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IdlerI doubt they did it as an excuse. But certainly there was significant migration of Russians to the Baltic states during Soviet times, along with promotion of the Russian language and culture over the Estonian and Latvian ones (there are many fewer Russians in Lithuania). So now you have a very significant minority in each country whose first allegiance is towards Russia. That COULD be used as a pretext for action by Putin. Which is actually too scary to think about.
Sproty You’re talking about Kaliningrad. I’m talking about Estonia and Latvia.
Sproty. As you say, ethnic Russians in Estonia and Latvia make up about 25% of the population. That compares to about 17% in Ukraine. There are a number of regions close to the borders with Russia where ethnic Russians are concentrated at 70-100% of the population. Just like in Ukraine. In Ukraine the argument was that ethnic Russians were being treated like second class citizens and oppressed. So they spontaneously took up arms against the Ukranian Govt with moral support from Russia. Of course that is bullshit. Russia provided guns, tanks and missiles to the uprising and its well documented that the Russian army has been actively involved in the fighting. Now, imagine that happening in Estonia. A “spontaneous uprising of ethnic Russian who rebel against being oppressed by the Estonian majority.” Russia says, “We morally support you but of course we can’t get actively involved in fighting against a NATO State.”But in reality, Spetznaz are fighting alongside the uprising. In other words, precisely like Ukraine but with a NATO country on the receiving end. Not a pleasant scenario. Either Article V gets invoked or NATO is a busted flush. Neither of those are worlds that I want my kids to live in. Which is why it’s essential that Purim knows the red line beforehand.
Quote from: BillyStubbsTears on March 19, 2018, 03:11:52 pmSproty. As you say, ethnic Russians in Estonia and Latvia make up about 25% of the population. That compares to about 17% in Ukraine. There are a number of regions close to the borders with Russia where ethnic Russians are concentrated at 70-100% of the population. Just like in Ukraine. In Ukraine the argument was that ethnic Russians were being treated like second class citizens and oppressed. So they spontaneously took up arms against the Ukranian Govt with moral support from Russia. Of course that is bullshit. Russia provided guns, tanks and missiles to the uprising and its well documented that the Russian army has been actively involved in the fighting. Now, imagine that happening in Estonia. A “spontaneous uprising of ethnic Russian who rebel against being oppressed by the Estonian majority.” Russia says, “We morally support you but of course we can’t get actively involved in fighting against a NATO State.”But in reality, Spetznaz are fighting alongside the uprising. In other words, precisely like Ukraine but with a NATO country on the receiving end. Not a pleasant scenario. Either Article V gets invoked or NATO is a busted flush. Neither of those are worlds that I want my kids to live in. Which is why it’s essential that Purim knows the red line beforehand. Billy these countries are tiny in comparison to the Ukraine. You also have to know a bit about the History of Russia to understand why they will never give up the Crimea an also lend support to a vast Russian population in Eastern Ukraine.
Just like the Sudetenland, eh?[/quoteWhere is there any comparison?
Quote from: Glyn_Wigley on March 19, 2018, 09:53:35 pmJust like the Sudetenland, eh?[/quoteWhere is there any comparison?German speaking people in Southern and Western Czechoslavakia a damn good reason for Hitler to expand claiming that they needed help . Whether they did or not was never a reason for Hitler to stop his expansion pulling in all Germanic peoples under him , the same applied to Austria who were more than willing after losing the Hapsburg Empire. I'm not sure that the Czechs were treated bacly though by the authorities . We have a large population in Australia that would identify with this country , however that doesn't give us an excuse to take it over.
A difficult comparison is the Sudetenland, the Germans did not loose the Great War they entered into an Armistice and in their eyes got shafted in 1919, losing a lot of their former territory to Poland and Czechoslovakia.The German Army was never beaten never surrendered. They went away Bitter and started studying their former enemies tactics.The Russians on the other hand won the Second World War and suffered great loss, the territory's they had conquered /liberated became the Warsaw Pact, when Gorbachov gave up the former Warsaw Pact territory it was agreed that NATO would not station troops in any former Warsaw Pact territory. Hence the bitterness.Russia isn't interested in occupying 3 tiny Baltic states it has an ice free port in Kalingrad.The Ukraine is a country created by Russia, it only exists as a country because of Russia, the Crimea was conquered by the Russians who militarised it hundreds of years ago.Bit like Norther Ireland really.... here you go!
The Ukraine is a country created by Russia, it only exists as a country because of Russia, the Crimea was conquered by the Russians who militarised it hundreds of years ago.
Quote from: Sprotyrover on March 21, 2018, 07:06:59 pmThe Ukraine is a country created by Russia, it only exists as a country because of Russia, the Crimea was conquered by the Russians who militarised it hundreds of years ago.So because you conquer and militarise somewhere, it means you've created the country? Nothing to do with the culture and ethnicity of the native population at all??Ukraine has also been conquered by Lithuania, Poland, Austria-Hungary, the Ottoman Empire and Nazi Germany. Why are you giving Russia all the credit? Ukraine gained its current independence when it seceded from the USSR, not Russia.
The people of an area of land are the rightful occupiers, whoever they are conquered by.Should they at any time have the means to change their circumstances by overthrowing the invaders they are surely in the right.People have a bad habit of confusing Russia with the USSR.A bit like comparing Britain with the British Empire.
As time goes on, I have to say the UK's position is looking increasingly dodgy, three people have survived an attack with the most deadly nerve agent known, and there is no antidote for that agent. Either our government are telling lies, or they are just shit playing the propoganda war
It's good to hear that both Skirpals' are improving from the effects of the military grade nerve agent and hopefully they will go one to make a full recovery. It was a shame though to hear yesterday that the first casualties had been recorded with their two guinea pigs and pedigree cat having perished through neglect and dehydration as no-one realised they were in the house.A particular shame as it was reported three weeks ago that the local vet had notified the police they were in there the day the poisoning reached the media and they were reported to have been rescued and taken to Porton Down for tests, hmmm?
I'm not quite sure what to make of that are you ?