Viking Supporters Co-operative

Viking Chat => Viking Chat => Topic started by: Tiddysdad on February 28, 2024, 08:38:57 pm

Title: 200/1
Post by: Tiddysdad on February 28, 2024, 08:38:57 pm
Is it worth a daft quid?
I've just put that on for us to finish in top 7 on sky bet.
Yet on Coral the same bet we are only 50/1.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Dabbermoo on February 28, 2024, 08:45:30 pm
Even a £10 on the 50/1 is worth a punt, 5 unbeaten at the minute with confidence and performances getting better and better, even a loss in the next few games won't hurt too much imo with the teams around us struggling for points and the 2 games in hand rovers have, well achievable on the last 4 games displays to reach top 7 with also a pinch of luck included.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: GazLaz on February 28, 2024, 08:57:53 pm
Probably need 10 wins and a draw from our last 13 games to have a chance.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: i_ateallthepies on February 29, 2024, 08:05:28 am
There are too many others in that running for us to outrun them all and pinch that 7th spot.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Campsall rover on February 29, 2024, 08:18:09 am
200/1 sounds about right.

It is possible of course but I won’t even be putting £1 on it.
Having said that i don’t ever bet on anything.

We would need to win 11 out of our last 13 games I would think to even have a chance.

If that happens it would be quite remarkable.

Let’s stop this silly talk and just be realistic which is a possible top 12 finish.

Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Padge_DRFC on February 29, 2024, 08:27:57 am
200/1 sounds about right.

It is possible of course but I won’t even be putting £1 on it.
Having said that i don’t ever bet on anything.

We would need to win 11 out of our last 13 games I would think to even have a chance.

If that happens it would be quite remarkable.

Let’s stop this silly talk and just be realistic which is a possible top 12 finish.



You say silly talk but finishing top 12 is only 2/3 points difference depending on goal difference
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Campsall rover on February 29, 2024, 08:36:26 am
200/1 sounds about right.

It is possible of course but I won’t even be putting £1 on it.
Having said that i don’t ever bet on anything.

We would need to win 11 out of our last 13 games I would think to even have a chance.

If that happens it would be quite remarkable.

Let’s stop this silly talk and just be realistic which is a possible top 12 finish.



You say silly talk but finishing top 12 is only 2/3 points difference depending on goal difference
Yes but look at the number of teams above us.  So believe me it is silly talk.  Ask BST, he will tell you it is and he is the stats man on this. 

If we get top 7 it will be one of the most remarkable feats achieved in English football history.  Seriously.

Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Campsall rover on February 29, 2024, 08:41:41 am
If we lose at Walsall it is game set and match.

If we win you can keep on dreaming Padge.

No one more optimistic than me usually but this is a pipe dream.

Let’s take each game as it comes along and see where it takes us.
Top 12 would me brilliant from where we were in Late January.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: andyst79 on February 29, 2024, 10:06:16 am
Not a chance , would need 75 points at the very least I'd reckon. Would need to win every game to have an outside chance
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Padge_DRFC on February 29, 2024, 10:30:05 am
We're not finishing in the top half that's silly talk. This run won't last
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Colemans Left Hook on February 29, 2024, 01:44:40 pm
200/1 sounds about right.

It is possible of course but I won’t even be putting £1 on it.
Having said that i don’t ever bet on anything.

We would need to win 11 out of our last 13 games I would think to even have a chance.

If that happens it would be quite remarkable.

Let’s stop this silly talk and just be realistic which is a possible top 12 finish.



You say silly talk but finishing top 12 is only 2/3 points difference depending on goal difference
Yes but look at the number of teams above us.  So believe me it is silly talk.  Ask BST, he will tell you it is and he is the stats man on this. 

If we get top 7 it will be one of the most remarkable feats achieved in English football history.  Seriously.

I will just smile at you Campsall

we already have ownership of one of the the most remarkable DE-feats achieved in English Football history .

Amongst other hedge 3 figure  odds bets  Portsmouth were available at 100/1 and more to win the league when we were 50/1 ON to win the league.

Gazlaz never hedged Rovers and lost his money "it's never over til it's over."
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Bessie Red on February 29, 2024, 01:47:54 pm
I reckon we will finish between 14th & 18th based on our run in.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: normal rules on February 29, 2024, 02:15:36 pm
Rovers will finish in a respectable “upper” bottom
Half position . Which , given our status around Xmas time , will be a positive outcome I think .
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: scawsby steve on February 29, 2024, 03:10:50 pm
Rovers will finish in a respectable “upper” bottom
Half position . Which , given our status around Xmas time , will be a positive outcome I think .

