends and numerous tin pot, beetroot soup swigging no-hopers.

Axholme,

We’re not better than anyone! If we were we’d have leaders who’d be able to negotiate a deal that would maintain our economic ties with the EU whilst freeing us from the political control of Brussels! However, we haven’t! This deal will take us backwards and make us worse off! The EU were always going to make it as difficult as possible to leave and they’ve run circles around us! I’m afraid that the only sensible option now is to stay.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 27, 2018, 05:04:15 pm
HA.

Once again, the EU has been straight down the line from the start. They have said that we CAN have a trade deal that benefits us, but it comes with conditions attached, namely that, if we want the benefits, we have to make sure that Brexit doesn't unduly affect EU countries.

That's not "running circle around us". It's merely setting out the conditions of negotiation and sticking to them. That was entirely predictable before June 2016, except for those folk who told us that we would hold the whip hand in negotiations and have the EU begging us for a deal.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 27, 2018, 06:14:22 pm
HA.

Once again, the EU has been straight down the line from the start. They have said that we CAN have a trade deal that benefits us, but it comes with conditions attached, namely that, if we want the benefits, we have to make sure that Brexit doesn't unduly affect EU countries.

That's not "running circle around us". It's merely setting out the conditions of negotiation and sticking to them. That was entirely predictable before June 2016, except for those folk who told us that we would hold the whip hand in negotiations and have the EU begging us for a deal.

Billy,

Throughout the negotiations the EU have maintained a very, very tough stance. Do you remember what one of the first things they did following the vote? They forbid any member nation from speaking to the U.K. regarding future individual trade agreements outside of the EU, despite The Netherlands and Italy expressing a desire to do so. I’m fact, they’ve not allowed any discussion on trade until the ‘divorce’ is sorted. Additionally, the EU threatend to throw the UK out of the Galileo Sat Nav project, despite us investing over £1bn into the scheme! They were also prepared to exclude the U.K. from the European Arrest Warrant scheme if we didn’t acquiesce to their demands! So, yes they have been running circles around us by maintaining such a tough stance.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 27, 2018, 06:41:37 pm
HA

I may be wrong about this, but my understanding is that it was written into the Galileo agreement that third-party countries were not allowed access to security-critical aspects of the project.

We want to be a third-party country. And we wanted those clauses not to apply to us.

Regarding negotiating with individual countries, what do you expect? Brexit supporters had crowed about how they would play divide and rule by making deals with individual countries on beneficial terms to us, and weaken the collective EU negotiating position. If the EU proved stronger than that, whose fault is that?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 27, 2018, 07:22:20 pm
Billy,

No you’re not wrong, you’re absolutely spot on regarding Galileo. However, as with most things with Brexit it’s far more complicated. The UK has played an integral part in the design and development of Galileo as well as contributing a significant amount towards the funding. It’s success is also reliant on access to UK sensor stations in the South Atlantic.

The Commission took a very robust view of UK exclusion from the project where, we would be significant contributors but not be able to benefit from using it! Numerous countries including The Netherlands, Spain and even France were unhappy with the EU approach and have encouraged the EU to maintain closer ties with the U.K. in the meantime Australia are waiting in the wings to work with the UK on a rival project should the issue not be resolved.

Now, I’m sure that even you would agree that this is an entirely unreasonable action by the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 27, 2018, 07:29:00 pm
We are special. We are better than the feckless, bone-idle, cheating wasters over the Channel, and when we threaten to leave, they'll shite it and give us whatever deal we want.

We are better than a bunch of arrogant square heads backed up by their garlic munching, turn coat friends and numerous tin pot, beetroot soup swigging no-hopers.

This from the man who came out with 'Disgusting comment' above.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 27, 2018, 11:35:19 pm
HA

Ok. I'll take the Galileo issue as a piece of hard bargaining.

As far as stopping us negotiating independently with other countries, maybe the EU were doing us a favour...

https://mobile.twitter.com/davidschneider/status/1067433184130809859?s=19
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 28, 2018, 01:23:04 am
I really do not understand the constant squealing coming from those that want to resign their membership of the club but still want to buy cheap beer over the bar and have their kids go to the xmas party.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 28, 2018, 03:44:48 am
HA

Ok. I'll take the Galileo issue as a piece of hard bargaining.

As far as stopping us negotiating independently with other countries, maybe the EU were doing us a favour...

https://mobile.twitter.com/davidschneider/status/1067433184130809859?s=19

Billy,

One mans hard bargaining could be another mans petty points scoring in this case.

And regarding the independent negotiations, yes I do take your point in this case...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 28, 2018, 03:51:16 am
I really do not understand the constant squealing coming from those that want to resign their membership of the club but still want to buy cheap beer over the bar and have their kids go to the xmas party.

Sydney,

Who’s squealing? I’m merely trying to point out that the EU isn’t the glorious utopia that you, and others, are claiming it is!

Using your Club analogy, I’m all for a club where we enjoy ‘cheap beer’ but I don’t want to be part of a club that tells me what to drink and how much.


Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 28, 2018, 10:20:34 am
I really do not understand the constant squealing coming from those that want to resign their membership of the club but still want to buy cheap beer over the bar and have their kids go to the xmas party.

Sydney,

Who’s squealing? I’m merely trying to point out that the EU isn’t the glorious utopia that you, and others, are claiming it is!

Using your Club analogy, I’m all for a club where we enjoy ‘cheap beer’ but I don’t want to be part of a club that tells me what to drink and how much.
Well I think you're going to have to give up the cheap beer bit as well, because as the gdp continues to plummet in comparison to other countries that retain their membership the money will have to come from somewhere. Austerity has only worked for those able to enjoy generous tax cuts and I don't see any other plans plans except some vague notion of dealing with the ''free world'' because the deal being offered pleases no one. How are this governments best negotiators going to get these better trade deals when after two years they are still at first base with brexit. And why have they been unable to get a deal from the EU that is considered a good deal? the answer is easy, think about it for a minute and have us swap places with any of the other 27 countries, if the shoe, boot or clog was on the other foot would we let another country cash in their membership and still be happy for them to get cheap beer and let their kids go to the xmas party?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 28, 2018, 11:01:59 am
Philip Hammond: Brexit will leave UK economy worse off

All forms of Brexit will make the UK worse off but Theresa May's plan is the best available, says Philip Hammond.

Analysis of the prime minister's Brexit deal shows the economy will be "slightly smaller" after 15 years, he told BBC Radio 4's Today programme.

The Treasury will set out various scenarios - with the Daily Telegraph saying it will predict £150bn in lost output over 15 years under no deal - compared with if the UK stayed in the EU - with Theresa May's plan costing £40bn.

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46366162

With the best plan Britain loses 40 billion (est) ????
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 28, 2018, 12:00:44 pm
I really do not understand the constant squealing coming from those that want to resign their membership of the club but still want to buy cheap beer over the bar and have their kids go to the xmas party.

Sydney,

Who’s squealing? I’m merely trying to point out that the EU isn’t the glorious utopia that you, and others, are claiming it is!

Using your Club analogy, I’m all for a club where we enjoy ‘cheap beer’ but I don’t want to be part of a club that tells me what to drink and how much.
Well I think you're going to have to give up the cheap beer bit as well, because as the gdp continues to plummet in comparison to other countries that retain their membership the money will have to come from somewhere. Austerity has only worked for those able to enjoy generous tax cuts and I don't see any other plans plans except some vague notion of dealing with the ''free world'' because the deal being offered pleases no one. How are this governments best negotiators going to get these better trade deals when after two years they are still at first base with brexit. And why have they been unable to get a deal from the EU that is considered a good deal? the answer is easy, think about it for a minute and have us swap places with any of the other 27 countries, if the shoe, boot or clog was on the other foot would we let another country cash in their membership and still be happy for them to get cheap beer and let their kids go to the xmas party?






So, as I have asked on here before, who has got a better Brexit plan that the EU would accept.
If there was a change of government, would say. Labour, be able to get a better deal?
Would the other nations let us cash in our membership and still have the benefit of dealing with them to our advantage?
If I remember correctly, didn’t TM vote to remain in the EU.
In her position as PM she is now doing her job of trying to get the best she can because the vote went the way it did.
Would a different PM or Party have been able to achieve better?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 28, 2018, 12:28:56 pm
That is shocking reporting by the BBC. Totally misrepresents the facts.

The forecast is NOT that No Deal leaves us £150bn worse off after 15 years. It is that GDP will be £150bn lower.

The BBC article suggests that we would lose £150bn of wealth. Full stop. But the figures say we would, by that time, be losing £150bn EVERY YEAR!

That is the entire NHS and Defence budgets. Gone. Permanently.

Absolute f**king stupidity to even countenance a situation like that, never mind actively want it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 28, 2018, 12:32:05 pm
That is shocking reporting by the BBC. Totally misrepresents the facts.

The forecast is NOT that No Deal leaves us £150bn worse off after 15 years. It is that GDP will be £150bn lower.

The BBC article suggests that we would lose £150bn of wealth. Full stop. But the figures say we would, by that time, be losing £150bn EVERY YEAR!

That is the entire NHS and Defence budgets. Gone. Permanently.

Absolute f**king stupidity to even countenance a situation like that, never mind actively want it.






But, as my previous post asks, what alternative has anyone else put forward and who can deliver something better that the EU would accept.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on November 28, 2018, 12:32:55 pm
Would a different PM or Party have been able to achieve better?

I don't think anyone would, because there is no better economic plan than staying in the largest trading bloc in the world FFS!

The state of politics is disgusting; no-one in Government dares speak the truth and admit staying in the EU is the best option because they are scared they will lose their seat in the next election. We're talking about the FACT we will lose billions a year for the next decade (at least), all for the potential to do trading deals with other countries (which no-one wants to name yet?) and we'll be able to stop a few thousand european immigrants moving here. It's a f**king shit show.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 28, 2018, 12:36:10 pm
Would a different PM or Party have been able to achieve better?

I don't think anyone would, because there is no better economic plan than staying in the largest trading bloc in the world FFS!

The state of politics is disgusting; no-one in Government dares speak the truth and admit staying in the EU is the best option because they are scared they will lose their seat in the next election. We're talking about the FACT we will lose billions a year for the next decade (at least), all for the potential to do trading deals with other countries (which no-one wants to name yet?) and we'll be able to stop a few thousand european immigrants moving here. It's a f**king shit show.






At last, someone who agrees with me and isn’t afraid to say so.
It isn’t just the government that is disgusting though bjw  is it, it is all parties.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on November 28, 2018, 12:38:59 pm
At last, someone who agrees with me and isn’t afraid to say so.
It isn’t just the government that is disgusting though bjw  is it, it is all parties.

It's frustrating that Labour haven't backed remain or the people's vote yet (although some individual MP's have); again because certain politicians are looking after themselves first. I won't include JC in that because he is actually sticking to the same story he's had for decades, although he should at least come out and admit leaving now is a bad idea.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: big fat yorkshire pudding on November 28, 2018, 01:07:39 pm
At last, someone who agrees with me and isn’t afraid to say so.
It isn’t just the government that is disgusting though bjw  is it, it is all parties.

It's frustrating that Labour haven't backed remain or the people's vote yet (although some individual MP's have); again because certain politicians are looking after themselves first. I won't include JC in that because he is actually sticking to the same story he's had for decades, although he should at least come out and admit leaving now is a bad idea.

He won't though, I suspect the comments of his brother more closely match his real thoughts.

But it's a situation no main party can get to grips with as there are opposing opinions on either side.

Of course measuring the reduced GDP is a very subjective thing and the leavers will jump on that.  It's nigh on impossible to say what would or could happen in another situation hence it will always be an estimate.  People will mostly notice what is lost, not what is not gained through growth.  No doubt when all is done the analysis of the real situation will differ to this forecast - it always does.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 28, 2018, 03:03:06 pm
Absolutely, the forecasts of effect on GDP are estimates, but they are based on solid economic theory and practical findings.

If you make it more difficult to trade with a large, rich, advanced economic group on your doorstep, you are deliberately choosing to make yourself less efficient and less wealthy. That is what we are doing and that is what the forecasts are predicting.

Raab and the rest of the Brexiteers are already calling these forecasts Project Fear as of course they will. But once again, they are putting nothing whatsoever forward to counter them, other than flag-waving and shouting "We're British! We're special! We will be world leaders once we get out and trade with the rest of the world."

That ignores two facts.

1) The Govt forecasts are already factoring in the benefits of improved trade with the rest of the world. The BBC economics editor says they forecasts make "heroic" assumptions on how quickly we could secure beneficial deals with the USA and China ("heroic" being a diplomatic way of saying "utterly unrealistically optimistic"). And the forecast say that this will imporve our GDP by...wait for it... wait for it...0.2% of GDP.

2) We have experience of the effect of being outside the European trading bloc. We were outside from 1955 to 1975. During that time, the economies of France, West Germany and Italy all moved from being much smaller than ours to being bigger or as big as ours. They grew rapidly. We grew slowly. From 1975 to 2010 (until the lunacy of Austerity) our economy grew faster than any of those three countries.

We're now choosing to go back to where we were before. And choosing to put ourselves onto a slower growth path than the rest of Europe. It is boneheaded stupidity, and the result of two generations of Little Englanders on the Right and in the media (and a few flat-earth far-left numbskulls) telling us that all our problems are due to Europe.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 28, 2018, 03:05:13 pm
But.

This is all far from over.

There's little chance of May getting the deal through Parliament. She's insisting that if she doesn't, the only alternative is a No Deal Brexit. That will not happen. The Tory party is already making plans for what to do when she is humiliated in the Parliamentary vote in a fortnight. The whispers at the moment are that they will knife her, put the process on hold and have a second referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on November 28, 2018, 04:04:21 pm
Why not cut to the chase now and instead of 6 days of Debate and then a Vote - have those MPs who have no intention of voting for this Agreement show their displeasure by not attanding the First Debate

There may be only 150 or so MPs there - and that should tell HER that this is a complete waste of time and will not succeed in getting a "Yes" from Parliament and a Meaningful Vote could be held there and then ***


*** Well it could be held once the supposed majority of MPs that hate it drift back in and vote
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on November 28, 2018, 04:44:48 pm
I'm glad to see that we are now to have on offer the relief of a frictionless Brexit.
 
There does however seem a slight logical disconnect between Maybot's national you-will-be-persuaded tour and 'no, you can't have another vote about it'.

Strangely, the media pack do not seem to realise that these positions are incompatible.

I have given up the will to live over Treeza and her reptilian retinue.
Once the HoC reject her dogs dinner, presumably the grim reapers from 1922 will have finished edging their blade.

Corbyn has played a blinder by doing nowt.
Getting involved takes the heat off the Maybot, and Labour needs to avoid alienating potential voters from both sides of the fence.

Better to wait for Treez to douse herself in a highly flammable toxic policy, rely on her innate stubbornness to dig in, then let the Tory plotters light the blue touchpaper!

Sit back and enjoy!
After all, you are paying for it....through the nose!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 28, 2018, 04:45:33 pm
By the way. Once May has been dispensed with, this will be used as the training video for the Johnson, Raab, Gove and Rees-Mogg campaigns.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1067364193907744768
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 28, 2018, 05:07:26 pm
But.

This is all far from over.

There's little chance of May getting the deal through Parliament. She's insisting that if she doesn't, the only alternative is a No Deal Brexit. That will not happen. The Tory party is already making plans for what to do when she is humiliated in the Parliamentary vote in a fortnight. The whispers at the moment are that they will knife her, put the process on hold and have a second referendum.






..........and it isn’t so long ago that I was being told by someone on here that there was no chance of a second referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 28, 2018, 05:12:06 pm
Just a slight addenda to the above. The forecasts released this morning, which have been very badly reported by the BBC, do not show a modelling of the deal May agreed at the weekend. They show her Chequer's deal.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/nov/28/pmqs-brexit-analysis-is-meaningless-corbyn-tells-may
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 28, 2018, 05:19:32 pm
But.

