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Basically, no-one outside the current top 10 has a shot at making the play-offs without having title-winning form for the second half of the season. It's looking like it's down to 6 from 10.
We could easily fall off a cliff. 2 games a week for 3 months with our squad will be incredibly tough. It's a crazy fixture list.
Portsmouth against Hull on Saturday should tell us a bit more about the final puzzle, a draw would be very useful for us of course.
It feels like a lot of teams are in "title-winning form" at the moment. Wins again for Lincoln, Peterborough and Hull today - Hull win 4-0 at Portsmouth! Some statement.I just feel like we are going to have to really keep our foot on the pedal to figure in the automatic promotion race. I hope we can.
I didn't expect Rovers to win yesterday, but I did expect us to show less respect and get stuck in. I don't see that losing away to a Premier side should dent our confidence. A couple of good signings by Tuesday, and another win under our belt and the loss will soon be forgotten. We still have a real chance of a top 2 slot especially if we beat Lincoln on Saturday.
I said a few days ago, if we beat Wimbledon next Tuesday, a point a game from the next 8 ones (which looks a tough run on paper) would be far from a disaster. That would still leave us in a good position to make the playoffs. That would put us on 50 points with 17 matches left, of which only a handful are against promotion candidates. Say, 26 points needed from 17 games to get in the playoffsAnything above 12 points from that run, after beating Wimbledon and I think we'd be in the hunt for an automatic promotion spot. I'd have a stab at 89-90 points getting a promotion spot this year. That would leave us needing maybe 34-35 points from the final 17 games, the big majority against bottom half sides.Take home is: We can afford a couple of slip ups in February without it being the end of the world.
Quote from: BillyStubbsTears on January 20, 2021, 02:19:21 pmI said a few days ago, if we beat Wimbledon next Tuesday, a point a game from the next 8 ones (which looks a tough run on paper) would be far from a disaster. That would still leave us in a good position to make the playoffs. That would put us on 50 points with 17 matches left, of which only a handful are against promotion candidates. Say, 26 points needed from 17 games to get in the playoffsAnything above 12 points from that run, after beating Wimbledon and I think we'd be in the hunt for an automatic promotion spot. I'd have a stab at 89-90 points getting a promotion spot this year. That would leave us needing maybe 34-35 points from the final 17 games, the big majority against bottom half sides.Take home is: We can afford a couple of slip ups in February without it being the end of the world. I was saying 6 weeks ago that 8 points from 8 matches from the end of Jan wouldn't be a disaster. We've actually picked up 10 points and we are now approaching a (on paper) much easier run of fixtures.Keep the faith lads and lasses. We looked every inch promotion contenders again tonight.