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Author Topic: It's that time of year...  (Read 12027 times)

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Janso

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #90 on March 05, 2023, 06:43:04 am by Janso »
The next two home games are massive if we win them both then we’ve got 16 points from 8 games.
Continue at that rate and we will end the season on 73 points which will be borderline

I do sometimes admire your blind optimism but we go entire games without really looking like scoring, I really don't see it.

More chance of the divisions in the fan base being healed in May than Rovers reaching the playoffs, I think.



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colincramb

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #91 on March 05, 2023, 07:18:06 am by colincramb »
We aren’t getting in the playoffs. Have as good an end to this season as possible and try to carry that  into next season for me

normal rules

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #92 on March 05, 2023, 07:33:47 am by normal rules »
. The lack of  games drawn will be the downfall, as well as a pitiful ability to find the back of the net.
It’s not been a good season. Again.

Cramby10

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #93 on March 05, 2023, 08:12:31 am by Cramby10 »
18 goals scored in 20 games at 0.9 goals per game. 4 of which were scored in one game against Rochdale and we’ve only scored in 10 of them. This would suggest we’re not getting anywhere near the playoffs.

normal rules

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #94 on March 05, 2023, 08:32:10 am by normal rules »
Sat with a coffee contemplating the season so far.
It could have been much much worse is what I am consoling myself with.
Playoffs now is utter fantasy. Roy of the rovers stuff.
I’d like to see a resurgent rovers becoming more cohesive and find their goals scoring abilities in the closing games to the season. And wouldn’t it be great to put a few teams to the sword. Finish on a relative high perhaps.
And of course, Rovers must go to Stevenage and give the bloated toad something to moan about. That would be nice.

Arsenal Of The North

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #95 on March 05, 2023, 08:40:01 am by Arsenal Of The North »
Even if we somehow managed to sneak into the play offs we would only be filling a spot, inability to score against our promotion rivals of late will be our downfall.

Let’s hope next season we have a better output with goals

Lesonthewest

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #96 on March 05, 2023, 09:56:30 am by Lesonthewest »
We aren’t getting in the playoffs. Have as good an end to this season as possible and try to carry that  into next season for me

Agreed, you never know we could even try to entertain the supporters. Maybe grab ourselves a corner, create a few chances, score a goal even. Might help sell a few season tickets, you never know.

Colemans Left Hook

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #97 on March 05, 2023, 07:44:45 pm by Colemans Left Hook »
We all know that my "ladbrokes hard thread" produced a double figure return and as you can see we are 6th over the last 6 games.

But what we have all miised is that "The Vikings" are on current form are likely to have a new nickname "The Laundrymen" fairly soon on that form

We have kept clean sheets in 4 out of those matches against non rubbish teams - conceeding 3 goals in the 6 games.

We are currently 13th with 13 matches to play. Only 3 of these are against teams above us
namely decaying Stevenage ( with a very short half life decay rate [Sorry Scawsby if you don't know wott I am on about] .....    Salford and Sutton .


Yes it is USUALLY logical to argue we need to be playing teams above us

but the cunning plan is for these teams to catch the "draw disease " that has infested  Sincil Bank Lincoln all season.   Surely a lot of the teams above us must have a lot of matches to play against each other ?

Bentley Bullet (his dad, Wolfie and his uncle Scawsby Steve) will all of course remember the last disease Lincoln had  in season 1904-05

https://www.familyhistorydiggers.com/post/a-moment-in-time-in-lincoln

So we will be playing 10 teams with nothing to play for.

In Colemans World the 4th to 7th teams are cast in stone to finish in the top 7
and the Champion might be a team currently in 4th to 7th

So that's iit game over you say !   Au contraire mon Ami

Basically the plan involves us winning our next  two games and Stevenage getting no more than 4 points from their next 2 games

that would cut the gap down to eleven points with us to go there  - assuming we beat them  that's 8 points we need to make up. ( yes I am ignoring goal difference)

their next two home games are Walsall and Crewe at home

then they have

Carlisle   AWAY
Salford  HOME
Northampton AWAY

and of course easier matches after that


https://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/stevenage/fixtures-results

they lost 2-0 (note not 1-0) to Rochdale yesterday and mid-week were 2-0 down to now out of form Wimbledon before winning away. made 4 changes in the 2nd half and he probably  threw that many cups of tea against the wall at half time.

