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Author Topic: Model prediction for 7th place  (Read 3446 times)

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drfchound

  • Forum Member
  • Posts: 34690
Re: Model prediction for 7th place
« Reply #30 on April 07, 2024, 12:06:04 pm by drfchound »
I have
1 Stockport
2 Wrexham
3 mk dons
4 Mansfield
5 Crawley 75pts
6 Crewe 74pts
7 DRFC 73pts

If that turns out right we would play Mansfield in the play off semi final matches.
MKD have played 2 games more than Mansfield,  and most of the other teams around them, with just a point in it

Yes, it could change.
I did say though “if that turns out right”.
Mansfield do seem to have gone into a sticky patch.



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Avsuptem

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Re: Model prediction for 7th place
« Reply #31 on April 07, 2024, 12:36:01 pm by Avsuptem »
I don't think.its going to work as we hope or as the modelling predicts. If Crewe get just 2 wins from their last 4 games they will still be on 73 but most likely with a better goal difference than us. So, we need Crawley to have an unlikely dip in form and/or Barrow to implode. We could well find our selves on 73 points in 8th place which would be nothing more than the bittersweet dissapointing irony that is the traditional lot of a DRFC supporter.

BillyStubbsTears

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Re: Model prediction for 7th place
« Reply #32 on April 07, 2024, 01:27:25 pm by BillyStubbsTears »
I don't think.its going to work as we hope or as the modelling predicts. If Crewe get just 2 wins from their last 4 games they will still be on 73 but most likely with a better goal difference than us. So, we need Crawley to have an unlikely dip in form and/or Barrow to implode. We could well find our selves on 73 points in 8th place which would be nothing more than the bittersweet dissapointing irony that is the traditional lot of a DRFC supporter.

It's actually very simple.

We need to win our last five and hope that one of Crawley, Barrow and Crewe don't do better than about 1.25 PPG in their other games and Walsall don't win their last 4.

If we do win our last 5, I'd say it's about 4/6 on that we'll get 7th place.

philsky

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  • Posts: 1949
Re: Model prediction for 7th place
« Reply #33 on April 07, 2024, 01:51:47 pm by philsky »

Three home games now - I can see us winning them; 67 points and fully in the mix.










drfchound

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  • Posts: 34690
Re: Model prediction for 7th place
« Reply #34 on April 07, 2024, 04:02:30 pm by drfchound »

Three home games now - I can see us winning them; 67 points and fully in the mix.

We should run out to “Let it be” for the last three home games.

philsky

  • Forum Member
  • Posts: 1949
Re: Model prediction for 7th place
« Reply #35 on April 07, 2024, 04:05:21 pm by philsky »

Three home games now - I can see us winning them; 67 points and fully in the mix.

We should run out to “Let it be” for the last three home games.

Should make it £1 for a kid

drfchound

  • Forum Member
  • Posts: 34690
Re: Model prediction for 7th place
« Reply #36 on April 07, 2024, 04:07:49 pm by drfchound »

Three home games now - I can see us winning them; 67 points and fully in the mix.

We should run out to “Let it be” for the last three home games.

Should make it £1 for a kid

Yep, agreed.
Try to fill the stadium.
People are taking interest due to our current run of form.
Walking round the lake on the way to the Wrexham game I met a pal, with his wife, and they said they were going to their first Rovers match for many years.

normal rules

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  • Posts: 8464
Re: Model prediction for 7th place
« Reply #37 on April 07, 2024, 07:53:13 pm by normal rules »
I’m surprised the donnybob challenge hasn’t been declared for Tues night.

 

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