This is all far from over.

There's little chance of May getting the deal through Parliament. She's insisting that if she doesn't, the only alternative is a No Deal Brexit. That will not happen. The Tory party is already making plans for what to do when she is humiliated in the Parliamentary vote in a fortnight. The whispers at the moment are that they will knife her, put the process on hold and have a second referendum.






..........and it isn’t so long ago that I was being told by someone on here that there was no chance of a second referendum.

Well they were wrong then. There was always a chance of a second referendum. All it needs is a situations where the Govt see it as the least bad alternative.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on November 28, 2018, 06:07:35 pm
The latest news confirms what BST has been banging on about for months.
ALL options for leaving the EU range from bad to disasterous.
We need another vote when hopefully the electorate will come to their senses and overturn the 2016 debacle.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: i_ateallthepies on November 28, 2018, 06:20:49 pm
But.

This is all far from over.

There's little chance of May getting the deal through Parliament. She's insisting that if she doesn't, the only alternative is a No Deal Brexit. That will not happen. The Tory party is already making plans for what to do when she is humiliated in the Parliamentary vote in a fortnight. The whispers at the moment are that they will knife her, put the process on hold and have a second referendum.

I so much hope it does happen BST, but if it does we Remainers need to get off our arses and VOTE!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 28, 2018, 06:51:16 pm
The point is that it is now unarguable that the Leave case in 2016 was utter nonsense.

We were told that we could have all the benefits of trade with the EU and none of the disadvantages.

We were told that the EU would be pleading with us to cut a deal.

We were told that we would be better off outside.

That was the central theme of the Leave campaign. And every single bit of it is now demonstrably wrong.

Anyone who says that there is no case for revisiting the decision doesn't really believe in democracy.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 28, 2018, 06:57:36 pm
I think that there will be another vote, and have done for a while. I think that remain will win and that this will create an unholy storm of trouble that will make where we are now look like a walk in the park.

There is absolutely no way on earth the Brexit side will simply disappear. There are EU elections in 2019 and their support will be galvanised by any betrayal on the 2016 result. If (and it’s a big if) we have a political party that commits to fully leaving the EU they will gain lots of seats in the European Parliament and cause chaos.

Another vote isn’t going to make this go away. Instead we’re going to have the OTHER half of the country pissed off.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 28, 2018, 07:03:35 pm
The point is that it is now unarguable that the Leave case in 2016 was utter nonsense.

We were told that we could have all the benefits of trade with the EU and none of the disadvantages.

We were told that the EU would be pleading with us to cut a deal.

We were told that we would be better off outside.

That was the central theme of the Leave campaign. And every single bit of it is now demonstrably wrong.

Anyone who says that there is no case for revisiting the decision doesn't really believe in democracy.

IF there is a second vote, the remain side need to convince partial Euro Sceptics such as me of the advantages of staying in the EU. They monumentally screwed up last time. I don’t want to stay in the EU because it’s the best of a bad lot. I want to understand exactly how the EU benefits every man, woman and child in the UK, not just economically but politically.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 28, 2018, 07:23:02 pm
HA

The advantages are there in today's report. Something between £200bn and £1trn extra economic growth over the next 15 years.

It's blindingly obvious.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 28, 2018, 07:25:49 pm
HA

The advantages are there in today's report. Something between £200bn and £1trn extra economic growth over the next 15 years.

It's blindingly obvious.
Why are you so concerned about protecting banks and big business? Which would stand to lose the most.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 28, 2018, 07:30:24 pm
Politically, there is the historical fact that Europe (including the UK) has been a horrifically dangerous place when nations are in opposition.  The whole purpose of the European project has been to make people realise that jaw-jaw is better than war-war. Working and trading together, and ceding a bit of your right to act as you damn well please is a better environment than trying to do down your neighbours.

Then there's the other point that  I've pointed out numerous times.

Democracy is not a given.

Within living memory, the following countries have been ruled by dictatorships.

France
Spain
Portugal
Italy
Croatia
Slovenia
Austria
Germany
Belgium
Netherlands
Denmark
Poland
Hungary
Lithuania
Latvia
Estonia
Bulgaria
Romania
Greece.

The following countries have experienced military invasion or civil war within living memory.

UK
Spain
France
Italy
Austria
Germany
Netherlands
Belgium
Denmark
Poland
Lithuania
Latvia
Estonia
Croatia
Slovenia
Romania
Bulgaria
Hungary
Greece
Cyprus

It is currently unthinkable for most of those countries to go back to dictatorships and a major part of that is the requirements of the EU.

I don't want to live in a continent where democracy is weak and countries fight with each other.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 28, 2018, 07:37:39 pm
BS

Why do I feel like I'm on a hamster wheel?

I don't want to live in a country where banks and big business lose £200bn-£1trn of wealth. Because the effect of that will be utterly catastrophic for everyone in the country.

I don't know where this world is that you live in where ordinary people are magically insulated from what happens to Barclays Bank and Nissan, but if you have the directions, please pass them on.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 28, 2018, 07:53:49 pm
Be fun in meetings between McDonnell and Corbyn tonight.

https://amp.theguardian.com/politics/2018/nov/28/labour-seize-second-brexit-vote-option-john-mcdonnell?__twitter_impression=true

I've been impressed by McDonnell over the past year. He has frequently but diplomatically told Corbyn over the past year that his, and Seamus Milne's student politics obsessions are not going to get in the way of Labour developing sensible strategic policies.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 28, 2018, 08:06:55 pm
The latest news confirms what BST has been banging on about for months.
ALL options for leaving the EU range from bad to disasterous.
We need another vote when hopefully the electorate will come to their senses and overturn the 2016 debacle.





Tommy, “ALL options for leaving the EU range from bad to disastrous”.

BST may have been banging on about that for some time but are you really surprised and did you need him to tell you that.

I voted to remain just because of that.


The thing I have asked is, if the outcome of a second vote turns out to be Leave yet again, just where does that put things.
We would be no further forward than we are now, would we?

I still wait in vain for someone to put forward an alternative Brexit deal, that will in fact be accepted by the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 28, 2018, 08:11:04 pm
Hound

That's precisely the point.

There IS no Brexit deal which combines:
1) Us leaving the EU
2) Us being economically no worse off
3) EU acceptance.

Those three things are mutually incompatible. That was clear from before the referendum, but Leave voters were promised some magical world in which inconvenient facts like that evaporated.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 28, 2018, 08:15:30 pm
Hound

That's precisely the point.

There IS no Brexit deal which combines:
1) Us leaving the EU
2) Us being economically no worse off
3) EU acceptance.

Those three things are mutually incompatible. That was clear from before the referendum, but Leave voters were promised some magical world in which inconvenient facts like that evaporated.





But, what happens then if the vote still ends in another leave victory.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 28, 2018, 08:21:53 pm
If we vote Leave in full knowledge of the real consequences, not the bullshit that was spun in 2016, then I for one would accept that as the decision of the country.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 28, 2018, 08:25:20 pm
If we vote Leave in full knowledge of the real consequences, not the bullshit that was spun in 2016, then I for one would accept that as the decision of the country.






We would have to, BUT as I keep asking, what would happen with regards to with a deal or without a deal.
That situation would be exactly where we are now as far as I can see.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 28, 2018, 08:28:01 pm
We'd be economically hammered. But we'd have made the decision in the full knowledge that we'd be economically hammered.

If people choose to leave the EU in the knowledge of what the consequences will be, that's democracy.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 28, 2018, 08:32:27 pm
We'd be economically hammered. But we'd have made the decision in the full knowledge that we'd be economically hammered.

If people choose to leave the EU in the knowledge of what the consequences will be, that's democracy.





Agreed, again.
But, the government would still have to make a decision on leave with or without a deal and whoever is in charge will have to make that decision and get hammered by everyone else.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: scawsby steve on November 28, 2018, 08:36:25 pm
There's only one person responsible for this whole sorry mess, and that's David Cameron; he called an unnecessary referendum to fuel his own ego, because he was certain that Remain would win; when the result went against him, he just turned round and f*cked off.

There will be another vote, and Remain will win. Then just wait for the water cannons.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 28, 2018, 08:39:24 pm
Which is why the referendum should be a 3-option one with a transferrable vote.

Do you want to:
a)Leave with No Deal
b) Leave with May's Deal
c) Remain

You put a 1 by your first choice and a 2 by your second.

All the 1s are added up and the option in third place rejected. Then all the people who voted 1 for the third placed option have their "2" votes reallocated to the other two options. Whichever one of those then wins is the final decision, to be implemented by Parliament.

THAT is democracy. It's easy and unambiguous.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 28, 2018, 08:40:54 pm
There's only one person responsible for this whole sorry mess, and that's David Cameron; he called an unnecessary referendum to fuel his own ego, because he was certain that Remain would win; when the result went against him, he just turned round and f*cked off.

There will be another vote, and Remain will win. Then just wait for the water cannons.






That is (the Cameron thing) quite true Steve.
I wouldn’t be too sure that Remain will win though mate.
I thought that last time.
BST says that all remainers should get up and vote but don’t forget that the leave campaigners will be telling people to get up and vote leave.

It will probably be quite a big turnout this time instead of the apathetic one last time.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 28, 2018, 08:44:38 pm
Scawsby

He didn't do it for ego reasons.

He did it because he was spooked by the Euro-sceptic threat to his right wing.

The Euro-sceptic threat to his right was because of the rise of UKIP.

The rise of UKIP ties in exactly with the stagnation of living standards that came from Austerity.

Cameron chose to pursue Austerity because it helped him nearly win the GE in 2010.

He was an absolute car crash of a PM who has f**ked this country, first economically through Austerity, then socially through the divisions that Brexit has amplified. His reputation will be shredded by historians.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 28, 2018, 08:45:12 pm
Which is why the referendum should be a 3-option one with a transferrable vote.

Do you want to:
a)Leave with No Deal
b) Leave with May's Deal
c) Remain

You put a 1 by your first choice and a 2 by your second.

All the 1s are added up and the option in third place rejected. Then all the people who voted 1 for the third placed option have their "2" votes reallocated to the other two options. Whichever one of those then wins is the final decision, to be implemented by Parliament.

THAT is democracy. It's easy and unambiguous.




Billy, that is a very good option, except that the majority of voters wouldn’t have a clue whether no deal or Mays deal is the best option.
Anyone who watches the news or reads a paper has one side telling us how good one option is best while the other side tells us the polar opposite.
The general public has no idea who to believe.

A bit like the original leave or remain vote really.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: scawsby steve on November 28, 2018, 08:48:41 pm
There's only one person responsible for this whole sorry mess, and that's David Cameron; he called an unnecessary referendum to fuel his own ego, because he was certain that Remain would win; when the result went against him, he just turned round and f*cked off.

There will be another vote, and Remain will win. Then just wait for the water cannons.






That is (the Cameron thing) quite true Steve.
I wouldn’t be too sure that Remain will win though mate.
I thought that last time.
BST says that all remainders should get up and vote but don’t forget that the leave campaigners will be telling people to get up and vote leave.

It will probably be quite a big turnout this time instead of the apathetic one last time.

I might be completely wrong here Hound, but wasn't there a high turnout for the referendum?.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 28, 2018, 09:03:24 pm
Politically, there is the historical fact that Europe (including the UK) has been a horrifically dangerous place when nations are in opposition.  The whole purpose of the European project has been to make people realise that jaw-jaw is better than war-war. Working and trading together, and ceding a bit of your right to act as you damn well please is a better environment than trying to do down your neighbours.

Then there's the other point that  I've pointed out numerous times.

Democracy is not a given.

Within living memory, the following countries have been ruled by dictatorships.

France
Spain
Portugal
Italy
Croatia
Slovenia
Austria
Germany
Belgium
Netherlands
Denmark
Poland
Hungary
Lithuania
Latvia
Estonia
Bulgaria
Romania
Greece.

The following countries have experienced military invasion or civil war within living memory.

UK
Spain
France
Italy
Austria
Germany
Netherlands
Belgium
Denmark
Poland
Lithuania
Latvia
Estonia
Croatia
Slovenia
Romania
Bulgaria
Hungary
Greece
Cyprus

It is currently unthinkable for most of those countries to go back to dictatorships and a major part of that is the requirements of the EU.

I don't want to live in a continent where democracy is weak and countries fight with each other.

Billy,

Countries will rarely, if ever, go to war when they have strong economic relationships, that's a given. However, the whole EU has delivered peace in Europe piece is significantly over stated.

Look at some facts:

The Treaty of Rome wasn't created until 12 years after the end of WW2, so if European nations were straining at the leash for conflict until the EU came along, how come there was no war during this 12 year period?

In 1957 only 6 out of over 30 nations in Europe became members of the EU and membership has increased incrementally over time. By 1973 there were only 9 members, 10 by 1981 and 12 by 1986. So, with only minority European membership, how did the EU prevent war?

The reason that we've not had a war is primarily because of the cold war standoff between the Warsaw pact and NATO alliance and NOT because of the EU

Also, the EU proved utterly ineffective in stopping the war in the Balkans in the 90's. In fact it was only after the USA and the UK stepped in that peace was restored.

So, in any future referendum, how would you like to see the remain camp promote the benefits of political influence within individual nations? For example, how do you believe that the UK and its population benefits from the EU controlling VAT limits?


Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 28, 2018, 09:05:54 pm
There's only one person responsible for this whole sorry mess, and that's David Cameron; he called an unnecessary referendum to fuel his own ego, because he was certain that Remain would win; when the result went against him, he just turned round and f*cked off.

There will be another vote, and Remain will win. Then just wait for the water cannons.






That is (the Cameron thing) quite true Steve.
I wouldn’t be too sure that Remain will win though mate.
I thought that last time.
BST says that all remainders should get up and vote but don’t forget that the leave campaigners will be telling people to get up and vote leave.

It will probably be quite a big turnout this time instead of the apathetic one last time.

I might be completely wrong here Hound, but wasn't there a high turnout for the referendum?.






28% of registered voters, that is approx 13million people, didn’t bother to vote.
The leave margin of victory was just 1,269,501.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 28, 2018, 09:23:32 pm
HA

Your argument is getting confused. You're setting up straw men.

1) No-one said that the original Treaty of Rome countries were straining at the leash to go to war between 45 and 57. The cementing of the countries into a union was always intended to make it much less likely over the long run that they would go to war.

2) The countries of Yugoslavia weren't in the EU when they disintegrated into civil war. That is kind of the point. It is inconceivable now that Croatia would go to war with Serbia or Bosnia, because the EU would act as a restraining force.

3) Look at how recent democracy is to many European countries. Greece, Spain and Portugal were ruled by fascist military dictatorships only a decade or less before they joined the EU. NATO membership didn't stop that. A reversion to that condition now is unthinkable, again, because the EU demands democratic systems.

4) The Cold War ended nearly 30 years ago. So the idea that the stand-off between NATO and the WP was the guarantor of peace is a bit out of  date.

There's been three decades of post Cold War peace in Western Europe. No fighting. No revolutions. No military coups. Not only that, but it's nigh in inconceivable that fighting will recommence in the medium term future.

Look back through history at how rarely we've had periods of peace and stability of half a century in Western Europe. It's obtuse not to give a great deal of the credit for that to the binding together of countries that the EU has facilitated.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 28, 2018, 10:18:41 pm
HA

Your argument is getting confused. You're setting up straw men.

1) No-one said that the original Treaty of Rome countries were straining at the leash to go to war between 45 and 57. The cementing of the countries into a union was always intended to make it much less likely over the long run that they would go to war.

2) The countries of Yugoslavia weren't in the EU when they disintegrated into civil war. That is kind of the point. It is inconceivable now that Croatia would go to war with Serbia or Bosnia, because the EU would act as a restraining force.

