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What does xG and xA mean please?
Hurst has barely started and only comes on when the game is opening up.This cant be that surprising is it?
Quote from: mushRTID on May 15, 2024, 02:28:58 pmHurst has barely started and only comes on when the game is opening up.This cant be that surprising is it?It is surprising. He’s got to be good to get to anything like those numbers. Football is played on grass but everything that happens on that pitch can be quantified.
Quote from: GazLaz on May 15, 2024, 02:43:53 pmQuote from: mushRTID on May 15, 2024, 02:28:58 pmHurst has barely started and only comes on when the game is opening up.This cant be that surprising is it?It is surprising. He’s got to be good to get to anything like those numbers. Football is played on grass but everything that happens on that pitch can be quantified. He does need to be good to get those numbers but they'd be even better if they achieved over a bigger sample time, the majority of which was against players with fresh legs. When a full-back has been run ragged for 70 mins by Moly and/or Haks it'll be easier for Hurst to deliver promising attacking plays.
xG and xA output from our wide men per 90min…Molyneux 4038 minutes-xG- 0.15xA- 0.18Total- 0.33Adelakun 1829 minutes-xG- 0.18xA- 0.13Total- 0.31Hurst 707 minutes-xG- 0.25xA- 0.23Total- 0.48Interesting.
Quote from: Mike_F on May 15, 2024, 02:55:29 pmQuote from: GazLaz on May 15, 2024, 02:43:53 pmQuote from: mushRTID on May 15, 2024, 02:28:58 pmHurst has barely started and only comes on when the game is opening up.This cant be that surprising is it?It is surprising. He’s got to be good to get to anything like those numbers. Football is played on grass but everything that happens on that pitch can be quantified. He does need to be good to get those numbers but they'd be even better if they achieved over a bigger sample time, the majority of which was against players with fresh legs. When a full-back has been run ragged for 70 mins by Moly and/or Haks it'll be easier for Hurst to deliver promising attacking plays.Adjust them down by 20% and they are still good. Small sample obviously, which you can adjust for again, but they would still be really good.
Quote from: GazLaz on May 15, 2024, 03:01:49 pmQuote from: Mike_F on May 15, 2024, 02:55:29 pmQuote from: GazLaz on May 15, 2024, 02:43:53 pmQuote from: mushRTID on May 15, 2024, 02:28:58 pmHurst has barely started and only comes on when the game is opening up.This cant be that surprising is it?It is surprising. He’s got to be good to get to anything like those numbers. Football is played on grass but everything that happens on that pitch can be quantified. He does need to be good to get those numbers but they'd be even better if they achieved over a bigger sample time, the majority of which was against players with fresh legs. When a full-back has been run ragged for 70 mins by Moly and/or Haks it'll be easier for Hurst to deliver promising attacking plays.Adjust them down by 20% and they are still good. Small sample obviously, which you can adjust for again, but they would still be really good. That's good to know. I really rate Hurst; he has bags of potential and I was a bit concerned when rumour had it that McCann wasn't a fan of his earlier in the season.
Expected goals and expected assists.
Quote from: Mike_F on May 15, 2024, 03:30:22 pmQuote from: GazLaz on May 15, 2024, 03:01:49 pmQuote from: Mike_F on May 15, 2024, 02:55:29 pmQuote from: GazLaz on May 15, 2024, 02:43:53 pmQuote from: mushRTID on May 15, 2024, 02:28:58 pmHurst has barely started and only comes on when the game is opening up.This cant be that surprising is it?It is surprising. He’s got to be good to get to anything like those numbers. Football is played on grass but everything that happens on that pitch can be quantified. He does need to be good to get those numbers but they'd be even better if they achieved over a bigger sample time, the majority of which was against players with fresh legs. When a full-back has been run ragged for 70 mins by Moly and/or Haks it'll be easier for Hurst to deliver promising attacking plays.Adjust them down by 20% and they are still good. Small sample obviously, which you can adjust for again, but they would still be really good. That's good to know. I really rate Hurst; he has bags of potential and I was a bit concerned when rumour had it that McCann wasn't a fan of his earlier in the season.These positive attacking outputs don’t take into account his off the ball stuff do they. Thats what he needs to work on. Not impossible he could play the Haks, void of any real defensive responsibility role, if we get a good grafting winger on the other side.
Quote from: GazLaz on May 15, 2024, 03:51:06 pmQuote from: Mike_F on May 15, 2024, 03:30:22 pmQuote from: GazLaz on May 15, 2024, 03:01:49 pmQuote from: Mike_F on May 15, 2024, 02:55:29 pmQuote from: GazLaz on May 15, 2024, 02:43:53 pmQuote from: mushRTID on May 15, 2024, 02:28:58 pmHurst has barely started and only comes on when the game is opening up.This cant be that surprising is it?It is surprising. He’s got to be good to get to anything like those numbers. Football is played on grass but everything that happens on that pitch can be quantified. He does need to be good to get those numbers but they'd be even better if they achieved over a bigger sample time, the majority of which was against players with fresh legs. When a full-back has been run ragged for 70 mins by Moly and/or Haks it'll be easier for Hurst to deliver promising attacking plays.Adjust them down by 20% and they are still good. Small sample obviously, which you can adjust for again, but they would still be really good. That's good to know. I really rate Hurst; he has bags of potential and I was a bit concerned when rumour had it that McCann wasn't a fan of his earlier in the season.These positive attacking outputs don’t take into account his off the ball stuff do they. Thats what he needs to work on. Not impossible he could play the Haks, void of any real defensive responsibility role, if we get a good grafting winger on the other side.Hard to find someone of Moly’s profile. Which is why I think it’s likely he doesn’t stay.Jack Nolan left footed and plays on the right for Accrington but not a grafter going by his stats.Mahoney currently on loan at Gillingham expiring at Huddersfield had a good season but might be L1 standard.Humphrys as mentioned above also looks L1 standard.
So Adelakun has completely outperformed then. Based on XG v actual goals.
Quote from: Padge_DRFC on May 15, 2024, 02:46:21 pmSo Adelakun has completely outperformed then. Based on XG v actual goals. Point is, he won't score at that rate again. He had an exceptional spell where everything he tried came off. Usually it won't work like that.