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After the excellent prediction of a Tory majority here's another one that's come to pass.http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-32793481Get in.
Quote from: IC1967 on May 19, 2015, 02:30:17 pmAfter the excellent prediction of a Tory majority here's another one that's come to pass.http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-32793481Get in.Good to see that from the quote in your own link you are ruling yourself out as a serious economist. We all knew that anyway but good of you to confirm it:However many of those who define themselves as "serious economists" (that's not me, by the way - I'm a hack) are desperately anxious that I and you don't use the "d" word - for two reasons.One is that they say proper deflation is a long term term trend of declining prices, and they believe - almost certainly correctly - that these current price falls won't endure much more than a month or two.The other is that proper deflation is pernicious: if we believed that prices were set to fall month after relentless month, we would spend less - in the hope of picking up bargains later - and our bosses would pay us less.http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-32793481
Quote from: wilts rover on May 19, 2015, 05:44:01 pmQuote from: IC1967 on May 19, 2015, 02:30:17 pmAfter the excellent prediction of a Tory majority here's another one that's come to pass.http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-32793481Get in.Good to see that from the quote in your own link you are ruling yourself out as a serious economist. We all knew that anyway but good of you to confirm it:However many of those who define themselves as "serious economists" (that's not me, by the way - I'm a hack) are desperately anxious that I and you don't use the "d" word - for two reasons.One is that they say proper deflation is a long term term trend of declining prices, and they believe - almost certainly correctly - that these current price falls won't endure much more than a month or two.The other is that proper deflation is pernicious: if we believed that prices were set to fall month after relentless month, we would spend less - in the hope of picking up bargains later - and our bosses would pay us less.http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-32793481I don't know how you work that one out. I consider myself to be the best economist in the world. I can't think of one economist that was predicting deflation when I did. I also correctly predicted it for the Eurozone.Nearly all economists don't realise that it is an ageing society that is driving deflation. Not oil, food prices etc. They are almost unanimous in ignoring demographics in their flawed predictions.