3) Look at how recent democracy is to many European countries. Greece, Spain and Portugal were ruled by fascist military dictatorships only a decade or less before they joined the EU. NATO membership didn't stop that. A reversion to that condition now is unthinkable, again, because the EU demands democratic systems.

4) The Cold War ended nearly 30 years ago. So the idea that the stand-off between NATO and the WP was the guarantor of peace is a bit out of  date.

There's been three decades of post Cold War peace in Western Europe. No fighting. No revolutions. No military coups. Not only that, but it's nigh in inconceivable that fighting will recommence in the medium term future.

Look back through history at how rarely we've had periods of peace and stability of half a century in Western Europe. It's obtuse not to give a great deal of the credit for that to the binding together of countries that the EU has facilitated.

Billy,

I’m not sure how my point is getting confused , but I’ll try again.

Ok, I’ll go with the fact that there’s been no dictatorships in Europe since the creation of the EU.

Regarding peace in Europe, I’m sure we both agree that there’s been no conflict in much of the continent since 1945. However, where I’m confused is how the EU can take credit for this when for much of the period since 1945, the majority of countries in Europe haven’t been members!

I’m aware that the Cold War ended 30 years ago, but for almost all of the 2nd half of the 20th Century that is what prevented war in Europe and not the EU!

Also, how about my point regarding political influence inside member states?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 28, 2018, 10:39:57 pm
HA

You were asking for a positive political message about the EU, so if you don't mind, I'm going to stick on topic and not get sidetracked into the much broader question of political influence.

There were brutal civil wars in Yugoslavia and (to a lesser extent) Cyprus in the second half of the 20th century. None of the participants were in the EU at the time. NATO existed and its existence did nothing to prevent those wars from occuring. My point is that it is inconceivable that there would be civil wars or Inter-country wars in or between countries that ARE NOW members of the EU.

Similarly, the presence of NATO forces in Europe and the discipline of the Cold War did nothing to stop the Iberian peninsula being governed by fascist dictators up to the 1970s. Nor did it prevent a military coup d'etat in Greece.

It is inconceivable that any EU country would now see democracy collapse(*), and that is in large part due to discipline that membership of the EU imposes. It's one obvious reason why Turkey under Erdogan will never join the EU, despite the bald lies that the Leave campaign quietly pumped into vulnerable people's social media feeds in 2016.

And none of that covers the two FAR bigger issues. That the really dangerous historical fault lines in Europe have been between UK, France, Germany and Russia. The EU (and NATO, of course) has been instrumental in binding three if those together against the changing threat of the fourth. Why do you think Putin has invested so much time, money and effort in supporting anti-EU forces in the UK, France, Hungary, Poland, Italy...

That final point is the overwhelming political positive of the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 29, 2018, 02:01:39 am
So apart from reducing the possibility of member states going to war a better economy easier travel and improved working conditions and human rights what is the point of the
EU?

Seriously, can anyone please tell me why they voted out, what they were expecting and what will change their lives so much that they would be willing to risk any of the above to leave? even if you don't benefit personally think of the benefits to your fellow men/women.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 29, 2018, 09:41:53 am
HA

You were asking for a positive political message about the EU, so if you don't mind, I'm going to stick on topic and not get sidetracked into the much broader question of political influence.

There were brutal civil wars in Yugoslavia and (to a lesser extent) Cyprus in the second half of the 20th century. None of the participants were in the EU at the time. NATO existed and its existence did nothing to prevent those wars from occuring. My point is that it is inconceivable that there would be civil wars or Inter-country wars in or between countries that ARE NOW members of the EU.

Similarly, the presence of NATO forces in Europe and the discipline of the Cold War did nothing to stop the Iberian peninsula being governed by fascist dictators up to the 1970s. Nor did it prevent a military coup d'etat in Greece.

It is inconceivable that any EU country would now see democracy collapse(*), and that is in large part due to discipline that membership of the EU imposes. It's one obvious reason why Turkey under Erdogan will never join the EU, despite the bald lies that the Leave campaign quietly pumped into vulnerable people's social media feeds in 2016.

And none of that covers the two FAR bigger issues. That the really dangerous historical fault lines in Europe have been between UK, France, Germany and Russia. The EU (and NATO, of course) has been instrumental in binding three if those together against the changing threat of the fourth. Why do you think Putin has invested so much time, money and effort in supporting anti-EU forces in the UK, France, Hungary, Poland, Italy...

That final point is the overwhelming political positive of the EU.

Billy,

As I stated earlier, its a given that nations that have economic interests in each other will tend to avoid conflict.

NATO may not have prevented the Balkan War, but DID (well us and the USA) stop it
While of course there have been no wars involving EU members, we are seeing a different threat to peace in Europe from the rise in extreme parties. This increase has been caused in large part by things such as mass unemployment, social dislocation and migration which in turn has been influenced by the EU. Look at things that are going on in Italy, Hungry, Germany, Austria. So while we're not seeing wars of the same magnitude as WW1 or WW2, things are far from peaceful in the EU.

Anyway, I note that you avoided my question regarding political control from the EU on VAT limits, so let me try another broader question. According to  the BBC, between 1993 and 2014 62% of laws introduced in the UK implemented EU obligations including all EU regulations, EU related Acts of Parliament and EU related Statutory Instruments. How would you sell this to a leave supporter as being better for Britain?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on November 29, 2018, 09:54:57 am
2 years to sort this lot out, and here we are 4 months from the deadline and the PM is still playing for time, we have a debate in the House of Commons where everyone knows this deal is going to get thrown out, why not just have the debate now and give the Country more time to organise a 2nd referendum
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 29, 2018, 09:56:50 am
HA

I'm not avoiding anything. YOU asked ME a very open question. I gave a response. You ignored much of the content and veered off into another question. 

Discussions tend to vanish into a black hole when they are conducted like that, so I'm staying on topic for now. Happy to address your other questions when we have thrashed this out.

I'm genuinely astonished at how glibly you glide over the EU's role in securing peace and democracy. You keep hammering on on a totally irrelevant topic ((how the Balkan civil war ended - irrelevant: the EU had no mechanism for enforcing anything there at that time). You entirely ignore the fact that in recent years, several EU countries had military dictatorships which is unthinkable now. You assume that peace will remain because of economic ties (have a look at the way in which economic trade between Britain, France and Germany grew in the period 1890-1914. It might surprise you.)

And you ignore the central issue. Why the only two major world leaders who support a weakening of the EU are Trump and Putin. That last point trump's (sorry) every other argument. But it has never once been addressed by the Leave supporters.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 29, 2018, 09:58:20 am
''Anyway, I note that you avoided my question regarding political control from the EU on VAT limits, so let me try another broader question. According to  the BBC, between 1993 and 2014 62% of laws introduced in the UK implemented EU obligations including all EU regulations, EU related Acts of Parliament and EU related Statutory Instruments. How would you sell this to a leave supporter as being better for Britain?''

HA, I hope you are not overlooking the fact that Britain is and has been a major negotiator in all things EU including all those you mention above, the EU is not a mythical beast that makes up the conditions for the member nations, it's the other way around, no?

''The fiction that the EU wants to “punish Britain” conceals both the EU’s right to defend its own interests and the harm the UK is inflicting on itself''

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/nov/20/brexiteers-trump-language-fake-news
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 29, 2018, 10:02:14 am
One of the things I heard this morning, on the news, is that some MPs are planning to abstain in the vote or even be absent from Parliament on the day of the vote.

WTF is that all about?

Surely they are elected to add their weight to such decisions, not dodge them.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 29, 2018, 10:02:50 am
The EU rules on VAT are based on the projection of harmonisation, ie every member state having the same rate of VAT so businesses don't have to muck about with intrastat and other faux harmonising legislation, and making inter-country trading even smoother. The 'restrictions' on the UK were because when we altered our rate of VAT we were bringing it closer to the rest of the EU, or giving away the zero rates (ie domestic fuel) that other countries, only us, had. Once we throw those away we can't have them back because we've harmonised with the rest of the EU. And the Chancellor who put VAT on domestic fuel knew damn well that was the case when he tried to put the full rate of VAT on it. We were only allowed to reduce it back to 5% because we did it within twelve months and thankfully a new government came in and did so.

On the same point about Chancellors knowing they can't reduce VAT if they bring it closer to harmonisation...do you remember the reason given for it going up from 15% to 17.5%?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 29, 2018, 10:04:13 am
One of the things I heard this morning, on the news, is that some MPs are planning to abstain in the vote or even be absent from Parliament on the day of the vote.

WTF is that all about?

Surely they are elected to add their weight to such decisions, not dodge them.

You mean they should be forced to vote on something they don't have an opinion on? Perhaps the whole electorate should be forced to vote, too, like they do in Australia. Then we can have the second referendum and be absolutely certain that everybody agrees with the result!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 29, 2018, 10:09:02 am
2 years to sort this lot out, and here we are 4 months from the deadline and the PM is still playing for time, we have a debate in the House of Commons where everyone knows this deal is going to get thrown out, why not just have the debate now and give the Country more time to organise a 2nd referendum

Filo

It was obvious two and a half years ago that we would get to this point.

https://www.drfc-vsc.co.uk/index.php?topic=257611.msg635552#msg635552

You have to see Brexit for what it is.

It's not about democracy.

It's not about the Will of the People.

It's all about the civil war on the Right of British politics.

There was never and there still isn't ANY Brexit that is both acceptable to the Right of the Tory party, and not economically catastrophic for the country.

May's not stupid on the economics. That's why she's tried to have a watered down Brexit. (Still very bad, but not appalling bad).

But she can't carry her party with her on that. So she's ducked and dived for 2 years hoping something would turn up.

I've said it many times and I don't get any pleasure from it, but working class Donny folk who voted Leave have been played. They have been used as pawns in a game that's really about the heart and soul of the Tory party. Urged on by Farage and his mates who (it will come out next year) always had far darker motives.

In two weeks time, when Parliament votes down the May deal, we'll be faced with what an utter f**king shambles this whole process has been. And then we start picking up the pieces and trying to glue the country back together.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on November 29, 2018, 10:10:24 am
  There really must be loads of dealers hoping this brexit lark goes on forever.
   There has never been such an extended time for the "shorters" and "longers" to bet along with the market.
  It has never been easier, just wait for some politician to open their gob and bingo just skim a little off the top.
  The really big guys must be having the time of their lives.
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 29, 2018, 10:13:06 am
One of the things I heard this morning, on the news, is that some MPs are planning to abstain in the vote or even be absent from Parliament on the day of the vote.

WTF is that all about?

Surely they are elected to add their weight to such decisions, not dodge them.

You mean they should be forced to vote on something they don't have an opinion on? Perhaps the whole electorate should be forced to vote, too, like they do in Australia. Then we can have the second referendum and be absolutely certain that everybody agrees with the result!





They might not have an opinion but they represent their constituents who do.
Thinking about the Australian rules, yes I like that, we should implement that here.

The outcome does affect us all.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 29, 2018, 10:17:06 am
One of the things I heard this morning, on the news, is that some MPs are planning to abstain in the vote or even be absent from Parliament on the day of the vote.

WTF is that all about?

Surely they are elected to add their weight to such decisions, not dodge them.

You mean they should be forced to vote on something they don't have an opinion on? Perhaps the whole electorate should be forced to vote, too, like they do in Australia. Then we can have the second referendum and be absolutely certain that everybody agrees with the result!





They might not have an opinion but they represent their constituents who do.
Thinking about the Australian rules, yes I like that, we should implement that here.

The outcome does affect us all.

May's constituency voted Remain. Should she represent their wishes?

Watching a Prime Minister vote against her own government would be a fascinating postscript to this whole mess.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 29, 2018, 10:20:57 am
One of the things I heard this morning, on the news, is that some MPs are planning to abstain in the vote or even be absent from Parliament on the day of the vote.

WTF is that all about?

Surely they are elected to add their weight to such decisions, not dodge them.

You mean they should be forced to vote on something they don't have an opinion on? Perhaps the whole electorate should be forced to vote, too, like they do in Australia. Then we can have the second referendum and be absolutely certain that everybody agrees with the result!





They might not have an opinion but they represent their constituents who do.
Thinking about the Australian rules, yes I like that, we should implement that here.

The outcome does affect us all.

May's constituency voted Remain. Should she represent their wishes?





At least she cast her vote, something that her colleagues are suggesting they might not do.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 29, 2018, 10:23:17 am
One of the things I heard this morning, on the news, is that some MPs are planning to abstain in the vote or even be absent from Parliament on the day of the vote.

WTF is that all about?

Surely they are elected to add their weight to such decisions, not dodge them.

You mean they should be forced to vote on something they don't have an opinion on? Perhaps the whole electorate should be forced to vote, too, like they do in Australia. Then we can have the second referendum and be absolutely certain that everybody agrees with the result!





They might not have an opinion but they represent their constituents who do.
Thinking about the Australian rules, yes I like that, we should implement that here.

The outcome does affect us all.

May's constituency voted Remain. Should she represent their wishes?





At least she cast her vote, something that her colleagues are suggesting they might not do.

Aren't any MPs who abstain merely representing the 28% who abstained at the referendum..? They need to be represented just as much as the rest of us! :silly:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 29, 2018, 10:24:09 am
Hound

It's MPs who are caught in the trap of knowing that voting for Brexit will be a disaster, and that voting against Brexit will get them strung up by their constituents.

Good of the country Vs personal interest.

In a better society, it would be obvious what to do.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 29, 2018, 10:24:32 am
One of the things I heard this morning, on the news, is that some MPs are planning to abstain in the vote or even be absent from Parliament on the day of the vote.

WTF is that all about?

Surely they are elected to add their weight to such decisions, not dodge them.

You mean they should be forced to vote on something they don't have an opinion on? Perhaps the whole electorate should be forced to vote, too, like they do in Australia. Then we can have the second referendum and be absolutely certain that everybody agrees with the result!





They might not have an opinion but they represent their constituents who do.
Thinking about the Australian rules, yes I like that, we should implement that here.

The outcome does affect us all.

May's constituency voted Remain. Should she represent their wishes?





At least she cast her vote, something that her colleagues are suggesting they might not do.

Aren't any MPs who abstain merely representing the 28% who abstained at the referendum..? They need to be represented just as much as the rest of us! :silly:






Yeah, if you say so.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 29, 2018, 10:26:32 am
Hound

It's MPs who are caught in the trap of knowing that voting for Brexit will be a disaster, and that voting against Brexit will get them strung up by their constituents.

Good of the country Vs personal interest.

In a better society, it would be obvious what to do.

Aye, abstain!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 29, 2018, 10:35:42 am
Hound

It's MPs who are caught in the trap of knowing that voting for Brexit will be a disaster, and that voting against Brexit will get them strung up by their constituents.

Good of the country Vs personal interest.

In a better society, it would be obvious what to do.

Aye, abstain!





Well thanks for reinforcing my original question there GW.
BST is saying the same as me really.
Not really doing the job they are elected to do.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 29, 2018, 10:57:30 am
Hound

It's MPs who are caught in the trap of knowing that voting for Brexit will be a disaster, and that voting against Brexit will get them strung up by their constituents.

Good of the country Vs personal interest.

In a better society, it would be obvious what to do.

Aye, abstain!





Well thanks for reinforcing my original question there GW.
BST is saying the same as me really.
Not really doing the job they are elected to do.

Only if you think they're meant to act as their constituents puppets. Which is NOT what they're elected to do. They're elected to think and act on their constituent's behalf, not take their directions.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Herbert Anchovy on November 29, 2018, 12:30:44 pm
Listening to the Chancellor yesterday, it seems that by leaving the EU on the PM’s terms we have to decide whether we’re happy to accept slower economic growth for complete political ownership within the UK.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: big fat yorkshire pudding on November 29, 2018, 01:18:25 pm
Listening to the Chancellor yesterday, it seems that by leaving the EU on the PM’s terms we have to decide whether we’re happy to accept slower economic growth for complete political ownership within the UK.

