Viking Supporters Co-operative

Viking Chat => Viking Chat => Topic started by: Alan Southstand on October 28, 2023, 11:00:20 pm

Title: 10 Points
Post by: Alan Southstand on October 28, 2023, 11:00:20 pm
I notice our league position after today’s games - 10 points off the bottom and 10 points from 2nd place.

Funny old game!
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: Bentley Bullet on October 29, 2023, 03:44:07 pm
I suppose statistically that means we're bang average!
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: Nudga on October 29, 2023, 05:08:12 pm
I suppose statistically that means we're bang average!

It doesn't feel like it though, I think we're a couple of players short of getting that consistency of putting 4 or 5 wins together.
If we can keep within touching distance of the play off places by January then I think we'll be in a fantastic position for a good run in.

Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: Goole Rover on October 29, 2023, 05:28:10 pm
I suppose statistically that means we're bang average!
We’re doomed, doomed a sey.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: GazLaz on October 29, 2023, 05:40:43 pm
We will end up with between 61 and 65 points.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: Campsall rover on October 29, 2023, 05:51:13 pm
We will end up with between 61 and 65 points.
Pessimist.  ;)  I hope you’re wrong and we get at least 72 which will almost certainly be needed for top 7
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: dickos1 on October 29, 2023, 05:52:05 pm
We will end up with between 61 and 65 points.

I think we’ll end up with between 70 and 75 points
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: dickos1 on October 29, 2023, 05:55:01 pm
Last ten games were getting 1.8 points per game, even if we don’t improve on that we will end up with 74 points.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: Chris Black come back on October 29, 2023, 06:18:17 pm
We have played a lot of dross in those last 10 games including the current bottom four (Sutton, Tranmere, Forest Green and Grimsby).
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: Campsall rover on October 29, 2023, 06:53:51 pm
We have played a lot of dross in those last 10 games including the current bottom four (Sutton, Tranmere, Forest Green and Grimsby).
What’s your point CBcb. 
And we won all 4 of those games above.

We have 23 teams to play twice. It is how many points we have after 46 games, that’s all that counts.
Who we get 3 points off is not terribly relevant.
In the 1st 8 games all the teams we played were sitting in the top 8 when we played them except Harrogate as we were all on zero in the 1st game.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: big fat yorkshire pudding on October 29, 2023, 06:59:25 pm
I think if we can get to the top 10 this season that's good progress ready for a really good go at it next season.

I'd say we have better players than some.of those up the top but they have momentum, we are just starting to get some now.

Whilst we've done ok against some of the poorer teams we've not done much against those up there (results wise rather than performances) bar a hard earned point against Mansfield.  Though I'd argue we'd have more chance if the injury list was smaller.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: Campsall rover on October 29, 2023, 07:09:00 pm
I think if we can get to the top 10 this season that's good progress ready for a really good go at it next season.

I'd say we have better players than some.of those up the top but they have momentum, we are just starting to get some now.

Whilst we've done ok against some of the poorer teams we've not done much against those up there (results wise rather than performances) bar a hard earned point against Mansfield.  Though I'd argue we'd have more chance if the injury list was smaller.
We played all those better teams when our team had only just been assembled.
If we played those same teams now how many points would we get?
We got 2 points from the 1st 7 games. I would be confident we would get at least 9 if we played them in the next 7 games.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: dickos1 on October 29, 2023, 07:22:10 pm
We have played a lot of dross in those last 10 games including the current bottom four (Sutton, Tranmere, Forest Green and Grimsby).

We’ve also played Stockport, Crawley, Wrexham,
 
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: dickos1 on October 29, 2023, 07:23:48 pm
I think if we can get to the top 10 this season that's good progress ready for a really good go at it next season.

I'd say we have better players than some.of those up the top but they have momentum, we are just starting to get some now.

Whilst we've done ok against some of the poorer teams we've not done much against those up there (results wise rather than performances) bar a hard earned point against Mansfield.  Though I'd argue we'd have more chance if the injury list was smaller.

Gillingham and Crawley were both in the top 3 when we played them, Swindon were up there too
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 29, 2023, 07:45:09 pm
I think if we can get to the top 10 this season that's good progress ready for a really good go at it next season.

I'd say we have better players than some.of those up the top but they have momentum, we are just starting to get some now.

