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So the multi party governing system that is currently in place will also be scrapped as part of the UK leaving the EU? Processes have been put in place that have been signed into constitution to hopefully stop some members of NI being effectively classed as second class citizens. Would an elected British Govt really risk changing this set up and relighting the fire just because it is no longer a member of the EU? I personally don't believe it would.
Look at who is also suggesting this scenario. Enda Kenny, a man who is holding onto office in Ireland by his finger nails and should really have resigned following the recent election. John Major, the least said about him the better and Tony Blair who will hopefully get his comeuppance shortly. As opposed to the current NI First Minister who branded the comments "disgraceful" but her views don't sit with the remain point of view so I guess they don't matter.
Quote from: Dn2Dn0 on June 09, 2016, 10:23:41 pmSo the multi party governing system that is currently in place will also be scrapped as part of the UK leaving the EU? Processes have been put in place that have been signed into constitution to hopefully stop some members of NI being effectively classed as second class citizens. Would an elected British Govt really risk changing this set up and relighting the fire just because it is no longer a member of the EU? I personally don't believe it would.Look at who is also suggesting this scenario. Enda Kenny, a man who is holding onto office in Ireland by his finger nails and should really have resigned following the recent election. John Major, the least said about him the better and Tony Blair who will hopefully get his comeuppance shortly. As opposed to the current NI First Minister who branded the comments "disgraceful" but her views don't sit with the remain point of view so I guess they don't matter. It's not the people who believe in the peace agreement who are the potential problem though - it's the ones who dont. There were Republican paramilitaries on the streets as recently as April - and protestants rioting with the police because they couldn't have their way in last years marching season. They may be a minority - but they are a bloody dangerous one.Will a period of economic uncertainty cause social unrest and allow these fringe elements to recruit a new generation of unemployed, angry and frustrated youngsters who want to take out their frustration on someone somewhere? In Northern Ireland they dont have far to look. I agree it is all part of 'Project Fear' to link this possibility up with the EU debate - but I wouldn't be so glib as to just laugh it off if I were you. History goes back a long way over there.
So the multi party governing system that is currently in place will also be scrapped as part of the UK leaving the EU? Processes have been put in place that have been signed into constitution to hopefully stop some members of NI being effectively classed as second class citizens. Would an elected British Govt really risk changing this set up and relighting the fire just because it is no longer a member of the EU? I personally don't believe it would.Look at who is also suggesting this scenario. Enda Kenny, a man who is holding onto office in Ireland by his finger nails and should really have resigned following the recent election. John Major, the least said about him the better and Tony Blair who will hopefully get his comeuppance shortly. As opposed to the current NI First Minister who branded the comments "disgraceful" but her views don't sit with the remain point of view so I guess they don't matter.
Quote from: Dn2Dn0 on June 09, 2016, 10:23:41 pmSo the multi party governing system that is currently in place will also be scrapped as part of the UK leaving the EU? Processes have been put in place that have been signed into constitution to hopefully stop some members of NI being effectively classed as second class citizens. Would an elected British Govt really risk changing this set up and relighting the fire just because it is no longer a member of the EU? I personally don't believe it would.Missing the point. It's not about the top-down effect. It's about the bottom-up effect. What happens when the economy falters because of the economic effects of Brexit? What happens to the unemployed kids?
Regarding Irish terrorism and the recession. The economy started tanking and unemployment rising from 2007 (although, interestingly, having been the basket case of the U.K. for generations, unemployment in NI in the last recession was lower than in the North East, North West, Yorkshire and Humberside and the West Mids in the UK.)Anyway. I digress. Issue is that in late 2008, Sir Hugh Orde, the head of PSNI (who started in that role in 2002) said that the terrorism threat was the highest in his term in office. Have a look at the activity of the Real IRA in the period before the Great Recession and during/after it. You might not have heard much about economic conditions being a threat to peace. It doesn't mean that the threat didn't increase substantially. In 2008/09, Hugh Orde
For information, the Irish Republic is not in Schengen and the border issue was dealt with by a treaty of 1923.
I've heard no such argument from Leave. All I've heard is immediate shouting down of anyone who disagrees with them. But no explanation of WHY they are wrong.
One key point about Remain: Their whole case appears to be based on the notion that the UK is fundamentally weak. So while the EU would go on its merry way without us, we would be bankrupt. I do not believe that to be the case. Far from it.
The EU is not a trading bloc, though. It was when we joined it but it is now a Federal Super-state in the making. Had it remained a trading bloc, we wouldn't be having this conversation.And you are ignoring the fact that we buy more from the EU than they buy from us. I can't see them wanting to cut off one of their biggest and best markets.
Quote from: The Red Baron on June 10, 2016, 11:56:43 amThe EU is not a trading bloc, though. It was when we joined it but it is now a Federal Super-state in the making. Had it remained a trading bloc, we wouldn't be having this conversation.And you are ignoring the fact that we buy more from the EU than they buy from us. I can't see them wanting to cut off one of their biggest and best markets. What you are in effect saying there TRB is that we can withdraw £350m per week (Vote Leave figures) from the EU Budget and there will be no repercussions for us. Do you really believe that? Why?Because rational thought - and the German Finance Minister - think otherwise:Germanys finance minister, Wolfgang Schäuble, has slammed the door on Britain retaining access to the single market if it votes to the leave the European Union.In an interview in a Brexit-themed issue of German weekly Der Spiegel, the influential veteran politician ruled out the possibility of the UK following a Swiss or Norwegian model where it could enjoy the benefits of the single market without being an EU member.That wont work, Schäuble told Der Spiegel. It would require the country to abide by the rules of a club from which it currently wants to withdraw.If the majority in Britain opts for Brexit, that would be a decision against the single market. In is in. Out is out. One has to respect the sovereignty of the British people.http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/10/no-single-market-access-for-uk-after-brexit-wolfgang-schauble-says
Lipsy, I'm with your conclusion on the vote but then I have been all the way through. My reasoning being nothing more sophisticated than the fact that there are enough people amongst the working classes in this country sufficiently gullible to vote in a tory government, and the same gullibility will see them voting us out of the EU.