I think that was largely a given originally wasn't it?  I still tend to believe after a short term period of some pain things will change and pick up to relative normality.

As for the debate the Tories/Labour want to have.  How embarrassing they can't even agree on the bloody channel to have it on.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on November 29, 2018, 01:18:51 pm
BS

Why do I feel like I'm on a hamster wheel?

I don't want to live in a country where banks and big business lose £200bn-£1trn of wealth. Because the effect of that will be utterly catastrophic for everyone in the country.

I don't know where this world is that you live in where ordinary people are magically insulated from what happens to Barclays Bank and Nissan, but if you have the directions, please pass them on.
So you accept the main industry for employment is the private sector ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 29, 2018, 01:38:36 pm
Hound

It's MPs who are caught in the trap of knowing that voting for Brexit will be a disaster, and that voting against Brexit will get them strung up by their constituents.

Good of the country Vs personal interest.

In a better society, it would be obvious what to do.

Aye, abstain!





Well thanks for reinforcing my original question there GW.
BST is saying the same as me really.
Not really doing the job they are elected to do.

Only if you think they're meant to act as their constituents puppets. Which is NOT what they're elected to do. They're elected to think and act on their constituent's behalf, not take their directions.





Ahah, so if they are supposed to act on behalf of their constituents shouldn’t they turn up in Parliament and cast a vote next week.
It is probably the biggest thing they could vote on and to dodge it isn’t the right thing to do.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 29, 2018, 01:47:53 pm
Listening to the Chancellor yesterday, it seems that by leaving the EU on the PM’s terms we have to decide whether we’re happy to accept slower economic growth for complete political ownership within the UK.

And there's the rub.

Leave told us we could have complete control over sovereignty AND improved economic performance.

Everyone now accepts that it's actually a trade off.

Remain. Have less control but best economic outlook.

May Deal. Have some minor control and bad but not appalling economic outlook.

No Deal. Complete control but economic apocalypse.

Take your pick. From a position of proper understanding now.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on November 29, 2018, 01:57:37 pm
Hound

It's MPs who are caught in the trap of knowing that voting for Brexit will be a disaster, and that voting against Brexit will get them strung up by their constituents.

Good of the country Vs personal interest.

In a better society, it would be obvious what to do.

Aye, abstain!





Well thanks for reinforcing my original question there GW.
BST is saying the same as me really.
Not really doing the job they are elected to do.

Only if you think they're meant to act as their constituents puppets. Which is NOT what they're elected to do. They're elected to think and act on their constituent's behalf, not take their directions.





Ahah, so if they are supposed to act on behalf of their constituents shouldn’t they turn up in Parliament and cast a vote next week.
It is probably the biggest thing they could vote on and to dodge it isn’t the right thing to do.

Its as I have said on here many times (who knows I might be right !!!) - the vast majority of the Politicians are looking for way out of a complete mess - but without getting blamed and getting their stupid legacy "tarnished".


May does not want to be the one who took us out - if it goes t**s up and she any many others on both sides can get themselves out of this by getting a Second Vote (eventually).

Then if "we" the people Vote to stay in after all, they the Politicians can immediately absolve themselves by saying we were pressurised into a Second Vote and the Electorate have changed their minds - so you Exit voters can blame those nasty Remainers who never gave up with their campaign to keep us in  - and not we the MPs who gave you a Referendum in the first place

If we vote to stay with the "Exit" Vote second time Round then the Politicians win again because they can simply say - we were pressurised into a second vote and tried to resist (Mrs May must have said "we must respect the Vote of the British Public" about 100 times in 3 hours the other day) but we eventually gave in and for what ? For the knowledgable electorate to say for a Second time "we want out". That would silence the Remainers for ages even if it goes t**s up. The MPs would be armed to the teeth with a Second Leave vote !

So for them its a Win Win and its where I think we will be heading
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 29, 2018, 02:08:34 pm
HA

You were asking for a positive political message about the EU, so if you don't mind, I'm going to stick on topic and not get sidetracked into the much broader question of political influence.

There were brutal civil wars in Yugoslavia and (to a lesser extent) Cyprus in the second half of the 20th century. None of the participants were in the EU at the time. NATO existed and its existence did nothing to prevent those wars from occuring. My point is that it is inconceivable that there would be civil wars or Inter-country wars in or between countries that ARE NOW members of the EU.

Similarly, the presence of NATO forces in Europe and the discipline of the Cold War did nothing to stop the Iberian peninsula being governed by fascist dictators up to the 1970s. Nor did it prevent a military coup d'etat in Greece.

It is inconceivable that any EU country would now see democracy collapse(*), and that is in large part due to discipline that membership of the EU imposes. It's one obvious reason why Turkey under Erdogan will never join the EU, despite the bald lies that the Leave campaign quietly pumped into vulnerable people's social media feeds in 2016.

And none of that covers the two FAR bigger issues. That the really dangerous historical fault lines in Europe have been between UK, France, Germany and Russia. The EU (and NATO, of course) has been instrumental in binding three if those together against the changing threat of the fourth. Why do you think Putin has invested so much time, money and effort in supporting anti-EU forces in the UK, France, Hungary, Poland, Italy...

That final point is the overwhelming political positive of the EU.

Billy,

As I stated earlier, its a given that nations that have economic interests in each other will tend to avoid conflict.

NATO may not have prevented the Balkan War, but DID (well us and the USA) stop it
While of course there have been no wars involving EU members, we are seeing a different threat to peace in Europe from the rise in extreme parties. This increase has been caused in large part by things such as mass unemployment, social dislocation and migration which in turn has been influenced by the EU. Look at things that are going on in Italy, Hungry, Germany, Austria. So while we're not seeing wars of the same magnitude as WW1 or WW2, things are far from peaceful in the EU.

Anyway, I note that you avoided my question regarding political control from the EU on VAT limits, so let me try another broader question. According to  the BBC, between 1993 and 2014 62% of laws introduced in the UK implemented EU obligations including all EU regulations, EU related Acts of Parliament and EU related Statutory Instruments. How would you sell this to a leave supporter as being better for Britain?

(https://i.imgur.com/rEr19D8.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on November 29, 2018, 02:10:32 pm
Meanwhile, on the financial front....
 
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/nov/29/london-to-lose-800bn-to-frankfurt-as-banks-prepare-for-brexit?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
 
 
But don't worry, leavers tell us we're going to be better off in the long run  :turd:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on November 29, 2018, 05:22:37 pm
If we stay in, what do we need the house of Commons and the House of Lords for? we have 80 odd representatives in Brussels.
   We can get rid of layers of civil servants who feed off  parliament, just think of the money it would save just in second residents, and first class train fairs alone.
 Just let the EU do everything for us, laws, taxes the lot, that way we the taxpayers may get value for money, and rid of a bunch of nondescripts who just think of themselves and do not do what is best for the country.
  We could even bulldoze the houses of parliament and build social housing in the centre of London, it would save millions on repairs.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 29, 2018, 07:23:22 pm
If we stay in, what do we need the house of Commons and the House of Lords for? we have 80 odd representatives in Brussels.
   We can get rid of layers of civil servants who feed off  parliament, just think of the money it would save just in second residents, and first class train fairs alone.
 Just let the EU do everything for us, laws, taxes the lot, that way we the taxpayers may get value for money, and rid of a bunch of nondescripts who just think of themselves and do not do what is best for the country.
  We could even bulldoze the houses of parliament and build social housing in the centre of London, it would save millions on repairs.

Scrap all local government too? Or do they perhaps do things that the EU doesn't cover, just as Parliament does?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 29, 2018, 07:58:12 pm
One of the things I heard this morning, on the news, is that some MPs are planning to abstain in the vote or even be absent from Parliament on the day of the vote.

WTF is that all about?

Surely they are elected to add their weight to such decisions, not dodge them.

All bar 7 Labour MP's (+ the 4 independent Labour) have confirmed they will vote against May's deal. Out of these 11 only 1 has said she will vote for it - go on have a guess which constituency she represents....

https://evolvepolitics.com/here-are-the-12-labour-mps-who-are-considering-voting-for-theresa-mays-brexit-deal/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 29, 2018, 08:02:13 pm
One of the things I heard this morning, on the news, is that some MPs are planning to abstain in the vote or even be absent from Parliament on the day of the vote.

WTF is that all about?

Surely they are elected to add their weight to such decisions, not dodge them.

All bar 7 Labour MP's (+ the 4 independent Labour) have confirmed they will vote against May's deal. Out of these 11 only 1 has said she will vote for it - go on have a guess which constituency she represents....

https://evolvepolitics.com/here-are-the-12-labour-mps-who-are-considering-voting-for-theresa-mays-brexit-deal/





Wilts, as a political expert (not being funny by the way) can you tell me how many of the Labour MP's who are going to vote against Mays proposed deal are from a constituency which voted to leave.
Also, how many are there who are actually going to vote against it please.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on November 29, 2018, 08:13:49 pm
Glynn, eye get rid of them too, give everything to the EU, we pay them enough, let them look after us.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 29, 2018, 08:32:09 pm
Going to be interesting when the vote takes place in Parliament.

Very few commentators (actually, no commentators) think May will win.

In a sane political world, that would be a career-ender. You can't lose a vote on THE most important legislation in a generation and carry on as PM.

But if she loses by just 10-20 votes, she'll go back to Brussels and ask for enough concessions to win a second Parliamentary vote.

If she loses by 50 or 100 votes, that's her gone and her deal with it. Since we'd then be facing a No Deal Apocalypse, I'm pretty sure that Parliament would ask the EU for an extension to Article 50, while a second referendum was organised.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 29, 2018, 08:36:20 pm
Talking about a second referendum, it takes a lot to get me nodding my head in response to the words of a Tory lass from Rotherham, but this is bang on.

https://m.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/second-brexit-referendum-could-be-held-on-may-30-says-justine-greening_uk_5bffec2be4b0864f4f6ad1ac


Quote
What could be on the ballot paper in a second EU referendum:

Which terms do you want the United Kingdom to adopt for its future relationship with the European Union?

1. Current terms – Remaining in the EU on current terms

2. The government’s terms – Accepting the terms that have been negotiated

3. No-deal terms – Leaving the EU on World Trade Organisation terms


Sounds familiar. Where have I heard that before?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on November 29, 2018, 09:46:04 pm
Yes indeed!
I've got a horrible feeling though that if it is a tripartite vote then the country may very well go for the middle ground and back Treeza's  plan, especially as it would be everyones second choice.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on November 29, 2018, 09:50:09 pm
One of the things I heard this morning, on the news, is that some MPs are planning to abstain in the vote or even be absent from Parliament on the day of the vote.

WTF is that all about?

Surely they are elected to add their weight to such decisions, not dodge them.

All bar 7 Labour MP's (+ the 4 independent Labour) have confirmed they will vote against May's deal. Out of these 11 only 1 has said she will vote for it - go on have a guess which constituency she represents....

https://evolvepolitics.com/here-are-the-12-labour-mps-who-are-considering-voting-for-theresa-mays-brexit-deal/





Wilts, as a political expert (not being funny by the way) can you tell me how many of the Labour MP's who are going to vote against Mays proposed deal are from a constituency which voted to leave.
Also, how many are there who are actually going to vote against it please.

Interesting questions hound. They didn't count the referendum vote by constituency so there are no totally accurate figures but the best guesses by the proper experts say about 100 Labour seats and 75 Tory seats from the 2017 GE voted Leave.
https://fullfact.org/europe/did-majority-conservative-and-labour-constituencies-vote-leave-eu-referendum/

Of course things have changed since then - as have people's opinions. According to the Robert Peston programme last night public opinion in most of these Labour seats has now shifted so that only around 20 now support remain. These people have done a lot of work on that and have graphs of the seats.
https://www.hopenothate.org.uk/2018/08/12/british-turning-backs-brexit/

In that first link I posted, Evolve Politics say they have contacted every Labour MP and asked them how they will vote on May's deal. 10 say they are undecided and only 1 has so far definitely said she will vote for it. All the rest say they will definitely vote against it. I believe most of those 11 are in seats that voted Leave in 2016 but not all (Jared O'Mara?)

The only one who has said she will definitely vote for May is of course Caroline Flint. So in a tight vote it could be Doncaster that takes the UK out of Europe. Now there's a thing.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 29, 2018, 10:54:02 pm
You've got that the wrong way round Wilts.

100 Lab and 75 Con were the number of seats estimated to have vote Remain, not Leave.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on November 29, 2018, 11:11:06 pm
The difficulty with any new vote is accomodating a position like "Norway Plus" into the options.

It is not on the agenda with Treez in situ, but once she falls on her sword then I think the EU would be willing to accept this alternative as a face saving way out.

From their point of view, Norway Plus is an off the shelf solution which does not create any new precedents.

Getting public approval for a further option would stress test a new vote to breaking point though.
Bullshit fatigue is likely to play louder than any rational evaluation with Joe Public IMO!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 29, 2018, 11:15:36 pm
And who is going to champion that as an option?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on November 29, 2018, 11:30:12 pm
Anyone who has an interest in a resolution once logjam Maybot is removed!

There is a Tory support base opposed to the Brexit fundamentalists. They are still the government, post Treeza, unless we get a GE.

I do not think the EU would kick up a fuss if the UK came back with that solution.

I am not advocating this, merely suggesting it may give an option to "no deal" once the HoC rejects the May plan.

No Deal suits nobody!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 30, 2018, 12:06:10 am
Norway Option implies freedom of movement and (I think) ECJ. There is absolutely no point going for that because it satisfies no-one. It would be much better than May's deal, but it is such a watered down Brexit that virtually no one on the Leave side will accept it. And it's not as good as simply remaining for the Remain side.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 30, 2018, 12:07:39 am
One of the things I heard this morning, on the news, is that some MPs are planning to abstain in the vote or even be absent from Parliament on the day of the vote.

WTF is that all about?

Surely they are elected to add their weight to such decisions, not dodge them.

All bar 7 Labour MP's (+ the 4 independent Labour) have confirmed they will vote against May's deal. Out of these 11 only 1 has said she will vote for it - go on have a guess which constituency she represents....

https://evolvepolitics.com/here-are-the-12-labour-mps-who-are-considering-voting-for-theresa-mays-brexit-deal/





Wilts, as a political expert (not being funny by the way) can you tell me how many of the Labour MP's who are going to vote against Mays proposed deal are from a constituency which voted to leave.
Also, how many are there who are actually going to vote against it please.

You're not still clinging to this ridiculous notion that MPs should vote the way their constituency voted in the referendum are you? That would mean May should vote against her own deal!!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 30, 2018, 12:08:56 am
Glynn, eye get rid of them too, give everything to the EU, we pay them enough, let them look after us.

I thought we paid way, way more to fund local and national government.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on November 30, 2018, 12:33:12 am
BST

You can read a bit more about "Norway Plus" here;
http://betterbrexit.org.uk/

I can't vouch for the accuracy of the explanation given, but it is under active consideration by key players under the radar.

The important starting point is who holds sway in the Tory party after Treeza's exit?

The landscape of the possible changes on the other side of her departure. Gove, Johnson and Rees Smug have soiled themselves with large swathes of the party.

So who will hold power in the Tory government short of a GE?
They will not be constrained by red lines set out by others.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 30, 2018, 12:37:03 am
BST

You can read a bit more about "Norway Plus" here;
http://betterbrexit.org.uk/

I can't vouch for the accuracy of the explanation given, but it is under active consideration by key players under the radar.

The important starting point is who holds sway in the Tory party after Treeza's exit?

The landscape of the possible changes on the other side of her departure. Gove, Johnson and Rees Smug have soiled themselves with large swathes of the party.

