Relegation fodder

[Chris Black come back]

There are literally point predictions next to each game. They did not appear by act of god. 8 prediction were made for the 8 games in that run that have been played and half (4) of them were wrong.

To be fair if he’d put £10 on each result with the bookies he’d be up overall. 50% success rate really isn’t bad in that context, but in terms of overall points it’s not very good.

But with two games to go that points could be bang on

After 8 of these 10 games played, it is well wide. And the predictions were wrong in 50pc of the games played.

This follows hot on the heel of the separate prediction that we would get 18 points from the following run of games, when we have with one game of this run to go, just 4 points:

Doncaster   v   Bradford   
Notts Co   v   Doncaster   
Mansfield   v   Doncaster   
Doncaster   v   MK Dons     
Harrogate   v   Doncaster         
Doncaster   v   Newport Co     
Bradford   v   Doncaster     
Doncaster   v   Stockport

Yes you kept us upto date with that one, strange that you haven’t with this one.

It's all there above - 50pc of the predictions have been wrong. And the overall total is a mile off.

[dickos1]

There are literally point predictions next to each game. They did not appear by act of god. 8 prediction were made for the 8 games in that run that have been played and half (4) of them were wrong.

To be fair if he’d put £10 on each result with the bookies he’d be up overall. 50% success rate really isn’t bad in that context, but in terms of overall points it’s not very good.

But with two games to go that points could be bang on

After 8 of these 10 games played, it is well wide. And the predictions were wrong in 50pc of the games played.

This follows hot on the heel of the separate prediction that we would get 18 points from the following run of games, when we have with one game of this run to go, just 4 points:

Doncaster   v   Bradford   
Notts Co   v   Doncaster   
Mansfield   v   Doncaster   
Doncaster   v   MK Dons     
Harrogate   v   Doncaster         
Doncaster   v   Newport Co     
Bradford   v   Doncaster     
Doncaster   v   Stockport

Yes you kept us upto date with that one, strange that you haven’t with this one.

It's all there above - 50pc of the predictions have been wrong. And the overall total is a mile off.

How is it a mile off?
We win 2 games and its exactly correct!

[GazLaz]

£200 is about right for a non league ST.

We won't go down for sure.

Where's all the top half finish betters gone?

When we get beat Friday the odds will be even better. Then it's time to put it on.

I respect your optimism Padge.
But let’s put some numbers to it shall we?
What’s your points tally for the following games? Mine are shown.

Mk. 0
Harrogate 1
Newport 1
Bradford 0
Stockport 0
Sutton 3
Tranmere 1
Salford 3
Grimsby 1
Wimbledon. 0

So that’s another 10 points between now and end of feb. 2 wins 4 draws.
And I think I’m being optimistic. 34 points. And desperate for more to survive before season end.

Mk dons 3
Harrogate 1
Newport 3
Bradford 0
Stockport 0
Sutton 3
Tranmere 3
Salford 1
Grimsby 1
Wimbledon 3

I took some stick for these predictions, but they don’t look so wildly optimistic anymore

You predicted 17 points and we are odds on to finish on 11 or 12. Massively out really.

You think we’re odds on to get 0 or 1 point from the two remaining games?

We are 15/8 to win the game which means we are 8/15 not to win. That’s odds on.

We’ve 2 games left not 1 though

Sorry, the order has done me there.

[dickos1]

One win from being spot on with this points prediction.

[Avsuptem]

Odds of 80-1 for relegation now.

[dickos1]

£200 is about right for a non league ST.

We won't go down for sure.

Where's all the top half finish betters gone?

When we get beat Friday the odds will be even better. Then it's time to put it on.

I respect your optimism Padge.
But let’s put some numbers to it shall we?
What’s your points tally for the following games? Mine are shown.

Mk. 0
Harrogate 1
Newport 1
Bradford 0
Stockport 0
Sutton 3
Tranmere 1
Salford 3
Grimsby 1
Wimbledon. 0

So that’s another 10 points between now and end of feb. 2 wins 4 draws.
And I think I’m being optimistic. 34 points. And desperate for more to survive before season end.

Mk dons 3
Harrogate 1
Newport 3
Bradford 0
Stockport 0
Sutton 3
Tranmere 3
Salford 1
Grimsby 1
Wimbledon 3

Chris black.
Can I have your analysis on these predictions please.
You were very quick to jump on the old predictions but this 9 game prediction has now ended too.
You know the one where everyone was saying I was being wildly optimistic.
You seem to have ignored this one, funny that.
It looks to me that my wildly optimistic predictions ended up being 15 out of 17.

[BillyStubbsTears]

Dickos. I think the issue is that you ALWAYS err on the high side. That's what people pick you up on.

This time you've been close. Well done on that. But you've still erred on the high side. Your predictions would be more convincing if you sometimes underestimated the outturn. If that never happens, they look more like hopeful guesses, which, occasionally will nearly be right.

[Bentley Bullet]

Predicting the next game's outcome is hard enough, never mind the next 10, as the PvO competition shows. If Rovers are doing well optimists will prevail, and if Rovers are doing bad pessimists will prevail. Most successful forecasters are neither optimists nor pessimists but are realists.

Perhaps some of the realists should show the rest of us how accurate your forecasts are by joining the PvO and using your heads instead of your hearts.

[dickos1]

Dickos. I think the issue is that you ALWAYS err on the high side. That's what people pick you up on.

This time you've been close. Well done on that. But you've still erred on the high side. Your predictions would be more convincing if you sometimes underestimated the outturn. If that never happens, they look more like hopeful guesses, which, occasionally will nearly be right.

I don’t think I necessarily did err on the high side. It’s turned out a couple of points out but it’s still not a massive number of points, we should’ve beaten Salford and Bradford were it not for late equalisers.

It would be interesting for everyone to predict the number of points from the remaining 11 games and see what we all predict.
These previous 9 many thought it would be around 1pt per game would they expectation still be that low?

[Jonathan]

I can see the headline now “Football supporter accused in optimism shocker.”

Stranger things have happened than supporters seeing the best in our team and club, hey.

[BillyStubbsTears]

Dickos.

Err. You DID err on the high side. There's literally no arguing that.

[Alan Southstand]

[There's literally no arguing that./quote]

BST, normally, that statement would not be contested, but with Dickos?

[dickos1]

Dickos.

Err. You DID err on the high side. There's literally no arguing that.

Read the posts from earlier in the thread from yourself and others suggesting the predictions were ridiculous and we won’t get anywhere near etc etc.
my predictions were much closer than the negative ones

[BillyStubbsTears]

Find a post where I said any of that.

[Herman Hessian]

absolutely tremendous thread, this - can we please have a new set of predictions to cover matches to the end of the season - it would be a tragedy if this was just allowed to fizzle out now...

[Bentley Bullet]

It seems you're an Ostrich if you're an optimist and a Pillock if you're a pessimist on this forum!

Optimist = Head buried in the sand like an Ostrich.
Pessimist = Ungrateful Pillock!


That's it, .... the PvO competition is officially Pillocks versus Ostriches from now on!

© Knockers.