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Like I say, I use polls from all the polling companies in an effort to offer a balanced perspective. I'm sure Yougov will be back on track soon. They are going to be polling every day right up to the general election. Let's see what future polls show before anyone starts crowing.
Gaz. Genuine question. What makes you think that?
Ha!New ComRes poll has Con 36, Lab 32. Exact opposite of this morning's You Gov. Anyone's guess what the real position is. Both if those are compatible with it being 34-34 or 35-33 either way.
TRBI'm not sure what anyone can do to make inroads into the SNP support. It seems impervious to the usual laws of logic. Salmond has called EVERY big economic decision catastrophically wrong over the past decade. He wanted Scotland in the EuroHe wanted Scotland to follow the economic example of Ireland and Iceland. He said Scotland could share the Pound and have fiscal independence. He built post-independence finances on the assumption that oil would not drop below $110/barrel. Every call was appalling. That would be terminal for a normal party. But every time Salmond gets it wrong, the SNP support goes up. It's like the Scots are blaming the main parties for the laws of logic. They are voting for what they would like the world to be like in fantasy.I've said before, a nasty, vindictive side of me wishes the b*****ds had voted for independence. Salmond would have been lynched by now as the Scots realised the catastrophe they'd been led into. But the Scots had the good sense not to do that. And now they can indulge themselves, voting for a party that is divorced from economic reality. Trying to convince them not to vote SNP is like trying to convince our resident idiot here to use logic when he argues. Utterly pointless.
I'm not sure the Tories will get a majority. The Lib Dems have said they won't rejoin the Tories haven't they over the Euro referendum?
Look. It's very simple. The Tories will get the most seats. No question. Most people think they won't get an overall majority. They will.So no need to worry about the SNP wielding power. The worst that will happen is the Tories will have some kind of 'coalition' agreement with the LibDems again.So relax everybody. Labour will not be in a position to destroy the economy and increase unemployment yet again.Sorted.
Quote from: IC1967 on March 30, 2015, 12:57:44 pmLook. It's very simple. The Tories will get the most seats. No question. Most people think they won't get an overall majority. They will.So no need to worry about the SNP wielding power. The worst that will happen is the Tories will have some kind of 'coalition' agreement with the LibDems again.So relax everybody. Labour will not be in a position to destroy the economy and increase unemployment yet again.Sorted.What Lib Dems?
whatever party you support,the whole system needs reform..I find it unacceptable that the SNP could hold the key to the balance of power for our country..There Mp's can vote on how our country is run and we don't get a say in how many paperclips there parliment buys..Sadly because of the first past the post system benefiting certain party's over others I cant see that happening soon... I was talking to our Conservative mp last week and he concentrates on local issues rather that national ones as he his so dissalusioned with how political partys in Westminster works regardless of who they are...
I'm expecting LibDems to get 30 and UKIP 10. I reckon the UKIP vote is massively underestimated in Labour seats because many Ukippers keep their political allegiance quiet because of all the disgust people tend to show when they find out you're a Ukipper. It's usually the leftie lot that try their best to make Ukippers feel like they are racist bigots and are the scum of the earth.Well it's going to backfire on them. Its just a shame there aren't more people around like me that are not afraid to state their allegiance. in the privacy of the ballot box no-one knows how you've voted. Watch out Labour, we're coming to get you.
GlynThat one was worth a laugh. It's the lefties who make Ukippers feel like bigots eh? Not the prospective candidates who call foreigners "Ting Tongs" or talk about "Bongo Bongo Land". Sweet.
GazBut as the polls currently stand (the average poll figures) even taking an SNP landslide in Scotland into account (IF that happens) Labour would be the largest party in England by 20-30 seats. If the Tories are going to be the largest party, nevermind be in a position to put a coalition together, they need to change the polls by ~ 3-4% damn quickly. They need Labour to drop from 34% to 30% or they themselves to rise from 32% to 36%. At present, with the campaign well underway, there's no sign whatsoever of that change coming. Two weeks ago there was a tiny move towards the Tories, but that reversed last week and we're back as you were. And the result of the "debate" that Cameron refused to have seems (looking at today's YouGov poll) to have been a quite stunning success for Miliband. I didn't watch it because I'd rather stick tin tacks in my scrotum than watch Paxman w**king off about how clever he is, but the Times figures have Miliband am seen as trouncing Cameron. Which leader came across best?EM 49DC 34Which leader have the more honest answersEM 48DC 29. This is crucial because the Tories have been putting a great deal of emphasis on the belief that people won't see Miliband as a serious alternative. But it looks like people thought Miliband wiped the floor with Cameron on Thursday night. That's a potential game-changer, and it MIGHT explain why Labour had their biggest poll lead in weeks this morning. Fascinating week coming up. If that 4% Lab lead this morning turns out to be genuine and not just normal variation, the game's turned on its head.
