0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.
I think Bournemouth and Brentford will take 6 points each from their last 2 games (yes I know Brentfords last game is against us) so not only do we need to beat Notts County on Saturday, we could do with beating them by 3 clear goals.I'm very nervous. Really hoped for a Blades win tonight.
Because Brentford are now only 3 points behind us it does make for an interesting final game of the season. I just hope it doesnt come back to haunt us.As for Bournemouth we said (after 4 defeats on the trot) they shouldnt catch us but they have won 7/7, so Im struggling to see how we can write them off so easily. Its in our hands, but I cant honestly remember (without checking) the last time we won a final game of the season! Surely were overdue one?
I go, as ever, on statistics. Let's assume we win on Satdi. Anything else is a disaster. In that case, Bournemouth and Brentford MUST win both their last 2 games to catch us. I'd guess that the following are reasonable assumptions for the likelihood of victories for the other matches. BrentfordVs Hartlepool 50%Vs Donny 40%BournemouthVs Carlisle 80%Vs Tranmere 80%That means that if we win on Saturday, the chances of us not going up are about 12.5%. 1/7 on.
Brentford do not kick off until 5.15. If we win and bournemouth do not win then we have securred one of the two auto spots, if then brentford fail to win in the late kick off we are champions, its as simple as that!