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Author Topic: 200/1  (Read 7113 times)

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Tiddysdad

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200/1
« on February 28, 2024, 08:38:57 pm by Tiddysdad »
Is it worth a daft quid?
I've just put that on for us to finish in top 7 on sky bet.
Yet on Coral the same bet we are only 50/1.



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Dabbermoo

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #1 on February 28, 2024, 08:45:30 pm by Dabbermoo »
Even a £10 on the 50/1 is worth a punt, 5 unbeaten at the minute with confidence and performances getting better and better, even a loss in the next few games won't hurt too much imo with the teams around us struggling for points and the 2 games in hand rovers have, well achievable on the last 4 games displays to reach top 7 with also a pinch of luck included.

GazLaz

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #2 on February 28, 2024, 08:57:53 pm by GazLaz »
Probably need 10 wins and a draw from our last 13 games to have a chance.

i_ateallthepies

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #3 on February 29, 2024, 08:05:28 am by i_ateallthepies »
There are too many others in that running for us to outrun them all and pinch that 7th spot.

Campsall rover

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #4 on February 29, 2024, 08:18:09 am by Campsall rover »
200/1 sounds about right.

It is possible of course but I won’t even be putting £1 on it.
Having said that i don’t ever bet on anything.

We would need to win 11 out of our last 13 games I would think to even have a chance.

If that happens it would be quite remarkable.

Let’s stop this silly talk and just be realistic which is a possible top 12 finish.


Padge_DRFC

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #5 on February 29, 2024, 08:27:57 am by Padge_DRFC »
200/1 sounds about right.

It is possible of course but I won’t even be putting £1 on it.
Having said that i don’t ever bet on anything.

We would need to win 11 out of our last 13 games I would think to even have a chance.

If that happens it would be quite remarkable.

Let’s stop this silly talk and just be realistic which is a possible top 12 finish.



You say silly talk but finishing top 12 is only 2/3 points difference depending on goal difference

Campsall rover

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #6 on February 29, 2024, 08:36:26 am by Campsall rover »
200/1 sounds about right.

It is possible of course but I won’t even be putting £1 on it.
Having said that i don’t ever bet on anything.

We would need to win 11 out of our last 13 games I would think to even have a chance.

If that happens it would be quite remarkable.

Let’s stop this silly talk and just be realistic which is a possible top 12 finish.



You say silly talk but finishing top 12 is only 2/3 points difference depending on goal difference
Yes but look at the number of teams above us.  So believe me it is silly talk.  Ask BST, he will tell you it is and he is the stats man on this. 

If we get top 7 it will be one of the most remarkable feats achieved in English football history.  Seriously.


Campsall rover

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #7 on February 29, 2024, 08:41:41 am by Campsall rover »
If we lose at Walsall it is game set and match.

If we win you can keep on dreaming Padge.

No one more optimistic than me usually but this is a pipe dream.

Let’s take each game as it comes along and see where it takes us.
Top 12 would me brilliant from where we were in Late January.
« Last Edit: February 29, 2024, 12:04:00 pm by Campsall rover »

andyst79

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #8 on February 29, 2024, 10:06:16 am by andyst79 »
Not a chance , would need 75 points at the very least I'd reckon. Would need to win every game to have an outside chance

Padge_DRFC

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #9 on February 29, 2024, 10:30:05 am by Padge_DRFC »
We're not finishing in the top half that's silly talk. This run won't last

Colemans Left Hook

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #10 on February 29, 2024, 01:44:40 pm by Colemans Left Hook »
200/1 sounds about right.

It is possible of course but I won’t even be putting £1 on it.
Having said that i don’t ever bet on anything.

We would need to win 11 out of our last 13 games I would think to even have a chance.

If that happens it would be quite remarkable.

Let’s stop this silly talk and just be realistic which is a possible top 12 finish.



You say silly talk but finishing top 12 is only 2/3 points difference depending on goal difference
Yes but look at the number of teams above us.  So believe me it is silly talk.  Ask BST, he will tell you it is and he is the stats man on this. 

If we get top 7 it will be one of the most remarkable feats achieved in English football history.  Seriously.

I will just smile at you Campsall

we already have ownership of one of the the most remarkable DE-feats achieved in English Football history .

Amongst other hedge 3 figure  odds bets  Portsmouth were available at 100/1 and more to win the league when we were 50/1 ON to win the league.

Gazlaz never hedged Rovers and lost his money "it's never over til it's over."

Bessie Red

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #11 on February 29, 2024, 01:47:54 pm by Bessie Red »
I reckon we will finish between 14th & 18th based on our run in.

normal rules

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #12 on February 29, 2024, 02:15:36 pm by normal rules »
Rovers will finish in a respectable “upper” bottom
Half position . Which , given our status around Xmas time , will be a positive outcome I think .

scawsby steve

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #13 on February 29, 2024, 03:10:50 pm by scawsby steve »
Rovers will finish in a respectable “upper” bottom
Half position . Which , given our status around Xmas time , will be a positive outcome I think .

I agree with your second sentence, NR, because of the tremendous improvement recently.

However, an upper bottom half position in League 2 reflects a pretty horrendous season for a club of our stature, and there needs to be a massive improvement next season.

I just hope we can finish strongly enough to keep the floating fans on board.

DonnyBazR0ver

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #14 on February 29, 2024, 05:55:45 pm by DonnyBazR0ver »
I think 67 or 68 points will be enough to sneak into the play offs. Not necessarily us mind but as we get to the business end of the season, we'll see eratic form from top to bottom.

