Promotion race

[i_ateallthepies]

I'll be happy just to ge the lead to start with and then take it from there.

[TonySoprano]

The top 3 have an easier last 4 games than Rovers and I expect most will acknowledge that. So logically they have more of a chance than us of picking up more of those 12 points than us. That still leaves us 4th. We rely on one of the top 3 having a worse run than us, but the fixtures suggest otherwise.
 
Shouldn't we all be concerned?

You don’t half talk a lot of rubbish, we’re 4 points off top spot with 4 games to go.
Bradford have tougher fixtures than us and Walsall haven’t won a game in 10.
Nothing you write makes sense, and has no rationale attached whatsoever

It doesn't make you a better fan by refusing to admit that we will struggle to finish 3rd.

Why will we struggle?
By your logic everyone who is the race is going to struggle

Wrong, I can see how we are playing, and the players we have injured, and who we have to play.
It doesn't make you less of a fan by recognising this.

But you’re not looking at how the others are playing!
Or who they’ve got to play

Of course I am!

[dickos1]

The top 3 have an easier last 4 games than Rovers and I expect most will acknowledge that. So logically they have more of a chance than us of picking up more of those 12 points than us. That still leaves us 4th. We rely on one of the top 3 having a worse run than us, but the fixtures suggest otherwise.
 
Shouldn't we all be concerned?

You don’t half talk a lot of rubbish, we’re 4 points off top spot with 4 games to go.
Bradford have tougher fixtures than us and Walsall haven’t won a game in 10.
Nothing you write makes sense, and has no rationale attached whatsoever

It doesn't make you a better fan by refusing to admit that we will struggle to finish 3rd.

Why will we struggle?
By your logic everyone who is the race is going to struggle

Wrong, I can see how we are playing, and the players we have injured, and who we have to play.
It doesn't make you less of a fan by recognising this.

But you’re not looking at how the others are playing!
Or who they’ve got to play

Of course I am!

So how do you come to the conclusion you have if you’re considering how our rivals are playing and who they have to play?
Doesn’t make any sense

[dickos1]

Nobody knows how this is going to turn out but there is a reasonably feasible scenario where we don't have to deliver a huge amount of points to go up. We probably just need to overtake a Walsall in freefall to get the final space and make sure we can just keep ahead of AFC Wimbledon. Port Vale are already up and Bradford City could even beat us and it wouldn't matter that much. It feels like we are likely now playing against Walsall and AFC Wimbledon to get the final spot. Doesn't matter so much what Port Vale and maybe even Bradford City do now.

Madness to suggest Bradford are out of reach, they’re in very poor form and were 2 points behind with a game in hand and have to play them at home. Their away record is relegation material

14th isn't relegation mate.

1 point from 4 games is

[dickos1]

Is 4 points off top spot with 4 games to go not fighting for the title?

No, not the way we are playing, not a chance.

Are we fighting for the title yet

[DonnyBazR0ver]

Still anything can happen with Walsall and Wimbledon still in the picture.

Despite Walsalls lack of winning, if they were to win away at Newport in Mondays early kick off, they'll go back to the top. Then of course any one of the other top three could claim the spot back in the 3pm kick offs.

It's not been this close since.....Nah, surely not!


We've made our own luck today so may that continue for the last 3 laps.

[dickos1]

We need 4 points from 3 games to secure promotion
But let’s go for the title

[GazLaz]

Bradford at Chezzy on Monday. Really tough game that for them.

[TonySoprano]

Is 4 points off top spot with 4 games to go not fighting for the title?

No, not the way we are playing, not a chance.

Are we fighting for the title yet

Look, a broken clock is correct twice a day.
You list all credibility after defending schofield and mcsheffrey.

[dickos1]

Is 4 points off top spot with 4 games to go not fighting for the title?

No, not the way we are playing, not a chance.

Are we fighting for the title yet

Look, a broken clock is correct twice a day.
You list all credibility after defending schofield and mcsheffrey.

Got nothing to do with clocks, you made a ridiculous statement that looks even more ridiculous now

[dickos1]

Bradford at Chezzy on Monday. Really tough game that for them.