I agree with your second sentence, NR, because of the tremendous improvement recently.

However, an upper bottom half position in League 2 reflects a pretty horrendous season for a club of our stature, and there needs to be a massive improvement next season.

I just hope we can finish strongly enough to keep the floating fans on board.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: DonnyBazR0ver on February 29, 2024, 05:55:45 pm
I think 67 or 68 points will be enough to sneak into the play offs. Not necessarily us mind but as we get to the business end of the season, we'll see eratic form from top to bottom.

There's always exceptions with the odd team hitting on good runs but, any team will struggle to average 2 pts per game as they fight for promotion/play offs or against relegation. The average points per game is likely to condense as we get towards squeaky bum time.

Stockport are having a bad run, Notts Co have fallen off a cliff, Wrexham aren't as prolific as they should be with the players they've brought in.

200/1 is what it is. A long shot bet, so there's nothing silly about anyone having a flutter on that.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Avsuptem on February 29, 2024, 06:03:21 pm
Rovers will finish in a respectable “upper” bottom
Half position . Which , given our status around Xmas time , will be a positive outcome I think .

I prefer to finish in the front bottom.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Pancho Regan on February 29, 2024, 08:53:49 pm


It is possible of course but I won’t even be putting £1 on it.
Having said that i don’t ever bet on anything.


 :s
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Tiddysdad on March 20, 2024, 09:14:31 am
We're not finishing in the top half that's silly talk. This run won't last

And the run continues
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: ScillyRover on March 20, 2024, 02:19:37 pm
Not a cat in hell’s chance of top seven. Save your money towards a season ticket and lump on early doors next August for the L2 title in May ‘25 ! :)
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Tiddysdad on March 29, 2024, 05:46:29 pm
We're not finishing in the top half that's silly talk. This run won't last

Are you sure?
I'm watching a team that appears to have galvanised and are non stop.
It's a top half for me.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: dickos1 on March 29, 2024, 05:50:01 pm
Not a cat in hell’s chance of top seven. Save your money towards a season ticket and lump on early doors next August for the L2 title in May ‘25 ! :)

A very slim chance but it’s one that keeps looking better each week
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: ncRover on March 29, 2024, 06:02:34 pm
Now down to 28/1 on Skybet for top 7. They fancy Bradford more at 20/1.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: karldew on March 29, 2024, 06:08:40 pm
First time I’ve had a cash out for my top 7 bet in a while. I got on in January I think it was. £2.10 cash out!, think I’ll see how the season pans out.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Tiddysdad on April 02, 2024, 11:37:26 pm
Now down to 20-1 and offering me £6:36 cash out on my daft quid at the start of this thread at 200-1.
Love it let it ride.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Campsall rover on April 02, 2024, 11:47:17 pm
Just seen some of my posts on this thread from a few weeks ago.

Unbelievable what this team is doing now. Making me look a fool saying it was silly to even consider the play offs.

If we win the next 2 games and Crawley come a cropper v Mansfield & Wrexham then we seriously have more than a decent chance of finishing 7th.
We will be one of the favourites.
This would be the biggest jump to go from 20th to 7th in what the last 11 games of the season.
Has this been done before in the play off era?  Anyone know?

Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Filo on April 02, 2024, 11:50:11 pm
Just seen some of my posts on this thread from a few weeks ago.

Unbelievable what this team is doing now. Making me look a fool saying it was silly to even consider the play offs.

If we win the next 2 games and Crawly come a cropper v Mansfield & Wrexham then we seriously have more than a decent chance of finishing 7th.
We will be one of the favourites.
This would be the biggest jump to go from 20th to 7th in what the last 11 games of the season.
Has this been done before in the play off era?  Anyone know?



Barnsley did something like that a few years ago in L1, bottom on New Years Day and got into the play offs
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Ryaldinhio on April 02, 2024, 11:57:21 pm
When it was 200/1 I out a tenner on. Sky bet now offering £29.12 cashout
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Tiddysdad on April 03, 2024, 12:09:36 am
When it was 200/1 I out a tenner on. Sky bet now offering £29.12 cashout
I had a £1 and they are offering me £6:36 so a £10 should be £63:60 cash out shouldn't it.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Ryaldinhio on April 03, 2024, 01:08:28 am
When it was 200/1 I out a tenner on. Sky bet now offering £29.12 cashout
I had a £1 and they are offering me £6:36 so a £10 should be £63:60 cash out shouldn't it.