Whilst we've done ok against some of the poorer teams we've not done much against those up there (results wise rather than performances) bar a hard earned point against Mansfield.  Though I'd argue we'd have more chance if the injury list was smaller.

Gillingham and Crawley were both in the top 3 when we played them, Swindon were up there too

The Swindon match wasn't in our last 10.

It's clear that we've had, on balance, an easier than average ten games. Regardless of that, we've still done well to gain 18 points. But we'll need to up our standard to keep that average up for the rest of the season. It's not easy to "just" keep gaining points at a rate that would put you in the top 4 over a full season.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: Chris Black come back on October 29, 2023, 08:18:28 pm
I think if we can get to the top 10 this season that's good progress ready for a really good go at it next season.

I'd say we have better players than some.of those up the top but they have momentum, we are just starting to get some now.

Whilst we've done ok against some of the poorer teams we've not done much against those up there (results wise rather than performances) bar a hard earned point against Mansfield.  Though I'd argue we'd have more chance if the injury list was smaller.

Agree with this.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: dickos1 on October 29, 2023, 11:03:03 pm
I think if we can get to the top 10 this season that's good progress ready for a really good go at it next season.

I'd say we have better players than some.of those up the top but they have momentum, we are just starting to get some now.

Whilst we've done ok against some of the poorer teams we've not done much against those up there (results wise rather than performances) bar a hard earned point against Mansfield.  Though I'd argue we'd have more chance if the injury list was smaller.

Gillingham and Crawley were both in the top 3 when we played them, Swindon were up there too

The Swindon match wasn't in our last 10.

It's clear that we've had, on balance, an easier than average ten games. Regardless of that, we've still done well to gain 18 points. But we'll need to up our standard to keep that average up for the rest of the season. It's not easy to "just" keep gaining points at a rate that would put you in the top 4 over a full season.

Impossible to agree with that when we’ve played 3 teams who were 1st, 2nd and 4th in those ten games. And also the favourites to win the title.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 30, 2023, 12:06:26 am
I think if we can get to the top 10 this season that's good progress ready for a really good go at it next season.

I'd say we have better players than some.of those up the top but they have momentum, we are just starting to get some now.

Whilst we've done ok against some of the poorer teams we've not done much against those up there (results wise rather than performances) bar a hard earned point against Mansfield.  Though I'd argue we'd have more chance if the injury list was smaller.

Gillingham and Crawley were both in the top 3 when we played them, Swindon were up there too

The Swindon match wasn't in our last 10.

It's clear that we've had, on balance, an easier than average ten games. Regardless of that, we've still done well to gain 18 points. But we'll need to up our standard to keep that average up for the rest of the season. It's not easy to "just" keep gaining points at a rate that would put you in the top 4 over a full season.

Impossible to agree with that when we’ve played 3 teams who were 1st, 2nd and 4th in those ten games. And also the favourites to win the title.


It IS impossible to agree with it if you only look at selected facts that support what you want to decide is true.

We've also played sides that were
13th, 16th, 19th, 20th, 21st and 23rd in the last 10 matches. Including 4 of the current 6 shortest odds side for relegation. We've won 12 of the 18 points in the last ten games against the sides currently occupying the bottom 4.

It IS possible to be positive and optimistic about this run while still being realistic. We've done well to turn our form round given the injury situation. But we will need to be a fair bit better to carry on winning points at the rate of a top 3-4 side when the fixtures level out. That's all I'm saying.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: colincramb on October 30, 2023, 05:05:47 am
Wasting your time I feel BST.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: IDM on October 30, 2023, 10:12:06 am
Let’s not forget we were rock bottom only a few weeks ago, so we have been beating teams with similar performance records to ours.

Like a wedding in Barnsley, it’s all relative..
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: dickos1 on October 30, 2023, 10:41:31 am
I think if we can get to the top 10 this season that's good progress ready for a really good go at it next season.

I'd say we have better players than some.of those up the top but they have momentum, we are just starting to get some now.

Whilst we've done ok against some of the poorer teams we've not done much against those up there (results wise rather than performances) bar a hard earned point against Mansfield.  Though I'd argue we'd have more chance if the injury list was smaller.

Gillingham and Crawley were both in the top 3 when we played them, Swindon were up there too

The Swindon match wasn't in our last 10.

