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Author Topic: For those still hoping.Odds for the big swing.  (Read 1045 times)

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normal rules

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For those still hoping.Odds for the big swing.
« on April 22, 2022, 07:32:34 am by normal rules »
I had a look at the sort of odds we are looking at for what would probably be the biggest comeback in English Football History for Rovers to retain lge one status this season.

Starting with this weekends games featuring Rovers and Gillingham.
Both of which would have to go our way to start with, with plenty of goals going in our favour.

Rovers to beat Burton 4-0 is an 80-1 shot.
Pompey to beat Gills by 4-0 is a 28-1 shot.
So an Acca for both to come in that’s combined odds of 2348/1. (Skybet)

And for the same to happen the weekend after when rovers go to Oxford and gills play Rotherham you are probably looking at similar combined odds.
So over the 4 games that would be combined odds of 5.5 million to one.

Oh, and that’s not all. We would need other results to go our way, so you could probably add a nought to the end of that figure,
Place your bets if you are feeling very very very lucky.



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drfchound

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Re: For those still hoping.Odds for the big swing.
« Reply #1 on April 22, 2022, 07:36:07 am by drfchound »
Even that series of results would only add up to a sixteen goal swing in goal difference so still not the eighteen one that we would need.

normal rules

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Re: For those still hoping.Odds for the big swing.
« Reply #2 on April 22, 2022, 07:40:54 am by normal rules »
A more conservative way of looking at it would be to look at over/ under goals.
For each of these four respective games the odds of there being over 4.5 goals in each game is around 7/1.
So for the four games that’s combined odds of 2400/1.

drfchound

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Re: For those still hoping.Odds for the big swing.
« Reply #3 on April 22, 2022, 07:44:51 am by drfchound »
And tremendous odds they are NR.
My previous posit though was in response to the “for those still hoping” part of the thread title.

normal rules

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Re: For those still hoping.Odds for the big swing.
« Reply #4 on April 22, 2022, 07:45:54 am by normal rules »
Even that series of results would only add up to a sixteen goal swing in goal difference so still not the eighteen one that we would need.

Well spotted hound.
A quick re jig on sky with 5-0 score lines bumps the combined odds for just the rovers and gills games of 174.2 million to one.
With another nought added probably for the other games to go our way too.
« Last Edit: April 22, 2022, 07:49:56 am by normal rules »

andy didcott

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Re: For those still hoping.Odds for the big swing.
« Reply #5 on April 22, 2022, 07:59:36 am by andy didcott »
Might pop onto bookies and put 10p on, if we stay up I’ll be a multi millionaire by sounds of things.

Chris Black come back

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Re: For those still hoping.Odds for the big swing.
« Reply #6 on April 22, 2022, 08:04:44 am by Chris Black come back »
There are no circumstances bar a points deduction or rule infringement by another club whereby we stay in League One this season. Anyone betting on us surviving whatever the odds on offer, is throwing away their money.

Campsall rover

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Re: For those still hoping.Odds for the big swing.
« Reply #7 on April 22, 2022, 08:10:25 am by Campsall rover »
If all results go our way and that goal swing happened then there would be an enquiry into bribery and corruption. That there is no doubt.
« Last Edit: April 22, 2022, 08:22:20 am by Campsall rover »

normal rules

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Re: For those still hoping.Odds for the big swing.
« Reply #8 on April 22, 2022, 11:34:13 am by normal rules »
There are no circumstances bar a points deduction or rule infringement by another club whereby we stay in League One this season. Anyone betting on us surviving whatever the odds on offer, is throwing away their money.

I couldnt agree more. Putting huge numbers to it puts it Into perspective.

normal rules

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Re: For those still hoping.Odds for the big swing.
« Reply #9 on April 22, 2022, 11:38:00 am by normal rules »
If all results go our way and that goal swing happened then there would be an enquiry into bribery and corruption. That there is no doubt.

Indeed. There would be some serious wonga to be made.
Rovers beating burton 5-0 would raise some serious questions alone, given it’s 200-1.
That said. I’d be interested to be a fly on the wall in the pre match chat from GM to the players.
We must win this game and we must score a lot of goals?
What else can he say?
We are down, just go out and express yourselves ?
He has already said he knows which players he wants to move on. That will be no secret in the dressing room.

Sammy Chung was King

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Re: For those still hoping.Odds for the big swing.
« Reply #10 on April 22, 2022, 02:02:54 pm by Sammy Chung was King »
Might pop onto bookies and put 10p on, if we stay up I’ll be a multi millionaire by sounds of things.

They wouldn’t take the bet mate, they have a cut off point that you can win in one bet.

 

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