Cash outs don't follow set odds, friend of mine works for Betfair and said its all about overall payout so for lower bets they will offer higher cash outs to try get them off the table. For the bigger bets if they have got enough small bets off the table then the overall position might be covered......if that makes sense?
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Alan Southstand on April 03, 2024, 04:49:49 am
I’ve gone on record for saying if we win the Crawley and Wrexham games, then we could be in with a chance. However, other teams, particularly after last night, will be making sure they’re not going to be caught out. Also, we now have to factor in, that, in just 2 games, our central defensive bedrock has been illiminated for possibly the next 2 matches(and they’re not easy games).

I’m all for this juggernaut to keep rumbling on, but some little devil on my shoulder keeps telling me - don’t be daft! I have faith that GM will, somehow, work around yet another problem set before us, but he doesn’t walk on water, does he?

See, the devil on my other shoulder is saying - but, the stats men seem to think we now only need 71 points for 7th, not 73. So, now we can actually afford to lose 1 game! You see it doesn’t matter how many teams are above us, a ‘team’ will/could achieve 71 points and come 7th. Why not us?



Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: ncRover on April 03, 2024, 07:32:48 am
Skybet still have Crawley odds on to do it.

We are now at 20/1 though - overtaking Bradford, Newport and Harrogate in the odds for a top 7 finish.

We are now ODDS ON we achieve a top half finish. I cashed out on this after we lost to Notts County on Boxing Day thinking I’d got a good deal. D’oh!

Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: ian1980 on April 03, 2024, 07:44:06 am
Skybet still have Crawley odds on to do it.

We are now at 20/1 though - overtaking Bradford, Newport and Harrogate in the odds for a top 7 finish.

We are now ODDS ON we achieve a top half finish. I cashed out on this after we lost to Notts County on Boxing Day thinking I’d got a good deal. D’oh!



I also cashed out too. I just couldn’t see us having a hope on hell of getting in the top half with how bad we were.

Fair play to those who held their nerve, the turn around in both performances and results has been quite remarkable.

Well done rovers, keep it going
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Donnywolf on April 03, 2024, 07:53:02 am
Cash back for me is more than 100pc now

16.57 paying 34 . 50 ish

Remember Bristol Rovers after Cardiff. I had a few quid on them for Promo and they sneaked in Play offs on last game

Eventually won The Final and I'm sure they won 5-1 a score I also bet on

So Rovers have "history" in the area so you never know , but is a huge ask
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Campsall rover on April 03, 2024, 10:11:55 am
I’ve gone on record for saying if we win the Crawley and Wrexham games, then we could be in with a chance. However, other teams, particularly after last night, will be making sure they’re not going to be caught out. Also, we now have to factor in, that, in just 2 games, our central defensive bedrock has been illiminated for possibly the next 2 matches(and they’re not easy games).

I’m all for this juggernaut to keep rumbling on, but some little devil on my shoulder keeps telling me - don’t be daft! I have faith that GM will, somehow, work around yet another problem set before us, but he doesn’t walk on water, does he?

See, the devil on my other shoulder is saying - but, the stats men seem to think we now only need 71 points for 7th, not 73. So, now we can actually afford to lose 1 game! You see it doesn’t matter how many teams are above us, a ‘team’ will/could achieve 71 points and come 7th. Why not us?
Alan the number of points needed is going to be dependant on how well Crawley, Walsall and Morecambe do
We can and I think we will overtake Newport, Harrogate, Wimbledon & Gillingham.

We almost certainly need to win v Morecambe and Walsall. They are 6 pointers.
We then need Crawley to lose at Mansfield and Wrexham. If that happens we have one hell of a chance.

It could be 68 to 80 points for 7th place. But most likely it will be between 70 and 73 that does it.

What a finish to the season. 8 weeks ago we thought we were in a relegation dog fight.
What a tun round. Quite unbelievable.

Let’s enjoy the ride, nothing to lose and if we don’t achieve the almost impossible so what.
Next season we will be a power house in this league.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: dickos1 on April 04, 2024, 05:39:44 am
I think 6th place is also achievable, Crewe have fallen off a cliff and can only see them getting 4/5 points from their remaining 5 games.
Which would mean if we get 71 points we would have caught them.
As I said a few weeks ago we just need to concentrate on us and if we manage 71-72 points we will be there or thereabouts
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Prez on April 06, 2024, 07:08:26 pm
We're not finishing in the top half that's silly talk. This run won't last

Awkward
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: ncRover on April 06, 2024, 07:18:59 pm
Now at 12/1 for top 7. Bookies now fancy us over Gillingham and Morecambe.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: dickos1 on April 06, 2024, 07:21:11 pm
Probably need 10 wins and a draw from our last 13 games to have a chance.