So who will hold power in the Tory government short of a GE?
They will not be constrained by red lines set out by others.

No, the important starting point is if this option won't get through Parliament it's just as much a dead duck as the current deal.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on November 30, 2018, 01:16:19 am
Glyn,

The parliamentary numbers are completely different to May's deal.

The SNP are likely to support it, as are other minority groups. Significant numbers of Labour and Tory MP's are likely to do so as well.

The government will not have the HoC votes to carry ANY decision from their own party. The only prospect of a HoC approval is via cross party support.

It very much matters who the next head of government is......the individual needs to be able to secure the numbers to get a resolution through!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on November 30, 2018, 01:16:35 am
BST

You can read a bit more about "Norway Plus" here;
http://betterbrexit.org.uk/

I can't vouch for the accuracy of the explanation given, but it is under active consideration by key players under the radar.

The important starting point is who holds sway in the Tory party after Treeza's exit?

The landscape of the possible changes on the other side of her departure. Gove, Johnson and Rees Smug have soiled themselves with large swathes of the party.

So who will hold power in the Tory government short of a GE?
They will not be constrained by red lines set out by others.

No, the important starting point is if this option won't get through Parliament it's just as much a dead duck as the current deal.
I can't see any reason that this headless chicken dance will not continue for some time with desperate scrambles/shambles for extensions, but to do what, repeat play? my prediction some time ago was that the government would fail to get agreement May would be forced to resign which would be the trigger for a general election and that if Corbyn did not change to support a peoples vote he would have to go too.

From there it's anyone guess, as mine is.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 30, 2018, 01:46:25 am
Albie

Do you see the issue here. One that some of us have been banging on about to anyone who will listen, for more than 30 months now.

Brexit was never a thing.

It was an umbrella term for a multitude of things.

Everything from BINO, to your Norway +, to the May Deal, to Canada+, to WTO/No Deal.

None of that was discussed in 2016.

Not a moment of discussion about the pros and cons.

So, if we now have a specific Brexit foisted on us, someone high up (the elite, maybe...eh?) will be saying that this is what all of those 52% voted for.

But here's the thing.

There's far more distance between BINO and No Deal than there is between Norway+ and Remain.

So I'm still struggling to see why, now that we have options in front of us and a far clearer view than in 2016, we don't go for a second referendum.

f**k it. Put Norway+ on the ballot too and make it a 3-round/4-choice vote.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 30, 2018, 08:51:00 am
Glyn,

The parliamentary numbers are completely different to May's deal.

The SNP are likely to support it, as are other minority groups. Significant numbers of Labour and Tory MP's are likely to do so as well.

The government will not have the HoC votes to carry ANY decision from their own party. The only prospect of a HoC approval is via cross party support.

It very much matters who the next head of government is......the individual needs to be able to secure the numbers to get a resolution through!


I don't know where you get the idea of the SNP supporting any version of something they've been completely against all the way from the beginning.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Yargo on November 30, 2018, 09:28:03 am

go for a second referendum.

f**k it. Put Norway+ on the ballot too and make it a 3-round/4-choice vote.
But that would leave you and Tony Blair, Lord Kinnock of Brussels, Lord Mandelson with no vote, you know what about the Ever Closer Union option? Single currency, no borders, more billions in British financial contributions, after all until the Peoples Vote in 2016 that is what you were in favour of no? How many pro EU leaders of any EU country have said they wanted Britain to stay in EU with no change, come on Professor Stubbs name them
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on November 30, 2018, 09:47:43 am
I’m in favour of a 2nd referendum, despite voting leave last time, my vote would also change to remain
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 30, 2018, 10:19:37 am
Yargo's been kidnapped and replaced by the Daily Express "Write a random word salad headline" bot.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 30, 2018, 10:58:39 am
Yargo's been kidnapped and replaced by the Daily Express "Write a random word salad headline" bot.

That implies that there's been a noticeable change in posting style. I've not noticed one! :silly:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Yargo on November 30, 2018, 11:32:20 am
Ooh my aching sides, shouldn't you two be on the French coast stopping all these French people trying to escape the EU using inflatable boats?

Funny how all the pro-EU, Ever Closer Union ones have disappeared like a fart in the wind.

Perhaps you can explain the consequences if Britain had voted 80-90% in favour of EU? After all that's what you wanted and you do know every eventual outcome of everything?

Perhaps Blairites like Billy's Sanctimonious Twaddle aren't in favour of a British Macron any longer?
https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/alastair-campbell-macron-heir-to-blair-1-5369270 (https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/alastair-campbell-macron-heir-to-blair-1-5369270)

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/10/17/emmanuel-macron-helps-rich-get-richer-sleep-claims-ex-french/ (https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/10/17/emmanuel-macron-helps-rich-get-richer-sleep-claims-ex-french/)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on November 30, 2018, 11:56:03 am
The defence rests.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on November 30, 2018, 11:59:57 am
The Russian bot factory turned Yargo on again! Nice one.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on November 30, 2018, 01:36:42 pm
I think we can probably discount May's deal but I think Norway plus is a serious option. We would of course stay in the Single Market, and the plus bit would presumably involve a Customs Union, hence solving the Northern Irish problem without needing the Backstop.

It would mean we leave the political institutions and things like the CAP and CFP. I think the SNP and at least half of Labour MPs could support it.

Apparently Amber Rudd is the main person in the Government driving it. If May falls I would expect Rudd to stand for the leadership or back someone with similar views - maybe Hunt or Hammond.

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on November 30, 2018, 01:44:41 pm
Glyn,

The parliamentary numbers are completely different to May's deal.

The SNP are likely to support it, as are other minority groups. Significant numbers of Labour and Tory MP's are likely to do so as well.

The government will not have the HoC votes to carry ANY decision from their own party. The only prospect of a HoC approval is via cross party support.

It very much matters who the next head of government is......the individual needs to be able to secure the numbers to get a resolution through!


I don't know where you get the idea of the SNP supporting any version of something they've been completely against all the way from the beginning.

The SNP are pro-Remain, of course, but their sticking point appears to be retaining membership of the Single Market. They would get that with Norway Plus.

I'm far from convinced that a second referendum would produce a different result to the 2016 one. Remainers may think that staying in the Single Market is a better outcome than risking losing another referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 30, 2018, 01:46:48 pm
The SNP will back whatever they think will get them most support for a run at an independence referendum. I've lived in Scotland in SNP heartland and I know exactly what they're like. Do as I say not as I do.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on November 30, 2018, 01:49:43 pm
The SNP will back whatever they think will get them most support for a run at an independence referendum. I've lived in Scotland in SNP heartland and I know exactly what they're like. Do as I say not as I do.

Paradoxically, leaving without a deal would probably strengthen their hand in trying to get IndyRef2.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 30, 2018, 01:54:01 pm
True TRB, but I don't think that they, zealots that they are, would want a situation where the economy of by far their strongest trading partner was crippled.

Might have been different if Salmons was still at the helm and being funded by the Kremlin.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on November 30, 2018, 02:03:29 pm
Bloody forum! I just posted a lengthy screed about the Tory leadership post-May only for it to disappear. Anyway, the upshot was that I think Sajid Javid will be the next PM.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on November 30, 2018, 02:10:52 pm
True TRB, but I don't think that they, zealots that they are, would want a situation where the economy of by far their strongest trading partner was crippled.

Might have been different if Salmons was still at the helm and being funded by the Kremlin.

I would have thought the UK and in particular the Scottish economy going into recession would be grist to the IndyRef mill.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on November 30, 2018, 02:53:07 pm
The SNP will back whatever they think will get them most support for a run at an independence referendum. I've lived in Scotland in SNP heartland and I know exactly what they're like. Do as I say not as I do.

Paradoxically, leaving without a deal would probably strengthen their hand in trying to get IndyRef2.

Aye, but they're trying to kid their cult into thinking they can just 'take' the UK's place if they got independence. And trying to ignore the fact that independence would take them out of the EU anyway, and a whole load of things I won't go into would keep them from getting right back in. But anyway, I'm going off topic here...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on November 30, 2018, 05:02:59 pm
Looks like Nicola is up for it, Glyn;
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/nov/27/norway-plus-brexit-option-is-winning-support-says-nicola-sturgeon

Subject to the numbers stacking up, of course!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on November 30, 2018, 05:22:17 pm
I'm sure I read somewhere that Gove is keen on Norway Plus. That would be a turn up.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: GazLaz on November 30, 2018, 05:24:58 pm
This thread is going to be longer than the actual Brexit bill itself.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 30, 2018, 06:11:28 pm
True TRB, but I don't think that they, zealots that they are, would want a situation where the economy of by far their strongest trading partner was crippled.

Might have been different if Salmons was still at the helm and being funded by the Kremlin.

I would have thought the UK and in particular the Scottish economy going into recession would be grist to the IndyRef mill.

It would. But Scotland would be perma-f**ked if R-UK had a no deal Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 30, 2018, 06:13:46 pm
This thread is going to be longer than the actual Brexit bill itself.

Well, there's more intelligent thought and comment in this thread than anything that's dribbled out of May's gob, this past two years. She's currently insisting that it's her deal or No Deal, which is the most boneheadedly stupid bullshit. It doesn't even work as a threat, because there's not a single MP who believes she could take us out with No Deal even if she wanted to.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: GazLaz on November 30, 2018, 09:51:55 pm
This thread is going to be longer than the actual Brexit bill itself.

Well, there's more intelligent thought and comment in this thread than anything that's dribbled out of May's gob, this past two years. She's currently insisting that it's her deal or No Deal, which is the most boneheadedly stupid bullshit. It doesn't even work as a threat, because there's not a single MP who believes she could take us out with No Deal even if she wanted to.

I don’t know if this has been mentioned on here before because I only read the odd page but...

Is it possible that self admitted remainder Mrs May has put together a deal that she knows won’t get passed by parliament to force a second referendum? I’m not usually a big conspirory theorist but could it be possible?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on November 30, 2018, 09:53:43 pm
This thread is going to be longer than the actual Brexit bill itself.

Well, there's more intelligent thought and comment in this thread than anything that's dribbled out of May's gob, this past two years. She's currently insisting that it's her deal or No Deal, which is the most boneheadedly stupid bullshit. It doesn't even work as a threat, because there's not a single MP who believes she could take us out with No Deal even if she wanted to.

I don’t know if this has been mentioned on here before because I only read the odd page but...

Is it possible that self admitted remainder Mrs May has put together a deal that she knows won’t get passed by parliament to force a second referendum? I’m not usually a big conspirory theorist but could it be possible?

You're not alone with that thought.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on November 30, 2018, 09:58:22 pm
One of the things I heard this morning, on the news, is that some MPs are planning to abstain in the vote or even be absent from Parliament on the day of the vote.

WTF is that all about?

Surely they are elected to add their weight to such decisions, not dodge them.

All bar 7 Labour MP's (+ the 4 independent Labour) have confirmed they will vote against May's deal. Out of these 11 only 1 has said she will vote for it - go on have a guess which constituency she represents....

https://evolvepolitics.com/here-are-the-12-labour-mps-who-are-considering-voting-for-theresa-mays-brexit-deal/





Wilts, as a political expert (not being funny by the way) can you tell me how many of the Labour MP's who are going to vote against Mays proposed deal are from a constituency which voted to leave.
Also, how many are there who are actually going to vote against it please.

You're not still clinging to this ridiculous notion that MPs should vote the way their constituency voted in the referendum are you? That would mean May should vote against her own deal!!






Why would you ask me that?
My question to Wilts was nothing to do with you.

As for May, she is having to try to sort out a Brexit deal that she personally didn’t want to happen isn’t she.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Muttley on November 30, 2018, 10:07:17 pm
This thread is going to be longer than the actual Brexit bill itself.

Well, there's more intelligent thought and comment in this thread than anything that's dribbled out of May's gob, this past two years. She's currently insisting that it's her deal or No Deal, which is the most boneheadedly stupid bullshit. It doesn't even work as a threat, because there's not a single MP who believes she could take us out with No Deal even if she wanted to.

I don’t know if this has been mentioned on here before because I only read the odd page but...

Is it possible that self admitted remainder Mrs May has put together a deal that she knows won’t get passed by parliament to force a second referendum? I’m not usually a big conspirory theorist but could it be possible?

This whistle stop tour of the country meeting real people and her desire to have a televised debate, smacks of an election/referendum campaign.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on November 30, 2018, 10:15:53 pm
Not a chance Gaz.

You're assigning her a level of political cunning, control and selflessness that she has never once shown in her career.

She's been thinking of nothing but how to keep:

a) the Tory party (that doesn't have enough votes to secure any specific Brexit) from tearing itself apart whilst ensuring that...
b) her historical reputation isn't  trashed as the PM who took us into the darkness of a No Deal Brexit (which would be the greatest foreign policy catastrophe since 1939) and trying all the time to keep
c) herself in power.

Look at it through that lens and everything she's done in the last 27 months makes sense. Especially when you factor in the idea that she's really not very good.

She unilaterally decided that Brexit would be interpreted as us leaving the CU, SM and ECJ in her Lancaster House speech in early 2017 and she insisted on a firm Brexit date. That was monumentally stupid because it immediately restricted her negotiating position, and future historians will tear their hair out over it.  But she did it to polish her credentials as someone who believed in "Brexit meaning BREXIT" (f**king stupid phrase, but there you go) and to show that she meant business.

That won her cred with the Right, and she hoped to then be able to row back on that by then having an adult negotiation with the EU, and having the authority to push a moderate BREXIT deal through Parliament.

To do that, she needed the authority of a thumping Parliamentary majority.

So she called a GE in 2017 and it was hers to lose. Any vaguely competent PM would have won a 100 seat majority, starting the campaign where she did. But she proved herself unable to function in front of human beings and lost her majority.

Since then, it's been utter panic. She's been shown up as out of her depth and it's been open season for anyone to slag her off. Make no mistake. That is not normal. In fact it's unheard of. The way Johnson and others publicly humiliated her without being sacked has NEVER happened in any of our lifetimes. Any other PM would sack senior ministers who publicly critised them.  Not May. That how weak her position is.

And that weakness explains her scatterbrained negotiating. Agree to one thing with the EU. Tell the Tory right you haven't agreed to that, to save them from rebelling. Tell moderate Tories you'd make sensible concessions. Tell the Tory right No deal is better than a bad deal. Because she had to try to please all her party just to survive.

An utter f**king shambles.

Now she's cobbled together a dog's breakfast of a deal that satisfies no-one. Not for some nefarious reason. But because it's the best she could salvage. And she's now in MayBot mode, saying, vote this down and it's No Deal Brexit. Which no-one believes.

If she loses the vote in Parliament badly enough to trigger a move towards a referendum, she's gone that same night. And she goes down as the most inept PM in 200 years. No politician wants that epitaph. Even if she was talented enough to pull the sort of stunt you suggest (which she isn't, not by a million miles) she's too much pride to sacrifice her reputation like that.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 01, 2018, 03:18:41 am
Looking back over this process from where Cameron made that fateful decision to have a vote is there anyone here that can say something positive about how this government has performed in any way at all, never mind just brexit is there anything at all that they have done that the majority would say ''well done guys, you got it right'' ?.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on December 01, 2018, 08:15:39 am
Twitter poll: https://twitter.com/PaulDanefield/status/1067877720053428226?s=19
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on December 01, 2018, 09:44:07 am
Looking back over this process from where Cameron made that fateful decision to have a vote is there anyone here that can say something positive about how this government has performed in any way at all, never mind just brexit is there anything at all that they have done that the majority would say ''well done guys, you got it right'' ?.