It's clear that we've had, on balance, an easier than average ten games. Regardless of that, we've still done well to gain 18 points. But we'll need to up our standard to keep that average up for the rest of the season. It's not easy to "just" keep gaining points at a rate that would put you in the top 4 over a full season.

Impossible to agree with that when we’ve played 3 teams who were 1st, 2nd and 4th in those ten games. And also the favourites to win the title.


It IS impossible to agree with it if you only look at selected facts that support what you want to decide is true.

We've also played sides that were
13th, 16th, 19th, 20th, 21st and 23rd in the last 10 matches. Including 4 of the current 6 shortest odds side for relegation. We've won 12 of the 18 points in the last ten games against the sides currently occupying the bottom 4.

It IS possible to be positive and optimistic about this run while still being realistic. We've done well to turn our form round given the injury situation. But we will need to be a fair bit better to carry on winning points at the rate of a top 3-4 side when the fixtures level out. That's all I'm saying.

The point is, in any stretch of 10 games you’re going to be playing teams near the top and teams near the bottom.
So a run of ten games is going to be similar at whatever point of the season, so it’s daft to suggest these ten games were easy as we played a lot of dross, we also played sides at the top of the table.

The next ten is arguably on paper easier than this ten, but looking at the runs of ten games until the end, this one is certainly not filled with anymore dross than any other run.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 30, 2023, 10:56:24 am
Dickos.

I didn't say the run was "easy". Reading what other people write would be a good start.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: graingrover on October 30, 2023, 11:02:12 am
That’s how the world is ..for some we are doomed for others life is worth living!
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: dickos1 on October 30, 2023, 11:13:23 am
Dickos.

I didn't say the run was "easy". Reading what other people write would be a good start.

The whole conversation was started with someone suggesting we’ve only played dross in these ten games
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: Chris Black come back on October 30, 2023, 11:22:07 am
Dickos.

I didn't say the run was "easy". Reading what other people write would be a good start.

The whole conversation was started with someone suggesting we’ve only played dross in these ten games

Nobody said that. It’s a made up statement.

What was said was that “a lot of dross” had been played. Which is correct given 40pc of that run was against the very worst sides in League Two, namely the current bottom four.

This is not to diminish an excellent run. It is to put this in context with fact and objectivity, not just making up statements.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 30, 2023, 11:44:28 am
I'm struggling to see how the next ten games are easier than the ten we've just had.

In the next ten games, 5 are against sides currently in the top 7. Four of those are away.

Seven of those ten are against sides in the top half - 5 of them away.

We play only 3 sides currently in the bottom half. Only one of those is in the bottom 8.

If we get 18 points from that run, we will be doing VERY well.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: adamtherover on October 30, 2023, 12:58:40 pm
As mentioned previously, if we are anywhere near top 7 after 30 games, it's all to play for, as there's only one realistic playoff contender to meet in the last 4  months of the season...
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: drfchound on October 30, 2023, 01:21:39 pm
When talking about runs of ten games or how well or otherwise we have done in games already played it should be factored in how well WE are now playing.
I think it is fair to say that the confidence within the team will be greater now than it was during the early part of the season and that in itself will be making a difference.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: Campsall rover on October 30, 2023, 01:49:27 pm
As mentioned previously, if we are anywhere near top 7 after 30 games, it's all to play for, as there's only one realistic playoff contender to meet in the last 4  months of the season...
How do you know Adam who will be a play off contender in the last 4 months?

Some may think Rovers now 17th are not contenders. I think we will be contenders.
Could there be another team that comes with a late run. Absolutely there could be.

It’s crazy suggesting one match is easier than another. On paper it might be. Football isn’t played on paper.

So no one can tell me we will definitely beat Sutton Utd away when we play them and we will lose to Stockport at home when that game comes round. Every chance the opposite will happen.
I have watched far too many football matches in the last 61 seasons to know the unpredictable nature of the beautiful game.
That’s what makes it the great game it is.

23 teams to play twice. Go out to try and win every game. Get as many points as possible. End of.   :that:
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: GazLaz on October 30, 2023, 02:13:40 pm
We are not a 1.8 points per game team. How many points you get in the short term doesn’t always correlate with performance. We’ve over performed points wise. We are a 1.4-1.5 points per game team.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: DonnyBazR0ver on October 30, 2023, 02:47:28 pm
Last 6 matches 12 points, last 8  = 15 points, last 10 = 18pts.