As you can see they are 22nd out of 24 over the last 6 games   won 1 -- drawn 1 -- lost 4
So that's my cunning plan to get  newly named "Laundrymen " into the play-offs

that being the only way we can make it.
« Last Edit: March 05, 2023, 08:10:30 pm by Colemans Left Hook »

scawsby steve

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #98 on March 05, 2023, 08:35:17 pm by scawsby steve »
We all know that my "ladbrokes hard thread" produced a double figure return and as you can see we are 6th over the last 6 games.

But what we have all miised is that "The Vikings" are on current form are likely to have a new nickname "The Laundrymen" fairly soon on that form

We have kept clean sheets in 4 out of those matches against non rubbish teams - conceeding 3 goals in the 6 games.

We are currently 13th with 13 matches to play. Only 3 of these are against teams above us
namely decaying Stevenage ( with a very short half life decay rate [Sorry Scawsby if you don't know wott I am on about] .....    Salford and Sutton .


Yes it is USUALLY logical to argue we need to be playing teams above us

but the cunning plan is for these teams to catch the "draw disease " that has infested  Sincil Bank Lincoln all season.   Surely a lot of the teams above us must have a lot of matches to play against each other ?

Bentley Bullet (his dad, Wolfie and his uncle Scawsby Steve) will all of course remember the last disease Lincoln had  in season 1904-05

https://www.familyhistorydiggers.com/post/a-moment-in-time-in-lincoln

So we will be playing 10 teams with nothing to play for.

In Colemans World the 4th to 7th teams are cast in stone to finish in the top 7
and the Champion might be a team currently in 4th to 7th

So that's iit game over you say !   Au contraire mon Ami

Basically the plan involves us winning our next  two games and Stevenage getting no more than 4 points from their next 2 games

that would cut the gap down to eleven points with us to go there  - assuming we beat them  that's 8 points we need to make up. ( yes I am ignoring goal difference)

their next two home games are Walsall and Crewe at home

then they have

Carlisle   AWAY
Salford  HOME
Northampton AWAY

and of course easier matches after that


https://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/stevenage/fixtures-results

they lost 2-0 (note not 1-0) to Rochdale yesterday and mid-week were 2-0 down to now out of form Wimbledon before winning away. made 4 changes in the 2nd half and he probably  threw that many cups of tea against the wall at half time.

As you can see they are 22nd out of 24 over the last 6 games   won 1 -- drawn 1 -- lost 4
So that's my cunning plan to get  newly named "Laundrymen " into the play-offs

that being the only way we can make it.

We've already played Sutton twice.

Colemans Left Hook

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #99 on March 05, 2023, 11:21:54 pm by Colemans Left Hook »
thanks for the correction ... it's even more strange playing only 2 clubs above us and 11 who are below 

looking at the 13 matches again

the relegation contenders are Harrogate (we play twice) Hartlepool, Rochdale & Crawley (we play  away)

so 8 matches are against teams "on the so called beach" nothing to play for teams.

Sammy Chung was King

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #100 on March 07, 2023, 06:19:00 am by Sammy Chung was King »
I see us beating Harrogate, draw with Wimbledon, beat Salford, Crawley and Northampton. Thirteen points out of possible fifteen.

normal rules

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #101 on March 07, 2023, 06:52:58 am by normal rules »
I see us beating Harrogate, draw with Wimbledon, beat Salford, Crawley and Northampton. Thirteen points out of possible fifteen.

That would make one hell of an acca.
I’ve just worked it out. 4 wins based on rovers being even money and a 12/5 draw would be around 53/1.
In reality it would be much more than this. But it gives you an idea.
Worth a quid or two at the bookies if you are that confident.
« Last Edit: March 07, 2023, 06:59:04 am by normal rules »

normal rules

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #102 on March 07, 2023, 07:00:52 am by normal rules »
If the two away games had rovers at 2/1 that would push the acca to around 120/1

Colemans Left Hook

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #103 on March 13, 2023, 01:20:52 pm by Colemans Left Hook »
We all know that my "ladbrokes hard thread" produced a double figure return and as you can see we are 6th over the last 6 games.

But what we have all miised is that "The Vikings" are on current form are likely to have a new nickname "The Laundrymen" fairly soon on that form

We have kept clean sheets in 4 out of those matches against non rubbish teams - conceeding 3 goals in the 6 games.

We are currently 13th with 13 matches to play. Only 3 of these are against teams above us
namely decaying Stevenage ( with a very short half life decay rate [Sorry Scawsby if you don't know wott I am on about] .....    Salford and Sutton .


Yes it is USUALLY logical to argue we need to be playing teams above us

but the cunning plan is for these teams to catch the "draw disease " that has infested  Sincil Bank Lincoln all season.   Surely a lot of the teams above us must have a lot of matches to play against each other ?

