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I think whoever stays up will need more points than that.
Quote from: GazLaz on March 16, 2022, 05:54:31 pmI think whoever stays up will need more points than that. I'd been thinking the same. But barring Gillingham, all the bottom 6 are in awful form. And there aren't many obvious easy sources of points for most sides in the run-in. Gillingham in particular have a horrendous run-in with 5 sides from the top 10 still to play. I think any side who gets 43 points will almost certainly survive.
Quote from: BillyStubbsTears on March 16, 2022, 07:36:02 pmQuote from: GazLaz on March 16, 2022, 05:54:31 pmI think whoever stays up will need more points than that. I'd been thinking the same. But barring Gillingham, all the bottom 6 are in awful form. And there aren't many obvious easy sources of points for most sides in the run-in. Gillingham in particular have a horrendous run-in with 5 sides from the top 10 still to play. I think any side who gets 43 points will almost certainly survive. We are getting to the time of the season where some teams start downing tools. Pretty sure teams will pick up more points in the next 8 games than they have in the previous 8. Not a high bar admittedly.
This none sense about mid table teams being on the beach is exactly that none sense. In reality it doesn’t happen. Please show me some evidence it does.
Quote from: Campsall rover on March 16, 2022, 09:39:46 pmThis none sense about mid table teams being on the beach is exactly that none sense. In reality it doesn’t happen. Please show me some evidence it does. We made a good fist of it in our last season in League 2.
Me too hound.I can’t believe how unprofessional that was. We had done all of the hard work and then players and management just seemed to turn off.That would never have happened with the Rob Jones side.
Saturday is now absolutely crucial. If we lose to Fleetwood, given that they still have Crewe, Gillingham and Wimbledone to play, they will effectively be very close to being over the line. And if we do lose to a side that hasn't won for 12 games, I fear for our chances of picking up many more points.
Quote from: BillyStubbsTears on March 16, 2022, 04:16:25 pmSaturday is now absolutely crucial. If we lose to Fleetwood, given that they still have Crewe, Gillingham and Wimbledone to play, they will effectively be very close to being over the line. And if we do lose to a side that hasn't won for 12 games, I fear for our chances of picking up many more points.There is sadly not a scrap of evidence to suggest we can get a win away at Fleetwood. Fundamentally, we are a dreadful side that at the business end of the season is getting worse not better. Historically we have a truly horrific record away at Fleetwood. We have played 6 league games at their place, have never won, managed two goalless draws and lost 4 games. In those six games we have only managed to score 3 goals (Natan Tyson in October 2014, Niall Ennis in February 2020 and most recently Jason Lokilo in February 2021). Given at the very least we need to score a single goal to win, and we average 0.5 goals per game away at Fleetwood, this does look something of a stretch.
I can’t understand why people on here and on Twitter get some up and down after every result. We’ve had somewhere between 4% and 7% chance for survival for months now. We’ve not improved and we’ve not got worse, we are what we are, not very good.
If we can't score against Cheltenham, Gillingham or Fleetwood I don't fancy wins at Charlton and Burton Albion.
Given everything that's gone on this season, to be in a situation where 3 wins and a draw would keep us up - and with three home games to play against teams in the bottom half of the table - is remarkable.And hugely frustrating.
The difference, Campsall, is the second half capitulation at Morecambe. That will come back to bite us on the rear end.
All the teams around us aren’t winning though, so games in hand aren’t much use to them. Can’t see Wimbledon, Crewe, morecambe getting 45 points. So it’s between us, Gillingham, fleetwood, Shrewsbury, Lincoln.
Quote from: dickos1 on February 23, 2022, 09:43:58 amAll the teams around us aren’t winning though, so games in hand aren’t much use to them. Can’t see Wimbledon, Crewe, morecambe getting 45 points. So it’s between us, Gillingham, fleetwood, Shrewsbury, Lincoln.Shrewsbury and Lincoln certainly, and Fleetwood and Gillingham potentially, are not going down. We are.