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Interesting article in todays' DFP, looking at how often we win when certain players are playing. The players who get the most wins when they start are the most 'valuable'. The top 3 won't be a surprise to anyone:1. Hume2. Keegan3. Husbandbut 4th and 5th are very surprising.4. Harper5. BennettAlso interesting, Copps has been widely praised since his return, yet he has the lowest win/start ratio in the squad. I know, lies, damn lies and statistics and all that, but it makes for interesting reading. What do the resident stats gurus make of this? Makes you think, maybe Harper isn't as useless as he seems, or is it all just coincidental?
Firstly, statistics in football can basically be used to show anything or anyone is this or that, is essential to the team, is not essential to the team. There is rarely any kind of rigorous analysis on the nature of football actually being a team game.Secondly, your average football fan can simply not handle statistics. They don't equate with the short-term (knee-jerk) way in which football fans think and/or make judgements (and increasingly chairmans). The habitual patterns of a football fans mind are fundamentally different to that which would be able to understand statistics in context.Thirdly, there is never any rigour, or any evidence of rigour, applied to these statistics. Did they test for significance, use control samples or even apply any kind of basic checks on what they are claiming? No. So they are basically talking about unsubstantiated opinions with numbers attached to give them superficial validity.
Quote from: Rovers-on-Thames on March 14, 2013, 06:32:39 pmFirstly, statistics in football can basically be used to show anything or anyone is this or that, is essential to the team, is not essential to the team. There is rarely any kind of rigorous analysis on the nature of football actually being a team game.Secondly, your average football fan can simply not handle statistics. They don't equate with the short-term (knee-jerk) way in which football fans think and/or make judgements (and increasingly chairmans). The habitual patterns of a football fans mind are fundamentally different to that which would be able to understand statistics in context.Thirdly, there is never any rigour, or any evidence of rigour, applied to these statistics. Did they test for significance, use control samples or even apply any kind of basic checks on what they are claiming? No. So they are basically talking about unsubstantiated opinions with numbers attached to give them superficial validity.How long have you been working in statistics & data handling now? 7 years isn't it?
How long have you been working in statistics & data handling now? 7 years isn't it?
Quote from: River Don on March 14, 2013, 06:41:36 pmHow long have you been working in statistics & data handling now? 7 years isn't it?I have had to develop a lot of skills during my career, correct. A lot of them are self-taught. Some friends have described me as an alpha-male with a feminine touch, but I don't like to talk about myself too much. You shouldn't feel intimidated just because I have certain expertise.
Quote from: Rovers-on-Thames on March 14, 2013, 06:52:01 pmQuote from: River Don on March 14, 2013, 06:41:36 pmHow long have you been working in statistics & data handling now? 7 years isn't it?I have had to develop a lot of skills during my career, correct. A lot of them are self-taught. Some friends have described me as an alpha-male with a feminine touch, but I don't like to talk about myself too much. You shouldn't feel intimidated just because I have certain expertise.You are MadMick/MJDSmeg and I claim my £5.
Wouldn't Sulli have 100% record?
Or take Cotterills goals and Assists out and see where we would be in the league.I may have go at that tonight if the telly is slow...
A pointless piece in the Free Press, do they watch the games?Also, how shit does the "all new" Free Press look?