It's an improving picture and in those last 10 we've played a variety of teams.

The next few games we play some teams in the bunch above us up to 9th spot where only 3 points separate 9 teams.

If we come out of this next 6 games on current form, it will set us up for those end of December matches v Bradford, Notts Co and Mansfield.  Beating any of those three would be a bonus and will put us right in the mix for the play offs at least.

Big IFs, but no reason why we can't maintain 1.8 points per game at least.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: Barmby Rover on October 30, 2023, 02:51:32 pm
6 points from the play-off places, 10 from the bottom 2. Not a bad reversal of form from the first 7 matches. Credit where it is due, the management and depleted squad have done a good job over the last month and a half or so.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: adamtherover on October 30, 2023, 05:29:37 pm
As mentioned previously, if we are anywhere near top 7 after 30 games, it's all to play for, as there's only one realistic playoff contender to meet in the last 4  months of the season...
How do you know Adam who will be a play off contender in the last 4 months?

Some may think Rovers now 17th are not contenders. I think we will be contenders.
Could there be another team that comes with a late run. Absolutely there could be.

It’s crazy suggesting one match is easier than another. On paper it might be. Football isn’t played on paper.

So no one can tell me we will definitely beat Sutton Utd away when we play them and we will lose to Stockport at home when that game comes round. Every chance the opposite will happen.
I have watched far too many football matches in the last 61 seasons to know the unpredictable nature of the beautiful game.
That’s what makes it the great game it is.

23 teams to play twice. Go out to try and win every game. Get as many points as possible. End of.   :that:

hence why I said realistic play off, contenders,   the 7 who the bookies have down as faves to finish top 7.. obviously no guarantees...
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on October 30, 2023, 05:33:38 pm
We are not a 1.8 points per game team. How many points you get in the short term doesn’t always correlate with performance. We’ve over performed points wise. We are a 1.4-1.5 points per game team.

This.

We've won 12 points from 4 games against the worst 4 sides in the division.

We've won 8 points from 12 games against everyone else.

There's nothing yet in our performances that says we are a top 3-4 side over an average set of fixtures. Probably more like a 11-12th place side.

That's not to say that we can't improve on that as players hopefully return to availability. Having Hurst as an option made all the difference on Saturday.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: NickDRFC on October 30, 2023, 05:38:42 pm
As mentioned previously, if we are anywhere near top 7 after 30 games, it's all to play for, as there's only one realistic playoff contender to meet in the last 4  months of the season...
How do you know Adam who will be a play off contender in the last 4 months?

Some may think Rovers now 17th are not contenders. I think we will be contenders.
Could there be another team that comes with a late run. Absolutely there could be.

It’s crazy suggesting one match is easier than another. On paper it might be. Football isn’t played on paper.

So no one can tell me we will definitely beat Sutton Utd away when we play them and we will lose to Stockport at home when that game comes round. Every chance the opposite will happen.
I have watched far too many football matches in the last 61 seasons to know the unpredictable nature of the beautiful game.
That’s what makes it the great game it is.

23 teams to play twice. Go out to try and win every game. Get as many points as possible. End of.   :that:


On the contrary I’d say it’s crazy to suggest that one match isn’t easier than the other. How can you say that playing certain teams isn’t easier than others? There’s no such thing as a dead cert on football but getting a win is much more likely against a poorer/lower placed team in the table.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: adamtherover on October 30, 2023, 05:50:22 pm
As mentioned previously, if we are anywhere near top 7 after 30 games, it's all to play for, as there's only one realistic playoff contender to meet in the last 4  months of the season...
How do you know Adam who will be a play off contender in the last 4 months?

Some may think Rovers now 17th are not contenders. I think we will be contenders.
Could there be another team that comes with a late run. Absolutely there could be.

It’s crazy suggesting one match is easier than another. On paper it might be. Football isn’t played on paper.

So no one can tell me we will definitely beat Sutton Utd away when we play them and we will lose to Stockport at home when that game comes round. Every chance the opposite will happen.
I have watched far too many football matches in the last 61 seasons to know the unpredictable nature of the beautiful game.
That’s what makes it the great game it is.