Quote from: BillyStubbsTears on March 29, 2015, 09:58:30 pmGazBut as the polls currently stand (the average poll figures) even taking an SNP landslide in Scotland into account (IF that happens) Labour would be the largest party in England by 20-30 seats. If the Tories are going to be the largest party, nevermind be in a position to put a coalition together, they need to change the polls by ~ 3-4% damn quickly. They need Labour to drop from 34% to 30% or they themselves to rise from 32% to 36%. At present, with the campaign well underway, there's no sign whatsoever of that change coming. Two weeks ago there was a tiny move towards the Tories, but that reversed last week and we're back as you were. And the result of the "debate" that Cameron refused to have seems (looking at today's YouGov poll) to have been a quite stunning success for Miliband. I didn't watch it because I'd rather stick tin tacks in my scrotum than watch Paxman w**king off about how clever he is, but the Times figures have Miliband am seen as trouncing Cameron. Which leader came across best?EM 49DC 34Which leader have the more honest answersEM 48DC 29. This is crucial because the Tories have been putting a great deal of emphasis on the belief that people won't see Miliband as a serious alternative. But it looks like people thought Miliband wiped the floor with Cameron on Thursday night. That's a potential game-changer, and it MIGHT explain why Labour had their biggest poll lead in weeks this morning. Fascinating week coming up. If that 4% Lab lead this morning turns out to be genuine and not just normal variation, the game's turned on its head.Hahaha. You were getting far to excited over a rouge poll. Latest Yougov poll has them neck and neck at 35% each. Populus have them neck and neck at 34% each (they normally show a Labour lead). Lord Ashcroft (the most reliable poll IMHO) have the Tories on 36% and Labour only on 34%.The direction of travel is plain to see. The Tories are going to win an overall majority.Get in.
Quote from: IC1967 on March 31, 2015, 11:42:45 amQuote from: BillyStubbsTears on March 29, 2015, 09:58:30 pmGazBut as the polls currently stand (the average poll figures) even taking an SNP landslide in Scotland into account (IF that happens) Labour would be the largest party in England by 20-30 seats. If the Tories are going to be the largest party, nevermind be in a position to put a coalition together, they need to change the polls by ~ 3-4% damn quickly. They need Labour to drop from 34% to 30% or they themselves to rise from 32% to 36%. At present, with the campaign well underway, there's no sign whatsoever of that change coming. Two weeks ago there was a tiny move towards the Tories, but that reversed last week and we're back as you were. And the result of the "debate" that Cameron refused to have seems (looking at today's YouGov poll) to have been a quite stunning success for Miliband. I didn't watch it because I'd rather stick tin tacks in my scrotum than watch Paxman w**king off about how clever he is, but the Times figures have Miliband am seen as trouncing Cameron. Which leader came across best?EM 49DC 34Which leader have the more honest answersEM 48DC 29. This is crucial because the Tories have been putting a great deal of emphasis on the belief that people won't see Miliband as a serious alternative. But it looks like people thought Miliband wiped the floor with Cameron on Thursday night. That's a potential game-changer, and it MIGHT explain why Labour had their biggest poll lead in weeks this morning. Fascinating week coming up. If that 4% Lab lead this morning turns out to be genuine and not just normal variation, the game's turned on its head.Hahaha. You were getting far to excited over a rouge poll. Latest Yougov poll has them neck and neck at 35% each. Populus have them neck and neck at 34% each (they normally show a Labour lead). Lord Ashcroft (the most reliable poll IMHO) have the Tories on 36% and Labour only on 34%.The direction of travel is plain to see. The Tories are going to win an overall majority.Get in.Hey ICI, did you hear the England fans last night chanting to the Italians "Where were you in World War 2?" Heartening to hear the Right Wing is alive & kicking, bless 'em.