Bentley Bullet (his dad, Wolfie and his uncle Scawsby Steve) will all of course remember the last disease Lincoln had  in season 1904-05

https://www.familyhistorydiggers.com/post/a-moment-in-time-in-lincoln

So we will be playing 10 teams with nothing to play for.

In Colemans World the 4th to 7th teams are cast in stone to finish in the top 7
and the Champion might be a team currently in 4th to 7th

So that's iit game over you say !   Au contraire mon Ami

Basically the plan involves us winning our next  two games and Stevenage getting no more than 4 points from their next 2 games

that would cut the gap down to eleven points with us to go there  - assuming we beat them  that's 8 points we need to make up. ( yes I am ignoring goal difference)

their next two home games are Walsall and Crewe at home

then they have

Carlisle   AWAY
Salford  HOME
Northampton AWAY

and of course easier matches after that


https://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/stevenage/fixtures-results

they lost 2-0 (note not 1-0) to Rochdale yesterday and mid-week were 2-0 down to now out of form Wimbledon before winning away. made 4 changes in the 2nd half and he probably  threw that many cups of tea against the wall at half time.

As you can see they are 22nd out of 24 over the last 6 games   won 1 -- drawn 1 -- lost 4
So that's my cunning plan to get  newly named "Laundrymen " into the play-offs

that being the only way we can make it.

We've already played Sutton twice.


That "Stevenage being the weakest link" theory has quickly gone in the bin ( I won't mention someone's ACCA - having take off problems  :crying:)and the fat lady was getting ready to perform the last rites on our promotion chances at Crewe on Friday night when Saltford Lake City took the lead in the 85th minute.

Don't ask me how The Railway men managed to become their bogie team and beat them.

So with us visiting their paddy field on Saturday we still have a micro-chance of the play offs . They have an exceptionally fast right winger - who hopefully will be slowed down by the pitch.

As I highlighted a while ago Stevenage also have to play Salford which hopefully ( in my dreams you say) will be of significance to us.

normal rules

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #104 on March 14, 2023, 06:45:50 pm by normal rules »
I see us beating Harrogate, draw with Wimbledon, beat Salford, Crawley and Northampton. Thirteen points out of possible fifteen.

Just re visited this thread.
I hope you kept your money in your pocket.

BillyStubbsTears

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #105 on March 15, 2023, 12:11:23 am by BillyStubbsTears »
Predictor is currently saying 75 points for 7th place.

Chris Black come back

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #106 on March 15, 2023, 05:01:16 am by Chris Black come back »
Well that’s only the modest task of 25 points from our remaining 11 games at 2.27 ppg.

Campsall rover

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #107 on March 15, 2023, 08:46:35 am by Campsall rover »
Well that’s only the modest task of 25 points from our remaining 11 games at 2.27 ppg.
EASY. Walk in the park.

2nd thoughts it would be quite something if we achieved 75 points now.
If we win the next 3 Salford A, Crawley A & Northampton H, then it would actually be feasible looking at our last 8 games. 16 points needed to get that BST predicted required 75.  ( could be 73 to 77 imo. ) so 75 agree is the mean no.
Then we only have Stevenage A to play in top 14 teams in the current table.

Are we capable  of winning the next 3 games though? Knowing us we will win v Salford and Northampton and get beat at Crawley.  That would just sum up this season.

I am still trying to be positive because that’s the only way to be.
This Manager and team keep bringing me down to earth though with a jolt.  We are so consistently inconsistent.  Can it change. Are we capable of going on a long unbeaten run?
 

normal rules

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #108 on March 15, 2023, 02:57:57 pm by normal rules »
It’s odd being 6 points off 7th currently and thinking it’s achievable. 7 points given the gd.
The reality being so much different.

BillyStubbsTears

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #109 on March 15, 2023, 03:19:57 pm by BillyStubbsTears »
7 points is a massive gap with only 10-11 games to play. It means you have to outperform the team in 7th by a level equivalent to 30 points if maintained over a season.

We'd need something like 2.2 points per game from here on in, and them to average 1.5. And no other team to have a surge in form.

It's not impossible of course, but it is very, very unlikely. Maybe a 40/1 shot.
« Last Edit: March 16, 2023, 01:17:29 am by BillyStubbsTears »

Campsall rover

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #110 on March 15, 2023, 04:30:35 pm by Campsall rover »
It’s odd being 6 points off 7th currently and thinking it’s achievable. 7 points given the gd.
The reality being so much different.
The reality is exactly as it is. 6 points off top 7 with a game in hand.
GD is another point of course.