Looks very likely we achieve this at least
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Tiddysdad on April 06, 2024, 08:12:51 pm
Should I cash out £1 at 200/1 to finishing in top 7 after Crawley winning they are offering £11.08
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: NickDRFC on April 06, 2024, 08:25:34 pm
Should I cash out £1 at 200/1 to finishing in top 7 after Crawley winning they are offering £11.08

Absolutely not.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Goldthorperover on April 06, 2024, 08:40:10 pm
Should I cash out £1 at 200/1 to finishing in top 7 after Crawley winning they are offering £11.08
It depends on how happy you are winning £11 compared to how gutted you would be on losing out on £189. If you are ok with losing £11 then hold out for the big £200.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: drfchound on April 06, 2024, 08:47:02 pm
Should I cash out £1 at 200/1 to finishing in top 7 after Crawley winning they are offering £11.08

No mate, let it ride and enjoy the excitement.
When I put my top half bet on I thought it was like printing money and that we couldn’t fail.
Then came the massive slump and I kept reading about people on here cashing in for small profits and even losses.
I decided to let my bet run and have been getting more and more excited as our great run of results continues.
I am so glad that I didn’t cash out.

Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Tiddysdad on April 10, 2024, 09:30:24 am
Now offering me £17:92 for my daft quid at 200/1 for top 7 finish.
Odds now gone down to 8/1
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: TommyC on April 10, 2024, 09:36:49 am
After the Morecambe game I looked up the odds simply for promotion out of League 2. On Saturday night we were 100/1.

Just looked again this morning and the same bet is now between 20/1 and 28/1 depending on which bookies you look at. 

Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: normal rules on April 10, 2024, 09:43:27 am
Rovers are now 15/2 for a playoff slot.
Who would have thought it.
For this weekend only I also support Swindon. And Colchester
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Colin C No.3 on April 10, 2024, 10:10:41 am
Nice to be in it innit.

Never doubted a top ten finish but a play off spot, well we just have to keep ticking up those 3 points every game then it’s in the lap of the gods.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: idler2 on April 10, 2024, 12:52:16 pm
Nice to be in it innit.

Never doubted a top ten finish but a play off spot, well we just have to keep ticking up those 3 points every game then it’s in the lap of the gods.
While there’s life there’s hope.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: RedRover on April 10, 2024, 04:18:08 pm
I chucked £20 on us to get promoted a few weeks back, only my second ever bet. My other was for Man Utd to finish outside the Top 4 the season after Fergie left, something they hadn't done since before the Premier League era. I won that one so hoping to keep my 100% record going! My return if Rovers do it? £3000 plus my £20 back
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Donnywolf on April 10, 2024, 04:36:36 pm
Wow ....good luck (genuinely)

Here's me agonising over maybe winning 77 quid , so 3k incredible

Come onnnnnnnn
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Tiddysdad on April 13, 2024, 04:48:29 pm
We're not finishing in the top half that's silly talk. This run won't last

Ha ha Ha
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: DonnyOsmond on April 13, 2024, 05:14:05 pm
I chucked £20 on us to get promoted a few weeks back, only my second ever bet. My other was for Man Utd to finish outside the Top 4 the season after Fergie left, something they hadn't done since before the Premier League era. I won that one so hoping to keep my 100% record going! My return if Rovers do it? £3000 plus my £20 back

That'll get you a couple pints at Wembley.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Wokingviking on April 13, 2024, 09:33:13 pm
Bet365 were offering promotion at 25/1 an hour ago.  Now they’re not making any book at all.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Ryaldinhio on April 13, 2024, 09:43:02 pm
Sky bet have us at 12-1 for promotion now

Just checked 'top 7' market with them.....they have Crewe as 1-100 on to get top 7?! I can see them losing both games and dropping out.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: andysly on April 13, 2024, 09:43:25 pm
I've still got a tenner at 50's.
Offering me about £30 after the match
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Iberian Red on April 13, 2024, 09:47:41 pm
I chucked £20 on us to get promoted a few weeks back, only my second ever bet. My other was for Man Utd to finish outside the Top 4 the season after Fergie left, something they hadn't done since before the Premier League era. I won that one so hoping to keep my 100% record going! My return if Rovers do it? £3000 plus my £20 back

That'll get you a couple pints at Wembley.