Not one single thing.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Yargo on December 01, 2018, 10:33:46 am
Yargo's been kidnapped and replaced by the Daily Express "Write a random word salad headline" bot.
Ah you Blairites against the Express now?
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2003/oct/27/uk.pressandpublishing (https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2003/oct/27/uk.pressandpublishing)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Yargo on December 01, 2018, 10:35:22 am
Now then who is Viking Chat's biggest Blairite?
https://www.theguardian.com/media/2002/may/16/bbc.dailyexpress (https://www.theguardian.com/media/2002/may/16/bbc.dailyexpress)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on December 01, 2018, 11:00:58 am
You've got that the wrong way round Wilts.

100 Lab and 75 Con were the number of seats estimated to have vote Remain, not Leave.

More than likely Billy.

These are the interesting charts that show the drift of opinion changing in Labour constituences.

https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/labour-mps-remain_uk_5bff95a6e4b08506231974eb?h1&utm_hp_ref=uk-homepage
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on December 01, 2018, 11:15:05 am
If she loses the vote in Parliament badly enough to trigger a move towards a referendum, she's gone that same night. And she goes down as the most inept PM in 200 years. No politician wants that epitaph. Even if she was talented enough to pull the sort of stunt you suggest (which she isn't, not by a million miles) she's too much pride to sacrifice her reputation like that.

Two other major factors to consider:

Her whole political career has been defined by one thing, controlling immigration, which we can't do in the EU.

If it had been up to May there wouldn't be a vote in Parliament, she had to be taken to court to accept there should be one.

Although just to make things even more interesting there is increasing speculation now that there wont be one as the government will pull the vote if they believe they are going to loose by a huge margin and then..... (insert wild speculative theory here)...
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on December 01, 2018, 02:19:05 pm
Here's a very intelligent guys take on Brexit.  Leave voters would do well to view it....
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UYonSZ8s3_o
 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 01, 2018, 09:42:40 pm
Here's a very intelligent guys take on Brexit.  Leave voters would do well to view it....
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UYonSZ8s3_o
thanks NNK,
It's an accurate take on what's happened, but will the hard core brexiteers want to watch it or watch a couple of minutes and turn it off, will they want to know how they have been manipulated and brainwashed, will they admit to believing,repeating and retelling the mistruths and distortions, will they ever want to examine the facts surrounding brexit and reset their thinking or will they continue with the lemming/roadrunner attitude where the risk of dropping off a cliff is nil until you realise you're out in mid-air.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 02, 2018, 12:38:16 am
While the jockeying goes on about the debate with who should be included, surely there should be a fact check team on hand to call out any lies and exaggerations from anyone?


https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-tv-debate-theresa-may-jeremy-corbyn-second-referendum-no-deal-bbc-itv-a8662881.html
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on December 02, 2018, 08:07:26 am
This thread is going to be longer than the actual Brexit bill itself.

Well, there's more intelligent thought and comment in this thread than anything that's dribbled out of May's gob, this past two years. She's currently insisting that it's her deal or No Deal, which is the most boneheadedly stupid bullshit. It doesn't even work as a threat, because there's not a single MP who believes she could take us out with No Deal even if she wanted to.

I don’t know if this has been mentioned on here before because I only read the odd page but...

Is it possible that self admitted remainder Mrs May has put together a deal that she knows won’t get passed by parliament to force a second referendum? I’m not usually a big conspirory theorist but could it be possible?

I have thought something similar for "long enough". I too dont read many things on here and I have not seen that theory mentioned before but for me it has "legs" and was perhaps why "they" the ones wanting out did not want her to be in charge of the very proceedings to "take us out" *

* Sorry - I should have said as she would have done "Thus (NOT) respecting the Vote of the British people" which she manages to slip (not effortlessly sometimes) into every single answer she gives on any B****t questions

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 03, 2018, 09:49:01 pm
Aye, aye.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-46435128

Beginning of a rapid end for May.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on December 03, 2018, 09:51:13 pm
Aye, aye.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-46435128

Beginning of a rapid end for May.

When a Government does things like this, that is the end of democracy
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 03, 2018, 10:06:59 pm
Be interesting when Parliament votes on this.

Presumably the entire Opposition plus 40-50 Hard Brexit Tory MPs will vote to to accuse the Govt of contempt. I'm struggling to think of any PM ever surviving losing a vote like this. It would be an utter humiliation.

But then again, May has demonstrated for the past two years that she has no understanding of the concept of public humiliation so who knows? We're off the edge of the cliff and the normal rules no longer seem to apply.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: big fat yorkshire pudding on December 03, 2018, 10:10:46 pm
Be interesting when Parliament votes on this.

Presumably the entire Opposition plus 40-50 Hard Brexit Tory MPs will vote to to accuse the Govt of contempt. I'm struggling to think of any PM ever surviving losing a vote like this. It would be an utter humiliation.

But then again, May has demonstrated for the past two years that she has no understanding of the concept of public humiliation so who knows? We're off the edge of the cliff and the normal rules no longer seem to apply.

Corbyn lost the backing of all his mps, he's still there.

But just publish it.  The vast majority don't actually care. The Westminster bubble strikes again.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 03, 2018, 10:44:28 pm
BFYP

Corbyn's an entirely different issue.

This is about PARLIAMENT, not an intra-atomic squabble. Parliament is sovereign. Parliament passed a motion saying that the FULL legal advice should be published.

It's not for the Govt to decide. Parliament is a higher authority than the Govt. This is about how our democratic system works. That's not something for the PM to ride roughshod over, or the entire system is f**ked.

And the content does matter. It matters very much.

Cabinet leaks suggest that the full advice basically says what the Hard Brexiters have been saying. That May's deal means that we have no prospects of getting out of the NI Backstop.

May is insisting that the backstop is irrelevant. But if she's been advised differently by the Govt's top legal adviser, that means 2 very important things.

1) She has deliberately misled Parliament. And there will be a clear and unambiguous evidential trail. No PM survives that. Period.

2) Any right wing Tory who was wavering on whether to vote against May's deal will have their will reinforced. And if she loses THAT vote by a large margin, she's gone. 

THAT is why she can't have it published. Because once it is published, her career is over. So she is going to deliberately and wilfully face down an instruction from Parliament.

You obviously don't get how big a deal this is. This simply does not happen. A PM who refuses to abide by the expressed will of Parliament is contravening the basic concept of our democracy. That's not a Westminster bubble thing. It's how democracies fall apart.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 04, 2018, 09:21:04 am
On a brighter note: UK can stop article 50 without EU approval, top ECJ adviser says.

Campos Sánchez-Bordona said he believed EU law allowed the UK to revoke article 50 without requiring the formal agreement of the European commission or other EU member states.


https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/dec/04/uk-can-stop-article-50-without-eu-approval-top-ecj-adviser-says
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: GazLaz on December 04, 2018, 05:13:30 pm
BST, are MPs expecting to find any skeletons in the closet when the full leagal advice is now going to be disclosed or are they just trying to weaken May further by pulling her on a technicality?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 04, 2018, 05:19:09 pm
There was a leak from a cabinet minister over the weekend that hints that the AG's opinion is rather less risky than he said in Parliament yesterday.

Given that May has repeatedly lied about what she said to whom throughout the Brexit negotiations, I'd say it's a fair bet that there is something very bad for her in the full document, and that's why she would rather the Govt be found to be in contempt of Parliament than publish it.

The line about the convention being that Govt keeps its internal advice documents secret is true, but this is an utterly exceptional situation. This is the biggest decision we have taken since the War and exceptional times call for exceptional decisions.

If the full document supported May's deal unambiguously, she would find a reason to publish it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: GazLaz on December 04, 2018, 05:25:57 pm
That’s what I thought, to go to this degree to try and conceal what is contained in the document it must be pretty damning.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on December 04, 2018, 05:36:51 pm
Given that the AG gives the government LEGAL advice, and that he is duty bound to give impartial advice in house, it is reasonable to think that the action the government has taken, or is about to take, is open to challenge in the courts.

This raises the question that if May has with-held relevant information from the HoC,  which is necessary to understand the implications of a decision, then she has misled parliament by omission.

As others say, if there was no smoking gun there would be no reason to delay and obscure.

Looking like the Tower for the Maybot!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on December 04, 2018, 05:43:47 pm
What are the consequences legally of doing what May has done here? is it 'just' being booted out of the House etc or are there more serious potential outcomes for her?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on December 04, 2018, 05:59:48 pm
I HATE Politicians and here is why ....

May has just kicked off the debate trying to sell her Deal / Agreement

She said "lets look how we got here - and mentioned the 1975 Referendum saying the People voted to stay in at that point but even then she said 33% of those voting wanted to leave " She failed to say of course that 66% or so voted to Remain a 33% Majority !!!

She then leapt to 2016 where she then said " In the biggest Democratic Vote ever held over 17.4 Million said they wanted to leave" She failed to say that was 51% or a bit more whereas nearly 49% voted to  Remain.

So she made a right meal of saying 33 % the first time round wanted to Leave whereas 49% in 2016 wanted to stay which she totally lefy out of her speech
So nearly 50% more voted to Remain the second time than the 33% that she originally highlighted from 1975 and she simply did not mention that / them.

I hate them all with a passion but especially Mrs One Liner
Strong and Stable Government (repeat ad nauseum then lose your Majority)
We must respect the will / vote of the British people (repeat ad nauseum and hope something turns up)
PLANK
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: GazLaz on December 04, 2018, 07:54:44 pm
What are the consequences legally of doing what May has done here? is it 'just' being booted out of the House etc or are there more serious potential outcomes for her?

Live out the rest of her life in the Tower of London.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 04, 2018, 09:05:07 pm
Brexit is often sold by its most committed supporters on the right as a constitutional version of the economic doctrine of Thatcherism, a clean break with the failed policies of the past. These fanatics succeeded in convincing David Cameron, who was prone to flattery but supine in the face of aggression, that a popular vote in a referendum was a remedy for the unrepresentative nature of Westminster politics. Once they did away with Mr Cameron, they installed Theresa May and carried on with legislative manoeuvring to enable an irreversible transformation of society. The hard Brexiters are ruthless about the means, and in denial about the fall-out of their desires. Yet now the game is up.

The evidence is that a departure from the European Union on WTO terms would blow up large parts of the British economy. There would be a lot of pain for some far-off gain.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/dec/04/the-guardian-view-on-brexit-the-beginning-of-the-end
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on December 04, 2018, 10:42:27 pm
I think I posted this a few days ago but instead of 5 days of the s**t being churned out in Parliament why dont the MPs who are going to 100% vote against Mrs May just stay out of the Chamber

In that way she could SEE that she has NO CHANCE of winning that particular vote and we could all move on to whatever crap is coming next !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 05, 2018, 06:24:54 pm
That’s what I thought, to go to this degree to try and conceal what is contained in the document it must be pretty damning.

Gaz

Here's your answer.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-46455489

The legal advice is that, if no solution to the NI border is found, at the end of the transition period, NI would be in the CU and SM, but the rest of the UK wouldn't.

That's what May wants the country to sign up to.

But May thundered this time last year in full-on Churchillian mode that No British PM could agree to a deal that treated NI differently from the rest of the UK.

I remember thinking at the time that she was saying that for effect and that it would come back to bite her. It looks like it has. She has agreed to a deal which her own legal adviser says is likely to lead to precisely that outcome. And that is not what was said in the briefing that was given to Parliament by the Attourney General on Monday.

Once again, may has misled Parliament. She has welshed on the thing she promised last year. And most importantly for her future, she has ignored the wishes of the DUP. I cannot see any way that the DUP can support her Govt in future after this betrayal.  They will be f**king livid, and they are not known for letting bygones be bygones.

Get ready for, at least, May being booted out, and probably the fall of this Govt because without the DUP, they don't have a majority.

THAT is why she didn't want this document published.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 05, 2018, 06:42:23 pm
Look at paragraphs 8 and 9 here from the full disclosure of the AG's advice.

https://twitter.com/NeilGrayMP/status/1070289442613706752

"Northern Ireland will remain in the EU's Single Market for goods and the EU's customs regime and will be required to comply with all the relevant rules and standards."

"GB will no longer be a member of the EU's Single Market for goods or the EU's customs arrangements."

"GB is essentially treated as a third country by NI for goods passing from GB to NI".

Those paragraphs are the end of May's career as far as I can see. There is not a chance in a million that the DUP can go back to supporting her after she has misled them to this extent.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on December 05, 2018, 06:45:22 pm
They've said they'll back her in a confidence motion if the WA is voted down apparently. Otherwise we're staring down the barrel of a general election.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 05, 2018, 06:59:06 pm
RedJ

As far as I can see, that's not been said officially. It's Rees-Mogg who is claiming they have said that, so forgive me if I take it with a skip full of salt.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: RedJ on December 05, 2018, 07:03:38 pm
Not officially, hence the 'apparently'.

Though I'm not so sure it would be too far removed from reality, even coming from him.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on December 05, 2018, 08:40:50 pm
And now due to the latest round of Brexit shenanigans Phil Hammond has admitted that growth in the service sector - which is now our most important area- has flatlined and economists predict with be negative by the end of the year.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on December 05, 2018, 09:17:12 pm
RedJ

As far as I can see, that's not been said officially. It's Rees-Mogg who is claiming they have said that, so forgive me if I take it with a skip full of salt.

Watch Nigel Dodds on Peston tonight (spoiler alert I just watched the live show on twitter)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 05, 2018, 09:46:57 pm
I'll have a look Wilts. If the DUP forgive May after this they are less Old Testament than I thought.

Meanwhile, in the ongoing saga of the man who syphoned Kremlin money into the Leave campaign...

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-46460194
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 05, 2018, 10:07:44 pm
Right. I've been accused of not being prepared to change my mind.

But hands up. John Redwood has convinced me that the tales of economic disaster following Hard Brexit are nonsense because all these experts who spend their lives researching trade economics don't understand how factories work.

https://brexitcentral.com/scare-mongering-trading-eu-wto-terms-misunderstand-modern-factories-operate/

That's John Redwood, whose professional experience is as a city trader, 30 years being an MP and the most cringeworthy political appearance ever, when he was Welsh Secretary and pretended to mime the words to the Welsh anthem https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://m.youtube.com/watch%3Fv%3DGzBq0n8dxFQ&ved=2ahUKEwj16viN2YnfAhWLIcAKHeM5DJoQyCkwAHoECA0QBA&usg=AOvVaw0GTnFWo3MIRW3_x43y7a1q

Anyway. Redwood's convinced me. It's easy. Just In Time factories can get round the problems at ports after Brexit by...wait for it...wait for it...ordering their parts a bit earlier.

Where the f**k is Malcolm Tucker when you need him?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on December 05, 2018, 10:21:57 pm
I'll have a look Wilts. If the DUP forgive May after this they are less Old Testament than I thought.

Meanwhile, in the ongoing saga of the man who syphoned Kremlin money into the Leave campaign...

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-46460194
It's really concerning to me how few Brexit voters ever seem to address Banks and his shenanigans, and the ever-deepening level of corruption surrounding him. It's us liberal leftie elite-loving Remainiacs who are the traitors for arguing the toss about Brexit on a football forum, but the guy who pumped Russian money directly into the Brexit campaign with his offshore millions and his tax-dodging empire? There's someone with Britain's best interests at heart.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 05, 2018, 10:33:09 pm
It's that unanswered question every time MM

Why were Putin and Trump the only two world statesmen to back Hard (or any) Brexit? Why did Putin pour money into the Leave campaign through Banks?

Never once heard that point answered by a Leave supporter. And they claim to be the patriots.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 06, 2018, 08:52:17 pm
Back to the real brexit thread. Mods please shut down or merge the second brexit topic.

Looking for info on food banks I found this example of where Britain stood up to the EU and helped take back control and sovereignty I suppose.