23 teams to play twice. Go out to try and win every game. Get as many points as possible. End of.   :that:


On the contrary I’d say it’s crazy to suggest that one match isn’t easier than the other. How can you say that playing certain teams isn’t easier than others? There’s no such thing as a dead cert on football but getting a win is much more likely against a poorer/lower placed team in the table.
last game of the season and we need a win to make play offs, do we want to play Stockport who need a win to be champs,  or Sutton who are already relegated?  Timings of when you play teams is also a consideration..
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: The Red Baron on October 30, 2023, 05:58:38 pm
I think if we can get to the top 10 this season that's good progress ready for a really good go at it next season.

I'd say we have better players than some.of those up the top but they have momentum, we are just starting to get some now.

Whilst we've done ok against some of the poorer teams we've not done much against those up there (results wise rather than performances) bar a hard earned point against Mansfield.  Though I'd argue we'd have more chance if the injury list was smaller.

I agree. I think because we were allowed to fall so far over the preceding two-and-a-half seasons, it's going to be a two-season job to get back into contention for promotion to League One.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: belton rover on October 30, 2023, 06:09:41 pm
I think there is often too much emphasis put on who we beat and who we lose to in attempts to analyse where we might end up. If we’d beaten top sides and lost to bottom sides rather than the other way around, there’d be outrage on here because we were only up for the big games.
We had an awful start that has been turned around  and I expect us to get better as the season progresses.
For me, it’s really that simple.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: Alan Southstand on October 30, 2023, 06:46:44 pm
There’s also the additional factor of the January window, which is a complete unknown, presently. A couple of quality players in the right areas and we may be in for an exciting second half of the season.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: Campsall rover on October 30, 2023, 07:19:13 pm
As mentioned previously, if we are anywhere near top 7 after 30 games, it's all to play for, as there's only one realistic playoff contender to meet in the last 4  months of the season...
How do you know Adam who will be a play off contender in the last 4 months?

Some may think Rovers now 17th are not contenders. I think we will be contenders.
Could there be another team that comes with a late run. Absolutely there could be.

It’s crazy suggesting one match is easier than another. On paper it might be. Football isn’t played on paper.

So no one can tell me we will definitely beat Sutton Utd away when we play them and we will lose to Stockport at home when that game comes round. Every chance the opposite will happen.
I have watched far too many football matches in the last 61 seasons to know the unpredictable nature of the beautiful game.
That’s what makes it the great game it is.

23 teams to play twice. Go out to try and win every game. Get as many points as possible. End of.   :that:


On the contrary I’d say it’s crazy to suggest that one match isn’t easier than the other. How can you say that playing certain teams isn’t easier than others? There’s no such thing as a dead cert on football but getting a win is much more likely against a poorer/lower placed team in the table.
last game of the season and we need a win to make play offs, do we want to play Stockport who need a win to be champs,  or Sutton who are already relegated?  Timings of when you play teams is also a consideration..
Well we are playing Gillingham away. Our 2nd worst bogey team to Reading in the entire EFL.
So shall we not not bother turning up?  No of course not. Who knows where Gillingham will be in the table.
My guess would be between 9th and 14th but who knows they could be much higher or much lower.
Would they be a good team to play on the last day if we needed a point or 3? 



Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: Campsall rover on October 30, 2023, 07:33:57 pm
I think there is often too much emphasis put on who we beat and who we lose to in attempts to analyse where we might end up. If we’d beaten top sides and lost to bottom sides rather than the other way around, there’d be outrage on here because we were only up for the big games.
We had an awful start that has been turned around  and I expect us to get better as the season progresses.
For me, it’s really that simple.
That’s well put Belton. I am thinking exactly that.

If we had played the 1st 7 games in the last 7 we have played we would have got far more points.
We were and still are a team that’s getting to know each other. That takes time.
Instead of the 2 points we got from those 7 games, let’s say we got 9 then just look where we would be in the table now not 17th but 6th
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: ravenrover on October 31, 2023, 12:36:30 pm
There’s also the additional factor of the January window, which is a complete unknown, presently. A couple of quality players in the right areas and we may be in for an exciting second half of the season.
as may a few other teams currently not in the mix
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: GazLaz on March 18, 2024, 09:19:12 pm
We will end up with between 61 and 65 points.