If we make it,I'll get him a couple of pints at Wembley !
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Tiddysdad on April 20, 2024, 08:52:20 pm
Offering me £102 now.
And the journey continues
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Tiddysdad on April 23, 2024, 09:56:19 pm
Ha ha ha
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: niteowler on April 23, 2024, 10:09:25 pm
Had a Fiver on us to get promoted on the morning of the Crawley game away at odds of 100/1.Had a look last week and down to 11/2. . Cash out was £44 ! COYR .Fingers Crossed !
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Pancho Regan on April 23, 2024, 11:05:11 pm
I put £20 at 25/1 last October on us finishing top seven.

So £520 to come back if we do it.

I'm very surprised that Betway are not offering me a cash-out tonight, but I'll ride it anyway...
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Drover on April 23, 2024, 11:36:03 pm
Probably need 10 wins and a draw from our last 13 games to have a chance.
More chance Ironside scoring more than 10 goals from open play!  :chair: :)
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Drover on April 23, 2024, 11:38:50 pm
I have had constant smile on my face reading through the whole of this thread tonight,who would have thought we be where we are now.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Colin C No.3 on April 23, 2024, 11:49:51 pm
Probably need 10 wins and a draw from our last 13 games to have a chance.
More chance Ironside scoring more than 10 goals from open play!  :chair: :)

Give a man a chance to hold his hands up (mind you it’s been 4 months or so) & admit he put his xg’s & ag’s above willpower, endeavour & spirit before having a dig!

Then again…..there’s only so long you can wait.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: hoolahoop on April 23, 2024, 11:56:39 pm
There are too many others in that running for us to outrun them all and pinch that 7th spot.

I hope you’re wrong
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: hoolahoop on April 23, 2024, 11:58:51 pm
I have had constant smile on my face reading through the whole of this thread tonight,who would have thought we be where we are now.

I couldn’t help , like you, from reading through all these comments
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Pancho Regan on April 24, 2024, 12:17:40 am
Sometimes in life you have to ditch all the boring data and statistics and just believe.

It's much more fun.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Campsall rover on April 24, 2024, 12:51:28 am
200/1 sounds about right.

It is possible of course but I won’t even be putting £1 on it.
Having said that i don’t ever bet on anything.

We would need to win 11 out of our last 13 games I would think to even have a chance.

If that happens it would be quite remarkable.

Let’s stop this silly talk and just be realistic which is a possible top 12 finish.
Oh dear
Can you believe that I posted something as daft as that.
This is a once in a life time achievement that Rovers have just done and it is not over yet.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 24, 2024, 01:37:19 am
Nobody could have possibly expected this outcome, because it simply doesn't happen.

We only won 10 on the bounce once before, in a season when we were breaking all the records of English football.

No team wins 29 points from its first 29 games, then 41 from the next 16. It just does not ever happen.

But it's happened to us.

You now have two choices.

1) Revel in the historic nature of what we are doing.

2) Dig at people who said 3 months ago that it couldn't happen.

Have a look at yourselves in the mirror and ask which choice you'd like to make.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Colemans Left Hook on April 24, 2024, 02:57:27 am
Psssst  obviously you don't read my posts

https://www.drfc-vsc.co.uk/index.php?topic=290467.msg1299668#msg1299668


as i said i wasn't greedy 

winning 7 drawing 2 would give us 23 more points to add to  the 46 making 69 obviously  with an obviously improving goal difference   seems doable so long as Craig doesn't have a suspension or the goalie doesn't get injured

of course  8-0-1 yields 24  but I'm not greedy

5 home matches & 4 away to go

Barnsley steam rolled into the play offs a while ago and went up at Wembley in that year Altrincham knocked them out of the cup on a friday night when was it they were 2nd bottom in November

 

WE have simply copied what Exeter did that year when we threw the Title away and they rose from the bottom ( see my posts   on the they think 3/1 is all over thread     -only we started climbing a bit later

could say it was a new improved version of "Lazurus"
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: ncRover on April 24, 2024, 07:37:24 am
Skybet promotion odds

MK Dons 11/8
Rovers 7/2
Crewe 4/1
Barrow 5/1
Crawley 9/1
Bradford 16/1
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: i_ateallthepies on April 24, 2024, 08:42:34 am
There are too many others in that running for us to outrun them all and pinch that 7th spot.

I hope you’re wrong

Me too, Hoola but given our place in the table when I said it, the form that put us there and what it has taken to get us to where we are now my opinion back then wasn't unreasonable.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Avsuptem on April 24, 2024, 11:10:59 am
Skybet promotion odds

MK Dons 11/8
Rovers 7/2
Crewe 4/1
Barrow 5/1
Crawley 9/1
Bradford 16/1

Bradford is the value bet there imho.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: GazLaz on April 24, 2024, 11:38:45 am
Nobody could have possibly expected this outcome, because it simply doesn't happen.

