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Author Topic: BST points prediction thread…  (Read 38798 times)

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DonnyNoel

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #30 on February 20, 2025, 08:25:51 pm by DonnyNoel »
They reckon 6th on here.

https://theanalyst.com/competition/english-league-two

If it turns out like that we will (I think) be playing three games in a row against Notts County.


And I think GM will fail for the 3rd time in the play offs.

Top 3 is an absolute must.

Tend to agree. We haven't really laid a glove on the teams around us so to have to beat two of them to go up doesn't fill me with confidence. DP's team in 03/04 didn't really have a great record against the top 7 either (Mansfield aside), was just a case of smashing the lower end of the table which is something we need to find a way to do.



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colincramb

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #31 on February 20, 2025, 09:10:11 pm by colincramb »
Not taking any points from the chesterfield and Grimsby games could have really shafted us.

Bad week for us that. I think we’d need to produce something really special from here on in to make the top 3, or hope the teams around us have a massive wobble.

Lesonthewest

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #32 on February 20, 2025, 09:38:06 pm by Lesonthewest »
Just had a quick look to last seasons table & Wrexham occupied 3rd spot on 59 points from 32 games. All to play for, really need to put a run together now.

PDX_Rover

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #33 on February 20, 2025, 10:06:12 pm by PDX_Rover »
On top of that, can anyone ever remember a more crucial set of fixtures in the last few weeks of the season as we have this year?

April 12- Wimbledon (home)
April 26- Bradford (home)
May 3rd - Notts County (away)

Jesus.

Is the Jesus game home or away?
- it’s on the shores of the Sea of Galilee. Only loaves and fishes and red wine available on the concourse.

Dutch Uncle

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #34 on February 20, 2025, 10:08:44 pm by Dutch Uncle »
On top of that, can anyone ever remember a more crucial set of fixtures in the last few weeks of the season as we have this year?

April 12- Wimbledon (home)
April 26- Bradford (home)
May 3rd - Notts County (away)

Jesus.

Is the Jesus game home or away?

If it's away, can you tell me how to get there please?

Colemans Left Hook

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #35 on February 20, 2025, 10:58:45 pm by Colemans Left Hook »
On top of that, can anyone ever remember a more crucial set of fixtures in the last few weeks of the season as we have this year?

April 12- Wimbledon (home)
April 26- Bradford (home)
May 3rd - Notts County (away)

Jesus.


Is the Jesus game home or away?

If it's away, can you tell me how to get there please?

it's at High Cross Warwickshire near Rugby if you are trying to get there

les@donr

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #36 on February 20, 2025, 11:00:23 pm by les@donr »
On top of that, can anyone ever remember a more crucial set of fixtures in the last few weeks of the season as we have this year?

April 12- Wimbledon (home)
April 26- Bradford (home)
May 3rd - Notts County (away)

Jesus.

Is the Jesus game home or away?

If it's away, can you tell me how to get there please?


Camels

drfchound

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #37 on February 20, 2025, 11:00:48 pm by drfchound »
Not taking any points from the chesterfield and Grimsby games could have really shafted us.

Bad week for us that. I think we’d need to produce something really special from here on in to make the top 3, or hope the teams around us have a massive wobble.

Teams around us will all drop points, some will definitely have a wobble.
Don’t forget they all play each other too so not all of them will end the season unscathed.

Colemans Left Hook

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #38 on February 20, 2025, 11:22:12 pm by Colemans Left Hook »
if we had drawn all 3 matches at Chessie, home to Grimsby and also at Morecambe - we would be on a 7 game unbeaten run  with the same amount of points  and we would be a lot more optimistic ??

ignoring the goal difference loss !!


GazLaz

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #39 on February 21, 2025, 08:13:54 am by GazLaz »
Walsall, Wimbledon, Notts County and us have been the best four teams in L2 since day one. No reason to think that won’t be the top 4 come the end of the season.

belton rover

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #40 on February 21, 2025, 08:57:13 am by belton rover »
On top of that, can anyone ever remember a more crucial set of fixtures in the last few weeks of the season as we have this year?

April 12- Wimbledon (home)
April 26- Bradford (home)
May 3rd - Notts County (away)

Jesus.


Is the Jesus game home or away?

If it's away, can you tell me how to get there please?

it's at High Cross Warwickshire near Rugby if you are trying to get there
Nailed on 3 points there. They are terrible on crosses.

Colemans Left Hook

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #41 on February 21, 2025, 04:02:16 pm by Colemans Left Hook »
It's coming lads and lasses.

I set up the spreadsheet last week but I've knackered my back and been in bed all week so haven't put the data in yet. Feeling a bit better tonight, so might do it.

this is really "weird" (apologies for using someone's catchphrase) 

I have been going on at Mrs Coleman for 6 weeks about going to see a proper Chiropractic /Chinese Acupuncturist - she made the appointment on Monday and today was the day  11 am  - she feels much better already - has a trapped nerve she has now booked  6x one hour sessions for £345*  plus paid for some herbal pads to stick on her back at night

Today included  having the needles (twenty of them all over the place) in for 20 minutes plus the massage for 10 minutes .