Anything else is fiction. Not different NR.   But I know what you mean
« Last Edit: March 15, 2023, 04:47:12 pm by Campsall rover »

scawsby steve

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #111 on March 15, 2023, 04:59:11 pm by scawsby steve »
The reality is that it's mathematically within our grasp; but this team isn't good enough to obtain the points on offer.

Campsall rover

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #112 on March 15, 2023, 05:12:48 pm by Campsall rover »
The reality is that it's mathematically within our grasp; but this team isn't good enough to obtain the points on offer.
You’re probably right SS but the proof of that is where we are on 6th May. Not 15th March.
33 points still to play for.

Let’s wait for the Fat Lady to start singing first.  It could be before the end of March if we follow the seasons trend of results.




drfchound

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #113 on March 15, 2023, 09:13:50 pm by drfchound »
Just being pedantic Camps, but the last day of the season has been put back to 8th May because of the Coronation.

scawsby steve

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #114 on March 16, 2023, 08:45:11 pm by scawsby steve »
Just being pedantic Camps, but the last day of the season has been put back to 8th May because of the Coronation.

I can't stand pedantry on this forum.

It's something that I never do.

drfchound

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #115 on March 16, 2023, 09:32:15 pm by drfchound »
Just being pedantic Camps, but the last day of the season has been put back to 8th May because of the Coronation.

I can't stand pedantry on this forum.

It's something that I never do.

LoL. You are jealous coz I got there before you did mate.  Come on, admit it.

normal rules

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #116 on March 17, 2023, 04:56:53 pm by normal rules »
7 points is a massive gap with only 10-11 games to play. It means you have to outperform the team in 7th by a level equivalent to 30 points if maintained over a season.

We'd need something like 2.2 points per game from here on in, and them to average 1.5. And no other team to have a surge in form.

It's not impossible of course, but it is very, very unlikely. Maybe a 40/1 shot.

Sky bet have rovers to finish in the top 7 at an unbelievably short 12/1 today.
Do they know something we don’t?
« Last Edit: March 17, 2023, 04:59:12 pm by normal rules »

BillyStubbsTears

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #117 on March 17, 2023, 06:00:20 pm by BillyStubbsTears »
7 points is a massive gap with only 10-11 games to play. It means you have to outperform the team in 7th by a level equivalent to 30 points if maintained over a season.

We'd need something like 2.2 points per game from here on in, and them to average 1.5. And no other team to have a surge in form.

It's not impossible of course, but it is very, very unlikely. Maybe a 40/1 shot.

Sky bet have rovers to finish in the top 7 at an unbelievably short 12/1 today.
Do they know something we don’t?

They have us at 14/1 to make the playoffs, so 12/1 to make the top 7 implies a 100/1 price against us making the top 3. Whereas in fact the actual price they offer against us making the top 3 is 250/1.

I'd say 250/1 is still not generous. Even if we won our last 11 games (have we ever won 11 on the bounce? We only managed 10 in 46/47) Carlisle would still bat us if they kept up their season-long form to date up to the end of the season.

I'd want 2000/1 against before I'd think about putting ten bob on us to make the top 3.

Colemans Left Hook

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #118 on March 17, 2023, 06:23:06 pm by Colemans Left Hook »
Just being pedantic Camps, but the last day of the season has been put back to 8th May because of the Coronation.

I can't stand pedantry on this forum.

It's something that I never do.

I know what you had for lunch "porkies pies" and I claim my £5  :laugh:

normal rules

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Re: It's that time of year...
« Reply #119 on March 17, 2023, 10:03:29 pm by normal rules »
7 points is a massive gap with only 10-11 games to play. It means you have to outperform the team in 7th by a level equivalent to 30 points if maintained over a season.

We'd need something like 2.2 points per game from here on in, and them to average 1.5. And no other team to have a surge in form.

It's not impossible of course, but it is very, very unlikely. Maybe a 40/1 shot.

Sky bet have rovers to finish in the top 7 at an unbelievably short 12/1 today.
Do they know something we don’t?

They have us at 14/1 to make the playoffs, so 12/1 to make the top 7 implies a 100/1 price against us making the top 3. Whereas in fact the actual price they offer against us making the top 3 is 250/1.

I'd say 250/1 is still not generous. Even if we won our last 11 games (have we ever won 11 on the bounce? We only managed 10 in 46/47) Carlisle would still bat us if they kept up their season-long form to date up to the end of the season.

I'd want 2000/1 against before I'd think about putting ten bob on us to make the top 3.

250/1 is outrageous. utter fantasy stuff for rovers to get auto now.needs a nought adding. and then some.
but then , the bookies arent there to lose money.

 

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