We only won 10 on the bounce once before, in a season when we were breaking all the records of English football.

No team wins 29 points from its first 29 games, then 41 from the next 16. It just does not ever happen.

But it's happened to us.

You now have two choices.

1) Revel in the historic nature of what we are doing.

2) Dig at people who said 3 months ago that it couldn't happen.

Have a look at yourselves in the mirror and ask which choice you'd like to make.

Pretty much this. Good luck to those people that live their life in hope of a 1 in 100 year event and when it’s right think they are always right. A stopped clock is right twice a day.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Mike_F on April 24, 2024, 12:28:22 pm
I'd like to think that most of it is good-natured and is part and parcel of the revelling.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: drfchound on April 24, 2024, 12:53:03 pm
There are too many others in that running for us to outrun them all and pinch that 7th spot.

I hope you’re wrong

Me too, Hoola but given our place in the table when I said it, the form that put us there and what it has taken to get us to where we are now my opinion back then wasn't unreasonable.

I was another who thought it was not going to happen but also said I would be happy to be wrong.
I am very happy.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Colin C No.3 on April 24, 2024, 02:26:18 pm
Nobody could have possibly expected this outcome, because it simply doesn't happen.

We only won 10 on the bounce once before, in a season when we were breaking all the records of English football.

No team wins 29 points from its first 29 games, then 41 from the next 16. It just does not ever happen.

But it's happened to us.

You now have two choices.

1) Revel in the historic nature of what we are doing.

2) Dig at people who said 3 months ago that it couldn't happen.

Have a look at yourselves in the mirror and ask which choice you'd like to make.

Pretty much this. Good luck to those people that live their life in hope of a 1 in 100 year event and when it’s right think they are always right. A stopped clock is right twice a day.

“You now have two choices”.

When did you become ‘headmaster’ of the forum!

As for the ‘stopped clock’ pearl of wisdom, I ‘looked at myself in the mirror’ after reading all the negative posts on here in January & thought to myself….

‘You have two choices now’.

1. Succumb to this avalanche of woe & step back from the forum.

2. Challenge the doom mongers because deep down you know things will turn around & that needs & is worth saying whether your posts become the instrument that has you ‘hoisted on your own petard’ come April or not.

I chose number 2.

Have a look in your mirrors.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Jimmydee on April 24, 2024, 04:19:16 pm
I had £10 on to be promoted via the play offs, that was in August before the season started, the odds with Corals were 9/2. I’ll take that if it means that we get promoted, I’ll not be too envious of the others on here that have the opportunity to cash in more than me.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Campsall rover on April 24, 2024, 05:25:34 pm
Nobody could have possibly expected this outcome, because it simply doesn't happen.

We only won 10 on the bounce once before, in a season when we were breaking all the records of English football.

No team wins 29 points from its first 29 games, then 41 from the next 16. It just does not ever happen.

But it's happened to us.

You now have two choices.

1) Revel in the historic nature of what we are doing.

2) Dig at people who said 3 months ago that it couldn't happen.

Have a look at yourselves in the mirror and ask which choice you'd like to make.
I am doing both BST including having a dig at myself.

I keep thinking I am dreaming all this and I will wake up to to the reality it never actually happened.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Colemans Left Hook on April 24, 2024, 07:53:32 pm
Psssst  obviously you don't read my posts

https://www.drfc-vsc.co.uk/index.php?topic=290467.msg1299668#msg1299668


as i said i wasn't greedy 

winning 7 drawing 2 would give us 23 more points to add to  the 46 making 69 obviously  with an obviously improving goal difference   seems doable so long as Craig doesn't have a suspension or the goalie doesn't get injured

of course  8-0-1 yields 24  but I'm not greedy

5 home matches & 4 away to go

Barnsley steam rolled into the play offs a while ago and went up at Wembley in that year Altrincham knocked them out of the cup on a friday night when was it they were 2nd bottom in November

 

WE have simply copied what Exeter did that year when we threw the Title away and they rose from the bottom ( see my posts   on the they think 3/1 is all over thread     -only we started climbing a bit later

could say it was a new improved version of "Lazurus"

talking of the "lazurus effect" whether we make the play offs or not SKY  have quickly produced the film
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: karldew on April 25, 2024, 01:08:47 pm
https://x.com/footballacca/status/1783241193180049549?s=46&t=NW2HQZbSZTCyeJVxHL-jUg

Well done Hutch whoever/wherever you are.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Prez on April 25, 2024, 01:22:55 pm
Skybet promotion odds

MK Dons 11/8
Rovers 7/2
Crewe 4/1
Barrow 5/1
Crawley 9/1
Bradford 16/1

Bradford is the value bet there imho.

