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Staying up is aim No1.Despite the fabled 50 points being the target, it is not usually needed in reality.Over the past 20 years in L1, both the median and mean points needed to finish 1 point above 4th from bottom is 48.So we would need another 26 points to have a 50:50 chance.That would be a finish to the season of P27 W6 D8 L13And a full season of P46 W12 D12 L22I THINK that is doable.
Quote from: BillyStubbsTears on December 10, 2025, 03:16:29 pmStaying up is aim No1.Despite the fabled 50 points being the target, it is not usually needed in reality.Over the past 20 years in L1, both the median and mean points needed to finish 1 point above 4th from bottom is 48.So we would need another 26 points to have a 50:50 chance.That would be a finish to the season of P27 W6 D8 L13And a full season of P46 W12 D12 L22I THINK that is doable.I know it’s a cliche but I’d take finishing 20th. I really am worried, that all the hard work getting us promoted will be undone. Still plenty of time of course and traditionly we always seem to do better in the second half of the season. But the stats are poor and we are weaker in every department since winning the league.
Quote from: Prez on December 10, 2025, 07:19:19 pmQuote from: BillyStubbsTears on December 10, 2025, 03:16:29 pmStaying up is aim No1.Despite the fabled 50 points being the target, it is not usually needed in reality.Over the past 20 years in L1, both the median and mean points needed to finish 1 point above 4th from bottom is 48.So we would need another 26 points to have a 50:50 chance.That would be a finish to the season of P27 W6 D8 L13And a full season of P46 W12 D12 L22I THINK that is doable.I know it’s a cliche but I’d take finishing 20th. I really am worried, that all the hard work getting us promoted will be undone. Still plenty of time of course and traditionly we always seem to do better in the second half of the season. But the stats are poor and we are weaker in every department since winning the league. I’m pretty confident we are better than the 20th best team in L1.