Now we are entering the run in, interesting looking back to see peoples predictions. I’m going to be mighty close with 61-65 I feel.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: Alan Southstand on March 18, 2024, 10:08:52 pm
There’s also the additional factor of the January window, which is a complete unknown, presently. A couple of quality players in the right areas and we may be in for an exciting second half of the season.
as may a few other teams currently not in the mix

Not exactly a bad statement to make, back in October, when you consider how our season has changed since January! Obviously, one or two Clubs have picked up also, but our performances have changed dramatically for the better.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: Jonathan on March 18, 2024, 10:32:16 pm
We will end up with between 61 and 65 points.

Now we are entering the run in, interesting looking back to see peoples predictions. I’m going to be mighty close with 61-65 I feel.

Not every prediction has been that good though, you did suggest we may come to rue our January recruitment come the end of the season.

Edit / Update - that’s not me claiming to be some kind of know it all either. The signings have turned out much better than I expected.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: Colin C No.3 on March 18, 2024, 10:52:33 pm
We will end up with between 61 and 65 points.

Now we are entering the run in, interesting looking back to see peoples predictions. I’m going to be mighty close with 61-65 I feel.

Not every prediction has been that good though, you did suggest we may come to rue our January recruitment come the end of the season.

Edit / Update - that’s not me claiming to be some kind of know it all either. The signings have turned out much better than I expected.

We all had/have our predictions for the season more specifically since the Wimbledon game (perhaps?).

When we beat FRG on Saturday I’ll ‘hold back’ no further & not only give you my prediction as to how I believe the rest of the season will pan out for us but divulge where that prediction has come from.

Hush my mouth, I can say no more.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: GazLaz on March 19, 2024, 07:25:03 am
We will end up with between 61 and 65 points.

Now we are entering the run in, interesting looking back to see peoples predictions. I’m going to be mighty close with 61-65 I feel.

Not every prediction has been that good though, you did suggest we may come to rue our January recruitment come the end of the season.

Edit / Update - that’s not me claiming to be some kind of know it all either. The signings have turned out much better than I expected.


Yes you are right. I’d also add that it’s not the end of the season yet as well. Hakeeb, Craig and TLT have all been good in recent weeks, it’s also probably now odds on that none of them will be here next season. Short term fix that has worked, likely to prove tricky replacing their output in the summer. Thats not me bemoaning signing them, we needed some sort of impetus, just an observation.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: Bollinger on March 19, 2024, 07:42:44 am
We will end up with between 61 and 65 points.

Now we are entering the run in, interesting looking back to see peoples predictions. I’m going to be mighty close with 61-65 I feel.




Not every prediction has been that good though, you did suggest we may come to rue our January recruitment come the end of the season.

Edit / Update - that’s not me claiming to be some kind of know it all either. The signings have turned out much better than I expected.


Yes you are right. I’d also add that it’s not the end of the season yet as well. Hakeeb, Craig and TLT have all been good in recent weeks, it’s also probably now odds on that none of them will be here next season. Short term fix that has worked, likely to prove tricky replacing their output in the summer. Thats not me bemoaning signing them, we needed some sort of impetus, just an observation.


Are you sure about that? Why would it be tricky?

You said at the time of signing Hakeeb, ‘ I’d be odds on to find someone of a similar profile but better without much effort.’

Make your mind up.

Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: Donnywolf on March 19, 2024, 07:51:15 am
I suppose statistically that means we're bang average!

Or does it mean we are almost in top half yet
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: GazLaz on March 19, 2024, 02:51:45 pm
We will end up with between 61 and 65 points.

Now we are entering the run in, interesting looking back to see peoples predictions. I’m going to be mighty close with 61-65 I feel.




Not every prediction has been that good though, you did suggest we may come to rue our January recruitment come the end of the season.

Edit / Update - that’s not me claiming to be some kind of know it all either. The signings have turned out much better than I expected.


Yes you are right. I’d also add that it’s not the end of the season yet as well. Hakeeb, Craig and TLT have all been good in recent weeks, it’s also probably now odds on that none of them will be here next season. Short term fix that has worked, likely to prove tricky replacing their output in the summer. Thats not me bemoaning signing them, we needed some sort of impetus, just an observation.