There's always exceptions with the odd team hitting on good runs but, any team will struggle to average 2 pts per game as they fight for promotion/play offs or against relegation. The average points per game is likely to condense as we get towards squeaky bum time.

Stockport are having a bad run, Notts Co have fallen off a cliff, Wrexham aren't as prolific as they should be with the players they've brought in.

200/1 is what it is. A long shot bet, so there's nothing silly about anyone having a flutter on that.

Avsuptem

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #15 on February 29, 2024, 06:03:21 pm by Avsuptem »
Rovers will finish in a respectable “upper” bottom
Half position . Which , given our status around Xmas time , will be a positive outcome I think .

I prefer to finish in the front bottom.

Pancho Regan

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #16 on February 29, 2024, 08:53:49 pm by Pancho Regan »


It is possible of course but I won’t even be putting £1 on it.
Having said that i don’t ever bet on anything.


 :s

Tiddysdad

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #17 on March 20, 2024, 09:14:31 am by Tiddysdad »
We're not finishing in the top half that's silly talk. This run won't last

And the run continues

ScillyRover

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #18 on March 20, 2024, 02:19:37 pm by ScillyRover »
Not a cat in hell’s chance of top seven. Save your money towards a season ticket and lump on early doors next August for the L2 title in May ‘25 ! :)

Tiddysdad

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #19 on March 29, 2024, 05:46:29 pm by Tiddysdad »
We're not finishing in the top half that's silly talk. This run won't last

Are you sure?
I'm watching a team that appears to have galvanised and are non stop.
It's a top half for me.

dickos1

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #20 on March 29, 2024, 05:50:01 pm by dickos1 »
Not a cat in hell’s chance of top seven. Save your money towards a season ticket and lump on early doors next August for the L2 title in May ‘25 ! :)

A very slim chance but it’s one that keeps looking better each week

ncRover

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #21 on March 29, 2024, 06:02:34 pm by ncRover »
Now down to 28/1 on Skybet for top 7. They fancy Bradford more at 20/1.

karldew

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #22 on March 29, 2024, 06:08:40 pm by karldew »
First time I’ve had a cash out for my top 7 bet in a while. I got on in January I think it was. £2.10 cash out!, think I’ll see how the season pans out.

Tiddysdad

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #23 on April 02, 2024, 11:37:26 pm by Tiddysdad »
Now down to 20-1 and offering me £6:36 cash out on my daft quid at the start of this thread at 200-1.
Love it let it ride.

Campsall rover

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #24 on April 02, 2024, 11:47:17 pm by Campsall rover »
Just seen some of my posts on this thread from a few weeks ago.

Unbelievable what this team is doing now. Making me look a fool saying it was silly to even consider the play offs.

If we win the next 2 games and Crawley come a cropper v Mansfield & Wrexham then we seriously have more than a decent chance of finishing 7th.
We will be one of the favourites.
This would be the biggest jump to go from 20th to 7th in what the last 11 games of the season.
Has this been done before in the play off era?  Anyone know?

« Last Edit: April 03, 2024, 01:19:36 am by Campsall rover »

Filo

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #25 on April 02, 2024, 11:50:11 pm by Filo »
Just seen some of my posts on this thread from a few weeks ago.

Unbelievable what this team is doing now. Making me look a fool saying it was silly to even consider the play offs.

If we win the next 2 games and Crawly come a cropper v Mansfield & Wrexham then we seriously have more than a decent chance of finishing 7th.
We will be one of the favourites.
This would be the biggest jump to go from 20th to 7th in what the last 11 games of the season.
Has this been done before in the play off era?  Anyone know?



Barnsley did something like that a few years ago in L1, bottom on New Years Day and got into the play offs

Ryaldinhio

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #26 on April 02, 2024, 11:57:21 pm by Ryaldinhio »
When it was 200/1 I out a tenner on. Sky bet now offering £29.12 cashout

Tiddysdad

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #27 on April 03, 2024, 12:09:36 am by Tiddysdad »
When it was 200/1 I out a tenner on. Sky bet now offering £29.12 cashout
I had a £1 and they are offering me £6:36 so a £10 should be £63:60 cash out shouldn't it.

Ryaldinhio

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #28 on April 03, 2024, 01:08:28 am by Ryaldinhio »
When it was 200/1 I out a tenner on. Sky bet now offering £29.12 cashout
I had a £1 and they are offering me £6:36 so a £10 should be £63:60 cash out shouldn't it.

Cash outs don't follow set odds, friend of mine works for Betfair and said its all about overall payout so for lower bets they will offer higher cash outs to try get them off the table. For the bigger bets if they have got enough small bets off the table then the overall position might be covered......if that makes sense?

Alan Southstand

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Re: 200/1
« Reply #29 on April 03, 2024, 04:49:49 am by Alan Southstand »
I’ve gone on record for saying if we win the Crawley and Wrexham games, then we could be in with a chance. However, other teams, particularly after last night, will be making sure they’re not going to be caught out. Also, we now have to factor in, that, in just 2 games, our central defensive bedrock has been illiminated for possibly the next 2 matches(and they’re not easy games).

I’m all for this juggernaut to keep rumbling on, but some little devil on my shoulder keeps telling me - don’t be daft! I have faith that GM will, somehow, work around yet another problem set before us, but he doesn’t walk on water, does he?

See, the devil on my other shoulder is saying - but, the stats men seem to think we now only need 71 points for 7th, not 73. So, now we can actually afford to lose 1 game! You see it doesn’t matter how many teams are above us, a ‘team’ will/could achieve 71 points and come 7th. Why not us?




 

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