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Quote from: bpoolrover on October 25, 2021, 05:03:45 pm36k new cases today so again a decent fall in them Definitely looks like a real drop in cases. In fact it looks remarkably like what happened in late July - a fast increase in cases suddenly (in fact pretty much overnight) flipping to an equally fast fall.Common denominator must be schools breaking up. Both times the peak in the seven day average of new cases has come 2-3 days before the first day of the school holidays. Maybe they aren't testing as frequently bin the last few days before the holidays?
36k new cases today so again a decent fall in them
Quote from: big fat yorkshire pudding on October 25, 2021, 11:59:41 amQuote from: BillyStubbsTears on October 24, 2021, 06:28:38 pmSW is where the Immensa f**k up happened. I wonder if they are catching up old positive results that were originally reported wrongly as negative. Yep appears to be the case, so makes the daily case reporting largely meaningless. It also likely means the spread much wider because of the positive going out and about.Interesting that some models believe cases will shortly drop massively.Doesn't really make the daily figures meaningless. There were 43000 affected results. Even if all those were now returned as +ves in one day, it would only increase the 7 day average by 14% for one week, then it would drop out of the numbers. The recent rise had been higher and more sustained than that. As for cases falling soon, let's very much hope so. I haven't seen those figures and I must admit I've lost touch with where we are supposed to be on HI.The huge worry is still the rapid drop in efficacy of the AZ vaccine after 5 months and the sluggish booster program. I've a very personal interest in this. I'm in one of the top 9 vulnerable groups and I had my 2nd AZ dose in mid-May. I've heard nothing yet about eligibility for a booster.
Quote from: BillyStubbsTears on October 24, 2021, 06:28:38 pmSW is where the Immensa f**k up happened. I wonder if they are catching up old positive results that were originally reported wrongly as negative. Yep appears to be the case, so makes the daily case reporting largely meaningless. It also likely means the spread much wider because of the positive going out and about.Interesting that some models believe cases will shortly drop massively.
SW is where the Immensa f**k up happened. I wonder if they are catching up old positive results that were originally reported wrongly as negative.
https://www.thenationalnews.com/coronavirus/2021/10/26/dont-bash-britain-over-high-covid-cases-says-oxford-vaccine-creator/?outputType=amp Interesting read
Quote from: bpoolrover on October 26, 2021, 04:31:38 pmhttps://www.thenationalnews.com/coronavirus/2021/10/26/dont-bash-britain-over-high-covid-cases-says-oxford-vaccine-creator/?outputType=amp Interesting readIt is an interesting read bpool and some of those points have been put forward on this forum but have been cast aside as ridiculous by other posters.
Quote from: drfchound on October 26, 2021, 04:39:02 pmQuote from: bpoolrover on October 26, 2021, 04:31:38 pmhttps://www.thenationalnews.com/coronavirus/2021/10/26/dont-bash-britain-over-high-covid-cases-says-oxford-vaccine-creator/?outputType=amp Interesting readIt is an interesting read bpool and some of those points have been put forward on this forum but have been cast aside as ridiculous by other posters.Yes, agreed, quite an interesting read. He does however forget to mention that most other European countries still have restrictions in place, compulsory mask wearing, covid passports, etc - so perhaphs that is why they are seeing lower numbers?In other unrelated news:The House of Commons has just updated its guidance on masks. Now mandatory for all staff, contractors, press and all other third parties while on the estate... but still not MPs. Begs the question, why not?https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1453024833047089160
Well here's a thing.https://mobile.twitter.com/TheEconomist/status/1453471813871325184Statistical evidence that the rate of death FROM NON-COVID CAUSES in people who have been vaccinated is only 1/3rd as high as those you haven't been vaccinated.I'm guessing it's because anybody stupid enough to refuse a vaccine has trouble surviving in a world where there are sharp things and electricity.
Are we having 160 discharged COVID patients a day walking in front of cars then?Or in fact are we having any?