Bookmaker Odds

[GazLaz]

Strip out the bookmaker margin and home advantage for our game at Bradford and the betting markets are saying that ourselves and Bradford are rated pretty much the same.

They had us about +0.3 goals better than Orient and again about 0.3 goals better than Orient.

They think we are a mid table team and I agree.

Our underlying numbers have largely been mid table all season. TLT cost us around 0.25 goals per game which made a huge difference to results during that period. Having a competent keeper has really stabilised things.

Under performance vs expectation in both boxes meant that points didn’t align with expected points. Improvement in the squad and a bit of variance reverting to the mean is culminating in an improved points return.

[Chris Black come back]

They've had an odd run. 4 of their last 5 league games have been away. Not sure how that happened.

[Usher wide.]

Strip out the bookmaker margin and home advantage for our game at Bradford and the betting markets are saying that ourselves and Bradford are rated pretty much the same.

They had us about +0.3 goals better than Orient and again about 0.3 goals better than Orient.

They think we are a mid table team and I agree.

Our underlying numbers have largely been mid table all season. TLT cost us around 0.25 goals per game which made a huge difference to results during that period. Having a competent keeper has really stabilised things.

Under performance vs expectation in both boxes meant that points didn’t align with expected points. Improvement in the squad and a bit of variance reverting to the mean is culminating in an improved points return.

You ‘stole’ my topic/post.

[ncRover]

They only managed 0.03 xG against Lincoln last night. And 0.14 against Huddersfield the game before that. Their attack looks to have dried up completely.

[RoseTInteD]

We are 9th in the form table over the latest 4 games. Bradford are 22nd. The game is winnable.

[Chris Black come back]

11th after 6.

[DonnyOsmond]

FotMob have us 7th on xG table, still chance we can expect to get in the expected play offs and get expected promoted.

[Prez]

With last nights game on Sky, spread betting firm Sporting Index had a variety of markets. Was surprised in the goal scorer minutes market to see Owen Bailey have a small spread of 6-9 minutes.

I bought at £3. The market a settled at 83 minutes (34 + 49) minus the 9 I bought at 74 in total.

74 x £3 a nice £222 profit thanks to captain fantastic.

[GazLaz]

With last nights game on Sky, spread betting firm Sporting Index had a variety of markets. Was surprised in the goal scorer minutes market to see Owen Bailey have a small spread of 6-9 minutes.

I bought at £3. The market a settled at 83 minutes (34 + 49) minus the 9 I bought at 74 in total.

74 x £3 a nice £222 profit thanks to captain fantastic.

I was on aggregate L1 home goals - Away goals at 4.5-5.5 spread… wallop.