Are you sure about that? Why would it be tricky?

You said at the time of signing Hakeeb, ‘ I’d be odds on to find someone of a similar profile but better without much effort.’

Make your mind up.




Because other clubs make decisions on short term form as well. I’d still be odds on to find a better player for us. He’s had a fantastic 10 games, credit to him and Grant, but surely you have to judge players on longer than 10 games. He’s bang in form and clearly enjoying himself but he’s not turned into a 20 goal a season man overnight has he.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 19, 2024, 03:06:30 pm
We will end up with between 61 and 65 points.

Now we are entering the run in, interesting looking back to see peoples predictions. I’m going to be mighty close with 61-65 I feel.




Not every prediction has been that good though, you did suggest we may come to rue our January recruitment come the end of the season.

Edit / Update - that’s not me claiming to be some kind of know it all either. The signings have turned out much better than I expected.


Yes you are right. I’d also add that it’s not the end of the season yet as well. Hakeeb, Craig and TLT have all been good in recent weeks, it’s also probably now odds on that none of them will be here next season. Short term fix that has worked, likely to prove tricky replacing their output in the summer. Thats not me bemoaning signing them, we needed some sort of impetus, just an observation.


Are you sure about that? Why would it be tricky?

You said at the time of signing Hakeeb, ‘ I’d be odds on to find someone of a similar profile but better without much effort.’

Make your mind up.




Because other clubs make decisions on short term form as well. I’d still be odds on to find a better player for us. He’s had a fantastic 10 games, credit to him and Grant, but surely you have to judge players on longer than 10 games. He’s bang in form and clearly enjoying himself but he’s not turned into a 20 goal a season man overnight has he.

In fairness, some strikers do just click at certain points.

Marquis was very ordinary before joining us and suddenly becoming a 20-a-season player.

May, 18 months after leaving us, had scored 42 goals in 4 seasons and 12 of those were in the EFL trophy or against non-league sides in the Cup. Since then he's scored 73 goals in 2.8 seasons.

Why shouldn't Adelakun be another one?
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: Barmby Rover on March 19, 2024, 03:21:31 pm
I'm struggling to see how the next ten games are easier than the ten we've just had.

In the next ten games, 5 are against sides currently in the top 7. Four of those are away.

Seven of those ten are against sides in the top half - 5 of them away.

We play only 3 sides currently in the bottom half. Only one of those is in the bottom 8.

If we get 18 points from that run, we will be doing VERY well.

I agree with you completely BST, it will not be as easy to be successful in our last 10 games, but as an estimate what do you think it will take to make the top half of the table? And do you think we might get there?
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on March 19, 2024, 04:11:38 pm
66-67 for top half. And I'd be amazed if we hit that.
Title: Re: 10 Points
Post by: dickos1 on March 19, 2024, 06:19:06 pm
We will end up with between 61 and 65 points.

Now we are entering the run in, interesting looking back to see peoples predictions. I’m going to be mighty close with 61-65 I feel.




Not every prediction has been that good though, you did suggest we may come to rue our January recruitment come the end of the season.

Edit / Update - that’s not me claiming to be some kind of know it all either. The signings have turned out much better than I expected.


Yes you are right. I’d also add that it’s not the end of the season yet as well. Hakeeb, Craig and TLT have all been good in recent weeks, it’s also probably now odds on that none of them will be here next season. Short term fix that has worked, likely to prove tricky replacing their output in the summer. Thats not me bemoaning signing them, we needed some sort of impetus, just an observation.


Are you sure about that? Why would it be tricky?

You said at the time of signing Hakeeb, ‘ I’d be odds on to find someone of a similar profile but better without much effort.’

Make your mind up.




Because other clubs make decisions on short term form as well. I’d still be odds on to find a better player for us. He’s had a fantastic 10 games, credit to him and Grant, but surely you have to judge players on longer than 10 games. He’s bang in form and clearly enjoying himself but he’s not turned into a 20 goal a season man overnight has he.

If he’d been not very good for 10 games there’d be plenty laying into him.
And craig was getting a lot of criticism by yourself and others after one game.
Adelekun is the best player on the league at the minute and has been since since the day he signed. Nobody else has come close to his goal involvements since the end of jan