Bradford are shocking value at 16/1. Need to double that price and more realistically.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: roversdude on April 25, 2024, 01:47:42 pm
https://x.com/footballacca/status/1783241193180049549?s=46&t=NW2HQZbSZTCyeJVxHL-jUg

Well done Hutch whoever/wherever you are.

Good effort I’ve a fair chunk to pick up for top half, but more for top 7 and a decent chunk if we go up - not quite that amount though
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Colemans Left Hook on April 25, 2024, 01:58:26 pm
Nobody could have possibly expected this outcome, because it simply doesn't happen.

We only won 10 on the bounce once before, in a season when we were breaking all the records of English football.

No team wins 29 points from its first 29 games, then 41 from the next 16. It just does not ever happen.

But it's happened to us.

You now have two choices.

1) Revel in the historic nature of what we are doing.

2) Dig at people who said 3 months ago that it couldn't happen.

Have a look at yourselves in the mirror and ask which choice you'd like to make.

Pretty much this. Good luck to those people that live their life in hope of a 1 in 100 year event and when it’s right think they are always right. A stopped clock is right twice a day.

i was shocked at Gaz's post   for the record   i sent him an email a few years ago around midnight telling him to back Claudio Ranieri to be the next manager to be sacked (i think the odds were 20/1) IRONICALLY THE BET WAS WITH THE BOOKMAKER WHO SPONSORED LEICESTER !!! and i staked the max amount allowed during the night - At the time he seemed the one most jemmed up  on betting. I notice after I did well in the P & O his annual presence is in absentia. So I thought I would share my belief -

I can imagine him as a bookmaker the day Dettori won all 7 races at AScot and laying Dettori for mor and more money as he kept on winning (it was impossible on form for the last horse to win - by the way but it was "allowed" to

Gary Wiltshire went bankrupt laying all 7 winners

https://www.skysports.com/racing/news/12040/10594373/bookmaker-gary-wiltshire-recalls-losing-1million-on-frankie-dettoris-magnificent-seven

both him and BST were spurting out rubbish over the last couple of months  - I thought just let them keep on digging the hole - leave em to it
  I have seen and profited from the "Lazurus effect" even before Gaz Laz was born
YOU WERE WARNED WITH MY REASONS WHY CRAIG WAS FAR TOO GOOD FOR THIS LEAGUE - REMEMBER SEAN O'DRICOLL GOT JERMAIN DEFOE ON LOAN AT BOURNEMOUTH (4TH DIVISION)AND ACTUALLY APOLOGISED TO A MANAGER WHEN RINGER DEFOE  KEPT ON SCORING

  The team he is from, and the level he played at although briefly showing they think he is near to the level they want him at at a young age, I don't think he will be here to make our bench, especially after a defeat last weekend.
  We will be a stepping stone for him to play at a higher standard next season, and if I was a betting man I would be on him to play most matches like Faal injury allowing.

Assuming that you maybe  a betting man what odds would you give him be selected more than 10 matches (from the start)?

10/1  meaning you bet £10 to win £1 and I'm being generous
it's obvious he should have gone to a League one team not a League 2 team ( let's  forget about that "dud Thomas " we signed from them who they soon released)  - Craig signed a long term deal in the Summer of 2023 as I said.

and it's obvious we splashed the cash (plus the joker card playing)  to outbid  league one teams

I have been watching Plymouth for 3 years now seeing how they splash the cash to fill half the team with top quality loanees --- GRANT KNOWS THIS TRICK AS WELL AND HAS GOT THE T_SHIRT -- easy if you have the pennies

:::Plymouth have just taken a tottenham 18 year old on loan as a couple of their loanees have been recalled :  let's call it a library book team 

remember  our joker card - in that Mason knows we are a family club with a Championship Stadium and pitch - we have a reputation for not playing "hoof ball land of the giants " football and we helped his career



the joker card ?

"In August 2010, Mason was loaned for the first time to Championship team Doncaster Rovers on a two-month loan deal,[15] and made five appearances.[16] Then in January 2011, he was loaned back to Doncaster until the end of the season[17] and made a further ten appearances.[16]

On 28 July 2011, Mason signed a new two-year contract with Tottenham, keeping him at the club until June 2013. He was then immediately loaned back to Doncaster on a season-long loan.[18][19] Mason was recalled back to Tottenham in November 2011 after making five appearances since the start of the season.[20] On 29 December 2011, Mason and teammate Harry Kane agreed a loan deal with Championship club Millwall from 1 January until the end of the season.[21]"

Mason will remember the circumstances of his recall ? (was he injured ?)

