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Quote from: Filo on July 30, 2020, 09:58:28 pmQuote from: Metalmicky on July 30, 2020, 09:32:34 pmLockdown tightened in parts of northern England.https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-53602362And putting the blame on the people instead of acknowledging they lifted lockdown too earlyNothing will ever work if people are not responsible it is that simple.
Quote from: Metalmicky on July 30, 2020, 09:32:34 pmLockdown tightened in parts of northern England.https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-53602362And putting the blame on the people instead of acknowledging they lifted lockdown too early
Lockdown tightened in parts of northern England.https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-53602362
Quote from: Metalmicky on July 30, 2020, 09:32:34 pmLockdown tightened in parts of northern England.https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-53602362You only have to look at the list of towns to see who is responsible. Serves them right.
I'd like to think that Ann Widdecombe isn't as entirely f**king batshit as the persona she pushes but, well...https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/steve-anglesey-on-tim-martin-nigel-farage-and-ann-widdecombe-1-6764346
I don't see that as realistic RD.During the hard lockdown, new cases were having every 15-20 days. We are now running at 800 new cases per day. Even if you managed to get the decay rate faster, like Germany did (halving every 12-13 days from peak) it would still take ten weeks or more to get the numbers down to the low tens per day from where we are now. The big chance we lost was to get the numbers down to the high 10s per day. If we had kept the lockdown on throughout July, we'd be just about there now. And with that level of outbreaks, we'd have had a chance of TTI working, because we could have dedicated more resources to each new case. But that's gone now. we are on what is looking like a steady increase in new cases to beyond 1000 per day again by the time the schools reopen. And then, according the epidemiology modelling, a surge throughout the autumn, and back to 1000 people a day dying.
SS.All I'm doing is repeating what two very eminent epidemiologists said in a report today.To summarise, they said that unless our track and trace is transformed over the next month, the reopening of schools without a new lockdown is likely to lead to a second wave over the autumn that will be 50% worse than the first wave.Personally, I listen to experts when they make these sorts of predictions, although I know that isn't the done thing in Brexit-land.