Massive game Monday
If we can get the 3 points we will be within touching distance.
Walsall have gone, they won’t get many more points and Wimbledon have port vale to come

[DonnyBazR0ver]

Bradford at Chezzy on Monday. Really tough game that for them.

Yes. Very pleasing Chesterfield stopped Wimbledon today which bodes well for the Bradford game.

[DonnyOsmond]

Bradford out of form and without Smallwood, Notts hopefully resting for the play offs... Monday could be our toughest game.

[Colemans Left Hook]

Bradford at Chezzy on Monday. Really tough game that for them.

Massive game Monday
If we can get the 3 points we will be within touching distance.
Walsall have gone, they won’t get many more points and Wimbledon have port vale to come

'fraid not Matey  

[adamtherover]

We need 4 points from 3 games to secure promotion
But let’s go for the title

not quite, that would give us 79pts, which Wimbledon can match with much better GD,  we need 5 pts..

[adamtherover]

We need 4 points from 3 games to secure promotion
But let’s go for the title

not quite, that would give us 79pts, which Wimbledon can match with much better GD,  we need 5 pts..that said, Bradford can get to 80 PTS even if we beat them, so I think 81 is the golden number...

[dickos1]

They won’t though and if they do it means they’ve beaten port vale.
80 points has been my target for a while now, and they can’t reach that but I think it’ll end up being 78/79

[normal rules]

We need 4 points from 3 games to secure promotion
But let’s go for the title

not quite, that would give us 79pts, which Wimbledon can match with much better GD,  we need 5 pts..

You are mathematically correct, but wimbledons last 6 form has been won one , drawn 4 and lost one . I just can’t see them winning  all three games .

[Pancho Regan]

Is 4 points off top spot with 4 games to go not fighting for the title?

No, not the way we are playing, not a chance.

Are we fighting for the title yet

Keep flying the flag Dickos, I’m right there with you!

[Chris Black come back]

Port Vale are away at AFC Wimbledon. Port Vale have just conceded three and lost away at third bottom Carlisle United. It is not at all fantastical to think that Port Vale lose at AFC Wimbledon.

[adamtherover]

We need 4 points from 3 games to secure promotion
But let’s go for the title

not quite, that would give us 79pts, which Wimbledon can match with much better GD,  we need 5 pts..

You are mathematically correct, but wimbledons last 6 form has been won one , drawn 4 and lost one . I just can’t see them winning  all three games .

when folk are using the term "to secure promotion ", surely definite numbers are the only things that matter, not an emotional guess of how things mite turn out?

[Chris Black come back]

Given how absolutely abject Walsall continue to be, if we do manage to beat Colchester on Monday, we are probably up then given how bad Walsall continue to be and the games that AFC Wimbledon still have to play.

[les@donr]

Colchester fans are saying that their team did not play well today and fear the worse on Monday against us. I think they’ll raise their game and make life difficult for us.

[andysly]

As poor as Walsall's results are they looked a decent side against us, did they just turn up for us

[drfchound]

As poor as Walsall's results are they looked a decent side against us, did they just turn up for us

I said that at the Walsall game.
Given their run of results they were much better than I thought they would be.

[Pancho Regan]

As poor as Walsall's results are they looked a decent side against us, did they just turn up for us

I said that at the Walsall game.
Given their run of results they were much better than I thought they would be.

I agree, but I think we helped them that day.

Clearly they continue to be on a downward trajectory.
From where we stood two months ago, I cannot believe we’ve gone above them.

[les@donr]

I think Walsall are a spent force, and be lucky to make it through the playoffs.

[Colemans Left Hook]

Bradford at Chezzy on Monday. Really tough game that for them.

Massive game Monday
If we can get the 3 points we will be within touching distance.
Walsall have gone, they won’t get many more points and Wimbledon have port vale to come

'fraid not Matey  

Walsall are almost 2/1 on to win this away match meaning put £1 on to win 56 pence  which backs up what i said - 

[tommy toes]

Latest Betfair Exchange approx odds:
Vale 6/4
Rovers 5/2
Walsall 5/1
Bratfud 11/2
Wombles 80/1

[colincramb]

Lyle taylor out for the rest of the season for Colchester. Probably their biggest threat.