Season changing loan ??  me thinx yes

now what are those odds

ps don't forget to view the image added
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: GazLaz on April 25, 2024, 03:36:48 pm
If I could meet one person of this forum it would be CLH. Other worldly.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: RedRover on April 29, 2024, 01:50:03 pm
So it turns out I can cash out! Currently at £805.33. £3000 plus my £20 stake back if I stick it out and we achieve promotion.
 Anyone with more betting experience than me know or have any idea what I could expect to be offered to cash out assuming we beath Crewe over 2 legs?
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: knockers on April 29, 2024, 02:05:23 pm
Approx £1800
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: RedRover on April 30, 2024, 08:50:25 am
Approx £1800
Don't wanna seem like I lack confidence in Grant and the players but if we get past Crewe I'll probably cash out so I can just enjoy the day out in London.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Monkcaster_Rover on April 30, 2024, 09:15:19 am
Approx £1800
Don't wanna seem like I lack confidence in Grant and the players but if we get past Crewe I'll probably cash out so I can just enjoy the day out in London.

Think I’ll chuck a few quid on whoever we end up playing so it’s a win win (of sorts).
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on April 30, 2024, 01:17:32 pm
So it turns out I can cash out! Currently at £805.33. £3000 plus my £20 stake back if I stick it out and we achieve promotion.
 Anyone with more betting experience than me know or have any idea what I could expect to be offered to cash out assuming we beath Crewe over 2 legs?

£805 is a reasonable cash out figure.

To insure yourself by doing it yourself, you'd need to bet enough on the other three contenders to guarantee you'd make £3020 whoever goes up.

The required stakes at the best available odds would be

MK: £1208 at 6/4
Crewe: £503.33 at 5/1
Crawley: £464.62 at 11/2.

So your total insurance stake would be £2175.95.

And therefore your profit would be £844.05.

In practice, I doubt any bookies would accept a £1200 bet on MK Dons from a regular punter. So £805 cash out offer isn't a bad compromise.

If we do beat Crewe, I'd expect your cash out offer to go to £1200-1300 if we played MK in the final, and maybe £1800-2000 if we played Crawley.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on May 07, 2024, 10:07:29 am
How's the cash out looking now.

Updated figures for what you'd need to stake to do a manual "cash out":

MK: £1150.48 at13/8
Crewe: £73.66 at 40/1
Crawley: £464.62 at 11/2.

So your total insurance stake would be £1,688.76

And therefore your profit would be £1331.24

So I'd expect your current cash out to be about £1275?
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: RedRover on May 07, 2024, 10:29:43 am
Wow you know your stuff. Just signed in, there's no cash out option showing currently!
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: roversdude on May 07, 2024, 10:33:02 am
No cash out on mine with Betway
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Sven Vath on May 07, 2024, 10:37:38 am
No cash out on mine with Betway

Just lay the bet then
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: Prez on May 07, 2024, 12:43:01 pm
You can lay the bet on Betfair, but you would need approx £1500 in your account to cover the exposure. Alternatively you can just lump on whoever we play in the final, assuming we make it of course. Hedge your bet.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on May 07, 2024, 10:12:46 pm
How's the cash out looking now.

Updated figures for what you'd need to stake to do a manual "cash out":

MK: £1150.48 at13/8
Crewe: £73.66 at 40/1
Crawley: £464.62 at 11/2.

So your total insurance stake would be £1,688.76

And therefore your profit would be £1331.24

So I'd expect your current cash out to be about £1275?

Update after tonight

MK: £143.81 at 16/1
Crewe: £73.66 at 40/1
Crawley: £1271.58 at 11/8

So your total insurance stake would be £1489.05

And therefore your profit would be £1530.95
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: BillyStubbsTears on May 07, 2024, 10:21:03 pm
I don't think that's generous. There's only one bookies offering odds against Crawley at the minute. I'd expect that 11/8 to slide out a bit when others do.
Title: Re: 200/1
Post by: RedRover on May 11, 2024, 12:45:12 am
£1647 cash out up to today. Didn't take it, as when I put the bet on I opted for £20 rather than a tenner as for such a long shot £3k seemed a decent amount, £1500 not enough. Not remotely bothered, I've lost £20 but I am gonna get loads of stick at work