Alternatively you might simply buy a bottle of "Wong To Yick" "Wood Lock"   no that's not the name of the North Korean goalscorer who put Italy out of the World cup (that was Pak do Ik)

Here is a scan of the stuff - it's nearly empty -- it used to be imported from Hong Kong our bottle has an Expiry Date of 2011 and it still works - they even sell it on ebay  . Mrs Coleman says Chemists sell it Mrs BST I am sure will rub it in for you

*My Carlisle winnings will pay for that
« Last Edit: February 21, 2025, 04:04:19 pm by Colemans Left Hook »

ChrisBx

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #42 on February 21, 2025, 04:03:53 pm by ChrisBx »
It's coming lads and lasses.

I set up the spreadsheet last week but I've knackered my back and been in bed all week so haven't put the data in yet. Feeling a bit better tonight, so might do it.

this is really "weird" (apologies for using someone's catchphrase) 

I have been going on at Mrs Coleman for 6 weeks about going to see a proper Chiropractic /Chinese Acupuncturist - she made the appointment on Monday and today was the day  11 am  - she feels much better already - has a trapped nerve she has now booked  6x one hour sessions for £345  plus paid for some herbal pads to stick on her back at night

Today included  having the needles (twenty of them all over the place) in for 20 minutes plus the massage for 10 minutes .

Alternatively you might simply buy a bottle of "Wong To Yick" "Wood Lock"   no that's not the name of the North Korean goalscorer who put Italy out of the World cup (that was Pak do Ik)

Here is a scan of the stuff - it's nearly empty -- it used to be imported from Hong Kong our bottle has an Expiry Date of 2011 and it still works - they even sell it on ebay  . Mrs Coleman says Chemists sell it Mrs BST I am sure will rub it in for you

Are you okay?

Colemans Left Hook

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #43 on February 21, 2025, 04:08:03 pm by Colemans Left Hook »
If you had proper back pain you would not be Ok

Bentley Bullet

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #44 on February 21, 2025, 08:28:06 pm by Bentley Bullet »
Our lass goes to choirpractice at our local church every week, and it costs her nowt.

les@donr

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #45 on February 21, 2025, 09:11:31 pm by les@donr »
I make an eight hour round trip every 12 weeks to get Botox treatment for migraines. It does help, but with an injection needle put into my head, neck, back and forehead, the treatment is very painful. I have to take a couple of days off work to recover.

acacia94

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #46 on February 21, 2025, 09:24:42 pm by acacia94 »
After a couple of bottles of Australian Shiraz, 13.5% I get a really stingy arse the following morning – Any thoughts?

DearneValleyRover

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #47 on February 21, 2025, 11:04:16 pm by DearneValleyRover »
After a couple of bottles of Australian Shiraz, 13.5% I get a really stingy arse the following morning – Any thoughts?

Stop sitting on nettles whilst you drink it

Nudga

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #48 on February 21, 2025, 11:29:34 pm by Nudga »
After a couple of bottles of Australian Shiraz, 13.5% I get a really stingy arse the following morning – Any thoughts?

And your farts smell like spunk?

graingrover

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #49 on February 22, 2025, 06:16:55 am by graingrover »
Medical treatment in Chinese pharmacies and hospitals ( in large cities) cities invariable offer Western or Chinese medical treatment. Acupuncture,  massage and natural products typify the Chinese way . I bet the way players get treatment in China is very different too.

wilts rover

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #50 on February 22, 2025, 12:46:20 pm by wilts rover »
Medical treatment in Chinese pharmacies and hospitals ( in large cities) cities invariable offer Western or Chinese medical treatment. Acupuncture,  massage and natural products typify the Chinese way . I bet the way players get treatment in China is very different too.
I wonder what treatment said players receive dealing with the record amounts of pollution in China  brought about by western governments transferring production there and having huge ships transporting goods halfway round the world whilst pronouncing their green credentials?


How many different user names have you had now?

Very Woke...

BillyStubbsTears

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #51 on February 22, 2025, 05:25:33 pm by BillyStubbsTears »
You wanted it. Here it is. Although you probably won't like it....

Remember, to save a lot of very tiresome arguing again, this is NOT predicting who will finish where. It's predicting how many points each final position will end up with. Nothing magic about it, but with a couple of exceptions, it's generally getting the finishing points tallies right to within a couple or 3 points for 15 years now.

So, here's this evening's prediction.

1st place: 90
2nd 89
3rd 88
4th 85
5th 85
6th 82
7th 75
8th 70
9th 69
10th 65

Bit of a bugger if that's anywhere near. It means we'd need to win 10 of our final 13 to make the top 3.