UK government

''According to an all-party parliamentary report released in December 2014, key reasons for the increased demand for UK foodbanks are delays in paying benefits, welfare sanctions, and the recent reversal of the post-WWII trend for poor people's incomes to rise above or in line with increased costs for housing, utility bills and food.[87][88][89]

In 2013 the British government blocked a £22 million European Union fund to help finance food banks in the UK. This disappointed Labour MEP, Richard Howitt, who assisted in negotiating the fund"

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Food_bank#UK_government
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on December 07, 2018, 01:19:47 pm
I HATE Politicians and here is why ....

May has just kicked off the debate trying to sell her Deal / Agreement

She said "lets look how we got here - and mentioned the 1975 Referendum saying the People voted to stay in at that point but even then she said 33% of those voting wanted to leave " She failed to say of course that 66% or so voted to Remain a 33% Majority !!!

She then leapt to 2016 where she then said " In the biggest Democratic Vote ever held over 17.4 Million said they wanted to leave" She failed to say that was 51% or a bit more whereas nearly 49% voted to  Remain.

So she made a right meal of saying 33 % the first time round wanted to Leave whereas 49% in 2016 wanted to stay which she totally lefy out of her speech
So nearly 50% more voted to Remain the second time than the 33% that she originally highlighted from 1975 and she simply did not mention that / them.

I hate them all with a passion but especially Mrs One Liner
Strong and Stable Government (repeat ad nauseum then lose your Majority)
We must respect the will / vote of the British people (repeat ad nauseum and hope something turns up)
PLANK


I HATE Politicians Part 2 - and here is why

The PM has sent her minions here and there to sell her deal before Tuesdays crucial vote. Of course that gives them "free" hits - and chances to say " which will deliver on the Will of the British Pepole" ad nauseum

They can say anything they want without any checks and balances and say things like David Lidington MP just did. David who ?  (He sits to Mays right at PMs Questions)

" speaking to businesses today it is OBVIOUS that they want the certainty of the PMs Agreement - what they DONT WANT is the uncertainty of a No Deal and neither the uncertainty of staying in the EU"

I can understand the 2nd part of that but REALLY - they dont want the uncertainty of reverting to how we were 40 years ago 14 years ago 4 years ago 14 Weeks ago and still are. What is uncertain about that - whichever way you voted ?

I am not carping about what people voted for whether Remain or Leave just I HATE Politicians when they trawl out this s**t and probably hope we are "taken in" by it
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 08, 2018, 01:17:16 pm
More stuff for the Brexiteers to call Project Fear.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-12-07/u-k-tells-supermarkets-to-maximize-stockpiles-before-brexit?srnd=premium-europe
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 08, 2018, 11:45:33 pm
Sweet f**king Jesus.

Just when you thought May couldn't be humiliated any further...

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-12-08/theresa-may-to-announce-delay-to-brexit-vote-sunday-times?srnd=premium-europe

So let's get this right.

Her team has spent two years negotiating this deal.

She's signed off on it.

The EU has put it to the other 27 Govts, all of whom have signed off on it.

May has spent the past two weeks telling us it's the best deal in the interests of the country.

Parliament has spent the last week debating it.

Now the vote on it this Tuesday is going to be cancelled and May is going back to Brussels to ask for...a new deal.

What a God Almighty clusterf**k.

Does anyone realise how humiliated & incompetent this entire process is making us look to the rest of the world?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on December 08, 2018, 11:48:03 pm
Sweet f**king Jesus.

Just when you thought May couldn't be humiliated any further...

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-12-08/theresa-may-to-announce-delay-to-brexit-vote-sunday-times?srnd=premium-europe

So let's get this right.

Her team has spent two years negotiating this deal.

She's signed off on it.

The EU has put it to the other 27 Govts, all of whom have signed off on it.

May has spent the past two weeks telling us it's the best deal in the interests of the country.

Parliament has spent the last week debating it.

Now the vote on it this Tuesday is going to be cancelled and May is going back to Brussels to ask for...a new deal.

What a God Almighty clusterf**k.

Does anyone realise how humiliated & incompetent this entire process is making us look to the rest of the world?

Buying time to run out of time if you get what I mean
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 08, 2018, 11:54:38 pm
Exactly Filo.

She's got no way out of this. There isn't anything the EU can offer her, or SHOULD offer her now that will get her enough votes in Parliament.

It's not the EU's fault that the Tory party is an incompetent mess with a fourth-rate nonentity in charge. It's not the EU's job to bend over backwards to save her career.

If I were meeting with her in Brussels, I'd tell her to scuttle off back home and face the music. And let her country deal with the self inflicted omnishambles that May and the rest of the political right wing of this country have tipped us into.

Utterly, utterly f**king useless woman. Just GO for God's sake.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on December 09, 2018, 07:05:52 am
I'm going to deliver a Strong and Stable Goverment AND what's more I WILL deliver on the Vote of the British people to leave the EU
BUT   Utterly, utterly f**king useless woman. Just GO for God's sake - sums her up better   
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 09, 2018, 09:01:05 am
I'm going to deliver a Strong and Stable Goverment AND what's more I WILL deliver on the Vote of the British people to leave the EU
BUT   Utterly, utterly f**king useless woman. Just GO for God's sake - sums her up better   


And she had the nerve to repeatedly call voting for someone else voting for a 'coalition of chaos'!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on December 09, 2018, 09:48:35 am
YES - she did and trotted that out too every single sentence she got a chance to do so

Cant stand it when she is asked a question she does not want to answer but reverts to the same script maybe 5 or 6 times before the Interviewer decides to move on

The Nuclear Sub misfiring was one such example when she was banged to rights but instead chose to answer a completely different question loosely to do with Trident being kept as a legitimate Weapon (or some such s**t)

Found it - pathetic - should make anyone cringe except her devout Fans I suppose
 https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/video/2017/jan/22/theresa-may-dodges-question-trident-misfire-four-times-video (https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/video/2017/jan/22/theresa-may-dodges-question-trident-misfire-four-times-video)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 09, 2018, 10:10:17 am
Thing is about May, she was always a third rate politician in terms of actually getting things done, but until 2017, I'd always got the impression that she was ruthlessly capable in terms of controlling her media image.

First inkling that wasn't right was in April 2017 after she'd called the GE. One of the Sunday papers quoted an unnamed aide saying that their policy for the campaign was to keep her away from the public as she was unable to think on her feet and she'd come across as weird.

I hope that aide got a promotion for their far-sightedness. I have never seen a major politician so inept at being publicly questioned. As you say Wolf, she just repeats the same practiced answer over and over and over again. It is cringingly embarrassing to watch.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on December 09, 2018, 10:28:11 am

I hope that aide got a promotion for their far-sightedness. I have never seen a major politician so inept at being publicly questioned. As you say Wolf, she just repeats the same practiced answer over and over and over again. It is cringingly embarrassing to watch.

I have to agree - she is THE most embarrassing I can remember.

On the Nuclear Sub Video above - all she had to say the first time round is something that may have even been a Lie - such as "Andrew I am afraid there are sensitive National interests here - SO - for the moment I will not be able to answer that question"

That would be thinking on her feet - but its something she cannot do - and muppets like me can see that and hate her for it

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on December 09, 2018, 05:55:47 pm
Don’t all politicians fail to answer a question that they don’t like?

Then they always do go off at a tangent and waffle on about something else, either slightly related to it (the question) or totally about something else.

I am amazed that anyone finds it unusual.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 09, 2018, 06:10:35 pm
Hound

Have you not seen May in action?

She doesn't do that. She just repeats the same, rehearsed line to every question. It's weird and really embarrassing to watch. That's why they call her MayBot, because she sounds like a pre-programmed doll.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on December 09, 2018, 07:39:19 pm
Uuuuugh - I will not tell you the image that last phrase conjured up !

I dont want banning when I have got Super6 to run !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on December 09, 2018, 08:09:17 pm
Hound

Have you not seen May in action?

She doesn't do that. She just repeats the same, rehearsed line to every question. It's weird and really embarrassing to watch. That's why they call her MayBot, because she sounds like a pre-programmed doll.





Yeah, I have seen her.
I have to say that she does what many of the other politicians do.
I don’t trust any of them when it all comes down to it.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 10, 2018, 02:59:17 am
I would imagine most of you have seen this but anyway it's funny.


https://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-12-10/andy-serkis-takes-on-theresa-may-in-brexit-video/10599292
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on December 10, 2018, 08:15:00 am
To be fair I dont think that will be far from the truth.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: idler on December 10, 2018, 08:28:29 am
A brilliant parody but I don't think that she has a good or sensible side.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 10, 2018, 10:18:03 am
A brilliant parody but I don't think that she has a good or sensible side.
She's an enigma, not popular with the masses nor liked her own party, has few wins and comes across as though she's forgotten what happened yesterday, but she's the pm, for now anyway.

'' May later attended the University of Oxford where she read geography at St Hugh's College, graduating with a second class BA degree in 1977''

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Main_Page

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on December 10, 2018, 11:49:57 am
Look like DAYS of saying the Vote will NOT be pulled have proved stupid as well

Vote pulled according to 2 Cabinet Ministers (just now)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on December 10, 2018, 12:59:49 pm
We currently have a non functioning government, we are the laughing stock of the World, a General Elrction must be called now, too much public money has been wasted by these inepts to keep them clinging on to power, fixed term parliaments have been a disaster, another Tory ploy to keep them in power!!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Boomstick on December 10, 2018, 01:18:36 pm
We currently have a non functioning government, we are the laughing stock of the World, a General Elrction must be called now, too much public money has been wasted by these inepts to keep them clinging on to power, fixed term parliaments have been a disaster, another Tory ploy to keep them in power!!
So how would a general election help?!

Christ can you imagine Corbyn and Abbott in charge 🤣🤣.
We would definitely be a laughing stock.
We would go from a government not knowing what day it is, to a government not knowing what year it is !

Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: big fat yorkshire pudding on December 10, 2018, 01:28:25 pm
Indeed, Labour's plan is unclear and they haven't detailed just how they would get an agreement with the e.u. of course they would be just as troubled by the final deal.

If the e.u don't budge, though I suspect they will, I still see no deal more likely. My money would be an extension to the implementation of withdrawal.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 10, 2018, 01:29:35 pm
Over the next few days and weeks, every time you hear a senior Tory talking, think of it in this sense.

We're going to have to have a referendum to sort this shitshow out.

There will be no No Deal Brexit because everyone who thinks for any length of time about the consequences of that knows that it would be a catastrophe.

The senior Tories know the game is up. The referendum is coming and it will result in us putting this nervous breakdown behind us and staying in.

But the intelligent senior Tories are looking beyond this, to the implications for their own careers.

There's a lot of mileage in an unscrupulous bas**rd telling (understandably) pissed off Leave supporters that they have been cheated. That they should have hard a Hard Brexit. That the consequences of that would have been fine and they were lied to by Project Fear and cheated by duplicitous politicians. That the person telling them this story now, never wavered from his/her belief in Hard Brexit.

And the whole f**king nightmare will go on for another generation. Because there are careers depending on it. And because people like our friends in here who never engage with detailed facts, but are certain that the Remain supporters are evil, unpatriotic, treason ous cheats will lap it up.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on December 10, 2018, 01:31:34 pm
Labour leadership seems to have been dragged kicking and screaming towards a second vote. I don't see how they wouldn't go that route if they got into power. They won't say it too openly yet as they seem terrified of alienating Leave voters - as if they aren't alienated enough already - but it's what their members and the British people at large are now voting for overwhelmingly.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 10, 2018, 01:40:33 pm
There's not going to be a General Election.

We WILL have a Tory Govt with DUP support sorting out the clusterf**k that THEY got us into.

May will go.

Someone else will take over but get this clear in your heads.

Parliament will not allow a No Deal Brexit to occur.

Get that clear and the consequence  is obvious. There is now no possible way that this Parliament can support ANY deal.

Neither a softer deal which Lab would propose, or a harder deal which the Johnson wing if the Tory party would propose can get a majority.

There is no possible outcome to get us out of the impasse apart from a referendum on CLEAR AND UNAMBUGUOUS questions about what Leave means. 
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on December 10, 2018, 01:53:14 pm
We currently have a non functioning government, we are the laughing stock of the World, a General Elrction must be called now, too much public money has been wasted by these inepts to keep them clinging on to power, fixed term parliaments have been a disaster, another Tory ploy to keep them in power!!
So how would a general election help?!

Christ can you imagine Corbyn and Abbott in charge 🤣🤣.
We would definitely be a laughing stock.
We would go from a government not knowing what day it is, to a government not knowing what year it is !



Right now I’d sooner have the chuckle brothers running the Country, than these useless bas**rds in charge at the moment
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on December 10, 2018, 03:56:00 pm
Chuckle Brother.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 10, 2018, 04:00:04 pm
Hound.

I think the phrase these days is Chill Bro.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on December 10, 2018, 04:11:20 pm
Sad days when the DRFC forum would vote for a Rotherham fan over the current government.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: drfchound on December 10, 2018, 04:27:26 pm
Hound.

I think the phrase these days is Chill Bro.




Mate, you are addressing the wrong bloke with that comment.

There are plenty of you would be politicians on here getting very hot under the collar over Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 10, 2018, 04:32:09 pm
Sad days when the DRFC forum would vote for a Rotherham fan over the current government.

At least you'd get a professional clown instead of an amateur one.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 12, 2018, 02:15:03 am
Brexit study finds significant decrease in diehard leave backers

Britain Thinks research also finds number of strongest remainers has risen by 5%

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/dec/11/brexit-study-finds-significant-decrease-in-diehard-leave-backers
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 12, 2018, 11:27:13 am
https://twitter.com/cathywilcox1/status/1072595660334120963
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: turnbull for england on December 12, 2018, 06:39:45 pm
Point of order on Ireland
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on December 13, 2018, 12:03:51 am
Someone made an interesting point on twitter; Pro-Brexit Tories pushed for a 2nd vote on their leader to try and out her just 2 years after voting her in, yet they dismiss the idea of a 2nd referendum after 2 years as un-democratic?  :pinch: :facepalm:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 13, 2018, 01:53:13 am
Someone made an interesting vote point on twitter; Pro-Brexit Tories pushed for a 2nd vote on their leader to try and out her just 2 years after voting her in, yet they dismiss the idea of a 2nd referendum after 2 years as un-democratic?  :pinch: :facepalm:

Aye, circumstances and opinions never change, do they?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: tommy toes on December 13, 2018, 09:31:47 am
It's in the interests of the EU to help the push for a second referendum as it's very much in their interests for us to stay in.
So why would they make any concessions.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on December 13, 2018, 09:49:28 am
Did anyone hear the German and Polish politician on Radio 4 this morning?
When asked the German said there was no possibility of renegotiation as we had got a very good deal out of the EU. However when the Polish gentleman was asked the same question, he was very strongly of the opinion that in the interests of his country and citizens living in the UK that ANY DEAL with us would be preferable to no deal. Now this is directly the opposite of the line we are being fed by TM. So does this show who has the whip hand in the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on December 13, 2018, 10:17:26 am
did anyone else see this news: https://www.thelondoneconomic.com/news/eu-japan-trade-deal-approved-creating-worlds-largest-free-trade-area/12/12/?fbclid=IwAR1Sn6xZFuJyNzZLbWMDUpohVvt0nQ6lftPrw8KP_91h15xn0jZtcizqAAE

Seems like another very good reason to stay?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on December 13, 2018, 10:20:17 am
Michael Heseltine gets it spot on: https://twitter.com/JamesMelville/status/1073119136157450241
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 13, 2018, 01:03:07 pm
Did anyone hear the German and Polish politician on Radio 4 this morning?
When asked the German said there was no possibility of renegotiation as we had got a very good deal out of the EU. However when the Polish gentleman was asked the same question, he was very strongly of the opinion that in the interests of his country and citizens living in the UK that ANY DEAL with us would be preferable to no deal. Now this is directly the opposite of the line we are being fed by TM. So does this show who has the whip hand in the EU?


