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The next two home games are massive if we win them both then we’ve got 16 points from 8 games. Continue at that rate and we will end the season on 73 points which will be borderline
We aren’t getting in the playoffs. Have as good an end to this season as possible and try to carry that into next season for me
We all know that my "ladbrokes hard thread" produced a double figure return and as you can see we are 6th over the last 6 games.But what we have all miised is that "The Vikings" are on current form are likely to have a new nickname "The Laundrymen" fairly soon on that form We have kept clean sheets in 4 out of those matches against non rubbish teams - conceeding 3 goals in the 6 games.We are currently 13th with 13 matches to play. Only 3 of these are against teams above us namely decaying Stevenage ( with a very short half life decay rate [Sorry Scawsby if you don't know wott I am on about] ..... Salford and Sutton .Yes it is USUALLY logical to argue we need to be playing teams above us but the cunning plan is for these teams to catch the "draw disease " that has infested Sincil Bank Lincoln all season. Surely a lot of the teams above us must have a lot of matches to play against each other ? Bentley Bullet (his dad, Wolfie and his uncle Scawsby Steve) will all of course remember the last disease Lincoln had in season 1904-05https://www.familyhistorydiggers.com/post/a-moment-in-time-in-lincolnSo we will be playing 10 teams with nothing to play for.In Colemans World the 4th to 7th teams are cast in stone to finish in the top 7 and the Champion might be a team currently in 4th to 7th So that's iit game over you say ! Au contraire mon AmiBasically the plan involves us winning our next two games and Stevenage getting no more than 4 points from their next 2 gamesthat would cut the gap down to eleven points with us to go there - assuming we beat them that's 8 points we need to make up. ( yes I am ignoring goal difference)their next two home games are Walsall and Crewe at home then they have Carlisle AWAYSalford HOMENorthampton AWAYand of course easier matches after that https://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/stevenage/fixtures-resultsthey lost 2-0 (note not 1-0) to Rochdale yesterday and mid-week were 2-0 down to now out of form Wimbledon before winning away. made 4 changes in the 2nd half and he probably threw that many cups of tea against the wall at half time.As you can see they are 22nd out of 24 over the last 6 games won 1 -- drawn 1 -- lost 4 So that's my cunning plan to get newly named "Laundrymen " into the play-offs that being the only way we can make it.
I see us beating Harrogate, draw with Wimbledon, beat Salford, Crawley and Northampton. Thirteen points out of possible fifteen.
Quote from: Colemans Left Hook on March 05, 2023, 07:44:45 pmWe all know that my "ladbrokes hard thread" produced a double figure return and as you can see we are 6th over the last 6 games.But what we have all miised is that "The Vikings" are on current form are likely to have a new nickname "The Laundrymen" fairly soon on that form We have kept clean sheets in 4 out of those matches against non rubbish teams - conceeding 3 goals in the 6 games.We are currently 13th with 13 matches to play. Only 3 of these are against teams above us namely decaying Stevenage ( with a very short half life decay rate [Sorry Scawsby if you don't know wott I am on about] ..... Salford and Sutton .Yes it is USUALLY logical to argue we need to be playing teams above us but the cunning plan is for these teams to catch the "draw disease " that has infested Sincil Bank Lincoln all season. Surely a lot of the teams above us must have a lot of matches to play against each other ? Bentley Bullet (his dad, Wolfie and his uncle Scawsby Steve) will all of course remember the last disease Lincoln had in season 1904-05https://www.familyhistorydiggers.com/post/a-moment-in-time-in-lincolnSo we will be playing 10 teams with nothing to play for.In Colemans World the 4th to 7th teams are cast in stone to finish in the top 7 and the Champion might be a team currently in 4th to 7th So that's iit game over you say ! Au contraire mon AmiBasically the plan involves us winning our next two games and Stevenage getting no more than 4 points from their next 2 gamesthat would cut the gap down to eleven points with us to go there - assuming we beat them that's 8 points we need to make up. ( yes I am ignoring goal difference)their next two home games are Walsall and Crewe at home then they have Carlisle AWAYSalford HOMENorthampton AWAYand of course easier matches after that https://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/stevenage/fixtures-resultsthey lost 2-0 (note not 1-0) to Rochdale yesterday and mid-week were 2-0 down to now out of form Wimbledon before winning away. made 4 changes in the 2nd half and he probably threw that many cups of tea against the wall at half time.As you can see they are 22nd out of 24 over the last 6 games won 1 -- drawn 1 -- lost 4 So that's my cunning plan to get newly named "Laundrymen " into the play-offs that being the only way we can make it.We've already played Sutton twice.
Well that’s only the modest task of 25 points from our remaining 11 games at 2.27 ppg.
It’s odd being 6 points off 7th currently and thinking it’s achievable. 7 points given the gd.The reality being so much different.
The reality is that it's mathematically within our grasp; but this team isn't good enough to obtain the points on offer.
Just being pedantic Camps, but the last day of the season has been put back to 8th May because of the Coronation.
Quote from: drfchound on March 15, 2023, 09:13:50 pmJust being pedantic Camps, but the last day of the season has been put back to 8th May because of the Coronation.I can't stand pedantry on this forum.It's something that I never do.
7 points is a massive gap with only 10-11 games to play. It means you have to outperform the team in 7th by a level equivalent to 30 points if maintained over a season.We'd need something like 2.2 points per game from here on in, and them to average 1.5. And no other team to have a surge in form.It's not impossible of course, but it is very, very unlikely. Maybe a 40/1 shot.
Quote from: BillyStubbsTears on March 15, 2023, 03:19:57 pm7 points is a massive gap with only 10-11 games to play. It means you have to outperform the team in 7th by a level equivalent to 30 points if maintained over a season.We'd need something like 2.2 points per game from here on in, and them to average 1.5. And no other team to have a surge in form.It's not impossible of course, but it is very, very unlikely. Maybe a 40/1 shot. Sky bet have rovers to finish in the top 7 at an unbelievably short 12/1 today.Do they know something we don’t?
Quote from: normal rules on March 17, 2023, 04:56:53 pmQuote from: BillyStubbsTears on March 15, 2023, 03:19:57 pm7 points is a massive gap with only 10-11 games to play. It means you have to outperform the team in 7th by a level equivalent to 30 points if maintained over a season.We'd need something like 2.2 points per game from here on in, and them to average 1.5. And no other team to have a surge in form.It's not impossible of course, but it is very, very unlikely. Maybe a 40/1 shot. Sky bet have rovers to finish in the top 7 at an unbelievably short 12/1 today.Do they know something we don’t?They have us at 14/1 to make the playoffs, so 12/1 to make the top 7 implies a 100/1 price against us making the top 3. Whereas in fact the actual price they offer against us making the top 3 is 250/1.I'd say 250/1 is still not generous. Even if we won our last 11 games (have we ever won 11 on the bounce? We only managed 10 in 46/47) Carlisle would still bat us if they kept up their season-long form to date up to the end of the season.I'd want 2000/1 against before I'd think about putting ten bob on us to make the top 3.