88 points feels high for 3rd place, but there are a lot of teams with already slightly better ppg than us, and similar recent form. Personally, I think we are going to struggle to make the top 3, and this confirms it. We still don't and never have consistently looked like clearly one of the top three sides this season.



Chris Black come back

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #52 on February 22, 2025, 05:46:25 pm by Chris Black come back »
It's a really, really shit league this season.

IDM

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #53 on February 22, 2025, 06:16:37 pm by IDM »
Why do you say that.?

What is “shit” about it.?

Walsall aside (at the moment), loads of teams including ours are in the frame to compete for automatic promotion whilst in danger of missing the play offs.  In terms of the overall competition that’s quite exciting isn’t it?

That we are in second place despite not being in the best of form performance wise, is more reflective of this being the 4th division IMHO.

dickos1

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #54 on February 22, 2025, 06:27:11 pm by dickos1 »
Not taking any points from the chesterfield and Grimsby games could have really shafted us.

Bad week for us that. I think we’d need to produce something really special from here on in to make the top 3, or hope the teams around us have a massive wobble.

We have won 6 games out of the last 8, 18 points from 24.
That’s remarkable form yet you’re talking like we’ve been on some kind of terrible run

BillyStubbsTears

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #55 on February 22, 2025, 06:33:44 pm by BillyStubbsTears »
Not taking any points from the chesterfield and Grimsby games could have really shafted us.

Bad week for us that. I think we’d need to produce something really special from here on in to make the top 3, or hope the teams around us have a massive wobble.

We have won 6 games out of the last 8, 18 points from 24.
That’s remarkable form yet you’re talking like we’ve been on some kind of terrible run

We've won 7 of the last 10.

Every one was against a bottom half CORRECTION a top 10 side. We've played 3 games in that run against top half 10 sides, lost all three and looked distinctly second best.

That's my point.

 
« Last Edit: February 22, 2025, 06:48:53 pm by BillyStubbsTears »

dickos1

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #56 on February 22, 2025, 06:34:12 pm by dickos1 »
You wanted it. Here it is. Although you probably won't like it....

Remember, to save a lot of very tiresome arguing again, this is NOT predicting who will finish where. It's predicting how many points each final position will end up with. Nothing magic about it, but with a couple of exceptions, it's generally getting the finishing points tallies right to within a couple or 3 points for 15 years now.

So, here's this evening's prediction.

1st place: 90
2nd 89
3rd 88
4th 85
5th 85
6th 82
7th 75
8th 70
9th 69
10th 65

Bit of a bugger if that's anywhere near. It means we'd need to win 10 of our final 13 to make the top 3.

88 points feels high for 3rd place, but there are a lot of teams with already slightly better ppg than us, and similar recent form. Personally, I think we are going to struggle to make the top 3, and this confirms it. We still don't and never have consistently looked like clearly one of the top three sides this season.




But we’re currently 2nd, if we average 2 points a game then we will finish in the top 3,
Last 10 games were averaging 2.1and last 20 were averaging 1.9.
So the form we’re in and have been for 20 games now would be border line good enough, a light improvement and we’re there

dickos1

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #57 on February 22, 2025, 06:36:49 pm by dickos1 »
Not taking any points from the chesterfield and Grimsby games could have really shafted us.

Bad week for us that. I think we’d need to produce something really special from here on in to make the top 3, or hope the teams around us have a massive wobble.

We have won 6 games out of the last 8, 18 points from 24.
That’s remarkable form yet you’re talking like we’ve been on some kind of terrible run

We've won 7 of the last 10.

Every one was against a bottom half side. We've played 3 games in that run against top half sides, lost all three and looked distinctly second best.

That's my point.

 

We didn’t look distinctly second best at chesterfield,
Wimbledon only drew today against a midtable side, you can only beat what’s in front of you and we’re doing that most weeks currently

GazLaz

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #58 on February 22, 2025, 06:37:10 pm by GazLaz »
Not taking any points from the chesterfield and Grimsby games could have really shafted us.

Bad week for us that. I think we’d need to produce something really special from here on in to make the top 3, or hope the teams around us have a massive wobble.

We have won 6 games out of the last 8, 18 points from 24.
That’s remarkable form yet you’re talking like we’ve been on some kind of terrible run

We've won 7 of the last 10.

Every one was against a bottom half side. We've played 3 games in that run against top half sides, lost all three and looked distinctly second best.

That's my point.

 

Kind of agree with that. We’ve played two abysmal teams this week and laboured past them.

karldew

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Re: BST points prediction thread…
« Reply #59 on February 22, 2025, 06:43:36 pm by karldew »
Newport 16th
Bromley 10th
Swindon 15th
Crewe 7th
Salford 9th
Carlisle 24th
Walsall 1st
Cheltenham 11th
Wimbledon 3rd
Tranmere 22nd
Colchester 12th
Bradford 5th
Notts County 4th

So if we get 4 wins from the bottom half sides we need to win 4 sides in the top half to get promotion. I think 82 with some draws thrown in will be enough…

 

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