BST points prediction thread…

[BillyStubbsTears]

Hands up. It's totally failed this year. Inevitable I guess, given that at the first prediction date there were 4-5 sides in extremely good runs of form. It was unlikely that could continue. One to ponder for how I use it going forward

[GazLaz]

It might be a bit more clear after Tuesday night’s games. Rovers v Walsall and Bradford City v Port Vale means some or all will drop points.A win for us and a draw for City would really put the cat among the pigeons. A must not lose game for us I think.

Both games very likely to be low scoring and tight. 0-0/1-1 likely in both.

Swindon beating Wimbledon my bet of the night though. Odds against Draw no bet.

[Michael Shaw]

A draw in both games is the most logical result, however logic rarely counts in football. A Rovers win would be a massive boost for our promotion hopes right now, and confidence boost for the remaining games. A win will be massive. 

[BigH]

I’m starting to think that 79 points would nick third place, particularly if we beat Wimbledon at home.

[Nudga]

A draw in both games is the most logical result, however logic rarely counts in football. A Rovers win would be a massive boost for our promotion hopes right now, and confidence boost for the remaining games. A win will be massive. 

Why are you even posting about this?

[turnbull for england]

A draw in both games is the most logical result, however logic rarely counts in football. A Rovers win would be a massive boost for our promotion hopes right now, and confidence boost for the remaining games. A win will be massive. 

Why are you even posting about this?

Must be less furious today

[Nudga]

A draw in both games is the most logical result, however logic rarely counts in football. A Rovers win would be a massive boost for our promotion hopes right now, and confidence boost for the remaining games. A win will be massive. 

Why are you even posting about this?

Must be less furious today

Fickle t**t probably wants to go on Tuesday now.

[RoversInSpain]

Wins for Rovers, PV, Notts and Wimbledon this Tuesday/Wednesday would leave the top 6 separated by just 3 points (71-68). Not sure any formula could have predicted this should it happen. Talk about shredded nerves…

[selby]

 A couple will fall away, we just don't want to be one of them.

[Usher wide.]

Put a wadge down on Rovers to go up as Champions at the start of the season. Have continued to back them with odd tenners right up until Friday when we were still 8/1.

We’re now 4/1 having started the season at 12/1 & falling away to 18/1 at one point.

It’s either a set of carburettors or a bottle of screen wash.

[karldew]

Put a wadge down on Rovers to go up as Champions at the start of the season. Have continued to back them with odd tenners right up until Friday when we were still 8/1.

We’re now 4/1 having started the season at 12/1 & falling away to 18/1 at one point.

It’s either a set of carburettors or a bottle of screen wash.

Currently 6/1 with bet365

[drfchound]

Put a wadge down on Rovers to go up as Champions at the start of the season. Have continued to back them with odd tenners right up until Friday when we were still 8/1.

We’re now 4/1 having started the season at 12/1 & falling away to 18/1 at one point.

It’s either a set of carburettors or a bottle of screen wash.

I put my bet on at 14/1 pre season.

[Avsuptem]

Walsall at 11-2 to make the play offs looks the value bet imho. Odds that will shorten after Tuesday night hopefully.

[Avsuptem]

It looks quite simple now. To be in the automatic places we will have to win just one of the games v Bradford, Notts County and Wimbledon whilst not losing either of the other 2. If we do not achieve that its probably the play offs for us.

[IDM]

We’ve got 6 games left..

[Usher wide.]

It looks quite simple now. To be in the automatic places we will have to win just one of the games v Bradford, Notts County and Wimbledon whilst not losing either of the other 2. If we do not achieve that its probably the play offs for us.

You didn’t mention us going up as Champions.

[Avsuptem]

We live in hope.

[Filo]

That game in hand is crucial, I’ll be watching somehow from Spain that day

[DonnyBazR0ver]

That game in hand is crucial, I’ll be watching somehow from Spain that day

The next game is the most crucial. Save our nervous energy thinking about all the permutations and other teams results. Just prepare for Wimbledon.

[ravenrover]

It's Salford next up

[RoversInSpain]

Salford after Wimbledon on 15th

[ravenrover]

My mistake I remembered the thread about Salford possibly being on the 8th

[Janso]

It looks quite simple now. To be in the automatic places we will have to win just one of the games v Bradford, Notts County and Wimbledon whilst not losing either of the other 2. If we do not achieve that its probably the play offs for us.

You didn’t mention us going up as Champions.

I still haven't given up hope of this. We've been shite and kept missing golden opportunities to kick on but we've still hung on in there and it's still very much in our hands.

[colincramb]

It looks quite simple now. To be in the automatic places we will have to win just one of the games v Bradford, Notts County and Wimbledon whilst not losing either of the other 2. If we do not achieve that its probably the play offs for us.

You didn’t mention us going up as Champions.

I still haven't given up hope of this. We've been shite and kept missing golden opportunities to kick on but we've still hung on in there and it's still very much in our hands.

Not very much, it is in our own hands. One game at a time.

[NickDRFC]

It looks quite simple now. To be in the automatic places we will have to win just one of the games v Bradford, Notts County and Wimbledon whilst not losing either of the other 2. If we do not achieve that its probably the play offs for us.

You didn’t mention us going up as Champions.

I still haven't given up hope of this. We've been shite and kept missing golden opportunities to kick on but we've still hung on in there and it's still very much in our hands.

Not very much, it is in our own hands. One game at a time.

It’s also in Bradford’s own hands.

[ncRover]

Would this be enough?

Wimbledon - lose
Salford - win
Tranmere - draw
Colchester - draw
Bradford - draw
Notts - win

[NickDRFC]

Would this be enough?

Wimbledon - lose
Salford - win
Tranmere - draw
Colchester - draw
Bradford - draw
Notts - win

Would be tight. That would leave us with 79 points and a goal difference very similar to what we have now. Meaning our opponents would need:

Bradford - 6 points from their remaining 4 games (leaving them on 79 and likely a better GD). So 2 wins from Swindon & Chesterfield (A) and Notts C & Fleetwood (H). Which you’d probably say is likely.

Port Vale - 7 points from 5 games (given their goal difference is slightly worse than ours. Bromley, Grimsby & Gillingham (H) and Carlisle & Wimbledon away so again I’d fancy them to get that many.

Walsall - 7 points from 5 games (with the expectation their GD would be superior). Easiest run in on paper with Harrogate & Accrington at home and Barrow, Newport & Crewe away. The way they’ve been dropping points who knows?

Wimbledon - 8 points from 4 games (after beating us, again with the expectation of a better GD). Someone’s dropping points with the PV game, and with trips to Grimsby & Gillingham and a home game against Chesterfield this is maybe a tall order.

Notts County - would need 4 wins so pretty unlikely, plus play Bradford.

I’d probably say we’d have a 50/50 chance on 79 points.

[RobbieDRFC]

The points the third placed team have achieved over the last 10 seasons.

14/15 - 85
15/16 - 85
16/17 - 85
17/18 - 84
18/19 - 79
19/20 - curtailed
20/21 - 79
21/22 - 80
22/23 - 83
23/24 - 86

Do we think 80/81 points will be enough this season to get over the line?

[IDM]

Probably, the relative points haul for the top seven or so should be much closer than usual.

[ncRover]

Tranmere will still need to secure mathematical safety no matter what by the time we play them and they’re in a really good run of form.