Has the thought that TM has been bullshitting us for the past two years not crossed your mind?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: albie on December 13, 2018, 11:02:53 pm
Amusing summary of the Mayfest from Mark Steel;
https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/theresa-may-brexit-deal-no-confidence-vote-eu-withdrawal-agreement-conservatives-a8682026.html

The plan is to stall until the last minute, and then say there is no time to do anything except the May deal. Thats why she is delaying the vote on her deal until January 21, the last possible moment.

So the stance of the DUP becomes pivotal.

Remember there is no government in N Ireland. Stormont was suspended because the DUP made a mess of a renewable energy scheme, and powers were transferred to Westminster.

Now the future of the Westminster May government depends upon the DUP position. You could say the DUP hold executive power.

The EU are being asked to offer a concession in favour of a imminent non member in the UK, to the disadvantage of a remaining member in Eire. Guess how that will go?

So who will fall first, Treez or the Donald?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on December 16, 2018, 08:07:04 am
Not that anyone could call may or the tories hypoctitical?

Theresa May has attacked one of her predecessors - accusing Tony Blair of "undermining" the Brexit talks by calling for another referendum.''

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46582705
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on December 16, 2018, 10:09:30 am
What do you prefer?

Jaw-jaw or war-war?

https://mobile.twitter.com/simongerman600/status/1058773358551199745
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Hounslowrover on December 16, 2018, 10:11:32 am
Not that anyone could call may or the tories hypoctitical?

Theresa May has attacked one of her predecessors - accusing Tony Blair of "undermining" the Brexit talks by calling for another referendum.''

Absolutely stunned when I heard this on the news.  What about John Major doing the same or 100+ of her party undermining her.  May is truly locked in another world.

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46582705
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on December 17, 2018, 01:04:08 pm
Here you go guys pick the bones out of this
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i9cLwoTkWes
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on December 17, 2018, 02:16:21 pm
Here you go guys pick the bones out of this
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i9cLwoTkWes

Pick the bones out of the date it was put on Youtube.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: aidanstu on February 02, 2019, 05:25:09 am
But the facts still remain don’t they?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: hoolahoop on February 02, 2019, 07:09:01 am
But the facts still remain don’t they?

The facts are that it is still a mess . On what possible grounds could they ask for an extension beyond March 29th.

" Can we leave later please because we need to make sure that we have time to offer inducements to Labour MPs in " leave " constituencies so that they will vote for the May deal ? "

Yes the endless pot of inducement monies is out again - add the above to the DUP , Nissan ' deals'.
If they are short of a bob or two - they can always speak to that nice man Arron Banks .
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on February 02, 2019, 10:47:21 am
But the facts still remain don’t they?

The facts are that it is still a mess . On what possible grounds could they ask for an extension beyond March 29th.

" Can we leave later please because we need to make sure that we have time to offer inducements to Labour MPs in " leave " constituencies so that they will vote for the May deal ? "

Yes the endless pot of inducement monies is out again - add the above to the DUP , Nissan ' deals'.
If they are short of a bob or two - they can always speak to that nice man Arron Banks .
Boris will ask for another nose extension while Mogg is getting some personality fillers.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 02, 2019, 11:37:27 am
But the facts still remain don’t they?

Facts?

Right. Here's a take on his "facts".

He quotes a think tank who said the MAXIMUM economic loss for the UK due to Brexit would be 1% of GDP.

Funny that. We've already lost 2.3% compared to the performance of comparable countries since the vote.

So I kinda lost interest at that point.

This video has been doing the rounds for 2 years. Posted by folk like Sproty, who hear what they want to hear in it, so assume it's all correct.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 02, 2019, 01:58:00 pm
But the facts still remain don’t they?


Facts?

Right. Here's a take on his "facts".


He quotes a think tank who said the MAXIMUM economic loss for the UK due to Brexit would be 1% of GDP.

Funny that. We've already lost 2.3% compared to the performance of comparable countries since the vote.

So I kinda lost interest at that point.

This video has been doing the rounds for 2 years. Posted by folk like Sproty, who hear what they want to hear in it, so assume it's all correct.


People like Sprotyrover?

We have had some banter on this forum and you think You know me well enough to make comments like that!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 02, 2019, 02:14:44 pm
You posted that video Sproty. You are one of the many people who posted that very deceptive video. People like you have been posting nonsense like that for two years.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Muttley on February 02, 2019, 04:57:35 pm
More Project “Fact”!

(https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20190202/cff043f24efb347df45bf9775df7ba69.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Sprotyrover on February 02, 2019, 05:56:51 pm
You posted that video Sproty. You are one of the many people who posted that very deceptive video. People like you have been posting nonsense like that for two years.
b
Ooooh dear Mr Kettle calling Frying Pan!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 02, 2019, 06:29:22 pm
As you wish Sproty. Do you want to point out the examples of stuff I've posted that's false or deceptive?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on February 03, 2019, 02:23:24 pm
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2019/01/31/german-anger-builds-dangerous-handling-brexit-euideologues/amp/
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on February 03, 2019, 02:31:13 pm
https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/1081462/brexit-news-latest-deal-vote-EU-UK-no-deal-theresa-may/amp Maybe gives us scope to get a better end result
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 03, 2019, 02:42:52 pm
https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/1081462/brexit-news-latest-deal-vote-EU-UK-no-deal-theresa-may/amp Maybe gives us scope to get a better end result

Bpool

Read that article. Read it again. Then go out for a walk. Have a cuppa. Then read it again.

And then ask yourself what there is in what the Governor of the Bank of Italy actually said that justifies that headline and the sensationalist first paragraph.

Once again, the Express is treating you like an idiot.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bpoolrover on February 03, 2019, 02:59:47 pm
What about the telegraph one do you have a opinion on that
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 03, 2019, 03:13:38 pm
I can't read the full article. It's behind a paywall.

I assume it's talking about the fact that one German think tank has suggested that the EU change its entire negotiating stance.

I'm not sure what you want me to say about that. It's nigh on irrelevant given where we are now.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: big fat yorkshire pudding on February 03, 2019, 03:59:44 pm
More Project “Fact”!

(https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20190202/cff043f24efb347df45bf9775df7ba69.jpg)

Or 2+2=5?

They are saying that the model won't be built anywhere in the eu so not necessarily linked.  Interesting more so that they build all the diesel engine cars there with petrol outside the eu. Interesting given the desire to not have diesel engines.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 03, 2019, 04:07:10 pm
BFYP

Presumably Nissan are also in on the Project Fear con then, given that their press release today said:

 “The continued uncertainty around the UK’s future relationship with the EU is not helping companies like ours to plan for the future.”
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: big fat yorkshire pudding on February 03, 2019, 05:06:51 pm
BFYP

Presumably Nissan are also in on the Project Fear con then, given that their press release today said:

 “The continued uncertainty around the UK’s future relationship with the EU is not helping companies like ours to plan for the future.”

They have said that, but they're not going to come out and say actually they're losing sales particularly in Europe and off diesel models are they?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 03, 2019, 05:07:50 pm
Fair point.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: selby on February 04, 2019, 06:02:19 pm
The main reason is they are taking the manufacture of that model to where the market for the car will be, the far east countries that will not hammer the diesel car owners.
   I see that pillock has jumped onto the band wagon and has said how disappointed he is that Sunderland has lost the contract to make diesel cars because of Brexit, while taxing them  out of London.
   Stand up the Lord Mayor of London, who with other politicians are the one single reason for car sales of diesel cars to plummet in this country.
   And I predict will be the reason for a massive slump in the economy of London in the near future, and an increase in cloned cars with false number plates and no insurance and tax in the south east of England.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 04, 2019, 06:27:48 pm
I wonder why you've chosen to have a rant about the Mayor of London on this topic?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: wilts rover on February 04, 2019, 06:40:33 pm
Not true Selby. The X-Trail was originally planned to be built both in Japan and Sunderland.

However the EU-Japan free trade deal concluded last week now means there will be no tariffs for the export of the Japanese made one into the European market. So clearly with the risk of a No Deal Brexit and UK made cars attracting tarrifs, together with the volume of cars they expect to sell, it is not financially viable for them to make a new production line in the UK. And give up £60m from the UK government in the process it has emerged today.

All those politicians putting air quality and public health before shareholders profit - disgraceful eh.

Still I am a bit confused as to why Brexiteers are complaining about this. Rees-Mogg and Mitford said that a hard Brexit would mean the end of the motor industry in the UK, so whats the problem about that coming true? It's what you voted for?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Draytonian III on February 05, 2019, 12:01:11 am
Has anybody read every page of this post 119 ? If so what does it mean ?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Donnywolf on February 05, 2019, 09:37:04 am
NO - I dip into it periodicaly but - NO
I am guessing it means we are as split on here as much as the divisive Referendum held in 2016 suggests
Dont forget there is the other "splinter" Thread with getting o for half as many Pages and that is the same - split roughly 50 50
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on February 05, 2019, 03:40:03 pm
Jacob Reece Mogg sings Common Market:

https://twitter.com/PoliticsJOE_UK/status/1092740115716362241

:lol:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on February 19, 2019, 09:30:45 am
Sony
Dyson
Panasonic
Lloyds
Unilever
Goldman Sachs
Barclays
Airbus
Flybmi
P&O
HSBC
JP Morgan
UBS
Ford
Hitachi
Toshiba
AXA
Honda
Moneygram
Philips
European Banking Authority
European Medicines Agency
Bank of America

What do they have all have in common? Hint: apparently it's nothing to do with Brexit
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: MachoMadness on February 20, 2019, 11:33:05 am
"Scaremongering".  :whistle:
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: bobjimwilly on February 20, 2019, 12:26:32 pm
The shit just gets deeper...

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/feb/19/brexit-uk-will-apply-food-tariffs-in-case-of-no-deal-michael-gove-says
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Glyn_Wigley on February 20, 2019, 03:35:25 pm
The shit just gets deeper...

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/feb/19/brexit-uk-will-apply-food-tariffs-in-case-of-no-deal-michael-gove-says

I can't believe people think this is news! I was saying this before the referendum. But apparently I 'didn't know what was going to happen'.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: foxbat on February 20, 2019, 04:22:21 pm
Yes. It's like saying throw yourself off the North Bridge.
It'll  be alright  - because ' nobody knows what's going to happen ' !
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 20, 2019, 04:54:46 pm
No it isn't. Everybody knows that wouldn't produce anything positive.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 20, 2019, 05:10:01 pm
No BB. That's only a prediction by people who think about the likely consequences.

But what do they know? How many of them have ever chucked themselves off the North Bridge?

Who's to say the Heavenly Host wouldn't swoop down and save you?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: foxbat on February 21, 2019, 01:16:45 pm
' heavenly host' is a very relevant metaphor. No Brexiteer has been even able to give me even 1fact related and verifiable positive outcome of Brexit.
Usually ends up with ' we won the war '
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 21, 2019, 04:08:56 pm
No BB. That's only a prediction by people who think about the likely consequences.

But what do they know? How many of them have ever chucked themselves off the North Bridge?

Who's to say the Heavenly Host wouldn't swoop down and save you?
None of them have chucked themselves off North bridge because, based on fact it wouldn't produce anything positive. The consequenses of Brexit is based on opinion, not fact.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Not Now Kato on February 21, 2019, 05:09:52 pm
No BB. That's only a prediction by people who think about the likely consequences.

But what do they know? How many of them have ever chucked themselves off the North Bridge?

Who's to say the Heavenly Host wouldn't swoop down and save you?
None of them have chucked themselves off North bridge because, based on fact it wouldn't produce anything positive. The consequenses of Brexit is based on opinion, not fact.

So, the companies who say they have have moved all or part of their business from the UK to the EU because of Brexit is not based on fact, is not negative and that they are simply lying?
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 21, 2019, 06:45:38 pm
No BB. That's only a prediction by people who think about the likely consequences.

But what do they know? How many of them have ever chucked themselves off the North Bridge?

Who's to say the Heavenly Host wouldn't swoop down and save you?
None of them have chucked themselves off North bridge because, based on fact it wouldn't produce anything positive. The consequenses of Brexit is based on opinion, not fact.

How do YOU know nothing positive would come from it? They might learn to levitate. That would be marvellous.

Similarly, we've heard today that leaving the EU means our current Free Trade Agreements with Japan, Canada and Turkey will lapse, making our ports and exports with them more expensive and more bureaucratic. But we ARE going to have FTAs with the Faroe Islands and Palestine and you can't prove that our trade with them won't explode and make up what we are going to lose from the others.

Because, as you've been consistently telling us for the past 2 years, you can't predict the future.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 21, 2019, 08:57:43 pm
No BB. That's only a prediction by people who think about the likely consequences.

But what do they know? How many of them have ever chucked themselves off the North Bridge?

Who's to say the Heavenly Host wouldn't swoop down and save you?
None of them have chucked themselves off North bridge because, based on fact it wouldn't produce anything positive. The consequenses of Brexit is based on opinion, not fact.

So, the companies who say they have have moved all or part of their business from the UK to the EU because of Brexit is not based on fact, is not negative and that they are simply lying?

I'm saying it's not like jumping off North bridge!
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 21, 2019, 09:23:56 pm
No BB. That's only a prediction by people who think about the likely consequences.

But what do they know? How many of them have ever chucked themselves off the North Bridge?

Who's to say the Heavenly Host wouldn't swoop down and save you?
None of them have chucked themselves off North bridge because, based on fact it wouldn't produce anything positive. The consequenses of Brexit is based on opinion, not fact.

How do YOU know nothing positive would come from it? They might learn to levitate. That would be marvellous.

Similarly, we've heard today that leaving the EU means our current Free Trade Agreements with Japan, Canada and Turkey will lapse, making our ports and exports with them more expensive and more bureaucratic. But we ARE going to have FTAs with the Faroe Islands and Palestine and you can't prove that our trade with them won't explode and make up what we are going to lose from the others.

Because, as you've been consistently telling us for the past 2 years, you can't predict the future.

No owd lad, I haven't said you can't predict the future. You can predict the future. Sometimes you can make more accurate predictions by basing them on facts gathered from results of similar events in the past - like jumping off a bridge.

Brexit's not like that.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on February 21, 2019, 09:50:51 pm
I know this might be hard to grasp, but there are LOTS of examples of countries making decisions that make it easier or harder to trade with other countries. And the economic effects of international trade are some of the best known and best confirmed effects in the whole of economics.

So yeah. No-one has precisely done Brexiters before. But the predictions of the effect are based on decades of evidence. And the predictions that were made about what would happen between the vote and now have been pretty much bang on.

So. Back to the North Bridge.

Has anyone ever jumped off precisely the point on the North Bridge that our hypothetical suicidal bloke is thinking of jumping off from? No. But we've seen the effects of people jumping off other bridges before. So we can have a decent stab at predicting what will happen.

And I'd predict this. When he first jumps off, well before he hits the ground, he'll accelerate downwards for a bit.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 22, 2019, 06:58:28 am
Nay lad, the gravity of the situation is far greater if you choose to jump off said bridge, even in your state of perpetual negative predicting. Of course you know that otherwise you'd have already jumped.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: SydneyRover on February 22, 2019, 07:24:11 am
Just in: Dyson's move offshore to leave a vacuum in UK manufacturing.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Axholme Lion on February 22, 2019, 12:08:06 pm
Just in: Dyson's move offshore to leave a vacuum in UK manufacturing.

That sucks.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Bentley Bullet on February 22, 2019, 03:46:48 pm
....And to think he got a knighthood for being an upright type with no baggage. What a shark.
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: Filo on February 24, 2019, 05:05:08 pm
No vote until 12th March now, running the clock down again
Title: Re: Brexit Negotiations
Post by: The Red Baron on February 24, 2019, 05:37:53 pm
Interesting that the EU is proposing offering an extension.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-02-24/eu-is-said-to-mull-idea-of-proposing-brexit-extension-to-2021